Futures market
XAGUSD – Clean Break of Structure + RSI Divergence Reversal-15M
Price formed bullish RSI divergence at the lows, signaling early reversal strength.
Market shifted from Lower Highs (LH) to Higher Lows (HL), confirming a trend change.
Price reclaimed key EMAs and has now printed a clean Higher High (HH).
A 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG) was filled, adding confluence for bullish continuation.
Momentum remains strong as candles stay above the short-term moving averages
.
Trade Plan
Buy Zone: 51.28 – 51.32
Take-Profit (TP): 51.836
Stop-Loss (SL): 50.806
Why This Setup Makes Sense
Strong bullish structure shift after divergence.
Fresh HH confirms continuation bias.
Clear path to 51.836 liquidity zone.
EMAs aligned for bullish momentum.
Invalidation
Break below 50.806 invalidates the bullish structure and cancels the setup.
Do You Know Bitcoin and Nasdaq Have a 92% Correlation?* Most traders still believe Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 belong to two different worlds — one is “digital currency,” the other is “US tech stocks.”
- But in reality, Bitcoin and Nasdaq have nearly 92% positive correlation (based on past +10 years data).
The current market movements are showing signs of a market crash on the way...........
- See for arounf past 10 years, Bitcoin stayed above the tech index.
- It was the month of Nov only in 2015, when Bitcoin crossed above Nasdaq on the chart
After 10 straight years - Its 2025 & the month of November itself
- And Bitcoin has slipped below Nasdaq, forming its first bearish crossover in a decade.
This is a major shift.
- When a long-term leader loses momentum, it often signals deeper structural weakness — not only for Bitcoin, but for the entire risk-on ecosystem.
- Remember, Nasdaq & Bitcoin has over a 92% correlation
- And US tech industry is brewing a bubble somewhere - where the epicenter lies in the AI sector
A crash in one will sink the other with it
Checkout the chart (Nasdaq Futures & Bitcoin Weekly)
GOLD REBOUNDS AFTER THE 4000 DIP – ARE THE BUYERS COMING BACK?📌 XAUUSD PLAN – 19/11/2025
🖥 1. Key Market Highlights
The Asian session dropped to 4000, but the European and US sessions pushed gold back up to 4075–4080.
US data: Jobless claims increased to 1.9 million, supporting a recovery in gold prices.
🎯 2. Intraday Outlook
Leaning towards a sideways–to–slightly–bullish structure.
Strong selling pressure is still present at higher levels → monitor price reactions closely.
🟢 3. Potential SELL Zones
4080–4090
4105–4115
4150–4160
4205–4215
🔼 4. Potential BUY Zones
4040–4030
4000–3990
3975–3965
🔐 5. Notes
Suggested stop-loss: 10 dollars.
Only trade based on market reactions at key levels; avoid chasing price moves.
I am selling in this leve, May I right?#gold buyl@low sell@highHELP ME, Trading experts
I am using simple support and resistance levels to enter the market
As an experienced traders, you people can help me, may I do the right S&R level in the trading method.
#buy@low #sell@high
Simple trading strategy support & resistance
All trading methods will give only 49% or 51% - #money Management is the key
Your money management only decides your profit
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@low #sell@high
Any trade money management is a tool to help you grow your portfolio.
Simple trading strategy support & resistance
All trading methods will give only 49% or 51% - #moneyManagement is the key
Your money management only decides your profit
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Gold on the Edge: 4H Pullback Before Impact!Gold is still in a bearish 4H structure, and the current upward move is only a pullback, not a reversal.
Price is likely to move up slightly into the 4080–4100 supply zone, then continue downward.
Most Likely Move SELL scenario
1. Retrace to 4080–4100
2. Reject from supply
3. Drop toward 4025 → 3980
Reversal only if:
Price breaks above 4080 and forms a Higher Low.
Bias: Bearish, Expect Down After Pullback
Join our trading community on Telegram: @PVXmarket
GOLD REBOUNDS AFTER 4000 DIP – ARE BUYERS RETURNING?📌 PLAN XAUUSD – 11/19/2025
🖥 1. Main Developments
Asian session dropped to 4000, but European – American sessions surged to 4075–4080.
US data: unemployment claims rose to 1.9 million, supporting gold recovery.
🎯 2. Intraday Trend
Leaning towards sideways – slight increase.
Upper region consistently shows profit-taking pressure → need to closely observe reactions.
🟢 3. Potential SELL Zones
4080–4090
4105–4115
4150–4160
4205–4215
🔼 4. Potential BUY Zones
4040–4030
4000–3990
3975–3965
🔐 5. Note
Suggested SL: 10 points.
Only trade based on price reaction at zones, avoid chasing momentum.
XAUUSD 19th Nov 2025 XAUUSD 19th Nov 2025
Asset Class: XAUUSD (CFD SPOT) | Price: 4,093.5 | Time: 10:00 AM UTC+4
Executive Summary
Bias: Bullish Continuation
Signal: Buy on Dip / Breakout
Confidence: High (Trend Alignment)
Technical Analysis
Trend: Primary trend remains strongly bullish on 4H/Daily. Intraday (1H) shows a Bullish Flag formation consolidating recent gains.
Momentum: RSI (14) at 62.5 indicates sustained bullish momentum without extreme overbought conditions.
Volatility: Price is riding the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting strong buying pressure. VWAP supports the uptrend, currently sitting at 4,085.
Patterns: A Bullish Pennant has formed on the 15m chart, signaling a potential breakout above 4,100. Elliott Wave analysis suggests we are in the early stages of Wave 5 extension.
Key Levels
| Level | Price | Significance |
| :--- | :--- | :--- |
| **R2** | 4,150.0 | Psychological / Fib Extension |
| **R1** | 4,115.0 | Recent High / Flag Top |
| **Pivot**| 4,093.5 | Current Price Action |
| **S1** | 4,080.0 | Flag Bottom / EMA 50 |
| **S2** | 4,055.0 | Key Support / Cloud Top |
Actionable Trade Plan
Strategy: Intraday Trend Following (Breakout/Pullback)
Entry 1 (Aggressive): Buy Breakout > 4,102.0
Entry 2 (Conservative): Buy Dip @ 4,082.0 - 4,085.0
Stop Loss: 4,068.0 (Below S1/Market Structure)
Take Profit 1: 4,125.0
Take Profit 2: 4,148.0
*Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only.*
XAU/USD WILL CONTINUE TO SOAR FOLLOWING RATE CUTS UNCERTAINTYGold prices fell in early Tuesday trading before rebounding from a one-week low, holding just above the key $4,000 support level. The precious metal continues to face headwinds stemming from diminishing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in December. With the reopening of the US government, economic data releases will resume — including the delayed September Non-Farm Payrolls — leaving investors more uncertain and prompting them to price in lower odds of another Fed rate cut before year-end.
Nifty Time & Price Analysis — Intraday OutlookNifty Time & Price Analysis — Intraday Outlook
CMP: 25,980
Target 1: 26,070
Target 2: 26,250
Stop Loss: Below 25,925
Time Window: On or Before 13:40 or 15:15
Strategy: Buy on Dips
📌 Analysis Summary:
In today’s session, Nifty is exhibiting strong time–price confluence, indicating a bullish bias as long as price sustains above the critical level of 25,925. The projected time cycles align with two high-probability windows—13:40 and 15:15—where accelerated momentum is expected.
A dip towards intraday support zones may offer a high-reward long setup, with upside potential toward 26,070 and 26,250 based on price cycles and structural projections.
Saudi–U.S.$1 Trillion Investment Deal Dim Gold’s Safe-Haven GlowGold is trading around 4,094, under pressure from a confluence of macro trends: increasing risk-off sentiment, a strengthening U.S. dollar, and geopolitical or economic developments (including your mentioned U.S.–Saudi deal). These factors are aligning in a way that could drive a further decline toward your target near 4,010.
Key Fundamental Themes:
Dollar Strength Is Working Against Gold
A firmer U.S. dollar is reducing gold’s appeal. As the dollar appreciates, gold becomes more expensive for non-USD holders, which often suppresses demand.
Risk-Off Sentiment Pulling Flows
Despite gold often being seen as a safe-haven, the current risk-off environment is paradoxically pressuring it. Investors are rotating and reducing exposure in riskier—and even non-yielding—assets as they recalibrate liquidity and macro risk.
Geopolitical / Strategic Impact (U.S.–Saudi Deal)
The large-scale deal you referenced between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia may be contributing to stronger dollar flows, strengthening the greenback and weighing on gold. This dynamic can tighten liquidity for gold as capital shifts.
Structural Macro Weakness
The macro backdrop may not be favorable for gold’s classic bull thesis right now. Inflation, interest rate policy, or rate-cut uncertainty could be making gold less attractive versus other hedges.
Limited Near-Term Safe-Haven Bid
With previous support around 4,056 under strain, the path to 4,010 looks increasingly credible if the structural and macro pressures persist. The break of current support could open the way for a deeper slide in the absence of fresh tailwinds.
Bearish Thesis (Toward 4,010)
Given the strengthening dollar, any bounce in gold may be muted or quickly sold into, especially if market participants lean into the U.S. currency’s safe-haven strength.
The deal with Saudi Arabia and associated macro effects might be reinforcing dollar dominance for now, limiting gold’s cushioning as a store of value.
If gold breaks below 4,056, it would validate weakness in its technical/macro structure and likely accelerate toward 4,010, aligning with your target zone.
Continued risk-off sentiment could paradoxically hurt gold if investors prefer more liquid, yield-bearing assets or move into other hedges.
Risks to Your Bearish View
A sudden reversal in dollar strength, perhaps triggered by dovish central bank communication or weaker U.S. data, could relieve pressure on gold.
A geopolitical shock or crisis could reignite safe-haven flows into gold, offsetting bearish flows.
If global central banks continue or accelerate their gold buying, it could provide a structural floor against deeper declines
Gold still in it's year-end range, good scalping opportunitiesThis year's high is in, the same forecast as last year if you watched with me this time last December.
We can expect that the new year candle will target the previous high quickly and swiftly as always, but until then we scalp this year-end wick range using LTF OB/FVGs for minimal pip TPs
XAUUSD POSSIBLE MOVEMENT ( READ IT )Hello traders here is my new XAUUSD idea, share your opinion on this idea
Key Points
Current price 4098
Resistance zone 4110
Target area 1 4060/4050
Target area 2 4010/4000
Stay with us for more updates on XAUUSD and dont forget to share with your friends and family
thank you for supporting and please share your thoughts on this idea
A POSSIBLE TREND CHANGE Sl hit and is the first loss of the week after 3 consecutive wins and as i said it's because of a trend change , buyers preparing to push price up more before the week ends but we might see a range today and a final sell early hours of tomorrow then the buy start by tomorrow afternoon and Friday to end the week.
Next entry lately by afternoon time .
Stop!Loss|Market View: SILVER🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for SILVER ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 50.69205
💰TP: 47.22310
⛔️SL: 52.42652
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Based on yesterday's metal price close, a slight rally in both silver and gold is expected today. Silver is expected to rally to 52 in order to liquidate sellers. The most reliable entry point will be a false breakout at 51.30625, which is expected soon. The downside target is seen at key support today—46.20000—while the medium-term outlook is near 40.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
Gold Forms Inverted Head & Shoulders: Reversal Signal!After a short-term corrective decline, the $4,000 level has triggered strong BUY momentum, creating a clear price rebound at the end of yesterday's session. The increase in buying volume indicates that the BUY side is returning to the market after several sessions of being pushed down.
📊 Prominent Technical Structure
On the 2H chart, gold is completing the Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern – one of the strongest bullish reversal patterns.
• Head: liquidity bottom at 4,00x
• Two shoulders: forming symmetrically with good bounce
• Neckline: area 4,101–4,102, currently a key resistance
Price is likely to:
1️⃣ Slightly adjust to the neckline area or BUY ZONE 4,044–4,046
2️⃣ Retest – Accumulate – Confirm breakout
3️⃣ Break out towards 4,146 → 4,187 when the pattern is complete
🎯 Short-term Expectations
Volatility may increase ahead of upcoming economic data, so the reasonable strategy remains:
✅ Prioritize BUY according to the pattern
• Wait for retest of neckline or area 4,044–4,046
• Observe confirmation force (Volume – Momentum – Rejection)
• Target towards 4,146 → 4,187 if the pattern is activated
⚠️ Note
– The reversal trend is only truly confirmed when the price clearly breaks the 4,101–4,102 area.
– Market sentiment currently leans towards recovery, but clear signals are needed before entering large (long-term HOLD) positions.
S&P 500: At a Technical CrossroadsThe S&P 500 index (the S&P 500 futures contract in this analysis) is currently at a decisive technical inflection point. After several months of sustained progress since the March/April decline, prices are now retesting a key area where several dynamic supports converge: the daily Ichimoku cloud, the 50-day moving average (SMA 50) and, lower down, the 200-day moving average (SMA 200), which meets the former all-time high of 6,150 points. This confluence of indicators makes the current period a true moment of technical truth for the U.S. equity market and the GAFAM stocks.
The first element to monitor is the holding of the Ichimoku cloud on the daily timeframe, which has so far acted as a support zone during consolidations. A clear break below this structure would be significant: it would indicate the loss of medium-term bullish momentum and open the door to a deeper correction, similar to the technical scenario that occurred at the end of last February.
In the event of a breakdown, a pullback toward 6,200 points appears plausible. This corresponds to the area of the former all-time high of the S&P 500 — now a major support — and represents the most coherent technical pivot for a correction lasting several sessions. At this stage, this support has not been broken, so its breach should not be anticipated; only the daily close matters.
The current configuration is also accompanied by weakening momentum indicators: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been declining for several weeks, confirming a classic bearish divergence at the end of a trend.
All this occurs in a context of very high valuations for the S&P 500, with multiples leaving little room for error and making the index more vulnerable to technical adjustments. When fundamentals are stretched, chart levels play a pivotal role: a bearish technical signal can trigger a rapid realignment of prices toward more fundamentally sustainable levels.
For now, buyers remain in control as long as the price stays above the cloud and the SMA 50. But the zone being tested right now potentially represents the last line of defense before a more pronounced correction.
The market is therefore truly at a crossroads: either a valid rebound resumes the bullish trend, or a breakdown opens the way for a return toward 6,200 points, a major level for the underlying long-term uptrend.
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XAUUSD – Buy Signal (H1)📈 XAUUSD – Buy Signal (H1)
Status: Pending Activation
Buy Entry Zone: 4,070 – 4,064 (Demand zone retest)
Stop-Loss: 4,059
Take-Profit Targets:
• TP1: 4,080
• TP2: 4,088
• TP3: 4,100 (extended)
📝 Trade Idea Description
Gold is pulling back into a newly formed demand zone after a strong bullish impulse. Buyers previously showed aggressive momentum from this price area, indicating that liquidity and orders remain below current price.
A bullish rejection candle within the demand zone should confirm continuation toward higher resistance levels.
🧠 Technical Confluence
✔ Bullish market structure intact
✔ Demand zone retest
✔ Higher-lows formation
✔ Volume surge on previous bullish move
⚠️ Risk Management
Gold reacts sharply to fundamentals — consider reducing position size before major US data.
If you’d like, I can also:
🔥 Add chart labels for entry/SL/TP
✨ Turn this into a TradingView publish-ready post with hashtags and title
📌 Give you session bias (London/NY open outlook)
Would you like me to create a visual updated chart with these BUY levels marked?
XAUUSD - REJECTING THE DAILY ORDER BLOCK, BULLISH CONFIRMATION Gold is forming a bullish structure after rejecting the daily Order Block, which is acting as strong support.
🟢 1st Scenario:
Gold may continue pushing up toward 4200 , which is the H4 Order Block acting as resistance.
From this level, price may either reject or break through the area.
🟢 2nd Scenario:
If Gold can break above 4200 and form a clear break-and-retest structure, the trend is likely to continue.
The next important level to watch is 4340 .
Defensive money returns to GOLD as US labor data worsensOANDA:XAUUSD prices maintained a slight decline in the Asian session, trading around $4,075/ounce as the market turned its attention to the Fed meeting minutes. The upside momentum is weakening, but downside pressure remains limited as money flows continue to seek support from the prospect of easing policy.
New data from ADP reinforces the view that the US labor market is losing momentum. The private sector lost an average of 2,500 jobs a week in the four weeks to November 1, as a host of large companies from Amazon to Target announced plans to cut staff. A report from Challenger showed the number of planned layoffs in October was the highest in more than two decades. Jobless claims rose to 1.9 million, and data from the Cleveland Fed showed 39,000 layoff announcements last month.
These signals are emerging just as the market remains concerned about a weakening U.S. economy, even though expectations for rate cuts are not yet firmly established. Still, sentiment has shifted: the FedWatch tool now shows nearly a 50% probability of a rate cut at the Fed’s December meeting, up from below 40% earlier this week. This development has helped gold rebound after three consecutive losing sessions, especially since the precious metal typically benefits in a low-rate environment.
However, gold’s recovery remains relatively fragile. Prices fell more than 3% on Friday and dropped another 1% on Monday as expectations for Fed easing were revised. This has made the market more sensitive to signals from monetary policy and economic data.
The short-term focus is on the minutes of the late-October FOMC meeting and the upcoming nonfarm payrolls report, both to be released this week. Forecasts suggest U.S. job growth may slow to around 55,000 in September—a pace reflecting cooling hiring demand.
Several Fed officials have struck a more dovish tone. Governor Waller described the labor market as “weak” and noted that core inflation is moving closer to the 2% target. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin expects upcoming data to offer more clues on the direction of the economy. These comments, combined with the market’s interpretation of soft labor signals, are creating an environment in which each new data point has the potential to significantly impact gold pricing.
In my view, gold is likely to continue trading within a narrow range as the market awaits clearer confirmation from the Fed while simultaneously assessing the risks of a slowing U.S. economy. Rate-cut expectations remain the key factor supporting gold in the current phase.
Technical analysis and suggestions OANDA:XAUUSD
Recovery Trend and Conditions for a New Uptrend
This morning's developments show that gold prices are trying to recover after a long correction, with a bounce back to the $4,070/ounce area, corresponding to the lower border of the medium-term Ascending Channel.
The price structure has remained within the uptrend channel since August, but the momentum has weakened significantly after the price failed twice before the strong resistance zone of $4,216/ounce (Fib 0.236). The $3,972–$3,990/ounce (Fib 0.382) level continues to act as an important buffer zone, and the fact that the price did not break this zone in the recent decline is a positive signal.
RSI hit the oversold zone and is bouncing up, indicating that selling pressure is weakening and the market is entering a rebalancing phase.
For a new uptrend to form, it is necessary:
Necessary condition: price holds above 3,972 USD/ounce, remaining above the rising trend line of the price channel.
Sufficient condition: close above 4,128 USD/ounce and then confirm above 4,216 USD/ounce, the key resistance zone that determines the return to a strong uptrend.
Only when these two conditions are met, the medium-term uptrend structure will be fully restored.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4116 - 4114⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4120
→Take Profit 1 4108
↨
→Take Profit 2 4102
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4025 - 4027⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4021
→Take Profit 1 4033
↨
→Take Profit 2 4039
XAUUSD – High-Impact Levels to Dominate the Day🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold opens today in a compression phase after a high-volatility session yesterday, where both premium and discount liquidity pools were partially swept. Despite this, the market structure on M30 remains intraday bearish, with price continuously rejecting premium supply while building liquidity below.
Recent Drivers:
USD strengthened modestly following hawkish comments from Fed speakers
Market remains in “wait mode” ahead of upcoming PMI and inflation data
Safe-haven demand is neutral → no strong fundamental bias, giving technicals more influence
Sentiment Outlook:
London session: Liquidity grabs likely on both sides before directional movement
NY session: Expected expansion after liquidity sweep
Bias: Bearish intraday unless discount zones trigger a structure shift
Gold is currently trading in the middle of the intraday range, meaning entries must be placed at premium or deep-discount liquidity zones only.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY)
Market Structure
Current structure: Lower High → Lower Low
M30 equilibrium → 4135–4140
Price hovering under potential inducement levels near 4170–4180
Multiple unmitigated OBs match today’s entries
Liquidity Map
Buy-side liquidity (BSL): above 4176
Mini BSL: above 4147
Sell-side liquidity (SSL): below 4116 and deeper at 3993
Clear liquidity pockets for engineered wicks and traps
Imbalance (FVG)
Bearish FVG at 4176–4178 → optimal sell zone
Small discount imbalance at 4116–4118 → scalp buy reaction zone
Deep imbalance around 3993–3995 → strong liquidity magnet for later sessions
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (With Captivating Explanations)
4178–4176 ▶️ Premium Supply – High Probability Sell Zone
Large premium imbalance + unmitigated bearish OB + BSL inducement above.
This is where institutions typically offload positions before pushing price lower.
4148–4147 ▶️ Scalp Sell Zone – Minor Liquidity Trap
Previous sweep zone with compressed liquidity.
Expect a quick reaction as price hunts micro-BSL then rejects.
4118–4116 ▶️ Discount Buy Zone – Scalping Reaction Point
Mitigation of bullish micro-OB + SSL liquidity resting below.
Perfect for small intraday bounces or CHoCH attempts.
3995–3993 ▶️ Deep Discount Buy Zone – High-Value Liquidity Pool
Major SSL cluster + higher timeframe discount region.
If price drops this low, expect aggressive reactions and potential intraday reversal.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS
✅ SELL SETUP 1 – MAIN PREMIUM SUPPLY
Entry: 4178–4176
Stoploss: 4184
TP1: 4160
TP2: 4148
TP3: 4120
Logic: BSL sweep → imbalance fill → sharp rejection expected in London.
⚠️ SELL SETUP 2 – SCALPING PREMIUM REJECTION
Entry: 4148–4147
Stoploss: 4126 (Adjusted for safety as provided)
TP: 4137 – 4128 – 4120
Logic: Liquidity trap + inducement zone → ideal quick scalp.
✅ BUY SETUP 1 – SCALPING DISCOUNT DEMAND
Entry: 4118–4116
Stoploss: 4110
TP1: 4126
TP2: 4140
Logic: SSL sweep + micro CHoCH potential. Perfect scalp in NY open.
✅ BUY SETUP 2 – DEEP DISCOUNT REVERSAL
Entry: 3995–3993
Stoploss: 3987
TP1: 4010
TP2: 4040
TP3: 4110 (If strong reversal forms)
Logic: High probability liquidity reversal zone. Strong reaction expected.
🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN
Wait for M5/M15 confirmation before executing buys in discount zones
Avoid buying near premium zones; structure favors sell setups first
Expect stop-hunt wicks during London session
New York session likely provides the real expansion move
Avoid trading immediately after high-impact USD news
🏁 CONCLUSION
Gold remains in a bearish intraday structure on M30, with two premium sell zones (4178 and 4148) offering the best risk–reward setups.
Discount buy zones (4116 and 3993) provide high-quality countertrend reactions and potential reversals.
Trade only at extremes. Avoid mid-range noise.






















