Futures market
Gold Weakens as Sellers Regain ControlHello everyone, gold is starting to lose its upward momentum when looking at the 4H chart: the price is hovering around 4,065 USD, right after a firm rejection from the 4,090–4,100 USD region. A series of small-bodied candles with long upper wicks suggests that buyers are slowing down, while sellers are stepping back in and taking control each time price approaches the supply zone above.
Technically, the Ichimoku cloud has flattened and begun tilting downward—a familiar sign of a weak, slightly bearish sideways market. Just overhead, the 4,090–4,100 USD zone aligns with an unfilled red FVG, forming a strong resistance layer that makes it difficult for gold to break higher. On the downside, the nearest support sits at 4,040–4,030 USD, where a green FVG and an old liquidity cluster previously triggered strong reactions.
The external backdrop doesn’t support gold either: the USD is recovering well following stronger-than-expected US economic data, the 10-year Treasury yield is holding around 4.1%, and US–EU equities continue rising thanks to Big Tech. Capital is moving away from safe-haven assets, leaving gold without much momentum to rebound in the short term.
Given all these signals, I lean toward one primary scenario: gold may pull back to retest the 4,040–4,030 USD zone in the coming sessions. If that area breaks cleanly, the next target would be 4,000 USD—a high-liquidity region that has produced strong bounces in the past. On the other hand, as long as 4,090 continues to reject price, gold is likely to remain in a tight 4,050–4,090 range rather than resume an immediate uptrend.
What do you think—will 4,040 hold this time, or will gold need to revisit 4,000 before finding new buying pressure?
*"Here’s today’s gold analysis
Price has finally broken above the consolidation zone between 4080 and 4105, showing strong bullish momentum.
Right now, gold is pulling back to retest the 4104–4106 support area, which also aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.
As long as price holds above this zone, I expect a continuation to the upside, targeting 4129 first, and then the major resistance at 4165.
However, if price breaks below 4079 with a clear candle close, the bullish scenario becomes invalid, and we may see a deeper correction toward 4048 and possibly 3997.
For now, the bullish scenario remains the primary expectation as long as gold stays above support.
Bearish to Bullish BiasGold is currently in a short-term uptrend, having broken out of a consolidation zone and reclaimed the 4,117–4,145 USD support area. Price is now testing a major resistance zone at 4,145–4,151 USD, where sellers previously entered strongly.
Above 4,151 → bullish continuation likely
Below 4,145 → pullback likely before continuation
Momentum remains positive, but the market is hitting an important ceiling where profit-taking or short entries may appear.
Bullish Scenario (Most Probable if 4,151 breaks)
Price pushes above 4,151 USD with a strong candle close.
Next upside targets:
4,180 USD
4,209 USD
4,231 USD (major weekly target)
A gradual grind higher is likely as long as buyers defend dips above 4,117 USD.
Bearish / Pullback Scenario
If price fails at the 4,145–4,151 resistance:
Expect a retrace toward 4,117 USD (first support).
Deeper pullback levels:
4,090 USD
4,055 USD (major demand)
A bearish reversal for the week only happens if 4,055 is decisively broken.
Plan A — Bullish Breakout Trade
Bias: Buy if resistance breaks
Entry:
➡️ Buy above 4,152 USD (1H candle close)
Stop Loss:
➡️ 4,137 USD (below breakout zone)
Take Profits:
TP1: 4,180
TP2: 4,209
TP3: 4,231
Reasoning:
Breakout of a major resistance + continuation of short-term uptrend.
Plan B — Bullish Pullback Trade
Bias: Buy the dip
Entry:
➡️ Buy between 4,118–4,125 USD
Stop Loss:
➡️ 4,102 USD
Take Profits:
TP1: 4,145
TP2: 4,180
TP3: 4,209
Reasoning:
This is the key support flip. If price retests it, buyers likely step in.
Plan C — Countertrend Sell (Only if rejected cleanly)
Bias: Short at resistance only with confirmation
Entry:
➡️ Sell between 4,148–4,151 USD ONLY if bearish candle confirms rejection
Stop Loss:
➡️ 4,160 USD
Take Profits:
TP1: 4,125
TP2: 4,117
Reasoning:
A rejection at major resistance offers a short-term pullback trade.
Gold Bearish Structure Continues – Sell Levels UpdatedGold remains bearish after rejecting from the upper consolidation boundary and continuing its pattern of lower highs and lower lows. Price has now broken below the triangle-consolidation zone and is retesting the lower boundary around 4038-45 which aligns with previous liquidity. As long as price stays below the triangle resistance and fails to reclaim 4080 momentum favors further downside. The next bearish targets lie below the Strong Low zone aiming toward deeper liquidity and Fibonacci extensions.
✅ Bias: Sell below 4080
- Sell Zone: 4045 - 4055 (Retest of broken consolidation + minor supply)
- Stop Loss: 4082 (Above triangle resistance + structure break)
- Take Profit: 4025 - 4008 - 3988
- Invalidate: 4082 (Above triangle resistance + structure break)
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold (XAUUSD) – H1 Market OutlookOn the H1 timeframe, Gold is currently showing consolidation around the 4120 zone, reflecting a pause after recent volatility. This area is acting as a short-term decision point where buyers and sellers are balancing out.
From a structural perspective, the current candles are leaning toward bearish momentum, suggesting that sellers are gradually building pressure. If this momentum continues, the price may revisit key intraday levels such as the 4100 zone as the first area of interest. A sustained move below this region could open the way toward deeper liquidity areas around 4080, and potentially extend into the broader demand zones near 4050–4030, where market participants have previously shown reaction.
For risk management in scenario-based analysis, the 4150 region remains an important invalidation zone, as a clear break above this structure may signal a shift in momentum or trend strength.
This outlook is shared purely for educational and analytical purposes, based on observable chart structure and price behavior. It should not be taken as financial advice or a buy/sell signal. Always confirm direction with your own analysis and risk approach.
How to choose a direction at the end of a triangular formation#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Although gold is still in a volatile market in the short term, its current trend has entered the end of a converging triangle pattern, and the market is getting closer to choosing a direction.
The market has recently been driven primarily by news, and the current geopolitical tensions, coupled with the stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks, may trigger a new wave of risk aversion. Therefore, during the European session, we can consider going long on gold when it retraces to the 4040-4030 range.
XAUUSD is ready for a deeper correctionA Historical Run
For the last 2 months, Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) was an absolute monster. Near vertical move. All pullback shorts were destroyed. The momentum was just intense.
Corrective Structure
As all impulsive moves must, the rally is now exhausted , and we are in a corrective phase. Price is no longer going up, but it is consolidating.
What's Next?
The current wave down appears to be shaping into a bearish AB=CD.
In a classic AB=CD pattern, the length of the CD leg must equal the length of the AB leg.
I will not be looking for any long setups until price reaches $3700~3770 range, and shows signs of reversal.
Until then, my view is still bearish on XAUUSD. I'm expecting a pullback testing the previous resistance ($4150) then continuation to the down side.
Good Luck!
Gold Setup Is TOO CLEAN to Ignore — Bulls in Control!In my view, Gold currently presents one of the cleanest technical structures across the entire market. Ideally, I would like to see a downside manipulation first, followed by a continuation move toward the 4110 area to sweep internal buy-side liquidity. Only after that, a potential retracement toward the 3900 zone becomes reasonable. Any bearish movement that occurs without first taking buy-side liquidity does not align with my plan, and in that case, I will not consider opening any short positions.
Like and follow if you wanna see more analysis like this!
Gold potential scenarioBased on the chart, gold appears to be completing wave B of a flat pattern, which will complete wave X of a larger WXY pattern (WAVE Y).
On Monday, November 24, 2025, a buy trade is favorable if the price closes above 4092, with targets at 4115, 4132, and 4152.
The stop-loss for this trade is an hourly close below 4045.
Nifty futures probable price projectionAs it is clear form the chart that price is rejectiing from all time high supply zone.
Price is following a channel and has taken support and moved up. now the price is at same supportive channel.
case 1: if price is respected at the channel then it moves up side till supplyzone and if continues furuther may move much higher
case 2: if price breaks the channel and sustains may reach lower levels.
XAUUSD | Gold Set to Explode from Triangle Pattern—Act Now!📊 Market Structure
Gold is entering a tight accumulation phase within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern – indicating compression before a strong breakout.
On the downside, the price is still supported by the Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020 USD , which is the main support area for the medium-term uptrend structure.
On the upside, the Resistance Zone 4,103 – 4,110 USD continuously exerts pressure, causing price rejection.
Currently, gold is trading right in the middle of the compression triangle → the market is preparing to choose a direction.
Looking at the wave structure, the trend slightly leans towards a break up to sweep liquidity in the high area.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• ⭐ FVG Supply Zone: 4,128 – 4,150 USD → expected strong reaction area if price breaks up
• 🟣 Resistance Zone: 4,103 – 4,110 USD → decisive area for direction
• 🟪 Demand Zone: 4,007 – 4,020 USD → strong base maintaining structure
• 🟦 Liquidity Clear: 3,980 USD → risk area if price collapses the triangle
🎯 Trading Plan – Two Possible Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY – Wait for Breakout from Triangle (priority scenario)
If the price breaks the resistance zone 4,103 – 4,110 with a strong H1 closing candle:
• Entry: 4,112 – 4,115
• SL: 4,095
• TP1: 4,128
• TP2: 4,145
• TP3: 4,150 (reach FVG)
→ This is a trend-following setup, with a high probability of sweeping liquidity above after the break.
2️⃣ BUY – Retest Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020
If the price continues to follow the triangle pattern and falls to the trendline + demand zone:
• Entry: 4,010 – 4,017
• SL: 3,990
• TP1: 4,103
• TP2: 4,128
• TP3: 4,150
→ This is a very strong confluence area between Demand Zone + Trendline + pattern base.
❌ SELL? When is it valid?
Currently, selling is not prioritized, as the price is still above the Demand Zone and the larger structure still favors an uptrend.
Selling is only valid if the price:
• Breaks strongly below 4,007 USD
→ At this point, the market turns bearish, with a distant target of 3,980 USD.
🧠 Vincent’s View
Gold is under strong compression. When the triangle pattern is broken, the move will be extremely fast and decisive.
The current trend leans towards breaking up and heading straight into the FVG area 4,128 – 4,150 USD.
Just be patient and wait for the confirmation candle — don’t predict, react to the market.
⚡ “Breakout is born from pressure — patience profits.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 24/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
XAU/USD – Price Reaches Key Supply ZoneXAU/USD – Price Reaches Key Supply Zone, Bearish Reaction Expected
Gold on the H1 timeframe has completed a full A–B–C corrective structure, pushing price back into a major supply zone where sellers previously dominated. As price taps this zone again, the candlestick behavior shows hesitation and shrinking momentum — a classic signal of weakening buying pressure before a potential reversal.
This setup aligns with a typical rising correction into supply, often followed by a downside leg if sellers regain control.
Key Technical Zones
Supply (Strong Resistance)
4145 – 4170
The zone where price rejected sharply in the past, now being retested. Market structure suggests sellers may step in again.
First Support
4085 – 4095
A short-term liquidity pocket. A break below this area increases bearish confirmation.
Major Support
4015 – 4030
The deeper target if bearish momentum expands.
Trend Outlook
Price has reached a critical exhaustion point at the top of the pattern.
Rising wedge-like momentum combined with previous sell-offs at the same zone increases bearish probability.
If the rejection holds, gold may start a short-term downtrend targeting lower liquidity zones.
Trade Strategy (Sell Bias)
1. Short Position (Primary Plan)
Entry Zone: 4140 – 4155
Stop Loss: Above 4172
TP1: 4090
TP2: 4035
TP3: 4015 (extended target)
2. Alternative Breakout Plan
If price breaks and holds above 4172 on H1:
Invalidate bearish bias
Wait for new structure before considering longs
Market Notes
Current price action shows exhaustion wicks and compression into resistance.
Ideal confirmation is an H1 bearish engulfing or structure break below 4125–4130.
Avoid FOMO entries midway; only trade at zones where risk is controlled.
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CRUDE OIlDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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shortI’m taking a short-term short position on Gold after the market created a clear Change of Character (CHOCH) on the lower timeframe.
This shift shows early weakness and confirms that price may retrace before continuing its overall bullish trend.
🎯 Target:
The main target for this short is the 1-Hour BOS zone, which is the most logical area for a deeper pullback and where buyers may re-enter the market.
📌 Reasoning:
Higher timeframes remain bullish, so this is a short-term countertrend trade.
Lower timeframe CHOCH confirms momentum shifting temporarily to the downside.
Liquidity above previous highs has been taken, increasing probability of a retracement.
The 1H BOS zone is a strong demand area where price is likely to react.
⚠️ Note:
This is a tactical short, not a long-term reversal. I’ll switch back to longs once price reaches the 1H BOS zone and shows bullish confirmation.
OUTLOOK XAUUSD 4H Analysis (25th November 2025)Hey Guys, This is just a trade idea not a financial advise
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1) Retest the 4h Bullish FVG at the 4114.20 level.
2) Create a 5/15m Bullish CHoCH level with a body candle close(with a FVG).
3) Retest the 5/15m Bullish CHOCH level to capitalise on BUYS towards the 4211.50 level.
SELLS:
1) Body candle close below the 4086.11 level.
2) Retest the failed 4h Bearish FVG at the 4086.11 level.
3) Create a 5/15m Bearish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on SELLS towards the 3998.00 level.
Trade with a plan and not with emotions!!
Gold next move (gold looks fragile)(24-11-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (24-11-2025)
Current price- 4075
"if Price stays below 4095, then next target is 4065, 4050 and 4025 and and above that 4100, 4115 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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