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27/11/25 Can Bulls Create a Strong Pullback? Wednesday’s candlestick (Nov 26) was a bull bar closing in its upper half with a prominent tail above. In our previous report, we stated that traders would watch to see if the bears could create more follow-through selling and extend the second leg sideways to down, or if the market would stall around the 4000 area and form candlesticks with long tails below in the days ahead, which could indicate some profit-taking activity. The market traded slightly lower but closed higher for the day and is holding around the 4000 area for now. The bulls hope the current decline will form a major higher low. They hope the recent tight trading range will be the final flag of the move and want the market to reverse back into the tight trading range. At the least, they hope for a small pullback to the 20-day EMA. They must produce strong consecutive bull bars to show they are clearly in control. The bears reached the measured-move target of the 4000–3950 area this week. The next target for the bears is the May low, around the 3800-50 area. The selloff formed a tight bear channel, indicating strong bearish sentiment and persistent selling pressure. If there is a pullback, the bears want the 20-day EMA to act as a resistance level. They want any pullback (bounce) to be weak, characterized by overlapping candlesticks and a long tail extending above. Fundamentals • Production: SPPOMA increased by about 5% in the first 25 days. • Refineries: Buying interest is still there at these low prices. Not paying premiums vs spot futures. • Exports: ITS said exports are down 18.48% in the first 25 days. Overall, the market sold off in a tight bear channel, indicating strong selling momentum. The market remains Always-In-Short. The selloff was also climactic and slightly oversold. There could be a minor pullback towards the 20-day EMA, which may have begun yesterday. Today (Thursday, Nov. 27), traders will watch to see if the bulls can create a consecutive bull bar closing near its high. Or will the market trade slightly higher, but the candlestick close below the middle of its range with a long tail above? Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
Gold prices traded in a narrow range today.Gold maintained its consolidation pattern, with the New York market rebounding after testing lower levels. On the daily chart, the closing price in New York has remained above the 10-day, 7-day, and 5-day moving averages for three consecutive trading days, with the price hovering around the upper Bollinger Band. The RSI indicator is above the midline. Short-term 4-hour and 1-hour charts show an upward trend, with the price moving along the upper Bollinger Band. However, the converging moving averages haven't yet led to increased volume or a sustained breakout. With the US market closed early today for Thanksgiving, the market is expected to continue its consolidation. Overall, the market remains slightly bullish. On the weekly chart, the price has found solid support at the 10-day moving average. The daily chart also shows a tendency to form a triangle pattern, with short-term resistance around 4180-85. Also note that the US market is closed early today for Thanksgiving, so market activity will not be very high! Key levels: First support level: 4153, Second support level: 4140, Third support level: 4132 First resistance level: 4180, Second resistance level: 4196, Third resistance level: 4208 Gold intraday trading strategy: Buy: 4140-4145, SL: 4130, TP: 4160-4170; Sell: 4195-4200, SL: 4210, TP: 4180-4170;
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Wall_street_jun
Gold Is Preparing for Its Next Major BreakoutHello everyone, Looking at the chart — and combining it with how fast macro signals are shifting — gold feels like a machine that’s just been recharged. In only two sessions, the price surged more than 120 USD even while the US Dollar Index stayed above 100. That’s a very clear sign that capital is choosing gold before the Fed makes any move. The market is now pricing in nearly an 83% chance that the Fed will cut rates by 0.25% on 10 December. This is no longer a vague expectation. Fed officials like Waller and Williams have softened their tone, signalling willingness to support cuts if the data doesn’t run too hot. When expected interest rates fall, gold essentially steps onto a “fast lane”: lower holding costs and stronger inflows from both defensive and speculative money. That’s why I’m leaning toward one scenario: gold continues to rise. If the price pulls back to 4,140–4,130 or even 4,120, I see these moves as healthy retracements — not signs of reversal. Once buying pressure returns, I expect gold to break above 4,160, move toward 4,200, and potentially expand into the 4,230–4,250 USD/oz region. What about you? Are you waiting for a pullback or planning to trade the breakout?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Momonoo
Nov 27, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Summary: Price has broken out of the previous consolidation zone, and bullish momentum remains strong. Today, the key levels to watch are 4175 on the upside and 4158 on the downside. If price breaks and holds above 4175, bulls maintain control → bias shifts to buying pullbacks into support. If price breaks below 4158, bearish pressure increases → bias shifts to selling rallies into resistance. Today’s trading difficulty may be similar to a typical Friday session — stay cautious and follow the trend instead of fighting it. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 4200 – Resistance • 4193 – Resistance • 4184 – Resistance • 4170–4174 – Key resistance zone • 4158 – Important intraday support • 4151 – Support • 4142 – Support • 4130–4133 – Support 📈 Intraday Strategy: SELL: If price breaks below 4158 → target 4154, with further downside toward 4150, 4142, 4137 BUY: If price holds above 4175 → target 4180, with further upside toward 4184, 4187, 4193
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
Natural Gas: The Rally Continues!!Technical Analysis & Order Flow 1. Natural Gas (NATGAS) - The Primary Weekly/Daily: Price has broken out of a multi-year base. The strong impulse candles suggest institutional buying. We are likely in Level 3 of a standard Market Maker cycle (the trending phase). 4H Structure: Price is making clear Higher Highs and Higher Lows. The recent pause at 4.437 is a Bullish Consolidation (Time Correction). Liquidity: There is "clean" buy-side liquidity above 4.500. A break of this level will likely trigger a gamma squeeze to 4.800. Order Block: The 4.350 level represents a key Bullish Order Block (previous resistance turned support) on the 1H chart. We want to see price wick into this zone and reject lower prices. 2. DXY (US Dollar) - The Inverse Indicator Analysis: DXY is currently testing a major resistance zone at 100.20 – 100.50 (Blue Box on your chart). Trigger: If DXY rejects this level and drops toward 99.00, it provides a massive tailwind for Commodities (incl. NatGas of course). Caution: A DXY 4H candle close above 100.50 would invalidate the immediate bullish momentum for Gas. 3. Peabody Energy (BTU) - The Correlation (Coal/Energy Sector) Analysis: BTU is lagging behind the Gas rally but is finding support at the 26.00 level. Signal: We watch for BTU to break above 26.50. If Coal starts rallying, it confirms the broader "Energy Sector" bid, adding confidence to the Nat.Gas long. Execution Strategy Monday Open: Gap open likely! We don't chase the gap up if it opens above 4.500. The "Trap": We watch for a False Move (Stop Hunt) lower during the London session (approx. 3:00 AM - 5:00 AM ET) down into the 4.380 area. Entry Trigger: We enter long when we see a 15m bullish engulfing candle or a W-Pattern forming inside the 4.350-4.380 zone. Trade Management : We move Stop Loss to BE once price clears 4.500; Verdicts: Technical Trend: ✅ Strong Bullish Seasonality: ✅ Bullish (Winter Heating Demand) Volume Profile: ✅ Expanding on Up-moves Trade Probability: High (80%+)
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by OwlResearch
2
BRENT OIL ANALYSIS - Nov 22 - is this the bottom?BRENT OIL - Weekly Outlook Current Price: 62.39 Context: At BOTTOM of recent range (61.80-65.00). Bouncing off weekly lows. Range-bound after multi-week decline. Bias: NEUTRAL-to-BEARISH (range trade until breakout) TRADE IDEAS FOR NEXT WEEK SETUP 1: LONG from Support (most current opportunity) Entry: 62.00-62.50 (preferably after sweep of prev. week's low) Stop Loss: 61.50 TP1: 63.50 (partial - 40%) TP2: 64.50 (partial - 40%) TP3: 65.00 (final - 20%) Logic: Price at support, oversold on daily. Range trade targeting middle/top of range. Pros: At support, good R:R, clear levels Cons: Oil fundamentals weak, could break lower SETUP 2: SHORT from Resistance (HIGH PROBABILITY) Entry: 64.50-65.20 Stop Loss: 66.50 TP1: 63.50 (30%) TP2: 62.00 (40%) TP3: 60.50 (30%) Logic: Resistance zone rejection. Range top. Downtrend bias continues. Pros: High R:R, higher timeframe trend continuation, clear rejection zone Cons: Need to wait for rally first KEY LEVELS Support Zones: 61.80-62.00 ← Weekly low (CRITICAL support - holding NOW) 60.50-61.00 ← Next major support if breakdown 42-45 ← Long-term support Resistance Zones: 63.00-63.50 ← Immediate resistance 64.50-65.20 ← Weekly high / major resistance 66.50-67.00 ← Next resistance if breakout
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTBRENT
by OwlResearch
1
S&P Futures Trading Day 76 — Trading Away From the Keyboard GoneEnded the day -$921 trading S&P Futures. This was a tough one to swallow. I was busy running around and away from the screens, so I set limit orders at major levels I was confident would reject. Unfortunately, the market had other plans—a surprise short squeeze triggered by the Ukraine peace deal news broke through everything. In hindsight, I should have sized down to 5 MES instead of 10 given I wasn't watching the charts, but truthfully, this felt like one of those unavoidable losses where a macro shock simply invalidates the technicals. 🔔News Highlights: *UKRAINE AGREES TO PEACE DEAL WITH US, TALKS WITH RUSSIA UNDERWAY 📈 Key Levels for Tomorrow: Above 6790= Bullish Level Below 6740= Bearish Level
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
XAUUSD — PRO ANALYSIS (27/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)1. Market Overview Gold is currently consolidating inside a tight intraday range 4154–4168, holding above the 200MA while failing multiple times to break the 4171–4173 supply zone. Current conditions show compression, suggesting liquidity buildup for Asia before London expansion. Macro bullish structure remains intact but short-term direction is indecisive until breakout occurs. ⸻ 2. Technical Breakdown D1 • Macro bullish trend structure remains active. • RSI mid-zone → momentum neutral, market waiting for catalyst. • Price capped by trendline + supply at 4171–4173, support below at 4140–4127. H1 • Higher-low structure still intact above 4140. • Price hovering below mid-term resistance 4168–4173. • Break above = bullish continuation → 4183/4198. • Break below 4140 = structure shift → deeper correction likely. 15M–5M • Compression wedge forming — equal highs & equal lows visible. • MACD flattening → energy building, expansion incoming. • Manipulation highly likely before directional move. ⸻ 3. Fibonacci Analysis Swing Measured: 4140 → 4171 Level Price 38.2% 4159 50% 4155 61.8% 4151 🟦 Golden Zone: 4159 – 4151 Ideal retracement for long entries — only valid if structure confirms. ⸻ 4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📉 SELL Setup (Primary Bias) Sell Zone: 4168 – 4173 Targets: 4159 → 4151 → 4140 → 4127 SL: Above 4180 Confirmations Required: • 5M CHoCH • Rejection candle + MACD momentum shift ⸻ 📉 SELL Breakout Setup Trigger: Clean break & retest below 4140 Targets: 4127 → 4114 → 4105 SL: 4159 Bias strengthens if volume increases with break. ⸻ 📈 BUY Setup (Countertrend) Buy Zone: 4159 – 4151 (Golden Zone) Targets: 4164 → 4168 → 4173 SL: 4146 Only trade with BOS + clear bullish rejection. ⸻ 📈 BUY Breakout Setup Trigger: Break + hold above 4173 Retest Entry: 4168–4171 Targets: 4183 → 4198 → 4220 SL: 4159 ⸻ 5. Fundamental Watch • Asia normally sets range → main move expected London/US. • DXY direction will decide breakout strength. • Expect liquidity sweeps at extremes before expansion. ⸻ 6. Key Technical Levels Type Levels Resistance 4164 / 4168 / 4173 / 4183 Support 4155 / 4151 / 4140 / 4127 / 4114 Break Buy Trigger > 4173 Break Sell Trigger < 4140 ⸻ 7. Analyst Summary Gold is coiling inside consolidation — breakout pending. Sell bias active below 4173, with momentum favouring downside into 4159 → 4151 → 4140. Bullish continuation only confirmed after 4173 breakout hold. Patience > prediction — wait for trap/sweep before entries. ⸻ 8. Final Bias Summary Bearish-leaning range. Sell rejection 4168–4173, Buy only 4159–4151 if confirmed. Breakout levels decide next wave. ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 26/11/2025 🥇 ⚡ Smart Entries. Consistent Wins. 📈 BUY +200 PIPS 📉 SELL +60 PIPS 📉 SELL +20 PIPS 📈 BUY +50 PIPS 📉 SELL +20 PIPS 📉 SELL +60 PIPS 📈 BUY +100 PIPS ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💎 SWING TRADES – STILL RUNNING 🔵 BUY → +2,850 PIPS 🟣 BUY → +1,730 PIPS 📊 Long-term setups maintaining bullish structure while intraday precision continues delivering steady gains. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💰 TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +510 PIPS 🎯 7 Signals → 7 Wins 🔥 100% Accuracy ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ✅ Another flawless trading day — precise setups, clean executions, and consistent results! Stay tuned for tomorrow’s continuation 📈 — ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by ELDORADOFX
Nasdaq 100 (NQ): Hyper-Extended Momentum – Breakout or Exhaust Category: Trend Analysis / Support & Resistance Ticker: NQ1! (CME) Analysis: We are looking at the Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ1!) on the 1H timeframe using the Dynamic Support & Resistance (DSRTL) system. The market is currently displaying a textbook example of a high-momentum breakout that has pushed into statistical extremes. Here is the breakdown of the current technical landscape based on the indicator's Matrix Logic: 1. The "Hyper Extension" State (S1 / D1) The indicator’s dashboard has triggered a "HYPER EXTENSION" alert. This specific state occurs when two conditions are met simultaneously: • Static Breakout (S1): Price has cleared the horizontal resistance structures (indicated by the volume clusters). • Dynamic Overextension (D1): Price has pierced above the upper limit of the dynamic trend channel (the purple trendlines). 2. Bias: Extreme Bullish The current bias is rated as "Extreme Bullish". The trend is undeniably strong, confirmed by the positive Volume Delta (+965) shown on the dashboard. The price action is aggressive, creating a steep angle of ascent that has moved away from the mean. 3. The Warning Signal: Exhaustion Risk While the trend is up, the system issues a cautionary note: "Exhaustion Risk. Trail stops." In technical terms, when price action moves into "D1" (Dynamic Overextension), it indicates that the asset is trading significantly above its standard deviation or channel geometry. Historically, markets often seek mean reversion or consolidation after such rapid expansions to sustain the trend. Key Levels to Watch: • Dynamic Support (Immediate): The top of the purple channel (approx. 25,220) acts as the first layer of defense. A retest of this level is common after a breakout. • Static Support (Structural): The breakdown level of the previous resistance, now turning into support around the 24.95K region. Scenario Conclusion: This is a pure momentum play. Traders should be aware that while the path of least resistance is up, the probability of a "snap-back" or consolidation increases the further price stretches above the dynamic channel. This is not a signal to short the trend immediately, but rather a signal to manage risk tightly on existing long positions. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and explains the logic of the DSRTL technical indicator. It does not constitute financial advice.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by ata_sabanci
Paid in Full !!I started at seventeen, believing the market was a puzzle to be solved. I now understand it is a mirror, and I was the puzzle all along. The money I lost was not lost; it was tuition paid to the most rigorous professor of all—experience. It taught me the visceral weight of risk, the quiet erosion of hope in a drawdown, and the stark difference between being right in theory and being profitable in practice. Each loss carved away a piece of my arrogance, leaving space for humility and respect for the unknown. The countless hours spent studying charts were not about predicting the future, but about learning to read the present with clarity. I was not learning to master the markets; I was learning to master my reaction to them. The charts whispered lessons in probability, not certainty. They taught me that discipline is the only edge that cannot be arbitraged away. The greatest value I gained was not in the occasional profitable trade, but in the recalibration of my own character. The market forged in me a colder eye for truth, a patience I did not know I possessed, and the resilience to be wrong, repeatedly, without being broken. I entered as a student of price action. I am becoming a student of myself. The profits and losses are merely the scorekeeper. The real transformation is in the mind—a slow, arduous, and priceless alchemy where fear and greed are gradually refined into discipline and perspective. The journey continues, but I no longer look for an endpoint; I look for a deeper understanding. The master is not a title one earns, but a continuous state of learning, honed in the silent, relentless classroom of the charts.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Sifiso_Ntshingila
2
Gold at Major Confluence Zone — 4170 is the Key Breakout LevelGold is currently testing a major confluence area formed by multiple structural levels. Price is now touching: The upper boundary of the black descending channel – A confirmed breakout would signal the end of the bearish leg. The 50% midpoint of the blue channel – Breaking above it opens the door toward the upper side of the main ascending channel. The upper boundary of the yellow channel – Not completed or validated yet, so considered secondary until structure develops further. All these technical elements meet around the 4170$ level, making it the key breakout point to unlock bullish continuation. A strong close above 4170 may shift momentum upward and push price toward higher channel targets. Failure to break it keeps price inside current structure. Further updates will follow with confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kin99old