USOIL M30 Bullish Reversal Setup from Strong SupportPrice tapped a major demand zone / strong support around 57.40 – 57.50, a level previously respected multiple times.
This zone has acted as a liquidity pool, and today price swept the lows before showing a strong rejection wick – signaling aggressive buyers stepping in.
After the liquidity sweep, USOIL printed a clean bullish reaction candle, confirming that buyers are defending the structure.
Why Buy Here?
• Strong historical support at 57.40
• Liquidity grab + bullish rejection
• Market structure attempting a shift on LTF
• Room to retrace back into imbalance above
Buying Area:
57.45 – 57.60 (demand zone reaction)
Short-Term Target:
58.55 – 58.60 (FVG + previous supply zone)
Invalidation:
Break and candle close below 57.35
Bias:
Bullish as long as price stays above demand zone.
A clean risk-to-reward recovery move is expected if momentum holds.
Futures market
XAUUSD: triangle compression🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) is consolidating within a massive symmetrical triangle, indicating a period of indecision and building volatility. The price action is currently compressing near the lower support trendline of the formation. The Moving Averages (SMA 50, 100, 200) are converging, further confirming the squeeze. The projected trade setup anticipates a bearish breakout below the triangle's support. A confirmed close below the trendline opens the path for a decline toward the immediate support zone at 3,893, with a medium-term target potentially reaching the 3,700 level marked on the chart.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis: The precious metal is under pressure as the market anticipates key US economic data due later this week. Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming US GDP (Preliminary) and Core PCE Index figures. Stronger-than-expected data could reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance (or delay rate cuts), boosting the US Dollar and yields, which traditionally weighs on non-yielding assets like Gold. Additionally, liquidity may thin out approaching the US Thanksgiving holiday, potentially leading to sharper, erratic moves upon any breakout.
📉 Trade Parameters (SELL):
Entry Point : Sell on the confirmed breakdown of the triangle support (approx. 4,060 – 4,070).
Take Profit: 3,893, medium-term target at 3,700
Stop Loss: Above the immediate structure or SMA cluster (approx. 4,150).
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a hypothetical trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
XAUUSD Technical Snapshot1️⃣ Analysis (3 sentences):
Price is currently consolidating inside a contracting structure, sitting between the support zone at 4000–4003 and the 4100 resistance area. Liquidity is building on both sides, suggesting a potential engineered sweep before a decisive move. My bias: a final dip toward the 4003 support zone to collect liquidity → then a bullish leg targeting 4150–4200 if FOMC volatility aligns.
2️⃣ Key Zones:
Resistance: 4095–4115
Support: 3997–4003
Bias: Liquidity sweep → bullish continuation
3️⃣ Disclaimer:
This is personal analysis only and should not be taken as financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly—always manage risk carefully.
Crude Falls with Market Sentiment, Key Levels StandFrom a weekly perspective, the overall outlook on crude remains within a dominant downtrend since 2023, with a shorter-term trend forming from June 2025, currently stabilizing above the $55 per barrel mark.
Scenarios:
• Upside: Climbing back above the upper bound of the short-term channel (June–November 2025) and above the $63 mark could open the way for a retest of the upper boundary of the broader downtrending channel that has been in place since December 2023, near $66, before confirming a structured bullish breakout.
• Downside: A drop below the lower boundary of the six-month channel and the $55 yearly low is expected to extend losses toward the bottom of the original downtrend channel near $49, where another bullish rebound could emerge.
The borders of the December 2023–November 2025 channel remain dominant in defining crude’s next major directional move.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
GOLD HIGH PROBABILITY BUY SETUP Gold is showing a continuation uptrend from our last week Bullish analysis after Friday retracement during the last hours of trading.
Gold has broken violated and closed above H1 -FVG so I'm expecting higher prices.
We've got lots of Buyside Liquidity resting around 4110.98
Waridi Ghost Pips.
“Gold Rebounding from Demand – Targeting Supply Line Retest🔍 Key Observations
📉 Supply Line (Downtrend Resistance)
Each rally is being capped by the descending supply line
📈 Demand Line (Ascending Support)
Buyers defending higher lows
Strong bullish reaction off support
💰 Liquidity Grab ($$$)
Liquidity was taken below swing lows — bullish signal
Smart money likely securing positions before pushing up
🟢 Bullish Confirmation
If price holds above demand line + support zone
Expect bullish continuation toward supply line retest
🎯 Suitable Target Levels
Target Level (Approx) Status
🥇 First Target 4,095 – 4,105 At supply line retest
🥈 Extended Target 4,120 – 4,130 Breakout continuation
📌 Trade Idea (Bullish Scenario)
Entry Zone: 4,055 – 4,065 🟩
Stop Loss: Below 4,025 ❌
Take Profit 1: 4,100 🎯
Take Profit 2: 4,125 🚀
RR Ratio: 1:2.5 – 1:3 📈
🧭 Market Sentiment
📍 Bias → Short-term Bullish
🛑 But… sellers may reappear at supply line
⚠️ Watch for fakeouts near the target
USOIL : Daily analysis 24/11/2025Oil stabilized after a sharp weekly drop as markets weighed the possibility of a Russia-Ukraine peace deal that could add even more supply to an already well-supplied market. Prices have been sliding for months due to rising global production and expectations of a record surplus in the coming year. A potential agreement that leads to sanction relief for Russia would increase the oversupply even further, although political hurdles remain, and European leaders are pushing for revisions to the peace framework. Traders are also watching Middle East tensions and softer near-term market tightness, while OPEC and its partners prepare to review output strategy later in the month.
On the technical side, the crude oil price is testing the support of the lower band of the Bollinger Bands around the $58 price area. The Stochastic oscillator is in extremely oversold levels, hinting that a bullish correction may be forming, while the Bollinger Bands are quite expanded, indicating that volatility is present to support any sharp moves. On the other hand, the moving averages are validating an overall bearish trend in the market, and therefore any bullish correction might be minor. In the event that the price does indeed correct to the upside, the first area of potential resistance may be seen around $60, which represents both the psychological resistance of the round number and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. If, however, it continues its bearish trajectory, then it might retest the lows of $57, which was tested again in late October.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
XAUUSD : Daily analysis 24/11/2025Gold held steady as traders assessed the odds of another Fed rate cut before the end of the year. Prices stayed above the recent handle after a mild weekly pullback, with sentiment mixed following cautious comments from several Fed officials. New York Fed President John Williams opened the door to a near-term cut, helping gold trim losses late Friday, though it still finished lower on the day.
The U.S. shutdown has delayed key data releases, leaving markets without guidance; however, some data due this week will help clarify the outlook, with futures currently pricing in a slightly above 70% chance of a quarter-point cut next month. Lower rates typically support gold, which doesn’t yield interest.
The path ahead remains uncertain, as gold has been consolidating in a tight range since its record peak in late October. Although it remains sharply higher year-over-year, thanks to geopolitical tensions, trade risks, and concerns about weakening government finances, the outlook remains uncertain.
From a technical perspective, the price of gold is plateauing around the support of the 50-day simple moving average, located in the $4,050 area. The Bollinger Bands, although contracted due to the volatility of the previous weeks, are still quite expanded, supporting any significant move in the short term. The Stochastic oscillator is in extreme oversold levels, hinting that a potential bullish correction might take place in the upcoming sessions. The moving averages are also validating an overall bullish trend in the market; therefore, the short-term outlook for gold might be slightly bullish. However, without any new catalyst in the market, the price is likely to remain within a sideways range between $4,200 and $3,900.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
Going Long On Gold -I'm travelling to North Korea If I don't WinGoing long on XAUUSD this morning
Doing all my analysis on the 5-minute timeframe, focusing on the internal range strategy and watching for clean breakouts from one side of the range to the other.
Setup: Long bias as price pushes out of the current internal range structure.
(If you're ready to smash gold, like this post for me.)
Let’s goooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo!
Gold (XAU/USD): The Final Compression! Order Zone Ready!1H Frame | Gold is squeezed between 4,040 - 4,085 (Symmetrical Triangle).
1. ⚙️ SPECIFIC ORDER ZONES (Actionable Zones)
BUY Zone (Bet on a rise):
Entry: 4,044 - 4,046
Stop Loss (SL): 4,038
Strategy: Strong support zone (TA Confluence), bet on a rise.
SELL Scalp Zone (Short-term):
Entry: 4,071 - 4,073
Stop Loss (SL): 4,077
Strategy: Near resistance, narrow trading.
SELL ZONE (Strong resistance):
Entry: 4,097 - 4,099
Stop Loss (SL): 4,107
Strategy: Strong resistance - Wait for profit-taking/reversal.
⚡ BIG BREAKOUT Scenario
LONG Breakout: Above 4,085 to TP: 4,110 to 4,130.
SHORT Breakout: Below 4,040 to TP: 4,020 to 4,000.
2. 📰 FUNDAMENTALS
Market awaits US Data (Jobs, PCE) and Fed Decision. News will be the catalyst for Breakout.
💡 STRATEGY SUMMARY
Be patient for Breakout. Scalp/Limit orders need tight SL. Act on technical break supported by news.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #Gold #TradingSetup #Breakout #SwingTrading
XAUUSD | Gold Signal |Now 24,2025BUY TREND TARGET FOR TODAY 📊
🔱Gold opened the week under pressure, sliding toward $4,040/oz as the market waits for clearer signals on the Federal Reserve’s next move. After last Friday’s decline, sentiment continues to shift rapidly ahead of this week’s key US data.
📌 Key Drivers This Monday:
Fed President John Williams hinted at support for another rate cut soon, pushing market expectations for a December 25bps cut to nearly 70%, up from just 40% last week after the strong jobs report.
However, traders are staying cautious as the market looks for confirmation from incoming economic indicators.
📊 Data to Watch This Week:
- Tuesday: Retail Sales & PPI (September)
- Wednesday: Initial Jobless Claims
These releases will shape how aggressively markets can price in additional easing from the Fed.
⚠️ Market Sentiment:
Despite today’s decline, gold remains up around 54% year-to-date, supported by geopolitical uncertainty, strong central bank buying, and persistent hedging demand.
Risk appetite in global markets is improving slightly, adding short-term pressure to gold, but long-term fundamentals remain supportive.
♾️BUY XAUUSD 4060–4063
🚨SL: 4057
💰TP 1:4066
💰TP 2:4069
QuyetP | XAUUSD Upside Toward 4250? My Bias flipped.TVC:GOLD just forced a clean bias flip — from bearish to upside. No drama, just structure shifting.
Daily support is still holding beautifully. It hasn’t cracked once. And the more price tests it without breaking, the more meaningful it becomes.
But the real trigger?
The 4130 high looks exhausted.
Sellers threw everything at that level… and gold didn’t care. That usually means one thing:
The next attempt has a high chance of breaking through.
Intermarket backs the move too:
- US yields cooling abit.
- TVC:DXY losing momentum in short term.
- Risk sentiment stabilizing → flows rotate back into metals
No diagonal lines needed. Just clean behavior.
If gold clears 4130 decisively, the path toward 4250 opens fast. Maybe faster than people expect.
Bias flipped.
Plan flipped.
That’s trading — you adapt or you get left behind.
Let's me know what you think!
XAUUSD – Potential Distribution Phase Signaling Deeper Bearish TAnalysis of the Chart
Your chart shows a full market cycle structure based on Wyckoff + Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here’s a clean breakdown:
1️⃣ Previous Accumulation Phase (Left Side)
Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) labels confirming bullish intent.
CHoCH followed by accumulation zones.
Price gradually builds liquidity (SSL / price points).
Strong bullish impulsive leg begins after accumulation.
2️⃣ Strong Bullish Trend Continuation
Successive BOS levels show continuation of bullish strength.
Several mitigation blocks / filled imbalances visible.
Price aggressively pushes toward the premium ceiling zone.
3️⃣ Entry Into Distribution Phase (Top Right)
Market reaches Premium Ceiling Zone.
Signs of exhaustion appear:
Lower high formations
Reversal zone highlighted
Shift in character from expansion → distribution
4️⃣ Bearish Reversal Structure Forming
The chart shows:
A potential descending structure
Expectation of liquidity sweeps followed by deeper decline
First bearish target (Target One) around 3,902
Second bearish target (Target Two) around 3,700
These levels align with prior imbalances and discount pricing.
5️⃣ Market Psychology According to the Chart
Bulls losing momentum after premium pricing reached
Smart money distributing positions
Expecting a retracement toward major discount areas
Possible sweep of liquidity before continuation downward
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 4066.7
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 4082.3
My Stop Loss - 4057.6
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Crude oil: Weak ConsolidationToday, crude oil is trading with a weak oscillatory bias, fluctuating narrowly within the 57 - 58 per barrel range. The softened geopolitical risks have set the tone for the subdued market sentiment, while the technical landscape remains dominated by bears.
Key Levels:
Support Zones:Immediate support is concentrated around 57.0 – 57.4 per barrel, with notable buying interest emerging near 57.6. A breakdown below this zone could pave the way for a test of 56.0 per barrel, potentially extending to the vicinity of the annual low around the same level.
Resistance Levels:Near-term resistance lies around 58.75 per barrel, where some trading strategies suggest initiating short positions. Further resistance is seen at the 59.0 – 60.0 per barrel range; only a decisive breakout above this interval can alleviate the short-term bearish momentum. For a full trend reversal, a breach of the long-term key resistance at 61.44 per barrel is required.
XAUBTC - Gold to Bitcoin ratio triple Bottom reversal pattern.XAUBTC - Gold to Bitcoin ratio triple Bottom reversal pattern.
After a long term decline (red line) has ended.
Sideway consolidation has given way to triple bottoming pattern and a new uptrend.
Meaning- lower BTC, Higher Gold prices going forward (relatively or in absolute terms).
Gold's Next Move: Head and Shoulders Signal a Potential DownturnFor traders, the current environment is a waiting game. The technical Head and Shoulders pattern provides a clear directional bias for a potential downside, but a definitive breakdown is required. Macroeconomic factors like the Fed's December decision and the ongoing push-pull between safe-haven demand and dollar strength will likely determine gold's next major move. Watch for a confirmed break of the neckline to signal the next phase of the trend.
Still Good Long R:R's (Gold)Setup
Bullish trend / Correction
Gold still above 50 day moving average
Daily RSI stable around 50 level
Has made a 50% correction of rally since breakout at 3400
Commentary
It seems likely gold needs to first complete an ABCD correction before moving higher - meaning one more lower low. However, support at 3920 could hold, offering good R:R opportunities - even if 4200 holds as resistance.
Strategy
Look for bullish reversals below 4000, above 3920 support
Wait for bigger pullback to the 61.8% Fib / demand zone under 3800






















