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Sept 23, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📌 Summary: Bullish momentum remains intact, but sharp pullbacks are possible. Watch 3740 support — if it breaks, expect a move toward 3728. Break of 3728 could open a stronger downside channel. Core strategy: buy dips into support, avoid shorting unless strong signals confirm. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3780 – Bullish target • 3770 – Bullish target • 3760 – Bullish target • 3750 – Support • 3739 – Key support • 3728 – Support • 3712 – Support • 3700 – Support • 3686–3690 – Support zone • 3673–3675 – Support zone 📈 Intraday Strategy: SELL: If price breaks below 3739 → target 3735, with further downside toward 3728, 3720, 3712 BUY: If price holds above 3750 → target 3755, with further upside toward 3760, 3765, 3770 👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like 👍 would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
Short Arabica Coffee🔍 Setup Price is approaching a well‐defined supply/resistance zone (red area on chart). Historically this zone has acted as overhead resistance. Below, there is a green demand/support zone which should act as target support area. My target on the short is around 7.8% downside from entry, with stop loss placed just above the resistance zone / recent swing high to limit risk. 📊 Fundamental & Sentiment Background (COT & Others) According to the latest COT report (as of 9 Sep 2025), commercial hedgers are significantly net short in Coffee C. tradingster.com However, speculators / non-commercials are heavily net long. This suggests that bullish momentum is still in force. tradingster.com Open interest is rising, showing participation in current levels. This makes the risk of a breakout (to the upside) real, if bulls hold control. ⚠️ Risks to this trade Momentum from speculators could drive price through resistance, triggering stop losses and a strong short squeeze. Any unexpected fundamental shock (weather, export disruption, currency devaluation, etc.) could reduce supply or boost demand, pushing prices higher. If volume doesn’t drop on advance into resistance, the upward move may be stronger than anticipated. ✅ Conditions / Trigger For Entry I will consider entering the short position once: Price touches or re-tests the red supply zone. There's a clear rejection (candlestick reversal pattern + bearish confirmation). Momentum or RSI / MACD divergence is visible. Speculator net longs show signs of plateauing or declining in the COT (next report). 🎯 Targets & Risk/Reward Entry: around current price near supply, or after confirmed rejection. Stop Loss: just above resistance / recent high. Target: green demand/support zone (approx. 7-8% downside). Risk-Reward Estimate: aiming for at least 1.5-2x potential reward vs. risk, ideally better. 🧐 My Edge vs What Could Go Wrong My trading strategy gives me an average short profit of 7.8%, so this is in line with my risk appetite. The probability for a profitable trade for a short position is 75%. However, on average I will lose 12% on a losing short trade. But I’m aware shorting commodities is riskier when there's strong bullish positioning (as is the case with speculators now). I will monitor upcoming COT reports and fundamentals closely — if speculators increase longs again, I might bail earlier or tighten stops. Conclusion: The COT data does not overwhelmingly confirm a short at this moment. It offers partial support via hedger short positions, but speculator long bias remains strong. If price shows a credible technical rejection in the supply zone and sentiment shows cracks, I believe this short has good risk/reward.
ICEUS:KC1!Short
by AlphaTurtle
Silver Wave Analysis – 22 September 2025- Silver reversed from support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 45.00 Silver recently reversed from the support zone between the support level 41.00 and the upper trendline of the recently broken up channel from June (acting as the support after it was broken at the start of September). The upward reversal from this support zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Morning Star – which started the active impulse wave v. Given the clear daily uptrend, Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 45.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave v).
FXPRO:XAGUSDLong
by FxProGlobal
Deviation projections and analysis update 30 minWe saw bullish momentum carry over from the Globex open last night, continuing the strength from last week. In the early hours of the overnight session, there was a manufactured move lower—likely an attempt to run stops or shake out late longs from last week. That move was quickly reversed, and bullish momentum resumed. At this point, we're in price discovery mode. While I had hoped the upper deviation might produce a more meaningful reaction or healthy pullback, that hasn’t materialized so far. As the saying goes: "Just when you think it can’t go any higher—or lower—it usually does."
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Findingfairways
Nq LongChart speaks for itself. Previous resistance flipped into support, trendline is intact, and I expect it to hold in the coming days leading up to the Fed meeting. NB! market could reverse early and push higher before touching the highlighted zone. Best approach is to actively monitor price action today for bullish signals. If you want to play it safe, wait for confirmation in the yellow zone. If you’re more aggressive, the red box is where you start paying close attention. In the coming days: My base case (what i hope for): once rate cut announced → market sells off. Ideally, we get a decent dump that creates a better entry to reposition with size. I’ll reassess and update once we see how it plays out.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by lojjkkjvvv
NIFTY Future WEEKLY Exp. Levels for 23rd Sep 2025..Nifty Spot (Consider for OPTION Trade) / Futures Trade Setup Key Levels for 23 Sep Expiry: • Resistance: Levels Plotted on Chart (Colour: GREEN) • Support: Levels Plotted on Chart. (Colour: RED) Trade Scenarios: Bullish Setup (If sustains above 25,305) • Entry: Above 25,305 with confirmation • Target: 25,345, 25376, 25411, 25436 → 25,459 • Stop Loss: Below 25,249 (by Closing 5 Min candle) • Probability: Medium (requires breakout momentum) Bearish Setup (If breaks below 25,249) • Entry: Below 25,249 with confirmation • Target: 25,200, 25176, 25134 → 25,094 • Stop Loss: Above 25,310 • Probability: Medium-High (given the lower high formation) Range-bound Setup (25,176-25,377) Trade as per Plotted Levels on Chart. # ALL Above Mentioned LEVELS ARE NIFTY FUT. LEVELS Weekly Options Strategy (23 Sep 2025 Expiry) Given the tight range and expiry day dynamics, here are the option strategies: 1. Iron Butterfly (Most Suitable for Expiry) • Sell ATM: 25,200 CE & 25,200 PE • Buy OTM: 25,250 CE & 25,150 PE • Max Profit: Premium received (works best if Nifty expires between 25,170-25,230) • Ideal for: Low volatility, range-bound expiry day 2. Bull Call Spread (If bullish bias) • Buy: 25,200 CE • Sell: 25,250 CE • Cost: Debit spread, limited risk • Breakeven: Around 25,220 3. Bear Put Spread (If bearish bias) • Buy: 25,200 PE • Sell: 25,150 PE • Cost: Debit spread, limited risk • Breakeven: Around 25,180 4. Strangle Selling (High Risk-Reward) • Sell: 25,250 CE + 25,150 PE • Higher risk but good premium if range holds • Only for experienced traders Key Option Levels to Watch: Call Options (CE): • 25,200 CE: ATM - Key battle zone • 25,250 CE: Resistance level • 25,300 CE: Strong resistance Put Options (PE): • 25,200 PE: ATM - Key support • 25,150 PE: First support level • 25,100 PE: Strong support ^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^ L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. 📢 Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's". ## Consider Mentioned Trade SETUP for "Dummy Trade / Paper Trade. ### Do Comment for this Post either helpful or Not.
NSE:NIFTY1!
by DSKF16
Gold Market Analysis and Outlook for Monday, September 22Gold Market Analysis and Outlook for Monday, September 22 Fundamentals Spot gold surged in late European trading on Monday (September 22), reaching a new all-time high of $3,724.05 per ounce and rising nearly $35 intraday. Despite the continued strength of the US dollar following the Federal Reserve's dovish rate cut and a rebound in market risk sentiment, gold prices remained close to their all-time highs, highlighting their inherent resilience. The core drivers of gold's current upward trend include: Expectations of Federal Reserve easing: Following its first rate cut since December last week, the Fed signaled two more rate cuts this year, continuing to suppress real interest rates and benefiting gold, a non-yielding asset. Geopolitical uncertainty: International relations and regional conflicts continue to escalate, strengthening gold's investment value as a traditional safe-haven asset. Technical buying and sentiment: Consecutive price breaks triggered algorithmic buying and trend-following buying. This week, the market is focused on speeches by several FOMC members, including Powell. If their statements reinforce expectations of easing, gold prices could further rise. Technical Analysis Trend Structure: Gold prices briefly retreated to 3685 at the opening of this week before rapidly rising to a new all-time high, indicating continued strength in the bull market. It's crucial to distinguish whether the market is a "unilateral strong uptrend" or a "volatile uptrend." The former suggests a potential upward target of 3750-3780, while the latter warrants attention to the risk of a correction. Key support levels are 3675 and 3650. Key Positions: Support: 3705-3695 (short-term), 3685, and 3675; Resistance: 3740-3750 (near-term target), and 3780. Chart Signals: The daily chart is trading steadily above the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, indicating a relatively strong overall trend. The H4 Bollinger Bands have yet to open significantly, indicating that while the price is strong, it hasn't yet reached extreme overbought territory. We recommend waiting for a pullback to valid support levels to enter long positions and avoid chasing higher highs. Trading Recommendations We recommend maintaining a strategy of primarily buying on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds. Long Strategy: Invest after a pullback to the 3705-3695 area and stabilization, with a stop-loss below 3680 and a target of 3740-3750. Short Strategy: If the market rebounds to the 3740-3750 area and clear signs of stagflation emerge, try a small short position with a stop-loss of $8-10 and a target of 3720-3710. Investors should be wary of the increased risks of high volatility, strictly manage risk, and avoid blindly chasing rising prices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Gold-Pulse
GOLD BULLISH Move capturedin my last post, i told that gold is very bullish due to technical as well as fundamental reasons. Today I took trade 1st, one is very simple on support, added a buy position. 2nd one, i saw price break trendline and also last HL, but it was just liquidity grab/SL hunt move on US open session. Price tried to go down twice but failed, and after 2nd failed attempt, I decided to enter into a long trade, capturing 1:3/ About the level marking - after ATH, there is no significant level to mark, so I have marked out some psychological levels Every 10$ from last all time is 1H resistance Every 20$ from the last all-time high is 4H resistance Every 50$ from the last all-time is the daily resistance. As in this post, you can see how good a level turned out to be on the 1st and 2nd attempts before giving a huge move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BlockchainAndPips