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AVAX Perpetual Futures Contract

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AVAXUSD.P trade ideas

$AVAXUSD: Price Memory🏛️ Research Notes Financial markets as complex adaptive systems that spontaneously organize themselves into critical, chaotic, or ordered states. In this idea I'd like to focus on price memory - concept that the market's current and future price movements are influenced by its own history, rather than being completely random. The EMH argues that prices are a random walk, with no "memory" of the past. My research based on the FMH, explicitly rejects this notion. The very presence of fractal patterns (earlier works) is evidence that price changes are not independent of one another and that the market has a geometric memory of its own behavior . Let's cut to the chase Object of observation: LT Compression I'm concerned with the properties of price dynamics that are preserved under continuous deformation, which allows to validate structure. Extending the structure to uncover to which extent these recurring processes unfold in respect to historic measurements. (Made the gradient of breakout texture with neutral colors so it's not mistaken with me providing signals)
COINBASE:AVAXUSD
by fract
4
Avalanche (AVAX) is currently testing critical support at the $1Avalanche (AVAX) is currently testing critical support at the $15.50 level, which has held as a psychological and technical barrier since May 2023. The price has been trading below both the 50-day ($27.80) and 200-day ($29.20) moving averages, indicating sustained bearish pressure. Volume profile shows diminished activity during recent sell-offs, suggesting potential exhaustion rather than enthusiastic selling. The daily RSI sits at 36, approaching oversold territory but not yet exhibiting clear bullish divergence. The MACD indicator remains below its signal line, though the histogram shows signs of convergence, hinting at weakening downward momentum. Immediate resistance awaits at $27.80 (50-day MA), with stronger resistance at the $30.20 Fibonacci retracement level. AVAX's ecosystem growth continues with steady institutional adoption, particularly in tokenized assets and subnet deployments. However, these fundamentals have failed to counter broader market sentiment. A decisive break below $25.50 could trigger accelerated selling toward the next significant support at $22.80. Conversely, a reclaim of the $27.80 level might signal near-term bottom formation. Traders should monitor Bitcoin's movement for directional cues, as AVAX maintains a 0.78 correlation with BTC over the past 30 days.
OKX:AVAXUSD
by trade1638
Will Avalanche (AVAX/USD) Steal the Spotlight in This Rally?💎 AVAX/USD | AVALANCHE vs US DOLLAR | Money Looting Plan 🎯 📌 Trade Bias: Bullish Swing / Day Trade Hey Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — here’s the latest plan on AVAX/USD where we use the classic Thief Layer Strategy (multi-limit layering style). Thief Strategy Plan Entry Zone (Layering Style): Multiple buy-limit layers around: 23.70 | 24.00 | 24.30 | 24.60 (You can increase or adjust layers based on your own setup) Stop Loss (SL): ⛔️ This is the Thief SL @ 23.00 (Adjust SL depending on your risk appetite & strategy — this is not financial advice) Target (TP): 🎯 Police barricade spotted — escape with the loot before getting caught! Target Zone: 26.30 (Take profit at your own discretion, secure profits when satisfied) 📊 AVAX/USD Real-Time Data September 03 📈 24h Change: +2.67% 💰 Market Cap: ~$10.4B 🔄 24h Volume: ~$750M 🔗 Circulating Supply: 422M AVAX 😰 Fear & Greed Index 📊 Current Sentiment: Greed (60/100) 🔄 Trend: Stable (60 yesterday, 60 over past week) 💡 Interpretation: Investors are optimistic but not euphoric 🏛️ Fundamental & Macro Score ✅ Bullish Drivers Octane Upgrade → Reduced fees by 43%, boosting adoption Enterprise Adoption → FIFA NFTs & VanEck’s $100M RWA fund Transaction Growth → Daily transactions up 66% weekly Staking Demand → 48–53% supply locked, reducing circulation ❌ Bearish Risks ETF Uncertainty → SEC decision still pending (volatility risk) Staking Yields → Lower APY (1.2% flexible) vs competitors Bitcoin Dominance → 57.8% limiting altcoin rallies 🌍 Overall Market Outlook ⚖️ Bull/Bear Score: 70% Bullish / 30% Bearish 🏦 Institutional Sentiment: Positive (ETF filings, RWA partnerships) 👥 Retail Sentiment: Cautiously optimistic (Greed Index at 60) 🎯 Summary 🔹 Short-Term: Bullish momentum 🔹 Medium-Term: Dependent on ETF decisions & subnet adoption 🔹 Risk Level: Moderate (watch Bitcoin dominance & macro trends) 🔎 Related Pairs to Watch BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:ETHUSD COINBASE:SOLUSD COINBASE:LINKUSD BITSTAMP:XRPUSD ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #AVAX #Crypto #Altcoins #DayTrading #SwingTrade #LayeringStrategy #AVAXUSD #BullishSetup #CryptoTrading #ThiefTrader
COINBASE:AVAXUSDLong
by The-Thief
Avalanche: Poised for BreakoutFor Avalanche’s AVAX, we primarily expect the ongoing orange wave iii to break out to the upside from our magenta Target Zone ($13.31–$24.42). Afterward, the altcoin should clear the resistance levels at $26.83 and $49.95. Our alternative scenario remains unchanged: there is a 29% probability that a new low of turquoise wave alt.2 could occur below the $14.65 support – but still within the Target Zone – before the anticipated upward move. However, we primarily consider the “regular” turquoise wave 2 as already complete.
BINANCE:AVAXUSD
by MarketIntel
AVAX $300+ This CycleAvalanche is killing it and has been ever since it was created. Here is the bullish news just from this week: - BlackRock's BUIDL and VanEcks RWA fund drive institutional support for the Avalanche ecosystem - Avalanche launched a bridge for smart contracts with Filecoin - Avalanche integrated 250M in RWAs and joined Visas settlement network - Visa uses avalanche for direct USDC transfers This chart shows the measured move from the top of last cycle to the bottom and is depended on us reaching and breaking through $65 from this years top and $150 from 2021 top.
BINANCE:AVAXUSDLong
by SnyyperT
back to $30 - AVAX weekly update August 8 - 14thAvalanche (AVAX) is currently unfolding a highly impulsive Elliott Wave structure across multiple timeframes. According to the updated wave count, the market is in the early stages of Primary Wave 3, which contains Intermediate Wave 3, Minor Wave 3, and we are now completing Minute Wave , a shallow pullback expected to bottom between $22.00–$22.62 (0.618–0.764 retracement zone). Once Wave is complete, AVAX is expected to launch into Wave , with Fibonacci extensions pointing toward the $25.8–$28.0 region. This would be followed by a brief Wave correction and a final push into Wave of 3, with projected targets around $29.8–$33.0. The fact that all these third waves across different degrees align at the same time sets the stage for a powerful and potentially explosive rally. From a sentiment and positioning standpoint, the environment supports this bullish scenario. Funding rates are positive, and open interest is rising, indicating growing market participation on the long side. However, the liquidity heatmap still shows significant liquidity resting below current price, which opens the door for a brief liquidity sweep — especially if retail traders become overly aggressive during early stages of the move. This setup also aligns with macroeconomic expectations. The market is increasingly front-running a potential rate cut at the upcoming September FOMC meeting, with the CME FedWatch Tool currently pricing in a 89.4% probability. This is injecting optimism into risk markets — including crypto — and may explain the emerging wave of retail positioning. That said, if leverage builds up too fast, a classic "sell-the-news" scenario or long liquidation event could briefly disrupt the trend. But structurally, AVAX appears to be well-positioned, especially as institutional footprints in the form of order blocks near Wave (2) lows suggest smart money already entered — with retail now providing the momentum fuel. As long as the current support zone holds, AVAX could be on track for a multi-leg breakout that extends well into the $30+ region — driven by technical structure, liquidity positioning, and macroeconomic catalysts converging at once.
BINANCE:AVAXUSDLong
by Phillipklh
AVAX/USD – Coiled at the BarrierAvalanche made an attempt above the 200 SMA near $22.10, but failed to punch through the key $22.35–$22.40 resistance. Price is now coiling beneath resistance, with RSI drifting just above 50, suggesting indecision. Until bulls crack that level and hold above, it’s a stall zone with fakeouts likely. 🔴 SHORT bias below $22.35 — this area is acting as a supply ceiling. 🟢 Flip $22.40+, and buyers may accelerate toward $22.80. 📊 Keywords: #AVAXUSD #RangeTest #RSINeutral #SMAClash #BreakoutTrap #BearFade #LiquidityZone
CRYPTO:AVAXUSDShort
by tomas_jntx
AVAX Bull Run Loading!AVAX is showing signs of a strong bullish setup on the weekly chart, forming a double bottom pattern right at the lower support trendline of a long-term symmetrical triangle. This technical formation often indicates a potential trend reversal when confirmed with breakout and volume support. Key Points: -Double Bottom Support around $12–$14 with bullish momentum. -Symmetrical Triangle structure compressing price for breakout. -Breakout Zone near $27, a close above this level may trigger strong upside. -Upside Target: Short-term Target- $45; Long Term Target - $125 Invalidation: A Break below $15 support could negate the setup. Cheers Hexa CRYPTOCAP:AVAX BINANCE:AVAXUSDT
CRYPTO:AVAXUSDLong
by HexaTrades
1
AVAX Just Broke Out — Now Comes the Real TestAvalanche ripped through key resistance around $20.50, tapping into fresh highs before pulling back. Price is now hovering just above the breakout zone, which has now flipped into potential support. This is the classic retest scenario — either bulls hold the line and reload for a move toward $25–$27, or we fall back into the range. Stoch RSI is mid-range, giving room for either direction. But the structure is clean: breakout → retest → decision. If $20 holds, it’s game on. If it fails, look toward $18.00 again. The chart’s telling a story — now we see how it ends.
COINBASE:AVAXUSD
by Quant_Trading_Pro