AVGO Earnings Lotto: $332.5C Could 3x Overnight!
🚀 **AVGO Earnings Trade Setup (2025-09-04)** 🚀
**Market Bias:** **Moderate–Strong Bullish** 💪
**Confidence:** 76% ✅
**Trade Idea:**
🎯 **Instrument:** AVGO
🔀 **Direction:** LONG CALL
💵 **Strike:** \$332.50
📅 **Expiry:** 2025-09-05 (Weekly)
💰 **Entry Price:** \$1.28
📈 **Profit Target:** \$3.84 (200% return)
🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$0.64 (50% of premium)
📏 **Size:** 1 contract
⏰ **Entry Timing:** Pre-earnings close (AMC on 2025-09-04)
**Rationale:**
* AI tailwinds & beat-and-raise history ⚡
* Strong call-side OI concentration at \$332.5–\$335 📊
* Favorable macro/tech rotation 🌐
* Risk: VMware guide-down or post-earnings IV crush ⚠️
**Key Levels:**
* Support: \$290–\$300 (put OI cluster) 🛡️
* Resistance: \$330–\$335 (call OI cluster) 🔝
**Risk/Reward:**
* Max loss: \$128
* Reward potential: \$256 → **\~4:1 R/R ratio** 🎯
* Breakeven at expiry: \$333.78
**Execution Notes:**
* Use **limit orders or algo** to reduce slippage
* Exit **by market open post-earnings** or at profit/stop targets
* IV crush expected: 30–50% ⚡
**Expected Move:** \~4.8% (implied by options)
**IV Rank:** 0.65
**Signal Published:** 2025-09-04 13:47 EDT
📊 **Trading JSON (for exact execution)**
```json
{
"instrument": "AVGO",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 332.5,
"expiry": "2025-09-05",
"confidence": 76,
"profit_target": 3.84,
"stop_loss": 0.64,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 1.28,
"entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close",
"earnings_date": "2025-09-04",
"earnings_time": "AMC",
"expected_move": 4.8,
"iv_rank": 0.65,
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-04 13:44:50 UTC-04:00"
}
``
AVGO trade ideas
AVGO: The Top Could Be Seen Since AprilUsing the fib retracement tool, I was able to determine the top of AVGO since July, but there have been clues dating back to April that $356 was the top. The fibonacci retracement is an excellent way to determine future supports and resistances and is used by top traders around the world.
Stock Opportunity: LULULEMON & AVGO EARNINGSNASDAQ:LULU just reported earnings of $2.53B vs $2.54B est
They did beat on the EPS side $3.10 vs $2.85
Lululemon is now the second cheapest its ever been in its history on a PE basis. Behind the GFC crisis in 2008.
They have slashed their guidance and profit forecasts...which seem to be the final shakeout.
Lulu filled a massive weekly technical gap going back to Covid.
NASDAQ:AVGO reported earnings: Rev $15.95B vs $15.83B
EPS $1.69 vs $1.54
This institutional semiconductor stock is crushing Vol and staying flat-ish in afterhours.
We took a position in Lulu.
Broadcom at ResistanceBroadcom is at $326 resistance. It's accelerated well past it's historical trend line. This brings up concerns of over excitement.
While IXCO and SOX are still showing room for semiconductors to run as a broad group I would speculate AVGO is likely going to be left out as NVDA catches up. (NVDA hit it's current trend line this morning)
I'm expecting IXCO and SOX to hit resistance the end of this year. So until then I'm speculating AVGO is going to consolidate around current 326 resistance and eventually break down towards it's long term trend line.
I'm marking this Idea as "short" because I have a sideways/downward bias, but I personally am not actually shorting AVGO. When IXCO tops out there will be much better tech stocks to short.
Good luck!
AVGO - LONG Swing Entry PlanNASDAQ:AVGO - LONG Swing Entry Plan
E1: $ 280.80 – $ 277.00
→ Open initial position targeting +8% from entry level.
E2: $ 274.50 – $ 270
→ If price dips further, average down with a second equal-sized entry.
→ New target becomes +8% from the average of Entry 1 and Entry 2.
AD: $ 247.50 – $ 243.00
→ If reached, enter with double the initial size to lower the overall cost basis.
→ Profit target remains +8% from the new average across all three entries.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss:
Risk is capped at 12% below the average entry price (calculated across all executed positions including the Edit Zone).
Position Sizing Approach:
Entry 1: 1x
Entry 2: 1x
AD Zone: 2x
→ Total exposure: 4x
→ Weighted average determines final TP and SL calculations.
______________________________________
Legal Disclaimer
The information provided in this content is intended for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice or recommendations of any kind. The provider of this content assumes no legal or financial responsibility for any investment decisions made based on this information. Users are strongly advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with licensed financial advisors before making any financial or investment decisions.
Sharia Compliance Disclaimer: The provider makes no guarantees that the stocks or financial instruments mentioned herein comply with Islamic (Sharia) principles. It is the user’s responsibility to verify Sharia compliance, and consultation with a qualified Sharia advisor is strongly recommended before making any investment decisions
Climax top on earningsNASDAQ:AVGO could have made a climax top in its final run on its earnings call.
Reasons:
1. Huge RSI divergence on daily
2. Huge reversal on highest volume
3. Its NASDAQ:SMH peers like NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD continue to fall with more downside.
4. 1 Hour count on what I believe the final wave 5 has fading momentum
5. Weak choppy general market, divergence between QQQ and SPY
$AVGO: Broadcom – AI Chip Powerhouse or Tariff Tightrope?(1/9)
Good morning, crew! ☀️ NASDAQ:AVGO : Broadcom – AI Chip Powerhouse or Tariff Tightrope?
With NASDAQ:AVGO at $194.94 after a Q1 earnings slam dunk, is this semiconductor star riding the AI wave to glory or teetering on trade war woes? Let’s unpack the circuits! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 194.94 as of Mar 10, 2025 💰
• Q1 2025: Revenue $14.92B (up 23% YoY), EPS $1.60 📏
• Movement: Up 10% post-earnings Mar 6, +8.6% Mar 7 🌟
It’s buzzing like a chip factory on overdrive! ⚡
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: ~$93.5B (151.62M shares) 🏆
• Operations: AI chips, software solutions ⏰
• Trend: 42% of 2024 revenue from software, per web data 🎯
A heavyweight in the AI silicon ring! 🌐
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Earnings: Q1 beat with $14.92B, Q2 forecast tops estimates 🔄
• AI Boom: Custom chips fuel hyperscaler demand 🌍
• Sentiment: Shares rallied, per Mar 6-7 posts 📋
Thriving, wired for the future! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚠️
• Tariffs: Trade uncertainties loom, per web reports 🔍
• Competition: Nvidia, Marvell in the race 📉
• Valuation: Premium pricing raises eyebrows ❄️
High stakes, but risks are on the radar! 🕵️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Q1 Win: $14.92B revenue, EPS $1.60 beat 🥇
• AI Edge: 77% AI revenue growth in Q1 📊
• Forecast: Q2 sales outlook shines 🔧
Powered up for the AI era! 🔋
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Tariff risks, high valuation 📉
• Opportunities: 18% earnings growth projected 📈
Can it outrun trade clouds and soar? 🤔
(8/9) – 📢Broadcom at $194.94, AI chips sizzling—your vibe? 🗳️
• Bullish: $220+ by June, AI rules 🐂
• Neutral: Stable, tariffs balance ⚖️
• Bearish: $170 slide, risks bite 🐻
Drop your pick below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
Broadcom’s $14.92B Q1 haul screams AI strength 📈, but tariff shadows hover 🌫️. Volatility’s our sidekick—dips are DCA dynamite 💰. Snap ‘em up, ride the surge! Goldmine or gamble?
A return to major structure and test of support hints at a =BUY1: this is the point where the buyers originated from
3: we establish a support at the supply area of #1,
that we have some sell orders here
4: at this point number 1 turns into a solid major low,
it is a major low as it is part of the major structure,
and a key part of it, number 3 surpassing number 2 makes
it a solid minor low, as it is part of the minor structure ,
and the buyers surpassed the sellers from 2
what do I think will happen?
* if it happens like I think, it will look obvious, or I will
look like I have no idea what i'm talking about, but here we go..
* if prices comes back into the zone above we know via stats,
the last 2,500 bars, if price closes in a zone it has a 68% chance
of reaching the next zone up
* so we can set a stop order there and use the fact that we are
both at a re-test, the original test which occured at 3, and we are at
a solid major low, the stop loss below this would be the logical move
* the expected move up would be to surpass number 4
* if price closes into the zone below, the trade is invalidated as its most
likely path is the genesis of 1 , which is our stop loss.
* as far as divergences go, we have hidden bear divergence for more rsi and mfi
* we are also oversold on both
* we also benefit from the fact that the low 1 and 3 are bottoms on mfi and RSI , and if we use a support horizontal line, it pinpoints this being another low.
AVGO... the next to goVery toppy here. I think this stock will correct 20-30% in the next 2 months here ...
Here me out
Stock has reach trendline resistance
3 straight months outside its monthly Bollingerband
Weekly money flow is at 100
And lastly but most importantly is the Negative divergence on the RSI
Put all of this together going into a weak Seasonality and it's a recipe for a deep correction
This is Avgos price support, only breached it on Tariff sell off which I highlighted with the circle.
I think we head back there long term
But keep in mind of the support at 250.
So my correction is 230-250 by mid or end of october..
Zoom in of the daily with trendline resistance and 20ma and you can see how price has rode the 20ma all summer.. So your short entry would be a close below the 20sma or wait for one more bounce between 310-320 to enter short
AVGO Bullish Impulse Wave Structure in ProgressAVGO continues its macro advance with a clear 5-wave impulse structure unfolding. The current price action marks the completion of subwave (i) of wave ⑤, setting the stage for a corrective pullback into subwave (ii).
We expect this corrective leg to reach into the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement zone of subwave (i), which will serve as a potential re-accumulation area before the next bullish expansion.
The strategy remains to monitor the development of wave (ii) closely, waiting for key price reaction around the identified retracement zone to build positions in anticipation of subwave (iii) of ⑤ typically the strongest and most impulsive move in Elliott Wave structure.
Targets are shared on the chart for clarity. Patience here is key as we await the right entry zone aligned with technical confluence.
📌 Drop your stock requests in the comment section for quick chart updates — only equity-based assets will be accepted under this post.
How to Identify a Head and Shoulders Pattern on TradingViewTo effectively trade the head and shoulders pattern, there are a few factors to consider. If you don’t have an Alpaca account but have a TradingView account, you can sign up for an Alpaca account.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Analyze the chart on different time frames—such as 4-hour, daily, and weekly—to get a complete view of the broader trend. If the weekly chart indicates a downtrend while the 4-hour chart shows an uptrend, it may be premature or risky to interpret price action as a head and shoulders pattern. Aligning trends across time frames generally increases the reliability of your findings.
In the image below, using Broadcom, Inc (AVGO) stock chart, the weekly chart shows a well-established uptrend, indicating bullish market sentiment. On the daily chart, an inverse head and shoulders pattern forms along the upward trend line. The 4-hour chart reveals another inverse head and shoulders setup on a smaller scale. Confirming this bullish structure across multiple time frames may increase a traders’ confidence in a continued uptrend, rather than relying on a single chart interval.
NOTE: "AVGO" is used for demonstration purposes and should not be considered investment advice.
Break of Swing High and Swing Low
Pay attention to recent swing points to confirm the pattern. In a standard head and shoulders formation, a decisive break below the neckline (often aligning with a previous swing low) typically validates the pattern. Conversely, in an inverse head and shoulders, a break above the neckline confirms a bullish reversal. Observing retests of the neckline can further strengthen your confirmation and help refine entry or exit points.
Use of Additional Technical Indicators
Supplement your visual analysis with a few simple indicators to strengthen your signal confirmation and filter out false moves:
Moving Averages (MA) : Use simple or exponential moving averages (such as a 20-day EMA and a 50-day SMA) to gauge overall trend direction. A crossover where the short-term MA moves above the long-term MA supports an uptrend, and vice versa.
Bollinger Bands : Look at Bollinger Bands to assess volatility and identify overbought or oversold conditions. If the price approaches or breaks out of these bands, it can signal a potential reversal or continuation, adding context to your swing points.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) : Monitor the MACD to spot momentum shifts. If the MACD lines diverge from the price action, it might indicate that a breakout is less reliable.
Attached is an image showing the head and shoulders pattern on AVGO stock with the MACD (12,26) displayed below. The MACD enhances the analysis by confirming momentum: a bullish crossover and expanding histogram support the pattern's validity, while divergence, such as flat or declining momentum despite rising prices, warns of a possible false breakout.
TradingView Implementation: Coding the Head and Shoulders Pattern with Pine Script
TradingView is a widely used platform that offers advanced charting tools and a scripting language called Pine Script. The head and shoulders pattern, being a powerful reversal indicator, can be detected automatically using a custom indicator with a Pine Script.
Let's explore how to implement this using the example:
Setting Up the Detection System
The example Pine Script indicator below automatically highlights both traditional head and shoulders (bearish) and inverse head and shoulders (bullish) patterns on any chart. As shown in the screenshot, the indicator successfully detected inverse head and shoulders patterns on both 4-hour and daily timeframes, coinciding with an uptrend on the weekly chart.
Understanding the Pine Script Code
The script begins by declaring version 6 compatibility and creating an overlay indicator. The leftbars and rightbars parameters allow traders to adjust the sensitivity of the pattern detection—smaller values detect shorter-term patterns while larger values find longer-term formations.
//@version=6
indicator("Head & Shoulders", overlay=true)
// Input parameters
leftbars = input.int(4, title="Left Bars")
rightbars = input.int(4, title="Right Bars")
The core of the detection relies on identifying pivot points—local highs and lows that form the shoulders and head of the pattern.
// Find pivot points
ph = ta.pivothigh(rightbars, leftbars)
pl = ta.pivotlow(rightbars, leftbars)
For the inverse head and shoulders (bullish pattern), the script checks if:
The right shoulder low is higher than the head low (condi1)
The head low is lower than the left shoulder low (condi2)
When both conditions are met, a purple background highlights the pattern.
// Bullish (Inverse) Head and Shoulders pattern detection
condi1 = ta.valuewhen(na(pl) == false, pl, 0) > ta.valuewhen(na(pl ) == false, pl , 0) ? 1 : 0
condi2 = ta.valuewhen(na(pl ) == false, pl , 0) < ta.valuewhen(na(pl ) == false, pl , 2) ? 1 : 0
colorbull = condi1 == 1 and condi2 == 1
Similarly, for the traditional head and shoulders (bearish pattern), the script verifies if:
The right shoulder high is lower than the head high (condi3)
The head high is higher than the left shoulder high (condi4)
When detected, a gold background highlights this bearish pattern.
// Bearish Head and Shoulders pattern detection
condi3 = ta.valuewhen(na(ph) == false, ph, 0) < ta.valuewhen(na(ph ) == false, ph , 0) ? 1 : 0
condi4 = ta.valuewhen(na(ph ) == false, ph , 0) > ta.valuewhen(na(ph ) == false, ph , 2) ? 1 : 0
colorbear = condi3 == 1 and condi4 == 1
Visual Indicators and Alerts
The indicator uses distinct visual cues:
Purple background (#7331FF) with an upward arrow (↗) for bullish patterns
Gold background (#EBC003) with a downward arrow (↘) for bearish patterns
These visual markers make it easy to spot patterns across multiple timeframes, as demonstrated in the screenshot where inverse head and shoulders patterns appear on both 4-hour and daily charts.
// Background colors for pattern visualization
bgcolor(colorbull ? color.new(#7331FF, 50) : na, title="Bullish H&S", offset=-leftbars)
bgcolor(colorbear ? color.new(#EBC003, 50) : na, title="Bearish H&S", offset=-leftbars)
// Alert signals
plotchar(colorbull, title="Bullish H&S", char="↗", location=location.belowbar, color=color.new(#7331FF, 0))
plotchar(colorbear, title="Bearish H&S", char="↘", location=location.abovebar, color=color.new(#EBC003, 0))
Setting Up Trading Alerts
The script includes three alert conditions that can notify traders when:
A bullish (inverse) head and shoulders forms
A bearish head and shoulders forms
Either pattern appears
This allows traders to receive timely notifications without constant chart monitoring.
As seen in the screenshot above, this indicator successfully highlighted multiple inverse head and shoulders patterns that aligned with a broader uptrend, demonstrating its effectiveness as a trend confirmation tool when used across multiple timeframes.
// Alert conditions
alertcondition(colorbull, title="Bullish H&S Detected", message="Bullish Head and Shoulders Pattern Detected")
alertcondition(colorbear, title="Bearish H&S Detected", message="Bearish Head and Shoulders Pattern Detected")
alertcondition(colorbear or colorbull, title="H&S Signal", message="Head and Shoulders Pattern Detected")
The head and shoulders pattern is a fundamental tool in technical analysis, offering insights into potential trend reversals. By understanding its structure, variations, and the context in which it appears, traders can make more informed decisions.
While the pattern often provides valuable signals, it's essential to consider its limitations and corroborate findings with additional technical indicators and thorough analysis. Combining theoretical knowledge with practical application on platforms like TradingView and Alpaca can enhance one's trading strategy and execution.
=====================================================================
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This is not an offer, solicitation of an offer, or advice to buy or sell securities or cryptocurrencies or open a brokerage account or cryptocurrency account in any jurisdiction where Alpaca Securities or Alpaca Crypto, respectively, are not registered or licensed, as applicable.
Please note that this article is for general informational purposes only and is believed to be accurate as of the posting date, but may be subject to change. The examples above are for illustrative purposes only. All examples are for illustrative purposes only.
Past hypothetical backtest results do not guarantee future returns, and actual results may vary from the analysis.
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AVGO - LONG Swing Entry Plan NASDAQ:AVGO - LONG Swing Entry Plan
Entry Zone 1: $280.80 – $277.00
→ Open initial position targeting +8% from entry level.
Entry Zone 2: $265.50 – $261.00
→ If price dips further, average down with a second equal-sized entry.
→ New target becomes +8% from the average of Entry 1 and Entry 2.
AD Zone : $240.00 – $235.00
→ If reached, enter with double the initial size to lower the overall cost basis.
→ Profit target remains +8% from the new average across all three entries.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss:
Risk is capped at 12% below the average entry price (calculated across all executed positions including the Edit Zone).
Position Sizing Approach:
Entry 1: 1x
Entry 2: 1x
AD Zone: 2x
→ Total exposure: 4x
→ Weighted average determines final TP and SL calculations.
______________________________________
Legal Disclaimer
The information provided in this content is intended for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice or recommendations of any kind. The provider of this content assumes no legal or financial responsibility for any investment decisions made based on this information. Users are strongly advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with licensed financial advisors before making any financial or investment decisions.
Sharia Compliance Disclaimer: The provider makes no guarantees that the stocks or financial instruments mentioned herein comply with Islamic (Sharia) principles. It is the user’s responsibility to verify Sharia compliance, and consultation with a qualified Sharia advisor is strongly recommended before making any investment decisions
Broadcom (AVGO): Is This the Dip You've Been Waiting For?Broadcom (AVGO) has been demonstrating a remarkably strong bullish trend since early April, carving out a clear path of higher highs and higher lows. This robust upward momentum is well-defined by a series of ascending channels.
Trend and Channel Dynamics:
Initially, we observed price action moving steadily within a well-established ascending green channel. The stock showed consistent respect for the channel's boundaries, indicating controlled yet persistent buying pressure. More recently, AVGO broke out above the upper boundary of this initial channel, suggesting an acceleration in momentum. This breakout led the stock into a new, steeper ascending channel, which it has largely been respecting since late June/early July.
Current Price Action and Retracement:
AVGO is currently trading around the $294.10 mark. After reaching a peak just above $307, the stock appears to be undergoing a healthy pullback. This retracement is a natural part of any strong uptrend, allowing for consolidation and the absorption of profit-taking.
Key Support Levels to Watch:
Intermediate Support ($283 to $288): Our first crucial area of interest is the intermediate support zone between $283 and $288. This level aligns closely with prior areas of consolidation and, importantly, the lower boundary of the most recent ascending channel. A test of this area would be a typical and healthy retest of previous resistance now turned support, and a bounce here would signal continued strength within the current channel.
Key "Good Level" Support ($260 to 270) This zone is highlighted as a "good level" for a reason. It perfectly aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent major swing low to high:
The 0.5 Fibonacci level at $275.76 sits just above this zone. The crucial 0.618 Fibonacci level is at $268.28. This 'golden ratio' is frequently a strong reversal point in healthy pullbacks. The 0.71 Fibonacci level at $262.44 reinforces the strength of this broader zone. A move into this 260−270 area would represent a deeper but still very much acceptable retracement within a strong uptrend, offering potentially compelling entry or re-entry opportunities for long-term participants.
Overall Outlook:
The current pullback in AVGO should be viewed as a necessary consolidation within a powerful uptrend rather than a sign of weakness. The stock has demonstrated clear impulsive moves followed by corrective retracements throughout its journey higher, as visually reinforced by the white zigzag line.
We will be closely monitoring how AVGO interacts with the 283−288 intermediate support. A successful hold and bounce from this level would suggest a continuation of the upward trajectory. However, if this level is breached, the 260−270 zone becomes the critical area where fresh buying interest is likely to emerge, presenting a lower-risk entry point for those looking to capitalize on AVGO's impressive run.
In summary, AVGO remains firmly in a bullish posture, and these identified support levels offer tactical insights for managing positions or initiating new ones.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
AVGO ( Broadcom.Inc ) NASDAQ:AVGO - Continuation of movement within the ascending channel + potential for a breakout to new historical highs. 🔍 Rationale:
• After a strong correction in the first quarter of 2025, the price formed a reversal and has been moving in a clear ascending channel since the beginning of May.
• The channel support and resistance are clearly being worked out, the price is steadily bouncing off the lower border.
• Bollinger Bands show a narrowing - momentum is possible.
• Trading volume is stable, there are no signs of a strong sell-off.