Probability: Bull/Bear Dominance | Ratio | Bar CountIntro
What's the probability of the next bar being red? How about green? Well, there are many ways to quantify the probability but I am presenting just one stupidly simple (but generally accurate) way to measure it.
Strangely... no one has done this before that I can find. I try to check if someone else has done it first (Pro Tip: Plz do this. We honestly don't need the 5 trillionth "MTF MAs" script.)
Indicator
Its a basic counting script, but the nice thing about this script is you choose the time range. It starts counting from a specified point of your choosing. It counts up the bull bars and bear bars separately.
Bull Bar = Close > Open
Bear Bar = Open > Close
You can look at them in sum or as a ratio of Green Bars : Red Bars
I know, it's almost too simple. But, here's some interesting food for thought from a layman to fellow laymen.
Analysis/Edge
Between the time of candle open and candle close, the price can do one of three things, close higher, close lower, or close equal to.
'Equal to' is rare on higher timeframes in liquid markets and it provides no useful information. Thus, we'll nix it for purposes of this conversation.
So boil it down. The next candle is going to be a red candle or a green candle.
It is popular to refer to the general probability of most candles as 50/50, with trader's mission in life being to seek an edge that tilts the probabilities slightly in their favor.
The truth is the odds are probably never actually 50/50, but knowing the precisely correct probability is unknowable, just like the accuracy of a weather forecast is inherently unknowable. What we're trying to do as traders is develop systems that give us predictive probabilistic outcomes that correspond with future realities based on various ways of measuring the market (most often heavily dependent on the past).
The reality is that the market can be measured in many, many different ways. The important thing is that you measure it in a way that is accurate, relevant, and universally applicable.
So look at this indicator here:
You start from a point in time on a chosen timeframe and you put red bars in the red column, green in the green column, and count them all up.
Then you make a ratio, in this case, Green : Red.
What the ratio shows you is the percentage of green bars compared to red bars . At the time of this screenshot, the 4h on the SPX starting from the 2020 bottom is showing a ratio of 1.2.
This means there have been 20% more green bars than there have been red bars.
Now there are 1,000 directions you can take this discussion. What is the overall volatility picture, the size of the red bars vs the green bars, what happens if you miss out on the 5 biggest green bars... so many more variables that you would need to take into account to develop a true edge from this idea. But, the bottom line fact (which is what I like about this) is that we can take this data and say with a certain level of confidence that on the SPX you have a 20% better shot at making money (otherwise stated there's a 60/40 chance) if you open a LONG trade at the beginning of a 4h candle than if you open a short.
That's useful information. One could argue that it's not a complete strategy in and of itself (although I bet it could be with a couple of additional parameters). But I can tell you, based on the 4h candles in the 2020 rally if you open a short, the deck is stacked against you from this perspective. And we can actually somewhat demonstrate this to be true for our dataset because we can look at the price history and see who likely made more money. The SPX is up 1000pts off the bottom. So, thus far, for this dataset, it rings true; Bulls have been doing way better in the latter part of 2020 than the bears.
Conclusion
Predictive systems with a small number of variables tend to be more robust than a system with many variables when applied to a complex system. I may keep updating this script if people like it and determine aspects like population vs sample size, confidence intervals, volatility, and exclusion of outliers. For now, this is just an opening foray into the basic idea of how we can establish an edge in the markets. It really can be this simple.
Thanks for Reading.
Search in scripts for "黄金近50年的走势"
WR% VARIATIONThis indicator plot the change of the William R%.
We have 3 hlines, 50, 0, -50
You can use this as a confirmation indicator for different entries:
ENTRIES
When change is higher than 50 we have a strong LONG signal
When change is lower than -50 we have a strong SHORT signal
CONTINUATION TRADES
When we are in a Bull Market, candle is red and change crossover the 0 line, we have a LONG continuation trade
When we are in a Bear Market, candle is green and change crossunder the 0 line, we have a SHORT continuation trade
EXITS
When we are in a Bull Market, candle is green and change crossunder the 0 line, we have an Exit, or a Reversal
When we are in a Bear Market, candle is read and change crossover the 0 line, we have an Exit, or a Reversal
RISK-OFF.RISK.ON-ppxdf.v3======================================= RISK-OFF & RISK ON INDEX ================================================
1. Stock Price Momentum: Measuring the Standard & Poor's 500 Index ( S&P 500 ) versus its 125-day moving average (MA)
2. Stock Price Strength: Calculating the number of stocks hitting 52-week highs versus those hitting 52-week lows on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)
3. Stock Price Breadth: Analyzing trading volumes in rising stocks against declining stocks
4. Put and Call Options: How much do put options lag behind call options, signifying greed, or surpass them, indicating fear
5. Junk Bond Demand: Gauging appetite for higher risk strategies by measuring the spread between yields on investment-grade bonds and junk bonds
6. Market Volatility: CNN measures the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index ( VIX ), concentrating on a 50-day MA
7. Safe Haven Demand: The difference in returns for stocks versus treasuries
Each of these seven indicators is measured on a scale from 0 to 100, with the index being computed by taking an equal-weighted average of each of them.
A reading of 50 is deemed NEUTRAL.
Above 50 signals the market with RISK-ON. (GREED)
Below 50, Signals the market with RISK-OFF (FEAR)
8
Ultimate Moving Average Package (17 MA's)Included is the:
VWAP
Current time frame 10 EMA
Current time frame 20 EMA
Current time frame 50 EMA
Current time frame 10 SMA
Current time frame 20 SMA
Current time frame 50 SMA
Daily 10 EMA
Daily 20 EMA
Daily 50 EMA
Daily 50 SMA
Daily 100 SMA
Daily 200 SMA
Weekly 100 SMA
Weekly 200 SMA
Monthly 100 SMA
Monthly 200 SMA
All Daily/Weekly/Monthly MA's can be seen on intraday charts. Current time frame MA's change depending on your time frame. Obviously you dont need all 17 on your chart but you can pick the ones you like and disable the rest.
OVL_Kikoocycle Beta_Pine3This script use :
- A custom Chande Kroll Stop for generate the channel
- Some custom Parabolic S.A.R for generate cycles
This script can be separated into 3 categories:
- Channel Kroll generator : one layer for the actual interval and a layer for a Large Timeframe .(with ratio)
- "Range" generator : one layer for actual Interval and a layer for a Large Timeframe.(with automique ratio)
-Targets generator : one layer for actual interval with different trend.
"Channel Kroll" :
- I "hijack" the Chande Kroll Stop formula with custom parameters for generate this channel. Overall, it works like other types of channels like BB, etc... A midline and two borders. The thickness of the borders are relatively important here. A thick border shows some resistance of the area. And so the probability of seeing the market return to its first contact is stronger. While a very thin and vertical border would rather play the role of a breach, a bit like the idea of gaps. Often the market seems to want to go after several cycles.
You can activate its Large TimeFrame version, its midline is strong and fine borders helps to judge the risk.
SARget + "SAR Limited" :
- (S.A.R + targets) The philosophy of this function is simple... When a small cycle is broken, it creates a mark on a higher cycle. So on until the SAR called "SAR Limited". For simplicity, imagine a fractal image but inverted ... Break the small figure, it will mark the larger figure at this time but to get there you still have to make the way to the small figure.
Targets are : cross ("+") for fast targets(hidden by default because, theire work only on lower interval), squares (for medium trend), Xcross(for large trend) and red cross(they try to find a large contexte). When a target proc, it is for later (market need some cycles for going to, but it is relative to your interval). This gives you speculative goals.
Why 2 targets for a same type and a triangle with a 90deg angle : This give a potential area for management.The triangle help to visualize the SAR and to juge the market reaction. You need to adapte your trade with that...
Targets may be slightly too far because I am a bad coder... Currently the targets appear at the moment of rupture but it would be necessary to wait for the end of the breaking movement. Which can bring a positional error if the break is violent.
RnG and LTF RnG :
- Attempt to generate a Fibo range for each cycle and see interressing areas to enter or exit. This is played with the same philosophy as the Fibo extensions and retracement.
When a new RnG is generated, do not rush. It appears showing 50/50 for both sides. When a new RnG is generated, do not rush. It appears showing 50/50 for both sides. As long as the market is out of the middle zone (the 3 lines) keep in mind the past RnG.
When the market is out of range, you can use the FibRetracement tool for have extensions. One point at each end, as on the presentation graph. (Values 1.14, 1.272, 1.414, 1.618, 1.786, 2, 2.4 and 4 work well.) If too extrem you can active the LTF version.
Never fomo a break, market like to pull a level... Observe and be patient.
It's easier to use than to explain xD
NB : Do not use the LTF as context. For this, it is better to look at a higher interval.
I invite you to look in the style tab of the script and deselect the plots named UNCHECKEME, this will ease your browser.
Amazing Crossover System - 100+ pips per day!I got the main concept for this system on another site. While I have made one important change, I must stress that the heart of this system was created by someone else! We must give credit where credit is due!
Y'all know baby pips. @ForexPhantom published about this system and did both back and forward test around 10 years ago.
I found it on the sit and now I put it to code to see how it performs. I assume 10 points spread for every trade. I use Renesource or AxiTrader to get the low spreads.
There are 2 mods, the single trades and constant trading on the direction.
Main concept
Indicators
5 EMA -- YELLOW
10 EMA -- RED
RSI (10 - Apply to Median Price: HL/2) -- One level at 50.
TIME FRAME
1 Hour Only (very important!)
PAIRS
Virtually any pair seems to work as this is strictly technical analysis.
I recommend sticking to the main currencies and avoiding cross currencies (just his preference).
WHEN TO ENTER A TRADE
Enter LONG when the Yellow EMA crosses the Red EMA from underneath.
RSI must be approaching 50 from the BOTTOM and cross 50 to warrant entry.
Enter SHORT when the Yellow EMA crosses the Red EMA from the top.
RSI must be approaching 50 from the TOP and cross 50 to warrant entry.
I've attached a picture which demonstrates all these conditions.
That's it!
f.bpcdn.co
MFIww MFI/RSI_v2[wozdux]A new version of the indicator Mfi_v2. Added new control parameters.
tt - the averaging period of the volume.
Len - the period for calculating the MPI.
nn-averaging period MFI (blue line). level-critical levels from below and above (black horizontal lines).
Level 0 or 50 - switch between different histogram views with the middle at either level 50 or level 0.
key level-key to remove black critical levels.
key ema (MFI, nn) - key to remove mfi averaging (blue line).
key color-key to remove histogram coloring.
key colomns a-line - key switching modes represent the mfi histrogram or line.
---------------------------
Новая версия индикатора MFIww_v2. Добавлены новые управляющие параметры.
tt- период усреднения объема.
Len - период вычисления MFI.
nn- период усреднения MFI (голубая линия).
level- критические уровни снизу и сверху (черные горизонтальные линии).
Level 0 or 50 - переключение между разными представлениями гистрограммы с серединой либо на уровне 50 , либо на уровне 0.
key level- ключ убрать черные критические уровни.
key ema(mfi,nn) - ключ убрать усреднение mfi (голубая линия).
key color- ключ убрать расцветку гистрограммы.
key colomns-line - ключ переключения режимов представления mfi гистрограммой или линией.
GoTiT|Simple Auto Fib v1.0Simple Auto Fib!
Notes:
1. Always set the trend manually! Don't rely on the auto trend detection.
2. The first parameter Length sets the number of candles back (left) to search for highs and lows from the current candle.
3. The High Offset parameter sets the number of candles back (left) to ignore/skip before searching for highs.
4. The Low Offset parameter sets the number of candles back (left) to ignore/skip before searching for lows.
5. The offset parameters change the behavior of the Length parameter.
Example 1:
Length = 100
High Offset = 0
Low Offset = 0
This is the default behavior, and the search for highs and lows occurs on the last 100 candles.
Example 2:
Length = 50
High Offset = 20 (Ignore the last 20 candles, and search for highs starting at candle 21 to 71 (or 50 candles back)
Low Offset = 15 (Ignore the last 15 candles, and search for lows starting at candle 16 to 66 (or 50 candles back)
In example 2, search starts on candle 21 for highs, and candle 16 for lows and extends 50 candles further back from there.
6. The Trend Detection parameter sets the number of candles back (left) to use in the trend calculations. Larger values give better "marco trend" detection. Smaller values give better "micro trend" detection. See note #1.
7. The white fib line is fib0. Assuming you correctly set the trend manually (or the trend is auto detected correctly), in a downtrend fib0 should be bellow the red fib line, and in an uptrend fib0 should be above the red fib line.
MACD + Stochastic + RSI (Long + Short)My strategy uses a combination of three indicators MACD Stochastic RSI .
The Idea is to GO LONG when ( MACD > Signal and RSI > 50 and Stochastic > 50) occures at the same time
and GO SHORT when ( MACD < Signal and RSI < 50 and Stochastic < 50)
This strategy works well on futures and stocks especially during market breaking up after consolidation
The best results are on Daily charts , so its NOT a scalping strategy. But it can work also on 1H charts.
The strategy does not have any stops and profit targets, so we can take all the market can give us at the moment.
The exit point only when MACD goes under/over Signal line
Its Preformance is quite stable.
So, use it, trade it.
If it will help you to imprive your trading results, please donate me
BTC: 12kd1F8buWisUBdq27BBwRkUvzW7Ey3og5
Trend Lines and MoreMulti-Indicator consisting of several useful indicators in a single package.
TREND LINES
-By default the 20 SMA and 50 SMA are shown.
-Use "MOVING AVERAGE TYPE" to select SMA, EMA, Double-EMA, Triple-EMA, or Hull.
-Use "50 MA TREND COLOR" to have the 50 turn green/red for uptrend/downtrend.
-Use "DAILY SOURCE ONLY" to always show daily averages regardless of timeframe.
-Use "SHOW LONG MA" to also include 100, 150, and 200 moving averages.
-Use "SHOW MARKERS" to show a small colored marker identifying which line is which.
OTHER INDICATORS
-You can show Bollinger Bands and Parabolic SAR.
-You can highlight key reversal times (9:50-10:10 and 14:40-15:00).
-You can show price offset markers, where was the price "n" periods ago.
That last one is useful to show the level of prices which are about to "fall off" the moving average
and be replaced with current price. So for example, if current price is significantly below the
200-days-ago price, you can gauge the difficulty for the 200 MA to start climbing again.
Multi SMA EMA WMA HMA BB (4x3 MAs Bollinger Bands) Pro MTF - RRBMulti SMA EMA WMA HMA 4x3 Moving Averages with Bollinger Bands Pro MTF by RagingRocketBull 2018
Version 1.0
This indicator shows multiple MAs of any type SMA EMA WMA HMA etc with BB and MTF support, can show MAs as dynamically moving levels.
There are 4 MA groups + 1 BB group. You can assign any type/timeframe combo to a group, for example:
- EMAs 50,100,200 x H1, H4, D1, W1 (4 TFs x 3 MAs x 1 type)
- EMAs 8,13,21,55,100,200 x M15, H1 (2 TFs x 6 MAs x 1 type)
- D1 EMAs and SMAs 12,26,50,100,200,400 (1 TF x 6 MAs x 2 types)
- H1 WMAs 7,77,231; H4 HMAs 50,100,200; D1 EMAs 144,169,233; W1 SMAs 50,100,200 (4 TFs x 3 MAs x 4 types)
- +1 extra MA type/timeframe for BB
compile time: 25-30 sec
full redraw time after parameter change in UI: 3 sec
There are several versions: Simple, MTF, Pro MTF, Advanced MTF and Ultimate MTF. This is the Pro MTF version. The Differences are listed below. All versions have BB
- Simple: you have 2 groups of MAs that can be assigned any type (5+5)
- MTF: +2 custom Timeframes for each group (2x5 MTF)
- Pro MTF: +4 custom Timeframes for each group (4x3 MTF), MA levels and show max bars back options
- Advanced MTF: +2 extra MAs/group (4x5 MTF), custom Ticker/Symbol, backreferences for type, TF and MA lengths in UI
- Ultimate MTF: +individual settings for each MA, custom Ticker/Symbols
Features:
- 4x3 = 12 MAs of any type including Hull Moving Average (HMA)
- 4x MTF groups with step line smoothing
- BB +1 extra TF/type for BB MAs
- 12 MA levels with adjustable group offsets, indents and shift
- show max bars back
- you can show/hide both groups of MAs/levels and individual MAs
Notes:
1. based on 3EmaBB, uses plot*, barssince and security functions
2. you can't set certain constants from input due to Pinescript limitations - change the code as needed, recompile and use as a private version
3. Levels = trackprice implementation
4. Show Max Bars Back = show_last implementation
5. uses timeframe textbox instead of input resolution to allow for 120 240 and other custom TFs. Also supports TFs in hours: 2H or H2
6. swma has a fixed length = 4, alma and linreg have additional offset and smoothing params
7. Smoothing is applied by default for visual aesthetics on MTF. To use exact ma mtf values (lines with stair stepping) - disable it
MTF Notes:
- uses simple timeframe textbox instead of input resolution dropdown to allow for 120, 240 and other custom TFs, also supports timeframes in H: 2H, H2
- Groups that are not assigned a Custom TF will use Current Timeframe (0).
- MTF will work for any MA type assigned to the group
- MTF works both ways: you can display a higher TF MA/BB on a lower TF or a lower TF MA/BB on a higher TF.
- MTF MA values are normally aligned at the boundary of their native timeframe. This produces stair stepping when a higher TF MA is viewed on a lower TF.
Therefore X Y Point Density/Smoothing is applied by default on MA MTF for visual aesthetics. Set both to 0 to disable and see exact ma mtf values (lines with stair stepping and original mtf alignment).
- Smoothing is disabled for BB MTF bands because fill doesn't work with smoothed MAs after duplicate values are replaced with na.
- MTF MA Value fluctuation is possible on the current bar due to default security lookahead
Smoothing:
- X,Y == 0 - X,Y smoothing disabled (stair stepping on high TFs)
- X == 0, Y > 0 - X,Y smoothing applied to all TFs
- Y == 0, X > 0 - X smoothing applied to all TFs < deltaX_max_tf, Y smoothing disabled
- X > 0, Y > 0 - Y smoothing applied to all TFs, then X smoothing applied to all TFs < deltaX_max_tf
X Smoothing with Y == 0 - shows only every deltaX-th point starting from the first bar.
X Smoothing with Y > 0 - shows only every deltaX-th point starting from the last shown Y point, essentially filling huge gaps remaining after Y Smoothing with points and preserving the curve's general shape
X Smoothing on high TFs with already scarce points produces weird curve shapes, it works best only on high density lower TFs
Y Smoothing reduces points on all TFs, removes adjacent points with prices within deltaY, while preserving the smaller curve details.
A combination of X,Y produces the most accurate smoothing. Higher delta value - larger range, more points removed.
Show Max Bars Back:
- can't set plot show_last from input -> implemented using a timenow based range check
- you can't delete/modify history once plotted, so essentially it just sets a start point for plotting (from num_bars bars back) that works only in realtime mode (not in replay)
Levels:
You can plot current MA value using plot trackprice=true or by checking Show Price Line in Style. Problem is:
- you can only change color (not the dashed line style, width), have both ma + price line (not just the line), and it's full screen wide
- you can't set plot trackprice from input => implemented using plotshape/plotchar with fixed text labels serving as levels
- there's no other way of creating a dynamic level: hline, plot, offset - nothing else works.
- you can't plot a text var - all text strings must be constants, so you can't change the style, width and text labels without recompiling.
- from input you can only adjust offset, indent and shift for each level group, and change color
- the dot below each level line is the exact MA value. If you want just the line swap plotshape with plotchar, recompile and save as your private version, adjust Y shift.
To speed up redraw times: reduce last_bars to ~2000, recompile and use as your own private version
Pinescript is a rudimentary language (should be called Painscript instead) that can basically only plot data. You can't do much else. Please see the code for tips and hints.
Certain things just can't be done or require shady workarounds and weeks of testing trying to resolve weird node.js compiler errors.
Feel free to learn from/reuse/change the code as needed and use as your own private version. See comments in code. Good Luck!
Simple_longshort_signalsLong Entry
Criteria:
1) Green candle close above 50MA
2) Green candle close above 20MA
3) MA of RSI(14) is cross upward 50
Result: displays green up arrow
Long Exit
Criteria:
1) Three red candles in a row
2) Any candle close bellow 20MA
3) MA of RSI(14) cross downward 50
Result: displays green diamond
Short Entry
1) Red candle close bellow 50MA
2) Red candle close bellow 20MA
3) MA of RSI(14) is cross downward 50
Result: displays red down arrow
Short Exit
Criteria
1) Three green candles in a row
2) Any candle close above 20MA
3) MA of RSI(14) is cross upward 50
Result: displays red diamond
Noro's Double RSI Strategy 1.0Strategy uses only 2 RSI indicators. Slow and fast.
If slow RSI > 50 and fast RSI < 50 - to open a long-position
If slow RSI < 50 and fast RSI > 50 - to open a short-position
If the long-position is open and a candle green - to close a long-position
if the short-position is open and a candle red - to close a short-position
GoldenCross by PuffyThis is a simple trading strategy that seeks the Golden Cross and Death Cross on the 4HR chart. The fast moving indicator in this strategy is the EMA 50 and the slow moving indicator is the EMA 200. When the EMA 50 crosses over the EMA 200 the strategy indicates a buy. When the EMA 50 crosses below the EMA 200 the strategy indicates a sell. This strategy averages trades in the 40 - 50 day range and as such should not be used with heavy leverage.
Exponential Moving Average (Set of 3) [Krypt] + 13/34 EMAsI took Krypt's script and essentially added on to it.
the 20/50/100/200 EMAs should be used together as support and resistance as normal.
Wait for price to break 200 EMA
Wait for 50 EMA to cross 200 EMA
Wait for pullback to 50 EMA to open position
20 and 100 EMAs are for extra information about moving support and resistance
and 13/34 EMAs should be used in conjunction
When 13 EMA crosses 34 EMA, open position
When price gets far from 13/34, close position (because price will attempt to revert back to mean)
This is better for scalping and swing trades than the 20/50/100/200 setup.
Twitter: @AzorAhai06
MTF EMAExponential Moving Average indicator that can be configured to display different timeframe EMA's.
Timeframe is set in minutes. Max timeframe currently is the daily (1440 minutes). Any value higher than 1440 will result in no plot.
Examples:
Daily 50 EMA plotted on 4H chart
4H 50 EMA and Daily 50 EMA plotted on 1H chart
Can also work in reverse if needed.
Example, Daily 50 EMA plotted on Weekly Chart
Price vs VolImproved version of OBV/price (this one actually works)
Both lines show where price is going relative to volume metrics (one line uses OBV, the other uses accumulation/distribution).
Green and above 50 means price is rising faster then buying volume
Red and below 50 means price is falling faster then selling volume
you can add smoothing in the controls and color will go according to raw (even if smoothing goes above/below 50)
under the hood: changes price, OBV and AD to RSI for comparability, calculates the difference between price and the others, then an RSI on the result to create an <50< style indicator.
this script replaces the previouse from:
Market Regime & Bias Assistant [Prototype v1.1]
Market Regime & Bias Assistant
### **Overview**
The **Market Regime & Bias Assistant** is an all-in-one trend filtration and trading system designed to keep traders on the right side of the market. Instead of relying on a single moving average, this indicator combines **ADX (Trend Strength)**, **Multi-Timeframe EMAs**, **RSI**, and **Volume Spread Analysis (VSA)** concepts to generate a quantitative "Confidence Score" for the current market bias.
It automatically adapts its settings based on your timeframe (Intraday vs. Swing) and provides clear visual cues via background shading, candle coloring, and a data panel.
---
### **Key Features**
* **Auto-Adaptive Modes:** Automatically switches between "Intraday" and "Swing" settings based on your timeframe.
* *Intraday:* Uses faster EMAs (Aggressive 9/30 or Conservative 20/50) and VWAP.
* *Swing:* Uses standard 20/50 EMAs with 200/800 long-term context moving averages.
* **Market Regime Detection:** Identifies if the market is in a **Trend (Bull/Bear)** or a **Range (Neutral)** using a combination of ADX thresholds and EMA alignment.
* **Confidence Scoring (0-100):** A proprietary algorithm that scores the quality of the trend based on RSI alignment, Volume confirmation, and Long-term EMA context.
* **Vector Volume Candles:** Color-coded candles to highlight institutional activity (High Volume) vs. Climactic Volume (Exhaustion).
* **Pullback Signals:** "L" and "S" markers indicating high-probability entries after a pullback into the EMA value zone.
* **Data Dashboard:** A bottom-right panel displaying the current Mode, Regime, Bias, and quantitative Confidence Score.
---
### **How to Read the Visuals**
#### **1. Background Colors (The Regime)**
* **Green Background:** Confirmed **Bullish Trend**. Only look for Longs.
* **Red Background:** Confirmed **Bearish Trend**. Only look for Shorts.
* **Gray Background:** **Neutral / Range**. The market is chopping or consolidating. Stand aside or trade strictly mean-reversion.
#### **2. Candle Colors (Vector Volume)**
* **Green/Red Borders:** Normal volume.
* **Blue / Fuchsia:** **High Volume (1.2x Average)**. Indicates institutional interest or a breakout.
* **Lime / Bright Red:** **Climactic Volume (1.8x Average)**. Indicates potential exhaustion or a stopping volume event.
#### **3. The EMAs**
* **Fast/Slow Lines:** Show the immediate trend direction.
* **Gray/White Lines:** The 200 and 800 EMAs. These act as major support/resistance levels and define the "Big Picture" bias.
* **Lime Line (Intraday Only):** The VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price).
---
### **How to Use This Indicator**
**Step 1: Check the Regime**
Look at the background color and the Dashboard panel. Is the Trend Strength "Strong" or "Very Strong"?
* *Rule:* Do not take trend-following trades if the Regime is "Range/Neutral."
**Step 2: Check the Confidence**
The dashboard calculates a score from 0 to 100.
* **High Confidence (>67):** All systems go. Alignment of RSI, Volume, and Trend.
* **Medium Confidence (34-66):** Caution warranted. Usually implies divergence in RSI or low volume.
* **Low Confidence (<34):** The trend is weak or failing.
**Step 3: Wait for the Setup (The Arrows)**
The indicator looks for pullbacks into the "Value Zone" (the space between the Fast and Slow EMA).
* **Triangle Up (L):** Appears when price pulls back into the zone during a Bull trend, then bounces out with volume confirmation.
* **Triangle Down (S):** Appears when price rallies into the zone during a Bear trend, then rejects lower.
---
### **Settings & Customization**
* **Mode:** Default is "Auto," but you can force "Intraday" or "Swing" manually.
* **Intraday Style:** Choose between "Aggressive" (9 EMA / 30 EMA) for scalping or "Conservative" (20 EMA / 50 EMA) for day trading.
* **ADX Threshold:** Adjusts how strict the trend filter is (Default: 20).
* **Visual Toggles:** Turn off/on the Panel, Background shading, or Vector candles to clean up your chart.
### **Alerts**
This script comes with built-in alert conditions for:
1. **Bullish Regime Start**
2. **Bearish Regime Start**
3. **High-Confidence Setup Detected**
Trend Trader//@version=6
indicator("Trend Trader", shorttitle="Trend Trader", overlay=true)
// User-defined input for moving averages
shortMA = input.int(10, minval=1, title="Short MA Period")
longMA = input.int(100, minval=1, title="Long MA Period")
// User-defined input for the instrument selection
instrument = input.string("US30", title="Select Instrument", options= )
// Set target values based on selected instrument
target_1 = instrument == "US30" ? 50 :
instrument == "NDX100" ? 25 :
instrument == "GER40" ? 25 :
instrument == "GOLD" ? 5 : 5 // default value
target_2 = instrument == "US30" ? 100 :
instrument == "NDX100" ? 50 :
instrument == "GER40" ? 50 :
instrument == "GOLD" ? 10 : 10 // default value
// User-defined input for the start and end times with default values
startTimeInput = input.int(12, title="Start Time for Session (UTC, in hours)", minval=0, maxval=23)
endTimeInput = input.int(17, title="End Time Session (UTC, in hours)", minval=0, maxval=23)
// Convert the input hours to minutes from midnight
startTime = startTimeInput * 60
endTime = endTimeInput * 60
// Function to convert the current exchange time to UTC time in minutes
toUTCTime(exchangeTime) =>
exchangeTimeInMinutes = exchangeTime / 60000
// Adjust for UTC time
utcTime = exchangeTimeInMinutes % 1440
utcTime
// Get the current time in UTC in minutes from midnight
utcTime = toUTCTime(time)
// Check if the current UTC time is within the allowed timeframe
isAllowedTime = (utcTime >= startTime and utcTime < endTime)
// Calculating moving averages
shortMAValue = ta.sma(close, shortMA)
longMAValue = ta.sma(close, longMA)
// Plotting the MAs
plot(shortMAValue, title="Short MA", color=color.blue)
plot(longMAValue, title="Long MA", color=color.red)
// MACD calculation for 15-minute chart
= request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "15", ta.macd(close, 12, 26, 9))
macdColor = macdLine > signalLine ? color.new(color.green, 70) : color.new(color.red, 70)
// Apply MACD color only during the allowed time range
bgcolor(isAllowedTime ? macdColor : na)
// Flags to track if a buy or sell signal has been triggered
var bool buyOnce = false
var bool sellOnce = false
// Tracking buy and sell entry prices
var float buyEntryPrice_1 = na
var float buyEntryPrice_2 = na
var float sellEntryPrice_1 = na
var float sellEntryPrice_2 = na
if not isAllowedTime
buyOnce :=false
sellOnce :=false
// Logic for Buy and Sell signals
buySignal = ta.crossover(shortMAValue, longMAValue) and isAllowedTime and macdLine > signalLine and not buyOnce
sellSignal = ta.crossunder(shortMAValue, longMAValue) and isAllowedTime and macdLine <= signalLine and not sellOnce
// Update last buy and sell signal values
if (buySignal)
buyEntryPrice_1 := close
buyEntryPrice_2 := close
buyOnce := true
if (sellSignal)
sellEntryPrice_1 := close
sellEntryPrice_2 := close
sellOnce := true
// Apply background color for entry candles
barcolor(buySignal or sellSignal ? color.yellow : na)
/// Creating buy and sell labels
if (buySignal)
label.new(bar_index, low, text="BUY", style=label.style_label_up, color=color.green, textcolor=color.white, yloc=yloc.belowbar)
if (sellSignal)
label.new(bar_index, high, text="SELL", style=label.style_label_down, color=color.red, textcolor=color.white, yloc=yloc.abovebar)
// Creating labels for 100-point movement
if (not na(buyEntryPrice_1) and close >= buyEntryPrice_1 + target_1)
label.new(bar_index, high, text=str.tostring(target_1), style=label.style_label_down, color=color.green, textcolor=color.white, yloc=yloc.abovebar)
buyEntryPrice_1 := na // Reset after label is created
if (not na(buyEntryPrice_2) and close >= buyEntryPrice_2 + target_2)
label.new(bar_index, high, text=str.tostring(target_2), style=label.style_label_down, color=color.green, textcolor=color.white, yloc=yloc.abovebar)
buyEntryPrice_2 := na // Reset after label is created
if (not na(sellEntryPrice_1) and close <= sellEntryPrice_1 - target_1)
label.new(bar_index, low, text=str.tostring(target_1), style=label.style_label_up, color=color.red, textcolor=color.white, yloc=yloc.belowbar)
sellEntryPrice_1 := na // Reset after label is created
if (not na(sellEntryPrice_2) and close <= sellEntryPrice_2 - target_2)
label.new(bar_index, low, text=str.tostring(target_2), style=label.style_label_up, color=color.red, textcolor=color.white, yloc=yloc.belowbar)
sellEntryPrice_2 := na // Reset after label is created
Nifty Scalping System by Rakesh Sharma🎯 What This Indicator Does:
Core Features:
✅ Fast Entry/Exit Signals - Quick BUY/SELL labels on chart
✅ 3 Signal Modes:
Aggressive - More signals, faster entries
Moderate - Balanced (Recommended)
Conservative - Fewer but high-quality signals
✅ Automatic Target & Stop Loss - Plotted on chart as soon as you enter
✅ Time Filter - Only trades during your specified hours (9:20 AM - 3:15 PM default)
✅ Trade Statistics - Win rate, W/L ratio tracked automatically
✅ Live Dashboard - Shows trend, RSI, VWAP position, current trade status
Indicators Used:
📊 3 EMAs (9, 21, 50) - Trend direction
📈 Supertrend - Primary trend filter
💪 RSI - Momentum & overbought/oversold
💜 VWAP - Intraday support/resistance
📉 ATR - Dynamic stop loss & targets
📊 Volume - Confirmation of moves
⚙️ Best Settings for Nifty/Bank Nifty:
For 5-Minute Charts (Most Popular):
Signal Mode: Moderate
Target R:R: 1.5 (1:1.5 risk-reward)
Time Filter: 9:20 AM to 3:15 PM
For 3-Minute Charts (More Scalps):
Signal Mode: Aggressive
Target R:R: 1.0 (quick exits)
Time Filter: 9:20 AM to 3:15 PM
For 15-Minute Charts (Swing Scalping):
Signal Mode: Conservative
Target R:R: 2.0 (bigger targets)
Time Filter: 9:30 AM to 3:00 PM
💡 How to Use:
Step 1: Setup
Add indicator to 5-min Nifty or Bank Nifty chart
Choose your Signal Mode (start with Moderate)
Set Risk:Reward (1.5 is balanced)
Enable Time Filter (avoid first 10 mins)
Step 2: Trading
BUY Signal appears = Go LONG
Green label shows entry price
Green line = Target
Red line = Stop Loss
SELL Signal appears = Go SHORT
Red label shows entry price
Green line = Target
Red line = Stop Loss
Exit automatically when Target or SL is hit
Step 3: Risk Management
Automatic SL based on ATR (volatility)
Adjustable R:R ratio
Never trade outside session hours
🎯 Trading Rules (Important!):
✅ Take the Trade When:
Signal appears during trading session
Dashboard shows strong trend
Volume spike present
Price above/below VWAP (for buy/sell)
❌ Avoid Trading When:
First 10 minutes (9:15-9:25 AM)
Last 15 minutes (3:15-3:30 PM)
Dashboard shows "SIDEWAYS"
Major news events
📊 Dashboard Explained:
FieldWhat It MeansModeYour current signal sensitivityTrendOverall market directionRSIOverbought/Oversold/NeutralPrice vs VWAPAbove = Bullish, Below = BearishCurrent TradeShows if you're in a positionSessionTrading time active or notWin RateYour success %
🚀 Pro Tips for Nifty/Bank Nifty:
Best Timeframe: 5-minute chart
Best Time: 9:30 AM - 2:30 PM (avoid opening/closing rushes)
Risk per Trade: 1-2% of capital max
Follow the Trend: Take only BUY in uptrend, SELL in downtrend
Use Alerts: Set alerts so you don't miss signals
Start Small: Paper trade first with 1 lot
⚡ Quick Start Guide:
For Bank Nifty (5-min chart):
1. Signal Mode: Moderate
2. Target R:R: 1.5
3. Trading Hours: 9:20 AM - 3:15 PM
4. Watch for 3-5 signals per day
5. Average 30-50 points per trade
For Nifty 50 (5-min chart):
1. Signal Mode: Moderate
2. Target R:R: 1.5
3. Trading Hours: 9:20 AM - 3:15 PM
4. Watch for 3-5 signals per day
5. Average 15-30 points per trade
📈 Expected Performance:
Conservative Mode: 2-4 trades/day, 65-70% win rate
Moderate Mode: 4-8 trades/day, 55-65% win rate
Aggressive Mode: 8-15 trades/day, 45-55% win rate
This is a complete scalping system, Rakesh! All you need to do is:
Add to chart
Wait for signals
Follow the targets/stop losses
Track your stats
Ready to test it? Let me know if you want any adjustments! 🎯💰Claude can make mistakes. Please double-check responses.
Volume Pressure OscillatorThe Volume Pressure Oscillator (VPO) is a momentum-based indicator that measures the directional pressure of cumulative volume delta (CVD) combined with price efficiency. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with readings above 50 indicating net buying pressure and readings below 50 indicating net selling pressure.
The indicator is designed to identify the strength and sustainability of volume-driven trends while remaining responsive during consolidation periods.
How the Indicator Works
The VPO analyzes volume flow by examining price action at lower timeframes to build a Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD). For each chart bar, the indicator looks at intrabar price movements to classify volume as either buying volume or selling volume. These classifications are accumulated into a running total that tracks net directional volume.
The indicator then measures the momentum of this CVD over both short-term and longer-term periods, providing responsiveness to recent changes while maintaining awareness of the broader trend. These momentum readings are normalized using percentile ranking, which creates a stable 0-100 scale that works consistently across different instruments and market conditions.
A key feature is the extreme zone persistence mechanism. When the indicator enters extreme zones (above 80 or below 20), it maintains elevated readings as long as volume pressure continues in the same direction. This allows the VPO to stay in extreme zones during strong trends rather than quickly reverting to neutral, making it useful for identifying sustained volume pressure rather than just temporary spikes.
What Makes This Indicator Different
While many indicators measure volume or volume delta, the VPO specifically measures how aggressively CVD is currently changing and whether that pressure is being sustained. It's the difference between knowing "more volume has accumulated on the buy side" versus "buying pressure is intensifying right now and shows signs of continuation."
1. Focus on CVD Momentum, Not CVD Levels
Most CVD indicators display the cumulative volume delta as a line that trends up or down indefinitely. The VPO is fundamentally different - it measures the slope of CVD rather than the absolute level. This transforms CVD from an unbounded cumulative metric into a bounded 0-100 oscillator that shows the intensity and direction of current volume pressure, not just the historical accumulation.
2. Designed to Stay in Extremes During Trends
Unlike traditional oscillators that treat extreme readings (above 80 or below 20) as overbought/oversold reversal signals, the VPO is engineered to oscillate within extreme zones during strong trends. When sustained buying or selling pressure exists, the indicator remains elevated (e.g., 80-95 or 5-20) rather than quickly reverting to neutral. This makes it useful for trend continuation identification rather than exclusively for reversal trading.
3. Percentile-Based Normalization
The VPO uses percentile ranking over a lookback window, which provides consistent behavior across different instruments, timeframes, and volatility regimes without constant recalibration.
4. Dual-Timeframe Momentum Synthesis
The indicator simultaneously considers short-term CVD momentum (responsive to recent changes) and longer-term CVD momentum (tracking trend direction), weighted and combined with a slow-moving trend bias. This multi-timeframe approach helps it stay responsive in ranging markets while maintaining context during trends.
How to Use the Indicator
Understanding the Zones:
80-100 (Strong Buying Pressure): CVD momentum is strongly positive. In trending markets, the indicator oscillates within this zone rather than immediately reverting to neutral. This suggests sustained accumulation and trend continuation probability.
60-80 (Moderate Buying): Positive volume pressure but not extreme. Suitable for identifying pullback entry opportunities within uptrends.
40-60 (Neutral Zone): Volume pressure is balanced or unclear. No strong directional edge from volume. Often seen during consolidation or trend transitions.
20-40 (Moderate Selling): Negative volume pressure developing. May indicate distribution or downtrend continuation setups.
0-20 (Strong Selling Pressure): CVD momentum is strongly negative. During downtrends, sustained readings in this zone suggest continued distribution and downside follow-through probability.
Practical Applications:
Trend Confirmation: When price makes new highs/lows, check if VPO confirms with similarly elevated readings. Divergences (price making new highs while VPO fails to reach prior highs) may indicate weakening momentum.
Range Trading: During consolidation, the VPO typically oscillates between 30-70. Readings toward the low end of the range (30-40) may present accumulation opportunities, while readings at the high end (60-70) may indicate distribution zones.
Extreme Persistence: If VPO reaches 90+ or drops below 10, this indicates exceptional volume pressure. Rather than fading these extremes immediately, monitor whether the indicator stays elevated. Sustained extreme readings suggest strong trend continuation potential.
Context with Price Action: The VPO is most effective when combined with price action or other orderflow indicators. Use the indicator to gauge whether volume is confirming or contradicting.
What the Indicator Does NOT Do:
It does not provide specific entry or exit signals
It does not predict future price direction
It does not guarantee profitable trades
It should not be used as a standalone trading system
Settings Explanation
Momentum Period (Default: 14)
This parameter controls the lookback period for CVD rate-of-change calculations.
Lower values (5-10): Make the indicator more responsive to recent volume changes. Useful for shorter-term trading and more active oscillation. May produce more whipsaws in choppy markets.
Default value (14): Provides balanced responsiveness while filtering out most noise. Suitable for swing trading and daily timeframe analysis.
Higher values (20-50): Create smoother readings and focus on longer-term volume trends. Better for position trading and reducing false signals, but with slower reaction to genuine changes in volume pressure.
Important Notes:
This indicator requires intrabar data to function properly. On some instruments or timeframes where lower timeframe data is not available, the indicator may not display.
The indicator uses request.security_lower_tf() which has a limit of intrabars. On higher timeframes, this provides extensive history, but on very low timeframes (<1-minute charts), the indicator may only cover limited historical bars.
Volume data quality varies by exchange and instrument. The indicator's effectiveness depends on accurate volume reporting from the data feed.
The Oracle: Dip & Top Adaptive Sniper [Hakan Yorganci]█ OVERVIEW
The Oracle: Dip & Top Adaptive Sniper is a precision-focused trend trading strategy designed to solve the biggest problem in swing trading: Timing.
Most trend-following strategies chase price ("FOMO"), buying when the asset is already overextended. The Oracle takes a different approach. It adopts a "Sniper" mentality: it identifies a strong macro trend but patiently waits for a Mean Reversion (pullback) to execute an entry at a discounted price.
By combining the structural strength of Moving Averages (SMA 50/200) with the momentum precision of RSI and the volatility filtering of ADX, this script filters out noise and targets high-probability setups.
█ HOW IT WORKS
This strategy operates on a strictly algorithmic protocol known as "The Yorganci Protocol," which involves three distinct phases: Filter, Target, and Execute.
1. The Macro Filter (Trend Identification)
* SMA 200 Rule: By default, the strategy only scans for buy signals when the price is trading above the 200-period Simple Moving Average. This ensures we are always trading in the direction of the long-term bull market.
* Adaptive Switch: A new feature allows users to toggle the Only Buy Above SMA 200? filter OFF. This enables the strategy to hunt for oversold bounces (dead cat bounces) even during bearish or neutral market structures.
2. The Volatility Filter (ADX Integration)
* Sideways Protection: One of the main weaknesses of moving average strategies is "whipsaw" losses during choppy, ranging markets.
* Solution: The Oracle utilizes the ADX (Average Directional Index). It will BLOCK any trade entry if the ADX is below the threshold (Default: 20). This ensures capital is only deployed when a genuine trend is present.
3. The Sniper Entry (Buying the Dip)
* Instead of buying on breakout strength (e.g., RSI > 60), The Oracle waits for the RSI Moving Average to dip into the "Value Zone" (Default: 45) and cross back up. This technique allows for tighter stops and higher Risk/Reward ratios compared to traditional breakout systems.
█ EXIT STRATEGY
The Oracle employs a dynamic dual-exit mechanism to maximize gains and protect capital:
* Take Profit (The Peak): The strategy monitors RSI heat. When the RSI Moving Average breaches the Overbought Threshold (Default: 75), it signals a "Take Profit", securing gains near the local top before a potential reversal.
* Stop Loss (Trend Invalidated): If the market structure fails and the price closes below the 50-period SMA, the position is immediately closed to prevent deep drawdowns.
█ SETTINGS & CONFIGURATION
* Moving Averages: Fully customizable lengths for Support (SMA 50) and Trend (SMA 200).
* Trend Filter: Checkbox to enable/disable the "Bull Market Only" rule.
* RSI Thresholds:
* Sniper Buy Level: Adjustable (Default: 45). Lower values = Deeper dips, fewer trades.
* Peak Sell Level: Adjustable (Default: 75). Higher values = Longer holds, potentially higher profit.
* ADX Filter: Checkbox to enable/disable volatility filtering.
█ BEST PRACTICES
* Timeframe: Designed primarily for 4H (4-Hour) charts for swing trading. It can also be used on 1H for more frequent signals.
* Assets: Highly effective on trending assets such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and high-volume Altcoins.
* Risk Warning: This strategy is designed for "Long Only" spot or leverage trading. Always use proper risk management.
█ CREDITS
* Original Concept: Inspired by the foundational work of Murat Besiroglu (@muratkbesiroglu).
* Algorithm Development & Enhancements: Developed by Hakan Yorganci (@hknyrgnc).
* Modifications include: Integration of ADX filters, Mean Reversion entry logic (RSI Dip), and Dynamic Peak Profit taking.
Adaptive Trend Navigator [ATH Filter & Risk Engine]Description:
This strategy implements a systematic Trend Following approach designed to capture major moves while actively protecting capital during severe bear markets. It combines a classic Moving Average "Fan" logic with two advanced risk management layers: a 4-Stage Dynamic Stop Loss and a macro-economic "Circuit Breaker" filter.
Core Concepts:
1. Trend Identification (Entry Logic) The script uses a cascade of Simple Moving Averages (SMA 25, 50, 100, 200) to identify the maturity of a trend.
Entries are triggered by specific crossovers (e.g., SMA 25 crossing SMA 50) or by breaking above the previous trade's high ("High-Water Mark" Re-Entry).
2. The "Circuit Breaker" (Crash Protection) To prevent trading during historical market collapses (like 2000 or 2008), the strategy monitors the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) as a global benchmark:
Normal Regime: If the market is within 20% of its All-Time High, the strategy operates normally.
Crisis Regime: If the QQQ falls more than 20% from its ATH, the "Circuit Breaker" activates (Visualized by a Red Background).
Recovery Rule: In a Crisis Regime, new long positions are blocked unless the QQQ reclaims its SMA 200. This filters out "bull traps" in secular bear markets.
3. 4-Stage Risk Engine (Exit Logic) Once in a trade, the risk management adapts to the position's performance:
Stage 1: Fixed initial Stop Loss (default 10%) for breathing room.
Stage 2: Moves to Break-Even area once the price rises 12%.
Stage 3: Tightens to a trailing stop (8%) after 25% profit.
Stage 4: Maximizes gains with a tight trailing stop (5%) during parabolic moves (>40% profit).
Visual Guide:
SMAs: 25/50/100/200 period lines for trend visualization.
Red Background: Indicates the "Crisis Regime" where trading is halted due to broad market weakness.
Blue Background: Indicates a "Recovery Phase" (Crisis is active, but market is above SMA 200).
Red Line: Shows the dynamic Stop Loss level for active positions.
Settings: All parameters (SMA lengths, Drawdown threshold, Risk Stages) are fully customizable. The QQQ benchmark ticker can also be changed to SPY or other indices depending on the asset class traded.
