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Lingrid | GOLD Key Confluence Zone -Long OpportunityOANDA:XAUUSD is testing the confluence support after completing a clean pullback from the previous weekly high (PWH) and the resistance zone. The market structure shows price reacting along the channel border while holding above the broader triangle breakout region and key psychological level at 4,000. If buyers defend 4,000 once again, a recovery becomes the primary scenario as bullish momentum attempts to rebuild. Price action continues to follow a higher-low pattern that supports a renewed upside push if the support floor remains intact. ⚠️ Risks: A decisive break below channel may shift momentum toward the deeper support zone near 3,900. Strong USD flows or unexpected macro data could limit upside recovery attempts. Failure to maintain the higher-low structure may weaken the bullish rebound setup. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
12
GOLD (XAU/USD): THE BATTLE OF NFP AND THE FED!1️⃣ TECHNICAL VIEW (TA): Awaiting Sell Confirmation Structure: The short-term uptrend has ended, prices are adjusting/reversing. Main Supply Zone (Order Block - OB): Prices are retracing to the ideal sell zone (around $4,064 - $4,081). Strategy: Prioritize seeking SELL signals at the OB zone. Targets: $3,976 and $3,931 if the OB zone holds. 2️⃣ FUNDAMENTAL VIEW (FA): Interest Rate Pressure Selling pressure is increasing from:** Fed Rate Cut Expectations Diminish: The probability of a 25bps rate cut in December has fallen below 50%. The "Higher for Longer" signal reduces Gold's appeal. Upcoming Risks: The market awaits NFP and FOMC Minutes. Strong data will bolster USD and sink Gold. ⚠️ Opposing risks: Uncertainty from the U.S. Government shutdown and geopolitical tensions (Russia/Ukraine) may restrain the decline. #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingSetup #SELLZone #Fed #NFP #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #Forex
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
How to navigate volatile market conditions after the government #XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD As I mentioned on Friday, if the closing price failed to stabilize above 4110-4120, gold would weaken further on Monday. Sure enough, gold again fluctuated downwards, testing the 4050 support level. With Friday's panic selling gradually subsiding and the US government reopening, significant fluctuations are unlikely in the short term. Key data such as NFP and PMI may be released this week. Before the data is released, the market may be relatively cautious, and I think the market may tend to fluctuate and recover. Short-term support levels to watch are 4050-4030. If the price retraces and tests this support again during the European session, we can try to continue going long on gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
USOIL Is Bullish! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 59.384. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 61.007 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
1
Gold Bears Take ChargeGold continues to trade under calculated downward pressure as the market maintains a decisive bearish structure. The repeated inability of buyers to hold price above the 4020–4035 supply region confirms that sellers remain firmly in control. This zone has now become a strong rejection point, shaping a clear bearish trajectory for the sessions ahead. On the technical front, price is forming tight corrective pullbacks—an indication of seller strength and buyer exhaustion. The break below the 4000 psychological level has further shifted momentum, exposing the downside liquidity pocket toward 3940. Fundamental Drivers Boosting Bearish Pressure 1. Strengthening U.S. Dollar Dollar demand has picked up amid safe-haven flows and expectations of tighter U.S. financial conditions. A stronger USD traditionally weighs on gold, reducing its appeal as a non-yielding asset. 2. Hawkish Tone From the U.S. Federal Reserve Recent comments from Fed officials hint at reluctance to cut rates aggressively. Even a mildly hawkish stance keeps treasury yields elevated—another bearish force for gold. 3. Reduced Demand for Safe-Haven Assets Geopolitical tensions have eased compared to previous weeks, lowering emergency demand for gold. When risk appetite stabilizes, investors rotate out of metals and into higher-yielding assets. 4. Rising Bond Yields Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, pushing metal prices downward as investors prefer income-generating instruments. key points RESISTANCE LEVEL 4056 SUPPORT LEVEL 4005 TARGET LEVEL1 3980 TARGET LEVEL 2 3940
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by IGT_Traders
Gold Price Retest Setup – Key Supply Zones in FocusGold (XAUUSD) has broken below its ascending structure, forming a clear weak low and shifting into a bearish environment. Price is now attempting a recovery toward two major supply zones highlighted on the chart. The first reaction zone sits near 4099–4121, where sellers may re-enter. If this level is breached, price could extend toward the upper supply zone around 4160+, where a deeper retracement is expected. Market structure shows earlier BOS, CHoCH, and a clear EOH, confirming the bearish shift. Until a strong reversal forms, rallies into marked supply levels may act as sell opportunities Gold has broken its bullish trendline and formed a weak low, confirming bearish control. Price is now pulling back toward the 4099–4121 supply zone, where the first rejection is likely. If buyers push higher, the next strong supply sits near 4160, expected to cap any deeper retracement. Until these zones break with strength, rallies remain sell-biased.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mira_Clara
29
XAU/USD – Bearish Momentum Approaches Key Support ZoneGold continues to trade within a clear downtrend on the H1 timeframe, respecting the descending trendline and forming consistent lower highs. Price is now moving toward a major support zone — an area that has previously triggered strong bullish reactions — making it a critical level to watch for today’s session. Technical Outlook Trendline: Price continues to respect the descending trendline, confirming strong bearish control. Support Zone: 3,985 – 3,995 remains the most important demand area. This zone has acted as a reversal base multiple times. Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance: 4,025 – 4,035 (trendline confluence) Upper resistance: 4,065 – 4,075 Indicators: EMA Structure: Price remains below short-term EMAs → indicates sellers remain dominant. RSI: Approaching oversold territory, suggesting a possible technical rebound. Fibonacci: The 0.618 retracement aligns closely with the support area, increasing its reliability. Price Behavior The chart shows two previous consolidation boxes (accumulation phases), followed by expansions. The current structure is a deep pullback into major support. If selling pressure weakens at this zone, a short-term rebound toward the trendline is likely before the market decides its next major direction. Trading Strategy Scenario 1 – Bullish Rebound at 3,985 – 3,995 Wait for bullish confirmation candles + increasing volume. Entry: 3,995 – 4,005 Target 1: 4,025 Target 2: 4,065 Stop-loss: below 3,975 Scenario 2 – Breakdown Below Support Only trade if price closes clearly below 3,985. Entry: around 3,980 Target 1: 3,960 Target 2: 3,930 Stop-loss: above 4,010 Final Note The overall structure still favors the bearish side, but the support zone below is a decision point for the market. Observe price action carefully before entering. Follow for more daily strategies and insights, and save this analysis if you find it helpful.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Another Gold-Silver Pair Trade Oppurtunity?Gold/Silver tell many tales for metal traders. Usually, when metal prices falling hard or during extreme risks (like April when Trump announced tariffes) the ratio goes higher while market rallying the ratio goes lower. The less liquidty in silver market relative to gold is one of the reasons for that. But now metals in selloff mode and ratio is going down, it is giving mixed signals. In any case, if the ratio holds around this support which is also very near to 5 year -1 standard deviaton from average, buying gold and selling silver could be an idea that I'm currently thinking about but not yet pull the trigger.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by orancapital
GOLD Bullish Analysis (SMC)🟦 PROFESSIONAL BREAKDOWN 🔎 1. Market Context Price creates a strong bearish displacement, leaving a clean FVG unmitigated. Then a significant ChoCH forms at a demand zone, signaling the first shift in market intention. 🧱 2. Institutional Accumulation Zone Between the OB-5M and the support zone, we see: • Consecutive rejections • Order absorption • Indecision candles All of this reveals institutional buyers defending the level. 📉 3. Liquidity Sweep & Manipulation (Fake Out) Price temporarily breaks below support, generating: • Sell-side liquidity • Immediate buy-side absorption • Clean return into the range This follows the classic SMC blueprint: Liquidity → Mitigation → Expansion. 📈 4. Bullish Confirmation A clean BOS confirms internal bullish structure. The sequence becomes: 1. ChoCH 2. Liquidity sweep 3. OB mitigation 4. Bullish BOS 5. Expansion towards targets Perfect institutional flow. 🎯 5. Entry Zone 📍 BUY 4,015 Confluences: • 5M Order Block • Strong support zone • Fake out with absorption • FVG mitigation • Structural confirmation (BOS) 🛡️ 6. Stop Loss 📍 SL 3,990 Placed below the liquidity sweep — beyond this level, the idea is invalid. 🎯 7. Take Profits • TP1: 4,045 → first distribution target. • TP2: 4,067 → major buy-side liquidity target where institutions offload positions. 🧠 Professional Conclusion This setup is built on: ✔ Liquidity engineering ✔ Clear structure ✔ Mitigation principles ✔ Institutional rejection ✔ Organic expansion A high-probability bullish setup, fully aligned with institutional price behavior. 💬 Motivational Message… “Great traders don’t chase the market — they anticipate it. Trust your process, respect your levels, and execute with confidence. Consistency is built candle by candle.”
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
Gold’s Survival Zone: 4010–3998 Decides EverythingKey Levels for Today Gold is trading at a decisive zone this morning: 4000–4004 → A clean break below this range opens the door toward 3945–3930. Holding above 4000 → Keeps the bullish recovery scenario alive. Break above 4055 → Signals strength returning, with upside targets at 4070 – 4085 – 4096 – 4111. Any sustained move above these levels indicates a potential continuation to higher zones. Technical Overview 1H–3H timeframe: Price is trading below all major moving averages (10/20/50/100/200) — a clear short-term bearish signal. 4H timeframe: Gold is still receiving solid support near 4010. Critical Zone (4010–3998): This is a life-or-death area for gold today. Expect heavy “battle” here. Failure to defend this zone will likely drive price directly toward 3945–3930. Trade Levels & Scenarios Bullish Scenario (Long): Entry: Above 4026 (risk from 4017) Targets: 4036–4039 → 4045 → 4055 → 4068 → 4079–4083 → 4090 → 4097 → 4107 → 4127 → 4132 Bearish Scenario (Short): Entry: Below 3998 (risk from 4007) Targets: 3991 → 3985 → 3977 → 3970 → 3958 → 3943 → 3930 → 3921 → 3901 Final Notes: If you find this analysis helpful, your comment or share truly makes a difference. Disclaimer This analysis reflects a personal technical and fundamental view. It is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation.Trading financial markets involves significant risk; all decisions are the sole responsibility of the trader. Wishing everyone a profitable day and a successful trading week. #GoldRider
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Gold_Rider
Gold Stuck Below 4,050$: Bears Eye a Liquidity Flush Under 4,000🔍 Market Context Gold has been under pressure for four consecutive sessions as expectations for a December Fed cut fade. The Dollar is supported by growth worries but not strong enough to trigger a clean risk-off bid into gold. Result: XAU/USD keeps hovering near weekly lows, with sellers patiently watching the 4,000$ liquidity shelf. 📊 Technical Structure – H1 (MMFLOW View) Overall bias remains bearish, with price capped by a descending trendline from the recent 4,24x high. Price is compressing inside a tight 4,053–4,000$ distribution range, which also aligns with a Volume Profile POC around 4,053$. The last leg down is tracked with Fibonacci extensions: Key downside liquidity cluster: 3,945$ → 3,876$ (1.272–1.618 extensions). Current PA looks like a bear flag / tight consolidation under resistance – a classic setup for either: a clean break below 4,000$ into deeper liquidity, or a shakeout dip into demand before a sharp short-covering bounce. In short: gold is coiling under POC 4,053$, preparing either a final flush to 3,945–3,876$ or a squeeze back into the old value area. 🎯 Idea Scenarios (for study, not signals) Scenario 1 – Trend Continuation: Break of 4,000$ As long as H1 closes stay below 4,053$, bearish bias is valid. A decisive break and retest failure at 4,000$ opens the door toward: 🎯 3,945$ – first liquidity pocket / 1.272 ext. 🎯 3,876$ – deeper liquidity / 1.618 ext. & key demand. For existing shorts from higher, those zones are logical areas to scale out / manage exits. Scenario 2 – Liquidity Sweep Then Short-Covering Bounce If price spikes into 3,945$ ± a few dollars and shows: long downside wicks, or clear M15–M30 rejection structure, Gold could stage a counter-trend rebound toward: 4,000–4,015$, then 4,053$ (POC), and potentially 4,098$ if momentum extends. This would be a liquidity-reaction play, not a confirmed trend reversal unless bulls reclaim and hold above 4,098$. Invalidation of the bearish view A sustained move with H4 closes above 4,098$ would weaken the current down-structure and force a reassessment of the medium-term bias. ⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING Insight When price is trapped under POC, patience beats FOMO. Let the market either: break and accept below 4,000$, or reclaim 4,053$–4,098$ …before committing heavily. Bears still have the upper hand, but bulls will only regain narrative if they defend 3,945–3,876$ and push price back into the old value area. “In a downtrend, your job isn’t to call the bottom – it’s to sell weak rallies and let liquidity do the heavy lifting.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading