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gold buy Idea How to Trade It 1️⃣ Wait for a Pullback Let price retrace to the 61.8% or 50% Fibonacci levels. 2️⃣ Drop to the 5m Timeframe On the pullback, look for rejection signs at either the Fib levels or the 200 EMA. 3️⃣ Entry Confirmation Only enter if you see one of the following with strong volume: Bullish engulfing candle Pin bar rejection These signals show buyers stepping in. Trade Invalidation ❌ If price closes below the golden Fib levels with a strong bearish candle, cancel the trade. Alternatively, wait for price to close back above the 200 EMA or the golden Fib levels, then look for the same confirmations again.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FXGOD22
Bias Still Bearish, But Confirmation Below 4050 Is Needed1. What Happened Yesterday Gold continued to trade inside the well-defined 4050–4100 range discussed in the previous analysis. Aside from a few small spikes, price respected the boundaries perfectly, confirming this as the current “decision zone” for the market. 2. Current Market Context My outlook remains bearish, but as mentioned yesterday, nothing meaningful happens until 4050 breaks cleanly. This level is acting as the floor of the range, while 4100 caps every bullish attempt. We are simply waiting for confirmation. 3. Technical Outlook The levels are very straightforward: - Below 4050 → bearish continuation A decisive break opens the path toward 3900, which remains the primary downside target. - Above 4100 → bullish extension A clear breakout and stabilization above 4100 would give scope for a move toward 4200. Until one of these levels goes, expect more range-bound trading. 4. Trading Plan No changes from yesterday: Bias stays bearish, but only with confirmation below 4050. If price breaks above 4100, short-term upside to 4200 becomes the higher-probability scenario. 5. Conclusion Gold is trapped in a tight range, and the next major move will be decided by a clean breakout from 4050 or 4100. For now, patience is key.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Mihai_Iacob
40
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H: SBR and Order Block RetestPrevious Uptrend: Price made a substantial move up, peaking around 4,225 USD. Impulsive Down Move (X): A strong bearish move occurred from the high, indicating a potential change of character (CHoCH) or market reversal. This rapid decline is labeled with X. Support/Resistance Flip (SBR): The price initially broke below a previous Support level (SBR), which now seems to be acting as Resistance in the current consolidation phase. This is a classic Support Broken, now Resistance flip. Swing Low (S): The most recent Swing Low is marked with S, establishing a new range low after the reversal. Consolidation/Correction (CRT-L, CRT-H): The price is now trading within a range defined by CRT-L (Current Range Top/Low) and CRT-H (Current Range High/Low), which is the current low of the corrective structure. Order Block (OB): A crucial area is the Order Block (OB), which typically represents an area where significant institutional selling pressure entered the market, causing the impulsive drop. This area often acts as a key supply zone. Anticipated Move: The curved arrow suggests a likely scenario where the price reaches up to test the Order Block (OB) and the SBR area before potentially continuing the move down towards the range low (CRT-H) or even lower, consistent with the recent shift to a bearish bias. This is an expectation of a correction/pullback into supply followed by a continuation of the trend.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9
1
Moving sideways and waiting for a breakout🔍 1. Descending Trendline (red line) This is an important dynamic resistance. Price has touched the descending trendline many times and been rejected → the overall trend still leans bearish. Each retest of the trendline that fails to break gives a sell signal. 👉 Only when price closes above the descending trendline will the short-term trend have a chance to reverse. 🟦 2. Upper Resistance (light blue zone) This is the area where the market previously made a strong reversal → strong supply zone. If price breaks the trendline and moves toward this zone, it is a high-probability area where selling pressure may appear again. 🟩 3. Key Support (green zone) Price has reacted many times at this support zone → strong support. This is also where price can form a reversal pattern if buyers return. 👉 If price breaks below this support, the bearish trend will continue strongly toward the lower support zone. 🔄 4. Trading Scenarios Scenario 1: Breakout of the descending trendline → Price moves up to resistance Price may bounce from the current support area → move up to retest the descending trendline. If the trendline is broken and retested successfully → target is the major resistance zone above. For BUY: Wait for a break & retest of the descending trendline. BUY GOLD : 4000 - 3998 Stoploss : 3988 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips SELL GOLD : 4130 - 4132 Stoploss : 4142 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? 21NovemberOANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (November 21, 2025) Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we turn complex charts into clean buy & sell zones. Keep it simple let levels guide your decisions. *📰 Market Overview* Gold is consolidating after failing to extend above the intraday reaction zone, hovering near $4,070–4,080 as the Dollar Index holds firm around 99.0. A steady dollar, fading rate-cut expectations and slow macro flows all limit immediate upside. Volatility remains muted as markets wait for PMI data and fresh signals from the Fed. Buyers continue defending dips, but sellers are active in the higher scalp zones. *Key fundamentals driving today’s move:* 📈 DXY steady near 99.0 → caps bullish momentum 🏦 Fed pause confirmed; December cut odds drop to ~22% 🌍 Geopolitical risks + tariffs continue supporting safe-haven demand 🏛 Central bank demand strong: +634t YTD, up 28% YoY 📊 ETF flows: Q3 +222t inflows, but November shows light outflows as investors book profits *📆 What’s Ahead Key Events to Watch* 🔸 PMI – Nov 21 Manufacturing expected ~49 & Services ~51. Weak PMI = increased cut bets → gold bullish. Strong PMI = DXY bounce → gold dips toward lower zones. 🔸 FOMC Meeting – Dec 16 Markets price a clear pause (78%) but a dovish surprise could unlock upside toward 4,150+. Hawkish language may trigger a sweep into deeper demand (3,978–3,962). 🔸 Geopolitical Risk Premium Tensions in US–China, Mideast and Eastern Europe continue to keep gold supported. Any escalation = instant safe-haven spike; calmness = DXY strength → gold softens. *🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS* Price continues to respect the mid-range structure with buyers defending the lower band and sellers reacting strongly at intraday supply. After testing 4032–4049 demand, gold pushed back toward 4070–4080, confirming buyers still active. *🎯 EQUILIBRIUM (EQ): 4,065.00* Hold above EQ = bullish intraday momentum toward 4,094 → 4,105 → 4,123 Stay below EQ = re-test lower supports 4,050 → 4,032 with possible deeper sweep later *🟩 📌 SCALP BUY AREA: 4,032 – 4,050* Strong demand zone lining up with CB/ETF accumulation areas. Ideal for intraday dip-buys during low volatility windows. First reaction zone for bullish setups, especially inside the astrology short window. If this breaks cleanly, expect a fast move toward 3,978–3,962. *🟥 📌 SCALP SELL AREA: 4,094 – 4,105* Repeated rejection zone — sellers remain active here. Perfect for fading rallies with tight stops above 4,110. If volume breaks above it, momentum quickly shifts to 4,123+. This zone forms the short-term ceiling of current consolidation. *🔺 📌 BULLISH BREAKOUT LEVEL: 4,123+* A confirmed breakout above this level flips structure bullish. Targets extend toward 4,148 → 4,165. Usually triggered by macro catalysts (PMI/FOMC/geo shocks). Watch for fakeouts if volume is weak. *🔻 📌 SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS: 3,962 – 3,978* Deep liquidity pocket where institutions are loading positions. Expect sharp V-shaped reversals if this zone is tapped. Only comes into play on deeper corrections or heavy data surprises. Reclaim above 4,000 from here = strong upward momentum. *📌 CONCLUSION* Gold remains locked in a tight range, respecting both demand and supply zones as the EQ at 4,065 continues to act as the true pivot for direction. Holding below it opens the path for a controlled dip into deeper demand, while any strong break above EQ can trigger a clean push toward 4,123+. With macro data and geopolitical risk still guiding sentiment, patience and level-to-level execution remain the winning edge. Stay focused, let price come to your zones. Please support me with your likes & comments to motivate deeper daily analysis! Share your charts and thoughts let’s grow together. Best Regards, M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder, TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
FX:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
Derivatives & Options Trading Trends1. Rising Retail Participation and Democratization of Derivatives One of the most significant trends is the rapid increase in retail participation, especially in markets like India, the U.S., and parts of Asia. Platforms such as Robinhood, Zerodha, Upstox, and Interactive Brokers have made derivatives trading more accessible by offering low-cost or zero-brokerage models, simplified interfaces, and educational tools. In India, index options volumes on NSE have surged to record highs, driven by weekly and even daily options expiries. Retail traders now actively participate in directional and non-directional strategies including spreads, straddles, strangles, and intraday scalping. Because of lower margin requirements and high leverage, derivatives have become an attractive entry point for younger traders. This democratization comes with both opportunities and risks. While broader participation enhances market depth and liquidity, it also increases systemic concerns around over-leverage, herd behaviour, and inadequate understanding of derivatives mechanics. 2. Explosive Growth of Weekly and Short-Dated Options Short-tenor options—weekly, daily, and even zero-day options (0DTE)—have become a global phenomenon. The U.S. S&P 500 Index (SPX) now sees major volumes in 0DTE options, favoured by traders for intraday speculation, gamma exposure, and event-driven strategies. Similarly, in India, weekly Bank Nifty and Nifty expiries have turned into some of the most traded options worldwide. Traders prefer these contracts for: Lower premiums Quick payoff realization High volatility leading to strong intraday movements Flexibility to align with macro events (Fed decisions, CPI data, RBI policy, earnings, etc.) Short-dated options have reshaped intraday volatility patterns, with large swings near expiry due to gamma effects and dealer hedging flows. 3. The Era of Algorithmic and Quantitative Trading in Derivatives Quantitative models and algorithmic trading systems now dominate global derivatives markets. Hedge funds, proprietary desks, and even retail quants increasingly use: Market-neutral strategies Volatility arbitrage High-frequency scalping Options-based hedging Gamma and vega-weighted portfolios Machine-learning-driven directional trades In India, algo penetration in derivatives has increased dramatically after regulatory approvals for API-based trading. Low-latency systems allow quants to execute thousands of trades per second, exploiting micro-imbalances, liquidity pockets, and implied-volatility mispricings. Algo trading is particularly influential in options markets, where pricing inefficiencies emerge frequently due to time decay and volatility shifts. 4. Surge in Volatility Trading and Volatility Derivatives A major global trend is the rise of volatility as an asset class. Traders now actively trade volatility, not just price direction, through: VIX futures and options Implied volatility strategies (IV crush, IV expansion) Calendar spreads Vega-neutral portfolios Volatility arbitrage between indices and individual stocks During major macro events—geopolitical shocks, central bank decisions, inflation releases—volatility spikes create large opportunities for professional traders. The global appetite for volatility exposure reflects increasing macro uncertainty in markets shaped by inflation cycles, geopolitical risks, and policy unpredictability. 5. Growing Popularity of Exotic Options and Structured Derivatives Beyond standard call and put options, demand is rising for exotic derivatives, especially among institutions. These include: Barrier options Asian options Binary options Lookback options Range accrual derivatives Digital payoff structures Structured product desks in banks use these derivatives to offer tailored risk-return solutions to corporate treasuries, high-net-worth individuals, and offshore investors. In equity derivatives, structured notes like autocallables are gaining traction globally, especially in European and East Asian markets. 6. Commodities and Currency Derivatives: A Renewed Focus Commodity and currency derivatives have seen renewed interest due to global supply chain disruptions, geopolitical instability, and inflation pressures. Key Drivers: Oil price volatility due to Middle East conflicts Agricultural supply shocks Currency fluctuations driven by monetary policy divergence Rising importance of hedging for import- and export-dependent industries In India, the launch of new currency derivatives and increased retail interest in crude oil and natural gas options have broadened the market. 7. Interest Rate Derivatives and the Post-Rate-Hike World As central banks oscillate between tightening and easing cycles, interest rate derivatives (IRDs) such as swaps, futures, and swaptions have gained remarkable importance. Key themes include: Hedging long-term debt exposure Speculation on rate paths Positioning around government bond yield movements Managing duration risk for institutional investors The pricing of interest rate options is now heavily influenced by inflation expectations, forward guidance, and global economic conditions. 8. Regulation, Risk Control & Margining Reforms Global regulators have tightened rules around derivative trading to ensure transparency and reduce systemic risk. Major reforms include: Mandatory margining for futures and options Upfront collection of SPAN + Exposure margin Position limits for retail participants Greater disclosures for brokers and exchanges Risk-based levies on high-frequency trading Banning of certain high-risk derivatives for retail in some regions In India, peak margin rules and tightened risk controls have significantly changed intraday derivatives strategies, reducing excessive leverage. 9. Rise of Data-Driven Decision Making Modern derivatives traders rely heavily on: Real-time order book analytics Option Greeks monitoring systems Volatility surface modelling Big-data sentiment indicators AI-driven predictive models Access to sophisticated analytics platforms—Sensibull, Opstra, TradingView, Bloomberg, Reuters, and broker-provided tools—helps even retail traders adopt institution-grade analysis. 10. Shift Toward Multi-Asset Derivative Strategies Markets are becoming increasingly interconnected. Traders now prefer multi-asset strategies that combine: Equity + Currency Equity + Commodity Interest Rate + Currency Options + Futures Cross-country derivatives These hybrid strategies help hedge correlated risks and exploit arbitrage opportunities across markets. Conclusion Derivatives and options trading are undergoing a profound transformation driven by retail participation, technological advancement, algorithmic dominance, volatility-focused strategies, and regulatory shifts. Markets are faster, more interconnected, and more complex than ever before. Whether used for hedging, speculation, arbitrage, or portfolio diversification, derivatives remain a cornerstone of modern financial markets. As the global environment becomes more uncertain, derivatives will continue to play a crucial role in risk management and trading innovation—shaping the next era of financial markets.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
Bond Yield Movements (US 10-Year, German Bunds)1. What Bond Yields Represent A bond’s yield is essentially the return an investor earns for holding that bond. Yields move inversely to prices: Bond prices rise → yields fall Bond prices fall → yields rise This inverse relationship reflects investor demand. When investors seek safety, they buy more bonds, pushing prices up and yields down. When they expect strong growth or higher interest rates, they sell bonds, pushing yields up. Why the US 10-Year and German Bunds matter The US 10-year Treasury yield is the world’s primary risk-free benchmark. It influences global bond markets, the US mortgage market, corporate borrowing costs, and equity valuations. The German 10-year Bund yield is the benchmark for the Eurozone, influencing borrowing costs across Europe, including in countries like France, Italy, and Spain. These yields act as barometers of economic health and market expectations. 2. Key Drivers of Yield Movements a. Inflation Expectations Inflation erodes the real return on bonds. Thus: Higher expected inflation → higher yields, due to anticipated central bank tightening. Lower expected inflation → lower yields, reflecting stable prices and easier policy. Recent years have seen yields swing significantly due to rapid changes in inflation, especially after global supply-chain disruptions and energy shocks. b. Central Bank Policies The US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB) play a central role. When central banks raise interest rates, bond yields tend to rise as investors demand higher returns. When they cut rates or conduct quantitative easing (QE)—buying bonds to inject liquidity—yields decline. Forward guidance is equally important; even statements about future policy can move yields dramatically. c. Economic Growth Indicators Stronger economic data—GDP growth, employment figures, retail sales—pushes yields higher because markets expect tighter monetary policy ahead. Weak data tends to pull yields down due to expectations of lower growth and potential rate cuts. d. Risk Sentiment and Safe-Haven Flows During geopolitical tensions, financial instability, or market panics, investors flee to safe assets: US Treasuries and German Bunds are premium safe-haven assets. In risk-off environments, demand for these bonds rises → yields fall. In risk-on environments, capital shifts to equities and risk assets → yields rise. e. Fiscal Policy and Supply of Bonds Large government deficits require increased bond issuance, sometimes pushing yields higher if supply outpaces demand. Conversely, fiscal consolidation reduces supply pressure. 3. US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Global Leader The US 10-year yield is the world’s most influential interest rate. Its movements ripple across global markets. a. Impact on Global Finance Dollar strength: Higher yields attract capital into USD assets. Emerging markets: Rising US yields often pressure EM currencies and stocks. Equity valuations: Growth stocks, especially tech, are sensitive to yield changes as long-term cash flows are discounted at higher rates. b. What Drives the US 10-Year Most Federal Reserve policy Rate hikes push yields up; dovish policies pull yields down. Inflation trends CPI, PCE inflation data strongly influence expectations. Labor market strength Strong job numbers raise expectations of Fed tightening. Fiscal deficits and debt issuance US Treasury supply can push yields higher if demand weakens. Global demand Foreign investors—Japan, China, and global funds—play a huge role in buying Treasuries. c. Role in US Economy Mortgage rates closely follow the 10-year. Rising yields → higher borrowing costs → slowdown in housing. Corporate debt becomes costlier as yields rise. Treasury yields serve as a baseline for risk premiums across asset classes. Thus, the US 10-year yield shapes both domestic and global liquidity conditions. 4. German 10-Year Bund: Europe’s Anchor The German Bund serves a similar role for the Eurozone. a. Why Bunds Matter Globally Seen as the ultimate safe-haven within Europe. Forms the basis for pricing all European government bonds. ECB policy heavily influences Bund yields, often more directly than Fed policies affect Treasuries. b. Drivers of Bund Yields ECB policy stance Tightening pushes yields higher; easing pushes them lower. Eurozone inflation dynamics Energy prices have historically been key drivers. Growth divergence within Europe Bund yields often fall when southern European debt markets show stress. Global risk sentiment Bunds act as safe assets during global or European crises. c. Spread Analysis: The Bund vs. Other European Bonds A critical aspect of European markets is the spread between the German Bund and other sovereign bonds, such as: Italian BTPs Spanish Bonos French OATs Wider spreads indicate market stress; narrower spreads imply confidence in the Eurozone’s stability. 5. Correlation Between US and German Yields While each region has unique fundamentals, the two yields exhibit strong co-movement due to global capital mobility. a. When US Yields Drive Bund Yields Often seen when: US inflation surprises the market. The Fed adopts an aggressively hawkish stance. Global investors move capital into or out of bonds collectively. Because of arbitrage opportunities, global bond yields cannot diverge too much for too long. b. When Bunds Diverge from Treasuries This happens when: European economic weakness contrasts with strong US growth. ECB policy lags behind the Fed. Eurozone debt concerns create local safe-haven demand. Thus, co-movement is strong but not absolute. 6. Macro Implications of Yield Movements a. For Currency Markets Rising US yields → stronger USD. Rising Bund yields → stronger EUR, if driven by growth rather than crisis. b. For Equities Higher yields pressure high-valuation sectors. Lower yields support risk assets, especially tech and growth stocks. c. For Commodities Higher yields often coincide with weaker commodity demand, unless inflation is the driver. Gold tends to fall when yields rise, as bonds offer higher real returns. d. For Corporate and Government Borrowing All debt becomes more expensive as benchmark yields rise. Governments with higher debt burdens face fiscal pressure. 7. Conclusion Movements in the US 10-year Treasury and German 10-year Bund yields hold immense significance for global markets. They encapsulate expectations about inflation, growth, central bank policy, and risk appetite. As benchmarks for global financing conditions, shifts in these yields determine everything from currency valuations and equity performance to housing markets and government budgets. Understanding their dynamics allows investors, policymakers, and traders to interpret the broader economic landscape and anticipate market trends.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
I will be going long on gold after the market opens.Are youreadyGold prices remained relatively stable this week, offering traders some room for maneuver. This week, after reaching a high of 4132, gold prices fluctuated between 4000 and 4110, showing greater stability compared to the previous volatile market. This provided favorable conditions for implementing trading strategies, and several short-selling operations during this period also achieved the expected results. From a weekly chart perspective, the chart shows a doji pattern, indicating that the forces of bulls and bears are relatively balanced in the short term, lacking a clear one-sided trend, suggesting that investors are generally cautious. Historical data shows that Fridays are often prone to price fluctuations, so it is necessary to remain vigilant about risk management. Looking at the hourly chart, prices have entered a key support/resistance zone, currently trading near the Bollinger Band's middle line. If it can effectively hold this position, it is expected to retest the resistance levels of $4090 and $4100. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to place long orders in batches within the 4050 to 4070 range after the market opens, and closely monitor market dynamics. If there are any further changes, we will promptly notify you of any adjustments to the plan. The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or you agree with my ideas, please like and follow to support me! All strategies have a limited lifespan, so while referring to them, you should also closely monitor market changes. I will also respond flexibly according to actual market fluctuations, and I will announce the specifics in the channel!
TVC:GOLDLong
by Market_Trading_Guide
XAUUSD Rocket Fuel Ran OutA Historical Run For the last 2 months, Gold was an absolute monster. Near vertical move. All pullback shorts were destroyed. The momentum was just intense. Corrective Structure As all impulsive moves must, the rally is now exhausted , and we are in a corrective phase. Price is no longer going up, but it is consolidating. What's Next? The current wave down appears to be shaping into a bearish AB=CD. In a classic AB=CD pattern, the length of the CD leg must equal the length of the AB leg. I will not be looking for any long setups until price reaches $3700~3770 range, and shows signs of reversal. Until then, my view still bearish on XAUUSD. I'm expecting a pullback testing the previous resistance ($4150) then continuation to the down side. Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VIPCryptoVault
XAUUSD–FRIDAY BEFORE PMI: MAINTAINING HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN💛 XAUUSD – FRIDAY BEFORE PMI: MAINTAINING HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN, WAITING TO BREAK RANGE 4132–3998 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone, it's Lana here again 💬 Today is the last Friday of the week, the market is waiting for PMI and preparing to enter a phase with a lot of important data in December. Meanwhile, BTC has been rising faster than XAU in recent weeks, indicating that speculative money is leaning towards crypto, while gold is temporarily moving sideways accumulating. The US Department of Labor will release the November employment report on December 16, which is 6 days after the December Fed meeting. In other words, the Fed is in a "blackout" state regarding labor data for nearly another month – this forces the market to price in advance, making gold's volatility range wide but lacking a clear trend. 💹 2. Technical Analysis – Range & Head and Shoulders Pattern On the H3/H4 frame, gold is fluctuating within the large range of 4132 – 3998. The price wave is gradually narrowing towards the end of the triangle, represented by: Lower highs, Higher lows, → When one of the two boundaries is broken, a new trend is likely to explode in the direction of the breakout. The inverse Head – Shoulders – Head pattern has not been broken: Left shoulder – Head – Right shoulder are all above the rising trendline. For the final wave of the pattern to follow the rhythm, the price needs to confirm surpassing 4109: When closing a candle above 4109, the short-term uptrend is confirmed, At that point, gold can aim for higher liquidity areas such as 4132 → 4145 → 4200. Conversely, if gold breaks 3998, this will be both: breaking the range bottom, and negating the Head and Shoulders pattern, → opening the possibility of a deeper decline to the 3960–3920 area. 🎯 3. Reference Trading Scenarios 💖 BUY Scenario – following the pattern & range bottom support 1️⃣ Buy at support 3998–4000 Entry: 3998–4000 SL: below 3990 (depending on risk management) TP: 4025 → 4040 → 4078 2️⃣ Buy when confirmed above 4109 Condition: Price closes a candle above 4109, confirming the Head and Shoulders pattern is maintained. Entry: around 4100–4105 SL: 4090 TP: 4132 → 4145 → 4200 💢 SELL Scenario – trading the upper boundary of the range Sell: 4130–4132 SL: 4138 TP: 4110 → 4095 → 4070 → 4045 Selling should only be considered as scalping against resistance within the range, not the main trend if the Head and Shoulders pattern is still valid. ⚠️ 4. Notes & Risk Management Range 4132–3998 is still controlling the market: Above 4109 → prioritize Buy according to the short-term uptrend. Below 3998 → consider shifting bias to Sell following the breakout. PMI, Fed expectations, and upcoming employment data may trigger unexpected volatility, therefore: 🌷Gold is at the intersection of technical patterns and macro stories 💛 Be patient and wait for reactions at 3998 and 4109, as these are the two key points that determine whether we enter a new upward wave or a deeper decline. 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to follow gold with me every day ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold sideways, selling pressure returns to 4000⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) comes under renewed pressure in Friday’s Asian session, though it continues to trade within its weekly range amid mixed signals. Expectations for a December Fed rate cut have faded further after the delayed September NFP release, supporting the US Dollar’s climb to its strongest level since late May and weighing on the non-yielding metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Downward trend, gold price continues to accumulate at the end of the week: 4000 - 4100 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4144 - 4146 SL 4151 TP1: $4130 TP2: $4120 TP3: $4100 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4006 - 4004 SL 3999 TP1: $4020 TP2: $4040 TP3: $4060 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
Nifty Intraday Time & Price Outlook 🔥 THE STORY OF TODAY’S MOVE — TIME & PRICE NEVER LIES 🔥 Sometimes the market gives you noise… And sometimes, it gives you a moment. A moment where price bends… And Time whispers the exact window. Today is one of those days. While the crowd is busy guessing, I’m watching the cycle tighten — exact angle, exact vibration, exact timing. NIFTY Time & Price Alignment Detected. When these two shake hands… the move is usually inevitable. Here’s the setup I’m tracking: 📌 Time & Price Analysis CMP: 26,135 Target 1: 26,210 Target 2: 26,290 Stop Loss: Below 26,075 Strategy: Buy on Dips Time Window: On or Before 14:25 Today’s cycle is not random. Price has returned exactly where Time wanted it — and that’s where decisions get made. Most traders chase candles. But legends follow Time & Price. And Time… always leaves a footprint. If this hits — remember the story. If it runs — remember the precision. If someone doubts — just say it softly: “Koi Shaq?”
NSE:NIFTY1!Long
by RaviRoushanSrivastava
9
XAU/USD: Gold Adjusts, Awaiting Fibo 4,092 Confirmation📊 Market Structure Gold is moving in the ABC–D–E adjustment pattern after a strong decline from the peak. Current structure: Wave (C) peaks at the 4,128 – 4,130 USD region and strong selling pressure appears. The price then creates a temporary bottom (D) but does not touch the Demand Zone at 4,007 USD, indicating the BUY side still has strength. Currently, the price is in a small upward adjustment phase to form wave (E). Key points: The major trend still leans towards an increase as long as the bottom at 4,007 USD is not broken. The BUY side is looking for a complete structure to continue pushing up to the FVG region. 💎 Key Technical Zones 1. Fibo Retracement Zone — 4,092 USD Confluence region of: Fibo 0.5 – 0.618 Adjustment structure (small wave) → Suitable for light SELL scalp, according to candle reaction signals. 2. FVG Zone — 4,128 – 4,151 USD This is a large FVG region, coinciding with the market's "loss cost." If the price pushes up as expected in wave (E), this is the main SELL region of the day. 3. Supply Zone — 4,207 – 4,210 USD Extremely strong region, if the price breaks the FVG, it will move to this region. This is the extended target for the BUY side if the market rises strongly. 4. Demand Zone — 4,007 – 4,020 USD The strongest liquidity bottom region of the session. If the price breaks 4,092 and does not maintain structure, gold will retest this region before a major increase. 🎯 Trading Plan – According to the current chart 1️⃣ SELL Scalp – Main scenario Wait for the price to retrace to the Fibo 4,092 USD region and observe the reaction: Entry: 4,092 SL: 4,105 TP1: 4,075 TP2: 4,060 TP3: 4,030 (lower FVG) → This is a short-term scalp order, suitable for the current weak market. 2️⃣ SELL Setup – FVG Zone If the price breaks 4,092 and runs up to FVG: Entry: 4,126 – 4,151 SL: 4,160 TP1: 4,092 TP2: 4,060 TP3: 4,030 → This is the best SELL region of the day. 3️⃣ BUY Setup – Demand Zone Only activate if the market drops deeply: Entry: 4,020 – 4,007 SL: 3,995 TP1: 4,060 TP2: 4,092 TP3: 4,128 – 4,151 → Buy according to the major trend when the price reaches the liquidity bottom region. 🧠 Vincent’s View The current market is in a controlled adjustment phase. Priority: ✔ SELL scalp at 4,092 ✔ Beautiful SELL at 4,126–4,151 ✔ BUY only activates when reaching 4,020–4,007 The major trend is still waiting to complete the wave pattern to push up to the Supply Zone 4,207 USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
STILL IN A BUY ZONE How price closed at 3am UTC, if it was at a different place like a free zone i would have called for closure of the sells because it signaled further push downwards but as long as price is above 4045 , it could start buying more only if the trend doesn't want to change to bearishness and therefore there was no need to call for closure of the trade, price is currently at a discounted area as some people call it and it even best to buy there and if you bought you can still hold it because price is still in a buy zone .
TVC:GOLDLong
by EVANABEK1
10
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Levels, PA Forecast, Setups Fri (Nov 21)Analyzing Today’s Sharp Market Decline The significant selloff observed today was not an arbitrary event. The day began with a robust rally following another impressive earnings report in the AI-chip sector, which propelled futures sharply upward and triggered a short squeeze in the Nasdaq. However, the release of a stronger-than-anticipated jobs report shifted the market's sentiment. While hiring showed signs of rebounding, the unemployment rate also ticked higher, undermining the prevailing narrative that the Federal Reserve would soon lower interest rates. This development served as a stark reminder of the ongoing restrictive monetary policy, coupled with slowing economic growth and exorbitant valuations in the tech sector. Major investment funds capitalized on the morning’s strength in AI and large-cap stocks as an opportunity to reduce their risk exposure. Additionally, systematic trend-followers faced compulsion to sell once the S&P 500 fell below critical support levels. The environment for high-beta assets, including cryptocurrencies, is already in a “reset” phase, which left little incentive for dip-buying at lower price points. As the E-mini S&P 500 futures broke through the previous day’s support levels, the situation escalated into a full liquidation. This perfect storm involved trapped long positions from the morning breakout, stop-loss orders falling into execution beneath yesterday’s lows, and mechanical selling, culminating in the largest intraday reversal since the spring. Market Outlook The current market sentiment is skewed bearish as the ES remains entrenched below the critical 6,660 to 6,700 range. The price is hovering near a significant demand zone established around the lows of the previous trading day and today’s New York session. While we can expect some upward bounces, these movements appear to be temporary rallies within an ongoing downtrend, rather than indicators of a potential new upward leg. Market Analysis: Is This the Beginning of a Downtrend or a Temporary Shakeout? In the recent developments within the E-mini S&P 500 (ES) on the daily timeframe, we’ve observed the formation of a distinct lower high following the recent all-time peak. This shift has seen prices breach the last identified higher-low area, establishing a new narrative. The sequence has transitioned from a higher high to a lower high, culminating in a movement into prior demand zones marked by increased volume, all while momentum appears to be rolling over. On the four-hour chart, the prevailing trend reflects a series of lower highs and lower lows. The recent selloff has further entrenched this trajectory into the discount zone, now signaling proximity to the next Fibonacci retracement target below. While momentum indicators have already dipped from overbought conditions, they have not yet reached deeply oversold thresholds, indicating potential for another leg downward following any short-term corrective bounce. From a broader perspective, the long-term trend remains positive; however, a short- to medium-term corrective phase appears to be in play. Today’s market dynamics suggest we may be in the midst of this corrective leg rather than witnessing the final downturn. As prices have recently entered a significant demand zone, a bounce lasting one to three sessions—or a period of sideways consolidation—seems likely before any potential further decline. In summary, while current conditions favor a move towards lower prices in the days ahead, the market likely anticipates a "lower after a bounce" scenario rather than an immediate and steep decline. Key resistance zones Resistance is written as bands, not single ticks. R1: 6,589–6,600 This band sits around the current Asia-session high and the underside of today’s New York low. It is the first lid above price. If rallies stall here, the tape stays heavy and favors another test of the lows. R2: 6,634–6,658 This is the main breakdown zone from today, centered around the New York afternoon high and the upper edge of the late-session range. As long as ES trades below this shelf, the short-term downtrend remains intact and every bounce is suspect. R3: 6,760.5–6,791.25 This band covers the New York morning low-to-high range and the origin of the big sell leg. If price ever retests this area and fails, it is a prime region for larger swing shorts. Only sustained trade and closes above this pocket would suggest the current corrective leg is ending. --- Key support zones S1: 6,575–6,552 This is the immediate floor combining the Asia-session low, New York afternoon low, and prior-day value low. It is where we are effectively trading now. Expect reactive bounces and stop-runs here, as both sides are active. S2: 6,525–6,509 This is the next downside magnet if S1 breaks cleanly. It aligns with a fib extension and 4-hour demand. A decisive move into this region would represent the next step down in the correction. S3: 6,430–6,418 Deeper extension and prior higher-timeframe demand. If the correction matures into a more serious pullback over several sessions, this pocket becomes a reasonable medium-term downside destination. A++ Setup 1 – Short from R2 supply (continuation short) Direction: Short Entry zone: 6,638–6,648 SL (hard stop): 6,678 TP1: 6,588 TP2: 6,552 TP3: 6,515 Invalidation (structure): If we get a 15m full-body close above 6,675, treat the short idea as invalid and stand aside; market is likely shifting into a squeeze toward 6,700+ instead of extending the down leg. --- A++ Setup 2 – Quick-reclaim long from S1 demand (counter-trend bounce) Direction: Long Entry logic: need a flush then reclaim Entry zone (after reclaim): 6,562–6,568 SL (hard stop): 6,538 TP1: 6,610 TP2: 6,638 TP3: 6,660 Invalidation (structure): If price breaks below 6,552 and 15m closes stay below 6,545 without a fast reclaim, the bounce idea is invalid; then you wait for the deeper S2 zone instead of forcing longs here. Good Luck !!!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
1
XAU/USD – Price Holds Inside Accumulation RangeXAU/USD – Price Holds Inside Accumulation Range, Bulls Eye Key Breakout Toward 4,130 Gold (XAU/USD) on the H1 timeframe is stabilizing inside a tight consolidation box around 4,045 – 4,090 after recovering from the recent pullback. This structure reflects a classic accumulation phase, where buyers quietly absorb liquidity before initiating a potential breakout toward major resistance. Technical Overview (H1) Support Zone: 4,045 – 4,055 • This area continues to act as a strong demand base • Multiple recovery candles show buyers defending it consistently Immediate Resistance: 4,125 – 4,135 • This is the first key barrier price must overcome • A clean breakout above this zone could open the path for a larger rally Major Resistance Target: 4,205 – 4,215 • The previous major supply zone • A likely magnet if momentum accelerates after the breakout EMA Structure: • Price is trading slightly above short-term EMAs • Suggests early bullish pressure building within the range Expected Price Behavior Current price action suggests: • A potential minor liquidity sweep to retest range support • Followed by a bullish push toward 4,125 – 4,135 • If this level breaks, momentum may extend directly into the 4,200+ zone The upward arrow in the chart aligns perfectly with this projected continuation setup. Trading Strategy for Today Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout (Primary Bias) Buy zone: 4,045 – 4,060 (on retest signals) Entry trigger: bullish rejection or engulfing pattern Targets: • TP1: 4,090 • TP2: 4,130 • TP3: 4,205 – 4,215 Stop loss: below 4,030 This scenario matches current market structure and offers the most favorable risk–reward setup. Scenario 2 – Bearish Continuation (Low Probability) Trigger only if price breaks below 4,030 with strong volume. Targets: 4,000 → 3,960 Market Sentiment Summary Gold remains in accumulation mode, showing strong resilience above support. As long as price continues to hold the lower boundary of the range, buyers remain in control. A breakout beyond 4,135 could create a strong bullish extension toward the 4,200 region. If this analysis adds value to your trading, remember to follow for more daily strategies and market insights.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
GIFTNIFTY IntraSwing Levels for 21st Nov '25Useful to Tally / Recognize or sometime DETECT abnormal Movement of NIFTY day Trade Plan. [ Level Interpretation / description: L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's". Do comment if Helpful . In depth Analysis will be added later (If time Permits)
NSEIX:NIFTY1!
by DSKF16