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NG1!: Bulls Are Winning! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse NG1! together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 2.920 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 2.958.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
RUS:NG1!Long
by FreeXauusdSignals
SILVER: Market Sentiment & Price Action Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the SILVER pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
TRADENATION:XAGUSDShort
by UnitedSignals
Gold prices continue to rise, showing strong momentum.Gold prices continue to rise, showing strong momentum. -------------------------------------------- On Friday, spot gold extended its intraday gains to 1% at $3,684.975 per ounce. 1: Middle East tensions: Geopolitical events such as the Israeli airstrike on Qatar boosted market demand for safe-haven assets. 2: A Russian drone entered Polish airspace, escalating tensions in Europe and further enhancing gold's safe-haven appeal. 3: The EU announced sanctions against Israel, increasing market uncertainty. 4: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, meeting market expectations, but internal divisions widened. Chairman Powell described the rate cut as a "risk management" measure and remained concerned about the labor market and stagflation risks. 5: The US dollar index fluctuated sharply after the rate cut, first falling to a 10-week low before quickly rebounding back to 97, weighing on gold prices. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Technical Analysis: Upper Resistance: Strong resistance at $3690-3700 Core Support: Medium support at $3655-3664 Key Defensive Support: Strong support at $3627-3635 Historical High: Psychological resistance at $3707.40 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Trend Analysis Short-term Trend: Gold prices encountered resistance above $3700 and quickly retreated, forming a high-level range in the short term. 4-Hour Chart Analysis: Gold prices continue to rise, and the moving averages have formed a golden cross again, indicating a strong trend. Support and Resistance: Lower Support: Watch $3640 (weekly low). If it falls below, it could retest the $3610-3620 area. Upper Resistance: $3685-3700. A break above this level could lead to a new high at $3730. Investor Sentiment: Market bullish sentiment on gold remains unchanged, with several institutions believing the price could break through $4,000 by year-end. Interest Rate Cut Expectations: Although the market has already priced in the impact of the Fed's first rate cut, further rate cuts in October and December are likely, which is expected to continue to support gold prices. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Trading Recommendation: (Conservative Strategy), Go Long at Low Prices. Short-term trading is recommended within the $3,660 to $3,685 range. Long positions can be initiated if prices retreat to $3,660 to $3,650, while profit-taking can be considered if prices rise to between $3,685 and $3,700. Conclusion: The gold market is currently experiencing significant volatility, with geopolitical risks and Fed policy being the primary drivers. From a technical perspective, gold prices are facing resistance near $3,700, but the overall trend remains bullish. Key support and resistance levels should be closely monitored, a range-bound trading strategy should be adopted, and global economic data and geopolitical developments should be closely monitored.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja_rb
Next Monday, gold prices will continue to trade at low levels.Next Monday, gold prices will continue to trade at low levels. Gold prices closed slightly higher on a weekly basis, maintaining a strong bullish trend. After briefly dipping to 3631 on Friday, the index quickly rebounded, showing a gradual upward trend. The daily chart closed with a large, unbroken bullish candlestick. Despite some short-term pullbacks, the bullish trend remains intact, and bullish sentiment remains optimistic for next week. On the 4-hour chart, the moving averages have formed a golden cross again, and prices have continued to rise, breaking through the midline, showing strong momentum. However, the Bollinger Bands have not yet opened, making direct buying difficult. Following support, watch for 3676-72 and 3661-59. Trading strategies suggest buying based on pullbacks, and then gradually targeting 3695 and 3708 above. ------------------------------------------------- 1: Gold prices rose slightly on Friday, closing around $3685, but the overall market lacked sustained strong buying momentum. 2: The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut at its September FOMC meeting, lowering the federal funds rate to a range of 4.00%-4.25%. This move has been fully priced in by the market. 3: Fed Chairman Powell's post-meeting comments were less dovish than expected. He described the rate cut as a "risk management cut," with the market pricing in a 91% probability of a 25 basis point cut in October and nearly an 80% probability of another cut in December. 4: Geopolitical tensions provided safe-haven support for gold. The escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine, with Russian drones entering Polish airspace, heightened tensions in Europe. The escalating conflict in the Middle East, with Israel launching airstrikes on Qatar and the EU subsequently imposing sanctions on Israel, has exacerbated market uncertainty. ------------------------------------------------------------ Key Price Areas: 1: Key support below lies in the $3,650-3,662 range, Friday's correction low, which coincides with the 50-period simple moving average on the 4-hour chart. 2: Stronger support lies in the $3,630-3,640 area, which represents a short-term bottom. Multiple lower shadows suggest bullish entry on falling prices. 3: If this area is broken, the next key support level lies around $3,600-3,610. Resistance Level Analysis: 1: Immediate resistance above lies in the $3,685-3,700 range, particularly the psychologically important $3,700 level. 2: If this area is broken, gold could re-challenge its all-time high of $3,707 or even reach $3,730. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- In terms of trading volume, gold trading volume increases during rising prices and decreases during falling prices, a characteristic of bull markets. However, recent trading volume near all-time highs suggests a lack of sustained buying momentum, suggesting the market may need some time to consolidate and digest. Monday Forecast 1: Highest Probability Scenario (60% probability) Gold prices are likely to continue their high-volume trading pattern next Monday, trading between $3,650 and $3,700. The logic behind this trend is that the market needs more time to digest the impact of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy while awaiting new data guidance. Friday's gold close around $3,685 suggests that bulls still have a significant advantage. In this scenario, gold prices may first test the lower support level of $3,660-3,665. If this support level holds, a rebound to the $3,685-3,700 range is possible. Monday's Asian and European trading sessions are likely to be relatively quiet, while the US trading session could see significant volatility. The trigger for this move could be further market interpretation of weekend speeches by Federal Reserve officials or expectations of geopolitical developments. 2: Low Probability Scenario (30% probability) Gold prices break through the $3,700 resistance level and move upward to test the all-time high of $3,707, or even higher. This scenario could be triggered by an unexpected escalation in geopolitical tensions over the weekend or by a market repricing of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path, reinforcing expectations of further rate cuts this year. If gold prices can sustain above $3,700, it could trigger short-covering and new long entries, further pushing gold prices higher. The next target would be around $3,730, or even higher. This trend would require support from positive news, particularly a pullback from the US dollar index's current highs. 3: Low Probability Scenario (10% Probability) Gold prices fall below the $3,650 support level and test the key support level of $3,630-3,640. This scenario could be triggered by a sustained strengthening US dollar, strong US economic data released before the market opens, or an unexpected easing of geopolitical risks, reducing safe-haven demand. If gold prices fall below the $3,630-3,640 support area, they could fall further to the $3,600-3,610 range. However, the probability of this trend occurring is low, as the overall market environment remains favorable for gold, and the bullish trend remains unchanged. -------------------------------------------------------- Trading Recommendations: Trading Strategy: Generally, adopt a range-bound trading strategy. Consider establishing a position near support and reducing or taking profit near resistance. Specifically, you can enter a long position in the 3655-3665 area, with a stop-loss below 3645 and a target between 3690-3700. For aggressive traders, you can try a small short position in the 3685-3700 area, with a stop-loss above 3705 and a target between 3665-3675.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Katyusha202509
Comprehensive Analysis of Gold Price Trends Next MondayComprehensive Analysis of Gold Price Trends Next Monday 1: Although the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, there remains disagreement within the Fed regarding the pace of subsequent rate cuts. The market currently expects the Fed to cut interest rates by a total of 75-100 basis points by 2025 (implying the possibility of two or three more rate cuts in the future). 2: If China officially relaxes its gold import restrictions, it will increase demand in the world's largest gold consumer, significantly impacting international gold prices. 3: If global inflationary pressures re-emerge, especially with continued increases in energy prices (crude oil prices are currently around $92 per barrel), gold's appeal as an inflation hedge may increase. Technical Analysis and Trading Strategy for Gold Prices Next Monday: Technical Trend Analysis Trend Positioning: Gold's overall long-term bullish trend remains intact, but it is currently consolidating near its historical highs. The market is currently digesting recent gains and searching for new directional momentum. As shown in Figure 4h: Gold prices are fluctuating in a clear upward channel, forming a converging triangle. Key Support Levels: Primary Support: $3,650-$3,655. This area has been retested several times recently and represents a key short-term bull-bear market dividing line heading into Monday. Minor Support: $3,640. If the aforementioned major support level is broken, prices could test this level further. Strong Support: $3,610-$3,620. This represents a significant low since September, and a break below this area could attract further bullish activity. Key Resistance Levels: Primary Resistance: $3,685-$3,690. The market closed near this area on Friday, and a break above it would strengthen upward momentum. Major Resistance: $3,700-$3,705. This represents a historical high area, presenting strong psychological and technical resistance. Breakout Target: $3,730. A strong break above $3,705 could potentially push prices towards this area. Trading Strategy Recommendations 1: Uptrend If gold prices hold above $3,660 in early Asian trading and gradually rise, consider initiating a light long position on a pullback to the $3,655-3,663 area. Target: $3,685-3,700. Stop-loss: Set below $3,648. 2: Pullback If gold prices weaken after the open and break below the $3,650 support level, wait patiently for a pullback to the $3,640-3,645 area (near Thursday's low) before considering arranging a phased long position. Target: If prices rebound to the $3,660-3,670 area, consider reducing or exiting your position. Stop-loss: Set below $3,635. 3: Strong Breakout If market sentiment is positive and gold prices break through and stabilize at $3,690, consider initiating a short-term long position. Target: $3,700-3,710 area. Stop-loss: Set below $3,680. 4: High-level rebound If gold prices rise to around $3,700 but fail to break through, consider establishing a small short position at this key resistance level. Target: $3,680-3,670 area. Stop-loss: Set above $3,707. Overall, gold prices are expected to remain range-bound between $3,640 and $3,700 next Monday. It is recommended to avoid chasing gains and selling losses, and patiently wait for prices to approach key support or resistance levels before taking action. Ensure strict position and risk management. ⚠️ Risk Warning Changes in Fed policy expectations: If subsequent economic data (such as employment and inflation) are very strong, market expectations for a Fed rate cut may cool, supporting the US dollar and putting pressure on gold prices. Geopolitical easing: An unexpected easing of geopolitical conflicts in regions such as the Middle East would weaken gold's safe-haven appeal. Risk of a technical pullback: Gold prices are at historical highs after a continuous rally. Any negative news could trigger profit-taking by bulls, leading to a rapid pullback in prices.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Timo_Weber
Gold Sets New Record: Buy or Sell Amid the Market Frenzy?Hello traders, Last week, gold ended with an unexpected twist. Prices continued to climb on Friday (19/09), marking the 5th straight week of gains, reaching $3,683.24/oz, while futures advanced to $3,718.50/oz. This came right after the Fed cut interest rates—a move that was expected to “cool” gold. So, is this rally sustainable or just a trap? Fundamental Analysis: Rate Cuts Fuel Gold’s Rise After the Fed cut rates by 0.25%, the market saw chaotic trading, with gold hitting historic highs before a quick pullback. Still, the Fed’s message reinforced investor confidence in gold: Lower holding costs: Reduced interest rates lower the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Dovish Fed stance: Despite warning about persistent inflation, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari suggested job risks could lead to further cuts, raising expectations for looser policy. Strong demand: Physical gold demand remains high. In India, prices hit a 10-month peak, while in China, discounts widened to a 5-year high, signaling robust demand despite rising prices. Technical Analysis: Structure Break, Uptrend Resumes By the weekend, gold broke through its downtrend line, confirming a structural shift and highlighting strong buying pressure. This suggests the bullish trend may continue. Outlook: This week, focus remains on buying opportunities with short-term targets at $372x and $373x. However, caution is needed with upcoming macroeconomic events, which could trigger large liquidity zones and potential traps. Sample Trading Strategies (strict risk management): BUY SCALP: $3671–$3669 | SL: $3666 | TP: $3674–$3694 BUY ZONE: $3657–$3659 | SL: $3647 | TP: $3669–$3709 SELL SCALP: $3713–$3715 | SL: $3719 | TP: $3705–$3785 SELL ZONE: $3731–$3733 | SL: $3741 | TP: $3723–$3683 The market is heating up. Can gold smash through barriers to set fresh records? Share your thoughts below! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) Intraday & Swing Outlook🛢️ USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) Forecast – Intraday & Swing Outlook 🚀📉 Asset Class: USOIL (SPOTCRUDE / WTI CASH) Last Closing Price: $62.796 Date/Time: 20th Sept 2025 – 12:50 AM UTC+4 🔍 Market Context Crude oil remains in a volatile zone as macro factors like OPEC+ policy, global demand recovery, and geopolitical risks continue to steer momentum. Traders must prepare for short squeezes, traps, and breakout plays this week. 📊 Technical Overview Chart Theories Applied: 📈 Elliott Waves – corrective Phase B nearing end. 🔄 Wyckoff – signs of re-accumulation spotted. 🔺 Head & Shoulders (Inverse) – potential bullish reversal. 🔮 Gann Angles & Time Cycle – short-term resistance clustering near $64.50. 🛠️ Indicators 🔵 RSI (H1) → Neutral zone (48–52). 📏 VWAP Anchored → $62.20 (support pivot). 📉 EMA 20 / EMA 50 → Bullish cross on H4 confirmed. 🎯 Bollinger Bands → Expansion phase → Expect high volatility. 🕒 Timeframe Strategies 📌 Intraday (5M / 15M / 1H / 4H) Buy Entry (Scalp): $62.20 – $62.50 🟢 TP1: $63.20 🎯 TP2: $63.85 🎯 SL: $61.80 ❌ Sell Entry (Scalp): $63.80 – $64.20 🔴 TP1: $63.00 🎯 TP2: $62.40 🎯 SL: $64.70 ❌ 📌 Swing (Daily / Weekly) Buy Zone: $61.50 – $62.00 🟢 Targets: $65.20 / $67.40 / $70.00 🎯 Stop Loss: $60.50 ❌ Sell Zone (Rejection): $67.40 – $68.00 🔴 Targets: $64.50 / $62.20 🎯 Stop Loss: $68.80 ❌ ⚠️ Risk Management Volatility expected due to Fed rate guidance & OPEC+ commentary. Stick to 2–3% capital risk per trade. Watch for bull/bear traps near breakout zones. 📌 Summary Intraday: Range $62.20 – $64.20 ⚖️ Swing: Upside bias if $61.50 holds strong 💹 Key Resistance: $64.50 / $67.40 Key Support: $61.50 / $60.50 🔥 Bias: Short-term sideways → Medium-term bullish above $61.50. For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by sunya
XAUUSD 4H – Key Support Bounce for Swing LongGold is holding support near 3655, showing strength after recent pullbacks. Price action suggests buyers are defending this level, keeping the short-term uptrend intact. key Levels: Buy Entry: 3655 Stop Loss: 3625 Take Profit: 3690 Reasoning: The setup is based on price respecting higher lows and consolidating above a support base. A bounce from 3655 indicates buyer control, with room for continuation toward 3690 if momentum sustains. Stop loss placement ensures protection against a breakdown. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage your own risk before trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SwingTrade_Concept
XAUUSD (GOLD) Forecast✨📊 XAUUSD (GOLD) Forecast – Intraday & Swing Outlook ✨💰 Asset Class: XAUUSD (GOLD CFD) Closing Price: 3,685.11 📍 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4) 🔎 Multi-Lens Technical Analysis 🕯 Candlestick & Patterns 📉 Head & Shoulders → Watching neckline at 3,660 📈 Bull Trap/ Bear Trap → Possible fakeouts near 3,700 zone 🔄 Harmonics + Fibonacci → Reversal signals align around 3,640 – 3,650 🌊 Theories in Play Elliott Waves → Wave 5 completion likely near 3,710 – 3,725 Wyckoff → Distribution phase signs visible 🔔 Gann → Time/price square shows resistance 3,720 – 3,730 Ichimoku → Cloud support at 3,655 📊 Indicators & Tools RSI: 64 → Near overbought ⚠️ Bollinger Bands: Upper band at 3,710 = overextension risk VWAP: Anchored VWAP support at 3,660 Moving Averages: EMA20 (H1) = 3,662 ✅ Golden Cross intact (Bullish bias) ⏱ Trading Time Frames Intraday Focus: 5m / 15m / 1H / 4H Swing Focus: 4H / Daily / Weekly 🎯 Trading Strategy Intraday Plan (Sept 20 – 23) 🟢 Buy Zone: 3,655 – 3,665 (Target: 3,690 – 3,705) 🔴 Sell Zone: 3,710 – 3,725 (Target: 3,670 – 3,650) Swing Plan (Sept 20 – 27) 🟢 Swing Long Entry: 3,640 – 3,655 (Target: 3,720 – 3,745) 🔴 Swing Short Entry: 3,730 – 3,745 (Target: 3,660 – 3,640) 🌍 Market Context 📰 Fed policy & USD strength will remain key drivers ⚔️ Geopolitical tensions = higher volatility expected 🛡 Gold remains safe-haven bid during risk-off ✅ Conclusion 📊 Gold (XAUUSD) trades in critical resistance zone near 3,700. Short-term bias → Bullish, but cautious of traps Swing bias → Range-bound 3,640 – 3,745 🎯 Traders should buy dips & sell rallies within zones ⚡Stay sharp, manage risk! ⚡ For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade ⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by sunya
Weekly Market Review For GoldGold has recently been in a high-level consolidation phase. After a consecutive pullback on the daily chart, it turned bullish on Friday, indicating significant support at the lower end. The current key pivot levels lie at the resistance level around 3700 and the support level near 3620; the wide trading range has increased operational difficulty, requiring patience to wait for opportunities. Technically, the 4-hour chart has broken above the short-term downtrend line, with the 3660 level shifting from resistance to a key support. The short-term trend leans bullish, so strategically, one can look to enter long positions within the 3650–3660 range when opportunities arise. In the medium to long term, while the weekly chart deviates from the moving average and needs time for consolidation, the underlying logic of the fundamentals remains solid. Although the market has priced in the Fed’s first interest rate cut, the probability of further rate cuts in October and December remains high. The subsequent expectation-driven rally will continue to provide support for gold prices. With the core of the long-term uptrend support gradually moving higher, there are insufficient conditions for a sharp decline, and the overall trend will remain in a consolidative upward pattern.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CarterJordan
CPI Data: The Silent Navigator of Currencies, CommoditiesChapter 1: Understanding CPI – The Pulse of Inflation What is CPI? The Consumer Price Index is a statistical measure that tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services consumed by households. This basket includes categories like: Food and beverages Housing and utilities Transportation Healthcare Education Recreation Every month, agencies such as the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Eurostat, or India’s Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) publish CPI data. Economists parse it to gauge how much everyday living costs have risen or fallen compared to a base year. Why is CPI Important? Central Banks: CPI determines whether interest rates should rise (to cool inflation) or fall (to stimulate growth). Investors: CPI expectations guide bond yields, equity valuations, and commodity demand forecasts. Governments: CPI affects wage negotiations, pensions, and social security adjustments. Traders: Currency and commodity traders watch CPI closely for clues about future price movements. Simply put, CPI is not just a statistical tool—it is the heartbeat of economic policy. Chapter 2: CPI and Currencies – The Exchange Rate Compass The Inflation-Interest Rate-Currency Triangle Currency markets thrive on interest rate differentials between countries. And interest rates, in turn, are deeply tied to CPI. Here’s how the triangle works: High CPI (Inflation Rising) → Central bank likely raises rates → Higher yields attract capital inflows → Currency strengthens. Low CPI (Weak Inflation/Deflation) → Central bank cuts rates → Yields fall → Capital outflows → Currency weakens. For example: When U.S. CPI surges above expectations, markets anticipate the Federal Reserve will tighten monetary policy. This strengthens the U.S. dollar, often at the expense of emerging market currencies. Conversely, when Japan’s CPI lingers near zero, it signals low inflation. The yen often weakens, especially if other countries raise rates. CPI Surprises and Market Reactions Currency traders pay close attention not just to CPI levels, but to surprises—the gap between expected and actual data. A higher-than-expected CPI often sparks immediate dollar rallies. A weaker-than-expected CPI can trigger sell-offs. In short, CPI is the silent hand guiding daily forex volatility. Chapter 3: CPI and Commodities – Pricing the Essentials Inflation’s Direct Impact on Commodities Commodities like oil, gold, copper, and wheat are real assets whose prices react strongly to inflationary signals. Oil and Energy: Rising CPI often reflects higher energy costs. But paradoxically, higher inflation expectations can boost crude oil demand as traders hedge against future price surges. Gold: Known as the “inflation hedge,” gold tends to rally when CPI rises sharply, as investors seek protection against currency depreciation. Agricultural Commodities: Food inflation reflected in CPI often mirrors supply shocks in wheat, rice, or corn. Countries may adjust imports or exports based on these signals. Feedback Loops The relationship between CPI and commodities is not one-way. Commodities themselves often drive CPI readings. For instance: A global spike in crude oil raises transportation and manufacturing costs, showing up as higher CPI. Droughts that raise food prices also push CPI upward. Thus, CPI is both a mirror (reflecting commodity movements) and a magnet (attracting speculative flows into commodities). Chapter 4: CPI and Trade Routes – The Invisible Mapmaker Inflation and Trade Balances Inflation levels affect a country’s trade competitiveness: High CPI → Domestic goods become expensive → Exports lose competitiveness → Imports rise → Trade deficits widen. Low CPI → Domestic goods remain affordable → Exports rise → Trade surpluses build. For example: Persistent high inflation in Argentina has eroded its export competitiveness, forcing adjustments in trade partnerships. Germany, historically with low inflation, often maintains strong export surpluses. CPI as a Navigator of Trade Routes Trade routes are not just about geography; they are shaped by economic viability. Inflation indirectly alters routes by shifting trade demand. If Europe faces high inflation while Asia’s CPI remains controlled, Asian goods look cheaper. Shipping companies redirect routes toward Asian suppliers. If U.S. inflation surges, import demand may weaken, leading to adjustments in trans-Pacific shipping volumes. Case Study: Inflation and Shipping Costs In 2021–2022, global CPI spikes—driven by energy and food—coincided with record-high shipping costs. As inflation rose, freight companies restructured routes to prioritize high-demand sectors, such as food imports over luxury goods. CPI data, therefore, indirectly reshaped trade flows. Chapter 5: CPI, Central Banks, and Global Policy Coordination CPI does not exist in isolation; it anchors monetary diplomacy across nations. The U.S. Federal Reserve: Because the U.S. dollar underpins global trade, U.S. CPI announcements ripple worldwide. A high U.S. CPI forces the Fed to hike rates, strengthening the dollar and raising borrowing costs globally. European Central Bank (ECB): CPI-driven policy changes affect the euro, which impacts intra-European trade flows. Emerging Economies: Countries like India or Brazil often adjust subsidies, tariffs, or interest rates in response to CPI to safeguard trade competitiveness. When multiple nations face similar CPI-driven pressures, we see global coordination (or conflict). For example, in the 1970s oil crisis, surging CPI forced many central banks to raise rates simultaneously, tightening global liquidity. Chapter 6: CPI in Geopolitics and Economic Strategy CPI as a Political Tool Governments know voters feel inflation viscerally. CPI spikes often translate into political instability. Leaders facing high CPI tend to: Subsidize imports of food or fuel. Strengthen ties with low-cost trading partners. Impose export bans to protect domestic consumers. Thus, CPI can even redirect geopolitical alliances. Inflation and Trade Wars Persistent CPI pressures often trigger protectionist policies. For example: High U.S. CPI has historically fueled tariff debates on Chinese imports. Emerging nations with food inflation often restrict exports, reshaping global supply chains. In this sense, CPI silently redraws maps of economic power. Conclusion The Consumer Price Index may look like a dry statistical release, but it is one of the most powerful silent forces shaping global finance and trade. From guiding central bank decisions to shifting the tides of forex markets, from influencing commodity hedging to redrawing shipping routes, CPI is everywhere. It doesn’t shout like wars or pandemics, but whispers through spreadsheets and trading desks—subtly yet decisively navigating the economic world. In an interconnected age, understanding CPI is not just for economists. Traders, policymakers, and businesses alike must treat it as the silent navigator that determines the currents of currencies, commodities, and trade routes.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
XAU coverage Everything still remains from the last post of this instrument. Only change here is a further target on T.P which I am confirming based on Fridays closure, we are now running for $3751 which is golds biggest handle to date!!! Hurdle lays on $3713 which if gold takes out on closure, I will be looking at scaling in and should have no problem taking TP from there! It’s been a roller coaster but a plans a plan when you have conviction!!!! $3600 is the next play from that area and I think q4 can set the tone for a correction as I believe pricing as of recent is unnaturally extended! Thank You 🫶🏽
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JupahduhX