XAUUSD sell and buy level to look forXAUUSD was in range past week create a weekly inside bar after stong rejection week before.
As price closed with potentail further range bound possibility, there are couple of levels we can look on lowertimeframe for selling and buying opportunity througouth the week.
With Fed's possible rate cut in dcemember, which is the one of the most influencial driving force for GOLD to bounce, price may eventually could take off ffrom the weekly support fueled by end of year close which all could fuel GOLD to drive up this week after past week's slowdown
Therefore level's to look at based on 15mintues timeframe
As price broken out of dynamic resistance, it is now slowly moving teards the base line.
breaking above 4076.50 is high supply zone for sellers to look at
coming below 4000.00 is an extreme liquidity zone, to look for long on a rejection above 4000.00
with strong rejection can possibly break above 4100.00
Futures market
FCPO Week 48 205: Another consolidation mode?Still in bearish mode but the move lower is losing a little bit of momentum even though Friday push lower look impressive. Look at 4H and you will see a bullish divergence that might indicate that price will retrace in a bearish macro trend. Another consolidation period is also possible. So bearish on higher timeframe but bearish in 4H is losing momentum and retracement or consolidation is a possibility.
XAU/USD Prophecy: Will 4200 Shine Bright?Greetings, Traders! Market Prophecy: XAU/USD in Action
Gold isn’t just sparkling—it’s plotting moves like a secret agent with Fibonacci codes! Here’s what the charts are whispering:
🔍 The Setup
XAU/USD has strutted its way to the 50% Fibonacci level, but if history is any guide, gold loves to go the extra mile—often stretching beyond 61.8% like it’s chasing a bonus level in a video game. Translation? There’s still some golden runway left for the bulls.
📈 The Technical Drama
On the 1-hour timeframe, we’ve got a trendline breakout—cue the fireworks!
The 30-minute chart? Resistance smashed like a piñata at a birthday party.
Now, all eyes are on the 4107 level. If price breaks this resistance, expect a pullback that could be your golden ticket for a long entry.
🎯 The Target
If the bullish momentum keeps flexing, we’re eyeing 4200 as the grand finale. Think of it as gold’s victory lap.
💡 Trading Idea
Break → Pullback → Long → Profit. Simple, but with style. Just remember: markets can be as moody as a cat, so manage your risk like a pro.
If you found this helpful, hit LIKE & COMMENT ❤️
Gold Nonfarm: Buy OB 4030, Target Break 4111🔍 Market Context – November 20, 2025
Gold initially dropped nearly 70 pips at the start of the day but quickly rebounded sharply from the 4030–4032 zone, demonstrating strong buying pressure and a refusal to decline further.
The market structure on the H1–H2 timeframe is forming a classic, well-defined Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern—a quintessential bullish reversal pattern—signaling a potential upward expansion if the neckline is successfully broken.
📅 Key News Events Today:
🇺🇸 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
📉 US Unemployment Rate
🏛 FOMC Meeting Minutes
🗣 Speeches by Trump, Barkin, Williams
🧾 Initial Jobless Claims
⚠️ These events could trigger sharp volatility and will determine the confirmation or rejection of the reversal pattern.
📊 Technical Analysis
🛒 BUY SETUP – Primary Priority
✅ Entry: 4030 – 4032
🛡 Stop Loss (SL): 4027
🎯 Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 4039
TP2: 4047
TP3: 4059
💡 Rationale: Price bounced strongly at the OB + SSS zone. This is a crucial technical support area and the base of the Inverse H&S pattern. The objective is to break the neckline to trigger the uptrend.
🔻 SELL SETUP – Short-Term Strategy
📍 Entry: 4093 – 4095
🛡 SL: 4098
🎯 TP:
TP1: 4088
TP2: 4077
TP3: 4060
TP4: 4033
💡 Rationale: This strategy is only applicable if the price forms a false breakout of the BSL zone and reverses. This is an ideal entry point for quick scalping if the market reacts negatively to the news.
🔑 Key Price Zones
Buy Zone (OB + SSS): 4030 – 4032
→ Strong demand zone, the base of the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming the reversal signal if held.
Breakout Neckline Zone: 4101 – 4111
→ The neckline of the Inverse H&S pattern. Breaking this zone will open up opportunities for a sharp rise.
Final Resistance Zone: 4133 – 4140
→ The final target if the breakout is successful and the bullish pattern is confirmed.
✅ Strategy Conclusion
🎯 Main Strategy: Priority is to BUY in the OB zone 4030–4032.
🩸 SELL is only for short-term scalping if there is a signal of rejection at the BSL zone.
🕓 Caution: Be careful entering trades near the Nonfarm news release time—wait for price action to confirm the direction.
XAUUSD Daily AnalysisBased on ichimoku's data XAUUSD long-term trend is still bulish.
Xauusd is in the short-term downward trend.
if it cannot break through the support level (3962) with ichimoku elements, it will change its direction to resistence levels, but if it can, it will continue to highlighted support levels which are very important for gold and you can consider it as long-term support zones.
Gold next week: Key S/R Levels and Outlook for Traders🔥 GOLD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — BY PROJECTSYNDICATE 🏆
High/Close: ~$4,102 → ~$4,065 — tight, inside-feel week with price holding comfortably above the $4,000 handle. Flows look balanced: steady two-way interest, but no strong directional conviction as the market oscillates within a well-defined range.
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📈 Trend:
Still bullish on the higher timeframe, but very clearly in range / two-way mode. As long as we’re capped below the $4,350–4,375 ATH supply block and holding above the $3,900s, the playbook remains “range-trade the extremes” rather than chase breakouts.
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🛡 Supports Buy Zones
• $3,920–3,930 — key range lows / primary dip zone:
o Your preferred “buy low” area; recent reactions show responsive buyers defending this shelf.
o This is the first major liquidity pocket for range longs and a natural first target for shorts from resistance.
• $3,800–3,825 — deeper demand pocket / fail-safe shelf:
o Secondary, more extreme downside area where higher-timeframe dip-buyers are likely to step in.
o A clean break and daily close below here would suggest the range is failing and a deeper mean reversion is in play, not just a normal pullback.
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🚧 Resistances Short Zones
• $4,220–4,230 — immediate range resistance / short-sell zone:
o Your core “short from resistance” idea; this band remains a logical area to fade strength.
o First tests into this region are attractive for tactical shorts, especially if intraday momentum is stalling.
• $4,350–4,375 — ATH heavy resistance block:
o Still the major supply area above.
o Any spike here is a fade candidate unless price starts accepting above it with strong volume and multiple daily closes.
________________________________________
🧭 Bias – Coming Weeks
Base expectation is continued range-bounce price action between roughly $3,920–$4,220, with the broader structure still nested inside the larger $3,800–$4,350 range:
• Preference to fade strength into $4,220–4,230, targeting rotations back toward $3,920–3,930.
• Conversely, buy dips into $3,920–3,930 for moves back toward $4,220–4,230, as long as we hold the $3,800 shelf on a closing basis.
• Invalidation of the “range grind” idea comes on:
o Sustained acceptance above $4,350–4,375 (turns it back into trend-up).
o Or a decisive loss of $3,800–3,825 (opens a deeper corrective leg).
________________________________________
🔝 Key Resistance Zones
• $4,220–4,230 — front-line ceiling; aligns with your tactical short-sell band. Strong candidate to initiate shorts on first, clean tests.
• $4,350–4,375 — prior ATH / macro supply block. Only flips from “sell zone” to “bullish continuation base” if reclaimed and held as support.
🛡 Support Zones
• $3,920–3,930 — primary range low and first major liquidity shelf; ideal first take-profit for shorts and main dip-buy area.
• $3,800–3,825 — deeper support; loss of this level changes the narrative from “sideways digestion” to “larger corrective structure.”
________________________________________
⚖️ Base Case Scenario – Range / Consolidation
Core view: Market continues to oscillate between $3,920–$4,220, within the broader $3,800–$4,350 band.
• Pushes into $4,220–4,230 are sellable for rotations back toward $3,920–3,930.
• Dips into $3,920–3,930 are buyable for rotations back toward $4,220–4,230, as long as structure and flows remain balanced.
• While weekly closes keep rejecting the $4,350–4,375 ATH block, the default remains “sell strength, buy clean range lows.”
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🚀 Breakout / Breakdown Triggers
• Bull trigger:
o Sustained acceptance above $4,350–$4,375, with multiple daily closes holding above and that band starting to act as support.
o That would shift tone from “range trading” back to full-on bullish trend, reopening path toward and beyond prior extremes (~$4,400+ in your framework).
• Bear trigger:
o A decisive daily close below $3,800 converts the current “healthy sideways correction” into a deeper, more directional liquidation phase, likely targeting prior lower shelves and expanding volatility.
________________________________________
💡 Market Drivers to Watch
Even in a range, macro and flow catalysts dictate which side of the range gets tested first:
• Real yields & Fed path: Any hawkish repricing or upside surprise in data tends to cap rallies near resistance; dovish shifts / easing fears support the lower end of the range.
• U.S. fiscal / political noise: Episodes of stress typically underpin gold; temporary relief or “risk-on” swings can blunt upside and push price back toward range lows.
• Flows & positioning: After a massive secular run, fast money continues to fade extremes, locking in profits into strength and reloading near range lows.
• Cross-asset behavior: If risk-off hits and gold fails to catch a bid (selling alongside equities), expect deeper probes into the lower end of the range before strategic buyers step back in size.
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🔓 Bull / Bear Trigger Lines
• Bullish above: $4,350–$4,375 (sustained acceptance; ATH block reclaimed and used as support).
• Bearish below: $3,800 (shifts from contained range to deeper correction regime).
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🧭 Strategy – Focus on Trading the Range
Primary plan – short from resistance (core idea):
• Entry zone:
o Scale into shorts around $4,220–$4,230 (front edge of resistance).
• TP #1:
o $3,920–$3,930 — key range lows; logical place to close majority of the short.
• Runner / extension:
o Leave a runner targeting $3,800–$3,825 if momentum and macro tone turn heavier.
• Risk / invalidation:
o Hard invalidation if price accepts above $4,350–$4,375 (multiple daily closes and successful retests from above).
________________________________________
Alternative plan – buy low from key range lows:
• Entry zone:
o Stagger bids in $3,920–$3,930; add more aggressive size only if we see responsive buying and positive reaction there.
o Optional deeper add zone at $3,800–$3,825 for higher conviction swing longs if structure still looks constructive.
• Exit zone / targets:
o First target back into $4,220–$4,230; heavily de-risk or fully exit as we approach that band.
• Risk management:
o Cut or significantly reduce longs on a daily close below $3,800 or if price accelerates through that shelf on high volume.
XAUUSD 4H – Liquidity Map & Smart Money Outlook🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold continues to trade within a bearish intraday structure, forming consistent Lower Highs → Lower Lows on the M30 timeframe. Price has been reacting strongly at Premium areas where Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) accumulates, while showing clean rebounds at deeper Discount levels where Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) resides.
Current Market Sentiment
USD remains steady → maintaining downward pressure on gold
Smart Money prioritizes selling at Premium and accumulating at Discount
Midweek environment → prone to liquidity sweeps before true expansion
Bias for the day:
🔻 Bearish bias, favor SELL setups at Premium zones
🔺 BUY only at deep Discount with CHoCH confirmation
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY STRUCTURE)
Market Structure
M30 trend: Bearish
Mid-range equilibrium: 4110–4175
Premium liquidity zone: 4378–4380
Deep discount zone: 3882–3884
Imbalances & Liquidity
Major bearish FVG: 4378–4380
Mid-level liquidity pocket: 4238–4240
Strong SSL levels: 3996 and 3882
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (Clear & Compelling Explanations)
1️⃣ 4380–4378 → Premium Liquidity Trap – MAIN SELL ZONE
This zone contains:
Buy-Side Liquidity from previous breakout attempts
An unmitigated M30 Supply Zone
A major FVG expecting full mitigation
➡️ Smart Money often drives price into this premium pocket to hunt liquidity before reversing sharply.
2️⃣ 4240–4238 → Mid-Range Liquidity Sweep – SCALP SELL ZONE
A highly reactive intraday level:
Holds clustered stoplosses from intraday traders
Sits near equilibrium → ideal area for engineered fakeouts
Often creates sharp wicks before reversing
➡️ Perfect for quick SELL scalps with minimal drawdown.
3️⃣ 3998–3996 → First Discount Reaction – SCALP BUY ZONE
This zone includes:
A clean SSL cluster just below
A sensitive micro Demand Zone
A common CHoCH reaction area on M30
➡️ Great for fast BUY scalps with tight risk.
4️⃣ 3884–3882 → Deep Discount Reversal Base – MAJOR BUY ZONE
This zone is extremely important:
Sits at the structural low on M30
Contains heavy Sell-Side Liquidity
Aligns with a higher-timeframe Order Block
➡️ If price taps here → strong reversal potential, possibly forming the weekly low.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (Detailed Execution Plan)
✔️ SELL GOLD – Main Position
Entry: 4380–4378
Stoploss: 4386
TP1: 4355
TP2: 4300
TP3: 4240
Logic: BSL sweep → FVG fill → strong bearish rejection expected.
✔️ SELL SCALP – Intraday Liquidity Sweep
Entry: 4240–4238
Stoploss: 4246
TP1: 4215
TP2: 4190
TP3: 4155
Logic: Sweep of mid-range liquidity → immediate downward displacement.
✔️ BUY SCALP – Discount Reaction
Entry: 3998–3996
Stoploss: 3990
TP1: 4015
TP2: 4045
Logic: SSL sweep → quick intraday rebound.
✔️ BUY GOLD – Deep Discount Reversal
Entry: 3884–3882
Stoploss: 3876
TP1: 3910
TP2: 3950
TP3: 3995
Logic: Major discount zone → high-probability reversal area.
🧠 SESSION NOTES
Avoid trading in the middle of the range
Wait for M5/M15 confirmation (CHoCH + displacement)
Do not buy at Premium zones
Do not sell at deep Discount zones
Let liquidity sweep first → then enter
🏁 CONCLUSION
Gold maintains a bearish intraday structure, favoring SELL setups at 4378–4380 and 4238–4240.
BUY opportunities appear only at strong Discount zones 3996 and 3882, where liquidity pools support bullish reactions.
Trade like Smart Money: wait for liquidity → strike with precision.
wti 4h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
xagusd 4h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
xauusd 4h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
Gold Week 32 Possible reversalGold prices are in a clear downtrend, with critical support at $3,287.628 and resistance at $3,379.874. The 'W32 POI 2H' on Aug 1 highlighted a volatile 2-hour period with a sharp drop and recovery, signaling potential support strength. Fibonacci retracement levels could play a key role in identifying retracement targets. Stay disciplined with risk management as you navigate these levels.
GOLD ANALYSISGold remains in a powerfully dominant bullish trend.
The current movement we are seeing is purely a corrective phase before the next major push to the upside.
I've already locked in my analysis: directional bias, high-probability entry confluence, and precise Take Profit (TP) targets.
Every trader can use this concept as a roadmap for their next setup.
If you like simple, high-conviction ideas like this, smash the Like button and Follow the profile to catch the entry update!
Accumulated price zone 4100, there is a recovery✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 11/24/2025 - 11/28/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) holds firm in Friday’s North American session after Fed officials signaled the possibility of a December rate cut. The metal trades near $4,096, up 0.53%, after briefly touching $4,101.
Despite mixed US data and shifting rate expectations, XAU/USD has moved sideways for the past three days as traders remain uncertain about its next direction. Recent Fed commentary and the return of key economic releases suggest a steady economy with a strong labor market and persistent inflation pressures
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price accumulates around 4100, showing signs of recovery when breaking the short-term downtrend
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $4133, $4242
Support: $4033, $3982
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
S&P 500 E-mini Futures: Short Target Achieved, Long Setup 21.Nov
S&P 500 E-mini Futures: Short Target Achieved, Long Setup in Play
Today’s session on the S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES) presented a textbook example of how patience and planning pay off in intraday trading. Let’s break down the trade idea, execution, and the next steps.
Market Context
Instrument: S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ESZ2025)
Current Price: 6,547.25 (-0.16%)
Timeframe: 15-minute chart
Session Behavior: After an initial push higher, the market showed signs of exhaustion near the previous high, creating an opportunity for a short scalp before considering a long re-entry.
Trade Recap: Short Position
Earlier today, a short position was initiated near the supply zone (highlighted in red on the chart) around 6,594.50, targeting a retracement toward the mid-range.
Entry: Around 6,594.50
Target: 6,532.25 (achieved successfully)
Reasoning: Price rejected the upper liquidity zone, forming lower highs and signaling a short-term bearish move. Volume spikes confirmed selling pressure.
This short trade hit its target cleanly, validating the setup and risk management.
Current Setup: Long Bias
With the short target achieved, the focus now shifts to a long re-entry. Here’s why:
Demand Zone: Price reacted strongly near 6,532.25, sweeping liquidity and bouncing back.
Volume Profile: Notice the spike in buying volume at the lows, suggesting accumulation.
Structure: The market is forming a higher low on the 15-minute chart, indicating potential bullish continuation.
Long Plan
Entry Zone: Between 6,532.25 and 6,528.25 (green zone)
Stop Loss: Below 6,523.25 (to protect against deeper liquidity sweep)
Target: Sweep of the day’s high near 6,604.75 or equal highs at 6,594.50 for partials.
Key Observations
Liquidity Sweep: The wick below 6,532.25 suggests stop hunts before reversal.
Risk-to-Reward: Favorable setup with tight stop and clear upside targets.
Market Sentiment: Despite intraday volatility, the broader trend remains bullish, supporting the long bias.
Conclusion
The short scalp was a success, and now the market offers a compelling long opportunity. Traders should monitor price action closely around the demand zone and manage risk diligently. If the bullish momentum holds, a sweep of the day’s high is likely.
✅ Pro Tip: Always wait for confirmation before entering a reversal trade. Volume and price structure are your best friends in identifying genuine shifts in momentum.
Do your own analysis before taking any decisions these are only my way of looking at the market today and valid for today only






















