AUDCAD trade ideas
AUDCAD HIGH PROBABILITY SELLWe are at strong supply zone, Oscillators are extended and we are in a solid range. Going to start entering here. At the close of 4 hour candles we will continue to add positions on the close of each candle as needed. If we have to reenter, we will bump SL to the next resistance and we will bump up the TP in accordance for cost average.
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AUD/CAD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the AUD/CAD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 0.895 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDCAD BUY TRADE PLAN**PAIR & DATE:** AUDCAD – 29 Aug 2025
**PLAN ID:** AUDCAD-290825-L01
---
### **PLAN OVERVIEW**
* **Category:** Intra-Day / Potential Swing if breakout confirms
* **Trade Type:** Breakout-Retest Continuation (Buy)
* **Direction:** Buy
* **Confidence:** 74%
* **Min R\:R:** 1:3
* **Status:** VALID
---
### **MACRO ALIGNMENT NOTE**
✅ **WITH Trend & WITH Macro Bias** – AUD supported by firmer risk sentiment and stable commodities; CAD soft on recent oil consolidation and neutral BoC tone.
D1 structure is sideways but H4 bias is tilting bullish with higher lows forming toward key resistance.
---
### **LEVELS CARD – PRIMARY SETUP (Higher Probability)**
* **Entry:** 0.8980–0.8985 (H1 demand / breakout retest)
* **Stop Loss:** 0.8950
* **TP1:** 0.9015
* **TP2:** 0.9040
* **TP3:** 0.9070 (stretch if strong risk-on)
* **Order:** Market after confirmation (H1 engulf or strong bullish close from zone)
* **Session Preference:** London → NY overlap
---
### **ALTERNATE SETUP**
*(High-probability counter only; independently ≥70% confluence)*
* **Type:** Short from resistance sweep
* **Entry:** 0.9065–0.9075 (D1 supply / liquidity above recent highs)
* **Stop Loss:** 0.9100
* **TP1:** 0.9030
* **TP2:** 0.9005
* **Rationale:** Sweep of key highs into unmitigated D1 supply with potential pullback before next leg up.
* **Macro Alignment:** Counter Trend, Counter Macro Bias → reduced size 0.5–1% risk.
---
### **EXECUTION CHECKLIST**
1. News gate: Avoid 15m before / 30–60m after red AUD or CAD events.
2. Price taps zone in preferred session.
3. Confirmation: H1 engulf / BOS / pin rejection wick.
4. Execute defined order type.
5. TP1 partial (30–40%) → SL to BE.
6. Trail stops by structure after TP1.
7. Skip if no valid trigger.
---
### **FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS**
* **CB Bias:** RBA neutral-hawkish; BoC neutral with oil-sensitive bias.
* **Key Data (7d):** No major AUD/CAD tier-1 until next week; monitor China PMI for AUD tone.
* **Cross-Asset Sentiment:** Risk sentiment supportive; oil sideways.
* **Positioning:** COT flat for CAD; AUD marginally net-long build.
* **Macro Lean:** Mild bullish AUDCAD bias if commodities remain stable.
---
### **MARKET MAP**
* **D1/H4 Structure:** Consolidation with bullish tilt; resistance \~0.9000–0.9010.
* **Liquidity Pools:** Liquidity above 0.9010 and 0.9070; demand base 0.8980–0.8985.
* **OB/FVG:** H1 bullish OB at entry; unfilled gap aligning with 0.8980 support.
* **Play Type:** Breakout-Retest (Primary) / Sweep-Reversal (Alternate).
---
### **RISK & MONEY MANAGEMENT**
* **Risk per idea:** 1–2% (Primary), 0.5–1% (Alternate – counter nature).
* **Min R\:R:** 1:3.
* **Spread Filter:** ≤1.5× typical London/NY.
---
### **CONFIDENCE (ONE SENTENCE)**
74% — Primary long aligns with macro and intraday structure, targeting breakout continuation; alternate short only on overextension into major D1 supply with reversal confirmation.
---
### **FINAL EXECUTION STRATEGY / PERSONAL NOTE**
* **Primary:** Zone is fresh, first touch pending; will buy only with H1 engulf from 0.8980–0.8985.
* **Alternate:** Zone is fresh; only execute short if liquidity sweep + BOS at 0.9065–0.9075.
* **HTF Context:** Resistance/congestion likely above 0.9065; manage TP2 tightly if momentum slows before breakout.
* **Stay flat** if price stalls mid-range or invalidates levels.
AUDCAD signs of rejection from the upper resistance zoneAUDCAD is currently showing signs of rejection from the upper resistance zone, indicating strong sell pressure in that area. This marks the fifth time price has tested this zone, and the repeated rejections suggest that sellers are regaining control.
While AUDCAD remains in a tricky consolidation spot, the failure to break above resistance reinforces the bearish bias. If momentum continues to favour the downside, the next key support level lies around 0.89200.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of luck.
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AUDCAD Rejected Again: Sellers Defend 0.8990AUDCAD Rejected Again: Sellers Defend 0.8990
AUDCAD has faced repeated rejections near the 0.8990 level, confirming strong selling pressure in that zone.
Today, the price was pushed down nearly 40 pips, after AUDCAD tested for the 5th time the same zone, showing that sellers are taking the price control.
This setup suggests growing momentum for a deeper drop.
While AUDCAD remains in a tricky spot, the downside targets at 0.8945, 0.8930, and 0.8915 are now well within reach.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
AUDCAD: Long Trade Explained
AUDCAD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy AUDCAD
Entry - 0.8960
Stop - 0.8954
Take - 0.8974
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Buy For AUDCADShort term bullishness due to fundamentals driving aussie higher, while at the same time we have statements from the U.S. fed hinting at rate cuts which will influence the US dollar, in turn putting pressure on oil which is heavily correlated with the CAD. Trade smart, Trade safe, Trade Drippy!
AUDCAD – 2618 Trading Strategy + 3-Bar Reversal ConfirmationThis setup is a textbook example of the 2618 trading strategy combined with a strict 3-Bar Reversal trigger for entry.
First leg: Market breaks structure, taking out prior lows.
Retracement: Price retraces back into the 61.8% Fibonacci level.
Confirmation: A 3-Bar Reversal forms, providing the entry signal.
Entry: Short position placed at confirmation of the 3-Bar setup.
Stops: Positioned above the retracement highs to protect against invalidation.
Targets: Measured at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension of the swing for optimal risk-to-reward.
📊 Why This Matters:
The 2618 strategy by itself is powerful, but pairing it with a confirmation pattern like the 3-Bar Reversal increases probability and filters out weak signals. This combination creates a disciplined, rules-based approach to trading that’s repeatable and consistent.
⚡ High-probability setup. Textbook execution. Risk defined. Reward targeted.
Bullish reversal?AUD/CAD is falling towards the support level, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.89432
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.88932
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit: 0.90160
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing high resistance.
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AUDCAD Will Fall! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDCAD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 0.897.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 0.890 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDCAD At Make-or-Break Zone – Time to Ride the Bulls?AUDCAD has been overall bullish trading within this rising channel 📈
Right now, price is retesting the lower bound acting as support 🔑
As long as this zone holds, I’ll be looking for longs targeting the upper bound 🎯
Patience is key here ⏳ — let the bulls step in, then ride the next impulse 🚀
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.