Futures market
Natural Gas Intraday Technical Analysis - 26th Nov., 2025MCX:NATGASMINI1!
Natural Gas MCX Futures – Intraday Technical Levels and Structure (26 Nov 2025)
By Chart Pathik | 26 November 2025
Market Overview
Natural Gas Futures
are trading at 400.30 during early session buildup, stabilizing after sharp declines and rebounding from session lows. Current price action is pivoting near the zero line (399.9), with a key intraday bounce attempt in progress as the market reacts to 400-area support after a trend extension down.
Key Intraday Levels & Scenarios
Bullish Structure:
Above 402.35 (Short Entry now resistance), bulls may attempt a push toward 405.30 (Add Long) and 408.25 (Long Entry breakout).
Targets: 410.68 (Short Exit), 415.35 (Long Tgt 1), 424.90 (Long Tgt 2 on major continuation).
Control: Scale out partial profits on approach to each resistance. Tight stoploss as structure is still under corrective stress.
Bearish Structure:
Below 399.9 (Zero Line), fresh weakness can drive prices to the next downside objectives.
Targets: 384.5 (Short Tgt 1, near session lows), 374.9 (Short Tgt 2 for extended weakness).
Control: Trail stops to break-even quickly after each new low, avoid overcommitting if price rebounds above zero line.
Neutral Zone:
399.9 is the pivot; sideways/narrow trading is likely until a decisive move above 402.4 or below 399.9.
Bias and Tactical View
Intraday Bias: Sell on failed recovery at 402.4 or sharp reversal below 399.9. Cautious intraday buying is possible only on strong momentum closes over 405.3/408.3.
Watch for exaggerated volatility near EOD and inventory data releases—risk management is critical in fast markets.
Chart Pathik View
Sellers have control as long as price holds below 402.4, with quick trades favored and profits booked near 384.5/374.9. Only a convincing surge back above 408.3 would tilt structure back to bulls for the next session. Stay flexible—pivot levels will dictate both stop and entry logic in this high-volatility window.
Consider below analysis chart for positional view on Natural Gas - Dec., Future.
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Crude Oil MCX Futures — Intraday Technical Analysis - 26 Nov. 25MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
Crude Oil MCX Futures — Intraday Levels and Technical Analysis for 26th November 2025
By Chart Pathik 26 November 2025
Market Overview
Crude Oil Futures are trading around ₹5,168, showing indecision after testing both bullish and bearish pivots. Price is consolidating near the zero line (₹5,166), with traders awaiting a decisive breakout. Momentum remains fragile, and intraday bias will depend on how price reacts around key control levels.
Key Intraday Levels and Scenarios
Bearish Structure:
- Short entry below ₹5,166 (zero line breakdown).
- Downside momentum may accelerate toward:
- ₹5,073 (Short Target 1)
- ₹5,015 (Short Target 2)
- Control: Keep stops above ₹5,216 or be ready to reverse if a sharp bounce occurs.
Bullish Structure:
- Long entry above ₹5,201 (confirmation of strength).
- Upside targets:
- ₹5,259 (Long Target 1)
- ₹5,317 (Long Target 2)
- Control: Trail stops aggressively and reduce exposure near resistance zones.
Neutral Zone:
- Between ₹5,166 and ₹5,201 — avoid heavy exposure until a clean breakout or fake‑out confirms direction.
Bias and Outlook
- Day Bias: Sell below ₹5,166; structure remains bearish as long as price trades beneath this pivot.
- Rallies are expected to face resistance and attract selling pressure unless price sustains above ₹5,201.
- Caution: A strong reclaim of the zero line could trigger volatility and short covering.
Chart Pathik View
Crude Oil is at a tactical inflection point. The bias leans negative heading into the session, but conviction is key — wait for confirmation signals before initiating fresh positions. Maintain strict risk management, as intraday reversals can be sharp. Remember, structure should guide decision‑making, not emotion.
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XAUUSD – Bullish Structure Retest Zone and Potential Upside ContXAUUSD is currently holding a clean bullish market structure. Price has completed a pullback toward a previous reaction zone, where buyers have shown interest before. If the structure remains intact, the market may continue moving upward after stabilizing above the highlighted support region.
The chart shows:
A clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows
A corrective move approaching the support area
A potential continuation path toward the upper zone if momentum strengthens
This is a technical observation only, based strictly on structure and levels shown on the chart.
10K Account2000+% AROI.
1.Bedrock Support: 24625.
2.08:30 AM report: Core inflation cooled. This increases the chance of an interest rate cut at the Fed's next meeting, 12/10.
3.Historic Bull Market, pull back and bounce.
4.Prior day close: 24948.25
5.Strong Resistance: 25000
At 09:00 AM when you looked at the chart this is what you saw. The price was just below the prior day's close. You have a 10K account. What would you do? How would you trade this?
You need to play it safe. You want a very high probability win rate.
You have many options. The most obvious is to buy the bedrock support, 24625. Let's make this as easy as possible and say you bot 1MNQ @ 24625. Now what? You have the above 5 reasons in favor of this trade. The prior day's close will act as a price magnet therefore you should aim for that as your target.
It's not good to leave $ on the table, therefore you will trade a Ladder. Every 20 points or so you will sell that contract and immediately buy another.
With a bigger account you would buy 2 or more contracts @ 24625 and ladder those up decreasing the quantity as you get closer to your target.
Your author regrets he could not publish this before 09:00 AM for your benefit. He traded this as described above. Had you traded this with 1MNQ contract you would have made 2000 - 3000+% AROI.
This is part of our series on becoming one of the best Nasdaq-100 futures day traders on the planet.
Will gold prices rise in a one-sided manner?
I. Fundamental Analysis
The gold market is currently in a delicate balance, caught between two major forces: monetary policy expectations and a strong US dollar.
Core Driver: Rising Fed Rate Cut Expectations
Main Logic: Recent dovish signals from several Fed officials (such as Waller and Williams), pointing to significantly lower core inflation and signs of weakness in the labor market, have openly supported a rate cut in December. This caused market bets for a December cut to surge from 40% to 72%.
Market Impact: Rate cut expectations lower US Treasury real yields and weaken the dollar's appeal, providing the most crucial upward momentum for non-yielding gold. This is the core factor currently supporting prices.
Primary Pressure: Strong US Dollar
The US Dollar Index hovering near six-month highs makes dollar-priced gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, capping the upside for gold.
Uncertainty Factors:
Key Data Pending: US Retail Sales, PPI, and Initial Jobless Claims data due this week will be key to validating the Fed's potential rate cut logic. Any strong data could weaken rate cut expectations and weigh on gold.
Geopolitical Risks: Persistent conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East provide safe-haven demand. Continued inflows into Gold ETFs offer underlying support, limiting significant downside.
Fundamental Summary: The market is weighing "upward momentum from rate cut expectations" against "pressure from a strong dollar and data uncertainty," leading to a lack of clear directional momentum in the short term and resulting in consolidation.
II. Technical Analysis
The technical picture clearly shows the current consolidation phase and provides key entry and risk management levels.
Daily Chart: Symmetrical Triangle Consolidation
Pattern: Lower highs and higher lows are forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a balance between bulls and bears and brewing a potential breakout.
Key Levels:
Core Support: $4030 (triangle lower trendline support).
Core Resistance: $4130-$4135 (triangle upper trendline and previous high resistance).
Indicator: The MACD shows a bearish crossover but with weakening momentum, indicating lackluster selling pressure and a market awaiting a new direction.
4-Hour / 1-Hour Charts: Range-Bound
Main Range: Price action is confined within a broad $4020 - $4130 range.
Short-Term Structure: The convergence and flattening of short-term moving averages and the MACD lines indicate a temporary market equilibrium, waiting for an external catalyst to break.
Technical Summary: Gold is consolidating within the $4020-$4130 range. Until this range is decisively broken, buying near support and selling near resistance is the primary strategy.
Comprehensive Trading Strategy
Core Idea: Range-bound trading, selling highs and buying lows. Look for long opportunities near the range support and short opportunities near the range resistance.
Key Resistance Zone: $4110 - $4130
Key Support Zone: $4020 - $4040
Specific Operational Plan:
Short Strategy (Sell on rally to resistance)
Ideal Entry Zone: $4120 - $4130
Stop Loss: Above $4140 (a decisive break above the range high)
Targets: First target $4070-$4060, second target $4050.
Long Strategy (Buy on dip to support)
Ideal Entry Zone: $4040 - $4050
Stop Loss: Below $4020 (a decisive break below the range low)
Targets: First target $4080-$4090, second target $4100.
Breakout Follow-up Strategy (Contingency Plan)
Upside Break Confirmation: If the price breaks and sustains above $4140, it signals a potential upward move. Consider following the breakout with long positions, targeting $4180-$4200.
Downside Break Confirmation: If the price decisively breaks below $4020, it indicates increased downside risk. Consider following the breakout with short positions, targeting $3980-$3950.
Risk Warnings and Trading Discipline
Monitor Data and Events: Closely watch the release of US economic data this week and any unexpected comments from Fed officials, as they can instantly shift market expectations and cause sharp volatility.
Strict Risk Management: Always use stop-losses and control the percentage of capital risked per trade. Avoid holding losing positions hoping for a reversal, especially in ranging markets.
Remain Flexible: If the price action shows hesitation or false breakouts near key levels, exit positions and wait for clearer signals.
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | November 25–26✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold is still in a post-rebound consolidation range. After quickly rebounding from the 4022 level, the price is currently running above the MA5 and MA10. Short-term bulls still have momentum, but the upside pressure remains strong. The price is fluctuating above the Bollinger middle band, and the bands are slightly narrowing, indicating the market is entering a range-bound consolidation phase.
✅ From the 1-hour structure, the market is in a bullish upward-shifting structure, with higher lows and higher highs. Although MA5 and MA10 show slight convergence, the price has moved back above the short-term moving averages, indicating that the bullish momentum is still dominant.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4156–4160 / 4170–4180
🟢 Support Levels: 4110–4120 / 4070–4080
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Focus on Shorting on Rebounds
📍 Sell lightly around 4156–4160
🎯 Targets: 4135 / 4120
⛔ Stop-loss: Above 4170
This zone is a strong H4 resistance area that has been tested multiple times without breaking, making it a priority area for short entries.
🔰 Buy on Pullbacks
📍 Consider long positions around 4126–4130
🎯 Targets: 4155 / 4160 / 4170
⛔ Stop-loss: Below 4115
The H1 moving-average system provides clear support. As long as 4115 holds, the bullish trend can continue.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
Daily projection on gold market Gold market establishes a decisive stance after breaking the daily consolidation range at 4133, signaling renewed bullish intent.
With this structural break validated, price is now poised to react toward the preliminary supply zone at 4180, where fresh orders may determine the next leg of directional flow. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea .
PPI NEWS IMPACT ON GOLD EXPLAINED, KEY RESISTANCE TO WATCHCurrent Price Zone: ~ 4137
Key Support (MT): 4013
Immediate Resistance: 4156
Bearish Target: ~ 4090
1. Technical Setup & Price Action
Gold has tested the 4050 area multiple times and shown rejections, suggesting that buyers are relatively weak at those lower levels.
The current range-wise trading around 4137, capped beneath 4155–4156, gives a lower-high structure. This reinforces the downside bias.
As long as price remains below 4156, the path of least resistance appears to favor the bearish scenario.
On the downside, a break below 4013 would significantly increase bearish conviction; but a pullback or corrective bounce could instead target 4090 as a realistic bearish objective before deeper declines.
2. Macro Catalysts & Fundamental Rationale
The market is awaiting key U.S. inflation data, particularly PPI (Producer Price Index), which could act as a major macro catalyst.
If PPI comes in strong or surprises to the upside, it could bolster the U.S. dollar. A stronger dollar typically exerts downward pressure on gold, since gold is non-yielding and dollar-priced.
Furthermore, stronger inflation data could dampen expectations of aggressive rate cuts from the Fed, which again favors dollar strength and weighs on gold.
Academic and market research also supports the inverse relationship between the dollar and gold: as the dollar strengthens, gold often corrects.
Scenario Analysis & Trade Plan
Bearish Base Case (Favored):
Price continues to hover under 4156, with persistent rejections.
If PPI prints hotter than expected, dollar strength could intensify.
A drop toward 4090 is the primary target if the downside momentum sustains.
Should 4013 break decisively, that could open room for a more substantial trend shift downward.
Alternative / Risk Scenario (Bullish):
If gold breaks above 4156 convincingly, the bearish thesis would be invalidated in the near term.
In that case, watch for a potential bounce or reversal back up — possibly targeting higher resistance zones — but only if strength is backed by volume or macro surprises (e.g., dovish Fed commentary).
XAU/USD – Potential Pullback Before ContinuationGold may experience a pullback today toward the 4,100 zone before continuing its upward trend.
Technical Factors:
Price recently surged above 4,140, leaving limited liquidity below.
Support zone ~4,100 aligns with prior consolidation and minor Fibonacci levels (~0.5 retracement of recent swing).
Short-term structure shows higher lows, indicating the overall bullish trend remains intact.
RSI and momentum indicators suggest overbought conditions, supporting a near-term pullback.
Fundamental Factors:
Fed rate-cut expectations continue to support gold upside; a dovish tone could accelerate the rally.
USD strength/weakness will influence gold’s reaction; recent USD weakness favors gold.
Geopolitical tensions (e.g., Russia–Ukraine) increase safe-haven demand, supporting bullish pressure.
Upcoming low liquidity days (Thanksgiving week) may cause volatile reactions, so patience and discipline are key.
Trading Plan:
Watch for price action confirmation around 4,100.
Ideal entries are longs at or near support with tight stops.
Targets can extend toward 4,180–4,200 (upper channel resistance).
USOIL trades with a weak oscillatory biasUSOIL is exhibiting a weak oscillatory downward trend today. Despite a slight rebound yesterday, affected by bearish news and technical pressure, the intraday upside momentum remains insufficient, with bearish momentum gradually emerging. Overall, it shows a sluggish pattern of a quick pullback after the rebound.
For the upside, focus on the short-term resistance zone of $59.5 - $60.5 per barrel, among which $59.5 per barrel can be regarded as a key watershed. On the downside, closely monitor the support range of $57.0 - $57.5 per barrel. If this zone is effectively broken down, the price may further decline to around $56 per barrel.
Sell 59 - 59.7
SL 60.1
TP 57.5 - 57 - 56.5
XAUUSD: How to trade next?We went long on gold twice in the 4120-4130 range right after the market opened today, and all positions are now closed. Every subsequent drop in gold from here is a new buying opportunity.
The uptrend isn’t over yet – you can keep going long when it hits the buying zone. I’ll send the signal immediately after the market opens tomorrow, don’t miss out!
Gold at Critical ResistanceGold (XAUUSD) is showing a very interesting structure on the 4H timeframe. After breaking the previous falling trendline, price has shifted into a short-term bullish mode and is now moving inside a rising channel.
🔍 Key Technical Observations
Price broke the downtrend line with strong bullish candles, confirming buyer strength.
XAUUSD is currently trading near the upper boundary of the rising channel (around 4140–4145), where price usually faces short-term resistance.
The EMA ribbon (red/blue) is acting as dynamic support from below, supporting the bullish trend.
As long as price holds above the lower channel trendline, the market structure remains bullish.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price breaks above 4145–4160, we could see continuation to:
4185
4210
4250 (extended target)
A breakout above 4160 may trigger a strong upside move.
📉 Bearish Scenario
If price falls below the lower channel support (4080–4100), it would signal a deeper correction:
4050
4020
A channel breakdown would be an early sign of trend reversal.
🎯 Bias Summary
Trend: Short-term bullish
Structure: Rising channel
Current Position: At upper channel resistance (expect possible pullback)
Major Trigger: Break above 4160 or below 4080
XAUUSD _1h
Bullish Scenario: If price broke the top yellow resistance range line and candle close with a good body and no shadow on top we can open long position to the red line dynamic which sellers are there.
Bearish Scenario: If price broke the bottom yellow support line, candle close strong with good body and covered the previous low too, it is gonna be an interesting short position.






















