gb50k

PRO
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit Joined 2 years ago
Markets Allocation
35 % stocks 8 % indices 56 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 25% | 16 SPY 19% | 12 VXX 9% | 6 TLT 4% | 3
gb50k gb50k PRO 2*DXY*1000+ZN1!*1000+2*US30*5+XAUUSD*100, W, Short , 21 days ago
2*DXY*1000+ZN1!*1000+2*US30*5+XAUUSD*100: short everything
short everything

the idea: the main asset classes are negatively correlated (stocks, bonds, dollar, gold) so shorting its all should be a dynamically hedged position. Shorting : Dollar DXY x 2 Dow: US30 x 2 Gold: GC Bonds: ZN target: bottom of wedge, then yellow circle

gb50k gb50k PRO SPY, D, 2 months ago
SPY: RSI comparison across SPY GLD USO TLT
112 1 9
SPY, D
RSI comparison across SPY GLD USO TLT

Capital flows can be inferred from a comparison of SPY GLD USO TLT in terms of relative RSI's

gb50k gb50k PRO VIX/SPY, 60, Long , 4 months ago
VIX/SPY: SPY to rally based on VIX/SPY
71 0 5
VIX/SPY, 60 Long
SPY to rally based on VIX/SPY

The ratio VIX/SPY goes down when SPX 0.05% goes up. This makes it easier to see the ratios lower limit (and SPX's upper limit) Today VIX/SPY broke a support. SPX has not yet mimicked this move If VIX/SPY returns to baseline (as it has before) it implies a move of SPX500 to ~2183.

gb50k gb50k PRO SPX*50-DOWI*5, M, a year ago
SPX*50-DOWI*5: SPX 1222 for Election day 2016
551 2 17
SPX*50-DOWI*5, M
SPX 1222 for Election day 2016

A chart of the SPX-DOWI premium organizes price into an orderly channel. One salient target for the current bear market is SPX 1222 in November 2016.

gb50k gb50k PRO (FB+AMZN+NFLX+GOOGL)/QQQ, W, a year ago
(FB+AMZN+NFLX+GOOGL)/QQQ: Fall of FANG: No WICK in sight
Fall of FANG: No WICK in sight

Expected to continue until we see a lower wick: FANG stocks (FB, AAPL, AMZN, NFLX, GOOG) typically outperform the NASDAQ index. Not this week. Buying opportunity?

gb50k gb50k PRO SPX500, 60, Long , a year ago
SPX500: Illusion of Violation: Long SPY
424 4 10
SPX500, 60 Long
Illusion of Violation: Long SPY

It is tempting to short SPY (or SPX500, ES, etc.) as it violated support at Fridays close. (top) Here is why I am long: Plotting SPX500 relative to the DOW or to the dollar (DXY) suggests that it is most likely to bounce up. Relative to DOW, SPX500 is on a support that has held 4 times over 4 previous months (middle). Relative to DXY, SPX500 sits on a support ...

gb50k gb50k PRO SPX500/US30, 60, a year ago
SPX500/US30: Abandon ship - SPX loses big business to the Dow index
224 0 7
SPX500/US30, 60
Abandon ship - SPX loses big business to the Dow index

While the market marches higher (bottom) the ratio SPX500/US30 is in sharp decline. This indicates LARGE out performance of the (safer) DOW index. Open question: Why would investors abandon SPY for the DOW as futures seem to be rising? Good luck.

gb50k gb50k PRO DSRE/DSEH, D, a year ago
DSRE/DSEH: SPY Bear /crash indicator DSRE/DSEH
63 0 5
DSRE/DSEH, D
SPY Bear /crash indicator DSRE/DSEH

The rate of change in the ratio between the Dow Real Estate index and the Real Estate and Housing Dev index provides a reliable indicator for impending losses in SPY. Setting a cut off of approximately 3.5 in the ROC (this can be tweaked) is useful.

gb50k gb50k PRO SPY, D, Short , a year ago
SPY: Short SVXY durring high VIX periods
203 0 7
SPY, D Short
Short SVXY durring high VIX periods

SVXY pays a price when VIX is high (>16).... even when SPY is increasing (see arrows). This is due to rollover but not to be confused with VXX decay due to contango.

gb50k gb50k PRO SPY, 2W, a year ago
SPY: Buy Puts Now: The Sequal
78 0 6
SPY, 2W
Buy Puts Now: The Sequal

Applying Fib levels to previous SPY crash levels is consistent with a level of 50 in Feb 2019.

gb50k gb50k PRO SPY/VIX, 2W, a year ago
SPY/VIX: Buy Puts Now
284 0 9
SPY/VIX, 2W
Buy Puts Now

Historic trend lines for SPY, VIX and the ratio SPY/VIX suggest SPY 50 (assuming VIX 100) in the future. Timing is estimated with fibs anchored on past crashes. A simple hedge is to buy Puts on SPY at the lowest strike (70) with a distant expiration date (Dec, 2018 is the farthest right now but these could be rolled, say, once a year)

gb50k gb50k PRO SPX500, D, a year ago
SPX500: Houston? We may have a problem
279 0 6
SPX500, D
Houston? We may have a problem

The indicator shows $ change in NAS100 futures vs. US30 futures. The previouse trend of increasing change to NAS100 vs US30 has been broken. As US30 may be considered a safe heaven relative to the NAS100 index, the trends breakdown signifies a tipping point in terms of risk.

gb50k gb50k PRO SPX, W, a year ago
SPX: SPY missing wick: Rally a monthly wick
332 4 9
SPX, W
SPY missing wick: Rally a monthly wick

A 'bottom wick' can be formed on the monthly chart by having an all green/up week. When combined with the red candle at the monthly level - Creates the dynamic of a 'bottom' where the bears push price down to a limit and the bulls succeed in fighting back and bring price back up - and the bottom is formed. Looking at the weekly chart for SPX or SPY their are ...

gb50k gb50k PRO SPX500, W, a year ago
SPX500: SPY missing wick: more pain to come
134 1 8
SPX500, W
SPY missing wick: more pain to come

Bottom candles tend to have a lower wick. This represents the bears bringing down the price and the bulls overcoming the bears and bringing price back up. Hence the 'bottom' Last week SPY decline lacks a wick. Suggests more Down to come.

gb50k gb50k PRO SPX500, 120, a year ago
SPX500: SPY indicator: The Spy-Dow premium
167 0 4
SPX500, 120
SPY indicator: The Spy-Dow premium

Motivation: Historical data shows how the index ratio SPY/DIA gives insight into different market phases since the Dow is more attractive when risk is high. (ref: www.crossingwallstreet.com/archives/2013/09/the-dow-to-sp-500-ratio-2.html ) Daily and intraday movements can be both described and predicted using trendlines on the SPX500 premium over the US30 in ...

gb50k gb50k PRO 2*XAUUSD*100-ZBH2016*1000, 45, a year ago
2*XAUUSD*100-ZBH2016*1000: Long Gold, Short TLT
Long Gold, Short TLT

value seems to be transferring from bonds to gold. a long gold, short bonds position produces an attractive equity curve. The charts shows dollar value for a combined position of 3 futures: 2 long GC (gold) 1 short ZB (treasuries 30yr)

gb50k gb50k PRO 4*US30*5-NAS100*20-SPX500*50, 120, a year ago
4*US30*5-NAS100*20-SPX500*50: to rally or not to rally - 3 index answer
to rally or not to rally - 3 index answer

combining DOW, SPY and NAS futures can cut down on the noise. still an open question: are we rallying or not. this chart might give clarity before "one index" charts.

gb50k gb50k PRO XAUUSD*100-USOIL*1000, 30, a year ago
XAUUSD*100-USOIL*1000: Long gold short oil
400 0 7
XAUUSD*100-USOIL*1000, 30
Long gold short oil

The gold-oil gap appears to be passing through a tipping point. A surge in the long-gold short-oil position could be due to either a gold rally, an oil dump, or both. Chart shows position using one gold future and one oil future but there exists a parallel position using ETF's.

123 Show More Ideas
Last visit
95
48
818
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
4
0
18
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
2
0
10
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
17
18
127
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visitUnited States, Michigan
14
3
68
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
7
0
35
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
323
183
2254
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
122
25
742
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
83
8
417
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
6
1
33
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
50
14
376
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
12
4
62
Message Follow Following Unfollow
OnlineNORWAY
128
22
1267
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
183
42
1937
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visitCanada
33
4
158
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
10
12
75
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
2
0
10
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
4
12
61
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
2
0
10
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visitKush Palace, Netherlands
38
30
262
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visitUnited States, CT
8766
1079
42956
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visitUSA
4578
9677
21147
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visitunited states
987
1475
4393
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
388
0
1735
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visitUSA
5381
136
24289
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visitJordan
16247
793
69202
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
33
34
202
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
122
25
742
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visitWonderland
791
331
6778
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visitMY & SG
1123
784
9915
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
115
113
816
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visitUnited Kingdom
99
25
480
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
578
988
6683
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visitMoney
33
31
142
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
123
14
537
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visitUSA
109
69
946
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
14
7
133
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visitDominican Republic
165
103
1033
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
45
64
499
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
195
31
1460
Message Follow Following Unfollow
User has no following symbols
Market
Interval
Browse
Time
Type
Browse
Time
Ideas Scripts Chart
United States
United Kingdom
India
España
Italia
Brasil
Россия
Türkiye
日本
한국
Home Stock Screener Economic Calendar How It Works Chart Features House Rules Moderators For the WEB Widgets Stock Charting Library Priority Support Feature Request Blog & News FAQ Help & Wiki Twitter
Private Messages Chat Ideas Published Followers Following Priority Support Public Profile Profile Settings Account and Billing Sign Out