AMD.B trade ideas
AMD stock up over 20% off the lows- outperform NVidia?AMD is still cheap relative to its growth and still way down from all time highs.
Seeking alpha analysts expect 25-30% annual growth in earnings yearly. The stock is still in the low 20s PE. Stock can double and still be a good business worth owning for the long term and let compounding earnings work.
Low rsi and bollinger bands gave us the signal to buy, we bought with leverage, now we are in the shares unlevered.
Target would be all time highs over the next 2-3 years.
AMD LongOn the AMD 15-minute chart, the broader market structure has shifted from a recent downtrend, marked by a Lower High (LH) and Lower Low (LL) sequence, into a potential reversal phase. This transition was confirmed by a Change of Character (CHoCH) at 177.98, breaking above the prior LH. That move signals that sellers have lost some control, and buyers may now be positioning for a continuation upward if they can defend nearby support.
The nearest demand zone lies between 171.00–172.00, where buyers previously stepped in with strength, creating a sharp bounce. This makes it a strong short-term support area. Above, supply is positioned at 174.50–176.00, where price previously stalled and dropped, indicating active sellers. A more significant supply cap remains at 179.00–181.00, which caused a major rejection earlier in the month and stands as a strong resistance zone.
Within the marked region, price is hovering just above the 171s demand after failing to push through the mid-supply area. The current price action suggests a likely shallow pullback into the 171.50–172.00 demand to absorb liquidity before attempting another push toward the 176.00–178.00 range.
Trade bias: Bullish
Expected direction: Higher after a pullback into demand
Invalidation level: A close below 171.00 would weaken the bullish case and open the door for a deeper drop toward 168.00
Momentum condition: Slightly favors buyers, with higher lows forming despite supply pressure
Candle behavior: Short-bodied consolidation candles above demand, indicating absorption rather than aggressive selling
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock AnalysisAdvanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Analysis
AMD, listed on NASDAQ, has generally been on an upward trend. However, last week, the stock experienced a brief flash downturn, dropping to around the $157 level.
Since then, it has recovered and is currently trading at approximately $172 per share.
Outlook:
I remain bullish on AMD and anticipate a potential move toward the $200 level, with a longer-term target around its all-time high near $226.
For my entry strategy, I have added positions at different levels, with an initial entry around $160 and another at the current level.
This gives me a total of three buy entries, positioning for a mid- to long-term hold.
Let’s see how it unfolds! If you have any insights or thoughts, please share them in the comments. I’d love to connect with you. Don’t forget to follow, share, and subscribe. Thank you.
AMD about to Burst?I've been trading calls on AMD for 3 months now and have made over $45k in profit. This is my latest chart to help others gain insight into what I'm seeing. Make sure you do your own research and any news about Tariffs or rates could easily change this outlook. Always to your own research.
AMD Setup – Bullish Channel with Rocket Targets
Ticker: NASDAQ:AMD (Advanced Micro Devices)
Timeframe: 4H
Current Price: $129.40
Outlook: Bullish within ascending channel
🧠 Idea Summary:
AMD is trading within a well-respected ascending channel, and after a brief pullback, price is rebounding off the lower trendline support. With increased volume and momentum indicators turning up, I’m anticipating continuation to the upside — possibly targeting new highs.
📊 Technical Analysis:
🔴 Rising Channel:
The price is respecting both the upper and lower bounds of the ascending channel (highlighted in red).
Each bounce off the lower channel line has led to a strong upward move.
🟡 Support Zones:
$127.65 (9 EMA) and $117.87 (200 SMA) are serving as dynamic supports.
Horizontal support near $170 has also been tested and held.
🟠 Resistance Zones:
First major resistance at $187.75.
Further upside potential if price breaks above this level — targets align with the "rocket" icons within the channel.
📈 Volume Spike:
Strong green candle with high volume could signify institutional buying interest.
📉 Indicators:
Stoch RSI is turning upward from oversold territory.
RSI (14) is rising from 62, suggesting healthy bullish momentum.
🛫 Price Targets:
🎯 First Target: $173
🚀 Target 2: $187.75
🚀🚀 Target 3: $200+ if the channel holds and breakout occurs
🚀🚀🚀 Target 4: $230+ (aggressive bull case, upper channel extension)
⚠️ Risk Management:
A breakdown below the channel (~$127) with volume would invalidate this setup.
Use stop-loss below recent swing low (~$125) to manage risk.
📅 Key Dates:
Watch for potential catalysts in mid-to-late August (earnings, macro events, etc.)
🔔 Conclusion:
AMD is coiling for a potential breakout continuation. The structure is bullish, and the bounce off channel support with volume is a positive sign. A move above $173 could trigger a strong rally toward the $187-$200 range.
✅ Like if you find this helpful
💬 Drop your thoughts or setups in the comments!
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$AMD — Is history repeating itself?NASDAQ:AMD The chart is showing a pattern strikingly similar to previous highs — a strong rally after a long accumulation, followed by a pullback on news.
📰 Q2 2025 Earnings:
• Record revenue: $7.7B (+32% YoY)
• Strong sales in Ryzen CPUs and Radeon GPUs
• Q3 outlook: $8.7B revenue, ~54% margin
What’s holding it back:
• Export restrictions on MI308 to China hit margins and investor sentiment
• Short-term profit taking after a powerful rally
Reasons for optimism:
• Upcoming AI products MI350 and MI400 could be major growth drivers
• Expected demand from data centers and AI infrastructure
Technical view:
• EMA 9 remains above key support levels (170, 160)
• MACD is close to a potential bearish crossover — worth watching
• Past highs show that sharp corrections in AMD often set the stage for the next wave up
AMD Gamma Squeeze Potential?### 🚀 AMD Bulls or Trap? | \$175C Trade Setup Before Expiry!
**⚠️ High Gamma, Mixed Sentiment – Time-Sensitive Play**
📉 **Weekly RSI**: 70.4 (falling)
📈 **C/P Ratio**: 2.07 (bullish bias)
🔁 **Volume**: 1.2x weekly avg
📊 **Model Sentiment**:
* **Grok/xAI**: Bullish (Call accumulation 📈)
* **Claude/DeepSeek**: Bearish (Institutional selling 🚨)
* **Gemini**: Cautious Bearish
* **Llama**: Neutral / Wait & See
📌 **Suggested Trade**
🔵 **Call**: AMD \$175C (Aug 8 Exp.)
🎯 **Entry**: \$0.66
🛑 **Stop**: \$0.33
💰 **Target**: \$1.25
📆 **DTE**: 1
🔥 **Gamma Risk**: High – requires fast execution
🧠 **Confidence**: 65%
🧠 Watch for sharp moves. Mixed model sentiment = **great volatility** = **great opportunity** (with tight risk mgmt).
💬 *Would you take this trade?*
👇 Drop your thoughts in the comments!
AMD Post-Earnings: Sharp Drop Despite Solid RevenueDisclaimer:
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. All opinions expressed are based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
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AMD reported Q2 2025 revenue of $7.7B (↑32% YoY, beat est.), but shares fell >5% after hours. EPS met expectations at $0.48, yet margins were hit by an $800M China-related inventory charge.
Data center growth disappointed at +14%, missing high AI-driven expectations. Despite strong Q3 guidance ($8.7B rev), investors reacted to lack of MI308 revenue from China and slower AI chip ramp.
Forward view: All eyes on MI350 deployment, MI400 launch, and export license clarity. Execution must now justify elevated valuation. Until then, volatility likely persists.
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I'm looking at these 4 trading ideas based on AMD's current setup post-earnings:
1. Short-Term Reversal Play (Swing Long)
Setup: AMD dropped >5% on earnings despite solid guidance.
Idea: Enter long near $165–168 support zone (post-earnings low) for a rebound to the $175–178 gap fill.
Risk: Tight stop under $163.
Catalyst: Oversold bounce + dip-buyers reacting to bullish Q3 outlook.
2. Gap-Fill Fade (Short-Term Short)
Setup: If AMD rallies into $177–179 to fill the earnings gap.
Idea: Enter short into resistance if volume fades or rejection confirms.
Target: $168–170.
Risk: Stop above $180.
Catalyst: Sell-the-news flow, especially if macro/headwinds persist.
3. Mid-Term Accumulation (AI Growth Thesis)
Setup: Valuation reset + long-term AI roadmap (MI350 → MI400).
Idea: Gradual long build on dips below $170, targeting $200+ by H1 2026.
Timeframe: 6–12 months.
Catalyst: China export resolution, MI400 launch, AI GPU traction.
4. Options Strategy: Neutral-to-Bullish Bias
Setup: IV remains elevated post-earnings, possible consolidation ahead.
Idea: Sell cash-secured puts at $160–165 or deploy bull put spreads (e.g., Sep $165/$155).
Objective: Profit from time decay if AMD holds range.
Catalyst: Theta income with defined risk while waiting for next trend.
AMD Shares Decline Despite Strong Earnings ReportAMD Shares Decline Despite Strong Earnings Report
Yesterday, following the close of the stock market, Advanced Micro Devices released a strong quarterly earnings report:
→ Earnings per share came in at $0.48 (roughly in line with forecasts);
→ Revenue reached $7.68 billion (versus expectations of $7.41 billion).
At the same time, CEO Lisa Su stated: “We’re well positioned to deliver significant growth in the second half.”
However, despite the solid performance and optimistic outlook, AMD shares declined in after-hours trading, falling below $165.
The decline in AMD’s share price following a strong report may be attributed to excessively high expectations and the stock's overbought condition ahead of the announcement.
Technical Analysis of the AMD Stock Chart
Since April 2025, price fluctuations have formed an ascending channel (highlighted in blue). In July:
→ the price broke above the upper boundary of this channel, moving sharply higher (marked in purple);
→ the RSI indicator remained above the 50 level throughout.
We can assume that investors were following the meteoric rise of Nvidia (NVDA) shares and were betting that the ongoing AI boom would enable AMD to deliver extraordinary results. However, these hopes were not fully realised — the classic case of "buy the rumour, sell the fact".
As a result, AMD shares may open today with a bearish gap. From a technical standpoint, this suggests that the price is returning to the limits of the blue ascending channel, where the midline and lower boundary may act as support levels. The psychological support level at $150 also appears significant.
This move may be interpreted as a correction — and once the excessive optimism accumulated in July dissipates, bulls may attempt to resume the upward trend, supported by fundamentally strong data.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AMD - Finding Market TopAMD on the Monthly Chart using Bollinger Bands.
The Top Chart is a brief history of AMD's market tops.
Whenever price broke above the Bollinger Band (Yellow Band) that marked the top.
Bottom Left Chart is the 2024 market top.
Price broke above the Bollinger Band and headed towards the 1.618 Fibonacci.
It didn't hit the $232 exactly, but got very close.
Priced topped at $227.
Roughly a $5 difference.
Bottom Right Chart is the current price action.
The market cycle top should hit sometime in 2025 or 2026.
If the chart plays out like the previous pattern, then the 1.618 Fibonacci should be
the near target for the market cycle top.
This target is $321.
Will the market top hit $321 exactly?
I doubt it, but you never know.
But being honest, I did create a limit sell for $309.
We'll see how accurate I am.
I need to see price break above the Bollinger Band, then see how price
reacts to the Fibonacci ratios of 1.272, 1.414 and 1.618.
Fibonacci 1.272 is listed as $269, and Fibonacci 1.414 is at $290.
I could set limit sells at these three Fibonacci levels to better scale out of my positions.
Half way thereAMD Triangle Convergence Breakout - 1:1 Target Analysis
📈 Technical Setup:
- Triangle convergence pattern successfully broken to the upside
- Clear breakout with strong momentum
- 1:1 risk-reward ratio maintained
🎯 Target Analysis:
- Using ray projection from previous high points
- Target zone identified based on technical structure
- Currently halfway to target level
✅ Progress Update:
- 50% of the move completed
- Maintaining bullish structure
- Next resistance level in focus
Risk management and position sizing remain crucial. This analysis is for educational purposes only.
#AMD #TechnicalAnalysis #TriangleBreakout #StockTrading
AMD Analysis Are WE GOING TO $199? Good morning trading fam
Currently we a strong bull run for AMD on the Monthly time frame.
Currently if we can hold above 172 then we will see a nice run up to 196-199 territory or higher.
If we break below the 172 we can a quick short down to the orange level we marked out.
Happy Trading
Trade Smarter Live Better
Kris
AMD will soar and POP $200. Analyst bang big on rival productAMD datacenter products are better than during 2023-24. It can now rival NVDA to grab global datacenter and entreprise datacenter market share. Analysts are upgrading to 200-210 target.
Trump recent lifting chip restrictions for export to china, boost AMD and NVDA market reach
AMD recent 800million inventory write off suddenly became instant cash as ban is lifted.
AMD is of the number 2 after NVDA to grab Trump's mega American datacenter plan, in the medium term, long players will see AMD break 200 to 350 easily.
AMD is like the younger NVDA few years back, going to 1 trillion is a set on course.
Are you really for the opportunity to grasp ?
AMD Is Up 100%+ Since April. Here's What Its Chart SaysAdvanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD has been on a roll recently, rising more than 100% in less than four months after losing nearly 60% of its value between a February 2024 intraday peak and an April 2025 session low. What does technical and fundamental analysis say as the chip giant prepares to report Q2 earnings on Tuesday?
Let's take a look:
AMD's Fundamental Analysis
AMD has risen amid several seemingly positive recent catalysts.
First, the Trump administration eased as part of the recent Washington-Beijing temporary trade truce some restrictions on advanced-chip sales to China by AMD and Nvidia.
Published reports also speculate that AMD might raise prices on its Instinct MI350 AI accelerator chips to $25,000 from an earlier $15,000 estimate. The Instinct MI350 is supposedly a realistic rival to Nvidia's high-end Blackwell B200 chips.
Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers (who gets a five-star rating out of a possible five by TipRanks) also recently speculated that AMD will be able to charge around $30,000 for its next generation MI355X chip.
Rakers has a "Buy" rating on AMD and a $185 target price vs. Friday's $171.70 close. (Full disclosure: I am also long AMD.)
The chip giant will release Q2 results after the bell Tuesday, with the Street looking for $0.48 in adjusted earnings per share on about $7.4 billion of revenue.
At first blush, that doesn't compare well to the $0.69 in adjusted EPS that AMD reported in Q2 2024. But investors should understand that the firm is exporting more freely to China again, while demand for its newer products is pushing both prices and AMD's operating margin higher.
Note as well that the $7.4 billion revenue print that analysts expect for the company's latest quarter would represent more than 27% year-over-year growth.
That said, 27 of the 39 sell-side analysts that I can find who follow AMD have revised their earnings estimates lower since the quarter began. Just five have increased their estimates, while seven have left things unchanged.
AMD's Technical Analysis
Next, let's look at AMD's chart going back some six months and running through Thursday afternoon:
Readers will see that AMD blasted out of what's called an "inverted head-and-shoulders pattern" of bullish reversal in early June with a $127 pivot (marked with jagged line and red-orange shading in the chart above).
Since then, the stock has developed two consecutive "bull-flag" patterns at the chart's right. These are historically what's known as "patterns of continuance," meaning that after a short consolidation period, a stock continues with its trend -- re-energized by the pause.
The bull-flag patterns put AMD's current upside pivot at $162, suggesting that perhaps as the stock approaches earnings, it could have more in the tank.
Of course, that might depend on how CEO Lisa Su handles this week's earnings call and what kind of forward guidance the firm issues.
Meanwhile, AMD's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is more than robust. In fact, it's technically overbought and has been for most of July.
Similarly, AMD's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is extremely bullish-looking.
The histogram of the stock's 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted with blue bars) is well above zero and has been since early July. That's historically bullish.
The 12-day EMA (marked with black line) is also well above AMD's 26-day EMA (the gold line), with both of them above zero. Again, that's a technically bullish sign.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long AMD at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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AMD Don't Miss Out
### 🚀 \ NASDAQ:AMD Bullish Reversal Play — Weekly Options Setup
**🔥 Institutional Flow + RSI Momentum + Volume Surge = Opportunity**
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📊 **Model Consensus Summary (Grok, Claude, Gemini, Llama, DeepSeek):**
* **🟢 Weekly RSI:** Climbing ⬆️ — confirms trend
* **🔴 Daily RSI:** Slight dip = caution, but **volume overrides**
* **💰 Call/Put Ratio:** 2.00 → **Big Money** loading calls
* **📈 Volume Spike:** 1.7x last week → institutional confirmation
* **🧠 AI Sector Tailwind:** Adds strong narrative fuel
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### 🎯 Trade Setup – 5D Weekly CALL
| 🧾 Entry | 🎯 Target | 🛑 Stop Loss | 🎲 Risk/Reward | 📅 Expiry |
| -------- | --------------------------- | ------------ | --------------- | ---------- |
| \$4.40 | \$6.75 (TP1) / \$9.00 (TP2) | \$2.60 | 1:1.78 / 1:3.46 | 2025-08-08 |
**📌 Strike:** \$180.00
**🎯 Strategy:** Naked CALL (single-leg)
**⏰ Entry:** Market open
**✅ Confidence:** 75%
**⚠️ Risk Flag:** Short-term volatility from daily RSI dip
**🔍 SL based on 40% drawdown tolerance**
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### 📣 TL;DR
> **“Smart money is early. Momentum is building. AMD could break out hard.”**
> 🔸 Weekly RSI + Volume + Calls = Setup
> 🔸 Short-dated play for aggressive profits
> 🔸 Tight stop, wide upside
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### 💡 Tag It:
\#AMD #OptionsTrading #WeeklySetup #TradingSignals #AIStocks #InstitutionalFlow #RSI #CallOptions #MomentumPlay #TradingView #SwingTrade
AMD Projection and Entry PointThis is speculation just like before, which played out very well so this is me having another shot at it.
Going off of the prior cycle AMD went through and comparing it to the one it's currently in, you can see a lot of similarities.
Learning from it's past and seeing how it likes to react to certain Fib levels, you can see that the 76.40% has been respected as a major level of resistance which resulted in its short retracement back in June '23 , It also acts as a very strong level of support as shown in August '24.
Assuming AMD rejects at the current 76.40% level again, using the prior 76.40% you can see it aligns perfectly with the golden ratio I have setup as my buy entry.
It all lines up too perfectly that in my mind, I'm certain it will play out. But of course it's all speculation, and the markets do as they please.