Gold (XAU/USD) 2H Chart Analysis – Sell Setup from High ProbabilBased on the chart you provided, Gold is currently reacting near a High Probability POI (supply zone) after a corrective bullish move. The structure still shows:
Lower highs and lower lows → Bearish market structure
Price is approaching a supply zone where sellers previously dominated
Liquidity has been taken above internal highs (marked as "$$$"), indicating a liquidity grab
This supports a short position idea from the supply zone.
🔍 Key Technical Levels
Zone / Level Meaning
4,125 – 4,150 USD High Probability POI / Supply (Sell area)
4,080 – 4,100 USD Entry region (price is currently here)
4,040 – 4,025 USD First reaction / partial take zone (50% area)
3,990 – 4,000 USD Main Target (previous demand + equal lows)
🎯 Suggested Target
Primary Target: $4,000
(Exactly aligning with your chart’s marked “TARGET” zone where liquidity sits)
If momentum continues and structure breaks more aggressively:
Extended Target: $3,975 – $3,960
(deeper sweep into demand)
🛑 Risk Management
Detail Level
Stop Loss Above 4,155 USD (beyond POI + liquidity)
R:R Potential Approx. 1:3 to 1:4
📌 Summary
Price has retraced into a key supply zone
Liquidity was taken → seller confirmation likely
Expectation is continuation downward towards the liquidity pool below
📊 Title Recommendation:
“Gold Retests Supply Zone – Bearish Continuation Toward $4,000 Expected”
