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XAU/USD – Gold Builds a Bullish StructureXAU/USD – Gold Builds a Bullish Structure but Awaits a Clear Breakout Confirmation Gold continues to develop a well-defined bullish structure on the H1 timeframe, characterized by a sequence of higher lows and steady upward momentum. However, price is still capped below a key resistance zone, forming a short-term range that could lead to a breakout or a corrective pullback before continuation. This analysis focuses on the most important price zones, market behavior, and actionable strategies for today’s session. 1. Market Structure Analysis Gold maintains a higher-low structure, showing that buyers remain in control despite the sideways consolidation. The recent rejection from the upper resistance and the projected correction (illustrated on your chart) are consistent with typical bullish continuation patterns. Key observations: Price is forming a bullish swing-high, swing-low sequence. The structure remains valid as long as the market holds above the mid-range support zone. EMA 9 is moving upward and aligning with price pullbacks, confirming short-term bullish momentum. 2. Key Support and Resistance Levels Major Resistance Zone 4,175 – 4,182 This is the ceiling of the current range and the zone price must break to unlock higher bullish targets. Mid-Range Support 4,125 – 4,135 This zone has acted as a base of multiple bullish rejections, and the projected corrective wave is likely to retest this area before any attempt at upside continuation. Major Demand Zone 4,050 – 4,070 This is the deeper structure support, holding the origin of the most recent bullish impulse. A revisit here would be a high-probability long setup if the market produces bullish confirmation. 3. EMA and Momentum Behavior EMA 9 is trending upward, indicating short-term bullish strength. Price staying above this EMA generally signals continuation toward the resistance zone. A clean break and retest of EMA 9 would strengthen the bullish case. 4. Fibonacci Confluence Applying Fibonacci from the last swing low to the swing high: 38.2% retracement aligns with the mid-range support (4,130 area). 61.8% retracement aligns with the deeper structure (4,080 area). These zones add strong confluence to the buy-side strategy. 5. Trading Strategies for Today Scenario 1: Long Setup After Pullback (Preferred Strategy) Conditions: Price corrects to 4,125 – 4,135 and forms bullish rejection. Entry: 4,128 – 4,135 Stop Loss: below 4,115 Take Profit 1: 4,165 Take Profit 2: 4,180 This aligns with the projected corrective movement on the chart. Scenario 2: Breakout Long Above Resistance Conditions: A full H1 candle closes above 4,182. Entry: on retest of 4,175 – 4,182 Stop Loss: below 4,160 Take Profit: 4,210 – 4,225 Breakout traders should wait for confirmation to avoid false breakouts. Scenario 3: Short-Term Intraday Sell (Countertrend) Conditions: Price rejects strongly again from 4,175 – 4,182. Entry: 4,175 – 4,180 Stop Loss: above 4,185 Take Profit: 4,135 This countertrend setup is only valid when price shows strong rejection signals. 6. Conclusion Gold is currently consolidating within a bullish structure and is likely to complete a corrective move before pushing higher. The key zones to watch today are 4,130 for intraday buy opportunities and 4,182 for a breakout continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
XAUUSD POSSIBLE MOVEMENT ( MUST READ IT )Hello trader here is my XAUUSD idea kindly share your opinion on this idea thank you 🔵 **Current Area (Price Now)** * The chart shows **XAUUSD around ~4121**. * Price is sitting just above a horizontal support area (blue line around **4120–4125**). * This zone is where price may either: **Target Areas** **Target Area 1 (First Target Zone)** * Located around **4160–4180**. * This appears to be the nearest supply zone or resistance block. * Pull back slightly, then * Push up into this first target zone. ### 🎯 **Main Target Area** * Located higher, around **4200–4220**. * This is the **major resistance / high-timeframe supply area**. * If price breaks above Target Area 2 with strong momentum, this upper zone becomes the next logical target. --- ## 📌 Summary * **Current area:** ~4120–4125 (support floor). * **Target Area 1 (first target):** ~4160–4180. * **Main Target Area 2 :** ~4200–4220.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miles_97
XAU/USD: Gold Stagnates, Poised for a Strong Surge📊 Market Structure Gold is moving in a tight accumulation phase (compression) between two important zones: • OB Support: 4,130 – 4,126 • Resistance – Small Supply: 4,148 – 4,166 The previous trend remains a strong uptrend (clear BoS sequence from 4,089), and currently, the price is retesting the newly formed peak-bottom structure. The BUY side is still in control as long as the price stays above: • 4,130 – Main OB Support • 4,104 – Discount FVG • 4,089 – Key Low Confirming Trend If gold holds these zones, the next targets will be the upper liquidity levels: • 4,166 • 4,181 • 4,207 • 4,243 💎 Key Technical Zones • OB Support 1: 4,130 – 4,126 • FVG Zone: 4,104 – 4,089 (best discount) • Deep Bearish OB: 4,060 – 4,045 (if price drops sharply) • Upper Liquidity Targets: 4,166 → 4,181 → 4,207 → 4,243 🎯 Trading Plan (Priority BUY) 1️⃣ BUY 1 – Retest OB 4,130 When the price touches the OB support zone 4,130 – 4,126 and shows a bounce signal (rejection / engulfing). • Entry: 4,130 – 4,126 • SL: below 4,115 • TP1: 4,166 • TP2: 4,181 • TP3: 4,207 • TP4: 4,243 → Quick setup, good RR, trend aligned. 2️⃣ BUY 2 – Discount FVG 4,104 – 4,089 This is the best BUY zone if the market drops sharply before rising. • Entry: 4,104 – 4,089 • SL: 4,070 • TP1: 4,166 • TP2: 4,181 • TP3: 4,207 • TP4: 4,243 → Strong confluence: FVG + fibo discount + key liquidity. 3️⃣ BUY 3 – Deep Accumulation at Bearish OB Shift • Entry: 4,060 – 4,045 • SL: 4,020 • TP: 4,104 → 4,166 → 4,207 → Only activate if “flush liquidity” appears. 🎯 SELL Scalp (secondary – not priority) Only SELL when there is a clear rejection reaction at: • 4,166 – first liquidity sweep zone • 4,181 – strong reaction zone • 4,207 – main bearish OB • 4,243 – large liquidity peak • SL: 10–15 USD • TP: 4,148 → 4,130 → For scalpers only, not a main setup. 🧠 Vincent’s View The market structure remains completely bullish. The market is accumulating energy in a narrow range before breaking strongly to the upper liquidity targets. As long as gold stays above 4,089 – the uptrend remains dominant. “Patience builds the entry – liquidity completes the move.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold prices are facing resistance around $4180? Should we short?Gold prices are facing resistance around $4180? Should we short? As shown in the 2h chart: I have clearly drawn the analysis chart. Gold prices have broken out of a large-scale triangle consolidation pattern and are currently in the final convergence phase. Current resistance levels: $4170-$4190 Current support levels: $4120-$4090 1: If gold prices break and hold above $4170, what should we do? A: Go long, with a stop-loss at $4165 (to prevent a false breakout). 2: If the resistance level around $4180 holds, or we believe gold prices will not break through effectively today, what should we do? A: Go short around $4160, with a stop-loss at $4195 (to prevent blind upward movement after a breakout). 3. Expected downside range: $4120-$4130, $4090-$4100 4. Expected upside range: $4180-$4190, $4200-$4250 This concludes today's complete trading strategy for gold prices. If you still don't understand and are still losing money, then I can only tell you clearly: don't look at things from a rigid perspective. You need help, you need guidance, you need a mentor to guide you in the right direction. Yes, I'm here waiting for you. I'm happy and thank you for your attention.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja00_Golden
Silver Cup and HandleAfter some consolidation silver has started showing immense strength. Silver is buy on dips. Take long positions in silver in any dip you get. Check the chart for the cup and handle pattern on the daily timeframe. Support will be the low of the handle as seen on the chart for big risk takers and for small risk takers sl can be around 157000. Target- One can look for all time highs as target and then 180000. Disclaimer- This is just for educational purpose. Jai Shree Ram
MCX:SILVER1!Long
by Sanatan_Trader
1
Gold H1 - Can Gold reject 4167 and fall to 4133 today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (27/11) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading inside an intraday consolidation after a strong H1 displacement. The session is now primed for liquidity engineering before the next leg. Key narrative drivers traders must respect today: • Stronger USD expectations continue to shape risk sentiment • Institutional desks frequently exploit sweep zones during consolidation • Range-bound conditions favor fakeouts → displacement → expansion mechanics • Headlines around U.S. monetary tone amplify intraday volatility The current chart highlights balanced liquidity both above and below structure, supporting a two-way SMC playbook. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Market is holding a rising channel, but internally ranging — a typical liquidity map scenario: • Buy-side liquidity pocket: 4180 → 4182 (premium extreme) • Sell-side liquidity pool: 4110 → 4133 (discount extreme / origin zone) • Internal equilibrium zone: 4150–4170 chop region (no-trade area) We expect this sequence: Sweep → CHoCH/BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion. 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴SELL GOLD 4180–4182 | SL 4190 Thesis: Premium liquidity sweep above local highs before downside displacement. Activation rules: • Price sweeps 4182 liquidity • Bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down on M5–M15 • Imbalance retest / FVG entry after structure break Targets: • 4167 (nearest reaction) • 4150 (equilibrium raid) • 4135–4133 (discount retest) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4135–4133 | SL 4125 Thesis: Sell-side liquidity sweep into the origin zone before upside impulse. Activation rules: • Price taps 4133 pool (sweep below structure) • Bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up on M5–M15 • FVG fill / bullish rejection wick confirmation Targets: • 4155+ • 4167 (reclaim zone) • 4180+ (premium raid target) ⚠️ Risk Management • Do NOT trade inside 4150–4170 without clear displacement • Wait for CHoCH + BOS before execution • Treat the upper and lower zones as liquidity traps, not trend entries • Reduce size during news spikes unless structure confirms • SL = wave invalidation, no averaging in chop 📝 Summary Gold is in accumulation/redistribution mode. Desks may: • Run buy-side liquidity at 4182, then displace down → retest discount or • Sweep sell-side liquidity at 4133, confirm CHoCH up → expand with impulse Today is a liquidity session, not early trend chasing. Execute only after confirmation. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
15
XAUUSD, Daily, Bearish Scenario AnalysisGold is approaching the apex of a contracting structure that looks more like distribution than accumulation. Despite the popular assumption that a symmetrical triangle is neutral, the underlying conditions point toward a higher probability of a downside break. ### 🔍 **Why the structure leans bearish** 1. **Volume is declining**, which usually signals fading momentum rather than preparation for a bullish continuation. 2. **Price is failing to hold higher lows**, showing weakness along the rising trendline. 3. **The previous parabolic leg** increases the probability of a deeper retracement rather than continuation. Markets rarely push into new highs after such exhaustion without a meaningful reset. 4. **Macro factors** such as bond yields and shifting rate expectations reduce Gold's upside pressure. 5. **Repeated rejections at the upper boundary** show supply absorbing attempts to push higher. --- ## 🎯 **Bearish Targets** The technical structure supports the possibility of a full breakdown from the triangle using a measured move equal to the previous major downswing. * **Primary target**: 3,500 * **Secondary target**: 3,300 Both levels align with historical demand zones and key Fibonacci retracement areas. --- ## 🧭 **Entry zones for a short position** ### 🔽 **Entry Option 1: Aggressive** * **Sell zone**: 4,160 to 4,180 * Based on repeated upper wick rejections and failure to build momentum above the trendline. ### 🔽 **Entry Option 2: Conservative and safer** * **Sell trigger**: Break and close below 4,120 * This confirms the loss of structure and invalidates the ascending trendline. --- ## 🛡️ **Stop loss placement** Choose based on your risk profile. * **SL for aggressive entry**: above 4,230 * **SL for conservative entry**: above 4,180 The idea is to protect the trade once price invalidates the bearish structure. --- ## 📌 **Risk management note** This setup is bearish, but the market is contracting. Volatility can expand in either direction. Stops are essential and position sizing should remain controlled.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by saal_eliyahu
Gold (XAUUSD) – Bullish Exhaustion or Liquidity Grab Incoming?Yesterday, gold finally broke above the 4150 resistance and extended toward 4173, a level it has attempted to reach several times without a clean breakout. On the 1H timeframe, price appears to be forming a rising channel, but momentum is slowing as the market begins to accumulate. Fundamentally, uncertainty is rising: expectations for a December rate cut are fading, and the potential end of the Russia–Ukraine conflict is reducing safe-haven demand. This hesitation is clearly reflected in current price behavior. Bullish scenario: Gold may continue drifting higher toward 4190, which I consider the maximum upside for today unless strong fundamentals shift. Bearish scenario: I’d like to see price retest 4170, reject it, and then drop sharply toward 4125, clearing the liquidity left behind from the rally that started on the 24th. Overall, gold is in a decisive zone where fundamentals and liquidity dynamics will dictate the next major move.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Dan-Goldfx
XAUUSD (GOLD) – Current Market Analysis XAUUSD (GOLD) – Current Market Analysis Date: 27 November 2025 Time: 01:25 PM (GMT+6) --- Trend Direction The Higher Timeframe remains in a bullish phase, but the current price action is clearly forming a corrective structure. Price is currently trading around 4150–4160, which is acting as an intermediate resistance zone and a liquidity cluster. Above the market, 4170–4180 is a Weak High + liquidity pool. Below the market, 4100–4080 is a Strong Low + 4H demand zone. The market is compressed between these two liquidity points. Such compression typically leads to a liquidity sweep followed by a reversal. --- Technical Analysis The 4H chart shows repeated rejections from the 4160–4170 area, indicating weakening buyer momentum. The 1H chart is forming a clear retracement structure. The 15M chart has multiple CHoCH downside signals. Together, these strongly indicate a bearish correction. Below price, 4120 and 4100 act as natural draw-to-liquidity levels where imbalance and unmitigated demand zones exist. --- Smart Money Concept (SMC) Liquidity: • Weak High above → 4170–4180 • Equal Lows below → 4100–4090 Order Blocks: • 4H bearish OB → 4170–4180 • 1H bullish OB → 4100–4080 Market Structure: • 15M → CHoCH downside • 1H → BOS downside and price is currently in the retracement phase This structure is a textbook bearish correction model. --- Fibonacci Based on the last bearish impulsive leg, the 0.618 retracement zone aligns with 4165–4175. This matches the Weak High liquidity zone, increasing the probability of rejection. --- RSI & Volume Both the 1H and 15M timeframes show RSI touching overbought levels. Bearish divergence is visible on the 15M chart. Volume is gradually decreasing, signaling buyer exhaustion. These factors collectively increase the likelihood of a short-term downside correction. --- Fundamental Analysis There is no major high-impact news today, so the market is expected to move based purely on technicals and liquidity behavior. The Dollar Index remains stable, which may put short-term pressure on Gold. --- Trading Plan (95% Accuracy) Primary Sell Setup (High Probability) Sell Zone: 4170–4180 Reason: Weak High, liquidity pool, 4H bearish OB, Fibonacci 0.618 confluence, RSI divergence Confirmation: 15M rejection candle or 15M CHoCH downside Targets: • TP1 → 4140 • TP2 → 4120 • TP3 → 4100 • TP4 → 4080 (extended) Stop Loss: 4200 --- Alternative Buy Setup (Low Probability) Buy only after downside liquidity sweep. Buy Zone: 4100–4080 Reason: Strong Low, demand zone, imbalance fill, possible bullish CHoCH Targets: • TP1 → 4140 • TP2 → 4160 Stop Loss: 4050 --- Analysis Short Summary The market is currently building liquidity around the 4160–4170 region. There is a clear Weak High at 4170–4180, and Gold typically sweeps such highs before a correction. Therefore, the most likely scenario is: Price sweeps 4170–4180 → then initiates a downside correction. The strongest downside targets remain 4120 and 4100. Main direction: Sell from 4170–4180 Buy option: Only after a liquidity sweep at 4100–4080
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FMFinancialAdvisor
Palladium Is Back in Shape: A Long-Term Upside SetupPalladium is showing renewed strength, forming a compelling long-term long setup. After a prolonged correction, the metal is gradually shifting back into a bullish scenario. The technical picture looks constructive: Stop: 1375 — a key level whose preservation maintains the developing bullish structure. Target: 1670 — a retest of previous highs. A breakout above 1670 could open the way for a more aggressive medium-term upside.
OANDA:XPDUSDLong
by kventinka
XAUUSD: symmetrical triangle breakdown🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) is consolidating within a large symmetrical triangle, indicating a massive volatility squeeze. The price is currently testing the upper boundary but shows signs of rejection, with the projected path pointing to a bearish breakout below the ascending support line. A confirmed close below the triangle structure would validate the bearish momentum, targeting the immediate support zone at 3,913 and potentially extending to the medium-term target of 3,700. 🌍 Fundamental Analysis: Market activity is heavily influenced by the upcoming US Thanksgiving holiday (Thursday, Nov 27), leading to thinning liquidity and potential erratic moves. Traders are bracing for the "pre-holiday data dump" this Wednesday, including Initial Jobless Claims and Durable Goods Orders. Strong US economic data could reinforce the Dollar's strength, further pressuring Gold to break downside before the market close. ❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL) ❗️ ➡️ Entry Point: Sell on confirmed breakdown of triangle support (approx. 4,140 – 4,150) 🎯 Take Profit: 3,913, medium-term target at 3,700 🔴 Stop Loss: Above the recent resistance structure (approx. 4,255) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
TICKMILL:XAUUSDShort
by Trade8Eight
XAUUSD – Gold scenario awaiting trend confirmation at the 4...XAUUSD – Gold scenario awaiting trend confirmation at the 4,160–4,170 zone Currently, gold has not shown a clear enough medium-term trend. The price is fluctuating around an important resistance zone, so instead of predicting the market, I wait for price reactions at key zones before making a decision. Today's main axis is the 4,160–4,170 zone – where the market will choose to continue the upward trend or start a deeper correction. 🎯 Scenario 1 – SELL AT RESISTANCE 4,162–4,165 (PREFERRED IF NO CLEAR BREAKOUT) Sell: 4,162 – 4,165 SL: 4,173 TP: 4,140 – 4,122 – 4,110 – 4,100 The 4,162–4,165 zone on H1 is resistance coinciding with fibo + supply zone near the old peak, also close to the short-term uptrend line. If the price hits this zone and shows signs of weakening (upper shadow, reversal candle, unsupported volume), I prefer to sell short down to the 4,140 zone, deeper possibly to the liquidity cluster around 4,110–4,100 as shown on the chart. The risk for this scenario is limited to 1–2% of the account, absolutely no holding the order if the price closes above 4,173. ⭐️ Scenario 2 – BUY WHEN PRICE BREAKS THE PEAK, CONFIRMING CONTINUATION OF THE UPWARD TREND Buy: 4,171 – 4,173 (after clearly breaking the old peak) SL: 4,163 TP: 4,188 – 4,200 – 4,215 In case the price decisively breaks the 4,170 zone and holds above it, this is a signal confirming the buyers continue to control. At that time, I switch bias to buy according to the breakout, targeting the higher resistance zone around 4,200–4,215, further expansion possible if the upward momentum is maintained. Note: only Buy when the breakout is real – large body candle, closing above the 4,170 zone, not a stop sweep then sharply pulling back down. 1. Basic context The DXY index is slipping below the 99.50 mark, currently around 99.45, indicating continued downward pressure as the market increases expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. General monetary easing expectations support gold, as the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases. However, initial US jobless claims have fallen to the lowest level since April, indicating the labor market is still quite strong. This may cause investors to struggle between expectations of rate cuts and the actual strength of the US economy, creating "jerky" fluctuations around news release times. In summary, the fundamentals are slightly leaning towards supporting gold, but not enough to completely ignore technical adjustments. 2. Technical analysis & price structure On the H1 frame, after the recent strong increase, gold is creating an accumulation zone just below the 4,160–4,170 resistance. The 4,162–4,165 zone is a confluence area: horizontal resistance + old supply zone + price zone where strong selling pressure previously appeared. The 4,140 zone is the "confirmation of adjustment decrease" threshold – if breached and the price closes below here, the market is likely to want to return to the large liquidity cluster around 4,110–4,100, where many Buy stop losses are waiting. Therefore, the current structure allows for two-way trading, but each scenario requires clear confirmation from price behavior at the 4,160–4,170 zone before entering an order. 3. Market sentiment & action plan Both buyers and sellers are looking at the same price zone – 4,160–4,170. This makes this area likely to become a thick liquidity zone, where stops from both sides can be "swept" before the market chooses the real direction. If the price drops sharply from this zone, it is likely a sell-off phase of late Buy orders near the peak. Conversely, if buyers are strong enough to keep the price above 4,170, many Sell orders will be trapped, creating momentum for a short squeeze to higher resistance zones. My plan: Do not enter orders in the middle of the zone, only wait: Sell at 4,162–4,165 if clear reversal signals appear. Buy at 4,171–4,173 after the price breaks the peak and holds above this zone. Always set a hard SL, do not widen the stop when the order goes against. If the price strongly breaks both scenario zones without giving clear signals, I accept to stay out, wait for a new structure, do not try to "guess the direction". I always read feedback to optimize sharing in future posts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Risk/Reward 2.24 on XAUUSD-GOLD – Is Opportunity Coming?Good Morning Guys I’ve put together a 4-hour timeframe analysis on XAUUSD – GOLD. Once the harmonic pattern completes, I’m expectin’ a correction right around the 4215.0 level. That’s where the pattern should wrap up, and from there price is likely to pull back. ✅ Entry Level: 4215.0 🛑 Stop: 4270.0 🎯 TP1: 4189.0 🎯 TP2: 4149.0 🎯 TP3: 4097.0 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.24 Also, the Supply-Demand zone sits between 4045.0 – 4000.0. If price drops into that area, I’ll be lookin’ to buy. Once we hit that zone, I’ll drop another signal for y’all. Every single like from you guys keeps me motivated to share these analyses. Big thanks to all my friends who support me with their likes – y’all are the reason I keep postin’.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderTilki
19
XAUUSD (1H) ANALYSIS - NOV/27🧭 1️⃣ MARKET OVERVIEW Gold is still consolidating within the range of 4,122 – 4,170. Recent price action shows that sellers have gained short-term control as price broke slightly below and is currently trading under the POC (4,162), and has also broken the short-term ascending trendline. The market remains in consolidation, but buyers are showing signs of weakening due to failing to hold above the POC. Traders should stay cautious as the market waits for a decisive break outside the Value Area. 📊 2️⃣ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Structure: H4: Bullish structure still intact from the swing low, but upward momentum is slowing and price is retesting equilibrium. H1: Price is moving inside the Value Area, has broken the short-term trendline, and is trading below the POC. Timing SELL / Supply zone (VAH): 4,170 – 4,173 Timing BUY / Demand zone (VAL): 4,122 – 4,127 Volume Profile: POC: 4,162.57 → Main balance zone. Trading below POC indicates buyer weakness. Liquidity zone (VAL): 4,122.07 → Strong support with large buy accumulation. Resistance zone (VAH): 4,170.46 → The major barrier to resume the bullish trend. ➡️ Conclusion: Selling pressure has increased as price broke the POC and the short-term trendline. Current focus is a potential revisit of the VAL at 4,122. 🔍 3️⃣ KEY PRICE ZONES Resistance zone (VAH): 4,170 – 4,173 → Main resistance. Timing SELL zone (POC): 4,160 – 4,163 → Key short-term resistance. Liquidity zone (VAL): 4,122 – 4,127 → Strong support and potential BUY zone. Support zone (H1): 4,067 – 4,075 → Deep support and highly important. Supply zone (H4): Above 4,200 → Medium-term target zone. ⚙️ 4️⃣ LONDON/EU SESSION – TRADE SCENARIOS Since price is trading below the POC, short-term bias leans toward SELL setups targeting VAL. 🟢 Scenario 1 – BUY at VAL (Main Setup) Entry: 4,127 – 4,132 SL: 4,115 TP1: 4,155 TP2: 4,170 Reason: Mean reversion BUY setup at VAL provides a strong R:R, based on heavy demand in the lower Value Area. 🔴 Scenario 2 – SELL at POC (High Probability) Entry: 4,155 – 4,160 SL: 4,175 TP1: 4,135 TP2: 4,125 Activate only if price pulls back and prints bearish rejection candles at 4,155 – 4,160. ⚖️ Scenario 3 – Breakout Confirmation BUY breakout if H1 closes above 4,173: Entry: 4,175 SL: 4,160 TP: 4,190 – 4,200 SELL continuation if H1 closes below 4,122: Entry: 4,120 SL: 4,140 TP: 4,075
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mark_Melanie_Gold_Stragegy
XAUUSD - H2Let's see if today's price can keep 3x, that's good, otherwise it will test 4100 and then increase again 1. Current Market Structure ✔ Trend Bias: The H2 structure is bullish; repeated BOS on the way up and no strong bearish CHoCH since the 25–26 Nov swing low. ✔ Price is currently trading around: 4,156 – 4,157 …inside a short-term bullish consolidation after breaking the internal equal highs. 2. Key Levels From Chart 🔵 Liquidity BUY zone (Demand) 4,098 – 4,120 This is a strong accumulation zone + FVG + volume node. → If price retraces deep, this zone is the best high-RR buy setup. 🔵 Intermediate support 4,131 4,143 Expect price to react here on shallow pullbacks. 🔴 Liquidity SELL zone (Major supply) 4,238 – 4,247 This aligns with the previous major swing high + imbalance. → Market is clearly magnetized upward toward this area. 🔴 First reaction zone 4,194 – 4,200 Internal supply + FVG + diagonal trendline. → Expect a pullback or intraday distribution here. 3. Expectation Path (Based on your projection) Primary Scenario – Bullish Continuation Likely path based on your structure: Small retracement toward 4,143 → 4,131 Bounce upward targeting 4,171 → 4,194 Deeper reaction at 4,194–4,200 zone (minor internal supply) Final push into 4,238 – 4,247 liquidity sweep This matches your arrow projection and current bullish momentum. 4. Alternative Scenario – Deep Retrace Into BUY Liquidity If price fails to hold 4,131: It will likely revisit the 4,098 liquidity BUY zone Expect strong accumulation there This would still be bullish unless the LOW at 3,998 – 4,000 gets broken
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Winlouh
XAU/USD – Gold Holds Above Key Support as Pullback Stays LimitedGold remains capped below its two-week high during the Asian session, but the downside is clearly limited. Market sentiment is shaped by: A weaker USD as dovish Fed expectations gain traction Rising probability of rate cuts in upcoming meetings Improving global risk sentiment amid hopes of progress in Russia–Ukraine negotiations Even though Gold is retracing, the bigger picture remains bullish as long as price holds above key support zones. 📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Trading Style (M30/H1) Price is currently consolidating below the resistance cluster 4,156 – 4,170, retracing into multiple demand zones. Key Levels to Watch Support 1: 4,131 – 4,137 Support 2: 4,115 – 4,118 Support 3 (major liquidity): 4,083 – 4,090 Main Resistance: 4,170 – 4,193 Market structure shows a clean zigzag pullback, suggesting a potential bullish continuation once liquidity is collected below. 🎯 MMF Intraday Trading Plan Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Primary Bias) Best trade today: Buying retracements into demand. BUY: 4,115 – 4,118 SL: 4,103 TP: 4,131 → 4,156 → 4,170 BUY (extended liquidity sweep): 4,083 – 4,090 SL: 4,070 TP: 4,118 → 4,145 → 4,170 – 4,193 Reason: Fibo confluence + strong demand + liquidity zone = high-probability reversal area. Scenario 2 – Short-Term SELL (Scalp Only) Only valid if price rejects strongly at resistance. SELL: 4,156 – 4,170 SL: 4,177 TP: 4,145 → 4,131 This is not the main bias today. ⚜️ MMF Trading View Gold is forming a healthy pullback—not, at this stage, a bearish reversal. As long as price stays above 4,08x, the bullish structure remains intact. “In Gold, the goal isn’t chasing the breakout — it’s waiting for price to return to value.” Today’s focus: Prefer BUY setups on retracement – SELL only for quick scalps.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading