XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues its strong rally, now trading around $3,755 after breaking out of the ascending channel. To sustain momentum, we need to see a confirmed hold above $3,753, which would open the way toward higher resistance levels.
Failure to confirm this breakout could trigger a temporary pullback into lower support zones, with a potential retest of the 50MA if bears take short-term control. The higher price extends, the greater the risk of sharp swings and volatility spikes.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,768
$3,782
Support:
$3,753
$3,728
$3,712 (MA50 retest zone)
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Tue, Sep 23
Key drivers today: US PMIs, Trump remarks + Richmond Index, and the main event — Powell speech.
Gold’s rally is extended, so expect headline-driven swings and possible volatility spikes around these releases.
Futures market
Gold Price Analysis – Bullish Continuation Expected Gold Price Analysis – Bullish Continuation Expected
Gold is currently maintaining a strong bullish trend structure on the 4-hour (4H) chart. The market has been consistently forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating sustained bullish momentum over the medium term.
At present, price action appears to be in a secondary corrective phase within this broader uptrend. This pullback is considered a natural part of trend development, where the market consolidates before continuing in the primary direction. Despite the temporary slowdown, the overall bias remains bullish as long as key structural levels hold.
On the downside, the $3610 level acts as a critical support zone. This level has previously served as a base for bullish moves and is now expected to act as a strong demand area. Any rejection or bullish reversal signal near this zone could present a high-probability buying opportunity.
On the upside, gold is likely to resume its bullish trajectory after the current correction completes. If the price confirms a bullish reversal pattern—such as a bullish engulfing, double bottom, or pin bar formation—around the $3610 support area, traders may look to initiate long positions with a target of $3700 in the upcoming sessions.
This projected upside aligns with the ongoing bullish structure and the potential completion of the current retracement. Traders are advised to wait for confirmation before entering, as premature entries during a correction phase can carry higher risk.
In summary, gold remains bullish on the 4H timeframe, with $3610 as key support and $3700 as the next target. A confirmed bullish reversal pattern would signal continuation of the trend and present a viable long setup.
continue to increase in price - bulls 3784⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) eases slightly after setting a fresh record high near $3,760 in Tuesday’s Asian session, as bulls take a breather amid overbought conditions and firm risk appetite in equities. Still, expectations of further Fed rate cuts following last week’s policy easing, along with persistent geopolitical tensions, keep the downside limited and underpin demand ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s speech later today.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price has huge buying power, continuing the upward trend to create new peaks.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3783- 3785 SL 3790
TP1: $3772
TP2: $3760
TP3: $3750
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3697-$3695 SL $3690
TP1: $3708
TP2: $3720
TP3: $3730
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD BUY 3717.4On the 1-hour chart, XAUUSD is currently trading at a high level, with a bullish trend prevailing. Currently, watch for support near 3717.4. Once this level is reached, watch for a potential bullish bat pattern formation, as this level is within the previous demand zone. If the price breaks through resistance near 3760, it will head towards 3800.
Can London Gold be shorted in the 3745-3750 area?Strategy: Shorting gold in the 3745-3750 area is recommended after the London gold market opens.
London gold has hit new highs since opening on Monday, and the current price has reached 3646. Judging from the short-term technical indicators, the opportunity to enter a short position in gold has arrived. The 60-minute and 70-minute macd indicators have shown signs of turning, and short-term shorting can be done directly.
Gold's strong upward momentum is accelerating.Gold's strong upward momentum is accelerating.
Gold prices have reached new highs, confirming the bullish trend. A market top is difficult to establish until it accelerates to a peak. When the majority turns bearish, a decline becomes more difficult to occur; the true peak often appears after a surge in market sentiment and an accelerated short squeeze.
The market is essentially a game of capital, and a true top won't form until both bulls and bears have been completely eliminated. Previously, a large number of bears gathered around 3700 points. This recent rally has eliminated some of these shorts, while others have turned bullish. As bears gradually shift to bullish positions, the top is approaching. We are currently in the accelerating peak phase.
A typical bull market can be divided into three stages: initial incubation, mid-term strong upward movement, and final accelerated peak. After peaking at 3500 points in April this year, the market experienced four months of consolidation at a high level, representing the initial incubation phase, with the direction still unclear. The mid-term strong upward movement has a clear direction and is the prime range for participation. The final accelerated peak requires extreme caution, as the peak is difficult to accurately predict. Risk management should be strictly controlled and high-price chasing should be avoided.
Historically, each bull market cycle has seen gains of approximately $450. This current cycle, which started at 3311, has already risen approximately 450 points and is nearing its end. Avoid blindly chasing long positions and be wary of a pullback after a peak. Historical retracements typically exceed 200 points.
Today's morning market trends mirror those of last Friday and Monday: strong gains in the US market, followed by a high close in the early morning, represent a strong pattern. A long position could be seen between 7 and 8 am, as gold has already reached 3760. Opportunistically, one can wait for a pullback to 3760 before positioning for a second uptrend, or remain on the sidelines and consider a short position once a clear peak is reached.
The market is currently in an accelerating peaking phase, with limited room above 3760. Caution is advised, with careful risk management.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – GOLD ANALYSIS (23/09/2025 – Evening UpdGold is trading around 3,775–3,776, consolidating just below intraday resistance after hitting a session high of 3,791. Momentum is still bullish on higher timeframes, but intraday signals show indecision as price rotates between support and resistance zones.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily (D1):
• Trend remains bullish, holding well above the 21 EMA (3,722) and 50 EMA (3,652).
• Structure: Higher highs and higher lows intact.
• Resistance: 3,786–3,791 zone is key supply.
• Support: 3,752–3,745 intraday demand zone.
1H Chart:
• Price is consolidating under 3,786 resistance.
• EMA cluster at 3,768–3,760 acting as immediate support.
• MACD: Bullish histogram fading – showing slowing momentum.
• RSI hovering ~60, neutral but not overbought.
15M Chart:
• Price is ranging between 3,779–3,770.
• Support at 3,770–3,767 holding so far.
• Repeated rejection at 3,779–3,782 signals short-term supply.
• Structure: Sideways, waiting for breakout.
5M Chart:
• Price action chopping between 3,782 resistance and 3,770–3,767 support.
• MACD flatlining, RSI neutral – confirming range conditions.
⸻
🟡 Fibonacci Golden Zone
Using the latest swing low (3,741) to high (3,791):
• 38.2% Fib = 3,772
• 50% Fib = 3,766
• 61.8% Fib = 3,760
➡️ The golden zone is 3,772–3,760, a high-probability demand zone for bullish continuation if retested.
⸻
⚖ High-Probability Entries
Buy Setup (preferred while above 3,760):
• Entry: 3,772–3,760 (Fib zone)
• SL: 3,754 (≈60 pips from 3,760)
• TP: 3,782 → 3,791 → 3,800
Sell Setup (only if rejection holds at resistance):
• Entry: 3,786–3,791 rejection
• SL: 3,797 (≈60 pips from 3,791)
• TP: 3,772 → 3,766 → 3,760
⸻
⚡ Scalping Opportunities (M5 & M15 focus, ≤60 pips SL)
• Buy scalp: 3,767–3,760 → TP 3,775–3,780 (SL 3,754)
• Sell scalp: 3,786–3,791 → TP 3,775–3,770 (SL 3,797)
⸻
📅 Key Breakout Levels
• Bullish continuation: Break & hold above 3,791 → unlocks 3,800–3,808.
• Bearish retracement: Break & hold below 3,760 → exposes 3,752 → 3,741.
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold is consolidating below 3,791 resistance, with the Fib golden zone (3,772–3,760) acting as intraday demand. Bias remains bullish while above 3,760, but sellers may defend 3,786–3,791. Scalpers can trade between the Fib zone and resistance until a breakout defines the next leg.
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 Team
Gold need restThis chart shows a short trade setup on Gold (30m timeframe).
📌 Reasoning behind the analysis:
The price recently made a strong upward push but is now facing resistance around $3,756 – $3,760.
The setup suggests a potential rejection at this resistance zone, expecting price to pull back lower.
Entry is placed near the resistance, with a stop loss above $3,776 (to protect against breakout).
Target is set around $3,735, which aligns with a recent support level.
✅ This setup aims to take advantage of the risk-reward ratio: risking a smaller move upward for the chance of a larger downward move.
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Bullish SMC Analysis – GOLD
1. Resistance Break & Confirmation
Waiting for a clean breakout above the resistance zone to confirm bullish intention.
2. Liquidity Grab (Fake Out)
A fake out is expected after the breakout, designed to trap sellers and sweep liquidity.
3. Rejection Entry
Entry would be ideal at the rejection from the liquidity grab, aligning with institutional order flow.
4. Support Zone & Stop Loss
Stop loss is wisely placed below the support zone, giving the trade structure-based protection.
5. Targeting New Highs (HH)
Once rejection confirms, the momentum should aim toward new highs with the next target at 3,785.
✅ Conclusion: This plan is perfectly aligned with institutional footprints — waiting patiently for confirmation, entering on rejection, and protecting the position with a clean SL under support. Excellent setup for a high R:R trade. GOOD LUCK TRADERS ;)
Silver (XAGUSD) Powerful Bullish Rally in MotionThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for Silver (XAGUSD) indicates a robust impulsive rally that began on July 31. From that low, the metal surged, completing wave 1 at $38.73, followed by a corrective pullback in wave 2 that concluded at $36.94. The upward momentum resumed in wave 3, which peaked at $42.96, as illustrated on the one-hour chart. Subsequently, wave 4 unfolded as a zigzag structure, with wave ((a)) terminating at $42.23 and wave ((b)) reaching $42.636. The decline in wave ((c)) finalized at $41.11, marking the completion of wave 4 in the higher degree.
Silver then turned higher in wave 5, exhibiting an internal structure of five smaller-degree waves. From the wave 4 low, wave (i) advanced to $42.23, followed by a dip in wave (ii) to $41.13. The metal continued its ascent, with wave i concluding at $41.88 and wave ii finding support at $41.18. In the near term, as long as the price remains above $41.11, dips are expected to attract buyers in a 3, 7, or 11-swing sequence, supporting further upward extensions. This analysis suggests that Silver’s bullish trend remains intact, with potential for additional gains as the impulsive structure continues to develop.
September 23rd Gold Trading Strategy:
1. Core Driver: Internal Divergence in Federal Reserve Policy
The market is caught in a tug-of-war between differing views among Federal Reserve officials, which forms the core context for gold's fluctuations:
Risk 1 (Dovish): Board Member Milan advocates for a deeper rate cut to support the economy, and traders are betting on another 50 basis point rate cut this year. This expectation is bullish for gold.
Risk 2 (Hawky): Official Mousallem expressed skepticism about further rate cuts, emphasizing that inflation remains above target and that policy complacency must be avoided. If this view prevails, it will be bearish for gold.
2. Technical Analysis: The bullish trend is solid, exhibiting slow growth characteristics.
Trend Prediction: Strong bullish. The price has hit a new record high after a correction, indicating a continuation of the upward trend.
Current Pattern: After last Friday's large bullish breakout, the market has been trading sideways at a high level, representing a healthy "slow rise" pattern, accumulating momentum for further gains. Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3735-$3750
Support: $3708-$3685
III. Today's Trading Strategy
Primary Strategy: Buy on dips
Entry Zone: $3708-$3700
Target Price: $3730-$3740
Stop-Loss: Below $3690
Secondary Strategy: Short on rallies (cautious with a small position)
Strategy: If the price first touches the strong resistance area above $3745-$3750 and shows clear signs of a pullback, consider a small, short-term short position with a stop-loss at $3755.
Note: This is a counter-trend trade with a high risk. Enter and exit quickly and maintain a strict stop-loss.
IV. Summary and Risk Warning
Overall, gold bulls are in the driver's seat, driven by the dual support of expectations for a Fed rate cut and technical breakthroughs. The primary trading strategy should be to buy on dips in line with the trend.
Gold breaks through. Watch for key support levels.Gold continues to strengthen this week, hitting new all-time highs. So far, it has reached around 3791 and is currently fluctuating at a high level.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands continue to open upward, and gold will continue to run on the upper track of the Bollinger Bands in the short term. After a slight pullback, gold continues to strengthen. There may be periods of short-term volatility and pullbacks. A pullback will focus on the strong support at 3755. A small long position is recommended when the price retreats to this area. The profit range is 3775-3790.
GOLDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Enjoy Trading ;)
Gold Trade plan 15/09/2025(weekly Time Frame)Dear Traders,
📊 Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly Analysis
Gold remains in a mid-term bullish channel and is currently trading around 3740–3750.
The price is approaching the 4.23 Fibonacci level (~3773). This area is the confluence of two Fibonacci levels, making it a key resistance zone 🔑.
🔥 Scenarios:
If gold breaks above this resistance, the next targets could be around 3900–4000. 🚀
However, if selling pressure dominates, a correction towards 3580–3560 is likely before continuing the bullish trend.
📌 Conclusion:
The 3770–3780 zone is the most important weekly resistance for gold, and the market’s reaction here will define the next move.
Regards,
Alireza!
Gold: Will the Rally Continue or Is a Correction Ahead?Hello everyone,
Today gold staged a modest rebound, currently trading at $3,684.97/oz, up $16.63 (+0.45%) from the previous session. This is a notable sign after the metal experienced a prior correction.
The main driver comes from continued safe-haven demand as global economic uncertainty persists. Fair Value Gaps (FVG) formed during the recent rally are also acting as support, while the increase in trading volume highlights strong participation from large investors.
From a technical perspective, if gold holds above the $3,640 support area, the bullish trend is likely to be reinforced, with immediate targets at $3,700 and a further extension towards $3,750. Moreover, the Ichimoku cloud continues to support the upward bias as the price remains above it.
What do you think? Will gold push through $3,700–$3,750, or could it slip back into correction? Share your view below!