Get started
US Tech 100 Cash IndexUS Tech 100 Cash IndexUS Tech 100 Cash Index

US Tech 100 Cash Index

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Seasonals

USATEC trade ideas

Beyond the Chart – NAS100 Through Technicals & Fundamentals⚖️ CAPITALCOM:US100 Fundamental Impact today • The core driver is the US CPI (inflation) + Unemployment Claims at 3:30 pm. • Expect increased volatility on NAS100 around that time: • ✅ Lower CPI + weaker jobs → Bullish NAS100 (rate cut hopes). • ❌ Higher CPI + strong jobs → Bearish NAS100 (higher for longer Fed). 1. Bearish Continuation (Main Scenario) • Rejection from the bearish FVG + BB zone → downside continuation. • Targeting: • 23,750 short-term liquidity sweep. • Then 23,700–23,650 (discount FVG). • Extended target: 23,540 (major discount PD array). 2. Deeper Retracement / Liquidity Sweep (Alternative Scenario) • Price might push slightly above the bearish FVG / BB zone (~23,900–23,930) to sweep late shorts. • Then reversal down, same targets as scenario 1. 3. Bullish Recovery (Less Likely for Now) • If price reclaims above 23,950–24,000, structure shifts bullish again. • Potential revisit of 24,100+ liquidity above the HH. ⸻ ⚖️ Bias • For now, bias is bearish unless 23,950–24,000 is broken with strength. • Volume histogram also shows selling momentum increasing after the rejection.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by iamtradingdon
NSDQ100 Bullish breakout support at 23500Key Developments US labor market revisions: BLS cut payrolls by -911k through March 2025, implying weaker labor conditions than thought. Markets took it in stride, with rate cut pricing steady at ~27bps for next week (-1.5bps on day). Fed outlook: Treasury Secretary Bessent urged recalibration of policy, echoing Trump’s criticism of “choking off growth.” Governor Lisa Cook remains in her role after a court blocked Trump’s attempt to remove her, ensuring full FOMC participation next week. Geopolitics: Middle East: Israel’s strike on Hamas leaders in Qatar drew criticism from Trump, seen as not aiding conflict resolution. Europe: Poland shot down drones from a Russian strike on Ukraine, escalating tensions with Moscow. Market Takeaways Payroll downgrades confirm a weaker labor backdrop but don’t materially change Fed cut expectations for September. Political noise around the Fed could fuel uncertainty, but markets are treating it as background risk. Geopolitical tensions remain elevated but had limited immediate market impact. Conclusion for Nasdaq 100 The Nasdaq 100 is likely to remain steady to slightly supported: Weaker labor revisions reduce concerns about overheating, reinforcing the Fed cut narrative. Limited geopolitical spillover into tech equities so far. Bond yields and Fed pricing, not payroll revisions, remain the key driver. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 24200 Resistance Level 2: 24380 Resistance Level 3: 24600 Support Level 1: 23500 Support Level 2: 23320 Support Level 3: 23125 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
USD100 BULLISH CONTINUATION IDEA 📈 Bullish Continuation Idea 🔹 Technical Analysis Trend Bias: All higher timeframes confirm a bullish continuation trend. Key Structure: On the H4 timeframe, price formed a higher low (HL) at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, supporting the bullish bias. Profit Target: First TP at the -27% Fibonacci extension (24,000 – 24,070 zone). Liquidity Targets: Markets typically hunt liquidity (daily highs/lows, swing points, equal highs/lows). The prior swing high on the daily provides additional confluence for this target. Lower Timeframe Structure: H1 shows bullish HH/HL structure. Price fully mitigated the recent H1 Fair Value Gap (FVG) and swept the recent data low, possibly offering a strong entry zone for continuation upwards. 🔹 Fundamental Analysis While N100 often moves independently of news, key events can act as catalysts: Wednesday 09/10/2025 – Core PPI (Low-Moderate Impact): If PPI prints lower as expected, this should fuel bullish momentum. No major rallies or crashes expected, but could provide continuation fuel. Thursday 09/11/2025 – CPI Y/Y (High-Moderate Impact): Historically, N100 reacts inversely to bullish CPI prints. Based on past CPI releases (08/12/25, 07/15/25, 06/11/25, 02/12/24), expect a possible short-term dip before resuming the trend. Best opportunities may come after NY open liquidity grabs. ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer This is not financial advice – just my personal analysis. If we all knew exactly where the market was going, we’d all be millionaires. Trade cautiously and always prioritize risk management. Happy Trading ❤️
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by kcordero
NAS100 (Nasdaq) Key Levels and Probable Draw on LiquidityA clear bullish market structure driven by an aggressive upward displacement. This energetic move to the upside has created several price inefficiencies, or gaps, which are areas where price delivery was one sided. Currently, price is consolidating in a premium range, above the equilibrium of the recent impulse leg. The logical draw on liquidity, or the ultimate target for this bullish momentum, is the distinct old high labeled as the "d cisd level" (Daily change in the state of delivery). The market is likely reaching for this level to clear out any resting buy side orders. ‍ Before reaching that ultimate target, a retracement is a high probability event. Price may pull back to rebalance the inefficiency at the "4h cisd level", which should now act as a significant support area. This would represent a move back into a relative discount, offering a more favorable entry for buyers aiming for the highs. Should this level fail, a deeper retracement into the larger green zone labeled "OTE" would signify an optimal entry point within the overall bullish leg. The narrative remains bullish as long as these key lower levels of support are respected. The alternative path would likely have led to chasing price in a premium, resulting in a poor risk to reward entry. PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by TradeConfirmed
NASDAQ NAS100 at a Crossroads: Riding Nvidias Surge with CautionThe immediate reaction to Nvidia's stellar earnings has been decidedly bullish, propelling the NASDAQ higher. We saw a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" event where the "news" was so powerful it triggered a "fear of missing out" (FOMO) rally with a healthy correction on Friday. In the next one to two weeks, the near-term bias is bullish, but with extreme caution. The market has received the fundamental "all-clear" it was waiting for from its most important company. However, the index is now technically overextended and sentiment is euphoric, making it vulnerable to a short-term pullback or consolidation. The primary trend, however, remains bullish IMO. 1. The Catalyst: Nvidia Earnings Nvidia didn't just beat expectations; it shattered them and raised future guidance, validating the entire AI investment thesis. Revenue & EPS: Significant beats on both the top and bottom lines. Guidance: Q2 revenue guidance of ~$28B was vastly higher than analyst estimates of ~$26.6B, demonstrating unprecedented demand for its Blackwell and Hopper architecture chips. Data Center: Revenue of $22.6B, up 427% year-over-year, is the core of the story. This shows that AI infrastructure spending is not slowing; it's accelerating. Stock Split: The announcement of a 10-for-1 stock split adds a psychological boost for retail investors, improving accessibility and reinforcing bullish sentiment. Analyst Interpretation: This wasn't just a quarterly report; it was a fundamental confirmation that the AI revolution has tangible, massive earnings power. It alleviated fears that the AI trade was a bubble. For the NASDAQ, which is market-cap weighted and heavily influenced by NVDA, this was rocket fuel. 2. Technical Analysis (One-Day Timeframe Post-Earnings) Price Action: The NASDAQ gapped up powerfully at the open, breaking cleanly above its previous consolidation range. This was a strong bullish signal. Volume: The rally was accompanied by massive volume, confirming broad institutional participation. This wasn't a low-volume grind; it was a conviction move. 3. Macro & Fundamental Backdrop Interest Rates: The market is currently pricing in a higher-for-longer stance from the Fed. However, recent economic data (PMIs, jobless claims) has shown slight signs of softening, which keeps hopes alive for a potential rate cut later in the year. A stable, non-accelerating rate environment is acceptable for tech stocks, especially those like Nvidia with explosive earnings growth that outweighs rate concerns. Geopolitics: While always a risk (U.S.-China tensions, elections), the market has largely shrugged off these concerns for now, choosing to focus on the stellar corporate fundamentals. Market Breadth: A key watch-out. The rally has been narrow, led primarily by the "Magnificent 7" (now perhaps the "Fab 1" - Nvidia). For the rally to be sustainable, we need to see broader participation from other sectors and smaller-cap stocks within the NASDAQ. 4. Likely Outcome for the Next 1-2 Weeks: Bullish with a Caveat Bullish Scenario (60% Probability): The momentum from Nvidia is likely to carry the NASDAQ higher in the very near term. We could see a continued "melt-up" towards 17,400-17,500 as underinvested funds are forced to chase performance and add equity exposure. Any dip will likely be shallow and bought aggressively, with the 17,000 level holding firm. Consolidation/Pullback Scenario (35% Probability): This is the most likely healthy outcome. After such a massive, emotion-driven surge, the market is likely to need a period of digestion. We could see the NASDAQ chop sideways for a week or two to work off the overbought conditions. This would reset the momentum indicators and allow the market to build a new base for the next leg higher. This is not a bearish signal; it is a strengthening signal. Bearish Reversal Scenario (5% Probability): A sharp reversal below the 17,000 support level and a fill of the earnings gap (~16,900) would be a significant warning. This would likely require a new, negative macro catalyst (e.g., unexpectedly hot inflation data, a major geopolitical escalation) that forcefully changes the interest rate narrative. Trading & Investment Implication For Bulls / Existing Longs: Hold positions. Consider taking partial profits on extreme strength, but avoid selling your entire position. The trend is your friend. Use any pullback to the 17,000 support as a potential buying opportunity. For New Entrants: Chasing the green spike is high-risk. Be patient. Wait for the inevitable pullback or period of consolidation to establish a position. The risk/reward is poor on the day after a massive gap up. For Bears: Fighting this tape is exceptionally dangerous. The fundamental news from NVDA is a game-changer for the index. Shorting based solely on overbought conditions is a quick path to losses. Final Analyst Call: The next week is likely bullish with high volatility, potentially extending gains. However, the following week is highly susceptible to a consolidation or pullback as the initial euphoria settles. The overall trajectory for the next two weeks is cautiously bullish, with the understanding that a 2-4% pullback is a normal and healthy part of a strong uptrend. The burden of proof is now on the bears to prove they can wrestle control back from a market that just received the best possible news from its most important constituent. Not financial advice, this is just my opinion.
FX:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for Inflation Index?!The index is above EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is in its long-term ascending channel. If the drawn upward trend line is maintained, we can expect Nasdaq to reach its previous ATH. In case of its valid breakdown, its downward path will be smoothed to the specified demand zone, where it can be bought with appropriate risk-reward. U.S. equities closed lower on Friday after a volatile session, capping off a turbulent week in negative territory. Initially, weaker-than-expected employment data fueled optimism that the Federal Reserve would move toward further rate cuts. However, growing fears of an economic recession quickly overshadowed that optimism and pushed the indexes into the red. Following the labor market report, expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed’s September meeting are now virtually certain. The main question, however, is how fast subsequent cuts might unfold. Some analysts have even floated the possibility of a surprise 50-basis-point cut on September 17. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, speaking at the Jackson Hole symposium, stressed that risks stemming from labor market weakness may now outweigh inflation risks—a factor that could justify a shift in the central bank’s policy approach. Nick Timiraos, a prominent Wall Street Journal reporter closely tracking Fed policy, noted that the sharp slowdown in job growth over the summer has likely cemented the Fed’s decision to cut rates by 25 basis points in the upcoming meeting. Still, he made no explicit mention of a 50-basis-point move. While markets have raised the probability of that scenario to 14%, Timiraos believes the main focus remains on a more moderate reduction. He also observed that the latest jobs report has deepened uncertainty over the pace and scope of cuts beyond September—a challenge that policymakers and markets will grapple with in the months ahead. Barclays Bank now projects the Fed will lower rates three times in 2025—each time by 25 basis points in September, October, and December. This is an upward revision from its earlier forecast of just two cuts in September and December. President Donald Trump once again lashed out at Fed policy in a post on his social media platform, writing: “Jerome Powell should have cut rates long ago. But as usual, he has acted too late.” Meanwhile, mounting concerns over ballooning fiscal deficits—not only in the U.S. but also in countries like Japan, France, and the U.K.—have placed added pressure on long-dated bonds. The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury briefly climbed to a one-and-a-half-month high last week. At the same time, the Treasury Department plans to issue new three-year, ten-year, and thirty-year securities next week, an event that could further fuel volatility in the bond market. The coming week will be light in terms of data volume, yet the few scheduled releases will carry significant weight as inflation once again takes center stage. On Wednesday, the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August will be published. Forecasts suggest both the headline and core readings will show sharp declines compared to July. On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) will hold its policy meeting, where markets currently expect the deposit rate to remain unchanged at 2.15%. Shortly afterward, traders will turn their attention to the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August, along with weekly jobless claims data—closely monitored for signs of potential weakness in the U.S. labor market. Finally, on Friday, the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will be released. This survey has been a particularly important gauge of inflation expectations this year, offering deeper insights into how U.S. households perceive price trends. The PPI, which reflects changes in goods prices at the factory gate, often provides more forward-looking signals than the CPI. As shown in July’s data, any unexpected surge in August’s numbers could temper investors’ optimism about the pace of rate cuts. For now, the impact of tariffs on goods prices appears limited, while the Fed’s main concern remains the risk of renewed inflationary pressures in the services sector. According to the Cleveland Fed’s Nowcast model, headline inflation rose 0.1% in August to reach an annualized rate of 2.8%, while core inflation held steady at 3.1%.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
US100 Breaks All-Time High – Bullish Targets Ahead!This 4-hour chart of the US100 (Nasdaq) shows a strong bullish trend supported by multiple breakouts (BO) and break of structure (BOS) signals over the past few weeks. After retesting and bouncing from key buyer activation zones, the price has consistently broken through previous resistance levels. Most notably, the index has just broken above its previous all-time high around 23,976, signaling strong momentum and potential for further upside. The price is currently hovering near 24,089, with key short-term targets marked at: Target : $24,284 Target : $24,396 Target : $24,511 These targets align with the upper boundary of a rising parallel channel, suggesting the bulls are in control for now. The chart projects a continuation of this bullish move, with a stair-step rally expected if the current breakout holds. As long as the price stays above the breakout zone and respects the structure, the upside targets remain in play. In short: US100 is showing solid bullish strength, breaking above its previous highs with clear upside potential. Educational Idea.
SKILLING:US100Long
by SmartEdgeTrading
The #1 Trading Skill: Controlling Your RiskThe secret to trading isn’t winning every trade - it’s about managing risk. Risk management and trading. This is one of the most important topics if you’re serious about becoming a profitable trader. Risk management is the foundation of trading. If you don’t manage your risk you won’t make it. Simple as that. No one can predict whether the market will go up or down with 100% certainty. That’s why as traders we can never fully control how much profit we make. But we can control one thing. How much we lose. And that brings us to the first step in risk management. Understanding the power of the risk-reward ratio. When choosing a trading strategy that suits you one of the factors to consider is its risk-reward ratio. Every strategy has its own balance between risk and potential reward and understanding this is key. This is where we need to put our math brains to work. What is the risk-reward ratio? Simply put it tells us how much we stand to gain for every unit of risk we take. It’s a straightforward but powerful metric that helps determine whether a strategy can be profitable over time. Let’s break it down with a simple example: • If your strategy has a 1:1 risk-reward ratio it means that for every $100 you risk you aim to make $100 in profit. Win or lose the potential gain and loss are the same. • If your strategy has a 1:2 risk-reward ratio you risk losing $100, but if the trade goes your way you make $200. This means your potential reward is twice as big as your risk. • If your strategy has a 1:5 risk-reward ratio for every $100 you risk you have the chance to make $500. Here the possible reward is much greater than the risk you take. Your risk-reward ratio has a big impact on your overall profitability. But the risk-reward ratio alone doesn’t tell the full story. To know if a strategy is truly profitable you also need to consider another key factor: Win rate. Your win rate is the percentage of trades that end in profit. This is where math and probabilities come into play. • If your strategy has a 50% win rate it means that out of 10 trades 5 are winners and 5 are losers. • If your win rate is 40% 4 out of 10 trades will be profitable. The key to long-term success is finding the right balance between risk-reward and win rate. • If you have a 1:1 risk-reward ratio and a 40% win rate your strategy won’t be profitable. Over 10 trades you win 4 times and lose 6 times. Since you win and lose the same amount per trade your losses will be bigger than your gains in the long run. • But with a 1:5 risk-reward ratio and the same 40% win rate your strategy becomes profitable. That’s because your winning trades make far more than you lose on your losing trades. The takeaway? There’s no such thing as a right or wrong strategy only ones that are profitable or unprofitable. The key is to find a strategy that gives you a mathematical edge over time.
FPMARKETS:US100Education
by kathrineswp
Interesting price action out of the Nasdaq 100Following the Nasdaq 100's rebound from the 50-day SMA at 23,143 on Tuesday, this has delivered two potential bullish scenarios worthy of being added to the watchlist. First is a potential double-bottom pattern at 22,958, with a neckline calling for attention at 23,741. A breakout north of the neckline sheds light on the Stock Index potentially refreshing all-time highs beyond the current record of 23,969 (13 August). Second is a possible morning star bullish candlestick pattern formed from the mentioned 50-day SMA. As a note, traders tend to attack this pattern’s structure by placing buy-stop orders above the pattern’s high (third candle in the formation) and positioning protective stop-loss orders beneath the pattern’s low. Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
TVC:NDQLong
by FPMarkets
WHY I THINK NASDAQ WOULD CONTINUE ITS BUYS Big tech is still crushing earnings, AI plays are heating up, and the semis? Still running. Every dip lately is getting bought up fast, and that tells me one thing: smart money is still in the game. We’ve got a potential rate cut on the horizon, inflation’s cooling off, and the market is pricing in more upside. Structure-wise, we’re seeing higher lows and breakouts across key levels. Unless something major shakes the market, I’m staying bullish here. Momentum, fundamentals, and sentiment are all lining up. Buyers aren’t done — not even close.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Kvngslade
1