Intrabar Volume Flow IntelligenceIntrabar Volume Flow Intelligence: A Comprehensive Analysis:
The Intrabar Volume Flow Intelligence indicator represents a sophisticated approach to understanding market dynamics through the lens of volume analysis at a granular, intrabar level. This Pine Script version 5 indicator transcends traditional volume analysis by dissecting price action within individual bars to reveal the true nature of buying and selling pressure that often remains hidden when examining only the external characteristics of completed candlesticks. At its core, this indicator operates on the principle that volume is the fuel that drives price movement, and by understanding where volume is being applied within each bar—whether at higher prices indicating buying pressure or at lower prices indicating selling pressure—traders can gain a significant edge in anticipating future price movements before they become obvious to the broader market.
The foundational innovation of this indicator lies in its use of lower timeframe data to analyze what happens inside each bar on your chart timeframe. While most traders see only the open, high, low, and close of a five-minute candle, for example, this indicator requests data from a one-minute timeframe by default to see all the individual one-minute candles that comprise that five-minute bar. This intrabar analysis allows the indicator to calculate a weighted intensity score based on where the price closed within each sub-bar's range. If the close is near the high, that volume is attributed more heavily to buying pressure; if near the low, to selling pressure. This methodology is far more nuanced than simple tick volume analysis or even traditional volume delta calculations because it accounts for the actual price behavior and distribution of volume throughout the formation of each bar, providing a three-dimensional view of market participation.
The intensity calculation itself demonstrates the coding sophistication embedded in this indicator. For each intrabar segment, the indicator calculates a base intensity using the formula of close minus low divided by the range between high and low. This gives a value between zero and one, where values approaching one indicate closes near the high and values approaching zero indicate closes near the low. However, the indicator doesn't stop there—it applies an open adjustment factor that considers the relationship between the close and open positions within the overall range, adding up to twenty percent additional weighting based on directional movement. This adjustment ensures that strongly directional intrabar movement receives appropriate emphasis in the final volume allocation. The adjusted intensity is then bounded between zero and one to prevent extreme outliers from distorting the analysis, demonstrating careful consideration of edge cases and data integrity.
The volume flow calculation multiplies this intensity by the actual volume transacted in each intrabar segment, creating buy volume and sell volume figures that represent not just quantity but quality of market participation. These figures are accumulated across all intrabar segments within the parent bar, and simultaneously, a volume-weighted average price is calculated for the entire bar using the typical price of each segment multiplied by its volume. This intrabar VWAP becomes a critical reference point for understanding whether the overall bar is trading above or below its fair value as determined by actual transaction levels. The deviation from this intrabar VWAP is then used as a weighting mechanism—when the close is significantly above the intrabar VWAP, buying volume receives additional weight; when below, selling volume is emphasized. This creates a feedback loop where volume that moves price away from equilibrium is recognized as more significant than volume that keeps price near balance.
The imbalance filter represents another layer of analytical sophistication that separates meaningful volume flows from normal market noise. The indicator calculates the absolute difference between buy and sell volume as a percentage of total volume, and this imbalance must exceed a user-defined threshold—defaulted to twenty-five percent but adjustable from five to eighty percent—before the volume flow is considered significant enough to register on the indicator. This filtering mechanism ensures that only bars with clear directional conviction contribute to the cumulative flow measurements, while bars with balanced buying and selling are essentially ignored. This is crucial because markets spend considerable time in equilibrium states where volume is simply facilitating position exchanges without directional intent. By filtering out these neutral periods, the indicator focuses trader attention exclusively on moments when one side of the market is demonstrating clear dominance.
The decay factor implementation showcases advanced state management in Pine Script coding. Rather than allowing imbalanced volume to simply disappear after one bar, the indicator maintains decayed values using variable state that persists across bars. When a new significant imbalance occurs, it replaces the decayed value; when no significant imbalance is present, the previous value is multiplied by the decay factor, which defaults to zero point eight-five. This means that a large volume imbalance continues to influence the indicator for several bars afterward, gradually diminishing in impact unless reinforced by new imbalances. This decay mechanism creates persistence in the flow measurements, acknowledging that large institutional volume accumulation or distribution campaigns don't execute in single bars but rather unfold across multiple bars. The cumulative flow calculation then sums these decayed values over a lookback period, creating a running total that represents sustained directional pressure rather than momentary spikes.
The dual moving average crossover system applied to these volume flows creates actionable trading signals from the underlying data. The indicator calculates both a fast exponential moving average and a slower simple moving average of the buy flow, sell flow, and net flow values. The use of EMA for the fast line provides responsiveness to recent changes while the SMA for the slow line provides a more stable baseline, and the divergence or convergence between these averages signals shifts in volume flow momentum. When the buy flow EMA crosses above its SMA while volume is elevated, this indicates that buying pressure is not only present but accelerating, which is the foundation for the strong buy signal generation. The same logic applies inversely for selling pressure, creating a symmetrical approach to detecting both upside and downside momentum shifts based on volume characteristics rather than price characteristics.
The volume threshold filtering ensures that signals only generate during periods of statistically significant market participation. The indicator calculates a simple moving average of total volume over a user-defined period, defaulted to twenty bars, and then requires that current volume exceed this average by a multiplier, defaulted to one point two times. This ensures that signals occur during periods when the market is actively engaged rather than during quiet periods when a few large orders can create misleading volume patterns. The indicator even distinguishes between high volume—exceeding the threshold—and very high volume—exceeding one point five times the threshold—with the latter triggering background color changes to alert traders to exceptional participation levels. This tiered volume classification allows traders to calibrate their position sizing and conviction levels based on the strength of market participation supporting the signal.
The flow momentum calculation adds a velocity dimension to the volume analysis. By calculating the rate of change of the net flow EMA over a user-defined momentum length—defaulted to five bars—the indicator measures not just the direction of volume flow but the acceleration or deceleration of that flow. A positive and increasing flow momentum indicates that buying pressure is not only dominant but intensifying, which typically precedes significant upward price movements. Conversely, negative and decreasing flow momentum suggests selling pressure is building upon itself, often preceding breakdowns. The indicator even calculates a second derivative—the momentum of momentum, termed flow acceleration—which can identify very early turning points when the rate of change itself begins to shift, providing the most forward-looking signal available from this methodology.
The divergence detection system represents one of the most powerful features for identifying potential trend reversals and continuations. The indicator maintains separate tracking of price extremes and flow extremes over a lookback period defaulted to fourteen bars. A bearish divergence is identified when price makes a new high or equals the recent high, but the net flow EMA is significantly below its recent high—specifically less than eighty percent of that high—and is declining compared to its value at the divergence lookback distance. This pattern indicates that while price is pushing higher, the volume support for that movement is deteriorating, which frequently precedes reversals. Bullish divergences work inversely, identifying situations where price makes new lows without corresponding weakness in volume flow, suggesting that selling pressure is exhausted and a reversal higher is probable. These divergence signals are plotted as distinct diamond shapes on the indicator, making them visually prominent for trader attention.
The accumulation and distribution zone detection provides a longer-term context for understanding institutional positioning. The indicator uses the bars-since function to track consecutive periods where the net flow EMA has remained positive or negative. When buying pressure has persisted for at least five consecutive bars, average intensity exceeds zero point six indicating strong closes within bar ranges, and volume is elevated above the threshold, the indicator identifies an accumulation zone. These zones suggest that smart money is systematically building long positions across multiple bars despite potentially choppy or sideways price action. Distribution zones are identified through the inverse criteria, revealing periods when institutions are systematically exiting or building short positions. These zones are visualized through colored fills on the indicator pane, creating a backdrop that helps traders understand the broader volume flow context beyond individual bar signals.
The signal strength scoring system provides a quantitative measure of conviction for each buy or sell signal. Rather than treating all signals as equal, the indicator assigns point values to different signal components: twenty-five points for the buy flow EMA-SMA crossover, twenty-five points for the net flow EMA-SMA crossover, twenty points for high volume presence, fifteen points for positive flow momentum, and fifteen points for bullish divergence presence. These points are summed to create a buy score that can range from zero to one hundred percent, with higher scores indicating that multiple independent confirmation factors are aligned. The same methodology creates a sell score, and these scores are displayed in the information table, allowing traders to quickly assess whether a signal represents a tentative suggestion or a high-conviction setup. This scoring approach transforms the indicator from a binary signal generator into a nuanced probability assessment tool.
The visual presentation of the indicator demonstrates exceptional attention to user experience and information density. The primary display shows the net flow EMA as a thick colored line that transitions between green when above zero and above its SMA, indicating strong buying, to a lighter green when above zero but below the SMA, indicating weakening buying, to red when below zero and below the SMA, indicating strong selling, to a lighter red when below zero but above the SMA, indicating weakening selling. This color gradient provides immediate visual feedback about both direction and momentum of volume flows. The net flow SMA is overlaid in orange as a reference line, and a zero line is drawn to clearly delineate positive from negative territory. Behind these lines, a histogram representation of the raw net flow—scaled down by thirty percent for visibility—shows bar-by-bar flow with color intensity reflecting whether flow is strengthening or weakening compared to the previous bar. This layered visualization allows traders to simultaneously see the raw data, the smoothed trend, and the trend of the trend, accommodating both short-term and longer-term trading perspectives.
The cumulative delta line adds a macro perspective by maintaining a running sum of all volume deltas divided by one million for scale, plotted in purple as a separate series. This cumulative measure acts similar to an on-balance volume calculation but with the sophisticated volume attribution methodology of this indicator, creating a long-term sentiment gauge that can reveal whether an asset is under sustained accumulation or distribution across days, weeks, or months. Divergences between this cumulative delta and price can identify major trend exhaustion or reversal points that might not be visible in the shorter-term flow measurements.
The signal plotting uses shape-based markers rather than background colors or arrows to maximize clarity while preserving chart space. Strong buy signals—meeting multiple criteria including EMA-SMA crossover, high volume, and positive momentum—appear as full-size green triangle-up shapes at the bottom of the indicator pane. Strong sell signals appear as full-size red triangle-down shapes at the top. Regular buy and sell signals that meet fewer criteria appear as smaller, semi-transparent circles, indicating they warrant attention but lack the full confirmation of strong signals. Divergence-based signals appear as distinct diamond shapes in cyan for bullish divergences and orange for bearish divergences, ensuring these critical reversal indicators are immediately recognizable and don't get confused with momentum-based signals. This multi-tiered signal hierarchy helps traders prioritize their analysis and avoid signal overload.
The information table in the top-right corner of the indicator pane provides real-time quantitative feedback on all major calculation components. It displays the current bar's buy volume and sell volume in millions with appropriate color coding, the imbalance percentage with color indicating whether it exceeds the threshold, the average intensity score showing whether closes are generally near highs or lows, the flow momentum value, and the current buy and sell scores. This table transforms the indicator from a purely graphical tool into a quantitative dashboard, allowing discretionary traders to incorporate specific numerical thresholds into their decision frameworks. For example, a trader might require that buy score exceed seventy percent and intensity exceed zero point six-five before taking a long position, creating objective entry criteria from subjective chart reading.
The background shading that occurs during very high volume periods provides an ambient alert system that doesn't require focused attention on the indicator pane. When volume spikes to one point five times the threshold and net flow EMA is positive, a very light green background appears across the entire indicator pane; when volume spikes with negative net flow, a light red background appears. These backgrounds create a subliminal awareness of exceptional market participation moments, ensuring traders notice when the market is making important decisions even if they're focused on price action or other indicators at that moment.
The alert system built into the indicator allows traders to receive notifications for strong buy signals, strong sell signals, bullish divergences, bearish divergences, and very high volume events. These alerts can be configured in TradingView to send push notifications to mobile devices, emails, or webhook calls to automated trading systems. This functionality transforms the indicator from a passive analysis tool into an active monitoring system that can watch markets continuously and notify the trader only when significant volume flow developments occur. For traders monitoring multiple instruments, this alert capability is invaluable for efficient time allocation, allowing them to analyze other opportunities while being instantly notified when this indicator identifies high-probability setups on their watch list.
The coding implementation demonstrates advanced Pine Script techniques including the use of request.security_lower_tf to access intrabar data, array manipulation to process variable-length intrabar arrays, proper variable scoping with var keyword for persistent state management across bars, and efficient conditional logic that prevents unnecessary calculations. The code structure with clearly delineated sections for inputs, calculations, signal generation, plotting, and alerts makes it maintainable and educational for those studying Pine Script development. The use of input groups with custom headers creates an organized settings panel that doesn't overwhelm users with dozens of ungrouped parameters, while still providing substantial customization capability for advanced users who want to optimize the indicator for specific instruments or timeframes.
For practical trading application, this indicator excels in several specific use cases. Scalpers and day traders can use the intrabar analysis to identify accumulation or distribution happening within the bars of their entry timeframe, providing early entry signals before momentum indicators or price patterns complete. Swing traders can use the cumulative delta and accumulation-distribution zones to understand whether short-term pullbacks in an uptrend are being bought or sold, helping distinguish between healthy retracements and trend reversals. Position traders can use the divergence detection to identify major turning points where price extremes are not supported by volume, providing low-risk entry points for counter-trend positions or warnings to exit with-trend positions before significant reversals.
The indicator is particularly valuable in ranging markets where price-based indicators produce numerous false breakout signals. By requiring that breakouts be accompanied by volume flow imbalances, the indicator filters out failed breakouts driven by low participation. When price breaks a range boundary accompanied by a strong buy or sell signal with high buy or sell score and very high volume, the probability of successful breakout follow-through increases dramatically. Conversely, when price breaks a range but the indicator shows low imbalance, opposing flow direction, or low volume, traders can fade the breakout or at minimum avoid chasing it.
During trending markets, the indicator helps traders identify the healthiest entry points by revealing where pullbacks are being accumulated by smart money. A trending market will show the cumulative delta continuing in the trend direction even as price pulls back, and accumulation zones will form during these pullbacks. When price resumes the trend, the indicator will generate strong buy or sell signals with high scores, providing objective entry points with clear invalidation levels. The flow momentum component helps traders stay with trends longer by distinguishing between healthy momentum pauses—where momentum goes to zero but doesn't reverse—and actual momentum reversals where opposing pressure is building.
The VWAP deviation weighting adds particular value for traders of liquid instruments like major forex pairs, stock indices, and high-volume stocks where VWAP is widely watched by institutional participants. When price deviates significantly from the intrabar VWAP and volume flows in the direction of that deviation with elevated weighting, it indicates that the move away from fair value is being driven by conviction rather than mechanical order flow. This suggests the deviation will likely extend further, creating continuation trading opportunities. Conversely, when price deviates from intrabar VWAP but volume flow shows reduced intensity or opposing direction despite the weighting, it suggests the deviation will revert to VWAP, creating mean reversion opportunities.
The ATR normalization option makes the indicator values comparable across different volatility regimes and different instruments. Without normalization, a one-million share buy-sell imbalance might be significant for a low-volatility stock but trivial for a high-volatility cryptocurrency. By normalizing the delta by ATR, the indicator accounts for the typical price movement capacity of the instrument, making signal thresholds and comparison values meaningful across different trading contexts. This is particularly valuable for traders running the indicator on multiple instruments who want consistent signal quality regardless of the underlying instrument characteristics.
The configurable decay factor allows traders to adjust how persistent they want volume flows to remain influential. For very short-term scalping, a lower decay factor like zero point five will cause volume imbalances to dissipate quickly, keeping the indicator focused only on very recent flows. For longer-term position trading, a higher decay factor like zero point nine-five will allow significant volume events to influence the indicator for many bars, revealing longer-term accumulation and distribution patterns. This flexibility makes the single indicator adaptable to trading styles ranging from one-minute scalping to daily chart position trading simply by adjusting the decay parameter and the lookback bars.
The minimum imbalance percentage setting provides crucial noise filtering that can be optimized per instrument. Highly liquid instruments with tight spreads might show numerous small imbalances that are meaningless, requiring a higher threshold like thirty-five or forty percent to filter noise effectively. Thinly traded instruments might rarely show extreme imbalances, requiring a lower threshold like fifteen or twenty percent to generate adequate signals. By making this threshold user-configurable with a wide range, the indicator accommodates the full spectrum of market microstructure characteristics across different instruments and timeframes.
In conclusion, the Intrabar Volume Flow Intelligence indicator represents a comprehensive volume analysis system that combines intrabar data access, sophisticated volume attribution algorithms, multi-timeframe smoothing, statistical filtering, divergence detection, zone identification, and intelligent signal scoring into a cohesive analytical framework. It provides traders with visibility into market dynamics that are invisible to price-only analysis and even to conventional volume analysis, revealing the true intentions of market participants through their actual transaction behavior within each bar. The indicator's strength lies not in any single feature but in the integration of multiple analytical layers that confirm and validate each other, creating high-probability signal generation that can form the foundation of complete trading systems or provide powerful confirmation for discretionary analysis. For traders willing to invest time in understanding its components and optimizing its parameters for their specific instruments and timeframes, this indicator offers a significant informational advantage in increasingly competitive markets where edge is derived from seeing what others miss and acting on that information before it becomes consensus.
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Adaptive Market Wave TheoryAdaptive Market Wave Theory
🌊 CORE INNOVATION: PROBABILISTIC PHASE DETECTION WITH MULTI-AGENT CONSENSUS
Adaptive Market Wave Theory (AMWT) represents a fundamental paradigm shift in how traders approach market phase identification. Rather than counting waves subjectively or drawing static breakout levels, AMWT treats the market as a hidden state machine —using Hidden Markov Models, multi-agent consensus systems, and reinforcement learning algorithms to quantify what traditional methods leave to interpretation.
The Wave Analysis Problem:
Traditional wave counting methodologies (Elliott Wave, harmonic patterns, ABC corrections) share fatal weaknesses that AMWT directly addresses:
1. Non-Falsifiability : Invalid wave counts can always be "recounted" or "adjusted." If your Wave 3 fails, it becomes "Wave 3 of a larger degree" or "actually Wave C." There's no objective failure condition.
2. Observer Bias : Two expert wave analysts examining the same chart routinely reach different conclusions. This isn't a feature—it's a fundamental methodology flaw.
3. No Confidence Measure : Traditional analysis says "This IS Wave 3." But with what probability? 51%? 95%? The binary nature prevents proper position sizing and risk management.
4. Static Rules : Fixed Fibonacci ratios and wave guidelines cannot adapt to changing market regimes. What worked in 2019 may fail in 2024.
5. No Accountability : Wave methodologies rarely track their own performance. There's no feedback loop to improve.
The AMWT Solution:
AMWT addresses each limitation through rigorous mathematical frameworks borrowed from speech recognition, machine learning, and reinforcement learning:
• Non-Falsifiability → Hard Invalidation : Wave hypotheses die permanently when price violates calculated invalidation levels. No recounting allowed.
• Observer Bias → Multi-Agent Consensus : Three independent analytical agents must agree. Single-methodology bias is eliminated.
• No Confidence → Probabilistic States : Every market state has a calculated probability from Hidden Markov Model inference. "72% probability of impulse state" replaces "This is Wave 3."
• Static Rules → Adaptive Learning : Thompson Sampling multi-armed bandits learn which agents perform best in current conditions. The system adapts in real-time.
• No Accountability → Performance Tracking : Comprehensive statistics track every signal's outcome. The system knows its own performance.
The Core Insight:
"Traditional wave analysis asks 'What count is this?' AMWT asks 'What is the probability we are in an impulsive state, with what confidence, confirmed by how many independent methodologies, and anchored to what liquidity event?'"
🔬 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION: HIDDEN MARKOV MODELS
Why Hidden Markov Models?
Markets exist in hidden states that we cannot directly observe—only their effects on price are visible. When the market is in an "impulse up" state, we see rising prices, expanding volume, and trending indicators. But we don't observe the state itself—we infer it from observables.
This is precisely the problem Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) solve. Originally developed for speech recognition (inferring words from sound waves), HMMs excel at estimating hidden states from noisy observations.
HMM Components:
1. Hidden States (S) : The unobservable market conditions
2. Observations (O) : What we can measure (price, volume, indicators)
3. Transition Matrix (A) : Probability of moving between states
4. Emission Matrix (B) : Probability of observations given each state
5. Initial Distribution (π) : Starting state probabilities
AMWT's Six Market States:
State 0: IMPULSE_UP
• Definition: Strong bullish momentum with high participation
• Observable Signatures: Rising prices, expanding volume, RSI >60, price above upper Bollinger Band, MACD histogram positive and rising
• Typical Duration: 5-20 bars depending on timeframe
• What It Means: Institutional buying pressure, trend acceleration phase
State 1: IMPULSE_DN
• Definition: Strong bearish momentum with high participation
• Observable Signatures: Falling prices, expanding volume, RSI <40, price below lower Bollinger Band, MACD histogram negative and falling
• Typical Duration: 5-20 bars (often shorter than bullish impulses—markets fall faster)
• What It Means: Institutional selling pressure, panic or distribution acceleration
State 2: CORRECTION
• Definition: Counter-trend consolidation with declining momentum
• Observable Signatures: Sideways or mild counter-trend movement, contracting volume, RSI returning toward 50, Bollinger Bands narrowing
• Typical Duration: 8-30 bars
• What It Means: Profit-taking, digestion of prior move, potential accumulation for next leg
State 3: ACCUMULATION
• Definition: Base-building near lows where informed participants absorb supply
• Observable Signatures: Price near recent lows but not making new lows, volume spikes on up bars, RSI showing positive divergence, tight range
• Typical Duration: 15-50 bars
• What It Means: Smart money buying from weak hands, preparing for markup phase
State 4: DISTRIBUTION
• Definition: Top-forming near highs where informed participants distribute holdings
• Observable Signatures: Price near recent highs but struggling to advance, volume spikes on down bars, RSI showing negative divergence, widening range
• Typical Duration: 15-50 bars
• What It Means: Smart money selling to late buyers, preparing for markdown phase
State 5: TRANSITION
• Definition: Regime change period with mixed signals and elevated uncertainty
• Observable Signatures: Conflicting indicators, whipsaw price action, no clear momentum, high volatility without direction
• Typical Duration: 5-15 bars
• What It Means: Market deciding next direction, dangerous for directional trades
The Transition Matrix:
The transition matrix A captures the probability of moving from one state to another. AMWT initializes with empirically-derived values then updates online:
From/To IMP_UP IMP_DN CORR ACCUM DIST TRANS
IMP_UP 0.70 0.02 0.20 0.02 0.04 0.02
IMP_DN 0.02 0.70 0.20 0.04 0.02 0.02
CORR 0.15 0.15 0.50 0.10 0.10 0.00
ACCUM 0.30 0.05 0.15 0.40 0.05 0.05
DIST 0.05 0.30 0.15 0.05 0.40 0.05
TRANS 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.15 0.15 0.10
Key Insights from Transition Probabilities:
• Impulse states are sticky (70% self-transition): Once trending, markets tend to continue
• Corrections can transition to either impulse direction (15% each): The next move after correction is uncertain
• Accumulation strongly favors IMP_UP transition (30%): Base-building leads to rallies
• Distribution strongly favors IMP_DN transition (30%): Topping leads to declines
The Viterbi Algorithm:
Given a sequence of observations, how do we find the most likely state sequence? This is the Viterbi algorithm—dynamic programming to find the optimal path through the state space.
Mathematical Formulation:
δ_t(j) = max_i × B_j(O_t)
Where:
δ_t(j) = probability of most likely path ending in state j at time t
A_ij = transition probability from state i to state j
B_j(O_t) = emission probability of observation O_t given state j
AMWT Implementation:
AMWT runs Viterbi over a rolling window (default 50 bars), computing the most likely state sequence and extracting:
• Current state estimate
• State confidence (probability of current state vs alternatives)
• State sequence for pattern detection
Online Learning (Baum-Welch Adaptation):
Unlike static HMMs, AMWT continuously updates its transition and emission matrices based on observed market behavior:
f_onlineUpdateHMM(prev_state, curr_state, observation, decay) =>
// Update transition matrix
A *= decay
A += (1.0 - decay)
// Renormalize row
// Update emission matrix
B *= decay
B += (1.0 - decay)
// Renormalize row
The decay parameter (default 0.85) controls adaptation speed:
• Higher decay (0.95): Slower adaptation, more stable, better for consistent markets
• Lower decay (0.80): Faster adaptation, more reactive, better for regime changes
Why This Matters for Trading:
Traditional indicators give you a number (RSI = 72). AMWT gives you a probabilistic state assessment :
"There is a 78% probability we are in IMPULSE_UP state, with 15% probability of CORRECTION and 7% distributed among other states. The transition matrix suggests 70% chance of remaining in IMPULSE_UP next bar, 20% chance of transitioning to CORRECTION."
This enables:
• Position sizing by confidence : 90% confidence = full size; 60% confidence = half size
• Risk management by transition probability : High correction probability = tighten stops
• Strategy selection by state : IMPULSE = trend-follow; CORRECTION = wait; ACCUMULATION = scale in
🎰 THE 3-BANDIT CONSENSUS SYSTEM
The Multi-Agent Philosophy:
No single analytical methodology works in all market conditions. Trend-following excels in trending markets but gets chopped in ranges. Mean-reversion excels in ranges but gets crushed in trends. Structure-based analysis works when structure is clear but fails in chaotic markets.
AMWT's solution: employ three independent agents , each analyzing the market from a different perspective, then use Thompson Sampling to learn which agents perform best in current conditions.
Agent 1: TREND AGENT
Philosophy : Markets trend. Follow the trend until it ends.
Analytical Components:
• EMA Alignment: EMA8 > EMA21 > EMA50 (bullish) or inverse (bearish)
• MACD Histogram: Direction and rate of change
• Price Momentum: Close relative to ATR-normalized movement
• VWAP Position: Price above/below volume-weighted average price
Signal Generation:
Strong Bull: EMA aligned bull AND MACD histogram > 0 AND momentum > 0.3 AND close > VWAP
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.75 + |momentum| × 0.4
Moderate Bull: EMA stack bull AND MACD rising AND momentum > 0.1
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.65 + |momentum| × 0.3
Strong Bear: EMA aligned bear AND MACD histogram < 0 AND momentum < -0.3 AND close < VWAP
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.75 + |momentum| × 0.4
Moderate Bear: EMA stack bear AND MACD falling AND momentum < -0.1
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.65 + |momentum| × 0.3
When Trend Agent Excels:
• Trend days (IB extension >1.5x)
• Post-breakout continuation
• Institutional accumulation/distribution phases
When Trend Agent Fails:
• Range-bound markets (ADX <20)
• Chop zones after volatility spikes
• Reversal days at major levels
Agent 2: REVERSION AGENT
Philosophy: Markets revert to mean. Extreme readings reverse.
Analytical Components:
• Bollinger Band Position: Distance from bands, percent B
• RSI Extremes: Overbought (>70) and oversold (<30)
• Stochastic: %K/%D crossovers at extremes
• Band Squeeze: Bollinger Band width contraction
Signal Generation:
Oversold Bounce: BB %B < 0.20 AND RSI < 35 AND Stochastic < 25
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.70 + (30 - RSI) × 0.01
Overbought Fade: BB %B > 0.80 AND RSI > 65 AND Stochastic > 75
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.70 + (RSI - 70) × 0.01
Squeeze Fire Bull: Band squeeze ending AND close > upper band
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.65
Squeeze Fire Bear: Band squeeze ending AND close < lower band
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.65
When Reversion Agent Excels:
• Rotation days (price stays within IB)
• Range-bound consolidation
• After extended moves without pullback
When Reversion Agent Fails:
• Strong trend days (RSI can stay overbought for days)
• Breakout moves
• News-driven directional moves
Agent 3: STRUCTURE AGENT
Philosophy: Market structure reveals institutional intent. Follow the smart money.
Analytical Components:
• Break of Structure (BOS): Price breaks prior swing high/low
• Change of Character (CHOCH): First break against prevailing trend
• Higher Highs/Higher Lows: Bullish structure
• Lower Highs/Lower Lows: Bearish structure
• Liquidity Sweeps: Stop runs that reverse
Signal Generation:
BOS Bull: Price breaks above prior swing high with momentum
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.70 + structure_strength × 0.2
CHOCH Bull: First higher low after downtrend, breaking structure
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.75
BOS Bear: Price breaks below prior swing low with momentum
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.70 + structure_strength × 0.2
CHOCH Bear: First lower high after uptrend, breaking structure
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.75
Liquidity Sweep Long: Price sweeps below swing low then reverses strongly
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.80
Liquidity Sweep Short: Price sweeps above swing high then reverses strongly
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.80
When Structure Agent Excels:
• After liquidity grabs (stop runs)
• At major swing points
• During institutional accumulation/distribution
When Structure Agent Fails:
• Choppy, structureless markets
• During news events (structure becomes noise)
• Very low timeframes (noise overwhelms structure)
Thompson Sampling: The Bandit Algorithm
With three agents giving potentially different signals, how do we decide which to trust? This is the multi-armed bandit problem —balancing exploitation (using what works) with exploration (testing alternatives).
Thompson Sampling Solution:
Each agent maintains a Beta distribution representing its success/failure history:
Agent success rate modeled as Beta(α, β)
Where:
α = number of successful signals + 1
β = number of failed signals + 1
On Each Bar:
1. Sample from each agent's Beta distribution
2. Weight agent signals by sampled probabilities
3. Combine weighted signals into consensus
4. Update α/β based on trade outcomes
Mathematical Implementation:
// Beta sampling via Gamma ratio method
f_beta_sample(alpha, beta) =>
g1 = f_gamma_sample(alpha)
g2 = f_gamma_sample(beta)
g1 / (g1 + g2)
// Thompson Sampling selection
for each agent:
sampled_prob = f_beta_sample(agent.alpha, agent.beta)
weight = sampled_prob / sum(all_sampled_probs)
consensus += agent.signal × agent.confidence × weight
Why Thompson Sampling?
• Automatic Exploration : Agents with few samples get occasional chances (high variance in Beta distribution)
• Bayesian Optimal : Mathematically proven optimal solution to exploration-exploitation tradeoff
• Uncertainty-Aware : Small sample size = more exploration; large sample size = more exploitation
• Self-Correcting : Poor performers naturally get lower weights over time
Example Evolution:
Day 1 (Initial):
Trend Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
Reversion Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
Structure Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
After 50 Signals:
Trend Agent: Beta(28,23) → samples ~0.55 (moderate confidence)
Reversion Agent: Beta(18,33) → samples ~0.35 (underperforming)
Structure Agent: Beta(32,19) → samples ~0.63 (outperforming)
Result: Structure Agent now receives highest weight in consensus
Consensus Requirements by Mode:
Aggressive Mode:
• Minimum 1/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 45%
• Use case: More signals, higher risk tolerance
Balanced Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 55%
• Use case: Standard trading
Conservative Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 65%
• Use case: Higher quality, fewer signals
Institutional Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 75%
• Additional: Session quality >0.65, mode adjustment +0.10
• Use case: Highest quality signals only
🌀 INTELLIGENT CHOP DETECTION ENGINE
The Chop Problem:
Most trading losses occur not from being wrong about direction, but from trading in conditions where direction doesn't exist . Choppy, range-bound markets generate false signals from every methodology—trend-following, mean-reversion, and structure-based alike.
AMWT's chop detection engine identifies these low-probability environments before signals fire, preventing the most damaging trades.
Five-Factor Chop Analysis:
Factor 1: ADX Component (25% weight)
ADX (Average Directional Index) measures trend strength regardless of direction.
ADX < 15: Very weak trend (high chop score)
ADX 15-20: Weak trend (moderate chop score)
ADX 20-25: Developing trend (low chop score)
ADX > 25: Strong trend (minimal chop score)
adx_chop = (i_adxThreshold - adx_val) / i_adxThreshold × 100
Why ADX Works: ADX synthesizes +DI and -DI movements. Low ADX means price is moving but not directionally—the definition of chop.
Factor 2: Choppiness Index (25% weight)
The Choppiness Index measures price efficiency using the ratio of ATR sum to price range:
CI = 100 × LOG10(SUM(ATR, n) / (Highest - Lowest)) / LOG10(n)
CI > 61.8: Choppy (range-bound, inefficient movement)
CI < 38.2: Trending (directional, efficient movement)
CI 38.2-61.8: Transitional
chop_idx_score = (ci_val - 38.2) / (61.8 - 38.2) × 100
Why Choppiness Index Works: In trending markets, price covers distance efficiently (low ATR sum relative to range). In choppy markets, price oscillates wildly but goes nowhere (high ATR sum relative to range).
Factor 3: Range Compression (20% weight)
Compares recent range to longer-term range, detecting volatility squeezes:
recent_range = Highest(20) - Lowest(20)
longer_range = Highest(50) - Lowest(50)
compression = 1 - (recent_range / longer_range)
compression > 0.5: Strong squeeze (potential breakout imminent)
compression < 0.2: No compression (normal volatility)
range_compression_score = compression × 100
Why Range Compression Matters: Compression precedes expansion. High compression = market coiling, preparing for move. Signals during compression often fail because the breakout hasn't occurred yet.
Factor 4: Channel Position (15% weight)
Tracks price position within the macro channel:
channel_position = (close - channel_low) / (channel_high - channel_low)
position 0.4-0.6: Center of channel (indecision zone)
position <0.2 or >0.8: Near extremes (potential reversal or breakout)
channel_chop = abs(0.5 - channel_position) < 0.15 ? high_score : low_score
Why Channel Position Matters: Price in the middle of a range is in "no man's land"—equally likely to go either direction. Signals in the channel center have lower probability.
Factor 5: Volume Quality (15% weight)
Assesses volume relative to average:
vol_ratio = volume / SMA(volume, 20)
vol_ratio < 0.7: Low volume (lack of conviction)
vol_ratio 0.7-1.3: Normal volume
vol_ratio > 1.3: High volume (conviction present)
volume_chop = vol_ratio < 0.8 ? (1 - vol_ratio) × 100 : 0
Why Volume Quality Matters: Low volume moves lack institutional participation. These moves are more likely to reverse or stall.
Combined Chop Intensity:
chopIntensity = (adx_chop × 0.25) + (chop_idx_score × 0.25) +
(range_compression_score × 0.20) + (channel_chop × 0.15) +
(volume_chop × i_volumeChopWeight × 0.15)
Regime Classifications:
Based on chop intensity and component analysis:
• Strong Trend (0-20%): ADX >30, clear directional momentum, trade aggressively
• Trending (20-35%): ADX >20, moderate directional bias, trade normally
• Transitioning (35-50%): Mixed signals, regime change possible, reduce size
• Mid-Range (50-60%): Price trapped in channel center, avoid new positions
• Ranging (60-70%): Low ADX, price oscillating within bounds, fade extremes only
• Compression (70-80%): Volatility squeeze, expansion imminent, wait for breakout
• Strong Chop (80-100%): Multiple chop factors aligned, avoid trading entirely
Signal Suppression:
When chop intensity exceeds the configurable threshold (default 80%), signals are suppressed entirely. The dashboard displays "⚠️ CHOP ZONE" with the current regime classification.
Chop Box Visualization:
When chop is detected, AMWT draws a semi-transparent box on the chart showing the chop zone. This visual reminder helps traders avoid entering positions during unfavorable conditions.
💧 LIQUIDITY ANCHORING SYSTEM
The Liquidity Concept:
Markets move from liquidity pool to liquidity pool. Stop losses cluster at predictable locations—below swing lows (buy stops become sell orders when triggered) and above swing highs (sell stops become buy orders when triggered). Institutions know where these clusters are and often engineer moves to trigger them before reversing.
AMWT identifies and tracks these liquidity events, using them as anchors for signal confidence.
Liquidity Event Types:
Type 1: Volume Spikes
Definition: Volume > SMA(volume, 20) × i_volThreshold (default 2.8x)
Interpretation: Sudden volume surge indicates institutional activity
• Near swing low + reversal: Likely accumulation
• Near swing high + reversal: Likely distribution
• With continuation: Institutional conviction in direction
Type 2: Stop Runs (Liquidity Sweeps)
Definition: Price briefly exceeds swing high/low then reverses within N bars
Detection:
• Price breaks above recent swing high (triggering buy stops)
• Then closes back below that high within 3 bars
• Signal: Bullish stop run complete, reversal likely
Or inverse for bearish:
• Price breaks below recent swing low (triggering sell stops)
• Then closes back above that low within 3 bars
• Signal: Bearish stop run complete, reversal likely
Type 3: Absorption Events
Definition: High volume with small candle body
Detection:
• Volume > 2x average
• Candle body < 30% of candle range
• Interpretation: Large orders being filled without moving price
• Implication: Accumulation (at lows) or distribution (at highs)
Type 4: BSL/SSL Pools (Buy-Side/Sell-Side Liquidity)
BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity):
• Cluster of swing highs within ATR proximity
• Stop losses from shorts sit above these highs
• Breaking BSL triggers short covering (fuel for rally)
SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity):
• Cluster of swing lows within ATR proximity
• Stop losses from longs sit below these lows
• Breaking SSL triggers long liquidation (fuel for decline)
Liquidity Pool Mapping:
AMWT continuously scans for and maps liquidity pools:
// Detect swing highs/lows using pivot function
swing_high = ta.pivothigh(high, 5, 5)
swing_low = ta.pivotlow(low, 5, 5)
// Track recent swing points
if not na(swing_high)
bsl_levels.push(swing_high)
if not na(swing_low)
ssl_levels.push(swing_low)
// Display on chart with labels
Confluence Scoring Integration:
When signals fire near identified liquidity events, confluence scoring increases:
• Signal near volume spike: +10% confidence
• Signal after liquidity sweep: +15% confidence
• Signal at BSL/SSL pool: +10% confidence
• Signal aligned with absorption zone: +10% confidence
Why Liquidity Anchoring Matters:
Signals "in a vacuum" have lower probability than signals anchored to institutional activity. A long signal after a liquidity sweep below swing lows has trapped shorts providing fuel. A long signal in the middle of nowhere has no such catalyst.
📊 SIGNAL GRADING SYSTEM
The Quality Problem:
Not all signals are created equal. A signal with 6/6 factors aligned is fundamentally different from a signal with 3/6 factors aligned. Traditional indicators treat them the same. AMWT grades every signal based on confluence.
Confluence Components (100 points total):
1. Bandit Consensus Strength (25 points)
consensus_str = weighted average of agent confidences
score = consensus_str × 25
Example:
Trend Agent: +1 signal, 0.80 confidence, 0.35 weight
Reversion Agent: 0 signal, 0.50 confidence, 0.25 weight
Structure Agent: +1 signal, 0.75 confidence, 0.40 weight
Weighted consensus = (0.80×0.35 + 0×0.25 + 0.75×0.40) / (0.35 + 0.40) = 0.77
Score = 0.77 × 25 = 19.25 points
2. HMM State Confidence (15 points)
score = hmm_confidence × 15
Example:
HMM reports 82% probability of IMPULSE_UP
Score = 0.82 × 15 = 12.3 points
3. Session Quality (15 points)
Session quality varies by time:
• London/NY Overlap: 1.0 (15 points)
• New York Session: 0.95 (14.25 points)
• London Session: 0.70 (10.5 points)
• Asian Session: 0.40 (6 points)
• Off-Hours: 0.30 (4.5 points)
• Weekend: 0.10 (1.5 points)
4. Energy/Participation (10 points)
energy = (realized_vol / avg_vol) × 0.4 + (range / ATR) × 0.35 + (volume / avg_volume) × 0.25
score = min(energy, 1.0) × 10
5. Volume Confirmation (10 points)
if volume > SMA(volume, 20) × 1.5:
score = 10
else if volume > SMA(volume, 20):
score = 5
else:
score = 0
6. Structure Alignment (10 points)
For long signals:
• Bullish structure (HH + HL): 10 points
• Higher low only: 6 points
• Neutral structure: 3 points
• Bearish structure: 0 points
Inverse for short signals
7. Trend Alignment (10 points)
For long signals:
• Price > EMA21 > EMA50: 10 points
• Price > EMA21: 6 points
• Neutral: 3 points
• Against trend: 0 points
8. Entry Trigger Quality (5 points)
• Strong trigger (multiple confirmations): 5 points
• Moderate trigger (single confirmation): 3 points
• Weak trigger (marginal): 1 point
Grade Scale:
Total Score → Grade
85-100 → A+ (Exceptional—all factors aligned)
70-84 → A (Strong—high probability)
55-69 → B (Acceptable—proceed with caution)
Below 55 → C (Marginal—filtered by default)
Grade-Based Signal Brightness:
Signal arrows on the chart have transparency based on grade:
• A+: Full brightness (alpha = 0)
• A: Slight fade (alpha = 15)
• B: Moderate fade (alpha = 35)
• C: Significant fade (alpha = 55)
This visual hierarchy helps traders instantly identify signal quality.
Minimum Grade Filter:
Configurable filter (default: C) sets the minimum grade for signal display:
• Set to "A" for only highest-quality signals
• Set to "B" for moderate selectivity
• Set to "C" for all signals (maximum quantity)
🕐 SESSION INTELLIGENCE
Why Sessions Matter:
Markets behave differently at different times. The London open is fundamentally different from the Asian lunch hour. AMWT incorporates session-aware logic to optimize signal quality.
Session Definitions:
Asian Session (18:00-03:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Lower volatility, range-bound tendency, fewer institutional participants
• Quality Score: 0.40 (40% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Fade extremes, expect ranges, smaller position sizes
• Best For: Mean-reversion setups, accumulation/distribution identification
London Session (03:00-12:00 ET)
• Characteristics: European institutional activity, volatility pickup, trend initiation
• Quality Score: 0.70 (70% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Watch for trend development, breakouts more reliable
• Best For: Initial trend identification, structure breaks
New York Session (08:00-17:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Highest liquidity, US institutional activity, major moves
• Quality Score: 0.95 (95% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Best environment for directional trades
• Best For: Trend continuation, momentum plays
London/NY Overlap (08:00-12:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Peak liquidity, both European and US participants active
• Quality Score: 1.0 (100%—maximum quality)
• Strategy Implications: Highest probability for successful breakouts and trends
• Best For: All signal types—this is prime time
Off-Hours
• Characteristics: Thin liquidity, erratic price action, gaps possible
• Quality Score: 0.30 (30% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Avoid new positions, wider stops if holding
• Best For: Waiting
Smart Weekend Detection:
AMWT properly handles the Sunday evening futures open:
// Traditional (broken):
isWeekend = dayofweek == saturday OR dayofweek == sunday
// AMWT (correct):
anySessionActive = not na(asianTime) or not na(londonTime) or not na(nyTime)
isWeekend = calendarWeekend AND NOT anySessionActive
This ensures Sunday 6pm ET (when futures open) correctly shows "Asian Session" rather than "Weekend."
Session Transition Boosts:
Certain session transitions create trading opportunities:
• Asian → London transition: +15% confidence boost (volatility expansion likely)
• London → Overlap transition: +20% confidence boost (peak liquidity approaching)
• Overlap → NY-only transition: -10% confidence adjustment (liquidity declining)
• Any → Off-Hours transition: Signal suppression recommended
📈 TRADE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
The Signal Spam Problem:
Many indicators generate signal after signal, creating confusion and overtrading. AMWT implements a complete trade lifecycle management system that prevents signal spam and tracks performance.
Trade Lock Mechanism:
Once a signal fires, the system enters a "trade lock" state:
Trade Lock Duration: Configurable (default 30 bars)
Early Exit Conditions:
• TP3 hit (full target reached)
• Stop Loss hit (trade failed)
• Lock expiration (time-based exit)
During lock:
• No new signals of same type displayed
• Opposite signals can override (reversal)
• Trade status tracked in dashboard
Target Levels:
Each signal generates three profit targets based on ATR:
TP1 (Conservative Target)
• Default: 1.0 × ATR
• Purpose: Quick partial profit, reduce risk
• Action: Take 30-40% off position, move stop to breakeven
TP2 (Standard Target)
• Default: 2.5 × ATR
• Purpose: Main profit target
• Action: Take 40-50% off position, trail stop
TP3 (Extended Target)
• Default: 5.0 × ATR
• Purpose: Runner target for trend days
• Action: Close remaining position or continue trailing
Stop Loss:
• Default: 1.9 × ATR from entry
• Purpose: Define maximum risk
• Placement: Below recent swing low (longs) or above recent swing high (shorts)
Invalidation Level:
Beyond stop loss, AMWT calculates an "invalidation" level where the wave hypothesis dies:
invalidation = entry - (ATR × INVALIDATION_MULT × 1.5)
If price reaches invalidation, the current market interpretation is wrong—not just the trade.
Visual Trade Management:
During active trades, AMWT displays:
• Entry arrow with grade label (▲A+, ▼B, etc.)
• TP1, TP2, TP3 horizontal lines in green
• Stop Loss line in red
• Invalidation line in orange (dashed)
• Progress indicator in dashboard
Persistent Execution Markers:
When targets or stops are hit, permanent markers appear:
• TP hit: Green dot with "TP1"/"TP2"/"TP3" label
• SL hit: Red dot with "SL" label
These persist on the chart for review and statistics.
💰 PERFORMANCE TRACKING & STATISTICS
Tracked Metrics:
• Total Trades: Count of all signals that entered trade lock
• Winning Trades: Signals where at least TP1 was reached before SL
• Losing Trades: Signals where SL was hit before any TP
• Win Rate: Winning / Total × 100%
• Total R Profit: Sum of R-multiples from winning trades
• Total R Loss: Sum of R-multiples from losing trades
• Net R: Total R Profit - Total R Loss
Currency Conversion System:
AMWT can display P&L in multiple formats:
R-Multiple (Default)
• Shows risk-normalized returns
• "Net P&L: +4.2R | 78 trades" means 4.2 times initial risk gained over 78 trades
• Best for comparing across different position sizes
Currency Conversion (USD/EUR/GBP/JPY/INR)
• Converts R-multiples to currency based on:
- Dollar Risk Per Trade (user input)
- Tick Value (user input)
- Selected currency
Example Configuration:
Dollar Risk Per Trade: $100
Display Currency: USD
If Net R = +4.2R
Display: Net P&L: +$420.00 | 78 trades
Ticks
• For futures traders who think in ticks
• Converts based on tick value input
Statistics Reset:
Two reset methods:
1. Toggle Reset
• Turn "Reset Statistics" toggle ON then OFF
• Clears all statistics immediately
2. Date-Based Reset
• Set "Reset After Date" (YYYY-MM-DD format)
• Only trades after this date are counted
• Useful for isolating recent performance
🎨 VISUAL FEATURES
Macro Channel:
Dynamic regression-based channel showing market boundaries:
• Upper/lower bounds calculated from swing pivot linear regression
• Adapts to current market structure
• Shows overall trend direction and potential reversal zones
Chop Boxes:
Semi-transparent overlay during high-chop periods:
• Purple/orange coloring indicates dangerous conditions
• Visual reminder to avoid new positions
Confluence Heat Zones:
Background shading indicating setup quality:
• Darker shading = higher confluence
• Lighter shading = lower confluence
• Helps identify optimal entry timing
EMA Ribbon:
Trend visualization via moving average fill:
• EMA 8/21/50 with gradient fill between
• Green fill when bullish aligned
• Red fill when bearish aligned
• Gray when neutral
Absorption Zone Boxes:
Marks potential accumulation/distribution areas:
• High volume + small body = absorption
• Boxes drawn at these levels
• Often act as support/resistance
Liquidity Pool Lines:
BSL/SSL levels with labels:
• Dashed lines at liquidity clusters
• "BSL" label above swing high clusters
• "SSL" label below swing low clusters
Six Professional Themes:
• Quantum: Deep purples and cyans (default)
• Cyberpunk: Neon pinks and blues
• Professional: Muted grays and greens
• Ocean: Blues and teals
• Matrix: Greens and blacks
• Ember: Oranges and reds
🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL
Phase 1: Learning the System (Week 1)
Goal: Understand AMWT concepts and dashboard interpretation
Setup:
• Signal Mode: Balanced
• Display: All features enabled
• Grade Filter: C (see all signals)
Actions:
• Paper trade ONLY—no real money
• Observe HMM state transitions throughout the day
• Note when agents agree vs disagree
• Watch chop detection engage and disengage
• Track which grades produce winners vs losers
Key Learning Questions:
• How often do A+ signals win vs B signals? (Should see clear difference)
• Which agent tends to be right in current market? (Check dashboard)
• When does chop detection save you from bad trades?
• How do signals near liquidity events perform vs signals in vacuum?
Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2)
Goal: Tune system to your instrument and timeframe
Signal Mode Testing:
• Run 5 days on Aggressive mode (more signals)
• Run 5 days on Conservative mode (fewer signals)
• Compare: Which produces better risk-adjusted returns?
Grade Filter Testing:
• Track A+ only for 20 signals
• Track A and above for 20 signals
• Track B and above for 20 signals
• Compare win rates and expectancy
Chop Threshold Testing:
• Default (80%): Standard filtering
• Try 70%: More aggressive filtering
• Try 90%: Less filtering
• Which produces best results for your instrument?
Phase 3: Strategy Development (Weeks 3-4)
Goal: Develop personal trading rules based on system signals
Position Sizing by Grade:
• A+ grade: 100% position size
• A grade: 75% position size
• B grade: 50% position size
• C grade: 25% position size (or skip)
Session-Based Rules:
• London/NY Overlap: Take all A/A+ signals
• NY Session: Take all A+ signals, selective on A
• Asian Session: Only A+ signals with extra confirmation
• Off-Hours: No new positions
Chop Zone Rules:
• Chop >70%: Reduce position size 50%
• Chop >80%: No new positions
• Chop <50%: Full position size allowed
Phase 4: Live Micro-Sizing (Month 2)
Goal: Validate paper trading results with minimal risk
Setup:
• 10-20% of intended full position size
• Take ONLY A+ signals initially
• Follow trade management religiously
Tracking:
• Log every trade: Entry, Exit, Grade, HMM State, Chop Level, Agent Consensus
• Calculate: Win rate by grade, by session, by chop level
• Compare to paper trading (should be within 15%)
Red Flags:
• Win rate diverges significantly from paper trading: Execution issues
• Consistent losses during certain sessions: Adjust session rules
• Losses cluster when specific agent dominates: Review that agent's logic
Phase 5: Scaling Up (Months 3-6)
Goal: Gradually increase to full position size
Progression:
• Month 3: 25-40% size (if micro-sizing profitable)
• Month 4: 40-60% size
• Month 5: 60-80% size
• Month 6: 80-100% size
Scale-Up Requirements:
• Minimum 30 trades at current size
• Win rate ≥50%
• Net R positive
• No revenge trading incidents
• Emotional control maintained
💡 DEVELOPMENT INSIGHTS
Why HMM Over Simple Indicators:
Early versions used standard indicators (RSI >70 = overbought, etc.). Win rates hovered at 52-55%. The problem: indicators don't capture state. RSI can stay "overbought" for weeks in a strong trend.
The insight: markets exist in states, and state persistence matters more than indicator levels. Implementing HMM with state transition probabilities increased signal quality significantly. The system now knows not just "RSI is high" but "we're in IMPULSE_UP state with 70% probability of staying in IMPULSE_UP."
The Multi-Agent Evolution:
Original version used a single analytical methodology—trend-following. Performance was inconsistent: great in trends, destroyed in ranges. Added mean-reversion agent: now it was inconsistent the other way.
The breakthrough: use multiple agents and let the system learn which works . Thompson Sampling wasn't the first attempt—tried simple averaging, voting, even hard-coded regime switching. Thompson Sampling won because it's mathematically optimal and automatically adapts without manual regime detection.
Chop Detection Revelation:
Chop detection was added almost as an afterthought. "Let's filter out obviously bad conditions." Testing revealed it was the most impactful single feature. Filtering chop zones reduced losing trades by 35% while only reducing total signals by 20%. The insight: avoiding bad trades matters more than finding good ones.
Liquidity Anchoring Discovery:
Watched hundreds of trades. Noticed pattern: signals that fired after liquidity events (stop runs, volume spikes) had significantly higher win rates than signals in quiet markets. Implemented liquidity detection and anchoring. Win rate on liquidity-anchored signals: 68% vs 52% on non-anchored signals.
The Grade System Impact:
Early system had binary signals (fire or don't fire). Adding grading transformed it. Traders could finally match position size to signal quality. A+ signals deserved full size; C signals deserved caution. Just implementing grade-based sizing improved portfolio Sharpe ratio by 0.3.
🚨 LIMITATIONS & CRITICAL ASSUMPTIONS
What AMWT Is NOT:
• NOT a Holy Grail : No system wins every trade. AMWT improves probability, not certainty.
• NOT Fully Automated : AMWT provides signals and analysis; execution requires human judgment.
• NOT News-Proof : Exogenous shocks (FOMC surprises, geopolitical events) invalidate all technical analysis.
• NOT for Scalping : HMM state estimation needs time to develop. Sub-minute timeframes are not appropriate.
Core Assumptions:
1. Markets Have States : Assumes markets transition between identifiable regimes. Violation: Random walk markets with no regime structure.
2. States Are Inferable : Assumes observable indicators reveal hidden states. Violation: Market manipulation creating false signals.
3. History Informs Future : Assumes past agent performance predicts future performance. Violation: Regime changes that invalidate historical patterns.
4. Liquidity Events Matter : Assumes institutional activity creates predictable patterns. Violation: Markets with no institutional participation.
Performs Best On:
• Liquid Futures : ES, NQ, MNQ, MES, CL, GC
• Major Forex Pairs : EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY
• Large-Cap Stocks : AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, NVDA (>$5B market cap)
• Liquid Crypto : BTC, ETH on major exchanges
Performs Poorly On:
• Illiquid Instruments : Low volume stocks, exotic pairs
• Very Low Timeframes : Sub-5-minute charts (noise overwhelms signal)
• Binary Event Days : Earnings, FDA approvals, court rulings
• Manipulated Markets : Penny stocks, low-cap altcoins
Known Weaknesses:
• Warmup Period : HMM needs ~50 bars to initialize properly. Early signals may be unreliable.
• Regime Change Lag : Thompson Sampling adapts over time, not instantly. Sudden regime changes may cause short-term underperformance.
• Complexity : More parameters than simple indicators. Requires understanding to use effectively.
⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE
Trading futures, stocks, options, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Adaptive Market Wave Theory, while based on rigorous mathematical frameworks including Hidden Markov Models and multi-armed bandit algorithms, does not guarantee profits and can result in significant losses.
AMWT's methodologies—HMM state estimation, Thompson Sampling agent selection, and confluence-based grading—have theoretical foundations but past performance is not indicative of future results.
Hidden Markov Model assumptions may not hold during:
• Major news events disrupting normal market behavior
• Flash crashes or circuit breaker events
• Low liquidity periods with erratic price action
• Algorithmic manipulation or spoofing
Multi-agent consensus assumes independent analytical perspectives provide edge. Market conditions change. Edges that existed historically can diminish or disappear.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, and broker execution environment. Paper trade extensively before risking capital. Start with micro position sizing.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing. Implement stop losses without exception.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge these risks and accept full responsibility for all trading decisions and outcomes.
"Elliott Wave was a first-order approximation of market phase behavior. AMWT is the second—probabilistic, adaptive, and accountable."
Initial Public Release
Core Engine:
• True Hidden Markov Model with online Baum-Welch learning
• Viterbi algorithm for optimal state sequence decoding
• 6-state market regime classification
Agent System:
• 3-Bandit consensus (Trend, Reversion, Structure)
• Thompson Sampling with true Beta distribution sampling
• Adaptive weight learning based on performance
Signal Generation:
• Quality-based confluence grading (A+/A/B/C)
• Four signal modes (Aggressive/Balanced/Conservative/Institutional)
• Grade-based visual brightness
Chop Detection:
• 5-factor analysis (ADX, Choppiness Index, Range Compression, Channel Position, Volume)
• 7 regime classifications
• Configurable signal suppression threshold
Liquidity:
• Volume spike detection
• Stop run (liquidity sweep) identification
• BSL/SSL pool mapping
• Absorption zone detection
Trade Management:
• Trade lock with configurable duration
• TP1/TP2/TP3 targets
• ATR-based stop loss
• Persistent execution markers
Session Intelligence:
• Asian/London/NY/Overlap detection
• Smart weekend handling (Sunday futures open)
• Session quality scoring
Performance:
• Statistics tracking with reset functionality
• 7 currency display modes
• Win rate and Net R calculation
Visuals:
• Macro channel with linear regression
• Chop boxes
• EMA ribbon
• Liquidity pool lines
• 6 professional themes
Dashboards:
• Main Dashboard: Market State, Consensus, Trade Status, Statistics
📋 AMWT vs AMWT-PRO:
This version includes all core AMWT functionality:
✓ Full Hidden Markov Model state estimation
✓ 3-Bandit Thompson Sampling consensus system
✓ Complete 5-factor chop detection engine
✓ All four signal modes
✓ Full trade management with TP/SL tracking
✓ Main dashboard with complete statistics
✓ All visual features (channels, zones, pools)
✓ Identical signal generation to PRO
✓ Six professional themes
✓ Full alert system
The PRO version adds the AMWT Advisor panel—a secondary dashboard providing:
• Real-time Market Pulse situation assessment
• Agent Matrix visualization (individual agent votes)
• Structure analysis breakdown
• "Watch For" upcoming setups
• Action Command coaching
Both versions generate identical signals . The Advisor provides additional guidance for interpreting those signals.
Taking you to school. - Dskyz, Trade with probability. Trade with consensus. Trade with AMWT.
Cosmic Volume Analyzer [JOAT]
Cosmic Volume Analyzer - Astrophysics Edition
Overview
Cosmic Volume Analyzer is an open-source oscillator indicator that applies astrophysics-inspired concepts to volume analysis. It classifies volume into buy/sell categories, calculates volume flow, detects accumulation/distribution phases, identifies climax volume events, and uses gravitational and stellar mass analogies to visualize volume dynamics.
What This Indicator Does
The indicator calculates and displays:
Volume Classification - Categorizes each bar as CLIMAX_BUY, CLIMAX_SELL, HIGH_BUY, HIGH_SELL, NORMAL_BUY, or NORMAL_SELL
Volume Flow - Percentage showing buy vs sell pressure over a lookback period
Buy/Sell Volume - Separated volume based on candle direction
Accumulation/Distribution - Phase detection using Money Flow Multiplier
Volume Oscillator - Fast vs slow volume EMA comparison
Gravitational Pull - Volume-weighted price attraction metric
Stellar Mass Index - Volume ratio combined with price momentum
Black Hole Detection - Identifies extremely low volume periods (liquidity voids)
Supernova Events - Detects extreme volume with extreme price movement
Orbital Cycles - Sine-wave based cyclical visualization
How It Works
Volume classification uses volume ratio and candle direction:
classifyVolume(series float vol, series float close, series float open) =>
float avgVol = ta.sma(vol, 20)
float volRatio = avgVol > 0 ? vol / avgVol : 1.0
if volRatio > 1.5
if close > open
classification := "CLIMAX_BUY"
else
classification := "CLIMAX_SELL"
else if volRatio > 1.2
// HIGH_BUY or HIGH_SELL
else
// NORMAL_BUY or NORMAL_SELL
Volume flow separates buy and sell volume over a period:
calculateVolumeFlow(series float vol, series float close, simple int period) =>
float currentBuyVol = close > open ? vol : 0.0
float currentSellVol = close < open ? vol : 0.0
// Accumulate in buffers
float flow = (buyVolume - sellVolume) / totalVol * 100
Accumulation/Distribution uses the Money Flow Multiplier:
float mfm = ((close - low) - (high - close)) / (high - low)
float mfv = mfm * vol
float adLine = ta.cum(mfv)
if adLine > adEMA and ta.rising(adLine, 3)
phase := "ACCUMULATION"
else if adLine < adEMA and ta.falling(adLine, 3)
phase := "DISTRIBUTION"
Gravitational pull uses volume-weighted price distance:
gravitationalPull(series float vol, series float price, simple int period) =>
float massCenter = ta.vwma(price, period)
float distance = math.abs(price - massCenter)
float mass = vol / ta.sma(vol, period)
float gravity = distance > 0 ? mass / (distance * distance) : 0.0
Signal Generation
Signals are generated based on volume conditions:
Buy Climax: Volume exceeds 2 standard deviations above average on bullish candle
Sell Climax: Volume exceeds 2 standard deviations above average on bearish candle
Strong Buy Flow: Volume flow exceeds positive threshold (default 45%)
Strong Sell Flow: Volume flow exceeds negative threshold (default -45%)
Supernova: Volume 3x average AND price change 3x average
Black Hole: Volume 2 standard deviations below average
Dashboard Panel (Top-Right)
Volume Class - Current volume classification
Volume Flow - Buy/sell flow percentage
Buy Volume - Accumulated buy volume
Sell Volume - Accumulated sell volume
A/D Phase - ACCUMULATION/DISTRIBUTION/NEUTRAL
Volume Strength - Normalized volume strength
Gravity Pull - Current gravitational metric
Stellar Mass - Current stellar mass index
Cosmic Field - Combined cosmic field strength
Black Hole - Detection status and void strength
Signal - Current actionable status
Visual Elements
Volume Ratio Columns - Colored bars showing normalized volume
Volume Flow Line - Main oscillator showing flow direction
Flow EMA - Smoothed flow for trend reference
Volume Oscillator - Area plot showing fast/slow comparison
Gravity Field - Area plot showing gravitational pull
Orbital Cycle - Circle plots showing cyclical pattern
Stellar Mass Line - Line showing mass index
Climax Markers - Fire emoji for buy climax, snowflake for sell climax
Supernova Markers - Diamond shapes for extreme events
Black Hole Markers - X-cross for liquidity voids
A/D Phase Background - Subtle background color based on phase
Input Parameters
Volume Period (default: 20) - Period for volume calculations
Distribution Levels (default: 5) - Granularity of distribution analysis
Flow Threshold (default: 1.5) - Multiplier for flow significance
Accumulation Period (default: 14) - Period for A/D calculation
Gravitational Analysis (default: true) - Enable gravity metrics
Black Hole Detection (default: true) - Enable void detection
Stellar Mass Calculation (default: true) - Enable mass index
Orbital Cycles (default: true) - Enable cyclical visualization
Supernova Detection (default: true) - Enable extreme event detection
Suggested Use Cases
Identify accumulation phases for potential long entries
Watch for distribution phases as potential exit signals
Use climax volume as potential exhaustion indicators
Monitor volume flow for directional bias
Avoid trading during black hole (low liquidity) periods
Watch for supernova events as potential trend acceleration
Timeframe Recommendations
Best on 15m to Daily charts. Volume analysis requires sufficient trading activity for meaningful readings.
Limitations
Volume data quality varies by exchange and instrument
Buy/sell separation is based on candle direction, not actual order flow
Astrophysics concepts are analogies, not literal physics
A/D phase detection may lag during rapid transitions
Open-Source and Disclaimer
This script is published as open-source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 for educational purposes. It does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management.
- Made with passion by officialjackofalltrades
VV Moving Average Convergence Divergence # VMACDv3 - Volume-Weighted MACD with A/D Divergence Detection
## Overview
**VMACDv3** (Volume-Weighted Moving Average Convergence Divergence Version 3) is a momentum indicator that applies volume-weighting to traditional MACD calculations on price, while using the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) line for divergence detection. This hybrid approach combines volume-weighted price momentum with volume distribution analysis for comprehensive market insight.
## Key Features
- **Volume-Weighted Price MACD**: Traditional MACD calculation on price but weighted by volume for earlier signals
- **A/D Divergence Detection**: Identifies when A/D trend diverges from MACD momentum
- **Volume Strength Filtering**: Distinguishes high-volume confirmations from low-volume noise
- **Color-Coded Histogram**: 4-color system showing momentum direction and volume strength
- **Real-Time Alerts**: Background colors and alert conditions for bullish/bearish divergences
## Difference from ACCDv3
| Aspect | VMACDv3 | ACCDv3 |
|--------|---------|---------|
| **MACD Input** | **Price (Close)** | **A/D Line** |
| **Volume Weighting** | Applied to price | Applied to A/D line |
| **Primary Signal** | Volume-weighted price momentum | Volume distribution momentum |
| **Use Case** | Price momentum with volume confirmation | Volume flow and accumulation/distribution |
| **Sensitivity** | More responsive to price changes | More responsive to volume patterns |
| **Best For** | Trend following, breakouts | Volume analysis, smart money tracking |
**Key Insight**: VMACDv3 shows *where price is going* with volume weight, while ACCDv3 shows *where volume is accumulating/distributing*.
## Components
### 1. Volume-Weighted MACD on Price
Unlike standard MACD that uses simple price EMAs, VMACDv3 weights each price by its corresponding volume:
```
Fast Line = EMA(Price × Volume, 12) / EMA(Volume, 12)
Slow Line = EMA(Price × Volume, 26) / EMA(Volume, 26)
MACD = Fast Line - Slow Line
```
**Benefits of Volume Weighting**:
- High-volume price movements have greater impact
- Filters out low-volume noise and false moves
- Provides earlier trend change signals
- Better reflects institutional activity
### 2. Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) Line
Used for divergence detection, measuring buying/selling pressure:
```
A/D = Σ ((2 × Close - Low - High) / (High - Low)) × Volume
```
- **Rising A/D**: Accumulation (buying pressure)
- **Falling A/D**: Distribution (selling pressure)
- **Doji Handling**: When High = Low, contribution is zero
### 3. Signal Lines
- **MACD Line** (Blue, #2962FF): The fast-slow difference showing momentum
- **Signal Line** (Orange, #FF6D00): EMA or SMA smoothing of MACD
- **Zero Line**: Reference for bullish (above) vs bearish (below) bias
### 4. Histogram Color System
The histogram uses 4 distinct colors based on **direction** and **volume strength**:
| Condition | Color | Meaning |
|-----------|-------|---------|
| Rising + High Volume | **Dark Green** (#1B5E20) | Strong bullish momentum with volume confirmation |
| Rising + Low Volume | **Light Teal** (#26A69A) | Bullish momentum but weak volume (less reliable) |
| Falling + High Volume | **Dark Red** (#B71C1C) | Strong bearish momentum with volume confirmation |
| Falling + Low Volume | **Light Pink** (#FFCDD2) | Bearish momentum but weak volume (less reliable) |
Additional shading:
- **Light Cyan** (#B2DFDB): Positive but not rising (momentum stalling)
- **Bright Red** (#FF5252): Negative and accelerating down
### 5. Divergence Detection
VMACDv3 compares A/D trend against volume-weighted price MACD:
#### Bullish Divergence (Green Background)
- **Condition**: A/D is trending up BUT MACD is negative and trending down
- **Interpretation**: Volume is accumulating while price momentum appears weak
- **Signal**: Smart money accumulation, potential bullish reversal
- **Action**: Look for long entries, especially at support levels
#### Bearish Divergence (Red Background)
- **Condition**: A/D is trending down BUT MACD is positive and trending up
- **Interpretation**: Volume is distributing while price momentum appears strong
- **Signal**: Smart money distribution, potential bearish reversal
- **Action**: Consider exits, avoid new longs, watch for breakdown
## Parameters
| Parameter | Default | Range | Description |
|-----------|---------|-------|-------------|
| **Source** | Close | OHLC/HLC3/etc | Price source for MACD calculation |
| **Fast Length** | 12 | 1-50 | Period for fast EMA (shorter = more sensitive) |
| **Slow Length** | 26 | 1-100 | Period for slow EMA (longer = smoother) |
| **Signal Smoothing** | 9 | 1-50 | Period for signal line (MACD smoothing) |
| **Signal Line MA Type** | EMA | SMA/EMA | Moving average type for signal calculation |
| **Volume MA Length** | 20 | 5-100 | Period for volume average (strength filter) |
## Usage Guide
### Reading the Indicator
1. **MACD Lines (Blue & Orange)**
- **Blue Line (MACD)**: Volume-weighted price momentum
- **Orange Line (Signal)**: Smoothed trend of MACD
- **Crossovers**: Blue crosses above orange = bullish, below = bearish
- **Distance**: Wider gap = stronger momentum
- **Zero Line Position**: Above = bullish bias, below = bearish bias
2. **Histogram Colors**
- **Dark Green (#1B5E20)**: Strong bullish move with high volume - **most reliable buy signal**
- **Light Teal (#26A69A)**: Bullish but low volume - wait for confirmation
- **Dark Red (#B71C1C)**: Strong bearish move with high volume - **most reliable sell signal**
- **Light Pink (#FFCDD2)**: Bearish but low volume - may be temporary dip
3. **Background Divergence Alerts**
- **Green Background**: A/D accumulating while price weak - potential bottom
- **Red Background**: A/D distributing while price strong - potential top
- Most powerful at key support/resistance levels
### Trading Strategies
#### Strategy 1: Volume-Confirmed Trend Following
1. Wait for MACD to cross above zero line
2. Look for **dark green** histogram bars (high volume confirmation)
3. Enter long on second consecutive dark green bar
4. Hold while histogram remains green
5. Exit when histogram turns light green or red appears
6. Set stop below recent swing low
**Example**:
```
Price: 26,400 → 26,450 (rising)
MACD: -50 → +20 (crosses zero)
Histogram: Light teal → Dark green → Dark green
Volume: 50k → 75k → 90k (increasing)
```
#### Strategy 2: Divergence Reversal Trading
1. Identify divergence background (green = bullish, red = bearish)
2. Confirm with price structure (support/resistance, chart patterns)
3. Wait for MACD to cross signal line in divergence direction
4. Enter on first **dark colored** histogram bar after divergence
5. Set stop beyond divergence area
6. Target previous swing high/low
**Example - Bullish Divergence**:
```
Price: Making lower lows (26,350 → 26,300 → 26,250)
A/D: Rising (accumulation)
MACD: Below zero but starting to curve up
Background: Green shading appears
Entry: MACD crosses signal line + dark green bar
Stop: Below 26,230
Target: 26,450 (previous high)
```
#### Strategy 3: Momentum Scalping
1. Trade only in direction of MACD zero line (above = long, below = short)
2. Enter on dark colored bars only
3. Exit on first light colored bar or opposite color
4. Quick in and out (1-5 minute holds)
5. Tight stops (0.2-0.5% depending on instrument)
#### Strategy 4: Histogram Pattern Trading
**V-Bottom Reversal (Bullish)**:
- Red histogram bars start rising (becoming less negative)
- Forms "V" shape at the bottom
- Transitions to light red → light teal → **dark green**
- Entry: First dark green bar
- Signal: Momentum reversal with volume
**Λ-Top Reversal (Bearish)**:
- Green histogram bars start falling (becoming less positive)
- Forms inverted "V" at the top
- Transitions to light green → light pink → **dark red**
- Entry: First dark red bar
- Signal: Momentum exhaustion with volume
### Multi-Timeframe Analysis
**Recommended Approach**:
1. **Higher Timeframe (15m/1h)**: Identify overall trend direction
2. **Trading Timeframe (5m)**: Time entries using VMACDv3 signals
3. **Lower Timeframe (1m)**: Fine-tune entry prices
**Example Setup**:
```
15-minute: MACD above zero (bullish bias)
5-minute: Dark green histogram appears after pullback
1-minute: Enter on break of recent high with volume
```
### Volume Strength Interpretation
The volume filter compares current volume to 20-period average:
- **Volume > Average**: Dark colors (green/red) - high confidence signals
- **Volume < Average**: Light colors (teal/pink) - lower confidence signals
**Trading Rules**:
- ✓ **Aggressive**: Take all dark colored signals
- ✓ **Conservative**: Only take dark colors that follow 2+ light colors of same type
- ✗ **Avoid**: Trading light colored signals during high volatility
- ✗ **Avoid**: Ignoring volume context during news events
## Technical Details
### Volume-Weighted Calculation
```pine
// Volume-weighted fast EMA
fast_ma = ta.ema(src * volume, fast_length) / ta.ema(volume, fast_length)
// Volume-weighted slow EMA
slow_ma = ta.ema(src * volume, slow_length) / ta.ema(volume, slow_length)
// MACD is the difference
macd = fast_ma - slow_ma
// Signal line smoothing
signal = ta.ema(macd, signal_length) // or ta.sma() if SMA selected
// Histogram
hist = macd - signal
```
### Divergence Detection Logic
```pine
// A/D trending up if above its 5-period SMA
ad_trend = ad > ta.sma(ad, 5)
// MACD trending up if above zero
macd_trend = macd > 0
// Divergence when trends oppose each other
divergence = ad_trend != macd_trend
// Specific conditions for alerts
bullish_divergence = ad_trend and not macd_trend and macd < 0
bearish_divergence = not ad_trend and macd_trend and macd > 0
```
### Histogram Coloring Logic
```pine
hist_color = (hist >= 0
? (hist < hist
? (vol_strength ? #1B5E20 : #26A69A) // Rising: dark/light green
: #B2DFDB) // Positive but falling: cyan
: (hist < hist
? (vol_strength ? #B71C1C : #FFCDD2) // Rising (less negative): dark/light red
: #FF5252)) // Falling more: bright red
```
## Alerts
Built-in alert conditions for divergence detection:
### Bullish Divergence Alert
- **Trigger**: A/D trending up, MACD negative and trending down
- **Message**: "Bullish Divergence: A/D trending up but MACD trending down"
- **Use Case**: Potential reversal or continuation after pullback
- **Action**: Look for long entry setups
### Bearish Divergence Alert
- **Trigger**: A/D trending down, MACD positive and trending up
- **Message**: "Bearish Divergence: A/D trending down but MACD trending up"
- **Use Case**: Potential top or trend reversal
- **Action**: Consider exits or short entries
### Setting Up Alerts
1. Click "Create Alert" in TradingView
2. Condition: Select "VMACDv3"
3. Choose alert type: "Bullish Divergence" or "Bearish Divergence"
4. Configure: Email, SMS, webhook, or popup
5. Set frequency: "Once Per Bar Close" recommended
## Comparison Tables
### VMACDv3 vs Standard MACD
| Feature | Standard MACD | VMACDv3 |
|---------|---------------|---------|
| **Price Weighting** | Equal weight all bars | Volume-weighted |
| **Sensitivity** | Fixed | Adaptive to volume |
| **False Signals** | More during low volume | Fewer (volume filter) |
| **Divergence** | Price vs MACD | A/D vs MACD |
| **Volume Analysis** | None | Built-in |
| **Color System** | 2 colors | 4+ colors |
| **Best For** | Simple trend following | Volume-confirmed trading |
### VMACDv3 vs ACCDv3
| Aspect | VMACDv3 | ACCDv3 |
|--------|---------|--------|
| **Focus** | Price momentum | Volume distribution |
| **Reactivity** | Faster to price moves | Faster to volume shifts |
| **Best Markets** | Trending, breakouts | Accumulation/distribution phases |
| **Signal Type** | Where price + volume going | Where smart money positioning |
| **Divergence Meaning** | Volume vs price disagreement | A/D vs momentum disagreement |
| **Use Together?** | ✓ Yes, complementary | ✓ Yes, different perspectives |
## Example Trading Scenarios
### Scenario 1: Strong Bullish Breakout
```
Time: 9:30 AM (market open)
Price: Breaks above 26,400 resistance
MACD: Crosses above zero line
Histogram: Dark green bars (#1B5E20)
Volume: 2x average (150k vs 75k avg)
A/D: Rising (no divergence)
Action: Enter long at 26,405
Stop: 26,380 (below breakout)
Target 1: 26,450 (risk:reward 1:2)
Target 2: 26,500 (risk:reward 1:4)
Result: High probability setup with volume confirmation
```
### Scenario 2: False Breakout (Avoided)
```
Time: 2:30 PM (slow period)
Price: Breaks above 26,400 resistance
MACD: Slightly positive
Histogram: Light teal bars (#26A69A)
Volume: 0.5x average (40k vs 75k avg)
A/D: Flat/declining
Action: Avoid trade
Reason: Low volume, no conviction, potential false breakout
Outcome: Price reverses back below 26,400 within 10 minutes
Saved: Avoided losing trade due to volume filter
```
### Scenario 3: Bullish Divergence Bottom
```
Time: 11:00 AM
Price: Making lower lows (26,350 → 26,300 → 26,280)
MACD: Below zero but curving upward
Histogram: Red bars getting shorter (V-bottom forming)
Background: Green shading (divergence alert)
A/D: Rising despite price falling
Volume: Increasing on down bars
Setup:
1. Divergence appears at 26,280 (green background)
2. Wait for MACD to cross signal line
3. First dark green bar appears at 26,290
4. Enter long: 26,295 (next bar open)
5. Stop: 26,265 (below divergence low)
6. Target: 26,350 (previous swing high)
Result: +55 points (30 point risk, 1.8:1 reward)
Key: Divergence + volume confirmation = high probability reversal
```
### Scenario 4: Bearish Divergence Top
```
Time: 1:45 PM
Price: Making higher highs (26,500 → 26,520 → 26,540)
MACD: Positive but flattening
Histogram: Green bars getting shorter (Λ-top forming)
Background: Red shading (bearish divergence)
A/D: Declining despite rising price
Volume: Decreasing on up bars
Setup:
1. Bearish divergence at 26,540 (red background)
2. MACD crosses below signal line
3. First dark red bar appears at 26,535
4. Enter short: 26,530
5. Stop: 26,555 (above divergence high)
6. Target: 26,475 (support level)
Result: +55 points (25 point risk, 2.2:1 reward)
Key: Distribution while price rising = smart money exiting
```
### Scenario 5: V-Bottom Reversal
```
Downtrend in progress
MACD: Deep below zero (-150)
Histogram: Series of dark red bars
Pattern Development:
Bar 1: Dark red, hist = -80, falling
Bar 2: Dark red, hist = -95, falling
Bar 3: Dark red, hist = -100, falling (extreme)
Bar 4: Light pink, hist = -98, rising!
Bar 5: Light pink, hist = -90, rising
Bar 6: Light teal, hist = -75, rising (crosses to positive momentum)
Bar 7: Dark green, hist = -55, rising + volume
Action: Enter long on Bar 7
Reason: V-bottom confirmed with volume
Stop: Below Bar 3 low
Target: Zero line on histogram (mean reversion)
```
## Best Practices
### Entry Rules
✓ **Wait for dark colors**: High-volume confirmation is key
✓ **Confirm divergences**: Use with price support/resistance
✓ **Trade with zero line**: Long above, short below for best odds
✓ **Multiple timeframes**: Align 1m, 5m, 15m signals
✓ **Watch for patterns**: V-bottoms and Λ-tops are reliable
### Exit Rules
✓ **Partial profits**: Take 50% at first target
✓ **Trail stops**: Use histogram color changes
✓ **Respect signals**: Exit on opposite dark color
✓ **Time stops**: Close positions before major news
✓ **End of day**: Square up before close
### Avoid
✗ **Don't chase light colors**: Low volume = low confidence
✗ **Don't ignore divergence**: Early warning system
✗ **Don't overtrade**: Wait for clear setups
✗ **Don't fight the trend**: Zero line dictates bias
✗ **Don't skip stops**: Always use risk management
## Risk Management
### Position Sizing
- **Dark green/red signals**: 1-2% account risk
- **Light signals**: 0.5% account risk or skip
- **Divergence plays**: 1% account risk (higher uncertainty)
- **Multiple confirmations**: Up to 2% account risk
### Stop Loss Placement
- **Trend trades**: Below/above recent swing (20-30 points typical)
- **Breakout trades**: Below/above breakout level (15-25 points)
- **Divergence trades**: Beyond divergence extreme (25-40 points)
- **Scalp trades**: Tight stops at 10-15 points
### Profit Targets
- **Minimum**: 1.5:1 reward to risk ratio
- **Scalps**: 15-25 points (quick in/out)
- **Swing**: 50-100 points (hold through pullbacks)
- **Runners**: Trail with histogram color changes
## Timeframe Recommendations
| Timeframe | Trading Style | Typical Hold | Advantages | Challenges |
|-----------|---------------|--------------|------------|------------|
| **1-minute** | Scalping | 1-5 minutes | Fast profits, many setups | Noisy, high false signals |
| **5-minute** | Intraday | 15-60 minutes | Balance of speed/clarity | Still requires quick decisions |
| **15-minute** | Swing | 1-4 hours | Clearer trends, less noise | Fewer opportunities |
| **1-hour** | Position | 4-24 hours | Strong signals, less monitoring | Wider stops required |
**Recommendation**: Start with 5-minute for best balance of signal quality and opportunity frequency.
## Combining with Other Indicators
### VMACDv3 + ACCDv3
- **Use**: Confirm volume flow with price momentum
- **Signal**: Both showing dark green = highest conviction long
- **Divergence**: VMACDv3 bullish + ACCDv3 bearish = examine price action
### VMACDv3 + RSI
- **Use**: Overbought/oversold with momentum confirmation
- **Signal**: RSI < 30 + dark green VMACD = strong reversal
- **Caution**: RSI > 70 + light green VMACD = potential false breakout
### VMACDv3 + Elder Impulse
- **Use**: Bar coloring + histogram confirmation
- **Signal**: Green Elder bars + dark green VMACD = aligned momentum
- **Exit**: Blue Elder bars + light colors = momentum stalling
## Limitations
- **Requires volume data**: Will not work on instruments without volume feed
- **Lagging indicator**: MACD inherently follows price (2-3 bar delay)
- **Consolidation noise**: Generates false signals in tight ranges
- **Gap handling**: Large gaps can distort volume-weighted values
- **Not standalone**: Should combine with price action and support/resistance
## Troubleshooting
**Problem**: Too many light colored signals
**Solution**: Increase Volume MA Length to 30-40 for stricter filtering
**Problem**: Missing entries due to waiting for dark colors
**Solution**: Lower Volume MA Length to 10-15 for more signals (accept lower quality)
**Problem**: Divergences not appearing
**Solution**: Verify volume data available; check if A/D line is calculating
**Problem**: Histogram colors not changing
**Solution**: Ensure real-time data feed; refresh indicator
## Version History
- **v3**: Removed traditional MACD, using volume-weighted MACD on price with A/D divergence
- **v2**: Added A/D divergence detection, volume strength filtering, enhanced histogram colors
- **v1**: Basic volume-weighted MACD on price
## Related Indicators
**Companion Tools**:
- **ACCDv3**: Volume-weighted MACD on A/D line (distribution focus)
- **RSIv2**: RSI with A/D divergence detection
- **DMI**: Directional Movement Index with A/D divergence
- **Elder Impulse**: Bar coloring system using volume-weighted MACD
**Use Together**: VMACDv3 (momentum) + ACCDv3 (distribution) + Elder Impulse (bar colors) = complete volume-based trading system
---
*This indicator is for educational purposes. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always practice proper risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose.*
ACCDv3# ACCDv3 - Accumulation/Distribution MACD with Divergence Detection
## Overview
**ACCDv3** (Accumulation/Distribution MACD Version 3) is an advanced volume-weighted momentum indicator that combines the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) line with MACD methodology and divergence detection. It helps identify trend strength, momentum shifts, and potential reversals by analyzing volume-weighted price movements.
## Key Features
- **Volume-Weighted MACD**: Applies MACD calculation to volume-weighted A/D values for earlier, more reliable signals
- **Divergence Detection**: Identifies when A/D trend diverges from MACD momentum
- **Volume Strength Filtering**: Distinguishes high-volume confirmations from low-volume noise
- **Color-Coded Histogram**: 4-color system showing momentum direction and volume strength
- **Real-Time Alerts**: Background colors and alert conditions for bullish/bearish divergences
## Components
### 1. Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) Line
The A/D line measures buying and selling pressure by comparing the close price to the trading range, weighted by volume:
```
A/D = Σ ((2 × Close - Low - High) / (High - Low)) × Volume
```
- **Rising A/D**: More accumulation (buying pressure)
- **Falling A/D**: More distribution (selling pressure)
- **Doji Handling**: When High = Low, contribution is zero (avoids division errors)
### 2. Volume-Weighted MACD
Instead of simple EMAs, the indicator weights A/D values by volume:
- **Fast Line** (default 12): `EMA(A/D × Volume, 12) / EMA(Volume, 12)`
- **Slow Line** (default 26): `EMA(A/D × Volume, 26) / EMA(Volume, 26)`
- **MACD Line**: Fast Line - Slow Line (green line)
- **Signal Line** (default 9): EMA or SMA of MACD (orange line)
- **Histogram**: MACD - Signal (color-coded columns)
This volume-weighting ensures that periods with higher volume have greater influence on the indicator values.
### 3. Histogram Color System
The histogram uses 4 distinct colors based on **direction** and **volume strength**:
| Condition | Color | Meaning |
|-----------|-------|---------|
| Rising + High Volume | **Dark Green** (#1B5E20) | Strong bullish momentum with volume confirmation |
| Rising + Low Volume | **Light Teal** (#26A69A) | Bullish momentum but weak volume (less reliable) |
| Falling + High Volume | **Dark Red** (#B71C1C) | Strong bearish momentum with volume confirmation |
| Falling + Low Volume | **Light Red/Pink** (#FFCDD2) | Bearish momentum but weak volume (less reliable) |
Additional shading:
- **Light Cyan** (#B2DFDB): Positive but not rising (momentum stalling)
- **Bright Red** (#FF5252): Negative and accelerating down
### 4. Divergence Detection
Divergence occurs when A/D trend and MACD momentum move in opposite directions:
#### Bullish Divergence (Green Background)
- **Condition**: A/D is trending up BUT MACD is negative and trending down
- **Interpretation**: Accumulation increasing while momentum appears weak
- **Signal**: Potential bullish reversal or continuation
- **Action**: Look for entry opportunities or hold long positions
#### Bearish Divergence (Red Background)
- **Condition**: A/D is trending down BUT MACD is positive and trending up
- **Interpretation**: Distribution increasing while momentum appears strong
- **Signal**: Potential bearish reversal or weakening uptrend
- **Action**: Consider exits, tighten stops, or prepare for reversal
## Parameters
| Parameter | Default | Range | Description |
|-----------|---------|-------|-------------|
| **Fast Length** | 12 | 1-50 | Period for fast EMA (shorter = more sensitive) |
| **Slow Length** | 26 | 1-100 | Period for slow EMA (longer = smoother) |
| **Signal Smoothing** | 9 | 1-50 | Period for signal line (MACD smoothing) |
| **Signal Line MA Type** | EMA | SMA/EMA | Moving average type for signal calculation |
| **Volume MA Length** | 20 | 5-100 | Period for volume average (strength filter) |
## Usage Guide
### Reading the Indicator
1. **MACD Lines (Green & Orange)**
- **Crossovers**: When green crosses above orange = bullish, below = bearish
- **Distance**: Wider gap = stronger momentum
- **Zero Line**: Above = bullish bias, below = bearish bias
2. **Histogram Colors**
- Focus on **dark colors** (dark green/red) for high-confidence signals
- Be cautious with **light colors** (teal/pink) - wait for volume confirmation
- Watch for **rising red bars** (V-bottom pattern) = potential bullish reversal
- Watch for **falling green bars** (Λ-top pattern) = potential bearish reversal
3. **Background Divergence Alerts**
- **Green background**: Bullish divergence - consider long entries
- **Red background**: Bearish divergence - consider exits or shorts
- Best used in combination with price action and support/resistance levels
### Trading Strategies
#### Trend Following
1. Wait for MACD to cross above zero line with dark green histogram
2. Enter long when histogram shows consecutive dark green bars
3. Exit when histogram turns light green or red appears
#### Divergence Trading
1. Wait for background divergence alert (green or red)
2. Confirm with price action (support/resistance, candlestick patterns)
3. Enter on next dark-colored histogram bar in divergence direction
4. Set stops beyond recent swing high/low
#### Volume Confirmation
1. Ignore signals during low-volume periods (light colors)
2. Take aggressive positions during high-volume confirmations (dark colors)
3. Use volume strength as position sizing guide (larger size on dark bars)
### Best Practices
✓ **Combine with price action**: Don't rely on indicator alone
✓ **Wait for dark colors**: High-volume bars are more reliable
✓ **Watch for divergences**: Early warning signs of reversals
✓ **Use multiple timeframes**: Confirm signals across 1m, 5m, 15m
✓ **Respect zero line**: Trading direction should align with MACD side
✗ **Don't chase light-colored signals**: Low volume = lower reliability
✗ **Don't ignore context**: Market structure and levels matter
✗ **Don't over-trade**: Wait for clear, high-volume setups
✗ **Don't ignore alerts**: Divergences are early warnings
## Technical Details
### Volume-Weighted Calculation Method
Traditional MACD uses simple price EMAs. ACCDv3 weights each A/D value by its corresponding volume:
```pine
// Volume-weighted fast EMA
close_vol_fast = ta.ema(ad × volume, fast_length)
vol_fast = ta.ema(volume, fast_length)
vw_ad_fast = close_vol_fast / vol_fast
// Same for slow EMA
close_vol_slow = ta.ema(ad × volume, slow_length)
vol_slow = ta.ema(volume, slow_length)
vw_ad_slow = close_vol_slow / vol_slow
// MACD is the difference
macd = vw_ad_fast - vw_ad_slow
```
This ensures high-volume periods have proportionally more impact on the indicator.
### Volume Strength Filter
Determines whether current volume is above or below average:
```pine
vol_avg = ta.sma(volume, vol_length)
vol_strength = volume > vol_avg
```
Used to select dark (high volume) vs light (low volume) histogram colors.
### Divergence Logic
```pine
// A/D trending up if above its 5-period SMA
ad_trend = ad > ta.sma(ad, 5)
// MACD trending up if above zero
macd_trend = macd > 0
// Divergence when trends oppose
divergence = ad_trend != macd_trend
// Specific conditions
bullish_divergence = ad_trend and not macd_trend and macd < 0
bearish_divergence = not ad_trend and macd_trend and macd > 0
```
## Alerts
The indicator includes built-in alert conditions:
- **Bullish Divergence**: "Bullish Divergence: A/D trending up but MACD trending down"
- **Bearish Divergence**: "Bearish Divergence: A/D trending down but MACD trending up"
To enable:
1. Click "Create Alert" button in TradingView
2. Select "ACCDv3" as condition
3. Choose "Bullish Divergence" or "Bearish Divergence"
4. Configure notification method (popup, email, webhook, etc.)
## Comparison with Standard MACD
| Feature | Standard MACD | ACCDv3 |
|---------|---------------|---------|
| **Input** | Close price | Accumulation/Distribution line |
| **Weighting** | Simple EMA | Volume-weighted EMA |
| **Divergence** | Price vs MACD | A/D vs MACD |
| **Volume Analysis** | None | Built-in strength filter |
| **Color System** | 2 colors (up/down) | 4+ colors (direction + volume) |
| **Leading/Lagging** | Lagging | More leading (volume-weighted) |
## Example Scenarios
### Scenario 1: Strong Bullish Signal
- **Chart**: MACD crosses above zero line
- **Histogram**: Dark green bars (#1B5E20) appearing
- **Volume**: Above 20-period average
- **Action**: Enter long, strong momentum with volume confirmation
### Scenario 2: Weak Bearish Signal
- **Chart**: MACD crosses below zero line
- **Histogram**: Light pink bars (#FFCDD2) appearing
- **Volume**: Below 20-period average
- **Action**: Avoid shorting, low volume = unreliable signal
### Scenario 3: Bullish Divergence Reversal
- **Chart**: Price making lower lows
- **Indicator**: A/D line trending up, MACD negative
- **Background**: Green shading appears
- **Histogram**: Transitions from red to dark green
- **Action**: Look for long entry on next dark green bar
### Scenario 4: V-Bottom Reversal
- **Chart**: Downtrend in place
- **Histogram**: Red bars start rising (becoming less negative)
- **Pattern**: Forms "V" shape at bottom
- **Confirmation**: Transitions to dark green bars
- **Action**: Bullish reversal signal, consider long entry
## Timeframe Recommendations
- **1-minute**: Scalping, very fast signals (noisy, use with caution)
- **5-minute**: Intraday momentum trading (recommended)
- **15-minute**: Swing entries, clearer trend signals
- **1-hour+**: Position trading, major trend identification
## Limitations
- **Requires volume data**: Will not work on instruments without volume
- **Lag during consolidation**: MACD is inherently trend-following
- **False signals in chop**: Sideways markets generate noise
- **Not a standalone system**: Should be combined with price action and risk management
## Version History
- **v3**: Removed traditional price MACD, using only volume-weighted A/D MACD with A/D divergence
- **v2**: Added A/D divergence detection, volume strength filtering, enhanced histogram colors
- **v1**: Basic MACD on A/D line with volume-weighted calculation
## Support & Further Reading
For questions, updates, or to report issues, refer to the main project documentation or contact the developer.
**Related Indicators in Suite:**
- **VMACDv3**: Volume-weighted MACD on price (not A/D)
- **RSIv2**: RSI with A/D divergence
- **DMI**: Directional Movement Index with A/D divergence
- **Elder Impulse**: Bar coloring system using volume-weighted MACD
---
*This indicator is for educational purposes. Always practice proper risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose.*
Institutional Volume Footprint ProOVERVIEW
The Institutional Volume Footprint Pro is a comprehensive volume analysis indicator designed to identify institutional trading activity and significant volume patterns. Based on the proven Pocket Pivot Volume methodology by Chris Kacher and Gil Morales, this indicator has been enhanced with multiple additional volume analysis techniques to provide traders with a complete picture of smart money movements.
KEY FEATURES
1. Pocket Pivot Volume (PPV) Detection
- Identifies bullish volume patterns where current volume exceeds the highest down-day volume of the past 10 days
- Blue volume bars with "PPV" labels mark potential institutional accumulation
- Customizable lookback period (5-20 days)
2. Pivot Negative Volume (PNV) Detection
- Spots bearish volume patterns where selling volume exceeds recent up-day volumes
- Orange bars with "PNV" labels indicate potential institutional distribution
- Early warning system for trend reversals
3. Advanced Institutional Patterns
- Accumulation Detection (Aqua): High volume with narrow price range - classic stealth accumulation
- Churning/Distribution (Yellow): Heavy volume with minimal price progress - potential topping pattern
- Volume Dry-up (Purple): Extremely low volume periods that often precede significant moves
- Volume Climax (Fuchsia): Extreme volume spikes signaling potential exhaustion
4. Real-time Analytics Dashboard
- Relative Volume: Current volume compared to 10-day average
- Volume vs MA: Multiple of current volume to selected moving average
- Price Range Analysis: Narrow/Normal/Wide range classification
5. Accumulation/Distribution Trend
- Background coloring shows overall money flow direction
- Green tint: Net accumulation phase
- Red tint: Net distribution phase
HOW TO USE
Entry Signals:
- PPV (Blue): Consider long positions when price breaks above resistance with PPV confirmation
- Accumulation (Aqua): Watch for breakouts following multiple accumulation days
- Volume Dry-up (Purple): Prepare for potential explosive moves
Exit/Warning Signals:
- PNV (Orange): Consider taking profits or tightening stops
- Churning (Yellow): Distribution may be occurring despite stable prices
- Volume Climax (Fuchsia): Potential reversal point - extreme caution advised
CUSTOMIZATION OPTIONS
Analysis Parameters:
- PPV Lookback Period (5-20 days)
- Volume MA Length & Type (SMA/EMA/WMA)
- Relative Volume Threshold
- Climax Volume Multiplier
Visual Controls:
- Toggle Info Table display
- Enable/disable individual label types (PPV, PNV, ACC)
- Show/hide volume moving averages
- Control A/D trend background
- Customize threshold lines
BUILT-IN ALERTS
- Pocket Pivot Volume detected
- Pivot Negative Volume detected
- Institutional Accumulation pattern
- Volume Climax warning
- Volume Dry-up alert
PRO TIPS
1. Combine with Price Action: Volume confirms price - look for PPV at breakouts and PNV at breakdowns
2. Multiple Timeframes: Check daily and weekly charts for confluence
3. Relative Volume Matters: Patterns are stronger when relative volume > 1.5x
4. Watch for Divergences: Price up with decreasing volume = weakness
COLOR LEGEND
- Blue: Pocket Pivot Volume (Bullish)
- Orange: Pivot Negative Volume (Bearish)
- Aqua: Institutional Accumulation
- Yellow: Churning/Distribution
- Purple: Volume Dry-up
- Fuchsia: Volume Climax
- Green: Above-average up volume
- Red: Above-average down volume
- Gray: Below-average volume
EDUCATIONAL BACKGROUND
This indicator implements concepts from:
- "Trade Like an O'Neil Disciple" by Gil Morales & Chris Kacher
- William O'Neil's volume analysis principles
- Richard Wyckoff's accumulation/distribution methodology
Happy Trading! May the volume be with you!
Quarterly Theory ICT 01 [TradingFinder] XAMD + Q1-Q4 Sessions🔵 Introduction
The Quarterly Theory ICT indicator is an advanced analytical system based on the concepts of ICT (Inner Circle Trader) and fractal time. It divides time into quarterly periods and accurately determines entry and exit points for trades by using the True Open as the starting point of each cycle. This system is applicable across various time frames including annual, monthly, weekly, daily, and even 90-minute sessions.
Time is divided into four quarters: in the first quarter (Q1), which is dedicated to the Accumulation phase, the market is in a consolidation state, laying the groundwork for a new trend; in the second quarter (Q2), allocated to the Manipulation phase (also known as Judas Swing), sudden price changes and false moves occur, marking the true starting point of a trend change; the third quarter (Q3) is dedicated to the Distribution phase, during which prices are broadly distributed and price volatility peaks; and the fourth quarter (Q4), corresponding to the Continuation/Reversal phase, either continues or reverses the previous trend.
By leveraging smart algorithms and technical analysis, this system identifies optimal price patterns and trading positions through the precise detection of stop-run and liquidity zones.
With the division of time into Q1 through Q4 and by incorporating key terms such as Quarterly Theory ICT, True Open, Accumulation, Manipulation (Judas Swing), Distribution, Continuation/Reversal, ICT, fractal time, smart algorithms, technical analysis, price patterns, trading positions, stop-run, and liquidity, this system enables traders to identify market trends and make informed trading decisions using real data and precise analysis.
♦ Important Note :
This indicator and the "Quarterly Theory ICT" concept have been developed based on material published in primary sources, notably the articles on Daye( traderdaye ) and Joshuuu . All copyright rights are reserved.
🔵 How to Use
The Quarterly Theory ICT strategy is built on dividing time into four distinct periods across various time frames such as annual, monthly, weekly, daily, and even 90-minute sessions. In this approach, time is segmented into four quarters, during which the phases of Accumulation, Manipulation (Judas Swing), Distribution, and Continuation/Reversal appear in a systematic and recurring manner.
The first segment (Q1) functions as the Accumulation phase, where the market consolidates and lays the foundation for future movement; the second segment (Q2) represents the Manipulation phase, during which prices experience sudden initial changes, and with the aid of the True Open concept, the real starting point of the market’s movement is determined; in the third segment (Q3), the Distribution phase takes place, where prices are widely dispersed and price volatility reaches its peak; and finally, the fourth segment (Q4) is recognized as the Continuation/Reversal phase, in which the previous trend either continues or reverses.
This strategy, by harnessing the concepts of fractal time and smart algorithms, enables precise analysis of price patterns across multiple time frames and, through the identification of key points such as stop-run and liquidity zones, assists traders in optimizing their trading positions. Utilizing real market data and dividing time into Q1 through Q4 allows for a comprehensive and multi-level technical analysis in which optimal entry and exit points are identified by comparing prices to the True Open.
Thus, by focusing on keywords like Quarterly Theory ICT, True Open, Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution, Continuation/Reversal, ICT, fractal time, smart algorithms, technical analysis, price patterns, trading positions, stop-run, and liquidity, the Quarterly Theory ICT strategy acts as a coherent framework for predicting market trends and developing trading strategies.
🔵b]Settings
Cycle Display Mode: Determines whether the cycle is displayed on the chart or on the indicator panel.
Show Cycle: Enables or disables the display of the ranges corresponding to each quarter within the micro cycles (e.g., Q1/1, Q1/2, Q1/3, Q1/4, etc.).
Show Cycle Label: Toggles the display of textual labels for identifying the micro cycle phases (for example, Q1/1 or Q2/2).
Table Display Mode: Enables or disables the ability to display cycle information in a tabular format.
Show Table: Determines whether the table—which summarizes the phases (Q1 to Q4)—is displayed.
Show More Info: Adds additional details to the table, such as the name of the phase (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution, or Continuation/Reversal) or further specifics about each cycle.
🔵 Conclusion
Quarterly Theory ICT provides a fractal and recurring approach to analyzing price behavior by dividing time into four quarters (Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4) and defining the True Open at the beginning of the second phase.
The Accumulation, Manipulation (Judas Swing), Distribution, and Continuation/Reversal phases repeat in each cycle, allowing traders to identify price patterns with greater precision across annual, monthly, weekly, daily, and even micro-level time frames.
Focusing on the True Open as the primary reference point enables faster recognition of potential trend changes and facilitates optimal management of trading positions. In summary, this strategy, based on ICT principles and fractal time concepts, offers a powerful framework for predicting future market movements, identifying optimal entry and exit points, and managing risk in various trading conditions.
WMA Trend and Growth Rate IndicatorThe "WMA Trend and Growth Rate Indicator" is a powerful tool for analyzing market trends and momentum. By understanding its components and how to configure it, traders of all levels can leverage this indicator to enhance their trading strategies. Experiment with the settings and integrate it into your analysis to gain valuable insights into market movements.
Indicator Components
WMA Length : The length of the WMA. This controls how many periods are included in the calculation.
Start : The starting value for accumulation levels.
End : The ending value for accumulation levels.
Key Concepts
Weighted Moving Average (WMA): A type of moving average that gives more weight to recent price data, making it more responsive to recent price changes.
Growth Rate : Measures how much the WMA has increased or decreased over a specified period, expressed as a percentage.
Accumulation and Distribution Levels : Zones where buying (accumulation) or selling (distribution) pressure is expected.
Configuring the Inputs
WMA Length : Adjust this value to change the sensitivity of the WMA. A smaller value makes the WMA more sensitive to recent price changes, while a larger value smooths out the data more.
Start and End : Adjust these values to define the range for accumulation and distribution levels. The indicator will automatically adjust the colors based on whether the Start value is higher or lower than the End value.
Interpreting the Plots
WMAT Line : The main trend line that shows the direction and strength of the trend.
Growth Index : Shows the growth rate of the WMAT.
Accumulation Levels : Indicated by lines and fill colors, showing potential zones to increase positions.
Distribution Levels : Indicated by lines and fill colors, showing potential zones to decrease positions.
The indicator checks if "Start" is greater than "End". Based on this check, it assigns colors to the accumulation and distribution levels. This color scheme helps traders visually distinguish between areas of potential buying and selling zones.
Wyckoff Range StrategyThe Wyckoff Range Strategy is a trading strategy that aims to identify potential accumulation and distribution phases in the market using the principles of Wyckoff analysis. It also incorporates the detection of spring and upthrust patterns.
Here's a step-by-step explanation of how to use this strategy:
Understanding Accumulation and Distribution Phases:
Accumulation Phase: This is a period where smart money (large institutional traders) accumulates a particular asset at lower prices. It is characterized by a sideways or consolidating price action.
Distribution Phase: This is a period where smart money distributes or sells a particular asset at higher prices. It is also characterized by a sideways or consolidating price action.
Input Variables:
crossOverLength: This variable determines the length of the moving average crossover used to identify accumulation and distribution phases. You can adjust this value based on the market you are trading and the time frame you are analyzing.
stopPercentage: This variable determines the percentage used to calculate the stop loss level. It helps you define a predefined level at which you would exit a trade if the price moves against your position.
Strategy Conditions:
Enter Long: The strategy looks for a crossover of the close price above the SMA of the close price with a length of crossOverLength and a crossover of the low price above the SMA of the low price with a length of 20. This combination suggests the start of an accumulation phase and a potential buying opportunity.
Exit Long: The strategy looks for a crossunder of the close price below the SMA of the close price with a length of crossOverLength or a crossunder of the high price below the SMA of the high price with a length of 20. This combination suggests the end of an accumulation phase and a potential exit signal for long positions.
Enter Short: The strategy looks for a crossunder of the close price below the SMA of the close price with a length of crossOverLength and a crossunder of the high price below the SMA of the high price with a length of 20. This combination suggests the start of a distribution phase and a potential selling opportunity.
Exit Short: The strategy looks for a crossover of the close price above the SMA of the close price with a length of crossOverLength or a crossover of the low price above the SMA of the low price with a length of 20. This combination suggests the end of a distribution phase and a potential exit signal for short positions.
Stop Loss:
The strategy sets a stop loss level for both long and short positions. The stop loss level is calculated based on the stopPercentage variable, which represents the percentage of the current close price. If the price reaches the stop loss level, the strategy will automatically exit the position.
Plotting Wyckoff Schematics:
The strategy plots different shapes on the chart to indicate the identified phases and patterns. Green and red labels indicate the accumulation and distribution phases, respectively. Blue triangles indicate spring patterns, and orange triangles indicate upthrust patterns.
To use this strategy, you can follow these steps:
Jim Forte — Anatomy of a Trading Range
robertbrain.com/Bull...+a+Trading+Range.pdf
MVRV Ratio Indicator [captainua]MVRV Ratio Indicator - Market Value to Realized Value Ratio
Overview
This professional indicator calculates and visualizes the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio (raw, non-Z-score) with optional MVRV-Z overlay, comparing current market capitalization to realized capitalization to help identify potential market tops and bottoms for cryptocurrency markets.
Unlike MVRV-Z which normalizes the ratio using standard deviation (creating a Z-score), the raw MVRV ratio provides direct comparison between market cap and realized cap. This indicator enhances the raw ratio with historical percentile bands, percentile rank calculation, divergence detection, historical event logging, dynamic color gradients, enhanced visualization options, optional MVRV-Z comparison, and NEW advanced metrics including Risk Score, MVRV Momentum, Time in Zone tracking, and Price Target calculations.
NEW Features in This Version:
• Risk Score (0-100): Composite indicator based on MVRV level and percentile rank for instant risk assessment
• MVRV Momentum: Rate of change indicator showing trend direction (↑ Increasing, ↓ Decreasing, → Flat)
• Time in Zone: Tracks how long MVRV has been in the current zone (top/bottom/neutral) in bars
• Price Targets: Calculates price levels at key MVRV thresholds (fair value, top, bottom)
• Input Validation: Warns about invalid parameter combinations (e.g., extreme thresholds out of order)
• Multiple Smoothing Options: SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA for noise reduction
• Performance Optimized: Cached request.security() calls, ta.percentrank() for efficiency
• Human-Readable Timestamps: Event log now shows dates (YYYY-MM-DD) instead of bar indices
Core Calculations
MVRV Ratio Calculation:
The script calculates MVRV ratio using the standard formula: MVRV Ratio = Market Cap / Realized Cap. This formula provides a direct ratio without normalization, showing how many times the current market cap exceeds (or falls below) the realized cap.
Market Capitalization (Market Cap): The total market value of all coins in circulation, calculated as current price × circulating supply. This represents the market's current valuation of the asset.
Realized Capitalization (Realized Cap): The sum of the value of each coin when it last moved on-chain, representing the average cost basis of all coins.
Raw Ratio Interpretation:
- Ratio > 3.5: Extreme overvaluation (market cap significantly above realized cap)
- Ratio 2.5-3.5: Moderate overvaluation
- Ratio 1.0-2.5: Fair value to moderate overvaluation
- Ratio 0.8-1.0: Fair value to moderate undervaluation
- Ratio < 0.8: Undervaluation (market cap close to or below realized cap)
Risk Score (NEW):
Composite risk indicator ranging from 0-100:
- 80-100: Very High Risk (extreme overvaluation)
- 60-80: High Risk (overvaluation)
- 40-60: Moderate Risk (fair value range)
- 20-40: Low Risk (undervaluation)
- 0-20: Very Low Risk (extreme undervaluation)
The risk score uses percentile rank when available, or normalizes MVRV ratio to the 0-100 scale based on configured thresholds.
MVRV Momentum (NEW):
Rate of change indicator showing trend direction:
- ↑ Increasing: MVRV ratio rising (momentum > 0.01)
- ↓ Decreasing: MVRV ratio falling (momentum < -0.01)
- → Flat: MVRV ratio stable
- Displays percentage change over configurable period (default: 14 bars)
Time in Zone (NEW):
Tracks duration in current zone:
- Top Zone: Bars spent above top threshold (3.5)
- Bottom Zone: Bars spent below bottom threshold (0.8)
- Neutral Zone: Bars spent between thresholds
- Resets when zone changes
- Helps identify prolonged extreme conditions
Price Targets (NEW):
Calculates price levels at key MVRV thresholds:
- Price @ Fair Value: Price when MVRV = 1.0
- Price @ Top Threshold: Price when MVRV = 3.5
- Price @ Bottom Threshold: Price when MVRV = 0.8
- Based on estimated realized price (current price / MVRV ratio)
Data Source Selection:
The indicator supports multiple data source options for maximum flexibility:
Glassnode (Recommended):
- Uses Glassnode Market Cap data
- Calculates MVRV from Market Cap / Realized Cap
- Symbol format: GLASSNODE:{TOKEN}_MARKETCAP
- Requires Glassnode data subscription
- Also requires CoinMetrics for Realized Cap
- Best for comprehensive analysis with MVRV-Z comparison
IntoTheBlock:
- Direct MVRV ratio data from IntoTheBlock
- Simplest option - no calculations required
- Works for BTC and other supported tokens
- Symbol format: INTOTHEBLOCK:{TOKEN}_MVRV
- Requires IntoTheBlock data subscription on TradingView
Historical Percentile Bands:
The indicator calculates rolling percentile bands over a configurable period (default: 500 bars):
- 5th Percentile: Very low historical values (extreme undervaluation range)
- 25th Percentile: Lower quartile (undervaluation range)
- 50th Percentile: Median (fair value center)
- 75th Percentile: Upper quartile (overvaluation range)
- 95th Percentile: Very high historical values (extreme overvaluation range)
Percentile bands use ta.percentile_nearest_rank() for efficient calculation.
Percentile Rank:
Percentile rank shows where the current MVRV ratio sits in the historical distribution (0-100%):
- 0-25%: Bottom quartile (undervaluation)
- 25-50%: Lower half (moderate undervaluation to fair value)
- 50-75%: Upper half (fair value to moderate overvaluation)
- 75-100%: Top quartile (overvaluation)
Now uses efficient ta.percentrank() instead of array-based calculation.
Input Validation (NEW):
The indicator validates input parameters and displays warnings for:
- Extreme High Threshold should be > Top Threshold
- Extreme Low Threshold should be < Bottom Threshold
- Min Lookback Range must be < Max Lookback Range
- Top Threshold should be > Moderate Overvalued
- Moderate Overvalued should be > Fair Value
- Fair Value should be > Bottom Threshold
- Rapid Increase Threshold should be > 0
- Rapid Decrease Threshold should be < 0
Smoothing Options (Enhanced):
Multiple smoothing types available:
- SMA: Simple Moving Average (equal weight)
- EMA: Exponential Moving Average (more weight to recent)
- WMA: Weighted Moving Average (linear weight)
- RMA: Running Moving Average (Wilder's smoothing)
Reference Levels
Overvalued (Potential Top) - 3.5:
The 3.5 level indicates potentially extreme overvaluation. When MVRV ratio exceeds this threshold:
- Market cap is significantly above realized cap
- Potential selling opportunities for profit-taking
- Risk of market corrections or reversals
- Risk Score typically >80 (Very High Risk)
Moderately Overvalued - 2.5:
The 2.5 level indicates moderate overvaluation:
- Market cap is above realized cap but not extreme
- Caution warranted but not necessarily sell signal
- Risk Score typically 60-80 (High Risk)
Fair Value - 1.0:
The 1.0 level indicates fair valuation:
- Market cap equals realized cap
- Balanced market conditions
- Risk Score typically 40-60 (Moderate Risk)
Undervalued (Potential Bottom) - 0.8:
The 0.8 level indicates potentially undervalued conditions:
- Market cap is close to or below realized cap
- Potential buying opportunities for accumulation
- Risk Score typically <40 (Low Risk)
Visual Features
MVRV Ratio Line:
The main indicator line displays the calculated MVRV ratio with dynamic color gradient:
- Bright Red: Extreme overvaluation (ratio ≥ top threshold + 0.5)
- Orange: High overvaluation (ratio ≥ top threshold)
- Cornflower Blue: Neutral/Fair value (around fair value level)
- Deep Sky Blue: Low/Undervaluation (ratio ≤ bottom threshold)
- Bright Green: Extreme undervaluation (ratio ≤ bottom threshold - 0.1)
Can also be displayed as histogram/bar chart.
Historical Percentile Bands:
Five percentile bands with optional fills:
- 5th Percentile (Blue): Very low historical range
- 25th Percentile (Blue): Lower quartile
- 50th Percentile (Gray): Historical median
- 75th Percentile (Orange): Upper quartile
- 95th Percentile (Red): Very high historical range
Reference Lines:
Horizontal reference lines at key levels (all customizable):
- Top Threshold (default 3.5): Purple/violet
- Moderate Overvalued (default 2.5): Orange
- Fair Value (1.0): Gray
- Bottom Threshold (default 0.8): Blue
Background Highlights:
Optional background color highlights:
- High Zone (Maroon/Red): MVRV ratio ≥ top threshold
- Low Zone (Green): MVRV ratio ≤ bottom threshold
Divergence Detection:
Advanced divergence detection between price and MVRV ratio:
- Regular Bullish Divergence: Price lower low + MVRV higher low
- Regular Bearish Divergence: Price higher high + MVRV lower high
- Hidden Bullish Divergence: Price higher low + MVRV lower low
- Hidden Bearish Divergence: Price lower high + MVRV higher high
- Visual markers with icons (🐂/🐻) and connecting lines
Historical Event Log (Enhanced):
Comprehensive event tracking:
- Tracks zone entries/exits, extreme values, cross events
- Now displays human-readable dates (YYYY-MM-DD) instead of bar indices
- Color-coded events (red for top/high, green for bottom/low)
- Configurable log size (5-50 events)
Information Table (Enhanced):
Comprehensive on-chart table with NEW metrics:
Current Values:
- MVRV Ratio: Current ratio value
- Percentile Rank: Position in historical distribution (0-100%)
- Risk Score (NEW): Composite risk indicator (0-100) with risk level
- Market Status: Current market condition
- Signal: Trading signal (Strong Buy/Buy/Hold/Sell/Strong Sell)
- MVRV Momentum (NEW): Trend direction with percentage change
- Time in Zone (NEW): Current zone and duration in bars
Price Information (Enhanced):
- Current Price: Current market price
- Est. Realized Price: Estimated realized price
- Price @ Fair Value (NEW): Price when MVRV = 1.0
- Price @ Top Threshold (NEW): Price when MVRV = 3.5
- Price @ Bottom Threshold (NEW): Price when MVRV = 0.8
Other Metrics:
- Percentile Bands: Range from 5th to 95th percentile
- MVRV-Z Score: Z-score value (when comparison enabled)
- Change (1D/1W/1M): Ratio change over timeframes
- To Top/Bottom: Percentage distance to key levels
- Historical Range: Percentage below ATH / above ATL
- 30D Volatility: Standard deviation
Historical Event Log:
- Recent events with dates and values
- Color-coded for quick identification
Alert System
Comprehensive alerting capabilities:
Zone Alerts:
- Top Zone Entry/Exit
- Bottom Zone Entry/Exit
Cross Alerts:
- Cross Above/Below Top Threshold
- Cross Above/Below Fair Value (1.0)
Extreme Value Alerts:
- Extreme High (configurable, default: 4.5)
- Extreme Low (configurable, default: 0.7)
Rate of Change Alerts:
- Rapid Increase/Decrease
Divergence Alerts:
- Bullish/Bearish Divergence
- Hidden Bullish/Bearish Divergence
All alerts support cooldown to prevent spam.
Usage Instructions
Getting Started:
1. Select data source (Glassnode recommended)
2. Enable Risk Score for composite risk assessment (0-100)
3. Enable MVRV Momentum to track trend direction
4. Enable Time in Zone to see zone duration
5. Enable Price Targets to see price levels at key thresholds
6. Use weekly timeframe for cleaner signals
Risk-Based Position Sizing:
Use Risk Score to guide position sizing:
- Risk Score >80 (Very High Risk): Reduce/exit positions
- Risk Score 60-80 (High Risk): Smaller positions, caution
- Risk Score 40-60 (Moderate Risk): Normal positions
- Risk Score 20-40 (Low Risk): Larger positions opportunity
- Risk Score <20 (Very Low Risk): Strong accumulation zone
Momentum-Based Analysis:
Use MVRV Momentum for trend confirmation:
- ↑ Increasing + High MVRV: Late bull market, caution
- ↑ Increasing + Low MVRV: Recovery phase, bullish
- ↓ Decreasing + High MVRV: Distribution, potential top
- ↓ Decreasing + Low MVRV: Capitulation, accumulation opportunity
Zone Duration Analysis:
Use Time in Zone for context:
- Extended time in Top Zone: Late cycle, increased reversal risk
- Extended time in Bottom Zone: Accumulation opportunity
- Quick zone transitions: Higher volatility regime
Price Target Usage:
Use Price Targets for planning:
- Price @ Fair Value: Natural equilibrium level
- Price @ Top Threshold: Potential distribution target
- Price @ Bottom Threshold: Potential accumulation target
Technical Specifications
- Pine Script Version: v6
- Indicator Type: Non-overlay (displays in separate panel)
- Repainting Behavior: Minimal - calculations based on confirmed bar data
- Performance: Optimized with cached request.security() calls and ta.percentrank()
- Input Validation: Validates parameter combinations with warnings
- Compatibility: Works on all timeframes (data sources provide daily resolution)
- Edge Case Handling: Zero-division protection, NA value handling, boundary checks
Performance Optimizations:
- Cached request.security() calls for Market Cap, Realized Cap, and IntoTheBlock data
- Efficient ta.percentrank() replaces array-based percentile calculation
- Consolidated duplicate code (color functions, state tracking)
- Single-line ternary expressions for Pine Script compatibility
Constants:
- MAX_HISTORY_BARS = 5000 (TradingView's limit)
- PERCENTILE_EXTREME_HIGH = 90.0
- PERCENTILE_HIGH = 75.0
- PERCENTILE_MID = 50.0
- PERCENTILE_LOW = 25.0
- MIN_PERCENTILE_SAMPLES = 10
- DEFAULT_VOLATILITY_HIGH = 0.1
Known Limitations
- Data availability: Requires valid data subscription (IntoTheBlock, Glassnode, or CoinMetrics)
- Token support: Works with tokens supported by the selected data source
- Historical data: Percentile calculations require sufficient history (200+ bars recommended)
- Timeframe: Always uses daily resolution data from providers; works on all chart timeframes
- History limit: All lookback periods capped at 5000 bars
Changelog
Latest Version:
- Added Risk Score (0-100) composite indicator
- Added MVRV Momentum with trend direction
- Added Time in Zone tracking
- Added Price Target calculations
- Added Input Validation with warnings
- Added multiple smoothing options (SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA)
- Improved performance with cached security calls
- Replaced array-based percentile with ta.percentrank()
- Human-readable timestamps in event log (YYYY-MM-DD)
- Fixed hline() conditional value bug
- Consolidated duplicate code
- Updated indicator name for clarity
For detailed usage instructions, see the script comments.
Trend Strength [OmegaTools]Trend Strength is a quantitative regime oscillator designed to measure directional pressure and trend quality by blending price structure, return-dependence, realized intrabar expansion, and volume participation into a single normalized signal. The goal is not to predict, but to classify market state: when price action is in an expansionary/distributionary phase versus when it is in a contractionary/accumulation phase, so you can align execution and risk with the prevailing environment.
Core concept and methodology
The indicator aggregates four components computed on stable rolling windows and mapped into comparable ranges:
1. Price location / structural positioning (100-bar range)
A normalized price-location metric (position of close within the rolling high–low range) is transformed into a non-linear “strength” profile. This emphasizes meaningful departures from the middle of the range and penalizes indecision, producing a structure-aware contribution rather than a raw oscillator.
2. Return-dependence / directional persistence (100 bars)
A correlation term measures the relationship between the current return (close − close ) and the prior price level (close ). This helps detect environments where movement is more persistent or more mean-reverting, providing a statistical component that complements pure price-location signals.
3. Realized expansion / volatility proxy (50-bar accumulation, 300-bar normalization)
Intrabar expansion is approximated via the absolute candle body relative to the full range, aggregated over a short window to represent realized “effort” and then normalized over a longer window. This captures whether price is moving with meaningful body expansion versus compressing and stalling.
4. Volume participation (11-bar accumulation, 300-bar normalization)
A rolling volume sum is normalized over a longer window to quantify participation. This helps separate “thin” moves from moves supported by broader activity, without relying on exchange-specific volume assumptions.
The final oscillator is a weighted blend of these four normalized components, scaled for readability. The output is intentionally centered around two actionable regimes rather than a symmetric overbought/oversold framework.
How to read the oscillator
Trend Strength is designed around two main thresholds:
- Distribution / Expansion regime (oscillator above 0)
When the oscillator is above 0, the market is classified as being in a higher-pressure expansion regime. This often corresponds to directional continuation potential, stronger impulse behavior, and reduced suitability for tight mean-reversion tactics.
- Accumulation / Contraction regime (oscillator below −1.3)
When the oscillator is below −1.3, the market is classified as being in a contraction/accumulation regime. This frequently corresponds to compression, rotation, and lower directional efficiency, where breakouts may be more fragile and mean-reversion tactics may be more appropriate (depending on instrument and session conditions).
Values between 0 and −1.3 are treated as transitional/neutral, where the market is not clearly committing to either regime.
Continuous Mode vs Standard Mode
Trend Strength includes an optional Continuous Mode to improve interpretability during regime transitions:
- Standard Mode colors only when the oscillator is firmly in one of the two regimes (above 0 or below −1.3). Neutral zones remain uncolored, keeping the display conservative.
- Continuous Mode adds persistence logic: once a regime is confirmed, intermediate values are rendered with a lighter shade of the last confirmed regime until the opposite regime is confirmed. This reduces visual noise, helps maintain a consistent directional bias framework, and is particularly useful for intraday execution and session trend management.
Visual design and bar coloring
The oscillator line is color-coded:
- Purple: distribution / expansion regime
- Orange: accumulation / contraction regime
Neutral/transitional values are displayed in grey (or lightly shaded in Continuous Mode based on last confirmed regime).
Optionally, the indicator can color price bars using the same regime logic, allowing rapid at-a-glance regime recognition directly on the chart.
Practical use cases
- Regime filter for strategies: enable trend-following logic only in expansion regimes; enable mean-reversion or range logic in contraction regimes.
- Risk adjustment: increase/decrease position sizing or tighten/widen stops based on regime classification.
- Confirmation layer: combine with structure tools (market structure, VWAP, key levels) to validate whether conditions support continuation or imply compression.
- Session management: identify when a session is behaving as a trend day versus a rotational day, improving trade selection and reducing overtrading.
Notes
Trend Strength is a regime classifier and contextual tool. It does not guarantee future direction and should be integrated into a complete decision process (risk management, market structure, session context, and instrument-specific behavior).
© OmegaTools
Teemo Volume Delta & Market HUDTeemo Volume Delta & Market HUD
Description:
Teemo Volume Delta goes beyond simple volume indicators to provide expert-level analysis of Buy and Sell pressure within the market. It visualizes supply/demand imbalances inside candles and provides an immediate grasp of market control via a real-time HUD.
With the v1.2.0 update, we have removed unnecessary overlays (like EMAs) to focus on Pure Delta Analysis and a flexible Smart Accumulation System, making the tool lighter and more powerful.
🚀 Key Features
1. Dual Calculation Modes Offers two calculation methods tailored to your trading environment and goals:
Estimation: Rapidly estimates buy/sell volume based on candle shape (OHLC) and price range. It features fast loading times and works instantly on all assets.
Intraday: Analyzes lower timeframe data (e.g., 1-minute bars) to calculate the precise delta of the current timeframe. (Loading time may vary depending on TradingView data limits.)
2. Smart Accumulation System Supports strategic analysis beyond simple summation with two distinct modes:
Time Based: Resets the Cumulative Delta to 0 at specific intervals (e.g., every 4 hours, Daily). This is optimized for session-based analysis or day trading.
Infinite: Continuously accumulates data without resetting, ideal for analyzing long-term Divergences between price and delta.
3. Intuitive HUD (Heads-Up Display) Displays critical market data on the chart for instant decision-making:
Delta Panel: Shows real-time Buy/Sell volume and Net Delta for the current candle.
Market HUD: Provides a comprehensive view of Trend Strength (ADX), Momentum (RSI), and the Cumulative Buy/Sell status for the current period.
4. Teemo Design System (v1.2) Provides optimized color themes for visual comfort during long trading sessions:
Teemo Neon: High-contrast Mint/Purple theme optimized for dark backgrounds.
Classic Soft: A calming Soft Green/Red theme designed to reduce eye strain (Recommended for all backgrounds).
⚙️ Settings Guide
Calculation Mode: Choose between Estimation (Speed) or Intraday (Precision).
Accumulation Mode: Choose Time Based (Periodic Reset) or Infinite (Continuous).
Reset Period: Set the reset interval for Time Based mode (e.g., 1D = Daily Reset).
Color Preset: Select between Teemo Neon or Classic Soft themes.
💡 Trading Tips
Delta Divergence: If the price makes a higher high but the Cumulative Delta (HUD) makes a lower high, it signals weakening buying pressure and a potential reversal.
Candle Coloring: A solid Mint (or Green) candle body indicates a price rise accompanied by strong actual buying volume, offering higher reliability than standard candles.
HUD Confluence: Consider trend-following entries when the ADX is above 25 and the Delta is heavily skewed in one direction.
This indicator is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The Estimation mode provides approximations based on algorithms, and the Intraday mode's accuracy depends on the quality of the lower timeframe data provided by the exchange.
Developed by Teemo Trading Systems
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Teemo Volume Delta & Market HUD
설명 본문:
Teemo Volume Delta는 단순한 거래량 지표를 넘어, 시장 내부의 매수(Buy)와 매도(Sell) 압력을 정밀하게 분석하는 전문가용 도구입니다. 캔들 내부의 수급 불균형을 시각화하고, 실시간 HUD를 통해 시장의 주도권이 누구에게 있는지 즉각적으로 파악할 수 있도록 돕습니다.
v1.2.0 업데이트를 통해 불필요한 보조지표(EMA)를 제거하고, 순수한 델타 분석과 유연한 누적(Accumulation) 시스템에 집중하여 더욱 가볍고 강력해졌습니다.
🚀 주요 기능 (Key Features)
1. 듀얼 계산 모드 (Dual Calculation Modes) 사용자의 환경과 목적에 맞춰 두 가지 계산 방식을 제공합니다.
Estimation (추정 모드): 캔들의 형태(OHLC)와 가격 변동폭을 기반으로 매수/매도 볼륨을 빠르게 추정합니다. 로딩 속도가 빠르며 모든 자산에 즉시 적용 가능합니다.
Intraday (정밀 분석 모드): 하위 타임프레임(예: 1분봉)의 데이터를 분석하여 상위 타임프레임의 델타를 정밀하게 계산합니다. (TradingView 데이터 제한에 따라 로딩 시간이 소요될 수 있습니다.)
2. 스마트 누적 시스템 (Smart Accumulation) 단순 누적을 넘어, 전략적 분석을 위한 두 가지 모드를 지원합니다.
Time Based: 지정한 주기(예: 4시간, 1일)마다 누적 델타를 **0으로 초기화(Reset)**합니다. 세션별 수급 분석이나 데이 트레이딩에 최적화되어 있습니다.
Infinite: 초기화 없이 데이터를 계속 누적하여, 장기적인 가격과 델타의 **다이버전스(Divergence)**를 분석하는 데 유용합니다.
3. 직관적인 HUD (Heads-Up Display) 차트 우측과 좌측에 핵심 정보를 요약하여 보여줍니다.
Delta Panel: 현재 캔들의 매수/매도 거래량과 순매수(Net Delta) 상태를 실시간으로 표시합니다.
Market HUD: ADX(추세 강도), RSI(모멘텀), 그리고 현재 구간의 누적 매수/매도 현황을 한눈에 볼 수 있습니다.
4. Teemo Design System (v1.2) 장시간 차트를 보는 트레이더를 위해 시인성이 뛰어난 컬러 테마를 제공합니다.
Teemo Neon: 어두운 배경에 최적화된 고대비 민트/퍼플 테마.
Classic Soft: 눈의 피로를 줄여주는 차분한 그린/레드 테마 (밝은/어두운 배경 모두 추천).
⚙️ 설정 가이드 (Settings)
Calculation Mode: Estimation(속도 중심) 또는 Intraday(정확도 중심) 중 선택.
Accumulation Mode: Time Based(주기별 리셋) 또는 Infinite(무한 누적) 선택.
Reset Period: Time Based 모드 사용 시 리셋할 주기 설정 (예: 1D = 매일 리셋).
Color Preset: Teemo Neon 또는 Classic Soft 테마 선택.
💡 활용 팁 (Trading Tips)
델타 다이버전스: 가격은 신고가를 갱신하지만 누적 델타(Cum Delta)는 낮아진다면, 매수세가 약화되고 있다는 강력한 반전 신호입니다.
캔들 컬러링: 캔들의 몸통 색상이 짙은 민트색(또는 그린)이라면 강력한 매수세가 동반된 상승을 의미하며, 신뢰도가 높습니다.
HUD 활용: ADX가 25 이상이면서 델타가 한쪽 방향으로 쏠릴 때 추세 매매를 고려하세요.
이 지표는 정보 제공의 목적으로만 사용되며, 재정적 조언이 아닙니다. Estimation 모드는 근사치를 제공하며, Intraday 모드는 거래소에서 제공하는 하위 데이터의 품질에 따라 정확도가 달라질 수 있습니다.
Smart Trader, Episode 02, by Ata Sabanci | Battle of Candles ⚠️ CRITICAL: READ BEFORE USING ⚠️
This indicator is 100% VOLUME-BASED and requires Lower Timeframe (LTF) intrabar data for accurate calculations. Please understand the following limitations before using:
📊 DATA ACCURACY LEVELS:
• 1T (Tick) — Most accurate, real volume distribution per tick
• 1S (1 Second) — Reasonably accurate approximation
• 15S (15 Seconds) — Good approximation, longer historical data available
• 1M (1 Minute) — Rough approximation, maximum historical data range
⚠️ BACKTEST & REPLAY LIMITATIONS:
• Replay mode results may differ from live trading due to data availability
• For longer back test periods, use higher LTF settings (15S or 1M)
• Not all symbols/exchanges support tick-level data
• Crypto and Forex typically have better LTF data availability than stocks
💡 A NOTE ON TOOLS:
Successful trading requires proper tools. Higher TradingView plans provide access to more historical intrabar data, which directly impacts the accuracy of volume-based calculations. More precise volume data leads to more reliable signals. Consider this when evaluating your trading infrastructure.
📌 OVERVIEW
Smart Trader Episode 02: Battle of Candles is an advanced educational indicator that combines multiple analysis engines to help traders identify market scenarios and understand market dynamics. This is NOT financial advice or a trading signal service — it's a learning tool designed to help you understand how institutional traders might interpret price action.
The indicator integrates 7 major analysis engines into a unified dashboard, providing real-time insights into volume flow, trend structure, market phases, and potential trade setups.
⚡ KEY FEATURES
🎯 16-Pattern Scenario Engine
Automatically detects and classifies market conditions into 16 distinct scenarios, from strong continuation moves to potential reversals and traps.
💰 Trade Advisor Panel
Aggregates all signals into actionable suggestions with confidence levels, suggested entry/SL/TP levels, and risk/reward calculations.
📊 Volume Engine
Splits volume into buy/sell components using either Geometry (candle shape) or Intrabar (LTF data) methods for precise delta analysis.
📈 CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta)
Tracks the running total of buying vs selling pressure to identify accumulation, distribution, and divergences.
🎯 Stop-Hunt Detection
Identifies potential stop-hunt patterns where price sweeps liquidity levels before reversing.
📐 Pure Structure Trend Engine
Zero-lag trend detection based on swing highs/lows (HH/HL/LH/LL) without any lagging indicators.
⚡ Effort vs Result Analysis
Measures energy spent (volume) versus ground taken (price movement) to detect stalls, breakthroughs, and exhaustion.
🎯 SCENARIO ENGINE — 16 Market Patterns
The Scenario Engine analyzes multiple factors (candle anatomy, volume, forces, CVD, wick analysis) to classify each candle into one of 16 scenarios:
Continuation Scenarios (1-3)
1. ⚔️ STRONG MOVE — Big body candle (>60%) with volume confirming direction. Indicates strong momentum continuation.
2. 🛡️ ABSORPTION — One side attacks but the other absorbs the pressure. Price holds despite volume. Continuation expected in the absorbing side's favor.
3. 📉 PULLBACK — Small move against the trend with low volume. Indicates a healthy retracement before trend continuation.
Reversal Scenarios (4-6, 13-16)
4. 💥 REJECTION — Big wick (>40%) with small body and high volume. Price was rejected
at a level, potential reversal.
5. 🪤 TRAP — Pin direction disagrees with delta. Extreme wick size. Looks bullish/bearish but the opposite may happen.
6. 😫 EXHAUSTION — High energy spent (volume) but low ground taken (price movement). Both sides active but momentum fading.
13. 🔄 CVD BULL DIV — Price falling but CVD rising. Hidden buying detected (accumulation). Potential bullish reversal.
14. 🔄 CVD BEAR DIV — Price rising but CVD falling. Hidden selling detected (distribution). Potential bearish reversal.
15. 🎯 STOP HUNT BULL — Shorts were liquidated below support. Price swept liquidity and reversed. Expect bullish move.
16. 🎯 STOP HUNT BEAR — Longs were liquidated above resistance. Price swept liquidity and reversed. Expect bearish move.
Range/Stalemate Scenarios (7-9)
7. ⚖️ DEADLOCK — Market in balance. Force ratio between 0.4-0.6. Low volume. No side winning.
8. 🔥 BATTLE — High volume fight in a range. Both sides attacking. Wicks on both ends of candle.
9. 🎯 WAITING — Building phase with quiet volume. Market is preparing but no trigger yet. Wait for breakout.
Pre-Breakout Scenarios (10-12)
10. 🚀 BULL SETUP — Buyers accumulating in a building phase. Positive delta building. Bullish pressure growing.
11. 💣 BEAR SETUP — Sellers distributing in a building phase. Negative delta building. Bearish pressure growing.
12. ⚡ BREAKOUT — Price at boundary with strong candle and volume supporting. Imminent breakout expected.
💰 TRADE ADVISOR ENGINE
The Trade Advisor aggregates all signals from the different engines into a single actionable output. It uses a weighted scoring system:
Scoring Weights:
• Scenario Signal: 30%
• Trend Alignment: 20%
• CVD Momentum: 15% + Divergence Bonus
• Pin Forces: 15%
• Liquidity Sweep: 12%
• Stop-Hunt Detection: 10%
• Effort vs Result: 10%
Possible Actions:
• ⏳ WAIT — Edge not strong enough (stay patient)
• 🟢 LONG ENTRY — Buyers have strong advantage + signals align
• 🔴 SHORT ENTRY — Sellers have strong advantage + signals align
• ⚠️ CLOSE LONG/SHORT — Position at risk (reversal/trend flip)
• 🛑 STOP LOSS — Price hit risk threshold
• 💰 TAKE PROFIT — Target threshold reached
📊 EXTENDED INFO PANEL (Detailed Explanations)
The Extended Info panel is hidden by default (toggle: Show Extended Info in settings). It provides detailed metrics that feed into the main engines:
CVD ANALYSIS
What is CVD?
Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) is the running total of Buy Volume minus Sell Volume. It reveals the underlying buying/selling pressure that may not be visible in price alone.
CVD Value & Slope:
• ↗ Rising: CVD increasing = net buying pressure (bullish)
• ↘ Falling: CVD decreasing = net selling pressure (bearish)
• → Flat: No clear pressure direction
Accumulation vs Distribution:
• Accumulation %: Shows buying pressure strength (0-100). High accumulation with CVD rising = strong bullish bias.
• Distribution %: Shows selling pressure strength (0-100). High distribution with CVD falling = strong bearish bias.
Divergence Alerts:
• ⚠️ BULLISH DIVERGENCE: Price falling but CVD rising. Hidden buying = potential reversal UP.
• ⚠️ BEARISH DIVERGENCE: Price rising but CVD falling. Hidden selling = potential reversal DOWN.
WICK ANALYSIS
Wick Torque:
Torque measures the "rotational force" from wicks. It's calculated from wick length, volume, and body efficiency.
• Positive Torque (Bullish): Bottom wick power dominates. Buyers defended lower prices.
• Negative Torque (Bearish): Top wick power dominates. Sellers defended higher prices.
• ⚡ High Torque (>30): Strong signal, significant wick rejection occurred.
Stop-Hunt Detection:
The engine detects when price has likely swept stop-losses clustered at key levels:
• Stop Hunt Risk %: Likelihood score (0-100). Above 55% = confirmed hunt.
• "Shorts hunted": Price swept below support, liquidating shorts, expect bounce UP.
• "Longs hunted": Price swept above resistance, liquidating longs, expect drop DOWN.
LIQUIDITY SWEEPS
This section appears only when a liquidity sweep is detected. The engine monitors for price sweeping recent highs/lows and then reversing:
• 🎯 LIQUIDITY SWEPT ABOVE: Price broke recent highs but closed back below. Longs trapped, expect DOWN.
• 🎯 LIQUIDITY SWEPT BELOW: Price broke recent lows but closed back above. Shorts trapped, expect UP.
POWER BALANCE
The Power Balance meter shows the real-time strength comparison between buyers and sellers.
Force Ratio:
• 0% = Complete seller dominance
• 50% = Perfect balance
• 100% = Complete buyer dominance
Visual Bar:
• Left side (▓): Bear territory
• Right side (▓): Bull territory
• The bar is smoothed over recent history to reduce noise.
EFFORT vs RESULT
This section measures the efficiency of price movement relative to volume expended.
Energy:
How much volume was spent relative to the average. Energy > 1.0x means above-average volume activity.
Ground:
How much price movement occurred relative to average range. Ground > 1.0x means above-average price movement.
STALL Warning:
A STALL is detected when high energy is spent but low ground is taken (high effort, low result). This often indicates institutional battle, exhaustion, or imminent reversal.
MARKET PHASE
The Phase Engine classifies the current market regime:
RANGE : No clear trend. Price confined to middle of channel. Low ADX. Balanced forces. Trade breakouts with caution.
BUILDING : Compression/preparation phase. Channel tightening or boundary penetration without follow-through. Watch for breakout direction.
TRENDING : Active directional move. Clear slope, good efficiency, price on trending side of channel. Favor pullback entries.
Strength:
0-100% score combining slope, volume validity, and force/efficiency filters.
Bars: How many candles the current phase has persisted.
TRACK RECORD (Validation Panel)
Enable with Show Validation Panel in settings. This section tracks the historical accuracy of scenario predictions:
Accuracy: Percentage of validated predictions that were correct.
Best/Worst Scenario: Shows which scenarios have the highest and lowest accuracy on the current symbol.
Recent Signals: Last 5 predictions with their outcomes. ✓ = correct, ✗ = wrong, ⏳ = pending validation.
⚙️ SETTINGS GUIDE
📊 Volume Analysis
Volume Calculation: Choose Geometry (estimates from candle shape) or Intrabar (precise LTF data).
Intrabar Resolution: LTF for precise mode. Try 1S, 15S, or 1T. Must be lower than chart timeframe.
History Depth: Candles stored in memory (5-50). Higher = more context, slower.
Memory Lookback: Bars for moving averages and Z-scores (10-100).
🏷️ Market Phase
Range Zone Width: How much of channel center is considered "range" (0.1-0.8).
Trend Sensitivity: Minimum slope to detect trending. Lower = more sensitive.
Min Episode Length: Minimum bars before phase can change. Prevents flickering.
🎯 Scenarios
Min Confidence to Show: Only display scenarios above this confidence level (30-90).
Bars to Validate: How many bars to wait before checking if prediction was correct.
Success Move %: Minimum price movement to consider prediction successful.
💰 Trade Advisor
Min Confidence for Entry: Minimum confidence to suggest a trade entry (50-90).
Default Risk %: Stop loss distance as % of price (0.5-5.0).
Min Risk/Reward: Minimum acceptable R:R ratio (1.0-5.0).
🔔 ALERT CONDITIONS
The indicator provides the following alert conditions you can configure:
• 🟢 LONG Entry Signal
• 🔴 SHORT Entry Signal
• ⚠️ Close LONG Signal
• ⚠️ Close SHORT Signal
• 🛑 STOP LOSS Alert
• 💰 Take Profit Alert
• 🚨 High Urgency Signal
⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER
EDUCATIONAL TOOL ONLY
This indicator is designed for educational purposes to help users identify different market scenarios and understand how various signals might be interpreted.
The Trade Advisor is NOT a recommendation to buy, sell, or invest.
• Past performance does not guarantee future results
• All trading involves risk of loss
• The creator is not a licensed financial advisor
• Always do your own research (DYOR)
• Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you understand these risks and accept full responsibility for your trading decisions.
Delta Reaction Zones [BOSWaves]Delta Reaction Zones - Cumulative Delta-Based Supply and Demand Identification with Flow-Weighted Zone Construction
Overview
Delta Reaction Zones is a volume flow-aware supply and demand detection system that identifies price levels where significant buying or selling pressure accumulated, constructing adaptive zones around cumulative delta extremes with intelligent flow composition analysis.
Instead of relying on traditional price-based support and resistance or fixed pivot structures, zone placement, thickness, and directional characterization are determined through delta accumulation patterns, volatility-adaptive sizing, and the proportional composition of positive versus negative volume flow.
This creates dynamic reaction boundaries that reflect actual order flow imbalances rather than arbitrary price levels - contracting during low volatility environments, expanding during elevated volatility periods, and incorporating flow composition statistics to reveal whether zones formed under buying or selling dominance.
Price is therefore evaluated relative to zones anchored at delta extremes rather than conventional technical levels.
Conceptual Framework
Delta Reaction Zones is founded on the principle that meaningful support and resistance emerge where cumulative volume flow reaches local extremes rather than where price alone forms patterns.
Traditional support and resistance methods identify turning points through price structure, which often ignores the underlying order flow dynamics that drive those reversals. This framework replaces price-centric logic with delta-driven zone construction informed by actual buying and selling pressure.
Three core principles guide the design:
Zone placement should correspond to cumulative delta extremes, not price pivots alone.
Zone thickness must adapt to current market volatility conditions.
Flow composition context reveals whether zones formed under accumulation or distribution.
This shifts supply and demand analysis from static price levels into adaptive, flow-anchored reaction boundaries.
Theoretical Foundation
The indicator combines delta proxy methodology, cumulative volume tracking, adaptive volatility measurement, and flow decomposition analysis.
A signed volume delta proxy estimates directional order flow on each bar, which accumulates into a running cumulative delta series. Pivot detection identifies local extremes in either cumulative delta or its rate of change, marking levels where flow momentum reached inflection points. Average True Range (ATR) provides volatility-responsive zone sizing, while impulse window analysis decomposes recent flow into positive and negative components with percentage weighting.
Four internal systems operate in tandem:
Delta Accumulation Engine : Computes smoothed signed volume and maintains cumulative delta tracking for directional flow measurement.
Pivot Detection System : Identifies significant turning points in cumulative delta or delta rate of change to anchor zone placement.
Adaptive Zone Construction : Scales zone thickness dynamically using ATR-based volatility measurement around pivot anchors.
Flow Composition Analysis : Calculates positive and negative flow percentages over a configurable impulse window to characterize zone formation context.
This design allows zones to reflect actual order flow behavior rather than reacting mechanically to price formations.
How It Works
Delta Reaction Zones evaluates price through a sequence of flow-aware processes:
Signed Volume Delta Calculation : Each bar's volume is directionally signed based on close-open relationship, creating a proxy for buying versus selling pressure.
Cumulative Delta Tracking : Signed volume accumulates into a running total, revealing sustained directional flow over time.
Pivot Identification : Local highs and lows in cumulative delta (or its rate of change) mark significant flow inflection points where zones anchor.
Volatility-Adaptive Sizing : ATR multiplier determines zone half-width, automatically adjusting thickness to current market conditions.
Flow Decomposition : Positive and negative volume components are separated and percentage-weighted over the impulse window to reveal dominant flow direction.
Intelligent Zone Merging : Overlapping zones of the same type automatically merge into broader reaction areas, with flow statistics blended proportionally.
Dynamic Extension and Visualization : Zones extend forward with gradient-filled composition segments showing buy versus sell flow proportions.
Breach Detection and Cleanup : Zones invalidate automatically when price closes beyond their boundaries, maintaining chart clarity.
Together, these elements form a continuously updating supply and demand framework anchored in order flow reality.
Interpretation
Delta Reaction Zones should be interpreted as flow-anchored supply and demand boundaries:
Support Zones (Green) : Form at cumulative delta lows, marking levels where selling exhaustion or buying accumulation occurred.
Resistance Zones (Red) : Establish at cumulative delta highs, identifying areas where buying exhaustion or selling distribution dominated.
Flow Composition Segments : Visual gradient within each zone reveals the buy/sell flow proportion during zone formation. The upper segment (red tint) represents negative (selling) flow percentage while the lower segment (green tint) represents positive (buying) flow percentage.
BUY FLOW / SELL FLOW / MIXED Labels : Indicate dominant flow character when one direction exceeds 60% of total impulse window activity.
Net Delta Statistics : Display cumulative flow totals (Δ) alongside percentage breakdowns for immediate context.
Zone Thickness : Reflects current volatility environment - wider zones in volatile conditions, tighter zones in calm markets.
Zone Merging : Multiple nearby pivots consolidate into broader reaction areas, weighted by their respective flow magnitudes.
Flow composition, volatility context, and delta magnitude outweigh isolated price reactions.
Signal Logic & Visual Cues
Delta Reaction Zones presents two primary interaction signals:
Support Reclaim (RC) : Green label appears when price crosses back above a support zone's midline after trading below it, suggesting renewed buying interest.
Resistance Re-enter (RE) : Red label displays when price crosses back below a resistance zone's midline after trading above it, indicating resumed selling pressure.
Alert generation covers zone creation and midline reclaim/re-entry events for systematic monitoring.
Strategy Integration
Delta Reaction Zones fits within order flow-informed and supply/demand trading approaches:
Flow-Anchored Entry Zones : Use zones as high-probability reaction areas where historical order flow imbalances occurred.
Composition-Based Bias : Favor trades aligning with dominant flow character - long setups near zones formed under buying dominance, short setups near selling-dominated zones.
Volatility-Aware Targeting : Expect wider reaction ranges when ATR expands zones, tighter ranges when ATR contracts them.
Merge-Informed Conviction : Broader merged zones represent multiple flow inflection points, potentially offering stronger support/resistance.
Midline Reclaim Validation : Use RC/RE signals as confirmation of zone respect rather than standalone entry triggers.
Multi-Timeframe Flow Context : Apply higher-timeframe delta zones to inform lower-timeframe entry precision.
Technical Implementation Details
Core Engine : Signed volume delta proxy with EMA smoothing
Accumulation Model : Persistent cumulative delta tracking with optional rate-of-change pivot detection
Zone Construction : ATR-scaled thickness around pivot anchors
Flow Analysis : Positive/negative decomposition over configurable impulse window
Visualization : Gradient-filled zones with embedded flow statistics and percentage segments
Signal Logic : Midline crossover detection with breach-based invalidation
Merge System : Proximity-based consolidation with weighted flow blending
Performance Profile : Optimized for real-time execution with configurable zone limits
Optimal Application Parameters
Timeframe Guidance:
1 - 5 min : Micro-structure flow zones for scalping and short-term reversals
15 - 60 min : Intraday supply/demand identification with flow context
4H - Daily : Swing-level reaction zones with macro flow characterization
Suggested Baseline Configuration:
Delta Smoothing Length : 3
Pivot Length : 12
Pivot Source : Cumulative Delta
Impulse Window : 100
ATR Length : 14
ATR Multiplier : 0.35 (reduce for lower timeframes)
Maximum Zones : 8
Merge Overlapping Zones : Enabled
Merge Gap : 20 ticks
These suggested parameters should be used as a baseline; their effectiveness depends on the asset's volume profile, tick structure, and preferred zone density, so fine-tuning is expected for optimal performance.
Parameter Calibration Notes
Use the following adjustments to refine behavior without altering the core logic:
Zones appearing oversized : Reduce ATR Multiplier to tighten zone thickness, especially on lower timeframes.
Excessive zone clutter : Increase Pivot Length to demand stronger delta extremes before zone creation.
Unstable delta readings : Increase Delta Smoothing Length to reduce bar-to-bar noise in flow calculation.
Missing significant levels : Decrease Pivot Length or switch Pivot Source to "Cumulative Delta RoC" for flow acceleration sensitivity.
Flow percentages feel stale : Reduce Impulse Window Length to emphasize more recent buying/selling composition.
Too many merged zones : Decrease Merge Gap (ticks) or disable merging to preserve individual pivot zones.
Adjustments should be incremental and evaluated across multiple session types rather than isolated market conditions.
Performance Characteristics
High Effectiveness:
Markets with consistent volume and order flow characteristics
Instruments where delta proxy correlates well with actual tape reading
Mean-reversion strategies targeting flow exhaustion zones
Trend continuation entries at zones aligned with dominant flow direction
Reduced Effectiveness:
Extremely low volume environments where delta proxy becomes unreliable
News-driven or gapped markets with discontinuous flow
Highly manipulated or illiquid instruments with erratic volume patterns
Integration Guidelines
Confluence : Combine with BOSWaves structure, market profile, or traditional supply/demand analysis
Flow Respect : Trust zones formed with strong net delta magnitude and clear flow dominance
Context Awareness : Consider whether current market regime matches zone formation conditions
Merge Recognition : Treat merged zones as higher-conviction areas due to multiple flow inflections
Breach Discipline : Exit zone-based setups cleanly when price invalidates boundaries
Disclaimer
Delta Reaction Zones is a professional-grade order flow and supply/demand analysis tool. It uses a volume-based delta proxy that estimates directional pressure but does not access true order book data. Results depend on market conditions, volume reliability, parameter selection, and disciplined execution. BOSWaves recommends deploying this indicator within a broader analytical framework that incorporates price structure, volatility context, and comprehensive risk management.
PEAD ScreenerPEAD Screener - Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Scanner
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WHY EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS CREATE OPPORTUNITY
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The days immediately following an earnings announcement are among the noisiest periods for any stock. Within hours, the market must digest new information about a company's profits, revenue, and future outlook. Analysts scramble to update their models. Institutions rebalance positions. Retail traders react to headlines.
This chaos creates a well-documented phenomenon called Post-Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD): stocks that beat expectations tend to keep rising, while those that miss tend to keep falling - often for weeks after the initial announcement. Academic research has confirmed this pattern persists across decades and markets.
But not every earnings surprise is equal. A company that beats estimates by 5 cents might move very differently than one that beats by 5 cents with unusually high volume, or one where both earnings AND revenue exceeded expectations. Raw numbers alone don't tell the full story.
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HOW "STANDARDIZED UNEXPECTED" METRICS CUT THROUGH THE NOISE
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This screener uses a statistical technique to measure how "surprising" a result truly is - not just whether it beat or missed, but how unusual that beat or miss was compared to the company's own history.
The core idea: convert raw surprises into Z-scores.
A Z-score answers the question: "How many standard deviations away from normal is this result?"
- A Z-score of 0 means the result was exactly average
- A Z-score of +2 means the result was unusually high (better than ~95% of historical results)
- A Z-score of -2 means the result was unusually low
By standardizing surprises this way, we can compare apples to apples. A small-cap biotech's $0.02 beat might actually be more significant than a mega-cap's $0.50 beat, once we account for each company's typical variability.
This screener applies this standardization to three dimensions: earnings (SUE), revenue (SURGE), and volume (SUV).
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THE 9 SCREENING CRITERIA
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1. SUE (Standardized Unexpected Earnings)
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WHAT IT IS:
SUE measures how surprising an earnings result was, adjusted for the company's historical forecast accuracy.
Calculation: Take the earnings surprise (actual EPS minus analyst estimate), then divide by the standard deviation of past forecast errors. This uses a rolling window of the last 8 quarters by default.
Formula: SUE = (Actual EPS - Estimated EPS) / Standard Deviation of Past Errors
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- SUE > +2.0: Strongly positive surprise - earnings beat expectations by an unusually large margin. These stocks often continue drifting higher.
- SUE between 0 and +2.0: Modest positive surprise - beat expectations, but within normal range.
- SUE between -2.0 and 0: Modest negative surprise - missed expectations, but within normal range.
- SUE < -2.0: Strongly negative surprise - significant miss. These stocks often continue drifting lower.
For long positions, look for SUE values above +2.0, ideally combined with positive SURGE.
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2. SURGE (Standardized Unexpected Revenue)
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WHAT IT IS:
SURGE applies the same standardization technique to revenue surprises. While earnings can be manipulated through accounting choices, revenue is harder to fake - it represents actual sales.
Calculation: Take the revenue surprise (actual revenue minus analyst estimate), then divide by the standard deviation of past revenue forecast errors.
Formula: SURGE = (Actual Revenue - Estimated Revenue) / Standard Deviation of Past Errors
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- SURGE > +1.5: Strongly positive revenue surprise - the company sold significantly more than expected.
- SURGE between 0 and +1.5: Modest positive surprise.
- SURGE < 0: Revenue missed expectations.
The most powerful signals occur when BOTH SUE and SURGE are positive and elevated (ideally SUE > 2.0 AND SURGE > 1.5). This indicates the company beat on both profitability AND top-line growth - a much stronger signal than either alone.
When SUE and SURGE diverge significantly (e.g., high SUE but negative SURGE), treat with caution - the earnings beat may have come from cost-cutting rather than genuine growth.
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3. SUV (Standardized Unexpected Volume)
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WHAT IT IS:
SUV detects unusual trading volume after accounting for how volatile the stock is. More volatile stocks naturally have higher volume, so raw volume comparisons can be misleading.
Calculation: This uses regression analysis to model the expected relationship between price volatility and volume. The "unexpected" volume is the residual - how much actual volume deviated from what the model predicted. This residual is then standardized into a Z-score.
In plain terms: SUV asks "Given how much this stock typically moves, is today's volume unusually high or low?"
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- SUV > +2.0: Exceptionally high volume relative to the stock's volatility. This often signals institutional activity - big players moving in or out.
- SUV between +1.0 and +2.0: Elevated volume - above normal interest.
- SUV between -1.0 and +1.0: Normal volume range.
- SUV < -1.0: Unusually quiet - less activity than expected.
High SUV combined with positive price movement suggests accumulation (buying). High SUV combined with negative price movement suggests distribution (selling).
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4. % From D0 Close
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WHAT IT IS:
This measures how far the current price has moved from the closing price on its initial earnings reaction day (D0). The "reaction day" is the first trading day that fully reflects the earnings news - typically the day after an after-hours announcement, or the announcement day itself for pre-market releases.
Calculation: ((Current Price - D0 Close) / D0 Close) × 100
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- Positive values: Stock has gained ground since earnings. The higher the percentage, the stronger the post-earnings drift.
- 0% to +5%: Modest positive drift - earnings were received well but momentum is limited.
- +5% to +15%: Strong drift - buyers continue accumulating.
- > +15%: Exceptional drift - significant institutional interest likely.
- Negative values: Stock has given back gains or extended losses since earnings. May indicate the initial reaction was overdone, or that sentiment is deteriorating.
This metric is most meaningful within the first 5-20 trading days after earnings. Extended drift (maintaining gains over 2+ weeks) is a stronger signal than a quick spike that fades.
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5. # Pocket Pivots
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WHAT IT IS:
Pocket Pivots are a volume-based pattern developed by Chris Kacher and Gil Morales. They identify days where institutional buyers are likely accumulating shares without causing obvious breakouts.
Calculation: A Pocket Pivot occurs when:
- The stock closes higher than it opened (up day)
- The stock closes higher than the previous day's close
- Today's volume exceeds the highest down-day volume of the prior 10 trading sessions
The screener counts how many Pocket Pivots have occurred since the earnings announcement.
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- 0 Pocket Pivots: No detected institutional accumulation patterns since earnings.
- 1-2 Pocket Pivots: Some institutional buying interest - worth monitoring.
- 3+ Pocket Pivots: Strong accumulation signal - institutions appear to be building positions.
Pocket Pivots are most significant when they occur:
- Immediately following earnings announcements
- Near moving average support (10-day, 21-day, or 50-day)
- On above-average volume
- After a period of price consolidation
Multiple Pocket Pivots in a short period suggest sustained institutional demand, not just a one-day event.
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6. ADX/DI (Trend Strength and Direction)
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WHAT IT IS:
ADX (Average Directional Index) measures trend strength regardless of direction. DI (Directional Indicator) shows whether the trend is bullish or bearish.
Calculation: ADX uses a 14-period lookback to measure how directional (trending) price movement is. Values range from 0 to 100. The +DI and -DI components compare upward and downward movement.
The screener shows:
- ADX value (trend strength)
- Direction indicator: "+" for bullish (price trending up), "-" for bearish (price trending down)
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- ADX < 20: Weak trend - the stock is moving sideways, choppy. Not ideal for momentum trading.
- ADX 20-25: Trend is emerging - potentially starting a directional move.
- ADX 25-40: Strong trend - clear directional movement. Good for momentum plays.
- ADX > 40: Very strong trend - powerful move in progress, but may be extended.
The direction indicator (+/-) tells you which way:
- "25+" means ADX of 25 with bullish direction (uptrend)
- "25-" means ADX of 25 with bearish direction (downtrend)
For post-earnings plays, ideal setups show ADX rising above 25 with positive direction, confirming the earnings reaction is developing into a sustained trend rather than a one-day spike.
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7. Institutional Buying PASS
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WHAT IT IS:
This proprietary composite indicator detects patterns consistent with institutional accumulation at three stages after earnings:
EARLY (Days 0-4): Looks for "large block" buying on the earnings reaction day (exceptionally high volume with a close in the upper half of the day's range) combined with follow-through buying on the next day.
MID (Days 5-9): Checks for sustained elevated volume (averaging 1.5x the 20-day average) combined with positive drift and consistent upward price movement (more up days than down days).
LATE (Days 10+): Detects either visible accumulation (positive drift with high volume) OR stealth accumulation (positive drift with unusually LOW volume - suggesting smart money is quietly building positions without attracting attention).
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- Check mark/value of '1': Institutional buying pattern detected. The stock shows characteristics consistent with large players accumulating shares.
- X mark/value of '0': No institutional buying pattern detected. This doesn't mean institutions aren't buying - just that the typical footprints aren't visible.
A passing grade here adds conviction to other bullish signals. Institutions have research teams, information advantages, and long time horizons. When their footprints appear in the data, it often precedes sustained moves.
Important: This is a pattern detection tool, not a guarantee. Always combine with other analysis.
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8. Strong ATR Drift PASS
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WHAT IT IS:
This measures whether the stock has drifted significantly relative to its own volatility. Instead of asking "did it move 10%?", it asks "did it move more than 1.5 ATRs?"
ATR (Average True Range) measures a stock's typical daily movement. A volatile stock might move 5% daily, while a stable stock might move 0.5%. Using ATR normalizes for this difference.
Calculation:
ATR Drift = (Current Close - D0 Close) / D0 ATR in dollars
The indicator passes when ATR Drift exceeds 1.5 AND at least 5 days have passed since earnings.
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- Check mark/value of '1': The stock has drifted more than 1.5 times its average daily range since earnings - a statistically significant move that suggests genuine momentum, not just noise.
- X mark/value of '0': The drift (if any) is within normal volatility bounds - could just be random fluctuation.
Why wait 5 days? The immediate post-earnings reaction (days 0-2) often includes gap fills and noise. By day 5, if the stock is still extended beyond 1.5 ATRs from the earnings close, it suggests real buying pressure, not just a reflexive gap.
A passing grade here helps filter out stocks that "beat earnings" but haven't actually moved meaningfully. It focuses attention on stocks where the market is voting with real capital.
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9. Days Since D0
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WHAT IT IS:
Simply counts the number of trading days since the earnings reaction day (D0).
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- Days 0-5 (Green): Fresh earnings - the information is new, institutional repositioning is active, and momentum trades are most potent. This is the "sweet spot" for PEAD strategies.
- Days 6-10 (Neutral): Mid-period - some edge remains but diminishing. Good for adding to winning positions, less ideal for new entries.
- Days 11+ (Red): Extended period - most of the post-earnings drift has typically played out. Higher risk that momentum fades or reverses.
Research shows PEAD effects are strongest in the first 5-10 days after earnings, then decay. Beyond 20-30 days, the informational advantage of the earnings surprise is largely priced in.
Use this to prioritize: focus on stocks with strong signals that are still in the early window, and be more selective about entries as days accumulate.
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PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER
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You can use this screener in the chart view or in the Screener.
One combination of the above filters to develop a shortlist of positive drift candidates may be:
- SUE > 2.0 (significant earnings beat)
- SURGE > 1.5 (significant revenue beat)
- Positive % From D0 Close (price confirming the good news)
- Institutional Buying PASS (big players accumulating)
- Strong ATR Drift PASS (statistically significant movement)
- Days Since D0 < 10 (still in the active drift window)
No single indicator is sufficient. The power comes from convergence - when multiple independent measures all point the same direction.
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SETTINGS
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Key adjustable parameters:
- SUE Method: "Analyst-based" uses consensus estimates; "Time-series" uses year-over-year comparison
- Window Size: Number of quarters used for standardization (default: 8)
- ATR Drift Threshold: Minimum ATR multiple for "strong" classification (default: 1.5)
- Institutional Buying thresholds: Adjustable volume and CLV parameters
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DISCLAIMER
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This screener is a research tool, not financial advice. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and manage risk appropriately. Post-earnings trading involves significant uncertainty and volatility. The 'SUE' in this indicator does not represent a real person; any similarity to actual Sue's (or Susans for that matter) living or dead is quite frankly ridiculous, not to mention coincidental.
Macros+AMD [NW]Macros + AMD - Daily & Weekly Time-Based Analysis
Multi-timeframe AMD (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution) visualization with ICT Macro timing windows for time-based market analysis.
Overview
This indicator visualizes the AMD (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution) framework on both daily and weekly timeframes, combined with ICT Macro timing windows. It is designed as an educational tool to help traders study time-based market structure and algorithmic price delivery concepts.
The AMD model is based on the idea that markets move through distinct phases within each trading period:
Accumulation (A) - Initial range formation, liquidity building
Manipulation (M) - False moves to trap traders, liquidity sweeps
Distribution (D) - True directional move, price delivery to targets
What This Indicator Displays
Daily AMD Phases
Displays the intraday AMD cycle based on New York trading hours:
A Phase (Blue): 4:00 AM - 8:35 AM EST — Morning accumulation, Asian/London overlap
M Phase (Red): 8:35 AM - 11:25 AM EST — NY session manipulation, news events
D Phase (Green): 11:25 AM - 4:00 PM EST — Afternoon distribution and price delivery
Weekly AMD Phases
Displays the weekly AMD cycle from Monday to Monday:
A Phase: Monday 00:00 - Tuesday 21:56 EST — Weekly high/low formation begins
M Phase: Tuesday 21:56 - Thursday 02:04 EST — Mid-week reversal zone
D Phase: Thursday 02:04 - Monday 00:00 EST — Weekly price delivery
Inner M Phase Fibs
When enabled, subdivides the M (Manipulation) phase using Fibonacci levels:
0.382 level — Inner accumulation ends
0.500 level — Mid-point of manipulation
0.618 level — Inner distribution begins
This helps identify potential reversal points within the manipulation phase.
ICT Macro Windows
Horizontal lines marking the XX:42 to XX:15 macro periods (33-minute windows):
2:42 - 3:15 AM
3:42 - 4:15 AM (London)
7:42 - 8:15 AM
8:42 - 9:15 AM
9:42 - 10:15 AM (Prime AM session)
10:42 - 11:15 AM
11:42 - 12:15 PM
12:42 - 1:15 PM
1:42 - 2:15 PM
2:42 - 3:15 PM
These windows represent times when algorithmic price delivery is more likely to occur.
How To Use
Understanding the AMD Framework
During the A Phase:
Observe range formation and initial liquidity pools
Note the high and low established during this phase
Wait for manipulation before committing to direction
During the M Phase:
Watch for false breakouts and stop hunts
Look for reversal patterns after liquidity sweeps
The inner fibs (0.382, 0.5, 0.618) can help time entries within this phase
Mid-week (Wednesday) often sees key reversals on weekly AMD
During the D Phase:
This is typically when the true move occurs
Price tends to deliver toward draw on liquidity targets
The direction is often opposite to the manipulation move
Using the Macro Windows
The XX:42 to XX:15 windows are times to pay attention to price action:
These 33-minute periods often see increased algorithmic activity
Look for displacement, fair value gaps, or order blocks forming
The 9:42-10:15 AM window is considered particularly significant for NY session
Weekly Day Labels
Monday/Tuesday: "H/L of Week" — Watch for weekly high or low formation
Wednesday: "Reversal Day" — Mid-week reversal probability increases
Thursday/Friday: "Reversal Day" — Continuation or secondary reversal
Settings Guide
Main Settings
Timezone: Set to your broker's timezone or preferred timezone
Macros On Top: Toggle macro lines above or below AMD boxes
Show All Text Labels: Master toggle for all text (turn off for clean charts on HTF)
Daily/Weekly AMD
Show: Enable/disable the AMD visualization
Opacity: Adjust transparency of the phase boxes (higher = more transparent)
AMD Colors
Customize colors for each phase (A, M, D)
Default: Blue (A), Red (M), Green (D)
Inner M Style
Customize the inner M phase fib lines and text colors
Default: Black lines for clean visibility
Macro Settings
Adjust macro line color and thickness
Toggle individual macro windows on/off
Important Notes
This indicator is for educational purposes and time-based analysis
It does not provide buy/sell signals
Always use in conjunction with proper price action analysis
Past price behavior during these time windows does not guarantee future results
The AMD framework is one lens for viewing market structure — use it as part of a complete methodology
Credits
This indicator is based on concepts taught by ICT (Inner Circle Trader) and the broader Smart Money Concepts community. The AMD framework, macro timing windows, and weekly profile concepts are derived from this educational methodology.
Timeframe Recommendations
Best viewed on 1-minute to 15-minute charts
Text labels automatically hide on 9-minute and higher timeframes for cleaner visualization
Indicator hides completely on 1-hour and higher timeframes
Changelog
v1.0 - Initial release
Daily AMD phases (4am-4pm EST)
Weekly AMD phases (Monday-Monday)
Inner M phase Fibonacci subdivisions
10 ICT Macro timing windows
Full customization options
Automatic 9-day cleanup
Low Volatility Profiles [BigBeluga]🔵 OVERVIEW
Low Volatility Profiles is a market compression and breakout-anticipation tool that identifies phases of low volatility using ADX and then builds a real-time volume profile inside the detected range.
This helps traders spot accumulation/distribution zones and prepare for explosive moves when volatility expands.
When volatility is low ➜ price coils ➜ volume organizes ➜ breakouts become highly actionable.
This tool visualizes that process with dynamic range boxes + volume bins + PoC extension.
🔵 CONCEPTS
Low-Volatility Detection — Uses ADX threshold & cross logic to define volatility contraction regimes.
Range Construction — Draws a price box that expands with highs/lows during the compression phase.
Micro Volume Profile — Builds a volume histogram inside the range using bins (micro volume nodes).
Delta Calculation — Tracks positive vs negative volume to gauge buyer/seller pressure within range.
Point of Control (PoC) — Highlights the price level with max traded volume inside the range.
PoC Extension — Optionally extends PoC into future bars to show potential reaction zone after breakout.
Breakout Validation — Ends the profile zone when price breaks above or below the modeled range.
Noise Removal — Automatically removes invalid or small ranges to prevent chart clutter.
This tool turns consolidation into actionable structure by exposing where smart money accumulates before trending moves.
🔵 FEATURES
ADX-Driven Range Detection — Identify when market transitions into low-volatility compression.
Configurable ADX Threshold — Set sensitivity for contraction zones.
Cross-Type Option — Detect low volatility via cross under / crossover logic.
Dynamic Range Box — Expands live with price as contraction unfolds.
Micro Volume Profile (Bins) — Distributes volume across bins inside range for micro POC mapping.
Volume Delta Visualization — Shows imbalance inside consolidation (accumulation vs distribution).
Real-Time PoC Highlight — Instantly shows most traded price inside the compression.
PoC Extension Mode — Extend PoC forward to project reaction levels post-breakout.
Clean Auto-Reset Logic — Removes boxes if range invalid or breakout occurs too fast.
Optional Filled Boxes — Heatmap-style profile visualization inside range body.
ADX Line + Threshold Plot — Visual assistance for volatility state monitoring.
🔵 HOW TO USE
Identify Accumulation Zones — When price enters low-volatility ADX condition and profile builds.
Watch the PoC — PoC acts as battle zone; move above/below can signal initiator strength.
Breakout Strategy — Trade break above/below the range after compression.
Mean Reversion Inside Range — Fade edges while price remains inside compression box.
Combine With Trend Tools — Use trend confirmation (MA/EMA/Flow indicators) after breakout.
Use Delta Clues — Positive delta tilt suggests accumulation; negative suggests distribution.
Monitor Range Size — Longer build + high PoC volume = stronger potential breakout energy.
🔵 CONCLUSION
Low Volatility Profiles isolates accumulation phases and maps volume concentration before volatility expansion.
By combining ADX compression, micro volume distribution, and PoC tracing, traders gain an edge in anticipating powerful breakout cycles and institutional positioning.
Trade the quiet moment before the storm — where smart money prepares the move, and the real opportunity emerges.
Momentum Squeeze Candle [Darwinian]# Momentum Squeeze Candle
Professional squeeze detection indicator with Wyckoff accumulation/distribution analysis and multi-method momentum signals.
## Overview
Identifies volatility compression (squeeze) periods and provides intelligent momentum direction signals based on institutional accumulation/distribution patterns.
## Features
6 Squeeze Detection Methods:
• BB + KC (Classic) - John Carter's TTM Squeeze
• ATR Ratio - Volatility compression detection
• Choppiness Index - Ranging vs trending analysis
• BB Width - Bollinger Band contraction
• Volume Contraction - Drying volume detection
• Hybrid Multi-Method - Ensemble approach (3+ methods must agree)
Smart Momentum Direction:
• Priority 1: Wyckoff signals (ATR compression + volume analysis)
• Priority 2: RSI momentum (55/45 thresholds)
• Priority 3: Hybrid slope + momentum confirmation
Visual Indicators:
• Blue candle coloring during squeeze
• Green circles = Bullish momentum (accumulation detected)
• Red circles = Bearish momentum (distribution detected)
• Optional BB/KC band overlay
## How It Works
Wyckoff Accumulation (Bullish):
ATR compressing + volume drying + price holding above MA = Smart money accumulating
→ Green circle signals
Wyckoff Distribution (Bearish):
ATR expanding + volume surging + price failing below MA = Smart money distributing
→ Red circle signals
## Recommended Settings
Swing Trading (Daily/4H):
Method: BB + KC or Hybrid | Sensitivity: 1.2-1.5
Day Trading (15m-1H):
Method: ATR Ratio or BB Width | Sensitivity: 0.8-1.0
Scalping (1m-5m):
Method: Volume Contraction | Sensitivity: 0.7-0.9
High Probability:
Method: Hybrid Multi-Method | Min Score: 4/5 | Sensitivity: 1.5
## Key Advantages
✓ Multiple squeeze detection algorithms for different market conditions
✓ Wyckoff methodology for institutional activity detection
✓ Priority-based momentum system reduces false signals
✓ Clean, optimized code (70% faster than typical indicators)
✓ Fully customizable sensitivity and visual settings
## Usage
1. Choose squeeze detection method based on your trading style
2. Watch for blue candles (squeeze active)
3. Monitor momentum signals:
- Green circles below bars = Accumulation phase (bullish)
- Red circles below bars = Distribution phase (bearish)
4. Trade the breakout in the direction of momentum signals
## Notes
• All inputs hidden from status line by default for clean charts
• Works on all timeframes and asset classes
• Combine with your trading strategy for confirmation
• Best results when multiple priority signals align
Perfect for traders looking to identify consolidation periods and predict breakout direction using institutional accumulation/distribution patterns.
Volume BubblesVolume Bubbles Indicator
Introduction
The Volume Bubbles indicator is a powerful tool designed to visually highlight significant volume spikes on your TradingView charts. It helps traders identify potential areas of whale accumulation (large buying activity) or dumping (large selling activity) by displaying colored bubbles on candles where volume exceeds a customizable threshold. Green bubbles indicate bullish (buy) volume on up candles, suggesting possible accumulation, while red bubbles signal bearish (sell) volume on down candles, indicating potential dumping. The bubble size scales with the volume magnitude, making it easy to spot major market moves at a glance.
This indicator is particularly useful for crypto, forex, and stock traders looking to gauge market sentiment and large player involvement without cluttering the chart. It's built in Pine Script v5 and overlays directly on your price action.
How It Works
The indicator calculates a moving average of volume (default: 20-period SMA) and detects spikes when current volume exceeds this average by a multiplier (default: 2x).
Buy Bubbles (Green): Appear on bullish candles (close >= open) at the low wick, representing potential whale buying or accumulation zones.
Sell Bubbles (Red): Appear on bearish candles (close < open) at the high wick, indicating potential whale selling or dumping zones.
Bubble Size: Dynamically sized based on volume thresholds – huge for >1M, large for 500K-1M, normal for <500K.
Transparency: Increases with volume ratio for better visibility on extreme spikes.
Tooltip:
Hover over a bubble to see detailed info like total volume, average volume, and ratio.
By focusing on these high-volume events, traders can spot key support/resistance levels where whales might be active.
How to Use for Whale Accumulation and Dumping
Whales (large holders) often move markets with high-volume trades. This indicator helps spot them:
Accumulation (Buying): Look for clusters of large green bubbles at price lows or during consolidations. This suggests whales are buying dips, potentially signaling a reversal or uptrend start. Combine with support levels for confirmation.
Dumping (Selling): Watch for big red bubbles at price highs or after rallies. This indicates whales unloading positions, which could lead to downtrends or corrections. Pair with resistance levels.
Tips:
Use on higher timeframes (e.g., 1H+) for reliable signals.
Confirm with other indicators like RSI or MACD to avoid false positives.
In trending markets, buy bubbles in uptrends confirm strength; sell bubbles in downtrends signal continuation.
Credits and Disclaimer
Inspired by volume analysis techniques. This is free to use; feedback welcome! Not financial advice – trade at your own risk.
UDVR + OBV Combo — MTF (v6)The UDVR + OBV Combo is a multi-timeframe volume analysis tool that blends the Up/Down Volume Ratio with a normalized On-Balance Volume signal. It highlights when accumulation or distribution truly supports price action, adds higher-timeframe context, and shades the background when both indicators align. Use it to confirm breakouts, spot divergences, and filter trades with the backing of real volume flows.
1.Up/Down Volume Ratio (UDVR)
•Compares the rolling sum of up-volume (bars where price closed higher) vs down-volume (bars where price closed lower).
•A ratio > 1.0 = more accumulation (bullish pressure).
•A ratio < 1.0 = more distribution (bearish pressure).
•Optional histogram shows deviations from the 1.0 baseline.
•Customizable handling of equal closes (count as up, down, split, or ignore).
•Configurable lookback length and optional EMA smoothing.
2. On-Balance Volume (OBV)
•Classic cumulative OBV implemented natively (adds volume on up-bars, subtracts on down-bars).
•Normalized with a z-score so it can be compared across different symbols/timeframes.
•Includes an EMA signal line for slope detection.
•Alignment of OBV vs its EMA highlights rising or waning participation.
3. Multi-Timeframe Support
•Both UDVR and OBV can be plotted from a higher timeframe (HTF) (e.g. Daily UDVR shown on a 1h chart).
•Lets you see big-money accumulation/distribution while trading intraday.
•Shaded background when current TF and HTF agree (both bullish or both bearish).
How to read it
• Bullish confirmation = UDVR > 1 (accumulation) and OBV above EMA (rising participation).
• Bearish confirmation = UDVR < 1 (distribution) and OBV below EMA (falling participation).
• Mixed signals (e.g. UDVR > 1 but OBV falling) = caution; price may lack conviction.
• Divergences : If price makes a new high but OBV or UDVR does not, it’s a warning of weakening trend.
• Higher timeframe context : set HTF = Daily or Weekly and watch how short-term signals align with institutional flows. A long trade on the 15m chart is stronger when Daily UDVR is also above 1.
Inputs
•UDVR Lookback: number of bars for rolling volume sums.
•Smoothing EMA: smooths UDVR for stability.
•Equal Close Handling: decide how equal closes affect UDVR.
•Signal Band: optional UDVR extreme thresholds.
•Show Histogram: toggle UDVR histogram around baseline.
•Higher Timeframe UDVR: overlay Daily/Weekly UDVR on lower timeframe charts.
•OBV EMA length: slope proxy for normalized OBV.
•OBV Normalization window: controls z-score sensitivity.
•Higher Timeframe OBV: overlay higher timeframe OBV.
Alerts
•UDVR Bullish/Bearish cross at the 1.0 baseline.
•OBV slope up/down when OBV crosses its EMA.
•Alignment signals when UDVR and OBV agree (both confirm bullish or bearish conditions).
Why it’s useful
•Combines trend, momentum, and participation in one place.
•Helps avoid false breakouts by checking if volume supports the move.
•Lets you spot accumulation/distribution shifts before they show up in price.
•Gives a higher timeframe context so you’re not trading against the “big picture.”
Once applied, the indicator creates a dedicated pane below price with the following components:
UDVR Line (green/red)
• Green when UDVR > 1.0 (more up-volume than down-volume → accumulation).
• Red when UDVR < 1.0 (more down-volume → distribution).
UDVR Baseline and Bands
• Grey baseline at 1.0 = balance between buying and selling volume.
• Optional upper/lower bands (default 1.5 and 0.67) highlight extreme imbalances.
• Shaded areas between baseline and bands provide visual context for strength/weakness.
UDVR Histogram (optional)
• Columns around the baseline showing (UDVR – 1.0).
• Quick way to gauge how far above/below balance the ratio is.
Higher-Timeframe UDVR (teal line)
• Overlays the UDVR from a higher timeframe (e.g. Daily) on your intraday chart.
• Lets you see whether institutional flows support your shorter-term signals.
OBV Normalized (blue/orange line)
• Classic OBV, but normalized with a z-score so it stays readable across assets.
• Blue when OBV is above its EMA (rising participation).
• Orange when below its EMA (waning participation).
OBV EMA (grey line)
• Signal line showing the slope of OBV.
• Crosses between OBV and this line mark shifts in participation.
Higher-Timeframe OBV (purple line, optional)
• Plots OBV from a higher timeframe for additional context.
Background Shading
• Light green = both UDVR > 1 and OBV > OBV-EMA (bullish alignment).
• Light red = both UDVR < 1 and OBV < OBV-EMA (bearish alignment).
Tensor Market Analysis Engine (TMAE)# Tensor Market Analysis Engine (TMAE)
## Advanced Multi-Dimensional Mathematical Analysis System
*Where Quantum Mathematics Meets Market Structure*
---
## 🎓 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The Tensor Market Analysis Engine represents a revolutionary synthesis of three cutting-edge mathematical frameworks that have never before been combined for comprehensive market analysis. This indicator transcends traditional technical analysis by implementing advanced mathematical concepts from quantum mechanics, information theory, and fractal geometry.
### 🌊 Multi-Dimensional Volatility with Jump Detection
**Hawkes Process Implementation:**
The TMAE employs a sophisticated Hawkes process approximation for detecting self-exciting market jumps. Unlike traditional volatility measures that treat price movements as independent events, the Hawkes process recognizes that market shocks cluster and exhibit memory effects.
**Mathematical Foundation:**
```
Intensity λ(t) = μ + Σ α(t - Tᵢ)
```
Where market jumps at times Tᵢ increase the probability of future jumps through the decay function α, controlled by the Hawkes Decay parameter (0.5-0.99).
**Mahalanobis Distance Calculation:**
The engine calculates volatility jumps using multi-dimensional Mahalanobis distance across up to 5 volatility dimensions:
- **Dimension 1:** Price volatility (standard deviation of returns)
- **Dimension 2:** Volume volatility (normalized volume fluctuations)
- **Dimension 3:** Range volatility (high-low spread variations)
- **Dimension 4:** Correlation volatility (price-volume relationship changes)
- **Dimension 5:** Microstructure volatility (intrabar positioning analysis)
This creates a volatility state vector that captures market behavior impossible to detect with traditional single-dimensional approaches.
### 📐 Hurst Exponent Regime Detection
**Fractal Market Hypothesis Integration:**
The TMAE implements advanced Rescaled Range (R/S) analysis to calculate the Hurst exponent in real-time, providing dynamic regime classification:
- **H > 0.6:** Trending (persistent) markets - momentum strategies optimal
- **H < 0.4:** Mean-reverting (anti-persistent) markets - contrarian strategies optimal
- **H ≈ 0.5:** Random walk markets - breakout strategies preferred
**Adaptive R/S Analysis:**
Unlike static implementations, the TMAE uses adaptive windowing that adjusts to market conditions:
```
H = log(R/S) / log(n)
```
Where R is the range of cumulative deviations and S is the standard deviation over period n.
**Dynamic Regime Classification:**
The system employs hysteresis to prevent regime flipping, requiring sustained Hurst values before regime changes are confirmed. This prevents false signals during transitional periods.
### 🔄 Transfer Entropy Analysis
**Information Flow Quantification:**
Transfer entropy measures the directional flow of information between price and volume, revealing lead-lag relationships that indicate future price movements:
```
TE(X→Y) = Σ p(yₜ₊₁, yₜ, xₜ) log
```
**Causality Detection:**
- **Volume → Price:** Indicates accumulation/distribution phases
- **Price → Volume:** Suggests retail participation or momentum chasing
- **Balanced Flow:** Market equilibrium or transition periods
The system analyzes multiple lag periods (2-20 bars) to capture both immediate and structural information flows.
---
## 🔧 COMPREHENSIVE INPUT SYSTEM
### Core Parameters Group
**Primary Analysis Window (10-100, Default: 50)**
The fundamental lookback period affecting all calculations. Optimization by timeframe:
- **1-5 minute charts:** 20-30 (rapid adaptation to micro-movements)
- **15 minute-1 hour:** 30-50 (balanced responsiveness and stability)
- **4 hour-daily:** 50-100 (smooth signals, reduced noise)
- **Asset-specific:** Cryptocurrency 20-35, Stocks 35-50, Forex 40-60
**Signal Sensitivity (0.1-2.0, Default: 0.7)**
Master control affecting all threshold calculations:
- **Conservative (0.3-0.6):** High-quality signals only, fewer false positives
- **Balanced (0.7-1.0):** Optimal risk-reward ratio for most trading styles
- **Aggressive (1.1-2.0):** Maximum signal frequency, requires careful filtering
**Signal Generation Mode:**
- **Aggressive:** Any component signals (highest frequency)
- **Confluence:** 2+ components agree (balanced approach)
- **Conservative:** All 3 components align (highest quality)
### Volatility Jump Detection Group
**Volatility Dimensions (2-5, Default: 3)**
Determines the mathematical space complexity:
- **2D:** Price + Volume volatility (suitable for clean markets)
- **3D:** + Range volatility (optimal for most conditions)
- **4D:** + Correlation volatility (advanced multi-asset analysis)
- **5D:** + Microstructure volatility (maximum sensitivity)
**Jump Detection Threshold (1.5-4.0σ, Default: 3.0σ)**
Standard deviations required for volatility jump classification:
- **Cryptocurrency:** 2.0-2.5σ (naturally volatile)
- **Stock Indices:** 2.5-3.0σ (moderate volatility)
- **Forex Major Pairs:** 3.0-3.5σ (typically stable)
- **Commodities:** 2.0-3.0σ (varies by commodity)
**Jump Clustering Decay (0.5-0.99, Default: 0.85)**
Hawkes process memory parameter:
- **0.5-0.7:** Fast decay (jumps treated as independent)
- **0.8-0.9:** Moderate clustering (realistic market behavior)
- **0.95-0.99:** Strong clustering (crisis/event-driven markets)
### Hurst Exponent Analysis Group
**Calculation Method Options:**
- **Classic R/S:** Original Rescaled Range (fast, simple)
- **Adaptive R/S:** Dynamic windowing (recommended for trading)
- **DFA:** Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (best for noisy data)
**Trending Threshold (0.55-0.8, Default: 0.60)**
Hurst value defining persistent market behavior:
- **0.55-0.60:** Weak trend persistence
- **0.65-0.70:** Clear trending behavior
- **0.75-0.80:** Strong momentum regimes
**Mean Reversion Threshold (0.2-0.45, Default: 0.40)**
Hurst value defining anti-persistent behavior:
- **0.35-0.45:** Weak mean reversion
- **0.25-0.35:** Clear ranging behavior
- **0.15-0.25:** Strong reversion tendency
### Transfer Entropy Parameters Group
**Information Flow Analysis:**
- **Price-Volume:** Classic flow analysis for accumulation/distribution
- **Price-Volatility:** Risk flow analysis for sentiment shifts
- **Multi-Timeframe:** Cross-timeframe causality detection
**Maximum Lag (2-20, Default: 5)**
Causality detection window:
- **2-5 bars:** Immediate causality (scalping)
- **5-10 bars:** Short-term flow (day trading)
- **10-20 bars:** Structural flow (swing trading)
**Significance Threshold (0.05-0.3, Default: 0.15)**
Minimum entropy for signal generation:
- **0.05-0.10:** Detect subtle information flows
- **0.10-0.20:** Clear causality only
- **0.20-0.30:** Very strong flows only
---
## 🎨 ADVANCED VISUAL SYSTEM
### Tensor Volatility Field Visualization
**Five-Layer Resonance Bands:**
The tensor field creates dynamic support/resistance zones that expand and contract based on mathematical field strength:
- **Core Layer (Purple):** Primary tensor field with highest intensity
- **Layer 2 (Neutral):** Secondary mathematical resonance
- **Layer 3 (Info Blue):** Tertiary harmonic frequencies
- **Layer 4 (Warning Gold):** Outer field boundaries
- **Layer 5 (Success Green):** Maximum field extension
**Field Strength Calculation:**
```
Field Strength = min(3.0, Mahalanobis Distance × Tensor Intensity)
```
The field amplitude adjusts to ATR and mathematical distance, creating dynamic zones that respond to market volatility.
**Radiation Line Network:**
During active tensor states, the system projects directional radiation lines showing field energy distribution:
- **8 Directional Rays:** Complete angular coverage
- **Tapering Segments:** Progressive transparency for natural visual flow
- **Pulse Effects:** Enhanced visualization during volatility jumps
### Dimensional Portal System
**Portal Mathematics:**
Dimensional portals visualize regime transitions using category theory principles:
- **Green Portals (◉):** Trending regime detection (appear below price for support)
- **Red Portals (◎):** Mean-reverting regime (appear above price for resistance)
- **Yellow Portals (○):** Random walk regime (neutral positioning)
**Tensor Trail Effects:**
Each portal generates 8 trailing particles showing mathematical momentum:
- **Large Particles (●):** Strong mathematical signal
- **Medium Particles (◦):** Moderate signal strength
- **Small Particles (·):** Weak signal continuation
- **Micro Particles (˙):** Signal dissipation
### Information Flow Streams
**Particle Stream Visualization:**
Transfer entropy creates flowing particle streams indicating information direction:
- **Upward Streams:** Volume leading price (accumulation phases)
- **Downward Streams:** Price leading volume (distribution phases)
- **Stream Density:** Proportional to information flow strength
**15-Particle Evolution:**
Each stream contains 15 particles with progressive sizing and transparency, creating natural flow visualization that makes information transfer immediately apparent.
### Fractal Matrix Grid System
**Multi-Timeframe Fractal Levels:**
The system calculates and displays fractal highs/lows across five Fibonacci periods:
- **8-Period:** Short-term fractal structure
- **13-Period:** Intermediate-term patterns
- **21-Period:** Primary swing levels
- **34-Period:** Major structural levels
- **55-Period:** Long-term fractal boundaries
**Triple-Layer Visualization:**
Each fractal level uses three-layer rendering:
- **Shadow Layer:** Widest, darkest foundation (width 5)
- **Glow Layer:** Medium white core line (width 3)
- **Tensor Layer:** Dotted mathematical overlay (width 1)
**Intelligent Labeling System:**
Smart spacing prevents label overlap using ATR-based minimum distances. Labels include:
- **Fractal Period:** Time-based identification
- **Topological Class:** Mathematical complexity rating (0, I, II, III)
- **Price Level:** Exact fractal price
- **Mahalanobis Distance:** Current mathematical field strength
- **Hurst Exponent:** Current regime classification
- **Anomaly Indicators:** Visual strength representations (○ ◐ ● ⚡)
### Wick Pressure Analysis
**Rejection Level Mathematics:**
The system analyzes candle wick patterns to project future pressure zones:
- **Upper Wick Analysis:** Identifies selling pressure and resistance zones
- **Lower Wick Analysis:** Identifies buying pressure and support zones
- **Pressure Projection:** Extends lines forward based on mathematical probability
**Multi-Layer Glow Effects:**
Wick pressure lines use progressive transparency (1-8 layers) creating natural glow effects that make pressure zones immediately visible without cluttering the chart.
### Enhanced Regime Background
**Dynamic Intensity Mapping:**
Background colors reflect mathematical regime strength:
- **Deep Transparency (98% alpha):** Subtle regime indication
- **Pulse Intensity:** Based on regime strength calculation
- **Color Coding:** Green (trending), Red (mean-reverting), Neutral (random)
**Smoothing Integration:**
Regime changes incorporate 10-bar smoothing to prevent background flicker while maintaining responsiveness to genuine regime shifts.
### Color Scheme System
**Six Professional Themes:**
- **Dark (Default):** Professional trading environment optimization
- **Light:** High ambient light conditions
- **Classic:** Traditional technical analysis appearance
- **Neon:** High-contrast visibility for active trading
- **Neutral:** Minimal distraction focus
- **Bright:** Maximum visibility for complex setups
Each theme maintains mathematical accuracy while optimizing visual clarity for different trading environments and personal preferences.
---
## 📊 INSTITUTIONAL-GRADE DASHBOARD
### Tensor Field Status Section
**Field Strength Display:**
Real-time Mahalanobis distance calculation with dynamic emoji indicators:
- **⚡ (Lightning):** Extreme field strength (>1.5× threshold)
- **● (Solid Circle):** Strong field activity (>1.0× threshold)
- **○ (Open Circle):** Normal field state
**Signal Quality Rating:**
Democratic algorithm assessment:
- **ELITE:** All 3 components aligned (highest probability)
- **STRONG:** 2 components aligned (good probability)
- **GOOD:** 1 component active (moderate probability)
- **WEAK:** No clear component signals
**Threshold and Anomaly Monitoring:**
- **Threshold Display:** Current mathematical threshold setting
- **Anomaly Level (0-100%):** Combined volatility and volume spike measurement
- **>70%:** High anomaly (red warning)
- **30-70%:** Moderate anomaly (orange caution)
- **<30%:** Normal conditions (green confirmation)
### Tensor State Analysis Section
**Mathematical State Classification:**
- **↑ BULL (Tensor State +1):** Trending regime with bullish bias
- **↓ BEAR (Tensor State -1):** Mean-reverting regime with bearish bias
- **◈ SUPER (Tensor State 0):** Random walk regime (neutral)
**Visual State Gauge:**
Five-circle progression showing tensor field polarity:
- **🟢🟢🟢⚪⚪:** Strong bullish mathematical alignment
- **⚪⚪🟡⚪⚪:** Neutral/transitional state
- **⚪⚪🔴🔴🔴:** Strong bearish mathematical alignment
**Trend Direction and Phase Analysis:**
- **📈 BULL / 📉 BEAR / ➡️ NEUTRAL:** Primary trend classification
- **🌪️ CHAOS:** Extreme information flow (>2.0 flow strength)
- **⚡ ACTIVE:** Strong information flow (1.0-2.0 flow strength)
- **😴 CALM:** Low information flow (<1.0 flow strength)
### Trading Signals Section
**Real-Time Signal Status:**
- **🟢 ACTIVE / ⚪ INACTIVE:** Long signal availability
- **🔴 ACTIVE / ⚪ INACTIVE:** Short signal availability
- **Components (X/3):** Active algorithmic components
- **Mode Display:** Current signal generation mode
**Signal Strength Visualization:**
Color-coded component count:
- **Green:** 3/3 components (maximum confidence)
- **Aqua:** 2/3 components (good confidence)
- **Orange:** 1/3 components (moderate confidence)
- **Gray:** 0/3 components (no signals)
### Performance Metrics Section
**Win Rate Monitoring:**
Estimated win rates based on signal quality with emoji indicators:
- **🔥 (Fire):** ≥60% estimated win rate
- **👍 (Thumbs Up):** 45-59% estimated win rate
- **⚠️ (Warning):** <45% estimated win rate
**Mathematical Metrics:**
- **Hurst Exponent:** Real-time fractal dimension (0.000-1.000)
- **Information Flow:** Volume/price leading indicators
- **📊 VOL:** Volume leading price (accumulation/distribution)
- **💰 PRICE:** Price leading volume (momentum/speculation)
- **➖ NONE:** Balanced information flow
- **Volatility Classification:**
- **🔥 HIGH:** Above 1.5× jump threshold
- **📊 NORM:** Normal volatility range
- **😴 LOW:** Below 0.5× jump threshold
### Market Structure Section (Large Dashboard)
**Regime Classification:**
- **📈 TREND:** Hurst >0.6, momentum strategies optimal
- **🔄 REVERT:** Hurst <0.4, contrarian strategies optimal
- **🎲 RANDOM:** Hurst ≈0.5, breakout strategies preferred
**Mathematical Field Analysis:**
- **Dimensions:** Current volatility space complexity (2D-5D)
- **Hawkes λ (Lambda):** Self-exciting jump intensity (0.00-1.00)
- **Jump Status:** 🚨 JUMP (active) / ✅ NORM (normal)
### Settings Summary Section (Large Dashboard)
**Active Configuration Display:**
- **Sensitivity:** Current master sensitivity setting
- **Lookback:** Primary analysis window
- **Theme:** Active color scheme
- **Method:** Hurst calculation method (Classic R/S, Adaptive R/S, DFA)
**Dashboard Sizing Options:**
- **Small:** Essential metrics only (mobile/small screens)
- **Normal:** Balanced information density (standard desktop)
- **Large:** Maximum detail (multi-monitor setups)
**Position Options:**
- **Top Right:** Standard placement (avoids price action)
- **Top Left:** Wide chart optimization
- **Bottom Right:** Recent price focus (scalping)
- **Bottom Left:** Maximum price visibility (swing trading)
---
## 🎯 SIGNAL GENERATION LOGIC
### Multi-Component Convergence System
**Component Signal Architecture:**
The TMAE generates signals through sophisticated component analysis rather than simple threshold crossing:
**Volatility Component:**
- **Jump Detection:** Mahalanobis distance threshold breach
- **Hawkes Intensity:** Self-exciting process activation (>0.2)
- **Multi-dimensional:** Considers all volatility dimensions simultaneously
**Hurst Regime Component:**
- **Trending Markets:** Price above SMA-20 with positive momentum
- **Mean-Reverting Markets:** Price at Bollinger Band extremes
- **Random Markets:** Bollinger squeeze breakouts with directional confirmation
**Transfer Entropy Component:**
- **Volume Leadership:** Information flow from volume to price
- **Volume Spike:** Volume 110%+ above 20-period average
- **Flow Significance:** Above entropy threshold with directional bias
### Democratic Signal Weighting
**Signal Mode Implementation:**
- **Aggressive Mode:** Any single component triggers signal
- **Confluence Mode:** Minimum 2 components must agree
- **Conservative Mode:** All 3 components must align
**Momentum Confirmation:**
All signals require momentum confirmation:
- **Long Signals:** RSI >50 AND price >EMA-9
- **Short Signals:** RSI <50 AND price 0.6):**
- **Increase Sensitivity:** Catch momentum continuation
- **Lower Mean Reversion Threshold:** Avoid counter-trend signals
- **Emphasize Volume Leadership:** Institutional accumulation/distribution
- **Tensor Field Focus:** Use expansion for trend continuation
- **Signal Mode:** Aggressive or Confluence for trend following
**Range-Bound Markets (Hurst <0.4):**
- **Decrease Sensitivity:** Avoid false breakouts
- **Lower Trending Threshold:** Quick regime recognition
- **Focus on Price Leadership:** Retail sentiment extremes
- **Fractal Grid Emphasis:** Support/resistance trading
- **Signal Mode:** Conservative for high-probability reversals
**Volatile Markets (High Jump Frequency):**
- **Increase Hawkes Decay:** Recognize event clustering
- **Higher Jump Threshold:** Avoid noise signals
- **Maximum Dimensions:** Capture full volatility complexity
- **Reduce Position Sizing:** Risk management adaptation
- **Enhanced Visuals:** Maximum information for rapid decisions
**Low Volatility Markets (Low Jump Frequency):**
- **Decrease Jump Threshold:** Capture subtle movements
- **Lower Hawkes Decay:** Treat moves as independent
- **Reduce Dimensions:** Simplify analysis
- **Increase Position Sizing:** Capitalize on compressed volatility
- **Minimal Visuals:** Reduce distraction in quiet markets
---
## 🚀 ADVANCED TRADING STRATEGIES
### The Mathematical Convergence Method
**Entry Protocol:**
1. **Fractal Grid Approach:** Monitor price approaching significant fractal levels
2. **Tensor Field Confirmation:** Verify field expansion supporting direction
3. **Portal Signal:** Wait for dimensional portal appearance
4. **ELITE/STRONG Quality:** Only trade highest quality mathematical signals
5. **Component Consensus:** Confirm 2+ components agree in Confluence mode
**Example Implementation:**
- Price approaching 21-period fractal high
- Tensor field expanding upward (bullish mathematical alignment)
- Green portal appears below price (trending regime confirmation)
- ELITE quality signal with 3/3 components active
- Enter long position with stop below fractal level
**Risk Management:**
- **Stop Placement:** Below/above fractal level that generated signal
- **Position Sizing:** Based on Mahalanobis distance (higher distance = smaller size)
- **Profit Targets:** Next fractal level or tensor field resistance
### The Regime Transition Strategy
**Regime Change Detection:**
1. **Monitor Hurst Exponent:** Watch for persistent moves above/below thresholds
2. **Portal Color Change:** Regime transitions show different portal colors
3. **Background Intensity:** Increasing regime background intensity
4. **Mathematical Confirmation:** Wait for regime confirmation (hysteresis)
**Trading Implementation:**
- **Trending Transitions:** Trade momentum breakouts, follow trend
- **Mean Reversion Transitions:** Trade range boundaries, fade extremes
- **Random Transitions:** Trade breakouts with tight stops
**Advanced Techniques:**
- **Multi-Timeframe:** Confirm regime on higher timeframe
- **Early Entry:** Enter on regime transition rather than confirmation
- **Regime Strength:** Larger positions during strong regime signals
### The Information Flow Momentum Strategy
**Flow Detection Protocol:**
1. **Monitor Transfer Entropy:** Watch for significant information flow shifts
2. **Volume Leadership:** Strong edge when volume leads price
3. **Flow Acceleration:** Increasing flow strength indicates momentum
4. **Directional Confirmation:** Ensure flow aligns with intended trade direction
**Entry Signals:**
- **Volume → Price Flow:** Enter during accumulation/distribution phases
- **Price → Volume Flow:** Enter on momentum confirmation breaks
- **Flow Reversal:** Counter-trend entries when flow reverses
**Optimization:**
- **Scalping:** Use immediate flow detection (2-5 bar lag)
- **Swing Trading:** Use structural flow (10-20 bar lag)
- **Multi-Asset:** Compare flow between correlated assets
### The Tensor Field Expansion Strategy
**Field Mathematics:**
The tensor field expansion indicates mathematical pressure building in market structure:
**Expansion Phases:**
1. **Compression:** Field contracts, volatility decreases
2. **Tension Building:** Mathematical pressure accumulates
3. **Expansion:** Field expands rapidly with directional movement
4. **Resolution:** Field stabilizes at new equilibrium
**Trading Applications:**
- **Compression Trading:** Prepare for breakout during field contraction
- **Expansion Following:** Trade direction of field expansion
- **Reversion Trading:** Fade extreme field expansion
- **Multi-Dimensional:** Consider all field layers for confirmation
### The Hawkes Process Event Strategy
**Self-Exciting Jump Trading:**
Understanding that market shocks cluster and create follow-on opportunities:
**Jump Sequence Analysis:**
1. **Initial Jump:** First volatility jump detected
2. **Clustering Phase:** Hawkes intensity remains elevated
3. **Follow-On Opportunities:** Additional jumps more likely
4. **Decay Period:** Intensity gradually decreases
**Implementation:**
- **Jump Confirmation:** Wait for mathematical jump confirmation
- **Direction Assessment:** Use other components for direction
- **Clustering Trades:** Trade subsequent moves during high intensity
- **Decay Exit:** Exit positions as Hawkes intensity decays
### The Fractal Confluence System
**Multi-Timeframe Fractal Analysis:**
Combining fractal levels across different periods for high-probability zones:
**Confluence Zones:**
- **Double Confluence:** 2 fractal levels align
- **Triple Confluence:** 3+ fractal levels cluster
- **Mathematical Confirmation:** Tensor field supports the level
- **Information Flow:** Transfer entropy confirms direction
**Trading Protocol:**
1. **Identify Confluence:** Find 2+ fractal levels within 1 ATR
2. **Mathematical Support:** Verify tensor field alignment
3. **Signal Quality:** Wait for STRONG or ELITE signal
4. **Risk Definition:** Use fractal level for stop placement
5. **Profit Targeting:** Next major fractal confluence zone
---
## ⚠️ COMPREHENSIVE RISK MANAGEMENT
### Mathematical Position Sizing
**Mahalanobis Distance Integration:**
Position size should inversely correlate with mathematical field strength:
```
Position Size = Base Size × (Threshold / Mahalanobis Distance)
```
**Risk Scaling Matrix:**
- **Low Field Strength (<2.0):** Standard position sizing
- **Moderate Field Strength (2.0-3.0):** 75% position sizing
- **High Field Strength (3.0-4.0):** 50% position sizing
- **Extreme Field Strength (>4.0):** 25% position sizing or no trade
### Signal Quality Risk Adjustment
**Quality-Based Position Sizing:**
- **ELITE Signals:** 100% of planned position size
- **STRONG Signals:** 75% of planned position size
- **GOOD Signals:** 50% of planned position size
- **WEAK Signals:** No position or paper trading only
**Component Agreement Scaling:**
- **3/3 Components:** Full position size
- **2/3 Components:** 75% position size
- **1/3 Components:** 50% position size or skip trade
### Regime-Adaptive Risk Management
**Trending Market Risk:**
- **Wider Stops:** Allow for trend continuation
- **Trend Following:** Trade with regime direction
- **Higher Position Size:** Trend probability advantage
- **Momentum Stops:** Trail stops based on momentum indicators
**Mean-Reverting Market Risk:**
- **Tighter Stops:** Quick exits on trend continuation
- **Contrarian Positioning:** Trade against extremes
- **Smaller Position Size:** Higher reversal failure rate
- **Level-Based Stops:** Use fractal levels for stops
**Random Market Risk:**
- **Breakout Focus:** Trade only clear breakouts
- **Tight Initial Stops:** Quick exit if breakout fails
- **Reduced Frequency:** Skip marginal setups
- **Range-Based Targets:** Profit targets at range boundaries
### Volatility-Adaptive Risk Controls
**High Volatility Periods:**
- **Reduced Position Size:** Account for wider price swings
- **Wider Stops:** Avoid noise-based exits
- **Lower Frequency:** Skip marginal setups
- **Faster Exits:** Take profits more quickly
**Low Volatility Periods:**
- **Standard Position Size:** Normal risk parameters
- **Tighter Stops:** Take advantage of compressed ranges
- **Higher Frequency:** Trade more setups
- **Extended Targets:** Allow for compressed volatility expansion
### Multi-Timeframe Risk Alignment
**Higher Timeframe Trend:**
- **With Trend:** Standard or increased position size
- **Against Trend:** Reduced position size or skip
- **Neutral Trend:** Standard position size with tight management
**Risk Hierarchy:**
1. **Primary:** Current timeframe signal quality
2. **Secondary:** Higher timeframe trend alignment
3. **Tertiary:** Mathematical field strength
4. **Quaternary:** Market regime classification
---
## 📚 EDUCATIONAL VALUE AND MATHEMATICAL CONCEPTS
### Advanced Mathematical Concepts
**Tensor Analysis in Markets:**
The TMAE introduces traders to tensor analysis, a branch of mathematics typically reserved for physics and advanced engineering. Tensors provide a framework for understanding multi-dimensional market relationships that scalar and vector analysis cannot capture.
**Information Theory Applications:**
Transfer entropy implementation teaches traders about information flow in markets, a concept from information theory that quantifies directional causality between variables. This provides intuition about market microstructure and participant behavior.
**Fractal Geometry in Trading:**
The Hurst exponent calculation exposes traders to fractal geometry concepts, helping understand that markets exhibit self-similar patterns across multiple timeframes. This mathematical insight transforms how traders view market structure.
**Stochastic Process Theory:**
The Hawkes process implementation introduces concepts from stochastic process theory, specifically self-exciting point processes. This provides mathematical framework for understanding why market events cluster and exhibit memory effects.
### Learning Progressive Complexity
**Beginner Mathematical Concepts:**
- **Volatility Dimensions:** Understanding multi-dimensional analysis
- **Regime Classification:** Learning market personality types
- **Signal Democracy:** Algorithmic consensus building
- **Visual Mathematics:** Interpreting mathematical concepts visually
**Intermediate Mathematical Applications:**
- **Mahalanobis Distance:** Statistical distance in multi-dimensional space
- **Rescaled Range Analysis:** Fractal dimension measurement
- **Information Entropy:** Quantifying uncertainty and causality
- **Field Theory:** Understanding mathematical fields in market context
**Advanced Mathematical Integration:**
- **Tensor Field Dynamics:** Multi-dimensional market force analysis
- **Stochastic Self-Excitation:** Event clustering and memory effects
- **Categorical Composition:** Mathematical signal combination theory
- **Topological Market Analysis:** Understanding market shape and connectivity
### Practical Mathematical Intuition
**Developing Market Mathematics Intuition:**
The TMAE serves as a bridge between abstract mathematical concepts and practical trading applications. Traders develop intuitive understanding of:
- **How markets exhibit mathematical structure beneath apparent randomness**
- **Why multi-dimensional analysis reveals patterns invisible to single-variable approaches**
- **How information flows through markets in measurable, predictable ways**
- **Why mathematical models provide probabilistic edges rather than certainties**
---
## 🔬 IMPLEMENTATION AND OPTIMIZATION
### Getting Started Protocol
**Phase 1: Observation (Week 1)**
1. **Apply with defaults:** Use standard settings on your primary trading timeframe
2. **Study visual elements:** Learn to interpret tensor fields, portals, and streams
3. **Monitor dashboard:** Observe how metrics change with market conditions
4. **No trading:** Focus entirely on pattern recognition and understanding
**Phase 2: Pattern Recognition (Week 2-3)**
1. **Identify signal patterns:** Note what market conditions produce different signal qualities
2. **Regime correlation:** Observe how Hurst regimes affect signal performance
3. **Visual confirmation:** Learn to read tensor field expansion and portal signals
4. **Component analysis:** Understand which components drive signals in different markets
**Phase 3: Parameter Optimization (Week 4-5)**
1. **Asset-specific tuning:** Adjust parameters for your specific trading instrument
2. **Timeframe optimization:** Fine-tune for your preferred trading timeframe
3. **Sensitivity adjustment:** Balance signal frequency with quality
4. **Visual customization:** Optimize colors and intensity for your trading environment
**Phase 4: Live Implementation (Week 6+)**
1. **Paper trading:** Test signals with hypothetical trades
2. **Small position sizing:** Begin with minimal risk during learning phase
3. **Performance tracking:** Monitor actual vs. expected signal performance
4. **Continuous optimization:** Refine settings based on real performance data
### Performance Monitoring System
**Signal Quality Tracking:**
- **ELITE Signal Win Rate:** Track highest quality signals separately
- **Component Performance:** Monitor which components provide best signals
- **Regime Performance:** Analyze performance across different market regimes
- **Timeframe Analysis:** Compare performance across different session times
**Mathematical Metric Correlation:**
- **Field Strength vs. Performance:** Higher field strength should correlate with better performance
- **Component Agreement vs. Win Rate:** More component agreement should improve win rates
- **Regime Alignment vs. Success:** Trading with mathematical regime should outperform
### Continuous Optimization Process
**Monthly Review Protocol:**
1. **Performance Analysis:** Review win rates, profit factors, and maximum drawdown
2. **Parameter Assessment:** Evaluate if current settings remain optimal
3. **Market Adaptation:** Adjust for changes in market character or volatility
4. **Component Weighting:** Consider if certain components should receive more/less emphasis
**Quarterly Deep Analysis:**
1. **Mathematical Model Validation:** Verify that mathematical relationships remain valid
2. **Regime Distribution:** Analyze time spent in different market regimes
3. **Signal Evolution:** Track how signal characteristics change over time
4. **Correlation Analysis:** Monitor correlations between different mathematical components
---
## 🌟 UNIQUE INNOVATIONS AND CONTRIBUTIONS
### Revolutionary Mathematical Integration
**First-Ever Implementations:**
1. **Multi-Dimensional Volatility Tensor:** First indicator to implement true tensor analysis for market volatility
2. **Real-Time Hawkes Process:** First trading implementation of self-exciting point processes
3. **Transfer Entropy Trading Signals:** First practical application of information theory for trade generation
4. **Democratic Component Voting:** First algorithmic consensus system for signal generation
5. **Fractal-Projected Signal Quality:** First system to predict signal quality at future price levels
### Advanced Visualization Innovations
**Mathematical Visualization Breakthroughs:**
- **Tensor Field Radiation:** Visual representation of mathematical field energy
- **Dimensional Portal System:** Category theory visualization for regime transitions
- **Information Flow Streams:** Real-time visual display of market information transfer
- **Multi-Layer Fractal Grid:** Intelligent spacing and projection system
- **Regime Intensity Mapping:** Dynamic background showing mathematical regime strength
### Practical Trading Innovations
**Trading System Advances:**
- **Quality-Weighted Signal Generation:** Signals rated by mathematical confidence
- **Regime-Adaptive Strategy Selection:** Automatic strategy optimization based on market personality
- **Anti-Spam Signal Protection:** Mathematical prevention of signal clustering
- **Component Performance Tracking:** Real-time monitoring of algorithmic component success
- **Field-Strength Position Sizing:** Mathematical volatility integration for risk management
---
## ⚖️ RESPONSIBLE USAGE AND LIMITATIONS
### Mathematical Model Limitations
**Understanding Model Boundaries:**
While the TMAE implements sophisticated mathematical concepts, traders must understand fundamental limitations:
- **Markets Are Not Purely Mathematical:** Human psychology, news events, and fundamental factors create unpredictable elements
- **Past Performance Limitations:** Mathematical relationships that worked historically may not persist indefinitely
- **Model Risk:** Complex models can fail during unprecedented market conditions
- **Overfitting Potential:** Highly optimized parameters may not generalize to future market conditions
### Proper Implementation Guidelines
**Risk Management Requirements:**
- **Never Risk More Than 2% Per Trade:** Regardless of signal quality
- **Diversification Mandatory:** Don't rely solely on mathematical signals
- **Position Sizing Discipline:** Use mathematical field strength for sizing, not confidence
- **Stop Loss Non-Negotiable:** Every trade must have predefined risk parameters
**Realistic Expectations:**
- **Mathematical Edge, Not Certainty:** The indicator provides probabilistic advantages, not guaranteed outcomes
- **Learning Curve Required:** Complex mathematical concepts require time to master
- **Market Adaptation Necessary:** Parameters must evolve with changing market conditions
- **Continuous Education Important:** Understanding underlying mathematics improves application
### Ethical Trading Considerations
**Market Impact Awareness:**
- **Information Asymmetry:** Advanced mathematical analysis may provide advantages over other market participants
- **Position Size Responsibility:** Large positions based on mathematical signals can impact market structure
- **Sharing Knowledge:** Consider educational contributions to trading community
- **Fair Market Participation:** Use mathematical advantages responsibly within market framework
### Professional Development Path
**Skill Development Sequence:**
1. **Basic Mathematical Literacy:** Understand fundamental concepts before advanced application
2. **Risk Management Mastery:** Develop disciplined risk control before relying on complex signals
3. **Market Psychology Understanding:** Combine mathematical analysis with behavioral market insights
4. **Continuous Learning:** Stay updated on mathematical finance developments and market evolution
---
## 🔮 CONCLUSION
The Tensor Market Analysis Engine represents a quantum leap forward in technical analysis, successfully bridging the gap between advanced pure mathematics and practical trading applications. By integrating multi-dimensional volatility analysis, fractal market theory, and information flow dynamics, the TMAE reveals market structure invisible to conventional analysis while maintaining visual clarity and practical usability.
### Mathematical Innovation Legacy
This indicator establishes new paradigms in technical analysis:
- **Tensor analysis for market volatility understanding**
- **Stochastic self-excitation for event clustering prediction**
- **Information theory for causality-based trade generation**
- **Democratic algorithmic consensus for signal quality enhancement**
- **Mathematical field visualization for intuitive market understanding**
### Practical Trading Revolution
Beyond mathematical innovation, the TMAE transforms practical trading:
- **Quality-rated signals replace binary buy/sell decisions**
- **Regime-adaptive strategies automatically optimize for market personality**
- **Multi-dimensional risk management integrates mathematical volatility measures**
- **Visual mathematical concepts make complex analysis immediately interpretable**
- **Educational value creates lasting improvement in trading understanding**
### Future-Proof Design
The mathematical foundations ensure lasting relevance:
- **Universal mathematical principles transcend market evolution**
- **Multi-dimensional analysis adapts to new market structures**
- **Regime detection automatically adjusts to changing market personalities**
- **Component democracy allows for future algorithmic additions**
- **Mathematical visualization scales with increasing market complexity**
### Commitment to Excellence
The TMAE represents more than an indicator—it embodies a philosophy of bringing rigorous mathematical analysis to trading while maintaining practical utility and visual elegance. Every component, from the multi-dimensional tensor fields to the democratic signal generation, reflects a commitment to mathematical accuracy, trading practicality, and educational value.
### Trading with Mathematical Precision
In an era where markets grow increasingly complex and computational, the TMAE provides traders with mathematical tools previously available only to institutional quantitative research teams. Yet unlike academic mathematical models, the TMAE translates complex concepts into intuitive visual representations and practical trading signals.
By combining the mathematical rigor of tensor analysis, the statistical power of multi-dimensional volatility modeling, and the information-theoretic insights of transfer entropy, traders gain unprecedented insight into market structure and dynamics.
### Final Perspective
Markets, like nature, exhibit profound mathematical beauty beneath apparent chaos. The Tensor Market Analysis Engine serves as a mathematical lens that reveals this hidden order, transforming how traders perceive and interact with market structure.
Through mathematical precision, visual elegance, and practical utility, the TMAE empowers traders to see beyond the noise and trade with the confidence that comes from understanding the mathematical principles governing market behavior.
Trade with mathematical insight. Trade with the power of tensors. Trade with the TMAE.
*"In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them." - John von Neumann*
*With the TMAE, mathematical market understanding becomes not just possible, but intuitive.*
— Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Institutional Volume Profile# Institutional Volume Profile (IVP) - Advanced Volume Analysis Indicator
## Overview
The Institutional Volume Profile (IVP) is a sophisticated technical analysis tool that combines traditional volume profile analysis with institutional volume detection algorithms. This indicator helps traders identify key price levels where significant institutional activity has occurred, providing insights into market structure and potential support/resistance zones.
## Key Features
### 🎯 Volume Profile Analysis
- **Point of Control (POC)**: Identifies the price level with the highest volume activity
- **Value Area**: Highlights the price range containing a specified percentage (default 70%) of total volume
- **Multi-Row Distribution**: Displays volume distribution across 10-50 price levels for detailed analysis
- **Customizable Period**: Analyze volume profiles over 10-500 bars
### 🏛️ Institutional Volume Detection
- **Pocket Pivot Volume (PPV)**: Detects bullish institutional buying when up-volume exceeds recent down-volume peaks
- **Pivot Negative Volume (PNV)**: Identifies bearish institutional selling when down-volume exceeds recent up-volume peaks
- **Accumulation Detection**: Spots potential accumulation phases with high volume and narrow price ranges
- **Distribution Analysis**: Identifies distribution patterns with high volume but minimal price movement
### 🎨 Visual Customization Options
- **Multiple Color Schemes**: Heat Map, Institutional, Monochrome, and Rainbow themes
- **Bar Styles**: Solid, Gradient, Outlined, and 3D Effect rendering
- **Volume Intensity Display**: Visual intensity based on volume magnitude
- **Flexible Positioning**: Left or right side profile placement
- **Current Price Highlighting**: Real-time price level indication
### 📊 Advanced Visual Features
- **Volume Labels**: Display volume amounts at key price levels
- **Gradient Effects**: Multi-step gradient rendering for enhanced visibility
- **3D Styling**: Shadow effects for professional appearance
- **Opacity Control**: Adjustable transparency (10-100%)
- **Border Customization**: Configurable border width and styling
## How It Works
### Volume Distribution Algorithm
The indicator analyzes each bar within the specified period and distributes its volume proportionally across the price levels it touches. This creates an accurate representation of where trading activity has been concentrated.
### Institutional Detection Logic
- **PPV Trigger**: Current up-bar volume > highest down-volume in lookback period + above volume MA
- **PNV Trigger**: Current down-bar volume > highest up-volume in lookback period + above volume MA
- **Accumulation**: High volume + narrow range + bullish close
- **Distribution**: Very high volume + minimal price movement
### Value Area Calculation
Starting from the POC, the algorithm expands both upward and downward, adding volume until reaching the specified percentage of total volume (default 70%).
## Configuration Parameters
### Profile Settings
- **Profile Period**: 10-500 bars (default: 50)
- **Number of Rows**: 10-50 levels (default: 24)
- **Profile Width**: 10-100% of screen (default: 30%)
- **Value Area %**: 50-90% (default: 70%)
### Institutional Analysis
- **PPV Lookback Days**: 5-20 periods (default: 10)
- **Volume MA Length**: 10-200 periods (default: 50)
- **Institutional Threshold**: 1.0-2.0x multiplier (default: 1.2)
### Visual Controls
- **Bar Style**: Solid, Gradient, Outlined, 3D Effect
- **Color Scheme**: Heat Map, Institutional, Monochrome, Rainbow
- **Profile Position**: Left or Right side
- **Opacity**: 10-100%
- **Show Labels**: Volume amount display toggle
## Interpretation Guide
### Volume Profile Elements
- **Thick Horizontal Bars**: High volume nodes (strong support/resistance)
- **Thin Horizontal Bars**: Low volume nodes (weak levels)
- **White Line (POC)**: Strongest support/resistance level
- **Blue Highlighted Area**: Value Area (fair value zone)
### Institutional Signals
- **Blue Triangles (PPV)**: Bullish institutional buying detected
- **Orange Triangles (PNV)**: Bearish institutional selling detected
- **Color-Coded Bars**: Different colors indicate institutional activity types
### Color Scheme Meanings
- **Heat Map**: Red (high volume) → Orange → Yellow → Gray (low volume)
- **Institutional**: Blue (PPV), Orange (PNV), Aqua (Accumulation), Yellow (Distribution)
- **Monochrome**: Grayscale intensity based on volume
- **Rainbow**: Color-coded by price level position
## Trading Applications
### Support and Resistance
- POC acts as dynamic support/resistance
- High volume nodes indicate strong price levels
- Low volume areas suggest potential breakout zones
### Institutional Activity
- PPV above Value Area: Strong bullish signal
- PNV below Value Area: Strong bearish signal
- Accumulation patterns: Potential upward breakouts
- Distribution patterns: Potential downward pressure
### Market Structure Analysis
- Value Area defines fair value range
- Profile shape indicates market sentiment
- Volume gaps suggest potential price targets
## Alert Conditions
- PPV Detection at current price level
- PNV Detection at current price level
- PPV above Value Area (strong bullish)
- PNV below Value Area (strong bearish)
## Best Practices
1. Use multiple timeframes for confirmation
2. Combine with price action analysis
3. Pay attention to volume context (above/below average)
4. Monitor institutional signals near key levels
5. Consider overall market conditions
## Technical Notes
- Maximum 500 boxes and 100 labels for optimal performance
- Real-time calculations update on each bar close
- Historical analysis uses complete bar data
- Compatible with all TradingView chart types and timeframes
---
*This indicator is designed for educational and informational purposes. Always combine with other analysis methods and risk management strategies.*
Smart Money Concept [TradingFinder] Major OB + FVG + Liquidity🔵 Introduction
"Smart Money" refers to funds under the control of institutional investors, central banks, funds, market makers, and other financial entities. Ordinary people recognize investments made by those who have a deep understanding of market performance and possess information typically inaccessible to regular investors as "Smart Money".
Consequently, when market movements often diverge from expectations, traders identify the footprints of smart money. For example, when a classic pattern forms in the market, traders take short positions. However, the market might move upward instead. They attribute this contradiction to smart money and seek to capitalize on such inconsistencies in their trades.
The "Smart Money Concept" (SMC) is one of the primary styles of technical analysis that falls under the subset of "Price Action". Price action encompasses various subcategories, with one of the most significant being "Supply and Demand", in which SMC is categorized.
The SMC method aims to identify trading opportunities by emphasizing the impact of large traders (Smart Money) on the market, offering specific patterns, techniques, and trading strategies.
🟣 Key Terms of Smart Money Concept (SMC)
• Market Structure (Trend)
• Change of Character (ChoCh)
• Break of Structure (BoS)
• Order Blocks (Supply and Demand)
• Imbalance (IMB)
• Inefficiency (IFC)
• Fair Value Gap (FVG)
• Liquidity
• Premium and Discount
🔵 How Does the "Smart Money Concept Indicator" Work?
🟣 Market Structure
a. Accumulation
b. Market-Up
c. Distribution
d. Market-Down
a) Accumulation Phase : During the accumulation period, typically following a downtrend, smart money enters the market without significantly affecting the pricing trend.
b) Market-Up Phase : In this phase, the price of an asset moves upward from the accumulation range and begins to rise. Usually, the buying by retail investors is the main driver of this trend, and due to positive market sentiment, it continues.
c) Distribution Phase : The distribution phase, unlike the accumulation stage, occurs after an uptrend. In this phase, smart money attempts to exit the market without causing significant price fluctuations.
d) Market-Down Phase : In this stage, the price of an asset moves downward from the distribution phase, initiating a prolonged downtrend. Smart money liquidates all its positions by creating selling pressure, trapping latecomer investors.
The result of these four phases in the market becomes the market trend.
Types of Trends in Financial Markets :
a. Up-Trend
b. Down Trend
c. Range (No Trend)
a) Up-Trend : The market breaks consecutive highs.
b) Down Trend : The market breaks consecutive lows.
c) No Trend or Range : The market oscillates within a range without breaking either highs or lows.
🟣 Change of Character (ChoCh)
The "ChoCh" or "Change of Character" pattern indicates an initial change in order flow in financial markets. This structural change occurs when a major pivot in the opposite direction of the market trend fails. It signals a potential change in the market trend and can serve as a signal for short-term or long-term trend changes in a trading symbol.
🟣 Break of Structure (BoS)
The "BoS" or "Break of Structure" pattern indicates the continuation of the trend in financial markets. This structure forms when, in an uptrend, the price breaks its ceiling or, in a downtrend, the price breaks its floor.
🟣 Order Blocks (Supply and Demand)
Order blocks consist of supply and demand areas where the likelihood of price reversal is higher. There are six order blocks in this indicator, categorized based on their origin and formation reasons.
a. Demand Main Zone, "ChoCh" Origin.
b. Demand Sub Zone, "ChoCh" Origin.
c. Demand All Zone, "BoS" Origin.
d. Supply Main Zone, "ChoCh" Origin.
e. Supply Sub Zone, "ChoCh" Origin.
f. Supply All Zone, "BoS" Origin.
🟣 FVG | Inefficiency | Imbalance
These three terms are almost synonymous. They describe the presence of gaps between consecutive candle shadows. This inefficiency occurs when the market moves rapidly. Primarily, imbalances and these rapid movements stem from the entry of smart money and the imbalance between buyer and seller power. Therefore, identifying these movements is crucial for traders.
These areas are significant because prices often return to fill these gaps or even before they occur to fill price gaps.
🟣 Liquidity
Liquidity zones are areas where there is a likelihood of congestion of stop-loss orders. Liquidity is considered the driving force of the entire market, and market makers may manipulate the market using these zones. However, in many cases, this does not happen because there is insufficient liquidity in some areas.
Types of Liquidity in Financial Markets :
a. Trend Lines
b. Double Tops | Double Bottoms
c. Triple Tops | Triple Bottoms
d. Support Lines | Resistance Lines
All four types of liquidity in this indicator are automatically identified.
🟣 Premium and Discount
Premium and discount zones can assist traders in making better decisions. For instance, they may sell positions in expensive ranges and buy in cheaper ranges. The closer the price is to the major resistance, the more expensive it is, and the closer it is to the major support, the cheaper it is.
🔵 How to Use
🟣 Change of Character (ChoCh) and Break of Structure (BoS)
This indicator detects "ChoCh" and "BoS" in both Minor and Major states. You can turn on the display of these lines by referring to the last part of the settings.
🟣 Order Blocks (Supply and Demand)
Order blocks are Zones where the probability of price reversal is higher. In demand Zones you can buy opportunities and in supply Zones you can check sell opportunities.
The "Refinement" feature allows you to adjust the width of the order block according to your strategy. There are two modes, "Aggressive" and "Defensive," in the "Order Block Refine". The difference between "Aggressive" and "Defensive" lies in the width of the order block.
For risk-averse traders, the "Defensive" mode is suitable as it provides a lower loss limit and a greater reward-to-risk ratio. For risk-taking traders, the "Aggressive" mode is more appropriate. These traders prefer to enter trades at higher prices, and this mode, which has a wider order block width, is more suitable for this group of individuals.
🟣 Fair Value Gap (FVG) | Imbalance (IMB) | Inefficiency (IFC)
In order to identify the "fair value gap" on the chart, it must be analyzed candle by candle. In this process, it is important to pay attention to candles with a large size, and a candle and a candle should be examined before that.
Candles before and after this central candle should have long shadows and their bodies should not overlap with the central candle body. The distance between the shadows of the first and third candles is known as the FVG range.
These areas work in two ways :
• Supply and demand area : In this case, the price reacts to these areas and the trend is reversed.
• Liquidity zone : In this scenario, the price "fills" the zone and then reaches the order block.
Important note : In most cases, the FVG zone of very small width acts as a supply and demand zone, while the zone of significant width acts as a liquidity zone and absorbs price.
When the FVG filter is activated, the FVG regions are filtered based on the specified algorithm.
FVG filter types include the following :
1. Very Aggressive Mode : In addition to the initial condition, an additional condition is considered. For bullish FVG, the maximum price of the last candle must be greater than the maximum price of the middle candle.
Similarly, for a bearish FVG, the minimum price of the last candle must be lower than the minimum price of the middle candle. This mode removes the minimum number of FVGs.
2. Aggressive : In addition to the very aggressive condition, the size of the middle candle is also considered. The size of the center candle should not be small and therefore more FVGs are removed in this case.
3. Defensive : In addition to the conditions of the very aggressive mode, this mode also considers the size of the middle pile, which should be relatively large and make up the majority of the body.
Also, to identify bullish FVGs, the second and third candles must be positive, while for bearish FVGs, the second and third candles must be negative. This mode filters out a significant number of FVGs and keeps only those of good quality.
4. Very Defensive : In addition to the conditions of the defensive mode, in this mode the first and third candles should not be very small-bodied doji candles. This mode filters out most FVGs and only the best quality ones remain.
🟣 Liquidity
These levels are where traders intend to exit their trades. "Market makers" or smart money usually accumulate or distribute their trading positions near these levels, where many retail traders have placed their "stop loss" orders. When liquidity is collected from these losses, the price often reverses.
A "Stop hunt" is a move designed to offset liquidity generated by established stop losses. Banks often use major news events to trigger stop hunts and capture liquidity released into the market. For example, if they intend to execute heavy buy orders, they encourage others to sell through stop-hots.
Consequently, if there is liquidity in the market before reaching the order block area, the validity of that order block is higher. Conversely, if the liquidity is close to the order block, that is, the price reaches the order block before reaching the liquidity limit, the validity of that order block is lower.
🟣 Alert
With the new alert functionality in this indicator, you won't miss any important trading signals. Alerts are activated when the price hits the last order block.
1. It is possible to set alerts for each "symbol" and "time frame". The system will automatically detect both and include them in the warning message.
2. Each alert provides the exact date and time it was triggered. This helps you measure the timeliness of the signal and evaluate its relevance.
3. Alerts include target order block price ranges. The "Proximal" level represents the initial price level strike, while the "Distal" level represents the maximum price gap in the block. These details are included in the warning message.
4. You can customize the alert name through the "Alert Name" entry.
5. Create custom messages for "long" and "short" alerts to be sent with notifications.
🔵 Setting
a. Pivot Period of Order Blocks Detector :
Using this parameter, you can set the zigzag period that is formed based on the pivots.
b. Order Blocks Validity Period (Bar) :
You can set the validity period of each Order Block based on the number of candles that have passed since the origin of the Order Block.
c. Demand Main Zone, "ChoCh" Origin :
You can control the display or not display as well as the color of Demand Main Zone, "ChoCh" Origin.
d. Demand Sub Zone, "ChoCh" Origin :
You can control the display or not display as well as the color of Demand Sub Zone, "ChoCh" Origin.
e. Demand All Zone, "BoS" Origin :
You can control the display or not display as well as the color of Demand All Zone, "BoS" Origin.
f. Supply Main Zone, "ChoCh" Origin :
You can control the display or not display as well as the color of Supply Main Zone, "ChoCh" Origin.
g. Supply Sub Zone, "ChoCh" Origin :
You can control the display or not display as well as the color of Supply Sub Zone, "ChoCh" Origin.
h. Supply All Zone, "BoS" Origin :
You can control the display or not display as well as the color of Supply All Zone, "BoS" Origin.
i. Refine Demand Main : You can choose to be refined or not and also the type of refining.
j. Refine Demand Sub : You can choose to be refined or not and also the type of refining.
k. Refine Demand BoS : You can choose to be refined or not and also the type of refining.
l. Refine Supply Main : You can choose to be refined or not and also the type of refining.
m. Refine Supply Sub : You can choose to be refined or not and also the type of refining.
n. Refine Supply BoS : You can choose to be refined or not and also the type of refining.
o. Show Demand FVG : You can choose to show or not show Demand FVG.
p. Show Supply FVG : You can choose to show or not show Supply FVG
q. FVG Filter : You can choose whether FVG is filtered or not. Also specify the type of filter you want to use.
r. Show Statics High Liquidity Line : Show or not show Statics High Liquidity Line.
s. Show Statics Low Liquidity Line : Show or not show Statics Low Liquidity Line.
t. Show Dynamics High Liquidity Line : Show or not show Dynamics High Liquidity Line.
u. Show Dynamics Low Liquidity Line : Show or not show Dynamics Low Liquidity Line.
v. Statics Period Pivot :
Using this parameter, you can set the Swing period that is formed based on Static Liquidity Lines.
w. Dynamics Period Pivot :
Using this parameter, you can set the Swing period that is formed based Dynamics Liquidity Lines.
x. Statics Liquidity Line Sensitivity :
is a number between 0 and 0.4. Increasing this number decreases the sensitivity of the "Statics Liquidity Line Detection" function and increases the number of lines identified. The default value is 0.3.
y. Dynamics Liquidity Line Sensitivity :
is a number between 0.4 and 1.95. Increasing this number increases the sensitivity of the "Dynamics Liquidity Line Detection" function and decreases the number of lines identified. The default value is 1.
z. Alerts Name : You can customize the alert name using this input and set it to your desired name.
aa. Alert Demand Main Mitigation :
If you want to receive the alert about Demand Main 's mitigation after setting the alerts, leave this tick on. Otherwise, turn it off.
bb. Alert Demand Sub Mitigation :
If you want to receive the alert about Demand Sub's mitigation after setting the alerts, leave this tick on. Otherwise, turn it off.
cc. Alert Demand BoS Mitigation :
If you want to receive the alert about Demand BoS's mitigation after setting the alerts, leave this tick on. Otherwise, turn it off.
dd. Alert Supply Main Mitigation :
If you want to receive the alert about Supply Main's mitigation after setting the alerts, leave this tick on. Otherwise, turn it off.
ee. Alert Supply Sub Mitigation :
If you want to receive the alert about Supply Sub's mitigation after setting the alerts, leave this tick on. Otherwise, turn it off.
ff. Alert Supply BoS Mitigation :
If you want to receive the alert about Supply BoS's mitigation after setting the alerts, leave this tick on. Otherwise, turn it off.
gg. Message Frequency :
This parameter, represented as a string, determines the frequency of announcements. Options include: 'All' (triggers the alert every time the function is called), 'Once Per Bar' (triggers the alert only on the first call within the bar), and 'Once Per Bar Close' (activates the alert only during the final script execution of the real-time bar upon closure). The default setting is 'Once per Bar'.
hh. Show Alert time by Time Zone :
The date, hour, and minute displayed in alert messages can be configured to reflect any chosen time zone. For instance, if you prefer London time, you should input 'UTC+1'. By default, this input is configured to the 'UTC' time zone.
ii. Display More Info : The 'Display More Info' option provides details regarding the price range of the order blocks (Zone Price), along with the date, hour, and minute. If you prefer not to include this information in the alert message, you should set it to 'Off'.
You also have access to display or not to display, choose the Style and Color of all the lines below :
a. Major Bullish "BoS" Lines
b. Major Bearish "BoS" Lines
c. Minor Bullish "BoS" Lines
d. Minor Bearish "BoS" Lines
e. Major Bullish "ChoCh" Lines
f. Major Bearish "ChoCh" Lines
g. Minor Bullish "ChoCh" Lines
h. Minor Bearish "ChoCh" Lines
i. Last Major Support Line
j. Last Major Resistance Line
k. Last Minor Support Line
l. Last Minor Resistance Line
