Professional 3SD Institutional Rejection
This indicator identifies institutional "liquidity grab" and "momentum exhaustion" zones using the statistical extremes of 3 Standard Deviations (3SD) on Bollinger Bands. Unlike standard strategies, it doesn't just look for band touches; it confirms price "wicking" outside the 3SD and closing back inside the 2SD band (rejection), while ensuring the Money Flow Index (MFI) shows signs of exhaustion. It is highly effective on 1H, 4H, and Daily timeframes for mean-reversion setups targeting the median line.
Volatility
Multi-Contraction VCP DetectorThis indicator highlights low volume and contracted price movement prior to possible breakouts.
Microstructure Participation & Acceptance Indicator📊 Microstructure Participation & Acceptance Indicator
An advanced participation-based filter combining VWAP distance analysis, volume delta detection, and real-time acceptance/rejection state identification—designed for smaller timeframe trading.
📊 FEATURES
VWAP Distance Normalization
Context-aware fair value measurement:
Automatically resets based on selected anchor (Session/Week/Month)
ATR-normalized distance calculation for universal application
Identifies when price is extended or compressed relative to equilibrium
Configurable extreme distance threshold (default: 1.5 ATR)
Adjustable source input (default: HLC3)
Volume Delta Proxy
Bull vs Bear participation tracking:
Calculates volume imbalance between bullish and bearish candles
EMA smoothing for cleaner signal generation (default: 9 periods)
Delta ratio measurement to identify dominant side
Expansion/compression detection to gauge momentum commitment
Configurable expansion threshold (default: 1.3x)
Acceptance/Rejection State Machine
Real-time market regime identification with six distinct states:
🟢 Accepted Long
Price moving away from VWAP with expanding bullish delta
Distance from VWAP increasing
Volume confirming the move
Indicates real buying pressure—trade WITH the move
🟢 Accepted Short
Price moving away from VWAP with expanding bearish delta
Distance from VWAP increasing
Volume confirming the move
Indicates real selling pressure—trade WITH the move
🟠 Fade Long
Price extended beyond threshold (>1.5 ATR above VWAP)
Delta not supporting the extension
Volume participation absent or diminishing
Potential mean-reversion short setup
🟠 Fade Short
Price extended beyond threshold (>1.5 ATR below VWAP)
Delta not supporting the extension
Volume participation absent or diminishing
Potential mean-reversion long setup
⚪ Chop
Price compressed near VWAP
Bollinger Bands tight (width compressed)
Delta neutral—no clear commitment
NO TRADE ZONE—wait for expansion
⚪ Neutral
Transitional state between regimes
Momentum shifting but not yet confirmed
Monitor for next acceptance signal
Bollinger Bands
Standard volatility measurement with TradingView default styling:
Adjustable period length (default: 20)
Configurable standard deviation multiplier (default: 2.0)
Visual fill between bands for volatility context
Used internally for chop/compression detection
Live Dashboard
Real-time metrics display (top-right corner):
Current market state with color coding
VWAP distance in ATR units
Delta ratio (bull/bear volume balance)
Delta state (Expanding/Compressing)
High-contrast design for instant readability
🎯 HOW TO USE
For Trend Trading:
Accepted Long/Short backgrounds indicate confirmed participation—stay with the trend
Strong moves typically travel 1-1.5 ATR from VWAP with delta support
Use VWAP as dynamic support/resistance
Combine with momentum indicators (MACD, RSI) for confluence
Price above VWAP + Accepted Long state = bullish bias
Price below VWAP + Accepted Short state = bearish bias
For Mean Reversion:
Fade Long/Short states signal overextension without participation
Price beyond 1.5 ATR from VWAP with weak delta = potential reversal
Look for price return to VWAP when extended
Bollinger Band extremes + Fade state = high-probability mean reversion setup
VWAP acts as mean reversion anchor during range-bound sessions
For Risk Management:
Chop state = avoid new entries
Bollinger Band compression + Chop = pre-expansion zone (wait for breakout)
Delta compression after strong move = early exhaustion warning
State transitions (Accepted → Neutral → Fade) = tighten stops
Signal Confirmation:
Strongest setups occur when multiple factors align:
BB breakout + Accepted state + price above/below VWAP
Price rejection at BB bands + Fade state
VWAP support/resistance hold + state transition
Delta expansion + distance increasing + trend direction
⚙️ SETTINGS
All components are fully customizable through organized input groups:
VWAP Distance Group:
VWAP source (default: HLC3)
Anchor period (Session/Week/Month)
ATR length for normalization (default: 14)
Extreme distance threshold in ATR multiples (default: 1.5)
Volume Delta Group:
Delta EMA length (default: 9)
Delta expansion threshold (default: 1.3)
Acceptance Logic Group:
Acceptance lookback period (default: 5)
Chop threshold in VWAP/ATR units (default: 0.3)
Bollinger Bands Group:
BB length (default: 20)
Standard deviation multiplier (default: 2.0)
Display Group:
Toggle state backgrounds
Toggle state change labels
Toggle VWAP line
Toggle Bollinger Bands
💡 EDUCATIONAL VALUE
This indicator teaches important concepts:
How institutional money identifies fair value (VWAP)
The difference between price movement and market acceptance
Why volume participation matters more than price action alone
How to distinguish between noise and committed directional moves
The relationship between volatility compression and expansion cycles
Why distance from equilibrium predicts mean reversion probability
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only
This is a filter, not a standalone trading system
No indicator is perfect—always use proper risk management
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Combine with your own analysis and risk tolerance
Test thoroughly on historical data before live trading
This is not financial advice—use at your own risk
🔧 TECHNICAL DETAILS
Pine Script Version 6
Overlay indicator (displays on price chart)
All calculations use standard, well-documented formulas
No repainting—all signals are confirmed on bar close
Compatible with all timeframes and instruments
Optimized for smaller timeframes (1-5 minute charts)
Minimal computational overhead
📝 CHANGELOG
Version 1.0
Initial release
VWAP distance normalization with ATR scaling
Volume delta proxy system (bull/bear EMA)
6-state acceptance/rejection state machine
Bollinger Bands integration
Real-time dashboard with live metrics
State change labels and background coloring
Full customization options
Developed for traders who need objective participation filters to distinguish high-probability setups from low-quality noise—without cluttering their charts with multiple indicator panels.
DMI Direction TableCompact table for Directional Movement Index (DMI) built to stay readable and configurable.
What it shows
DI+ and DI– from a fixed timeframe via request.security (default 4H), independent of the chart timeframe.
Trend text: Bullish/Bearish/Sideways with strength bucket (Mild/Normal/Strong/Very Strong) derived from the absolute gap |DI+ − DI–|, not ADX.
Values printed with two decimals, no percent sign.
Key controls
Fixed Timeframe (for DMI): choose any resolution; the label auto-displays as 1m/5m/1H/4H/1D/1W/1M.
Gap thresholds: Sideways, Mild, Normal, Strong, Very Strong.
Table Position: top/middle/bottom × left/center/right.
Font Size: tiny/small/normal/large/huge.
Styling
Full manual palette for headers and value cells.
Separate background and text colors for Bullish, Bearish, and Sideways trend states.
Independent colors for DI+ and DI– cells.
Deliberate omissions
No RSI.
No ADX; strength comes solely from the DI gap.
Purpose
Quick, at-a-glance DMI state that remains consistent across timeframes while letting you tune thresholds and visuals to your chart.
QuantLabs Multi Asset Similarity Matrix [V3 Final]The Market is a graph. See the flows:
The QuantLabs MASM is not a standard correlation table. It is an Alpha-Grade Scanner architected to reveal the hidden "hydraulic" relationships between global macro assets in real-time.
Rebuilt from the ground up for Version 3, this engine pushes the absolute limits of the Pine Script™ runtime. It utilizes a proprietary Logarithmic Math Engine, Symmetric Compute Optimization, and a futuristic "Ghost Mode" interface to deliver a 15x15 real-time correlation matrix with zero lag.
Under the Hood: The Quant Architecture
We stripped away standard libraries to build a lean, high-performance engine designed for institutional-grade accuracy.
1. Alpha Math Engine (Logarithmic Returns) Most tools calculate correlation based on Price, which generates spurious signals (e.g., "Everything is correlated in a bull run").
The Solution: Our engine computes Logarithmic Returns (log(close /close )) by default. This measures the correlation of change (Velocity & Vector), not price levels.
The Result: A mathematically rigorous view of statistical relationships that filters out the noise of general market drift.
Dual-Core: Toggle seamlessly between "Alpha Mode" (Log Returns) for verified stats and "Visual Mode" (Price) for trend alignment.
Calculation Modes: Pearson (Standard), Euclidean (Distance), Cosine (Vector), Manhattan (Grid).
2. Symmetric Compute Optimization Calculating a 15x15 matrix requires evaluating 225 unique relationships per bar, which often crashes memory limits.
The Fix: The V3 Engine utilizes Symmetric Logic, recognizing that Correlation(A, B) == Correlation(B, A).
The Gain: By computing only the lower triangle of the matrix and mirroring pointers to the upper triangle, we reduced computational load by 50%, ensuring a lightning-fast data feed even on lower timeframes.
3. Context-Aware "Ghost Mode" The UI is designed for professional traders who need focus, not clutter.
Smart Detection: The matrix automatically detects your current chart's Ticker ID. If you are trading QQQ, the matrix will visually highlight the Nas100 row and column, making them opaque and bright while dimming the rest.
Dynamic Transparency: Irrelevant data ("Noise" < 0.3 correlation) fades into the background. Only significant "Alpha Signals" (> 0.7) glow with full Neon Saturation.
Key Features
Dominant Flow Scanner: The matrix scans all 105 unique pairs every tick and prints the #1 Strongest Correlation at the bottom of the pane (e.g., DOMINANT FLOW: Bitcoin ↔ Nas100 ).
Streak Counter: A "Stubbornness" metric that tracks how many consecutive days a strong correlation has persisted. Instantly identify if a move is a "flash event" or a "structural trend."
Neon Palette: Proprietary color mapping using Electric Blue (+1.0) for lockstep correlation and Deep Red (-1.0) for inverse hedging.
Usage Guide
Placement: Best viewed in a bottom pane (Footer).
Assets: Pre-loaded with the Essential 15 Macro Drivers (Indices, BTC, Gold, Oil, Rates, FX, Key Sectors). Fully editable via settings (Ticker|Name).
Reading the Grid:
🔵 Bright Blue: Assets moving in lockstep (Risk-On).
🔴 Bright Red: Assets moving perfectly opposite (Hedge/Risk-Off).
⚫ Faded/Black: No statistical relationship (Decoupled).
Key Improvements Made:
Formatting: Added clear bullet points and bolding to make it scannable.
Clarity: Clarified the "Logarithmic Returns" section to explain why it matters (Velocity vs. Price Levels).
Tone: Maintained the "high-tech/quant" vibe but removed slightly clunky phrases like "spurious signals" (unless you prefer that academic tone, in which case I left it in as it fits the persona).
Structure: Grouped the "Modes" under the Math Engine for better logic.
Created and designed with love by David James @QuantLabs : )
Trading Volatility Clock⏰ TRADING VOLATILITY CLOCK - Know When the Action Happens (Anywhere in the World)
A real-time session tracker with multi-timezone support for active traders who need to know when US market volatility strikes - no matter where they are in the world. Perfect for day traders, scalpers, and anyone trading liquid US markets.
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📊 WHAT IT DOES
This indicator displays a live clock showing:
- Current time in YOUR selected timezone (10 major timezones supported)
- Active US market session with color-coded volatility levels
- Countdown timer showing time remaining in current session
- Preview of the next upcoming session
- Optional alerts when entering high-volatility periods
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🌍 MULTI-TIMEZONE SUPPORT
SESSIONS ALWAYS TRACK US MARKET HOURS (Eastern Time):
No matter which timezone you select, the sessions always trigger at the correct US market times. Perfect for international traders who want to:
• See their local time while tracking US market sessions
• Know exactly when US volatility hits in their timezone
• Plan their trading day around US market hours
SUPPORTED TIMEZONES:
• America/New_York (ET) - Eastern Time
• America/Chicago (CT) - Central Time
• America/Los_Angeles (PT) - Pacific Time
• Europe/London (GMT) - Greenwich Mean Time
• Europe/Berlin (CET) - Central European Time
• Asia/Tokyo (JST) - Japan Standard Time
• Asia/Shanghai (CST) - China Standard Time
• Asia/Hong_Kong (HKT) - Hong Kong Time
• Australia/Sydney (AEDT) - Australian Eastern Time
• UTC - Coordinated Universal Time
EXAMPLE: A trader in Tokyo selects "Asia/Tokyo"
• Clock shows: 11:30 PM JST
• Session shows: "Opening Drive" 🔥 HIGH
• They know: US market just opened (9:30 AM ET in New York)
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🎯 WHY IT'S USEFUL
Whether you trade futures, high-volume stocks, or ETFs, volatility isn't constant throughout the day. Knowing WHEN to expect movement is critical:
🔥 HIGH VOLATILITY (Red):
• Opening Drive (9:30-10:30 AM ET) - Highest volume of the day
• Power Hour (3:00-4:00 PM ET) - Second-highest volume, final push
⚡ MEDIUM VOLATILITY (Yellow):
• Pre-Market (8:00-9:30 AM ET) - Building momentum
• Lunch Return (1:00-2:00 PM ET) - Traders returning
• Afternoon Session (2:00-3:00 PM ET) - Trend continuation
• After Hours (4:00-5:00 PM ET) - News reactions
💤 LOW VOLATILITY (Gray):
• Overnight Grind (12:00-8:00 AM ET) - Thin volume
• Mid-Morning Chop (10:30-11:30 AM ET) - Ranges form
• Lunch Hour (11:30 AM-1:00 PM ET) - Dead zone
• Evening Fade (5:00-8:00 PM ET) - Volume dropping
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⚙️ CUSTOMIZATION OPTIONS
TIMEZONE SETTINGS:
• Select from 10 major timezones worldwide
• Clock automatically displays in your local time
• Sessions remain locked to US market hours
SESSION TIME CUSTOMIZATION:
• Every session boundary is adjustable (in minutes from midnight ET)
• Perfect for traders who define sessions differently
• Advanced users can create custom volatility schedules
DISPLAY OPTIONS:
• Toggle next session preview on/off
• Enable/disable high volatility alerts
• Clean, unobtrusive table display in top-right corner
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💡 HOW TO USE
1. Add indicator to any chart (works on all timeframes)
2. Select your timezone in Settings → Timezone Settings
3. Set your chart to 1-minute timeframe for real-time updates
4. Customize session times if needed (Settings → Session Time Customization)
5. Watch the top-right corner for live session tracking
TRADING APPLICATIONS:
• Avoid trading during dead zones (lunch hour, mid-morning chop)
• Increase position size during high volatility windows
• Set alerts for Opening Drive and Power Hour
• Plan your trading day around US market volatility schedule
• International traders can track US sessions in their local time
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🎓 EDUCATIONAL VALUE
This indicator teaches traders:
• Market microstructure and volume patterns
• Why certain times produce better opportunities
• How institutional flows create intraday patterns
• The importance of timing in active trading
• How to adapt US market trading to any timezone
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⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES
- Works best on 1-minute charts for frequent updates
- Sessions are ALWAYS based on US Eastern Time (ET)
- Timezone selection only changes the clock display
- Clock updates when new bar closes (not tick-by-tick)
- Alerts trigger once per bar when enabled
- Perfect for international traders tracking US markets
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📈 BEST USED WITH
- High-volume US stocks: TSLA, NVDA, AAPL, AMD, META
- Major US ETFs: SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA
- US Futures: ES, NQ, RTY, YM, MES, MNQ
- Any liquid US instrument with clear intraday volume patterns
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🌏 FOR INTERNATIONAL TRADERS
This tool is specifically designed for traders outside the US who need to:
• Track US market sessions in their local timezone
• Know when to be at their desk for US volatility
• Avoid waking up for low-volatility periods
• Maximize trading efficiency around US market hours
No more timezone confusion. No more missing the opening bell. Just set your timezone and trade with confidence.
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This is an open-source educational tool. Feel free to modify and adapt to your trading style!
Happy Trading! 🚀
Goldilocks Regime FilterGoldilocks Regime Filter is a lightweight market condition confirmation indicator engineered specifically for 1-minute Gold scalping.
Rather than generating trade signals, this tool focuses on identifying the current market regime—helping traders quickly determine whether price action is behaving in a directional (trending) or rotational (ranging) manner. This allows traders to align their existing entry strategies with appropriate market conditions and avoid applying momentum tactics in unfavorable environments.
The indicator synthesizes multiple aspects of market behavior—trend strength, volatility behavior, and price efficiency—into a simple, intuitive top-right table with a clear regime label and confidence reading. This makes it easy to assess market state at a glance without adding clutter to the chart.
Key Features
Designed specifically for 1-minute Gold charts
Clear Trending / Ranging / Neutral regime classification
Confidence score to gauge strength of the current condition
Non-repainting, confirmation-only logic
Minimalist table display that stays out of the way
Works alongside any strategy or discretionary approach
Intended Use
This indicator is designed to be used as a confirmation filter, not a standalone trading system. It is best applied to:
Confirm momentum-based setups during directional conditions
Avoid overtrading during low-efficiency, rotational markets
Improve discipline and context during fast intraday sessions
Goldilocks Regime Filter does not provide buy or sell signals and should be used in conjunction with proper risk management and a defined trading plan.
Manipulation Candle SystemThis indicator is based on One Candle Scalping Strategy by ProRealAlgos
## **Manipulation Candle System – Simple Explanation**
This indicator helps traders identify **potential market manipulation** during the **US stock market session (New York)** and highlights **key reversal signals**.
---
### **1. Daily ATR (Average True Range)**
* Measures the **average price movement** of the day.
* Helps determine if a move is **normal** or **abnormally large**.
* The indicator calculates **daily ATR** automatically.
* If 15 minute opening candle is more than 25% of Daily ATR, we can call it manipulation is happen .
---
### **2. 15-Minute Opening Candle Box**
* Highlights the **first 15-minute candle** of the US session.
* The box **extends for 2 hours** after the market opens.
* **Color indicates market condition**:
* **Red box** → the opening candle range is bigger than 25% of the daily ATR → potential **manipulation**.
* **Blue box** → the opening candle range is normal → **neutral session**.
* Helps traders visually spot when the market might be trying to **trap traders**.
---
### **3. 5-Minute Reversal Detection**
* Looks for **reversal candle patterns** on the 5-minute chart:
* Bullish engulfing or strong bullish pin → **buy reversal**.
* Bearish engulfing or strong bearish pin → **sell reversal**.
* Only checks during the **US session**, after 15 minute opening candle.
* Helps traders **time entries** in the direction of potential market reversals.
---
### **4. Buy / Sell Signals**
* Shows **triangle markers** on the chart:
* **Green triangle below candle** → buy signal.
* **Red triangle above candle** → sell signal.
* The signal text also indicates:
* `"BUY (Trap Reversal)"` → if the reversal occurs during manipulation.
* `"BUY (Normal Reversal)"` → if the reversal occurs during a neutral session.
* `"SELL (Trap Reversal)"` → if a sell reversal occurs during manipulation.
* `"SELL (Normal Reversal)"` → otherwise.
---
### **5. Info Table**
* Appears at the **top-right** of the chart.
* Shows:
1. Daily ATR value.
2. 15-minute opening candle range.
3. Session condition → `"MANIPULATION"` or `"NEUTRAL"`.
4. Current reversal signal text.
---
### **How a New Trader Can Use It**
1. Look at the **color of the opening box**:
* Red → be cautious, price may trap traders.
* Blue → normal market behavior.
2. Watch for **reversal signals** on the 5-minute chart.
3. Use the **info table** to confirm ATR, session bias, and signals.
4. Combine this with **risk management** before entering trades.
Vector Trinity I: Structure [VWAP-DBB] This indicator is **Part 1** of the "Vector Trinity" trading system—a comprehensive, data-driven framework designed to analyze market behavior through three distinct physical dimensions:
* **I: Structure (Space):** Defines the battlefield and volatility boundaries (Current Indicator).
* **II: Impulse (Time):** Identifies momentum ignition and energy release.
* **III: Flow (Energy):** Validates the move via volume and capital flow.
**2. Core Logic: Why Rolling VWAP?**
Most standard Bollinger Bands use a Simple Moving Average (SMA) as the centerline. The flaw in SMA is that it treats every candle equally, regardless of trading activity.
**Vector Trinity I** replaces the SMA with a **Rolling VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price)** over a rolling window (default 20).
* **Data Logic:** Price combined with Volume represents the true "cost basis" of the market.
* **Behavior:** The centerline becomes "sticky" during high-volume nodes and moves faster when real capital enters. It represents the *True Mean* of the market structure.
**3. The Dual-Band "Highway" Structure**
Instead of a single channel, this system utilizes a Double Bollinger Band (DBB) architecture based on Standard Deviations (StdDev) from the VWAP:
* **The Noise Zone (Basis to 1.0 StdDev):** The empty space in the middle. Price action here is often choppy and directionless.
* **The Acceleration Zone (1.0 to 2.0 StdDev):** The filled "Cloud." When candles close and stay within this zone, it indicates a strong trend (The Highway).
* **The Reversion Zone (> 2.0 StdDev):** Price is statistically extended and may revert to the mean.
**4. Volatility Squeeze Detection**
The indicator integrates a mechanical "Squeeze" detection based on the relationship between the Bollinger Bands (Variance) and Keltner Channels (ATR).
* **Squeeze ON (Orange Cloud & Dots):** Daily variance is at extreme lows. Energy is compressing. Do not trade direction; prepare for a breakout.
* **Squeeze OFF (Grey Cloud):** Expansion phase. Volatility is returning to the market.
**5. How to Use**
* **Step 1:** Observe the **Purple Line (VWAP)**. Its slope dictates the dominant trend structure.
* **Step 2:** Look for **Orange Zones**. This indicates a "Squeeze." Wait for the cloud to turn Grey.
* **Step 3:** Trade the breakout when price closes inside the "Acceleration Zone" (between the inner and outer bands) accompanied by Volume.
**Settings:**
* **Rolling Length:** 20 (Standard for swing/day trading).
* **Inner/Outer Bands:** 1.0 / 2.0 (The standard trend definition).
* **Squeeze Sensitivity:** 1.5 (Standard KC Multiplier).
---
### **中文说明**
**1. 简介:矢量三位一体系统 (Vector Trinity)**
本指标是“矢量三位一体”交易系统的 **第一部分**。这是一套基于数据逻辑的综合分析框架,旨在通过三个物理维度解构市场行为:
* **I: Structure 结构 (空间):** 定义价格运行的战场边界与波动率结构(本指标)。
* **II: Impulse 脉冲 (时间):** 识别动能的点火与能量释放。
* **III: Flow 流向 (能量):** 通过成交量与资金流验证突破的真伪。
**2. 核心逻辑:为什么要用 Rolling VWAP?**
传统的布林带使用简单移动平均线 (SMA) 作为中轨。SMA 的缺陷在于它平等地对待每一根 K 线,而忽略了成交量的权重。
**Vector Trinity I** 使用 **Rolling VWAP (滚动成交量加权平均价)** 替代了 SMA。
* **数据逻辑:** 只有结合了成交量的价格,才代表市场真实的“平均持仓成本”。
* **表现特征:** 在放量交易区,中轨会表现出更强的支撑/阻力特性;在缩量区则表现平滑。它代表了市场结构的*真实均值*。
**3. 双通道“高速公路”结构**
本系统不使用单条轨道,而是基于 VWAP 的标准差 (StdDev) 构建了双重布林带 (DBB) 架构:
* **噪音区 (中轨 到 1.0 标准差):** 中间的空白区域。在此区域内的价格通常是无方向的震荡。
* **加速区 (1.0 到 2.0 标准差):** 填充颜色的“云带”。当 K 线收盘并运行于此区域时,代表趋势确立,价格进入了“高速公路”。
* **回归区 (> 2.0 标准差):** 价格在统计学上过热,可能面临均值回归。
**4. 波动率挤压监测 (Squeeze)**
指标内置了基于布林带(方差)与肯特纳通道(ATR)对比的机械化“挤压”监测。
* **挤压状态 (橙色云带 & 底部圆点):** 每日方差处于极低值 (Variance at extreme lows)。市场正在积蓄能量。此时不应猜测方向,而应等待爆发。
* **扩张状态 (灰色云带):** 挤压结束,波动率回归,趋势展开。
**5. 使用方法**
* **第一步:** 观察 **紫色中轨 (VWAP)**。它的倾斜方向决定了主要的结构趋势。
* **第二步:** 寻找 **橙色区域**。这代表“挤压”正在发生。耐心等待云带变回灰色。
* **第三步:** 当价格突破并收盘在“加速区”(内轨与外轨之间)时,配合成交量介入交易。
**参数设置:**
* **Rolling Length (周期):** 20 (波段/日内交易的标准设置)。
* **Inner/Outer Bands (内外轨):** 1.0 / 2.0 (经典的趋势定义范围)。
* **Squeeze Sensitivity (敏感度):** 1.5 (标准肯特纳通道倍数)。
GARCH Adaptive Volatility & Momentum Predictor
💡 I. Indicator Concept: GARCH Adaptive Volatility & Momentum Predictor
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The GARCH Adaptive Momentum Speed indicator provides a powerful, forward-looking
view on market risk and momentum. Unlike standard moving averages or static
volatility indicators (like ATR), GARCH forecasts the Conditional Volatility (σ_t)
for the next bar, based on the principle of volatility clustering.
The indicator consists of two essential components:
1. GARCH Volatility (Level): The primary forecast of the expected magnitude of
price movement (risk).
2. Vol. Speed (Momentum): The first derivative of the GARCH forecast, showing
whether market risk is accelerating or decelerating. This component is the
main visual signal, displayed as a dynamic histogram.
⚙️ II. Key Features and Adaptive Logic
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* Dynamic Coefficient Adaptation: The indicator automatically adjusts the GARCH
coefficients (α and β) based on the chart's timeframe (TF):
- Intraday TFs (M1-H4): Uses higher α and lower β for quicker reaction
to recent shocks.
- Daily/Weekly TFs (D, W): Uses lower α and higher β for a smoother,
more persistent long-term forecast.
* Momentum Visualization: The Vol. Speed component is plotted as a dynamic
histogram (fill) that automatically changes color based on the direction of
acceleration (Green for up, Red for down).
📊 III. Interpretation Guide
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- GARCH Volatility (Blue Line): The predicted level of market risk. Use this to
gauge overall position sizing and stop loss width.
- Vol. Speed (Green Histogram): Momentum is ACCELERATING (Risk is increasing rapidly).
A strong signal that momentum is building, often preceding a breakout.
- Vol. Speed (Red Histogram): Momentum is DECELERATING (Risk is contracting).
Indicates momentum is fading, often associated with market consolidation.
🎯 IV. Trading Application
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Breakout Timing: Look for a strong, high GREEN histogram bar. This suggests
the volatility pressure is increasing rapidly, and a breakout may be imminent.
- Consolidation: Small, shrinking RED histogram bars signal that market energy
is draining, ideal for tight consolidation patterns.
Tailwind.(BTC)Imagine the price of Bitcoin is like a person climbing a staircase.
The Steps (Grid): Instead of watching every single price movement, the strategy divides the market into fixed steps. In your configuration, each step measures **3,000 points**. (Examples: 60,000, 63,000, 66,000...).
The Signal: We buy only when the price climbs a full step decisively.
The "Expensive Price" Filter: If the price jumps the step but lands too far away (the candle closes too high), we do not buy. It is like trying to board a train that has already started moving too fast; the risk is too high.
Rigid Exits: The Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) are calculated from the edge of the step, not from the specific price where you managed to buy. This preserves the geometric structure of the market.
The Code Logic (Step-by-Step)
A. The Math of the Grid (`math.floor`)
pinescript
level_base = math.floor(close / step_size) * step_size
This is the most important line.
What does it do? It rounds the price down to the nearest multiple of 3,000.
Example: If BTC is at 64,500 and the step size is 3,000:
1. Divide: $64,500 / 3,000 = 21.5$
2. `math.floor` (Floor): Removes the decimals $\rightarrow$ remains $21$.
3. Multiply: $21 * 3,000 = 63,000$.
Result: The code knows that the current "floor" is **63,000**, regardless of whether the price is at 63,001 or 65,999.
B. The Strict Breakout (`strict_cross`)
pinescript
strict_cross = (open < level_base) and (close > level_base)
Most strategies only check if `close > level`. We do things slightly differently:
`open < level_base`: Requires the candle to have "born" *below* the line (e.g., opened at 62,900).
`close > level_base`: Requires the candle to have *finished* above the line (e.g., closed at 63,200).
Why? This avoids entering on gaps (price jumps where the market opens already very high) and confirms that there was real buying power crossing the line.
C. The "Expensive Price" Filter (`max_dist_pct`)
pinescript
limit_price_entry = level_base + (step_size * (max_dist_pct / 100.0))
price_is_valid = close <= limit_price_entry
Here you apply the percentage rule:
-If the level is 63,000 and the next is 66,000 (a difference of 3,000).
-If `max_dist_pct` is **60%**, the limit is $63,000 + (60\% \text{ of } 3,000) = 64,800$.
-If the breakout candle closes at **65,000**, the variable `price_is_valid` will be **false** and it will not enter the trade. This avoids buying at the ceiling.
D. TP and SL Calculation (Anchored to the Level)
pinescript
take_profit = level_base + (step_size * tp_mult)
stop_loss = level_base - (step_size * sl_mult)
Note that we use `level_base` and not `close`.
-If you entered because the price broke 63,000, your SL is calculated starting from 63,000.
-If your SL is 1.0x, your stop will be exactly at 60,000.
This is crucial: If you bought "expensive" (e.g., at 63,500), your real stop is wider (3,500 points) than if you bought cheap (63,100). Because you filter out expensive entries, you protect your Risk/Reward ratio.
E. Visual Management (`var line`)
The code uses `var` variables to remember the TP and SL lines and the `line.set_x2` function to stretch them to the right while the operation remains open, providing that visual reference on the chart until the trade ends.
Workflow Summary
Strategy Parameters:
Total Capital: $20,000
We will use 10% of total capital per trade.
Commissions: 0.1% per trade.
TP: 1.4
SL: 1
Step Size (Grid): 3,000
We use the 200 EMA as a trend filter.
Feel free to experiment with the parameters to your liking. Cheers.
USD Liquidity Regime IndexTrack global risk regimes with this USD Liquidity Composite —
It aims to be a daily macro indicator blending normalised DXY (50%), UUP (20%), 10Y Treasury yields (20%), and VIX (10%).
How to read:
When the blue index is above its red SMA: Strong USD, tightening liquidity → Risk-Off mode (often bearish for Nasdaq, BTC, and risk assets).
When the line is below: Weak USD, abundant liquidity → Risk-On (bullish environment).
Example: In 2022's bear market, the index stayed high above SMA most of the year, signalling persistent Risk-Off as USD surged.
Features on-chart table, regime background colors, and crossover alerts.
Great contextual tool for macro traders IMO.
Educational only — not financial advice.
Use at your own risk.
By @frank_vergaram
SMI Trigger System - Lower - NPR21/ChatGPTSMI Trigger System (Lower) — Buy Low / Hrugu (Modified)
This indicator is a modified version of the original SMI Trigger System created by Buy Low, with later enhancements by Hrugu, published with permission.
The script is a lower-pane Smoothed Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) designed to deliver clear, visually intuitive momentum signals without unnecessary clutter. This version focuses exclusively on SMI behavior and removes auxiliary indicators to keep signals clean, readable, and consistent across timeframes.
Key Features
Smoothed SMI line with dynamic color changes based on momentum direction
Raw SMI line for additional reference
Zero-line split cloud shading for quick bullish/bearish momentum identification
Upper and lower SMI reference levels for overbought/oversold context
Exact-bar SMI color-flip triangle markers for immediate visual confirmation
Adjustable triangle size and offset so markers do not overlap the SMI line
Fully customizable colors for:
Zero line
Smoothed SMI (up/down)
Raw SMI
Cloud above and below zero
Upper and lower SMI levels
How to Use
This indicator is designed to highlight momentum shifts, not to predict price. It works best when combined with price structure, trend context, or higher-timeframe bias.
1. SMI Line & Color Changes
The smoothed SMI line changes color based on momentum direction:
Up color → momentum strengthening
Down color → momentum weakening
A color change often signals a potential momentum shift.
2. SMI Color-Flip Triangles
Green ▲ triangle below the SMI
Appears when the smoothed SMI turns upward (bearish → bullish momentum).
Red ▼ triangle above the SMI
Appears when the smoothed SMI turns downward (bullish → bearish momentum).
Triangles are plotted on the same bar the SMI changes color and are offset so they do not overlap the SMI line.
These markers are intended as visual confirmations, not standalone trade signals.
3. Zero Line & Cloud
The zero line separates bullish and bearish momentum regimes.
Cloud above zero → bullish momentum bias
Cloud below zero → bearish momentum bias
Stronger signals often occur when SMI flips in the direction of the cloud.
4. Upper & Lower SMI Levels
Upper and lower reference levels help identify extended momentum.
Momentum flips near or beyond these levels may indicate:
Exhaustion
Potential pullbacks
Trend continuation setups when aligned with higher-timeframe direction
5. Best Practices
Use this indicator as a confirmation tool, not a prediction tool.
Combine with:
Market structure
Support and resistance
Trend direction
Volume or price action
Works well on tick charts, intraday timeframes, and higher-timeframe analysis.
Additional Notes
Triangles do not repaint
All visual elements are user-configurable
No ADX or Awesome Oscillator components
Designed for clarity, speed, and ease of interpretation
This script is intended for analytical and educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice.
CT Market Fragility & Systemic Risk Monitor v1.0CT ⊕ Market Fragility & Systemic Risk Monitor v1.0
Systemic Stress & Market Regime Monitor
OVERVIEW
Wall Street-grade structural monitoring now open-source.
CT ⊕ Market Fragility & Systemic Risk Monitor v1.0 is a real-time systemic risk tool designed to detect fragility before it hits price. Built by former institutional traders, it delivers structural insight typically reserved for desks inside hedge funds and global macro desks.
This isn’t about finding entries or exits, it’s about understanding the environment you're trading in, and recognizing when it's shifting.
WHAT IT DOES
• Monitors six key market domains: Equities, Rates/Credit, FX (USD stress), Commodities, Crypto, and Macro
• Detects volatility stress, cross-domain coupling, and regime synchronization
• Classifies market structure into Normal → Fragile → Critical
• Shows a live dashboard with scores, coupling levels, and structural state
• Plots event markers (T1, T2, T3) for structural transitions
• Implements hysteresis logic to model post-stress 'memory
• Supports both single-domain ("Local Mode") and system-wide monitoring
HOW IT WORKS
This engine does not rely on traditional TA. No moving averages. No MACD. No patterns. No guesswork.
Instead, it measures how markets are behaving beneath price detecting when stress is:
• Building internally
• Spreading across domains
• Synchronizing into systemic fragility
T1 (🟠) — Early instability: acceleration in market coupling
T2 (🔵) — Fragile regime: multiple domains simultaneously stressed
T3 (🔴) — Critical regime: synchronized, system-wide stress
These are not buy/sell signals. They are structural regime alerts, the same kind used by institutions to cut risk before stress cascades.
WHY IT MATTERS
Most retail tools are reactive. They interpret surface-level patterns after the move.
This tool is different. It’s proactive – measuring pressure before it breaks structure.
Institutions have used structural fragility models like this for years. This script helps close that gap, giving everyday traders the same early warnings that pros use to reduce exposure and sidestep systemic blowups.
It’s not about finding the edge.
It’s about not getting crushed when the system breaks.
Whether you trade crypto, stocks, FX, or macro, this engine helps answer:
• Is the system stable right now?
• Are stress levels rising across markets?
• Is it time to tighten risk?
Institutions don’t wait for breakouts. They monitor structure.
Now, you can too.
KEY FEATURES
• Works on any asset class and any timeframe
• Fully customizable domain selection
• Three-tier structural alert system (T1–T3)
• Real-time dashboard: stress scores, states, and coupling levels
• Hysteresis modeling: post-stress “memory” detection
• Supports single-domain (local) or multi-domain (systemic) monitoring
• PineScript alerts built-in
RECOMMENDED USE
Active traders - all asset classes
Use the dashboard and T1–T3 alerts to stay aware of structural risk in real time.
Track multi-timeframe alignment to detect where risk originates and how it spreads across markets.
Crypto trader s
Monitor upstream domains (Equities, FX, Rates, Macro) to detect pressure before it reaches crypto.
Identify reflexive stress before Bitcoin reacts — and stay ahead of contagion events.
Macro & systematic traders
Use T1–T3 transitions as volatility filters, exposure governors, or dynamic risk overlays.
Build regime-aware models that adapt to shifting systemic conditions.
Examples & Visuals
Question: Would it have helped to know that at 9:30 on October 9th and again at 10:00 on October 10th that critical states were detected in the structural behavior of Bitcoin? Take a look:
30 min chart BTC shows two distinct T3 (critical) regime detections October 9th and 10:30 October 10th
5m BTC chart reveals high frequency instability for the same period, identifying instability, fragility, criticality
The 30minute BTC chart at 16:30 Friday October 10th,, a few hours after first detecting critical systemic risk
RISK DISCLAIMER
This is a structural analysis tool, not a predictive signal. It does not provide financial advice, trade entries, or forecasts. Use at your own risk. Full disclaimer embedded in the script.
Complexity Trading - From Wall St to Main St
No patterns. No repainting. No mysticism. Just logic, math, science and market structure - now made accessible to everyone.
Developer of LPPL Critical Pulse (LPPLCP), the Temporal Phase Model (TPM) and other
other advanced structural and attractor based systems inspired by Sornette’s LPPL framework and other differentiated thinkers.
Note on Methodology
This tool is not predictive, and not designed for academic publication.
It is a real-time structural monitoring system inspired by academically established concepts,
including LPPL attractor dynamics, cross-asset coupling, reflexivity, and phase regime transitions, implemented within the real-time constraints of PineScript, and intended for visual, exploratory, and diagnostic use.
Hybrid Strategy: Trend/ORB/MTFHybrid Strategy: Trend + ORB + Multi-Timeframe Matrix
This script is a comprehensive "Trading Manager" designed to filter out noise and identify high-probability breakout setups. It combines three powerful concepts into a single, clean chart interface: Trend Alignment, Opening Range Breakout (ORB), and Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Analysis.
It is designed to prevent "analysis paralysis" by providing a unified Dashboard that confirms if the trend is aligned across 5 different timeframes before you take a trade.
How it Works
The strategy relies on the "Golden Trio" of confluence:
1. Trend Definition (The Setup) Before looking for entries, the script analyzes the immediate trend. A bullish trend is defined as:
Price is above the Session VWAP.
The fast EMA (9) is above the slow EMA (21). (The inverse applies for bearish trends).
2. The Signal (The Trigger) The script draws the Opening Range (default: first 15 minutes of the session).
Buy Signal: Price breaks above the Opening Range High while the Trend is Bullish.
Sell Signal: Price breaks below the Opening Range Low while the Trend is Bearish.
3. The Confirmation (The Filter) A signal is only valid if the Higher Timeframe (default: 60m) agrees with the direction. If the 1m chart says "Buy" but the 60m chart is bearish, the signal is filtered out to prevent false breakouts.
Key Features
The Matrix Dashboard A zero-lag, real-time table in the corner of your screen that monitors 5 user-defined timeframes (e.g., 5m, 15m, 30m, 60m, 4H).
Trend: Checks if Price > EMA 21.
VWAP: Checks if Price > VWAP.
ORB: Checks if Price is currently above/below the Opening Range of that session.
D H/L: Warns if price is near the Daily High or Low.
PD H/L: Warns if price is near the Previous Daily High or Low.
Visual Order Blocks The script automatically identifies valid Order Blocks (sequences of consecutive candles followed by a strong explosive move).
Chart: Draws Green/Red zones extending to the right, showing where price may react.
Dashboard: Displays the exact High, Low, and Average price of the most recent Order Blocks for precision planning.
Risk Management (Trailing Stop) Once a trade is active, the script plots Chandelier Exit dots (ATR-based trailing stop) to help you manage the trade and lock in profits during trend runs.
Visual Guide (Chart Legend)
⬜ Gray Box: Represents the Opening Range (first 15 minutes). This is your "No Trade Zone." Wait for price to break out of this box.
🟢 Green Line: The Opening Range High. A break above this line signals potential Bullish momentum.
🔴 Red Line: The Opening Range Low. A break below this line signals potential Bearish momentum.
🟢 Green / 🔴 Red Zones (Boxes): These are Order Blocks.
🟢 Green Zone: A Bullish Order Block (Demand). Expect price to potentially bounce up from here.
🔴 Red Zone: A Bearish Order Block (Supply). Expect price to potentially reject down from here.
⚪ Dots (Trailing Stop):
🟢 Green Dots: These appear below price during a Bullish trend. They represent your suggested Stop Loss.
🔴 Red Dots: These appear above price during a Bearish trend.
🏷️ Buy / Sell Labels:
BUY: Triggers when Price breaks the Green Line + Trend is Bullish + HTF is Bullish.
SELL: Triggers when Price breaks the Red Line + Trend is Bearish + HTF is Bearish.
Settings
Session: Customizable RTH (Regular Trading Hours) to filter out pre-market noise.
Matrix Timeframes: 5 fixed slots to choose which timeframes you want to monitor.
Order Blocks: Adjust the sensitivity and lookback period for Order Block detection.
Risk: Customize the ATR multiplier for the trailing stop.
Disclaimer
This tool is for educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always manage your risk properly.
SMI Trigger System The SMI Trigger System is a lower-pane momentum indicator based on a Hull-smoothed Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI). It is designed to assist in identifying potential momentum shifts by highlighting signal alignment and level interactions.
This indicator is intended to be used as part of a broader analysis framework. Confluence between trend, structure, and higher-timeframe context defines the setup, while SMI signal behavior may be used for confirmation.
The script can be applied across multiple timeframes and markets. It does not generate trade signals on its own and should be used alongside additional analysis and risk management techniques.
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Session HeatmapIntraday Seasonality
Overview
Analyzes historical patterns by time of day. Identifies when volatility, volume, and open interest changes tend to be highest or lowest.
Features
Multiple Metrics: TR (volatility), Volume, and Open Interest changes
Flexible Grouping: View patterns by weekday or month to spot day-of-week or seasonal effects
Heatmap Visualization: Blue (low) to Red (high) color scale for quick pattern recognition
Percentile Mode: Reduces outlier impact by using 5th-95th percentile range
Timezone Support: Display in UTC alongside your local time
Metrics Explained
TR: Volatility - when markets move most
Volume: Liquidity - when participation is highest
OI Increase: When new positions are opened
OI Decrease: When positions are closed
OI Net: Net open interest change
Usage
Set your timezone and preferred slot size (30min/1H)
Choose a date range (relative or custom)
Select a metric to analyze
Use "Group By" to see weekday or monthly patterns
Switch to Percentile color scale if outliers dominate
Notes
Chart timeframe should be equal to or smaller than Slot Size
OI metrics require Binance Perpetual symbols
DST is not automatically adjusted; consider seasonal shifts for US/EU sessions
Session ATR Progression Tracker📊 Session ATR Progression Tracker - SIYL Regression Trading Tool
Track how much of your instrument's 7-day Average True Range (ATR) has been covered during the current trading session. This indicator is specifically designed for regression traders who follow the "Stay In Your Lane" (SIYL) methodology, helping you identify when the probability of mean reversion significantly increases. If you are interested in more on that check out Rod Casselli and tradersdevgroup.com.
🎯 Key Features:
• Real-time ATR Coverage Percentage - See at a glance what percentage of the 7-day ATR has been covered in the current session
• SIYL-Optimized Thresholds - See at a glance when the instrument has achieved 80% and 100% ATR coverage, the proven thresholds where mean reversion probability increases (customizable)
• Flexible Session Modes:
- Daily: Resets at calendar day change
- Session: Uses exchange-defined trading sessions
- Custom Session: Set your exact session start/end times (perfect for futures traders and international markets)
• Visual Alerts - Color-coded display (gray → orange → red) and optional background highlighting
• Repositionable Display - Choose from 9 screen positions to avoid chart clutter
• Session Markers - Green triangles mark the start of each new session
• Detailed Stats - View current range, ATR value, session high/low, and session status
💡 Why Use This Indicator?
This tool is built around a proven concept: regression trading becomes significantly more effective once a session has achieved at least 80% of its 7-day ATR. At this threshold, the probability of price reverting to mean increases substantially, creating higher-probability trade setups for SIYL practitioners.
Benefits for regression traders:
- Identify optimal entry points when mean reversion probability is highest (≥80% ATR coverage)
- Avoid premature regression entries before adequate range has been established
- Recognize when daily moves have "earned their range" and are ripe for reversal
- Time fade-the-move and counter-trend strategies with statistical backing
- Improve win rates by trading only after proven probability thresholds are met
⚙️ Setup Instructions:
1. Add the indicator to your chart
2. Select your preferred "Reset Mode" (recommend "Custom Session" for futures/international markets)
3. If using Custom Session, enter your session times in 24-hour format (e.g., 0930-1600 for US stocks, 1700-1600 for CME futures)
4. Adjust alert thresholds if desired (default: 80% and 100% - proven SIYL thresholds)
5. Position the display where it's most visible on your chart
📈 Works Across All Markets:
Stocks • Futures • Forex • Indices • Crypto • Commodities
Perfect for regression traders, mean reversion specialists, and SIYL practitioners who want to trade with probability on their side by entering only after the session has "earned its range."
---
Tip: For futures contracts with overnight sessions that span calendar days (like MES, MNQ, MYM), use "Custom Session" mode with your exchange's official session times for accurate tracking.
Session Volume Profile Sniffer: HVN & Rejection ZonesA simple tool built for traders who rely on intraday volume structure.
What this script does
This script tracks volume distribution inside a selected session and highlights two key price levels:
High Volume Nodes (HVNs) — areas where price spent time building heavy participation.
Low Volume Nodes (LVNs) — thin zones where price moved quickly with very little interest.
Instead of plotting a full profile, this tool gives you the exact rejection-level lines you usually hunt manually.
Why these levels matter
HVN → price tends to react, stall, or flip direction
LVN → price often rejects strongly since liquidity is thin
Rejection patterns around these areas give clean entry signals
Positioning trades around HVN/LVN helps filter noise in choppy sessions
This script removes the trouble of drawing profiles, counting bins, or guessing node levels. Everything is calculated inside the session you choose.
How the detection works
Inside your session window, the script:
1. Tracks each tick-based price bucket
2. Accumulates raw volume for every bucket
Identifies:
HVNs = buckets with volume above a tier
LVNs = buckets with volume below a tier
3. Prints each level as a single clean line
4. Generates:
Long signal → bounce from LVN
Short signal → rejection from HVN
Built-in exits use ATR-based conditions for quick testing.
Features
Session-based volume mapping
HVN + LVN levels drawn automatically
Entry triggers based on rejection
ATR exits for experimental backtests
Clean, minimal visual output
Best use cases
Intraday futures
Index scalping
FX sessions (London / NY)
Crypto sessions (user-timed)
Anyone who trades around volume structure
Adjustable settings
Session window
Volume bin size
HVN multiplier
LVN multiplier
Enable/disable zone lines
This keeps it flexible enough for both scalpers and slow-paced intraday setups.
Important note
This script is built for study + idea testing.
It is not intended as a final system.
Once you identify how price behaves around these nodes, you can blend this tool into your own setup.
rj_temu_pair_tradea simple "temu" implementation of a pair trade
see robotjames.substack.com for details.
Bollinger Bands Forecast with Signals (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Bollinger Bands Forecast with Signals (Zeiierman) extends classic Bollinger Bands into a forward-looking framework. Instead of only showing where volatility has been, it projects where the basis (midline) and band width are likely to drift next, based on recent trend and volatility behavior.
The projection is built from the measured slopes of the Bollinger basis, the standard deviation (or ATR, depending on the mode), and a volatility “breathing” component. On top of that, the script includes an optional projected price path that can be blended with a deterministic random walk, plus rejection signals to highlight failed band breaks.
█ How It Works
⚪ Bollinger Core
The script first computes standard Bollinger Bands using the selected Source, Length, and Multiplier:
Basis = SMA(Source, Length)
Band width = Multiplier × StDev(Source, Length)
Upper/Lower = Basis ± Width
This remains the “live” (non-forecast) structure on the chart.
⚪ Trend & Volatility Slope Estimation
To project forward, the indicator measures directional drift and volatility drift using linear regression differences:
Basis slope from the Bollinger basis
StDev slope from the Bollinger deviation
ATR slope for ATR-based projection mode
These slopes drive the forecast bands forward, reflecting the market’s recent directional and volatility regime.
⚪ Projection Engine (Forecast Bands)
At the last bar, the indicator draws projected basis, upper, and lower lines out to Forecast Bars. The projected basis can be:
Trend (straight linear projection)
Curved (ease-in/out transition toward projected endpoints)
Smoothed (extra smoothing on projected basis/width)
⚪ Price Path Projection + Optional Random Walk
In addition to projecting the bands, the script can draw a price forecast path made of a small number of zigzag swings.
Each swing targets a point offset from the projected basis by a multiple of the projected half-width (“width units”).
Decay gradually reduces swing size as the forecast deepens.
The Optional Random Walk Blend adds a deterministic drift component to the zigzag path. It’s not true randomness; it’s a stable pseudo-random sequence, so the drawing doesn’t jump around on refresh, while still adding “natural” variation.
⚪ Rejection Signals
Signals are based on failed attempts to break a band:
Bear Signal (Down): price tries to push above the upper band, then falls back inside, while still closing above the basis.
Bull Signal (Up): price tries to push below the lower band, then returns back inside, while still closing below the basis.
█ How to Use
⚪ Forward Support/Resistance Corridors
Treat the projected upper/lower bands as a future volatility envelope, not a guarantee:
The upper projection ≈ is likely a resistance level if the regime persists
The lower projection ≈ is likely a support level if the regime persists
Best used for trade planning, targets, and “where price could travel” under similar conditions.
⚪ Regime Read: Trend + Volatility
The projection shape is informative:
Rising basis + expanding width → trend with increasing volatility (needs wider stops / more caution)
Flat basis + compressing width → contraction regime (often precedes expansion)
⚪ Signals for Mean-Reversion / Failed Breakouts
The rejection markers are useful for fade-style setups:
A Down signal near/after upper-band failure can imply rotation back toward the basis.
An Up signal near/after lower-band failure can imply snap-back toward the basis.
With MA filtering enabled, signals are constrained to align with the broader bias, helping reduce chop-driven noise.
█ Related Publications
Donchian Predictive Channel (Zeiierman)
█ Settings
⚪ Bollinger Band
Controls the live Bollinger Bands on the chart.
Source – Price used for calculations.
Length – Lookback period; higher = smoother, lower = more reactive.
Multiplier – Bandwidth; higher = wider bands, lower = tighter bands.
⚪ Forecast
Controls the forward projection of the Bollinger Bands.
Forecast Bars – How far into the future the bands are projected.
Trend Length – Lookback used to estimate trend and volatility slopes.
Forecast Band Mode – Defines projection behavior (linear, curved, breathing, ATR-based, or smoothed).
⚪ Price Forecast
Controls the projected price path inside the bands.
ZigZag Swings – Number of projected oscillations.
Amplitude – Distance from basis, measured in bandwidth units.
Decay – Shrinks swings further into the forecast.
⚪ Random-Walk
Adds controlled randomness to the price path.
Enable – Toggle random-walk influence.
Blend – Strength of randomness vs. zigzag.
Step Size – Size of random steps (band-width units).
Decay – Reduces randomness as the forecast deepens.
Seed – Changes the (stable) random sequence.
⚪ Signals
Controls rejection/mean-reversion signals.
Show Signals – Enable/disable signal markers.
MA Filter (Type/Length) – Filters signals by trend direction.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
HAR Volatility ATR (Multi-Asset) - Andreus VillalobosIndicator based on the HAR (Hyper-Realized Volatility) model.
Combines daily, weekly, and monthly ATRs to project:
– Most probable price range (90%)
– Most probable take profit (60%)
Does not generate entry signals.
Designed for use in conjunction with:
market structure, liquidity, and price action.
Works on Forex, Indices, Gold, and Cryptocurrencies.
HAR Volatility ATR v1.0 (Andreus Villalobos)
Indicator based on the HAR (Hyper-Realized Volatility) model.
Combines daily, weekly, and monthly ATRs to project:
– Most probable price range (90%)
– Most probable take profit (60%)
Does not generate entry signals.
Designed for use in conjunction with:
market structure, liquidity, and price action.
Works on Forex, Indices, Gold, and Cryptocurrencies.






















