Get started

Futures market

Gold – Breakout Setup H2 / 25Gold has been following a positive trend throughout July, holding its ground impressively in the face of mixed macro data, especially since the "tariff sell-off" in early April. Despite recent geopolitical and inflation uncertainties or perhaps because of them, XAU/USD, respectively gold spot price, is up around 5% month-to-date – showing that demand for the metal as a store of value and portfolio hedge remains strong. Especially, OTC and direct selling from mines to companies and countries is not priced in, which signals huge upside potential. In the background, central banks continue to accumulate gold, especially in emerging markets such as the so-called BRICS countries, reinforcing long-term support. The Fed’s expected policy shift and the ongoing global de-dollarization narrative both contribute to bullish structural tailwinds for gold in H2 2025 and further. Fundamentally, gold is much more than just a safe haven with over 22,5 trillion in market capitalization (July 25). It plays a growing role in monetary strategy, wealth preservation, and even tech-related demand, especially with AI and clean energy sectors requiring rare metals. With uncertainty lingering and global debt ballooning, gold’s positive macro outlook looks intact. From a technical standpoint, gold is showing clean bullish continuation patterns, with tight consolidations on declining volume – a strong signal of accumulation. On the daily chart, technically speaking, an ascending triangle sends positive signals for an upside breakout. Gold is now well above its 10, 21, and 50-day moving averages, surfing a healthy uptrend. Over the past few sessions, price has been coiling just below key resistance levels (around $3,400, near all-time highs), and volume has dried up significantly– often a setup for the next breakout leg. If price breaks above that zone, we could see a move toward the $3,600–$3,800 and maybe $4,000 in 2026 range, where several analysts place their targets. This implies a potential upside of 5–15% from current levels. Importantly, the RSI remains in a neutral zone, giving further room for continuation without overheating. Gold remains one of the few assets with a clear macro + technical alignment, and it’s attracting both institutional flows and long-term holders. With solid structure, bullish momentum, and supportive fundamentals, Q3 and Q4 could mark the next major leg higher for the metal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GER-Quality-Trades
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (19/11/2025, US SESSION)1. Market Overview Gold enters the US session around $4,115–$4,120, continuing its bullish advance from London after breaking above the H1 descending channel. The current move pushes directly into a major liquidity pocket + intraday resistance zone, increasing the probability of a corrective pullback before any continuation. Overall trend remains bullish above $4,095, but momentum is slowing at resistance. ⸻ 2. Technical Breakdown 🔹 Daily (D1) • Price bounces strongly from the $4,000–$4,030 demand zone. • RSI recovering from mid-50s, suggesting momentum rebuild. • Structure remains bullish as long as price holds above $4,030. • Key daily resistance: $4,119 → $4,145 → $4,181. 🔹 H1 • Price broke the H1 descending trendline and retested it successfully. • Price now facing a dense H1 supply between $4,119–$4,125. • Holding above the 100EMA + 200EMA cluster = bullish strength. • A clean break of $4,125 opens path toward $4,140–$4,156. 🔹 15M–5M • Clear bullish structure with multiple BOS and CHoCH confirmations off $4,078–$4,086. • RSI showing overbought conditions near session highs → pullback likely. • MACD remains bullish but histogram weakening—momentum cooling slightly. ⸻ 3. Fibonacci Analysis Last swing: Low: $4,072 High: $4,119 • 38.2% → $4,108 • 50.0% → $4,096 • 61.8% → $4,088 🎯 Golden Zone: $4,108–$4,088 Best area for a bullish continuation if US session retraces. ⸻ 4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios ✅ BUY Scenario (Main Bias) Buy zone: → $4,108–$4,102 or → Golden Zone: $4,108–$4,088 Targets: 🎯 $4,125 🎯 $4,132 🎯 $4,145 🎯 $4,156 Stop Loss: 🛑 Below $4,095 Confirmation: • 5M–15M bullish CHoCH • Rejection wicks at 4,108 or deeper Golden Zone retest ⸻ ✅ BUY Breakout Setup Trigger: Break & close above $4,125 Retest: $4,119–$4,121 Targets: 🎯 $4,132 🎯 $4,145 🎯 $4,156 Stop Loss: 🛑 Below $4,110 ⸻ ⚠️ SELL Scenario (Countertrend Only) Sell zone: $4,119–$4,125 (major intraday supply + liquidity) Targets: 🎯 $4,112 🎯 $4,108 🎯 $4,096 (Fib 50%) Stop Loss: 🛑 Above $4,132 Confirmation: • 5M/15M bearish engulfing • RSI divergence at highs ⸻ ⚠️ SELL Breakout Setup Trigger: Break below $4,095 Retest: $4,098–$4,100 Targets: 🎯 $4,088 🎯 $4,078 🎯 $4,066 Stop Loss: 🛑 Above $4,102 ⸻ 5. Fundamental Watch • US Session may bring volatility from FOMC Minutes later. • Dollar Index holds steady; a dip could fuel a breakout above $4,125. • If yields rise, expect a pullback back to the Golden Zone. ⸻ 6. Key Technical Levels Resistance: 4,119 / 4,125 / 4,132 / 4,145 / 4,156 Support: 4,108 / 4,102 / 4,096 / 4,088 / 4,078 Golden Zone: 4,108 – 4,088 Break Buy Trigger: > 4,125 Break Sell Trigger: < 4,095 ⸻ 7. Analyst Summary Gold remains bullish above $4,102–$4,108, with continuation likely after a pullback. Best opportunities are buying the retrace into the Golden Zone or a breakout above $4,125. Only a break below $4,095 shifts sentiment bearish for the session. ⸻ 8. Final Bias Summary 🔵 Bullish bias above $4,102 🔴 Bearish only below $4,095 — ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by ELDORADOFX
NY SESSION STRUCTURE UPDATEES continues to hold an inside-day structure, with price contained inside yesterday’s range. This keeps the market in a balancing regime under MSM — compression, not trend. The key level today is the inside-day break. Until price resolves either side of the range, there is no confirmed directional intent. The behaviour is straightforward: – Liquidity is building at both edges – Momentum remains muted – No side is showing initiative – Structure is coiling, not expanding Operator approach: Ignore early movement. The valid move only appears once the inside-day resolves and behaviour confirms expansion. — CORE5DAN Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by CORE5DAN
Brent Crude selling pressure capped at 6535 resistanceThe Brent Crude continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds. Key Level: 6535 This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level. Bearish Scenario (rejection at 6535): A failed test and rejection at 6535 would likely resume the bearish momentum. Downside targets include: 6295 – Initial support 6240 – Intermediate support 6170 – Longer-term support level Bullish Scenario (breakout above 6535): A confirmed breakout and daily close above 6535 would invalidate the bearish setup. In that case, potential upside resistance levels are: 6600 – First resistance 6675 – Further upside target Conclusion Brent Crude remains under bearish pressure, with the 6535 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BRENT
by Trade Nation
WTI Crude capped at 6100 ahead of weekly inventoriesThe WTI Crude continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds. Key Level: 6100 This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level. Bearish Scenario (rejection at 6100): A failed test and rejection at 6100 would likely resume the bearish momentum. Downside targets include: 5835 – Initial support 5768 – Intermediate support 5667 – Longer-term support level Bullish Scenario (breakout above 6100): A confirmed breakout and daily close above 6100 would invalidate the bearish setup. In that case, potential upside resistance levels are: 6150 – First resistance 6220 – Further upside target Conclusion WTI Crude remains under bearish pressure, with the 6100 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:WTI
by Trade Nation
SILVER 4H Cup & Handle — High Probability Long OpportunityHey Traders, #Silver is shaping up for a high-probability long-term bullish move, and the chart is giving us some very clean signals right now. Why I’m Bullish on #SILVER Strong Range Accumulation: Price has been consolidating in a healthy accumulation range — ideal for long-term buyers. 4H Cup & Handle Pattern: A classic bullish continuation pattern is forming beautifully on the 4-hour timeframe. Trendline Respect: #Silver recently touched and respected the ascending trendline, indicating buyers are still in control. No Bearish Signs: Momentum, structure, and volume — all showing strength. No major bearish signals visible. Trade Plan I’m planning 2 Long Entries: Entry #1: At the current market price (CMP) — early position before breakout. Entry #2: On the breakout + retest of the Cup and Handle pattern — confirmation entry. Targets (Short-Term & Mid-Term) I’ll share detailed targets and SL levels in the chart. All trades will be taken with strict risk management to protect capital. Potential for an Explosive Move Cup & Handle breakouts on 4H charts historically produce strong follow-through. If we break above the neckline with volume, #SILVER could be ready for a significant rally. What do you think about the #SILVER setup? Drop your analysis below — agree or disagree? Let’s discuss! If you found this helpful, don’t forget to LIKE, COMMENT, and FOLLOW for more high-probability setups! #SILVER #XAGUSD #Commodities #TradingAnalysis #PriceAction #CupAndHandle #BreakoutTrading #ForexTrader #MetalMarkets #Trendline #LongSetup #4HAnalysis #SwingTrading #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by mudusir
An upward trend line has formed,be wary of a breakout above 4100#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD The intraday short limit order has been closed with profit, but there is still some room for a short-term pullback. The hourly chart shows an upward trend line below, with the 4H middle line converging with the MA5 and MA10 moving averages around 4077. The hourly moving averages also point to around 4077, which is also a previous area of dense trading volume, and may provide some support in the short term. Therefore, if gold prices pull back to 4082-4077 during the European session, I think we can try to go long on gold with a small position.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
MACD Outliers.There are few scarce situations , where the price can only go up . I usually use macd to figure out trend strength or weaknesses. Risk reward. But Ive noticed interesting outliers. MACD follows the price movement. It doesnt indicate anything. It doesnt force anyone to buy or sell (ie cause S-D dynamic). There are times, when it can show clearly where longterm pivot points are. When weekly MACD gets tight range supporting above the zero (and maybe depends on the fundamentals or macro) and the P.A. shows upward bias, the price can only go up. Best if there's confluence with daily macd, also supporting above zero. It could be due to longterm supply being exhausted? A longterm momentum trendline shows you invisible trend. Typically whales should not sell so low. //MACD shows the strength of the movement. Subsidizing MACD reading should correlate with tightening range. Which historically means break outs? or PIVOTS.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by citsvar
GOLD SELL SETUP📉 GOLD SELL SETUP – CLEAN SMC REACTION ZONE Price tapped into the premium zone around 4,116 and rejected perfectly, showing signs of exhaustion. If the bearish momentum continues, this setup gives a clear opportunity for a short position. 🔑 Sell Entry: 4,113 – 4,116 zone 🛑 Stop-Loss: 4,120 – 4,122 (Above the liquidity sweep) 🎯 Target: 4,000 – 3,998 📉 Potential Move: –118 pips (–2.8%) The idea: Price mitigated the last upside imbalance, tapped into supply, and is now primed to push lower toward the major demand zone below 4,000.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by magictouchfx
XAU/USD – Price Attempts Bullish Structure RecoveryXAU/USD – Price Attempts Bullish Structure Recovery, Key Resistance Ahead Gold is showing early signs of regaining bullish momentum on the H1 chart after completing a corrective phase. The latest swing low has formed a clean higher low, and price is currently moving within an ascending trendline structure. However, buyers must overcome a stacked resistance zone to confirm a stronger upward leg. Technical Structure Overview After the sharp decline from the 4195 – 4220 zone, gold has gradually stabilized and formed a rising structure supported by a short-term trendline. Price is oscillating above the EMA20 and EMA50 on H1, indicating improving bullish sentiment. RSI is recovering from the mid-range, suggesting momentum is picking up but not yet overbought — a favorable condition for a potential continuation move. Important Fibonacci & Price Levels Using the most recent swing high to swing low: Fibonacci 38.2%: aligns near 4145 Fibonacci 50%: around 4160 Fibonacci 61.8%: at 4176 These Fibonacci clusters overlap with previous consolidation, creating a strong resistance block that the market must break for trend continuation. Key Support Zones Support 1: 4095 – 4105 (trendline + structure base) Support 2: 4068 – 4080 (H1 demand, deeper retest zone) As long as price stays above 4095, the bullish recovery scenario remains valid. Key Resistance Zones Resistance 1: 4145 – 4160 (Fibonacci 38.2% + 50%) Resistance 2: 4176 – 4190 (Fibonacci 61.8% + liquidity cluster) This upper block represents the most critical zone of the day, where gold previously reversed sharply. Trading Scenarios for Today 1. Bullish Continuation Scenario (Primary Bias) If price retests the 4095 – 4105 support and respects the ascending trendline, buyers may step back in and push gold toward: First target: 4145 – 4160 Second target: 4176 – 4190 A breakout and H1 close above 4190 would open space for a stronger upside extension. 2. Bearish Rejection Scenario If gold fails to hold the 4095 support, the bullish structure breaks, and price may revisit: 4068 – 4080 Deeper downside toward 4045 if momentum increases Strategy Insight Current price action favors a pullback–buy approach as long as the short-term trendline remains intact. The market is still forming higher lows, showing that buyers are defending structure. Traders should observe how price behaves around the 4095 – 4105 zone to confirm continuation strength. If you find this analysis helpful, you can save it for later review and follow to receive more high-quality market updates.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion