Futures market
Gold Eyes 4,000 — Key Buy Zone Ahead!!Hey Traders,
Today we’re keeping a close watch on XAUUSD, which continues to trade firmly within its medium-term uptrend. Price is currently pulling back in a healthy correction, and the 4,000 zone stands out as a major confluence level — a structural support, previous reaction area, and dynamic trend touchpoint.
A controlled dip into this zone could attract fresh buyers, especially with markets still leaning toward risk caution and demand for safe-haven flows remaining elevated. As long as the broader trend structure holds, Gold may attempt another leg higher from this area.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Gold Bearish Continuation Analysis
📉 Gold Market Analysis (45-min Chart)
Your chart shows a full transition from bullish trend → distribution → bearish trend.
Below is the step-by-step breakdown:
1️⃣ Previous Trend: Strong Uptrend
Price was moving inside a rising channel, creating:
Higher highs
Higher lows
Fair Value Gap (FVG) inside the channel
Breakout points showing bullish continuation
This structure remained intact until BOS (Break of Structure).
2️⃣ Break of Structure (BOS) → Trend Reversal
Price broke out of the ascending channel and then broke below structural support → confirming a bearish reversal.
This BOS is the key signal showing buyers losing control.
3️⃣ Current Phase: Range Consolidation
After BOS, price entered a range between:
Upper range: ~4,100
Lower range: ~4,020
This type of consolidation usually appears before another strong move.
Because BOS is bearish, the expected continuation is downward.
4️⃣ Liquidity Objective: 4,012 Target
Your chart marks TARGET 4012, and it aligns with:
Liquidity grab zone
Previous reaction area
Lower range boundary
Beginning of the order block
This makes 4,012 a high-probability bearish target.
5️⃣ Order Block Confirmation
Below the chart, there is a large order block zone (3,927–3,947).
If 4,012 is broken with momentum, price may later gravitate toward this deeper zone.
But for now, the nearest confirmed target is:
👉 4,012
6️⃣ Expected Movement (Short-term)
Price is currently retesting the breakdown area (small pullback).
From here, the expected path is:
Pullback → Rejection → Drop toward 4,012
(Bearish continuation)
---
📉 Summary
Trend shifted from bullish to bearish after BOS.
Price is inside a bearish range.
Momentum favors a continuation downward.
Short-term target: 4,012
Major support/order block below: 3,927–3,947
If you want this analysis in another language or want me to write a full signal, let me know!
Excellent Profits on Bottom Buying twiceAs discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary: 'Technical analysis: Gold is showing increasing Selling presence on Weekly (#1W) chart as it is virtually unchanged (the (#1W) candle at # +1.86% currently) as Price-action is on parabolic downtrend within July’s High’s and October Low’s. This has effectively constructed an series of red Daily chart's candles hence the Bearish values on almost all charts which was an ideal Selling opportunity for Short-term Traders however Gold is struggling to stage more serious decline below #4,000.80 benchmark which I mentioned many times as possible 'floor'. Personally I remain on Medium-term Buying set-up as Daily and Weekly chart (#1W) remains heavily Bullish indicating that the latest decline was simply another accumulation and distribution phase of the recently started renewed Bull market. However the Price-action just touched the Weekly chart’s (#1W) #4,052.80 benchmark for the first time since recent upswing which was essentially the start of the parabolic rise. As a result when the #4,100.80 breaks, the next are of my importance is new ATH's level before possible Stabilization zone where Medium and Long-term Sellers will re-appear. If that happens then I will add to my portfolio giving a horizon of #20 - #30 session horizon until Gold hit #4,300.80 benchmark. However it is important to mention that if DX continues the spiral downtrend and Gold re-captures (confirmation by market closing) Resistance zone, Gold can correct #4,100.80 today.
My position: I have placed my Buys on #4,032.80 - #4,042.80 Long-term and my Targets are #4,100.80 - #4,127.80 zones. I maintain my #5,100.80 Long-term Target as these declines are excellent Buying opportunities / fuel for more up.'
My position: I have closed first batch of my Buying orders on #4,102.80 (#3 Buying orders engaged on #4,032.80 - #4,035.80) delivering spectacular Profits and I have Traded the #4,062.80 - #4,082.80 belt throughout yesterday's session (aggressive Scalp orders). As I have mentioned many times throughout my recent comments, I do expect #4,000.80 benchmark to pose as an Ultimate 'floor' and inside yesterday's session strong decline towards #4,000.80 benchmark. I have engaged set of Buying orders on #4,010.80 and closed all the way on #4,052.80 benchmark delivering excellent Profits. Gold holds some Bearish bias however as long as #4,000.80 benchmark is posing as an strong configuration, I will continue Buying Gold.
Excellent Profits on Bottom Buying twiceAs discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary: 'Technical analysis: Gold is showing increasing Selling presence on Weekly (#1W) chart as it is virtually unchanged (the (#1W) candle at # +1.86% currently) as Price-action is on parabolic downtrend within July’s High’s and October Low’s. This has effectively constructed an series of red Daily chart's candles hence the Bearish values on almost all charts which was an ideal Selling opportunity for Short-term Traders however Gold is struggling to stage more serious decline below #4,000.80 benchmark which I mentioned many times as possible 'floor'. Personally I remain on Medium-term Buying set-up as Daily and Weekly chart (#1W) remains heavily Bullish indicating that the latest decline was simply another accumulation and distribution phase of the recently started renewed Bull market. However the Price-action just touched the Weekly chart’s (#1W) #4,052.80 benchmark for the first time since recent upswing which was essentially the start of the parabolic rise. As a result when the #4,100.80 breaks, the next are of my importance is new ATH's level before possible Stabilization zone where Medium and Long-term Sellers will re-appear. If that happens then I will add to my portfolio giving a horizon of #20 - #30 session horizon until Gold hit #4,300.80 benchmark. However it is important to mention that if DX continues the spiral downtrend and Gold re-captures (confirmation by market closing) Resistance zone, Gold can correct #4,100.80 today.
My position: I have placed my Buys on #4,032.80 - #4,042.80 Long-term and my Targets are #4,100.80 - #4,127.80 zones. I maintain my #5,100.80 Long-term Target as these declines are excellent Buying opportunities / fuel for more up.'
My position: I have closed first batch of my Buying orders on #4,102.80 (#3 Buying orders engaged on #4,032.80 - #4,035.80) delivering spectacular Profits and I have Traded the #4,062.80 - #4,082.80 belt throughout yesterday's session (aggressive Scalp orders). As I have mentioned many times throughout my recent comments, I do expect #4,000.80 benchmark to pose as an Ultimate 'floor' and inside yesterday's session strong decline towards #4,000.80 benchmark. I have engaged set of Buying orders on #4,010.80 and closed all the way on #4,052.80 benchmark delivering excellent Profits. Gold holds some Bearish bias however as long as #4,000.80 benchmark is posing as an strong configuration, I will continue Buying Gold.
XAUUSD IDEA XAUUSD SELL Range 4052 4055
Stop Loss (SL 4057):
SL at 4057 gives you only a few points of buffer above your entry. That’s quite tight. If price spikes up strongly (momentum surge or a fundamental shock), your SL could be hit quickly.
The risk of being stopped out is real, especially if gold breaks upward above that small zone.
Take Profit (TP1 3998, TP2 3960):
TP1 (3998): This is a decent first target: a drop from ~4055 to ~3998 is a substantial move (~57 points), but not massive in volatile gold.
TP2 (3960): More ambitious — this assumes a strong bearish move. For that to happen, you’d likely need a catalyst (for example, strong dollar rally, hawkish Fed, or drop in safe-haven demand).
Putting together fundamentals + technicals, here is a possible rationale behind your trade:
Mean Reversion from Overbought / Resistance:
You may believe gold has run up into a resistance area around 4053–55, and it’s due for a pullback/mean reversion.
Macro Risk: Rate Cut Hopes Disappointed / Dollar Strength:
If markets start to doubt aggressive rate cuts, real yields could rise, making gold less attractive.
A potential dollar bounce could put pressure on gold.
Safe-Haven Demand Easing Slightly:
If geopolitical risk cools or investors rotate out of gold, there could be a temporary drop.
Taking Advantage of Momentum + Technical Structure:
You're playing a swing or short-term move where gold re-traces from near-term highs.
XAUUSD 18 Nov – CHoCH PotentialGold may potentially rebound after a CHoCH (Change of Character), as it left a significant liquidity void during the recent decline. If this scenario plays out, a rebound could occur from the 4017.16 zone, targeting 4139.95.
Should price reach this level quickly, it would create another liquidity void, providing a potential short-selling opportunity if a bearish reaction forms from that area.
NDX - DONT HURT ME NO MORE!Good Morning,
Hope all is well. NDX !!! Don't hurt me no more. Nope! We saw this coming from quite a distance away. I first observed a pull-back coming into effect on a shorter time frame and have since charted it on longer time frames.
Lets get down to basics. The markets had a phenomenal run this year, there can only be so much confidence in something before people start to get weary. That is exactly what we have here. Currently are we finished the pull-back? No - Are we going to dive into a reversal?, unlikely. There is still a very long way to go until we hit that point.
My TFSA has been limited at this point, I am not buying much and am holding a 75% cash reserve. My other two accounts are swing and day trade accounts so I do not bother and instead play the positions when opportunity arises.
Trade Safely!
Enjoy!
QuyetP | Gold edging up… eyes on 4100TVC:GOLD is doing that type of move I call “small bite, not a feast.”
Quiet. Controlled. But real.
Bond yields keep softening — U.S. 10Y slipping another ~2–3bps, and gold reacts instantly, almost hypersensitive.
Risk tone is cooling: equities slowing, crypto losing that wild edge → a thin stream of defensive flow shows up.
TVC:DXY losing momentum from earlier sessions → gives gold the oxygen it needed.
And when gold gets oxygen, it usually climbs slow… but steady.
Right now, 4100 is the clean, realistic target. Close enough to trust, far enough to matter.
QuyetP’s view:
This isn’t a big trend. It’s a light move.
Let it touch 4100 — then I reassess. No greed. No forcing. Small waves get small bites.
Do you think gold is truly waking up… or just stretching before it lies back down?















