Uptrend Retest PlayGold has continued to maintain a strong bullish structure on the 15-minute timeframe, creating a series of higher highs and higher lows while respecting the ascending trendline that has been guiding the current uptrend. After an initial impulsive move to the upside, price broke above a key intraday resistance level, confirming buyer strength and shifting that previous resistance into a fresh support zone.
Following the breakout, price is now pulling back toward a high-probability demand area where multiple technical factors converge. This zone aligns with:
1️⃣ The retest of the prior resistance, now acting as support.
2️⃣ The ascending trendline, which has been consistently defended by buyers.
3️⃣ A small liquidity sweep, as price has dipped below a minor intraday low to collect resting sell-side liquidity.
4️⃣ A fresh demand block, created by the last bullish candle before the recent impulsive breakout.
These elements together form a strong confluence area where buyers have historically been active, suggesting the market may be preparing for another bullish continuation leg. If price reacts positively within the blue entry zone and forms bullish confirmations (rejection wicks, displacement candles, or a break in micro-structure), the probability of continuation toward the marked upside target increases significantly.
Moreover, the broader trend remains intact, with no break of structure to the downside. As long as price continues to respect the support zone and the trendline, the bullish bias remains valid. This pullback should be viewed as a corrective move within a trending market rather than a reversal, and deeper retracements into the demand region may provide even higher-quality entries for traders waiting for confirmation.
Overall, current conditions favor bulls as long as support holds. A strong reaction from the entry zone could lead to renewed momentum and an attempt to push toward the next liquidity level and the projected target above.
Futures market
BULLISH ANALYSIS GOLD (SMC)🇺🇸 PROFESSIONAL BREAKDOWN
(XAU/USD – 15M: Accumulation → Manipulation → Rejection → Expansion into 1H FVG)
🔸 1. Accumulation Phase
Price developed a clean range where liquidity was built on both sides.
This is the foundation of the eventual institutional move.
🔸 2. Institutional Manipulation (Fake Out)
A sweep above the consolidation highs confirms the classic liquidity grab.
This fake breakout is a signature SMC behavior before a directional move.
🔸 3. ChoCH + BOS
After the sweep, price prints:
• a Break of Structure, and
• a Change of Character
Clear confirmation of bullish intent.
🔸 4. Rejection Zone
The current pullback shows early signs of a bullish rejection pattern, pointing toward a potential retest of the buy zone.
🔸 5. Buy Setup at 4,068
Your BUY level is placed precisely where support, demand and previous imbalance converge — a high-probability entry zone.
🔸 6. Stop-Loss Updated: 4,036
The 8-pip buffer gives protection from typical gold volatility.
🔸 7. R/R 1:2.8
The new setup maintains a realistic and well-structured risk-to-reward:
• TP1: 4,111
• TP2: 4,150
Both levels align with liquidity pools and the unmitigated 1-hour FVG above.
🔸 8. 1H FVG Mitigation Expected
The unfilled imbalance above is a strong magnet, reinforcing the bullish projection.
🌟 Motivational Message
“Mastery comes from repetition and refinement. Every chart tells a story — and you’re learning to read it with institutional precision. Keep going.” GOOD LUCK TRADERS
Energy Sector Liquidity Purge & Algo Reversal:-WTI Crude WTI Crude 19th Nov 2025: 🛢️ Energy Sector Liquidity Purge & Algo Reversal
Market Journal: WTI Crude Intraday Vector Analysis
Asset: WTI CASH (Spot) Current Price: 60.530 Time: 11:10 AM UTC+4
Strategic Overview: WTI Crude is currently testing a critical demand zone at 60.530 . Our proprietary liquidity models detect a Wyckoff Spring event on the 15m timeframe, suggesting a potential institutional accumulation phase. This aligns with a Bullish Divergence on the RSI, indicating seller exhaustion and a probable mean reversion to the VWAP baseline.
Technical Confluence & Pattern Recognition
Elliott Wave Dynamics: The market has completed a 5-wave motive down-move. We are currently in the corrective A-B-C phase, with Wave A projected to test immediate resistance. Chart Patterns: A Falling Wedge is maturing on the 1H chart, a classic reversal formation. Intraday price action is carving out an Inverse Head and Shoulders right shoulder. Indicator Matrix:
Bollinger Bands: Price has pierced the Lower Band and is snapping back, signaling an oversold bounce.
Volume Profile: Declining volume on the recent down-leg confirms weakening bearish pressure.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price is below the Kumo, but the Chikou Span is approaching price, hinting at a potential breakout attempt.
Actionable Trade Plan (Intraday)
// Key Levels of Interest Resistance_Zone = 61.200 - 61.500 Pivot_Point = 60.800 Support_Level_1 = 60.200 Support_Level_2 = 59.800
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Primary): A confirmed breakout above 60.800 validates the reversal thesis. Entry: 60.850 - 60.900 Stop Loss: 60.400 Take Profit 1: 61.500 (200 EMA) Take Profit 2: 62.100 (Key Supply Zone)
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Alternative): Rejection at the pivot or loss of 60.200 resumes the downtrend. Entry: Below 60.150 Target: 59.500
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading commodities involves significant risk.
XAUUSD H1 AnalysisGold is approaching a strong Breaker Block + Resistance Area around 4098–4108, which is the same zone where price previously broke structure to the downside.
This area acts as a high-probability selling zone because:
• It’s a Breaker Block, meaning previous bullish candles failed and turned into a bearish reversal point.
• It aligns with a clean H1 resistance where sellers reacted strongly last time.
• Price is currently pulling back into this zone after a market structure shift (MSS) on the downside.
• Liquidity has been built below, suggesting the market may fill the FVG and then reverse.
Selling Area:
4098 – 4108 zone
Expectation:
If gold taps this zone and shows rejection, we can see another move down toward lower H1 levels.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/19/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 24635.25
- PR Low: 24540.75
- NZ Spread: 211.5
Key scheduled economic events:
14:00 | FOMC Meeting Minutes
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 468.50
- Volume: 51K
- Open Int: 295K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -6.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26636
- Mid: 25410
- Short: 24039
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Long GOLD (GC, GLD, etc)I am planning to go to a long GOLD position again. Maybe needs some consolidation, but the eventual target will be 4800-5000 around mid-end 2026. I will choose otm GLD leap calls.
There is an alternative scenario that the price will drop to ~3850 first to form a wedge pattern. If so, I will double down on my leap calls.
XAGUSD NEXT MOVE 1️⃣ Bullish Bounce Scenario (Most Likely)
If price holds at $49.50 (38.2% support):
✔ Buy Zone
🎯 Target 1: $51.30
🎯 Target 2: $53.75 (previous high)
🎯 Target 3: $55+ (Fibonacci extension)
This scenario aligns with trend continuation.
2️⃣ Bearish Correction Scenario
If price breaks below $49.50:
Price may drop to $47.90 (50% retracement)
Strongest reversal from $46.30 (61.8% Golden Ratio)
This level often creates a powerful upside movement.
🟢 Preferred Trading Zones
Buy Zone 1: $49.50
Stop Loss: $48.80
Targets: $51.30 → $52.80 → $53.70
Buy Zone 2 (Golden Ratio): $46.30
Stop Loss: $45.40
Targets: $49 → $51 → $53
XAGUSD – Clean Break of Structure + RSI Divergence Reversal-15M
Price formed bullish RSI divergence at the lows, signaling early reversal strength.
Market shifted from Lower Highs (LH) to Higher Lows (HL), confirming a trend change.
Price reclaimed key EMAs and has now printed a clean Higher High (HH).
A 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG) was filled, adding confluence for bullish continuation.
Momentum remains strong as candles stay above the short-term moving averages
.
Trade Plan
Buy Zone: 51.28 – 51.32
Take-Profit (TP): 51.836
Stop-Loss (SL): 50.806
Why This Setup Makes Sense
Strong bullish structure shift after divergence.
Fresh HH confirms continuation bias.
Clear path to 51.836 liquidity zone.
EMAs aligned for bullish momentum.
Invalidation
Break below 50.806 invalidates the bullish structure and cancels the setup.
Crude oil trading strategyDemand side: Structural highlights stand out, terminal consumption resilience exceeds expectations
Asia resumes replenishment demand temporarily
China's refining margins have recovered (the 3-2-1 cracking spread has risen to $26 per barrel), with sufficient remaining import quotas in November, and it is expected that crude oil purchase volume will increase by 12%-15% in the latter half of the month. India's refineries have initiated a new round of replenishment due to the traditional consumption peak in December (increased holiday travel), with the import volume expected to exceed 5.4 million barrels per day in November. The increase in Asian demand accounts for more than 70% of the global demand increase, becoming a key support for short-term bulls.
Finished oil inventory reduction confirms consumption resilience
The latest EIA data shows that gasoline inventories have decreased for two consecutive weeks (cumulative reduction of 1.8 million barrels), and distillate oil inventories have decreased for three consecutive weeks (cumulative reduction of 2.1 million barrels). The extent of finished oil inventory reduction far exceeds market expectations, reflecting the resilience of terminal consumption. U.S. gasoline retail sales increased by 3.2% month-on-month (a new high in the past two months), and European diesel consumption decreased by 2.1% (previously 5.8%), with the improvement in the consumption side easing concerns about "weak demand", providing fundamental support for the rebound in crude oil prices.
Crude oil trading strategy
buy:59.30-59.60
tp:60.20-60.50
sl:58.80
Do You Know Bitcoin and Nasdaq Have a 92% Correlation?* Most traders still believe Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 belong to two different worlds — one is “digital currency,” the other is “US tech stocks.”
- But in reality, Bitcoin and Nasdaq have nearly 92% positive correlation (based on past +10 years data).
The current market movements are showing signs of a market crash on the way...........
- See for arounf past 10 years, Bitcoin stayed above the tech index.
- It was the month of Nov only in 2015, when Bitcoin crossed above Nasdaq on the chart
After 10 straight years - Its 2025 & the month of November itself
- And Bitcoin has slipped below Nasdaq, forming its first bearish crossover in a decade.
This is a major shift.
- When a long-term leader loses momentum, it often signals deeper structural weakness — not only for Bitcoin, but for the entire risk-on ecosystem.
- Remember, Nasdaq & Bitcoin has over a 92% correlation
- And US tech industry is brewing a bubble somewhere - where the epicenter lies in the AI sector
A crash in one will sink the other with it
Checkout the chart (Nasdaq Futures & Bitcoin Weekly)
GOLD REBOUNDS AFTER THE 4000 DIP – ARE THE BUYERS COMING BACK?📌 XAUUSD PLAN – 19/11/2025
🖥 1. Key Market Highlights
The Asian session dropped to 4000, but the European and US sessions pushed gold back up to 4075–4080.
US data: Jobless claims increased to 1.9 million, supporting a recovery in gold prices.
🎯 2. Intraday Outlook
Leaning towards a sideways–to–slightly–bullish structure.
Strong selling pressure is still present at higher levels → monitor price reactions closely.
🟢 3. Potential SELL Zones
4080–4090
4105–4115
4150–4160
4205–4215
🔼 4. Potential BUY Zones
4040–4030
4000–3990
3975–3965
🔐 5. Notes
Suggested stop-loss: 10 dollars.
Only trade based on market reactions at key levels; avoid chasing price moves.
I am selling in this leve, May I right?#gold buyl@low sell@highHELP ME, Trading experts
I am using simple support and resistance levels to enter the market
As an experienced traders, you people can help me, may I do the right S&R level in the trading method.
#buy@low #sell@high
Simple trading strategy support & resistance
All trading methods will give only 49% or 51% - #money Management is the key
Your money management only decides your profit
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@low #sell@high
Any trade money management is a tool to help you grow your portfolio.
Simple trading strategy support & resistance
All trading methods will give only 49% or 51% - #moneyManagement is the key
Your money management only decides your profit
#BTC #forex #supportortandresistance #tradinging #swingtradingstrategies #buy #sell #EURUSD #Gold #niftyy #s&p500 #etf #QQQ #IWM #future #options #longterm #XAUUSD #silver #USDCAD #BTCUSD
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GOLD REBOUNDS AFTER 4000 DIP – ARE BUYERS RETURNING?📌 PLAN XAUUSD – 11/19/2025
🖥 1. Main Developments
Asian session dropped to 4000, but European – American sessions surged to 4075–4080.
US data: unemployment claims rose to 1.9 million, supporting gold recovery.
🎯 2. Intraday Trend
Leaning towards sideways – slight increase.
Upper region consistently shows profit-taking pressure → need to closely observe reactions.
🟢 3. Potential SELL Zones
4080–4090
4105–4115
4150–4160
4205–4215
🔼 4. Potential BUY Zones
4040–4030
4000–3990
3975–3965
🔐 5. Note
Suggested SL: 10 points.
Only trade based on price reaction at zones, avoid chasing momentum.















