Futures market
Price has recently broken above the mid-range consolidation zonePrice has recently broken above the mid-range consolidation zone and is now pulling back toward a key demand region. The 4118–4110 area represents a strong intraday buy zone, highlighted by prior accumulation and repeated bullish reactions.
A corrective dip into this zone may offer a buying opportunity, with buyers expected to defend the structure as long as price holds above 4105, which acts as the invalidation level for the setup.
📌 Buy Zone: 4118 – 4110
❌ Stop-Loss: Below 4105
🎯 Targets:
4125 – Retest of minor intraday resistance
4145 – Major resistance area marked on the chart
4230 – Extended target if momentum continues
The bullish pathway drawn on the chart aligns with a continuation structure, suggesting that as long as the pullback remains shallow and volume supports buyers, upside targets remain in play.
Gold pullback on November 19th: Buy on dips!The 1-hour moving average for gold has turned upwards, indicating continued upward momentum. After breaking through and stabilizing above 4100, gold is currently exhibiting a steady upward trend on the 1-hour chart. The 4090 area has formed short-term support, and buying on dips to this level presents a buying opportunity.
Gold: Buy at 4090, stop-loss at 4078, target 4150-4160;
Sell on rally set-upBearish Consolidation
The market is currently in a downtrend, evidenced by the price trading significantly below the Ichimoku Cloud (the green shaded area). The recent price action shows a corrective rally (pullback) after a sharp drop, forming a structure that resembles a Bearish Flag pattern.
Technical Breakdown
1. Price Action & Trend
Lower Low (LL) & Lower High (LH): The chart explicitly marks a LL at 4,078 and a recent LH at roughly 4,261. This sequence is the definition of a downtrend.
Current Move: The price is currently retracing downwards from the "LH" (Lower High). The large red arrow drawn on the chart suggests an anticipation that the impulsive bearish trend is about to resume.
2. Ichimoku Cloud (Kinko Hyo)
Bearish Bias: The price is below the Kumo (Cloud), which acts as a major dynamic resistance.
Signals: The status box in the bottom right confirms this:
Kumo Breakout: Strong (Red/Bearish)
Chikou Span: Strong (Red/Bearish) — The lagging span is below the price.
3. Fibonacci Levels The chart displays Fibonacci retracement and extension levels relative to the recent swing.
Current Struggle: The price is hovering near the 0.5 Fib level (4,170) and 0.382 (4,191). It is failing to hold the gains above these levels, which signals weakness.
Critical Zone: The 0.618 Fib level is at 4,148. If the price breaks below this, the "correction" is considered over, and the downtrend usually accelerates.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance 1 4,218 - 4,261 Immediate overhead resistance (recent LH and 0.236 Fib).
Resistance 2 4,355 The Kijun-Sen (Baseline). A break above this is needed to flip the trend to neutral.
Support 1 4,148 The 0.618 Fib level ("Golden Ratio"). Losing this is very bearish.
Support 2 4,078 The previous Lower Low (LL).
Target 3,965 The 1.618 Fibonacci Extension target (indicated by the blue line at the bottom).
Projected Scenarios
Scenario A: Bearish Continuation (Most Likely)
Price fails to hold the current support at 4,170.
It breaks below 4,148 (0.618 Fib).
Momentum accelerates downward to retest the low at 4,078.
If that floor breaks, the target becomes the 3,965 - 3,987 zone.
Scenario B: Bullish Reversal (Less Likely)
Price must find strong support here and break back above the recent high of 4,261.
It needs to enter the Ichimoku Cloud and close above 4,355 to invalidate the bearish thesis.
Summary
The market attempted to recover but was capped at the resistance zone around 4,261. As long as the price stays below the Ichimoku Cloud and the 4,261 level, the path of least resistance remains down.
Today's bearish target price for gold: $4050Today's bearish target price for gold: $4050
Key resistance level: $4140
Key support level: $4000
As shown in the chart:
Current trading strategy:
Sell: $4110-$4120
Stop loss: $4140
Take profit: $4015
Gold prices are currently mainly consolidating and fluctuating, with the overall structure still in a triangle consolidation pattern.
Many people are confused by this pattern, but once you master the trading rhythm, this pattern is often the easiest to trade.
This is also the easiest pattern to profit from.
Intraday trading strategy: Focus on testing the resistance level in the $4120-$4140 range. Consider this an opportunity to short at higher levels.
Gold RalliesToday, after the Asian session opened, gold did not continue the previous day’s downward trend but oscillated upward overall. This shows that after a short adjustment at the opening, bullish momentum has once again taken the upper hand, with strong market absorption capacity.
The key support level for today is 4025 - 4030, and the strong support remains the 4000 integer mark. A break below this level may trigger panic selling in the market.
For the upper resistance, we focus on 4120. If it breaks through smoothly, we expect it to surge towards the 4150 - 4180 range.
Buy 4080 - 4085
SL 4070
TP 4100 - 4110 - 4120
Sell 4120 - 4125
SL 4135
TP 4090 - 4080 - 4070
XAUUSD - Time to buy gold...XAUUSD was recently in a short term downtrend for a few weeks but has now shown some clear bullish movements ahead. XAUUSD (Gold) has broken out of a downward trend channel that was acting as strong resistance, The price is very likely to head to the next strong resistance level which is marked as the take profit zone (green line). Time to buy!
XAUUSD-Strong Support Holding, Eyes on 4154–4160According to my personal analysis If Price breaks 4097 it can further Fly to my Given Target which Indicate 4154 - 4160 Must verify the major Breakout .
Key points are Given Below -
Resistance Area - 4097
Support Area - 4053
Target points Are Given At 4154 - 4160
XAUUSD is respecting support and testing resistance.
A breakout above this zone can open the way toward 4154–4160.
Patience—waiting for confirmation is key.
XAUUSD-maintains a bullish market structure overallGold maintains a bullish market structure overall; however, price action suggests it has entered a corrective phase within the current trading range. There is a possibility that price could move lower to test nearby support levels before determining its next direction.
On Friday, gold declined by approximately 3% amid a broad market sell-off triggered by hawkish comments from a U.S. Federal Reserve official, which reduced expectations of a potential interest rate cut in December.
If bulls successfully defend key support and a strong rejection or bullish reversal pattern forms, gold could resume its upward momentum. Should this scenario play out, price may rally and target the 4115 – 4160 zone.
Gold prices are facing resistance in the $4135-$4120 range.Gold prices are facing resistance in the $4135-$4120 range.
Trading Strategy: Treat this as a range-bound market.
Intraday Trading: The most cost-effective strategy is to short.
Sell Price: $4110-$4115
Stop Loss: $4136
Take Profit: $4050-$4020
(See Figure 2h)
Gold is currently in a macro triangular oscillation cycle and is expected to consolidate within a specific structure next week.
A new round of significant price volatility is not expected until December.
Gold Technical Analysis and Trading Strategy (November 19th) MaGold Technical Analysis and Trading Strategy (November 19th)
Market Review: Yesterday, the gold market showed a bottoming-out and rebound trend. After testing the support level of 3998, the price stabilized and rebounded. In the evening, it broke through the key resistance level of 4030, officially turning into a bullish pattern. Subsequently, after a second pullback to the 4029 support level, it launched a strong rally, reaching a high of 4082. The daily chart ultimately closed with a small bullish candlestick with a relatively long lower shadow, ending the previous three-day losing streak. This candlestick pattern indicates that after a fierce battle between bulls and bears, the bulls have regained dominance.
Technical Analysis
From a daily chart perspective, although yesterday's positive close alleviated short-term downward pressure, the overall technical pattern still presents some concerns:
The short-term moving average system above still provides significant resistance, and the price has not yet achieved a substantial breakout.
After three consecutive days of negative closes, the rebound of this single positive candle is more likely a technical correction.
The price retraced again in the morning session, indicating that the bullish momentum still needs further confirmation.
Key Levels Analysis:
Support Area: Around 4050 (a support/resistance level), this level will be the watershed between bulls and bears today.
Resistance Area: 4100-4105 (the previous high of the negative candle), this is a significant short-term resistance zone.
Trading Strategy
Operational Approach: Primarily buy on dips, secondarily sell on rallies.
Specific Layout Long Position Strategy: Buy in batches in the 4050-4055 range, with a position size of 20% and a stop loss of 8 points. Target levels are 4080-4100, with a potential further upside to 4110 if the price breaks through.
Short Position Strategy: Sell in batches in the 4100-4105 range, with a position size of 20% and a stop loss of 8 points. Target levels are 4080-4060, with a potential further downside to the 4050 support level if the price breaks below.
Risk Warning: The impact of the Fed meeting minutes should be closely monitored today.
The non-farm payroll data will be released on Thursday and may have a significant impact on the market.
Strictly adhere to position management; the stop loss for each trade should not exceed 8% of the position size.
Specific entry points should be adjusted flexibly based on real-time market movements.
gold await breakout#XAUUSD price awaits breakout above 4120-4122 for bullish continuation which will target 4141-4160.
Buy stop st 4120-4122 on 2 times breakout or M15 to M30 closure above. Target 4141-4160 SL 4106.
Below the 4106 on M30 closure holds price retracement which will drop till 4091-4080 for new buy formation.
RTY Box LevelsI've taken some time to chart the Russell 200, and I have to say the box is looking quite excellent.
Nice and clean levels, makes a fella wanna put a bid in.
I am not used to trading this name(literally traded it the first time on Monday), but it seems like a good time so far.
I'll be on the look out for LBAFs and LAAFs, no directional bias just trading what is seen atm.
If a look below and fail occurs and is sustained at the upper box, then it is objectively a long (especially if we trade lower first w/a failure to go lower), otherwise if we trade through the level w/ continuation or trade higher first and fail, then a LAAF would take us within the middle box's range.
Trading higher first and failing is more bearish than trading lower first.
Trading lower first and failing to go lower is more bullish than trading higher first.
I like to keep these concepts in mind as I wait for the opening and initial balance ranges to form intraday, and from there, I can form an opinion and initiate a trade.
XAGUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 51.11
- Strong overlap support
- 38.2% Fib retracement
- 100% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 50.32
- Swing low support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Take Profit: 52.135
- Overlap resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
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