Simple downtrend structure 📊 Analysis Explanation
The market structure shows a series of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL) after forming the previous high (H).
This indicates a downtrend pattern.
Currently, price has pulled back up near resistance after forming the LL, creating a possible short entry opportunity.
Entry is taken around 3658 (retest area).
Stop Loss (SL) is placed above the recent LH at 3677, in case price breaks the downtrend.
Take Profit (TP) is targeted at 3629, aligning with the previous swing low / support level.
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📝 Summary
This is a trend continuation setup where you are selling into the downtrend, expecting price to continue making new lower lows.
Position: Short (Sell)
Entry: ~3658
SL: 3677
TP: 3629
Futures market
Gold correction modeAs we can see in 4H chart gold already made a bullish flag and broken out thursday evening and closing was also good i.e 3644 which made 8H,4H, even daily CISD confirm so according to me this can be the next move for gold for friday but 3600-3650 is consolidation area for gold so it can be here for next 2-3 days.
XAU/USD(20250919) Today's AnalysisMarket News:
On Thursday, the U.S. reported its largest drop in initial jobless claims in nearly four years, reversing the previous week's sharp increase. (Note: Hours after the data was released, news broke that North Carolina's continuing claims data had been incorrectly and significantly understated by over 19,000. A Labor Department spokesperson stated that the matter is still under investigation.)
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
3648
Support and Resistance Levels:
3692
3676
3665
3631
3620
3603
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 3648, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price being 3665.
If the price breaks below 3631, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price being 3620.
Continued correction - gold price falls below 3600⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) slips for a second day, trading near $3,640 in Friday’s Asian session after profit-taking from record highs and a stronger US Dollar (USD). The pullback follows the Fed’s first rate cut of the year, a 25 bps move that lowered the target range to 4.0%–4.25% and signaled two more cuts ahead. Chair Jerome Powell described the decision as a “risk management cut” and downplayed urgency for further easing, a less dovish tone that supports the Greenback and weighs on bullion in the near term.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to adjust, recovers briefly and returns to the 3600 price zone
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3704- 3706 SL 3711
TP1: $3690
TP2: $3680
TP3: $3665
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3596-$3598 SL $3591
TP1: $3608
TP2: $3620
TP3: $3630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD (Gold) Trading Guide: Key Zones for Beginners.💡 Analysis:
Today is Friday, and Gold may move in both directions. This is a neutral outlook — the idea is to respect market structure:
Look for buy opportunities from supports.
Look for sell opportunities from resistances.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
R1: 3667 – 3672
R2: 3685 – 3689
R3: 3704 – 3707 (ATH)
🔹 Key Support Levels:
S1: 3637 – 3632
S2: 3617 – 3613
These levels are very important, especially for beginners who struggle with drawing authentic support and resistance zones. Use them as a guide for safer trade planning.
👉 If you find this educational analysis helpful, don’t forget to Like 👍, Comment 💬, and Share 🔄.
Regards: Forex Insights Pro.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #SupportResistance #Trading #Education #DayTrading
XAUUSD (Gold Spot USD) – OutlookGold has exploded north out of a multi-month accumulation channel. The breakout was clean, with momentum building since early September. Price surged past key resistance with strong impulsive leg, targeting a potential exhaustion zone near the 0.618 Fib extension.
📣 Fed policy speculation is driving safe haven demand.
Chinese demand for physical gold also spiking.
Rising geopolitical tensions and inflation hedging fueling Gold.
📈 Technical Breakdown
🟩 Trend Analysis
Price is riding a steep ascending channel.
Momentum is intact, but vertical angle suggests overheating.!
0.618 Fib Extension suggests upside exhaustion near 3,726
🟥 Supply & Demand Zones
First Demand Zone: 3,589 - 3,579
Second Demand Zone: 3,553 - 3,540
📉 RSI Divergence
Potential Bearish RSI Divergence building on 1H
Price making HH, RSI failing = watch for correction pullback
📌 Trade Setup Idea (Swing Trade)
Long Entry at DZ1 (Confirmation Entry)
Entry 3589 (Pullback into 1st Demand Zone)
Stop Loss 3578 (Below 1st demand)
Take Profit 3640 (Top of the Channel)
Risk/Reward ~1:4
Long Entry at DZ2 (If DZ1 did not hold)
Entry 3554 (Pullback into 2nd Demand Zone)
Stop Loss 3538.7 (Below 2nd demand)
Take Profit 3639.5 (Top of the Channel)
Risk/Reward ~1:5.5
🛡️ Risk Management
"Max risk: 1-3% of your capital per trade."
Adjust position size accordingly.
🧩 Trade Management
SL to BE (Break Even) when price hits 1:1 RR zone (~3,615).
Be prepared to scale out 50% at TP1, trail rest to ride extension.
"The trend is your friend until it bends at the end ."
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before trading. Trading carries risk of capital loss.
Gold price analysis September 19Gold has recovered in the Tokyo session and is moving towards yesterday's US session resistance around 3672. The buying pressure is not strong enough to break the resistance in the European session, so be cautious with the possibility of a deep decline in today's weekend session, towards lower support zones around 3600.
The 3645 area - corresponding to the 50% level of the H4 candle - is playing an important support role. This is also the area where buying pressure is starting to accumulate and needs to be closely observed today.
📉 Trading plan:
SELL when the price is rejected around 3671
🎯 Target: 3600
📌 Note: Watch the price reaction at the 3645 area, if there is a confirmation signal from the buyers, this could be a reversal point to look for a BUY opportunity.
Gold (XAUUSD) Breaks Structure | Potential Bullish ContinuationGold (XAUUSD) on the daily chart has confirmed a break of structure (BOS) above the key resistance area. After this strong impulsive rally, price is currently consolidating near the recent breakout zone.
Support zone: $3,600 – $3,620
Previous resistance now acting as support
Trend supported by EMA200 and strong bullish momentum
Possible scenario: Price may retest the breakout zone before continuation towards higher levels
This setup suggests that as long as Gold holds above the breakout support, the bullish trend remains intact. Traders should watch for price action confirmations around the $3,600–$3,620 demand area.
This is not financial advice. Always manage risk and use your own analysis before taking trades.
FED slows down: Cuts 25bps, gold stays flat🟡 XAU/USD – 18/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED : Cut rates by 25bps as expected, hinted at 2 more cuts this year → initially supported Gold to rebound around 3,65x.
Powell turned hawkish :
• “No need to move quickly on rate cuts.”
• “Today’s cut is mainly risk-management.”
This message signaled that the FED is not fully opening the easing door → Gold fluctuated and stalled its upside momentum.
Tonight: Awaiting Jobless Claims & Philly Fed for more clarity on the FED’s path.
⏩ Captain’s Summary
Gold is supported by the rate cut, but Powell’s “braking” caused volatility.
Zone 3,663 – 3,665 has become the pivot support to determine the next move.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
3,684 – 3,686 (strong OB)
3,717 – 3,719 (ATH Zone – very strong, likely heavy selling)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
Pivot Dock: 3,663 – 3,665 (new pivot support)
Main Harbor: 3,629 – 3,630 (BoS confluence & old sideway)
Market Structure
After breakout and profit-taking, Gold returned to test support.
3,663 – 3,665 : pivot support.
• If it holds → rebound to 3,684 – 3,717.
• If it breaks → deeper correction to 3,629.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3,663 – 3,665
SL: 3,655
TP: 3,684 – 3,717
Buy Zone 2
Entry: 3,629 – 3,630
SL: 3,618
TP: 3,663 – 3,684 – 3,717
⚡ Sell (only at resistance)
Sell Zone OB
Entry: 3,684 – 3,686
SL: 3,695
TP: 3,665 – 3,645
Sell Zone ATH
Entry: 3,717 – 3,719
SL: 3,727
TP: 3,706 – 3,690 – 3,675
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden sails caught wind as the FED cut rates, but Powell’s headwind slowed the advance. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,663 – 3,629) is the pivot dock to decide the next course. If it holds, the ship may rebound to test Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,684 – 3,719) . If it breaks, the ship will retreat deeper to gather strength. For now, Quick Boarding 🚤 should only be done at strong resistance, while the larger voyage still leans northward.”
ES (SPX) Analyses - Key Levels - Setups - Fri, Sep 19Bias:
After the recent FOMC meeting, where they cut rates by 25 basis points on September 18, the E-mini S&P 500 futures are looking a bit bullish. There’s decent support holding up, but expect some bumpy trading around those all-time highs. We might see the market bouncing between the usual value areas, with traders likely to fade the extremes unless there’s a strong breakout.
Momentum could slow down as we get close to overbought levels, which might lead to some profit-taking on any rallies. On the flip side, expect strong buying when prices dip. For now, the trading range looks to be between 6660 and 6710, with swings of about 20 to 30 points likely in quieter trading conditions.
Friday has no major U.S. data on the weekly calendar wrap; Thursday’s LEI fell −0.5% m/m in Aug (already out), so macro tape-bombs are limited.
Quadruple-witching: 09/19/2025 is the quarterly expiration (third Friday of Sep). Also note ESU25 last trade = Sep 19, even though most trading has rolled to ESZ25. Expect flowy opens/closes and possible “pin” behavior. 
Options positioning (ES):
• Report totals: 5.83M total OI; put/call = 3.51. 
• Friday weeklies: 2.676M OI; P/C = 5.09 (put-heavy into expiry). 
• Sep contract (ESU5, 2 DTE): ~1.07M total OI; P/C = 3.01; ~185k volume in the latest report. 
• Vol: 30-day ATM IV ≈ 12.33% (down slightly d/d). 
• 0DTE share in SPX options has been >60% of volume recently — expect same-day gamma flows to matter on a quad-witch Friday. 
Bottom line: This is a put-heavy, expiry-dense tape with subdued vol. Expect pinning/reversion around big strikes and flowy opens/closes rather than a trend day—unless price cleanly accepts outside the range.
Next known catalysts (not tomorrow but near-term): Flash PMIs Mon 9/22; U. Michigan final sentiment Fri 9/26.
Setup 1 — Tier-2 (A+ Bounce) LONG @ 6680–6695
Trigger: sweep 6680–6690 → 15m close back above 6693.5 (AS.L) → 5m re-close + HL → 1m pullback hold.
Entry: 6694–6697.
SL: below the 15m sweep low −0.5 pt (hard).
TP1: 6705–6707 (AS.H). TP2: 6718–6725 (W3).
Management: at TP1 close 70%, move runner to BE; aim TP2; time-stop 45–60m if neither TP1/SL hits; max 2 attempts/level.
Setup 2 — Tier-1 (A++ Rejection-Fade) SHORT @ 6718–6725
Trigger: quick sweep above 6718–25 → 15m body back inside 6710 → 5m LH + re-close → 1m failure retest.
Entry: 6714–6718 on the re-close.
SL: above sweep high +0.5 pt.
TP1: 6705–6707; TP2: 6693–6695; stretch 6685–6680 only if momentum continues.
Management: same as above.
SPY options overlay (execution notes)
Given quarterly expiration and heavy 0DTE participation, prefer same-day SPY (AM window) with Δ≈0.60–0.70 on entries; consider 1-DTE for PM window to temper decay. (0DTE share data from Cboe.)
XAUUSD⚠️ This is not investment advice.
Currently, XAU on the lower timeframes (1H & 30M) has shown a change in direction. I expect new higher levels, though there remains a slight doubt whether it will be able to surpass the all-time high.
If it fails to do so, the market could be entering a consolidation phase, potentially starting a distribution process aimed at recovering the imbalance on the daily chart (1D).
Stay tuned.
XAU/USD: Dip-Buyers Step In, Targeting a Fresh Push Higher📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,652 after slipping below the $3,660 handle. The chart shows that price is holding near the support zone at $3,640–$3,635, while sellers capped upside momentum at the resistance zone $3,678–$3,684. Current structure suggests range-bound consolidation, with potential for a bullish rebound if buyers defend the support area.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,635 – $3,640 (near support)
Stop Loss: $3,631 (below support zone)
Take Profit: $3,678 / $3,684 (resistance zone)
Risk/Reward: ~1 : 4.87
🗝️ Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $3,678 – $3,684
Support Zone: $3,635 – $3,640
Major Resistance Above: $3,700 round figure
🌐 Macro Background
Gold remains pressured after the Fed’s 25 bps rate cut, which was less dovish than markets hoped. Powell’s cautious rhetoric supported a USD rebound, weighing on bullion. Still, the Fed’s projection of two more cuts in 2025 underpins medium-term bullish momentum for gold as real yields could decline further. At the same time, geopolitical risks in the Middle East provide safe-haven support, limiting deeper downside.
📌 Trade Summary
The bias favours a long entry near $3,640, aiming for the $3,678–$3,684 resistance zone. Price action remains constructive as long as $3,635 support holds. A decisive break below could open downside risks toward $3,620.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Potential neutral zone tradeThe daily structure in the S&P 500 implied the potential of a neutral zone trade. This indicates that both buyers and sellers are present and a sideways movement in this market. To determine if this neutral zone environment will hold Friday's close will be very important.
A correction is a good time to buy!
Based on the 4-hour chart, effective support remains near 3627-3633, which is currently a key defensive support level. If this level continues to fall, the bullish and bearish biases may shift in the future. Key resistance from above remains at 3690-3700. Strategically, position your long and short positions within this range. In the middle, be cautious about buying and follow orders, patiently waiting for key entry points. I'll provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so stay tuned.
Go long on gold if it retraces to 3627-3633, targeting a return to the 3690-3700 range, with a breakout target at 3710.
Gold peaks and continues to fall!
Today is Thursday, September 18th. Has gold fallen? We've been emphasizing from the weekend, last weekend, and even yesterday that the peak for gold is just above the 3700 mark, with the upper limit at 3750. The moment the Fed cuts interest rates, gold will fall. We've been saying this over and over again. I wonder if you've listened!
I remember emphasizing in videos and articles at the beginning of the month, around September 1st, that gold would remain bullish until the Fed's interest rate decision on September 18th. The turning point for this round of bullish and bearish sentiment was around the September 18th decision. Those who listened carefully definitely made money during this period.
Yesterday, after the Fed data was released, gold prices fluctuated wildly, hitting a low of 3651, a high of 3707, and finally a sharp dive to 3646. Are there any investors who are waiting in the wings? The main reason for yesterday's bull-bear market shakeout in gold was the influence of Powell's speech: one moment, he said that job growth has slowed and downside risks are increasing; the next, he said that inflation has recently risen, but remains slightly elevated. Therefore, gold's volatility is erratic. Because such statements are subject to significant uncertainty and contingency, the market is bound to be unstable and risky, so avoid them if possible.
Gold is a product driven by both technical and news factors. Experience is crucial. We've seen all sorts of ups and downs, right? When should we trade and when should we not? You've only been in this market for a few days, while we've been in it for years. Don't question my expertise with your speculation.
Many people keep asking: Why did gold fall instead of rise after the Fed cut?
The key lies in whether this bull market has completed. From 3313 to 3700, the price has risen by nearly $400, exceeding historical gains for the same period. Upside potential is limited. Expectations of a Fed rate cut have already been fulfilled, and the actual implementation will be the time for bulls to take profits. If you're still foolishly waiting for a rate cut to become bullish, it's already too late.
Next, gold will undergo a bullish correction. Once the correction is over, the next bullish rally will begin. There are two key support levels to watch below: 3580 and 3550. The extreme retracement level is 3511.
As for gold today, a bearish outlook is definitely in order. The rebound to the 382 resistance level at 3670 at 7:30 this morning was a reason to go short, but it was so early in the morning that many people may not have reacted. Now that it has fallen below the early morning low of 3645, a rebound could lead to a second bearish trend, with the possibility of a continued decline. Support below is around 3626-3615, and the potential downside limit for today is estimated to be around 3600.