NQ Daily Outlook | November 21, 2025Timeframe Shown: 1H (1-Hour Chart)
EMAs I’m Using:
• 50 EMA (black)
• 5 EMA (white)
• 10 EMA (white)
Price dropped below all of these EMAs during the NY session. On the 1H chart we’re getting a pullback now, and when that happens I scale down to the 5M and look for the same thing — price pulling back into the EMAs and then breaking back below them. That’s where I look for my continuation entries.
Bias: Bearish while we’re still under all EMAs.
Futures market
Nov 21, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity Summary:
It’s Friday, and the market still hasn’t given a clear direction. For now, I’m using 4074 as the bull–bear line:
• Above 4074 → buy on pullbacks that hold
• Below 4074 → sell on pullbacks that fail
Stay flexible and let price action confirm the direction.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4120 – Resistance
• 4107–4110 – Resistance
• 4100–4102 – Resistance
• 4096 – Resistance
• 4089 – Resistance
• 4082 – Resistance
• 4074 – Bull/Bear line
• 4067 – Support
• 4055 – Support
• 4020–4030 – Support zone
• 4007 – Support
• 3998–4000 – Psychological support zone
📈 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 4074 → target 4067, then 4063, 4055, 4050
• BUY if price holds above 4081 → target 4088, then 4092, 4100, 4107
The end - 2026 Financial panicSince 2300, I’ve marked a zone and made a personal commitment: no matter what happens in the market, when this zone is approached, I will begin reducing my exposure and carefully exit all financial markets—with extreme caution and tight stop losses.
Yesterday, I received an alert I never expected to see. It signaled the approach of the zone I identified back in 2021 as the escape point—where major crashes are likely imminent and the urge to invest must be resisted.
This zone aligns with the 0.786 trend-based Fibonacci level from the 2009 bottom to the 2020 peak, as well as the April 2020 bottom. It also coincides with the 2.618 and 3.618 Fibonacci extensions from the 2007–2010 cycle, and the 3.618 trend Fibonacci from the 2002–2009 cycle. But that’s not all.
According to Gann’s Square of 9, if you examine closely, you’ll notice that whenever the trend reaches one of its primary or secondary angles since the 2009 bottom, it consistently triggers a significant drop. The end cycle at the 360° angle corresponds to 7926—perfectly aligning with all the previously mentioned Fibonacci zones.
And for those skeptical of technical analysis, consider this: the upcoming year, 2026, is a pivotal year in the Samuel Benner chart developed in 1875 to identify periods of financial disorder. Benner’s chart indicated when to buy, when to sell, and when to expect chaos. Remarkably, it has accurately forecasted major financial crashes over the past 150 years—including the Great Depression, the Dot-Com bust, and the 2020 COVID crash. According to this chart, selling during the crash year and re-entering post-crash has historically led to profitable outcomes with a +-2 Years at a 87.5% accuracy.
When you combine all these signals, it feels reckless not to take them seriously—especially since this marks the end of a cycle measured from 2009. That’s how significant it is.
To those who dismiss technical analysis, this may sound like smoke and mirrors. But for those who’ve seen its power firsthand, the sheer number of confluences here is too substantial to ignore. If I know such big crash may happen - I would be happy to wait 1-2 years on cash and take opportunity of big red markets to buy.
Curious to hear your thoughts on this.
GOLD FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅GOLD respected the local demand after sweeping sell-side liquidity, showing bullish displacement. With short-term order flow shifting upward, price may aim for the buy-side liquidity resting at the higher supply zone.
—————————
Entry:4,071$
Stop Loss: 4,030$
Take Profit: 4,135$
Time Frame: 2H
—————————
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
NQ Local top is in, 22,000 the target lowHi All,
NQ is still walking the same path it did in 2020–22.
Same weekly inverted FVG near the top.
Same slow fade after the high.
Same bar count into the rollover.
The fractal underneath isn’t a coincidence — Markets repeat patterns the same way people repeat bad decisions after saying ‘never again.
The downside confluence is hard to ignore:
the 0.5 Fib, the weekly imbalance, and the Value Area Low all sitting on top of each other around 22k.
Three signals, one destination.
Premium is done.
Distribution is done.
Now the market’s heading back to fair value, the same way you head back to the gym after a blowout weekend — not because it’s fun, but because that’s where the reset happens.
The fractal already laid the blueprint:
drift → tag fair value → reflex bounce → finish the imbalance.
Nothing in the current structure says this time is different.
Until that 22k zone is cleaned up, anything above it is just background noise.
Gold Futures – Compression Before Explosion?Gold (GC1!) is coiling tightly just above the $3,998 level, teasing a big move as it hugs the 0.618 fib zone at $3,921. It’s the definition of compression — and when gold coils like this, something always gives.
📍 Key levels on the radar:
$3,998 – Current pressure zone
$3,921 – Fib support + breakout base
$3,602 – Worst-case flush if demand fails
$4,489 – Fibonacci extension target if this rips
We’ve got an ascending pitchfork, clean market structure, and a massive range breakout setup. These kinds of patterns don’t sit idle for long.
Gold remains a beast in uncertain macro conditions — don’t underestimate what happens when fear, rates, and inflation mix.
Trading Wisdom 📜
The bigger the coil, the nastier the move. Don’t focus on direction — focus on readiness. Gold pays those who stay patient and deadly.
Disclaimer: What you read here is not financial advice — it’s high-level market philosophy from the FXPROFESSOR himself. Risk is real, and your capital is your responsibility. Learn, adapt, evolve.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
buy gold sell eurgold looking very solid and gold rallye seems to just getting started, the momentum in gold is huge and unbroken, set-backs are very small in price and corrections are brief, short-term and structural very stable. meanwhile euro is under immense geopolitical pressure and insecurities, gold seems to be a far better alternative to it
ES UpdateWow. Just Wow.
I left my overlay on there so you can see that it was correct other than the fact that the market did an entire week's worth of movement in just 24 hours, both up, whipsaw, and down.
I made some money shorting stuff today, but not as much as I should have because I didn't expect the full movement in one day. Closed out my puts way too early.
Holding next week's XLF puts because of a H&S pattern. No other positions, tomorrow will probably look a lot like last Friday because the market will be oversold. Be careful what you go long on, and I'm not sure about Monday direction.
I'm planning to go long on gold in the 4045-4065 range!This week, the gold market exhibited a generally volatile and consolidating pattern, offering traders some room for maneuver. Gold prices initially surged to a high of $4132 at the beginning of the week, but subsequently failed to maintain their upward momentum, gradually retreating and entering a range-bound consolidation phase, primarily fluctuating between $4000 and $4110. Compared to previous weeks' volatile price movements influenced by macroeconomic data or geopolitical situations, this week's trend was more moderate and orderly, with narrower fluctuations, weaker trends, and a relatively controllable overall pace. This volatile market provides numerous opportunities for short-term traders, especially with the high-sell-low-buy strategy proving particularly effective between key support and resistance levels. Some investors have successfully captured pullbacks and achieved ideal returns by accurately timing their short positions and decisively placing short orders in areas where prices encounter resistance during rebounds.
From a weekly technical perspective, this week's candlestick closed as a doji with upper and lower shadows. This signal typically indicates a short-term balance between bullish and bearish forces, with neither buyers nor sellers holding a clear dominant position. Based on an analysis of the recent global financial market environment, there is currently a lack of major driving factors sufficient to propel gold in a clear direction. On the one hand, inflation data from major economies are gradually stabilizing, and monetary policy expectations are becoming more moderate, reducing gold's short-term appeal as a safe-haven asset. On the other hand, while geopolitical risks still exist, they have not escalated to the point of triggering widespread risk aversion. Therefore, market participants are generally adopting a wait-and-see attitude, making it difficult for gold prices to form a sustained breakout.
It is worth noting that reviewing historical trends over the past few months reveals that the gold market often experiences sudden fluctuations at the end of the week, especially on Fridays. Examples include rapid rises or falls after the release of non-farm payroll data, or technical breakdowns caused by unexpected events. This "Friday effect" increases the risk of holding positions over the weekend. Therefore, even if the current market appears stable, traders need to remain highly vigilant, manage their positions reasonably, and set stop-loss orders to guard against potential unexpected fluctuations.
From the hourly chart, the short-term gold price has reached a key technical juncture—the so-called "bullish/bearish dividing line." Currently, the price is fluctuating narrowly around the middle Bollinger Band. This area is not only a convergence zone of short-term moving averages but also a significant psychological level that has been tested multiple times previously. As an important tool for measuring market volatility, the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands indicates that the market is currently in a low-volatility phase, suggesting a potential directional move. If the gold price can effectively hold above the middle band, accompanied by a moderate increase in trading volume, it may resume its upward trend, with the next target potentially pointing to the key resistance area of $4090 or even $4100. Conversely, if it fails to hold this support level and breaks below the lower band, it may resume its downward correction, testing even lower support levels.
Based on the current technical structure and market sentiment, the recommended trading strategy is to establish long positions in batches within the $4045 to $4065 range after the market opens.
The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or you agree with my ideas, please like and follow to support me! All strategies have a limited lifespan. While referring to them, it's also important to closely monitor market changes. I will respond flexibly based on actual market fluctuations, and I will provide specific updates in the channel!
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (21/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)1. Market Overview
Gold remains inside a multi-day consolidation after rejecting the H1 descending trendline and repeatedly holding the $4,060–$4,072 demand zone.
The current structure shows a tight triangle compression where liquidity is building on both sides, suggesting a breakout is imminent during Asia–London transition.
Daily timeframe still maintains a bullish macro bias, but the intraday orderflow is mixed due to repeated rejections from the $4,083–$4,094 supply zone.
⸻
2. Technical Breakdown
🔵 D1 (Daily)
• Price continues to respect the D1 bullish structure, with swing low protection at $3,947–$3,908.
• Daily candle currently forming above D1 50% equilibrium (around $4,012).
• D1 demand: $4,000–$3,947 remains the key macro support zone.
• RSI recovering from mid-level; MACD histogram still negative but flattening → early signs of re-accumulation.
🟣 H1 (1-Hour)
• H1 structure is compressing between:
• Descending trendline resistance at $4,083–$4,090
• Demand block $4,061–$4,072
• BOS to upside requires clean break and 1H close above $4,083.
• BOS to downside requires break below $4,060.
• EMAs: Price currently between the EMA100 & EMA200, signalling indecision.
🟢 15M–5M (Intraday)
• 5M shows momentum shifting bullish after sweeping liquidity at $4,060.
• 15M triangle squeezing price for breakout.
• MACD histogram strongly recovering intraday; 5M confirmations already switched to long.
⸻
3. Fibonacci Analysis (Golden Zone)
Using most recent swing:
Swing High: $4,132
Swing Low: $4,041
🎯 Golden Zone (61.8%–78.6%)
➡️ $4,087 – $4,094
This aligns perfectly with H1 supply → high-probability reaction zone.
⸻
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
🟢 BUY SCENARIOS
➡️ Buy Setup #1 – Pullback Buy
• Entry Zone: $4,072 – $4,066
• Confirmation: 5M CHoCH + bullish MACD turn
• Targets:
• TP1: $4,083
• TP2: $4,094 (Golden Zone)
• TP3: $4,110
• Stop Loss: Below $4,060
• Reasoning: Strong demand + swept liquidity + trendline support.
➡️ Buy Breakout Setup
• Break Entry: Above $4,083
• Confirmation: 5M candle close + retest
• Targets: $4,094 → $4,110
• Invalidation: Rejection back under $4,078.
⸻
🔴 SELL SCENARIOS
➡️ Sell Setup #1 – Rejection of Golden Zone
• Entry Zone: $4,087 – $4,094
• Confirmation: 5M bearish engulfing + MACD shift
• Targets:
• TP1: $4,072
• TP2: $4,060
• TP3: $4,053
• Stop Loss: Above $4,100
• Reasoning: Major supply + trendline + 78.6% Fib alignment.
➡️ Sell Breakout Setup
• Break Entry: Below $4,060
• Targets: $4,053 → $4,043 → $4,032
• Invalidation: Back above $4,066.
⸻
5. Fundamental Watch
• Asia session: Low volatility expected until London.
• No major early macro news.
• Expect liquidity sweeps and algorithmic moves before establishing direction.
• Market anticipating US data later → choppiness likely.
⸻
6. Key Technical Levels
Resistance
• $4,083–$4,094 (Golden Zone + H1 supply)
• $4,110 (breakout target)
• $4,132 (swing high)
Support
• $4,072
• $4,066
• $4,060 (critical line)
• $4,053 / $4,043
• $4,000–$3,947 (D1 demand)
Breakout Triggers
• Bullish: Above $4,083
• Bearish: Below $4,060
⸻
7. Analyst Summary
Gold is at a decisive moment. The market is building pressure inside a narrowing structure while sitting on top of a defended demand zone. Intraday bias is bullish above $4,060, but macro supply remains heavy until $4,094 breaks cleanly.
Expect a breakout session as liquidity is primed on both sides.
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 20/11/2025 🥇
🔥 Precision • Momentum • Profit
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 XAU/USD – DAILY RESULTS
🟢 BUY +100 PIPS
🟢 BUY +50 PIPS
🟢 BUY +60 PIPS
🔻 SELL +210 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🔻 SELL +40 PIPS
❌ SELL -30 PIPS (SL)
🔻 SELL +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +220 PIPS
🟢 BUY +390 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
▶️ NFP LIVE TRADING SESSION
🔻 SELL +250 PIPS
🔻 SELL +100 PIPS
🔻 SELL +170 PIPS
🔻 SELL +130 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💎 SWING TRADES – STILL RUNNING
📈 BUY → +2,850 PIPS
📈 BUY → +1,320 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +1,770 PIPS
🎯 14 Signals → 13 Wins (1 SL)
🔥 Win Accuracy: 93%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Huge day for PREMIUM 3.0 — strong scalps, clean intra-day flows, live session domination & powerful swing positions still delivering!
Congrats if you profited — let’s keep pushing smart gains! 🚀💰
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 11/21/2025Yesterday gold didn't go up as expected it was hovering around 4050-4100. In lower TF, it's not making any decisive moves. Therefore, I will look for breakout today. If 4100 is broken, I will buy toward 4150. If 4050 is broken, I will sell towards 4000. However, I do see the downward momentum is getting stronger. Let's see what the market will present us.
Day 74 — Surviving a 242-Point Crash MoveEnded the day +$450.40 trading S&P Futures, but I’m walking away feeling tilted despite the profit. We sniped the 48-minute MOB resistance right out of the gate—just as planned in last night’s video—but I never expected the market to flush 242 points from top to bottom. That is a "market crash" level move. My P/L was a complete rollercoaster, swinging from +$400 to negative and back again. I’m grateful to end green, but after a session this volatile, I’m likely locking my account and taking a mental break tomorrow.
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6725 = Bullish Below 6710 = Bearish
📰 News Highlights
BITCOIN FALLS 3% TO $87,000, LOWEST SINCE APRIL
XAUUSD H1 TIME FRAME CHART ANALYSIS CONFIRMED TARGET SEE AND CHE📉 Chart Breakdown
1. Current Price
Around 4077.5
2. Sell Zone
Marked as “XAU/USD SELL Area” around the current price.
This suggests you’re planning to enter (or already entered) a sell trade near 4077–4080.
3. Stop Loss (Stop trade)
Highlighted red zone above.
SL appears to be around 4102.
4. Take-Profit Targets
Target 1: 4040
Target 2 (Next target): 4000
XAUUSD | Bullish Inverse H&S Structure on 30m (Educational Idea)📌 Market Overview
On the 30-minute timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) has completed a bullish inverse Head & Shoulders pattern (yellow) and successfully reached its projected target.
When expanding the view, a larger inverse H&S structure (green) becomes visible, indicating a broader bullish accumulation phase.
On the right shoulder of the larger pattern, price action is forming a sideways ascending accumulation channel, which typically supports continuation once key resistance levels are breached.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Main Setup)
A clear breakout and sustained closes above 4105 will confirm bullish momentum, potentially triggering a strong upside move toward:
4141
4176
4211 – 4222
Each level requires candle closes above it to confirm continuation to the next target.
📉 Bearish Invalidation
The bullish structure becomes invalid if price breaks below 4038 and holds below it.
A sustained move under 4038 cancels the larger inverse H&S patterns.
🎯 Trade Bias
This analysis highlights a potential long opportunity if breakout conditions are met.
Confirmation through candle closes is essential before entering any long position.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is my personal technical outlook for educational purposes only.
It is not financial advice. Traders should manage risk according to their own strategy.
EURUSD long with the most obvious signals.This is a dream of a longshot. What better time than now, when so much is happening in the world and the price has retested the support already, to dream? When the trend is poised to spring up after a retraction, the eventuality is on the buyers. We need the price back up to sell it again.
Oil Crude oil is currently positioned at a critical macro support between $55–$60, where there is a higher probability (around 65%) of a bullish rebound toward $72, $82, and potentially $95 if momentum strengthens. However, there remains a smaller but meaningful 35% chance of a breakdown below $55, which would open the path toward $45 and possibly even the $30–$35 range in a deeper macro downturn.
Monthly Gold "The end"🟡 Comprehensive Analysis of Gold (XAUUSD)
In this analysis, we can clearly see that gold is still moving within a strong bullish channel. The price is respecting the structure formed by the upper resistance line and the two support lines (0 and 0.5) below.
🔵 The previous all-time high was around 1,952, and as shown on the chart, the price has broken above that level and continued into a powerful rally, reaching a new all-time high around 4,502.
✨ After this strong upward movement, the price touched the upper boundary of the channel — a zone that typically acts as a point of rejection. The chart illustrates a potential scenario where the price may start a pullback, enter a consolidation phase, and then drop to retest one of the support lines.
✔️ In other words: Gold is currently in a sensitive area. The new all-time high may trigger a correction before the market decides its next major move. However, the overall long-term trend remains bearish.
📉 The oscillator at the bottom shows strong overbought conditions, which increases the probability of a short-term downward correction.
🔔 Summary
Overall trend: bearish
Current position: At major resistance
Most likely scenario: long-term correction toward support (at 3510)
Best opportunities: May appear at lower levels after the market cools down
The Entries:
Downtrend: Until correction could be around (4000-3510)
If the price close under 4000 that mean we are going to 3510,
if the price close above the 4000 that mean we are going to rise maybe more than ATH could be 4800 or 5000.
Have a nice trade fellas.
Gold awaits non-farm payroll data for direction!Gold Technical Analysis: Today's highly anticipated non-farm payrolls report is a major event. This isn't just any ordinary employment data; it's the first employment report released since the US government reopened, drawing immense attention. Why is this non-farm payrolls data so crucial? Consider this: during the government shutdown, many economic data couldn't be released normally. Now that the government is finally back, this data is like a ray of light in the darkness, illuminating the latest situation in the US job market. Moreover, it will have a key impact on the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy direction, meaning it could potentially create significant volatility in the financial markets. Looking at Tuesday's ADP data, the focus is undoubtedly on weak employment and increased expectations of interest rate cuts. While there's already much speculation and analysis in the market, no one can guarantee the data will turn out well. If the data far exceeds expectations, it could give the US dollar a strong boost. How will the stock market, gold, and commodity markets react? If the data falls short of expectations, will expectations of a Fed rate cut intensify further? All these questions will be answered today.
Gold prices have fluctuated wildly these past two days, but this is in line with our expectations, and the market has cooperated. We've perfectly timed our long and short positions, and congratulations to those who followed our advice. After a morning surge followed by a pullback, gold has entered a period of low-level consolidation, continuing its back-and-forth movement. However, gold is likely to remain range-bound before the Non-Farm Payrolls report, so patience is key while waiting for the data. We've repeatedly bought gold around 4050-4030, and the expected rebound yielded several profits. Now, we're just waiting for the Non-Farm Payrolls report. Market conditions are constantly changing, and gold is currently consolidating within a large range, with the possibility of a sudden reversal. More patience, perseverance, and waiting are needed. Don't be impatient; haste makes waste. Let's witness together what kind of waves the Non-Farm Payrolls report will create in the US session.
Gold - This bullrun is now over!🚨Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) won't create new highs:
🔎Analysis summary:
All the way back in 2019, Gold confirmed its rounding bottom formation. This breakout was then followed by a major rally of about +200% over the past couple of years. But at this moment, Gold is retesting a major resistance trendline and will therefore end its bullrun.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,200
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION






















