BA: MACRO → CATALYST → STRUCTURE 🧠 MACRO → CATALYST → STRUCTURE (Unified Thesis)
🌍 Macro Regime (Why capital is rotating here)
Global conflict persistence → defense spending is non-cyclical
US fiscal reality → defense & aerospace remain politically protected
Market regime shift → capital rotating from pure AI beta into hard systems + national security
Industrial policy + re-shoring → aerospace supply chains regain strategic premium
🧩 Translation: Durability is being repriced.
✈️ Company-Level Catalyst (Why Boeing)
FAA / manufacturing risk is known, priced, and capped
Commercial aviation normalization + defense backlog = earnings convexity
Boeing is a duopoly asset — replacement risk = zero
Capital doesn’t need perfection — it needs survivability + scale
🧩 Translation: Asymmetric recovery, not a hype story.
📊 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE (From your chart)
🔹 Market Structure (Daily / HTF)
Major impulsive leg completed → corrective rotation underway
Price respected HTF demand (180–186) perfectly
Current trade location = above discount, below EQ
Fibonacci confluence aligns with SMC demand
Momentum stabilized → RSI reset without structural damage
This is a range → expansion continuation model, not a reversal gamble.
🎯 Key Levels (High Confidence)
🟩 Demand / Accumulation: 180–186
⚖️ Equilibrium Magnet: 204–207
🟨 First Expansion: 213
🟧 Mid-Cycle Objective: 270–275
🟥 HTF Stretch Target: 312 → 355–357
Invalidation: Daily acceptance below 175
🎯 HIGH-PROBABILITY PLAY (VolanX Bias)
Bias: Bullish continuation after corrective rotation
Playbook:
Accumulate in 180–186 zone
Add / confirm on reclaim of 204–207
Trim / manage near 213
Swing continuation toward 270–275
Long-cycle optionality toward 312 → 355+
Risk is defined. Upside remains nonlinear.
Boeing Company Shs Cert Deposito Arg Repr 0.041666667 Shs
No trades
Market insights
$BA — HTF Rotation → Expansion SetupNYSE:BA — HTF Rotation → Expansion Setup
Macro tailwinds favor defense & aerospace as capital seeks durability.
Technically:
Prior discount accumulation respected
Price rotating around EQ
RSI neutral
Expansion targets remain intact
🔹 Buy Zone: 175–190
🔹 Confirmation: 207
🔹 Targets: 213 → 286 → 353
🔹 Invalidation: <175
This is a range-to-expansion continuation model, not a breakout chase.
📐 VolanX-aligned execution.
Boeing breakout setup backed by strong order momentum
Current Price: $204.38
Direction: LONG
Confidence Level: 78% (Several professional traders and active X commentary point to bullish momentum, with repeated mentions of $215 and $240.89 targets; strong support at $196 and improving technical indicators add conviction)
Targets:
- T1 = $215
- T2 = $240.89
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $200
- S2 = $196
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
The collective wisdom of professional traders is tilted decisively toward a bullish continuation for Boeing this week. Many traders are highlighting strong November order flows for the 777X and 787, noting that these fundamentals underpin the push higher. The consensus is clustering around a swing setup toward $215, with a potential continuation to $240.89 if momentum carries through. This alignment between technical chart setups and fundamental tailwinds shows traders spotting the same high-probability move.
**Key Insights:**
What’s really driving this setup is Boeing’s break above a multi-year downtrend, a successful retest, and renewed upward push on strengthening fundamentals. Multiple traders flagged $196 as a key support, saying it’s the line in the sand for bulls. Indicators like a positive MACD crossover and rising RSI are signaling renewed momentum. On the sentiment side, several tweets mention a seasonal “Santa rally” boost, suggesting added buyer confidence going into the week.
If Boeing clears $215 in the near term, the trader consensus points to a clear path toward $240.89 where prior liquidity pockets sit. Between these levels, charts show minimal overhead resistance, making this an attractive breakout candidate if demand persists.
**Recent Performance:**
You can see this playing out in last week’s action — Boeing added 1.83%, closing at $204.38 after testing highs near $206.12. The stock has bounced repeatedly from $196 support, a sign of persistent buying pressure despite delivery hiccups for the 737 MAX. This resilience matches the bullish order book narrative traders have been discussing and supports the continued push higher.
**Expert Analysis:**
Several professional traders I’m tracking emphasize that the 164 gross aircraft orders in November, valued at $17 billion, are a significant catalyst. Technicians are watching for an entry trigger above $205, placing stops just under $200 to cap downside risk. Trader consensus is that holding above $196 keeps the upside thesis intact.
The charts show $215 as an obvious short-term magnet, and if crossed, momentum buying — possibly aided by algorithmic triggers — could swiftly push prices toward $240.89. The combination of improving MACD, RSI strength, and positive fundamental data is creating a solid bullish case.
**News Impact:**
The news flow ties directly into this bullish bias — high demand for the 777X and 787 models and a record backlog offset any near-term delivery reductions. With Boeing’s January 27 earnings report approaching, traders appear to be positioning early for potential upbeat results, which could further lift sentiment.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Here’s my take — I’d enter LONG around $205, scale out partially at $215, and hold the remainder for $240.89 if momentum holds. Keep stops tight under $200, with $196 as the hard fail-safe. The combination of strong professional trader conviction, chart setup, and supportive news makes this a promising trade for the next 5–7 trading days. Manage position sizes in line with Boeing’s volatility and lock in gains progressively.
$BA breaking out.Boeing's production recovery thesis for 2026 reNYSE:BA breaking out. Still holding large position.
Breaking above resistance after multi-week consolidation.
Target: $223 zone for swing traders
Boeing's production recovery thesis for 2026 remains intact.
This could be the technical confirmation bulls have been waiting for. Let's see.
Boeing Continuation? Monthly Technical Perspective BA is not a name I typically pay attention to but I recently noticed a fairly simple monthly trade idea. Weakness caused by economic turmoil, airline delays, and a government shutdown is clearly present on the lower time frames. However, from a strictly technical perspective, this BA chart looks good on the monthly time frame if November can hold above the $190 level.
Confluences
- Strong monthly candles from April to August sparked a breakout above the MACRO downtrend that started in 2019
- It appears that a controlled monthly bull flag is forming as price retraces to the previous trend resistance channel which should now theoretically act as support
- This trend retest is occurring right around the $190 area which has acted as a key inflection level during 2020-2025 monthly range
- Price is retesting a massive volume shelf and VPOC shelf around the 190 area
Trade Idea (~5R)
- A conservative entry would wait for a monthly hold above 0.5 fib or ~$190 and the weekly 200MA to signal a December entry
- A high risk entry might scale in on the daily/weekly chart with the majority added if price wicks down into the 0.618-0.65 fib (golden pocket) which is deeper in the red resistance channel turned support. The high risk golden pocket fib entry at ~$170 would be in confluence with the center of the trend channel, the VPOC, and the monthly 200MA.
- Target previous highs at $240, $267, $280
- Look to close position after these trims into previous resistance
Thesis Is Invalidated If:
- Conservative Trader: Monthly Candle closes below $185 (tight stop)
OR
- Risky Trader: Monthly candle closes below $169 which is the golden pocket fib drawn from the April 1 lows recent swing high
Just an idea... NFA.
Boeing snaps losing streakThe company has received support from President Trump as part of tariff negotiations with several countries, in which aircraft orders became a key element in resolving trade disputes — particularly in Asia.
Additionally, buoyed by strong demand for its long-range 787 Dreamliner, Boeing reported on Wednesday that it recorded 908 net orders (after cancellations) from January to November, compared to 700 for its main rival, Airbus.
Airbus CEO Guillaume Faury acknowledged that Boeing will likely win the annual order race for the first time in six years.
Shorting gap up on Boeing
Boeing is still losing real money. This year alone they posted almost $12 billion in losses, and the truth is simple: this company hasn’t made a profit since 2018. That is seven straight years of destroying shareholder value while pretending everything is “on track.” Their new CFO comes from Lockheed — a serious operator, an experienced man who spent his career inside a winning culture. And now he has to walk into Boeing and deal with the exact opposite: a broken culture, years of bad decisions, and a company that forgot what quality looks like. When a company bleeds billions, loses trust, and keeps promising turnarounds that never come, you stop listening to the optimism and start paying attention to the math. #Boeing isn’t improving — it is surviving. And survival is not a business model:
short #BA 202.86
Boeing poised for breakout above key $200 support
Current Price: $201.89
Direction: LONG
Confidence Level: 78% (Several traders highlight strong bullish technicals, elevated volume, and positive delivery guidance; tweet sentiment heavily favors upside)
Targets:
- T1 = $210
- T2 = $215
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $200
- S2 = $195
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
By combining what multiple professional traders are saying with fresh social sentiment, the consensus tilts bullish for Boeing this week. Several traders have emphasized that the price holding above the $200 support, coupled with a positive MACD crossover and strong analyst upgrades, sets the stage for further upside. Elevated volume is confirming this momentum, and traders are positioning for a move toward the $210–$215 zone within a few sessions.
**Key Insights:**
Here’s what’s driving this setup: Boeing’s technical chart is flashing bullish signals, with the 50‑day SMA now sitting slightly above the current price and the 200‑day SMA comfortably below, reflecting both short and long‑term strength. Momentum indicators like RSI are leaning positive, and multiple traders agree that $200 is the line in the sand — as long as BA holds it, the rally can continue. Sentiment from the trading community also reinforces this view, with bullish tweet percentages far outweighing the bearish ones.
What’s interesting is that news flow has added a layer of optimism: higher 737‑MAX and 787 delivery guidance for 2026 and a governance boost with new committee appointments are fueling confidence. Even concerns about FTC action haven’t outweighed the upward bias in trader outlooks.
**Recent Performance:**
This bullish case unfolded right in the price action last week. BA jumped over 8% intraday after the CFO’s delivery guidance update, pulling in elevated volume around 1.2× the 10‑day average. It briefly tested highs above $202 before consolidating near the key $200–$202 zone, showing resilience despite a slight daily pull‑back of 0.33%. Maintaining this level is crucial for the upside to continue.
**Expert Analysis:**
Professional traders in consensus point to the $210 resistance as the first target, aligning with a short‑term channel breakout. Those watching the charts note that the MACD’s positive crossover adds fuel to the move, while the RSI’s mid‑range position leaves room for further advance without overbought conditions. With the majority of relevant tweets highlighting bullish setups and price objectives, the collective trader wisdom suggests buying dips toward $202–$203 and riding them to the mid‑$210s is a high‑probability play.
**News Impact:**
The latest headlines have been predominantly favorable for Boeing’s stock outlook. The CFO’s projection of increased deliveries has sparked analyst upgrades, pushing the average price target to $239.6. Governance improvements from new committee members have been welcomed. While FTC’s divestiture order poses a longer‑term risk, market reaction has shown it’s not enough to derail the current momentum in this tight weekly timeframe. These developments reinforce the bullish lean for the days ahead.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Here’s my take: I’d initiate a long position if BA holds $202 with stops layered at $200 and $195 for downside protection. Aim for $210 as the first profit zone, with $215 as a secondary target if momentum sustains. Keep position sizing reasonable given the regulatory overhang, but the short‑term balance of trader consensus, technical strength, and favorable news flow points toward upward movement this week.
Boeing at a Make-or-Break Level: Rejection or Reversal?Boeing (BA) is currently retesting a long-term descending resistance (the purple trendline).
Price is also below the 50-day SMA (204.88), which is acting as dynamic resistance.
This zone around 202–205 is a very important decision point.
Bullish Scenario (Green Arrow)
If BA breaks above 205 and closes above the descending trendline:
• Target 1: 214
• Target 2: 222
• Target 3: 230 (major resistance)
Stop-loss for longs: below 198
Bearish Scenario (Red Arrow)
If BA gets rejected from 202–205:
• Target 1: 190
• Target 2: 182
• Target 3: 172 (major support)
Stop-loss for shorts: above 207
Short Fundamental Summary
• Boeing still struggles with production delays and quality issues.
• Demand for commercial aircraft remains high, but execution problems limit growth.
• Cash flow improving slowly but still under pressure.
• Market sentiment remains mixed—technicals currently drive price more than fundamentals.
Overall bias:
Bearish-to-neutral unless the breakout above 205 is confirmed.
Is Boeing's Defense Bet America's New Arsenal?Boeing's recent stock appreciation stems from a fundamental strategic pivot toward defense contracts, driven by intensifying global security tensions. The company has secured major wins, including the F-47 Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) fighter contract worth over $20 billion and a $4.7 billion deal to supply AH-64E Apache helicopters to Poland, Egypt, and Kuwait. These contracts position Boeing as central to U.S. military modernization efforts aimed at countering China's rapid expansion of stealth fighters like the J-20, which now rivals American fifth-generation aircraft production rates.
The F-47 program represents Boeing's redemption after losing the Joint Strike Fighter competition two decades ago. Through its Phantom Works division, Boeing developed and flight-tested full-scale prototypes in secret, validating designs through digital engineering methods that dramatically accelerated development timelines. The aircraft features advanced broadband stealth technology and will serve as a command node controlling autonomous drones in combat, fundamentally changing air warfare doctrine. Meanwhile, the modernized Apache helicopter has found renewed relevance in NATO's Eastern flank defense strategy and counter-drone operations, securing production lines through 2032.
However, risks remain in execution. The KC-46 tanker program continues facing technical challenges with its Remote Vision System, now delayed until 2027. The F-47's advanced variable-cycle engines are two years behind schedule due to supply chain constraints. Industrial espionage, including cases where secrets were sold to China, threatens technological advantages. Despite these challenges, Boeing's defense portfolio provides counter-cyclical revenue streams that hedge against commercial aviation volatility, creating long-term financial stability as global rearmament enters what analysts describe as a sustained "super-cycle" driven by great power competition.
Another fake news on orders from Turkish AirlinesAnother round of “fake news”?
Headline: Boeing receives a major order from Turkish Airlines for up to 225 aircraft.
Reality check: Turkish Airlines currently operates just 387 aircraft in its fleet. Earlier this year, we saw the same script play out when reports claimed Pegasus Airlines — the low-cost arm of Turkish Airlines — placed “hundreds of orders.”
Once again, the numbers don’t add up...
BA Needs a Neckline Break Before Any 185 MoveHere are the 3 likely scenarios:
⭐ Bullish Scenario (40% probability):
BA opens gree
Breaks above 180.5–181
Runs to 182–183 on Tuesday
185 becomes possible Wednesday or Thursday
⚠️ Sideways Scenario (35% probability):
BA chops between 178.8–180.8
Keeps building energy
Breakout later in the week
❌ Bearish Scenario (25% probability):
Rejection at neckline again
Retests 178 → 177.5
Pattern still valid unless 177 breaks
Personally, I feel it will be slight bullish this week
Boeing ( $BA) Navigates Costs, Delays, and New Order MomentumBoeing (NYSE: NYSE:BA ) is working through one of its most challenging phases as production delays for the 777X have triggered a $4.9 billion cash charge. The pushback of the first 777X delivery to 2027 adds pressure to Boeing’s multi-year recovery plan and complicates its ability to stabilize cash flow. Heightened regulatory oversight and persistent technical hurdles continue to slow production, contributing to the stock’s decline of more than 25% since its July peak.
Even with these setbacks, Boeing remains a central force in global aviation. Its 5,900-plane backlog demonstrates resilient long-term demand, and recent airline agreements highlight confidence in Boeing’s future. Strong international partnerships reinforce the company’s competitive positioning despite near-term delays.
This week alone, Boeing secured major orders that could bolster its financial outlook. Emirates ordered 65 additional 777-9 jets—an estimated $38 billion deal—which expands its total Boeing order book to 315 aircraft. flydubai also signed an MoU for 75 Boeing 737 MAX aircraft valued at roughly $13 billion. These commitments strengthen Boeing’s medium-term pipeline and provide revenue visibility well into the next decade.
Boeing continues to expand its defense portfolio as well. The company recently secured an $877 million U.S. Department of Defense contract for MH-47G helicopters, supplementing ongoing deals with Ethiopian Airlines, Gulf Air, and Air Senegal. These diversified contracts help cushion Boeing from commercial-aviation volatility.
Technical Outlook
Technically, BA trades inside a multi-year bearish symmetrical triangle, reflecting uncertainty and long-term consolidation. Momentum remains bearish as price approaches the triangle’s base support zone. If the support holds, BA could stage a recovery bounce; however, a breakdown signals further downside.
Boeing Wave Analysis – 20 November 2025
- Boeing broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 170.00
Boeing recently broke the support zone between the support level 185.00, 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from April and the support trendline of the daily down channel from August.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active impulse waves v and 3 – which belong to intermediate impulse wave (3) from September.
Boeing can be expected to fall further to the next support level 170.00, target for the completion of the active intermediate impulse wave (3).
Boeing Eyes Major T-7 Deal as Price Trades In a Falling Wedge Boeing is drawing renewed attention as it prepares to announce a new partnership tied to an international bid for its T-7 trainer jet. Executives confirmed that details should emerge within a week, signaling growing global demand for lightweight training aircraft. The move follows earlier reports that Boeing and Saab, already joint partners on the T-7 program, have been in discussions with BAE Systems.
Their potential collaboration is viewed as a strategic push to compete for Britain’s future trainer fleet, which is expected to replace the long-serving Hawk jets after the UK’s latest defense review recommended a next-generation solution. Boeing’s expanding interest in major markets across Europe and Asia reflects the rising need for advanced trainers as air forces modernize and prepare pilots for fifth-gen fighters. The news comes during the Dubai Airshow, where defense procurement momentum tends to accelerate.
Fundamentally, Boeing’s defense segment is becoming increasingly important as the commercial aircraft division continues navigating production and delivery challenges. A strong T-7 export pipeline could support better revenue diversification and stabilize long-term contracts. While the final structure of the upcoming partnership remains unknown, investor sentiment is likely to improve if Boeing secures a competitive position in the UK tender. However, integration, execution risks, and geopolitical uncertainty remain factors that could affect the program.
Technically, Boeing’s chart shows a long-term symmetrical wedge formation. Price is trading near $194, sitting in the midpoint of the structure. The upper trendline around $250 continues to cap bullish momentum, while the rising lower trendline near $150 provides multi-year support. Recent selling pressure has pulled price off the $240 region, but the long-term structure remains intact. A breakout above $250 could trigger a strong continuation move, while a breakdown below the rising base would shift sentiment bearish.
Boeing Accelerates in 2025: Orders and New DeliveriesBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Strong Fundamentals: Recovery in the Aviation Market
Boeing (NYSE: BA) is approaching its best year since 2018, thanks to the global recovery in commercial aircraft demand. In October, the company delivered 53 units, bringing the total to 493 aircraft in 2025, of which 39 were 737 MAX. Orders for the 787 Dreamliner reached 320 units, close to the 2007 historical record, and the total order backlog stands at 5,911 aircraft, providing revenue visibility for the coming years.
Although Airbus (EPA: AIR) remains ahead with 585 deliveries, Boeing has secured 782 net orders in 2025. Additionally, the company received approval to increase production capacity in South Carolina, rising from 38 to 42 aircraft per month, strengthening its ability to meet global demand.
CEO Kelly Ortberg continues to prioritize quality and efficiency, mitigating risks of delays and cancellations. This solid operational backing, combined with the post-pandemic recovery of the industry, reinforces a positive fundamental outlook for Boeing, supported by a robust order backlog and production expansion.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Possible Scenarios
On the daily chart, Boeing shows a medium-short term corrective trend since May, after trading between $228.15 and $195 throughout 2024. Yesterday’s closing price was around $195.50, with a premarket at $195.92.
The stock has formed a strong technical floor, confirmed by an RSI in oversold territory (32.45%) and a MACD in negative territory that is starting to show signs of reversal. The ActivTrades US Market Pulse indicates that the previous extreme Risk-On sell-off may have come to an end.
The Point of Control (POC) is around $215.49, suggesting the potential start of a recovery if the moving averages change direction. A crossover of the 50-day moving average over the 200-day would confirm a correction, potentially sending the price back to the previous range ($184.35 – $163.70). Conversely, if bullish momentum persists, the stock could reclaim positions above the POC, reinforcing the recovery move.
Boeing in the road to recovery
Boeing combines strong fundamentals with a favorable technical setup: recovering deliveries, robust orders, and increasing production capacity, supported by technical indicators suggesting a possible rebound. This positions the company as an attractive option for investors seeking exposure to the aerospace sector and the global recovery in air traffic.
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Boeing (BA) – Final Leg of Macro Bull Run✈️ Boeing (BA) – Final Leg of Macro Bull Run | Wave 5 to 1.618 Extension ($1200) 🚀
📅 Timeframe: Monthly (Macro Cycle Outlook)
📍 Current Price: $217
🎯 Wave 5 Target : ~$1200 (1.618 Extension)
🌀 Wave Theory Structure
Boeing appears to be entering Wave 5 of a long-term Elliott Wave cycle:
✅ Wave 1: Multi-decade rise until the early 2000s
✅ Wave 2: Complex correction (W–X–Y) into 2009 lows
✅ Wave 3: Powerful rally through 2019, completed with an extended 5-wave subdivision
✅ Wave 4: A large-scale triangle correction (ABCDE) — now completed, as price has broken structure upward
🚀 Wave 5: Projected move toward the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (~$1200) from the 1–3 wave distance
This is a textbook impulsive wave structure playing out on the monthly macro scale — with a final bullish leg now unfolding.
📐 Fibonacci Confluence
Wave 2 retraced ~0.236 of Wave 1 (shallow, bullish corrective behavior)
Wave 4 retraced ~0.5 of Wave 3 — typical for triangle patterns and expanded flats
Wave 5 target at 1.618 Fib extension measured from Wave 1–3 aligns around $1200 , completing the 5-wave macro cycle 🔺
🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
🔹 Accumulation Phase (2020–2024): After COVID crash and multi-year consolidation, price has shown strong accumulation characteristics
🔹 Final Sweep of Lows (E leg) flushed out late longs and retail stops before institutional re-entry
🔹 Break of Structure (BOS) confirms transition from reaccumulation to markup phase 📈
🔹 Price is now in a reprice phase — a classic SMC trait where value is rapidly adjusted after institutional positioning completes
📊 Price Action Analysis
Bullish breakout from triangle structure
Monthly higher low established at E-wave base
Strong bullish candle from demand zone — early confirmation of trend continuation
Break above $260 would open clean skies toward the next major resistance at ATH ($446) and beyond 🧭
💼 Fundamental Outlook
Boeing is regaining strength after multiple challenging years:
✈️ Rebound in global aviation demand
📦 Growing defense & aerospace contracts amid rising geopolitical tensions
💰 Expected recovery in cash flows, backlog, and profitability
🌐 Expansion in space and unmanned systems (future growth verticals)
Although regulatory and delivery risks remain, Boeing’s turnaround story is gathering steam — aligning with the technical forecast of Wave 5 acceleration.
🔍 Summary
Boeing is entering what could be the final and most explosive leg (Wave 5) of its macro Elliott Wave cycle. Key confluences include:
✅ Elliott Wave triangle completion
✅ Fibonacci 1.618 extension to ~$1200
✅ Institutional accumulation confirmed
✅ Price Action breakout from multi-year structure
✅ Improving long-term fundamentals
This setup favors long-term swing positions , with pullbacks offering buying opportunities until the final cycle target is approached. 🧠📈
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Always do your own due diligence and manage risk responsibly. 🛡️
#Boeing #BA #ElliottWave #SmartMoney #PriceAction #Fibonacci #Wave5 #TriangleBreakout #TechnicalAnalysis #LongTermInvestment #MacroTrading #StockMarket #BullishOutlook #Aerospace #WaveTheory #SwingTrading #AviationRecovery #FibonacciTargets #TradingStrategy






















