AUDCAD - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Strong bullish momentum.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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AUDCAD trade ideas
AUD/CAD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CAD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 6H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.903 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDCAD H1AUDCAD has been bullish and been respecting the bullish structure within the ascending channel.
Price is currently pulling back to the 0.5 - 0.618 Fib which is a good buying area.
Confluences:
- Ascending Channel
- Above 50 & 200 EMA
- No Divergence formed according to RSI
- Pullback to 0.5-0.618 Fib
Bearish Butterfly on AUD/CAD (4H): Full Trade Plan & AnalysisAUD/CAD 4H — My Bearish Butterfly Breakdown
Quick summary
I found a completed Bearish Butterfly on the AUD/CAD 4‑hour chart at point D. I’m looking to short this with a low‑timeframe entry, strict stop above D, and staged profit targets based on the chart’s fib and support levels.
Why I’m shorting
The pattern geometry (XA → AB → BC → CD) completes as a classic Butterfly with D in a strong resistance/supply area.
D lines up with key Fibonacci extensions and prior structure — multiple signals = higher probability of a reversal.
Price extended into value area after a rally; I expect a corrective pullback from here.
How I’ll enter
Wait for price to reach the D zone (~0.915–0.916).
Drop to 15–60m and take a precise entry on rejection: bearish engulfing, wick rejection, or failed break and close back under D.
Entry: on confirmed low‑TF rejection in the D zone.
Stop and targets (use platform precision)
Stop: above the D / recent high — roughly above 0.9199 (give buffer per your volatility).
TP1: 0.90875 (~60 pips) — take partial profit.
TP2: 0.90450 (~108 pips).
TP3: 0.90105 (~140 pips).
TP4: 0.89760 (~176 pips) — let remaining position run if momentum holds.
Risk & trade management
Size the position so the stop equals my preset % risk.
After TP1, move stop to breakeven + small buffer and scale out at further TPs.
If price closes convincingly above D on 4H, I’ll exit — pattern invalidated.
Final note (what I’d do right now)
Be patient — We don’t chase. We’ll wait for the D completion, confirm on a low timeframe, pull the trigger with a controlled size, lock partial profits early, and let the rest run toward deeper fib support. Check economic events for AUD/CAD before entering
AUDCADAUDCAD (8H) — Technical Bias: Bullish continuation (buy-the-dip)
Structure: Clean breakout from the prior range with a strong impulse candle; price left a fair value gap (FVG) / breakout gap above the old resistance. Expect a retest into that FVG then continuation.
Momentum/Flow: Rising volume on the breakout and RSI turning up → supports trend extension rather than immediate reversal.
Liquidity/Supply: First objective is the overhead supply zone you marked; path of least resistance is up unless the breakout fails.
Trading implication (level-free):
Favor pullbacks into the FVG/previous resistance and look for a bullish reaction (HL + strong close) to join the move.
Invalidate/neutralize bias on an 8H close back inside the broken range or a loss of the breakout swing-low (failed breakout/fakeout scenario).
Optional filter: wait for lower TFs (5–15–30m) to realign bullish after the pullback for higher quality entries.
LONG AUDCAD after pro buying and a low volume testAUDCAD long after professional buying and a successful low volume test above the buying area in an up trend
Trade strategy using the Tradeguider VSA Elite software. Papertrade on Tradingview, placing the trade with real money on Activtrades (FX markets).
Checklist:
• Signal of professional buying at 05/09/2025 07:15
• Successful no demand at 08/09/2025 15:15
• Entry on a bar that closed on it’s high
• A background of strength
• Bullish trend alignment on 21, 50, 200 EMA 15 min, 20MA 4hr, 20MA daily
Management of the trade in accordance with my trading plan on 15 mins
AUDCAD longAustralian economy is in a better position than the Canadian economy. Nothing seems to be rolling for Canada.
On Monday, the BoC cut rate by 25 bps which was already priced in... no surprise there. We had some pretty dovish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem. He highlighted concerns over the softening labor market and noted that while no forward guidance was offered, the bank would assess risks over a "shorter horizon than usual." Markets left the meeting continuing to price around 20bps of further cuts by year-end.
The August CPI report reinforced the BoC's dovish case. Headline inflation printed slightly below forecast at 1.9% Y/Y (vs. 2.0% exp.)
July Retail Sales data pointed to a weakening consumer. While the headline -0.8% M/M print was in line with expectations, the core ex-autos figure fell by a larger-than-expected 1.2%.
August Housing Starts fell to 245.8k, well below the 277.5k forecast, signaling a slowdown in the housing market and adding to the picture of a cooling economy.
GDP growth surprised to a contraction of -0.1% m/m (forecast +0.1%). It was the third month in a row in contraction.
Canadian employment slumped for a second month in a row with a loss of 65.5K jobs (forecast +4.9K)
Anyways, I could go on and on. As for the Australian economy, it is pretty resilient, but we had a bad job number last week with a surprised loss of 5.4K jobs.
So here what is my thinking, We are getting into a nice pullback zone. Risk was a bit off with the strength of the USD and the US Yields. Friday, CAD was the best performing currency even after some pretty bad retail sale numbers that came out during the session. I can't figure out why the CAD pushed up, but I still have a bearish outlook on the currency.
Technically we are coming back to the top of the 4 months consolidation zone. We will have to keep an eye on market sentiment. If the USd keeps grinding higher on a ''somewhat'' hawkish Fed and some pretty good data release for the US economy, the AUD could keep pushing lower. I still expect a technical bounce from the level.
Good luck and please monitor the market sentiment... this is what will push the pair in the right direction.
Good luck
AUD/CAD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CAD pair is trading in a local uptrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going down. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 0.914 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD BIASAUDCAD has broken down from the triangle structure after consistent lower highs. Price is now testing the support zone between 0.9163 – 0.9136.
🔽 Bearish bias remains while price stays below triangle resistance.
🟨 Support zone: 0.9163 / 0.9136 – key demand area to watch for reaction.
📌 If buyers defend this zone, we could see a corrective bounce back into 0.9180+.
📌 A clean break below 0.9136 may extend bearish momentum towards 0.9100.
⚠️ For educational purposes only, not financial advice.
AUDCAD | Tetra-Timeframe Support & Resistance MapThis idea presents a Tetra-Timeframe analysis of AUDCAD, layering major support and resistance zones across the Daily, 4H, 1H, and 15M charts to provide a clear multi-structure perspective.
→ Daily (D):
Key resistance near 0.9400–0.9450, tested during prior cycle highs.
Long-term support around 0.8900–0.8600, marking structural floors.
→ 4-Hour:
Resistance emerging near 0.9180–0.9200, currently under pressure.
Supports identified at 0.9000 and 0.8850, historical demand clusters.
→ 1-Hour:
Intraday resistance near 0.9170–0.9200.
Supports mapped at 0.9100 and 0.9020–0.9050.
→ 15-minute:
Short-term resistance tight around 0.9170.
Fresh supports at 0.9130–0.9140, followed by 0.9100.
AUD/CAD H4 AnalysisPrice is in an uptrend on this time frame.
After reaching the -61.8% Fibonacci extension level of it's last bullish impulse, we have seen an Evening Star pattern form.
This may be the start of a correction and we could possibly see price back at 0.9036 which was the most recent resistance on the H4 chart.
Is a counter trend move on the cards?
AUDCAD Short OpportunityWe are overbought on several of the oscillators on the 4HR time frame. We will start with simple 50/50 TP and SL in pips.
We are going to monitor every four hours and add positions as needed, I posted a screen shot of previous trades to demonstrate the cost averaging system I typically use. We are going to use the oscillators to determine our exit, I will update as needed.
We will bump our SL as needed if we re enter with more positions, see attached picture.
0.01 lots per thousand of the account.
AUD/CAD: Watching Reaction at Lower Channel TrendlineAUDCAD has been moving inside an ascending channel, respecting both the support and resistance levels. Recently, price tested the upper resistance of the channel around 0.9030 – 0.9040 and got rejected, forming a lower high.
Currently, price is retesting the minor support zone (highlighted in grey). If this zone breaks, I expect price to continue bearish toward the channel support around 0.8970 – 0.8980.
Resistance Zone : 0.9040 – 0.9050 (Upper channel + multiple rejections)
Support Zone : 0.8970 – 0.8980 (Lower channel trendline + horizontal support)
⚠️ A break above 0.9050 would invalidate this bearish setup.
Bias : Short-term Bearish unless price breaks and closes above resistance.
AUDCAD - Bearish break of Parabolic trendlinePossible Short trade opportunities after exhaustion of a parabolic runup prior to release of Australian Balance of Trade news.
The recent bullish move with exhibits positive expectation of Australian news release tomorrow morning. Positive news could cause continuation, negative news could cause a reversal/retracement.
Raise Stop-In levels if price continues north and be prepared to cancel inactive Stop-In short orders if Australian news highly positive.
My Personal Forex Money Management System-The 4 Rules I Live ByLet's talk about something more important than any indicator: money management.
I don't care how good my strategy is; without a solid system to manage risk, I am just gambling. I've been documenting my own trading journey and wanted to share the exact four-pillar framework I use to protect my capital. This isn't theory—it's what I actually follow on every single trade.
The 4 Components of My System:
Risk Per Trade: The fixed % of my account I'm willing to lose on one idea is, for now, between 0.5% and 1%.
Total Open Risk: My cap on total exposure from all running trades, I prefer a max of 3% but giving myself the space to a maximum of 6%.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: My non-negotiable minimum filter for every setup is the golden 1:2. To tell you the truth, now when I see a trade that forces me to 1:2, I get annoyed. The trading plan that I am working on now gives me greater opportunities. Therefore, 1:2 is really my bare minimum.
Dynamic Position Sizing: How I calculate my lot size based on my stop loss.
My goal is to stay in the game as much as possible and work on the accumulation effect. This system is so simple and practical that it keeps me disciplined and stops me from blowing up an account on one bad trade or a volatile news event.
I'm curious—what's the #1 rule in your money management system? Drop a comment below. Let's learn from each other.
AUDCAD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDCAD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.902.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.899 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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