Futures market
XAUUSD Forming Ascending TriangleXAU/USD (Gold) is building a very constructive technical structure, forming a tightening rising-triangle (or ascending triangle) on the daily chart. The upper trendline is acting as resistance, while the lower trendline is offering steady support. This compression suggests that a breakout is imminent: if gold clears the upper boundary with strength, it could trigger a significant bullish continuation.
On the macro and fundamental side, gold remains well supported by dovish expectations around U.S. monetary policy, persistent geopolitical uncertainty, and safe-haven demand. Real yields in the U.S. have been under pressure, giving non-yielding assets like gold greater appeal as a hedge. In addition, inflation concerns have not fully subsided, which could continue to drive interest in gold as an inflation play.
From a market dynamics perspective, central banks’ ongoing purchases of physical gold and ETF inflows are likely contributing to the higher-timeframe bullish bias. These flows, combined with tight technical structure, suggest that buyers are positioning for a fresh leg higher. If this breakout plays out, gold’s next target could push toward new nominal highs or record-equivalent levels, depending on momentum.
In terms of strategy, a long entry makes sense on a daily close above the upper trendline, ideally with a retest of that breakout as confirmation. A tight stop could be placed just below the triangle’s lower trendline to manage risk. If executed well, the upside could be very attractive, given gold’s macro fundamentals and the strength of its structural setup.
XAUUSD:LIVE TRADEHello friends
Well, we had a decline that we found support for with Fibonacci, and you can see that there was good support from buyers at this point.
We also have a head and shoulders pattern, which is again a positive.
The downtrend line has also been broken, which is also a positive point.
Now, given the arrival of buyers, we can enter the trade and move with it to the specified targets.
Note that the first principle of trading is capital and risk management, so be sure to follow it and avoid emotional behavior.
*Trade safely with us*
Silver Buy Alert #3- You Only Have 20 MIns TO Execute ThisSilver buy alert..
Sadly i did not analyse
this one so give me a second
am coming...wait
i found my analysis on silver
Silver is going to explode
this time around
and if you get in now
you will experience a bull market
this is the entry
i was waiting to see
for the first time
am seeing the financial markets
in trading but hurry
you only have 20 mins
before this
buy alert expires
The trading analysis is below
--
read it below
--
Step 1 — Interpret MACD Colors Only (Bullish Table)
Given:
• Daily: Light Green 🟢
• 4H: Dark Green 🟢 + Rising 3 Soldiers
• 1H: Dark Green 🟢
From the Bullish MACD Table:
Daily
4H
1H
Interpretation
Probability
🟢 Light Green
🟢 Dark Green
🟢 Dark Green
Daily regaining strength, intraday momentum accelerating
🟠 75-85%
MACD-only base probability: 75-85% (High)
Step 2 — Add Candlestick Pattern
Given Pattern:
• 4H: Rising 3 Soldiers + Dark Green MACD
From Bullish Candlestick Table:
4H - Rising 3 Soldiers + Dark Green:
Three White Soldiers + 🟢 4H + 🟢 1H → 95% base → 99% final
The Rising 3 Soldiers pattern on the 4H timeframe with perfect Dark Green MACD alignment on both 4H and 1H significantly boosts the probability.
Step 3 — Combine for Final Probability
This is a very strong bullish setup:
Strengths:
• Strong MACD alignment: 4H & 1H Dark Green (maximum momentum), Daily Light Green (bullish momentum building)
• Powerful bullish pattern: Rising 3 Soldiers on 4H (one of the strongest patterns)
• Lower timeframes show maximum momentum (4H & 1H Dark Green)
• Excellent confluence across all timeframes
Final Probability:
🔥 90-95% (Very High)
Trade Insight:
This represents a high-probability bullish continuation setup because:
• 4H shows maximum bullish momentum with the strongest pattern (Rising 3 Soldiers)
• 1H confirms with maximum bullish momentum (Dark Green)
• Daily shows building bullish momentum (Light Green)
• Rising 3 Soldiers on 4H indicates sustained buying pressure
• Perfect setup for upward momentum acceleration
Action:
Excellent long entry - strong setup:
• Enter on break above 4H Rising 3 Soldiers high
• Add positions on any 1H pullback
• Place stops below the 4H Rising 3 Soldiers pattern low
• Expect strong upward continuation as Daily momentum builds toward Dark Green
This is a high-confidence bullish trade with strong pattern and momentum alignment, particularly on the lower timeframes where the Rising 3 Soldiers provides exceptional bullish conviction.
Rocket boost this content to learn more
Warning! Trading is risky please use a simulation trading account
before you trade with real money.
GOLD rises amid uncertain signals from US economyOANDA:XAUUSD continued to rise in Wednesday's session, as investors increased their holdings of safe-haven assets amid the delay of US employment data due to the government shutdown and the market prepared for the minutes of the Federal Reserve's October meeting.
As of the morning of November 20, spot gold was trading around $4,078/ounce, up about $11, or 0.27%, from the previous day.
Gold's rise coincided with the stabilization of global stocks after a sell-off related to concerns about artificial intelligence valuations. However, investor sentiment remained cautious ahead of Nvidia's business results and a series of US economic data due this week.
Weakening labor market signals support OANDA:XAUUSD
Data released on Tuesday showed the number of Americans receiving unemployment benefits rose to a two-month high in mid-October, a sign that the labor market may be losing momentum.
Against this backdrop, any signs of labor market weakness would reinforce expectations that the Fed may have to ease policy more quickly, providing support for gold, a non-yielding asset that benefits from lower interest rates.
Market focus: Fed minutes and delayed jobs data
Investors are turning their attention to the minutes from the Fed’s October meeting, due at 2 p.m. ET. Despite the 25 basis point cut at its most recent meeting, Chairman Jerome Powell continued to maintain a cautious stance, leaving open the possibility of a pause in easing if inflation risks return.
Separately, the September jobs report, delayed by the government shutdown, is due out on Thursday. This is seen as an early indicator of economic growth strength, with Reuters forecasting non-farm payrolls to rise by around 50,000 jobs.
Any weaker-than-expected figure could boost haven demand and continue to support gold prices.
Rising interest rate cut expectations, a key driver of OANDA:XAUUSD
According to CME FedWatch, the market now rates a 51% chance of the Fed cutting rates again at its next meeting, up from 46% in the previous session.
This increase in expectations is the core factor triggering capital flows to gold, in the context of falling real yields and investors looking for value preservation as the growth outlook becomes more uncertain.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AND SUGGESTIONS OANDA:XAUUSD
After recovering from the bottom around $4,000, gold price hit the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement at $4,128 and was immediately rejected, showing that profit-taking pressure is still strong.
• The main trend is still up, as the price is still in the medium-term uptrend channel and above the important MA line.
• The 3,972 area (Fib 0.382) is acting as short-term support, accompanied by the MA line right below around 3,942.
• Since it has not been able to break the 0.382 Fib level, gold is currently not in the best condition for a new uptrend.
RSI has rebounded but has not yet exceeded 60, showing that the buyers have not fully returned, but there are no signs of strong weakness.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4108 - 4106⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4112
→Take Profit 1 4100
↨
→Take Profit 2 4094
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3982 - 3984⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3978
→Take Profit 1 3990
↨
→Take Profit 2 3996
Gold Mega MCX Futures — Inverse Head & Shoulders - Pattern TradeMCX:GOLD1!
By Chart Pathik | 20 November 2025
Gold Mega MCX Futures — Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Suggests Positional Bullish Reversal
Market Overview
Gold Mega MCX Futures
have constructed a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern on the 15-minute chart, indicating a notable bullish reversal opportunity after an extended downtrend. This structural pattern reflects gradual absorption of supply, leading to a strong recovery scenario for positional traders.
After testing the lows near 121,800 (forming the head), gold has rebounded to repeatedly test resistance at the neckline around 124,455. The right shoulder completed with a swift reversal, and prices are now pressing against breakout territory. Sustained closes above the 124,455 neckline confirm classic breakout conditions for a multi-session rally.
Technical Structure and Pattern Logic
The Inverse Head & Shoulders structure, observed here, is a high-probability bullish reversal setup favored by institutional participants at the end of persistent downtrends.
The "head" forms at the extreme swing low (121,800), with each "shoulder" forming on higher lows, reflecting indifference turning into accumulation and finally conviction.
The pattern's neckline resistance is sharply defined at 124,455, which, when broken decisively, unlocks the full post-breakout measured move potential. Early aggressive entries are possible on high-volatility tests of the right shoulder at 123,255, setting up for add-on positions if a neckline breakout occurs.
Breakout Validation and Volume Confirmation
Key volume expansion on rallies above the neckline is crucial for confirming the breakout. A surge in open interest or strong momentum during/after a breakout candle provides additional confirmation and increases the probability of a sustained move.
Pattern Target Projection
Pattern Target: 128,100
This target is projected by measuring the distance from the neckline (124,455) to the head (121,800), then adding it above the neckline breakout.
Key Levels to Watch
Early Entry: 123,255 (for aggressive traders on pullbacks toward the right shoulder)
Break-Out Entry: 124,455 (confirmation on a convincing breakout and close)
Stoploss (Positional): 121,800 (well below head formation, protecting capital and structure)
Pattern Target: 128,100 (full measured move from bottom to neckline)
Scenario Analysis
If gold closes above 124,455:
Momentum is likely to accelerate toward 128,100, with the trend reinforced by any volume spike and reduced selling pressure at higher prices.
If gold fails at the neckline and closes back below 123,255:
A failed breakout or pattern trap could lead to a retest of 121,800 or even a deeper corrective phase if macro sentiment or global cues turn adverse.
Broader Market Context
This reversal setup comes as broader market volatility in precious metals fades and macro conditions appear stabilizing. Physical demand, safe-haven flows, and a potential resurgence in global risk aversion could further support the bullish thesis.
Historical Significance
The Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is respected by traders for timing momentum shifts at major turning points. A similar structure triggered a sharp rally in gold Mega MCX Futures during Q4 2020, and the post-breakout rally then lasted for several weeks.
Market Psychology and Trader Positioning
This pattern shows a market transitioning from capitulation and fear (the head), through reluctant bullishness (shoulders), to widespread conviction (neckline breakout).
Large players will often accumulate around the shoulder and neckline and then aggressively push prices through resistance once weak hands exit.
Outlook
In the coming sessions, a sustained breakout above 124,455, validated by strong candle closes and higher volume, should favor multi-session long positions targeting 128,100. Pullbacks into the 123,255–124,455 area are accumulation zones for swing or positional traders.
Chart Pathik View
This pattern marks a structural turning point after a corrective phase. Patience on retests, strict risk management with stoploss at 121,800, and riding the full pattern target are the ideal tactics.
As gold transitions from a downtrend into a potential expansion phase, structure, discipline, and measured scaling are essential to positional success.
Last time this Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern on MCX Gold Futures produced a similar outcome was in June 2020, leading to a 10% rally in the following weeks.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 20thGold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4150, Support: 4000
4-Hour Resistance: 4110, Support: 4015
1-Hour Resistance: 4085, Support: 4040
Technically, yesterday's daily chart closed with a "gravestone doji" candlestick. The resistance in the 4135/4150 area remains strong in the short term. The effectiveness of the 4040 support level needs to be monitored today. Meanwhile, the 4000 psychological level is being tested. A break below this level would warrant a short-term sell-on-trend move. Conversely, if the price recovers above 4100 in the short term, a buy-on-trend move would be appropriate, with the 4220/4250 area as a potential resistance level. The recent Fed minutes have brought the market back from its "interest rate cut euphoria" to reality: inflation remains the primary enemy, and interest rate cuts are not easily implemented. The foundation of gold's super bull market (low interest rates + strong safe-haven demand) is weakening, and short-term bulls need to be prepared for a rollercoaster ride.
Based on the 1-hour chart, gold prices fluctuated downwards during the European session, with the price action within a downward channel. After breaking below 4080, the short-term trend is likely to continue. Watch the MACD/KDJ indicators for bearish momentum.
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4005~4000
SELL: 4085near
SELL: 4106near
More Analysis →
GOLD Forming Bullish Structure Above 4000 SupportGOLD Forming Bullish Structure Above 4000 Support
GOLD remains supported above the strong demand zone near 3998–4032, where price has shown repeated bullish reactions in the past. The market recently tapped this zone again and is attempting to stabilize.
As long as the structure holds above this key support zone, the probability favors a renewed bullish leg targeting:
4150
4230
With extension levels at 4290 and 4360 if momentum accelerates
A break below 3998 would invalidate the bullish scenario; however, for now, price action continues to respect the support area, suggesting that buyers may attempt to reclaim higher levels.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
USOIL:LIVE TRADEHello friends
you can see that we had a decline and the sellers were in power until the support was determined with Fibonacci, where buyers entered and were able to support the price.
Now, with Fibonacci, we have determined a resistance area for buyers that can move up to there, but considering the main trend, which is negative, the price increase is an opportunity for a sell trade.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
*Trade safely with us*
Gold’s Volatile Pullback & Next MoveHello my dear traders,
I’m back with an updated analysis on gold. Based on our previous outlook, we were expecting a price correction — and gold reacted beautifully to the analysis, delivering a strong pullback. We witnessed a sharp $250 drop, and now the price is recovering.
Gold is likely to move sideways in this zone for a while before choosing its next direction.
Follow me for more upcoming analyses — this story continues…















