Futures market
Heading into key resistance?Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 4,221.15
1st Support: 4,027.94
1st Resistance: 4,364.63
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Gold 30-Min — Volume Sell Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4155 Area
☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body.
☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region.
☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally.
☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection.
☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
XAUUSD – 4H Chart AnalysisTesting the Upper Boundary of the Descending Channel
XAUUSD continues to move within a medium-term descending channel , and price is now testing the upper boundary of this structure — a level that has repeatedly acted as resistance in recent weeks.
In the short term, the market is forming a narrow rising wedge , a pattern that often appears as a weakening corrective move within broader downtrends. Previous occurrences of this pattern on this chart have also led to pullbacks after touching the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the channel resistance holds , the first area of interest on the downside is the 3880–3920 support zone, which represents a key structural floor in the current movement.
A break below this zone could open the path toward the midline of the channel and potentially lower levels.
The bullish scenario becomes valid only if price can achieve a clean breakout above the channel , supported by strong momentum and confirmed closes.
XAUUSD: Bulls Defend 4100! Is a Breakout to 4220 Imminent?Hello traders! XAUUSD continues to trade within a broader bullish structure, but with repeated volatility around key zones. The chart highlights how Gold has reacted multiple times to the major Demand Zone near 4,100, which has consistently acted as a strong support area. Each dip into this zone triggered a bullish response, confirming active buyers. Earlier in the structure, price formed a clear Double Top inside the Supply Zone around 4,220–4,230, which led to a strong bearish reversal and a breakdown below the trend line. After that, Gold entered a prolonged Range Phase, where the market consolidated sideways before breaking out to the upside. Recently, XAUUSD attempted a bullish continuation, but the move resulted in a Fake Breakout above the supply zone, signaling that buyers lacked the strength to maintain momentum above 4,220. This rejection pushed price downward and back below the main Trend Line, which now acts as dynamic resistance.
Currently, Gold is trading above the 4,100 Demand Zone, forming a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern — an early sign that buyers may be preparing for another upward push. As long as price holds above 4,100 and stays above local structure, the bullish scenario remains valid.
My scenario, if XAUUSD holds above the 4,100 Demand Zone, buyers may gain momentum and attempt another breakout toward the 4,200–4,220 Supply Zone, which is the next major resistance and the primary upside target. A sustained break above 4,220 would confirm bullish strength and could open the path toward higher continuation targets. However, if buyers fail to hold the 4,100 level, Gold may drop back into the previous range or retest lower support areas before attempting another reversal. For now, the bias is moderately bullish, supported by demand reactions and reversal patterns — but a confirmed breakout above 4,200 is needed for stronger trend continuation. Manage your risk!
Continue shorting gold around 4160.Continue shorting gold around 4160.
Chart 4h: Macroeconomic triangle pattern.
Today's strategy: Treat this as a consolidation phase.
Key price levels: $4180 - $4110 - $4060
Current strategy:
Sell: $4160
Stop loss: $4185
Take profit: $4130 - $4110 - $4100 - $4060
Resistance: $4180-$4190 is the primary resistance level. A strong break above this level could open up upside potential to $4210 or even $4250.
Support: $4130-$4140 is a support area tested multiple times recently. A break below this level could lead to further declines towards $4110-$4120 and the more crucial support around $4075.
Specific Trading Strategies:
1. Breakout Buy Strategy
Scenario: Gold price rises strongly and breaks through $4190.
Plan: This can be seen as a confirmation signal that the upside potential has opened up; consider a small long position.
Stop Loss: Set below $4170.
Target: Initially target $4210; if momentum is strong, target $4250.
2. Pullback Buy Strategy
Scenario: Gold price fails to break through directly and instead falls back to the $4130-$4140 support zone, showing signs of bottoming out (e.g., a lower shadow on a small-cycle candlestick).
Plan: This is an ideal low-buying opportunity in the volatile market you mentioned.
Stop Loss: Set below $4110.
Target: Target around $4180, and consider partially reducing the position.
3. Breakdown Sell Strategy
Scenario: Gold price breaks below the $4110-$4120 support level.
Plan: This may signal the start of a short-term correction; consider a small short position.
Stop Loss: Set above $4150.
Target: Around $4075.
USD Stunned: Buy Gold at the Adjustment Bottom!1. Fundamentals Quick Take
US Data: Positive (Jobless Claims 216K, lowest in 7 months, Durable Goods +0.5%).
Fed Policy: Extremely Dovish. Fed officials hint at a 25bps rate cut as early as December.
Impact: Low interest rate expectations push DXY down: Strong support for Gold.
2. Technical Outlook - H1
Trend: Strong Uptrend.
Position: Price is below Resistance/Supply (CP Zone - around 4,175 - 4,195). High likelihood of short-term adjustment.
Strategy: Focus on BUY (Long) at strong Demand/Support zones, do not Short based on short-term reactions.
Ideal Long Zone: Around 4,129 or 4,096.
Conclusion: Wait for price to adjust to the Demand zone to enter Long orders following the main trend, based on the USD's decline momentum from Fed signals.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Fed #DXY #TradingView
ANFIBO XAUUSD – Holiday Range or Surprise Breakout? [11.27]Hi guys, Anfibo’s here!
XAUUSD Intraday Trading Plan
Overall Picture
On M30, gold is trading inside a tightening rising structure, with price repeatedly bouncing between local support and descending short-term resistance. Liquidity is thin due to the holiday period, so the market is compressing in a narrow range instead of showing a clear trend.
Key things on the chart:
Upper trendline + horizontal resistance around 4170–4175 is acting as a sell zone.
Local supports are stacked around 4143 – 4136, with a major liquidity pocket / demand zone near 4110 labeled “Strong Liquidity”.
Because of low volume and mixed flows, the safest approach is to trade the edges or wait for a clean breakout of this range.
On the macro side, USD is correcting as markets price in a more dovish Fed path, while Thanksgiving liquidity is thin. According to ING, recent USD moves are more about rate expectations than geopolitics, and the low-liquidity environment can also invite occasional volatility spikes, especially in pairs like USD/JPY. All of this supports a choppy, indecisive environment for gold in the short term.
Trading Plan – Fade the Edges, Respect the Range
We’ll work with two tactical setups:
a sell from resistance and a buy from deep liquidity support.
>>> Scenario #1 – SELL from 4173 Resistance Zone
If price drifts back into the upper boundary and reacts bearishly, I’ll look for short setups:
Sell entry: 4173 – 4175
Stop loss: 4180
Take profit levels:
TP1: 4162
TP2: 4150
TP3: 4122
TP4: 4110 (strong liquidity / demand)
Idea: fade the holiday squeeze into resistance, targeting a move back toward mid-range support and eventually the liquidity zone at 4110 if downside extends.
>>> Scenario #2 – BUY from the Strong Liquidity Zone
If price flushes down into the 4110 area and shows strong rejection, I’ll switch to a buy-the-dip plan:
Buy entry: 4110 – 4112
Stop loss: 4104
Take profit levels:
TP1: 4133
TP2: 4150
TP3: 4172
TP4: 4190 (if market breaks above the current range)
Idea: participate in a liquidity grab at the bottom of the structure, aiming for a bounce back into the core of the range and potentially a breakout if volume returns.
Key Intraday Levels to Watch
Resistance / Sell zone: 4167 – 4175
Mid-range supports: 4143 – 4136
Major liquidity support: 4110 – 4112
A clean break and hold outside this band would signal the next directional move; until then, this is a range market.
Risk Management
Holiday liquidity can be tricky – avoid over-leveraging and keep positions smaller than usual.
Wait for clear rejection or confirmation at planned levels; avoid trading in the noisy middle of the range.
Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 for both buy and sell setups.
Do not hold both directions simultaneously; follow the scenario that price confirms first.
If price breaks and holds beyond your SL zone (above 4180 or below 4104), close the idea and reassess instead of forcing re-entries.
Conclusion
Gold is stuck in a narrow holiday range, squeezed between resistance near 4175 and liquidity support around 4110. With USD adjusting to softer Fed expectations and volumes thin, the best edge comes from patiently trading the extremes or standing aside until price finally breaks out.
TRADE THE EDGES, RESPECT THE RANGE, AND LET THE MARKET SHOW ITS HAND, GUYS!
GOLD USDHI GUYS,
we failed to sell on wed however gold did show false sells due to its high volatility.
i expect sells today only if silver confirms entry on candle close.
SO many Traders i know yesterday fell upon trap selling due to false entries, anyway am not a financial advisor am pretty much a consistent trader so anything can happen.
however if u know when to enter then u are less affected by false entries.
XAUUSD 1:1 Longit's one of the simplest trading narrative that i executed.
watching how price moved on 1hr and 15m making impulsive move aligning with HTF bias on bullish (my DOL is on the current daily range ERL)
waiting on retracement to below eq of the range, which lies there a bullsih FVG along with 1hr OB, then waiting how price react on LTF (1m)
swept the initial low made inside 15m +FVG (volume was lower then the initial low), almost entered long after inversion of 1m -fvg but i waited instead, looking cisd to better confirm my setup.
my target was 1R which is just below the 50% range of the retracement downward
Compression After a Wedge: This Setup Shakes Out Paper HandsIn today’s price action, we’ve got a powerful confluence forming across multiple timeframes. After a sharp rising wedge breakdown , price rallied directly into a 4-hour diagonal resistance , then began compressing beneath it during the London session.
This is where most traders get tricked.
A rising wedge breaking lower already signals bullish exhaustion—but when price retests a higher-timeframe trendline and immediately stalls, it tells us Smart Money is preparing for a larger move. The 15-minute chart confirms this with a clean rising-lows and falling-highs compression pattern . This is where liquidity builds, and where paper hands start to get shaken out.
London session typically creates this tightening range. It’s not meant to move the market—it’s meant to trap traders. Buyers enter early on “higher lows,” while impatient sellers short resistance too soon. Both sides place their stops right outside the compression. And that’s exactly the liquidity New York loves to take.
The expectation here is simple:
A sweep above the compression, a tag of the 4H trendline, and then real displacement in the true direction.
This setup works because it aligns structure, time, liquidity, and psychology. It punishes impatience and rewards traders who wait for the sweep, the break, and the displacement that follows.
Perfect example of how the market uses compression to shake out paper hands before the real expansion begins.
XAUUSD SMC Buy Setup – Demand Zone Reaction from 4140🟩 SMC BUY Idea on XAUUSD (4140 Buy Plan)
Price swept sell-side liquidity below 4140 and tapped a clean SMC Demand + Rejection Block. A bullish displacement candle and BOS confirm upside intention.
Buy Zone: 4140 – 4138
SMC Reasons:
Sell-side liquidity sweep
Demand zone mitigation
Bullish BOS
FVG above acting as magnet
Price holding above short-term structure
TP1: 4175 (internal liquidity)
TP2: 4185 (external liquidity + supply zone)
Invalidation: Clean break below 4130
This is an educational SMC analysis, not financial advice.
Is this a short-selling opportunity?Gold continued its upward trend from the previous two days after opening yesterday, reaching a high of around 4173 before pulling back. This level is also the downtrend line we've highlighted in the past two days. Although there was some resistance and a pullback, it ultimately stopped at around 4136. In other words, the resistance at this level is only effective in the short term and needs further verification. The rebound from the bottom in the US session indirectly dealt a blow to the bears, but the follow-through was clearly insufficient. Therefore, whether the resistance at this level will be effective today needs further verification. If the price continues to face pressure at this level today, the downward momentum may persist. The rebound in the evening was followed by a slight pullback to around 4140 after the opening bell, followed by continued minor fluctuations. Yesterday's high in the US session will be the key level for today's bulls and bears. The pullback pattern is likely a tentative move, and the strength of the European session will directly influence the US session's trend. Considering the previously formed downward channel, the upper resistance may shift down to around 4165-4175. We can still short below this level. Although yesterday's pullback was under pressure, the subsequent breakout was somewhat disappointing. Therefore, we still need to tentatively establish short positions today. If the price first rallies to around 4160-4175, we can short, targeting 4140-4110. If the European session breaks above this level, we can adjust our positions and exit during the US session.
DeGRAM | GOLD is expecting a slight pullback📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is repeatedly rejecting the descending resistance line and the 4,155–4,170 supply zone, signalling weakening bullish momentum at a key confluence area.
● Failure to hold above the resistance-area retest suggests a likely drop toward 4,110, followed by a deeper move toward 4,058 as the rising structure loses strength.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold is softening as U.S. yields stabilize and risk appetite improves, reducing short-term safe-haven demand.
✨ Summary
● Bearish bias below 4,170. Targets: 4,110 → 4,058. Resistance: 4,170.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold 4H – Bearish Harmonic Rejection SetupGold is currently testing a major descending trendline drawn from the previous swing high (Point A). Price has tapped into a strong supply zone / rejection block around 4150–4170, which also aligns with the 0.618 and 0.70 Fibonacci retracement levels taken from the C–D leg projection.
The structure shows a potential harmonic completion, where the market has printed an A–B–C pattern and is now forming the final leg toward D. The repeated rejections from the shaded supply zone indicate weakening bullish momentum.
As long as price remains below this supply region and fails to break the descending trendline, the setup favors a downside continuation, targeting the lower trendline support near 3800–3850, completing the projected D-leg.
Key Highlights:
Price reacting to multi-touch descending trendline
Strong supply zone (4150–4170) aligned with 0.618/0.70 fib
Bearish harmonic structure aiming for D-leg completion
Potential downside target: 3800–3850
Bias remains bearish unless price breaks and holds above the supply zone






















