Mutanabby_AI | ATR+ | Trend-Following StrategyThis document presents the Mutanabby_AI | ATR+ Pine Script strategy, a systematic approach designed for trend identification and risk-managed position entry in financial markets. The strategy is engineered for long-only positions and integrates volatility-adjusted components to enhance signal robustness and trade management.
Strategic Design and Methodological Basis
The Mutanabby_AI | ATR+ strategy is constructed upon a foundation of established technical analysis principles, with a focus on objective signal generation and realistic trade execution.
Heikin Ashi for Trend Filtering: The core price data is processed via Heikin Ashi (HA) methodology to mitigate transient market noise and accentuate underlying trend direction. The script offers three distinct HA calculation modes, allowing for comparative analysis and validation:
Manual Calculation: Provides a transparent and deterministic computation of HA values.
ticker.heikinashi(): Utilizes TradingView's built-in function, employing confirmed historical bars to prevent repainting artifacts.
Regular Candles: Allows for direct comparison with standard OHLC price action.
This multi-methodological approach to trend smoothing is critical for robust signal generation.
Adaptive ATR Trailing Stop: A key component is the Average True Range (ATR)-based trailing stop. ATR serves as a dynamic measure of market volatility. The strategy incorporates user-defined parameters (
Key Value and ATR Period) to calibrate the sensitivity of this trailing stop, enabling adaptation to varying market volatility regimes. This mechanism is designed to provide a dynamic exit point, preserving capital and locking in gains as a trend progresses.
EMA Crossover for Signal Generation: Entry and exit signals are derived from the interaction between the Heikin Ashi derived price source and an Exponential Moving Average (EMA). A crossover event between these two components is utilized to objectively identify shifts in momentum, signaling potential long entry or exit points.
Rigorous Stop Loss Implementation: A critical feature for risk mitigation, the strategy includes an optional stop loss. This stop loss can be configured as a percentage or fixed point deviation from the entry price. Importantly, stop loss execution is based on real market prices, not the synthetic Heikin Ashi values. This design choice ensures that risk management is grounded in actual market liquidity and price levels, providing a more accurate representation of potential drawdowns during backtesting and live operation.
Backtesting Protocol: The strategy is configured for realistic backtesting, employing fill_orders_on_standard_ohlc=true to simulate order execution at standard OHLC prices. A configurable Date Filter is included to define specific historical periods for performance evaluation.
Data Visualization and Metrics: The script provides on-chart visual overlays for buy/sell signals, the ATR trailing stop, and the stop loss level. An integrated information table displays real-time strategy parameters, current position status, trend direction, and key price levels, facilitating immediate quantitative assessment.
Applicability
The Mutanabby_AI | ATR+ strategy is particularly suited for:
Cryptocurrency Markets: The inherent volatility of assets such as #Bitcoin and #Ethereum makes the ATR-based trailing stop a relevant tool for dynamic risk management.
Systematic Trend Following: Individuals employing systematic methodologies for trend capture will find the objective signal generation and rule-based execution aligned with their approach.
Pine Script Developers and Quants: The transparent code structure and emphasis on realistic backtesting provide a valuable framework for further analysis, modification, and integration into broader quantitative models.
Automated Trading Systems: The clear, deterministic entry and exit conditions facilitate integration into automated trading environments.
Implementation and Evaluation
To evaluate the Mutanabby_AI | ATR+ strategy, apply the script to your chosen chart on TradingView. Adjust the input parameters (Key Value, ATR Period, Heikin Ashi Method, Stop Loss Settings) to observe performance across various asset classes and timeframes. Comprehensive backtesting is recommended to assess the strategy's historical performance characteristics, including profitability, drawdown, and risk-adjusted returns.
I'd love to hear your thoughts, feedback, and any optimizations you discover! Drop a comment below, give it a like if you find it useful, and share your results.
Volatilityindicator
Marcius Studio® - Cross-Asset Correlator™Cross-Asset Correlator™ — a pair-trading strategy that identifies correlation breakdowns between two assets and captures profit opportunities from market inefficiencies.
The strategy enters trades when the correlation drops below a set threshold and closes positions once correlation recovers.
The main concept is to exploit temporary divergence between two assets by going long the stronger one and short the weaker one, aiming to profit when their correlation reverts.
Important : This script illustrates asset correlation concepts for educational purposes only. It's not for live trading—requires adjustments and offers no performance guarantees. Always apply risk management.
TradingView Limitation
By default, TradingView’s built-in Strategy interface does not support backtesting with two different assets .
To overcome this, the script is implemented as an indicator with a fully custom backtesting engine that calculates PnL, trades, and performance statistics directly on the chart.
Idea
Markets move in clusters : altcoins follow BTC, memecoins track Solana, L2 projects mirror Ethereum. But correlations aren’t perfect—temporary divergences create pricing inefficiencies.
The logic:
When an asset lags or overshoots its usual correlation, it’s a mispricing opportunity.
Trade the reversion: buy undervalued divergence, sell overextended convergence.
The market eventually corrects, but the inefficiency window allows profit before realignment.
OKX Signal Bot Integration
This script includes a built-in interface for OKX Signal Bot .
It can generate structured JSON alerts (ENTER / EXIT, long / short) and directly manage trades on OKX exchange .
This allows seamless automation of correlation-based strategies without manual order execution.
Note : The OKX Signal Bot (for demo use only) assists with alerts & trade management but does not ensure profits. You are fully responsible for your trades—always apply risk management.
Strategy Parameters
Symbol 1 / Symbol 2 : trading instruments to be analyzed.
SMA Period : smoothing period for price averages.
Correlation Period : number of bars used to calculate correlation coefficient.
Upper Correlation Threshold : level above which trades are closed.
Lower Correlation Threshold : level below which new trades are opened.
percentage_investment (%) : allocation per entry signal (used for OKX integration).
Example Settings OKX:FARTCOINUSDT.P / OKX:PENGUUSDT.P
Timeframe : 1H
SMA Period : 60
Correlation Period : 25
Upper Threshold : 0.9
Lower Threshold : 0.1
percentage_investment : 10%
How the Code Works
Retrieves closing prices of two selected assets.
Calculates correlation coefficient and moving averages.
When correlation breaks below the lower threshold, the script opens a pair trade (long/short depending on SMA relation).
When correlation recovers above the upper threshold, all open trades are closed.
Real-time alerts are generated in JSON format for OKX bots (ENTER/EXIT signals).
Built-in backtesting engine tracks PnL, trades, and statistics (7d / 30d / total).
Visual labels mark entries, exits, and PnL results directly on the chart.
Disclaimer
Trading involves risk — always do your own research (DYOR) and seek professional financial advice. We are not responsible for any potential financial losses.
RSI Volatility Suppression Zones [BigBeluga]RSI Volatility Suppression Zones is an advanced indicator that identifies periods of suppressed RSI volatility and visualizes these suppression zones on the main chart. It also highlights breakout dynamics, giving traders actionable insights into potential market momentum.
🔵 Key Features:
Detection of Suppression Zones:
Identifies periods where RSI volatility is suppressed and marks these zones on the main price chart.
Breakout Visualization:
When the price breaks above the suppression zone, the box turns aqua, and an upward label is drawn to indicate a bullish breakout.
If the price breaks below the zone, the box turns purple, and a downward label is drawn for a bearish breakout.
Breakouts accompanied by a "+" label represent strong moves caused by short-lived, tight zones, signaling significant momentum.
Wave Labels for Consolidation:
If the suppression zone remains unbroken, a "wave" label is displayed within the gray box, signifying continued price stability within the range.
Gradient Intensity Below RSI:
A gradient strip below the RSI line increases in intensity based on the duration of the suppressed RSI volatility period.
This visual aid helps traders gauge how extended the low volatility phase is.
🔵 Usage:
Identify Breakouts: Use color-coded boxes and labels to detect breakouts and their direction, confirming potential trend continuation or reversals.
Evaluate Market Momentum: Leverage "+" labels for strong breakout signals caused by short suppression phases, indicating significant market moves.
Monitor Price Consolidation: Observe gray boxes and wave labels to understand ongoing consolidation phases.
Analyze RSI Behavior: Utilize the gradient strip to measure the longevity of suppressed volatility phases and anticipate breakout potential.
RSI Volatility Suppression Zones provides a powerful visual representation of RSI volatility suppression, breakout signals, and price consolidation, making it a must-have tool for traders seeking to anticipate market movements effectively.
OctaScalp Precision Pro [By TraderMan]What is OctaScalp Precision Pro ? 🚀
OctaScalp Precision is a powerful scalping indicator designed for fast, short-term trades. It combines eight technical indicators to generate 💪 high-accuracy buy 📗 and sell 📕 signals. Optimized for scalpers, this tool targets small price movements in low timeframes (1M, 5M). With visual lines 📈, labels 🎯, and Telegram alerts 📬, it simplifies quick decision-making, enhances risk management, and tracks trade performance.
What Does It Do? 🎯
Fast Signals: Produces reliable buy/sell signals using a consensus of eight indicators.
Risk Management: Offers automated Take Profit (TP) 🟢 and Stop Loss (SL) 🔴 levels with a 2:1 reward/risk ratio.
Trend Confirmation: Validates short-term trends with a 30-period EMA zone.
Performance Tracking: Records trade success rates (%) and the last 5 trades 📊.
User-Friendly: Displays market strength, signal type, and trade details in a top-right table.
Alerts: Sends Telegram-compatible notifications for new positions and trade results 📲.
How Does It Work? 🛠️
OctaScalp Precision integrates eight technical indicators (RSI, MACD, Stochastic, Momentum, 200-period EMA, Supertrend, CCI, OBV) for robust analysis. Each indicator contributes 0 or 1 point to a bullish 📈 or bearish 📉 score (max 8 points). Signals are generated as follows:
Buy Signal 📗: Bullish score ≥6 and higher than bearish score.
Sell Signal 📕: Bearish score ≥6 and higher than bullish score.
EMA Zone 📏: A zone (default 0.1%) around a 30-period EMA confirms trends. Price staying above or below the zone for 4 bars validates the direction:
Up Direction: Price above zone, color green 🟢.
Down Direction: Price below zone, color red 🔴.
Neutral: Price within zone, color gray ⚪.
Entry/Exit: Entries are triggered on new signals, with TP (2% profit) and SL (1% risk) auto-calculated.
Table & Alerts: Displays market strength (% bull/bear), signal type, entry/TP/SL, and success rate in a table. Telegram alerts provide instant notifications.
How to Use It? 📚
Setup 🖥️:
Add the indicator to TradingView and use default settings or customize (EMA length, zone width, etc.).
Best for low timeframes (1M, 5M).
Signal Monitoring 🔍:
Check the table: Bull Strength 📗 and Bear Strength 📕 percentages indicate signal reliability.
Confirm Buy (📗 BUY) or Sell (📕 SELL) signals when trendSignal is 1 or -1.
Entering a Position 🎯:
Buy: trendSignal = 1, bullish score ≥6, and higher than bearish score, enter at the entry price.
Sell: trendSignal = -1, bearish score ≥6, and higher than bullish score, enter at the entry price.
TP and SL: Follow the green (TP) 🟢 and red (SL) 🔴 lines on the chart.
Exiting 🏁:
If price hits TP, trade is marked ✅ successful; if SL, marked ❌ failed.
Results are shown in the “Last 5 Trades” 📜 section of the table.
Setting Alerts 📬:
Enable alerts in TradingView. Receive Telegram notifications for new positions and trade outcomes.
Position Entry Strategy 💡
Entry Conditions:
For Buy: Bullish score ≥6, trendSignal = 1, price above EMA zone 🟢.
For Sell: Bearish score ≥6, trendSignal = -1, price below EMA zone 🔴.
Check bull/bear strength in the table (70%+ is ideal for strong signals).
Additional Confirmation:
Use on high-volume assets (e.g., BTC/USD, EUR/USD).
Validate signals with support/resistance levels.
Be cautious in ranging markets; false signals may increase.
Risk Management:
Stick to the 2:1 reward/risk ratio (TP 2%, SL 1%).
Limit position size to 1-2% of your account.
Tips and Recommendations 🌟
Best Markets: Ideal for volatile markets (crypto, forex) and low timeframes (1M, 5M).
Settings: Adjust EMA length (default 30) or zone width (0.1%) based on the market.
Backtesting: Test on historical data to evaluate success rate 📊.
Discipline: Follow signals strictly and avoid emotional decisions.
OctaScalp Precision makes scalping fast, precise, and reliable! 🚀
TrendGradient [By TraderMan]TrendGradient Indicator: What It Does, How It Works, and How to Use It 📊✨
The **TrendGradient ** indicator is a Pine Script tool designed for the TradingView platform, assisting traders in trend analysis, generating buy/sell signals, and determining target price (TP) and stop-loss (SL) levels. In this guide, I’ll explain in detail what the indicator does, how it operates, how to use it, and strategies for opening positions. Get ready to dive into this colorful and powerful tool! 🚀
🌟 **What Is TrendGradient and What Does It Do?**
TrendGradient is an indicator that analyzes price movements to identify trend direction and strength while generating actionable buy and sell signals. Here are its core functions:
1. **Trend Tracking**: Uses 38-period and 62-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to determine the trend direction (bullish or bearish).
2. **Buy/Sell Signals**: Generates signals based on EMA crossovers and crossunders.
3. **Target and Stop Levels**: Calculates entry, take-profit (TP1, TP2, TP3), and stop-loss (SL) levels using the Average True Range (ATR).
4. **Volatility and Trend Analysis**: Visualizes volatility levels (low, medium, high) and trend strength (strong/weak) via ATR and EMA.
5. **Visual Clarity**: Provides a user-friendly interface with colored lines, labels, tables, and shapes.
This indicator is ideal for trend-following traders and can be used for both short-term (scalping/day trading) and long-term strategies. 📈
---
### 🛠️ **How Does TrendGradient Work?**
Let’s break down the indicator’s mechanics step by step:
#### 1. **EMA-Based Trend Analysis** 📉
- **EMA 38 and EMA 62**: The indicator uses 38-period and 62-period Exponential Moving Averages to smooth price data and identify trend direction.
- **EMA 38 > EMA 62**: Bullish trend (uptrend) 📈
- **EMA 38 < EMA 62**: Bearish trend (downtrend) 📉
- EMA crossovers trigger buy/sell signals:
- **Crossover (EMA 38 crosses above EMA 62)**: Buy signal (BUY).
- **Crossunder (EMA 38 crosses below EMA 62)**: Sell signal (SELL).
- The EMAs focus on the last 20 days of data to display recent trends only.
#### 2. **ATR-Based Levels** ⚖️
- **ATR (Average True Range)**: Measures price volatility and is used to calculate entry, TP, and SL levels.
- **Entry Price**: For buys, the closing price plus an ATR multiplier; for sells, the closing price minus an ATR multiplier.
- **Take-Profit Levels (TP1, TP2, TP3)**: Calculated by adding/subtracting ATR multiples (default: 2.0, 4.0, 6.0) to/from the entry price.
- **Stop-Loss (SL)**: Set at a distance from the entry price using an ATR multiplier (default: 2.0 + additional SL).
- These levels are visualized on the chart with colored lines (yellow: entry, green: TP1, teal: TP2, blue: TP3, red: SL) and labels.
#### 3. **Signal and Status Visualization** 🖼️
- **Lines and Labels**: Buy/sell signals are marked with green "BUY" and red "SELL" labels on the chart.
- **Table**: A table in the top-right corner summarizes signal status, entry/TP/SL levels, trend strength, volatility, and trend direction.
- **Color Coding**:
- Green: Bullish trend, buy signal, or TP achievements.
- Red: Bearish trend, sell signal, or SL triggered.
- Yellow, teal, blue: Entry and TP levels.
- **Bar Coloring**: Bars are colored green (bullish) or red (bearish) based on EMA alignment.
#### 4. **TP/SL Monitoring** ✅❌
- The indicator checks if the price hits TP or SL levels and displays labels like "✔️ TP Achieved" or "❌ SL Stopped Out."
- When a TP or SL is hit, the position status updates (e.g., "In Progress ⏳", "Successful ✅", or "Failed ❌").
#### 5. **Volatility and Trend Strength** 📊
- **Volatility (ATR)**: Classified as "Low" (red), "Medium" (orange), or "High" (green) based on the ATR’s position within its 50-bar range.
- **Trend Strength**: If EMA 38 > EMA 62, the trend is "Strong" (green); otherwise, it’s "Weak" (red).
---
### 📋 **How to Use TrendGradient?**
Follow these steps to effectively use TrendGradient:
#### 1. **Add the Indicator to TradingView** 🖥️
- In TradingView, search for "TrendGradient " in the **Indicators** menu and add it to your chart.
- Use default settings or customize parameters like ATR period, multipliers, and display duration (default: 20 days) in the **Settings** menu.
#### 2. **Identify Signals** 🔍
- **Buy Signal (BUY)**: Appears when a green "BUY" label is displayed and EMA 38 crosses above EMA 62.
- **Sell Signal (SELL)**: Appears when a red "SELL" label is displayed and EMA 38 crosses below EMA 62.
- Check the top-right table for signal status ("BUY", "SELL", or "-") and position levels (Entry, TP1, TP2, TP3, SL).
#### 3. **Opening a Position** 🚪
- **Long Position (Buy)**:
1. When a "BUY" signal appears, check the entry price (yellow line).
2. Open a position at or near the entry price.
3. Set TP1, TP2, TP3 (green, teal, blue lines) and SL (red line) as targets/stops.
- **Short Position (Sell)**:
1. When a "SELL" signal appears, check the entry price.
2. Open a position at or near the entry price.
3. Use TP and SL levels as targets/stops.
- **Note**: ATR-based levels adjust dynamically to market volatility, ensuring adaptability.
#### 4. **Position Management** 🛡️
- **Take-Profit (TP)**: Realize profits when the price hits TP1, TP2, or TP3. For example, close part of the position at TP1 and hold the rest for TP2/TP3.
- **Stop-Loss (SL)**: Close the position if the price hits the SL level ("❌ SL Stopped Out" appears).
- **Partial Closes**: Use multiple TP levels to scale out of positions incrementally.
#### 5. **Trend and Volatility Analysis** 📊
- **Trend Direction and Strength**: The table shows whether the trend is "Up" or "Down" and its strength ("Strong" or "Weak"). Strong trends may warrant more aggressive positions.
- **Volatility**: ATR-based volatility indicators help gauge market conditions. High volatility (green) suggests larger price moves, while low volatility (red) indicates calmer markets.
#### 6. **Risk Management** ⚠️
- Always use the SL level and assess the risk/reward ratio (e.g., 2:1 for TP1, 4:1 for TP2).
- In low volatility (red), consider smaller positions; in high volatility (green), expect larger moves.
---
### 🛠️ **Example Position Opening Scenario**
**Scenario: Long Position**
- **Situation**: EMA 38 crosses above EMA 62, and a green "BUY" label appears.
- **Entry Price**: 100 (yellow line).
- **TP Levels**: TP1: 104, TP2: 108, TP3: 112.
- **SL Level**: 96.
- **Strategy**:
1. Open a long position at 100.
2. Close 50% of the position at TP1 (104), hold the rest for TP2 (108) or TP3 (112).
3. Exit fully if the price hits SL (96).
- **Table Status**: "Signal: BUY", "Position Status: In Progress ⏳", "Trend Strength: Strong", "Volatility: High".
**Scenario: Short Position**
- **Situation**: EMA 38 crosses below EMA 62, and a red "SELL" label appears.
- **Entry Price**: 100.
- **TP Levels**: TP1: 96, TP2: 92, TP3: 88.
- **SL Level**: 104.
- **Strategy**: Manage the position similarly, scaling out at TP levels.
---
### 💡 **Tips and Suggestions**
1. **Timeframe**: The indicator works across timeframes (1H, 4H, daily). Short-term traders can use 1H-4H, while long-term traders may prefer daily charts.
2. **Combine with Other Indicators**: Use RSI, MACD, or support/resistance levels to confirm signals.
3. **Backtesting**: Test the strategy on historical data to evaluate performance.
4. **Customization**: Adjust ATR multipliers or EMA periods to suit your market or strategy.
5. **Discipline**: Stick to signals and avoid emotional decisions.
---
### 🎨 **Visual Features**
- **Colored Lines and Labels**: Entry, TP, and SL levels are displayed with colored lines (yellow, green, teal, blue, red) for clarity.
- **Table**: The top-right table summarizes all key information (signal, levels, trend, volatility).
- **Bar Coloring**: Green bars for bullish trends and red bars for bearish trends make trend direction easy to spot.
- **Emojis**: Position status is enhanced with emojis like ⏳ (in progress), ✅ (successful), and ❌ (failed) for visual appeal.
---
### ⚠️ **Warnings and Limitations**
- **Market Conditions**: The indicator performs best in trending markets; it may produce false signals in ranging markets.
- **Risk Management**: Always use proper risk/reward ratios and risk only a small portion of your capital.
- **Lag**: EMAs are lagging indicators, so signals may be delayed in fast-moving markets.
- **Customization Needs**: Default settings may not suit all markets; test and optimize as needed.
---
### 🌟 **Conclusion**
TrendGradient is a user-friendly, visually appealing indicator for trend tracking and automated level calculation. It generates signals via EMA crossovers, calculates dynamic TP/SL levels with ATR, and presents all information clearly through tables, lines, and labels. By using this tool with discipline, you can make more informed and successful trading decisions! 🚀
If you have further questions or need help customizing the indicator, feel free to ask! 💬 Good luck and happy trading! 🍀
Sudden MOVE Spikes Buy SignalThis Pine Script indicator, titled "Sudden MOVE Spikes Buy Signal", is designed for TradingView charts to identify potential buy opportunities in risk assets (e.g., BTC, stocks, or any charted symbol) based on spikes in the MOVE index (a measure of U.S. Treasury bond volatility, often called the "VIX for bonds"). It leverages the observation that sharp MOVE spikes above a threshold (indicating bond market stress or illiquidity) have historically preceded liquidity injections from the Fed or Treasury, leading to rallies in risk assets post-2020 (e.g.,
March 2020 COVID crash, October 2022 rate hike volatility, March 2023 banking crisis). The indicator filters out false positives, like the February 2022 geopolitical spike from the Russia-Ukraine invasion, using WTI crude oil price surges as a proxy.Key features:Signal Detection: Fires a "Buy" label when the daily MOVE index crosses above the threshold (default 130) with a sudden rate of change (ROC > 27% over 5 days), signaling potential liquidity-driven bottoms.
Geopolitical Filter: Excludes signals if oil ROC exceeds 20% over 5 days, to avoid non-macro events.
Time Restriction: Only shows signals from January 1, 2020, onward, as the strategy is tuned to the post-COVID regime.
Visuals: Plots a green "Buy" label below the bar on the chart and optionally highlights the bar with a green background (85% opacity) for emphasis.
Alerts: Supports alerts for new signals via TradingView's alert system.
The indicator is versatile and can be applied to any asset chart, though it's optimized for risk assets like cryptocurrencies or equities. Backtesting shows high hit rates for rallies in S&P 500 and BTC after valid signals, but it's a heuristic tool—combine with other analysis for trading decisions.
Volatility Squeeze IndicatorThis is All Star Charts' very own Volatility Squeeze Indicator. Popularized by Steve Strazza, it's really just a Bollinger Band Width Indicator with moving averages. Very easy...
ADR Plots + OverlayADR Plots + Overlay
This tool calculates and displays Average Daily Range (ADR) levels on your chart, giving traders a quick visual reference for expected daily price movement. It plots guide levels above and below the daily open and shows how much of the day's typical range has already been covered—all in one interactive table and on-chart overlay.
What It Does
ADR Calculation:
Uses daily high-low differences over a user-defined period (default 14 days), smoothed via RMA, SMA, EMA, or WMA to calculate the average daily range.
Projected Levels:
Plots four reference levels relative to the current day's open price:
+100% ADR: Open + ADR
+50% ADR: Open + 50% of ADR
−50% ADR: Open − 50% of ADR
−100% ADR: Open − ADR
Coverage %:
Tracks intraday high and low prices to calculate what percentage of the ADR has already been covered for the current session:
Coverage % = (High − Low) ÷ ADR × 100
Interactive Table:
Shows the ADR value and today's ADR coverage percentage in a customizable table overlay. The table position, colors, border, transparency, and an optional empty top row can all be adjusted via settings.
Customization Options
Table Settings:
Position the table (top/bottom × left/right).
Change background color, text color, border color and thickness.
Toggle an empty top row for spacing.
Line Settings:
Choose color, line style (solid/dotted/dashed), and width.
Lines automatically reposition each day based on that day's open price and ADR calculation.
General Inputs:
ADR length (number of days).
Smoothing method (RMA, SMA, EMA, WMA).
How to Use It for Trading
Measure Daily Movement: Instantly know the expected daily price range based on historical volatility.
Identify Overextension: Use the coverage % to see if the market has already moved close to or beyond its typical daily range.
Plan Entries & Exits: Align trade targets and stops with ADR levels for more objective intraday planning.
Visual Reference: Horizontal guide lines and table update automatically as new data comes in, helping traders stay informed without manual calculations.
Ideal For
Intraday traders tracking daily volatility limits.
Swing traders wanting a quick reference for expected price movement per day.
Anyone seeking a volatility-based framework for planning targets, stops, or identifying extended market conditions.
VIX-Price Covariance MonitorThe VIX-Price Covariance Monitor is a statistical tool that measures the evolving relationship between a security's price and volatility indices such as the VIX (or VVIX).
It can give indication of potential market reversal, as typically, volatility and the VIX increase before markets turn red,
This indicator calculates the Pearson correlation coefficient using the formula:
ρ(X,Y) = cov(X,Y) / (σₓ × σᵧ)
Where:
ρ is the correlation coefficient
cov(X,Y) is the covariance between price and the volatility index
σₓ and σᵧ are the standard deviations of price and the volatility index
Enjoy!
Features
Dual Correlation Periods: Analyze both short-term and long-term correlation trends simultaneously
Adaptive Color Coding: Correlation strength is visually represented through color intensity
Market Condition Assessment: Automatic interpretation of correlation values into actionable market insights
Leading/Lagging Analysis: Optional time-shift analysis to detect predictive relationships
Detailed Information Panel: Real-time statistics including current correlation values, historical averages, and trading implications
Interpretation
Positive Correlation (Red): Typically bearish for price, as rising VIX correlates with falling markets. This is what traders should be looking for.
Negative Correlation (Green): Typically bullish for price, as falling VIX correlates with rising markets
How to use it
Apply the indicator to any chart to see its correlation with the default VIX index
Adjust the correlation length to match your trading timeframe (shorter for day trading, longer for swing trading)
Enable the secondary correlation period to compare different timeframes simultaneously
For advanced analysis, enable the Leading/Lagging feature to detect if VIX changes precede or follow price movements
Use the information panel to quickly assess the current market condition and potential trading implications
EVaR Indicator and Position SizingThe Problem:
Financial markets consistently show "fat-tailed" distributions where extreme events occur with higher frequency than predicted by normal distributions (Gaussian or even log-normal). These fat tails manifest in sudden price crashes, volatility spikes, and black swan events that traditional risk measures like volatility can underestimate. Standard deviation and conventional VaR calculations assume normally distributed returns, leaving traders vulnerable to severe drawdowns during market stress.
Cryptocurrencies and volatile instruments display particularly pronounced fat-tailed behavior, with extreme moves occurring 5-10 times more frequently than normal distribution models would predict. This reality demands a more sophisticated approach to risk measurement and position sizing.
The Solution: Entropic Value at Risk (EVAR)
EVaR addresses these limitations by incorporating principles from statistical mechanics and information theory through Tsallis entropy. This advanced approach captures the non-linear dependencies and power-law distributions characteristic of real financial markets.
Entropy is more adaptive than standard deviations and volatility measures.
I was inspired to create this indicator after reading the paper " The End of Mean-Variance? Tsallis Entropy Revolutionises Portfolio Optimisation in Cryptocurrencies " by by Sana Gaied Chortane and Kamel Naoui.
Key advantages of EVAR over traditional risk measures:
Superior tail risk capture: More accurately quantifies the probability of extreme market moves
Adaptability to market regimes: Self-calibrates to changing volatility environments
Non-parametric flexibility: Makes less assumptions about the underlying return distribution
Forward-looking risk assessment: Better anticipates potential market changes (just look at the charts :)
Mathematically, EVAR is defined as:
EVAR_α(X) = inf_{z>0} {z * log(1/α * M_X(1/z))}
Where the moment-generating function is calculated using q-exponentials rather than conventional exponentials, allowing precise modeling of fat-tailed behavior.
Technical Implementation
This indicator implements EVAR through a q-exponential approach from Tsallis statistics:
Returns Calculation: Price returns are calculated over the lookback period
Moment Generating Function: Approximated using q-exponentials to account for fat tails
EVAR Computation: Derived from the MGF and confidence parameter
Normalization: Scaled to for intuitive visualization
Position Sizing: Inversely modulated based on normalized EVAR
The q-parameter controls tail sensitivity—higher values (1.5-2.0) increase the weighting of extreme events in the calculation, making the model more conservative during potentially turbulent conditions.
Indicator Components
1. EVAR Risk Visualization
Dynamic EVAR Plot: Color-coded from red to green normalized risk measurement (0-1)
Risk Thresholds: Reference lines at 0.3, 0.5, and 0.7 delineating risk zones
2. Position Sizing Matrix
Risk Assessment: Current risk level and raw EVAR value
Position Recommendations: Percentage allocation, dollar value, and quantity
Stop Parameters: Mathematically derived stop price with percentage distance
Drawdown Projection: Maximum theoretical loss if stop is triggered
Interpretation and Application
The normalized EVAR reading provides a probabilistic risk assessment:
< 0.3: Low risk environment with minimal tail concerns
0.3-0.5: Moderate risk with standard tail behavior
0.5-0.7: Elevated risk with increased probability of significant moves
> 0.7: High risk environment with substantial tail risk present
Position sizing is automatically calculated using an inverse relationship to EVAR, contracting during high-risk periods and expanding during low-risk conditions. This is a counter-cyclical approach that ensures consistent risk exposure across varying market regimes, especially when the market is hyped or overheated.
Parameter Optimization
For optimal risk assessment across market conditions:
Lookback Period: Determines the historical window for risk calculation
Q Parameter: Controls tail sensitivity (higher values increase conservatism)
Confidence Level: Sets the statistical threshold for risk assessment
For cryptocurrencies and highly volatile instruments, a q-parameter between 1.5-2.0 typically provides the most accurate risk assessment because it helps capturing the fat-tailed behavior characteristic of these markets. You can also increase the q-parameter for more conservative approaches.
Practical Applications
Adaptive Risk Management: Quantify and respond to changing tail risk conditions
Volatility-Normalized Positioning: Maintain consistent exposure across market regimes
Black Swan Detection: Early identification of potential extreme market conditions
Portfolio Construction: Apply consistent risk-based sizing across diverse instruments
This indicator is my own approach to entropy-based risk measures as an alterative to volatility and standard deviations and it helps with fat-tailed markets.
Enjoy!
Bollinger BandWidth Squeeze BreakoutBollinger BandWidth Squeeze Breakout
Description:
This indicator merges classic Bollinger BandWidth (BBW) with TTM Squeeze Pro-style compression dots. It identifies volatility contractions, very effective at identifying chop or ranging markets, and color-codes the BBW line based on directional breakout bias—helping traders anticipate explosive moves before they happen.
It supports multi-level squeeze detection:
High Compression (Orange) : Tightest squeeze — highly coiled setup
Medium Compression (Red) : Moderate squeeze — building pressure
Low Compression (Black) : Light squeeze — early contraction
(No dot means no squeeze – free expansion)
How It Works
Bollinger BandWidth (BBW):
Calculated as the percent width between Bollinger Bands over a selected moving average (SMA, EMA, etc.). A rising BBW suggests volatility expansion; falling BBW indicates compression.
Directional Bias (BBW Color):
The line is colored green when recent bars show upside breakout pressure, red when downside pressure dominates, and gray when neutral. This is based on cumulative position of price relative to the Bollinger Bands.
TTM Squeeze Pro Dots:
Compression dots plotted on the zero line represent volatility squeeze levels, using up to 3 Keltner Channel thresholds:
Orange Dot : High compression (tightest squeeze zone)
Red Dot : Medium compression
Black Dot : Low compression
(No dot means no squeeze — price is expanding)
Expansion & Contraction Context:
Plots historical highest/lowest BBW values (user-defined period) to help spot extreme conditions.
How to Interpret:
Use squeeze dots to identify when the market is “chop/ranging.” Breakouts from these zones often come with sharp moves.
BBW Line Color = Bias Filter:
Green → Bullish expansion pressure
Red → Bearish expansion pressure
Gray → Neutral or undecided
Use this to filter direction before entering a breakout or momentum trade.
Inputs:
Length : Period for BB and Keltner calculations
MA Type : Choose from SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA, or None
StdDev : Standard deviation for BB
Expansion/Contraction Lengths : Historical window to track BBW extremes
Source : Input source for all calculations (default: Close)
Keltner Multipliers : Customize thresholds for high/mid/low compression
Best For:
Traders looking to anticipate breakout direction
Scalpers and swing traders seeking early volatility cues
Anyone using BB or TTM Squeeze logic in their setups
Pro Tips:
Combine with momentum tools (e.g., RSI, MACD, SMI, CCI) to confirm breakout thrust
Use squeeze dot color shifts (red/orange → no dot) as a breakout timing tool
Use historical BBW highs/lows as context for relative volatility expansion
+ ATR Table and BracketsHi, all. I'm back with a new indicator—one I firmly believe could be one of the most valuable indicators you keep in your indicator toolshed—based around true range.
This is a simple, streamlined indicator utilizing true range and average true range that will help any trader with stoploss, trailing stoploss, and take-profit placement—things that I know many traders use average true range for. It could also be useful for trade entries as well, depending on the trader's style.
Typically, most traders (or at least what I've seen recommended across websites, video tutorials on YouTube, etc.) are taught to simply take the ATR number and use that, and possibly some sort of multiplier, as your stoploss and take-profit. This is fine, but I thought that it might be possible to dive a bit deeper into these values. Because an average is a combination of values, some higher, some lower, and we often see ATR spikes during periods of high volatility, I thought wouldn't it be useful to know what value those ATR spikes are, and how do they relate to the ATR? Then I thought to myself, well, what about the most volatile candle within that ATR (the candle with the greatest true range)? Couldn't knowing that value be useful to a trader? So then the idea of a table displaying these values, along with the ATR and the ATR times some multiplier number, would be a useful, simple way to display this information. That's what we have here.
The table is made up of two columns, one with the name of the metric being measured, and the other with its value. That's it. Simple.
As nice as this was, I thought an additional, great, and perhaps better, way to visualize this information would be in the form of brackets extending from the current bar. These are simply lines/labels plotted at the price values of the ATR, ATR times X, highest ATR, highest ATR times X, and highest TR value. These labels supply the actual values of the ATR, etc., but may also display the price if you should choose (both of these values are toggleable in the 'Inputs' section of the indicator.). Additionally, you can choose to display none of these labels, or all five if you wish (leaves the chart a bit cluttered, as shown in the image below), though I suspect you'll determine your preferences for which information you'd like to see and which not.
Chart with all five lines/labels displayed. I adjusted the ATRX value to 3 just to make the screenshot as legible as possible. Default is set to 1.5. As you can see, the label doesn't show the multiplier number, but the table does.
Here's a screenshot of the labels showing the price in addition to the value of the ATR, set to "Previous Closing Price," (see next paragraph for what that means) and highest TR. Personally, I don't see the value in the displaying the price, but I thought some people might want that. It's not available in the table as of now, but perhaps if I get enough requests for it I will add it.
That's basically it, but one last detail I need to go over is the dropdown box labeled "Bar Value ATR Levels are Oriented To." Firstly, this has no effect on Highest ATR, Highest ATRX, and Highest TR levels. Those are based on the ATR up to the last closed candle, meaning they aren't including the value of the currently open candle (this would be useless). However, knowing that different traders trade different ways it seemed to me prudent to allow for traders to select which opening or closing value the trader wishes to have the ATR brackets based on. For example, as someone who has consumed much No Nonsense Forex content I know that traders are urged to enter their trades in the last fifteen minutes of the trading day because the ATR is unlikely to change significantly in that period (ATR being the centerpiece of NNFX money management), so one of three selections here is to plot the brackets based on the ATR's inclusion of this value (this of course means the brackets will move while the candle is still open). The other options are to set the brackets to the current opening price, or the previous closing price. Depending on what you're trading many times these prices are virtually identical, but sometimes price gaps (stocks in particular), so, wanting your brackets placed relative to the previous close as opposed to the current open might be preferable for some traders.
And that's it. I really hope you guys like this indicator. I haven't seen anything closely similar to it on TradingView, and I think it will be something you all will find incredibly handy.
Please enjoy!
Volatility Zones (STDEV %)This indicator displays the relative volatility of an asset as a percentage, based on the standard deviation of price over a custom length.
🔍 Key features:
• Uses standard deviation (%) to reflect recent price volatility
• Classifies volatility into three zones:
Low volatility (≤2%) — highlighted in blue
Medium volatility (2–4%) — highlighted in orange
High volatility (>4%) — highlighted in red
• Supports visual background shading and colored line output
• Works on any timeframe and asset
📊 This tool is useful for identifying low-risk entry zones, periods of expansion or contraction in price behavior, and dynamic market regime changes.
You can adjust the STDEV length to suit your strategy or timeframe. Best used in combination with your entry logic or trend filters.
EWMA Volatility EstimatorThis script calculates EWMA Volatility (Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Volatility).
Commonly used model in financial risk management.
It estimates recent price volatility by applying more weight to the most recent returns, capturing volatility clustering while remaining responsive to fast market shifts.
The method uses a decay factor (λ) of 0.94, the standard value used in models like RiskMetrics, and converts the variance estimate into annualized volatility in percentage terms.
This is not a forecasting tool. It’s an estimator that reflects the magnitude of recent price moves in a statistically robust way.
It can be helpful for:
Understanding regime shifts in market behavior
Designing position sizing rules based on recent volatility
Filtering entries during high or low volatility phases
How It Works
Computes log returns of the closing price.
Squares the returns to get a proxy for variance.
Applies an exponential moving average to the squared returns using an equivalent EMA period based on λ = 0.94.
Converts the result to volatility by taking the square root and scaling to a percentage.
Key Characteristics
Backward-looking estimator
Reacts faster than standard rolling-window volatility
Smooths noise while still being sensitive to recent spikes
This script is educational and informational. It is not financial advice or a guarantee of performance. Always test any tool as part of a broader strategy before using it in live markets.
Options Volatility Strategy Analyzer [TradeDots]The Options Volatility Strategy Analyzer is a specialized tool designed to help traders assess market conditions through a detailed examination of historical volatility, market benchmarks, and percentile-based thresholds. By integrating multiple volatility metrics (including VIX and VIX9D) with color-coded regime detection, the script provides users with clear, actionable insights for selecting appropriate options strategies.
📝 HOW IT WORKS
1. Historical Volatility & Percentile Calculations
Annualized Historical Volatility (HV): The script automatically computes the asset’s historical volatility using log returns over a user-defined period. It then annualizes these values based on the chart’s timeframe, helping you understand the asset’s typical volatility profile.
Dynamic Percentile Ranks: To gauge where the current volatility level stands relative to past behavior, historical volatility values are compared against short, medium, and long lookback periods. Tracking these percentile ranks allows you to quickly see if volatility is high or low compared to historical norms.
2. Multi-Market Benchmark Comparison
VIX and VIX9D Integration: The script tracks market volatility through the VIX and VIX9D indices, comparing them to the asset’s historical volatility. This reveals whether the asset’s volatility is outpacing, lagging, or remaining in sync with broader market volatility conditions.
Market Context Analysis: A built-in term-structure check can detect market stress or relative calm by measuring how VIX compares to shorter-dated volatility (VIX9D). This helps you decide if the present environment is risk-prone or relatively stable.
3. Volatility Regime Detection
Color-Coded Background: The analyzer assigns a volatility regime (e.g., “High Asset Vol,” “Low Asset Vol,” “Outpacing Market,” etc.) based on current historical volatility percentile levels and asset vs. market ratios. A color-coded background highlights the regime, enabling traders to quickly interpret the market’s mood.
Alerts on Regime Changes & Spikes: Automated alerts warn you about any significant expansions or contractions in volatility, allowing you to react swiftly in changing conditions.
4. Strategy Forecast Table
Real-Time Strategy Suggestions: At the close of each bar, an on-chart table generates suggested options strategies (e.g., selling premium in high volatility or buying premium in low volatility). These suggestions provide a quick summary of potential tactics suited to the current regime.
Contextual Market Data: The table also displays key statistics, such as VIX levels, asset historical volatility percentile, or ratio comparisons, helping you confirm whether volatility conditions warrant more conservative or more aggressive strategies.
🛠️ HOW TO USE
1. Select Your Timeframe: The script supports multiple timeframes. For short-term trading, intraday charts often reveal faster shifts in volatility. For swing or position trading, daily or weekly charts may be more stable and produce fewer false signals.
2. Check the Volatility Regime: Observe the background color and on-chart labels to identify the current regime (e.g., “HIGH ASSET VOL,” “LOW VOL + LAGGING,” etc.).
3. Review the Forecast Table: The table suggests strategy ideas (e.g., iron condors, long straddles, ratio spreads) depending on whether volatility is elevated, subdued, or spiking. Use these as a starting point for designing trades that match your risk tolerance.
4. Combine with Additional Analysis: For optimal results, confirm signals with your broader trading plan, technical tools (moving averages, price action), and fundamental research. This script is most effective when viewed as one component in a comprehensive decision-making process.
❗️LIMITATIONS
Directional Neutrality: This indicator analyzes volatility environments but does not predict price direction (up/down). Traders must combine with directional analysis for complete strategy selection.
Late or Missed Signals: Since all calculations require a bar to close, sharp intrabar volatility moves may not appear in real-time.
False Positives in Choppy Markets: Rapid changes in percentile ranks or VIX movements can generate conflicting or premature regime shifts.
Data Sensitivity: Accuracy depends on the availability and stability of volatility data. Significant gaps or unusual market conditions may skew results.
Market Correlation Assumptions: The system assumes assets generally correlate with S&P 500 volatility patterns. May be less effective for:
Small-cap stocks with unique volatility drivers
International stocks with different market dynamics
Sector-specific events disconnected from broad market
Cryptocurrency-related assets with independent volatility patterns
RISK DISCLAIMER
Options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Options strategies can result in significant losses, including the total loss of premium paid. The complexity of options strategies requires thorough understanding of the risks involved.
This indicator provides volatility analysis for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Past volatility patterns do not guarantee future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and volatility regimes may shift without warning.
No trading system can guarantee profits, and all trading involves the risk of loss. The indicator's regime classifications and strategy suggestions should be used as part of a comprehensive trading plan that includes proper risk management, directional analysis, and consideration of broader market conditions.
EMA 12/26 With ATR Volatility StoplossThe EMA 12/26 With ATR Volatility Stoploss
The EMA 12/26 With ATR Volatility Stoploss strategy is a meticulously designed systematic trading approach tailored for navigating financial markets through technical analysis. By integrating the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Average True Range (ATR) indicators, the strategy aims to identify optimal entry and exit points for trades while prioritizing disciplined risk management. At its core, it is a trend-following system that seeks to capitalize on price momentum, employing volatility-adjusted stop-loss mechanisms and dynamic position sizing to align with predefined risk parameters. Additionally, it offers traders the flexibility to manage profits either by compounding returns or preserving initial capital, making it adaptable to diverse trading philosophies. This essay provides a comprehensive exploration of the strategy’s underlying concepts, key components, strengths, limitations, and practical applications, without delving into its technical code.
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Core Philosophy and Objectives
The EMA 12/26 With ATR Volatility Stoploss strategy is built on the premise of capturing short- to medium-term price trends with a high degree of automation and consistency. It leverages the crossover of two EMAs—a fast EMA (12-period) and a slow EMA (26-period)—to generate buy and sell signals, which indicate potential trend reversals or continuations. To mitigate the inherent risks of trading, the strategy incorporates the ATR indicator to set stop-loss levels that adapt to market volatility, ensuring that losses remain within acceptable bounds. Furthermore, it calculates position sizes based on a user-defined risk percentage, safeguarding capital while optimizing trade exposure.
A distinctive feature of the strategy is its dual profit management modes:
SnowBall (Compound Profit): Profits from successful trades are reinvested into the capital base, allowing for progressively larger position sizes and potential exponential portfolio growth.
ZeroRisk (Fixed Equity): Profits are withdrawn, and trades are executed using only the initial capital, prioritizing capital preservation and minimizing exposure to market downturns.
This duality caters to both aggressive traders seeking growth and conservative traders focused on stability, positioning the strategy as a versatile tool for various market environments.
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Key Components of the Strategy
1. EMA-Based Signal Generation
The strategy’s trend-following mechanism hinges on the interaction between the Fast EMA (12-period) and Slow EMA (26-period). EMAs are preferred over simple moving averages because they assign greater weight to recent price data, enabling quicker responses to market shifts. The key signals are:
Buy Signal: Triggered when the Fast EMA crosses above the Slow EMA, suggesting the onset of an uptrend or bullish momentum.
Sell Signal: Occurs when the Fast EMA crosses below the Slow EMA, indicating a potential downtrend or the end of a bullish phase.
To enhance signal reliability, the strategy employs an Anchor Point EMA (AP EMA), a short-period EMA (e.g., 2 days) that smooths the input price data before calculating the primary EMAs. This preprocessing reduces noise from short-term price fluctuations, improving the accuracy of trend detection. Additionally, users can opt for a Consolidated EMA (e.g., 18-period) to display a single trend line instead of both EMAs, simplifying chart analysis while retaining trend insights.
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2. Volatility-Adjusted Risk Management with ATR
Risk management is a cornerstone of the strategy, achieved through the use of the Average True Range (ATR), which quantifies market volatility by measuring the average price range over a specified period (e.g., 10 days). The ATR informs the placement of stop-loss levels, which are set at a multiple of the ATR (e.g., 2x ATR) below the entry price for long positions. This approach ensures that stop losses are proportionate to current market conditions—wider during high volatility to avoid premature exits, and narrower during low volatility to protect profits.
For example, if a stock’s ATR is $1 and the multiplier is 2, the stop loss for a buy at $100 would be set at $98. This dynamic adjustment enhances the strategy’s adaptability, preventing stop-outs from normal market noise while capping potential losses.
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3. Dynamic Position Sizing
The strategy calculates position sizes to align with a user-defined Risk Per Trade, typically expressed as a percentage of capital (e.g., 2%). The position size is determined by:
The available capital, which varies depending on whether SnowBall or ZeroRisk mode is selected.
The distance between the entry price and the ATR-based stop-loss level, which represents the per-unit risk.
The desired risk percentage, ensuring that the maximum loss per trade does not exceed the specified threshold.
For instance, with a $1,000 capital, a 2% risk per trade ($20), and a stop-loss distance equivalent to 5% of the entry price, the strategy computes the number of units (shares or contracts) to ensure the total loss, if the stop loss is hit, equals $20. To prevent over-leveraging, the strategy includes checks to ensure that the position’s dollar value does not exceed available capital. If it does, the position size is scaled down to fit within the capital constraints, maintaining financial discipline.
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4. Flexible Capital Management
The strategy’s dual profit management modes—SnowBall and ZeroRisk—offer traders strategic flexibility:
SnowBall Mode: By compounding profits, traders can increase their capital base, leading to larger position sizes over time. This is ideal for those with a long-term growth mindset, as it harnesses the power of exponential returns.
ZeroRisk Mode: By withdrawing profits and trading solely with the initial capital, traders protect their gains and limit exposure to market volatility. This conservative approach suits those prioritizing stability over aggressive growth.
These options allow traders to tailor the strategy to their risk tolerance, financial goals, and market outlook, enhancing its applicability across different trading styles.
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5. Time-Based Trade Filtering
To optimize performance and relevance, the strategy includes an option to restrict trading to a specific time range (e.g., from 2018 onward). This feature enables traders to focus on periods with favorable market conditions, avoid historically volatile or unreliable data, or align the strategy with their backtesting objectives. By confining trades to a defined timeframe, the strategy ensures that performance metrics reflect the intended market context.
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Strengths of the Strategy
The EMA 12/26 With ATR Volatility Stoploss strategy offers several compelling advantages:
Systematic and Objective: By adhering to predefined rules, the strategy eliminates emotional biases, ensuring consistent execution across market conditions.
Robust Risk Controls: The combination of ATR-based stop losses and risk-based position sizing caps losses at user-defined levels, fostering capital preservation.
Customizability: Traders can adjust parameters such as EMA periods, ATR multipliers, and risk percentages, tailoring the strategy to specific markets or preferences.
Volatility Adaptation: Stop losses that scale with market volatility enhance the strategy’s resilience, accommodating both calm and turbulent market phases.
Enhanced Visualization: The use of color-coded EMAs (green for bullish, red for bearish) and background shading provides intuitive visual cues, simplifying trend and trade status identification.
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Limitations and Considerations
Despite its strengths, the strategy has inherent limitations that traders must address:
False Signals in Range-Bound Markets: EMA crossovers may generate misleading signals in sideways or choppy markets, leading to whipsaws and unprofitable trades.
Signal Lag: As lagging indicators, EMAs may delay entry or exit signals, causing traders to miss rapid trend shifts or enter trades late.
Overfitting Risk: Excessive optimization of parameters to fit historical data can impair the strategy’s performance in live markets, as past patterns may not persist.
Impact of High Volatility: In extremely volatile markets, wider stop losses may result in larger losses than anticipated, challenging risk management assumptions.
Data Reliability: The strategy’s effectiveness depends on accurate, continuous price data, and discrepancies or gaps can undermine signal accuracy.
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Practical Applications
The EMA 12/26 With ATR Volatility Stoploss strategy is versatile, applicable to diverse markets such as stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies, particularly in trending environments. To maximize its potential, traders should adopt a rigorous implementation process:
Backtesting: Evaluate the strategy’s historical performance across various market conditions to assess its robustness and identify optimal parameter settings.
Forward Testing: Deploy the strategy in a demo account to validate its real-time performance, ensuring it aligns with live market dynamics before risking capital.
Ongoing Monitoring: Continuously track trade outcomes, analyze performance metrics, and refine parameters to adapt to evolving market conditions.
Additionally, traders should consider market-specific factors, such as liquidity and volatility, when applying the strategy. For instance, highly liquid markets like forex may require tighter ATR multipliers, while less liquid markets like small-cap stocks may benefit from wider stop losses.
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Conclusion
The EMA 12/26 With ATR Volatility Stoploss strategy is a sophisticated, systematic trading framework that blends trend-following precision with disciplined risk management. By leveraging EMA crossovers for signal generation, ATR-based stop losses for volatility adjustment, and dynamic position sizing for risk control, it offers a balanced approach to capturing market trends while safeguarding capital. Its flexibility—evident in customizable parameters and dual profit management modes—makes it suitable for traders with varying risk appetites and objectives. However, its limitations, such as susceptibility to false signals and signal lag, necessitate thorough testing and prudent application. Through rigorous backtesting, forward testing, and continuous refinement, traders can harness this strategy to achieve consistent, risk-adjusted returns in trending markets, establishing it as a valuable tool in the arsenal of systematic trading.
Exponential Trend [AlgoAlpha]OVERVIEW
This script plots an adaptive exponential trend system that initiates from a dynamic anchor and accelerates based on time and direction. Unlike standard moving averages or trailing stops, the trend line here doesn't follow price directly—it expands exponentially from a pivot determined by a modified Supertrend logic. The result is a non-linear trend curve that starts at a specific price level and accelerates outward, allowing traders to visually assess trend strength, persistence, and early-stage reversal points through both base and volatility-adjusted extensions.
CONCEPTS
This indicator builds on the idea that trend-following tools often need dynamic, non-static expansion to reflect real market behavior. It uses a simplified Supertrend mechanism to define directional context and anchor levels, then applies an exponential growth function to simulate trend acceleration over time. The exponential growth is unidirectional and resets only when the direction flips, preserving trend memory. This method helps avoid whipsaws and adds time-weighted confirmation to trends. A volatility buffer—derived from ATR and modifiable by a width multiplier—adds a second layer to indicate zones of risk around the main trend path.
FEATURES
Exponential Trend Logic : Once a directional anchor is set, the base trend line accelerates using an exponential formula tied to elapsed bars, making the trend stronger the longer it persists.
Volatility-Adjusted Extension : A secondary band is plotted above or below the base trend line, widened by ATR to visualize volatility zones, act as soft stop regions or as a better entry point (Dynamic Support/Resistance).
Color-Coded Visualization : Clear green/red base and extension lines with shaded fills indicate trend direction and confidence levels.
Signal Markers & Alerts : Triangle markers indicate confirmed trend reversals. Built-in alerts notify users of bullish or bearish direction changes in real-time.
USAGE
Use this script to identify strong trends early, visually measure their momentum over time, and determine safe areas for entries or exits. Start by adjusting the *Exponential Rate* to control how quickly the trend expands—the higher the rate, the more aggressive the curve. The *Initial Distance* sets how far the anchor band is placed from price initially, helping filter out noise. Increase the *Width Multiplier* to widen the volatility zone for more conservative entries or exits. When the price crosses above or below the base line, a new trend is assumed and the exponential projection restarts from the new anchor. The base trend and its extension both shift over time, but only reset on a confirmed reversal. This makes the tool especially useful for momentum continuation setups or trailing stop logic in trending markets.
Normalized FX Weighted Daily % Change vs DXYThis indicator tracks international liquidity flows by measuring the USD’s relative strength against major currencies—EUR, CNY, JPY, GBP, and CAD. It calculates the weighted percentage change of each pair over a specified interval. A positive reading means the USD is weakening (liquidity flowing out of the US), while a negative reading indicates the USD is strengthening (liquidity flowing in). Additionally, the indicator incorporates the DXY index and VIX, with all components normalized using Z-scores for clear, comparable insights into market dynamics.
Hourly Volatility Explorer📊 Hourly Volatility Explorer: Master The Market's Pulse
Unlock the hidden rhythms of price action with this sophisticated volatility analysis tool. The Hourly Volatility Explorer reveals the most potent trading hours across multiple time zones, giving you a strategic edge in timing your trades.
🌟 Key Features:
⏰ Multi-Timezone Analysis
• GMT (UTC+0)
• EST (UTC-5) - New York
• BST (UTC+1) - London
• JST (UTC+9) - Tokyo
• AEST (UTC+10) - Sydney
Perfect for tracking major market sessions and their overlaps!
📈 Dynamic Visualization
• Color-gradient hourly bars for instant pattern recognition
• Real-time volatility comparison
• Interactive data table with comprehensive statistics
• Automatic highlighting of peak volatility periods
🎯 Strategic Applications:
Day Trading:
• Identify optimal trading windows
• Avoid low-liquidity periods
• Capitalize on session overlaps
• Fine-tune entry/exit timing
Risk Management:
• Set appropriate stop losses based on hourly volatility
• Adjust position sizes for different market hours
• Optimize risk-reward ratios
• Plan around high-impact hours
Global Market Analysis:
• Track volatility across all major sessions
• Spot institutional trading patterns
• Identify quiet vs. active periods
• Monitor 24/7 market dynamics
💡 Perfect For:
• Forex traders navigating global sessions
• Crypto traders in 24/7 markets
• Day traders optimizing execution times
• Algorithmic traders fine-tuning strategies
• Risk managers calibrating exposure
📊 Advanced Features:
• Rolling 3-month analysis for reliable patterns
• Precise pip movement calculations
• Sample size tracking for statistical validity
• Real-time current hour comparison
• Color-coded visual system for instant insights
⚡ Pro Trading Tips:
• Use during major session overlaps for maximum opportunity
• Compare patterns across different instruments
• Combine with volume analysis for deeper insights
• Track seasonal variations in hourly patterns
• Build trading schedules around peak hours
🎓 Educational Value:
• Understand market microstructure
• Learn global market dynamics
• Master timezone relationships
• Develop timing intuition
🛠️ Customization:
• Adjustable lookback period
• Flexible pip multiplier
• Multiple timezone options
• Visual preference settings
Whether you're scalping the 1-minute chart or managing longer-term positions, the Hourly Volatility Explorer provides the precise timing intelligence needed for today's global markets.
Transform your trading schedule from guesswork to science. Know exactly when markets move, why they move, and how to position yourself for maximum opportunity.
#TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #Volatility #MarketTiming #DayTrading #Forex #Crypto #TradingView #PineScript #MarketAnalysis #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #GlobalMarkets #FinancialMarkets #TradingTools #MarketStructure #PriceAction #Scalping #SwingTrading #AlgoTrading
BTC-USDT Liquidity Trend [Ajit Pandit]his script helps traders visualize trend direction and identify liquidity zones where price might react due to past pivot levels. The color-coded candles and extended pivot lines make it easier to spot support/resistance levels and potential breakout points.
Key Features:
1. Trend Detection Using EMA
Uses two EMA calculations to determine the trend:
emaValue: Standard EMA based on length1
correction: Adjusted price movement relative to EMA
Trend: Another EMA of the corrected value
Determines bullish (signalUp) and bearish (signalDn) signals when Trend crosses emaValue.
2. Candlestick Coloring Based on Trend
Candlesticks are colored:
Uptrend → Blue (up color)
Downtrend → Pink (dn color)
Neutral → No color
3. Liquidity Zones (Pivot Highs & Lows)
Identifies pivot highs and lows using a customizable pivot length.
Draws liquidity lines:
High pivot lines (Blue, adjustable width)
Low pivot lines (Pink, adjustable width)
Extends lines indefinitely until price breaks above/below the level.
Removes broken pivot levels dynamically.
Trendchange Zones Indicator | iSolani
Spotting Reversals Before They Happen: The iSolani Trendshift System
Where RSI Meets Smart Volume Analysis - Your Visual Guide to Market Turns
Core Methodology
RSI-Powered Zones
Identifies critical levels using:
14-period RSI (default) with 70/30 thresholds
Semi-transparent boxes marking overbought (red) and oversold (green) territories
Zone persistence until RSI returns to neutral range
Dynamic Level Tracking
Plots evolving support/resistance using:
Pivot highs/lows with 15-bar lookback (default)
Auto-extending lines that adapt to new price extremes
Volume-Confirmed Breakouts
Flags significant moves with:
5/10 EMA volume oscillator
20% volume threshold (default) for confirmation
Technical Innovation
Three-Layer Confirmation
Unique combination of:
Classic RSI extremes
Price structure through pivot points
Volume-fueled momentum shifts
Adaptive Visualization
Zones maintain historical context at 33% transparency
Dynamic lines extend indefinitely until invalidated
Discreet labels for breakout events
System Workflow
Calculates RSI values in real-time
Draws colored zones when RSI crosses 70/30
Marks pivot points every 15 bars (default)
Updates support/resistance lines on new pivots
Triggers alerts when price breaks levels with volume confirmation
Standard Configuration
RSI Settings : 14-period length
Pivot Detection : 15-bar left/right lookback
Visuals : 33% transparency zones with thin borders
Volume Threshold : 20% oscillator difference
Alerts : Breakout signals with "B" labels
This system transforms the classic RSI into a spatial analysis tool - not just showing when markets are overextended, but where they're likely to reverse. The dynamic lines act as moving barriers that adapt to market structure, while the volume filter ensures only high-conviction breaks get flagged. By layering momentum, price action, and volume dynamics, it creates a multi-spectrum view of potential trend changes.
Volatility with Sigma BandsOverview
The Volatility Analysis with Sigma Bands indicator is a powerful and flexible tool designed for traders who want to gain deeper insights into market price fluctuations. It calculates historical volatility within a user-defined time range and displays ±1σ, ±2σ, and ±3σ standard deviation bands, helping traders identify potential support, resistance levels, and extreme price behaviors.
Key Features
Multiple Volatility Band Displays:
±1σ Range (Yellow line): Covers approximately 68% of price fluctuations.
±2σ Range (Blue line): Covers approximately 95% of price fluctuations.
±3σ Range (Fuchsia line): Covers approximately 99% of price fluctuations.
Dynamic Probability Mode:
Toggle between standard normal distribution probabilities (68.2%, 95.4%, 99.7%) and actual historical probability calculations, allowing for more accurate analysis tailored to varying market conditions.
Highly Customizable Label Display:
The label shows:
Real-time volatility
Annualized volatility
Current price
Price ranges for each σ level
Users can adjust the label’s position and horizontal offset to prevent it from overlapping key price areas.
Real-Time Calculation & Visualization:
The indicator updates in real-time based on the selected time range and current market data, making it suitable for day trading, swing trading, and long-term trend analysis.
Use Cases
Risk Management:
Understand the distribution probabilities of price within different standard deviation bands to set more effective stop-loss and take-profit levels.
Trend Confirmation:
Determine trend strength or spot potential reversals by observing whether the price breaks above or below ±1σ or ±2σ ranges.
Market Sentiment Analysis:
Price movement beyond the ±3σ range often indicates extreme market sentiment, providing potential reversal opportunities.
Backtesting and Historical Analysis:
Utilize the customizable time range feature to backtest volatility during various periods, providing valuable insights for strategy refinement.
The Volatility Analysis with Sigma Bands indicator is an essential tool for traders seeking to understand market volatility patterns. Whether you're a day trader looking for precise entry and exit points or a long-term investor analyzing market behavior, this indicator provides deep insights into volatility dynamics, helping you make more confident trading decisions.
Position resetThe "Position Reset" indicator
The Position Reset indicator is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed to identify possible entry points into short positions based on an analysis of market volatility and the behavior of various groups of bidders. The main purpose of this indicator is to provide traders with information about the current state of the market and help them decide whether to open short positions depending on the level of volatility and the mood of the main players.
The main components of the indicator:
1. Parameters for the RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The indicator uses two sets of parameters to calculate the RSI: one for bankers ("Banker"), the other for hot money ("Hot Money").
RSI for Bankers:
RSIBaseBanker: The baseline for calculating bankers' RSI. The default value is 50.
RSIPeriodBanker: The period for calculating the RSI for bankers. The default period is 14.
RSI for hot money:
RSIBaseHotMoney: The baseline for calculating the RSI of hot money. The default value is 30.
RSIPeriodHotMoney: The period for calculating the RSI for hot money. The default period is 21.
These parameters allow you to adjust the sensitivity of the indicator to the actions of different groups of market participants.
2. Sensitivity:
Sensitivity determines how strongly changes in the RSI will affect the final result of calculations. It is configured separately for bankers and hot money:
SensitivityBanker: Sensitivity for bankers' RSI. It is set to 2.0 by default.
SensitivityHotMoney: Sensitivity for hot money RSI. It is set to 1.0 by default.
Changing these parameters allows you to adapt the indicator to different market conditions and trader preferences.
3. Volatility Analysis:
Volatility is measured based on the length of the period, which is set by the volLength parameter. The default length is 30 candles. The indicator calculates the difference between the highest and lowest value for the specified period and divides this difference by the lowest value, thus obtaining the volatility coefficient.
Based on this coefficient, four levels of volatility are distinguished.:
Extreme volatility: The coefficient is greater than or equal to 0.25.
High volatility: The coefficient ranges from 0.125 to 0.2499.
Normal volatility: The coefficient ranges from 0.05 to 0.1249.
Low volatility: The coefficient is less than 0.0499.
Each level of volatility has its own significance for making decisions about entering a position.
4. Calculation functions:
The indicator uses several functions to process the RSI and volatility data.:
rsi_function: This function applies to every type of RSI (bankers and hot money). It adjusts the RSI value according to the set sensitivity and baseline, limiting the range of values from 0 to 20.
Moving Averages: Simple moving averages (SMA), exponential moving averages (EMA), and weighted moving averages (RMA) are used to smooth fluctuations. They are applied to different time intervals to obtain the average values of the RSI.
Thus, the indicator creates a comprehensive picture of market behavior, taking into account both short-term and long-term dynamics.
5. Bearish signals:
Bearish signals are considered situations when the RSI crosses certain levels simultaneously with a drop in indicators for both types of market participants (bankers and hot money).:
The bankers' RSI crossing is below the level of 8.5.
The current hot money RSI is less than 18.
The moving averages for banks and hot money are below their signal lines.
The RSI values for bankers are less than 5.
These conditions indicate a possible beginning of a downtrend.
6. Signal generation:
Depending on the current level of volatility and the presence of bearish signals, the indicator generates three types of signals:
Orange circle: Extremely high volatility and the presence of a bearish signal.
Yellow circle: High volatility and the presence of a bearish signal.
Green circle: Low volatility and the presence of a bearish signal.
These visual markers help the trader to quickly understand what level of risk accompanies each specific signal.
7. Notifications:
The indicator supports the function of sending notifications when one of the three types of signals occurs. The notification contains a brief description of the conditions under which the signal was generated, which allows the trader to respond promptly to a change in the market situation.
Advantages of using the "Position Reset" indicator:
Multi-level analysis: The indicator combines technical analysis (RSI) and volatility assessment, providing a comprehensive view of the current market situation.
Flexibility of settings: The ability to adjust the sensitivity parameters and the RSI baselines allows you to adapt the indicator to any market conditions and personal preferences of the trader.
Clear visualization: The use of colored labels on the chart simplifies the perception of information and helps to quickly identify key points for entering a trade.
Notification support: The notification sending feature makes it much easier to monitor the market, allowing you to respond to important events in time.
Choppiness IndexThis Pine Script v6 indicator calculates the Choppiness Index over a user-defined length and segments it based on user-defined thresholds for choppy and trending market conditions. The indicator allows users to toggle the visibility of choppy, trending, and neutral segments using checkboxes.
Here's how it works:
Inputs: Users can set the length for the Choppiness Index calculation and thresholds for choppy and trending conditions. They can also choose which segments to display.
Choppiness Index Calculation: The script calculates the Choppiness Index using the ATR and the highest-high and lowest-low over the specified length.
Segment Determination: The script determines which segment the current Choppiness Index value falls into based on the thresholds. The color changes exactly at the threshold values.
Dynamic Plotting: The Choppiness Index is plotted with a color that changes based on the segment. The plot is only visible if the segment is "turned on" by the user.
Threshold Lines: Dashed horizontal lines are plotted at the choppy and trending thresholds for reference.
This indicator helps traders visualize market conditions and identify potential transitions between choppy and trending phases, with precise color changes at the threshold values.
