Canuck Trading IndicatorOverview
The Canuck Trading Indicator is a versatile, overlay-based technical analysis tool designed to assist traders in identifying potential trading opportunities across various timeframes and market conditions. By combining multiple technical indicators—such as RSI, Bollinger Bands, EMAs, VWAP, MACD, Stochastic RSI, ADX, HMA, and candlestick patterns—the indicator provides clear visual signals for bullish and bearish entries, breakouts, long-term trends, and options strategies like cash-secured puts, straddles/strangles, iron condors, and short squeezes. It also incorporates 20-day and 200-day SMAs to detect Golden/Death Crosses and price positioning relative to these moving averages. A dynamic table displays key metrics, and customizable alerts help traders stay informed of market conditions.
Key Features
Multi-Timeframe Adaptability: Automatically adjusts parameters (e.g., ATR multiplier, ADX period, HMA length) based on the chart's timeframe (minute, hourly, daily, weekly, monthly) for optimal performance.
Comprehensive Signal Generation: Identifies short-term entries, breakouts, long-term bullish trends, and options strategies using a combination of momentum, trend, volatility, and candlestick patterns.
Candlestick Pattern Detection: Recognizes bullish/bearish engulfing, hammer, shooting star, doji, and strong candles for precise entry/exit signals.
Moving Average Analysis: Plots 20-day and 200-day SMAs, detects Golden/Death Crosses, and evaluates price position relative to these averages.
Dynamic Table: Displays real-time metrics, including zone status (bullish, bearish, neutral), RSI, MACD, Stochastic RSI, short/long-term trends, candlestick patterns, ADX, ROC, VWAP slope, and MA positioning.
Customizable Alerts: Over 20 alert conditions for entries, exits, overbought/oversold warnings, and MA crosses, with actionable messages including ticker, price, and suggested strategies.
Visual Clarity: Uses distinct shapes, colors, and sizes to plot signals (e.g., green triangles for bullish entries, red triangles for bearish entries) and overlays key levels like EMA, VWAP, Bollinger Bands, support/resistance, and HMA.
Options Strategy Signals: Suggests opportunities for selling cash-secured puts, straddles/strangles, iron condors, and capitalizing on short squeezes.
How to Use
Add to Chart: Apply the indicator to any TradingView chart by selecting "Canuck Trading Indicator" from the Pine Script library.
Interpret Signals:
Bullish Signals: Green triangles (short-term entry), lime diamonds (breakout), blue circles (long-term entry).
Bearish Signals: Red triangles (short-term entry), maroon diamonds (breakout).
Options Strategies: Purple squares (cash-secured puts), yellow circles (straddles/strangles), orange crosses (iron condors), white arrows (short squeezes).
Exits: X-cross shapes in corresponding colors indicate exit signals.
Monitor: Gray circles suggest holding cash or monitoring for setups.
Review Table: Check the top-right table for real-time metrics, including zone status, RSI, MACD, trends, and MA positioning.
Set Alerts: Configure alerts for specific signals (e.g., "Short-Term Bullish Entry" or "Golden Cross") to receive notifications via TradingView.
Adjust Inputs: Customize input parameters (e.g., RSI period, EMA length, ATR period) to suit your trading style or market conditions.
Input Parameters
The indicator offers a wide range of customizable inputs to fine-tune its behavior:
RSI Period (default: 14): Length for RSI calculation.
RSI Bullish Low/High (default: 35/70): RSI thresholds for bullish signals.
RSI Bearish High (default: 65): RSI threshold for bearish signals.
EMA Period (default: 15): Main EMA length (15 for day trading, 50 for swing).
Short/Long EMA Length (default: 3/20): For momentum oscillator.
T3 Smoothing Length (default: 5): Smooths momentum signals.
Long-Term EMA/RSI Length (default: 20/15): For long-term trend analysis.
Support/Resistance Lookback (default: 5): Periods for support/resistance levels.
MACD Fast/Slow/Signal (default: 12/26/9): MACD parameters.
Bollinger Bands Period/StdDev (default: 15/2): BB settings.
Stochastic RSI Period/Smoothing (default: 14/3/3): Stochastic RSI settings.
Uptrend/Short-Term/Long-Term Lookback (default: 2/2/5): Candles for trend detection.
ATR Period (default: 14): For volatility and price targets.
VWAP Sensitivity (default: 0.1%): Threshold for VWAP-based signals.
Volume Oscillator Period (default: 14): For volume surge detection.
Pattern Detection Threshold (default: 0.3%): Sensitivity for candlestick patterns.
ROC Period (default: 3): Rate of change for momentum.
VWAP Slope Period (default: 5): For VWAP trend analysis.
TradingView Publishing Compliance
Originality: The Canuck Trading Indicator is an original script, combining multiple technical indicators and custom logic to provide unique trading signals. It does not replicate existing public scripts.
No Guaranteed Profits: This indicator is a tool for technical analysis and does not guarantee profits. Trading involves risks, and users should conduct their own research and risk management.
Clear Instructions: The description and usage guide are detailed and accessible, ensuring users understand how to apply the indicator effectively.
No External Dependencies: The script uses only built-in Pine Script functions (e.g., ta.rsi, ta.ema, ta.vwap) and requires no external libraries or data sources.
Performance: The script is optimized for performance, using efficient calculations and adaptive parameters to minimize lag on various timeframes.
Visual Clarity: Signals are plotted with distinct shapes and colors, and the table provides a concise summary of market conditions, enhancing usability.
Limitations and Risks
Market Conditions: The indicator may generate false signals in choppy or low-liquidity markets. Always confirm signals with additional analysis.
Timeframe Sensitivity: Performance varies by timeframe; test settings on your preferred chart (e.g., 5-minute for day trading, daily for swing trading).
Risk Management: Use stop-losses and position sizing to manage risk, as suggested in alert messages (e.g., "Stop -20%").
Options Trading: Options strategies (e.g., straddles, iron condors) carry unique risks; consult a financial advisor before trading.
Feedback and Support
For questions, suggestions, or bug reports, please leave a comment on the TradingView script page or contact the author via TradingView. Your feedback helps improve the indicator for the community.
Disclaimer
The Canuck Trading Indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always perform your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Search in scripts for "Table"
PowerHouse SwiftEdge AI v2.10 with Custom Filters & AI AnalysisPowerHouse SwiftEdge AI v2.10 with Custom Filters & AI Analysis
Overview
PowerHouse SwiftEdge AI v2.10 is an advanced TradingView Pine Script indicator designed to identify high-probability trading setups by combining pivot-based structure analysis, multi-timeframe trend detection, and adaptive AI-driven signal filtering. The script integrates Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) signals with customizable momentum, volume, breakout, and trend filters to enhance trade precision. Additionally, it offers an optional AI Market Analysis module that predicts future price trends across multiple timeframes, providing traders with a comprehensive market outlook.
The script is highly customizable, allowing users to tailor inputs to their trading style, whether for scalping, swing trading, or long-term strategies. It is suitable for all asset classes, including stocks, forex, crypto, and commodities, and performs optimally on timeframes ranging from 1-minute to daily charts.
Key Features
Pivot-Based Signal Generation:
Identifies pivot highs and lows to detect CHoCH (reversal patterns) and BOS (continuation patterns).
Signals are plotted as "Buy" or "Sell" labels with optional "Get Ready" pre-signals to prepare traders for potential setups.
Take-profit (TP) levels are automatically calculated based on user-defined points, with optional TP box visualization.
Multi-Timeframe Trend Analysis:
Analyzes trends across seven timeframes (1M, 5M, 15M, 30M, 1H, 4H, D) using EMA and VWAP to determine bullish, bearish, or neutral conditions.
Displays a futuristic AI-Trend Matrix dashboard showing trend direction, strength, and confidence levels for quick decision-making.
Customizable Signal Filters:
Momentum Filter: Ensures signals align with significant price changes, adjusted dynamically using ATR-based volatility.
Higher Timeframe Trend Filter: Requires signals to align with the trend of a user-selected higher timeframe (e.g., 1H).
Lower Timeframe Trend Filter: Prevents signals that conflict with the trend of a user-selected lower timeframe (e.g., 5M).
Volume Filter: Optionally requires above-average volume to confirm signals.
Breakout Filter: Optionally requires price to break previous highs/lows for signal validation.
Repeated Signal Restriction: Prevents consecutive signals in the same trend direction until the trend changes on a user-defined timeframe.
AI-Driven Adaptivity:
Incorporates Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) to assess buying/selling pressure and classify market volatility (Low, Medium, High).
Uses ATR to dynamically adjust momentum thresholds, ensuring signals adapt to current market conditions.
Optional AI Market Analysis module predicts trends across multiple timeframes by combining trend, momentum, and volatility scores.
Visual Elements:
Plots CHoCH and BOS levels as horizontal lines with distinct colors (aqua for CHoCH sell, lime for CHoCH buy, fuchsia for BOS sell, teal for BOS buy).
Draws dynamic support and resistance trendlines based on short and long-term price action, colored by trend strength.
Displays TP levels and pivot highs/lows for easy reference.
How It Works
The script combines several technical analysis concepts to create a robust trading system:
Market Structure Analysis:
Pivot highs and lows are identified using a user-defined lookback period (Pivot Length).
CHoCH occurs when price crosses below a pivot high (bearish reversal) or above a pivot low (bullish reversal).
BOS occurs when price breaks a previous pivot low (bearish continuation) or pivot high (bullish continuation).
Trend and Momentum Integration:
Trends are determined by comparing price to EMA and VWAP on multiple timeframes.
Momentum is calculated as the percentage price change, with thresholds adjusted by ATR to account for volatility.
"Get Ready" signals appear when momentum approaches the threshold, preparing traders for potential CHoCH or BOS signals.
Signal Filtering:
Filters ensure signals align with user-defined criteria (e.g., trend direction, volume, breakouts).
The Restrict Repeated Signals option prevents over-signaling by requiring a trend change on a specified timeframe before generating a new signal in the same direction.
AI Market Analysis:
The optional AI module calculates a score for each timeframe based on trend direction, momentum, and volatility (ATR compared to its SMA).
Scores are translated into predictions (▲ for bullish, ▼ for bearish, — for neutral), displayed in a dedicated table.
CVD and Volatility Context:
CVD tracks buying vs. selling pressure by accumulating volume based on price direction.
Volatility is classified using CVD magnitude, influencing the script’s visual cues and signal sensitivity.
Why This Combination?
The integration of pivot-based structure analysis, multi-timeframe trend filtering, and AI-driven adaptivity addresses common trading challenges:
Precision: CHoCH and BOS signals focus on key market turning points, reducing noise from minor price fluctuations.
Context: Multi-timeframe analysis ensures trades align with broader market trends, improving win rates.
Adaptivity: ATR and CVD adjustments make the script responsive to changing market conditions, avoiding static thresholds that fail in volatile or quiet markets.
Customization: Extensive input options allow traders to adapt the script to their preferred markets, timeframes, and risk profiles.
Predictive Insight: The AI Market Analysis module provides forward-looking trend predictions, helping traders anticipate market moves.
This combination creates a self-contained system that balances responsiveness with reliability, making it suitable for both novice and experienced traders.
How to Use
Add to Chart:
Apply the indicator to your TradingView chart for any asset and timeframe.
Recommended timeframes: 5M to 1H for scalping/day trading, 4H to D for swing trading.
Configure Inputs:
Pivot Length: Adjust (default 5) to control sensitivity to pivot highs/lows. Lower values for faster signals, higher for stronger confirmations.
Momentum Threshold: Set the minimum price change (default 0.01%) for signals. Increase for stricter conditions.
Take Profit Points: Define TP distance (default 10 points). Adjust based on asset volatility.
Signal Filters: Enable/disable filters (momentum, trend, volume, breakout) to match your strategy.
Higher/Lower Timeframe: Select timeframes for trend alignment (e.g., 1H for higher, 5M for lower).
AI Market Analysis: Enable for predictive trend insights across timeframes.
Get Ready Signals: Enable to see pre-signals for potential setups.
Interpret Signals:
Buy/Sell Labels: Act on green "Buy" or red "Sell" labels, confirming with TP levels and trend direction.
Get Ready Labels: Yellow "Get Ready BUY" or orange "Get Ready SELL" indicate potential setups; prepare but wait for confirmation.
CHoCH/BOS Lines: Use aqua/lime (CHoCH) and fuchsia/teal (BOS) lines as key support/resistance levels.
AI-Trend Matrix: Check the top-right dashboard for trend strength (%), confidence (%), and timeframe-specific trends.
AI Market Analysis Table: If enabled, view predictions (▲/▼/—) for each timeframe to anticipate market direction.
Trading Tips:
Combine signals with other indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) for additional confirmation.
Use higher timeframe trend alignment for higher-probability trades.
Adjust TP and signal distance based on asset volatility and trading style.
Monitor the AI-Trend Matrix for trend strength; values above 50% or below -50% indicate strong directional bias.
Originality
PowerHouse SwiftEdge AI v2.10 stands out due to its unique blend of:
Adaptive Signal Generation: ATR-based momentum thresholds and CVD-driven volatility context ensure signals remain relevant across market conditions.
Multi-Timeframe Synergy: The script’s ability to filter signals based on both higher and lower timeframe trends provides a rare balance of precision and context.
AI-Powered Insights: The AI Market Analysis module offers predictive capabilities not commonly found in traditional indicators, simulating institutional-grade analysis.
Visual Clarity: The futuristic dashboard and color-coded trendlines make complex data accessible, enhancing usability for all trader levels.
Unlike standalone pivot or trend indicators, this script integrates multiple layers of analysis into a cohesive system, reducing false signals and providing actionable insights without requiring external tools or research.
Limitations
False Signals: No indicator is foolproof; signals may fail in choppy or low-volume markets. Use filters to mitigate.
Timeframe Sensitivity: Performance varies by timeframe and asset. Test settings thoroughly.
AI Predictions: The AI Market Analysis is based on historical data and simplified scoring; it’s not a guaranteed forecast.
Resource Usage: Enabling all filters and AI analysis may slow performance on lower-end devices.
NFP High/Low Levels PlusNFP High/Low Levels Plus
Description:
This indicator stores the 12 most recent NFP (Non-Farm-Payroll) days and their values.
Values are captured from 0830 (NFP Release) until close of market
The High and Low values for each NFP month are drawn on the chart with horizontal lines.
- Labels indicating the month's high or low line are placed after the line
- Optionally the high/low price can be displayed additionally
Support and Resistance boxes can be drawn at the closest NFP level above and below the
current price.
- Boxes will automatically update as prices cross the NFP value
Macro Indicator
- This option displays a small table in the top right corner that says "Up" or " Down"
- The Macro Indicator can be used to judge the potential direction for the current month
- Macro direction is calculated by the following:
- UP: If two consecutive days both open and close above the most recent NFP High level
- DOWN: If two consecutive days both open and close below the most recent NFP Low level
Micro Indicator
- This option displays a small table in the top right corner that says "Up" or " Down"
- The Micro Indicator can be used to judge the potential direction for low timeframes 1H or
lower
- Micro direction is calculated by the following:
- UP: If two consecutive 10m candles close above the 20EMA
- DOWN: If two consecutive 10m candles close below the 20EMA
NFP Session Bars
- This feature draws an arrow at the bottom of the chart for each candle that falls within the
NFP session day
- This is useful for identifying NFP Days
Support / Resistance Table
- This displays a table bottom center showing the nearest high and low NFP line level
What is an NFP Day and why is it useful to add to my chart?
- NFP Days are one of the most important data releases monthly
- NFP (Non-Farm-Payroll) is the official release of 80% of the US workforce employed in
manufacturing, construction, and goods
- It does not include those who work on farms, private households, non-profit and
government workers
- Historically these high/low levels for the day create strong support and resistance levels
- Having them displayed on the chart can help identify potential strong levels and pivot points
Full Indicator with all options enabled and identified
Easily update NFP Release Days in the indicator settings
Modify various options: Show/Hide lines, labels, directional indicator tables, values tables
Adjust line width, offsets, colors, font sizes, box widths
Enable individual Directional Indicators and modify colors
Example of full indicator enabled
You can find a list of the NFP Release Schedule on the official US Bureau of Labor Statistics website. This is useful for updating the indicator settings with the correct dates
Line Break Chart StrategyHello All!
We should not pass this year without a gift!
My last publication in 2024 is Complete Line Break Chart Strategy with many features!
What is Line Break Chart?
" Line Break is a Japanese chart style that disregards time intervals and only focuses on price movements, similar to the Kagi and Renko chart styles. Line Break charts form a series of up and down bars (referred to as lines). Up lines represent rising prices, and down lines represent falling prices. New confirmed lines only form on the chart when closing prices break the range covered by previous lines. Users can control the number of past lines used in the calculation via the "Number of Lines" input in the chart settings. The typical "Number of Lines" setting is 3, meaning the chart forms a new up line when the closing price is above the high prices of the last three lines, and it forms a new down line when the closing price is below the past three lines' low prices. If the current price is higher, it is an up line and if it is lower, it is a down line. If the current closing price is the same or the move in the opposite direction is not large enough to warrant a reversal, l then no new line is draw n" by Tradingview. You can find it here
Now let's start examining the features of the indicator:
By using Line break reversals it shows trend on the main chart. You can create alert .
Moreover, you can decide which trade should be taken by using Risk Management in the indicator. You can set the " Maximum Risk " and then if the risk is more than you set then the trade is not taken. When trend changed it checks the distance between reversal level and open price and compare it with the Maximum Risk
Breakout:
It can find breakouts and shows on the chart. You can create alert for breakouts
It can show breakouts on the main chart:
Flip-Flops:
Upon looking at set of price break charts, the trader will notice that there are instances when uptrend blocks is followed by one reversal block, and then by a reversal to a series of uptrend blocks. The opposite is also possible: a series of downtrend blocks is followed by one reversal box and then by an immediate reversal to downtrend. This price action is called a " Flip-Flop ". This structure usually produces trend continuation signal. when we see this then we better use Buy/Sell stop order. lets see this on the chart:
Temporal Sequence Table:
Sequence frequency shows the frequency distribution of the number of sequential highs and the number of sequential lows that have been generated. This is quite important to the trader who is seeking to join a trend or put on a trade when the price break reverses into a new trend direction. For example, if the pattern over the past year has been that there never were more than nine consecutive high closes, it would make sense not to enter a position late into the sequence of new high closes.
also you can see market structure. I have tried to formalize it and show it under the table. so you can understand if it's choppy market.
"Number of Lines" has very important role. While using low time frames such seconds/minutes time frame you may want to choose higher number of lines such 5,6. ( this may minimize the risk of a whipsaw )
Gaps feature:
You can set Gaps on/off. if Gaps on then you can see how long it takes for each box
Reversal and Continuation Probability:
The script calculated Reversal level and Continuation probability of the trend by using Sequence frequency.
It also shows unconfirmed box and current closing price level:
Last but not least it has Overlay option for all items, and can show all items in the main chart!
P.S. I added alerts :)
Wish you all a happy new year!
Enjoy!
Overbought / Oversold Screener## Introduction
**The Versatile RSI and Stochastic Multi-Symbol Screener**
**Unlock a wealth of trading opportunities with this customizable screener, designed to pinpoint potential overbought and oversold conditions across 17 symbols, with alert support!**
## Description
This screener is suitable for tracking multiple instruments continuously.
With the screener, you can see the instant RSI or Stochastic values of the instruments you are tracking, and easily catch the moments when they are overbought / oversold according to your settings.
The purpose of the screener is to facilitate the continuous tracking of multiple instruments. The user can track up to 17 different instruments in different time intervals. If they wish, they can set an alarm and learn overbought oversold according to the values they set for the time interval of the instruments they are tracking.**
Key Features:
Comprehensive Analysis:
Monitors RSI and Stochastic values for 17 symbols simultaneously.
Automatically includes the current chart's symbol for seamless integration.
Supports multiple timeframes to uncover trends across different time horizons.
Personalized Insights:
Adjust overbought and oversold thresholds to align with your trading strategy.
Sort results by symbol, RSI, or Stochastic values to prioritize your analysis.
Choose between Automatic, Dark, or Light mode for optimal viewing comfort.
Dynamic Visual Cues:
Instantly highlights oversold and overbought symbols based on threshold levels.
Timely Alerts:
Stay informed of potential trading opportunities with alerts for multiple oversold or overbought symbols.
## Settings
### Display
**Timeframe**
The screener displays the values according to the selected timeframe. The default timeframe is "Chart". For example, if the timeframe is set to "15m" here, the screener will show the RSI and stochastic values for the 15-minute chart.
** Theme **
This setting is for changing the theme of the screener. You can set the theme to "Automatic", "Dark", or "Light", with "Automatic" being the default value. When the "Automatic" theme is selected, the screener appearance will also be automatically updated when you enable or disable dark mode from the TradingView settings.
** Position **
This option is for setting the position of the table on the chart. The default setting is "middle right". The available options are (top, middle, bottom)-(left, center, right).
** Sort By **
This option is for changing the sorting order of the table. The default setting is "RSI Descending". The available options are (Symbol, RSI, Stoch)-(Ascending, Descending).
It is important to note that the overbought and oversold coloring of the symbols may also change when the sorting order is changed. If RSI is selected as the sorting order, the symbols will be colored according to the overbought and oversold threshold values specified for RSI. Similarly, if Stoch is selected as the sorting order, the symbols will be colored according to the overbought and oversold threshold values specified for Stoch.
From this perspective, you can also think of the sorting order as a change in the main indicator.
### RSI / Stochastic
This area is for selecting the parameters of the RSI and stochastic indicators. You can adjust the values for "length", "overbought", and "oversold" for both indicators according to your needs. The screener will perform all RSI and stochastic calculations according to these settings. All coloring in the table will also be according to the overbought and oversold values in these settings.
### Symbols
The symbols to be tracked in the table are selected from here. Up to 16 symbols can be selected from here. Since the symbol in the chart is automatically added to the table, there will always be at least 1 symbol in the table. Note that the symbol in the chart is shown in the table with "(C)". For example, if SPX is open in the chart, it is shown as SPX(C) in the table.
## Alerts
The screener is capable of notifying you with an alarm if multiple symbols are overbought or oversold according to the values you specify along with the desired timeframe. This way, you can instantly learn if multiple symbols are overbought or oversold with one alarm, saving you time.
Machine Learning: Optimal RSI [YinYangAlgorithms]This Indicator, will rate multiple different lengths of RSIs to determine which RSI to RSI MA cross produced the highest profit within the lookback span. This ‘Optimal RSI’ is then passed back, and if toggled will then be thrown into a Machine Learning calculation. You have the option to Filter RSI and RSI MA’s within the Machine Learning calculation. What this does is, only other Optimal RSI’s which are in the same bullish or bearish direction (is the RSI above or below the RSI MA) will be added to the calculation.
You can either (by default) use a Simple Average; which is essentially just a Mean of all the Optimal RSI’s with a length of Machine Learning. Or, you can opt to use a k-Nearest Neighbour (KNN) calculation which takes a Fast and Slow Speed. We essentially turn the Optimal RSI into a MA with different lengths and then compare the distance between the two within our KNN Function.
RSI may very well be one of the most used Indicators for identifying crucial Overbought and Oversold locations. Not only that but when it crosses its Moving Average (MA) line it may also indicate good locations to Buy and Sell. Many traders simply use the RSI with the standard length (14), however, does that mean this is the best length?
By using the length of the top performing RSI and then applying some Machine Learning logic to it, we hope to create what may be a more accurate, smooth, optimal, RSI.
Tutorial:
This is a pretty zoomed out Perspective of what the Indicator looks like with its default settings (except with Bollinger Bands and Signals disabled). If you look at the Tables above, you’ll notice, currently the Top Performing RSI Length is 13 with an Optimal Profit % of: 1.00054973. On its default settings, what it does is Scan X amount of RSI Lengths and checks for when the RSI and RSI MA cross each other. It then records the profitability of each cross to identify which length produced the overall highest crossing profitability. Whichever length produces the highest profit is then the RSI length that is used in the plots, until another length takes its place. This may result in what we deem to be the ‘Optimal RSI’ as it is an adaptive RSI which changes based on performance.
In our next example, we changed the ‘Optimal RSI Type’ from ‘All Crossings’ to ‘Extremity Crossings’. If you compare the last two examples to each other, you’ll notice some similarities, but overall they’re quite different. The reason why is, the Optimal RSI is calculated differently. When using ‘All Crossings’ everytime the RSI and RSI MA cross, we evaluate it for profit (short and long). However, with ‘Extremity Crossings’, we only evaluate it when the RSI crosses over the RSI MA and RSI <= 40 or RSI crosses under the RSI MA and RSI >= 60. We conclude the crossing when it crosses back on its opposite of the extremity, and that is how it finds its Optimal RSI.
The way we determine the Optimal RSI is crucial to calculating which length is currently optimal.
In this next example we have zoomed in a bit, and have the full default settings on. Now we have signals (which you can set alerts for), for when the RSI and RSI MA cross (green is bullish and red is bearish). We also have our Optimal RSI Bollinger Bands enabled here too. These bands allow you to see where there may be Support and Resistance within the RSI at levels that aren’t static; such as 30 and 70. The length the RSI Bollinger Bands use is the Optimal RSI Length, allowing it to likewise change in correlation to the Optimal RSI.
In the example above, we’ve zoomed out as far as the Optimal RSI Bollinger Bands go. You’ll notice, the Bollinger Bands may act as Support and Resistance locations within and outside of the RSI Mid zone (30-70). In the next example we will highlight these areas so they may be easier to see.
Circled above, you may see how many times the Optimal RSI faced Support and Resistance locations on the Bollinger Bands. These Bollinger Bands may give a second location for Support and Resistance. The key Support and Resistance may still be the 30/50/70, however the Bollinger Bands allows us to have a more adaptive, moving form of Support and Resistance. This helps to show where it may ‘bounce’ if it surpasses any of the static levels (30/50/70).
Due to the fact that this Indicator may take a long time to execute and it can throw errors for such, we have added a Setting called: Adjust Optimal RSI Lookback and RSI Count. This settings will automatically modify the Optimal RSI Lookback Length and the RSI Count based on the Time Frame you are on and the Bar Indexes that are within. For instance, if we switch to the 1 Hour Time Frame, it will adjust the length from 200->90 and RSI Count from 30->20. If this wasn’t adjusted, the Indicator would Timeout.
You may however, change the Setting ‘Adjust Optimal RSI Lookback and RSI Count’ to ‘Manual’ from ‘Auto’. This will give you control over the ‘Optimal RSI Lookback Length’ and ‘RSI Count’ within the Settings. Please note, it will likely take some “fine tuning” to find working settings without the Indicator timing out, but there are definitely times you can find better settings than our ‘Auto’ will create; especially on higher Time Frames. The Minimum our ‘Auto’ will create is:
Optimal RSI Lookback Length: 90
RSI Count: 20
The Maximum it will create is:
Optimal RSI Lookback Length: 200
RSI Count: 30
If there isn’t much bar index history, for instance, if you’re on the 1 Day and the pair is BTC/USDT you’ll get < 4000 Bar Indexes worth of data. For this reason it is possible to manually increase the settings to say:
Optimal RSI Lookback Length: 500
RSI Count: 50
But, please note, if you make it too high, it may also lead to inaccuracies.
We will conclude our Tutorial here, hopefully this has given you some insight as to how calculating our Optimal RSI and then using it within Machine Learning may create a more adaptive RSI.
Settings:
Optimal RSI:
Show Crossing Signals: Display signals where the RSI and RSI Cross.
Show Tables: Display Information Tables to show information like, Optimal RSI Length, Best Profit, New Optimal RSI Lookback Length and New RSI Count.
Show Bollinger Bands: Show RSI Bollinger Bands. These bands work like the TDI Indicator, except its length changes as it uses the current RSI Optimal Length.
Optimal RSI Type: This is how we calculate our Optimal RSI. Do we use all RSI and RSI MA Crossings or just when it crosses within the Extremities.
Adjust Optimal RSI Lookback and RSI Count: Auto means the script will automatically adjust the Optimal RSI Lookback Length and RSI Count based on the current Time Frame and Bar Index's on chart. This will attempt to stop the script from 'Taking too long to Execute'. Manual means you have full control of the Optimal RSI Lookback Length and RSI Count.
Optimal RSI Lookback Length: How far back are we looking to see which RSI length is optimal? Please note the more bars the lower this needs to be. For instance with BTC/USDT you can use 500 here on 1D but only 200 for 15 Minutes; otherwise it will timeout.
RSI Count: How many lengths are we checking? For instance, if our 'RSI Minimum Length' is 4 and this is 30, the valid RSI lengths we check is 4-34.
RSI Minimum Length: What is the RSI length we start our scans at? We are capped with RSI Count otherwise it will cause the Indicator to timeout, so we don't want to waste any processing power on irrelevant lengths.
RSI MA Length: What length are we using to calculate the optimal RSI cross' and likewise plot our RSI MA with?
Extremity Crossings RSI Backup Length: When there is no Optimal RSI (if using Extremity Crossings), which RSI should we use instead?
Machine Learning:
Use Rational Quadratics: Rationalizing our Close may be beneficial for usage within ML calculations.
Filter RSI and RSI MA: Should we filter the RSI's before usage in ML calculations? Essentially should we only use RSI data that are of the same type as our Optimal RSI? For instance if our Optimal RSI is Bullish (RSI > RSI MA), should we only use ML RSI's that are likewise bullish?
Machine Learning Type: Are we using a Simple ML Average, KNN Mean Average, KNN Exponential Average or None?
KNN Distance Type: We need to check if distance is within the KNN Min/Max distance, which distance checks are we using.
Machine Learning Length: How far back is our Machine Learning going to keep data for.
k-Nearest Neighbour (KNN) Length: How many k-Nearest Neighbours will we account for?
Fast ML Data Length: What is our Fast ML Length? This is used with our Slow Length to create our KNN Distance.
Slow ML Data Length: What is our Slow ML Length? This is used with our Fast Length to create our KNN Distance.
If you have any questions, comments, ideas or concerns please don't hesitate to contact us.
HAPPY TRADING!
Market Regime# MARKET REGIME IDENTIFICATION & TRADING SYSTEM
## Complete User Guide
---
## 📋 TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. (#overview)
2. (#regimes)
3. (#indicator-usage)
4. (#entry-signals)
5. (#exit-signals)
6. (#regime-strategies)
7. (#confluence)
8. (#backtesting)
9. (#optimization)
10. (#examples)
---
## OVERVIEW
### What This System Does
This is a **complete market regime identification and trading system** that:
1. **Identifies 6 distinct market regimes** automatically
2. **Adapts trading tactics** to each regime
3. **Provides high-probability entry signals** with confluence scoring
4. **Shows optimal exit points** for each trade
5. **Can be backtested** to validate performance
### Two Components Provided
1. **Indicator** (`market_regime_indicator.pine`)
- Visual regime identification
- Entry/exit signals on chart
- Dynamic support/resistance
- Info tables with live data
- Use for manual trading
2. **Strategy** (`market_regime_strategy.pine`)
- Fully automated backtestable version
- Same logic as indicator
- Position sizing and risk management
- Performance metrics
- Use for backtesting and automation
---
## THE 6 MARKET REGIMES
### 1. 🟢 BULL TRENDING
**Characteristics:**
- Strong uptrend
- Price above SMA50 and SMA200
- ADX > 25 (strong trend)
- Higher highs and higher lows
- DI+ > DI- (bullish momentum)
**What It Means:**
- Market has clear upward direction
- Buyers in control
- Pullbacks are buying opportunities
- Strongest regime for long positions
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **BUY dips to EMA20 or SMA20**
- ✅ Enter when RSI < 60 on pullback
- ✅ Hold through minor corrections
- ❌ Don't short against the trend
- ❌ Don't sell too early
**Expected Behavior:**
- Pullbacks are shallow (5-10%)
- Bounces are strong
- Support at moving averages holds
- Volume increases on rallies
---
### 2. 🔴 BEAR TRENDING
**Characteristics:**
- Strong downtrend
- Price below SMA50 and SMA200
- ADX > 25 (strong trend)
- Lower highs and lower lows
- DI- > DI+ (bearish momentum)
**What It Means:**
- Market has clear downward direction
- Sellers in control
- Rallies are selling opportunities
- Strongest regime for short positions
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **SELL rallies to EMA20 or SMA20**
- ✅ Enter when RSI > 40 on bounce
- ✅ Hold through minor bounces
- ❌ Don't buy against the trend
- ❌ Don't cover shorts too early
**Expected Behavior:**
- Rallies are weak (5-10%)
- Selloffs are strong
- Resistance at moving averages holds
- Volume increases on declines
---
### 3. 🔵 BULL RANGING
**Characteristics:**
- Bullish bias but consolidating
- Price near or above SMA50
- ADX < 20 (weak trend)
- Trading in range
- Choppy price action
**What It Means:**
- Uptrend is pausing
- Accumulation phase
- Support and resistance zones clear
- Lower volatility
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **BUY at support zone**
- ✅ Enter when RSI < 40
- ✅ Take profits at resistance
- ⚠️ Smaller position sizes
- ⚠️ Tighter stops
**Expected Behavior:**
- Range-bound oscillations
- Support bounces repeatedly
- Resistance rejections common
- Eventually breaks higher (usually)
---
### 4. 🟠 BEAR RANGING
**Characteristics:**
- Bearish bias but consolidating
- Price near or below SMA50
- ADX < 20 (weak trend)
- Trading in range
- Choppy price action
**What It Means:**
- Downtrend is pausing
- Distribution phase
- Support and resistance zones clear
- Lower volatility
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **SELL at resistance zone**
- ✅ Enter when RSI > 60
- ✅ Take profits at support
- ⚠️ Smaller position sizes
- ⚠️ Tighter stops
**Expected Behavior:**
- Range-bound oscillations
- Resistance holds repeatedly
- Support bounces are weak
- Eventually breaks lower (usually)
---
### 5. ⚪ CONSOLIDATION
**Characteristics:**
- No clear direction
- Range compression
- Very low ADX (< 15 often)
- Price inside tight range
- Neutral sentiment
**What It Means:**
- Market is coiling
- Building energy for next move
- Indecision between buyers/sellers
- Calm before the storm
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **WAIT for breakout direction**
- ✅ Enter on high-volume breakout
- ✅ Direction becomes clear
- ❌ Don't trade inside the range
- ❌ Avoid choppy scalping
**Expected Behavior:**
- Narrow range
- Low volume
- False breakouts possible
- Explosive move when it breaks
---
### 6. 🟣 CHAOS (High Volatility)
**Characteristics:**
- Extreme volatility
- No clear direction
- Erratic price swings
- ATR > 2x average
- Unpredictable
**What It Means:**
- Market panic or euphoria
- News-driven moves
- Emotion dominates logic
- Highest risk environment
**How to Trade:**
- ❌ **STAY OUT!**
- ❌ No positions
- ❌ Wait for stability
- ✅ Protect existing positions
- ✅ Reduce risk
**Expected Behavior:**
- Large intraday swings
- Gaps up/down
- Stop hunts
- Whipsaws
- Eventually calms down
---
## INDICATOR USAGE
### Visual Elements
#### 1. Background Colors
- **Light Green** = Bull Trending (go long)
- **Light Red** = Bear Trending (go short)
- **Light Teal** = Bull Ranging (buy dips)
- **Light Orange** = Bear Ranging (sell rallies)
- **Light Gray** = Consolidation (wait)
- **Purple** = Chaos (stay out!)
#### 2. Regime Labels
- Appear when regime changes
- Show new regime name
- Positioned at highs (bullish) or lows (bearish)
#### 3. Entry Signals
- **Green "LONG"** labels = Buy here
- **Red "SHORT"** labels = Sell here
- Number shows confluence score (X/5 signals)
- Hover for details (stop, target, RSI, etc.)
#### 4. Exit Signals
- **Orange "EXIT LONG"** = Close long position
- **Orange "EXIT SHORT"** = Close short position
- Shows exit reason in tooltip
#### 5. Support/Resistance Lines
- **Green line** = Dynamic support (buy zone)
- **Red line** = Dynamic resistance (sell zone)
- Adapts to regime automatically
#### 6. Moving Averages
- **Blue** = SMA 20 (short-term trend)
- **Orange** = SMA 50 (medium-term trend)
- **Purple** = SMA 200 (long-term trend)
### Information Tables
#### Top Right Table (Main Info)
Shows real-time market conditions:
- **Current Regime** - What regime we're in
- **Bias** - Long, Short, Breakout, or Stay Out
- **ADX** - Trend strength (>25 = strong)
- **Trend** - Strong, Moderate, or Weak
- **Volatility** - High or Normal
- **Vol Ratio** - Current vs average volatility
- **RSI** - Momentum (>70 overbought, <30 oversold)
- **vs SMA50/200** - Price position relative to MAs
- **Support/Resistance** - Exact price levels
- **Long/Short Signals** - Confluence scores (X/5)
#### Bottom Right Table (Regime Guide)
Quick reference for each regime:
- What action to take
- What strategy to use
- Color-coded for quick identification
---
## ENTRY SIGNALS EXPLAINED
### Confluence Scoring System (5 Factors)
Each entry signal is scored 0-5 based on how many factors align:
#### For LONG Entries:
1. ✅ **Regime Alignment** - In Bull Trending or Bull Ranging
2. ✅ **RSI Pullback** - RSI between 35-50 (not overbought)
3. ✅ **Near Support** - Price within 2% of dynamic support
4. ✅ **MACD Turning Up** - Momentum shifting bullish
5. ✅ **Volume Confirmation** - Above average volume
#### For SHORT Entries:
1. ✅ **Regime Alignment** - In Bear Trending or Bear Ranging
2. ✅ **RSI Rejection** - RSI between 50-65 (not oversold)
3. ✅ **Near Resistance** - Price within 2% of dynamic resistance
4. ✅ **MACD Turning Down** - Momentum shifting bearish
5. ✅ **Volume Confirmation** - Above average volume
### Confluence Requirements
**Minimum Confluence** (default = 2):
- 2/5 = Entry signal triggered
- 3/5 = Good signal
- 4/5 = Strong signal
- 5/5 = Excellent signal (rare)
**Higher confluence = Higher probability = Better trades**
### Specific Entry Patterns
#### 1. Bull Trending Entry
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Bull Trending
- Price pulls back to EMA20
- Close above EMA20 (bounce)
- Up candle (close > open)
- RSI < 60
- Confluence ≥ 2
```
#### 2. Bear Trending Entry
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Bear Trending
- Price rallies to EMA20
- Close below EMA20 (rejection)
- Down candle (close < open)
- RSI > 40
- Confluence ≥ 2
```
#### 3. Bull Ranging Entry
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Bull Ranging
- RSI < 40 (oversold)
- Price at or below support
- Up candle (reversal)
- Confluence ≥ 1 (more lenient)
```
#### 4. Bear Ranging Entry
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Bear Ranging
- RSI > 60 (overbought)
- Price at or above resistance
- Down candle (rejection)
- Confluence ≥ 1 (more lenient)
```
#### 5. Consolidation Breakout
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Consolidation
- Price breaks above/below range
- Volume > 1.5x average (explosive)
- Strong directional candle
```
---
## EXIT SIGNALS EXPLAINED
### Three Types of Exits
#### 1. Regime Change Exits (Automatic)
- **Long Exit**: Regime changes to Bear Trending or Chaos
- **Short Exit**: Regime changes to Bull Trending or Chaos
- **Reason**: Market character changed, strategy no longer valid
#### 2. Support/Resistance Break Exits
- **Long Exit**: Price breaks below support by 2%
- **Short Exit**: Price breaks above resistance by 2%
- **Reason**: Key level violated, trend may be reversing
#### 3. Momentum Exits
- **Long Exit**: RSI > 70 (overbought) AND down candle
- **Short Exit**: RSI < 30 (oversold) AND up candle
- **Reason**: Overextension, take profits
### Stop Loss & Take Profit
**Stop Loss** (Automatic in strategy):
- Placed at Entry - (ATR × 2)
- Adapts to volatility
- Protected from whipsaws
- Typically 2-4% for stocks, 5-10% for crypto
**Take Profit** (Automatic in strategy):
- Placed at Entry + (Stop Distance × R:R Ratio)
- Default 2.5:1 reward:risk
- Example: $2 risk = $5 reward target
- Allows winners to run
---
## TRADING EACH REGIME
### BULL TRENDING - Most Profitable Long Environment
**Strategy: Buy Every Dip**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Wait for pullback to EMA20 or SMA20
2. Look for RSI < 60
3. Enter when candle closes above MA
4. Confluence should be 2+
**Stop Loss:**
- Below the recent swing low
- Or 2 × ATR below entry
**Take Profit:**
- At previous high
- Or 2.5:1 R:R minimum
**Position Size:**
- Can use full size (2% risk)
- High win rate regime
**Example Trade:**
```
Price: $100, pulls back to $98 (EMA20)
Entry: $98.50 (close above EMA)
Stop: $96.50 (2 ATR)
Target: $103.50 (2.5:1)
Risk: $2, Reward: $5
```
---
### BEAR TRENDING - Most Profitable Short Environment
**Strategy: Sell Every Rally**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Wait for bounce to EMA20 or SMA20
2. Look for RSI > 40
3. Enter when candle closes below MA
4. Confluence should be 2+
**Stop Loss:**
- Above the recent swing high
- Or 2 × ATR above entry
**Take Profit:**
- At previous low
- Or 2.5:1 R:R minimum
**Position Size:**
- Can use full size (2% risk)
- High win rate regime
**Example Trade:**
```
Price: $100, rallies to $102 (EMA20)
Entry: $101.50 (close below EMA)
Stop: $103.50 (2 ATR)
Target: $96.50 (2.5:1)
Risk: $2, Reward: $5
```
---
### BULL RANGING - Buy Low, Sell High
**Strategy: Range Trading (Long Bias)**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Wait for price at support zone
2. Look for RSI < 40
3. Enter on reversal candle
4. Confluence should be 1-2+
**Stop Loss:**
- Below support zone
- Tighter than trending (1.5 ATR)
**Take Profit:**
- At resistance zone
- Don't hold through resistance
**Position Size:**
- Reduce to 1-1.5% risk
- Lower win rate than trending
**Example Trade:**
```
Range: $95-$105
Entry: $96 (at support, RSI 35)
Stop: $94 (below support)
Target: $104 (at resistance)
Risk: $2, Reward: $8 (4:1)
```
---
### BEAR RANGING - Sell High, Buy Low
**Strategy: Range Trading (Short Bias)**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Wait for price at resistance zone
2. Look for RSI > 60
3. Enter on rejection candle
4. Confluence should be 1-2+
**Stop Loss:**
- Above resistance zone
- Tighter than trending (1.5 ATR)
**Take Profit:**
- At support zone
- Don't hold through support
**Position Size:**
- Reduce to 1-1.5% risk
- Lower win rate than trending
**Example Trade:**
```
Range: $95-$105
Entry: $104 (at resistance, RSI 65)
Stop: $106 (above resistance)
Target: $96 (at support)
Risk: $2, Reward: $8 (4:1)
```
---
### CONSOLIDATION - Wait for Breakout
**Strategy: Breakout Trading**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Identify consolidation range
2. Wait for VOLUME SURGE (1.5x+ avg)
3. Enter on close outside range
4. Direction must be clear
**Stop Loss:**
- Opposite side of range
- Or 2 ATR
**Take Profit:**
- Measure range height, project it
- Example: $10 range = $10 move expected
**Position Size:**
- Reduce to 1% risk
- 50% false breakout rate
**Example Trade:**
```
Consolidation: $98-$102 (4-point range)
Breakout: $102.50 (high volume)
Entry: $103
Stop: $100 (back in range)
Target: $107 (4-point range projected)
Risk: $3, Reward: $4
```
---
### CHAOS - STAY OUT!
**Strategy: Preservation**
**What to Do:**
- ❌ NO new positions
- ✅ Close existing positions if near entry
- ✅ Tighten stops on profitable trades
- ✅ Reduce position sizes dramatically
- ✅ Wait for regime to stabilize
**Why It's Dangerous:**
- Stop hunts are common
- Whipsaws everywhere
- News-driven volatility
- No technical reliability
- Even "perfect" setups fail
**When Does It End:**
- Volatility ratio drops < 1.5
- ADX starts rising (direction appears)
- Price respects support/resistance again
- Usually 1-5 days
---
## CONFLUENCE SYSTEM
### How It Works
The system scores each potential entry on 5 factors. More factors aligning = higher probability.
### Confluence Requirements by Regime
**Trending Regimes** (strictest):
- Minimum 2/5 required
- 3/5 = Good
- 4-5/5 = Excellent
**Ranging Regimes** (moderate):
- Minimum 1-2/5 required
- 2/5 = Good
- 3+/5 = Excellent
**Consolidation** (breakout only):
- Volume is most critical
- Direction confirmation
- Less confluence needed
### Adjusting Minimum Confluence
**If too few signals:**
- Lower from 2 to 1
- More trades, lower quality
**If too many false signals:**
- Raise from 2 to 3
- Fewer trades, higher quality
**Recommendation:**
- Start at 2
- Adjust based on win rate
- Aim for 55-65% win rate
---
## STRATEGY BACKTESTING
### Loading the Strategy
1. Copy `market_regime_strategy.pine`
2. Open Pine Editor in TradingView
3. Paste and "Add to Chart"
4. Strategy Tester tab opens at bottom
### Initial Settings
```
Risk Per Trade: 2%
ATR Stop Multiplier: 2.0
Reward:Risk Ratio: 2.5
Trade Longs: ✓
Trade Shorts: ✓
Trade Trending Only: ✗ (test both)
Avoid Chaos: ✓
Minimum Confluence: 2
```
### What to Look For
**Good Results:**
- Win Rate: 50-60%
- Profit Factor: 1.8-2.5
- Net Profit: Positive
- Max Drawdown: <20%
- Consistent equity curve
**Warning Signs:**
- Win Rate: <45% (too many losses)
- Profit Factor: <1.5 (barely profitable)
- Max Drawdown: >30% (too risky)
- Erratic equity curve (unstable)
### Testing Different Regimes
**Test 1: Trending Only**
```
Trade Trending Only: ✓
Result: Higher win rate, fewer trades
```
**Test 2: All Regimes**
```
Trade Trending Only: ✗
Result: More trades, potentially lower win rate
```
**Test 3: Long Only**
```
Trade Longs: ✓
Trade Shorts: ✗
Result: Works in bull markets
```
**Test 4: Short Only**
```
Trade Longs: ✗
Trade Shorts: ✓
Result: Works in bear markets
```
---
## SETTINGS OPTIMIZATION
### Key Parameters to Adjust
#### 1. Risk Per Trade (Most Important)
- **0.5%** = Very conservative
- **1.0%** = Conservative (recommended for beginners)
- **2.0%** = Moderate (recommended)
- **3.0%** = Aggressive
- **5.0%** = Very aggressive (not recommended)
**Impact:** Higher risk = higher returns BUT bigger drawdowns
#### 2. Reward:Risk Ratio
- **2:1** = More wins needed, hit target faster
- **2.5:1** = Balanced (recommended)
- **3:1** = Fewer wins needed, hold longer
- **4:1** = Very patient, best in trending
**Impact:** Higher R:R = can have lower win rate
#### 3. Minimum Confluence
- **1** = More signals, lower quality
- **2** = Balanced (recommended)
- **3** = Fewer signals, higher quality
- **4** = Very selective
- **5** = Almost never triggers
**Impact:** Higher = fewer but better trades
#### 4. ADX Thresholds
- **Trending: 20-30** (default 25)
- Lower = detect trends earlier
- Higher = only strong trends
- **Ranging: 15-25** (default 20)
- Lower = identify ranging earlier
- Higher = only weak trends
#### 5. Trend Period (SMA)
- **20-50** = Short-term trends
- **50** = Medium-term (default, recommended)
- **100-200** = Long-term trends
**Impact:** Longer period = slower regime changes, more stable
### Optimization Workflow
**Step 1: Baseline**
- Use all default settings
- Test on 3+ years
- Record: Win Rate, PF, Drawdown
**Step 2: Risk Optimization**
- Test 1%, 1.5%, 2%, 2.5%
- Find best risk-adjusted return
- Balance profit vs drawdown
**Step 3: R:R Optimization**
- Test 2:1, 2.5:1, 3:1
- Check which maximizes profit factor
- Consider holding time
**Step 4: Confluence Optimization**
- Test 1, 2, 3
- Find sweet spot for win rate
- Aim for 55-65% win rate
**Step 5: Regime Filter**
- Test with/without trend filter
- Test with/without chaos filter
- Find what works for your asset
---
## REAL TRADING EXAMPLES
### Example 1: Bull Trending - SPY
**Setup:**
- Regime: BULL TRENDING
- Price pulls back from $450 to $445
- EMA20 at $444
- RSI drops to 45
- Confluence: 4/5
**Entry:**
- Price closes at $445.50 (above EMA20)
- LONG signal appears
- Enter at $445.50
**Risk Management:**
- Stop: $443 (2 ATR = $2.50)
- Target: $451.75 (2.5:1 = $6.25)
- Risk: $2.50 per share
- Position: 80 shares (2% of $10k = $200 risk)
**Outcome:**
- Price rallies to $452 in 3 days
- Target hit
- Profit: $6.50 × 80 = $520
- Return: 2.6 × risk (excellent)
---
### Example 2: Bear Ranging - AAPL
**Setup:**
- Regime: BEAR RANGING
- Range: $165-$175
- Price rallies to $174
- Resistance at $175
- RSI at 68
- Confluence: 3/5
**Entry:**
- Rejection candle at $174
- SHORT signal appears
- Enter at $173.50
**Risk Management:**
- Stop: $176 (above resistance)
- Target: $166 (support)
- Risk: $2.50
- Position: 80 shares
**Outcome:**
- Price drops to $167 in 2 days
- Target hit
- Profit: $6.50 × 80 = $520
- Return: 2.6 × risk
---
### Example 3: Consolidation Breakout - BTC
**Setup:**
- Regime: CONSOLIDATION
- Range: $28,000 - $30,000
- Compressed for 2 weeks
- Volume declining
**Breakout:**
- Price breaks $30,000
- Volume surges 200%
- Close at $30,500
- LONG signal
**Entry:**
- Enter at $30,500
**Risk Management:**
- Stop: $29,500 (back in range)
- Target: $32,000 (range height = $2k)
- Risk: $1,000
- Position: 0.2 BTC ($200 risk on $10k)
**Outcome:**
- Price runs to $33,000
- Target exceeded
- Profit: $2,500 × 0.2 = $500
- Return: 2.5 × risk
---
### Example 4: Avoiding Chaos - Tesla
**Setup:**
- Regime: BULL TRENDING
- LONG position from $240
- Elon tweets something crazy
- Regime changes to CHAOS
**Action:**
- EXIT signal appears
- Close position immediately
- Current price: $242 (small profit)
**Outcome:**
- Next 3 days: wild swings
- High $255, Low $230
- By staying out, avoided:
- Potential stop out
- Whipsaw losses
- Stress
**Result:**
- Small profit preserved
- Capital protected
- Re-enter when regime stabilizes
---
## ALERTS SETUP
### Available Alerts
1. **Bull Trending Regime** - Market goes bullish
2. **Bear Trending Regime** - Market goes bearish
3. **Chaos Regime** - High volatility, stay out
4. **Long Entry Signal** - Buy opportunity
5. **Short Entry Signal** - Sell opportunity
6. **Long Exit Signal** - Close long
7. **Short Exit Signal** - Close short
### How to Set Up
1. Click **⏰ (Alert)** icon in TradingView
2. Select **Condition**: Choose indicator + alert type
3. **Options**: Popup, Email, Webhook, etc.
4. **Message**: Customize notification
5. Click **Create**
### Recommended Alert Strategy
**For Active Traders:**
- Long Entry Signal
- Short Entry Signal
- Long Exit Signal
- Short Exit Signal
**For Position Traders:**
- Bull Trending Regime (enter longs)
- Bear Trending Regime (enter shorts)
- Chaos Regime (exit all)
**For Conservative:**
- Only regime change alerts
- Manually review entries
- More selective
---
## TIPS FOR SUCCESS
### 1. Start Small
- Paper trade first
- Then 0.5% risk
- Build to 1-2% over time
### 2. Follow the Regime
- Don't fight it
- Adapt your style
- Different tactics for each
### 3. Trust the Confluence
- 4-5/5 = Best trades
- 2-3/5 = Good trades
- 1/5 = Skip unless desperate
### 4. Respect Exits
- Don't hope and hold
- Cut losses quickly
- Take profits at targets
### 5. Avoid Chaos
- Seriously, just stay out
- Protect your capital
- Wait for clarity
### 6. Keep a Journal
- Record every trade
- Note regime and confluence
- Review weekly
- Learn patterns
### 7. Backtest Thoroughly
- 3+ years minimum
- Multiple market conditions
- Different assets
- Walk-forward test
### 8. Be Patient
- Best setups are rare
- 1-3 trades per week is normal
- Quality over quantity
- Compound over time
---
## COMMON QUESTIONS
**Q: How many trades per month should I expect?**
A: Depends on timeframe and settings. Daily chart: 5-15 trades/month. 4H chart: 15-30 trades/month.
**Q: What's a good win rate?**
A: 55-65% is excellent. 50-55% is good. Below 50% needs adjustment.
**Q: Should I trade all regimes?**
A: Beginners: Only trending. Intermediate: Trending + ranging. Advanced: All except chaos.
**Q: Can I use this on any timeframe?**
A: Best on Daily and 4H. Works on 1H with more noise. Not recommended <1H.
**Q: What if I'm in a trade and regime changes?**
A: Exit immediately (if using indicator) or let strategy handle it automatically.
**Q: How do I know if I'm over-optimizing?**
A: If results are perfect on one period but fail on another. Use walk-forward testing.
**Q: Should I always take 5/5 confluence trades?**
A: Yes, but they're rare (1-2/month). Don't wait only for these.
**Q: Can I combine this with other indicators?**
A: Yes, but keep it simple. RSI, MACD already included. Maybe add volume profile.
**Q: What assets work best?**
A: Liquid stocks, major crypto, futures. Avoid forex spot (use futures), penny stocks.
**Q: How long to hold positions?**
A: Trending: Days to weeks. Ranging: Hours to days. Breakout: Days. Let the regime guide you.
---
## FINAL THOUGHTS
This system gives you:
- ✅ Clear market context (regime)
- ✅ High-probability entries (confluence)
- ✅ Defined exits (automatic signals)
- ✅ Adaptable tactics (regime-specific)
- ✅ Backtestable results (strategy version)
**Success requires:**
- 📚 Understanding each regime
- 🎯 Following the signals
- 💪 Discipline to wait
- 🧠 Emotional control
- 📊 Proper risk management
**Start your journey:**
1. Load the indicator
2. Watch for 1 week (no trading)
3. Identify regime patterns
4. Paper trade for 1 month
5. Go live with small size
6. Scale up as you gain confidence
**Remember:** The market will always be here. There's no rush. Master one regime at a time, and you'll be profitable in all conditions!
Good luck! 🚀
SMC N-Gram Probability Matrix [PhenLabs]📊 SMC N-Gram Probability Matrix
Version: PineScript™ v6
📌 Description
The SMC N-Gram Probability Matrix applies computational linguistics methodology to Smart Money Concepts trading. By treating SMC patterns as a discrete “alphabet” and analyzing their sequential relationships through N-gram modeling, this indicator calculates the statistical probability of which pattern will appear next based on historical transitions.
Traditional SMC analysis is reactive—traders identify patterns after they form and then anticipate the next move. This indicator inverts that approach by building a transition probability matrix from up to 5,000 bars of pattern history, enabling traders to see which SMC formations most frequently follow their current market sequence.
The indicator detects and classifies 11 distinct SMC patterns including Fair Value Gaps, Order Blocks, Liquidity Sweeps, Break of Structure, and Change of Character in both bullish and bearish variants, then tracks how these patterns transition from one to another over time.
🚀 Points of Innovation
First indicator to apply N-gram sequence modeling from computational linguistics to SMC pattern analysis
Dynamic transition matrix rebuilds every 50 bars for adaptive probability calculations
Supports bigram (2), trigram (3), and quadgram (4) sequence lengths for varying analysis depth
Priority-based pattern classification ensures higher-significance patterns (CHoCH, BOS) take precedence
Configurable minimum occurrence threshold filters out statistically insignificant predictions
Real-time probability visualization with graphical confidence bars
🔧 Core Components
Pattern Alphabet System: 11 discrete SMC patterns encoded as integers for efficient matrix indexing and transition tracking
Swing Point Detection: Uses ta.pivothigh/pivotlow with configurable sensitivity for non-repainting structure identification
Transition Count Matrix: Flattened array storing occurrence counts for all possible pattern sequence transitions
Context Encoder: Converts N-gram pattern sequences into unique integer IDs for matrix lookup
Probability Calculator: Transforms raw transition counts into percentage probabilities for each possible next pattern
🔥 Key Features
Multi-Pattern SMC Detection: Simultaneously identifies FVGs, Order Blocks, Liquidity Sweeps, BOS, and CHoCH formations
Adjustable N-Gram Length: Choose between 2-4 pattern sequences to balance specificity against sample size
Flexible Lookback Range: Analyze anywhere from 100 to 5,000 historical bars for matrix construction
Pattern Toggle Controls: Enable or disable individual SMC pattern types to customize analysis focus
Probability Threshold Filtering: Set minimum occurrence requirements to ensure prediction reliability
Alert Integration: Built-in alert conditions trigger when high-probability predictions emerge
🎨 Visualization
Probability Table: Displays current pattern, recent sequence, sample count, and top N predicted patterns with percentage probabilities
Graphical Probability Bars: Visual bar representation (█░) showing relative probability strength at a glance
Chart Pattern Markers: Color-coded labels placed directly on price bars identifying detected SMC formations
Pattern Short Codes: Compact notation (F+, F-, O+, O-, L↑, L↓, B+, B-, C+, C-) for quick pattern identification
Customizable Table Position: Place probability display in any corner of your chart
📖 Usage Guidelines
N-Gram Configuration
N-Gram Length: Default 2, Range 2-4. Lower values provide more samples but less specificity. Higher values capture complex sequences but require more historical data.
Matrix Lookback Bars: Default 500, Range 100-5000. More bars increase statistical significance but may include outdated market behavior.
Min Occurrences for Prediction: Default 2, Range 1-10. Higher values filter noise but may reduce prediction availability.
SMC Detection Settings
Swing Detection Length: Default 5, Range 2-20. Controls pivot sensitivity for structure analysis.
FVG Minimum Size: Default 0.1%, Range 0.01-2.0%. Filters insignificant gaps.
Order Block Lookback: Default 10, Range 3-30. Bars to search for OB formations.
Liquidity Sweep Threshold: Default 0.3%, Range 0.05-1.0%. Minimum wick extension beyond swing points.
Display Settings
Show Probability Table: Toggle the probability matrix display on/off.
Show Top N Probabilities: Default 5, Range 3-10. Number of predicted patterns to display.
Show SMC Markers: Toggle on-chart pattern labels.
✅ Best Use Cases
Anticipating continuation or reversal patterns after liquidity sweeps
Identifying high-probability BOS/CHoCH sequences for trend trading
Filtering FVG and Order Block signals based on historical follow-through rates
Building confluence by comparing predicted patterns with other technical analysis
Studying how SMC patterns typically sequence on specific instruments or timeframes
⚠️ Limitations
Predictions are based solely on historical pattern frequency and do not account for fundamental factors
Low sample counts produce unreliable probabilities—always check the Samples display
Market regime changes can invalidate historical transition patterns
The indicator requires sufficient historical data to build meaningful probability matrices
Pattern detection uses standardized parameters that may not capture all institutional activity
💡 What Makes This Unique
Linguistic Modeling Applied to Markets: Treats SMC patterns like words in a language, analyzing how they “flow” together
Quantified Pattern Relationships: Transforms subjective SMC analysis into objective probability percentages
Adaptive Learning: Matrix rebuilds periodically to incorporate recent pattern behavior
Comprehensive SMC Coverage: Tracks all major Smart Money Concepts in a unified probability framework
🔬 How It Works
1. Pattern Detection Phase
Each bar is analyzed for SMC formations using configurable detection parameters
A priority hierarchy assigns the most significant pattern when multiple detections occur
2. Sequence Encoding Phase
Detected patterns are stored in a rolling history buffer of recent classifications
The current N-gram context is encoded into a unique integer identifier
3. Matrix Construction Phase
Historical pattern sequences are iterated to count transition occurrences
Each context-to-next-pattern transition increments the appropriate matrix cell
4. Probability Calculation Phase
Current context ID retrieves corresponding transition counts from the matrix
Raw counts are converted to percentages based on total context occurrences
5. Visualization Phase
Probabilities are sorted and the top N predictions are displayed in the table
Chart markers identify the current detected pattern for visual reference
💡 Note:
This indicator performs best when used as a confluence tool alongside traditional SMC analysis. The probability predictions highlight statistically common pattern sequences but should not be used as standalone trading signals. Always verify predictions against price action context, higher timeframe structure, and your overall trading plan. Monitor the sample count to ensure predictions are based on adequate historical data.
Technology Stocks RSPSTechnology Stocks RSPS Indicator - TradingView Description
Overview
The Technology Stocks RSPS (Relative Strength Portfolio System) indicator is a sophisticated portfolio allocation tool designed specifically for technology sector stocks. It calculates relative strength positions and provides dynamic allocation recommendations based on technical price momentum analysis.
Key Features
- Relative Strength Analysis: Compares 15 major technology stocks and the XLK sector ETF
against each other and gold as a baseline
- Dynamic Portfolio Allocation: Automatically calculates optimal position sizes based on relative
performance
- Visual Portfolio Performance: Tracks cumulative portfolio returns with color-coded
performance indicators
- Customizable Table Display: Shows real-time allocation percentages and optional cash values
for each position
- Technical Momentum Filtering: Uses normalized indicators to identify strength and filter out
weak positions
Included Assets
Sector ETF: XLK
Major Tech Stocks: AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AVGO, CRM, ORCL, CSCO, ADBE, ACN, AMD, IBM, INTC, NOW, TXN
Benchmark: Gold (TVC:GOLD)
How It Works
The indicator calculates a relative strength score for each asset by comparing it against:
Gold (baseline commodity)
All other technology stocks in the pool
The XLK sector ETF
Assets with positive relative strength receive portfolio allocations proportional to their strength scores. Weak or negative performers are automatically filtered out (allocated 0%).
Visual Elements
Red Area: Aggregate strength of major technology stocks
Navy Blue Area: Overall technical positioning index (TPI)
Performance Line: Cumulative portfolio return (blue = cash-heavy, red = equity-heavy)
Allocation Table: Bottom-left display showing current recommended positions
Important Limitations
This indicator primarily uses technical data and has significant limitations:
❌ No fundamental economic data (ISM, CLI, etc.)
❌ Limited monetary data - missing critical components:
comprehensive monetary data
Funding rates
Detailed bond spreads analysis
Collateral data
❌ No sentiment indicators
❌ No options flow or derivatives data
❌ No earnings or valuation metrics
The indicator focuses purely on price-based relative strength and technical momentum. Users should combine this tool with fundamental analysis, economic data, and proper risk management for complete investment decisions.
Settings
Plot Table: Toggle allocation table visibility
Use Cash: Enable to display dollar amounts based on portfolio size
Cash Amount: Set your total portfolio value for cash allocation calculations
Use Cases
Sector rotation within technology stocks
Relative strength-based portfolio rebalancing
Technical momentum screening for tech sector
Dynamic position sizing based on price trends
Technical Notes
The script avoids for-loops to reduce calculation errors and noise
Uses semi-individual calculations for each asset
Requires the Unicorpus/NormalizedIndicators/1 library for normalized momentum calculations
Maximum lookback: 100 bars
Disclaimer: This indicator is a technical tool only and should not be used as the sole basis for investment decisions. It does not incorporate fundamental, economic, or comprehensive monetary data. Always conduct thorough research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
ka66: Symbol InformationThis shows a table of all current (Pine v6) `syminfo.` values.
Please note this is primarily of use to Pine Developers, or the curious trader.
There are a few of these around on TradingView, but many seem to focus on the use case they have. This script just dumps all values, in alphabetical order of properties.
You can use this to inspect the details of the symbol, which in turn, can be fed into various scripts covering tasks such as:
Position Sizing calculation (which requires things like tick, pointvalue, and currency details)
Recommendation engines (which use the recommendation_* properties)
Fundamentals on stocks (which may use share count information, and possibly employee information)
Note that not all table values are populated, as they depend on the instrument being introspected. For example, a share ticker will have some different details to a Forex pair. The `NaN` values (the "Not A Number" special value in programming parlance) are not a bug, they are simply Pine reporting that no value is set for it. I have opted to dump out values as-is as the focus is developers.
My motivation to create it was to write a position sizing tool. Additionally, the output of this script is cleanly formatted, with monospace fonts and conventional alignment for tables/forms with key and values. It also allows customising the table position. Ideally this feature is made part of the default TradingView customisation, but at this time, it is not, and tables don't auto-adjust their positions.
Tchwella Stocks Custom WatermarkThis Pine Script v5 indicator adds a customizable watermark to TradingView charts, displaying key stock information while allowing for flexible positioning and formatting.
📌 Features & Functionality:
✅ Custom Positioning:
• Fixed to the top-left corner.
• Adjustable spacing ensures the text is properly aligned.
✅ Displayed Information (Configurable):
• Company Name & Market Cap (Optional: Shows dynamically calculated market cap)
• Stock Ticker & Timeframe
• Industry & Sector
✅ Customization Options:
• Font Size: Huge, Large, Normal, Small
• Text Color & Transparency: Adjustable
• Proper Left Alignment for a clean, structured display
• Vertical Offset Tweaks to move text down for better visibility
✅ Optimized Table Layout:
• Uses table.new() for persistent placement.
• Added an empty row to fine-tune positioning, ensuring the watermark doesn’t overlap key chart areas.
🔧 Use Case:
Designed for traders who want a clear, customizable stock watermark to enhance their charting experience without obstructing price action.
Feb 1
Release Notes
Updated version: now you can decide your location for the watermark
Micha Stocks Custom Watermark (MSWM) – TradingView Script
This Pine Script v5 indicator adds a customizable watermark to TradingView charts, displaying key stock information while allowing for flexible positioning and formatting.
📌 Features & Functionality:
✅ Custom Positioning:
• Fixed to the top-left corner.
• Adjustable spacing ensures the text is properly aligned.
✅ Displayed Information (Configurable):
• Company Name & Market Cap (Optional: Shows dynamically calculated market cap)
• Stock Ticker & Timeframe
• Industry & Sector
✅ Customization Options:
• Font Size: Huge, Large, Normal, Small
• Text Color & Transparency: Adjustable
• Proper Left Alignment for a clean, structured display
• Vertical Offset Tweaks to move text down for better visibility
✅ Optimized Table Layout:
• Uses table.new() for persistent placement.
• Added an empty row to fine-tune positioning, ensuring the watermark doesn’t overlap key chart areas.
🔧 Use Case:
Designed for traders who want a clear, customizable stock watermark to enhance their charting experience without obstructing price action.
Feb 7
Release Notes
Micha Stocks Custom Watermark – Updated Version 🚀
This updated Micha Stocks Custom Watermark script enhances your TradingView experience by adding an ATR-based volatility signal alongside the existing customizable stock watermark.
🆕 New Features & Improvements:
✅ ATR (14-Day) with Dynamic Volatility Indicator
• Displays the ATR value and its percentage relative to price.
• Includes a color-coded volatility signal:
• 🔴 High Volatility (Above user-defined Red Threshold)
• 🟡 Moderate Volatility (Between Red & Yellow Thresholds)
• 🟢 Low Volatility (Below user-defined Yellow Threshold)
✅ Fully Customizable ATR Thresholds
• Users can set their own ATR % levels for Red, Yellow, and Green signals.
✅ Improved Watermark Customization
• Users can still adjust the position, size, and color of the watermark.
• Includes Company Name, Ticker, Market Cap, Industry, and Sector.
• ATR can be turned on/off in settings for flexibility.
🔧 How to Use:
1️⃣ Go to Indicator Settings → Enable or Disable ATR Display
2️⃣ Adjust ATR % Thresholds to fit your volatility preference
3️⃣ Customize Text Position, Color, and Size to match your chart setup
This update makes it easier to quickly assess market volatility while keeping a clean and professional chart layout.
💡 Why Use This Indicator?
• Effortlessly track key stock info without cluttering your chart.
• Quickly identify volatile conditions using ATR percentage signals.
• Adjust settings on the fly to match your trading strategy.
📢 Update Now & Enjoy a Smarter Charting Experience!
Extended CANSLIM Indicator❖ Extended CANSLIM Indicator.
The Extended CANSLIM indicator is an indicator that concentrates all the tools usually used by CANSLIM traders.
It shows a table where all the stock fundamental information is shown at once first for the last quarter and then up to 5 years back.
The fundamental data is checked against well known CANSLIM validation criteria and is shown over 4 state levels.
1. Good = Value is CANSLIM Compliant.
2. Acceptable = Value is not CANSLIM compliant but still good. value is shown with a lighter background color.
3. Warning = Value deserves special attention. Value is shown over orange background color.
3. Stop = Value is non CANSLIM compliant or indicates a stop trading condition. Value is shown over red background color.
The indicator has also a set of technical tools calculated on price or index and shown directly on the chart.
❖ Fundamental data shown in the table.
The table is arranged in 4 sets of data:
1. Table Header, showing Indicator and Company data.
2. CANSLIM.
3. 3Rs: RS Rating, Revenue and ROE.
4. Extra Data: Piotroski score, ATR, Trend Days, D to E, Avg Vol and Vol today.
Sets 3 and 4 can be hidden from the table.
❖ Indicator and Compay Data.
The table header shows, Indicator name and version.
It then displays Company Name, sector and industry, human size and its capitalization.
❖ CANSLIM Data.
Displays either genuine CANSLIM data from TradinView or custom data as best effort when that data cannot be obtained in TV.
C = EPS diluted growth, Quarterly YoY.
>= 25% = Good, >= 0% = Acceptable, < 0% = Stop
A = EPS diluted growth, Annual YoY.
>= 25% = Good, >= 0% = Acceptable, < 0% = Stop
N = New High as best effort (Cust).
Always Good
S = Float shares as best effort.
Always Good
L = One year performance relative to S&P 500 (Cust),
Positive : 0% .. 50% = Neutral, 50%+ = Leader, 80%+ = Leader+, 100%+ = Leader++
Negative : 0% .. -10% = Laggard, -10% .. -30% = Laggard+, -30%+ = Laggard++
>= 50% = Good, >= 0% = Acceptable, >= -10% Warning, < -10% = Stop
I = Accumulation/Distribution days over last 25 days as a clue for institutional support (Cust).
A delta is calculated by subtracting Distribution to Accumulation days.
> 0 = Good, = 0 = Acceptable, < 0 = Warning, < -5 = Stop
M = Market direction and exposure measured on S&500 closing between averages (Cust).
Varies from 0% Full Bear to 100% Full Bull
>= 80% = Good, >= 60% = Acceptable, >= 40% = Warning, < 40% = Stop
❖ Extra non CANSLIM Data.
RS = RS Rating.
>= 90 = Good, >= 80 = Accept, >= 50 = Warning, < 50 = Stop
Rev. = Revenue Growth Quarterly YoY.
>= 0% = Good, <0% = Stop
ROE = Return on Equity, Quarterly YoY.
>= 17% = Good, >= 0% = Acceptable, < 0% = Stop
Piotr. = Piotroski Score, www.investopedia.com (TV)
>= 7 = Good, >= 4 = Acceptable, < 4 = Stop
ATR = Average True Range over the last 20 days (Cust).
0% - 2% = Acceptable, 2% - 4% = Ideal, 4% - 6% = Warning, 5%+ = Stop.
Trend Days = Days since EMA150 is over EMA200 (Cust).
Always Good
D. to E. = Days left before Earnings. Maybe not a good idea buying just before earnings (Cust).
>= 28 = Good, >= 21 = Acceptable, >= 14 = Warning, < 14 = Stop
Avg Vol. = 50d Average Volume (Cust).
>= 100K = Good, < 100K = Acceptable
Vol. Today = Today's percentage volume compared to 50d average (Cust).
Always Good.
❖ Historical Data.
Optionally selectable historical data can be displayed for C, A, Revenue and ROE up to 20 quarters if available.
Quarterly numbers can also be displayed for A, C and Revenue.
Information can be shown in Chronological or Reverse Chronological order (default).
Increasing growth quarters are shown in white, while diminuing ones are shown in Yellow.
Transition from Losing to Profitable quarters are shown with an exclamation mark ‘!’
Finally, losing quarters are shown between parenthesis.
❖ MAs on chart.
Displays 200, 100, 50 and 20 days MAs on chart.
The MAs are also automatically scaled in the 1W time frame.
❖ New 52 Week High on chart.
A sun is shown on the chart the first time that a new 52 week high is reached.
The N cell shows a filled sun when a 52 week high is no older than a month, an lighter sun when it’s no older than a quarter or a moon otherwise.
❖ Pocket Pivots on chart.
Small triangles below the price are signaling pocket pivots.
❖ Bases on chart, formerly Darvas Boxes.
Draw bases as defined by Darvas boxes, both top or bottom of bases can be selected to be shown in order to only show resistance or support.
❖ Market exposure/direction indicator.
When charting S&P500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX), Nasdaq composite (IXIC) or Dow Jownes Index (DJIA), the indicator switches to Market Exposure indicator, showing also Accumulation/Distribution days when volume information is available. This indication which varies from 0% to 100% is what is shown under the M letter in the CANSLIM table which is calculated on the S&P500.
❖ Follow Through Days indicator.
If you are an adept of the Low-cheat entry, then you will be highly interested by the Follow Through days indicator as measured in the S&P 500 and shown as diamonds on the chart.
The follow-through days are calculated on S&P500 but shown in current stock chart so you don’t need to chart the S&P 500 to know that a follow through day occurred.
Follow Through days show correctly on Daily time frame and most are also shown on the Weekly time frame as well.
They are also classified according to the market zone in which they occur:
0%-5% from peak = Pullback : FT day is not shown.
5%-10% from peak = Minor Correction : Minor FT days is shown.
10%-20% from peak = Correction : Intermediate FT days us shown
20+% from peak = Bear Market : Makor FT days is shown
❖ RS Line and Rating indicator.
A RS Line and Rating indicator can be added to the chart.
Relative Strength Rating Accuracy.
Please note that the RS Rating is not 100% accurate when compared to IBD values.
❖ Earning Line indicator.
An Earning Line indicator can be added to the chart.
❖ ATR Bands and ATR Trade calculator.
The motivation for this calculator came from my own need to enter trades on volatile stocks where the simple 7% Stop Loss rule doest not work.
It simply calculates the number of shares you can buy at any moment based on current stock price and using the lower ATR band as a stop loss.
A few words about the ATR Bands.
On this indicator the ATR bands are not drawn as a classical channel that follows the price.
The lower band is drawn as a support until it’s broken on a closing basis. It can’t be in a down trend.
The upper band is drawn as a resistance until it’s broken on a closing basis. It can’t be in an up trend.
The idea is that when price starts to fall down from a peak, it should not violate its lower band ATR and that means that we can use that level as a Stop Loss.
You must look back for the stock volatility and find out which ATR multiplier works well meaning that the ATR bands are not violated on normal pullbacks. By default, the indicator uses 5x multiplier.
❖ Extra things, visual features and default settings.
The first square cell of current quarter displays a check mark ‘V’ if the CANSLIM criteria is OK or acceptable or a cross ‘X’ otherwise.
The first square cell of historical C and Rev show respectively the count of last consecutive positive quarters.
There are different color themes from “Forest” to “Space” you can chose from to best fit your eyes.
You also have different table sizes going from “Micro” to “Huge” for better adjustment to the size of your display.
The default settings view show: Pocket Pivots, FT Days, MA50, RS Line and ATR Bands.
That's all, Enjoy!
Overheat Oscillator with DivergenceIndicator Description
The Overheat Oscillator with Divergence is an advanced technical indicator designed for the TradingView platform, assisting traders in identifying potential market reversal points by analyzing price momentum and volume, as well as detecting divergences. The indicator combines trend strength assessment with signal smoothing to provide clear indications of market overheat or oversold conditions. An optional divergence detection feature allows for the identification of discrepancies between price movement and the oscillator's value, which may signal upcoming trend changes.
The indicator is displayed in a separate panel below the price chart and offers visual cues through a color gradient, horizontal reference lines, and a dynamic market sentiment table. Users can customize numerous parameters, such as calculation periods, sentiment thresholds, line colors, and visualization styles, making the indicator a versatile tool for various trading strategies.
How the Indicator Works
The indicator is based on the following key components:
Oscillator Calculations
The indicator analyzes price candles, assigning a score based on their nature. A bullish candle (when the closing price is higher than the opening price) receives a score of +1.0, while a bearish candle (when the closing price is lower than the opening price) receives a score of -1.0. This scoring reflects the strength of price movement over a given period.
The score is modified by a volume multiplier (default: 2.0) if the candle's volume exceeds the volume's simple moving average (SMA, default: calculated over 20 candles). This ensures that candles with higher volume have a greater impact on the oscillator's value, better capturing significant market movements driven by increased trading activity. For example, a bullish candle with high volume may receive a score of +2.0 instead of +1.0, amplifying the bullish signal.
The scores are summed over a specified number of candles (default: 20), normalized to a 0–100 range, and then smoothed using a simple moving average (SMA, default: 5 periods) to reduce noise and improve signal clarity.
Color Gradient
The oscillator's values are visualized using a color gradient that changes based on the oscillator's level:
Green: Market cooldown (values below the Gradient Min threshold).
Yellow: Neutral sentiment (values between Gradient Min and Gradient Yellow).
Orange: Elevated activity (values between Gradient Yellow and Gradient Orange).
Red: Market overheat (values above Gradient Orange).
The color gradient is applied as the background in the oscillator panel, facilitating quick assessment of market sentiment.
Reference Levels
The indicator displays customizable horizontal lines for key thresholds (e.g., Overheat Threshold, Oversold Threshold, Gradient Min, Yellow, Orange, Max). These lines are visible only at the height of the last few oscillator candles, preventing chart clutter and helping users focus on current values.
Users can also define three custom horizontal lines with selectable styles (solid, dotted, dashed) and colors. These lines serve as auxiliary tools, e.g., for marking personal support/resistance levels, but do not affect the oscillator's signals or background colors.
Market Sentiment
The indicator displays sentiment labels in a table located in the top-right corner of the panel, dynamically updating based on the oscillator's value:
Cooled: Values below Gradient Yellow (default: 35).
Neutral: Values between Gradient Yellow and Gradient Orange (default: 60).
Excited: Values between Gradient Orange and Overheat Threshold (default: 70).
Overheated: Values above Overheat Threshold (default: 70).
The Overheat Threshold and Oversold Threshold are critical for displaying the "Overheated" and "Cooled" labels in the sentiment table, enabling users to quickly identify extreme market conditions. The labels update when key thresholds are crossed, and their colors match the oscillator's gradient.
Divergence Detection
The indicator offers optional detection of regular bullish and bearish divergences:
Bullish Divergence: Occurs when the price forms a lower low, but the oscillator forms a higher low, suggesting a weakening downtrend.
Bearish Divergence: Occurs when the price forms a higher high, but the oscillator forms a lower high, suggesting a weakening uptrend.
Divergences are marked on the chart with labels ("Bull" for bullish, "Bear" for bearish) and lines indicating pivot points. They are calculated with a delay equal to the Lookback Right setting (default: 5 candles), meaning signals appear after pivot confirmation in the specified lookback period. The indicator also generates alerts for users when a divergence is detected.
Indicator Settings
Main Settings (SETTINGS)
Period Length: Specifies the number of candles used for oscillator calculations (default: 20).
Volume SMA Period: The period for the volume's simple moving average (default: 20).
Volume Multiplier: Multiplier applied to candle scores when volume exceeds the average (default: 2.0).
SMA Length: The period for smoothing the oscillator with a simple moving average (default: 5).
Thresholds (THRESHOLDS)
Overheat Threshold: Level indicating market overheat (default: 70). This value determines when the sentiment table displays the "Overheated" label, signaling a potential peak in an uptrend.
Oversold Threshold: Level indicating market cooldown (default: 30). This value determines when the sentiment table displays the "Cooled" label, signaling a potential bottom in a downtrend.
Gradient Min (Green): Lower threshold for the green gradient (default: 20).
Gradient Yellow Threshold: Threshold for the yellow gradient (default: 35).
Gradient Orange Threshold: Threshold for the orange gradient (default: 60).
Gradient Max (Red): Upper threshold for the red gradient (default: 70).
Visualization (VISUALIZATION)
Signal Line Color: Color of the oscillator line (default: dark red, RGB(5, 0, 0)).
Show Reference Lines: Enables/disables the display of threshold lines (default: enabled).
Divergence Settings (DIVERGENCE SETTINGS)
Calculate Divergence: Enables/disables divergence detection (default: disabled).
Lookback Right: Number of candles back for pivot analysis (default: 5).
Lookback Left: Number of candles to the left for pivot analysis (default: 5).
Line Style (STYLE)
Custom Line 1, 2, 3 Value: Levels for custom horizontal lines (default: 70, 50, 30).
Custom Line 1, 2, 3 Color: Colors for custom lines (default: black, RGB(0, 0, 0)).
Custom Line 1, 2, 3 Style: Line styles (solid, dotted, dashed; default: dashed, dotted, dashed).
How to Use the Indicator
Adding to the Chart
Add the indicator to your TradingView chart by searching for "Overheat Oscillator with Divergence."
Configure the settings according to your trading strategy.
Signal Interpretation
Overheated: Values above the Overheat Threshold (default: 70) in the sentiment table may indicate a potential uptrend peak.
Cooled: Values below the Oversold Threshold (default: 30) in the sentiment table may suggest a potential downtrend bottom.
Divergences:
Bullish: Look for "Bull" labels on the chart, indicating potential upward reversals (calculated with a Lookback Right delay).
Bearish: Look for "Bear" labels, indicating potential downward reversals (calculated with a Lookback Right delay).
Customization
Experiment with settings such as period length, volume multiplier, or gradient thresholds to tailor the indicator to your trading style (e.g., scalping, medium-term trading).
Usage Examples
Scalping: Set a shorter period (e.g., Period Length = 10, SMA Length = 3) and monitor rapid sentiment changes and divergences on lower timeframes (e.g., 5-minute charts).
Medium-Term Trading: Use default settings or increase Period Length (e.g., 30) and SMA Length (e.g., 7) for more stable signals on hourly or daily charts.
Reversal Detection: Enable divergence detection and observe "Bull" or "Bear" labels in conjunction with overheat/cooled levels in the sentiment table.
Notes
The indicator performs best when used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools, such as support/resistance lines, moving averages, or Fibonacci levels.
Divergences may serve as early signals but do not always guarantee immediate trend reversals—confirmation with other indicators is recommended.
Test different settings on historical data to find the optimal configuration for your chosen market and timeframe.
Floor and Roof Indicator with SignalsFloor and Roof Indicator with Trading Signals
A comprehensive support and resistance indicator that identifies premium and discount zones with automated signal generation.
Key Features:
Dynamic Support/Resistance Zones: Calculates floor (support) and roof (resistance) levels using price action and volatility
Premium/Discount Zone Identification: Highlights areas where price may find resistance or support
Customizable Signal Frequency: Control how often signals are displayed (every Nth occurrence)
Visual Signal Table: Optional table showing the last 5 long and short signal prices
Multiple Timeframe Compatibility: Works across all timeframes
Technical Details:
Uses ATR-based calculations for dynamic zone width adjustment
Combines Bollinger Bands with highest/lowest price analysis
Smoothing options for cleaner signal generation
Fully customizable colors and display options
How to Use:
Floor Zones (Blue): Potential support areas where long positions may be considered
Roof Zones (Pink): Potential resistance areas where short positions may be considered
Signal Crosses: Visual markers when price interacts with key levels
Signal Table: Track recent signal prices for analysis
Settings:
Length: Period for calculations (default: 200)
Smooth: Smoothing factor for cleaner signals
Zone Width: Adjust the thickness of support/resistance zones
Signal Frequency: Control signal display frequency
Visual Options: Customize colors and table position
Alerts Available:
Long signal alerts when price touches discount zones
Short signal alerts when price reaches premium zones
Educational Purpose: This indicator is designed to help traders identify potential support and resistance areas. Always combine with proper risk management and additional analysis.
This description focuses on the technical aspects and educational value while avoiding any language that could be interpreted as financial advice or guaranteed profits.
Multi Asset & TF Stochastic
Multi Asset & TF Stochastic
This indicator allows you to compare the stochastic oscillator values of two different assets across multiple timeframes in a single pane. It’s designed for traders who want to analyse the momentum of one asset (by default, the chart’s asset) alongside a second asset of your choice (e.g., comparing EURUSD to the USD Index).
How It Works:
Main Asset:
The indicator automatically uses the chart’s asset for the primary stochastic calculation. You have the option to adjust the timeframe for this asset using a dropdown that includes TradingView’s standard timeframes, a "Chart" option (which automatically uses your chart’s timeframe), or a "Custom" option where you can type in any timeframe.
Second Asset:
You can enable the display of a second asset by toggling the “Display Second Asset” option. Choose the asset symbol (default is “DXY”) and select its timeframe from an identical dropdown. When enabled, the script calculates the stochastic oscillator for the second asset, allowing you to compare its momentum (%K and %D lines) with that of the main asset.
Stochastic Oscillator Settings:
Customize the %K length, the smoothing period for %K, and the smoothing period for %D. Both assets’ stochastic values are calculated using these parameters.
Visual Display:
The indicator plots the %K and %D lines for the main asset in prominent colours. If the second asset is enabled, its %K and %D lines are also plotted in different colours. Additionally, overbought (80) and oversold (20) levels are marked, with a midline at 50, making it easier to gauge market conditions at a glance.
%D line can be toggled off for a cleaner view if required:
Asset Information Table:
A table at the top-centre of the pane displays the active asset symbols—ensuring you always know which assets are being analysed.
How to Use:
Apply the Indicator:
Add the script to your chart. By default, it will use the chart’s current asset and timeframe for the primary stochastic oscillator.
Adjust the Main Asset Settings:
Use the “Main Asset Timeframe” dropdown to select a specific timeframe for the main asset or stick with the “Chart” option for automatic syncing with your current chart.
Enable and Configure the Second Asset (Optional):
Toggle on “Display Second Asset” if you wish to compare another asset. Select the desired symbol and adjust its timeframe using the provided dropdown. Choose “Custom” if you need a timeframe not listed by default.
Review the Plots and Table:
Observe the stochastic %K and %D lines for each asset. The overbought/oversold levels help indicate potential market turning points. Check the table at the top-centre to confirm the asset symbols being displayed.
This versatile tool is ideal for traders who rely on momentum analysis and need to quickly compare the stochastic signals of different markets or instruments. Enjoy seamless multi-asset analysis with complete control over your timeframe settings!
MTF RSI CandlesThis Pine Script indicator is designed to provide a visual representation of Relative Strength Index (RSI) values across multiple timeframes. It enhances traditional candlestick charts by color-coding candles based on RSI levels, offering a clearer picture of overbought, oversold, and sideways market conditions. Additionally, it displays a hoverable table with RSI values for multiple predefined timeframes.
Key Features
1. Candle Coloring Based on RSI Levels:
Candles are color-coded based on predefined RSI ranges for easy interpretation of market conditions.
RSI Levels:
75-100: Strongest Overbought (Green)
65-75: Stronger Overbought (Dark Green)
55-65: Overbought (Teal)
45-55: Sideways (Gray)
35-45: Oversold (Light Red)
25-35: Stronger Oversold (Dark Red)
0-25: Strongest Oversold (Bright Red)
2. Multi-Timeframe RSI Table:
Displays RSI values for the following timeframes:
1 Min, 2 Min, 3 Min, 4 Min, 5 Min
10 Min, 15 Min, 30 Min, 1 Hour, 1 Day, 1 Week
Helps traders identify RSI trends across different time horizons.
3. Hoverable RSI Values:
Displays the RSI value of any candle when hovering over it, providing additional insights for analysis.
Inputs
1. RSI Length:
Default: 14
Determines the calculation period for the RSI indicator.
2. RSI Levels:
Configurable thresholds for RSI zones:
75-100: Strongest Overbought
65-75: Stronger Overbought
55-65: Overbought
45-55: Sideways
35-45: Oversold
25-35: Stronger Oversold
0-25: Strongest Oversold
How It Works:
1. RSI Calculation:
The RSI is calculated for the current timeframe using the input RSI Length.
It is also computed for 11 additional predefined timeframes using request.security.
2. Candle Coloring:
Candles are colored based on their RSI values and the specified RSI levels.
3. Hoverable RSI Values:
Each candle displays its RSI value when hovered over, via a dynamically created label.
Multi-Timeframe Table:
A table at the bottom-left of the chart displays RSI values for all predefined timeframes, making it easy to compare trends.
Usage:
1. Trend Identification:
Use candle colors to quickly assess market conditions (overbought, oversold, or sideways).
2. Timeframe Analysis:
Compare RSI values across different timeframes to determine long-term and short-term momentum.
3. Signal Confirmation:
Combine RSI signals with other indicators or patterns for higher-confidence trades.
Best Practices
Use this indicator in conjunction with volume analysis, support/resistance levels, or trendline strategies for better results.
Customize RSI levels and timeframes based on your trading strategy or market conditions.
Limitations
RSI is a lagging indicator and may not always predict immediate market reversals.
Multi-timeframe analysis can lead to conflicting signals; consider your trading horizon.
GL LineIntroduction
The GL Line Indicator is a versatile tool designed to assist traders in identifying market trends by utilizing three different types of moving averages (EMA, SMA, VWMA) across multiple timeframes. This indicator provides a comprehensive view of market conditions, making it easier to spot potential trading opportunities.
Features
Multiple Moving Average Types:
Choose between Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Simple Moving Average (SMA), and Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) for more tailored analysis.
Triple Timeframe Analysis:
Analyze trends across three different timeframes (Main, Secondary, Tertiary) to get a clearer picture of market direction.
Configurable Parameters:
Customizable lengths for fast and slow-moving averages. Adjustable ATR length and multiplier to refine trend detection sensitivity.
Visual Trend Indication:
Bullish and bearish trends are marked with color-coded lines and fills, enhancing visual clarity.
Confluence Table:
Optional confluence table that shows trend direction across the selected timeframes, aiding in decision-making.
How It Works
Main Trend Calculation:
Select the type of moving average and set the lengths for fast and slow MAs. The difference between these MAs, adjusted by the ATR multiplier, determines the trend direction.
Secondary and Tertiary Trends:
Similar calculations are done for secondary and tertiary timeframes, providing a broader market overview.
Trend Direction and Plotting:
The indicator plots the moving averages and fills the area between them with colors to denote bullish (green) and bearish (red) trends.
How to Use
Select Moving Average Type:
Choose between EMA, SMA, or VWMA based on your trading strategy.
Set Lengths and Multipliers:
Customize the lengths for the fast and slow-moving averages and adjust the ATR length and multiplier for better trend sensitivity.
Analyze Trends:
Use the color-coded plots and fills to identify market trends and make informed trading decisions.
Check Confluence Table:
Optionally display the confluence table to see trend directions across different timeframes.
Disclaimer
This indicator is designed to work best when the secondary and tertiary trends are set to higher timeframes than the chart's timeframe. Using higher timeframes for additional trends provides a broader market perspective and enhances the reliability of trend signals.
IDX Financials v2This indicator adds financial data, ratios, and valuations to your chart. The main objective is to present financial overview that can be glanced quickly to add to your considerations.
The visualization of the indicator consists of two parts:
A. Plots (lines alongside the candlestick)
B. Financial table on the right. Drag your candlestick to the left to provide blank area for the table.
Programatically, the financial data is obtained by using these Pine API:
request.earnings(...) API for the EPS values that are used by the price at average PER line , and
request.financial(..) API for the rest of financial data required by the indicator.
See What financial data is available in Pine for more info on getting financial data in Pine.
A. THE PLOTS
The plots produces two lines, price at average PER in blue and price at average PBV line in pink, calculated over some adjustable time period (the default is one year). By default, only price at average PER line is shown.
Note that PER stands for Price to Earning Ratio.
The price at average PER line shows the price level at the average PER. It is calculated using formula as follows:
line = AVGPER * EPSTTM
where AVGPER is the average PER over some time period (default is one year, adjustable) and EPSTTM is the standardized EPS TTM.
Note that the EPS is updated at the actual time of earning report publication , and not at standard quarter dates such as March 31st, Dec 31st, etc.. This approach is chosen to represent the actual PE at the time.
The price at average PBV line (PBV stands for Price to Book Value), which can be enabled in settings, shows the price at average PBV. It is calculated using formula as follows:
line = AVGPBV * BVPS
where AVGPBV is the average PBV over some period of time (default is one year, adjustable) and BVPS is the book value per share. Note that the PBV is clipped to range to avoid values that are too small/large.
Also note that unlike PER, the BVPS is updated at each quarterly date (such as March 31st, Dec 31st, etc.).
Apart from those lines, some values are written to the status line (i.e. the numbers next to indicator name), which represent the corresponding value at the currently hovered bar:
PER TTM
Average PER
Std value (zvalue) of PER TTM (equal to = (PERTTM - AVGPER)/STDPER)
PBV
The meaning for these abbreviations should be straightforward.
Using the price at average PER line
There are several ways to use the price at average PER line .
You can quickly get the sense of current valuation by seeing the price relative to the price at average PER line . If the price is above the line, the valuation is higher than the average valuation, and vice versa if the price is lower.
The distance between the price and the average is measured in unit of standard deviation. This is represented by the third number in the status line. Value zero indicates the price is exactly at the average PER line. Positive value indicates price is higher than average, and negative if price is lower than average. Usually people use value +2 and -2 to indicate extreme positions.
The second way to use the line is to see how the line jumps up or down at the earning report date . If the line jumps up, this indicates the increase of EPSTTM. And vice versa when the line jumps down.
When EPSTTM is trending up over several quarters, or if EPSTTM is expected to go up, usually the price is also trending up and the valuation is over the average. And vice versa when EPSTTM is trending down or expected to go down. Deviation from this pattern may present some buying or selling opportunity.
B. THE FINANCIAL TABLE
The second visual part is the financial table. The financial table contains financial information at the last bar . It has four sections:
1. Revenue
2. Income
3. Valuations
4. Ratios
Let's discuss them in detail.
1. Revenue and income sections
The revenue and income table are organized into rows and columns.
Each row shows the data at the specified time frame, as follows:
The first four rows shows quarterly revenue/income of the last four quarters.
Then followed by TTM data.
Then followed by forecast of next quarter revenue/income, if such forecast exists. Note the "(F)" notation next to the quarter name.
Then followed by forecast of TTM data of next quarter (only for income), if such forecast exists. Note the "(F)" notation next to the TTM name.
The columns of revenue and income sections show the following:
The time frame information (such as quarter name, TTM, etc.)
The revenue/income value, in billions or millions (configurable).
YoY (year on year) growth, i.e. comparing the value with the value one year earlier, if any.
QoQ (quarter on quarter) growth, i.e. comparing the value with previous quarter value, if any.
GPM/NPM (gross profit margin or net profit margin), i.e. the margin on the specified time period.
Using the Revenue and Income table
The table provides quick way to see the revenue and income trend. You can see the YoY growth as well as QoQ, if that is applicable (non seasonal stocks). You can also see how the margins change over the periods.
The values are also presented with relevant background color . Green indicates "good" value and red indicates "bad" value. The intensity represents how good/bad the value is. The limits of the good and bad values are currently hardcoded in the script.
2. Valuations section
The valuation shows current stock valuation. The section is organized in rows and columns. Each row contains one type of valuation criteria, as follows:
PER (Price Earning Ratio)
Next quarter PER forecast (marked by "(F)" notation) when available
PBV (Price to Book value)
For each valuation criteria, several values are presented as columns:
The current value of the criteria. By current, it means the value at the last bar.
The one year standard deviation position
The three years standard deviation position
3. Ratios Section
The ratios section contains the following useful financial ratios:
ROA (Return on Asset), equal to: NET_INCOME_TTM / TOTAL_ASSETS
ROE (Return on Equity), equal to: NET_INCOME_TTM / BOOK_VALUE_PER_SHARE
PEG (PER to Growth Ratio), equal to PER_TTM / (INCOME_TTM_GROWTH*100)
DER (Debt to Equity Ratio), taken from request.financial(syminfo.tickerid, "DEBT_TO_EQUITY", "FQ")
DPR (Dividend Payout Ratio), taken from request.financial(syminfo.tickerid, "DIVIDEND_PAYOUT_RATIO", "FY")
Dividend yield, equal to (DPR * (NET_INCOME_TTM / TOTAL_SHARES_OUTSTANDING)) / close
KNOWN BUGS
Currently does not handle when the financial quarter contains gap, i.e. there is missing quarter. This usually happens on newly IPO stocks.
SUPERTREND MIXED ICHI-DMI-DONCHIAN-VOL-GAP-HLBox@RLSUPERTREND MIXED ICHI-DMI-VOL-GAP-HLBox@RL
by RegisL76
This script is based on several trend indicators.
* ICHIMOKU (KINKO HYO)
* DMI (Directional Movement Index)
* SUPERTREND ICHIMOKU + SUPERTREND DMI
* DONCHIAN CANAL Optimized with Colored Bars
* HMA Hull
* Fair Value GAP
* VOLUME/ MA Volume
* PRICE / MA Price
* HHLL BOXES
All these indications are visible simultaneously on a single graph. A data table summarizes all the important information to make a good trade decision.
ICHIMOKU Indicator:
The ICHIMOKU indicator is visualized in the traditional way.
ICHIMOKU standard setting values are respected but modifiable. (Traditional defaults = .
An oriented visual symbol, near the last value, indicates the progression (Ascending, Descending or neutral) of the TENKAN-SEN and the KIJUN-SEN as well as the period used.
The CLOUD (KUMO) and the CHIKOU-SPAN are present and are essential for the complete analysis of the ICHIMOKU.
At the top of the graph are visually represented the crossings of the TENKAN and the KIJUN.
Vertical lines, accompanied by labels, make it possible to quickly visualize the particularities of the ICHIMOKU.
A line displays the current bar.
A line visualizes the end of the CLOUD (KUMO) which is shifted 25 bars into the future.
A line visualizes the end of the chikou-span, which is shifted 25 bars in the past.
DIRECTIONAL MOVEMENT INDEX (DMI) : Treated conventionally : DI+, DI-, ADX and associated with a SUPERTREND DMI.
A visual symbol at the bottom of the graph indicates DI+ and DI- crossings
A line of oriented and colored symbols (DMI Line) at the top of the chart indicates the direction and strength of the trend.
SUPERTREND ICHIMOKU + SUPERTREND DMI :
Trend following by SUPERTREND calculation.
DONCHIAN CHANNEL: Treated conventionally. (And optimized by colored bars when overshooting either up or down.
The lines, high and low of the last values of the channel are represented to quickly visualize the level of the RANGE.
SUPERTREND HMA (HULL) Treated conventionally.
The HMA line visually indicates, according to color and direction, the market trend.
A visual symbol at the bottom of the chart indicates opportunities to sell and buy.
VOLUME:
Calculation of the MOBILE AVERAGE of the volume with comparison of the volume compared to the moving average of the volume.
The indications are colored and commented according to the comparison.
PRICE: Calculation of the MOBILE AVERAGE of the price with comparison of the price compared to the moving average of the price.
The indications are colored and commented according to the comparison.
HHLL BOXES:
Visualizes in the form of a box, for a given period, the max high and min low values of the price.
The configuration allows taking into account the high and low wicks of the price or the opening and closing values.
FAIR VALUE GAP :
This indicator displays 'GAP' levels over the current time period and an optional higher time period.
The script takes into account the high/low values of the current bar and compares with the 2 previous bars.
The "gap" is generated from the lack of overlap between these bars. Bearish or bullish gaps are determined by whether the gap is above or below HmaPrice, as they tend to fill, and can be used as targets.
NOTE: FAIR VALUE GAP has no values displayed in the table and/or label.
Important information (DATA) relating to each indicator is displayed in real time in a table and/or a label.
Each information is commented and colored according to direction, value, comparison etc.
Each piece of information indicates the values of the current bar and the previous value (in "FULL" mode).
The other possible modes for viewing the table and/or the label allow a more synthetic view of the information ("CONDENSED" and "MINIMAL" modes).
In order not to overload the vision of the chart too much, the visualization box of the RANGE DONCHIAN, the vertical lines of the shifted marks of the ICHIMOKU, as well as the boxes of the HHLL Boxes indicator are only visualized intermittently (managed by an adjustable time delay ).
The "HISTORICAL INFO READING" configuration parameter set to zero (by default) makes it possible to read all the information of the current bar in progress (Bar #0). All other values allow to read the information of a historical bar. The value 1 reads the information of the bar preceding the current bar (-1). The value 10 makes it possible to read the information of the tenth bar behind (-10) compared to the current bar, etc.
At the bottom of the DATAS table and label, lights, red, green or white indicate quickly summarize the trend from the various indicators.
Each light represents the number of indicators with the same trend at a given time.
Green for a bullish trend, red for a bearish trend and white for a neutral trend.
The conditions for determining a trend are for each indicator:
SUPERTREND ICHIMOHU + DMI: the 2 Super trends together are either bullish or bearish.
Otherwise the signal is neutral.
DMI: 2 main conditions:
BULLISH if DI+ >= DI- and ADX >25.
BEARISH if DI+ < DI- and ADX >25.
NEUTRAL if the 2 conditions are not met.
ICHIMOKU: 3 main conditions:
BULLISH if PRICE above the cloud and TENKAN > KIJUN and GREEN CLOUD AHEAD.
BEARISH if PRICE below the cloud and TENKAN < KIJUN and RED CLOUD AHEAD.
The other additional conditions (Data) complete the analysis and are present for informational purposes of the trend and depend on the context.
DONCHIAN CHANNEL: 1 main condition:
BULLISH: the price has crossed above the HIGH DC line.
BEARISH: the price has gone below the LOW DC line.
NEUTRAL if the price is between the HIGH DC and LOW DC lines
The 2 other complementary conditions (Datas) complete the analysis:
HIGH DC and LOW DC are increasing, falling or stable.
SUPERTREND HMA HULL: The script determines several trend levels:
STRONG BUY, BUY, STRONG SELL, SELL AND NEUTRAL.
VOLUME: 3 trend levels:
VOLUME > MOVING AVERAGE,
VOLUME < MOVING AVERAGE,
VOLUME = MOVING AVERAGE.
PRICE: 3 trend levels:
PRICE > MOVING AVERAGE,
PRICE < MOVING AVERAGE,
PRICE = MOVING AVERAGE.
If you are using this indicator/strategy and you are satisfied with the results, you can possibly make a donation (a coffee, a pizza or more...) via paypal to: lebourg.regis@free.fr.
Thanks in advance !!!
Have good winning Trades.
**************************************************************************************************************************
SUPERTREND MIXED ICHI-DMI-VOL-GAP-HLBox@RL
by RegisL76
Ce script est basé sur plusieurs indicateurs de tendance.
* ICHIMOKU (KINKO HYO)
* DMI (Directional Movement Index)
* SUPERTREND ICHIMOKU + SUPERTREND DMI
* DONCHIAN CANAL Optimized with Colored Bars
* HMA Hull
* Fair Value GAP
* VOLUME/ MA Volume
* PRIX / MA Prix
* HHLL BOXES
Toutes ces indications sont visibles simultanément sur un seul et même graphique.
Un tableau de données récapitule toutes les informations importantes pour prendre une bonne décision de Trade.
I- Indicateur ICHIMOKU :
L’indicateur ICHIMOKU est visualisé de manière traditionnelle
Les valeurs de réglage standard ICHIMOKU sont respectées mais modifiables. (Valeurs traditionnelles par défaut =
Un symbole visuel orienté, à proximité de la dernière valeur, indique la progression (Montant, Descendant ou neutre) de la TENKAN-SEN et de la KIJUN-SEN ainsi que la période utilisée.
Le NUAGE (KUMO) et la CHIKOU-SPAN sont bien présents et sont primordiaux pour l'analyse complète de l'ICHIMOKU.
En haut du graphique sont représentés visuellement les croisements de la TENKAN et de la KIJUN.
Des lignes verticales, accompagnées d'étiquettes, permettent de visualiser rapidement les particularités de l'ICHIMOKU.
Une ligne visualise la barre en cours.
Une ligne visualise l'extrémité du NUAGE (KUMO) qui est décalé de 25 barres dans le futur.
Une ligne visualise l'extrémité de la chikou-span, qui est décalée de 25 barres dans le passé.
II-DIRECTIONAL MOVEMENT INDEX (DMI)
Traité de manière conventionnelle : DI+, DI-, ADX et associé à un SUPERTREND DMI
Un symbole visuel en bas du graphique indique les croisements DI+ et DI-
Une ligne de symboles orientés et colorés (DMI Line) en haut du graphique, indique la direction et la puissance de la tendance.
III SUPERTREND ICHIMOKU + SUPERTREND DMI
Suivi de tendance par calcul SUPERTREND
IV- DONCHIAN CANAL :
Traité de manière conventionnelle.
(Et optimisé par des barres colorées en cas de dépassement soit vers le haut, soit vers le bas.
Les lignes, haute et basse des dernières valeurs du canal sont représentées pour visualiser rapidement la fourchette du RANGE.
V- SUPERTREND HMA (HULL)
Traité de manière conventionnelle.
La ligne HMA indique visuellement, selon la couleur et l'orientation, la tendance du marché.
Un symbole visuel en bas du graphique indique les opportunités de vente et d'achat.
*VI VOLUME :
Calcul de la MOYENNE MOBILE du volume avec comparaison du volume par rapport à la moyenne mobile du volume.
Les indications sont colorées et commentées en fonction de la comparaison.
*VII PRIX :
Calcul de la MOYENNE MOBILE du prix avec comparaison du prix par rapport à la moyenne mobile du prix.
Les indications sont colorées et commentées en fonction de la comparaison.
*VIII HHLL BOXES :
Visualise sous forme de boite, pour une période donnée, les valeurs max hautes et min basses du prix.
La configuration permet de prendre en compte les mèches hautes et basses du prix ou bien les valeurs d'ouverture et de fermeture.
IX - FAIR VALUE GAP
Cet indicateur affiche les niveaux de 'GAP' sur la période temporelle actuelle ET une période temporelle facultative supérieure.
Le script prend en compte les valeurs haut/bas de la barre actuelle et compare avec les 2 barres précédentes.
Le "gap" est généré à partir du manque de recouvrement entre ces barres.
Les écarts baissiers ou haussiers sont déterminés selon que l'écart est supérieurs ou inférieur à HmaPrice, car ils ont tendance à être comblés, et peuvent être utilisés comme cibles.
NOTA : FAIR VALUE GAP n'a pas de valeurs affichées dans la table et/ou l'étiquette.
Les informations importantes (DATAS) relatives à chaque indicateur sont visualisées en temps réel dans une table et/ou une étiquette.
Chaque information est commentée et colorée en fonction de la direction, de la valeur, de la comparaison etc.
Chaque information indique la valeurs de la barre en cours et la valeur précédente ( en mode "COMPLET").
Les autres modes possibles pour visualiser la table et/ou l'étiquette, permettent une vue plus synthétique des informations (modes "CONDENSÉ" et "MINIMAL").
Afin de ne pas trop surcharger la vision du graphique, la boite de visualisation du RANGE DONCHIAN, les lignes verticales des marques décalées de l'ICHIMOKU, ainsi que les boites de l'indicateur HHLL Boxes ne sont visualisées que de manière intermittente (géré par une temporisation réglable ).
Le paramètre de configuration "HISTORICAL INFO READING" réglé sur zéro (par défaut) permet de lire toutes les informations de la barre actuelle en cours (Barre #0).
Toutes autres valeurs permet de lire les informations d'une barre historique. La valeur 1 permet de lire les informations de la barre précédant la barre en cours (-1).
La valeur 10 permet de lire les information de la dixième barre en arrière (-10) par rapport à la barre en cours, etc.
Dans le bas de la table et de l'étiquette de DATAS, des voyants, rouge, vert ou blanc indique de manière rapide la synthèse de la tendance issue des différents indicateurs.
Chaque voyant représente le nombre d'indicateur ayant la même tendance à un instant donné. Vert pour une tendance Bullish, rouge pour une tendance Bearish et blanc pour une tendance neutre.
Les conditions pour déterminer une tendance sont pour chaque indicateur :
SUPERTREND ICHIMOHU + DMI : les 2 Super trends sont ensemble soit bullish soit Bearish. Sinon le signal est neutre.
DMI : 2 conditions principales :
BULLISH si DI+ >= DI- et ADX >25.
BEARISH si DI+ < DI- et ADX >25.
NEUTRE si les 2 conditions ne sont pas remplies.
ICHIMOKU : 3 conditions principales :
BULLISH si PRIX au dessus du nuage et TENKAN > KIJUN et NUAGE VERT DEVANT.
BEARISH si PRIX en dessous du nuage et TENKAN < KIJUN et NUAGE ROUGE DEVANT.
Les autres conditions complémentaires (Datas) complètent l'analyse et sont présents à titre informatif de la tendance et dépendent du contexte.
CANAL DONCHIAN : 1 condition principale :
BULLISH : le prix est passé au dessus de la ligne HIGH DC.
BEARISH : le prix est passé au dessous de la ligne LOW DC.
NEUTRE si le prix se situe entre les lignes HIGH DC et LOW DC
Les 2 autres conditions complémentaires (Datas) complètent l'analyse : HIGH DC et LOW DC sont croissants, descendants ou stables.
SUPERTREND HMA HULL :
Le script détermine plusieurs niveaux de tendance :
STRONG BUY, BUY, STRONG SELL, SELL ET NEUTRE.
VOLUME : 3 niveaux de tendance :
VOLUME > MOYENNE MOBILE, VOLUME < MOYENNE MOBILE, VOLUME = MOYENNE MOBILE.
PRIX : 3 niveaux de tendance :
PRIX > MOYENNE MOBILE, PRIX < MOYENNE MOBILE, PRIX = MOYENNE MOBILE.
Si vous utilisez cet indicateur/ stratégie et que vous êtes satisfait des résultats,
vous pouvez éventuellement me faire un don (un café, une pizza ou plus ...) via paypal à : lebourg.regis@free.fr.
Merci d'avance !!!
Ayez de bons Trades gagnants.
RS Rating Multi-TimeframeRS Rating Multi-Timeframe (IBD-Style Relative Strength)
Short Description:
IBD-style Relative Strength Rating (1-99) comparing any stock's performance vs the S&P 500 across multiple timeframes.
Full Description:
Overview
This indicator calculates an IBD-style Relative Strength (RS) Rating that measures a stock's price performance relative to the S&P 500 over the past 12 months. The rating scale ranges from 1 (weakest) to 99 (strongest), telling you how a stock ranks against all other stocks in terms of relative performance.
How It Works
The RS Rating uses a weighted formula based on quarterly performance:
Last 63 days (1 quarter): 40% weight
Last 126 days (2 quarters): 20% weight
Last 189 days (3 quarters): 20% weight
Last 252 days (4 quarters): 20% weight
This weighting emphasizes recent performance while still accounting for longer-term strength.
Rating Interpretation
90-99 (Elite): Top 10% of all stocks - exceptional relative strength
80-89 (Excellent): Top 20% - strong leadership candidates
50-79 (Average): Middle of the pack
30-49 (Below Average): Underperforming the market
1-29 (Weak): Bottom 30% - avoid or consider shorting
Features
Multi-Timeframe: Works on any timeframe from 1-hour to weekly (always uses daily data for calculation)
Moving Average: Optional EMA or SMA of the RS Rating to smooth signals
Visual Zones: Color-coded zones for quick identification of strength/weakness
Signal Markers: Triangles appear when RS crosses key levels (80 and 30)
Info Table: Displays current RS Rating, change, MA value, and raw score
Alerts: Built-in alerts for key crossover events
Settings
Show Moving Average: Toggle MA line on/off
MA Length: Period for the moving average (default: 10)
MA Type: Choose between EMA or SMA
Benchmark Index: Change the comparison index (default: SP:SPX)
Show Rating Table: Toggle the info table on/off
How To Use
Buy candidates: Look for stocks with RS Rating above 80, ideally rising
Avoid: Stocks with RS Rating below 30 or falling rapidly
Confirmation: Use RS above its moving average as additional confirmation
Divergence: Watch for RS making new highs before price (bullish) or new lows before price (bearish)
Credits
RS Rating calculation methodology inspired by Investor's Business Daily (IBD) and adapted from Fred6724's RS Rating script. Percentile calibration based on analysis of ~6,600 US stocks.
Tags: relative strength, RS rating, IBD, momentum, CAN SLIM, benchmark, SPX, market leaders, stock ranking
Category: Relative Strength
RSI HTF Hardcoded (A/B Presets) + Regimes [CHE]RSI HTF Hardcoded (A/B Presets) + Regimes — Higher-timeframe RSI emulation with acceptance-based regime filter and on-chart diagnostics
Summary
This indicator emulates a higher-timeframe RSI on the current chart by resolving hardcoded “HTF-like” lengths from a time-bucket mapping, avoiding cross-timeframe requests. It computes RSI on a resolved length, smooths it with a resolved moving average, and derives a histogram-style difference (RSI minus its smoother). A four-state regime classifier is gated by a dead-band and an acceptance filter requiring consecutive bars before a regime is considered valid. An on-chart table reports the active preset, resolved mapping tag, resolved lengths, and the current filtered regime.
Pine version: v6
Overlay: false
Primary outputs: RSI line, SMA(RSI) line, RSI–SMA histogram columns, reference levels (30/50/70), regime-change alert, info table
Motivation
Cross-timeframe RSI implementations often rely on `request.security`, which can introduce repaint pathways and additional update latency. This design uses deterministic, on-series computation: it infers a coarse target bucket (or uses a forced bucket) and resolves lengths accordingly. The dead-band reduces noise at the decision boundaries (around RSI 50 and around the RSI–SMA difference), while the acceptance filter suppresses rapid flip-flops by requiring sustained agreement across bars.
Differences
Baseline: Standard RSI with a user-selected length on the same timeframe, or HTF RSI via cross-timeframe requests.
Key differences:
Hardcoded preset families and a bucket-based mapping to resolve “HTF-like” lengths on the current chart.
No `request.security`; all calculations run on the chart’s own series.
Regime classification uses two independent signals (RSI relative to 50 and RSI–SMA difference), gated by a configurable dead-band and an acceptance counter.
Always-on diagnostics via a persistent table (optional), showing preset, mapping tag, resolved lengths, and filtered regime.
Practical effect: The oscillator behaves like a slower, higher-timeframe variant with more stable regime transitions, at the cost of delayed recognition around sharp turns (by design).
How it works
1. Bucket selection: The script derives a coarse “target bucket” from the chart timeframe (Auto) or uses a user-forced bucket.
2. Length resolution: A chosen preset defines base lengths (RSI length and smoothing length). A bucket/timeframe mapping resolves a multiplier, producing final lengths used for RSI and smoothing.
3. Oscillator construction: RSI is computed on the resolved RSI length. A moving average of RSI is computed on the resolved smoothing length. The difference (RSI minus its smoother) is used as the histogram series.
4. Regime classification: Four regimes are defined from:
RSI relative to 50 (bullish above, bearish below), with a dead-band around 50
Difference relative to 0 (positive/negative), with a dead-band around 0
These two axes produce strong/weak bull and bear states, plus a neutral state when inside the dead-band(s).
5. Acceptance filter: The raw regime must persist for `n` consecutive bars before it becomes the filtered regime. The alert triggers when the filtered regime changes.
6. Diagnostics and visualization: Histogram columns change shade based on sign and whether the difference is rising/falling. The table displays preset, mapping tag, resolved lengths, and the filtered regime description.
Parameter Guide
Source — Input series for RSI — Default: Close — Smoother sources reduce noise but add lag.
Preset — Base lengths family — Default: A(14/14) — Switch presets to change RSI and smoothing responsiveness.
Target Bucket — Auto or forced bucket — Default: Auto — Force a bucket to lock behavior across chart timeframe changes.
Table X / Table Y — Table anchor — Default: right / top — Move to avoid covering content.
Table Size — Table text size — Default: normal — Increase for presentations, decrease for dense layouts.
Dark Mode — Table theme — Default: enabled — Match chart background for readability.
Show Table — Toggle diagnostics table — Default: enabled — Disable for a cleaner pane.
Epsilon (dead-band) — Noise gate for decisions — Default: 1.0 — Raise to reduce flips near boundaries; lower to react faster.
Acceptance bars (n) — Bars required to confirm a regime — Default: 3 — Higher reduces whipsaw; lower increases reactivity.
Reading
Histogram (RSI–SMA):
Above zero indicates RSI is above its smoother (positive momentum bias).
Below zero indicates RSI is below its smoother (negative momentum bias).
Darker/lighter shading indicates whether the difference is increasing or decreasing versus the previous bar.
RSI vs SMA(RSI):
RSI’s position relative to 50 provides broad directional bias.
RSI’s position relative to its smoother provides momentum confirmation/contra-signal.
Regimes:
Strong bull: RSI meaningfully above 50 and difference meaningfully above 0.
Weak bull: RSI above 50 but difference below 0 (pullback/transition).
Strong bear: RSI meaningfully below 50 and difference meaningfully below 0.
Weak bear: RSI below 50 but difference above 0 (pullback/transition).
Neutral: inside the dead-band(s).
Table:
Use it to validate the active preset, the mapping tag, the resolved lengths, and the filtered regime output.
Workflows
Trend confirmation:
Favor long bias when strong bull is active; favor short bias when strong bear is active.
Treat weak regimes as pullback/transition context rather than immediate reversals, especially with higher acceptance.
Structure + oscillator:
Combine regimes with swing structure, breakouts, or a baseline trend filter to avoid trading against dominant structure.
Use regime change alerts as a “state change” notification, not as a standalone entry.
Multi-asset consistency:
The bucket mapping helps keep a consistent “feel” across different chart timeframes without relying on external timeframe series.
Behavior/Constraints
Intrabar behavior:
No cross-timeframe requests are used; values can still evolve on the live bar and settle at close depending on your chart/update timing.
Warm-up requirements:
Large resolved lengths require sufficient history to seed RSI and smoothing. Expect a warm-up period after loading or switching symbols/timeframes.
Latency by design:
Dead-band and acceptance filtering reduce noise but can delay regime changes during sharp reversals.
Chart types:
Intended for standard time-based charts. Non-time-based or synthetic chart types (e.g., Heikin-Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point-and-Figure, Range) can distort oscillator behavior and regime stability.
Tuning
Too many flips near decision boundaries:
Increase Epsilon and/or increase Acceptance bars.
Too sluggish in clean trends:
Reduce Acceptance bars by one, or choose a faster preset (shorter base lengths).
Too sensitive on lower timeframes:
Choose a slower preset (longer base lengths) or force a higher Target Bucket.
Want less clutter:
Disable the table and keep only the alert + plots you need.
What it is/isn’t
This indicator is a regime and visualization layer for RSI using higher-timeframe emulation and stability gates. It is not a complete trading system and does not provide position sizing, risk management, or execution rules. Use it alongside structure, liquidity/volatility context, and protective risk controls.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino.
MACD HTF Hardcoded (A/B Presets) + Regimes [CHE] MACD HTF Hardcoded (A/B Presets) + Regimes — Higher-timeframe MACD emulation with acceptance-based regime filter and on-chart diagnostics
Summary
This indicator emulates a higher-timeframe MACD directly on the current chart using two hardcoded preset families and a time-bucket mapping, avoiding cross-timeframe requests. It classifies four MACD regimes and applies an acceptance filter that requires several consecutive bars before a state is considered valid. A small dead-band around zero reduces noise near the axis. An on-chart table reports the active preset, the inferred time bucket, the resolved lengths, and the current regime.
Pine version: v6
Overlay: false
Primary outputs: MACD line, Signal line, Histogram columns, zero line, regime-change alert, info table
Motivation: Why this design?
Cross-timeframe indicators often rely on external timeframe requests, which can introduce repaint paths and added latency. This design provides a deterministic alternative: it maps the current chart’s timeframe to coarse higher-timeframe buckets and uses fixed EMA lengths that approximate those views. The dead-band suppresses flip-flops around zero, and the acceptance counter reduces whipsaw by requiring sustained agreement across bars before acknowledging a regime.
What’s different vs. standard approaches?
Baseline: Classical MACD with user-selected lengths on the same timeframe, or higher-timeframe MACD via cross-timeframe requests.
Architecture differences:
Hardcoded A and B length families with a bucket map derived from the chart timeframe.
No `request.security`; all calculations occur on the current series.
Regime classification from MACD and Histogram sign, gated by an acceptance count and a small zero dead-band.
Diagnostics table for transparency.
Practical effect: The MACD behaves like a slower, higher-timeframe variant without external requests. Regimes switch less often due to the dead-band and acceptance logic, which can improve stability in choppy sessions.
How it works (technical)
The script derives a coarse bucket from the chart timeframe using `timeframe.in_seconds` and maps it to preset-specific EMA lengths. EMAs of the source build MACD and Signal; their difference is the Histogram. Signs of MACD and Histogram define four regimes: strong bull, weak bull, strong bear, and weak bear. A small, user-defined band around zero treats values near the axis as neutral. An acceptance counter checks whether the same regime persisted for a given number of consecutive bars before it is emitted as the filtered regime. A single alert condition fires when the filtered regime changes. The histogram columns change shade based on position relative to zero and whether they are rising or falling. A persistent table object shows preset, bucket tag, resolved lengths, and the filtered regime. No cross-timeframe requests are used, so repaint risk is limited to normal live-bar movement; values stabilize on close.
Parameter Guide
Source — Input series for MACD — Default: Close — Using a smoother source increases stability but adds lag.
Preset — A or B length family — Default: “3,10,16” — Switch to “12,26,9” for the classic family mapped to buckets.
Table Position — Anchor for the info table — Default: Top right — Choose a corner that avoids covering price action.
Table Size — Table text size — Default: Normal — Use small on dense charts, large for presentations.
Dark Mode — Table theme — Default: Enabled — Match your chart background for readability.
Show Table — Toggle diagnostics table — Default: Enabled — Disable for a cleaner pane.
Zero dead-band (epsilon) — Noise gate around zero — Default: Zero — Increase slightly when you see frequent flips near zero.
Acceptance bars (n) — Bars required to confirm a regime — Default: Three — Raise to reduce whipsaw; lower to react faster.
Reading & Interpretation
Histogram columns: Above zero indicates bullish pressure; below zero indicates bearish pressure. Darker shade implies the histogram increased compared with the prior bar; lighter shade implies it decreased.
MACD vs. Signal lines: The spread corresponds to histogram height.
Regimes:
Strong bull: MACD above zero and Histogram above zero.
Weak bull: MACD above zero and Histogram below zero.
Strong bear: MACD below zero and Histogram below zero.
Weak bear: MACD below zero and Histogram above zero.
Table: Inspect active preset, bucket tag, resolved lengths, and the filtered regime number with its description.
Practical Workflows & Combinations
Trend following: Use strong bull to favor long exposure and strong bear to favor short exposure. Use weak states as pullback or transition context. Combine with structure tools such as swing highs and lows or a baseline moving average for confirmation.
Exits and risk: In strong trends, consider exiting partial size on a regime downgrade to a weak state. In choppy sessions, increase the acceptance bars to reduce churn.
Multi-asset / Multi-timeframe: Works on time-based charts across liquid futures, indices, currencies, and large-cap equities. Bucket mapping helps retain a consistent feel when moving from lower to higher timeframes.
Behavior, Constraints & Performance
Repaint/confirmation: No cross-timeframe requests; values can evolve intrabar and settle on close. Alerts follow your TradingView alert timing settings.
Resources: `max_bars_back` is set to five thousand. Very large resolved lengths require sufficient history to seed EMAs; expect a warm-up period on first load or after switching symbols.
Known limits: Dead-band and acceptance can delay recognition at sharp turns. Extremely thin markets or large gaps may still cause brief regime reversals.
Sensible Defaults & Quick Tuning
Start with preset “3,10,16”, dead-band near zero, and acceptance of three bars.
Too many flips near zero: increase the dead-band slightly or raise the acceptance bars.
Too sluggish in clean trends: reduce the acceptance bars by one.
Too sensitive on fast lower timeframes: switch to the “12,26,9” preset family or raise the acceptance bars.
Want less clutter: hide the table and keep the alert.
What this indicator is—and isn’t
This is a visualization and regime layer for MACD using higher-timeframe emulation and stability gates. It is not a complete trading system and does not generate position sizing or risk management. Use it with market structure, execution rules, and protective stops.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Do not use this indicator on Heikin-Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point-and-Figure, or Range charts, as these chart types can produce unrealistic results for signal markers and alerts.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino
COT IndexTHE HIDDEN INTELLIGENCE IN FUTURES MARKETS
What if you could see what the smartest players in the futures markets are doing before the crowd catches on? While retail traders chase momentum indicators and moving averages, obsess over Japanese candlestick patterns, and debate whether the RSI should be set to fourteen or twenty-one periods, institutional players leave footprints in the sand through their mandatory reporting to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. These footprints, published weekly in the Commitment of Traders reports, have been hiding in plain sight for decades, available to anyone with an internet connection, yet remarkably few traders understand how to interpret them correctly. The COT Index indicator transforms this raw institutional positioning data into actionable trading signals, bringing Wall Street intelligence to your trading screen without requiring expensive Bloomberg terminals or insider connections.
The uncomfortable truth is this: Most retail traders operate in a binary world. Long or short. Buy or sell. They apply technical analysis to individual positions, constrained by limited capital that forces them to concentrate risk in single directional bets. Meanwhile, institutional traders operate in an entirely different dimension. They manage portfolios dynamically weighted across multiple markets, adjusting exposure based on evolving market conditions, correlation shifts, and risk assessments that retail traders never see. A hedge fund might be simultaneously long gold, short oil, neutral on copper, and overweight agricultural commodities, with position sizes calibrated to volatility and portfolio Greeks. When they increase gold exposure from five percent to eight percent of portfolio allocation, this rebalancing decision reflects sophisticated analysis of opportunity cost, risk parity, and cross-market dynamics that no individual chart pattern can capture.
This portfolio reweighting activity, multiplied across hundreds of institutional participants, manifests in the aggregate positioning data published weekly by the CFTC. The Commitment of Traders report does not show individual trades or strategies. It shows the collective footprint of how actual commercial hedgers and large speculators have allocated their capital across different markets. When mining companies collectively increase forward gold sales to hedge thirty percent more production than last quarter, they are not reacting to a moving average crossover. They are making strategic allocation decisions based on production forecasts, cost structures, and price expectations derived from operational realities invisible to outside observers. This is portfolio management in action, revealed through positioning data rather than price charts.
If you want to understand how institutional capital actually flows, how sophisticated traders genuinely position themselves across market cycles, the COT report provides a rare window into that hidden world. But understand what you are getting into. This is not a tool for scalpers seeking confirmation of the next five-minute move. This is not an oscillator that flashes oversold at market bottoms with convenient precision. COT analysis operates on a timescale measured in weeks and months, revealing positioning shifts that precede major market turns but offer no precision timing. The data arrives three days stale, published only once per week, capturing strategic positioning rather than tactical entries.
If you need instant gratification, if you trade intraday moves, if you demand mechanical signals with ninety percent accuracy, close this document now. COT analysis rewards patience, position sizing discipline, and tolerance for being early. It punishes impatience, overleveraging, and the expectation that any single indicator can substitute for market understanding.
The premise is deceptively simple. Every Tuesday, large traders in futures markets must report their positions to the CFTC. By Friday afternoon, this data becomes public. Academic research spanning three decades has consistently shown that not all market participants are created equal. Some traders consistently profit while others consistently lose. Some anticipate major turning points while others chase trends into exhaustion. Bessembinder and Chan (1992) demonstrated in their seminal study that commercial hedgers, those with actual exposure to the underlying commodity or financial instrument, possess superior forecasting ability compared to speculators. Their research, published in the Journal of Finance, found statistically significant predictive power in commercial positioning, particularly at extreme levels. This finding challenged the efficient market hypothesis and opened the door to a new approach to market analysis based on positioning rather than price alone.
Think about what this means. Every week, the government publishes a report showing you exactly how the most informed market participants are positioned. Not their opinions. Not their predictions. Their actual money at risk. When agricultural producers collectively hold their largest short hedge in five years, they are not making idle speculation. They are locking in prices for crops they will harvest, informed by private knowledge of weather conditions, soil quality, inventory levels, and demand expectations invisible to outside observers. When energy companies aggressively hedge forward production at current prices, they reveal information about expected supply that no analyst report can capture. This is not technical analysis based on past prices. This is not fundamental analysis based on publicly available data. This is behavioral analysis based on how the smartest money is actually positioned, how institutions allocate capital across portfolios, and how those allocation decisions shift as market conditions evolve.
WHY SOME TRADERS KNOW MORE THAN OTHERS
Building on this foundation, Sanders, Boris and Manfredo (2004) conducted extensive research examining the behaviour patterns of different trader categories. Their work, which analyzed over a decade of COT data across multiple commodity markets, revealed a fascinating dynamic that challenges much of what retail traders are taught. Commercial hedgers consistently positioned themselves against market extremes, buying when speculators were most bearish and selling when speculators reached peak bullishness. The contrarian positioning of commercials was not random noise but rather reflected their superior information about supply and demand fundamentals. Meanwhile, large speculators, primarily hedge funds and commodity trading advisors, exhibited strong trend-following behaviour that often amplified market moves beyond fundamental values. Small traders, the retail participants, consistently entered positions late in trends, frequently near turning points, making them reliable contrary indicators.
Wang (2003) extended this research by demonstrating that the predictive power of commercial positioning varies significantly across different commodity sectors. His analysis of agricultural commodities showed particularly strong forecasting ability, with commercial net positions explaining up to fifteen percent of return variance in subsequent weeks. This finding suggests that the informational advantages of hedgers are most pronounced in markets where physical supply and demand fundamentals dominate, as opposed to purely financial markets where information asymmetries are smaller. When a corn farmer hedges six months of expected harvest, that decision incorporates private observations about rainfall patterns, crop health, pest pressure, and local storage capacity that no distant analyst can match. When an oil refinery hedges crude oil purchases and gasoline sales simultaneously, the spread relationships reveal expectations about refining margins that reflect operational realities invisible in public data.
The theoretical mechanism underlying these empirical patterns relates to information asymmetry and different participant motivations. Commercial hedgers engage in futures markets not for speculative profit but to manage business risks. An agricultural producer selling forward six months of expected harvest is not making a bet on price direction but rather locking in revenue to facilitate financial planning and ensure business viability. However, this hedging activity necessarily incorporates private information about expected supply, inventory levels, weather conditions, and demand trends that the hedger observes through their commercial operations (Irwin and Sanders, 2012). When aggregated across many participants, this private information manifests in collective positioning.
Consider a gold mining company deciding how much forward production to hedge. Management must estimate ore grades, recovery rates, production costs, equipment reliability, labor availability, and dozens of other operational variables that determine whether locking in prices at current levels makes business sense. If the industry collectively hedges more aggressively than usual, it suggests either exceptional production expectations or concern about sustaining current price levels or combination of both. Either way, this positioning reveals information unavailable to speculators analyzing price charts and economic data. The hedger sees the physical reality behind the financial abstraction.
Large speculators operate under entirely different incentives and constraints. Commodity Trading Advisors managing billions in assets typically employ systematic, trend-following strategies that respond to price momentum rather than fundamental supply and demand. When crude oil rallies from sixty dollars to seventy dollars per barrel, these systems generate buy signals. As the rally continues to eighty dollars, position sizes increase. The strategy works brilliantly during sustained trends but becomes a liability at reversals. By the time oil reaches ninety dollars, trend-following funds are maximally long, having accumulated positions progressively throughout the rally. At this point, they represent not smart money anticipating further gains but rather crowded money vulnerable to reversal. Sanders, Boris and Manfredo (2004) documented this pattern across multiple energy markets, showing that extreme speculator positioning typically marked late-stage trend exhaustion rather than early-stage trend development.
Small traders, the retail participants who fall below reporting thresholds, display the weakest forecasting ability. Wang (2003) found that small trader positioning exhibited negative correlation with subsequent returns, meaning their aggregate positioning served as a reliable contrary indicator. The explanation combines several factors. Retail traders often lack the capital reserves to weather normal market volatility, leading to premature exits from positions that would eventually prove profitable. They tend to receive information through slower channels, entering trends after mainstream media coverage when institutional participants are preparing to exit. Perhaps most importantly, they trade with emotion, buying into euphoria and selling into panic at precisely the wrong times.
At major turning points, the three groups often position opposite each other with commercials extremely bearish, large speculators extremely bullish, and small traders piling into longs at the last moment. These high-divergence environments frequently precede increased volatility and trend reversals. The insiders with business exposure quietly exit as the momentum traders hit maximum capacity and retail enthusiasm peaks. Within weeks, the reversal begins, and positions unwind in the opposite sequence.
FROM RAW DATA TO ACTIONABLE SIGNALS
The COT Index indicator operationalizes these academic findings into a practical trading tool accessible through TradingView. At its core, the indicator normalizes net positioning data onto a zero to one hundred scale, creating what we call the COT Index. This normalization is critical because absolute position sizes vary dramatically across different futures contracts and over time. A commercial trader holding fifty thousand contracts net long in crude oil might be extremely bullish by historical standards, or it might be quite neutral depending on the context of total market size and historical ranges. Raw position numbers mean nothing without context. The COT Index solves this problem by calculating where current positioning stands relative to its range over a specified lookback period, typically two hundred fifty-two weeks or approximately five years of weekly data.
The mathematical transformation follows the methodology originally popularized by legendary trader Larry Williams, though the underlying concept appears in statistical normalization techniques across many fields. For any given trader category, we calculate the highest and lowest net position values over the lookback period, establishing the historical range for that specific market and trader group. Current positioning is then expressed as a percentage of this range, where zero represents the most bearish positioning ever seen in the lookback window and one hundred represents the most bullish extreme. A reading of fifty indicates positioning exactly in the middle of the historical range, suggesting neither extreme optimism nor pessimism relative to recent history (Williams and Noseworthy, 2009).
This index-based approach allows for meaningful comparison across different markets and time periods, overcoming the scaling problems inherent in analyzing raw position data. A commercial index reading of eighty-five in gold carries the same interpretive meaning as an eighty-five reading in wheat or crude oil, even though the absolute position sizes differ by orders of magnitude. This standardization enables systematic analysis across entire futures portfolios rather than requiring market-specific expertise for each contract.
The lookback period selection involves a fundamental tradeoff between responsiveness and stability. Shorter lookback periods, perhaps one hundred twenty-six weeks or approximately two and a half years, make the index more sensitive to recent positioning changes. However, it also increases noise and produces more false signals. Longer lookback periods, perhaps five hundred weeks or approximately ten years, create smoother readings that filter short-term noise but become slower to recognize regime changes. The indicator settings allow users to adjust this parameter based on their trading timeframe, risk tolerance, and market characteristics.
UNDERSTANDING CFTC DATA STRUCTURES
The indicator supports both Legacy and Disaggregated COT report formats, reflecting the evolution of CFTC reporting standards over decades of market development. Legacy reports categorize market participants into three broad groups: commercial traders (hedgers with underlying business exposure), non-commercial traders (large speculators seeking profit without commercial interest), and non-reportable traders (small speculators below reporting thresholds). Each category brings distinct motivations and information advantages to the market (CFTC, 2020).
The Disaggregated reports, introduced in September 2009 for physical commodity markets, provide finer granularity by splitting participants into five categories (CFTC, 2009). Producer and merchant positions capture those actually producing, processing, or merchandising the physical commodity. Swap dealers represent financial intermediaries facilitating derivative transactions for clients. Managed money includes commodity trading advisors and hedge funds executing systematic or discretionary strategies. Other reportables encompasses diverse participants not fitting the main categories. Small traders remain as the fifth group, representing retail participation.
This enhanced categorization reveals nuances invisible in Legacy reports, particularly distinguishing between different types of institutional capital and their distinct behavioural patterns. The indicator automatically detects which report type is appropriate for each futures contract and adjusts the display accordingly.
Importantly, Disaggregated reports exist only for physical commodity futures. Agricultural commodities like corn, wheat, and soybeans have Disaggregated reports because clear producer, merchant, and swap dealer categories exist. Energy commodities like crude oil and natural gas similarly have well-defined commercial hedger categories. Metals including gold, silver, and copper also receive Disaggregated treatment (CFTC, 2009). However, financial futures such as equity index futures, Treasury bond futures, and currency futures remain available only in Legacy format. The CFTC has indicated no plans to extend Disaggregated reporting to financial futures due to different market structures and participant categories in these instruments (CFTC, 2020).
THE BEHAVIORAL FOUNDATION
Understanding which trader perspective to follow requires appreciation of their distinct trading styles, success rates, and psychological profiles. Commercial hedgers exhibit anticyclical behaviour rooted in their fundamental knowledge and business imperatives. When agricultural producers hedge forward sales during harvest season, they are not speculating on price direction but rather locking in revenue for crops they will harvest. Their business requires converting volatile commodity exposure into predictable cash flows to facilitate planning and ensure survival through difficult periods. Yet their aggregate positioning reveals valuable information because these hedging decisions incorporate private information about supply conditions, inventory levels, weather observations, and demand expectations that hedgers observe through their commercial operations (Bessembinder and Chan, 1992).
Consider a practical example from energy markets. Major oil companies continuously hedge portions of forward production based on price levels, operational costs, and financial planning needs. When crude oil trades at ninety dollars per barrel, they might aggressively hedge the next twelve months of production, locking in prices that provide comfortable profit margins above their extraction costs. This hedging appears as short positioning in COT reports. If oil rallies further to one hundred dollars, they hedge even more aggressively, viewing these prices as exceptional opportunities to secure revenue. Their short positioning grows increasingly extreme. To an outside observer watching only price charts, the rally suggests bullishness. But the commercial positioning reveals that the actual producers of oil find these prices attractive enough to lock in years of sales, suggesting skepticism about sustaining even higher levels. When the eventual reversal occurs and oil declines back to eighty dollars, the commercials who hedged at ninety and one hundred dollars profit while speculators who chased the rally suffer losses.
Large speculators or managed money traders operate under entirely different incentives and constraints. Their systematic, momentum-driven strategies mean they amplify existing trends rather than anticipate reversals. Trend-following systems, the most common approach among large speculators, by definition require confirmation of trend through price momentum before entering positions (Sanders, Boris and Manfredo, 2004). When crude oil rallies from sixty dollars to eighty dollars per barrel over several months, trend-following algorithms generate buy signals based on moving average crossovers, breakouts, and other momentum indicators. As the rally continues, position sizes increase according to the systematic rules.
However, this approach becomes a liability at turning points. By the time oil reaches ninety dollars after a sustained rally, trend-following funds are maximally long, having accumulated positions progressively throughout the move. At this point, their positioning does not predict continued strength. Rather, it often marks late-stage trend exhaustion. The psychological and mechanical explanation is straightforward. Trend followers by definition chase price momentum, entering positions after trends establish rather than anticipating them. Eventually, they become fully invested just as the trend nears completion, leaving no incremental buying power to sustain the rally. When the first signs of reversal appear, systematic stops trigger, creating a cascade of selling that accelerates the downturn.
Small traders consistently display the weakest track record across academic studies. Wang (2003) found that small trader positioning exhibited negative correlation with subsequent returns in his analysis across multiple commodity markets. This result means that whatever small traders collectively do, the opposite typically proves profitable. The explanation for small trader underperformance combines several factors documented in behavioral finance literature. Retail traders often lack the capital reserves to weather normal market volatility, leading to premature exits from positions that would eventually prove profitable. They tend to receive information through slower channels, learning about commodity trends through mainstream media coverage that arrives after institutional participants have already positioned. Perhaps most importantly, retail traders are more susceptible to emotional decision-making, buying into euphoria and selling into panic at precisely the wrong times (Tharp, 2008).
SETTINGS, THRESHOLDS, AND SIGNAL GENERATION
The practical implementation of the COT Index requires understanding several key features and settings that users can adjust to match their trading style, timeframe, and risk tolerance. The lookback period determines the time window for calculating historical ranges. The default setting of two hundred fifty-two bars represents approximately one year on daily charts or five years on weekly charts, balancing responsiveness with stability. Conservative traders seeking only the most extreme, highest-probability signals might extend the lookback to five hundred bars or more. Aggressive traders seeking earlier entry and willing to accept more false positives might reduce it to one hundred twenty-six bars or even less for shorter-term applications.
The bullish and bearish thresholds define signal generation levels. Default settings of eighty and twenty respectively reflect academic research suggesting meaningful information content at these extremes. Readings above eighty indicate positioning in the top quintile of the historical range, representing genuine extremes rather than temporary fluctuations. Conversely, readings below twenty occupy the bottom quintile, indicating unusually bearish positioning (Briese, 2008).
However, traders must recognize that appropriate thresholds vary by market, trader category, and personal risk tolerance. Some futures markets exhibit wider positioning swings than others due to seasonal patterns, volatility characteristics, or participant behavior. Conservative traders seeking high-probability setups with fewer signals might raise thresholds to eighty-five and fifteen. Aggressive traders willing to accept more false positives for earlier entry could lower them to seventy-five and twenty-five.
The key is maintaining meaningful differentiation between bullish, neutral, and bearish zones. The default settings of eighty and twenty create a clear three-zone structure. Readings from zero to twenty represent bearish territory where the selected trader group holds unusually bearish positions. Readings from twenty to eighty represent neutral territory where positioning falls within normal historical ranges. Readings from eighty to one hundred represent bullish territory where the selected trader group holds unusually bullish positions.
The trading perspective selection determines which participant group the indicator follows, fundamentally shaping interpretation and signal meaning. For counter-trend traders seeking reversal opportunities, monitoring commercial positioning makes intuitive sense based on the academic research discussed earlier. When commercials reach extreme bearish readings below twenty, indicating unprecedented short positioning relative to recent history, they are effectively betting against the crowd. Given their informational advantages demonstrated by Bessembinder and Chan (1992), this contrarian stance often precedes major bottoms.
Trend followers might instead monitor large speculator positioning, but with inverted logic compared to commercials. When managed money reaches extreme bullish readings above eighty, the trend may be exhausting rather than accelerating. This seeming paradox reflects their late-cycle participation documented by Sanders, Boris and Manfredo (2004). Sophisticated traders thus use speculator extremes as fade signals, entering positions opposite to speculator consensus.
Small trader monitoring serves primarily as a contrary indicator for all trading styles. Extreme small trader bullishness above seventy-five or eighty typically warns of retail FOMO at market tops. Extreme small trader bearishness below twenty or twenty-five often marks capitulation bottoms where the last weak hands have sold.
VISUALIZATION AND USER INTERFACE
The visual design incorporates multiple elements working together to facilitate decision-making and maintain situational awareness during active trading. The primary COT Index line plots in bold with adjustable line width, defaulting to two pixels for clear visibility against busy price charts. An optional glow effect, controlled by a simple toggle, adds additional visual prominence through multiple plot layers with progressively increasing transparency and width.
A twenty-one period exponential moving average overlays the index line, providing trend context for positioning changes. When the index crosses above its moving average, it signals accelerating bullish sentiment among the selected trader group regardless of whether absolute positioning is extreme. Conversely, when the index crosses below its moving average, it signals deteriorating sentiment and potentially the beginning of a reversal in positioning trends.
The EMA provides a dynamic reference line for assessing positioning momentum. When the index trades far above its EMA, positioning is not only extreme in absolute terms but also building with momentum. When the index trades far below its EMA, positioning is contracting or reversing, which may indicate weakening conviction even if absolute levels remain elevated.
The data table positioned at the top right of the chart displays eleven metrics for each trader category, transforming the indicator from a simple index calculation into an analytical dashboard providing multidimensional market intelligence. Beyond the COT Index itself, users can monitor positioning extremity, which measures how unusual current levels are compared to historical norms using statistical techniques. The extremity metric clarifies whether a reading represents the ninety-fifth or ninety-ninth percentile, with values above two standard deviations indicating genuinely exceptional positioning.
Market power quantifies each group's influence on total open interest. This metric expresses each trader category's net position as a percentage of total market open interest. A commercial entity holding forty percent of total open interest commands significantly more influence than one holding five percent, making their positioning signals more meaningful.
Momentum and rate of change metrics reveal whether positions are building or contracting, providing early warning of potential regime shifts. Position velocity measures the rate of change in positioning changes, effectively a second derivative providing even earlier insight into inflection points.
Sentiment divergence highlights disagreements between commercial and speculative positioning. This metric calculates the absolute difference between normalized commercial and large speculator index values. Wang (2003) found that these high-divergence environments frequently preceded increased volatility and reversals.
The table also displays concentration metrics when available, showing how positioning is distributed among the largest handful of traders in each category. High concentration indicates a few dominant players controlling most of the positioning, while low concentration suggests broad-based participation across many traders.
THE ALERT SYSTEM AND MONITORING
The alert system, comprising five distinct alert conditions, enables systematic monitoring of dozens of futures markets without constant screen watching. The bullish and bearish COT signal alerts trigger when the index crosses user-defined thresholds, indicating the selected trader group has reached extreme positioning worthy of attention. These alerts fire in real-time as new weekly COT data publishes, typically Friday afternoon following the Tuesday measurement date.
Extreme positioning alerts fire at ninety and ten index levels, representing the top and bottom ten percent of the historical range, warning of particularly stretched readings that historically precede reversals with high probability. When commercials reach a COT Index reading below ten, they are expressing their most bearish stance in the entire lookback period.
The data staleness alert notifies users when COT reports have not updated for more than ten days, preventing reliance on outdated information for trading decisions. Government shutdowns or federal holidays can interrupt the normal Friday publication schedule. Using stale signals while believing them current creates dangerous false confidence.
The indicator's watermark information display positioned in the bottom right corner provides essential context at a glance. This persistent display shows the symbol and timeframe, the COT report date timestamp, days since last update, and the current signal state. A trader analyzing a potential short entry in crude oil can glance at the watermark to instantly confirm positioning context without interrupting analysis flow.
LIMITATIONS AND REALISTIC EXPECTATIONS
Practical application requires understanding both the indicator's considerable strengths and inherent limitations. COT data inherently lags price action by three days, as Tuesday positions are not published until Friday afternoon. This delay means the indicator cannot catch rapid intraday reversals or respond to surprise news events. Traders using the COT Index for timing entries must accept this latency and focus on swing trading and position trading timeframes where three-day lags matter less than in day trading or scalping.
The weekly publication schedule similarly makes the indicator unsuitable for short-term trading strategies requiring immediate feedback. The COT Index works best for traders operating on weekly or longer timeframes, where positioning shifts measured in weeks and months align with trading horizon.
Extreme COT readings can persist far longer than typical technical indicators suggest, testing the patience and capital reserves of traders attempting to fade them. When crude oil enters a sustained bull market driven by genuine supply disruptions, commercial hedgers may maintain bearish positioning for many months as prices grind higher. A commercial COT Index reading of fifteen indicating extreme bearishness might persist for three months while prices continue rallying before finally reversing. Traders without sufficient capital and risk tolerance to weather such drawdowns will exit prematurely, precisely when the signal is about to work (Irwin and Sanders, 2012).
Position sizing discipline becomes paramount when implementing COT-based strategies. Rather than risking large percentages of capital on individual signals, successful COT traders typically allocate modest position sizes across multiple signals, allowing some to take time to mature while others work more quickly.
The indicator also cannot overcome fundamental regime changes that alter the structural drivers of markets. If gold enters a true secular bull market driven by monetary debasement, commercial hedgers may remain persistently bearish as mining companies sell forward years of production at what they perceive as favorable prices. Their positioning indicates valuation concerns from a production cost perspective, but cannot stop prices from rising if investment demand overwhelms physical supply-demand balance.
Similarly, structural changes in market participation can alter the meaning of positioning extremes. The growth of commodity index investing in the two thousands brought massive passive long-only capital into futures markets, fundamentally changing typical positioning ranges. Traders relying on COT signals without recognizing this regime change would have generated numerous false bearish signals during the commodity supercycle from 2003 to 2008.
The research foundation supporting COT analysis derives primarily from commodity markets where the commercial hedger information advantage is most pronounced. Studies specifically examining financial futures like equity indices and bonds show weaker but still present effects. Traders should calibrate expectations accordingly, recognizing that COT analysis likely works better for crude oil, natural gas, corn, and wheat than for the S&P 500, Treasury bonds, or currency futures.
Another important limitation involves the reporting threshold structure. Not all market participants appear in COT data, only those holding positions above specified minimums. In markets dominated by a few large players, concentration metrics become critical for proper interpretation. A single large trader accounting for thirty percent of commercial positioning might skew the entire category if their individual circumstances are idiosyncratic rather than representative.
GOLD FUTURES DURING A HYPOTHETICAL MARKET CYCLE
Consider a practical example using gold futures during a hypothetical but realistic market scenario that illustrates how the COT Index indicator guides trading decisions through a complete market cycle. Suppose gold has rallied from fifteen hundred to nineteen hundred dollars per ounce over six months, driven by inflation concerns following aggressive monetary expansion, geopolitical uncertainty, and sustained buying by Asian central banks for reserve diversification.
Large speculators, operating primarily trend-following strategies, have accumulated increasingly bullish positions throughout this rally. Their COT Index has climbed progressively from forty-five to eighty-five. The table display shows that large speculators now hold net long positions representing thirty-two percent of total open interest, their highest in four years. Momentum indicators show positive readings, indicating positions are still building though at a decelerating rate. Position velocity has turned negative, suggesting the pace of position building is slowing.
Meanwhile, commercial hedgers have responded to the rally by aggressively selling forward production and inventory. Their COT Index has moved inversely to price, declining from fifty-five to twenty. This bearish commercial positioning represents mining companies locking in forward sales at prices they view as attractive relative to production costs. The table shows commercials now hold net short positions representing twenty-nine percent of total open interest, their most bearish stance in five years. Concentration metrics indicate this positioning is broadly distributed across many commercial entities, suggesting the bearish stance reflects collective industry view rather than idiosyncratic positioning by a single firm.
Small traders, attracted by mainstream financial media coverage of gold's impressive rally, have recently piled into long positions. Their COT Index has jumped from forty-five to seventy-eight as retail investors chase the trend. Television financial networks feature frequent segments on gold with bullish guests. Internet forums and social media show surging retail interest. This retail enthusiasm historically marks late-stage trend development rather than early opportunity.
The COT Index indicator, configured to monitor commercial positioning from a contrarian perspective, displays a clear bearish signal given the extreme commercial short positioning. The table displays multiple confirming metrics: positioning extremity shows commercials at the ninety-sixth percentile of bearishness, market power indicates they control twenty-nine percent of open interest, and sentiment divergence registers sixty-five, indicating massive disagreement between commercial hedgers and large speculators. This divergence, the highest in three years, places the market in the historically high-risk category for reversals.
The interpretation requires nuance and consideration of context beyond just COT data. Commercials are not necessarily predicting an imminent crash. Rather, they are hedging business operations at what they collectively view as favorable price levels. However, the data reveals they have sold unusually large quantities of forward production, suggesting either exceptional production expectations for the year ahead or concern about sustaining current price levels or combination of both. Combined with extreme speculator positioning indicating a crowded long trade, and small trader enthusiasm confirming retail FOMO, the confluence suggests elevated reversal risk even if the precise timing remains uncertain.
A prudent trader analyzing this situation might take several actions based on COT Index signals. Existing long positions could be tightened with closer stop losses. Profit-taking on a portion of long exposure could lock in gains while maintaining some participation. Some traders might initiate modest short positions as portfolio hedges, sizing them appropriately for the inherent uncertainty in timing reversals. Others might simply move to the sidelines, avoiding new long entries until positioning normalizes.
The key lesson from case study analysis is that COT signals provide probabilistic edges rather than deterministic predictions. They work over many observations by identifying higher-probability configurations, not by generating perfect calls on individual trades. A fifty-five percent win rate with proper risk management produces substantial profits over time, yet still means forty-five percent of signals will be premature or wrong. Traders must embrace this probabilistic reality rather than seeking the impossible goal of perfect accuracy.
INTEGRATION WITH TRADING SYSTEMS
Integration with existing trading systems represents a natural and powerful use case for COT analysis, adding a positioning dimension to price-based technical approaches or fundamental analytical frameworks. Few traders rely exclusively on a single indicator or methodology. Rather, they build systems that synthesize multiple information sources, with each component addressing different aspects of market behavior.
Trend followers might use COT extremes as regime filters, modifying position sizing or avoiding new trend entries when positioning reaches levels historically associated with reversals. Consider a classic trend-following system based on moving average crossovers and momentum breakouts. Integration of COT analysis adds nuance. When large speculator positioning exceeds ninety or commercial positioning falls below ten, the regime filter recognizes elevated reversal risk. The system might reduce position sizing by fifty percent for new signals during these high-risk periods (Kaufman, 2013).
Mean reversion traders might require COT signal confluence before fading extended moves. When crude oil becomes technically overbought and large speculators show extreme long positioning above eighty-five, both signals confirm. If only technical indicators show extremes while positioning remains neutral, the potential short signal is rejected, avoiding fades of trends with underlying institutional support (Kaufman, 2013).
Discretionary traders can monitor the indicator as a continuous awareness tool, informing bias and position sizing without dictating mechanical entries and exits. A discretionary trader might notice commercial positioning shifting from neutral to progressively more bullish over several months. This trend informs growing positive bias even without triggering mechanical signals.
Multi-timeframe analysis represents another powerful integration approach. A trader might use daily charts for trade execution and timing while monitoring weekly COT positioning for strategic context. When both timeframes align, highest-probability opportunities emerge.
Portfolio construction for futures traders can incorporate COT signals as an additional selection criterion. Markets showing strong technical setups AND favorable COT positioning receive highest allocations. Markets with strong technicals but neutral or unfavorable positioning receive reduced allocations.
ADVANCED METRICS AND INTERPRETATION
The metrics table transforms simple positioning data into multidimensional market intelligence. Position extremity, calculated as the absolute deviation from the historical mean normalized by standard deviation, helps identify truly unusual readings versus routine fluctuations. A reading above two standard deviations indicates ninety-fifth percentile or higher extremity. Above three standard deviations indicates ninety-ninth percentile or higher, genuinely rare positioning that historically precedes major events with high probability.
Market power, expressed as a percentage of total open interest, reveals whose positioning matters most from a mechanical market impact perspective. Consider two scenarios in gold futures. In scenario one, commercials show a COT Index reading of fifteen while their market power metric shows they hold net shorts representing thirty-five percent of open interest. This is a high-confidence bearish signal. In scenario two, commercials also show a reading of fifteen, but market power shows only eight percent. While positioning is extreme relative to this category's normal range, their limited market share means less mechanical influence on price.
The rate of change and momentum metrics highlight whether positions are accelerating or decelerating, often providing earlier warnings than absolute levels alone. A COT Index reading of seventy-five with rapidly building momentum suggests continued movement toward extremes. Conversely, a reading of eighty-five with decelerating or negative momentum indicates the positioning trend is exhausting.
Position velocity measures the rate of change in positioning changes, effectively a second derivative. When velocity shifts from positive to negative, it indicates that while positioning may still be growing, the pace of growth is slowing. This deceleration often precedes actual reversal in positioning direction by several weeks.
Sentiment divergence calculates the absolute difference between normalized commercial and large speculator index values. When commercials show extreme bearish positioning at twenty while large speculators show extreme bullish positioning at eighty, the divergence reaches sixty, representing near-maximum disagreement. Wang (2003) found that these high-divergence environments frequently preceded increased volatility and reversals. The mechanism is intuitive. Extreme divergence indicates the informed hedgers and momentum-following speculators have positioned opposite each other with conviction. One group will prove correct and profit while the other proves incorrect and suffers losses. The resolution of this disagreement through price movement often involves volatility.
The table also displays concentration metrics when available. High concentration indicates a few dominant players controlling most of the positioning within a category, while low concentration suggests broad-based participation. Broad-based positioning more reliably reflects collective market intelligence and industry consensus. If mining companies globally all independently decide to hedge aggressively at similar price levels, it suggests genuine industry-wide view about price valuations rather than circumstances specific to one firm.
DATA QUALITY AND RELIABILITY
The CFTC has maintained COT reporting in various forms since the nineteen twenties, providing nearly a century of positioning data across multiple market cycles. However, data quality and reporting standards have evolved substantially over this long period. Modern electronic reporting implemented in the late nineteen nineties and early two thousands significantly improved accuracy and timeliness compared to earlier paper-based systems.
Traders should understand that COT reports capture positions as of Tuesday's close each week. Markets remain open three additional days before publication on Friday afternoon, meaning the reported data is three days stale when received. During periods of rapid market movement or major news events, this lag can be significant. The indicator addresses this limitation by including timestamp information and staleness warnings.
The three-day lag creates particular challenges during extreme volatility episodes. Flash crashes, surprise central bank interventions, geopolitical shocks, and other high-impact events can completely transform market positioning within hours. Traders must exercise judgment about whether reported positioning remains relevant given intervening events.
Reporting thresholds also mean that not all market participants appear in disaggregated COT data. Traders holding positions below specified minimums aggregate into the non-reportable or small trader category. This aggregation affects different markets differently. In highly liquid contracts like crude oil with thousands of participants, reportable traders might represent seventy to eighty percent of open interest. In thinly traded contracts with only dozens of active participants, a few large reportable positions might represent ninety-five percent of open interest.
Another data quality consideration involves trader classification into categories. The CFTC assigns traders to commercial or non-commercial categories based on reported business purpose and activities. However, this process is not perfect. Some entities engage in both commercial and speculative activities, creating ambiguity about proper classification. The transition to Disaggregated reports attempted to address some of these ambiguities by creating more granular categories.
COMPARISON WITH ALTERNATIVE APPROACHES
Several alternative approaches to COT analysis exist in the trading community beyond the normalization methodology employed by this indicator. Some analysts focus on absolute position changes week-over-week rather than index-based normalization. This approach calculates the change in net positioning from one week to the next. The emphasis falls on momentum in positioning changes rather than absolute levels relative to history. This method potentially identifies regime shifts earlier but sacrifices cross-market comparability (Briese, 2008).
Other practitioners employ more complex statistical transformations including percentile rankings, z-score standardization, and machine learning classification algorithms. Ruan and Zhang (2018) demonstrated that machine learning models applied to COT data could achieve modest improvements in forecasting accuracy compared to simple threshold-based approaches. However, these gains came at the cost of interpretability and implementation complexity.
The COT Index indicator intentionally employs a relatively straightforward normalization methodology for several important reasons. First, transparency enhances user understanding and trust. Traders can verify calculations manually and develop intuitive feel for what different readings mean. Second, academic research suggests that most of the predictive power in COT data comes from extreme positioning levels rather than subtle patterns requiring complex statistical methods to detect. Third, robust methods that work consistently across many markets and time periods tend to be simpler rather than more complex, reducing the risk of overfitting to historical data. Fourth, the complexity costs of implementation matter for retail traders without programming teams or computational infrastructure.
PSYCHOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF COT TRADING
Trading based on COT data requires psychological fortitude that differs from momentum-based approaches. Contrarian positioning signals inherently mean betting against prevailing market sentiment and recent price action. When commercials reach extreme bearish positioning, prices have typically been rising, sometimes for extended periods. The price chart looks bullish, momentum indicators confirm strength, moving averages align positively. The COT signal says bet against all of this. This psychological difficulty explains why COT analysis remains underutilized relative to trend-following methods.
Human psychology strongly predisposes us toward extrapolation and recency bias. When prices rally for months, our pattern-matching brains naturally expect continued rally. The recent price action dominates our perception, overwhelming rational analysis about positioning extremes and historical probabilities. The COT signal asking us to sell requires overriding these powerful psychological impulses.
The indicator design attempts to support the required psychological discipline through several features. Clear threshold markers and signal states reduce ambiguity about when signals trigger. When the commercial index crosses below twenty, the signal is explicit and unambiguous. The background shifts to red, the signal label displays bearish, and alerts fire. This explicitness helps traders act on signals rather than waiting for additional confirmation that may never arrive.
The metrics table provides analytical justification for contrarian positions, helping traders maintain conviction during inevitable periods of adverse price movement. When a trader enters short positions based on extreme commercial bearish positioning but prices continue rallying for several weeks, doubt naturally emerges. The table display provides reassurance. Commercial positioning remains extremely bearish. Divergence remains high. The positioning thesis remains intact even though price action has not yet confirmed.
Alert functionality ensures traders do not miss signals due to inattention while also not requiring constant monitoring that can lead to emotional decision-making. Setting alerts for COT extremes enables a healthier relationship with markets. When meaningful signals occur, alerts notify them. They can then calmly assess the situation and execute planned responses.
However, no indicator design can completely overcome the psychological difficulty of contrarian trading. Some traders simply cannot maintain short positions while prices rally. For these traders, COT analysis might be better employed as an exit signal for long positions rather than an entry signal for shorts.
Ultimately, successful COT trading requires developing comfort with probabilistic thinking rather than certainty-seeking. The signals work over many observations by identifying higher-probability configurations, not by generating perfect calls on individual trades. A fifty-five or sixty percent win rate with proper risk management produces substantial profits over years, yet still means forty to forty-five percent of signals will be premature or wrong. COT analysis provides genuine edge, but edge means probability advantage, not elimination of losing trades.
EDUCATIONAL RESOURCES AND CONTINUOUS LEARNING
The indicator provides extensive built-in educational resources through its documentation, detailed tooltips, and transparent calculations. However, mastering COT analysis requires study beyond any single tool or resource. Several excellent resources provide valuable extensions of the concepts covered in this guide.
Books and practitioner-focused monographs offer accessible entry points. Stephen Briese published The Commitments of Traders Bible in two thousand eight, offering detailed breakdowns of how different markets and trader categories behave (Briese, 2008). Briese's work stands out for its empirical focus and market-specific insights. Jack Schwager includes discussion of COT analysis within the broader context of market behavior in his book Market Sense and Nonsense (Schwager, 2012). Perry Kaufman's Trading Systems and Methods represents perhaps the most rigorous practitioner-focused text on systematic trading approaches including COT analysis (Kaufman, 2013).
Academic journal articles provide the rigorous statistical foundation underlying COT analysis. The Journal of Futures Markets regularly publishes research on positioning data and its predictive properties. Bessembinder and Chan's earlier work on systematic risk, hedging pressure, and risk premiums in futures markets provides theoretical foundation (Bessembinder, 1992). Chang's examination of speculator returns provides historical context (Chang, 1985). Irwin and Sanders provide essential skeptical perspective in their two thousand twelve article (Irwin and Sanders, 2012). Wang's two thousand three article provides one of the most empirical analyses of COT data across multiple commodity markets (Wang, 2003).
Online resources extend beyond academic and book-length treatments. The CFTC website provides free access to current and historical COT reports in multiple formats. The explanatory materials section offers detailed documentation of report construction, category definitions, and historical methodology changes. Traders serious about COT analysis should read these official CFTC documents to understand exactly what they are analyzing.
Commercial COT data services such as Barchart provide enhanced visualization and analysis tools beyond raw CFTC data. TradingView's educational materials, published scripts library, and user community provide additional resources for exploring different approaches to COT analysis.
The key to mastering COT analysis lies not in finding a single definitive source but rather in building understanding through multiple perspectives and information sources. Academic research provides rigorous empirical foundation. Practitioner-focused books offer practical implementation insights. Direct engagement with data through systematic backtesting develops intuition about how positioning dynamics manifest across different market conditions.
SYNTHESIZING KNOWLEDGE INTO PRACTICE
The COT Index indicator represents the synthesis of academic research, trading experience, and software engineering into a practical tool accessible to retail traders equipped with nothing more than a TradingView account and willingness to learn. What once required expensive data subscriptions, custom programming capabilities, statistical software, and institutional resources now appears as a straightforward indicator requiring only basic parameter selection and modest study to understand. This democratization of institutional-grade analysis tools represents a broader trend in financial markets over recent decades.
Yet technology and data access alone provide no edge without understanding and discipline. Markets remain relentlessly efficient at eliminating edges that become too widely known and mechanically exploited. The COT Index indicator succeeds only when users invest time learning the underlying concepts, understand the limitations and probability distributions involved, and integrate signals thoughtfully into trading plans rather than applying them mechanically.
The academic research demonstrates conclusively that institutional positioning contains genuine information about future price movements, particularly at extremes where commercial hedgers are maximally bearish or bullish relative to historical norms. This informational content is neither perfect nor deterministic but rather probabilistic, providing edge over many observations through identification of higher-probability configurations. Bessembinder and Chan's finding that commercial positioning explained modest but significant variance in future returns illustrates this probabilistic nature perfectly (Bessembinder and Chan, 1992). The effect is real and statistically significant, yet it explains perhaps ten to fifteen percent of return variance rather than most variance. Much of price movement remains unpredictable even with positioning intelligence.
The practical implication is that COT analysis works best as one component of a trading system rather than a standalone oracle. It provides the positioning dimension, revealing where the smart money has positioned and where the crowd has followed, but price action analysis provides the timing dimension. Fundamental analysis provides the catalyst dimension. Risk management provides the survival dimension. These components work together synergistically.
The indicator's design philosophy prioritizes transparency and education over black-box complexity, empowering traders to understand exactly what they are analyzing and why. Every calculation is documented and user-adjustable. The threshold markers, background coloring, tables, and clear signal states provide multiple reinforcing channels for conveying the same information.
This educational approach reflects a conviction that sustainable trading success comes from genuine understanding rather than mechanical system-following. Traders who understand why commercial positioning matters, how different trader categories behave, what positioning extremes signify, and where signals fit within probability distributions can adapt when market conditions change. Traders mechanically following black-box signals without comprehension abandon systems after normal losing streaks.
The research foundation supporting COT analysis comes primarily from commodity markets where commercial hedger informational advantages are most pronounced. Agricultural producers hedging crops know more about supply conditions than distant speculators. Energy companies hedging production know more about operating costs than financial traders. Metals miners hedging output know more about ore grades than index funds. Financial futures markets show weaker but still present effects.
The journey from reading this documentation to profitable trading based on COT analysis involves several stages that cannot be rushed. Initial reading and basic understanding represents the first stage. Historical study represents the second stage, reviewing past market cycles to observe how positioning extremes preceded major turning points. Paper trading or small-size real trading represents the third stage to experience the psychological challenges. Refinement based on results and personal psychology represents the fourth stage.
Markets will continue evolving. New participant categories will emerge. Regulatory structures will change. Technology will advance. Yet the fundamental dynamics driving COT analysis, that different market participants have different information, different motivations, and different forecasting abilities that manifest in their positioning, will persist as long as futures markets exist. While specific thresholds or optimal parameters may shift over time, the core logic remains sound and adaptable.
The trader equipped with this indicator, understanding of the theory and evidence behind COT analysis, realistic expectations about probability rather than certainty, discipline to maintain positions through adverse volatility, and patience to allow signals time to develop possesses genuine edge in markets. The edge is not enormous, markets cannot allow large persistent inefficiencies without arbitraging them away, but it is real, measurable, and exploitable by those willing to invest in learning and disciplined application.
REFERENCES
Bessembinder, H. (1992) Systematic risk, hedging pressure, and risk premiums in futures markets, Review of Financial Studies, 5(4), pp. 637-667.
Bessembinder, H. and Chan, K. (1992) The profitability of technical trading rules in the Asian stock markets, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 3(2-3), pp. 257-284.
Briese, S. (2008) The Commitments of Traders Bible: How to Profit from Insider Market Intelligence. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Chang, E.C. (1985) Returns to speculators and the theory of normal backwardation, Journal of Finance, 40(1), pp. 193-208.
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) (2009) Explanatory Notes: Disaggregated Commitments of Traders Report. Available at: www.cftc.gov (Accessed: 15 January 2025).
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) (2020) Commitments of Traders: About the Report. Available at: www.cftc.gov (Accessed: 15 January 2025).
Irwin, S.H. and Sanders, D.R. (2012) Testing the Masters Hypothesis in commodity futures markets, Energy Economics, 34(1), pp. 256-269.
Kaufman, P.J. (2013) Trading Systems and Methods. 5th edn. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Ruan, Y. and Zhang, Y. (2018) Forecasting commodity futures prices using machine learning: Evidence from the Chinese commodity futures market, Applied Economics Letters, 25(12), pp. 845-849.
Sanders, D.R., Boris, K. and Manfredo, M. (2004) Hedgers, funds, and small speculators in the energy futures markets: an analysis of the CFTC's Commitments of Traders reports, Energy Economics, 26(3), pp. 425-445.
Schwager, J.D. (2012) Market Sense and Nonsense: How the Markets Really Work and How They Don't. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Tharp, V.K. (2008) Super Trader: Make Consistent Profits in Good and Bad Markets. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Wang, C. (2003) The behavior and performance of major types of futures traders, Journal of Futures Markets, 23(1), pp. 1-31.
Williams, L.R. and Noseworthy, M. (2009) The Right Stock at the Right Time: Prospering in the Coming Good Years. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
FURTHER READING
For traders seeking to deepen their understanding of COT analysis and futures market positioning beyond this documentation, the following resources provide valuable extensions:
Academic Journal Articles:
Fishe, R.P.H. and Smith, A. (2012) Do speculators drive commodity prices away from supply and demand fundamentals?, Journal of Commodity Markets, 1(1), pp. 1-16.
Haigh, M.S., Hranaiova, J. and Overdahl, J.A. (2007) Hedge funds, volatility, and liquidity provision in energy futures markets, Journal of Alternative Investments, 9(4), pp. 10-38.
Kocagil, A.E. (1997) Does futures speculation stabilize spot prices? Evidence from metals markets, Applied Financial Economics, 7(1), pp. 115-125.
Sanders, D.R. and Irwin, S.H. (2011) The impact of index funds in commodity futures markets: A systems approach, Journal of Alternative Investments, 14(1), pp. 40-49.
Books and Practitioner Resources:
Murphy, J.J. (1999) Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York: New York Institute of Finance.
Pring, M.J. (2002) Technical Analysis Explained: The Investor's Guide to Spotting Investment Trends and Turning Points. 4th edn. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Federal Reserve and Research Institution Publications:
Federal Reserve Banks regularly publish working papers examining commodity markets, futures positioning, and price discovery mechanisms. The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City maintain active research programs in this area.
Online Resources:
The CFTC website provides free access to current and historical COT reports, explanatory materials, and regulatory documentation.
Barchart offers enhanced COT data visualization and screening tools.
TradingView's community library contains numerous published scripts and educational materials exploring different approaches to positioning analysis.
