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Gold at Make-or-Break Level – High-Probability Short Setup LoadiGold is still trading inside a corrective structure after forming a clear lower low and then consolidating. Price has tapped the mid range zone and is now reacting from a short term supply area. As long as gold stays below 4130–4145 the bearish structure remains intact and the downside continuation toward 4025 → 4000 → 3950 remains the primary expectation. A short setup becomes active once price gives rejection or a small BOS from the current supply zone. The trade becomes invalid if gold breaks and closes above 4150 which would shift structure and open the way for a deeper pullback toward 4175–4200. Sell Zone : 4130 - 4145 Invalidation : Break & close above 4150 Targets: 4075 → 4025 → 4000 → 3950 Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
XAU/USD Near Breakdown – Bears Eying Liquidity SweepGold remains under pressure after a stronger-than-expected NFP print reduced near-term Fed rate-cut expectations. The USD stays moderately supported, while weak risk sentiment keeps gold in a cautious, defensive phase. 📊 Technical Snapshot (H1–M30) Price continues to reject the descending trendline and the supply zone 4,054–4,078. Lower highs structure intact → bearish momentum remains dominant. Liquidity pockets sit at 4,013 and especially 3,989, a key downside magnet. Any pullback toward 4,054 is likely just a retest before continuation lower. 🎯 MMF Intraday Plan Primary Bias: SELL – follow the trend Sell 4,054–4,078 SL: 4,090 TP: 4,013 → 3,989 → 3,975 Countertrend BUY (only at deep liquidity): Buy 3,985–3,990 SL: 3,972 TP: 4,013 → 4,054 ⚡️ MMF View As long as price stays below the trendline and lower-high structure, gold remains in distribution. A sweep of the 3,99x liquidity zone is highly likely before any meaningful reversal can form.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD → Waiting for NFP... High importance level!FX:XAUUSD is stagnating ahead of the news. The market is in a phase of uncertainty, with long shadows and short candlestick bodies. The key factor will be the US employment data for September. We have not seen unemployment data for more than seven weeks, which makes this data highly significant. Complete uncertainty. Significant deviations from forecasts could significantly change expectations for Fed rates. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December fell to 33% after the publication of the minutes, in which the regulator expressed concerns about inflation. The market expects 50K jobs to be created in September, compared to 22K in August. The unemployment rate is forecast at 4.3%, with wage growth at 3.7% year-on-year. The further dynamics of gold depend on the NFP data. Weaker indicators may reinforce expectations of Fed policy easing and support price growth, while strong data will put pressure on the metal Resistance levels: 4082 - 4111 Support levels: 4040, 4006 In the current circumstances, having only one scenario means narrowing your view of the situation as much as possible. The market can be aggressive on news. Weak data could lock the price within the current range (trading between graces). However, a breakout of resistance at 4082 - 4111 and a close above this level could trigger growth. Otherwise, a breakdown and consolidation below 4040 could break the current bullish trend and trigger a sell-off to 3930 (especially against the backdrop of the Fed's weak but hawkish stance). Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
13
Will Gold Fall Below 4000? Strategy Update Several important economic data releases were released today. Despite the significant volatility risk, we still executed five trades, including both long and short positions. Based on professional market analysis and accurate market sensitivity, all trades were profitable. Our operations were conducted under the collective witness of everyone; you can check our historical recommendations to verify their accuracy. Gold has repeatedly encountered selling pressure during its rebound, indicating significant selling pressure above. The gradually decreasing rebound highs also suggest that bullish confidence is wavering. As long as gold cannot hold above 4110, the bears have a slight advantage. Therefore, the main trading strategy going forward will remain to sell on rallies. As the rebound highs gradually shift downwards, the short-term resistance zone has also moved down to the 4085-4105 area. The short-term support zone is located in the 4050-4040 range. Only a break above this zone will open up further downside potential. Although gold has rebounded from this area multiple times during the pullback, after repeated tests, the support in this area may be further weakening, and a break above this zone may only be a matter of time. Once the 4050-4040 range is broken, gold prices could accelerate their decline to the 4000 level, or even the 3980 area. Therefore, for short-term trading, we can temporarily consider waiting for gold to rebound to the 4085-4095 range before attempting to short gold in batches. Start with a small initial purchase, and reserve funds for future averaging down. I focus solely on short-term trading and clear market analysis. In short-term trading, there is no market that rises or falls forever, only the right entry point at any given moment. Find the rhythm and follow the trend. This is the essence of trading. If you don't yet have a gold trading plan or strategy and are seeking consistent and stable returns, please contact me. Let's work together to flexibly and steadily pursue greater profits in the ever-changing market!
TVC:GOLDShort
by FIGONRXS
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/21/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025 - PR High: 24166.25 - PR Low: 24018.00 - NZ Spread: 331.0 Key scheduled economic events: 09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - S&P Global Services PMI Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM) - Session Open ATR: 525.13 - Volume: 66K - Open Int: 301K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -8.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 26636 - Mid: 25410 - Short: 24039 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2025
by mv3trader5
Bearish Scenario on NQEyeing a bearish scenario on NQ after retracing it to 0.5 to 0.618 fib levels. Bearish points - Bearish Divergence on daily - Rising wedge broken and retested - Head n shoulder forming Just waiting on breaking 24000 level to take a legendary short. And I beleive it should retrace back to atleast 0.5 fib level which is close to 21430. Let's see.... Currently it seems it is going to pump from here to make a LH and then drop from there since it's oversold on Daily timeframe. Please share your thoughts.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by smwajeeh
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – November 20, 2025 1. Momentum D1: The D1 momentum is turning upward, suggesting the market may see a mild bullish retracement or continue moving sideways within a narrow range. H4: H4 momentum is also preparing to turn upward. This indicates that today we may see a slight bullish push on the H4 chart, or price may continue to move sideways. H1: H1 momentum is preparing to turn upward, meaning we may see a small corrective bounce or continued sideways movement. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1: Price is currently moving sideways with small candle bodies. Combined with rising momentum, this suggests the market may continue forming a short-range corrective bounce. H4: Our main expectation remains a 5-wave structure for wave Y (purple). Currently, price may be: • Entering the early phase of wave 3, or • Still completing wave 2. 👉 A clear confirmation for wave 3 will only come when price breaks below 4001. At that point, we expect price action to turn fast and steep—characteristics of a true wave 3 decline. H1: I have temporarily labeled the current structure as a bearish wave sequence since our primary bias is a developing red wave 3. In this scenario, price may already be in the early part of wave 3. ❗️If price breaks above the green wave 2 high at 4097, this wave count becomes invalid. It would mean the market is still in red wave 2, and I will update the plan if that happens. ________________________________________ 3. Trade Plan Sell Zone: 4093 – 4096 SL: 4016 TP1: 4000 TP2: 3885 TP3: 3746
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD Bearish OutlookPrice continues to slide after repeated rejections from the 4055–4060 resistance zone, confirming it as a strong supply area. We’re now sitting right on top of the key 4040 support, a level that has acted as an intraday pivot multiple times. 📉 If 4040 breaks with momentum, expect: ➡️ 4025 — first liquidity pocket and prior demand ➡️ 4000 — psychological level + historical reaction zone ➡️ 3980 — deeper demand area where buyers previously stepped in ➡️ 3940 — final downside target, a major support base on higher-time-frames A strong close below 4040 could accelerate the move into these levels as liquidity gets swept. 📌 Resistance: 4055–4060 📌 Support: 4040 (critical) 📌 Bearish Targets: 4025 → 4000 → 3980 → 3940 Volatility likely ahead — stay sharp. ⚡📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WarroomXYZ
MARKET REMAINS RANGE-BOUND; WHAT ARE THE OPPORTUNITIES TODAY?1. Market Context Gold continued to trade in a cautious manner yesterday as the market digested the hawkish FOMC minutes. Despite safe-haven buying at the lower levels, the upper resistance zones remained firm, keeping the price within a well-defined range. Buying interest remains strong around 4010–4000. Sellers are consistently defending the 4130–4133 resistance region. The 4080–4085 area acts as a key equilibrium zone — holding leads to sideways movement, while a breakout may trigger a directional move. With no major data releases scheduled, gold is expected to continue its range-bound behaviour throughout the session. 2. BUY Zones 🎯 Primary BUY Levels: 4010 3998 🎯 Extended BUY Range: 4010 – 4015 4035 – 4040 → These support regions have held firmly in recent sessions and are suitable for intraday pullback entries. 3. SELL Zones 🔥 Primary SELL Levels: 4130 – 4133 🔥 Extended SELL Range: 4148 – 4150 → These areas align with strong overhead resistance and have shown reliable reaction points. 4. Key Level to Monitor (Trend Trigger) 📌 4080 – 4085 (Fibo 0.5 – 0.618) A decisive break above 4085 may shift intraday sentiment towards bullishness → BUY setups become favourable. If 4085 holds, the market is likely to sustain its range-bound movement → continue BUY at support and SELL at resistance. 5. Suggested Trading Approach Trading style: SL 10 points – TP 10 points Prefer BUY near strong support; SELL only at established resistance Avoid entering trades in the mid-range (high noise, low conviction) Execute trades only when the price tests pre-defined zones If 4085 breaks with momentum → switch to a trend-following approach ⭐ Quick Summary BUY: 3998 / 4010 / 4010–4015 / 4035–4040 SELL: 4130–4133 / 4148–4150 Key Zone: 4085 — breakthrough → BUY bias Setup: SL 10 points – TP 10 points
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Chum_trades
GOLD – MARKET STILL RANGE-BOUND, WHERE ARE TODAY’S OPPORTUNITIES1. Market Context Gold continued to move cautiously yesterday as the market digested the hawkish FOMC minutes. Safe-haven demand is still present at lower levels, but the upper resistance zones remain strong, keeping gold trapped within a range. Buyers are defending well around 4010–4000. Sellers continue to block any attempt near 4130–4133. The zone 4080–4085 remains the “balance point” — holding → sideways, breaking → trend shift. With no major new data ahead, gold is likely to keep trading within its key zones for today’s session. 2. BUY Zones (Primary Focus) 🎯 Ideal BUY: 4010 3998 🎯 Extended BUY: 4010 – 4015 4035 – 4040 → These are strong support areas used repeatedly in recent sessions, suitable for intraday rebounds. 3. SELL Zones 🔥 Ideal SELL (major resistance): 4130 – 4133 🔥 Extended SELL: 4148 – 4150 → These resistance levels have shown consistent reactions, fitting short-term SELL setups. 4. Key Zone to Watch – Trend Trigger 📌 4080 – 4085 (Fibo 0.5 – 0.618) Clear break above 4085 → prioritize BUY, as gold may shift into an intraday bullish move. If 4085 holds → continue range trading, BUY at support – SELL at resistance. 5. Suggested Trading Strategy Style: SL 10 points – TP 10 points BUY at strong support – SELL at major resistance Avoid mid-range entries (noisy, high stop-out risk) Only enter when price touches the zone If 4085 breaks strongly → follow the trend, avoid counter-trend SELLs ⭐ Quick Summary BUY: 3998 / 4010 / 4010–4015 / 4035–4040 SELL: 4130–4133 / 4148–4150 Key zone: 4085 — break → BUY bias Setup: SL 10 points – TP 10 points
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Chum_trades
Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to the area of the maximum of wave “A”.Colleagues, the past forecast has not been canceled, but I see some changes and therefore feel it is necessary to make a fresh forecast. Apparently, the corrective wave “B” has extended to the area of 57.930. This is quite close to the low of wave “C” at 56.408 and the price should not update it, otherwise there will be a full-fledged break of the structure. In connection with the above, I think that the price is already completing the downward movement and I expect the resumption of the upward movement at least to the area of the maximum of wave “A” - 62.990. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDELong
by Hellena_Trade
7
XAU/USD: Gold's Final Correction Before a Strong Rebound📊 Market Structure – Elliott Wave + SMC Gold has completed impulse wave 1–5 at the peak of 4,207 USD and is entering an Elliott correction phase in the form of ABC . Wave A : bottomed at Demand Zone 4,008 – 4,020 USD Wave B : retraced upwards, creating consecutive Equal Highs and small BoS but has not broken the larger structure Wave C : is forming, may extend down to the Demand Zone if the price loses 4,030 SMC signals reinforce the scenario of a completed correction: A series of Equal Lows → the market still has liquidity below to "sweep" towards the Demand Zone The area BoS – 4,076 is the decisive structure: if not broken upwards, the correction trend continues The area FVG + Resistance 4,152 USD is the target for a major retracement wave after completing wave C => In summary: the market is in the final phase of correction. Once wave C is completed, gold is likely to rebound strongly in the larger trend. 💎 Key Technical Zones 🔹 Demand Zone – Main BUY area 4,008 – 4,020 USD → Strong Demand confluence + Elliott wave C + liquidity below. → High probability of reversal. 🔹 Reaction Zone – Temporary reaction area 4,030 – 4,040 USD → If the price retraces early but hasn't swept the bottom → the correction may still continue. 🔹 Supply & FVG Zones (Strong resistance) 4,152 – 4,207 USD → Main target of the retracement wave after the ABC pattern is completed. 🎯 Trading Plan – Vincent’s Execution Map 1️⃣ BUY Setup – According to Wave C (top priority) Wait for the price to complete wave C at the Demand Zone: Entry: 4,012 – 4,020 SL: below 3,984 TP1: 4,076 TP2: 4,128 TP3: 4,152 TP4: 4,207 → This is the main setup of the day, confluence of both SMC + Elliott. 2️⃣ BUY Aggressive – Early buy according to Break of Structure If the price breaks BoS 4,076 before reaching Demand: Entry: 4,070 – 4,076 SL: 4,040 TP: 4,128 – 4,152 – 4,207 → Setup for those who want to catch the impulsive wave early. 3️⃣ SELL Scalp – Small trend (not the main trade) Only enter when the price retraces to Fibo: Entry: 4,092 – 4,106 SL: 4,116 TP: 4,040 → 4,020 → Short-term scalp, aiming to complete wave C. 🧠 Vincent’s View The overall trend still leans towards Bullish Reversal after correction. As long as the price holds Demand Zone 4,008 – 4,020 , gold can rebound strongly back to the target of 4,152 – 4,207. “Liquidity always shows the way – patience is the real advantage.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 21/11/2025 ✍️ Analyzed by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
gold buy Idea How to Trade It 1️⃣ Wait for a Pullback Let price retrace to the 61.8% or 50% Fibonacci levels. 2️⃣ Drop to the 5m Timeframe On the pullback, look for rejection signs at either the Fib levels or the 200 EMA. 3️⃣ Entry Confirmation Only enter if you see one of the following with strong volume: Bullish engulfing candle Pin bar rejection These signals show buyers stepping in. Trade Invalidation ❌ If price closes below the golden Fib levels with a strong bearish candle, cancel the trade. Alternatively, wait for price to close back above the 200 EMA or the golden Fib levels, then look for the same confirmations again.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FXGOD22
Bias Still Bearish, But Confirmation Below 4050 Is Needed1. What Happened Yesterday Gold continued to trade inside the well-defined 4050–4100 range discussed in the previous analysis. Aside from a few small spikes, price respected the boundaries perfectly, confirming this as the current “decision zone” for the market. 2. Current Market Context My outlook remains bearish, but as mentioned yesterday, nothing meaningful happens until 4050 breaks cleanly. This level is acting as the floor of the range, while 4100 caps every bullish attempt. We are simply waiting for confirmation. 3. Technical Outlook The levels are very straightforward: - Below 4050 → bearish continuation A decisive break opens the path toward 3900, which remains the primary downside target. - Above 4100 → bullish extension A clear breakout and stabilization above 4100 would give scope for a move toward 4200. Until one of these levels goes, expect more range-bound trading. 4. Trading Plan No changes from yesterday: Bias stays bearish, but only with confirmation below 4050. If price breaks above 4100, short-term upside to 4200 becomes the higher-probability scenario. 5. Conclusion Gold is trapped in a tight range, and the next major move will be decided by a clean breakout from 4050 or 4100. For now, patience is key.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Mihai_Iacob
40
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H: SBR and Order Block RetestPrevious Uptrend: Price made a substantial move up, peaking around 4,225 USD. Impulsive Down Move (X): A strong bearish move occurred from the high, indicating a potential change of character (CHoCH) or market reversal. This rapid decline is labeled with X. Support/Resistance Flip (SBR): The price initially broke below a previous Support level (SBR), which now seems to be acting as Resistance in the current consolidation phase. This is a classic Support Broken, now Resistance flip. Swing Low (S): The most recent Swing Low is marked with S, establishing a new range low after the reversal. Consolidation/Correction (CRT-L, CRT-H): The price is now trading within a range defined by CRT-L (Current Range Top/Low) and CRT-H (Current Range High/Low), which is the current low of the corrective structure. Order Block (OB): A crucial area is the Order Block (OB), which typically represents an area where significant institutional selling pressure entered the market, causing the impulsive drop. This area often acts as a key supply zone. Anticipated Move: The curved arrow suggests a likely scenario where the price reaches up to test the Order Block (OB) and the SBR area before potentially continuing the move down towards the range low (CRT-H) or even lower, consistent with the recent shift to a bearish bias. This is an expectation of a correction/pullback into supply followed by a continuation of the trend.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9
1