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GOLD VS BTC: 2026 Like it or not, Bitcoin is behaving like a risk on asset but with the seasonality of a commodity. so there are reasons to compare the pair with its rival Gold to peek into the future, much like people do with the dollar and its fake blockchain derivates. the implications of a brutal 2025 bear market could be really bad for crypto and I seriously doubt that market makers would ever allow that. however, it's clear that they are playing with retail emotions pretty hard since COVID happened. everything is permitted, also a great wealth transfer. especially when nationwide "blackouts" happens in first world countries like Spain and France.
TVC:GOLD
by saturnv4
XAU/USD: Strong Rally Fueled by Fed Rate Cuts and Weak USDGold prices have experienced a strong growth on November 24 , supported by expectations that the Fed will lower interest rates next month. The weakening USD has made gold less expensive for holders of other currencies, thereby driving the price of gold higher. The market is increasingly confident that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates , creating a favorable environment for gold to rise. Chart Analysis: On the H4 chart, XAU/USD is trading within a clear ascending wedge . After testing the 4,090 support zone, the price could rebound and aim for 4,200. The support at 4,090 remains intact, indicating that the upward trend could continue in the short term. A break above the resistance levels near 4,150 could open up opportunities for gold to continue its upward movement. Conclusion: With a positive macro backdrop and strong technical indicators , XAU/USD may continue its upward momentum, with a target of 4,200 in the near term, as long as the current trend persists.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Paradise_Noir
23
Gold Forming Dual Patterns – Break Above 4170 or Invalidation BeXAUUSD – Gold Technical Analysis Update Gold recently broke above the upper boundary of the black price channel, then pulled back and respected the 50% level of the rising channel twice, indicating active demand and a strong reaction zone. Price is currently forming two potential patterns simultaneously: Cup & Handle pattern Head & Shoulders formation The next move depends on breakout direction. 📈 Bullish Scenario A confirmed breakout above 4170$ activates bullish continuation, with targets aligned to both patterns and channel structure: 4292$ 4310$ These levels correspond with the upper boundary of the white ascending channel, suggesting a clean extension to the upside if momentum holds. ❗ Bullish Scenario Invalidation If price breaks below 4110$, the bullish outlook is cancelled and structure must be reassessed. Further updates will be posted once confirmation occurs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kin99old
NQ on Major Support Target 36,490Nasdaq 100 index is on major support since September. This is the area you want to buy and as it goes up take some profits if you want for a potential check back into support around early 2027 (green path). There's the alternative scenario (orange path) that we just trend right up to 36,490 resistance and then have a major pullback to the long term trend. This one is less likely, but possible. Either way if you sell some of your position (like shorter term options) in the middle of the range you're likely to be in a better position than holding the entire time as eventually that lower trend should get hit and that's a lot of time decay to ruin your positions. Good luck!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by bwy
Gold: Buyers Regain Control and Push the Trend FurtherHello everyone, the gold market is entering a fascinating phase — where each price swing seems to tell the story of buyers gradually reclaiming control. When placing the current technical structure alongside recent updates from Kitco News, one thing becomes clear: the probability of gold continuing higher in the coming sessions is stronger than any opposing signal. During yesterday’s US session, gold held firmly above 4,100 USD/oz — a level that isn’t easy to sustain without meaningful underlying demand. What’s even more notable is that this happened while other markets were quiet because of the holiday mood. The ability of gold to stay resilient in such a muted environment suggests that accumulation is still flowing quietly beneath the surface. This week, the market will face a series of key US data releases: Retail Sales, PPI, preliminary GDP, Jobless Claims, and PCE . Each of these is capable of acting as a fresh catalyst for gold — especially if US economic momentum cools or inflation continues to soften. That is precisely what the bullish side is hoping for. At the same time, a report from El País hints that China may be purchasing more gold than what is officially disclosed. If true, this represents a persistent but hard-to-track source of demand — the kind of structural flow that can support a long-term uptrend even when surface-level sentiment wavers. Technically, gold has broken out and closed firmly above the 4,080–4,100 FVG, with the Ichimoku cloud below forming a stable layer of support. The higher-low structure remains intact, signalling not just strength but control from the buyers. As a result, any pullback into support is likely to be accumulation rather than the start of a reversal. Putting all these elements together, I lean toward a clear scenario: gold still has room to move higher. Price may first dip back to 4,100–4,080 to retest support before aiming for 4,200 — and if momentum cooperates, an extension toward 4,250, aligning with November’s high and a major technical barrier, is on the table. With both news and technicals aligning convincingly, the bullish case remains my preferred outlook for now. What about you — what do you see on your chart?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Momonoo
8
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Levels, Setups for Wed (Nov 26)Market Overview The equity markets are currently facing a pivotal moment. The E-mini S&P 500 (ES) has made a significant rebound from the daily low around 6,520, approaching robust resistance levels formed by the highs of the previous week and yesterday. Both daily and 4-hour charts reveal a consistent pattern of higher lows emerging from a recent trough. However, the price now finds itself just beneath a key distribution cap and Fibonacci extension zone, estimated between 6,810 and 6,888. The daily momentum oscillator has shifted upward from an oversold position and remains at a mid-range level, indicating that while it is not yet overbought, the general trend still favors buying the dips, provided that crucial support levels are maintained. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 (NQ) mirrors this momentum, hovering near its New York Pre-Market (NYPM) peak. Recent gains have been bolstered by impressive earnings from Nvidia, highlighting the ongoing AI narrative, even as concerns about a potential market bubble begin to emerge, with NVDA's stock showing signs of volatility. Events & News for Wednesday 26 Nov (Pre-Thanksgiving) Wednesday is a data-heavy session in the U.S., and it’s also the last “normal” day before the Thanksgiving holiday liquidity vacuum. Expect volatility spikes and potential regime shifts around: • 08:30 ET – Weekly jobless claims plus a cluster of delayed October releases: durable goods orders, trade balance/wholesale data, personal income & core PCE inflation, and related indicators. • 10:00 ET – New home sales and other housing-related data. • 10:30 ET – EIA crude oil inventories (can move risk sentiment via energy/curve). • 14:00 ET – Fed Beige Book, giving an updated regional read on growth and inflation ahead of December’s FOMC meeting. In addition, the BEA has postponed the Q3 GDP second estimate that had been scheduled for this week, so markets are leaning more heavily on the data above for macro guidance. Net takeaway: 8:30 ET is the main volatility window, with a second impulse risk at 10:00–10:30 and potential trend extension or reversal into the NY morning kill-zone. Key Zones (ES Z-25, based on current structure) Immediate Resistance • R1: 6,790–6,795 NYPM High / Prior Day High cluster (NYPM.H 6,792.5, PDH & Y-VAH 6,792.5). Sellers have defended this intraday band so far; it’s the lid of today’s range. • R2: 6,805–6,815 1H fib extension 1.272 (≈ 6,810.25) plus likely PWH vicinity. First HTF extension above today’s range; a clean “stop run & decision zone” if 6,795 breaks. • R3: 6,840–6,850 1H fib extension 1.618 (≈ 6,847.25). If buyers punch through R2, this is the next logical magnet and a strong candidate for an exhaustion spike on good data. • R4: 6,880–6,900 1H fib 2.000 (≈ 6,888) and prior daily swing-high area. That whole 6,888–6,900 pocket is a big-picture objective and, for now, a likely “weak high” that could attract a stop run but also host the first serious counter-trend attempts. Support / Demand • S1: 6,765–6,775 Yesterday’s POC (~6,769.5), NY lunch high/NYL.H (6,774.25), and top of the 1H consolidation shelf. As long as the market keeps closing above this band on 15–60m, the short-term uptrend remains intact. • S2: 6,720–6,735 Y-VAL 6,720.5, LO.H 6,721.5, ONH 6,732.5. This is the top of the prior value area and a natural “buy-the-dip” location if 6,770 gives way on data noise. • S3: 6,670–6,705 NYAM.L 6,674.5, IB Low 6,674.5, ONL 6,701.75, plus current LOL 6,701.75. If we get a deeper flush, this is the primary intraday demand band where bulls must step back in to preserve the recent trend from the daily low. • S4: 6,560–6,580 PDL 6,574.5 and top of the larger daily discount block. A break and sustained acceptance below here would open the door for a much larger retrace back toward the 6,520–6,420 HTF discount zone (daily 1.272/1.618 fibs). Market Outlook: Bias & Forecast (Overnight → NY Session) Structural Bias: The prevailing market sentiment remains bullish as long as the E-mini S&P 500 (ES) sustains its position above the support range of 6,720–6,735 on a closing basis. The likely trajectory indicates a probing towards the 6,810–6,850 extension band. While the recent rally shows signs of being extended, it has not yet reached a point of definitive exhaustion, pointing towards a “late-stage impulse” rather than a confirmed top. Overnight → London Session: The base case anticipates a sideways-to-moderately downward movement from the 6,790s back toward the support levels of S1/S2 (6,765 → 6,730). This move aims to address intraday imbalances without disturbing the overall market structure. Should liquidity be limited, there may be an attempt during the London session to trigger stops through today's highs, directing attention towards resistance levels R2 (6,805–6,815) ahead of the New York session's developments. New York AM Session (8:30–11:00 ET): Should robust data emerge—indicating a favorable economic climate with subdued core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) and steady labor claims—this is likely to spark a rally through R1 towards R2/R3, targeting 6,810 and subsequently 6,847 as key upside magnets. Conversely, a negative surprise featuring weak growth, a troubling inflation mix, or a risk-off sentiment evident in the Beige Book later in the day could dramatically alter the market landscape, potentially driving a liquidation toward support levels S2/S3, or in case of an unexpected shock, even probing S4 over the coming 24 to 48 hours. In the near term, the expectation leans towards a gradual upward movement with shallow pullbacks, aiming for the 6,810–6,847 range. However, traders should remain vigilant for an increased risk of an exhaustion spike and a possible intraday reversal as this target zone is approached. A++ Setups for Tomorrow A++ Setup 1 – Trend Long from Retest of 6,730–6,770 Trigger: Price trades down into 6,730–6,770 (S1/S2 overlap) either overnight or on the 8:30 data flush. 15m prints a higher low and closes back above ~6,755, reclaiming the mid-range. 5m confirms with a clear reclaim and hold of 6,760–6,770, then a higher low on 1m. Entry Zone: 6,760–6,775 on a clean pullback after reclaim (not the first knife-catch wick). Initial Stop: Below 6,720, tucked beyond Y-VAL/LO.H and the pullback low (≈ 35–45 pts risk depending on your exact fill). Targets: • TP1: 6,810–6,815 (R2 / 1.272 fib). • TP2: 6,840–6,850 (R3 / 1.618 fib). • Stretch: 6,880–6,900 (R4 / 2.0 fib) if data and risk sentiment stay supportive. A++ Setup 2 – Exhaustion Short from 6,847–6,888 Trigger: Impulsive move into 6,847–6,888 during NY AM or early PM, ideally on or shortly after 8:30 data. 15m candle shows rejection (long upper wick) and closes back below ~6,847. 5m prints a lower high under that rejection high, and 1m fails to make new highs on retests. Entry Zone: 6,845–6,865 on the first proper lower-high after the rejection (avoid shorting the exact wick; let the LH print). Initial Stop: Above 6,900, beyond the 2.0 fib and psychological round number (≈ 35–45 pts risk). Targets: • TP1: 6,790–6,795 (R1 / NYPMH/PDH cluster). • TP2: 6,760–6,770 (S1 pivot band). • Stretch: 6,720–6,735 (S2 / top of value) if selling pressure persists.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
XAUUSD continues to rise after the Adam & Eve patternOANDA:XAUUSD is really interesting right now. The price seems likely to rise further after the formation of the Adam & Eve pattern. With such an easy-to-remember name, the Adam & Eve pattern is one of the most memorable. I will explain below the reasons and how to recognize it easily. The Adam pattern is characterized by a sharp drop, followed by a quick recovery, forming a "V" on the chart. High, sharp, and aggressive! One could say it's more "masculine." On the other hand, the Eve pattern develops more slowly. The price becomes more rounded, forming a wider and smoother base before rising again, creating a shape similar to the letter "U." Softer, more curved, and more "feminine." Combining these two elements gives us the Adam & Eve pattern, which often signals a potential trend reversal. Especially when accompanied by fundamental analysis or other strong technical indicators. This pattern will stick in your mind when you connect its shapes to the male and female aspects. A pattern that is truly hard to forget.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Luiss_Miguel
1
Recovery phaseFollowing a "Double Bottom," currently testing key resistance levels within a broader bullish context (indicated by the large green Ichimoku cloud). The price has successfully reclaimed the 0.618 level (4,149.1). Holding above this level is crucial for the bullish thesis to continue. The price is approaching the 0.786 level (4,193.5). A breakout here usually opens the door for a retest of the previous high. If the price breaks the previous high (Level 1 at 4,250), the chart projects targets at the 1.272 extension (4,321.8) and the 1.618 extension (4,413.2). The price is trading well above the Green Kumo (Cloud), which acts as a major dynamic support zone. This generally indicates a long-term bullish trend. The Tenkan-Sen (Blue, 4,123.7) is currently below the Kijun-Sen (Red, 4,147.5), which is technically a weak signal. However, the current price (4,167) has moved above both lines, which is an early signal of renewed momentum. The status box at the bottom right notes "Status: Consolidation," likely waiting for the Tenkan to cross above the Kijun for a confirmed "Strong" buy signal. A clear "Double Bottom" pattern formed around the 3,985 level (the 0 Fib line). This is a classic reversal pattern that provided the floor for the current rally. There is an annotation for a "Bear Asc. Head and Shoulders." However, the price action has pushed up through the right shoulder, largely invalidating this bearish setup. Current Move: A breakout from the consolidation zone between 4,080 and 4,150. Short-Term Pullback: The projection anticipates a small dip or retest (likely bouncing off the 4,250 resistance initially). Breakout: The projection implies a final surge breaking the 4,250 high, aiming for the Fibonacci extensions at 4,321 and 4,413. Pivot/Support 4,149 (0.618 Fib) Must hold to maintain immediate bullish momentum. Major Support 4,118 - 4,123 Confluence of 0.5 Fib and Tenkan-Sen. Loss of this level turns the trend neutral/bearish. Key Resistance 4,193.5 The 0.786 Fib level; the next hurdle to clear. Breakout Target 4,250 Previous High. Clearing this confirms the resumption of the macro uptrend. Insight The chart suggests a Bullish Bias. The "Double Bottom" provided a strong floor, and the price reclaiming the 0.618 Fibonacci level is a sign of strength. The primary risk is the "Consolidation", watch for the Tenkan-Sen (Blue line) to cross above the Kijun-Sen (Red line) to confirm the next leg up.
COMEX:GC1!
by hilmiyus
ES UpdateMFI is overbought, RSI is about to get there, but I think all we will get is a dip and not a tank because FDAX regained support. I'm assuming a slow melt up at this point, I don't play melt ups with options, so unless there's a big drop, don't expect updates. The blue resistance line represents where the market was before Trump's tariff announcement, so at this point we're right back to where we were, lol. Also, all of the gaps filled, so I don't have an upward or downward target.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by hungry_hippo
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (26/11/2025, ASIA)Gold enters Asia holding above key intraday support after a corrective US move. Price is compressing inside a breakout structure, sitting between liquidity pockets and preparing for a directional expansion. Momentum indicators show early recovery signals, but the session remains sensitive to liquidity sweeps from Tuesday’s volatility. ⸻ 📉 Technical Outlook 🔵 D1 • Daily structure remains bullish above 4,022–3,936 demand zone. • Price is forming higher lows inside a tightening wedge. • RSI recovering from mid-levels (≈57), indicating potential upside continuation if liquidity allows. 🟣 H1 • Price consolidating between 4,159 high and 4,121 intraday low. • Rejection from upper trendline + BOS retest confirms Asia range conditions. • H1 liquidity sits both above 4,142 and below 4,121 → expect stop sweeps before trend direction. 🟢 15M–5M • Multiple BOS & CHoCH confirming short-term compression. • Price trading just above 50 EMA & near 200 EMA support at 4,113–4,121. • Momentum histogram turning positive after London close recovery. ⸻ 📐 Fibonacci Golden Zone Last swing: Swing High: 4,159 Swing Low: 4,109 Golden Zone: 4,134 – 4,142 (This exact range aligns with current consolidation + liquidity pool.) ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Zones 🔻 SELL SETUP (High-Probability Rejection Zone) • Sell Zone: 4,142 – 4,150 • Confirmation: • M5/M15 rejection • Bearish CHoCH ↘ • MACD histogram turning red • Targets: • TP1 → 4,127 • TP2 → 4,114 • TP3 → 4,109 (liquidity low) • Invalidation: Above 4,155 ⸻ 🔹 BUY SETUP (Strong Demand + Trendline + EMA Confluence) • Buy Zone: 4,113 – 4,122 • Confirmation: • Tap into the blue demand zone • Bullish CHoCH ↗ • MACD shift to green • Targets: • TP1 → 4,134 • TP2 → 4,142 • TP3 → 4,150 • Invalidation: Below 4,108 ⸻ 📌 Breakout Scenarios 🔼 Bullish Breakout Above 4,150 • Activation target: 4,159 • Expansion target: 4,175 – 4,185 🔽 Bearish Breakout Below 4,108 • Activation target: 4,095 • Expansion target: 4,070 – 4,060 ⸻ 📰 Fundamental Watch (Asia) • Low-impact data during Asia → price may remain technical. • Market still digesting US Consumer Confidence drop and earlier volatility, meaning liquidity manipulation likely between sessions. • Watch JPY flows around Tokyo open. ⸻ 📌 Key Levels Resistance: 4,142 • 4,150 • 4,159 Support: 4,121 • 4,114 • 4,109 Golden Zone: 4,134 – 4,142 Breakout Triggers: 4,150 / 4,108 ⸻ 📈 Summary (Directional Bias) Asia likely to range inside 4,121–4,142 until liquidity breakout. Bias remains bullish above 4,121 and bearish below 4,108. ⸻ — ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀 ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 25/11/2025 🥇 ⚡ Precision. Patience. Profit. 📈 BUY +80 PIPS 📈 BUY +40 PIPS 🕐 SELL LIMIT – Not Activated 📈 BUY +80 PIPS 📉 SELL +40 PIPS ❌ SELL -40 PIPS (SL) 📉 SELL +20 PIPS 📈 BUY +60 PIPS 📉 SELL +20 PIPS 📈 BUY +50 PIPS 📈 BUY +335 PIPS ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💎 SWING TRADES – STILL RUNNING 🔵 BUY → +2,850 PIPS 🟣 BUY → +1,600 PIPS 📊 Long-term positions remain strong with continued bullish momentum. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💰 TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +705 PIPS 🎯 10 Signals → 9 Wins 🔥 Accuracy: 90% ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 👏 Congratulations if you profited — consistent setups, precise entries, and top-tier results again today! Stay ready for tomorrow’s session — GOLD momentum remains 🔥 — ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by ELDORADOFX
Gold bullish momentum continues Price has been consolidating after the strong bullish leg that started earlier. Despite the sideways movement, the overall structure is still bullish as long as the market stays above the demand zone marked around 4100–4087. I expect price to dip back into the 4100-4087 demand area to collect orders. If buyers defend the zone again, we could see a continuation toward the new highs marked on the chart or a further extension if momentum stays strong.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Nytro1
2
XAGUSD H4 | Bullish RiseMomentum: Bullish The price has reacted off the buy entry, which is a pullback support. Buy entry: 50.84 Pullback support Stop loss: 49.39 Pullback support Take profit: 54.09 SWing high resistance 145% Fibonacci extension High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
TRADU:XAGUSDLong
by Tradu