BABA - LongI wanna say we are seeing a rotation into Chinese stocks, but not really sure. Looking at BABA on the weekly, it looks primed. I am currently in this trade, but it looks to have some promising upside.
BABA trade ideas
BABA: triangle with tensionOn the weekly chart, BABA has already formed a golden cross - price is above both MA50 and MA200, confirming a bullish trend shift. The stock is now approaching the upper edge of the symmetrical triangle and the key resistance at $122, which also aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
The numbers inside the triangle represent the contraction phases, not Elliott waves. This is a classical consolidation before a potential breakout. If the $122 level is broken and retested, upside targets are $128 (0.618), $137 (0.786), and eventually $148–181 (1.0–1.618 extension).
Volume is rising, MACD is flipping bullish, and RSI is climbing out of oversold territory — all signs point to growing bullish momentum.
Fundamentally, Alibaba benefits from China's economic rebound, possible regulatory relief, and ongoing share buybacks. With Chinese tech rotating back into favor, BABA could lead the rally.
So if you're still waiting for a signal - it's already here. The golden cross is done, price is flying above moving averages, and all that’s left is a clean breakout. Watch $122 — that’s the launchpad.
Alibaba: Cloud and AI Restore Its ShineBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
In short, Alibaba is expanding its cloud business, launching an AI chip, and regaining ground in e-commerce. Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE: BABA) surged 19% on Monday in Hong Kong, its biggest jump since March, following the release of earnings that reinforced perceptions of a positive shift in its operational performance.
Fundamental momentum
The company reported revenues of 247.65 billion yuan ($34.73 billion), slightly below market expectations. However, the standout figure was a 78% increase in net profit, restoring investor confidence.
The main driver was the cloud computing division, which grew 26% year-on-year, benefiting from the boom in artificial intelligence. Additionally, Alibaba is developing its own AI chip, aiming to reduce technological dependence on external suppliers and strengthen its position in a strategic sector against global competitors.
At the same time, its traditional e-commerce business shows signs of recovery. Taobao has introduced a one-hour express delivery model, designed to enhance the customer experience and directly challenge rivals such as JD.com and PDD Holdings.
Strategic context
This rebound comes after years of uncertainty linked to Chinese regulatory measures and the impact of international tariffs. The latest results suggest that Alibaba may be overcoming this phase, supported by technological diversification and operational efficiency.
Technical analysis
In yesterday’s session, Alibaba closed at $138.88, consolidating the upside gap from August 28, which marked the breakout of the consolidation range between $116 and $134 that had been in place since April. This breakout has pushed the price toward the resistance level at $141.34, just below the annual high of $145.98 reached in March.
The move has technical backing: the stock is trading above its 50-day moving average, reinforcing the validity of the bullish breakout. Still, several indicators call for caution. The RSI at 77.59 signals overbought conditions, while the MACD, although still in positive territory, shows a contracting histogram—hinting at the likelihood of a technical pullback and the emergence of a new consolidation zone.
If such a correction occurs, the price could retrace toward the $132–133 range, a key level that would act as a consolidation test before any renewed upward momentum. Below that, the first major support lies at $127.93; if this is breached due to weakening bullish strength, selling pressure could extend toward the point of control (POC) around $117, signaling a deeper retracement within the market structure.
In the short term, buying appetite remains strong, though sentiment indicators—such as the ActivTrades US Market Pulse—show a shift from a “Risk On” to a “Risk Off” environment. This change could trigger selling in large-cap tech stocks, whose valuations remain exposed to risks tied to the ongoing AI bubble.
Cloud business remains in the bubble
Alibaba is back on investors’ radar thanks to the strength of its cloud division and the growth potential of artificial intelligence as a key catalyst. While regulatory pressure and fierce domestic competition remain risk factors, the technical rebound and improving margins reinforce the perception that the Chinese giant is entering a phase of sustained recovery.
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All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
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BABA Clears Multi-Year Resistance, Eyes $148–$188 NextWeekly Structure:
BABA has broken out of a multi-year base between $100–$126, clearing resistance that capped rallies for almost 2 years.
Price is now targeting the next major resistance levels:
$148.5 → prior high and Fib cluster.
$157.8 (Fib 0.382 retracement).
Medium-term upside could extend to $188.6 if momentum sustains.
Daily Structure (Micro View):
Strong breakout candle above $127–$130 confirms bulls in control.
Immediate supports now flip bullish: $127, $123.5, and $120.
Trend alignment: short, mid, and long EMAs are stacked positively (classic trend confirmation).
Indicators:
PMO (Price Momentum Oscillator, top grid): Both signal lines are rising and staying in the green zone → momentum remains bullish.
RSI (bottom grid): Currently at 63, strong but not overbought. Shows room for continuation toward 70–75 before risk of pullback.
When is the Uptrend Negated?
The bullish thesis holds as long as price respects the breakout structure:
Invalidation: Loss of $120 (Fib 0.236 + EMA cluster) would flip structure bearish again and re-open risk to $111–108 support.
Indicators check:
If PMO turns down with a red signal cross, momentum is exhausted.
If RSI fails to hold 50 on a pullback, uptrend strength is negated.
Summary Bullish Path:
Holding above $123–$126 keeps bulls in full control.
Upside targets: $148 → $157 → $188.
Uptrend is negated only on a decisive break below $120 with PMO + RSI confirming weakness.
Alibaba Group Wave Analysis – 2 September 2025
- Alibaba Group broke resistance level 135.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 147.70
Alibaba Group recently broke the resistance level 135.00 (former monthly high from May), which was preceded by the breakout of the resistance level 127.60 (top of wave i from August).
Before breaking these resistance levels Alibaba Group broke the extended daily Triangle from March.
Alibaba Group can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 147.70, the former multi-month high from March.
Alibaba (BABA) Shares Soar ~13% After Earnings ReportAlibaba (BABA) Shares Soar ~13% After Earnings Report
Alibaba published its second-quarter report on Friday morning. Although the company’s gross revenue came in below analysts’ forecasts ($34.6bn vs $35.1bn), BABA’s share price surged by around 13% (to its highest level since March) as the market reacted positively to:
→ Faster growth in cloud services revenue, seen as key to the company’s success in monetising artificial intelligence, similar to Microsoft and Google.
→ Testing of a new processor designed to reduce reliance on Nvidia.
Technical analysis of Alibaba (BABA) shares
When analysing BABA’s price movements in early July, we identified a resistance zone at $126–$145.
Since then, the price tested the $126 level twice in August, reversing downwards each time. However, the earnings release triggered a wide bullish gap, meaning that $126 could now act as support.
Further bullish arguments:
→ The A-B-C-D-E formation created a contracting triangle, which can be interpreted as a long-term balance of supply and demand. The current bullish impulse breaks this balance, pointing to the potential for a major bullish trend.
→ Starting from point D, price movements have formed an ascending channel (shown in blue), with its median and lower boundary potentially serving as support.
From a bearish perspective, the sharp 19% rise could encourage investors to take profits on existing long positions, as the RSI indicator has moved into overbought territory and BABA’s share price is close to the upper boundary of the blue channel.
Taking all of this into account, we could assume that after the initial strong emotional reaction to the news, the market may reassess its impact and BABA’s share price could correct (for instance, towards the lower boundary of the gap at $128.22).
At the same time, the strong fundamental outlook, driven by the company’s prospects of becoming a leader in the AI sector, suggests that by the end of 2025 we may see an attempt to break above the March high (point A).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
BABA About to EXPLODE—Weekly 140C Play—Don’t Miss Out
# 🐂💎 BABA WEEKLY OPTIONS ALERT (2025-09-01) 🚀📈🔥
### 📊 Multi-Model Consensus → **STRONG BULLISH**
* ✅ **Momentum:** RSI Daily 71 / Weekly 74 📈
* ✅ **Volume Surge:** 🔺 2.9x last week → Institutions loading bags 👜
* ✅ **Options Flow:** Calls ≈ 2.84x puts 💥
* ✅ **Volatility:** VIX \~15.3 → perfect for calls 🎯
---
### 🎯 Recommended Trade (Consensus Pick)
👉 **BABA 140C (2025-09-05)**
💵 Entry: \~\$1.59
🛑 Stop: \$0.95 (-40%)
🎯 Target: \$2.39 (+50%)
📏 Size: 1 contract (risk-adjust)
⏰ Entry: Market open
🔥 Confidence: 85%
---
### ⚡ Aggressive Play (OTM)
👉 **BABA 145C (\~\$0.84)**
⚡ Higher leverage, stronger flow, but faster theta decay ⏳
---
### 🕒 Risk & Exit Plan
* Close **by Thursday EOD** 🗓️ (avoid Friday theta/gamma trap)
* Stick to stop-loss & risk sizing 💡
* Watch for profit-taking after +9.8% last week 📉
---
📌 **Trade JSON (for algo/backtest nerds 🤓)**
```json
{
"instrument": "BABA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 140.0,
"expiry": "2025-09-05",
"confidence": 0.85,
"profit_target": 2.39,
"stop_loss": 0.95,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 1.59,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-01 22:19:55 EDT"
}
```
---
\#️⃣ **Hashtags / Tags**
\#BABA #OptionsTrading #FlowTrading #StockMarket 🚀📈🔥
\#UnusualOptionsActivity #SwingTrade #TradingSignals #SmartMoneyFlow
\#CallOptions #WeeklyOptions #ChinaStocks
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. ADR (BABA) Powers China’s RetailAlibaba Group Holding Limited Sponsored ADR (BABA) is a global leader in e-commerce, cloud computing, digital media, and fintech innovation. Best known for its massive online marketplaces like Taobao and Tmall, Alibaba also drives growth through its cloud platform, Alibaba Cloud, and digital payment arm, Alipay. The company’s growth is fueled by rising online shopping demand, digital transformation across China and globally, and continued innovation in technology and services.
On the chart, a confirmation bar with rising volume highlights strong momentum. The price has entered the momentum zone after breaking above the .236 Fibonacci level. A trailing stop can be placed just below this Fibonacci mark using the Fibonacci snap tool, helping traders secure profits while leaving room for further upside potential.
Is Alibaba a Buy: Fundamental Deep DiveWe have looked over some key metrics of Alibaba.
Based on Revenue, Debt, Net Income, PE, Free Cash Flow and other metric we have concluded that Alibaba can continue to move higher.
We provide some baseline targets based off of wall street EPS estimates.
We prove some hyperbolic targets based off of historical median PE targets.
Its amazing how much risk premium is built into this China valuation as Alibaba sure looks good.
EPS is set to continue to surge, Cap Ex spending should slow, net debt has been reducing.
All key metrics support a stronger balance sheet and a continued growth.
Baba cloud division is finally turning profitable and if this continues will be a major tailwind for the stock.
New AI chip development could catapult this stock as it tries to capture a tiny share of NVDA market.
We have been long NYSE:BABA since early July and will continue to buy on pullbacks (Not FA advice)
Is Alibaba entering a stage 2 breakout formation? This video depicts a pure technical summary of Alibaba on multiple different time frames.
We will follow this video up with a fundamental view.
Using previous cycles we believe Alibaba is poised for a 12-24 month explosive move.
Baba looks o be entering the explosive stage 2 formation.
Breaking out and defending monthly chart support...Baba looks great on all time frames.
Many bullish patterns are triggering....Weekly bull flags / inverse head and shoulders.
The minimum upside target if the bullflag completes is around 160 - 165.
We have been long Baba since early July when it kissed the daily 200 MA.
Alibaba looking to move higherToday's results seem to have trigger Alibaba for much higher levels. The market seems to have appreciated the growth of its cloud and AI business as well as its new AI chips.
Chinese big cap techs are much cheaper than US counterparts and seem to be presenting interesting opportunities.
Next resistance/target in the $170 area as long as $117 support is holding.
BABA Earnings Play---Don’t Miss Out
# 🚀 BABA Earnings Play (8/28 AMC) 🚀
💎 **Moderate Bullish | 72% Conviction** 💎
🎯 **Trade Setup**
📊 Ticker: \ NYSE:BABA
🔀 Direction: CALL 📈
🎯 Strike: 130.00
📅 Expiry: 2025-08-29
💵 Entry: 0.83 (ASK)
⏰ Timing: Pre-earnings close (8/28 AMC)
📦 Size: 1 contract (risk 💸 \$83)
🎯 Target: 2.49 (200%)
🛑 Stop: 0.42 (-50%)
⚡️ **Why Bullish?**
* 📈 Strong margins & FCF cushion
* 🔥 Call OI stacked at \$125–130 (gamma fuel)
* 📊 Price above key MAs, neutral RSI → upside ready
* 🌎 Macro risk still there, but market tilt is bullish
✅ **Execution Rule**: In before close, out within 2h post-print or at target/stop.
---
### 📌 Suggested Tags (TradingView-style)
\#BABA #Alibaba #EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #CallOptions #WeeklyOptions #BullishSetup #MomentumTrading #TradeIdeas #StockMarket 🚀📊
Alibaba (NYSE) (W)– Range Bound, Eyeing for BreakoutPrice / Momentum : Weekly close $122.94 (+1.39%); currently challenging minor resistance near $123. The structure shows sideways consolidation after a sharp run-up earlier in the year.
Volume : Volume is subdued compared to the February–April surge, indicating a lack of strong conviction yet. A volume spike would be needed to confirm a breakout.
Structure / Pattern: Price remains in a horizontal range between $105 (support) and $141 (resistance). The recent higher low near $116.7 suggests buyers are defending dips.
Key Levels:
Resistance/Breakout: $123.3, then $129.9 → $136.5 → $143.1 → $149.8 (upside targets).
Support: $116.7 (near-term); $105.5 (major support).
Bias & Trade Idea : Neutral-to-bullish bias while above $116.7. A decisive breakout above $123–124 with volume could open room toward $130+. Failure to clear $123 soon could lead to another retest of $116–105 support zone.
⚠️ Disclaimer : This chart is for educational purposes only.
Regulatory Note: We are an independent development team. Our services are not registered or licensed by any regulatory body in India, the U.S., the U.K., or any global financial authority. Please consult a licensed advisor before making trading decisions.
$baba yieahhhhyieahhhh
NYSE:BABA NYSE:BABA NYSE:BABA
showing very similar setup as all the US small caps. If you can decode this elliot wave mess I made, you can decode anything.
1. Right at volume shelf
2. Higher low showing a small timefrane second wave II
3. Ready to explode on to the third wave (3)
4. End goal of big wave 5 matches with the 50% retracement fib level from the previous high and low
Really hope timelines are shorter than this - I struggle with patience my friends
yieahh
Alibaba - This chart is pretty bullish!🎁Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) will head much higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
After we saw the perfect creation of the rounding bottom on Alibaba, the trend finally shifted back to bullish. Especially with the recent bullish break and retest, Alibaba is now preparing for another major move higher. All we need now is simple bullish confirmation.
📝Levels to watch:
$140
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
I'm long for $BABA earnings.NYSE:BABA has finally popped out of it's "TraderDaddy Triangle" to set the tone for a move up. Right in time for earnings it came back to retest the support level twice while coasting steady with the 20DMA. I'm looking at the $145 10/17 call with great Delta vs. Theta, With the profit take around $132.49 and leave a runner up to $143
BABA UpdateBaba initally broke out, but with USA China tarriff uncertainty and poor PPI the other day the market fell and BABA fell with it. A good amount of BABA shares were also unloaded. It's holding onto the .236 fib, and back in the wedge. We still have the large wedge and an inverse head and shoulders and with Earnings projected to be on the 26th, we may get another stronger breakout soon. Gaps to fill above and below of course, but we have a gap recently created and many more to fill up to the 130s and 140s. Bridgewater and some Saudi groups dropped their BABA positions, however Michael Burry is still in leaps and shares and so is David Tepper and Cantor Fitzgerald. Also plenty of strong call flow in general for september, october, and even 2027 calls added recently this morning. Despite the failed breakout, I'm leaning bullish on BABA. Looking to get to the .618 fib at 128.4 before further breakout. Nfa.
Ali BABA Potential Huge Up Targets ALi BABA have Potential Huge Up Targets with potential 3 years accumulation range from March 2022 to today 15 August 2025.
P&F Chart targets calculations
ATR 20 1 Box Size 3.5 calculated on 15-08-2025
Position Opened on 13-08-2025
News on 15-08-2025:
Saudi Investment Sold all 1.6 Million American Depository shares in BABA in Q2 2025 Ending its investment in the Company!!!!!!!
Lets see what this chart will unfold in the future
Alibaba’s Next Stop: $200Alibaba (BABA) is showing clear signs of strength as it trades around $126, confirming entry into a new bullish channel.
The stock rejected further downside at $95, a level that aligns with major resistance-turned-support zones from 2016, 2023, and 2024. This successful defense signals that market sentiment has shifted, laying the groundwork for a sustained move higher.
If momentum holds, BABA could rally aggressively into the $190–$200 range by November–December 2025, where a significant resistance zone from 2018 awaits.
Trade Idea: $BABA Long - China Tariff pause for another 90 daysProfit Target $150
Stop Loss $118.00
If this breaks out at this pattern, I will move the stop to 120.00
China's recent economic data shows resiliency despite Trump tariffs.
$BABA’s next big run starts very soonHuge rounded bottom breakout, retest and bounce has occurred. We are now flagging before the next run begins
Tightness and expansion on the 2M bolinger bands.
Weekly Bolinger bands are becoming very tight again. Explosive move to the upside this year (if not this Q)
BABA Perfect long positionNYSE:BABA is at a strong level ahead of its next upcoming earnings, I am looking for it to continue within its already formed parallel channel on the weekly chart. The daily shows a strong rejection of its 50ema, consequently breaking a previous swing high. the break indicates possibility of bullish momentum through the level. The current consolidation phase into the long term trend and the consolidation occurring on the long term volume profile POC, all act as positive confluence to the general idea of a mid-long term buy position on BABA. CN50 is also showing great strength on the monthly chart, which is a great confluence with BABA's overall performance.
Constriction of Bollinger daily bands is an added confluence, indicating the potential for increased volatility and a large move to come out of this consolidation phase in the near term.
I have entered a large long position, with stops shown at levels shown on chart to allow the trade to breath in the midst of unexpected volatility around earnings etc. Stops and tp may be adjusted as conditions change.
Goodluck trading ;)
Bet on Alibaba’s Resilience: Long Position for Next WeekCurrent Price: $120.36
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $123.50
- T2 = $126.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $118.50
- S2 = $116.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Alibaba.
**Key Insights:**
Alibaba remains a central figure in China's tech sector and investor sentiment as it prepares for its upcoming earnings report. Key drivers include its cloud computing segment, international expansion, and strategic initiatives within its e-commerce division. Regulatory clarity in China has encouraged a more favorable outlook, giving the stock a boost of confidence over the short-term.
The macroeconomic landscape in China remains a key determinant of Alibaba’s valuation, as consumer spending ebbs and flows post-pandemic. Furthermore, restructuring updates within its business units could signal improved operational efficiency, an exciting development anticipated ahead of the earnings report.
**Recent Performance:**
Alibaba’s stock closed at $120.36 during the latest trading session, showing stability amid broader market fluctuations in the Chinese tech space. The stock has held up well despite sector volatility, a sign that investor confidence is improving. Key price levels in recent weeks suggest consolidation, but with the potential for an upside breakout looming as earnings approach.
**Expert Analysis:**
Market analysts express optimism for Alibaba due to its diversified growth opportunities. Its ongoing emphasis on cloud computing and international markets is particularly viewed as instrumental in driving long-term profitability. In light of these growth channels, and a strategic focus on innovation, Alibaba remains a high-conviction trade. Analysts do highlight short-term earnings volatility, but with positive expectations overall.
The forthcoming earnings announcements are expected to provide clearer visibility on restructuring plans and revenue mix allocation, both of which could trigger renewed investor interest in the stock.
**News Impact:**
Recent regulatory updates in China signal a more stable policy environment, reducing existential risks for large-cap tech companies like Alibaba. Additionally, heightened consumer activity post-pandemic and possible improvements in China’s macroeconomic indicators form a supportive backdrop. Any insights into Alibaba’s operational roadmap, whether in the form of expansion strategies or business restructuring announcements, are likely to provide a positive trigger for the stock.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Based on Alibaba’s recent stability, strategic growth initiatives, and potential earnings-driven momentum, a LONG position is recommended. Investors should target the $123.50 level initially, with a more ambitious upside of $126.00. Stops are defined conservatively at $118.50 and $116.00, ensuring downside risk is managed appropriately while leaving room for the trade to play out profitably.
