Trade ideas
Avalanche ETF Buzz + Breakout Setup — What’s Next?Avalanche has been quietly working on one of the cleanest Wyckoff accumulation structures we’ve seen across majors this year. For more than six months, essentially from late February until mid-August, the price rotated in a broad range, chewing through supply and frustrating impatient longs.
From a Wyckoff perspective, we had an extended accumulation phase of ~180 days , clear higher lows forming into the summer, and a decisive show of strength in early September.
With supply finally cleared at the top of the range, it has given us a clean breakout that suggests it’s ready to reprice higher into Q4 .
🔥 Zooming Into the 4H
On the 4H, the price action since the breakout shows a textbook sequence : an impulsive expansion leg higher, followed by a pause for balance.
The initial leg in early September was initiative buying, pushing CRYPTOCAP:AVAX from ~$25 to $30. Since then, we’ve been consolidating in a relatively tight box between $28–31 , establishing a new base of value.
The point of control ( POC ) for this entire impulse sits right around $28 . That’s the key balance point where both buyers and sellers agreed on fair value during the expansion. As long as AVAX holds above that POC, the path of least resistance remains up .
Acceptance above $28 tells me the market is comfortable repricing higher, and responsive buyers are ready to defend pullbacks into that zone.
The other level to watch is the untested demand zone at $26–27 . This was the origin for the impulsive move, and it hasn’t been revisited yet. If we do pull back, that’s where I expect responsive flows to step in.
In other words, dips into $26–27 are likely to find buyers with conviction. For active traders, that’s a clean area to structure risk: defined demand zone, clear invalidation below $25, and upside targets much higher.
🔥 Catalysts
The technicals aren’t the only thing working in AVAX’s favor. There are also some fundamental tailwinds. This week, news broke of Avalanche’s partnership with Kalshi , a growing prediction markets platform.
More importantly, Bitwise filed an S-1 with the SEC for a Spot Avalanche ETF . It’s still early in the process, but the filing itself is a meaningful step. Even if approval takes time, the headline alone positions AVAX as one of the few assets outside Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana that could potentially get mainstream ETF access.
What’s your read on this move? Do you see CRYPTOCAP:AVAX sustaining this breakout, or is it setting up for a deeper pullback?
——————x——————x——————x——————x——————x——————x——————
⚠️ Disclaimer: Crypto products, NFTs, Memecoins are unregulated and can be highly risky. There may be NO regulatory recourse for any losses arising from such transactions.
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and speculative — you may lose part or ALL of your investment. I am NOT liable for your losses.
Please do NOT copy my trades. Always consult YOUR financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Or at the very least, consult your cat. 🐱
AVAX/USDTAVAX is currently consolidating, and I’m keeping an eye on a potential correction into the 25–28 range.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Preferred):
If price taps into one of the highlighted zones (25–28), I’ll look for confirmation signals to enter long.
Target zones to the upside: 35–45.
⚠️ Alternative Scenario:
Price may continue its rally directly toward 35–45 without a deep correction.
✅ Plan: Wait for confirmation before taking any long positions.
AVAX 8H – Bull Flag Consolidation, Eyeing $36.18 HighsAVAX is consolidating in a bull flag formation after a strong impulsive rally. This continuation pattern suggests buyers may be preparing for another leg higher.
Upside:
A breakout from the flag targets $36.18, the recent 4H highs, with potential to extend further if momentum stays strong.
Trend remains bullish above $27, with EMAs supporting the move.
Downside:
A breakdown from the flag would shift focus to retracement levels: $26.97 (0.5 Fib), $26.25 (0.618 Fib), and $25.22 (0.786 Fib).
Deeper correction into the major demand zone ($22–23) would still preserve the larger bullish structure.
📊 Flag resolution will dictate the next major AVAX swing — keep watch on breakout confirmation.
AVAXUSDT → Distribution of 8-month accumulationBINANCE:AVAXUSDT is testing the resistance of an 8-month consolidation. The market is showing positive signs that may indicate a possible rally...
Bitcoin looks positive. If the flagship can overcome the upcoming 113K mark, BTC's growth could support altcoins, including Avalanche.
AVAX has been consolidating for 8 months, and in the last few weeks, we have seen a directed movement towards strong resistance. Another retest led to a breakout, and if the bulls hold their defense above 25.9 - 26.5, a fairly active phase of realization towards 30.6 may begin.
Resistance levels: 26.550
Support levels: 25.97, 24.88
I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the local support and liquidity zone, but a return to the zone of interest (above 25.97 - 26.55) and consolidation above the specified border could provoke a distribution towards 30.0 - 45.0.
Best regards, R. Linda!
AVAX Price Hits 7-Month High, Seeks $1 Billion for Crypto FirmsAt the time of writing, AVAX is trading at $29.00 after rising 11.3% in a single day. The surge pushed the token to a 7-month high, though it is currently facing resistance at $30.00.
If investor enthusiasm holds, Avalanche could flip the $30.00 resistance into support, enabling a move toward $31.15 or higher. Sustained inflows and stronger correlation with Bitcoin would reinforce this bullish trajectory.
However, risks remain. If investors begin booking profits at current levels, AVAX could lose momentum. A dip to the $27.00 support or even further to $25.86 would erase much of the recent rally and invalidate the bullish thesis in the short term.
AVAX: The Calm Before the Squeeze StormContext: Price has been retracing most of the move since the impulsive leg from Fri 22nd. I think AVAX is setting up for something big.
Perp Futures (1H)
Aggregated OI – COIN-margined: trending up heavily
Aggregated OI – Stablecoin-margined: trending down
What this means:
This divergence leans bullish. Rising coin-margined OI suggests risk-on players/strong hands are accumulating (often opening longs collateralized in AVAX). Falling stablecoin-margined OI points to retail de-risking/closing, so the drop isn’t accompanied by growing short interest. That’s a classic bottoming / squeeze setup if momentum flips.
Entry Zone (confluence)
Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65) from A→B as the base of the zone.
Confluence with the HTF Anchored VWAP (AVWAP) and the lower band of the LTF AVWAP (I kept only the HTF band on the chart for clarity).
We also have a LVN / Single Print at ~$30.
The trend-based Fib extension puts the projection needing a retrace to ~$22.80 for the math to line up—this is also the LTF 0.886 and completes a local harmonic.
Net: A lot of math + structure confluence at the blue box.
Entry Strategy
High chance we get a Swing Fail / stop-run into the lower edge of the band.
My entry = reclaim of the green line inside the blue box after the sweep (confirmation).
Could it go without the sweep? Yes—but I prefer the sweep to print divergence (RSI/CVD) before triggering.
Targets
Scale out on the way up: 0.618 → 1.0 → 1.272 → 1.618. The 1.618 aligns precisely with the $30 single print, so that’s a key take-profit / reaction level.
Invalidation
Structure: Idea is invalid on acceptance below the blue box. For me that’s a 1H close below ~$22.80 and failure to reclaim on the next candle.
Hard stop: below the sweep low of the blue box (give room for a wick; if we accept below, I’m out).
Flow tell: If coin-margined OI rolls over while stablecoin-margined OI rises (risk-off flip) into the drop, I stand aside.
If invalidated, watch the next magnets (downside 2.0/2.618 extensions or the next LVN).
Note: Losing these key levels can trigger a liquidation cascade—coin-margined longs are extra sensitive when price drops (collateral + position). Manage risk accordingly.
That’s my plan: Blue-box reclaim → ride the squeeze into $30 SP (1.618) with staged profits and tight invalidation below the box.
AVAX T1 Incoming!
Bullish reversal confirmed from long-term support zone 🔥
Breakout from descending structure + clean higher low ➡️ momentum shift is ON 📈
Now pushing toward the first major resistance level 👀
🎯 Targets Ahead:
• $31.15 (T1 — loading...)
• $38.70
• $47.94
Time to pay attention! AVAX heating up 🔥
AVAX W-Pattern Alert: 50% Upside Potential !Hello Traders 🐺
In this idea, I want to give you a trade setup for AVAX, which in my opinion is one of the best coins out there. Also, this W pattern looks very healthy, so let’s dive into it:
As I previously talked about the macro view of AVAX and the massive triangle where price is unfolding and accumulating energy for the breakout, today I want to give you a quick update about what is actually tradeable right now.
As you might know, the W pattern is one of the most tradable patterns out there. When price breaks above the neckline and closes above it, by using Fibonacci tools we can measure the price target of the pattern. Most of the time, the 1.618 ratio gives us a target — in this case, around 50% gain!
Make sure to act accordingly.
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Avax/Usdt Trading SetupAVAX Possible Price action in coming days or weeks
We can see CRYPTOCAP:AVAX ETF soon too Avax Usdt Pai
Trading Setup:
Leverage: Max 2x/3x
Entry: 25$, 26$ 27$
Stop loss: 23$
Take profit: 30$ 34$ 39$ 46$ 52$
If we look into the chart is clearly showing strength RSI indicator is showing bullish trend and weekly timefarm is showing breakout the uper resistance 27$ till if avax stay above 24$ in coming weeks the break out will play out and all are aliened with fib levels as well also the rang size is confirming the first 3 TP targets 30, 34, 39
How to trade:
Get in with small amount and 2x or 3x leveraged setup your stop loss at 23$ if avax is giving you opportunity 24$ 25$ entry increase you position 🚀
Thank You
Lingrid | AVAXUSDT Upside Momentum Building. Potential SurgeBINANCE:AVAXUSDT is trending inside a well-defined upward channel, supported by higher lows and a clean breakout above the 25.50 level. The market structure shows consolidation breaks and triangle formations resolving higher, signaling continuation of bullish pressure. Current momentum suggests buyers could drive price toward the 28.30 resistance zone if the upward trendline continues to hold. Any retest of 25.60 is likely to act as a springboard for further gains within the channel. The overall setup reflects sustained bullish sentiment aiming for higher levels.
💡 Risks:
A breakdown below 25.00 could trap buyers and send price back toward 22.00 support.
Regulatory headlines targeting crypto markets may trigger sudden volatility and selling pressure.
Sharp declines in Bitcoin or Ethereum could weigh on broader altcoin sentiment and stall AVAX’s uptrend.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
AVAX is Winding Up for a Monster MoveAVAX has been trading inside a large wedge pattern, where price is getting squeezed between a key descending resistance line on the top and a key ascending support line on the bottom. Every touch on these trendlines has triggered strong reactions, showing how important they are for market participants.
Right now, AVAX is holding above its ascending support, which has acted as a solid foundation multiple times in the past. If price manages to push higher and break above the descending resistance, it could unlock strong upside momentum and shift sentiment more bullish. On the other hand, if it fails to sustain this support, we could see another retest of the lower zone before any major move.
Overall, the structure is tightening, and a big breakout looks closer with each passing week.
#PEACE
Follow for more updates like this
THANKS
Avalanche (AVAX): Expecting Strong Breakout | 2 CME GapsBINGX:AVAXUSDT.P is pressing right against local resistance, where we’ve seen multiple rejections in the past weeks. This zone remains the key level to break before momentum can really pick up.
As long as buyers keep building pressure here, we’re watching closely for a clean breakout. A successful push through this resistance opens the path toward the bullish CME gaps sitting higher, with targets around $34 and $42.
Swallow Academy
Avalanche (AVAX): Signs of Upcoming Bullish MovementWe noticed a similar pattern, where each time after liquidity hunting near a local support area, we were entering into the next buyside movement, which might indicate that we are about to enter another one pretty soon.
We are looking for upward movement from this region, which would lead the RSI into overbought zones, giving us from there then an opportunity to short, but meanwhile we are longing!
Swallow Academy
AVAX 1D Trendline Support + Golden Pocket, Liquidity Above 26.80Avalanche is consolidating just above trendline support while holding the golden pocket retracement between 23.7 and 23.0. Momentum on the Stoch RSI is starting to curl up, signaling a potential bounce setup.
If buyers defend this level, price could aim for the 26.8 liquidity zone. A breakdown below 23 would expose the deeper 22.0 retracement, with major liquidity sitting at 15.6.
This is a critical level where structure and momentum align for the next move.
AVAX Ready for Breakout After NFP Shock?Avalanche (AVAX) is holding key support and showing signs of strength after today’s NFP report came in much weaker than expected. That release sparked volatility across risk assets, and with Bitcoin leaning bullish, AVAX could be setting up for its next leg higher. In this video, I break down both the daily and 4-hour charts to map out the critical levels you need to watch.
From $22 support to resistance levels at $26.2, $27.1, and $30.6, the structure remains constructive as long as AVAX holds above its floor. A decisive breakout opens the path toward $39 and potentially $48 in the medium term. Join me as I explain the bullish roadmap, the downside risks, and how this all connects back to Bitcoin’s momentum after NFP.