GOLD idea nice Flag patternGold steadies after setting a fresh all-time high near $3,871 on Tuesday.
US shutdown fears rise after White House talks fail to reach a deal.
US data failed to boost the Greenback, as weaker Consumer Sentiment offset a modest uptick in Job Openings.
Gold (XAU/USD) trims earlier losses on Tuesday, trading around $3,848 at the time of writing. The metal is clawing back gains after sliding from its fresh all-time high near $3,871 to the $3,800 zone, as buyers stepped back in following the release of weaker US Consumer Confidence data.
The underlying bid for Bullion remains intact, supported by investor demand for safe havens amid the growing risk of a United States (US) government shutdown, should lawmakers fail to strike a funding deal before Tuesday at midnight. At the same time, ongoing geopolitical frictions continue to underpin Gold’s appeal as a go-to safe-haven asset, while renewed US tariffs stir concerns over global trade, reinforcing demand for the yellow metal as a hedge against uncertainty.
Futures market
Gold Trading Strategy | October 1✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Gold surged to 3871 before pulling back sharply, showing strong resistance at that level.
Support was found in the 3790–3800 zone, followed by a rebound. Currently, the candlesticks are fluctuating above the mid-band (around 3837), but remain capped by the upper band at 3855–3860.
The MACD histogram has contracted significantly, indicating weakening bullish momentum and stronger pressure at the highs.
The 4-hour chart shows gold is still in a high-level consolidation range, with strong resistance above and solid support below, reflecting clear range-bound characteristics.
✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis
The MA5 has crossed above the MA10 again, showing short-term stabilization.
The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with price trading above the mid-band, signaling a short-term consolidation pattern.
The MACD histogram is shrinking, showing that bearish momentum is weakening and bulls may gradually recover.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3855–3860 / 3870–3872
🟢 Support Levels: 3825–3830 / 3790–3800
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 If gold faces resistance around 3855–3860 and fails to break through, consider short positions with targets at 3830–3825, and further down to 3800 if broken. Stop-loss above 3872.
🔰 If price pulls back to 3825–3830 and finds support, light long positions can be considered with targets at 3855–3860. Stop-loss below 3815.
🔰 If price breaks above 3872 effectively and holds, it could open the door for further upside. Light long positions may be taken with targets at 3890–3900.
✅ Conclusion
Gold is currently fluctuating within the 3800–3870 range, with a short-term bias toward rebound recovery but facing clear resistance above. Trading is best approached with a range-bound strategy (sell highs, buy lows) as the main plan, and breakout-following as secondary, while strictly controlling stop-loss levels.
$4,000 per ounce – the golden target is almost here!Since the start of 2025, gold ( XAUUSD ) has been on a strong upward trend, gaining around $1,200 per ounce (+45%). By September 30, prices surged to an all-time high of $3,867 per ounce. This momentum is setting ambitious price targets and keeping the metal near historic levels. Amid shifting rate expectations and rising demand for safe-haven assets, platinum ( XPTUSD ) is also on the rise, holding above key levels and signaling renewed investor interest in precious metals.
Back in April, FreshForex analysts predicted gold would hit $4,000 per ounce — at the time, the price had just broken above $3,300. Less than six months later, gold has repeatedly set new all-time highs!
4 key drivers of the rally:
A dovish Fed and weaker USD . The market is pricing in more rate cuts — lowering the opportunity cost of holding gold. A softer dollar also makes the metal more attractive to international buyers.
Demand for safe havens . Rising global uncertainty (including risks of a U.S. government shutdown) is pushing capital into traditional shelters like gold — and records tend to be set during such events.
Central bank buying . For the third year in a row, official sector demand remains strong — especially from emerging market regulators — cushioning pullbacks and creating a firm price floor.
ETF inflows . Gold-backed exchange-traded funds are accumulating reserves, boosting investment demand and locking in higher price levels.
As financial conditions ease, uncertainty stays high, and institutional demand holds strong, gold remains a key asset for conservative strategies. While short-term corrections are possible, the upward trend is likely to continue unless core fundamentals reverse. FreshForex analysts believe the $4,000 mark will be crossed soon, and prices could reach $4,200 per ounce by year-end!
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
The trend has not changed, bulls are still the main themeGold experienced another rollercoaster ride this evening, with both bulls and bears having a very volatile day. Gold has rebounded to around 3855 and then fell into high-level fluctuations. There is no good entry point in the current trend, so waiting and watching for the time being is a good decision. If gold in the US market continues to rise to around 3870 and can form an M-top trend in the short term, then I will participate in shorting gold moderately based on market conditions. If gold first falls back to around the intraday starting point of 3825, we can still consider continuing to go long on gold.
First, Trump’s new round of tariffs will take effect tomorrow, October 1st. Second, the risk of the US government shutdown has not been eliminated, and short-term risk aversion still lingers in the market. At the same time, the gold price is still above the MA10 moving average, and the short-term bullish structure has not been destroyed. Therefore, for intraday trading, I still tend to focus on long positions and short positions as a supplement.
CSI 300: China’s Market Gauge & Bitcoin Sync Hint at April 2026.$CSI300 / $SHCOMP 5D (September 30, 2025)
The CSI 300 Index ➖ is a market-cap-weighted index tracking the 300 largest and most liquid A-shares on the Shanghai (SSE) and Shenzhen (SZSE) stock exchanges. It covers ~70% of mainland China’s market cap, spanning key sectors: financials (~30–35%), industrials (~20%), consumer goods (~15%), IT, healthcare, and energy. This makes it a key gauge of China’s economy, sensitive to domestic consumption, exports, and policy shifts.
• The Chinese government, at various levels, is stepping up to support the stock market. Signals suggest state funds, insurers, and pension funds are being nudged to boost investments in domestic equities.
• The CSI 300’s dividend yield (~3.5%) compared to government bond yields (~1.6%) makes stocks look attractive over “safe” instruments. Fiscal and monetary policy stimulus could further fuel growth.
Chart Insight:
Here’s an interesting observation comparing the CSI 300 and Bitcoin charts. Bitcoin’s peaks aligned with CSI 300 in late 2017–early 2018 and Q1 2021.
The next peak might hit in 180–200 days—around late March to April 2026.
There’s also a chance for a Bitcoin and altcoin rally (the altseason everyone’s waiting for) within that same timeframe.
Snapshot:
#StockMarket #China #Bitcoin
1/10/25 Can Bears Get More FT Selling or Start to Stall?
Tuesday’s candlestick (Sept 30) was a bear bar closing in its lower half with a prominent tail below.
In our last report, we stated that traders would observe whether the bears could create strong follow-through selling, testing near the Sept 23 low, or if the move would lack follow-through selling and instead be followed by a reversal above the 20-day EMA.
The market continues to trade slightly lower, and the bears got some follow-through selling.
The bulls view the recent move (Sep 23) as a deeper two-legged pullback and want a reversal from a large double bottom bull flag (Aug 29 and Sep 23).
They want the pullback to lack follow-through selling, forming a higher low.
They see the current move (Sept 30) as a retest of the prior low (Sep 23), and want it to form a higher low.
They want a retest of the August high, even if it only forms a lower high.
They must create follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA to increase the odds of the market trading higher.
The bears got a deep pullback and a breakout below the tight trading range, but the move lacked sustained follow-through selling.
They want at least a small second leg sideways to down leg to retest the Sept 23 low.
So far, the second leg sideways to down is still a higher low (Sep 30).
They need to create strong follow-through selling to increase the odds of retesting the Sept 23 low.
Production for Oct should be down.
Refineries' appetite to buy remains decent.
Export: Sept: export +9% per ITS.
The monthly candlestick closed as a bear bar in its lower half with a prominent tail below.
There is a 5-bar bull microchannel on the monthly candlestick indicating persistent buying. There may be buyers below the first pullback.
For tomorrow (Wednesday, Oct 1), traders will see if the bears can create more follow-through selling testing near the Sept 23 low.
Or will the move start to stall at a higher low, followed by a reversal above the 20-day EMA in the weeks ahead instead?
Andrew
GOLD NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Setup 🚀
Gold has regained strong bullish momentum and is preparing for a potential breakout towards new all-time highs. Buyers are holding control, and the price is showing continuous strength.
📍 Entry: Buy from 3845
🎯 Target: New All-Time High (ATH)
🛡 Stop-loss: Below nearest support
This setup favors long positions as Gold looks ready to extend its rally into uncharted levels. A close above resistance could accelerate momentum toward fresh ATH.
Plan day 30-sep-2025Related Information:!!!
Trump has signed a proclamation adjusting the import of lumber, sawn wood, and derivative products into the United States. This comes alongside the 100% tariff on branded or patented pharmaceutical imports and the 25% tariff on all heavy-duty truck imports starting October 1, announced last week.
According to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, traders are pricing in a 90% probability that the Fed will cut borrowing costs by 25 basis points in October, and nearly a 70% chance of another rate cut in December. This keeps the U.S. dollar under pressure and supports the precious metal.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price corrected sharply to $3,800 before rebounding to $3,850, aiming for $3,900.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Resistance zone point: 3800-3850 zone
The bullish trend remains unchanged, buy on pullback#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Although gold has fallen sharply by nearly $70, the short-term bullish trend has not changed. The risk-averse panic caused by the United States and the Trump administration is still there. After digesting the short-term selling pressure, the market will return to the bullish trend. 3795-3785 below is the second highest point last week. If the US market retreats here, we can consider going long on gold.
GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
GOLD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry - 3815.7
Stop - 3806.3
Take - 3835.2
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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What are your thoughts on crude oil trading strategies?From the daily chart, crude oil encountered resistance above $65 after last week's strong rebound, leading to a short-term decline under pressure. The candlestick chart shows a slight correction after encountering resistance at a high level, indicating a growing divergence between bulls and bears. We mentioned this strategy earlier. As the moving averages gradually flatten, the market may enter a period of volatile consolidation.
Trading strategy: At this stage, both long and short positions in crude oil are possible. Buy short positions above $64.2, and buy long positions when prices fall back to around $62.
For investors who currently have positions or are unsure how to proceed, please like my profile and visit my channel. I will provide exclusive trading services for members!