Rolling VWAP with Standard Deviation Bands and AlertsA Rolling Volume Weighted Average Price (RVWAP) indicator featuring dynamic standard deviation bands and customizable alerts.
This indicator automatically adapts its calculation period to the chart timeframe while providing precise entry and exit signals through statistical deviation levels.
Automatic time period adjustment based on chart timeframe
Manual time period override option (days, hours, minutes)
Volume-weighted price calculations with variance safeguards
Five Standard Deviation Levels
Individual toggles for 1σ, 1.5σ, 2σ, 2.5σ, and 3σ bands
Color-coded visualization with gradient transparency
Red bands above RVWAP (resistance levels)
Green bands below RVWAP (support levels)
Orange RVWAP centerline
Smart Alert System
Separate BUY and SELL alert conditions
Individual band selection for alerts
Visual Triangle Alerts
Optional triangle markers on band crossings
Size and transparency graded by significance level
Tiny triangles for 1σ/1.5σ (frequent signals)
Normal triangles for 3σ (extreme moves)
Momentum and mean reversion trading
Support and resistance identification
Volatility-based position sizing
Multi-timeframe analysis
[i]price
Imbalance (FVG)Indicator Description
This script is designed to automatically identify and visualize Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), also known as Imbalances, on your chart. An FVG is a key price action concept that highlights areas where the price moved swiftly, leaving a gap behind. This indicator is simple to use and fully customizable, making it an excellent tool for both novice and experienced traders.
Key Features
Automatic Detection: The indicator scans the market in real-time, automatically drawing FVG zones for both Bullish and Bearish moves.
Mitigation Tracking: When the price returns to an FVG zone, the indicator automatically marks it as "mitigated" (filled) by changing its color and style. This provides a clear signal that the imbalance has been neutralized.
Extend Zones Into the Future: Unmitigated FVG zones are automatically extended into the future, allowing them to be used as potential future support or resistance levels.
Full Customization: The user has complete control over the indicator's appearance. You can change the colors for bullish, bearish, and mitigated zones, as well as toggle their visibility on and off.
Performance Optimization: A built-in limit for the number of drawn objects prevents chart clutter and avoids errors from TradingView's drawing limits, ensuring smooth performance.
How to Use?
FVG zones can be used in various ways, including:
Price Magnets: Markets often tend to revert to "fill" these gaps.
Potential Entry Points: Price entering an FVG zone can present an opportunity to open a position, especially if confirming signals appear.
Support/Resistance Zones: Unfilled gaps can act as strong, dynamic levels of support or resistance.
PolyFilter [BackQuant]PolyFilter
A flexible, low-lag trend filter with three smoothing engines—optimized for clean bias, fewer whipsaws, and clear alerting.
What it does
PolyFilter draws a single “intelligent” baseline that adapts to price while suppressing noise. You choose the engine— Fractional MA , Ehlers 2-Pole Super Smoother , or a Multi-Kernel blend . The line can color itself by slope (trend) or by position vs price (above/below), and you get four ready-made alerts for flips and crosses.
What it plots
PolyFilter line — your smoothed trend baseline (width set by “Line Width”).
Optional candle & background coloring — choose: color by trend slope or by whether price is above/below the filter.
Signal markers — Arrows with L/S when the slope flips or when price crosses the line (if you enable shapes/alerts).
How the three engines differ
Fractional MA (experimental) — A power-law weighting of past bars (heavier focus on the most recent samples without throwing away history). The Adaptation Speed acts like the “fraction” exponent (default 0.618). Lower values lean more on recent bars; higher values spread weight further back.
Ehlers 2-Pole Super Smoother — Classic low-lag IIR smoother that aggressively reduces high-frequency noise while preserving turns. Great default when you want a steady, responsive baseline with minimal parameter fuss.
Multi-Kernel — A 70/30 blend of a Gaussian window and an exponential kernel. The Gaussian contributes smooth structure; the exponential adds a hint of responsiveness. Useful for assets that oscillate but still trend.
Reading the colors
Trend mode (default) — Line & candles turn green while the filter is rising (signal > signal ) and red while it’s falling.
Above/Below mode — Line & candles reflect price’s position relative to the filter: green when price > filter, red when price < filter. This is handy if you treat the filter like a dynamic “fair value” or bias line.
Inputs you’ll actually use
Calculation Settings
Price Source — Default HLC/3. Switch to Close for stricter trend, or HLC3/HL2 to soften single-print spikes.
Filter Length — Window/period for all engines. Shorter = snappier turns; longer = smoother line.
Adaptation Speed — Only affects Fractional MA . Lower it for faster, more local weighting; raise it for smoother, more global weighting.
Filter Type — Pick one of: Fractional MA, Ehlers 2-Pole, Multi-Kernel.
UI & Plotting
Color based off… — Choose Trend (slope) or > or < Close (position vs price).
Long/Short Colors — Customize bull/bear hues to your theme.
Show Filter Line / Paint candles / Color background — Visual toggles for the line, bars, and backdrop.
Line Width — Make the filter stand out (2–3 works well on most charts).
Signals & Alerts
PolyFilter Trend Up — Slope flips upward (the filter crosses above its prior value). Good for early continuation entries or stop-tightening on shorts.
PolyFilter Trend Down — Slope flips downward. Often used to scale out longs or rotate bias.
PolyFilter Above Price — The filter line crosses up through price (filter > price). This can confirm that mean has “caught up” after a pullback.
PolyFilter Below Price — The filter line crosses down through price (filter < price). Useful to confirm momentum loss on bounces.
Quick starts (suggested presets)
Intraday (5–15m, crypto or indices) — Ehlers 2-Pole, Length 55–80. Trend coloring ON, candle paint ON. Look for pullbacks to a rising filter; avoid fading a falling one.
Swing (1H–4H) — Multi-Kernel, Length 80–120. Background color OFF (cleaner), candle paint ON. Add a higher-TF confirmation (e.g., 4H filter rising when you trade 1H).
Range-prone FX — Fractional MA, Length 70–100, Adaptation ~0.55–0.70. Consider Above/Below mode to trade mean reversion to the line with a strict risk cap.
How to use it in practice
Bias line — Trade in the direction of the filter slope; stand aside when it flattens and color chops back and forth.
Dynamic support/resistance — Treat the line as a moving value area. In trends, entries often appear on shallow tags of the line with structure confluence.
Regime switch — When the filter flips and holds color for several bars, tighten stops on the opposing side and look for first pullback in the new color.
Stacking filters — Many users run PolyFilter on the active chart and a slower instance (longer length) on a higher timeframe as a “macro bias” guardrail.
Tuning tips
If you see too many flips, lengthen the filter or switch to Multi-Kernel.
If turns feel late, shorten the filter or try Ehlers 2-Pole for lower lag.
On thin or very noisy symbols, prefer HLC3 as the source and longer lengths.
Performance note: very large lengths increase computation time for the Multi-Kernel and Fractional engines. Start moderate and scale up only if needed.
Summary
PolyFilter gives you a single, trustworthy baseline that you can read at a glance—either as a pure trend line (slope coloring) or as a dynamic “above/below fair value” reference. Pick the engine that matches your market’s personality, set a sensible length, and let the color and alerts guide bias, entries on pullbacks, and risk on reversals.
Kalman Adjusted Average True Range [BackQuant]Kalman Adjusted Average True Range
A volatility-aware trend baseline that fuses a Kalman price estimate with ATR “rails” to create a smooth, adaptive guide for entries, exits, and trailing risk.
Built on my original Kalman
This indicator is based on my original Kalman Price Filter:
That core smoother is used here to estimate the “true” price path, then blended with ATR to control step size and react proportionally to market noise.
What it plots
Kalman ATR Line the main baseline that turns up/down with the filtered trend.
Optional Moving Average of the Kalman ATR a secondary line for confluence (SMA/Hull/EMA/WMA/DEMA/RMA/LINREG/ALMA).
Candle Coloring (optional) paint bars by the baseline’s current direction.
Why combine Kalman + ATR?
Kalman reduces measurement noise and produces a stable path without the lag of heavy MAs.
ATR rails scale the baseline’s step to current volatility, so it’s calm in chop and more responsive in expansion.
The result is a single, intelligible line you can trade around: slope-up = constructive; slope-down = caution.
How it works (plain English)
Each bar, the Kalman filter updates an internal state (tunable via Process Noise , Measurement Noise , and Filter Order ) to estimate the underlying price.
An ATR band (Period × Factor) defines the allowed per-bar adjustment. The baseline cannot “jump” beyond those rails in one step.
A direction flip is detected when the baseline’s slope changes sign (upturn/downturn), and alerts are provided for both.
Typical uses
Trend confirmation Trade in the baseline’s direction; avoid fading a firmly rising/falling line.
Pullback timing Look for entries when price mean-reverts toward a rising baseline (or exits on tags of a falling one).
Trailing risk Use the baseline as a dynamic guide; many traders set stops a small buffer beyond it (e.g., a fraction of ATR).
Confluence Enable the MA overlay of the Kalman ATR; alignment (baseline above its MA and rising) supports continuation.
Inputs & what they do
Calculation
Kalman Price Source which price the filter tracks (Close by default).
Process Noise how quickly the filter can adapt. Higher = more responsive (but choppier).
Measurement Noise how much you distrust raw price. Higher = smoother (but slower to turn).
Filter Order (N) depth of the internal state array. Higher = slightly steadier behavior.
Kalman ATR
Period ATR lookback. Shorter = snappier; longer = steadier.
Factor scales the allowed step per bar. Larger factors permit faster drift; smaller factors clamp movement.
Confluence (optional)
MA Type & Period compute an MA on the Kalman ATR line , not on price.
Sigma (ALMA) if ALMA is selected, this input controls the curve’s shape. (Ignored for other MA types.)
Visuals
Plot Kalman ATR toggle the main line.
Paint Candles color bars by up/down slope.
Colors choose long/short hues.
Signals & alerts
Trend Up baseline turns upward (slope crosses above 0).
Alert: “Kalman ATR Trend Up”
Trend Down baseline turns downward (slope crosses below 0).
Alert: “Kalman ATR Trend Down”
These are state flips , not “price crossovers,” so you avoid many one-bar head-fakes.
How to start (fast presets)
Swing (daily/4H) ATR Period 7–14, Factor 0.5–0.8, Process Noise 0.02–0.05, Measurement Noise 2–4, N = 3–5.
Intraday (5–15m) ATR Period 5–7, Factor 0.6–1.0, Process Noise 0.05–0.10, Measurement Noise 2–3, N = 3–5.
Slow assets / FX raise Measurement Noise or ATR Period for calmer lines; drop Factor if the baseline feels too jumpy.
Reading the line
Rising & curving upward momentum building; consider long bias until a clear downturn.
Flat & choppy regime uncertainty; many traders stand aside or tighten risk.
Falling & accelerating distribution lower; short bias until a clean upturn.
Practical playbook
Continuation entries After a Trend Up alert, wait for a minor pullback toward the baseline; enter on evidence the line keeps rising.
Exit/reduce If long and the baseline flattens then turns down, trim or exit; reverse logic for shorts.
Filters Add a higher-timeframe check (e.g., only take longs when the daily Kalman ATR is rising).
Stops Place stops just beyond the baseline (e.g., baseline − x% ATR for longs) to avoid “tag & reverse” noise.
Notes
This is a guide to state and momentum, not a guarantee. Combine with your process (structure, volume, time-of-day) for decisions.
Settings are asset/timeframe dependent; start with the presets and nudge Process/Measurement Noise until the baseline “feels right” for your market.
Summary
Kalman ATR takes the noise-reduction of a Kalman price estimate and couples it with volatility-scaled movement to produce a clean, adaptive baseline. If you liked the original Kalman Price Filter (), this is its trend-trading cousin purpose-built for cleaner state flips, intuitive trailing, and confluence with your existing
PE Rating by The Noiseless TraderPE Rating by The Noiseless Trader
This script analyzes a symbol’s Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio, using Diluted EPS (TTM) fundamentals directly from TradingView.
The script calculates the Price-to-Earnings ratio (P/E) using Diluted EPS (TTM) fundamentals. It then identifies:
PE High → the highest valuation point over a 3-year historical range.
PE Low → the lowest valuation point over a 3-year historical range.
PE Median → the midpoint between the two extremes, offering a fair-value benchmark.
PE (Int) → an additional intermediate low to track more recent undervaluation points. This is calculated based on lowest valuation point over a 1-year historical range
These levels are plotted directly on the chart as horizontal references, with markers showing the exact bars/dates when the extremes occurred. Candles corresponding to those days are also highlighted for context.
Bars corresponding to these extremes are highlighted (red = PE High, green = PE Low).
How it helps
Provides a historical valuation framework that complements technical analysis. We look for long opportunity or base formation near the PE Low and be cautious when stocks tends to trade near High PE.
We do not short the stock at High PE infact be cautious with long trades.
Helps identify whether current price action is happening near overvalued or undervalued zones.
Adds a long-term perspective to support swing trading and investing decisions. If a stock is coming from Low PE to Median PE and along with that if we get entry based on Classical strategies like Darvas Box, or HH-HL based on Dow Theory.
Offers a simple visual map of how far the market has moved from “cheap” to “expensive.”
This tool is best suited for long-term investors and swing traders who want to merge fundamentals with technical setups.
This indicator is designed as an educational tool to illustrate how valuation metrics (like earnings multiples) can be viewed alongside price action, helping traders connect fundamental context with technical execution in real market conditions.
Quantile Regression Bands [BackQuant]Quantile Regression Bands
Tail-aware trend channeling built from quantiles of real errors, not just standard deviations.
What it does
This indicator fits a simple linear trend over a rolling lookback and then measures how price has actually deviated from that trend during the window. It then places two pairs of bands at user-chosen quantiles of those deviations (inner and outer). Because bands are based on empirical quantiles rather than a symmetric standard deviation, they adapt to skewed and fat-tailed behaviour and often hug price better in trending or asymmetric markets.
Why “quantile” bands instead of Bollinger-style bands?
Bollinger Bands assume a (roughly) symmetric spread around the mean; quantiles don’t—upper and lower bands can sit at different distances if the error distribution is skewed.
Quantiles are robust to outliers; a single shock won’t inflate the bands for many bars.
You can choose tails precisely (e.g., 1%/99% or 5%/95%) to match your risk appetite.
How it works (intuitive)
Center line — a rolling linear regression approximates the local trend.
Residuals — for each bar in the lookback, the indicator looks at the gap between actual price and where the line “expected” price to be.
Quantiles — those gaps are sorted; you select which percentiles become your inner/outer offsets.
Bands — the chosen quantile offsets are added to the current end of the regression line to draw parallel support/resistance rails.
Smoothing — a light EMA can be applied to reduce jitter in the line and bands.
What you see
Center (linear regression) line (optional).
Inner quantile bands (e.g., 25th/75th) with optional translucent fill.
Outer quantile bands (e.g., 1st/99th) with a multi-step gradient to visualise “tail zones.”
Optional bar coloring: bars trend-colored by whether price is rising above or falling below the center line.
Alerts when price crosses the outer bands (upper or lower).
How to read it
Trend & drift — the slope of the center line is your local trend. Persistent closes on the same side of the center line indicate directional drift.
Pullbacks — tags of the inner band often mark routine pullbacks within trend. Reaction back to the center line can be used for continuation entries/partials.
Tails & squeezes — outer-band touches highlight statistically rare excursions for the chosen window. Frequent outer-band activity can signal regime change or volatility expansion.
Asymmetry — if the upper band sits much further from the center than the lower (or vice versa), recent behaviour has been skewed. Trade management can be adjusted accordingly (e.g., wider take-profit upslope than downslope).
A simple trend interpretation can be derived from the bar colouring
Good use-cases
Volatility-aware mean reversion — fade moves into outer bands back toward the center when trend is flat.
Trend participation — buy pullbacks to the inner band above a rising center; flip logic for shorts below a falling center.
Risk framing — set dynamic stops/targets at quantile rails so position sizing respects recent tail behaviour rather than fixed ticks.
Inputs (quick guide)
Source — price input used for the fit (default: close).
Lookback Length — bars in the regression window and residual sample. Longer = smoother, slower bands; shorter = tighter, more reactive.
Inner/Outer Quantiles (τ) — choose your “typical” vs “tail” levels (e.g., 0.25/0.75 inner, 0.01/0.99 outer).
Show toggles — independently toggle center line, inner bands, outer bands, and their fills.
Colors & transparency — customize band and fill appearance; gradient shading highlights the tail zone.
Band Smoothing Length — small EMA on lines to reduce stair-step artefacts without meaningfully changing levels.
Bar Coloring — optional trend tint from the center line’s momentum.
Practical settings
Swing trading — Length 75–150; inner τ = 0.25/0.75, outer τ = 0.05/0.95.
Intraday — Length 50–100 for liquid futures/FX; consider 0.20/0.80 inner and 0.02/0.98 outer in high-vol assets.
Crypto — Because of fat tails, try slightly wider outers (0.01/0.99) and keep smoothing at 2–4 to tame weekend jumps.
Signal ideas
Continuation — in an uptrend, look for pullback into the lower inner band with a close back above the center as a timing cue.
Exhaustion probe — in ranges, first touch of an outer band followed by a rejection candle back inside the inner band often precedes mean-reversion swings.
Regime shift — repeated closes beyond an outer band or a sharp re-tilt in the center line can mark a new trend phase; adjust tactics (stop-following along the opposite inner band).
Alerts included
“Price Crosses Upper Outer Band” — potential overextension or breakout risk.
“Price Crosses Lower Outer Band” — potential capitulation or breakdown risk.
Notes
The fit and quantiles are computed on a fixed rolling window and do not repaint; bands update as the window moves forward.
Quantiles are based on the recent distribution; if conditions change abruptly, expect band widths and skew to adapt over the next few bars.
Parameter choices directly shape behaviour: longer windows favour stability, tighter inner quantiles increase touch frequency, and extreme outer quantiles highlight only the rarest moves.
Final thought
Quantile bands answer a simple question: “How unusual is this move given the current trend and the way price has been missing it lately?” By scoring that question with real, distribution-aware limits rather than one-size-fits-all volatility you get cleaner pullback zones in trends, more honest “extreme” tags in ranges, and a framework for risk that matches the market’s recent personality.
Deadband Hysteresis Supertrend [BackQuant]Deadband Hysteresis Supertrend
A two-stage trend tool that first filters price with a deadband baseline, then runs a Supertrend around that baseline with optional flip hysteresis and ATR-based adverse exits.
What this is
A hybrid of two ideas:
Deadband Hysteresis Baseline that only advances when price pulls far enough from the baseline to matter. This suppresses micro noise and gives you a stable centerline.
Supertrend bands wrapped around that baseline instead of raw price. Flips are further gated by an extra margin so side changes are more deliberate.
The goal is fewer whipsaws in chop and clearer regime identification during trends.
How it works (high level)
Deadband step — compute a per-bar “deadband” size from one of four modes: ATR, Percent of price, Ticks, or Points. If price deviates from the baseline by more than this amount, move the baseline forward by a fraction of the excess. If not, hold the line.
Centered Supertrend — build upper and lower bands around the baseline using ATR and a user factor. Track the usual trailing logic that tightens a band while price moves in its favor.
Flip hysteresis — require price to exceed the active band by an extra flip offset × ATR before switching sides. This adds stickiness at the boundary.
Adverse exit — once a side is taken, trigger an exit if price moves against the entry by K × ATR .
If you would like to check out the filter by itself:
What it plots
DBHF baseline (optional) as a smooth centerline.
DBHF Supertrend as the active trailing band.
Candle coloring by trend side for quick read.
Signal markers 𝕃 and 𝕊 at flips plus ✖ on adverse exits.
Inputs that matter
Price Source — series being filtered. Close is typical. HL2 or HLC3 can be steadier.
Deadband mode — ATR, Percent, Ticks, or Points. This defines the “it’s big enough to matter” zone.
ATR Length / Mult (DBHF) — only used when mode = ATR. Larger values widen the do-nothing zone.
Percent / Ticks / Points — alternatives to ATR; pick what fits your market’s convention.
Enter Mult — scales the deadband you must clear before the baseline moves. Increase to filter more noise.
Response — fraction of the excess applied to baseline movement. Higher responds faster; lower is smoother.
Supertrend ATR Period & Factor — traditional band size controls; higher factor widens and flips less often.
Flip Offset ATR — extra ATR buffer required to flip. Useful in choppy regimes.
Adverse Stop K·ATR — per-trade danger brake that forces an exit if price moves K×ATR against entry.
UI — toggle baseline, supertrend, signals, and bar painting; choose long and short colors.
How to read it
Green regime — candles painted long and the Supertrend running below price. Pullbacks toward the baseline that fail to breach the opposite band often resume higher.
Red regime — candles painted short and the Supertrend running above price. Rallies that cannot reclaim the band may roll over.
Frequent side swaps — reduce sensitivity by increasing Enter Mult, using ATR mode, raising the Supertrend factor, or adding Flip Offset ATR.
Use cases
Bias filter — allow entries only in the direction of the current side. Use your preferred triggers inside that bias.
Trailing logic — treat the active band as a dynamic stop. If the side flips or an adverse K·ATR exit prints, reduce or close exposure.
Regime map — on higher timeframes, the combination baseline + band produces a clean up vs down template for allocation decisions.
Tuning guidance
Fast markets — ATR deadband, modest Enter Mult (0.8–1.2), response 0.2–0.35, Supertrend factor 1.7–2.2, small Flip Offset (0.2–0.5 ATR).
Choppy ranges — widen deadband or raise Enter Mult, lower response, and add more Flip Offset so flips require stronger evidence.
Slow trends — longer ATR periods and higher Supertrend factor to keep you on side longer; use a conservative adverse K.
Included alerts
DBHF ST Long — side flips to long.
DBHF ST Short — side flips to short.
Adverse Exit Long / Short — K·ATR stop triggers against the current side.
Strengths
Deadbanded baseline reduces micro whipsaws before Supertrend logic even begins.
Flip hysteresis adds a second layer of confirmation at the boundary.
Optional adverse ATR stop provides a uniform risk cut across assets and regimes.
Clear visuals and minimal parameters to adjust for symbol behavior.
Putting it together
Think of this tool as two decisions layered into one view. The deadband baseline answers “does this move even count,” then the Supertrend wrapped around that baseline answers “if it counts, which side should I be on and where do I flip.” When both parts agree you tend to stay on the correct side of a trend for longer, and when they disagree you get an early warning that conditions are changing.
When the baseline bends and price cannot reclaim the opposite band , momentum is usually continuing. Pullbacks into the baseline that stall before the far band often resolve in trend.
When the baseline flattens and the bands compress , expect indecision. Use the Flip Offset ATR to avoid reacting to the first feint. Wait for a clean band breach with follow through.
When an adverse K·ATR exit prints while the side has not flipped , treat it as a risk event rather than a full regime change. Many users cut size, re-enter only if the side reasserts, and let the next flip confirm a new trend.
Final thoughts
Deadband Hysteresis Supertrend is best read as a regime lens. The baseline defines your tolerance for noise, the bands define your trailing structure, and the flip offset plus adverse ATR stop define how forgiving or strict you want to be at the boundary. On strong trends it helps you hold through shallow shakeouts. In choppy conditions it encourages patience until price does something meaningful. Start with settings that reflect the cadence of your market, observe how often flips occur, then nudge the deadband and flip offset until the tool spends most of its time describing the move you care about rather than the noise in between.
Trade Holding Time Background HighlighterTrade Holding Time Background Highlighter
This script visually highlights the chart background based on how old each bar is relative to the current time. It’s designed for crypto futures traders (and other active traders) who want to quickly see whether price action falls inside a day trading window, a swing trading window, or is considered older history.
⸻
🔑 Features
• Dynamic Background Highlighting
• Day Trader Zone (default = last 24 hours, light green).
• Swing Trader Zone (default = last 2 weeks, light yellow).
• Older Zone (beyond 2 weeks, light gray).
• Customizable Colors
• Choose your own background colors for each zone.
• Adjust opacity to make shading subtle or bold.
• Adjustable Timeframes
• Change day trading hours (default: 24 hours).
• Change swing trading window (default: 14 days).
• Simple, Intuitive Design
• Instantly see whether the current market structure is suitable for scalps/day trades, swing trades, or simply part of older price action.
⸻
🎯 Why Use This?
As a futures/perpetual trader, knowing the context of price action is crucial:
• Scalpers/Day Traders focus on the most recent 24h.
• Swing Traders look back 1–2 weeks.
• Anything older often has less weight for short-term setups.
This script highlights those zones automatically, saving you time and giving clarity on whether you’re trading inside a fresh opportunity window or old, less relevant price action.
Theil-Sen Line Filter [BackQuant]Theil-Sen Line Filter
A robust, median-slope baseline that tracks price while resisting outliers. Designed for the chart pane as a clean, adaptive reference line with optional candle coloring and slope-flip alerts.
What this is
A trend filter that estimates the underlying slope of price using a Theil-Sen style median of past slopes, then advances a baseline by a controlled fraction of that slope each bar. The result is a smooth line that reacts to real directional change while staying calm through noise, gaps, and single-bar shocks.
Why Theil-Sen
Classical moving averages are sensitive to outliers and shape changes. Ordinary least squares is sensitive to large residuals. The Theil-Sen idea replaces a single fragile estimate with the median of many simple slopes, which is statistically robust and less influenced by a few extreme bars. That makes the baseline steadier in choppy conditions and cleaner around regime turns.
What it plots
Filtered baseline that advances by a fraction of the robust slope each bar.
Optional candle coloring by baseline slope sign for quick trend read.
Alerts when the baseline slope turns up or down.
How it behaves (high level)
Looks back over a fixed window and forms many “current vs past” bar-to-bar slopes.
Takes the median of those slopes to get a robust estimate for the bar.
Optionally caps the magnitude of that per-bar slope so a single volatile bar cannot yank the line.
Moves the baseline forward by a user-controlled fraction of the estimated slope. Lower fractions are smoother. Higher fractions are more responsive.
Inputs and what they do
Price Source — the series the filter tracks. Typical is close; HL2 or HLC3 can be smoother.
Window Length — how many bars to consider for slopes. Larger windows are steadier and slower. Smaller windows are quicker and noisier.
Response — fraction of the estimated slope applied each bar. 1.00 follows the robust slope closely; values below 1.00 dampen moves.
Slope Cap Mode — optional guardrail on each bar’s slope:
None — no cap.
ATR — cap scales with recent true range.
Percent — cap scales with price level.
Points — fixed absolute cap in price points.
ATR Length / Mult, Cap Percent, Cap Points — tune the chosen cap mode’s size.
UI Settings — show or hide the line, paint candles by slope, choose long and short colors.
How to read it
Up-slope baseline and green candles indicate a rising robust trend. Pullbacks that do not flip the slope often resolve in trend direction.
Down-slope baseline and red candles indicate a falling robust trend. Bounces against the slope are lower-probability until proven otherwise.
Flat or frequent flips suggest a range. Increase window length or decrease response if you want fewer whipsaws in sideways markets.
Use cases
Bias filter — only take longs when slope is up, shorts when slope is down. It is a simple way to gate faster setups.
Stop or trail reference — use the line as a trailing guide. If price closes beyond the line and the slope flips, consider reducing exposure.
Regime detector — widen the window on higher timeframes to define major up vs down regimes for asset rotation or risk toggles.
Noise control — enable a cap mode in very volatile symbols to retain the line’s continuity through event bars.
Tuning guidance
Quick swing trading — shorter window, higher response, optionally add a percent cap to keep it stable on large moves.
Position trading — longer window, moderate response. ATR cap tends to scale well across cycles.
Low-liquidity or gappy charts — prefer longer window and a points or ATR cap. That reduces jumpiness around discontinuities.
Alerts included
Theil-Sen Up Slope — baseline’s one-bar change crosses above zero.
Theil-Sen Down Slope — baseline’s one-bar change crosses below zero.
Strengths
Robust to outliers through median-based slope estimation.
Continuously advances with price rather than re-anchoring, which reduces lag at turns.
User-selectable slope caps to tame shock bars without over-smoothing everything.
Minimal visuals with optional candle painting for fast regime recognition.
Notes
This is a filter, not a trading system. It does not account for execution, spreads, or gaps. Pair it with entry logic, risk management, and higher-timeframe context if you plan to use it for decisions.
Simple TPODisplays price distribution over time using Time Price Opportunities (TPO). Shows Point of Control (POC), Value Area High/Low (VAH/VAL) levels to identify key support/resistance zones and fair value areas. Includes customizable timeframes and price breakout alerts.
EWC Zone Matrix📌 EWC Precision Blocks
🔎 Overview
EWC Precision Blocks is a professional market analysis tool designed to highlight high-probability trading zones on the chart. Instead of relying on lagging signals, this indicator maps out Alpha Zones (bullish) and Beta Zones (bearish), allowing traders to identify potential market reaction areas with clarity.
The algorithm is built to adapt across Scalp, Swing, and Position trading modes, making it flexible for short-term intraday traders as well as long-term investors.
⚡ Key Features
Multi-Mode Detection – Switch between Scalp, Swing, or Position modes depending on your trading style.
EWC Alpha Zone (Bullish Detection) – Highlights areas where the market may find strong upward momentum.
EWC Beta Zone (Bearish Detection) – Highlights areas where the market may face downward pressure.
Zone Break Tracking – Visualizes when a zone has been invalidated or broken.
Body-Based Detection – Option to base calculations on candle bodies instead of wicks for precision.
Zone Flips – Displays polarity shifts when zones transition from supportive to resistive behavior (and vice versa).
Custom Styling – Full control of zone and break colors for clear chart visualization.
🎯 How to Use
Select Your Mode
Scalp → Designed for fast intraday moves.
Swing → Medium-term setups, ideal for session trading.
Position → Long-term outlook, suitable for investors.
Watch the Alpha Zones
Highlighted bullish areas can serve as potential support or accumulation zones.
Watch the Beta Zones
Highlighted bearish areas may act as resistance or distribution zones.
Monitor Breaks & Flips
Alpha Breaks → Bullish zones failing.
Beta Breaks → Bearish zones failing.
Zone Flips → Polarity changes, often powerful signals.
🛠 Inputs & Customization
EWC Mode → Choose Scalp, Swing, or Position.
Show Last Alpha Zone → Set how many bullish zones to display.
Show Last Beta Zone → Set how many bearish zones to display.
Body-Based Detection → Toggle candle body vs. wick calculation.
EWC Alpha Zone / Beta Zone Styling → Customize zone colors.
Alpha Break / Beta Break Colors → Adjust break visuals.
Show Zone Flips → Enable/disable historical polarity labels.
Status Bar → Display inputs directly in the chart status line.
📈 Best Practices
Works across all timeframes and markets (forex, crypto, indices, stocks).
Combine with your existing strategy for confirmation.
Use in alignment with higher timeframe structure for maximum accuracy.
⚠ Disclaimer
EWC Precision Blocks is a market visualization tool provided for educational purposes only. It does not provide financial advice, signals, or guaranteed results. Always do your own research and manage risk responsibly.
🔹 About EWC
EWC (EastWave Capital) is dedicated to developing professional-grade trading tools and strategies for traders across forex, crypto, commodities, and indices. With over a decade of combined market experience, our mission is to empower traders with precision, clarity, and confidence in their decision-making.
EWC Precision Blocks is one of our flagship tools, reflecting our commitment to innovation, transparency, and trader-focused solutions.
📌 Published by Usama Manzoor — Founder of EastWave Capital (EWC)
1 minute ago
Release Notes
EWC Precision Blocks
The EWC Alpha-Beta Zone Detector is designed for traders who value clarity, precision, and flexibility in their chart analysis.
By mapping out Alpha (strength) and Beta (weakness) zones, this script provides a structured way to understand how price reacts to key levels in the market.
This indicator is built on price action principles and market structure analysis, avoiding clutter and focusing on the essentials traders need. Whether you are scalping on lower timeframes or analyzing swing opportunities, the Alpha-Beta Zone Detector adapts to your style.
🔹 Core Features
Alpha & Beta Zones → Detects bullish and bearish strength zones in real time.
Highlight Last Zone → Focus on the most recent Alpha/Beta zone for clarity.
Zone Flip Detection → Identifies polarity changes when zones shift from support to resistance or vice versa.
Body-Based Detection → Option to base calculations on candle bodies instead of wicks for more accuracy.
Flexible Timeframe Sensitivity → Switch between short, intermediate, and long-term detection modes.
Custom Zone Styling → Adjust colors, opacity, and line thickness for both Alpha and Beta zones.
Break Visualization → Display breaks of Alpha and Beta zones for additional confirmation.
Market Versatility → Works seamlessly on Forex, Crypto, Indices, Commodities, and Stocks.
🔹 Why Traders Use It
Provides a clear visual guide to market decision zones.
Helps traders refine entries, stop-loss placement, and take-profit levels.
Adapts to multiple trading styles → scalpers, intraday traders, and swing traders.
Keeps charts clean and professional without overloading with unnecessary signals.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This script is created for educational and informational purposes only. It does not provide financial advice. Trading involves risk; always manage your risk responsibly and conduct your own analysis before entering any position.
Deadband Hysteresis Filter [BackQuant]Deadband Hysteresis Filter
What this is
This tool builds a “debounced” price baseline that ignores small fluctuations and only reacts when price meaningfully departs from its recent path. It uses a deadband to define how much deviation matters and a hysteresis scheme to avoid rapid flip-flops around the decision boundary. The baseline’s slope provides a simple trend cue, used to color candles and to trigger up and down alerts.
Why deadband and hysteresis help
They filter micro noise so the baseline does not react to every tiny tick.
They stabilize state changes. Hysteresis means the rule to start moving is stricter than the rule to keep holding, which reduces whipsaw.
They produce a stepped, readable path that advances during sustained moves and stays flat during chop.
How it works (conceptual)
At each bar the script maintains a running baseline dbhf and compares it to the input price p .
Compute a base threshold baseTau using the selected mode (ATR, Percent, Ticks, or Points).
Build an enter band tauEnter = baseTau × Enter Mult and an exit band tauExit = baseTau × Exit Mult where typically Exit Mult < Enter Mult .
Let diff = p − dbhf .
If diff > +tauEnter , raise the baseline by response × (diff − tauEnter) .
If diff < −tauEnter , lower the baseline by response × (diff + tauEnter) .
Otherwise, hold the prior value.
Trend state is derived from slope: dbhf > dbhf → up trend, dbhf < dbhf → down trend.
Inputs and what they control
Threshold mode
ATR — baseTau = ATR(atrLen) × atrMult . Adapts to volatility. Useful when regimes change.
Percent — baseTau = |price| × pctThresh% . Scale-free across symbols of different prices.
Ticks — baseTau = syminfo.mintick × tickThresh . Good for futures where tick size matters.
Points — baseTau = ptsThresh . Fixed distance in price units.
Band multipliers and response
Enter Mult — outer band. Price must travel at least this far from the baseline before an update occurs. Larger values reject more noise but increase lag.
Exit Mult — inner band for hysteresis. Keep this smaller than Enter Mult to create a hold zone that resists small re-entries.
Response — step size when outside the enter band. Higher response tracks faster; lower response is smoother.
UI settings
Show Filtered Price — plots the baseline on price.
Paint candles — colors bars by the filtered slope using your long/short colors.
How it can be used
Trend qualifier — take entries only in the direction of the baseline slope and skip trades against it.
Debounced crossovers — use the baseline as a stabilized surrogate for price in moving-average or channel crossover rules.
Trailing logic — trail stops a small distance beyond the baseline so small pullbacks do not eject the trade.
Session aware filtering — widen Enter Mult or switch to ATR mode for volatile sessions; tighten in quiet sessions.
Parameter interactions and tuning
Enter Mult vs Response — both govern sensitivity. If you see too many flips, increase Enter Mult or reduce Response. If turns feel late, do the opposite.
Exit Mult — widening the gap between Enter and Exit expands the hold zone and reduces oscillation around the threshold.
Mode choice — ATR adapts automatically; Percent keeps behavior consistent across instruments; Ticks or Points are useful when you think in fixed increments.
Timeframe coupling — on higher timeframes you can often lower Enter Mult or raise Response because raw noise is already reduced.
Concrete starter recipes
General purpose — ATR mode, atrLen=14 , atrMult=1.0–1.5 , Enter=1.0 , Exit=0.5 , Response=0.20 . Balanced noise rejection and lag.
Choppy range filter — ATR mode, increase atrMult to 2.0, keep Response≈0.15 . Stronger suppression of micro-moves.
Fast intraday — Percent mode, pctThresh=0.1–0.3 , Enter=1.0 , Exit=0.4–0.6 , Response=0.30–0.40 . Quicker turns for scalping.
Futures ticks — Ticks mode, set tickThresh to a few spreads beyond typical noise; start with Enter=1.0 , Exit=0.5 , Response=0.25 .
Strengths
Clear, explainable logic with an explicit noise budget.
Multiple threshold modes so the same tool fits equities, futures, and crypto.
Built-in hysteresis that reduces flip-flop near the boundary.
Slope-based coloring and alerts that make state changes obvious in real time.
Limitations and notes
All filters add lag. Larger thresholds and smaller response trade faster reaction for fewer false turns.
Fixed Points or Ticks can under- or over-filter when volatility regime shifts. ATR adapts, but will also expand bands during spikes.
On extremely choppy symbols, even a well tuned band will step frequently. Widen Enter Mult or reduce Response if needed.
This is a chart study. It does not include commissions, slippage, funding, or gap risks.
Alerts
DBHF Up Slope — baseline turns from down to up on the latest bar.
DBHF Down Slope — baseline turns from up to down on the latest bar.
Implementation details worth knowing
Initialization sets the baseline to the first observed price to avoid a cold-start jump.
Slope is evaluated bar-to-bar. The up and down alerts check for a change of slope rather than raw price crossings.
Candle colors and the baseline plot share the same long/short palette with transparency applied to the line.
Practical workflow
Pick a mode that matches how you think about distance. ATR for volatility aware, Percent for scale-free, Ticks or Points for fixed increments.
Tune Enter Mult until the number of flips feels appropriate for your timeframe.
Set Exit Mult clearly below Enter Mult to create a real hold zone.
Adjust Response last to control “how fast” the baseline chases price once it decides to move.
Final thoughts
Deadband plus hysteresis gives you a principled way to “only care when it matters.” With a sensible threshold and response, the filter yields a stable, low-chop trend cue you can use directly for bias or plug into your own entries, exits, and risk rules.
RB — Rejection Blocks (Price Structure)This indicator detects and visualizes Rejection Blocks (RBs) using pure price action logic.
A bullish RB occurs when a down candle forms a lower low than both its neighbors. A bearish RB occurs when an up candle forms a higher high than both its neighbors.
Validated RBs are displayed as boxes, optional lines, or labels. Blocks are automatically removed when invalidated (price closes through them), keeping the chart uncluttered and focused.
How to use
• Apply on any timeframe, from intraday to higher timeframes.
• Watch how price reacts when revisiting RB zones.
• Treat these zones as contextual areas, not entry signals.
• Combine with your own trading methods for confirmation.
Originality
Unlike generic support/resistance tools, this indicator isolates a specific structural pattern (rejection blocks) and renders it visually on the chart. This selective focus allows traders to study structural reactions with more clarity and precision.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not a trading system or a signal provider. It is a visual analysis tool designed for structural and educational purposes.
Smart Structure Breaks & Order BlocksOverview (What it does)
The indicator “Smart Structure Breaks & Order Blocks” detects market structure using swing highs and lows, identifies Break of Structure (BOS) events, and automatically draws order blocks (OBs) from the origin candle. These zones extend to the right and change color/outline when mitigated or invalidated. By formalizing and automating part of discretionary analysis, it provides consistent zone recognition.
Main Components
Swing Detection: ta.pivothigh/ta.pivotlow identify confirmed swing points.
BOS Detection: Determines if the recent swing high/low is broken by close (strict mode) or crossover.
OB Creation: After a BOS, the opposite candle (bearish for bullish BOS, bullish for bearish BOS) is used to generate an order block zone.
Zone Management: Limits the number of zones, extends them to the right, and tracks tagged (mitigated) or invalidated states.
Input Parameters
Left/Right Pivot (default 6/6): Number of bars required on each side to confirm a swing. Higher values = smoother swings.
Max Zones (default 4): Maximum zones stored per direction (bull/bear). Oldest zones are overwritten.
Zone Confirmation Lookback (default 3): Ensures OB origin candle validity by checking recent highs/lows.
Show Swing Points (default ON): Displays triangles on swing highs/lows.
Require close for BOS? (default ON): Strict BOS (close required) vs loose BOS (line crossover).
Use candle body for zones (default OFF): Zones drawn from candle body (ON) or wick (OFF).
Signal Definition & Logic
Swing Updates: Latest confirmed pivots update lastHighLevel / lastLowLevel.
BOS (Break of Structure):
Bullish – close breaks last swing high.
Bearish – close breaks last swing low.
Only one valid BOS per swing (avoids duplicates).
OB Detection:
Bullish BOS → previous bearish candle with lowest low forms the OB.
Bearish BOS → previous bullish candle with highest high forms the OB.
Zones: Bull = green, Bear = red, semi-transparent, extended to the right.
Zone States:
Mitigated: Price touches the zone → border highlighted.
Invalidated:
Bull zone → close below → turns red.
Bear zone → close above → turns green.
Chart Appearance
Swing High: red triangle above bar
Swing Low: green triangle below bar
Bull OB: green zone (border highlighted on touch)
Bear OB: red zone (border highlighted on touch)
Invalid Zones: Bull zones turn reddish, Bear zones turn greenish
Practical Use (Trading Assistance)
Trend Following Entries: Buy pullbacks into green OBs in uptrends, sell rallies into red OBs in downtrends.
Focus on First Touch: First mitigation after BOS often has higher reaction probability.
Confluence: Combine with higher timeframe trend, volume, session levels, key price levels (previous highs/lows, VWAP, etc.).
Stops/Targets:
Bull – stop below zone, partial take profit at swing high or resistance.
Bear – stop above zone, partial take profit at swing low or support.
Parameter Tuning (per market/timeframe)
Pivot (6/6 → 4/4/8/8): Lower for scalping (3–5), medium for day trading (5–8), higher for swing trading (8–14). Increase to reduce noise.
Strict Break: ON to reduce false breaks in ranging markets; OFF for earlier signals.
Body Zones: ON for assets with long wicks, OFF for cleaner OBs in liquid instruments.
Zone Confirmation (default 3): Increase for stricter OB origin, fewer zones.
Max Zones (default 4 → 6–10): Increase for higher volatility, decrease to avoid clutter.
Strengths
Standardizes BOS and OB detection that is usually subjective.
Tracks mitigation and invalidation automatically.
Adaptable: allows body/wick zone switching for different instruments.
Limitations
Pivot-based: Signals appear only after pivots confirm (slight lag).
Zones reflect past balance: Can fail after new events (news, earnings, macro data).
Range-heavy markets: More false BOS; consider stricter settings.
Backtesting: This script is for drawing/visual aid; trading rules must be defined separately.
Workflow Example
Identify higher timeframe trend (4H/Daily).
On lower TF (15–60m), wait for BOS and new OB.
Enter on first mitigation with confirmation candle.
Stop beyond zone; targets based on R multiples and swing points.
FAQ
Q: Why are zones invalidated quickly?
A: Flow reversal after BOS. Adjust pivots higher, enable Strict mode, or switch to Body zones to reduce noise.
Q: What does “tagged” mean?
A: Price touched the zone once = mitigated. Implies some orders in that zone may have been filled.
Q: Body or Wick zones?
A: Wick zones are fine in clean markets. For volatile pairs with long wicks, body zones provide more realistic areas.
Customization Tips (Code perspective)
Zone storage: Currently ring buffer ((idx+1) % zoneLimit). Could prioritize keeping unmitigated zones.
Automated testing: Add strategy.entry/exit for rule-based backtests.
Multi-timeframe: Use request.security() for higher timeframe swings/BOS.
Visualization: Add labels for BOS bars, tag zones with IDs, count touches.
Summary
This indicator formalizes the cycle Swing → BOS → OB creation → Mitigation/Invalidation, providing consistent structure analysis and zone tracking. By tuning sensitivity and strictness, and combining with higher timeframe context, it enhances pullback/continuation trading setups. Always combine with proper risk management.
Universal Trend+ [BackQuant]Universal Trend+
This indicator blends several well-known technical ideas into a single composite trend and momentum model. It can be show primarily as an overlay or a oscillator:
In which it produces two things:
a composite oscillator that summarizes multiple signals into one normalized score
a regime signal rendered on the chart as a colored ribbon with optional 𝕃 and 𝕊 markers
The goal is to simplify decision-making by having multiple, diverse measurements vote in a consistent framework, rather than relying on any single indicator in isolation.
What it does
Computes five independent components, each reading a different aspect of price behavior
Converts each component into a standardized bullish / neutral / bearish vote
Averages the available votes to a composite score
Compares that score to user thresholds to label the environment bullish, neutral, or bearish
Colors a fast/slow moving-average ribbon by the current regime, optionally paints candles, and can plot the composite oscillator in a lower pane
The five components (conceptual)
1)RSI Momentum Bias
A classic momentum gauge on a selectable source and lookback. The component emphasizes whether conditions are persistently strong or weak and applies a neutral buffer to avoid reacting to trivial moves. Output is expressed as a vote: bullish, neutral, or bearish.
2) Rate-of-Change Impulse
A smoothed rate-of-change that focuses on short bursts in acceleration. It is used to detect impulsive pushes rather than slow drift. Extreme readings cast a directional vote, mid-range readings abstain.
3) EMA Oscillator
A slope-style trend gauge formed by contrasting a fast and a slow EMA on a chosen source, normalized so that the sign and relative magnitude matter more than absolute price. A small dead-zone reduces whipsaws.
4) T3-Based Normalized Oscillator
A T3 smoother is transformed into a bounded oscillator via rolling normalization, then optionally smoothed by a user-selectable MA. This highlights directional drift while keeping scale consistent across symbols and regimes.
5) DEMA + ATR Bands State
A double-EMA core is wrapped in adaptive ATR bands to create a stepping state that reacts when pressure exceeds a volatility envelope. The component contributes an event-style vote on meaningful shifts.
Each component is designed to measure something different: trend slope, momentum impulse, normalized drift, and volatility-aware pressure. Their diversity is the point.
Composite scoring model
Standardization: Each component is mapped to -1 (bearish), 0 (neutral), or +1 (bullish) using bands and guards to cut noise.
Aggregation: The composite score is the average of the available votes. If a component is inactive on a bar, the composite uses the votes that are present.
Decision layer: Two user thresholds define your action bands.
Above the upper band → bullish regime
Below the lower band → bearish regime
Between the bands → neutral
This separation between measurement, aggregation, and decision avoids over-fitting any single threshold and makes the tool adaptable across assets and timeframes.
Plots and UI
Composite oscillator (optional lower pane): A normalized line that trends between bearish and bullish zones with user thresholds drawn for context.
Signal ribbon (on price): A fast/slow MA pair tinted by the current regime to give an at-a-glance market state.
Markers: Optional 𝕃 and 𝕊 labels when the regime flips.
Candle painting and background tint: Optional visual reinforcement of state.
Color and style controls: User inputs for long/short colors, threshold line color, and visibility toggles.
How it can be used
1) Regime filter
Use the composite regime to define bias. Trade only long in a bullish regime, only short in a bearish regime, and stand aside or scale down in neutral. This simple filter often reduces whipsaw.
2) Confirmation layer
Keep your entry method the same (breaks, pullbacks, liquidity sweeps, order-flow cues) but require agreement from the composite regime or a fresh flip in the 𝕃/𝕊 markers.
3) Momentum breakouts
Look for the composite oscillator to leave neutrality while the EMA oscillator is already positive and the ATR-band state has flipped. Confluence across components is the intent.
4) Pullback entries within trend
In a bullish regime, consider entries on shallow composite dips that recover before breaching the lower band. Reverse the logic in a bearish regime.
5) Exits and risk
Common choices are:
reduce on a return to neutral,
exit on an opposite regime flip, or
trail behind your own stop model (ATR, structure, session levels) while using the ribbon for context.
6) Multi-timeframe workflow
Select a higher timeframe for bias with this indicator, and time executions on a lower timeframe. The indicator itself stays on a single chart; you can load a second chart or pane if you prefer a strict top-down process.
Strengths
Diversified evidence: Five independent perspectives keep the model from hinging on one idea.
Noise control: Neutral buffers and a composite layer reduce reaction to minor wiggles.
Clarity: A single oscillator and a clearly colored ribbon present a complex assessment in a simple form.
Adaptable: Thresholds and lookbacks let you tune for faster or slower markets.
Practical tuning
Thresholds: Wider bands produce fewer regime flips and longer holds. Narrower bands increase sensitivity.
Lookbacks: Shorter lookbacks emphasize recent action; longer lookbacks emphasize stability.
T3 normalization window and volume factor: Increase the window to suppress noise on choppy symbols; tweak the factor to adjust the smoother’s response.
ATR factor for the band state: Raise it to demand more decisive pressure before registering a shift; lower it to respond earlier.
Alerts
Built-in alerts trigger when the regime flips long or short. If you prefer confirmed signals, set your alerts to bar close on your timeframe. Intrabar the composite can move with price; bar-close confirmation stabilizes behavior.
Limitations
Sideways markets: Even with buffers, any trend model can chop in range-bound conditions.
Lag vs sensitivity trade-off: Tighter thresholds react faster but flip more often; wider thresholds are steadier but later.
Asset specificity: Volatility regimes differ. Expect to retune ATR and normalization settings when switching symbols or timeframes.
Final Remarks
Universal Trend+ is meant to act like a disciplined voting committee. Each component contributes a different angle on the same underlying question: is the market pressing up, pressing down, or doing neither with conviction. By standardizing and aggregating those views, you get a single regime read that plays well with many entry styles and risk frameworks, while keeping the heavy math under the hood.
Balanced Price Range (BPR) DetectorBALANCED PRICE RANGE (BPR) DETECTOR
This indicator detects Balanced Price Ranges (BPR) by analyzing the overlap between bullish and bearish Fair Value Gaps (FVG). BPR zones represent areas where opposing market forces create equilibrium, often acting as strong support/resistance levels.
KEY FEATURES:
- Automatic detection of overlapping FVGs to form BPR zones
- Confidence scoring system (0-100%) based on overlap ratio, size, volume, and symmetry
- Customizable filters (ATR, Volume)
- Real-time mitigation tracking
- Alert system for new BPRs, mitigations, and rejections
- Visual customization options
HOW IT WORKS:
The indicator continuously scans for Fair Value Gaps in both directions. When a bullish FVG overlaps with a bearish FVG within the specified lookback period, a BPR zone is created. The confidence score helps traders identify the strongest zones.
USAGE:
- High confidence BPRs (>75%) often act as strong reversal zones
- Use for entry/exit points when price approaches BPR zones
- Combine with other indicators for confirmation
- Monitor touch counts for zone strength validation
SETTINGS:
- Lookback Bars: Number of bars to search for overlapping FVGs
- Min Overlap Ratio: Minimum overlap percentage required
- ATR/Volume Filters: Filter out weak or low-volume BPRs
- Display Options: Customize visual appearance
- Mitigation Type: Choose between wick or close-based mitigation
Perfect for traders using price action, supply/demand zones, or institutional order flow concepts.
Moving Average Adaptive RSI [BackQuant]Moving Average Adaptive RSI
What this is
A momentum oscillator that reshapes classic RSI into a zero-centered column plot and makes it adaptive. It builds RSI from two parts:
• A sensitivity window that scans several recent bars to capture the strongest up and down impulses.
• A selectable moving average that smooths those impulses before computing RSI.
The output ranges roughly from −100 to +100 with 0 as the midline, with optional extra smoothing and built-in divergence detection.
How it works
Impulse extraction
• For each bar the script inspects the last rsi_sen bars and collects upward and downward price changes versus the current price.
• It keeps the maximum upward change and maximum downward change from that window, emphasizing true bursts over single-bar noise.
MA-based averaging
• The up and down impulse series are averaged with your chosen MA over rsi_len bars.
• Supported MA types: SMA, EMA, DEMA, WMA, HMA, SMMA (RMA), TEMA.
Zero-centered RSI transform
• RS = UpMA ÷ DownMA, then mapped to a symmetric scale: 100 − 200 ÷ (1 + RS) .
• Above 0 implies positive momentum bias. Below 0 implies negative momentum bias.
Optional extra smoothing
• A second smoothing pass can be applied to the final oscillator using smoothing_len and smooth_type . Toggle with “Use Extra Smoothing”.
Visual encoding
• The oscillator is drawn as columns around the zero line with a gradient that intensifies toward extremes.
• Static bands mark 80 to 100 and −80 to −100 for extreme conditions.
Key inputs and what they change
• Price Source : input series for momentum.
• Calculation Period (rsi_len) : primary averaging window on up and down components. Higher = smoother, slower.
• Sensitivity (rsi_sen) : how many recent bars are scanned to find max impulses. Higher = more responsive to bursts.
• Calculation Type (ma_type) : MA family that shapes the core behavior. HMA or DEMA is faster, SMA or SMMA is slower.
• Smoothing Type and Length : optional second pass to calm noise on the final output.
• UI toggles : show or hide the oscillator, candle painting, and extreme bands.
Reading the oscillator
• Midline cross up (0) : momentum bias turning positive.
• Midline cross down (0) : momentum bias turning negative.
• Positive territory :
– 0 to 40: constructive but not stretched.
– 40 to 80: strong momentum, continuation more likely.
– Above 80: extreme risk of mean reversion grows.
• Negative territory : mirror the same levels for the downside.
Divergence detection
The script plots four divergence types using pivot highs and lows on both price and the oscillator. Lookbacks are set by lbL and lbR .
• Regular bullish : price lower low, oscillator higher low. Possible downside exhaustion.
• Hidden bullish : price higher low, oscillator lower low. Bias to trend continuation up.
• Regular bearish : price higher high, oscillator lower high. Possible upside exhaustion.
• Hidden bearish : price lower high, oscillator higher high. Bias to trend continuation down.
Labels: ℝ for regular, ℍ for hidden. Green for bullish, red for bearish.
Candle coloring
• Optional bar painting: green when the oscillator is above 0, red when below 0. This is for visual scanning only.
Strengths
• Adaptive sensitivity via a rolling impulse window that responds to genuine bursts.
• Configurable MA core so you can match responsiveness to the instrument.
• Zero-centered scale for simple regime reads with 0 as a clear bias line.
• Built-in regular and hidden divergence mapping.
• Flexible across symbols and timeframes once tuned.
Limitations and cautions
• Trends can remain extended. Treat extremes as context rather than automatic reversal signals.
• Divergence quality depends on pivot lookbacks. Short lookbacks give more signals with more noise. Long lookbacks reduce noise but add lag.
• Double smoothing can delay zero-line transitions. Balance smoothness and timeliness.
Practical usage ideas
• Regime filter : only take long setups from your separate method when the oscillator is above 0, shorts when below 0.
• Pullback confirmation : in uptrends, look for dips that hold above 0 or turn up from 0 to 40. Reverse for downtrends.
• Divergence as a heads-up : wait for a zero-line cross or a price trigger before acting on divergence.
• Sensitivity tuning : start with rsi_sen 2 to 5 on faster timeframes, increase slightly on slower charts.
Alerts
• MA-A RSI Long : oscillator crosses above 0.
• MA-A RSI Short : oscillator crosses below 0.
Use these as bias or timing aids, not standalone trade commands.
Settings quick reference
• Calculation : Price Source, Calculation Type, Calculation Period, Sensitivity.
• Smoothing : Smoothing Type, Smoothing Length, Use Extra Smoothing.
• UI : Show Oscillator, Paint Candles, Show Static High and Low Levels.
• Divergences : Pivot Lookback Left and Right, Div Signal Length, Show Detected Divergences.
Final thoughts
This tool reframes RSI by extracting strong short-term impulses and averaging them with a moving-average model of your choice, then presenting a zero-centered output for clear regime reads. Pair it with your structure, risk and execution process, and tune sensitivity and smoothing to the market you trade.
DM Impulse Enhanced [BackQuant]DM Impulse Enhanced
What this is (and what it isn’t)
DM Impulse Enhanced is a signal-driven overlay that classifies market action into two practical regimes: Long (risk-on) and Cash (risk-off). It’s built around a proprietary impulse model from the directional-movement family, wrapped in a persistence test and a state machine. Because this script is private, the core mechanics are intentionally abstracted here; what follows explains how to read and use it without revealing the protected calculation.
Why traders use it
Many tools oscillate or describe “how stretched” price is; fewer make a firm, operational call that you can automate. DM Impulse Enhanced aims to do exactly that declare when upside pressure is broad and durable enough to justify a long bias, and when deterioration is strong enough to stand aside (cash/short discretion). The emphasis is on impulse persistence rather than one-off spikes.
What you see on the chart
• Long / Cash markers – Green up-triangles (Long) and red down-triangles (Cash) plot at the bar where the regime changes.
• Regime-tinted bars (optional) – Candles can be softly shaded green during Long and red during Cash for at-a-glance context.
• Trend ribbon (context only) – A narrow ribbon (fast/slow moving averages) is tinted by the current regime to show trend alignment; it does not generate signals on its own.
• No separate sub-pane – Signals are intended to sit directly on price for immediate decision-making.
How the logic behaves (high-level)
Impulse core – A directional-movement–based engine estimates the strength of buying vs. selling pressure over a user-defined horizon.
Persistence gate – Instead of reacting to a single reading, the model evaluates how consistently that impulse dominates across a configurable lookback range.
State machine – When persistence clears (or fails) a pair of thresholds, the model flips and stays in that regime until evidence justifies a change. This “stickiness” is intentional; it reduces whipsaws in choppy tape.
Inputs & controls
Calculation Settings
• DM Length – The base horizon for the impulse engine. Longer = smoother/steadier; shorter = quicker/more reactive.
• Start / End – Defines the span of the persistence check. Expanding the span asks the market to prove itself against more history before changing regime.
Signal Settings
• Long Threshold – The persistence level required to promote the model into Long.
• Short Threshold – The level that, once crossed to the downside, demotes the model into Cash. Using a cross-under event for risk-off helps avoid premature exits on noise.
Visual Settings
• Long / Short colours – Customize marker and shading hues.
• Color Bars? – Toggle candle tinting by regime (off if you prefer a clean chart).
Reading the signals
• Long prints only when the model observes sustained upside pressure across the configured span. Treat this as permission to engage with pullbacks, breakouts, or your preferred setups in the direction of the trend.
• Cash prints when downside deterioration is strong enough to invalidate the prior regime. It’s a risk-off directive—flatten, hedge, or switch to short strategies according to your plan.
• Regime persistence is a feature: once Long, the model won’t flip on minor dips; once Cash, it won’t re-arm on minor bounces. If you want more flips, shorten the spans and relax thresholds; if you want fewer, do the opposite.
Practical tuning guide
Match DM Length to your timeframe
– Intraday: smaller length for timely response.
– Swing/Position: larger length to filter desk-noise and track higher-timeframe flows.
Size the persistence span to your goal
– Narrow span: faster regime changes, more trades, more noise.
– Wide span: fewer, higher-conviction calls, longer holds.
Set realistic thresholds
– The Long threshold should be reachable with your chosen span; the Short threshold should be low enough to catch genuine deterioration but not so tight that it flips on every dip.
Decide on cosmetics
– Turn on bar tinting for discretionary reading, or keep it off when exporting screenshots or running other overlays.
Suggested workflows
• Trend-following with discipline – Trade only in the Long regime; use structure (higher lows, anchored VWAP, or pullbacks to your MA stack) for entries and the Cash flip as a portfolio-level exit.
• Risk overlay – Keep your normal strategy, but: reduce size when Cash appears; re-enable full risk only after Long reasserts.
• Multi-timeframe gating – Require Long on a higher timeframe (e.g., 4H or 1D), then take entries on a lower one. If the high-TF posts Cash, stand down.
How the ribbon fits in
The ribbon visualizes short- vs. intermediate-term trend in the same colour as the regime. It’s deliberately “dumb”: it does not change the signal, it just helps you see when price action and regime are in harmony (e.g., pullbacks during Long that hold above the ribbon).
Alerts included
• DM Impulse LONG – Triggers as the persistence measure clears the Long threshold.
• DM Impulse CASH – Triggers when deterioration crosses the Short threshold from above.
Configure alerts to fire on bar close if you want final (non-intrabar) decisions.
Strengths
• Actionable binary output – Long/Cash is unambiguous and easy to automate.
• Persistence-aware – Focuses on runs that endure, not one-bar excitement.
• Asset/timeframe agnostic – Works anywhere you trust directional-movement concepts (equities, futures, crypto, FX).
Limitations & cautions
• Not a reversal caller – It’s a regime classifier. If you need early bottoms/tops, pair it with your own exhaustion or liquidity tools.
• Parameter feasibility matters – If your thresholds are set beyond what your span can reasonably achieve, signals may rarely (or never) trigger.
• Chop happens – In mean-reverting or news-driven tape, expect more frequent flips unless you widen spans and thresholds.
• Intrabar movement – Like any responsive model, provisional intrabar states can appear before the bar closes. Use “bar close” alerts for finality.
Getting started (safe defaults you can adapt)
• Intraday bias – Shorter DM Length, modest span, moderately tight thresholds.
• Swing filter – Longer DM Length, wider span, stricter Long and sufficiently low Short.
• Conservative overlay – Keep thresholds firm and spans wide; use signals to scale risk rather than flip directions frequently.
Summary
DM Impulse Enhanced is a persistence-focused regime classifier built on directional-movement concepts. It answers a narrow question clearly “Risk-on or risk-off?” and stays with that answer until the evidence meaningfully changes. Use it as a bias switch, a portfolio risk overlay, or a gate for your existing entry logic, and size its spans/thresholds to the cadence of the market you trade.
SAR Oscillator [Bellsz]Converts Parabolic SAR into a normalized oscillator with crossover signals, gradient fills, and trend strength levels. A cleaner way to read SAR momentum. Making it easier to read momentum shifts, trend strength, and reversals directly in the sub-chart. Instead of dots on price only, this tool converts SAR dynamics into a smooth oscillator that highlights bias and turning points.
What it shows
Normalized Price Line — scaled view of price relative to SAR.
Normalized SAR Line — SAR value normalized across the high/low range.
SAR Dots — visual cue when crossovers occur (potential reversal or trend acceleration).
Gradient Fill — color-coded background for quick read of momentum direction/intensity.
Guide Levels — ±50 baseline to track trend strength and overextension.
Why use it
Converts SAR into an oscillator format, easier to compare across instruments & timeframes.
Highlights momentum shifts early (crossovers, gradient flips).
Adds structure with gradient fill and baselines, making SAR more actionable than standard dot plots.
Works as a trend bias filter or confirmation tool alongside other indicators.
Inputs
Acceleration / Increment / Maximum — adjust SAR sensitivity.
Custom Colors — choose your scheme for price, SAR, and gradients.
Best practices
Use on intraday or swing TFs as a trend bias filter.
Look for Normalized Price crossing Normalized SAR as potential entry signals.
Watch how SAR dots cluster near ±100 for exhaustion or reversal signals.
Notes
This is a visual enhancement of SAR; it does not repaint.
Combine with volume, FVGs, or session models for added context.
Forward P/E CalculatorI could not find a forward P/E indicator that gave me proper results. So here is mine.
VWAP For Loop [BackQuant]VWAP For Loop
What this tool does—in one sentence
A volume-weighted trend gauge that anchors VWAP to a calendar period (day/week/month/quarter/year) and then scores the persistence of that VWAP trend with a simple for-loop “breadth” count; the result is a clean, threshold-driven oscillator plus an optional VWAP overlay and alerts.
Plain-English overview
Instead of judging raw price alone, this indicator focuses on anchored VWAP —the market’s average price paid during your chosen institutional period. It then asks a simple question across a configurable set of lookback steps: “Is the current anchored VWAP higher than it was i bars ago—or lower?” Each “yes” adds +1, each “no” adds −1. Summing those answers creates a score that reflects how consistently the volume-weighted trend has been rising or falling. Extreme positive scores imply persistent, broad strength; deeply negative scores imply persistent weakness. Crossing predefined thresholds produces objective long/short events and color-coded context.
Under the hood
• Anchoring — VWAP using hlc3 × volume resets exactly when the selected period rolls:
Day → session change, Week → new week, Month → new month, Quarter/Year → calendar quarter/year.
• For-loop scoring — For lag steps i = , compare today’s VWAP to VWAP .
– If VWAP > VWAP , add +1.
– Else, add −1.
The final score ∈ , where N = (end − start + 1). With defaults (1→45), N = 45.
• Signal logic (stateful)
– Long when score > upper (e.g., > 40 with N = 45 → VWAP higher than ~89% of checked lags).
– Short on crossunder of lower (e.g., dropping below −10).
– A compact state variable ( out ) holds the current regime: +1 (long), −1 (short), otherwise unchanged. This “stickiness” avoids constant flipping between bars without sufficient evidence.
Why VWAP + a breadth score?
• VWAP aggregates both price and volume—where participants actually traded.
• The breadth-style count rewards consistency of the anchored trend, not one-off spikes.
• Thresholds give you binary structure when you need it (alerts, automation), without complex math.
What you’ll see on the chart
• Sub-pane oscillator — The for-loop score line, colored by regime (long/short/neutral).
• Main-pane VWAP (optional) — Even though the indicator runs off-chart, the anchored VWAP can be overlaid on price (toggle visibility and whether it inherits trend colors).
• Threshold guides — Horizontal lines for the long/short bands (toggle).
• Cosmetics — Optional candle painting and background shading by regime; adjustable line width and colors.
Input map (quick reference)
• VWAP Anchor Period — Day, Week, Month, Quarter, Year.
• Calculation Start/End — The for-loop lag window . With 1→45, you evaluate 45 comparisons.
• Long/Short Thresholds — Default upper=40, lower=−10 (asymmetric by design; see below).
• UI/Style — Show thresholds, paint candles, background color, line width, VWAP visibility and coloring, custom long/short colors.
Interpreting the score
• Near +N — Current anchored VWAP is above most historical VWAP checkpoints in the window → entrenched strength.
• Near −N — Current anchored VWAP is below most checkpoints → entrenched weakness.
• Between — Mixed, choppy, or transitioning regimes; use thresholds to avoid reacting to noise.
Why the asymmetric default thresholds?
• Long = score > upper (40) — Demands unusually broad upside persistence before declaring “long regime.”
• Short = crossunder lower (−10) — Triggers only on downward momentum events (a fresh breach), not merely being below −10. This combination tends to:
– Capture sustained uptrends only when they’re very strong.
– Flag downside turns as they occur, rather than waiting for an extreme negative breadth.
Tuning guide
Choose an anchor that matches your horizon
– Intraday scalps : Day anchor on intraday charts.
– Swing/position : Month or Quarter anchor on 1h/4h/D charts to capture institutional cycles.
Pick the for-loop window
– Larger N (bigger end) = stronger evidence requirement, smoother oscillator.
– Smaller N = faster, more reactive score.
Set achievable thresholds
– Ensure upper ≤ N and lower ≥ −N ; if N=30, an upper of 40 can never trigger.
– Symmetric setups (e.g., +20/−20) are fine if you want balanced behavior.
Match visuals to intent
– Enabling VWAP coloring lets you see regime directly on price.
– Background shading is useful for discretionary reading; turn it off for cleaner automation displays.
Playbook examples
• Trend confirmation with disciplined entries — On Month anchor, N=45, upper=38–42: when the long regime engages, use pullbacks toward anchored VWAP on the main pane for entries, with stops just beyond VWAP or a recent swing.
• Downside transition detection — Keep lower around −8…−12 and watch for crossunders; combine with price losing anchored VWAP to validate risk-off.
• Intraday bias filter — Day anchor on a 5–15m chart, N=20–30, upper ~ 16–20, lower ~ −6…−10. Only take longs while score is positive and above a midline you define (e.g., 0), and shorts only after a genuine crossunder.
Behavior around resets (important)
Anchored VWAP is hard-reset each period. Immediately after a reset, the series can be young and comparisons to pre-reset values may span two periods. If you prefer within-period evaluation only, choose end small enough not to bridge typical period length on your timeframe, or accept that the breadth test intentionally spans regimes.
Alerts included
• VWAP FL Long — Fires when the long condition is true (score > upper and not in short).
• VWAP FL Short — Fires on crossunder of the lower threshold (event-driven).
Messages include {{ticker}} and {{interval}} placeholders for routing.
Strengths
• Simple, transparent math — Easy to reason about and validate.
• Volume-aware by construction — Decisions reference VWAP, not just price.
• Robust to single-bar noise — Needs many lags to agree before flipping state (by design, via thresholds and the stateful output).
Limitations & cautions
• Threshold feasibility — If N < upper or |lower| > N, signals will never trigger; always cross-check N.
• Path dependence — The state variable persists until a new event; if you want frequent re-evaluation, lower thresholds or reduce N.
• Regime changes — Calendar resets can produce early ambiguity; expect a few bars for the breadth to mature.
• VWAP sensitivity to volume spikes — Large prints can tilt VWAP abruptly; that behavior is intentional in VWAP-based logic.
Suggested starting profiles
• Intraday trend bias : Anchor=Day, N=25 (1→25), upper=18–20, lower=−8, paint candles ON.
• Swing bias : Anchor=Month, N=45 (1→45), upper=38–42, lower=−10, VWAP coloring ON, background OFF.
• Balanced reactivity : Anchor=Week, N=30 (1→30), upper=20–22, lower=−10…−12, symmetric if desired.
Implementation notes
• The indicator runs in a separate pane (oscillator), but VWAP itself is drawn on price using forced overlay so you can see interactions (touches, reclaim/loss).
• HLC3 is used for VWAP price; that’s a common choice to dampen wick noise while still reflecting intrabar range.
• For-loop cap is kept modest (≤50) for performance and clarity.
How to use this responsibly
Treat the oscillator as a bias and persistence meter . Combine it with your entry framework (structure breaks, liquidity zones, higher-timeframe context) and risk controls. The design emphasizes clarity over complexity—its edge is in how strictly it demands agreement before declaring a regime, not in predicting specific turns.
Summary
VWAP For Loop distills the question “How broadly is the anchored, volume-weighted trend advancing or retreating?” into a single, thresholded score you can read at a glance, alert on, and color through your chart. With careful anchoring and thresholds sized to your window length, it becomes a pragmatic bias filter for both systematic and discretionary workflows.
Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster [BackQuant]Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster
Plain-English overview
This tool projects a cone of plausible future prices by combining two ideas that traders already use intuitively: seasonality and uncertainty. It watches how your market typically behaves around this calendar date, turns that seasonal tendency into a small daily “drift,” then runs many randomized price paths forward to estimate where price could land tomorrow, next week, or a month from now. The result is a probability cone with a clear expected path, plus optional overlays that show how past years tended to move from this point on the calendar. It is a planning tool, not a crystal ball: the goal is to quantify ranges and odds so you can size, place stops, set targets, and time entries with more realism.
What Monte Carlo is and why quants rely on it
• Definition . Monte Carlo simulation is a way to answer “what might happen next?” when there is randomness in the system. Instead of producing a single forecast, it generates thousands of alternate futures by repeatedly sampling random shocks and adding them to a model of how prices evolve.
• Why it is used . Markets are noisy. A single point forecast hides risk. Monte Carlo gives a distribution of outcomes so you can reason in probabilities: the median path, the 68% band, the 95% band, tail risks, and the chance of hitting a specific level within a horizon.
• Core strengths in quant finance .
– Path-dependent questions : “What is the probability we touch a stop before a target?” “What is the expected drawdown on the way to my objective?”
– Pricing and risk : Useful for path-dependent options, Value-at-Risk (VaR), expected shortfall (CVaR), stress paths, and scenario analysis when closed-form formulas are unrealistic.
– Planning under uncertainty : Portfolio construction and rebalancing rules can be tested against a cloud of plausible futures rather than a single guess.
• Why it fits trading workflows . It turns gut feel like “seasonality is supportive here” into quantitative ranges: “median path suggests +X% with a 68% band of ±Y%; stop at Z has only ~16% odds of being tagged in N days.”
How this indicator builds its probability cone
1) Seasonal pattern discovery
The script builds two day-of-year maps as new data arrives:
• A return map where each calendar day stores an exponentially smoothed average of that day’s log return (yesterday→today). The smoothing (90% old, 10% new) behaves like an EWMA, letting older seasons matter while adapting to new information.
• A volatility map that tracks the typical absolute return for the same calendar day.
It calculates the day-of-year carefully (with leap-year adjustment) and indexes into a 365-slot seasonal array so “March 18” is compared with past March 18ths. This becomes the seasonal bias that gently nudges simulations up or down on each forecast day.
2) Choice of randomness engine
You can pick how the future shocks are generated:
• Daily mode uses a Gaussian draw with the seasonal bias as the mean and a volatility that comes from realized returns, scaled down to avoid over-fitting. It relies on the Box–Muller transform internally to turn two uniform random numbers into one normal shock.
• Weekly mode uses bootstrap sampling from the seasonal return history (resampling actual historical daily drifts and then blending in a fraction of the seasonal bias). Bootstrapping is robust when the empirical distribution has asymmetry or fatter tails than a normal distribution.
Both modes seed their random draws deterministically per path and day, which makes plots reproducible bar-to-bar and avoids flickering bands.
3) Volatility scaling to current conditions
Markets do not always live in average volatility. The engine computes a simple volatility factor from ATR(20)/price and scales the simulated shocks up or down within sensible bounds (clamped between 0.5× and 2.0×). When the current regime is quiet, the cone narrows; when ranges expand, the cone widens. This prevents the classic mistake of projecting calm markets into a storm or vice versa.
4) Many futures, summarized by percentiles
The model generates a matrix of price paths (capped at 100 runs for performance inside TradingView), each path stepping forward for your selected horizon. For each forecast day it sorts the simulated prices and pulls key percentiles:
• 5th and 95th → approximate 95% band (outer cone).
• 16th and 84th → approximate 68% band (inner cone).
• 50th → the median or “expected path.”
These are drawn as polylines so you can immediately see central tendency and dispersion.
5) A historical overlay (optional)
Turn on the overlay to sketch a dotted path of what a purely seasonal projection would look like for the next ~30 days using only the return map, no randomness. This is not a forecast; it is a visual reminder of the seasonal drift you are biasing toward.
Inputs you control and how to think about them
Monte Carlo Simulation
• Price Series for Calculation . The source series, typically close.
• Enable Probability Forecasts . Master switch for simulation and drawing.
• Simulation Iterations . Requested number of paths to run. Internally capped at 100 to protect performance, which is generally enough to estimate the percentiles for a trading chart. If you need ultra-smooth bands, shorten the horizon.
• Forecast Days Ahead . The length of the cone. Longer horizons dilute seasonal signal and widen uncertainty.
• Probability Bands . Draw all bands, just 95%, just 68%, or a custom level (display logic remains 68/95 internally; the custom number is for labeling and color choice).
• Pattern Resolution . Daily leans on day-of-year effects like “turn-of-month” or holiday patterns. Weekly biases toward day-of-week tendencies and bootstraps from history.
• Volatility Scaling . On by default so the cone respects today’s range context.
Plotting & UI
• Probability Cone . Plots the outer and inner percentile envelopes.
• Expected Path . Plots the median line through the cone.
• Historical Overlay . Dotted seasonal-only projection for context.
• Band Transparency/Colors . Customize primary (outer) and secondary (inner) band colors and the mean path color. Use higher transparency for cleaner charts.
What appears on your chart
• A cone starting at the most recent bar, fanning outward. The outer lines are the ~95% band; the inner lines are the ~68% band.
• A median path (default blue) running through the center of the cone.
• An info panel on the final historical bar that summarizes simulation count, forecast days, number of seasonal patterns learned, the current day-of-year, expected percentage return to the median, and the approximate 95% half-range in percent.
• Optional historical seasonal path drawn as dotted segments for the next 30 bars.
How to use it in trading
1) Position sizing and stop logic
The cone translates “volatility plus seasonality” into distances.
• Put stops outside the inner band if you want only ~16% odds of a stop-out due to noise before your thesis can play.
• Size positions so that a test of the inner band is survivable and a test of the outer band is rare but acceptable.
• If your target sits inside the 68% band at your horizon, the payoff is likely modest; outside the 68% but inside the 95% can justify “one-good-push” trades; beyond the 95% band is a low-probability flyer—consider scaling plans or optionality.
2) Entry timing with seasonal bias
When the median path slopes up from this calendar date and the cone is relatively narrow, a pullback toward the lower inner band can be a high-quality entry with a tight invalidation. If the median slopes down, fade rallies toward the upper band or step aside if it clashes with your system.
3) Target selection
Project your time horizon to N bars ahead, then pick targets around the median or the opposite inner band depending on your style. You can also anchor dynamic take-profits to the moving median as new bars arrive.
4) Scenario planning & “what-ifs”
Before events, glance at the cone: if the 95% band already spans a huge range, trade smaller, expect whips, and avoid placing stops at obvious band edges. If the cone is unusually tight, consider breakout tactics and be ready to add if volatility expands beyond the inner band with follow-through.
5) Options and vol tactics
• When the cone is tight : Prefer long gamma structures (debit spreads) only if you expect a regime shift; otherwise premium selling may dominate.
• When the cone is wide : Debit structures benefit from range; credit spreads need wider wings or smaller size. Align with your separate IV metrics.
Reading the probability cone like a pro
• Cone slope = seasonal drift. Upward slope means the calendar has historically favored positive drift from this date, downward slope the opposite.
• Cone width = regime volatility. A widening fan tells you that uncertainty grows fast; a narrow cone says the market typically stays contained.
• Mean vs. price gap . If spot trades well above the median path and the upper band, mean-reversion risk is high. If spot presses the lower inner band in an up-sloping cone, you are in the “buy fear” zone.
• Touches and pierces . Touching the inner band is common noise; piercing it with momentum signals potential regime change; the outer band should be rare and often brings snap-backs unless there is a structural catalyst.
Methodological notes (what the code actually does)
• Log returns are used for additivity and better statistical behavior: sim_ret is applied via exp(sim_ret) to evolve price.
• Seasonal arrays are updated online with EWMA (90/10) so the model keeps learning as each bar arrives.
• Leap years are handled; indexing still normalizes into a 365-slot map so the seasonal pattern remains stable.
• Gaussian engine (Daily mode) centers shocks on the seasonal bias with a conservative standard deviation.
• Bootstrap engine (Weekly mode) resamples from observed seasonal returns and adds a fraction of the bias, which captures skew and fat tails better.
• Volatility adjustment multiplies each daily shock by a factor derived from ATR(20)/price, clamped between 0.5 and 2.0 to avoid extreme cones.
• Performance guardrails : simulations are capped at 100 paths; the probability cone uses polylines (no heavy fills) and only draws on the last confirmed bar to keep charts responsive.
• Prerequisite data : at least ~30 seasonal entries are required before the model will draw a cone; otherwise it waits for more history.
Strengths and limitations
• Strengths :
– Probabilistic thinking replaces single-point guessing.
– Seasonality adds a small but meaningful directional bias that many markets exhibit.
– Volatility scaling adapts to the current regime so the cone stays realistic.
• Limitations :
– Seasonality can break around structural changes, policy shifts, or one-off events.
– The number of paths is performance-limited; percentile estimates are good for trading, not for academic precision.
– The model assumes tomorrow’s randomness resembles recent randomness; if regime shifts violently, the cone will lag until the EWMA adapts.
– Holidays and missing sessions can thin the seasonal sample for some assets; be cautious with very short histories.
Tuning guide
• Horizon : 10–20 bars for tactical trades; 30+ for swing planning when you care more about broad ranges than precise targets.
• Iterations : The default 100 is enough for stable 5/16/50/84/95 percentiles. If you crave smoother lines, shorten the horizon or run on higher timeframes.
• Daily vs. Weekly : Daily for equities and crypto where month-end and turn-of-month effects matter; Weekly for futures and FX where day-of-week behavior is strong.
• Volatility scaling : Keep it on. Turn off only when you intentionally want a “pure seasonality” cone unaffected by current turbulence.
Workflow examples
• Swing continuation : Cone slopes up, price pulls into the lower inner band, your system fires. Enter near the band, stop just outside the outer line for the next 3–5 bars, target near the median or the opposite inner band.
• Fade extremes : Cone is flat or down, price gaps to the upper outer band on news, then stalls. Favor mean-reversion toward the median, size small if volatility scaling is elevated.
• Event play : Before CPI or earnings on a proxy index, check cone width. If the inner band is already wide, cut size or prefer options structures that benefit from range.
Good habits
• Pair the cone with your entry engine (breakout, pullback, order flow). Let Monte Carlo do range math; let your system do signal quality.
• Do not anchor blindly to the median; recalc after each bar. When the cone’s slope flips or width jumps, the plan should adapt.
• Validate seasonality for your symbol and timeframe; not every market has strong calendar effects.
Summary
The Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster wraps institutional risk planning into a single overlay: a data-driven seasonal drift, realistic volatility scaling, and a probabilistic cone that answers “where could we be, with what odds?” within your trading horizon. Use it to place stops where randomness is less likely to take you out, to set targets aligned with realistic travel, and to size positions with confidence born from distributions rather than hunches. It will not predict the future, but it will keep your decisions anchored to probabilities—the language markets actually speak.
VIV 1.0 // AN IDEA BY Sunil SethiVIV (Very Important Volume) is a custom-built TradingView indicator designed to decode the psychology behind price and volume behavior — whether you are a breakout trader, reversal trader, or use your own discretionary logic. VIV reveals where institutional activity is likely taking place, highlights trend stages, uncovers volume footprints, and identifies high-probability trading zones — all with zero lag & 100% price-action-based logic.
Key Features (Expanded Concepts)
01. Trend-Based Analysis with Stages and Background Colors
VIV breaks down the market into three color-coded stages based on trend confirmation:
Stage 3: Uptrend (Short-Term Trend Confirmation)
Marks early accumulation or consolidation.
Shows possible reversal zones.
Short-term traders use this to spot opportunities before a breakout.
Stage 2: Uptrend (Medium-Term Trend Confirmation)
Highlights the start of a strong directional move.
Confidence zone for position building and breakout-following strategies.
Stage 1: Uptrend (Long-Term Trend Confirmation)
Indicates long term strength.
These trend stages reflect the emotional phases of market participants and the shifting balance of power between buyers and sellers. You can toggle trend backgrounds for intraday, daily, weekly, and monthly trends and change their background colors.
Note : If the % difference in Stage 3 exceeds 10%, the stock is considered extended. Such setups should be evaluated with caution before making any trade decisions.
02. . Volume Footprints (➕ Signs)
VIV intelligently identifies past candles with high-volume activity (accumulation/distribution).
These are not typical breakout volumes, but subtle footprints of smart money.
Help spot reversal points, liquidity zones, and retest levels.
Valuable for both breakout and reversal traders to confirm zone strength.
You can enable or disable these lines, adjust color, style, and width via VIV Line Settings.
03. VIV || H, VIV || L and VIV || C Zones
Automatically plots horizontal levels from high-volume, high-activity candles—revealing the footprints of smart money.
VIV || H (High) = Top of important bar.
VIV || L (Low) = Bottom of important bar.
VIV || C (Close) = Close price of important bar.
Key levels used by traders for:
Entries
Stop-loss placement
Targets
These zones show where price historically reacted due to strong institutional presence. They come with customizable label colors and backgrounds.
04. Price Tightness Detection
Detects when two or more candles compress within the range of a larger parent candle.
Represents indecision, contraction, or coiling behavior before major price moves.
Ideal for both:
Breakout traders looking for base formations.
Reversal traders watching for exhaustion.
Color-coded markers indicate such tight price zones — disabled by default but can be enabled.
05. Technical Stats Panel (Important Data Table)
An insightful dashboard providing:
ADR% – Volatility-based movement expectations (change period via input).
ATR – Real volatility indicator.
Average Volume / Price Volume – Customizable average period and currency unit (INR/USD).
Trend Data:
10/20/200 SMAs
10-week & 20-week trend stages (custom SMA period/timeframe supported)
Relative Strength vs Benchmark
RS grade: GREAT, GOOD, FAIR, UNCERTAIN, UNDER PERFORMER, LAGGARD, POOR
When RS is comparing: BOTH STRONG, BOTH WEEK
You can also display the benchmark symbol name and change the symbol for relative strength comparison.
06. Relative Strength Grade Change Alerts
VIV tracks relative strength changes against a chosen benchmark (e.g., Nifty MidSmallCap).
The above tells us that if the stock is stronger or weaker than the benchmark.
Detects when relative strength shifts from:
Strong → Weak (e.g., EXCELLENT → GOOD → FAIR)
Weak → Strong (e.g., LAGGARD → POOR → FAIR → GOOD)
Sudden transitions (e.g., WORST → FAIR, BOTH WEAK → GOOD, BOTH GOOD → POOR)
BOTH WEAK → GOOD or BOTH GOOD → POOR means stock's strength is better/poor than the benchmark
and more.
These alerts can help in:
Early trend following
Exiting when RS degrades
Adding positions when RS improves
07. Smart Alerts (Built-in Conditions)
You can set alerts for (any timeframe)
Positive Trend
Negative Trend
Rise in Volume
Relative Strength Changed
Set your preferred interval and trigger type in TradingView to stay updated without chart-watching.
08. Pivot Points
VIV allows visualizing pivot highs and lows using a dynamic window (left/right lookback).
Customizable label text and background color.
Helpful in identifying support or resistance zones and breakout points.
09. Customization Options
Toggle modules like trend background, labels, stats, and volume zones.
Customize colors for:
Labels
Zones
Trend backgrounds
Table text, borders, and alignment
Adjust visibility per timeframe (inputs tab)
How to Use VIV Effectively
Use trend background colors to identify phase (base, uptrend, top).
Look for stage 1, stage 2 and stage 3 for short, medium and long term trend.
Watch for old high-volume candles (➕ marks) to plan entries/exits.
Trade around ➕ marks, VIV || H and VIV || L levels.
Use tight price zones to anticipate explosive moves.
Monitor table for ATR/ADR, RS grade, and moving averages.
Use alerts to automate monitoring of trend, volume, or RS shifts.
Best Suited For:
Reversal traders (demand/supply based)
Breakout traders using base-building logic
Systematic or discretionary traders
Anyone who values price-volume behavior over lagging indicators
