THE PSYCHOLOGY OF TRADING: WHY MOST TRADERS LOSE?You have probably heard that most people who attempt trading end up losing money. There’s a
good reason for this, and the reason is primarily that most people think about trading in the
wrong light.
Most people come into the markets with unrealistic expectations, such as thinking they are
going to quit their jobs after a month of trading or thinking they are going to turn $1,000 into
$100,000 in a few months. These unrealistic expectations work to foster an account-destroying
trading mindset because traders feel too much pressure or “need” to make money.
When you begin trading with this pressure, you inevitably end up trading emotionally—which is
the fastest way to lose your money.
To be specific, let’s break down the 4 Main Emotional Factors that destroy portfolios: FOMO,
Fear, Revenge, and Greed.
__________________________________________________________________________________
1. FOMO (Fear of Missing Out)
FOMO is an emotional state experienced by almost everyone. For traders, it is accelerated by
feelings of jealousy, envy, and impatience. The depth of these emotions is intensified by the
fast-acting environment of the Crypto and Forex markets.
How to Avoid FOMO:
● Develop a Routine: Trading is often a singular, lonesome pursuit. Eliminate distractions
and focus on identifying key market spots to tune out external chatter. Avoid social
media outlets and ungrateful attitudes.
● Be Present Minded, Future Thinking: Just because a trade is lost does not mean the
following transactions will follow suit. There are always more trading opportunities. Stay
present-minded yet have your scope set upon the future goals of your trading.
● Employ a Trading Plan: No plan is perfect, but a well-developed plan covers most
eventualities, helping you invest with lower risk exposure and more consistency.
Establish short-term, medium, and long-term trading goals.
● Take Joy from Trading: FOMO stems from insecurity and greed. Once a trader grasps
this truth, they can cast out this reckless state and trade with maximum potential.
__________________________________________________________________________________
2. GREED (The Account Destroyer)
There’s an old saying regarding markets: “Bulls make money, bears make money, and pigs
get slaughtered.”
This means if you are a "greedy pig" in the markets, you are almost certainly going to lose.
Greed acts as a trader’s kryptonite. When the desire for wealth clouds logic, traders make fatal
mistakes such as:
● Not taking profits because they think a trade will go on forever.
● Adding to a position simply because the market moved slightly in their favor (without
logical price action reasons).
● Using excessive leverage to maximize potential gains.
● Doubling down on losing trades (The Martingale Strategy).
Advice for Avoiding Greed:
Think of greed as the counterpart to discipline. Traders who are well-poised and consistent are
less likely to fall victim to greed. It is critical that every trader consistently follow trading plans;
otherwise, the likelihood of slipping into destructive habits is far greater.
__________________________________________________________________________________
3. FEAR
Fear often arises after a trader hits a series of losing trades or suffers a loss larger than what
they are emotionally capable of absorbing.
When fear takes over, you hesitate. You might see a perfect setup that aligns with your strategy, but you freeze because you are afraid of losing again. Or, you might cut a winning trade too early because you are terrified the market will turn against you. Fear paralyzes your ability to execute your edge.
__________________________________________________________________________________
4. REVENGE TRADING
Revenge trading is a natural emotional response when a trader suffers a significant loss. The
idea is to recover the money immediately. The thinking is: "If I put on another trade right now, I can win it back."
Usually, this "expected" winning trade turns into a losing trade—often bigger than the first one.
5 Effective Ways to Fight Revenge Trading:
1. Step Back Temporarily: Take a day or two off. If you must be in the markets, trade
incredibly small, but the best course is to walk away.
2. Make a Self-Assessment: Once you are emotion-free, analyze what led to the loss.
Was it a bad strategy, or bad execution?
3. Assess Market Conditions: Is the market too volatile? Are there no solid trends?
Sometimes the best trade is no trade.
4. Assess Your Strategy: Check your entry and exit criteria. Did you actually see a setup,
or did you force a trade out of anger?
5. Make Necessary Adjustments: Note the feedback, learn the lesson, and mentally
"throw" the bad trade away. Affirm to yourself: "That is how I will do it next time."
__________________________________________________________________________________
SUMMARY
Trading is simple, but it is not easy. The charts are the easy part; managing your own mind is
where the real work begins. Identify these four emotions— FOMO, Fear, Greed, and
Revenge —and suppress them the moment they arise.
Are you controlling your emotions, or are they controlling your portfolio? Let me know in
the comments below.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. Trading involves significant risk.
Trading Plan
Understand Asia Session & Conquer London SetupsAsia is the “setup session.” Price often builds a tight box, prints equal highs and lows, and leaves obvious resting liquidity. London loves to raid that liquidity because it’s easy fuel. But before we go to the concept of how to trade it's also good to know why it is created. We already know that FX markets are controlled by CLS Market maker. Do we know it 100% ? No, but they trade almost 7 Trillion daily volume which is almost entire daily FX volume. This company is aggregator the many other bigger ones, they are collecting the orders during the the Asia and processes continuous settlement, during the next day the liquidity is found on the markets. (Im not promoting or something like that, this is institutional player which 99.9% of use here will not have access) Thats where they destroy most less informed traders, not purposely but their work is so effective that small % of traders succeed in this game.
🧩 Simplicity of the concept
You don't trade in the Asia session, Let Asia build the trap , Let price raid one side. Wait for proof it’s done raiding Enter on the retrace, not in the raid and trade contininuation during the London. In the scalping version . You can trader just one side of Asia range to the other side. This requires precisions on lower timeframes. Im planning to explain this later in the next post. For now let's do continuation setups during the London Session.
📌 Asian Session
Low volatility & accumulation phase — the market usually consolidates inside a tight range after the previous New York close. If the Asia session is trending, London will be continuation setup.
📌 London Session
The highest-probability setups often occur during this session.
If Asia was tight range, London usually manipulates the Asian range sweeping stops above or below then reverses and starts the true daily move. London will be Reversal setup. Often sets the daily high or low of the day
❌ Don't overthink it you need to understand HTF Bias
I you dont have HTF Bias your win ration will decrease, you will be frustrated and than you will typically jump to another strategy, like you did it already many times.
⁉️ Always start with question - Where is the liquidity
Always follow the Daily / Weekly candle close. Yes Daily and Weekly !! Even when you are trading intraday. You intraday trades must be within HTF flow. IT means you will not have a trade every day if you want hight win rate. You must be patient.
📈 Continuation
If todays daily candle closed above previous days high and its still not reaching the key level, then liquidity is above todays high. Why ? Because people have intentions to sell highs to early, so and price will most likely go there. So we are bullish. Bullish Close 📈 Reversal
If todays candle wicked above previous day high, but closed below , then we can expect liquidity is below Previous days low. Why? Because mostl likely traders entered fake high break out they put SL below days low. It's signs of reversal. Yes that simple it is. For more details scroll down and find my posts about Daily Bias.
🧩 4 X Potential Frameworks
If you drill what I will show you bellow you will see it on the charts happening at least 2 times a week. If you apply this to the 3 pairs. You got 6 high probability setups . Add patience and risk management = You will conquer the forex trading
🧪 London Continuation Bearish setup
•Narrative: Asia did the manipulation → London does the continuation.
• Asia session already made a manipulation into a key level
• Price displaced away from that level
• CIOD / OB on M15 or H1 before London open • H1: Asia runs above the stops above H1 high into a key level
• It gets rejected and followed by order block and displacement
• At London open, price retraces into M15 premium key level and continues in the same direction
❌Invalidation: the manipulation high/low from Asia session
🧪 London Continuation Bullish setup
• Narrative: Asia did the manipulation → London does the continuation.
• Asia session already made a manipulation into a key level
• Price displaced away from that level
• CIOD / OB on M15 or H1 before London open • H1: Asia runs bellow the stops above H1 high into a key level
• It gets rejected and followed by order block and displacement
• At London open, price retraces into M15 discount key level and continues in the same direction
❌Invalidation: the manipulation high/low from Asia session
🧪 London Reversal Bearish setup
• Narrative: London performs the manipulation → price reverses.
• Asia session consolidates near a higher timeframe key level
• London open initiates the manipulation into the key level
• Price reject at the key level and created M15 order block • H1: Asia consolidates Bellow Key Level
• London opens, price runs Asia high into that Key Level
• M15 breaks down → Change in order flow → clean short setup
• Target: higher timeframe draw on liquidity (e.g., previous day low)
❌Invalidation: the London session high (manipulation point)
🧪 London Reversal Bullish setup
• Narrative: London performs the manipulation → price reverses.
• Asia session consolidates near a higher timeframe key level
• London open initiates the manipulation into the key level
• Price reject at the key level and created M15 order block • H1: Asia consolidates above the Key Level
• London opens, price runs Asia high into that Key Level
• M15 breaks up → Change in order flow → clean short setup
• Target: higher timeframe draw on liquidity (e.g., previous day low)
❌Invalidation: the London session low (manipulation point)
‼️ In trading, you make most money by making precisely best decisions and controlling your risk. Hence understanding the different probabilistic scenarios we can start focusing on quality over quantity by avoiding lower probability conditions. The aim is to improve our decision making process by knowing when it's better to trade and when not.
❌ Low Probability London Session Conditions
• After a series of 3 consecutive bullish daily candles - Avoid Longs.
• After a series of 3 consecutive bearish daily candles - Avoid Shorts.
• After FOMC event that produces an extreme range.
• Ahead of NFP and CPI data release
• Multiple high and medium impact news events.
• The Asian Range is has been trending and is larger than 40 pips.
• If the Asian Range is not visually consolidating.
• Absence of a candle range
✅ High Probability London Session Conditions
• The market has recently reacted off of Daily /H4 key level
• The Asian Range is visually a consolidating and smaller than 40 pips.
• Presence of a clean visual candle range
• Presence of a higher timeframe key level.
• Clean higher timeframe draw on liquidity.
✅ High Probability Intraday Setups
The highest importance is placed on the H TF Daily or 4h direction:
• Clean orderflow.
• Clean higher timeframe draw on liquidity and directional bias.
• Strong price based narrative.
• Strong time based narrative.
• 4h candle range
• 4h Key level.
• Key time
❌ Common mistakes (quick and painful)
Trading every day, even when Asia is messy and wide
Entering during the sweep instead of after displacement
Stop too tight inside noise instead of beyond the actual swept point
Ignoring higher timeframe bias and wondering why London runs you over
Not journaling screenshots of the sweep + confirmation + entry (then you “feel” like it works, but you don’t know)
---------------------------
I promised myself I’d become the person I once needed the most as a beginner. Below are links to a powerful lessons I shared on Tradingview. Hope it can help you avoid years of trial and error I went thru.
📊 Sharpen your trading Strategy
⚙️ 100% Mechanical System - Complete Strategy
🔁 Daily Bias – Continuation
🔄 Daily Bias – Reversal
🧱 Key Level – Order Block
📉 How to Buy Lows and Sell Highs
🎯 Dealing Range – Enter on pullbacks
💧 Liquidity – Basics to understand
🕒 Timeframe Alignments
🚫 Market Narratives – Avoid traps
🐢 Turtle Soup Master – High reward method
🧘 How to stop overcomplicating trading
🕰️ Day Trading Cheat Code – Sessions
🇬🇧 London Session Trading
🔍 SMT Divergence – Secret Smart Money signal
📐 Standard Deviations – Predict future targets
🎣 Stop Hunt Trading
🧠 Level Up your Mindset
🛕 Monk Mode – Transition from 9–5 to full-time trading
⚠️ Trading Enemies – Habits that destroy success
🔄 Trader’s Routine – Build discipline daily
💪 Get Funded - $20 000 Monthly Plan
🧪 Winning Trading Plan
🛡️ Risk Management
🏦 Risk Management for Prop Trading
📏 Risk in % or Fixed Position Size
🔐 Risk Per Trade – Keep consistency
Never stop learning
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
When to Trade — When to Stay OutHi everyone,
In the way I approach the market, I don’t see trading as a reflexive reaction to price movements. I see it as a structured decision-making process , built on clearly defined conditions. The market is active all the time, but constant activity alone does not create tradable opportunities. Acting without clear conditions means confusing movement with real advantage.
That’s why every decision starts with an analysis of the broader context . I only consider getting involved when the market structure is coherent, price dynamics are readable, and the environment allows for a clear assessment of risk. When the market becomes unstable, fragmented, or dominated by noise, every attempt to enter inevitably weakens decision quality. In those moments, staying out of the market is not passivity—it’s a rational act of protection .
Once the context is validated, my absolute priority becomes risk management . Before evaluating any potential reward, I need to know exactly where my scenario is invalidated. Without that information, no trade can be justified. A stop-loss is not an emotional safety net; it’s a fundamental part of decision logic. When risk is clearly defined and limited, the outcome of a trade becomes a matter of probabilities, not hope.
Even so, in a technically favorable environment, a decision remains fragile if it’s made in an unhealthy mental state . The market doesn’t punish analysis mistakes as much as it punishes execution errors driven by emotion. Any decision influenced by urgency, fear of missing out, or the desire to recover a previous loss immediately breaks the integrity of the process. In those conditions, not trading is the only decision aligned with discipline .
This is exactly why I consider the ability not to intervene a core skill. Most of the time, the market does not offer a structure with a clear edge. Being constantly in a position is neither an obligation nor a goal. Preserving capital, maintaining mental clarity, and protecting decision discipline are prerequisites for sustainable performance.
In conclusion , knowing when to trade and when to stay out is not a technical issue—it’s a mindset. When action is limited to genuinely favorable contexts and inaction is fully accepted as a strategic choice, trading stops being a chase for short-term results and becomes a controlled risk-management process . At that point, long-term performance is neither accidental nor emotional—it’s built on logic.
Wishing you profitable and disciplined trading.
Mistakes I am Making In Implementing My Own Forex Trading PlanI know that we all want to see material of Forex Trading plans that actually work and bring in profit. We don't want to waste our time with what doesn't work.
Still, in this video I am talking about my lack of discipline in applying my own Forex trading plan which made me lose focus and get into a losing streak.
My Win/Loss ratio is still better, my balance is still above its initial amount, but to me all that is not important. Many people are result oriented, I am not. I am process oriented.
I need to trust my process. If I think that I have a solid Forex trading plan then I should follow it. If I am making changing to it then the plan needs changing.
My next steps are as follows:
1) Stop trading the Demo account and use the Replay Feature of TradingView to get more experience in implementing my own plan. With this action point, I will also discover if the current plan is profitable or if it needs changes.
2) Back to Education: I found a new Forex Educational Resource that I want to check out, and see if there is anything of that value there. This resource seems to be going deeper into SMC and teaches advanced areas to better understand liquidity.
I hope this video is helpful and a good reminder of the importance of discipline in Forex trading.
MASTERING RISK MANAGEMENT: THE SURVIVAL SYSTEM FOR TRADERSRisk management is not just a safety net; it is the specific system used to control losses and protect your trading capital. Without a strict risk plan, even a highly profitable strategy will eventually fail. A few bad trades should never have the power to wipe out your account.
WHY IT IS CRUCIAL
Markets are inherently unpredictable. No matter how good the analysis is, probabilities dictate that losses will occur. Risk management:
1. Protects against emotional trading (fear and greed).
2. Ensures long-term survival so you can stay in the game long enough to be profitable.
3. Stabilizes your equity curve, avoiding massive drawdowns.
OUR CORE RISK RULES
1. PER TRADE RISK LIMIT
Never risk more than 0.7% to 2% of your total account balance on a single trade. This ensures that a losing streak does not destroy your capital.
Example:
If you have a $10,000 account, your maximum risk per trade should be between $70 and $200.
2. DAILY LOSS LIMIT
Do not open too many positions simultaneously. You must have a hard stop for the day. Your total daily loss limit should be a maximum of 15% of your portfolio. If you hit this limit, stop trading immediately for the day to prevent emotional revenge trading.
KEY TOOLS FOR RISK CONTROL
Use a Risk Calculator to automate your position sizing. Do not guess your lot size.
Stop Loss (SL): An order that automatically exits a losing trade at a specific price. This is your insurance policy. Never trade without it.
Take Profit (TP): An order that locks in gains at predefined levels.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Always aim for 1:2 or better. This means if you are risking 50 pips/5%, your target should be at least 100 pips/10%. With a 1:2 ratio, you can be wrong 50% of the time and still be profitable.
ADVANCED TACTIC: MOVING STOP-LOSS TO ENTRY (BREAK-EVEN)
Moving the Stop-Loss to the Entry price is a technique used to eliminate risk exposure in an active trade. It involves adjusting your stop loss level to the exact price where you entered the market.
Why do this?
If the trade reverses against you after moving to entry, you lose $0. You have eliminated the risk while keeping the potential for profit open.
ADVANCED TACTIC: CLOSING PART OF A TRADE (PARTIALS)
You do not have to close 100% of a trade at once. Closing a portion (partial closing) is vital for managing psychology and banking revenue.
By taking profits on 50% or 75% of a position, you lock in gains immediately. You can then leave the remaining portion of the trade running to catch a larger trend with zero stress, as you have already banked profit.
COMING UP NEXT
In the next article, we will be diving into Types of Traders & Their Risk Management Styles
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk.
- Tuffy (Team Mubite)
#RiskManagement #CapitalProtection #TradingSurvival #RiskReward
5 Must-Know Tips for Trading Gold. XAUUSD Must Know Secrets
After more than 9 years of Gold trading, I decided to reveal 5 essential trading tips , that will save you a lot of money, time and effort.
Of course, these trading recommendations won't make you rich, but they will certainly help you to avoid a lot of losing trades.
Whether you are new to Gold trading or an experienced trader, these insights will dramatically improve your trading.
Don't trade gold with a small account
I always repeat to my students that in gold trading, the risk per trade should not exceed 1% of a trading account.
It means that if your trades close with stop loss, you should lose maximum 1% of your deposit.
For the majority of the day trading and swing strategies, you will require at least 2000$ deposit to risk 1% per trade. Trading with a smaller account size, it will be challenging to follow this risk management principle of not exceeding 1%
Here is a day trade on Gold.
With a stop loss of 619 pips and a trading account of 10000$,
a lot size for this trade will be 0.02.
If the trade closes on stop loss, total risk will be 100$ or 1% of a trading account.
With a 100$ account, trading with a minimal lot 0.01, your potential risk will be 50$ or half of your trading account.
Check spreads
Spread may dramatically fluctuate on Gold.
High spreads can make it difficult for day traders to catch small price movements, reducing the profit potential of their trades.
Wide spreads can lead to slippage , where day traders may end up buying at a higher price and selling at a lower price than expected, increasing the risk of losses.
Gold has the lowest spreads during London and New York sessions,
while trading the Asian session is not recommended.
Personally, I don't trade Gold if the spread exceeds 100 pips.
In the picture above, you can see a current spread on Gold.
It is 30 pips. It is a relatively low spread, so we can trade.
Don't trade on US holidays
When US banks are closed, liquidity drops substantially on Gold.
It leads to increased spreads and higher probabilities of manipulations,
reduced volatility and very slow market.
For that reason, it is better not to trade Gold during US holidays.
You can easily find the calendar of US banking holidays on Google.
Simply take a break during these trading days.
Don't trade ahead of important US news
US news may dramatically affect Gold prices.
Such events as FOMC or FED Interest rate decision may trigger a high volatility and very impulsive movements.
My recommendations to you is to stay away from trading Gold one hour ahead of the important news releases.
You can find important US news in the economic calendar .
Just sort out the calendar in a way that it would display only significant news and pay attention to them.
Above, you can see the important US news for the coming days in the economic calendar.
Do not open multiple orders
Here is what many Gold traders do wrong:
once they place an order, instead of patiently waiting for a stop loss or take profit being reached, they start opening more orders.
Please, open one single trade per your prediction.
Open a new trade if only you see a new trading setup or your initial trade is already risk-free with a stop loss move to entry level.
Here is the example, a newbie trader decides to buy Gold and opens a long positions.
The market moves in the projected direction, and a trader opens one more trade.
The one can open even dozens of positions like that.
However, the problem is that the market can always suddenly reverse and all these trades will be closed in a loss.
It can lead to a substantial account drawdown.
Open a one single trading position instead.
I truly believe that these trading tips will help you improve your gold trading. Carefully embed these rules in your trading plan and watch how your trading performance improves.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
How Investment Funds Really Make Money From Bitcoin📰 After years of closely following financial markets, one conclusion has become impossible for me to ignore:
most people fundamentally misunderstand how professional funds make money from Bitcoin.
Retail traders often assume funds operate the same way they do — buying low, selling high, and betting on direction.
If price goes up, they win.
If price goes down, they lose.
That assumption is overly simplistic — and largely incorrect.
🔍 For institutional funds, Bitcoin is not a directional gamble.
From what I’ve observed, large funds are not emotionally attached to whether Bitcoin rises tomorrow or drops next week.
Price direction is not their primary concern.
What truly matters is structure.
Funds are not rewarded for guessing the market correctly.
They are rewarded for controlling risk and systematically converting volatility into measurable returns.
🎯 Their real objective is volatility, not conviction.
When a fund allocates capital to Bitcoin, it is rarely driven by belief in a narrative or excitement around headlines.
They don’t follow influencers.
They don’t react to social media hype.
What they care about is quantifiable price movement.
Volatility is the raw input.
Mathematical models are the engine.
Decisions are driven by numbers, not emotions.
🧠 Buying Bitcoin does not automatically mean being bullish.
One of the most common misconceptions I encounter is the idea that institutional buying signals an expectation of higher prices.
In reality, a fund can purchase Bitcoin while remaining entirely neutral.
They can be delta-neutral, fully hedged, detached from market direction, and protected against both upside and downside moves.
This is why buying BTC is not a bet for them.
It is simply the first layer in a multi-stage trading structure.
📊 So how do funds actually profit from price movement?
By combining spot exposure with derivatives, funds build positions that benefit from movement itself rather than predicting direction.
When price rises, positions are adjusted and partial exposure is sold at higher levels to rebalance risk and lock in gains.
When price falls, exposure is rebuilt at lower prices to restore balance.
🔁 Price moves higher → exposure is reduced at better levels
🔁 Price moves lower → exposure is increased at cheaper levels
🔁 The process repeats with discipline and precision, free from emotion
This systematic process is known as gamma scalping — the quiet, continuous profit mechanism behind institutional trading.
💰 Where do their real profits come from?
Not from news headlines.
Not from influencers.
Not from ETF narratives.
Profits are generated through continuous hedge adjustments, realized volatility exceeding expectations, direction-neutral structures, and strict mathematical discipline.
⛔ The only environment that truly challenges these strategies is when the market stops moving altogether.
🧭 Let me be direct with you, speaking as a market professional.
You are not BlackRock.
You do not have their infrastructure.
You do not have their capital, execution speed, or risk frameworks.
Attempting to interpret or replicate their actions without understanding the underlying structure will not improve your trading — it will only increase confusion.
✍️ My conclusion is straightforward:
Funds do not profit from predicting the future.
They profit from engineering outcomes.
They do not trade stories.
They do not trade emotions.
They do not trade social media noise.
🎯 They trade structure.
And you?
Stop obsessing over what institutions are doing.
Start focusing on what you should be doing.
That is the line between surviving in the market
and being quietly pushed out of it.
How Funds Actually Make Money From BitcoinIf you spend more than five minutes on Crypto TikTok (YouTube or X are not much different), you’d think the entire market depends on:
- who “bought the dip,”
- who “sold the top,”
- and which whale “decided” to pump or dump.
The screamers with flashy thumbnails and zero understanding yell:
- “BlackRock is buying—BULLISH!”
- “Whales are selling—CRASH INCOMING!”
- “Institutions are entering the market!!!”
- No nuance.
- No structure.
- No clue.
Because here’s the truth:
What BlackRock buys or sells is almost irrelevant to you.
Funds do not make money the way TikTok believes.
They don’t need Bitcoin to go up.
They don’t need Bitcoin to go down.
They need one thing:
Movement. Volatility. Math.
Let’s destroy the hype and show how funds actually make money.
1. Why “BlackRock is buying BTC” tells you absolutely nothing
Retail sees a headline:
“ETF inflows: +5,000 BTC today!”
And jumps to conclusions:
“They know something!”
“Price HAS to go up!”
“Institutions are bullish!”
No.
A fund can buy BTC and still be:
- 100% hedged
- delta-neutral
- directionally flat
- risk-neutral
- fully protected against price movement
The purchase is not a bet.
It’s a component of a structured position.
Buying BTC is just Step 1.
What matters is Step 2, 3, 4, 5…—all the parts TikTok doesn’t even know exist.
2. Why TikTok “analysts” have no idea what they’re talking about
If someone:
- screams in every video,
- says “bullish” or “bearish” 40 times a minute,
- thinks “institutions pump price,”
- doesn’t know what delta, gamma, basis, hedging, ATM straddles are…
…then they are not explaining institutional flow.
They are farming views and likes, not teaching markets.
Let’s be blunt:
If you can’t explain a delta-neutral hedge, your opinion about what BlackRock “plans to do” or "is doing" is worthless.
So let’s walk through how a real fund uses BTC to print money without caring if price goes up or down.
3. How a real fund makes money from volatility (step-by-step, using $100,000 BTC)
Assume:
- BTC price = $100,000
- A fund wants exposure to volatility, not direction
- They buy a BTC ATM straddle (call + put at 100k)
- Delta ≈ 0
- Gamma > 0 → the part that generates money
- They also own BTC spot for hedging.
- Let’s say the fund holds 1 BTC worth $100,000 as inventory for hedge adjustments.
At the start:
Delta-neutral. No directional risk.
Now let’s see how they profit.
Step 2 – BTC goes up 10% → $110,000
Straddle delta becomes +0.5 BTC.
The fund is unintentionally long 0.5 BTC.
To go back to neutral:
The fund sells 0.5 BTC at $110,000.
Cash received:
0.5 × 110,000 = $55,000
Theoretical cost basis (100k):
0.5 × 100,000 = $50,000
👉 Profit from hedge = $55,000 – $50,000 = $5,000
Plus, the straddle increased in value due to volatility.
Step 3 – BTC drops 10% → $90,000
Now straddle delta flips negative: –0.5 BTC
To get back to neutral:
The fund buys 0.5 BTC at $90,000.
Cash paid:
0.5 × 90,000 = $45,000
If they later sell that BTC at the baseline of 100k:
👉 Profit = $50,000 – $45,000 = $5,000
Again, without needing BTC to go up or down, “as predicted.”
This is called:
Gamma scalping — the quiet, relentless engine behind institutional P&L.
Up move → sell high.
Down move → buy low.
Repeat. Print. Sleep.
4. Where does the REAL profit come from?
A fund earns from:
- hedge adjustments (buy low, sell high, but mathematically—not emotionally)
- straddle appreciation as realized volatility exceeds implied volatility
- basis differences between spot and futures
- neutrality to direction, allowing consistent compounding
They make money even if Bitcoin swings between 95k–105k for weeks.
The only time they lose?
When BTC does NOT move.
Because then the straddle premium decays.
That's it.
Nothing to do with faith, predictions, narratives, influencers, or ETF flows.
5. So why should YOU ignore what BlackRock is doing?
Because:
- You are not BlackRock.
- You do not run a delta-neutral book.
- You do not make money from gamma exposure.
- You do not scalp intraday hedges on $100M positions.
- You do not capture basis spreads across spot and derivatives.
- You do not have a trading desk rebalancing risk every hour.
But the TikTok screamers will still tell you:
“Institutional buying = bullish!”
“Institutional selling = bearish!”
“Whales know something!”
They don’t know anything.
Especially not about institutional structure.
So here’s the punchline:
Watching what funds do—without understanding why they do it—is the fastest path to confusion in the best case and destruction in the worst.
You don’t have their:
- tools,
- capital,
- execution speed,
- risk models,
- mandate,
- or mathematical framework.
So trying to mimic them is not just pointless —it’s dangerous.
Final Lesson: Ignore the noise, ignore the hype, ignore the TikTok parade.
BlackRock doesn’t care about bull markets or bear markets.
BlackRock doesn’t need Bitcoin to moon.
BlackRock doesn’t panic when Bitcoin drops.
Because BlackRock doesn’t trade the story.
They trade the structure.
And unless you operate like a fund — stop pretending their moves matter to your trading.
You’re not them.
You don’t have their machinery.
You don’t have their volatility book.
So:
Stop watching what institutions do.
Start understanding what you should do.
That’s the difference between surviving and blowing up.
P.S: BlackRock and TikTok are used just as an example:)
Top-5 tips for Top-Down Multiple Time Frame Analysis Trading
I am trading multiple time frame analysis for many years. After reviewing trading ideas from various traders on Tradingview, I noticed that many traders are applying that incorrectly
In this article, I will share with you 5 essential tips , that will help you improve your multiple time frame analysis and top-down trading.
The Order of Analysis Matters
Multiple time frame analysis is also called top-down analysis for a reason. When you trade with that, you should strictly start your analysis with higher time frames and then dive lower, investigating shorter-term time frames.
Unfortunately, most of the traders do the opposite . They start from a lower time frame and finish on a higher one.
Above are 3 time frames of EURGBP pair: daily, 4h, 1h.
To execute multiple time frames analysis properly, start with a daily, then check a 4h and only then the hourly time frame.
Limit the Number of Time Frames
Executing multiple time frame analysis, many traders analyse a lot of time frames.
They may start from a weekly and finish on 5 minute time frame, going through 5-8 time frames.
Remember that is it completely wrong . For execution of a multiple time frame analysis, it is more than enough to analyse 3 or even 2 time frames. Adding more time frames will overwhelm your analysis and make it too complex.
Analyse Particular Time Frames
Your multiple time frame analysis should be consistent and rule-based. It means that you should strictly define the time frames that you analyse.
For example, for day trading, my main trading time frames are daily, 4h, 1h. I consistently analyse ONLY these trading time frames and I look for day trades only analysing this combination of time frames.
Higher is the time frame, stronger the signal it provides
Trading with multiple time frame analysis, very often you will encounter controversial signals: you may see a very bullish pattern on a daily and a very bearish confirmation on 30 minutes time frame.
Always remember that the higher time frames confirmations are always stronger , and their accuracy and probability is always higher.
Above there are 2 patterns:
a head and shoulders pattern on a daily time frame with a confirmed neckline breakout, and an inverted head and shoulders pattern on a 4h time frame with a confirmed neckline breakout.
2 patterns give 2 controversial signals:
the pattern on a daily is very bullish and the pattern on a 4h is very bearish.
The signal on a daily time frame will be always stronger ,
so it is reasonable to be on a bearish side here.
You can see that the price dropped after a retest of a neckline of a head and shoulders on a daily, completely neglecting a bullish pattern on a 4H.
Each Time Frame Should Have Its Purpose
You should analyse any particular time frame for a reason.
You should know exactly what you are looking for there and what is the purpose of your analysis.
For example, for day trading, I analyse 3 time frames.
On a daily, I analyse the market trend and key levels.
On a 4H time frame, I analyse candlesticks.
On an hourly time frame, I look for a price action pattern as a confirmation.
On GBPAUD on a daily, I see a test of a key horizontal resistance.
On a 4H time frame, the price formed a doji candle.
On an hourly, I spotted a double top, giving me a bearish confirmation.
These trading tips will increase the accuracy of your multiple time frame analysis. Study them carefully and adopt them in your trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trading Plan - What should be included and how to improve it. I have been failing same like many traders are failing these days for same reason. Not having a plan and clearly defined when to trade , when not to trade and didn't have set barriers when to stop. Always wanted to make more. Yes it sounds boring and restrictive. But you will either lean on plan or on impulses.
Everything start with visualization of how your trade setup should looks like. You should know what exactly you are looking for and describe it as much as possible for example:
🧩 Basic Concept
Im looking for the fake break out of the range. Whether we call it manipulation or Stop hunt. It really doesn't matter. The idea is that once big candle is created it creates fomo and break out traders are entering continuation. I trade against them.
📍 Bullish continuation setups
Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target
Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% 📍 Bearish Continuation setups
Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target
Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% pullback This is your strategy, your pattern you are looking for in the specific situations and market conditions.
📍 Trading plan
is how, when and where , you are going to execute it. It's also good to describe your step by step process, so you remind it to yourself. I suggest to read it before every trading session. Especially beginners or if you adopted a new strategy. Describe every trade element as much as possible. With experiences you will be improving and shaping it. It has to be as simple as possible. 📍 Trading Pairs - If you are day trader / Intra week trader focus on 8 pairs maximum, You dont need more - DXY, EUR, GBP, CHF, BTC, ETH, SOL, XAU
📍 Market Bias - Describe how you analyze your Bias - Trend
Do you have HTF Trend / Liquidity ?
Internal LQ - Discount / Premium
External LQ - Significant HL taken
Monday, Friday, Weekly CLS Range
Key Level ? - If NO - NO trade
Liquidity Sweep + SMT
CIOD - Close - Model 1- 50% TP
📍 Down Trend - Trade Stop hunts above the highs
📍Up Trend - Trade Stop Hunt below the lows 📍 TF Alignment CLS Range + Entry - Structure of my Top Down analysis
Weekly / Daily Range - CLS Range
H4 / H1 / M30 / M15 - Entries
Don't overcomplicate it this works 📍 Setup Qualifications - If one of criteria is not met = No trade
High volatility Stop hunt
Stop run out of CLS range - 0.15%
Rejection from Key Level
CIOD on the LTF Model 1
Correct times - NY, LO , PM Sessions
📍 Entry Model 1
CIOD - the next candle below / above open
if the engulfing candle is too big, wait for a pullback
If range is too big take TP at 50%
Look for correlated pairs
If within HTF trend, target full range.
📍Bullish Scenario LTF Change in order flow is important aspect of the trade if you dont wait patiently for the candle close on the right timeframe, setup is invalid. 📍Bearish Scenario
as you can see price action never looks completely same you need to practice your eyes to see it, profiles, levels and what is happening on the edge of the range. Another and not less important part is knowing when not to trade. Also Im not perfect and even I have quite good plan sometimes I dont follow so reminding these mistakes and reading them in my trading plan is great way to eliminating them next time.
🧪 Low Probability Conditions
Day and Day before NPF, FOMC or CPI
Last and First day of a New Month
Dont buy or sell in the direction of overextended markets
An HTF objective has been met
Price tripped between two Key Levels
🧪 Don't trade IF
- Equal highs / Lows around your SL
- If stop run is to shallow
- Candle didn't closed yet
- If you didn't catch the initial move - don't fomo
- No room for at least 2RR
🧪 Recent Mistakes
- Trading within wrong market conditions
- Entering before CIOD confirmed
- Shallow manipulations
- Now waiting for the PWL / PDL Work on constant improvement, not by adding indicators or by looking for new strategy, commit to the one and master it . 1 Kick - 10 000 times
⁉️ This is questions Im asking myself when going thru past trades. It will help you improve as a trader and shape your trading plan.
- Was there a type of trade that did/didn’t work well?
- Was there a particular market that I did/didn’t trade well?
- Was there a particular day/time that I did/didn’t trade well?
- Did I enter trades too soon?
- Did I enter trades too late?
- Did I take profits too soon?
- Did I take profits too late?
- Did I put my stops loss too tight?
- Did I use an unnecessarily big stop loss?
- Did I take take any trades with poor Risk:Reward ratio?
- Did I risk too much?
- Did I risk too little?
- Did I deviate from my trading model?
- Did I deviate from my plan?
I promised myself I’d become the person I once needed the most as a beginner. Below are links to a powerful lessons I shared on Tradingview. Hope it can help you avoid years of trial and error I went thru.
📊 Sharpen your trading Strategy
⚙️ 100% Mechanical System - Complete Strategy
🔁 Daily Bias – Continuation
🔄 Daily Bias – Reversal
🧱 Key Level – Order Block
📉 How to Buy Lows and Sell Highs
🎯 Dealing Range – Enter on pullbacks
💧 Liquidity – Basics to understand
🕒 Timeframe Alignments
🚫 Market Narratives – Avoid traps
🐢 Turtle Soup Master – High reward method
🧘 How to stop overcomplicating trading
🕰️ Day Trading Cheat Code – Sessions
🇬🇧 London Session Trading
🔍 SMT Divergence – Secret Smart Money signal
📐 Standard Deviations – Predict future targets
🎣 Stop Hunt Trading
🧠 Level Up your Mindset
🛕 Monk Mode – Transition from 9–5 to full-time trading
⚠️ Trading Enemies – Habits that destroy success
🔄 Trader’s Routine – Build discipline daily
💪 Get Funded - $20 000 Monthly Plan
🛡️ Risk Management
🏦 Risk Management for Prop Trading
📏 Risk in % or Fixed Position Size
🔐 Risk Per Trade – Keep consistency
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
All you need to know: WHEN and WHERE (short giude)Most traders lose money not because they’re wrong about direction… but because they’re wrong about WHEN and WHERE direction actually matters.
This is the missing piece in 99% of trading strategies.
Let’s break it down simply and clearly.
1. WHERE Matters First: Price Location Defines the Entire Trade
The market is not equally important at all prices.
There are only a few places where decisions actually have consequences:
🔹 1. Major Higher-Timeframe Levels
- Daily, Weekly and even monthly support, resistance, supply, demand.
- This is where big players care.
- Most BIG moves begin here.
🔹 2. Volatility Compression Zones
- Tight ranges, triangles, squeezes, etc
- When volatility compresses, potential energy builds.
- Breakouts here actually matter.
🔹 3. Break-and-Retest Structures
- The retest is where confirmation happens.
- It’s where weak hands exit and smart money enters.
🔹 4. Trend Extremes / Overextensions
- Parabolic rallies, vertical drops, stretched momentum.
- These locations create the most powerful reversals.
🔹 5. Liquidity Pools
- Above swing highs, below swing lows, around obvious trendlines.
- Institutions hunt these levels before moving the market.
If you’re not trading at one of these five locations, you are trading noise.
2. WHEN Matters Even More: Timing Is the Difference Between Chop and Trend
Even the best location is useless if the moment isn’t right.
Here are the only timing conditions that give your trade real probability:
🔸 1. Volatility Expansion After Compression
- Wait for candles to elongate, volume to increase, and the range to open up.
- Before expansion: fakeouts.
- After expansion: real moves.
🔸 2. Liquidity Sweeps
- The market clears stops → fills institutional orders → reveals true direction.
- You don’t act before the sweep; you act after it confirms.
🔸 3. Structural Confirmation
- Higher low in an uptrend.
- Lower high in a downtrend.
- Break → Retest → Continuation.
- Without structure, timing is random.
🔸 4. Active Market Sessions
- London open, NY open, session overlaps, major news events.
- The same setup at 03:00 means nothing — the same setup at NY open is a trade.
🔸 5. Multi-Timeframe Momentum Alignment
- HTF gives the bias
- MTF gives the setup
- LTF gives the entry
- When timeframes align, timing becomes obvious.
3. WHERE + WHEN = Non-Random Trades
This is what professional trading really is:
- WHERE = the place price must react
- WHEN = the moment price has conviction
Combine both and you no longer predict — you simply respond to high-probability situations.
- This is how you avoid chop.
- This is how you avoid forcing trades.
- This is how you become consistent.
4. The Psychological Shift
Retail traders think:
“I must forecast the next move.”
Professionals think:
“I only act at key locations, when timing conditions align.”
This removes:
- FOMO
- guessing
- impulsive entries
- emotional trading
You no longer chase the market.
You wait for the market to come to your WHERE and your WHEN.
That’s the edge.
5. Final Thoughts
You don’t need to predict the market.
You don’t even need to know what happens next.
You only need to know:
- WHERE the market becomes important
- WHEN a move becomes meaningful
Master these two, and everything else falls into place.
P.S.
I know this is easier said than done. Even after many years in the market, with a solid sense of direction and plenty of sniper-level entries, my WHEN is not always perfect either. That’s the part none of us ever truly “master” — we only learn to manage it better.
So take all of this as a blueprint, not a declaration that I execute flawlessly. I’m a professional, yes — but I’m also in a continuous process of adapting, refining, and learning from every new shift the market throws at us.
Experience helps, but the market keeps evolving, and so do I. Just like anyone else should.
How the Fed’s Next Move Could Reshape Stocks, Gold and BitcoinPowell’s Big December Decision 🏛️
The December 2025 Fed meeting is a big deal because the US economy is in a tricky spot:
Inflation is still a bit too high 📈
Growth and jobs are starting to weaken 📉
Most traders expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 0.25%, but not everyone at the Fed agrees. If Jerome Powell does something different from what markets expect, we could see either a strong rally in risk assets or a nasty risk‑off move.
What the Fed might do ⚙️
The Fed has three main options:
1. Cut rates and sound “dovish” 🕊️
They cut 0.25% and say they’re ready to help the economy more if needed.
Markets usually like this: cheaper money, easier credit.
2. Cut rates but sound “hawkish” 🦅
They cut, but Powell keeps warning a lot about inflation.
This sends a mixed signal: some good news, some bad news.
3. No cut (a pause) 😐
This would surprise markets because most people expect a cut.
Could scare investors and cause a quick sell‑off in risk assets.
What it could mean for gold and Bitcoin
1. Gold
Loves lower real yields and weaker dollar.
A clear cut with a dovish message could push gold to new highs.
A surprise pause or hawkish tone could trigger a quick pullback.
2. Bitcoin & crypto
Rate cuts usually mean more liquidity and more risk‑taking, which helps crypto.
If the Fed delivers the cut and hints at more easing in 2026, BTC could break out of its correction and start a new leg up.
If Powell disappoints (no cut or very hawkish talk), crypto can dump first as traders de‑risk.
Bottom line ✅
This meeting is important because it sets the tone for 2026:
A friendly, dovish Fed = more chances for a risk‑on environment in stocks, gold and Bitcoin 🚀
A cautious or hawkish Fed = more volatility and possible corrections before any new uptrend 🔁
Traders should watch not just what the Fed does with rates, but also how Powell talks about inflation, growth and future cuts.
Understanding the XAUUSD/BCOUSD SpreadThis is my first post here on TradingView, excited to share some insights on the XAUUSD/BCOUSD spread!
The XAUUSD/BCOUSD spread compares the price of Gold (XAUUSD) to Brent Crude Oil (BCOUSD). This ratio can be a simple yet powerful indicator for understanding market sentiment and risk appetite.
When traders compare gold (a classic safe-haven asset) with oil (a growth-linked commodity), the resulting spread often reflects how the market feels about risk, uncertainty, and economic conditions.
When the spread is rising (bullish spread), it means gold is outperforming oil. This typically indicates risk-off sentiment, higher demand for protection, and weak economic optimism. In short, a rising spread reflects fear, caution, and increased risk aversion.
When the spread is falling (bearish spread), it means oil is outperforming gold. This often signals risk-on sentiment, higher economic confidence, and decreased demand for safe havens. In short, a falling spread reflects confidence, optimism, and greater risk appetite.
Why this spread matters: it blends the behavior of two key macro assets, can act as a leading indicator for risk sentiment shifts, and is useful for traders of indices, commodities, FX, or crypto who want a broader context of market psychology. Monitoring this spread can help you stay aligned with macro flows and improve trading decisions during uncertain conditions.
Disclaimer:
This post is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
How to Use ATR in TradingViewMaster ATR using TradingView's powerful charting tools in this step-by-step tutorial from Optimus Futures.
ATR, or Average True Range, is a volatility indicator that helps traders measure market movement, set appropriate stop losses, and adjust position sizing based on current market conditions.
What You'll Learn:
Understanding ATR as a volatility measurement tool that tracks price movement regardless of direction
How ATR calculates the average range between highs and lows over a specified period — typically 14
Why rising ATR signals increasing volatility and larger price swings
Why falling ATR indicates decreasing volatility and quieter market conditions
Using ATR to set dynamic stop losses that adjust to current volatility rather than arbitrary dollar amounts
How to calculate stop distances by multiplying ATR by factors like 2x or 3x
Applying ATR for position sizing to maintain consistent risk across different volatility environments
Setting profit targets based on ATR multiples to align with actual market movement
Filtering trade setups using ATR levels to avoid low-volatility periods or confirm breakout momentum
How to add ATR on TradingView via the Indicators menu
Understanding the default 14-period setting and how shorter or longer periods affect responsiveness
Practical examples using the E-mini S&P 500 futures chart
Applying ATR across daily, weekly, and intraday timeframes for risk management and trade planning
This tutorial is designed for futures traders, swing traders, and risk-focused analysts who want to integrate volatility-based risk management into their trading approach.
The methods discussed may help you set smarter stops, size positions appropriately, and adapt your trading strategy to changing market conditions across multiple markets and timeframes.
Learn more about futures trading with TradingView: optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital.
We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations.
Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior.
In our opinion, charts are analytical tools, not forecasting instruments.
Risk Management Basics 95% of Traders IgnoreWhen traders try to improve their results, they often jump straight to indicators, new setups, or refined entries.
But here’s the uncomfortable truth:
Most traders don’t fail because of their strategy — they fail because they don’t control their risk.
Let’s break down the two fundamentals that separate professionals from the 95%:
1️⃣ The 1% Rule: Your Built-In Survival System
Most beginners risk 5–20% per trade.
Professionals risk a maximum of 1%. Why?
Because the goal isn’t to win every trade — the goal is to stay in the game long enough for your edge to play out.
Risking only 1% means:
✔ A losing streak won’t destroy your account
✔ Your emotions stay stable and rational
✔ Your system has room to unfold statistically
✔ You avoid the #1 account killer: overexposure
Here’s the key mindset shift:
Risk management is not about fear — it’s about increasing your probability of long-term profitability.
2️⃣ Positive Expectancy: The Math Behind Winning Traders
Most traders judge a setup based on the last one or two trades.
Professionals evaluate it based on expectancy — the average profit per trade across a large sample.
Here’s a simple example:
Win rate: 40%
Average win: +60 pips
Average loss: –30 pips
Expectancy =
(0.4 × 60) – (0.6 × 30) = +6 pips per trade
Meaning:
You can lose more trades than you win — and still be profitable.
This is the principle beginners never understand.
A system with positive expectancy + 1% risk per trade becomes extremely powerful.
You stop caring about individual losses and start thinking in probabilities, not emotions.
The Truth Most Traders Miss
➡️ Risk management is the strategy.
➡️ Expectancy matters more than your win rate.
➡️ Risking 1% won’t make you rich fast — but it will prevent you from blowing up.
➡️ Trading becomes easier when you remove the illusion of certainty.
If traders spent more time understanding expectancy and risk instead of chasing “perfect setups,” half of their frustration would disappear overnight.
Thanks for reading — and have a disciplined start to your trading week!
If you found this post valuable, let me know in the comments.
I might create a full series on applied risk management and expectancy modeling.
Jonas Lumpp
Speechless Trading
Disclaimer: This tutorial is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Its goal is to help traders develop a professional mindset, improve risk management, and make more structured trading decisions.
Get Funded and make $20 000 Monthly. Complete plan for 2026.Hey traders let's have a look at prop trading again. It's a great opportunity for the skilled traders who has good strategy, discipline and mastered risk management. Let's start with the numbers which many traders and misunderstood.
📌 Prop firm facts
- $100K account with 10% max drawdown means you got $10K account, not $100K
- Goal of 10% to pass phase 1 while you can risk 10% means 100% gain
- Goal of 5% to pass Phase 2 while you can risk 10% adds another 50% gain.
- You will literally be funded after making 150% not 10% and 5%
⁉️ Does it mean it's impossible to get funded ?
Yes it's possible, next to good strategy you need, discipline and mainly you just need to adjust your risk management. If you make 150% in year as a Hedge fund manager you will be a superstar trader. Yet people still want to pass prop challenge in a less than week or in a few trades which means not sticking to the risk management.
🔗 Click to the picture below to Learn more about Prop Risk management 📌 How to make $20 000 a month ? Magic of 3%
Yes, you actually need to make only a 3% a month. Is it difficult ? No, It's not. You need 3 wins with 1:2 RR while risking 0.5% Risk.
1️⃣Your Ultimate goal - -$100K Funded account - 3% Gain - 80% Profit split = $2400 Payout
2️⃣Let's take it to $20 000 a Month
Don't try to increase your % gains per month, increase your capital under management
- Get another 4 x $ 100K Challenges pass them - You will have $500K AUM:
- $ 500 000 - 3% Gain - 80% Profit split = $12 000
3️⃣Reinvest buy another 3 - 5 challenges aim for $ 1000 000 funded across few solid props firms. 🎯 $ 1000 000 - 3% gain - 80% Profit Split = $24 000 Payout
📌 Have a long term plan
this is not gonna happen in few months. It's a year plan - But you got this... 💪
With approximate cost of $500 - $600 per $100K challenge you will need to spend apron. $5500 to get $1000 000 funding. You will fail some, its unavoidable, so let's count with more might $10K. But still , you can start with first $100K an then reinvest to another challenges. You dont need $10K investment right now. But later this $10K and 3% gain and 80% profit split is $24 000, even more then $20K.
📌 Difficulty is not technical, but in patience
I speak from experiences that my biggest mistakes was trying to pass quickly or when I was in drawdown I started to gamble. Be patient and stick to the rules. If we stick to 3% a month without progressive risk management it would be 4 months to get funded. If you do progressive risk management you can do it faster, and once you are confident you can run multiple challenges at the same time.
📌 Long term plan requires perfect planning
Find 60 minutes just for yourself and this about these questions below, write the answers to to the paper, think about the execution of your project. I know you didn't do it now, but come back to this and do it again. You need to visualize your future successful yourself and remind that visualization every day. I recommend a book - Psycho-cybernetics from Maxwell Maltz it will help you define your self-image of successful trader in the fact this book will change your life.
📌 Essential Rules for Prop Trading
-Its not a straight forward game
-Reduce number of trades - Only A+ Setups
- Grow Your Capital Under management in multiple firms not % gains
- 3% is a golden profit in prop space to live from trading
❌ Dont do this
If you don't trade well on small account, getting prop firm will not change it.
Don't expect it to be a solution to bad financial situation. It's extension. 🧪 Trading is not hard we often overcomplicate it
I believe you already few great trades in a month, but you also have many unnecessary ones, look at your last few month results and check if would be able to make 3% if you excluded those unnecessary trades. I sure you could ant thats what you have to do
Switch from machine gunner to a Sniper.
Write this on a paper and put it somewhere so you see it every day.
🎯 $ 1000 000 - 3% gain - 80% Profit Split = $24 000 Payout
🎯 $ 1000 000 - 3% gain - 80% Profit Split = $24 000 Payout
🎯 $ 1000 000 - 3% gain - 80% Profit Split = $24 000 Payout
$1000 000 Funding !! - Your ultimate goal for 2026 💪
I promised myself I’d become the person I once needed the most as a beginner. Below are links to a powerful lessons I shared on Tradingview. Hope it can help you avoid years of trial and error I went thru.
📊 Sharpen your trading Strategy
⚙️ 100% Mechanical System - Complete Strategy
🔁 Daily Bias – Continuation
🔄 Daily Bias – Reversal
🧱 Key Level – Order Block
📉 How to Buy Lows and Sell Highs
🎯 Dealing Range – Enter on pullbacks
💧 Liquidity – Basics to understand
🕒 Timeframe Alignments
🚫 Market Narratives – Avoid traps
🐢 Turtle Soup Master – High reward method
🧘 How to stop overcomplicating trading
🕰️ Day Trading Cheat Code – Sessions
🇬🇧 London Session Trading
🔍 SMT Divergence – Secret Smart Money signal
📐 Standard Deviations – Predict future targets
🎣 Stop Hunt Trading
🧠 Level Up your Mindset
🛕 Monk Mode – Transition from 9–5 to full-time trading
⚠️ Trading Enemies – Habits that destroy success
🔄 Trader’s Routine – Build discipline daily
🛡️ Risk Management
🏦 Risk Management for Prop Trading
📏 Risk in % or Fixed Position Size
🔐 Risk Per Trade – Keep consistency
When to Trade — When to Stay OutWhen to Trade — When to Stay Out: A Deep, Practical Guide for Traders
Timing is a core edge. Not every hour, session, or chart condition is trade-worthy. The difference between a profitable trader and an active losing trader is not how many trades they take — it’s which trades they take and when. This article gives you a detailed, systematic framework to decide when to trade and when to stay out, with concrete rules, time windows, checklists and worked examples.
Big-picture logic
Markets are driven by liquidity (where orders sit), volatility (how fast price moves) and participants (who is trading). Good timing aligns these three:
Liquidity concentration (institutions, marketmakers) produces cleaner, higher-probability moves.
Right volatility means enough movement to reach targets but not so much that stop losses are random.
Recognizable market structure (trends, ranges, breaks) allows rules to be applied consistently.
If any of the three is missing, edge declines and risk of random losses rises.
Session windows — when the market is most tradable
Below are standard session definitions in UTC+00:00. Adjust for daylight savings if required (noted where relevant).
Tokyo / Asian Session
⏵ UTC+00:00: 23:00 – 08:00 ( main liquidity often 23:00–02:00 UTC )
⏵ Characteristic: lower liquidity for major FX pairs, choppier price action. Exceptions: JPY crosses, pairs with Asia-led liquidity, and crypto (24/7).
London Session
⏵ UTC+00:00: 07:00 – 16:00 (most active 08:00–11:00 UTC)
⏵ Characteristic: heavy institutional flow, high liquidity. Many clear directional moves begin here.
New York Session
⏵ UTC+00:00: 12:00 – 21:00 (most active 13:00–16:00 UTC)
⏵ Characteristic: continuation or reversal of London moves; major news releases occur here.
Key overlap (best single window)
⏵ London–New York overlap: UTC+00:00 ~12:00–16:00. Highest combined liquidity and volatility; most “clean” trends and reliable breakouts occur here.
Rule of thumb: Prefer intraday trades during the London session and the London–New York overlap. Be selective in Asia unless trading JPY pairs or range-break strategies designed for low liquidity.
Concrete: Best times to trade (prioritized)
Session open impulse — first 60–120 minutes of London or New York sessions.
Overlap window — London + New York overlap (UTC+00:00 ~12:00–16:00).
Post-news verified moves — 10–30 minutes after high-impact macro prints, if market structure becomes clear and isn’t just noise.
Clear breakouts after consolidation during active sessions (volume confirmation, sweep of liquidity, not just a one-bar spike).
When to avoid trading (and why)
Low-volume Asian hours for majors — price tends to chop and give false signals.
Right before major macro releases (NFP, CPI, FOMC) — price can gap or spike unpredictably. Exceptions: defined volatility playbook with strict hedges.
Midday lulls after initial session impulse — often flat ranges and low edge.
On unclear structure / messy price action — wide, overlapping candles, no clear swing highs/lows.
During market holidays or early close days — liquidity is thin; spreads widen.
Pre-trade checklist
Time window OK? (London / NY open or high liquidity event)
Major news? (No significant release within ±30 mins)
Higher timeframe structure clear? (H4 or Daily trend / range)
Trade idea defined (entry, stop, target) — use price levels, not indicators only.
Risk per trade ≤ planned % of account (see position sizing).
Reward : Risk ≥ your minimum (e.g., 1.5–3:1 depending on edge).
Catastrophic stop capability confirmed (can you absorb worst-case slippage?)
Exit rules set (profit-taking scale or full exit)
Trade logged in journal immediately after (reason, setup, time, bias)
Position sizing — exact worked example (step-by-step)
Use a fixed % of equity for risk per trade (commonly 0.5%–2%). Example uses 1% risk.
Assume:
Account size = $10,000.
Risk per trade = 1% of account = $10,000 × 0.01.
We compute digit-by-digit: 10,000 × 0.01 = 100. So maximum $100 risk on this trade.
Generic position-size formula:
Position size (units) = (Account Size × Risk%) ÷ (Stop Distance in price units × Value per price unit per 1 unit)
Always recalc pip/value for cross rates and for instruments (stocks, futures, crypto) — adapt the “value per price unit” accordingly.
Money Management is much more important than a strategy. You should learn Money Management before trying any strategy.
Order types & execution rules
Limit entries at confluence levels (support/resistance + liquidity sweep zone) — better price and less slippage.
Stop orders for breakout entries — use when you want to enter only after momentum confirms.
OCO (One Cancels Other) for scaling / invalidation management — reduces manual errors.
Avoid market entries during major news due to slippage/gap risk, unless your plan accounts for it.
Trade management & exits
Initial target: defined by structure (previous swing, ATR multiples, measured moves).
Scale out: consider taking partial profits at the first reasonable target, let the rest run with a trailing stop.
Stop relocation: only move stop to breakeven after a predefined profit multiple reached (e.g., after +1R or after price clears a new structure). Don’t move stops based on emotion.
If price returns and breaks your entry zone invalidating the setup, exit — the market changed.
Strategy-specific timing tweaks
Trend-following: prefer strong sessions (London/NY) and avoid Asian low-liquidity hours. Enter on retracements that align with higher timeframe trend.
Range / mean-reversion: worst during session opens; best during mid-session lulls, but only if volatility is low and boundaries are clear.
Breakout strategies: require confirmation — e.g., breakout during overlap or accompanied by increased volume / volatility. Avoid breakouts in thin Asian hours.
News scalping: high risk; only for experienced traders with defined entry, strict spread/latency controls, and capital to absorb spikes.
Common mistakes (and how to fix them)
Trading outside your chosen time windows — fix: enforce a trading clock.
Overtrading in chop — fix: increase minimum R:R and wait for clear structure.
Ignoring spreads and liquidity — fix: include spread in stop/target math and avoid thin sessions.
Moving stops prematurely — fix: use rules (e.g., only move after +1R).
Trading news impulsively — fix: have a news plan: either avoid or have a predefined volatility playbook.
Emotional trading (e.g. not closing the position when the price hits stop-loss)
Psychological & routine rules
Trade only when rested and focused.
Limit screen time to your pre-set sessions.
Keep a journal: reason for trade, outcome, lessons. Review weekly.
Daily routine: pre-market scan 30–60 minutes before your active session, post-session journal entry.
FAQ
Q: Can I trade during Asian hours?
A: Yes — but selectively. Prefer JPY pairs, Asia-centric instruments, or strategies built for low volatility.
Q: What if my timeframe and session disagree?
A: Give priority to higher timeframe structure. If H4 / Daily shows trend, trade during active sessions for better fills.
Q: How much should I risk per trade?
A: Conservative traders use 0.5%–1% per trade. More aggressive ones use up to 2%. The key is consistency and drawdown planning.
Focus your trading during high-liquidity windows (London, New York, and their overlap), avoid low-volume and pre-news periods, always validate trades with liquidity + volatility + clear market structure, use strict risk management (e.g., 1% per trade with position sizing), and follow a pre-trade checklist to avoid low-quality setups. Better timing = better edge.
Enjoy!
Gold Forex Trading During Major Economic Events & News Releases
I guess you already noticed how impulsively the markets may react to economic events and news.
In this article, I will teach you a simple strategy to follow during important news release s and how to trade news.
1. Sort out the economic calendar
There are a lot of news in the economic calendar.
They are not equal in their impact.
Most of the economic calendars indicate the potential significance of each event: while some news have low importance, some have medium importance and some are considered to be extremely important.
For example, above is the list of coming UK fundamental news.
You can see that these news have different degree of importance.
My recommendation to you is to sort out the economic calendar in a way, so it would display only the most important news.
Among the news that we discussed above, only one release has high importance.
2. Know on what trading instruments does the news have an effect
While some of the news in the economic calendar may impact many financial markets and trading instruments, some news may affect very particular instruments.
For example, a FED Interest Rate decision may have a very broad effect on financial markets.
At the same time, Interest Rate Decision in Australia may affect only Australia - related instruments.
3. Don't trade one hour before the news and one hour after the release
Once you see the important fundamental news coming, don't trade the trading instruments that can be affected by the new s 1 hour before and after the release.
For example, in 5 minutes we are expecting important UK news - CPI data.
I stopped trading GBP pairs 1 hour before the release of the news, and will resume trading them one hour after the release.
4. Protect your trading positions 5 minutes ahead of the news
If you have an active trading position and related important news are expected, move your stop loss to entry 5 minutes ahead of the release of the news.
For example, I have a short trade on GBPAUD. I see that in 5 minutes important UK data is coming. I will move stop loss to entry 5 minutes ahead of the news and make a position risk-free.
I always say to my students, that news trading is very complicated. Due to a high volatility, it is very hard to make wise decision during the news releases.
The approach that I suggest will help you to avoid all that and trade the markets when they are calm.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trading Future - 1-Minute TimeframeTrading Future - 1-Minute Timeframe CME_MINI:MES1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:M2K1!
RSI Low (Reversal) Entry Strategy
Spot ENTRY
Trend completed - Succeed !
Entry Criteria
✔ RSI Low alert
✔ RSI crosses above MA
✔ Price crosses above SMA9
✔ Price pullback holds SMA9
✔ Optional: Price above SMA20 for stronger confirmation
Exit Criteria
❌ Price closes below SMA9
❌ Price falls below HMA-Low (secondary exit)
❌ Price hits target below HMA-High line
Indicators Setup:
1. HMA Low/High – Length 15
Entry: Price crosses above HMA-Low and stays inside the HMA channel.
Exit: Price falls below SMA 9 OR price goes below HMA-Low line (secondary exit).
2. SMA 9 (Blue)
Entry: Price pulls back to SMA9 but does not fall under it.
Exit: Price falls under SMA9.
3. SMA 20 (Red)
Confirmation trend line.
Entry Confirmation: Price crosses above SMA20.
4. SMA 70 (Teal)
Higher-timeframe trend bias.
5. RSI (14) – Low/High 30/70
Reversal signal at RSI Low.
RSI extreme lows highlight with BG color.
6. MACD Histogram (12/26/9)
Trend confirmation: Histogram cross above 0 = momentum shift upward.
Trading Steps:
1. Identify the RSI Low (Alert)
RSI prints a lowest point and background highlights in the extreme zone.
2. RSI Crosses Above Its MA (Yellow)
RSI breaks above its MA = early upward momentum.
At the same time:
Price crosses above SMA 9 (blue).
3. Entry Trigger
Wait for a price pullback to SMA9,
BUT price must not break below SMA9.
If SMA9 holds support → Enter long.
4. Stop Loss Rules
Primary Stop Loss: Price closes below SMA 9 (blue).
Secondary Stop Loss: Price dips just under HMA-Low = early trend failure.
5. Position Hold Conditions (Confirmation)
Hold the trade ONLY IF:
Price stays above SMA 9.
MACD Histogram crosses above 0
→ Trend shifts from negative to positive, confirming upward movement.
6. Ride the Trend
Let price continue inside HMA channel.
Wait for trend to complete (usually when RSI approaches 70 or MACD weakens).
7. Profit Taking (Exit Rules)
Option A: HMA-High line target
Set take-profit just below HMA-High line.
Option B: SMA9 Breakdown
Exit when price falls below SMA 9 (blue).
When Alt Season. Is it even happening ever again?This will be very short. Forget Alts season, it's not happening again here is why. No Lambo.
Social media Crypto gurus calling and hypes random coins every day. People are still hoping their precious alt coin will pump and make them a fortune. this is how looks all influencers accounts.
They are Calling Alt seasons every day since 2023. Did they even held some BTC ?
Back in the days in the bull run you could buy any Alt, next day it was 30% up than 100% and 300% and more in few weeks. You could literally buy anything and it went up.
But these times are gone. Game has changed and played changed.
📌 Number of coins
2017: ~1,300 coins → altseason
2021: ~9,800 coins → altseason
2025: 25,000+ coins + thousands of memes → NO ALTSEASON, only isolated pumps
When there are 25x more coins than in 2017, the same amount of liquidity gets diluted.
Altseason today = micro-seasons inside specific narratives, not a giant synchronized run.
Which is difficult to predict and you will not make it just by making technical analysis, you must pick the right one in the sea of coins. It's literally like buying a lottery ticket.
📌 The players has changed
Altseason used to be simple: money flowed into Bitcoin → profits rotated into large caps → then mid caps → then low caps → and everything exploded together. That era is gone.
📌 No more big money Rotations
Bitcoin buyers are now institutional- Blackrock , Fidelity, Vanguard and other ETFs...
Their clients are not here to sell at some point to rotate to some other Sh...coin.
Saylor is not gonna rotate in to some Sh...coins.
Yes, many people will run this playbook and influencers calling for this even every day since 2023. While it was one bitcoin show. Nothing else. Some promises of the future technology, new financial systems, faster than BTC... Its all BS...It's all small money spread to the sea of thousands and thousands of new coins created daily on Solana. It will not be enough to create such a parabolic moves as Alt season used to be.
📌 Individual pumps
It will be some individual coins pumping out of nowhere which you dont have a chance to predict Like ZEC recently. Of course some of you could argue that you been in this trade. I congratulate you if you did. But you will nor repeat this consistently on next 10 coins and most of people didn't catch this rather they did FOMO buy on the top and they are now 60% down, their investment will not turn in to hope and pray, While this was clean pump and dump and it will slowly die.
📌 Whats gonna happen next?
Lets have a look to the history top 10 coins in 2017. As you can see most of coins are not here anymore or they are simply not performing. They been just used for pump and dump and then slowly died. This is how most of the coins will end. and we can see it already here.Most coins never went above 2021 highs. Imagine holding Cardano
It has never seen ATH since 2021. Whats the chances it will pump when there is new better coins narratives again? This is basically how all alt coins looks like and they will end like most of them in 2017.
📌 Are we in bear markets?
is the BTC top in ? I think so and we will might see 45K as I predicted if you are in the alts is bad news for you, they will go much deeper and most of them will never recover after this shock. If you are Bitcoiner this is godsend. You can accumulate more sats. Because at some point BTC will see a new ATH again and again.
📌 Purpose of the Alts
VC are creating the coins, keeping the 70% of the supply. Makes a story around the coin launch it, advertise via big X influencers to pump by naive investors and then they are dumping it to them. It still repeats over and over.
Dont play this game anymore. New alts, narratives comes every-time, they come and disappear. I got you , your plan is to buy BTC, but first you want to make more money on Alts or meme so you got more BTC , but NO it's not gonna happen. You will only loose money and have less BTC in the end.
Wouldn't you be doing better if you just buying BTC and hold?
I wish you all success in the Crypto investing.
David Perk
How to set % risk per trade based on your statistical dataHey whats up traders today it will be a short one in the bullet points but I believe a valuable points to think about. The setup matters, but the real foundation is how much you risk per trade. If you don’t control this, nothing else works. Your edge collapses. Your psychology collapses. And your results become completely random.
If you are not gambler you most likely risk between 0.5 -2% risk per trade. Good, but why?
Many traders use this risk because it's kind of well known and recommended value risk per trade. Ok, it's relatively safe, but if you don't have it build based on your statistical data. You can be also risking to low while you could make more. So In this post is not about why we should use risk management and calculate if for each position based on SL distance. I already did this post below 👇Click the picture to learn more In this post I will try to give advice how you can calculate best risk per trade for you based on your strategy and risk.
I always recommend backtest at least 300 examples of strategy. When you do that, you know your average win rate on average target. From the tab bellow you can see how many % of trades you need to win with the specific risk reward. Here is also important to consider your ability to hold in the trade. Its amazing to catch 1:5 risk reward trades, but it mostly comes with low win ratio in other words, you will get stopped out few times until you get big trade. Also 1:5 risk reward usually has a pullback during the move. Can you face it without emotions being affected?
Most importantly, you finally understand something every professional lives by: you don’t know the distribution of the trades.
You may have a 65% percent win rate. It still means that you can have 35 losses out of 100 traders. Remember distribution of wins and losses is random , you never know outcome of next trade.
It could be win win loss win. Or loss loss loss win win. Or a brutal streak of seven losses before the market pays you back.
✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅
When wins and losses are evenly distributed it's quite comfortable to continue in opening new trades. You still believe your strategy and it's simply normal to have loss time to time.
✅❌❌❌✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅
But what you gonna do when such a streak comes? Are you gonna doubt your strategy? Are you gonna look for different strategy? Remember 65% success rate means 35 possible losses out of 100. If 20 losses comes in a row your long term statistics still was not broken.
Dont think this cant happen to you. If this didnt happen to you yet, you are not trading for long enough. It will come and its better to be prepared.
📌 Lets look at the Monte Carlo simulation with our 65% win ratio and 2RR
As we can see on the picture below if you start with 10K and follow your strategy in a short period of one month we can face drawdown and end unprofitable even when we did everything right. Why? We did everything right and we have positive winning ratio and Risk reward
📌 Random distribution of the trades
I don't win every trade, you don't win every trade. No one does. Trading is longterm game and short term result can be a bit random. Because you are might trend trader and market can stay in the range during some months or you are a reversal trader and its still trading against you. So how to beat it - Time.
📌 Lets have a look at the same setup 65% Win rate and 2 RR
But now let's have look at the long-term results. As we can see on chart below. after some time even the worst case distribution is getting in to the profit. However there still was 3 months around break even - Frustrating but its the reality 📌 Lets improve Risk reward to 2.3
You will be getting slightly bigger wins so every loosing streak will be recovered faster.
And you should not stay in the prolonged drawdowns for long periods
📌 Lets improve win ration to 70%
And its even better less often you got loss and 2.3 RR recover slightly better.
📌 So what should be my risk per trade
First done look on how much you want to make, trading is mainly about protecting capital. After you got your statistical data. Run Monte Carlo simulations and try to model the worst case distribution of the trades.
For example if you got 70% win rate - means you can lose 30 trades out of 100. Be ready that it can happen, even its unlikely and if that really happens it means something is wrong with your strategy or you made too much mistakes. But count with it that it can happen.. Setup your risk per trade in such % that you would be comfortable if that happens.
📍 0.25% Risk - 30x Loss = - 7.5%
📍0.5% Risk - 30 x Loss = - 15%
📍1% Risk - 30 x Loss = -30%
📍2% Risk - 30x Loss = - 60%
📍3% Risk - 30x Loss = - 90%
Define what would you be able to accept and be comfortable even during a loosing streak.
📌 Have more accounts
This will give you flexibility. Im running 3x personal accounts. Each with different risk. with copy trading system to distribute my positions. 🎯 Account 1: Here Im opening all trades which I has well defined risk and its A+Setups. If I open a trade on this account they goes automatically to the other 2 accounts. So I got proportionaly this positions on whole capital with 1% risk.
🎯 Account 2: Here are running copied trades from Account 1 + Im opening another positions when I want to add or increase the risk also used for short terms setups. Its 3% risk only form this one specific account and its not copied to other accounts.
🎯 Account 3: Here are running trades from account 1 + This account is also used mainly for the crypto trades and news trading. Trades are also isolated just for this account and not copied to the whole portfolio.
🎯 Prop Firm Trading
For the prop trading where more strict rules Im using completely different approach which I described in this post below 👇Click the picture to learn more Final tip: Try to have strategy with win rate between 65 - 70% and 2 - 2.5 RR.
If you got anything lower than that you can go thru some dark periods, but you will survive if stick to your plan based on the statistics. If you don't have statistical data of your strategy, stop trading for while , step back and do a bit of backtesting Tradingview has great backtesting features.
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
A Thesis Of A Trade: Developing A Story For Each TradeThe plan is the same, but each pair has a different story and different thesis. Previously, I have reported that I open a batch of trades and closing them all when I reach a certain profit percentage based on the Stochastic Plan.
Last week the batch stayed negative, but all are still within the plan and not a single one broke the idea of the reason why they were opened. This opened the door for me to start treating each trade on its own instead of opening and closing batches. This is something that I wanted to implement but did not have the heart for it, especially that this is the first time for me to trade the scary daily time frame.
Today is Monday, and accidentally it is the 1st of the month, and the 1st of December. This month I am going to try to keep at the methodology of treating each trade independently and create a thesis for each trade.
Such a methodology with a thesis for each trade allows, as one of the comments of one of my previous videos here suggested, to create structural Stop Loss and Take Profit points. The thesis will tell a story of the pair. Why I opened the trade and where do I see it going based on the stochastic trigger and the chart elements.
The thesis will also show when is the thesis going to be negated and no more stands and therefore needs to be stopped even at a loss. A break of thesis means that the reason why a trade was opened no longer exists and I need to get out of it.
In the same manner, the thesis will look at the chart elements and see potential areas where the price might stop moving in my direction and this is again a point where I would close the trade in my favor.
Everyday now I feel closer to reaching a solid Forex trading plan that I can depend on, and the day of funding a live account is getting closer. I am looking at funding an account by the end of this month to start the year 2026 trading live.
Standard Deviations - How to be exit before the pullbackHey whats up guys, in this post Ill show you easy method which can help you to set your targets, stay in the positions, prevent cutting position too early or hold for too long. You will basically have more objectives to stay in trade and give it a frame to which key levels you should use. Standard deviations are projection deviations of the manipulation leg. Which is the price swing that sweeps liquidity and then changes the order flow. In simple words, it is the move that takes out stops and then flips the structure - Order block.
📌 Fibonacci tool settings
We will be measuring deviations from the order block and here is the Fibonnaci settings
0 - 1 is where you measure the manipulation leg and then you got your projections.
Zone between 2 - 2.5 is my main focus for taking partials of full profits Price obviously can go further but between 2 - 2.5 is where I tend to take something of the table. Because my longterm statistics says most of my trades has 2.3 RR. 📌 What to do at 2- 2.5
Obviously don't start doing what Im saying here on your next trade. First test it and if you find it useful, never put any idea from someone from the internet to your money without verifying by yourself then add it to your arsenal or reject it. If your strategy has fixed TP based on structure stick with it. Standard deviations can be just a little helper. Let's look at few examples.
1️⃣ Example: GBPUSD
This is the example which has Benn posted here on TV And as you can see it has made some gain, didn't hit full TP and reversed, back to the entry. But look where it reversed - Exactly at the 2 - 2.5 I saw it has my average profit and it was Friday so I closed it . as we can see it was a good decision to close position fully here and not sticking to to the full target. Im not saying that closing trader before the initial target is good decision, but considering that its Friday and I got my average 2.3 gains. Its a no brainer to take what the market offers to me. 2️⃣ Example: EURUSD
My strategy is has two defined targets. 50% of the range and full range. After taking 50% partial at 50% I should be targeting opposing range low after the sweep of the liquidity highs. So I should hold the trade until the target. But as it was a Friday and price been between 2 - 2.5 means my trade was around 2.3 RR in profit, which is my average reward so I decided to close it completely and as we can see it was a good decision as the price just completely reversed before hitting my target. 3️⃣ Example: XAUUSD
This is model 2 entry on Weekly range and Model 1 on Daily CLS range. Let's not overcomplicate. Look at the order block our initial point for the measuring our target and check where is the 2 Std. Projecting 2 St.D gave me confidence that CLS highs could be reached easily as it all was aligned with HTF trend so I held the trade for the whole week. Exited little bit bellow, but as it was reaction on LTF OB and Friday, I didnt want to hold in the trade over the weekend. 4️⃣ Example :EURUSD
Another EURUSD trade example after sweeping a low and creating order block We can that 2 STD aligns with CLS highs so its perfect target and we can see sharp expansion to the 2 St. D then price started retracing and consolidating, If we targeting bigger targets we would be for 2 days in this choppy range now. 📌This tool is not a strategy it self its just something what can help us to set reasonable targets while we don't have to face big pullbacks. Im not saying you should go only for 2.3 RR as I do. If you can hold traders for 3RR and more you are great trader.
📌However I found that when Im targeting 3R and more, I must face pullback and watch how my gains go back to the markets which I dont like. Im still human and have emotions and you know how it feels when you have a great trade developing and then in a blink of the eye its back on your entry.
📌Also by targeting just 2.3 RR is a clean shot and I realized that I can increase my risk per trade for such setups because they are hitting TP more often than 3RR trades. So in the end it's less stress and better profits. But it's all about a personal preferences.
Let me know what is your average RR and reason you targeting it.
David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter






















