US30 Technical Breakdown โ 09/25/2025๐ US30 Technical Breakdown โ 09/25/2025
US30 dipped into the 46,100โ46,000 support zone and held. Buyers stepped in right at demand, keeping the structure intact โ
.
๐ Market Behavior:
๐น Strong defense of 46K support
๐น Consolidating after rejection near 46,700
๐น Bulls need 46,300+ reclaim for momentum
๐ Key Levels:
๐น Resistance Zones:
46,300 โ First hurdle for buyers
46,430 โ Short-term breakout trigger
46,700 โ Major top to break
๐น Support Zones:
46,150 โ Current intraday support
46,000 โ Must hold for bulls
45,722 โ Strong demand area
๐ง Bias:
Neutral โ leaning bullish ๐ข
Above 46K = healthy structure
Break below 45,700 = bearish shift โ ๏ธ
Trade ideas
US30 Consolidation remains firmly within a strong bullish trendThe US30 has recorded a new high zone, extending its rally as markets continue to react positively to supportive macroeconomic conditions. Optimism is being driven largely by expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, while strong consolidation in the broader market further underpins sentiment.
A Price action remains firmly within a strong bullish trend as long as the index trades above 46,000. Sustained momentum above this key support level is likely to open the path towards the 47,200 resistance zone, potentially paving the way for further upside in the near term.
You any find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
US30 - 2 Day Traders Edge๐Technical:
MARKET BIAS: Neutral-Bullish above PIVOT (holding above HVN level, testing resistance)
PIVOT ZONE: 46,205 (Current HVN magnet)
๐ฅ Traders Edge - Actionable & Tactical
TRADE SETUPS:
๐ง Risk Warning: Core PCE surprise = 200+ point moves
โ๏ธ Bias Flip: Break below 46,100 (bearish) | above 46,450 (bullish)
๐ขBULLISH Potential if PIVOT holds -
โข Bounce from Pivot area 46300 | 46450
โข Stop Loss: 46,050
๐ดBEARISH Potential -
โข Look for SHORT Entries: Rejections at 46300 and/or below PIVOT @ 46205
โข Take Profit: 45900 | 45500 Extended Breakdown
โข Stop Loss: Above 46300
๐ฏKEY LEVELS:
โข Strong Resistance: 46,300 | 46,450 | 46,650
โข Strong Support: 46,100 | 45,900 | 45,700 | 45,500
๐ฏPRICE TARGETS:
โข Bullish Path: 46,300 โ 46,450 โ 46,650 (Extended breakout)
โข Bearish Path: 46,100 โ 45,900 โ 45,500 (Extended breakdown)
๐จHIGH-IMPACT EVENTS (48H): (NY Time Zone)
โข Sep 25 | 08:30 Core Durable Goods: -0.1% vs 1.1% โ Manufacturing health
โข Sep 25 | 08:30 GDP Q2 Final: 3.3% vs -0.5% โ Growth = equity bullish
โข Sep 26 | 08:30 Core PCE MoM: 0.2% vs 0.3% โ RATE REPRICING RISK
โข Sep 26 | 08:30 Personal Income: 0.3% vs 0.4% โ Corporate earnings proxy
๐ MASTER RISK EVENT
๐งFriday September 26 | 08:30 (NY Time Zone)
๐ง Core PCE Price Index (MoM) - Forecast: 0.2% vs Previous: 0.3%
๐ง Critical Impact: Fed's preferred inflation gauge determines rate path and USD strength
โข Gold: Collapse risk if hot print
โข Equities: Rate repricing volatility
โข Sectors: Tech rotation sensitivity
โ ๏ธ RISK MANAGEMENT PROTOCOL
โข Reduce position sizes before Friday 08:30 EDT
โข USD strength reversals impact Gold heavily
โข Tech high beta to rate repricing
โข Month-end flows amplify volatility
________________________________________
Analysis based on Session Volume POC clusters and HVN methodology
US30 H4 | Bearish drop offBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry at 46,338.64, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 46,676.09, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 45,762.38, which has been identified as an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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US30: Late-Cycle Pop or Pullback Setup?The ๐๐จ๐ฐ is pressing fresh highs into a historically soft seasonal window with stretched momentum and limited follow-through. Iโm initiating/adding to a daily timeframe short aiming for a retrace back into prior breakout territory. My baseline path is a drift lower toward 44,500โ44,000 (T1) and then the broader demand band near 43,000โ42,2500 (T2), where Iโll reassess.
This isnโt a โcrashโ callโjust a tactical mean-reversion as macro tailwinds fade, breadth narrows and the first Fed cut shifts the narrative from โrates downโ to โwhy theyโre down.โ
Technicals:
โข Stretched swing: Price has stair-stepped higher with shallow pullbacks; weโre now extended above the 50/100-DMA stack with waning impulse on push days (smaller real bodies, upper wicks).
โข Local resistance: Repeated stalls into the same supply shelf. Iโm leaning into the most recent failed extension and fading the box.
Structure map:
โข Entry: around/into the failed-break zone 46.4k area.
โข Invalidation: daily close > recent spike highs around 47.7k-48.0k.
โข Targets: T1 45,000โ44,500 (prior ATH retest / micro-POC region); T2 44,000โ43,000.
โข Risk: 0.5โ1.0R per add; scale in only on rejection prints or lower-highs.
Fundamentals:
1) The first Fed cut is not automatically bullish.
The Fed delivered a 25 bps cut in September and signaled more easing, which historically can coincide with late-cycle growth scares and choppier equity returns rather than a straight-line melt-up. The cut was framed around cooling activity and inflation progress. ๏ฟผ
2) Growth data is mixedโmanufacturing still weak.
The ISM Manufacturing PMI remained in contraction in August (48.7)โbelow the 50 expansion lineโsignaling ongoing softness in goods demand. That is typically a headwind for the Dowโs cyclical mix. ๏ฟผ
3) ES500 (S&P 500) breadth is narrow; concentration risk elevated.
Mega-caps continue to dominate performance and index leadership, while equal-weight underperforms and concentration risk stays highโconditions that historically increase pullback vulnerability. ๏ฟผ
4) Valuations are rich versus history.
FactSetโs mid-summer forward 12-month P/E for the S&P 500 hovered well above 5- and 10-year averages (>22x vs. ~19x/17x), leaving less cushion if growth wobbles or margins compress. ๏ฟผ
5) Sentiment & seasonality arenโt tailwinds.
September/early Q4 are seasonally trickyโhistorically the weakest stretch for US equitiesโjust as the market tries to price the path of cuts vs. growth. ๏ฟผ
6) Policy & trade headline risk.
Tariff timelines and โreciprocalโ duties remain in play (with officials signaling Aug-1 implementation and additional measures possible), a rolling overhang for global cyclicals and exporters tied into the Dow complex. ๏ฟผ
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every traderโs situation is unique, so itโs crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Bullish continuation?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 46,123.56
1st Support: 45,765.51
1st Resistance: 46,704.98
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Can You Escape the US30 High Voltage Trap in Time?๐ US30/DJ30 High Voltage Bullish Heist Plan ๐
๐ฐ Asset: US30 / DJ30 Index CFD
๐ Plan: Bullish โ Thief OG Layered Buy Attack ๐ดโโ ๏ธ
๐ Entry: Any price level โ weโre layering in with the Bull Grid Strategy like a true market bandit.
๐ฏ Layered Buy Limits:
44,900 ๐ต
44,700 ๐ต
44,400 ๐ฅ
(๐ก You can add more layers โ the more vault doors you crack, the more loot you grab!)
๐ Stop Loss: Thief SL @ 44,000 ๐ โ adjust to your own risk appetite & strategy, ladies & gentlemen of the Thief OG Crew.
๐ Target: 46,300 ๐ฏ โ โก high-voltage electric trap ahead! Escape with the stolen money at 46,200 before the market guards catch you.
๐ดโโ ๏ธ The Heist Blueprint ๐ดโโ ๏ธ
Weโre hitting US30 with multi-layer entries, scooping up the dip zones like professional vault breakers. The bull gang is in control โ momentum, sentiment, and greed all lining up for a payday.
Rules of Engagement:
Use multiple buy limit layers โ stack โem like gold bars.
Stick to longs only โ donโt rob against the tide.
Place alerts at each limit level โ no sleeping during the heist.
Use trailing SL to secure stolen profits while the robberyโs still in progress.
๐ Why Bullish?
US30 showing strong momentum fueled by market optimism, earnings strength, and liquidity flooding in. Macro vibes = bullish; sentiment = greedy. Bears? Scattered and broke.
โ ๏ธ Risk & News Alert:
Avoid entry during high-volatility news drops โ even thieves hate unpredictable explosions.
Manage positions like a pro โ protect the stash.
๐ If this heist plan makes you richer or braver, hit that BOOST and join the Thief Trader Army. Every boost powers our next robbery.
๐ We steal from the market, not from people.
See you at the vault door, Thief OGs. ๐ดโโ ๏ธ๐ฐ๐
Us30 Trade Set Up Sep 24 2025price pushed down hard yesterday but still made a HL on the 1h also created a 1h FVG so i will want to see a test of that, if it respects it i will look for internal 1m bearish structure to look for sells but if it trades through it i will look for buys to PDH
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DOW JONES forming a bottom ahead of the next rally.Dow Jones (DJI) has been trading within a Channel Up since the start of September and right now it is consolidating after having hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, following a Higher High rejection at the top of the pattern.
As you can see, the 0.618 Fib was always pull-back tested after a Higher High, with the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) also or at least coming very close to. As a result, the current 4H candle consolidation is technically a bottoming process before the new Bullish Leg.
The weakest Bullish Leg of this Channel Up has been +1.56%, which more than covers our 46900 Target.
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๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
Dow overbought corrective pullback supported at 46100Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46560
Resistance Level 2: 46700
Resistance Level 3: 46845
Support Level 1: 46100
Support Level 2: 45960
Support Level 3: 45840
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 Technical Breakdown โ 09/24/2025๐ US30 Technical Breakdown โ 09/24/2025
US30 holding steady around 46,320 after yesterdayโs push into the 46,700s before pulling back. Market is consolidating but still above key supports, showing buyers remain in control โ
.
๐ Current Market Behavior:
๐ Retest after breakout โ healthy pullback
โก Buyers defending 46,000 zone strongly
๐ Consolidation above support โ bullish continuation possible
๐ Key Levels:
๐น Resistance Zones:
46,430 โ Immediate resistance
46,700 โ Major upside target
47,000 โ Next extension if momentum continues
๐น Support Zones:
46,093 โ First key support
45,722 โ Strong demand zone
45,456 โ Last line of defense for bulls
๐ง Bias:
Bullish โ
Above 46,000 keeps momentum alive
Break below 45,700 = bearish shift
US30 Update On the low time frame, US30 is consolidating aroundUS30 Update
On the low time frame, US30 is consolidating around 46,351 โ 46,398 after testing the breakout zone.
Key levels:
46,398 โ 46,351 โ short-term decision zone. A breakout above this area could confirm bullish continuation toward 47,170.
46,177 โ 45,796 โ support zone for the main uptrend. As long as price holds above this, the bullish cycle remains intact.
Upside scenario: If price reclaims and holds above 46,398, momentum strengthens for another push higher, with 47,170 as the next major resistance.
Downside risk: If price fails to hold above 46,177, deeper correction could follow, with 45,796 as first support.
Cycle level: 41,097 is the cycle start and a critical must-hold area for the long-term bullish structure.
๐ Summary
Above 46,398 โ bullish continuation toward 47,170.
Hold above 46,177 โ 45,796 โ main uptrend safe.
Break below 45,796 โ correction risk, broader weakness possible.
41,097 โ cycle start and major long-term support.
23 sep 2025 -day one- results 2SL, 1 BEToday I started journaling my trades and emotions again after a 6-month or much more break. I wasn't in my best mood and couldn't think as well as I usually do.
First entry was a sell on a very bullish market, and I took it because I had patterns for it in my strategy, but usually in strong bull or bearish markets, I trust the market momentum for the first 30 minutes, but today my mind wasn't free enough or strong enough to do it on time, and gave me at least 1 reward.
The second trade was a buy, which gave me a break-even result, and there was nothing wrong with that.
On the third trade, I got emotional and didn't hesitate that for this kind of bull market we may start ranging, and I just entered a buy, but unfortunately, I got stopped out.
And I called it a day with minest 2 reward, and I hope I get it all back. I'm thinking about just trading from Wednesday to Friday, because usually I face losses on the first two days of the week, and maybe I will just trade on Wednesday and Friday. I will make the final decision after two more weeks of journaling.
US30: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 togetherโบ๏ธ
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 46,620.50 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 46,789.61 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
โค๏ธSending you lots of Love and Hugsโค๏ธ
US30 Technical Breakdown โ 09/23/2025๐ US30 Technical Breakdown โ 09/23/2025
US30 pushing higher again ๐ Now trading around 46,420, holding strong after reclaiming the 46,000 key level. Buyers are in control as momentum builds.
EMA structure is bullish โ dips are being bought, and price is trending upward toward new highs.
๐ Current Market Behavior:
๐ Strong breakout past 46,000
โก Higher lows & higher highs forming
๐ Consolidation breaks leading to expansion
๐ฅ Momentum still favoring the bulls
๐ Key Levels:
๐น Resistance Zones:
46,430 โ Immediate intraday resistance
46,600 โ Next upside target
46,800 โ Extension level
๐น Support Zones:
46,093 โ First line of support
45,722 โ Strong demand zone
45,456 โ Major support floor
๐ง Bias:
Bullish โ
Above 46,000 = buyers in full control
Only a break below 45,700 shifts bias