gb50k

PRO
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Last visit Joined 2 years ago
Markets Allocation
36 % stocks 8 % indices 56 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 26% | 16 SPY 19% | 12 VXX 9% | 6 TLT 4% | 3
gb50k gb50k PRO SPY, D, a month ago
SPY: RSI comparison across SPY GLD USO TLT
104 1 8
SPY, D
RSI comparison across SPY GLD USO TLT
Capital flows can be inferred from a comparison of SPY GLD USO TLT in terms of relative RSI's
gb50k gb50k PRO VIX/SPY, 60, Long , 3 months ago
VIX/SPY: SPY to rally based on VIX/SPY
70 0 5
VIX/SPY, 60 Long
SPY to rally based on VIX/SPY
The ratio VIX/SPY goes down when SPX 0.05% goes up. This makes it easier to see the ratios lower limit (and SPX's upper limit) Today VIX/SPY broke a support. SPX has not yet mimicked this move If VIX/SPY returns to baseline (as it has before) it implies a move of SPX500 to ~2183.
gb50k gb50k PRO SPX*50-DOWI*5, M, 10 months ago
SPX*50-DOWI*5: SPX 1222 for Election day 2016
545 2 17
SPX*50-DOWI*5, M
SPX 1222 for Election day 2016
A chart of the SPX-DOWI premium organizes price into an orderly channel. One salient target for the current bear market is SPX 1222 in November 2016.
gb50k gb50k PRO (FB+AMZN+NFLX+GOOGL)/QQQ, W, a year ago
(FB+AMZN+NFLX+GOOGL)/QQQ: Fall of FANG: No WICK in sight
Fall of FANG: No WICK in sight
Expected to continue until we see a lower wick: FANG stocks (FB, AAPL, AMZN, NFLX, GOOG) typically outperform the NASDAQ index. Not this week. Buying opportunity?
gb50k gb50k PRO SPX500, 60, Long , a year ago
SPX500: Illusion of Violation: Long SPY
422 4 10
SPX500, 60 Long
Illusion of Violation: Long SPY
It is tempting to short SPY (or SPX500, ES, etc.) as it violated support at Fridays close. (top) Here is why I am long: Plotting SPX500 relative to the DOW or to the dollar (DXY) suggests that it is most likely to bounce up. Relative to DOW, SPX500 is on a support that has held 4 times over 4 previous months ...
gb50k gb50k PRO SPX500/US30, 60, a year ago
SPX500/US30: Abandon ship - SPX loses big business to the Dow index
224 0 7
SPX500/US30, 60
Abandon ship - SPX loses big business to the Dow index
While the market marches higher (bottom) the ratio SPX500/US30 is in sharp decline. This indicates LARGE out performance of the (safer) DOW index. Open question: Why would investors abandon SPY for the DOW as futures seem to be rising? Good luck.
gb50k gb50k PRO DSRE/DSEH, D, a year ago
DSRE/DSEH: SPY Bear /crash indicator DSRE/DSEH
62 0 5
DSRE/DSEH, D
SPY Bear /crash indicator DSRE/DSEH
The rate of change in the ratio between the Dow Real Estate index and the Real Estate and Housing Dev index provides a reliable indicator for impending losses in SPY. Setting a cut off of approximately 3.5 in the ROC (this can be tweaked) is useful.
gb50k gb50k PRO SPY, D, Short , a year ago
SPY: Short SVXY durring high VIX periods
203 0 7
SPY, D Short
Short SVXY durring high VIX periods
SVXY pays a price when VIX is high (>16).... even when SPY is increasing (see arrows). This is due to rollover but not to be confused with VXX decay due to contango.
gb50k gb50k PRO SPY, 2W, a year ago
SPY: Buy Puts Now: The Sequal
78 0 6
SPY, 2W
Buy Puts Now: The Sequal
Applying Fib levels to previous SPY crash levels is consistent with a level of 50 in Feb 2019.
gb50k gb50k PRO SPY/VIX, 2W, a year ago
SPY/VIX: Buy Puts Now
284 0 9
SPY/VIX, 2W
Buy Puts Now
Historic trend lines for SPY, VIX and the ratio SPY/VIX suggest SPY 50 (assuming VIX 100) in the future. Timing is estimated with fibs anchored on past crashes. A simple hedge is to buy Puts on SPY at the lowest strike (70) with a distant expiration date (Dec, 2018 is the farthest right now but these could be ...
gb50k gb50k PRO SPX500, D, a year ago
SPX500: Houston? We may have a problem
278 0 6
SPX500, D
Houston? We may have a problem
The indicator shows $ change in NAS100 futures vs. US30 futures. The previouse trend of increasing change to NAS100 vs US30 has been broken. As US30 may be considered a safe heaven relative to the NAS100 index, the trends breakdown signifies a tipping point in terms of risk.
gb50k gb50k PRO SPX, W, a year ago
SPX: SPY missing wick: Rally a monthly wick
332 4 9
SPX, W
SPY missing wick: Rally a monthly wick
A 'bottom wick' can be formed on the monthly chart by having an all green/up week. When combined with the red candle at the monthly level - Creates the dynamic of a 'bottom' where the bears push price down to a limit and the bulls succeed in fighting back and bring price back up - and the bottom is formed. Looking ...
gb50k gb50k PRO SPX500, W, a year ago
SPX500: SPY missing wick: more pain to come
134 1 8
SPX500, W
SPY missing wick: more pain to come
Bottom candles tend to have a lower wick. This represents the bears bringing down the price and the bulls overcoming the bears and bringing price back up. Hence the 'bottom' Last week SPY decline lacks a wick. Suggests more Down to come.
gb50k gb50k PRO SPX500, 120, a year ago
SPX500: SPY indicator: The Spy-Dow premium
166 0 4
SPX500, 120
SPY indicator: The Spy-Dow premium
Motivation: Historical data shows how the index ratio SPY/DIA gives insight into different market phases since the Dow is more attractive when risk is high. (ref: www.crossingwallstreet.com/archives/2013/09/the-dow-to-sp-500-ratio-2.html ) Daily and intraday movements can be both described and predicted using ...
gb50k gb50k PRO 2*XAUUSD*100-ZBH2016*1000, 45, a year ago
2*XAUUSD*100-ZBH2016*1000: Long Gold, Short TLT
Long Gold, Short TLT
value seems to be transferring from bonds to gold. a long gold, short bonds position produces an attractive equity curve. The charts shows dollar value for a combined position of 3 futures: 2 long GC (gold) 1 short ZB (treasuries 30yr)
gb50k gb50k PRO 4*US30*5-NAS100*20-SPX500*50, 120, a year ago
4*US30*5-NAS100*20-SPX500*50: to rally or not to rally - 3 index answer
to rally or not to rally - 3 index answer
combining DOW, SPY and NAS futures can cut down on the noise. still an open question: are we rallying or not. this chart might give clarity before "one index" charts.
gb50k gb50k PRO XAUUSD*100-USOIL*1000, 30, a year ago
XAUUSD*100-USOIL*1000: Long gold short oil
398 0 7
XAUUSD*100-USOIL*1000, 30
Long gold short oil
The gold-oil gap appears to be passing through a tipping point. A surge in the long-gold short-oil position could be due to either a gold rally, an oil dump, or both. Chart shows position using one gold future and one oil future but there exists a parallel position using ETF's.
gb50k gb50k PRO XIV, 3M, a year ago
XIV: LARGE BEAR WICK ON XIV 3mo
43 1 6
XIV, 3M
LARGE BEAR WICK ON XIV 3mo
time to short svxy
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