Futures market
XAU/USD WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Here’s a professional breakdown of XAU/USD Weekly Chart and possible entry setups:
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1. Market Structure
Gold has broken out of a long consolidation between $3,280 – $3,410 (blue zones).
The breakout was supported by strong bullish candles, signaling institutional accumulation below.
Price is now trending above $3,537 and approaching the $3,700 zone, showing momentum continuation.
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2. Key Demand Zones (Potential Buy Entries)
$3,410 – $3,430 zone (fresh breakout retest)
If price retraces back, this area could act as strong demand (institutional long re-entry).
$3,280 – $3,300 zone
This was a prior consolidation base and remains a secondary demand area if a deeper retracement happens.
$3,020 – $3,050 zone
Stronger long-term institutional demand. Only relevant if a major correction occurs.
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3. Supply / Resistance Zones (Potential Sell or TP Levels)
$3,700 – $3,750 zone → Current resistance area; possible short-term profit-taking.
$3,790 – $3,800 zone → If reached, it may trigger institutional sell orders.
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4. Entry Ideas
Aggressive Long Entry: On minor retracement back to $3,537 – $3,550 zone, targeting $3,700 – $3,750.
Conservative Long Entry: Wait for deeper pullback to $3,410 – $3,430 zone (previous breakout zone) for higher RR setup.
Short-term Sell (Countertrend): If price rejects $3,700 – $3,750, possible scalp down to $3,550. Must be managed carefully since the trend is bullish.
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5. Risk Management
Place stops below $3,400 if entering long from breakout retest.
Partial profit at $3,700, extended targets near $3,790 – $3,800.
Trend bias remains strongly bullish, so longs are favored until structure breaks below $3,280.
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📌 Summary: Trend is bullish. Best entries are buying retracements at $3,537 or $3,410 zones,
targeting $3,700 – $3,790. Shorts only valid as countertrend scalps at strong resistance.
NOTE: it is advisable to wait for a deeper retracement to the flip zone to buy because that area of the flip zone is safer and also the flip zone is where price broke resistance to the upside so from a smart money perspective price needs to retest that structure of resistance and turn it to support
wti 4hTrading Perspectives for the Upcoming Week
In this series of analyses, we have reviewed short-term trading perspectives and outlooks.
As can be seen, in each analysis there is a significant support/resistance zone near the current asset price. The market’s reaction to or break of this level will determine the future price trend up to the next specified levels.
Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to examine key price levels and the market’s potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!
xagusd 4hTrading Perspectives for the Upcoming Week
In this series of analyses, we have reviewed short-term trading perspectives and outlooks.
As can be seen, in each analysis there is a significant support/resistance zone near the current asset price. The market’s reaction to or break of this level will determine the future price trend up to the next specified levels.
Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to examine key price levels and the market’s potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!
xauusd 4hTrading Perspectives for the Upcoming Week
In this series of analyses, we have reviewed short-term trading perspectives and outlooks.
As can be seen, in each analysis there is a significant support/resistance zone near the current asset price. The market’s reaction to or break of this level will determine the future price trend up to the next specified levels.
Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to examine key price levels and the market’s potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!
Platinum fundamental and technical analysis reportPlatinum: Data Overview.
1. Supply–Demand Imbalance
- 2025 mine supply: 7,000,000 oz
- 2025 total demand: 7,900,000 oz
- Annual deficit: 900,000 oz
- Q2 price change: +35 %
2. Price & Ratio
- Spot price: 1,402.00 current USD/oz
- Gold–Platinum ratio: ~2.0× (long-term norm: 1.2×)
3. Technical Analysis
Daily Timeframe
- Support at 1,360 USD
- Resistance at 1,420 USD
- Confirmed triple-bottom pattern
- Scenario 1 target: 1,460 USD (Fibonacci extension)
- Scenario 2 downside risk: 1,360 USD
Four-Hour Timeframe
- Local support at 1,380 USD
- Immediate resistance between 1,390–1,400 USD
- Scenario 1 target zone: 1,440–1,460 USD
- Scenario 2 retest level: 1,380 USD
4. Elliott Wave Projection
- Current count: Wave 3 of 5
- Wave 3 completion target: 1,480 USD
- Wave 4 corrective zone: 1,420–1,440 USD
5. COT & CFTC Positioning (NYMEX Platinum)
- Non-Commercial (speculators):
- Long: 53,057 contracts
- Short: 38,701 contracts
- Net: +14,356 contracts
- Commercial (hedgers/producers):
- Long: 20,511 contracts
- Short: 40,721 contracts
- Net: −20,210 contracts
- Non-Reportable (small traders):
- Long: 84,081 contracts
- Short: 89,935 contracts
- Net: −5,854 contracts
- Total open interest: 94,804 contracts
6. NYMEX On-Warrant Warehouse Inventory
- Platinum inventory: 42,500 oz
- Month-over-month change: −3.2 %
7. Key Watchpoints
- US Federal Reserve policy developments
- Chinese automotive demand and emissions regulations
- PGM lease rates and futures curve dynamics
- ETF flows and physical investment into platinum
XAU/USD UpdateXAU/USD Update
We use advanced data that counts the start of the cycle and all important key levels.
On the low time frame, Gold is showing strength after reclaiming the 3,664 – 3,657 zone, turning it into a support.
Key levels:
3,664 – 3,657 → support zone. Holding above this confirms continuation of the uptrend.
3,684 → current resistance being tested. A breakout above this level would confirm bullish momentum and open the way for a move toward higher targets (3,720+).
As long as price stays above the support, Gold remains bullish in structure.
Risk scenario: If price falls back below 3,657, downside pressure may return, with 3,463 as the next major support.
Cycle support: 3,267 is a critical long-term level. Gold must hold this area to maintain the broader green cycle trend.
📌 Summary
Above 3,664 – 3,657 → bullish continuation confirmed.
Break above 3,684 → opens further upside targets.
Below 3,657 → downside risk increases, watch 3,463 as key support.
3,267 → major cycle support for long-term trend.
MNQ: Sunday, 9/21 Day TradesThree Trade Plans
1. Breakouts
2. Dips
3. Pivots
Each plan has a Very Aggressive, Moderately Aggressive and Least Aggressive version. For purpose of illustration, I will trade this hypothetical 50k account Very Aggressively. I will call out those entries.
Please note, these are all aggressive trades, even the Least Aggressive version.
Please note, while I call this an hypothetical 50k account, these are real trades done with real money in real time with real results. The only thing different is the quantity of shares that I actually trade. I extrapolate the results to reflect the results of a 50k account. Every entry I call out on this Very Aggressive version is +1 contract MNQ.
I chose 50k hoping to make this amount as accessible to as many as possible and at the same time big enough to trade without quickly blowing it up and big enough to earn a return worthy of the time and money put into it.
The first trade I called out fxed 9/12/25 @ 09:09:00 NY time. From then to Friday, 9/19, 17:00:00 NY time, market close, the above defined trading plan placed 209 entries with 205 exits. AROI: $7,379.40 Take/50k x 100 x 365/8 calendar days = 673.37025%. Take = profit from the 205 entries that hit their targets.
I hope you will find this helpful and that you will place these same trades on your demo account. I have no idea if this account will continue to grow or if it will blow up.
In order for this to be a meaningful trading plan I shall set forth some Foundational Principles and I shall flesh out details as they arise.
Foundational Principles
1. Protect King Account
2. Margin is key to protecting the King
3. Context is key to interpreting charts
4. AROI is the gold standard for measuring results
Breakouts
1. The very first Breakout order is placed above where you expect a bounce. For this illustration I started at 24050, just above a Pennant pattern.
2. Use a stop market order +1 MNQ for every entry.
3. Target for each and every order is 19 points.
4. Every 5 points place another order.
Picture this as a ladder. After you reach the fourth rung, you will take some profit every 5 points.
This is what I call the Very Aggressive version.
The Moderately Aggressive version places an entry every 10 points.
The Least Aggressive version places an entry every 20 points. There is no overlap. You will exit at your 19-point target before you place another entry.
I always have Breakout orders stacked up. If the Px moves overnight I catch the action as I sleep.
When the Px pulls back I wait for a new bounce and start the process again.
Of course, when it does pull back, I will have some open trades. I leave them alone. In this historical bull market that we are in, in all likelihood they will hit their targets in due time. If Initial Margin is a problem, I will sell them before 16:45:00 NY time and buy them back @ 18:00:00 at a lower Px if possible. The only time I run into a problem with this is at rollover time. Sometimes I have a loss at rollover time. But careful management minimizes any loss. So far, the advantages of this plan have far outweighed that one disadvantage.
One very important aspect of this plan is that I do not use a stop loss. As alluded above, I very carefully watch margin requirements, and I zealously protect the King - King Account. In this hypothetical 50k account, 50k is King Account. At some time in the future, I shall raise that amount. For example, let's say the account grows to 60k. I will divide the increase by two and add that to the initial amount. 55k will be my new King.
This is a lot of detail to take in. I will leave off here and flesh out the Dips and Pivots later. You will notice I often post AROI UPDATES throughout the day. By nature, I am not a risk taker. I need constant encouragement to keep going. You will also notice I often post CONTEXT UPDATES throughout the day. I try to stay on top of news events that affect the markets. I also carefully watch the price action, support and resistance, individual candles and candlestick formations.
You may occasionally catch me with a math error. I am not a clerk. My syntax is not always correct. I am not an English teacher nor a typist. But I will do my best.
XAGUSD SILVERXAGUSD SILVER
Primary Setup (BUY)
Entry: Buy at 42.90 – 43.10
Stop-Loss: 42.20
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: 43.60
TP2: 44.50
Alternative Setup (If breakout fails)
If price rejects 43.50 and closes back under 42.80 → short-term pullback.
Entry: Sell near 43.40 – 43.50 rejection zone.
Stop-Loss: Above 43.80.
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: 42.60
TP2: 42.00
COPPER (HG) – Institutional Outlook📊 Macro & COT Context
The latest COT report shows a +3% net increase in buying pressure from non-commercials, supporting a structural long bias. Asset managers keep adding longs while shorts remain stable, suggesting accumulation behavior.
📈 Technical Structure
Breakout & acceptance confirmed above prior range.
Current retest of the 75% discount VAL demand zone aligns with institutional footprints.
Demand cluster at $4.50 acts as the key defense line.
🎯 Projected Scenario
Primary Bias (Long): Continuation to higher premium levels if demand holds.
Invalidation: A clean break below the demand zone would invalidate the long setup.
Extension: If institutions keep absorbing supply, price could reach external premium zones.
🛠️ Confirmation & Monitoring
Monitor COT weekly updates for sustained long pressure.
Check reaction at the demand zone for institutional absorption signals.
XAUUSD GOLDXAUUSD
*Primary Setup (Buy)
*
Entry: Buy around 3,675 – 3,685
Stop-Loss: 3,635
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: 3,720
TP2: 3,760
Alternative Setup (if breakout fails)
If price fails to break 3,700 and forms bearish rejection →
Entry: Sell near 3,695 – 3,705
Stop-Loss: Above 3,730.
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,630
Liquidity Sell ModelTrade example from last week.
I wanted to show how the market cycles when it comes to liquidity. Usually price will create a decent high and low during the Asia session (Tokyo and Sydney). Once NY session opens, a sweep either above or below Asia session will occur before the true move occurs.
In this case, price swept above Asia session highs before dropping into SSL.
Copper – Gearing Up for Higher LevelsAs long as Copper continues to hold above the $4.00 handle, the structure favors continuation to the upside. A clean break of $5.00 sets the stage for a strong bullish leg, with medium-term targets around $7.40 and, eventually, the possibility of Copper extending into double digits above $10.
> Key Levels:
Major support: $4.00 – $4.20 zone
Resistance / breakout level: $5.00
TP1: $7.39
TP2: $11.04
Beyond the chart, the future demand outlook for Copper remains extremely strong. With accelerating trends in electrification, renewable energy, EV adoption, and global infrastructure expansion, Copper is set to play a critical role in the next decade. This positions the metal as not just a strong technical play, but also a strategic long-term investment.
TL;DR
Copper is building momentum technically, while future demand drivers add strong tailwinds. Above $5, the path toward $7+ and potentially $10+ becomes increasingly realistic.
XAG USD LONG RESULT Silver price was trading in a falling diverging channel and the FOMC news helped pushed price to the major trendline support and OB from which it got rejected and price validated the Support. Then I waited for a successful retest from which I took the Long setup and it moved just as predicted smashing our TP.
_THE_KLASSIC_TRADER_.💪🔥
XAUUSD: Current Sideway Trend, Breakout Opportunity Ahead?Hello traders, in this analysis, we will examine XAUUSD (gold) in the current context, with a sideway trend that could continue over the next few sessions.
At the moment, the market does not have any significant news impacting it immediately. Gold may continue to move within the range between the support at 3,650 USD and the resistance at 3,700 USD. The stable trading volume indicates a lack of strong momentum. Gold might continue sideway within this range until there is a clear signal from the market.
While the likelihood of a sideway movement in gold is high in the coming days, we must also prepare for a potential breakout if strong signals emerge from macroeconomic events.
Keep a close eye on the developments ahead and always maintain a proper risk management strategy.
USOIL: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 62.657 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NG1!: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NG1! together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 2.920 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 2.958.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NATGAS: Growth & Bullish Forecast
Balance of buyers and sellers on the NATGAS pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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