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AUDCAD trade ideas

#AN020: US Tariffs, Euro Weakness, USD Strength, Forex at Risk? 1. New US Tariff Threats Against the EU and Canada Over the weekend, President Trump announced the sending of formal letters introducing new tariffs: 35% on Canadian goods and potential tariffs for the EU as well (15-20%). Context: The return of protectionism fuels uncertainty. Market Impact: Shift to safe-haven currencies — the US dollar gains ground, while EUR/USD and USD/CAD remain under pressure. 2. EUR/USD Below 1.1700 The EUR/USD pair closed the week below 1.1700, failing to recover. 3. GBP/USD Loses Ground The GBP/USD pair fell below 1.3500, hitting a three-week low. Factors: Disappointing UK GDP data + stronger USD. Impact: Pressure on the pound, possible continuation of the downtrend to 1.3420 unless better data emerges. 4. USD/JPY near 147.50 The dollar reached new two-week highs against the yen, hitting 147.50. Causes: Risk flight and reduced expectations for BoJ intervention. Outlook: If global sentiment remains adverse, USD/JPY could head towards 148.00. 5. Gold and safe-haven assets recover Trade uncertainty is supporting gold, which has risen to near $3,360/ounce. Outlook: Volatility and preference for the USD and JPY are increasing; gold will act as a sentinel of fear in the markets. 🔍 Summary of Impacts on Forex Markets EUR/USD Weaker: Push toward 1.1600 due to trade concerns and USD strength GBP/USD Down: UK data pressured + risk aversion USD/JPY Rising: USD refuge and possible break above 148 USD/CAD Volatile: Canadian tariffs penalize CAD, but oil prices and BoC reactions to monitor Gold & XM Gold strengthens, signaling risk, USD support; JPY and USD benefit
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
2
Lingrid | AUDCAD Shoring Opportunity at Monthly HighThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . FX:AUDCAD surged through the previous resistance and is now testing the 0.9045–0.9050 zone, where both a horizontal supply and red descending trendline converge. This area is a critical junction, and current price action shows early hesitation with a potential rounding top formation. A deeper pullback is possible if buyers fail to break above this resistance convincingly, with downside targets near prior breakout levels. The broader uptrend remains intact, but short-term correction risks are rising from this confluence zone. 📉 Key Levels Sell trigger: confirmed rejection below 0.9050 with bearish engulfing or wick exhaustion Sell zone: 0.9025–0.9050 (key resistance + trendline) Target: 0.8960 initially, with deeper extension to 0.8822 Invalidation: clean hourly close above 0.9060 signals continuation of uptrend 💡 Risks Minor support near 0.9000 could stall decline Stronger-than-expected AUD data could lift price through resistance False breakout wicks above 0.9050 might trap early sellers If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
8
AUDCAD – Bearish Rejection at Key Resistance ZoneAUDCAD is showing signs of weakness near the 0.8980 supply zone after an extended rally. The pair is now reacting to a historically respected resistance area, with bearish momentum building as exhaustion sets in. 🔍 Technical Outlook: ✅ Price rejected at multi-touch resistance around 0.8980 📐 Clean bearish structure forming after wedge-like exhaustion 📉 Expecting a move down toward: TP1: 0.89365 – recent minor structure TP2: 0.89080 – key demand zone from early July TP3: 0.88654 – full measured target from range 📛 Invalidation above: 0.8985 🌍 Fundamental Breakdown: 🇦🇺 Australia: 📉 Softening inflation and retail sales 🏦 RBA cautious with limited appetite for further hikes 🇨🇳 Weak Chinese demand adds pressure on AUD 🇨🇦 Canada: 💪 Supported by rising oil prices and solid employment data 🏦 BoC remains vigilant on inflation, though on hold 🛢️ Strong WTI prices continue to support CAD ⚠️ Risks to the Bearish View: ⚡ Unexpectedly strong China data could boost AUD 📉 Sudden drop in oil prices would hurt CAD 🗣️ Surprise hawkish shift from RBA 🔗 Correlation & Flow: AUDCAD is a lagging asset, heavily influenced by WTI crude (boosting CAD) and China-linked risk flows (affecting AUD). Keep an eye on AUDUSD and USDCAD for early signals. 📆 Upcoming Key Events: 🇦🇺 RBA Minutes, Jobs Data, Wages Index 🇨🇦 BoC Business Outlook, CPI Print 🛢️ US Oil Inventories (affects CAD) 🧭 Summary: 🔻 Bias: Bearish 📊 Drivers: Oil strength, RBA caution, CAD resilience ⚠️ Risk: China rebound or oil correction 🕵️ Watch: Canadian CPI + Australian jobs data 📉 Likely to Follow: Oil and AUDUSD/USDCAD macro trends
Short
by ultreosforex
9
AUDCAD Eyes Key Resistance: Will It Break or Bounce?AUDCAD Eyes Key Resistance: Will It Break or Bounce? AUDCAD is approaching a significant resistance zone near 0.8980—the same level that capped price action in early July. While the pair is showing signs of hesitation with small candles, this indecision may be tied to broader market uncertainty, including renewed concerns over Trump-era tariffs. If we monitor for potential reversal signals around this level, it could present a solid trading opportunity. 🎯 My targets: 0.8930; 0.8905 ; 0.8870 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
6
AUDCAD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25AUDCAD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
BUY AUDCAD now for a four hour time frame bullish trend continuBUY AUDCAD now for a four hour time frame bullish trend continuation ............... STOP LOSS: 0.8907 This buy trade setup is based on hidden bullish divergence trend continuation trading pattern ... Always remember, the trend is your friend, so whenever you can get a signal that the trend will continue, then good for you to be part of it TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything... Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with... trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
Long
by BALE_FX
AUDCAD 15min ICT 1:2 bullish trade 1. Daily • Sell-side liquidity swept below previous low. • Price bounced from a bullish order block. • Bias: Bullish, targeting draw on liquidity above. 2. 4H • Bullish FVG respected. • Break of structure (BOS) to upside. • Retracement into OB + FVG → continuation expected. 3. 1H • Strong displacement candle. • Price returned to 1H FVG + OB. • MSS confirms shift in bullish momentum. 15M • Liquidity sweep + market structure shift. • Entry on return to OB or FVG. • Target: Equal highs / 4HR.
Long
by Dlongoria90
short setup on AUD/CAD🧠 Market Sentiment by Timeframe Weekly (W): Bearish Daily (D): Bullish 12H, 6H, 4H: Bearish Bias: Short-term continuation to the downside after retest of supply/imbalance. 🔍 Technical Breakdown 🔴 1. Structure & Momentum Price broke down from previous 4H support (~0.88900–0.89000) creating a lower low. A bearish BOS confirms momentum shift. Price is now consolidating below the 200 EMA and 50 EMA → indicating bearish pressure. 🟥 2. Weekly AOI / Supply Zone Red box above (0.89058–0.89307) marks Weekly AOI (Supply). It represents a strong resistance area where price previously sold off. Expected lower high (LH) to form at the retest of this supply. 🟦 3. Trade Plan Entry Zone: Anticipated pullback into 0.88922–0.89058 (Daily AOI + 200 EMA resistance). Stop Loss: Above the Weekly AOI at ~0.89307. Take Profit (TP): Toward the Daily AOI around 0.88000–0.87999, a previous demand zone. RR: Over 2:1 potential, depending on exact entry. 🔵 4. EMA Dynamics Price currently sits below both the 50 EMA (blue) and 200 EMA (red), confirming bearish alignment. EMAs act as dynamic resistance zones, giving confluence to the short. 📉 Bearish Confluences Bearish market structure on 4H, 6H, 12H. EMA crossover and rejection. Weekly AOI = major supply. Daily AOI just rejected. Anticipated lower high to form before continuation. ✅ Summary of Setup Type: Counter-trend against Daily bullish bias, with HTF bearish confirmation. Setup: Pullback → rejection → short continuation. Target: Clean sweep of liquidity near 0.8800 Daily AOI.
Short
by andreabiondo13
AUDCAD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear subscribers, AUDCAD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 0.8881 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 0.8927 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
AUDCAD – Bearish Setup Following Retracement to Key ResistanceWelcome to Velatrix Capital. Below is a live market opportunity identified by our internal trading desk. This is not financial advice. It’s a data-backed, logic-driven trading edge. Use it with discipline — or don’t use it at all. 🧠 Technical Outlook AUDCAD is currently showing bullish momentum on the lower timeframes, approaching a key resistance zone between 0.89057 – 0.89272. Our trading desk expects price to reach this supply zone and then present a short-selling opportunity with favorable risk/reward potential. We advise waiting patiently for the price to enter this key range before initiating any short trades. Trade Parameters: • Timeframe: 1H • Direction: Sell • Entry Zone: 0.89272 – 0.89057 • Stop Loss (SL): 0.89386 • Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.88458 • Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.87954 • Risk/Reward (R/R): 1:2 / 1:4.80 Note: Setup is invalidated if price breaks and closes above 0.89386. 🔔 Follow Us This is just the surface. For more setups, clean breakdowns, and performance-driven content: 📌 Follow, engage, and stay sharp. Our edge is real — and it’s public. We don’t chase hype. We build edge.
Short
by Velatrix_Capital