What will be the next gold trend on November 18th?1. Trend and Trend Lines
Prices are trading below a major descending trend line.
→ The overall trend remains down.
The long-term ascending trend line (red) has already broken out,
signaling weakening buying pressure and increased downward pressure.
2. Key Resistance
4.103 – 4.105:
Strong resistance zone where the Fibonacci (0.618–0.5), horizontal resistance, and EMA overlap.
→ Selling is likely to reassert itself in this price range.
3. Key Support
3.932 – 3.940:
This is the strongest support zone, overlapping the Fibonacci extension at 2.618.
This is an important low point in the bearish structure.
4. Price Scenario
If prices fail to retest the resistance at 4.103,
→ A continued decline along the downward trend is likely.
The next target is around 3.932 – 3.950.
Summary
Major Trend: Downward
Strong Resistance: 4.103 – 4.105
Target Support: 3.932 – 3.950
Structure: Trendline Break + Fibo Extension → Prefer Downward Scenario
BUY GOLD: 3932 – 3930
Stop Loss: 3922
Take Profit: 100–300–500 pips
SELL SCALP GOLD: 4064 – 4066
Stop Loss: 4073
Take Profit: 100–300–500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4103 – 4105
Stop Loss: 4115
Take Profit: 100–300–500 pips
Futures market
Gold vs Silver vs Bitcoin vs S&P 500 vs Gold Miners (EPGFX) This chart provides a detailed comparison of the price performance of Gold (XAU/USD), Silver (XAG/USD), Bitcoin (BTC/USD), the S&P 500 (SPY), and Gold Mining Companies (represented by Peter Schiff’s gold miner fund EPGFX) over the past year. Track the performance of these key assets to understand how precious metals, cryptocurrencies, stock market indices, and gold mining funds have fared over recent months.
Over the last 12 months, gold miners (EPGFX) have outperformed all other assets, closely followed by silver (XAG/USD) gold itself (XAU/USD). Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has seen a modest decline, while the S&P 500 (SPY) has experienced moderate growth.
Gold Holds the 4020 Support – Market Awaits the Next Breakout🔸 Market Overview
Gold trades around $4029/oz, slightly down. Daily range 4019–4055 shows strong volatility as traders await upcoming US data.
📊 Technical Analysis
• Short-term trend: mild bearish correction
• Resistance: 4042 – 4055
• Support: 4020 – 4012
• EMA20–50: price below → bearish momentum
• H1 Candle: long upper wick → sellers active
💡 Outlook
Above 4019–4020 → chance for a bounce to 4038–4045.
Below 4019 → drop toward 4010–4005.
No clear reversal yet — wait for confirmation.
🎯 Trade Setups
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4042 – 4045
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4049
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4019 – 4022
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4012
XAUUSD – TWO MAIN SCENARIOS FOR THE DAY: MONITOR REACTIONS ...💛 XAUUSD – TWO MAIN SCENARIOS FOR THE DAY: MONITOR REACTIONS AT THE TRENDLINE 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold is currently waiting at the H4 trendline, indicating the market lacks the volume to decide the next direction.
Although the price is adjusting after the drop from the 4,400 USD region, the larger trend is still supported by strong buying flows from central banks.
💹 Market Context
According to Goldman Sachs, the current decline is only temporary, as the demand for gold as a safe haven asset continues to rise:
U.S. bond yields are decreasing
USD is weakening
The U.S. economy is under pressure from unemployment and inflation
In September alone, central banks purchased 64 tons of gold, and forecasts suggest that November may continue the strong accumulation trend.
💹 Technical Analysis
📉 If Gold breaks below the trendline → the market will trigger strong selling pressure, pulling back to the 395x region, where there is low liquidity and significant support.
📈 Conversely, if the price holds the trendline and volume pushes up, a short-term upward structure will form.
📌 The 4068 level is a key point — if the price retests this area and falls back, Buy is only activated when it returns to 4034.
🎯 Reference Trading Scenarios
🔻 SELL – When breaking the trendline (priority if volume is strong)
Sell 4036–4038 │ SL: 4044
TP: 4010 → 3995 → 3970 → 3945
🔹 BUY – Strong support 395x
Buy 3952–3954 │ SL: 3957
TP: 3975 → 3995 → 4030
🔸 BUY to maintain trend (if price rebounds at 4068)
Buy at 4034 after confirmation signal
⚠️ Important Note
Volume is low, the market can easily sweep stops, so enter trades with small volume.
The larger trend is still supported by central bank flows, but in the short term, Gold can fluctuate strongly around the trendline.
Prioritize trading based on price reactions at key areas rather than predicting the direction in advance.
🌷Gold is in a sensitive phase at the H4 trendline 💛
If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to receive daily gold analysis ✨
Gold Losing 4050 Support – 4K Now at Risk1. What Happened Yesterday
Gold broke below the key 4050 support zone and continued to decline, coming very close to the psychological 4000 level.
This is the most significant bearish continuation we’ve seen since the strong rally earlier this month.
2. Current Market Context
At the time of writing, price is showing only a weak and shallow rebound, hovering around 4017.
Momentum remains bearish, and structurally, the market looks vulnerable to a clean break below 4K.
3. Technical Outlook
If price continues lower, the 3950–3970 zone becomes highly relevant. This area represents a medium-term bullish demand zone, and a drop into it could offer a meaningful buying opportunity — but only with confirmation.
Right now, the structure remains bearish. A genuine shift back to bullish conditions would require:
- A reclaim of 4050, and more importantly
- A stabilization above that level, not just a wick or intraday spike.
Without that, any bounce is just noise inside a bearish trend.
4. Trading Plan
- Bearish bias remains active as long as price trades under 4050
- A flush into 3950–3970 could be a buy zone, but only if price shows clear support and reversal signs
- Until then, bulls are on defense, and shorts continue to have the advantage
5. Conclusion
Gold is under pressure, and a break below 4K is a strong possibility. A deeper drop may eventually turn into an opportunity for medium-term buyers, but at this moment the structure is bearish and caution is required.
Gold Ready for Reversal? Price Tapping Key Liquidity“Gold is tapping into a major liquidity pocket.
If we hold this zone, a sharp bounce is on the table — if not, prepare for deeper expansion.
Watching this level for a high-probability reaction.”
“Price just swept liquidity under the recent lows and tapped into a clean demand zone.
If smart money defends this area, the move up could be explosive.
This is the zone I’m watching for a sniper entry.”
Gold - Still looking for sells trades.
- No Major economic events except for US Factory orders. Prev was -1.3% and forecast is + 1.4% - Hoping data to be better as it would further fuel our sell side bias.
- Also, a few Fed speakers (Barr & Barkin) - need to keep an eye out for in the news room.
- Gold Currently in secondary phase of MS so it can be slow and steady and more ranging - therefor can expect deeper pullbacks for sells.
Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 3992.755
💰TP: 3853.896
⛔️SL: 4067.971
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Gold is moving in line with the previous sell scenario, and this medium-term trade remains relevant. In the shorter term, additional selling below the point of control (POC) level, around 3992.755, could also be considered. An alternative short-term scenario is selling near 4100, where the last accumulation is located. The downside target is currently considered to be in the 3800-3900 area, but a decline to 3600-3700 remains possible.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
XAUUSD Technical Outlook | 18 November 2025XAUUSD Technical Outlook | 18 November 2025
Status: 4,011.25 USD/oz | 09:00 UTC+4
Market Structure Dynamics
Primary Trend: Mean-reversion pattern consolidating between 4,005 - 4,020 resistance band
RSI (14): Sitting at 52 on 1H - neutral equilibrium, momentum dormant phase
Bollinger Bands: Contraction mode; upper band resistance at 4,022, mid-band support at 4,008
Directional Framework
Bullish Accumulation Scenario (Probability: 65%)
Entry Zone: 4,006 - 4,012 (Wyckoff spring confirmation required)
Target 1:4,018 (+$7/oz profit extension)
Target 2: 4,028 (+$17/oz resistance breakout)
Stop Loss: 3,998 (-$13/oz)
Catalyst: Sustained close above 4,015 with volume acceleration on 15-min timeframe
Bearish Distribution Scenario (Probability: 35%)
Entry Zone: 4,019 - 4,022 (resistance rejection formation)
Target 1: 4,010 (-$9/oz intermediate correction)
Target 2: 3,995 (-$27/oz support breakdown)
Stop Loss: 4,032 (+$10/oz)
Catalyst: Failed breakout rejection candle + RSI bearish divergence on 1H chart
Technical Confluence Points
✓ EMA 20/50 Alignment → Currently converging at 4,011 (dynamic support zone)
✓ VWAP Positioning → Median price at 4,013 acts as intraday equilibrium
✓ Gann Angle Analysis → 45° support line intersects at 4,004 (intraday floor)
✓ Ichimoku Tenkan-sen → Resistance pressure registered at 4,021
✓ Harmonic AB=CD Pattern → Potential completion zone 4,015 - 4,025
Execution Protocol
Entry Confirmation: Pin bar rejection + Volume surge on 5-min chart (minimum 50% above average volume)
Risk Management: Maximum risk = 1% account allocation per trade setup
Optimal Trading Window: 08:00 - 16:00 UTC+4 (peak liquidity session)
Exit Strategy: Trail protective stop at 8-pips after initial profit capture
Session Bias: Cautiously bullish bias above 4,012. Bears require a decisive close below 4,005 to invalidate thesis.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational analysis only. Not financial advice. Employ strict risk management protocols.
Gold Nearing the 50% Black Channel Level – Will It Reject or AvoXAUUSD – Gold Technical Update
Gold is moving closer to the 50% midpoint of the main black channel,
a key level highlighted in the latest weekly analysis.
This zone has previously acted as a strong reaction point,
and the market is now approaching it once again.
Key Scenarios:
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If gold continues downward and breaks below the 50% level of the black channel,
this could trigger a deeper correction and open the way toward lower channel targets.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If gold fails to reach the 50% level and reverses early,
or if it touches the level and bounces strongly,
a bullish reaction may form, leading to upward continuation.
This area is the decision point:
Rejection → Potential bullish move
or
Break → Possible bearish continuation
Further updates will be posted once price confirms direction.
XAUUSD | Trendline Squeeze at Support – Big Move LoadingPrice continues to trade within a descending structure, respecting a clear trendline acting as dynamic resistance. Each retest of the trendline has produced lower highs, confirming bearish order flow.
Key Observations
🔹 Support Zone (Demand Area):
Price is currently resting inside a strong support zone highlighted in red. This zone has previously generated bullish reactions, but recent candles show weakening demand.
🔹 Break of Structure (BOS):
Multiple BOS levels confirm bearish momentum, suggesting sellers are still in control.
🔹 Weak Low Formation:
The recent low is labeled as weak, indicating it may be targeted for liquidity before a potential reversal.
🔹 Tokyo Session Range:
Price consolidated during Tokyo, forming a small distribution inside the trendline.
Possible Scenarios
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price rejects the support zone strongly and breaks above the descending trendline, we could see a bullish retracement toward the Strong High, targeting the upper yellow target zone (≈ 4080–4100).
📉 Bearish Scenario
If support fails and price breaks below the weak low, expect continuation downward into the lower target zone (≈ 3940) where liquidity sits.
Bias
Short-term bearish as long as price remains under the trendline.
Potential bullish reversal only if structure shifts (ChoCH/BOS to the upside).
Rebound Possible, But Below 50.50 Silver Remains Vulnerable1. What Happened Recently
After touching the old all-time high at 54.50 last week, Silver reversed sharply. Initially, the decline looked like a normal correction, and price held at 50.50 support — the level that had acted as a major bullish reference point.
However, yesterday Silver broke below 50.50, and today it is trading near the next key support zone, which now represents the line in the sand for bulls.
2. Technical Outlook
A short-term rebound from current levels is possible — markets rarely fall in a straight line — but for bulls to regain control, price must stabilize back above 50.50.
If this does not happen, the structure remains vulnerable.
The decisive level is 49.50.
A sustained break below 49.50 would likely trigger a new bearish leg, confirming that last week’s rejection from ATH was not just noise — but a meaningful shift in momentum.
3. Trading Plan
I remain cautious and will look to sell any rally back into 50.50, as long as price fails to reclaim that level.
Below 49.50, I expect continuation lower.
Only a firm close back above 50.50 would negate the bearish outlook.
4. Conclusion
Short-term bounces may occur, but the broader picture now favors downside continuation unless bulls can defend the current support and recover 50.50.
For now, the path of least resistance is lower, and I will position accordingly.
GIFTNIFTY IntraSwing Levels for 18th Nov '25Useful to Tally / Recognize or sometime DETECT abnormal Movement of NIFTY for IntraSwing day Trade Plan.
[ Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
In depth Analysis will be added later (If time Permits)















