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XAUUSD Weekly Market Outlook 17-21 NOVDear traders, This week in the gold market brought a blend of controlled volatility, structural clarity, and liquidity-driven movement. Below is your institutional-style recap summarizing everything that shaped XAUUSD — and the key factors to monitor moving forward. ⸻ 📌 Weekly Summary Gold spent the week rotating between a well-protected daily demand zone at $4,032–$3,952 and a strong intraday supply zone at $4,088–$4,110. Despite multiple sharp intraday moves, the broader market held its bullish structure, consolidating after October’s exceptional rally. This tightening price action indicates accumulation and prepares the market for a significant expansion. ⸻ 📈 Technical Highlights 🔹 Daily Chart (D1) • Strong defense of the $4,032–$3,952 demand region. • Price remained above major trend EMAs. • Sellers continued protecting $4,088–$4,132. • RSI neutral, showing no confirmed trend reversal. 🔹 H4 / H1 • Clean descending channel respected throughout the week. • Multiple London sweeps below $4,022–$4,033. • Supply at $4,078–$4,090 consistently rejected price. • Friday’s end-of-week power move hinted at bullish intent but still lacked confirmation. 🔹 15M–5M • Ideal conditions for scalpers: CHoCH ➝ BOS sequences repeated across sessions. • Buy-side and sell-side liquidity taken repeatedly: • BSL: $4,067 / $4,079 • SSL: $4,033 / $4,025 • MACD + momentum divergence signaled exhaustion before every reversal. ⸻ 💧 Liquidity Overview A liquidity-driven week with textbook sweeps around session opens. Buy-Side Taken: $4,067 → $4,079 → partial sweep $4,088 Sell-Side Taken: $4,033 → $4,025 → multiple weak lows cleared The market continues accumulating orders before the next major move. ⸻ 🌍 Macro Drivers • DXY remained neutral; no strong directional catalyst. • Yields softened slightly, easing downward pressure on gold. • Market anticipates next week’s FOMC minutes, which may be the spark for a breakout. Expect continued positioning until then. ⸻ 🔭 Next Week’s Outlook Gold is winding up for a breakout. The next clean H1 move will likely set the tone for the coming weeks. Bullish Breakout Requires: H1 close above $4,090 🎯 Targets: $4,107 → $4,132 → $4,160 Bearish Break Requires: Break below $4,048 🎯 Targets: $4,033 → $4,000 → $3,952 Until breakout: expect range, liquidity grabs, and fakeouts. ⸻ 📣 Weekly Performance Highlights 🪙 BTC/USD WEEKEND BONUS ✅ SELL +600 PIPS ✅ BUY +1,100 PIPS 🔥 Additional +1,700 PIPS added to the weekend. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📊 WEEKLY RECAP 🏅 GOLD NET PIPS: +5,220 💰 TOTAL WEEKLY PROFIT: +5,220 PIPS 📌 49 Signals → 45 Wins | 4 SL 🎯 Win Rate: 92% These results speak for themselves — consistency, precision, and high-probability execution week after week.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
#202547 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-miniGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Neutral. Same reasoning as dax. Here we have a proper bear channel and we are still very low in it. Selling down here is bad because you would be hoping for a break below the lower bear trend line and that’s just not likely. Much more likely is another big bounce for 24600/25000. current market cycle: bear trend but most likely it’s a trading range 23000 - 26400 key levels for next week: 23800 - 25000 bull case: Bulls are just favored to buy it close to the lower bear trend line. We touched 25200+ last week and there is no reason we can not melt for 25k again from 24300. Reality is, bulls who bought sell spikes made money. The only bulls who lost money are the ones who bought above 25800 and if they scaled in lower, they got out break-even or better. So until we leave behind big bear gaps, this market is not going meaningfully lower. Invalidation is below 23800 bear case: Below 23800 bears mean business and there is no more support until 23300ish. That’s the bears dream but how likely is it after 6 consecutive bull months? Not very likely. Bears know it. The channel looks pretty amazing and selling down here is a low probability trade. Sure we can get a bear surprise but I would not put my money on it. Above 24606 more bears could cover and wait for 25000+ before shorting again. If bears keep this below 25100 next week, it would surprise me we can expect more downside. Maybe not this year but definitely early Q1 2026. Invalidation is above 24606 short term: Neutral but more interested in longs close to the lower bear trend line than shorts. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-23: 24150 was my latest more realistic bear target for this year and we got 23904. I doubt we can get as low as 23300. At least not with the given environment right now.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
Gold Daily Outlook – Key HTF Levels to WatchGold is trading within a clearly defined higher-timeframe structure, reacting between three major zones marked on the chart. Each level represents an important part of the current market narrative. 🔴 4250 – Higher Timeframe Supply Zone This zone has repeatedly acted as a major supply area. Price has shown multiple rejections from here, indicating strong sell-side pressure at this level. Whenever gold enters 4250, the market tends to slow down, consolidate, or reject, making it a crucial HTF reference point. 🟡 4100–4101 – Key Mid-Range Decision Level This is the main pivot level in the current structure. You noted correctly that “4101 crossed = bullish, below 4101 = bearish.” This level acts as the midpoint of the broader range, where price often rebalances or shifts short-term direction. It’s a clean boundary for identifying momentum change within the dealing range. 🟢 3968–3970 – Major HTF Support / Liquidity Zone This zone is one of the most important areas on the chart. Your observation — “3968/3970 break = further downside” — aligns well with the HTF narrative. This region contains: resting liquidity ]previous reaction points structural support inside the larger range A clean break below would typically signal deeper rotation within the higher-timeframe structure. 📌 Breakout Condition All breakouts will only be considered valid after a closed candle on the 30-minute timeframe. This helps filter fake moves, reduces noise, and confirms cleaner structure shifts. 📌 Market Overview Gold is rotating between 4250 (supply), 4100 (mid-range), and 3970 (demand). How price behaves at these zones — especially with confirmation from closed 30-minute candles — will guide the next narrative within the HTF range. Notice: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
FX:XAUUSD
by Vedafi
1
Gold (XAU/USD) Targeting FVG After Liquidity Sweep and Support ?Market Structure Price recently swept liquidity below the marked support area (the swing low on the 21st–22nd). This was followed by a strong reaction upward, signaling possible accumulation and sell-side liquidity sweep (SSL). 2. Consolidation & Middle Range Price is oscillating inside a horizontal range. The dotted line labeled Middle Range marks the mid-point of this consolidation. Reclaiming and holding above this midpoint typically signals bullish intent. 3. Liquidity Above (Buy-Side Liquidity – BSL / $$$) There is a clear cluster of highs on the right side marked “$$$”, representing buy-side liquidity. These highs are prime targets for a bullish move. 4. Fair Value Gap (FVG) A large FVG sits above current price. If price breaks the range, the FVG becomes a high-probability magnet—likely where the next significant reaction will occur. Expected Scenario (as shown in the drawing) Small retracement toward support. Break through middle range. Sweep the liquidity at “$$$.” Push into the higher FVG zone.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
2
24/11/25 Possible 2nd Leg Sideways to Down, Bear Need FT Friday’s candlestick (Nov 21) was a follow-through bear bar closing near its low. In our previous report, we said traders would watch if the bears could create a strong retest of the November low, trading back into the tight trading range, or if the market would trade slightly lower, but close with long tails below bars. The market formed a retest and breakout below the Nov 13 low. The bulls hope the current decline will form a major higher low. They want the market to reverse back into the tight trading range. They must produce strong consecutive bull bars to show they are clearly in control. The bears’ measured-move target, based on the height of the prior trading range, projects toward the 4000–3950 area. The selloff formed a tight bear channel, indicating strong bearish sentiment and persistent selling pressure. They see the recent move (Nov 19) as a pullback. They want it to stall around the 20-day EMA, followed by a second leg sideways to down. The move is now underway. They need to continue creating follow-through selling to reach the measured move targets. Fundamentals • Production: SPPOMA increased by about 10% in the first 20 days. • Refineries: Buying interest remains, though not paying premiums vs spot futures. • Exports: ITS said exports are down 20% in the first 20 days. Overall, the market sold off in a tight bear channel, indicating strong selling momentum. The market remains Always-In-Short. The market has formed a pullback to the 20-day EMA, followed by the start of a possible second leg sideways to down. Today (Monday, Nov 24), traders will watch if the bears can create more follow-through selling. Or will the market trade slightly lower, but close with a long tail below candlesticks, which can indicate some profit-taking activity? Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
XAU/USD ANALYSIS 11/24/20251. Fundamental Analysis: a) Economy: • USD: The USD is stabilizing after a recent period of weakness as markets expect the Fed to maintain lower interest rates in 2025, reducing pressure on gold. • US Stock Market: U.S. equities are seeing slight corrections, reflecting cautious sentiment ahead of this week’s FOMC minutes. When stocks stall, gold often benefits. • FED: Recent weak economic data has increased expectations that the Fed will cut rates earlier in 2025. Any dovish signals from the Fed will support gold prices. • TRUMP Administration: The Trump administration is considering a new economic stimulus package and adjustments to import taxes. Protectionist-leaning policies may cause volatility in the USD, but generally increase safe-haven demand — supporting gold. • Gold ETF (SPDR): SPDR has recently shown mixed buying and selling, indicating capital flows are not yet surging but also no longer experiencing heavy outflows. This is a neutral signal but slightly supportive of price stability. b) Politics: Tensions in the Middle East and concerns about the upcoming EU elections keep defensive capital flows active. These factors help support gold and limit the risk of deep declines. c) Market Sentiment: The market is in a mild risk-off state, with capital shifting toward safe assets, though not strongly yet. This aligns with gold maintaining its base and having the potential to break out if key technical levels are breached. 2. Technical Analysis: • Price is maintaining a long-term uptrend line from early November. • A compression triangle pattern has been broken to the upside — a clear bullish signal. • The 4,064 level is a key retest zone currently being tested. • If this zone holds, upside targets will expand. • RSI on the M30 timeframe is in a balanced zone, not overbought — favorable for further upside movement. Conclusion: The trend leans bullish as long as price does not break below the trendline and the 4,029 zone. RESISTANCE: 4,096 – 4,125 – 4,193 SUPPORT: 4,029 – 4,000 – 3,964 3. Yesterday’s Market (21/11/25): • Gold fluctuated strongly from the 4,029 support area and bounced back along the trendline. • Buyers dominated late in the session, setting up a foundation for today’s recovery. • Volatility has been narrowing, signaling a potential breakout. 4. Strategy for Today (24/11/25): 🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4147 – 4145 SL: 4153 TP1: 4137 TP2: 4129 🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 3964 – 3966 SL: 3960 TP1: 3972 TP2: 3978
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Signals_100pips
“Gold’s not trending — it’s teasingHello traders, stepping into a fresh week with a clear head sets the tone, so here’s a warm dive into what gold is whispering on the weekly chart. Gold opens the week sitting inside a crucial balance pocket on the W1 map. Momentum is easing, candle bodies are shrinking, and the structure is quietly storing energy for a decisive breakout. This outlook stays loyal to pure Weekly flow — no lower-timeframe noise, just the five-day roadmap drawn by W1 structure itself. Macro & News Context The USD steps into a heavy data line-up this week: Retail Sales, GDP, PCE, and Durable Goods. Any one of these can tilt momentum and sculpt the shape of the weekly candle, so stay alert — the macro winds are active. WEEKLY — Neutral-Bullish but Losing Momentum The weekly chart remains bullish in structure but fragile in strength. Upper wicks = hesitation. Buyers control trend, but conviction is fading. Key Weekly Zones 🟥 Supply Above 4170–4270 → Rejection shelf. Repeated sell absorption. 4330–4460 → Major distribution ceiling. 4570–4700 → Extreme premium, exhaustion zone. 🟦 Demand Below 3980–3880 → Primary weekly support keeping HLs alive. 3830–3700 → Mid-range accumulation. 3600–3450 → Deep structural foundation. ⚪ Weekly Balance Point: 4040–4140 This is the pivot of the week. Above → continuation possible. Below → correction opens. Weekly Scenarios Bullish: Hold above 4040–4140 → targets 4170 → 4270 → 4330. Bearish: Lose 4040 → drop toward 3980 → 3880 → 3830. Weekly view: A data-driven coin toss — USD strength will decide the winner. DAILY — Compression Between Supply & Demand Price is trapped between EMA21 and EMA50, RSI rolling over → indecision. Daily Supply 4235–4330 → The final battlefield. Every test = heavy rejection. 4140–4210 → Active distribution. Sellers defend aggressively. Daily Demand 3980–3880 → Key bullish defense. 3720–3580 → Discount base of the October rally. 3450–3300 → Long-term accumulation. Daily Decision Zone: 4055–4115 Stuck here — no direction until a breakout. Daily Scenarios Bullish: D1 close above 4120 → aim for 4210 → 4330. Bearish: Break & close below 3980 → opens 3880 → 3720. Daily view: Market is coiling — the next D1 close decides the week. H4 — Pressure Building Inside a Tight Box H4 is in a compression pocket 4060–4090. H4 Supply 4135–4165 → Nearest premium selling. 4210–4240 → Heavy distribution cap. 4320–4350 → Deep premium reversal zone. H4 Demand 4020–3990 → Nearest support. 3935–3905 → Continuation demand. 3840–3810 → Major accumulation. H4 Scenarios Bullish: Reclaim 4090 → 4135–4165 → 4210–4240. Bearish: Lose 4020 → 3990 → 3935–3905. H4 view: Expect a violent expansion once it escapes the box. H1 — Liquidity Games Underway Bias: Neutral–Bullish, liquidity-driven. 4140 = weak high, perfect sweep candidate. EMAs flat → compression. RSI mid-50s → room on upside if impulse forms. H1 Supply 4170–4185 → Extreme premium reversal. 4118–4135 → Weak high liquidity. 4088–4100 → Breaker supply. H1 Demand 4025–4040 → Key intraday floor. 3988–4005 → Deep H1/H4 confluence. 4055–4065 → Micro accumulation. H1 Pivot: 4075–4085 Above → bullish continuation. Below → bearish intraday flow. Intraday Scenarios Bullish Liquidity Sweep: Reclaim 4085 → aim for: 4110 → 4135/40 → 4170/85. Bearish Retrace: Reject 4135–4140 → drop toward 4075 → 4053 → 4025–4005. 💡 THE REAL TAKEAWAY — MASTER SUMMARY 📌 Gold is coiled inside multi-timeframe compression. All major biases depend on a breakout from 4055–4115 (D1) and 4060–4090 (H4). Upside Bias: Only valid above 4120 (D1) / 4090 (H4) → targets 4135 → 4170 → 4210+. Downside Bias: Confirmed only below 4020 (H4) / 3980 (D1) → targets 3900 → 3830. Intraday Edge: Expect a sweep of 4140 before any decisive move. Most probable play: ↗️ Sweep 4140 → fade or ↘️ Dip into 4050–4020 → reload upward.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FX_Scrubbs
Next week 6E(EURUSD) BearishNext week’s price outlook appears bearish. Market structure shows a clear downtrend following the confirmed break of the previous swing low. Price is expected to retrace into the FVG before continuing lower toward the downside FVG. The FVG is untapped. We have to watch the major support area . if the area broke, price has higher chance to reach the below FVG The FVG below is a high-probability area, as five liquidity lows are positioned directly above it.
CME:6E1!Short
by rapidtradecrl