Black FridayUp to 80% OFF

Futures market

WTI Oil Market Outlook: Sell Zones & Key LevelsOil is still respecting a broader downtrend structure with consistent lower highs and lower lows. Price recently reacted from the $62–63 resistance zone (trendline + supply) confirming another lower high and maintaining bearish momentum. As long as oil stays below this zone the chart suggests a continuation toward the downside with next supports sitting near $56.30, $52.50 and potentially $50.00 if bearish pressure accelerates. Only a clean breakout above $63 with strong candles would invalidate this bearish outlook and shift momentum toward the $66–70 zone. 🔻 Sell Setup 1 - Entry Zone: 62.00 – 63.00 - Stop Loss: 63.80 - Targets: TP1 59.00, TP2 56.30, TP3 52.50 🔻 Sell Setup 2 - Entry: Break below 57.50 and retest - Stop Loss: 59.20 - Targets: TP1 56.30, TP2 52.50, TP3 50.00 Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by SibiSh
XAUUSD Technical Snapshot1️⃣ Analysis (3 sentences): Price is currently consolidating inside a contracting structure, sitting between the support zone at 4000–4003 and the 4100 resistance area. Liquidity is building on both sides, suggesting a potential engineered sweep before a decisive move. My bias: a final dip toward the 4003 support zone to collect liquidity → then a bullish leg targeting 4150–4200 if FOMC volatility aligns. 2️⃣ Key Zones: Resistance: 4095–4115 Support: 3997–4003 Bias: Liquidity sweep → bullish continuation 3️⃣ Disclaimer: This is personal analysis only and should not be taken as financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly—always manage risk carefully.
TVC:GOLDLong
by xauusd_rr
Gold 30-Min — Volume Buy Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance. It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic. ✈️ Technical Reasons / Direction — LONG / Reversal 4060 Area ☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body. ☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base. ☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward. ☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break. ☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity. ⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum. From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins. ⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior. POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones. ⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move. Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers. When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
5
Report 24/11/25Report summary: Europe’s policy debate has pivoted from cyclical noise to structural urgency. Christine Lagarde warned that the euro area’s export-led “old growth model” is out of date and that years of inaction risk a slow grind lower in productivity and per-capita income. Her prescription is to deepen the single market and remove internal trade barriers so domestic demand can carry more of the load, a message sharpened by Germany’s protracted manufacturing slump. This is a meaningful shift in elite signaling: it frames EU stagnation as a design problem rather than a business cycle dip, and it implies a multi-year policy program that favors services, capital-market integration, and defense/tech over heavy industry status quo. At the same time, Brussels is pressing ahead with a “reparations-style” loan that would use the income from frozen Russian assets to collateralize roughly €140 billion for Ukraine, despite competing ideas out of Washington to redeploy the funds for U.S.-led vehicles. The plan’s viability rests on EU political consensus and legal comfort with the primacy of sanctions law over sovereign asset protections; if it holds, it creates a medium-term floor under Kyiv’s financing and a fresh precedent for sanctions leverage in geopolitical bargaining. Japan is moving the other way on the cycle: a new ¥21.3 trillion (~$135 billion) package mixes energy subsidies, cash handouts, and tax cuts to cushion real incomes and counter tariff-related shocks. Markets faded the “Truss moment” angst, but the bigger macro tell is in rates: Japan’s 10-year JGB yield is pressing multi-decade highs near ~1.78%–1.80%, reflecting both fiscal supply and a slow-moving regime shift at the BOJ. The policy mix, more fiscal, less BOJ repression, keeps USDJPY volatile, raises MoF intervention risk if disorderly FX develops, and re-prices term premia globally via portfolio rebalancing. Over in the U.S., a different kind of regime change is underway in capital markets: the “AI capex” financing machine. Investment-grade titans and speculative-grade data-center developers have flooded debt markets; Oracle’s credit-default-swap costs jumped as issuance and leverage climbed, and analysts now talk about another ~$20–$60 billion from data-center issuers next year if financing conditions allow. The broader template is stark: Wall Street expects big-tech borrowing of roughly $1.2 trillion from 2025–2028 to fund an AI build-out that could approach $3 trillion in total spend, leaving equity, private credit, ABS, and vendor financing to fill the gap. That’s powering near-term growth but also tightening financial conditions for the marginal borrower and increasing draw-down risk if adoption proves S-shaped rather than exponential.    Energy geopolitics adds another shock-absorber/accelerant. Fresh U.S. sanctions on Russian oil have widened Urals’ discount to Brent, stranded sanctioned barrels at sea, and driven crude afloat to ~1.4 billion barrels while tanker day-rates jump. This raises freight-adjusted delivered prices for some buyers and lengthens supply chains as India and China probe alternatives in the Americas. If sustained, higher shipping costs tighten effective supply even if headline output is stable, a bullish skew for time-spreads and for crack margins if logistics bottlenecks persist.  U.S. monetary policy is the wild card short-term. The Fed is openly split after two cuts, with some officials citing firmer labor and sticky services inflation to argue against a December move; the shutdown-delayed data flow has complicated consensus-building. Markets that had priced a near-certain cut marked odds back to a coin-flip and the dollar firmed. This tug-of-war keeps rate-sensitive equities choppy and supports DXY on dips while curve steepening remains the path of least resistance if growth doesn’t crack.  Western trade policy is hardening. Allies are coordinating to contain subsidized Asian steel overcapacity, a step that would entrench defensive measures beyond the U.S. and EU and nudge input costs higher for downstream users. In the Americas, the White House removed 40% tariffs on slices of Brazilian food imports to temper U.S. food inflation, signaling tactical dial-a-tariff flexibility rather than a clean de-escalation of protectionism. The common theme is industrial policy with a CPI lens. Market reactions and near-term setup U.S. equities are oscillating between hopes of a gentle disinflationary glide and the reality of capital-intensive AI economics. November saw the Nasdaq slump as investors punished cash-burn-adjacent AI stories and questioned returns on the next $500 billion of big-tech capex, yet breadth improved late in the week as non-AI cyclicals rallied. Expect “violently flat” tape: big ranges, muted trend until a catalyst resets the earnings/discount-rate mix. Positioning is rotating toward cash-returners and old-economy beneficiaries of the AI build (power gear, engines, grid).  European risk assets are bifurcating. Banks and defense/aerospace remain relative winners on regulatory flexibility and fiscal rearmament talk, while exporters tethered to capex goods lag amid weak global manufacturing. Lagarde’s push for single-market deepening is equity-positive in the long run but slow-acting; near-term, EU assets key off the dollar and the U.S. rate path. JGBs are under persistent pressure as supply and term premia reprice. Foreign inflows into long JGBs have picked up given improved hedged yields and life-insurer asset-liability shifts, but the market will still demand higher coupons if fiscal packages multiply. The BOJ’s slower purchase pace adds another marginal bear impulse. Expect global spillovers via reallocation out of U.S. duration, particularly on hedged bases. Oil’s micro is dominated by logistics and refined-product dynamics more than OPEC headlines in the very near term. U.S. product demand is running a touch above 20 mb/d into late November, with gasoline normalizing and distillates steady; a prolonged tanker squeeze would tighten physical benchmarks even if OECD inventories look comfortable, a setup that can push Brent time-spreads into backwardation on shipping-led tightness.  Strategic forecasts (3–12 months) For the euro area, the base case is low-trend growth with positive dispersion. Countries that execute on services liberalization and defense/dual-use tech will outgrow heavy-industry incumbents. A successful Russian-asset loan would stabilize Ukraine support and reduce tail-risk premia in European credit and FX by anchoring war financing, though Kremlin countermeasures are an overhang. The upside risk is a faster-than-expected single-market push that narrows the EU-U.S. productivity gap; the downside is political fragmentation that delays reforms and keeps potential growth sub-1%. For Japan, modest real growth with rising nominal anchors is plausible if fiscal offsets persist and the BOJ gradually normalizes. The yen’s fair value shifts stronger over the horizon as real yields creep up and the current account benefits from capex-related reshoring and tourism, but path dependence is messy: any USDJPY slide below “lines in the sand” could trigger MoF action that sparks risk-off waves across Asia. For the U.S., AI-led investment remains a growth prop, yet the financing mix raises credit-cycle sensitivity. If bond buyers demand wider spreads and private credit tightens structures, 2026 capex could slip to the low end of Street estimates for data-center developers. The soft-landing case still holds if labor eases without a profits recession, but the equity factor mix tilts from “duration + narrative” toward “cash + capacity to fund.” Fiscal and political implications Lagarde’s critique implies Brussels-level initiatives: capital-markets union, cross-border banking waivers, and defense R&D funding, all of which raise EU banks’ ROE and M&A option value if they materialize. Japan’s fiscal stance, tax cuts and subsidies, keeps households whole but lifts JGB supply needs and medium-term debt-sustainability questions. In the U.S., a divided Fed and a Congress that toggles between deregulatory pushes (e.g., accounting conflicts reconsidered) and tactical industrial policy keeps policy risk high for megacap tech, auditors, and regulated utilities powering data centers. Key asset implications Gold (XAUUSD) is a geopolitical hedge caught between elevated real yields and fresh conflict/energy frictions. With the Fed divided and the dollar bid on growth-and-carry, rallies can stall in the absence of a shock; sustained oil shipping tightness or an escalation in Ukraine would argue for renewed upside via risk premia and central-bank diversification. Think choppy with upward spikes on event risk. S&P 500 and Dow Jones are likely to remain range-bound into year-end as earnings revisions flatten and the market digests the true cost of AI. Favor cash-flow-rich defensives, power-grid/engine suppliers riding off-grid data-center builds, and U.S. industrials with pricing power; fade thematic spikes in highly levered AI-infrastructure plays if spreads re-widen and CDS headlines recur. USDJPY should stay positively correlated with global yields. Japan’s stimulus and BOJ gradualism keep dips shallow, but any acceleration toward 160 would invite verbal or actual MoF intervention; rallies back toward 150 would likely require either softer U.S. data or a BOJ policy surprise. Expect realized vol to stay high as life-insurers and foreign reserve managers rebalance. DXY retains a carry and growth premium as long as the Fed resists rapid easing and European/Japanese yields lag on a hedged basis. Event-risk spikes tend to be bought, especially if EU reform is slow and Japan telegraphs only incremental normalization. A clear pivot from the Fed or a synchronized non-U.S. growth surprise would be needed to knock the dollar into a new down-trend.  Crude oil is fundamentally range-bound but tactically skewed higher on logistics. Elevated “oil on water,” rising freight, and U.S. product resilience offset soft spots in OECD macro. Watch how quickly India/China re-route to non-sanctioned grades and whether winter diesel tightens; a fast normalization of shipping would cap rallies, but another sanctions turn could put $5–$10 on Brent via spreads. Playbook (30–90 days): The market is rotating from “rates-only” narratives to a three-engine regime, policy mix, financing cost of AI infrastructure, and logistics-driven energy micro. In that mix the base case for the next one to three months is range-bound risk with violent factor swings: the dollar stays resilient on carry, global curves keep a mild steepening bias as Japan and Europe inch toward fiscal-led reflation, and oil trades the logistics tape rather than headline supply. Under that backdrop the most robust portfolio stance is barbelled: own quality cash generators and “picks-and-shovels” to the data-center build on one side, and convex hedges to financing or FX shocks on the other. Below are concrete trade expressions, triggers, and risk controls for your named assets, written to be executable without relying on a single macro outcome. For gold (XAUUSD), treat the metal as event-volatility insurance funded by carry elsewhere. The near-term headwind is real yields when the Fed sounds cautious on further cuts, but the tail winds, sanctions volatility in energy markets, sovereign asset seizures crossing new legal lines, and central-bank diversification, keep upside convexity alive. Express longs through a call-spread ladder dated beyond the next Fed meeting to avoid theta bleed around speeches; a typical construction buys a call roughly 3% to 5% out of the money and sells one 8% to 10% out, sized so that the maximum loss is under one week of average P&L. If you prefer linear, add on dips that coincide with dollar up-days and U.S. 10-year breakevens steady to higher; cut if the dollar breaks out with real yields rising in tandem, because that mix historically compresses gold’s risk premium rather than reprices it higher. The hedge to a core long is a tight tenor risk-reversal (sell a small put to part-fund the call), but keep the short put notional capped so assignment would be a one-day VaR event, not a portfolio reset. For U.S. equities via the S&P 500, run a “cash-plus-protection” frame rather than a pure beta bet. Earnings revisions are good but flattening as the street digests the true cost of the next leg of AI capex and the debt it rides in on. Overwrite strength in the index level with 30–45-day covered calls against quality positions that already yield high free cash flow; recycle the premium into 2%–3% out-of-the-money index put spreads, which finance cheaply when implied correlation is low. If you prefer outright index structures, a collar that sells a call roughly 4% out and buys a put 3% down, then sells a second put 7% down in smaller size, creates downside funding without over-insuring grindy tapes. Upgrade the factor mix inside the sleeve: overweight grid equipment, power electronics, engines and backup power tied to data-center build-outs, plus U.S. industrials with pricing power; underweight highly levered AI-infrastructure stories that require continuous market access. The invalidation for a constructive stance is a sharp, credit-led widening in IG spreads alongside a stronger dollar; that combo says “financing is the problem,” in which case switch from collars to outright long puts for a few weeks. For the Dow Jones, lean into the value tilt as your relative hedge against a stumble in long-duration tech. A simple spread, long Dow futures versus short Nasdaq futures, keeps you market-neutral on U.S. growth while monetizing any further de-rating of capex-heavy stories. If you don’t run futures, you can synthesize with large-cap value ETF versus a mega-cap growth ETF, but keep the pair dollar-neutral and rebalance weekly because factor drift is high in this tape. The stop is not a level but a condition: close the spread if the 3-month change in 10-year real yields rolls over while IG spreads tighten; that mix usually re-accelerates duration leadership and hurts the pair. For USDJPY, keep a two-handed plan: long-USD tactical swings on dips toward well-telegraphed “lines in the sand,” paired with cheap optionality for a policy or intervention surprise that strengthens the yen. The driver into year-end is still rate-differentials and issuance: Japan’s supplementary budget lifts JGB supply and nudges term premia up, while BOJ normalization remains incremental. Buy USDJPY on retracements that coincide with U.S. yields firming and oil bid, but carry a protective 1-by-2 put spread (long one nearer-dated USDJPY put, short two further-dated deeper-strike puts in much smaller notional) to monetize any Ministry of Finance shock move. Size the options so that, in an intervention gap-down, your delta flips long JPY rather than leaving you naked. If you own Japanese equities, consider funding partial FX hedges via rolling forwards when the basis softens; the carry drag is smaller than the earnings volatility from a fast yen rally. For the broad dollar via DXY, the path of least resistance is still a buy-the-dip stance as long as non-U.S. growth is patchy and the Fed resists a rapid easing path. The way to trade it without basis noise is a basket: long USD versus EUR and GBP in larger weight and versus a liquid Asian cross in smaller weight to capture policy divergence. Use futures or forward points rather than options unless you specifically want tail cover; if you do, own USD calls struck just beyond recent highs with maturities that hop over the next central-bank meetings. The risk to this stance is a synchronized upside surprise in European services activity together with a BOJ signal that accelerates normalization; should that occur, flip to selling DXY rallies and close any EURUSD shorts first, because the euro will do the heavy lifting of any non-U.S. growth surprise. For crude oil, trade the structure rather than the headline. Freight tightness, sanction routing and “oil on water” dynamics are as important to prompt pricing as OPEC chatter, and they predominantly express through time-spreads and cracks. If you have access to futures curves, a small long prompt-minus-next calendar (long the nearer month, short the next) benefits from shipping bottlenecks and inventory draw-downs without taking full flat-price beta; pair that with a modest crack-spread long if U.S. product demand firms into winter. If your toolkit is listed options on WTI or Brent, a diagonal call spread—long a nearer-dated at-the-money call and short a further-dated call a few dollars higher, lets you monetize a transient tightness while selling more expensive longer-dated vol. The invalidation is a rapid normalization in tanker availability or a clear downdraft in U.S. product supplied; if either occurs, close structure longs and keep only residual upside via cheap calls. Risk management across the sleeve should emphasize condition-based exits and position sizing that assumes gap risk. For gold and crude options, cap premium outlay on each structure to no more than your average daily P&L to avoid “insurance becoming the risk.” For equity collars and put spreads, avoid clustering maturities: stagger them so you’re not forced to roll the entire hedge book on the same week. For USDJPY and DXY, treat policy meetings and unscheduled official comments as jump risk; keep some of the FX exposure in options so your first response to a gap is to adjust delta, not liquidate at the worst print. For the Dow-versus-Nasdaq pair, monitor credit spreads and real yields daily; those two variables explain most of the pair’s variance right now, and a regime flip there is your earliest warning to step aside. Scenario mapping is straightforward. In a benign glide, U.S. growth okay, Europe improving at the margin, Japan steady, shipping constraints lingering, the dollar stays firm but not disorderly, gold grinds with episodic spikes, oil’s structure outperforms flat price, the S&P 500 chops but rewards cash-returning cyclicals, and the Dow-over-Nasdaq pair works. In a financing shock, AI-capex issuers pay up, IG spreads widen, and the dollar rallies, beta underperforms protection, the S&P 500 put spreads pay, Nasdaq lags the Dow, USDJPY pops higher unless MoF steps in, and gold initially stalls before catching a late safe-haven bid. In an intervention or policy upside shock, BOJ hints at faster normalization or MoF acts decisively, the yen strengthens abruptly, DXY softens, gold rallies alongside duration, oil dips on stronger yen and softer global growth expectations, and you monetize the USDJPY downside optionality while covering some equity hedges.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Buranku
Crude Falls with Market Sentiment, Key Levels StandFrom a weekly perspective, the overall outlook on crude remains within a dominant downtrend since 2023, with a shorter-term trend forming from June 2025, currently stabilizing above the $55 per barrel mark. Scenarios: • Upside: Climbing back above the upper bound of the short-term channel (June–November 2025) and above the $63 mark could open the way for a retest of the upper boundary of the broader downtrending channel that has been in place since December 2023, near $66, before confirming a structured bullish breakout. • Downside: A drop below the lower boundary of the six-month channel and the $55 yearly low is expected to extend losses toward the bottom of the original downtrend channel near $49, where another bullish rebound could emerge. The borders of the December 2023–November 2025 channel remain dominant in defining crude’s next major directional move. Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREX.com
Brian – Gold Money Flow Map for the US Session TodayBrian – Gold Money Flow Map for the US Session Today Technical analysis – trendline, FVG, and two clear scenarios On H4, gold is still maintaining a medium-term uptrend line drawn from the end of October. The decline in the Asian session this morning was not strong enough to break the structure; the price touched the trendline and then bounced up, indicating that the sellers have not yet "crushed" this support area. Current structure: The price is accumulating around the 4,050–4,080 area in a sideways candle cluster, lying on the uptrend line and above the 4,000 support. Above, the 4,120–4,170 area is an FVG + important supply zone; higher is a larger FVG around 4,280–4,330 – if "filled," it is a potential area for a strong profit-taking move. Below, the 4,000 mark is a key support; losing this mark, the price could quickly slide to the 3,884 area – marked on the chart as the level confirming a medium-term downtrend if breached. Until 4,000 is broken, I consider this an accumulation area with a high possibility of "fake breaks" on both sides – so prioritize trading according to the trendline, not guessing tops and bottoms in the noise area. Key levels Resistance / sell zone: 4,100–4,110: buy confirmation zone, if rejected will become short-term supply 4,170–4,173: FVG / supply, medium-term short zone 4,280–4,330: large FVG above Support: 4,048–4,050: trendline + intraday breakout zone 4,022–4,005: next support if the price slides off 4,040 4,000: psychological and structural support 3,884: final support; breaking down will confirm a medium-term downtrend Trade scenarios (for reference, not investment advice) 1. Sell break intraday – follow the trend if the trendline breaks Entry: sell when the price breaks the short trend at 4,048–4,050 SL: 4,056 TP: 4,040 → 4,022 → 4,005 Idea: if the price breaks below the current accumulation cluster and short trendline, I want to follow the initial selling force, targeting the adjacent support area 4,022–4,005. When the order goes right, SL can be moved to BE around 4,040. 2. Sell “premium” – short at the upper FVG zone Entry: 4,170–4,173 SL: 4,178 TP: 4,160 → 4,145 → 4,122 → 4,100 This is a price zone I consider "beautiful" for medium-term trading if the market gives a deep retracement. FVG + H4 resistance converge; if the price is strongly rejected here, the TPs are successively the lower demand zone and the current range bottom. 3. Buy only after clean breakout – do not rush to catch the bottom I am only interested in buy orders when the market structure truly confirms: Trigger: H1/H2 candle closes clearly above 4,100 Entry: buy right around 4,100 after breakout SL: 4,092 TP: medium-term towards the 4,145 → 4,170 → 4,230+ depending on momentum This scenario considers 4,100 as the "exit door" from the current accumulation area. If this area holds as new support, buyers will have a clearer advantage and the money flow could push the price up to gradually fill the upper FVGs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
2
Gold Market Analysis - 24 NOVEMBER 2025- On the H1 chart, the gold market is currently reacting correctly at the important support zone of 4047–4050, corresponding to the bottom of the (A) – (B) – (C) correction pattern in the recovery wave structure. 1️⃣ Current Elliott wave context - The previous down wave has completed 5 waves (1)-(5). - The market then entered a large ABC correction phase: - Wave (A) has formed a short-term top around 4120. - Wave (B) has created a sideways accumulation zone. - Wave (C) is in the completion stage — and the price is currently retesting the bottom zone (C). This shows that the current down wave is not the main trend, but just the completion of the correction wave. 2️⃣ Important support is holding the price - Strong support zone: 4040–4042 → This is: ✔ Confluence of wave C bottom ✔ Strong price reaction zone in the past several sessions - Price is showing signs of bottoming here (long candle tail, weak selling pressure). 3️⃣ Technical signals confirm the possibility of reversal Stochastic H1 is in the oversold zone and starting to curve up → bullish signal. The candle continuously draws its legs at the 4042 zone → buyers absorb very well. The decreasing amplitude gradually weakens → showing that selling pressure is drying up. 4️⃣ Expected trend today High probability scenario: Bottom formation → Strong increase forming wave (C) increase If the price stays above 4040 – 4042, the market is likely to bounce back up according to the trajectory: - Near target: 4080 – 4100 - Important target: 4120 - Completed wave (C) target: 4180 – 4200 This is the main increase wave after completing the ABC correction structure. ❗ Alternative scenario (lower) - If 4040 - 4042 is broken by a strong closing H1 candle → the market will retest the area: 4000 – 3980 - But the probability is low because the current selling pressure is quite weak. 📌 Conclusion - The market is following the ABC correction pattern. - Wave C is almost complete and the price is standing on the final support zone. - Stochastic oversold → bullish reversal sign. - Main scenario today: gold bounces back, heading towards 4100 – 4180
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by andrewtradergold
1
XAUUSD: Stuck Above 4,000, Just Waiting for the Next DropThe current context shows gold being “squeezed” between two forces : on one side, improving risk appetite as markets expect the Fed to cut rates; on the other, ongoing geopolitical and global financial concerns . As a result, price is holding above 4,000 but finding it hard to break higher. On the H1 chart, XAUUSD is moving sideways with a slight downside tilt, spending most of the time inside or below the Ichimoku cloud . The latest bounce only reached the 4,100 area before being sold off again, showing that the cloud and the top of the channel are still acting as a lid on the downtrend. In the middle of the range, price is hovering around the temporary support at 4,050 – which is also the level highlighted on the chart as a potential breakdown point. Trading idea: if price fails to hold 4,100 and we get a clear H1 close confirming weakness, the intraday bearish trend could resume and drag gold back toward the 4,050 zone. Good luck and trade safe!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Paradise_Noir
34
XAUUSD On the 1-hour chart, Gold is currently trading inside a tight symmetrical triangle, with price compressing between a rising trendline from the November 5th lows and a descending trendline from the November 14th highs. Price is hovering around the $4,070 zone, which also aligns with the 50-period moving average, showing indecision but increasing pressure for a breakout. A break and retest above the $4,085–4,095 resistance zone (highlighted in grey) may trigger a bullish momentum wave. The projected breakout target points toward the $4,180–4,220 region, based on the measured move from the previous swing. As long as price holds above the rising trendline support, the structure remains bullish, with buyers expected to step in on any retest of support.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Trader1mran
USOIL : Daily analysis 24/11/2025Oil stabilized after a sharp weekly drop as markets weighed the possibility of a Russia-Ukraine peace deal that could add even more supply to an already well-supplied market. Prices have been sliding for months due to rising global production and expectations of a record surplus in the coming year. A potential agreement that leads to sanction relief for Russia would increase the oversupply even further, although political hurdles remain, and European leaders are pushing for revisions to the peace framework. Traders are also watching Middle East tensions and softer near-term market tightness, while OPEC and its partners prepare to review output strategy later in the month. On the technical side, the crude oil price is testing the support of the lower band of the Bollinger Bands around the $58 price area. The Stochastic oscillator is in extremely oversold levels, hinting that a bullish correction may be forming, while the Bollinger Bands are quite expanded, indicating that volatility is present to support any sharp moves. On the other hand, the moving averages are validating an overall bearish trend in the market, and therefore any bullish correction might be minor. In the event that the price does indeed correct to the upside, the first area of potential resistance may be seen around $60, which represents both the psychological resistance of the round number and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. If, however, it continues its bearish trajectory, then it might retest the lows of $57, which was tested again in late October. Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
TVC:USOIL
by antreas_themistokleous_exness
XAUUSD : Daily analysis 24/11/2025Gold held steady as traders assessed the odds of another Fed rate cut before the end of the year. Prices stayed above the recent handle after a mild weekly pullback, with sentiment mixed following cautious comments from several Fed officials. New York Fed President John Williams opened the door to a near-term cut, helping gold trim losses late Friday, though it still finished lower on the day. The U.S. shutdown has delayed key data releases, leaving markets without guidance; however, some data due this week will help clarify the outlook, with futures currently pricing in a slightly above 70% chance of a quarter-point cut next month. Lower rates typically support gold, which doesn’t yield interest. The path ahead remains uncertain, as gold has been consolidating in a tight range since its record peak in late October. Although it remains sharply higher year-over-year, thanks to geopolitical tensions, trade risks, and concerns about weakening government finances, the outlook remains uncertain. From a technical perspective, the price of gold is plateauing around the support of the 50-day simple moving average, located in the $4,050 area. The Bollinger Bands, although contracted due to the volatility of the previous weeks, are still quite expanded, supporting any significant move in the short term. The Stochastic oscillator is in extreme oversold levels, hinting that a potential bullish correction might take place in the upcoming sessions. The moving averages are also validating an overall bullish trend in the market; therefore, the short-term outlook for gold might be slightly bullish. However, without any new catalyst in the market, the price is likely to remain within a sideways range between $4,200 and $3,900. Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by antreas_themistokleous_exness