OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Enhanced Price Direction Predictor
📊 Core Mechanism: Rule-Based Scoring:
The indicator relies on a simplified scoring model where it checks for nine specific conditions on the bullish side and nine corresponding conditions on the bearish side.
Bullish/Bearish Score Calculation:The script initializes bullish_score and bearish_score to $0.0$.It then checks a predefined list of features (e.g., $5$-period Rate of Change, $5/20$ EMA crossover, RSI level, Order Flow direction) and adds a fixed point value (weight) to the appropriate score if the condition is met.
Overbought/Oversold Penalty:It includes a built-in risk-management element by applying a $-0.10$ penalty if the RSI is in extreme territory:RSI(14) $>$ 70 (Overbought) $\rightarrow$ Penalty to bullish_score.RSI(14) $<$ 30 (Oversold) $\rightarrow$ Penalty to bearish_score.
Probability Conversion:The probability_up is calculated by taking the ratio of the bullish_score to the total_score (sum of bullish and bearish scores):$$\text{Probability\_Up} = \frac{\text{Bullish\_Score}}{\text{Bullish\_Score} + \text{Bearish\_Score}}$
IF the total_score is zero (i.e., no strong conditions are met), the probability defaults to $0.5$ (neutral).
The indicator relies on a simplified scoring model where it checks for nine specific conditions on the bullish side and nine corresponding conditions on the bearish side.
Bullish/Bearish Score Calculation:The script initializes bullish_score and bearish_score to $0.0$.It then checks a predefined list of features (e.g., $5$-period Rate of Change, $5/20$ EMA crossover, RSI level, Order Flow direction) and adds a fixed point value (weight) to the appropriate score if the condition is met.
Overbought/Oversold Penalty:It includes a built-in risk-management element by applying a $-0.10$ penalty if the RSI is in extreme territory:RSI(14) $>$ 70 (Overbought) $\rightarrow$ Penalty to bullish_score.RSI(14) $<$ 30 (Oversold) $\rightarrow$ Penalty to bearish_score.
Probability Conversion:The probability_up is calculated by taking the ratio of the bullish_score to the total_score (sum of bullish and bearish scores):$$\text{Probability\_Up} = \frac{\text{Bullish\_Score}}{\text{Bullish\_Score} + \text{Bearish\_Score}}$
IF the total_score is zero (i.e., no strong conditions are met), the probability defaults to $0.5$ (neutral).Open-source script
In true TradingView spirit, the creator of this script has made it open-source, so that traders can review and verify its functionality. Kudos to the author! While you can use it for free, remember that republishing the code is subject to our House Rules.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Open-source script
In true TradingView spirit, the creator of this script has made it open-source, so that traders can review and verify its functionality. Kudos to the author! While you can use it for free, remember that republishing the code is subject to our House Rules.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.