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1970s Silver breakout pattern to 2025A technical analysis chart that overlays the 1970s silver breakout pattern onto the projected price action for 2025. The chart illustrates how the historical parabolic move that silver experienced during the late-1970s bull cycle could repeat in a modern context. By aligning the timeframes and scaling the price structures, the chart highlights a potential breakout setup forming in 2025 that mirrors the earlier pattern. This visual comparison is used to infer a possible target price for 2026 based on the magnitude and trajectory of the 1970s rally, offering a speculative projection grounded in historical market behavior.
COMEX:SI1!Long
by cloudlite
Gold - This is the bullrun top!⚰️Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is slowly reversing now: 🔎Analysis summary: Starting back in the end of 2015, Gold established another major bullish cycle. Ever since the rounding bottom breakout, Gold has been rallying higher and higher. But at this exact moment, Gold retests major resistance and is slowly starting to create a reversal. 📝Levels to watch: $4,000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
36
GOLD Free Signal! Buy! Hello,Traders! GOLD has reacted from the horizontal demand after sweeping sell-side liquidity, suggesting early accumulation. If bullish intent holds, SMC order-flow favors a move toward the next buy-side liquidity above. -------------------- Stop Loss: 4,134$ Take Profit: 4,202$ Entry Level: 4,161$ Time Frame: 3H -------------------- Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TopTradingSignals
1
Will gold continue to rise? Gold Price Trend Trading Strategy Update： Dominant Trend: A short-term bullish structure has been established, with pullback longs as the core strategy, supplemented by short positions at key resistance levels. I. Core Logic Analysis Fundamental Drivers (Bullish for Gold) Dovish Expectations Reignited: Despite the strong U.S. dollar, dovish statements from Fed officials have pushed market expectations for a December rate cut to around 80%. This fundamentally weakens the long-term strength of the dollar and boosts gold. Weak Economic Data: Recent retail sales data (core indicators turned negative) and ADP employment signals collectively outline a picture of economic slowdown and a fragile labor market. This challenges the "consumption-driven growth" narrative and may force the Fed to pivot toward easing earlier. Signs of Easing Inflation: PPI sub-data indicates stabilizing inflation in the service sector. If subsequent PCE data confirms this trend, it will pave the way for the Fed to start an easing cycle. Risk Alert: Key delayed data due to the government shutdown (retail sales, initial jobless claims, PPI) will be released this week. Any data showing economic cooling could further reinforce rate cut expectations and drive gold prices higher. Technical Support (Bullish Structure) Daily Chart: Monday’s strong bullish candle confirmed the upward trend, with prices firmly holding above the key psychological level of $4,100. The next key resistance is the previous trendline around $4,185. 4-Hour Chart: Shows a bullish trend with "higher highs and higher lows." Currently facing resistance near $4,155 (the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level), but supported strongly by $4,110 (support-resistance conversion level) and $4,100 (integer level and bull-bear dividing line). The MACD indicator shows signs of renewed upward divergence. 1-Hour Chart: The moving average system is in a bullish alignment. Any pullback to the $4,100–4,110 support zone during the day is considered an opportunity to go long. II. Key Levels Resistance Levels: Primary Resistance: $4,155–4,160 (key 4-hour level, Tuesday’s high) Strong Resistance: $4,170–4,185 (daily trendline resistance, breakthrough targets $4,200) Support Levels: Primary Support: $4,110 (support-resistance conversion, intraday bull-bear dividing line) Strong Support: $4,100 (ideal long entry zone, final defensive line) III. Specific Trading Strategies Long Strategy (Dominant) Entry Timing: Ideal: When gold pulls back to the $4,100–4,110 range and shows stabilization signals (e.g., bullish hourly candle, KDJ golden cross), enter long positions in batches. Aggressive: If prices hold firmly above $4,110 during the Asian/European session, consider light long positions. Targets: First Target: $4,150–4,155 (partial profit-taking) Second Target: $4,170–4,180 Ultimate Target: $4,200 (if $4,185 is breached) Stop Loss: Below $4,090 (a break below this level would invalidate the short-term bullish structure). Short Strategy (Supplementary, Counter-Trend) Entry Timing: When gold first rallies to the $4,160–4,170 zone and shows clear bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., evening star, bearish engulfing), consider light short positions. Targets: Short-term target: $4,120–4,110 Stop Loss: Above $4,185 (a break above this level signals a continuation of the uptrend, and short positions should be closed decisively). IV. Risk Control and Position Management Key Levels to Watch: If prices fall below $4,100 during the European session, pause all long plans and observe the strength of the $4,090 support before deciding. If prices surge directly above $4,155 during the Asian session, avoid chasing longs and patiently wait for a pullback or bearish signals at resistance levels. Event Response: Closely monitor U.S. economic data releases this week, especially any data indicating weak consumption or a cooling labor market, as these could catalyze another round of gold price gains. Position Management: Keep single-trade risk within 2% of total capital. Use batch entry methods at support/resistance levels to smooth costs and control risks. V. Summary The intraday strategy is dominated by "pullback longs." The core idea is to rely on the $4,100–4,110 support zone to find opportunities for long positions, targeting $4,150–4,180. If gold reaches the $4,160–4,170 strong resistance zone for the first time and shows signs of stagnation, light short positions can be considered as a supplementary strategy. Traders must remain flexible, strictly control risks, anchor decisions to data, and follow the trend.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by The_Golden_Perspective
Oil AnalysisFor over a month, oil has been hovering right around the channel’s midline, leaving the market indecisive. We have two scenarios for this situation. Since this analysis is on the daily timeframe, it could take several weeks for either scenario to play out—or it could happen overnight. To get a clearer picture of oil’s next move, we’re focusing on the daily chart: Scenario 1 – Breakout to the upside (our preferred scenario) If the price breaks above the channel’s top and confirms it, we can follow the move up to around $68 according to the classic channel pattern target. This scenario is our priority because it offers a larger target and higher profit potential. Scenario 2 – Move toward the bottom of the channel If the price moves downward, we can follow it to the channel’s bottom, but naturally, the target is smaller. Why do we prefer a long position in a downtrend? The reasoning is entirely fundamental: Instability in the Middle East increases geopolitical risks, which usually drives speculative demand for oil. For this reason, the upside breakout scenario is considered worth taking, even if the overall structure remains bearish.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by PouyanFa
WTI Crude Holds at Its Lowest Levels of the YearWTI crude oil continues to show a steady bearish bias below the 60-dollar area in the short term. For now, selling pressure has remained firm, while recent comments regarding the military conflict between Ukraine and Russia point to an increase in reinforcements aimed at achieving a possible ceasefire. Such a scenario could reduce the economic sanctions currently imposed on Russia and, over time, become an important factor that drives a stronger-than-expected recovery in global crude production. This backdrop has kept confidence in the price of the barrel limited, reinforcing a persistent bearish tone that could continue if an official ceasefire is eventually reached. Medium-Term Trend Remains Firm: During the second half of the year, the prevailing bearish movements in WTI have maintained a perspective aligned with a solid medium-term downward trendline. So far, no meaningful buying corrections have appeared that could threaten this bearish structure in recent weeks, making it likely that this formation will continue to dominate most price movements in the medium term—especially if the market continues to trade below the 50-period simple moving average. Neutrality Begins to Emerge in Indicators: At the moment, both the RSI line and the MACD histogram remain oscillating within the neutral range of their respective indicators. This suggests that, in the short term, both the average selling and buying impulses and the directional strength of the moving averages remain in a neutral and indecisive zone, which can partly be explained by the price interacting with important support areas. What matters here is that as long as both indicators maintain this neutral stance, they could open the door for potential bullish corrections to develop in the coming sessions. Key Levels to Watch: 60 dollars: This is the main resistance on the chart, aligned with the current downward trendline, the barrier marked by the 50-period moving average, and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Buying moves that manage to break above this area could trigger a break of the bearish trend, potentially activating a more constructive bullish tone. 58 dollars: This level corresponds to the most recent zone of indecision and could become the reference area to monitor if bullish corrections begin to form within current price movements. 57 dollars: This marks the lowest level of the year and stands as the most relevant bearish barrier at the moment. Selling moves that break below this level could open the door to a more aggressive bearish bias, extending the current downward trend even further. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT - Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREX.com
Gold Breakout watch Gold is still respecting this ascending structure, and price is squeezing tighter inside the triangle. If we get a clean breakout above the trendline + retest, there’s a strong chance we could see momentum push toward the $4,250–$4,300 zone. I’m watching for: ✔️ Break above trend ✔️ Retest holding as support ✔️ Strong bullish candle confirmation If that plays out, gold may be setting up for another leg up. Staying patient and letting price show its hand. 🟡🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by j0niiiperd0m0
XAUUSD 2H – Breakout + Retest Play | Liquidity Target ModelFOREXCOM:XAUUSD Gold is currently testing a major descending trendline that has acted as rejection multiple times. A confirmed break and hold above 4,175 would signal bullish continuation toward upper liquidity. If price rejects, deeper retracement into the 4,093–4,050 BEST ENTRY DEMAND ZONE remains valid for continuation. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case (Primary Setup) Confirm breakout and hold above 4,175 → 🎯 Target 1: 4,230 → 🎯 Target 2: 4,288–4,300 liquidity target 📌 Alternative Buy: If no breakout → wait for discount entry at 4,093–4,050 demand box. ❌ Invalidation: Break and close below 4,025 removes bullish structure. Current Levels to Watch Support: 4,093–4,050 / 4,025 Resistance: 4,175 / 4,230 / 4,288–4,300 ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
SPY: The Final Capitulation Before the Blow OffThe S&P 500 has experienced notably choppy price action over the past 60 days following the Federal Reserve’s rate cut. Many large-cap stocks most notably Nvidia, which saw a substantial rally have provided attractive profit-taking opportunities. Since then, the broader market has been trading sideways and, more specifically, within a local downtrend over the last 30 days. From an Elliott Wave perspective, this pullback may be unfolding as a complex WXY corrective structure. A WXY pattern is essentially a series of connected ABC corrections each consisting of a three-wave “measured moves" that collectively form a more drawn-out and often more intricate consolidation phase. These moves can be mathematically projected using fibonacci. The purpose of such a correction is typically to cool off the market after an extended rally. This cooling phase can manifest as a meaningful price decline, a time-based consolidation, or a combination of both. Ultimately, it allows market sentiment to reset and establishes a balanced range from which a stronger, more sustainable breakout can occur. The main point of uncertainty lies in whether the W wave has been correctly identified. The subsequent X wave appears to form an expanding flat structure composed of three waves, ending with an impulsive move that taps the 1.618 extension—aligning well with typical Fibonacci market mathematics. If a final Y-wave leg lower is still ahead, we have a clearly defined 1% invalidation level. Below that, a deeper sweep of the previous low becomes possible, allowing us to draw a trend-based Fibonacci extension from the W and X pivots to project a potential termination point for wave Y. I’ll be closely monitoring this lower region, as it could present an excellent buying opportunity—one that could position the market for significantly higher upside targets and, at minimum, a retest or sweep of the current all-time highs.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by afurs1
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | November 26–27✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold pulled back noticeably after forming a short-term high at 4173, indicating strong selling pressure above. The price has repeatedly failed to hold above 4170, confirming the effectiveness of the upper resistance. The price is currently trading above MA5 and MA10, but short-term bullish momentum is weakening. The Bollinger Bands are slightly narrowing, showing that the market has entered a high-level consolidation range. Overall, gold remains in a high-level sideways structure, with limited bullish continuation and a tendency for pullbacks after pushing higher. ✅ From the 1-hour chart, gold rebounded quickly after gaining support at 4136, but once again showed a long upper shadow after testing 4173, indicating rejection. Although MA5 and MA10 remain upward-sloping, the candlesticks are repeatedly being pushed down, suggesting a short-term choppy structure. The Bollinger upper band is suppressing the price, and multiple attempts to break through have failed. The 1-hour chart shows a weak upward attempt followed by consolidation, and price action above 4170 shows a lack of willingness from buyers to chase higher levels—short-term momentum remains weak. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4170–4175 / 4182–4190 🟢 Support Levels: 4136–4140 / 4109–4115 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔰 1. Short on Rebounds (Main Strategy) 📍 Sell lightly in the 4170–4175 zone 🎯 Targets: 4156 / 4145 / 4136 ⛔ Stop-loss: Above 4182 Reason: H4 and H1 both show repeated failure to break higher Long upper shadows indicate strong selling pressure This zone is the top of the high-level consolidation range 🔰 2. Buy on Pullbacks (Secondary Strategy) 📍 Consider long positions near 4136–4140 🎯 Targets: 4160 / 4170 ⛔ Stop-loss: Below 4128 Reason: 4136 is today’s key support and the previous rebound point Short-term moving averages provide support below As long as 4136 holds, price remains in a buy-the-dip zone within the consolidation structure 📌 Summary Gold remains in a high-level consolidation structure: Strong resistance at 4170–4175 → easy to pull back after testing Solid support at 4136–4140 → buyers tend to step in on dips 📌 Short-term rhythm: Sell high, buy low — trade within the 4136–4175 range.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro