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Nasdaq - Clearly heading to $30.000!🎉Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) points much higher: 🔎Analysis summary: Yes, we witnessed a short term correction over the past couple of days. But no, this does not mean that the bullrun is now entirely over. In fact, looking at the longer term rising channel pattern, the Nasdaq can still rally higher until it will retest the upper trendline. 📝Levels to watch: $25.000, $30.000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:NDQLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
20
NAS100 -Head and Shoulders Formed. Price Sitting at the NecklinePrice had been climbing steadily and consistently till now. See my previous analysis: Or click on the attached idea on my chart. But momentum is starting to be fading. And if we look closely, we could recognize a head and shoulders pattern. We have the first peak, the left shoulder. Then a taller peak, the head. And finally, a lower high, the right shoulder. And right now, price is sitting right at that neckline. So the market is at decision point: A strong break below would confirm the Head and Shoulders and trigger the reversal. - If price will break below this neckline with momentum, the pattern is confirmed. And that would be our short signal anticipating a move down, towards 24.400. - But if buyers step in here, the pattern could fail. The target is measured from the head to the neckline, and projected below the breakout. It’s a key moment and the next move will decide the outcome.
FX:NAS100Long
by TrendDiva
17
NASDAQ NAS100 Analysis: Three-Drive Pattern, VWAP & Trade Plan📊 The NASDAQ 100 has been riding a strong bullish trend, pushing higher with relentless momentum. On the daily timeframe, price now looks heavily overextended 📈. 🔎 Zooming into the 4-hour chart, the overextension is even more apparent. In trending markets, we often observe a three-drive pattern (sometimes a fourth) before an aggressive correction occurs. ⚡ I’m keeping an eye out for a sharp pullback. If price finds support and confirms with a bullish break of market structure, this could present a high-probability long entry setup 🚀. 📹 In the video, I also dive into how I use the VWAP and Fibonacci retracement tools. Both are powerful indicators that provide valuable insight and a trading edge 🔧. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
FX:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
5
US govt Shutdown Impact on GOLD/BTC/SPX/NDX Overview📊 Scenario analysis Assumed probabilities: 10-day (35%) / 20-day (40%) / 30-day (25%). These skew toward 20–30d expectation while allowing for a compromise CR late next week. 🗓️ 1) 10-day shutdown (quick CR by ~Oct 10) • 🔑 Catalysts: market wobble + travel/FAA headlines + IPO freeze optics force a deal; leadership meeting produces a clean CR. • 📉 SPX/NDX: -3% to -5% drawdown from pre-shutdown highs, then sharp relief. Mega-cap quality outperforms; small-caps lag on SBA loan pause. • 💻 Bitcoin: -3% to -8% (high beta to equities, liquidity cautious); quick snapback if the deal lands and SEC footprint stays light. • 🟡 Gold: +1% to +3%; fades a bit on resolution as real-rate anxiety reasserts. History shows shutdowns aren’t a reliable gold rocket on their own. 🗓️ 2) 20-day shutdown (through ~Oct 20) — “policy fog trade” • 🔑 Catalysts: prolonged policy riders; BEA/Census blackout delays GDP/retail sales; SEC skeletal staff extends IPO drought. Fed guidance leans on forecasts, not fresh data. • 📉 SPX/NDX: -5% to -8%. Factor rotation: low-vol/defensive > cyclicals; brokers/ECM-sensitive names soft; travel/airlines weak on FAA/TSA constraints. • 💻 Bitcoin: -8% to -15% or flat-to-up if “crypto vs. Washington” narrative picks up while enforcement is thin — mixed precedent. This is the most two-sided asset here. • 🟡 Gold: +3% to +6% as uncertainty premia build and central-bank-buying narrative stays intact. Stretching to $3,900–3,950 bullion target likely needs an added shock (ratings rhetoric, geopolitical flare). 🗓️ 3) 30-day shutdown (into late Oct) — “risk-off with rating overtones” • 🔑 Catalysts: political stalemate; louder warnings about governance; issuance continues but optics around fiscal sustainability bite. • 📉 SPX/NDX: -7% to -12%; HY spreads widen; VIX spikes; defensives/quality lead. • 💻 Bitcoin: -15% to -25% on de-risking and liquidity run-down unless regulatory paralysis creates a “wild west” window and ETF inflows offset — low probability but non-zero. • 🟡 Gold: +5% to +10%. A test of new cycle highs is plausible; hitting ~$3,900 quickly would likely require a ratings/FX scare, not just a shutdown. ________________________________________ 🧭 What’s different this time • 📉 Data blackout = policy uncertainty: Delays to GDP/retail sales/trade stats complicate Fed read-throughs — markets price fatter uncertainty premia. • 📜 Regulatory throttle: SEC/CFTC “skeletal staff” → IPO drought and slower filings (headwind to brokers/ECM), even as EDGAR stays up. • ✈️ Real-economy micro-pain points: FAA hiring/training halted → travel frictions; SBA lending paused → small-cap cash flow stress. • ⚠️ Ratings optics: After Moody’s downgrade, governance headlines cut deeper than in prior shutdowns. ________________________________________ 🤹 Contrarian angles 1. 🪙 “Bad data is no data” rally: If key prints are delayed, the market extrapolates a dovish Fed trajectory → curve bull-steepening and equities rally on rates, overpowering shutdown angst. 2. 💻 Crypto resilience: A lighter-touch SEC during a lapse can reduce headline risk; BTC has rallied during a shutdown before, though not consistently. 3. 🟡 Gold stall: If real yields back up on supply/duration worries rather than down on growth fear, gold can underperform despite the shutdown — history shows no clean positive beta. 4. 📈 Buy-the-resolution pop: Equities’ median post-shutdown performance is positive at 3–6 months — setting up a tactical sell the rumor / buy the cease-fire template. ________________________________________ 💡 Trades & risk management tactical, 2–6 weeks 📉 Equities (SPX/NDX) • 🛡️ Hedge now, monetize spikes: 4–6 week put spreads on SPX/NDX (≈25Δ/10Δ) sized for a -6–8% path; roll down if we breach the first support zone. Consider VIX 1–2M calls as convex tail protection. • 🔄 Pairs/tilts: Underweight ECM-sensitive brokers; overweight staples/health-care utilities; short airlines vs. travel alternatives until FAA constraints clear. 💻 Bitcoin • 🛡️ De-gear & collar: Reduce leverage; implement collars (sell 10–15Δ OTM calls to finance 20–25Δ puts). If we gap lower into -10% territory quickly, look to sell downside skew and pivot to short-dated call spreads into resolution. 🟡 Gold • 📈 Own upside, respect mean-reversion: Use GLD call spreads (1–2M) targeting +4–8% with limited theta. $3,900–$3,950 bullion target is a stretch on shutdown alone; size for base-case +3–6% unless a ratings/geopolitical catalyst emerges. 📉 Small-caps / credit • 🛑 IWM vs. QQQ underweight (SBA bottlenecks); keep HY credit hedged via CDX HY or HYG puts into Day 15+. ________________________________________ 🔍 Levels & signposts to watch • 🏛️ Policy tape: Any Senate movement on a “clean” CR; signs of healthcare rider compromise. • 📅 Data calendar: Official notices on jobs/CPI/GDP timing (BLS/BEA/Census). A confirmed delay → more policy fog premium. • ✈️ Micro stress: FAA/TSA updates; SEC operating status for registrations; SBA loan queue. • ⚠️ Ratings rhetoric: Any agency commentary tying shutdown length to governance risk. ________________________________________ 📝 Bottom line • 📉 Base path: A -5–8% equity drawdown with gold +3–6% and BTC -8–15% is the modal 2–4 week outcome if we run ~20 days. • ⚠️ Tail path: At 30 days, governance optics + data blackout can push SPX/NDX -7–12%, BTC -15–25%, gold +5–10%. • 🔄 Contrarian risk: A quick CR or a “no data → dovish” impulse squeezes shorts — be ready to pivot to a buy-the-resolution stance.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by ProjectSyndicate
23
US100 M30 – Sideway at the Top - Short OpportunityThe CAPITALCOM:US100 index has experienced a strong upward move on the 30-minute chart, pushing price to a new high around the 24,800 – 24,850 zone. However, recently, price has been moving sideways within a narrow range, forming a consolidation phase near this key resistance area. This sideways action signals a potential short-term correction or trend reversal. 📉Technical Analysis: Current Sideways Zone: Price is consolidating between approximately 24,800 and 24,850, repeatedly testing this resistance but failing to break through decisively. Key Support Level: The 24,650 – 24,700 zone is acting as critical support, holding price during this consolidation. Support Break Signal: A close below the 24,650 – 24,700 support range would confirm the start of a downtrend and signal a likely bearish move. 📊 Trading Plan Sell on Support Break: If price closes below the 24,650 – 24,700 support zone, consider entering a short position targeting the next strong support area near 24,400 – 24,350 . Sell on Retest of Sideways Zone: After breaking support, if price pulls back to retest the sideways zone (24,800 – 24,850) and shows bearish rejection signals (e.g., pin bar, bearish engulfing), this provides a good opportunity to enter or add to short positions. ⚠️Risk Management: Stop-loss: Place above the sideways resistance area, around 24,860 – 24,870 , to avoid false breakouts. Take profit: Consider partial profit-taking near 24,650 – 24,700 and final targets around 24,400 – 24,350. Wait for Confirmation: Avoid entering trades without clear support breaks or bearish rejection signals to minimize risk. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by ZuperView
5
USNAS100 Range Bound Price action price likely to continueThe US NASDAQ 100 (USNAS100) is currently exhibiting range-bound price action, with consolidation likely to continue until a clear breakout occurs. Technical View: On Wednesday, the index edged slightly higher as investors weighed the measured comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and looked ahead to key U.S. economic data due later this week. A confirmed breakout above the current consolidation zone could open the path for further upside, with potential resistance seen near the 24,900 level. You may find more details in the chart. Trade wisely best of Luck. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by MrMartin_11
5
NASDAQ | Diagonal resistance | GTradingmethodGood morning Traders, I hope everyone has had a winning week so far :) The US100 is sitting at a pivotal point. Price is currently at all-time highs but also testing two key diagonal resistance levels — one medium-term and one short-term. These resistance lines are intersecting right now, which adds extra weight to this resistance zone. The big question: 👉 Will the US100 break through resistance and push higher into uncharted territory, or are we about to see a short-term correction from here? 📊 Trade Plan: Not entering a trade just yet — waiting for confirmation of either a breakout with retest or rejection and reversal. Very keen to hear what everyone thinks, let me know please :) Peace G
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by GTradingMethod
5
NAS100 Long Idea: Bullish Break and Retest ScenarioHello TradingView Community, This is a technical analysis of a potential long opportunity on the US 100 Cash CFD (NAS100) on the 15-minute timeframe. Technical Analysis: The chart is displaying a bullish structure. We can identify a key horizontal level at approximately 24,410.03. This level previously acted as a ceiling, providing significant resistance to the price. Recently, the market has shown strong momentum by breaking out above this resistance zone. This breakout suggests that buyers are in control. The trading idea is based on the expectation of a "break and retest" pattern, where the price pulls back to this former resistance level, confirms it as new support, and then continues its upward trajectory. Trade Setup: The long position tool on the chart outlines a potential trade plan based on this bullish outlook: Entry: Approximately 24,410.03 (at the retest of the new support level). Stop Loss: 24,117.96 (placed below the support structure to allow for some volatility and to invalidate the idea if the level fails). Take Profit: 25,299.42 (targeting a new higher high, continuing the bullish trend). This setup provides a structured plan with a clear risk-to-reward ratio for a potential move higher. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and discussion purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading CFDs and indices involves a high level of risk. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
FUSIONMARKETS:NAS100
by hammad69918
2
US100 remains in a well-defined uptrendUS100 remains in a well-defined uptrend After the FOMC cut rates by 25 basis points and also sent a message that two more rate cuts could happen this year, all indices broke out in an uptrend. US100 felt a surge at 23992 during the FOMC meeting as the market was unclear about what was going on and later rallied again. Price tested the major support area near 23900 where buyers appeared stronger than before pushing the price higher from where US100 easily reached the first and second targets. After any small pause, I think US100 can rise further to 24750 and 25000. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by KlejdiCuni
6
US100: Approaching resistance, pullback likely before breakoutThe IG:NASDAQ has shown a strong short-term recovery after breaking a major descending trendline. However, price is now testing a significant resistance zone, and a technical pullback is likely before the uptrend can continue. 📊 Technical Analysis: 30-minute Chart 📉 1. Overall Trend Price has successfully broken above a descending trendline (red line), shifting market structure from bearish to bullish. An uptrend line (green) is now acting as dynamic support. Price is trading near the upper band of the Keltner Channel, indicating sustained bullish momentum. 🟥 2. Resistance Zone: 24,596 – 24,681 This zone has acted as a strong supply area in the past, causing multiple rejections. Price is currently testing this area again → a rejection or short-term pullback is highly probable. 🟦 3. Support Zone: 24,383 – 24,500 This zone overlaps with previous consolidation and aligns with the uptrend line. If a pullback occurs, this area could attract buyers and act as a launchpad for the next leg up. 🔁 Potential Trade Setups ✳️ Primary Scenario (preferred): Price rejects at resistance → pulls back to support → bounces and resumes the uptrend Wait for a pullback toward 24,500 – 24,383 Look for bullish price action (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer) for entry Enter long if support holds: 🎯 TP1: 24,650 🎯 TP2: 24,700+ 🛑 SL: Below 24,350 (trendline invalidation) 🔻 Alternative Scenario (risk): If price breaks below 24,383 and the uptrend line fails → short-term trend could shift sideways or bearish Avoid long entries without a confirmed recovery Re-evaluate trend structure if support fails ✅ Conclusion A short-term uptrend is in place However, price is now testing a major resistance zone, and a healthy pullback is likely Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
IG:NASDAQLong
by ZuperView
USNAS100 – Nasdaq Awaits GDP Data as Bears Hold ControlUSNAS100 – Overview The Nasdaq 100 holds a bearish bias ahead of today’s key U.S. GDP release, with price action leaning lower as traders brace for potential volatility. A stronger-than-expected GDP print would likely reinforce downside momentum by reducing Fed rate-cut expectations, while weaker data could provide a bullish lift for tech indices. Technical View Bearish Scenario: The index remains bearish while trading below the 24,560 pivot zone. Immediate downside targets are 24,385 → 24,140 → 23,870. 🔻 A confirmed 1H close below 24,385 would strengthen momentum toward deeper supports. Bullish Scenario: A confirmed 1H close above 24,570 would invalidate the bearish setup and support a move toward 24,660 → 24,810. Key Levels Pivot: 24,500 Resistance: 24,570 – 24,660 – 24,810 Support: 24,380 – 24,140 – 23,870 The Nasdaq remains in a data-driven range, with GDP results likely to decide whether price breaks below 24,385 to extend losses or rebounds above 24,570 to retest higher resistance.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
USNAS100 – Powell Caution Keeps Nasdaq in Tight RangeUSNAS100 – Overview Futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq edged slightly higher on Wednesday as investors weighed measured comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and looked ahead to key U.S. economic data later this week. Powell acknowledged that asset prices appear highly valued, while maintaining a cautious tone on the labor market. He avoided taking sides between Fed officials calling for deeper cuts to support jobs and those urging restraint to avoid inflation risks, emphasizing instead the delicate balancing act between growth and price stability. 📊 Technical View The Nasdaq100 is showing range-bound price action, with consolidation likely to continue until a clear breakout occurs. Bearish Scenario: Price is expected to test the resistance zone around 24,810 before pulling back toward 24,560. 🔻 A confirmed 15-min close below 24,560 would expose deeper supports at 24,380 → 24,140. Bullish Scenario: A decisive break above 24,900 would invalidate the bearish setup and open the way toward 25,040. An hourly close above 24,900 would confirm renewed bullish momentum. Key Levels Pivot: 24,660 Resistance: 24,810 – 24,900 – 25,050 Support: 24,560 – 24,380 – 24,150
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
USNAS100 –Bullish Momentum Holds Above 24655 with Targets 24045 US Indices – Overview U.S. stock index futures rose on Monday, marking a firm start to a potentially eventful week as investors await comments from several Federal Reserve policymakers and monitor the risk of a government shutdown. Friday’s in-line inflation print kept rate-cut expectations alive, allowing the three major indexes to recover some ground even though they ended last week in negative territory. Focus now turns to the funding standoff between Republicans and Democrats, which could trigger a federal shutdown starting Wednesday, the first day of the U.S. government’s 2026 fiscal year. A shutdown could delay the release of key employment and inflation data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, reducing economic visibility and potentially postponing a Fed rate cut in October. President Donald Trump’s administration has also warned it may permanently remove workers from some federal agencies if funding lapses—a move that could lead to a spike in jobless claims. Investors will be watching closely for any signals of concern from Fed officials regarding the potential loss of critical economic data if a shutdown materializes. USNAS100 – Technical Overview The market maintains a bullish bias and is expected to extend the uptrend toward 24,810 and 24,900. A sustained close above 24,810 would strengthen momentum and open the way for a further push toward 25,045. However, failure to hold above 24,810 could trigger a pullback toward 24,575 and 24,460 before the next directional move. Pivot: 24,655 Resistance: 24,810 – 24,900 – 25,045 Support: 24,570 – 24,460 – 24,340
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
USNAS100 – New All-Time High as Tech Headlines Fuel MomentumUSNAS100 – Overview The Nasdaq 100 recorded a new all-time high (ATH) near 24,820, extending its bullish run as markets continue to digest upbeat tech headlines. Investor sentiment remains supported by Nvidia’s plan to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI, with the first data-center gear expected in 2026, and by anticipation of September flash PMIs, which will test U.S. economic resilience amid tariffs and ongoing Fed commentary. Bullish Scenario The index maintains strong bullish momentum while trading above the 24,780 – 24,710 pivot zone. Targets: A sustained move above current highs could drive price toward 24,900 → 25,045. An hourly close above 24,900 would reinforce upside momentum, potentially opening the way to fresh highs beyond 25,045 if tech sentiment strengthens. Bearish Scenario A confirmed 1H close below 24,710 would signal the start of a corrective move. Targets: 24,570 → 24,460, with deeper losses possible if profit-taking accelerates after recent ATHs. Key Levels Pivot Zone: 24,780 – 24,710 Resistance: 24,900 – 25,045 Support: 24,570 – 24,470
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi