Futures market
XAUUSD H1 – Bulls or Bears, Who Takes Control?🟡 XAUUSD (H1) Trading Setup
Gold is trading near 3749, right between strong supply and demand zones. The market is building liquidity, and the next H1 close will decide direction.
🟢 Bullish Case
If price breaks and holds above 3760–3770, it shows buyers gaining strength. Example: A strong H1 candle close above 3770 can push price towards 3780 – 3800.
🔴 Bearish Case
If price rejects from 3760–3770 and breaks below 3720, sellers will take control. Example: A clean break below 3720 could open the way to 3700 or lower demand zones.
📌 Reasoning: Price is reacting perfectly to supply & demand zones, so confirmation on H1 close is the key before entering.
⚖️ Conclusion: Market is neutral for now – wait for breakout or rejection before choosing buy or sell.
Day 37 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$1,559 Bearish BreakdownDay 37 of Trading Only S&P Futures is wrapped up with a strong green day — finishing +$1,559.
The session didn’t start smooth. Running on 4 hours of sleep, I accidentally put in a buy order instead of a sell order at the 1-min MOB level. That mistake cost me some early profits, but once I flipped short, the bearish structure was undeniable.
From there, it was all about riding the trend down — stacking shorts as sell signals and structure aligned. A strong reminder that even with mistakes, discipline and following the signals can still turn the day around.
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6725 = Flip Bullish
Below 6708 = Remain Bearish
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Bullish Analysis – GOLD
1. Bearish Zone Mitigation
Price fully mitigated the areas where institutions had pending orders → sweeping liquidity.
2. Change of Character (ChoCh) + BOS
The deep pullback created a ChoCh and later a BOS, confirming bullish continuation.
3. Fake Out + Rejection
A possible fake out around current levels before confirming rejection and resuming the bullish leg.
4. Target 3,767 🎯
Next target is projected at 3,767, aiming to form a new Higher High (HH).
✅ Conclusion: Institutions have completed the reset, and now the outlook favors bullish continuation. GOOD LUCK TRADERS… ;)
Gold Futures – Pullback Into H4 Supply Before Drop to Demand?Price sold off strongly from 3812 resistance and is now correcting higher. On the H4, I see a bearish supply zone between 3791.4–3769.9, which aligns with prior POC acceptance around 3790. If price pulls back into this area and fails, I expect continuation lower into the H4 demand zone at 3746.3–3735.2, which also lines up with Daily Low (DL) and Weekly High (WH) liquidity markers.
Levels to Watch:
Bearish H4 Supply: 3791.4–3769.9
Bullish H4 Demand: 3746.3–3735.2
Invalidation: Break & hold above 3795 could target 3812 liquidity.
Targets: First 3746.3, extended 3735.2.
Bias: Bearish pullback scenario into supply → downside continuation.
XAUUSD (sep 25, 2025)🔎 XAUUSD H1 (Sep 25, 2025) — ICT/SMC View
1. Demand Zone Reaction (~3,723–3,730)
Price tapped into the marked demand area, showing potential mitigation.
This zone represents the last down candle before the impulsive move up → a valid Daily/H1 demand.
2. Bullish Structure Expectation
After mitigation, price may build short-term higher lows.
The projected path (your green lines) shows consolidation → accumulation → expansion upward.
3. Intermediate Supply Zone (~3,765–3,770)
Price could face resistance here.
If rejected, intraday pullbacks are possible before continuation higher.
4. Liquidity Target (BSL ~3,790)
Above recent highs sits a pool of buy-side liquidity (BSL).
If bullish momentum continues, the market may seek this liquidity as a target.
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🎯 Trade Planning Idea
Entry bias: Look for confirmation longs in the 3,723–3,730 demand zone.
First Target: 3,765–3,770 (intermediate supply / partials).
Final Target: ~3,790 (BSL sweep).
Invalidation: A clean H1 close below 3,723 demand zone (would shift bias back to bearish).
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⚠️ Notes
Daily bias is still bullish (higher highs on D1), so this setup aligns with the higher timeframe flow.
Watch for intraday liquidity sweeps — price may dip below minor lows before continuing upward.
This remains a scenario plan, not a guaranteed outcome.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice or a trading signal. It is an educational analysis based on ICT/SMC concepts. Please manage your own risk and make independent decisions.
#XAU/USDTOver the past few days, I have been experimenting with a new strategy that I recently implemented on my charts, and I wanted to share my experience here. Yesterday, I decided to test this method by opening a sell position. The strategy is based on a combination of indicators, with the CCI (Commodity Channel Index) playing a very important role in identifying potential entry points. When I noticed the signals aligning in favor of a short position, I entered the trade and the outcome was successful, which gave me more confidence in this setup.
Encouraged by the results, I applied the same technique today but this time for a buy position. The conditions on the chart matched my rules for confirmation: the indicator setup provided clear signals that suggested an upward opportunity was forming. Based on this, I executed a buy trade. Looking at the current price action and the way the chart is developing, this moment appears to be one of the best possible times to go long, at least according to the rules defined in my strategy.
What I find particularly interesting about this approach is that it is adaptable to both directions — it worked effectively in a downtrend yesterday and is now showing strength in an uptrend today. The CCI indicator, in combination with my chosen filters, allows me to spot shifts in momentum more clearly and with higher confidence.
Of course, like any trading idea, this is not financial advice and everyone should manage their own risk carefully. However, based on my personal testing and the chart conditions right now, I believe that the buy opportunity at this stage carries strong potential.
Gold to $7,000 before a major pullback?Based on these monthly measured moves dating back to the 60s, the targets have been reached every time before multi-year pullbacks.
We are already seven years into this next leg higher, which should take us to at least $7,000.
There will be dips along the way. . . but they should be relatively minor in the grand scheme of things.
GOLD 4HR CHARTTHE STRUCTURE of market always give us clue on potential up or down swing.
the daily chart i posted for free yesterday ,i told everyone gold is facing a daily supply roof and it will sell today and at 3780-3779 we saw the rejection .
my new goal is to see gold price below 3700 mark, now its defended at 3725 zone to retest a broken demand floor and will continue to sell ,the strategy is simple .
DXY AND US10Y BULLISH FOR NOW ,A BEARISH CORREECTION FOR GOLD .
i will update soon on all price movement
GOLD | Pullback from 3750 Resistance to 3710–3720 Support Ahead Gold is expected to show short-term moves before tomorrow’s key 13:30 data release:
First, a potential rise toward 3750 resistance,
Followed by a pullback into the 3710–3720 support zone.
The ability to hold or break this support will largely depend on the upcoming data.
📌 A sustained break above 3750 could signal further bullish momentum.
📌 A breakdown below 3710–3720 would increase bearish pressure.
XAU/USD – Bearish Pullback Targets 3,630 and 3,525Current Price: 3,724 USD (approx)
Trend Context: After a strong rally from early September, price is now consolidating and showing signs of a short-term pullback.
Key Levels from the Chart
Stop Loss Zone: 3,767 – 3,775
Entry Zone (short bias): 3,750 – 3,762
First Support / Mid Target: 3,741
Primary Target 1: 3,630 – 3,623
Target 2 / Major Support: 3,525 – 3,524
Price Action & Structure
The market recently failed to hold above the 3,762–3,775 resistance band and is sliding back into prior demand zones.
A break and close below 3,741 would strengthen the bearish momentum.
The next significant support sits around 3,630, a prior consolidation shelf. If that fails, the deeper target near 3,525 (the second EA Target Point) becomes plausible.
Momentum & Risk View
Short-term momentum indicators (from the candle structure) show lower highs and heavier selling wicks—typical of distribution after a strong uptrend.
Risk management is clear: shorts above 3,767 are invalidated.
Trading Outlook
Bearish bias while below 3,762.
Conservative plan: Wait for a confirmed 3-hour close under 3,741 before considering downside continuation toward 3,630 and possibly 3,525.
If price reclaims and holds above 3,762, the bearish setup is negated and buyers could attempt another push to new highs.
GOLD XAUUSD THE STRUCTURE of market always give us clue on potential up or down swing.
the daily chart i posted for free yesterday ,i told everyone gold is facing a daily supply roof and it will sell today and at 3780-3779 we saw the rejection .
my new goal is to see gold price below 3700 mark, now its defended at 3725 zone to retest a broken demand floor and will continue to sell ,the strategy is simple .
DXY AND US10Y BULLISH FOR NOW ,A BEARISH CORREECTION FOR GOLD .
i will update soon on all price movement
GOLD THE STRUCTURE of market always give us clue on potential up or down swing.
the daily chart i posted for free yesterday ,i told everyone gold is facing a daily supply roof and it will sell today and at 3780-3779 we saw the rejection .
my new goal is to see gold price below 3700 mark, now its defended at 3725 zone to retest a broken demand floor and will continue to sell ,the strategy is simple .
DXY AND US10Y BULLISH FOR NOW ,A BEARISH CORREECTION FOR GOLD .
i will update soon on all price movement