Coinbase: Top Is In!We now view the top of blue wave (b) as established. Wave (c) is expected to drive further sell-offs below support at $291.50, ultimately completing magenta wave , specifically within our magenta Target Zone between $255.42 and $173.05. From there, the upward impulse should then continue past resistance at $444.65. On the other hand, we assign a 33% probability to blue wave alt.(b) reaching a higher high; in that scenario, the anticipated declines would be postponed by a detour above resistance at $444.65.
Trade ideas
$COIN pullback to $330 area sets up fresh longsNASDAQ:COIN is looking somewhat exhausted here. I think it's likely that we see a pullback to the $322-330 area, then that can set up a fresh long to new highs.
I'm currently short COIN.
I'd be looking to enter calls at the support level, then take calls to at least the $428 resistance level, however, I think it's most likely that we break that level and find a high between $494 and 508 level for the final high of this move.
Let's see how it plays out.
COIN Still following the plan.... nothing changedNASDAQ:COIN was expected to test the High Volume Node and channel upper boundary after its breakout as support. That happened Friday and touched it precisely during the market chaos we expect to reverse back to trend this week.
Wave V is underway, wave IV completed at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node - a high probability area for a bottom.
RSI tapped overbought but no bearish divergence.
The gap has been filled and could market a reversal point lower on the macro and we should watch carefully but the trend is up for now.
Safe trading
COINBASE Last time it did this, it rallied at least +100%Coinbase (COIN) has set eyes on its Higher Highs trend-line again, the very same structure which we targeted successfully ($400 Target) on our buy signal 5 months ago (May 07, see chart below):
This time we have in our hands perhaps the strongest bullish confirmation signal of this Cycle, the 1W RSI breaking above its MA trend-line. This took place last week and every time Coinbase did this in the past 2 years, it rallied by at least +100%.
If that's repeated, it means the price would target $750, which is however well above the Higher Highs trend-line. A solid strategy would be targeting the Higher Highs trend-line initially and if the price breaks above it and re-tests/ holds it as Support, re-buy and then target $750.
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$COIN viction Trade: Weekly Up, Daily Tight
NASDAQ:COIN
Summary
NASDAQ:COIN exhibits a textbook “expand → break → retest → coil” progression. A broad weekly megaphone that developed through 2024 continued into 2025 with a June ’25 breakout; price subsequently reached ~$445 (megaphone resistance) in July ’25 and then retraced in an orderly fashion, holding above 2023’s ceiling. Since that pullback, ranges have narrowed and participation has declined while price consolidates above $280—behavior consistent with constructive acceptance before a potential next leg higher.
Market Structure and Setup
The primary structure is defined on the weekly chart: an expansionary megaphone that retested prior highs. Tactically, the daily chart shows a controlled pullback, retest, and subsequent coil. This multi-timeframe alignment—higher-timeframe trend with lower-timeframe acceptance—creates favorable conditions for measured moves and for risk to be defined against transparent levels rather than discretionary judgment.
Fibonacci-Based Upside Roadmap
Anchoring to the 2024–2025 impulse advances, 1.618 extensions cluster around ~$580 (Sep ’24 → Dec ’24 leg) and ~$650 (Oct ’23 → Mar ’24 leg). These are not short-dated “targets” but conditional waypoints: they remain operative if the current consolidation resolves higher and the weekly uptrend reasserts.
Microstructure: Short Consolidations as Future Magnets
In sustained advances, brief, tight candlestick compressions often function as “price memory,” attracting subsequent retests and liquidity. COIN’s February 2024 bull-flag pause—formed mid-run—has been revisited multiple times since, underscoring how such compressions act as magnets in later price action. The present tight band atop $340–$370 should be viewed in similar context: it is both a potential near-term launchpad and a likely reference zone for future pullbacks as supply and demand re-balance around it.
Execution Plan
Accumulation is favored on constructive behavior within $290–$330 (retest followed by a higher low on the daily). For risk management, tactical invalidation sits below ~$280; for participants keying off weekly structure, a wider ~$250 stop aligns with the higher-timeframe shelf. If momentum resolves first, additional entries are reasonable on a clean break-and-hold above local range highs, using the reclaimed shelf to maintain tight risk. From a successful breakout, staged distribution into ~$580 with reassessment into ~$650 allows the position to self-finance while respecting the possibility of momentum fatigue.
Invalidation Criteria
A daily close back below ~$280 would indicate the near-term reclaim has failed and the base requires more time. A weekly close beneath ~$250 would challenge the integrity of the larger expansionary structure. Either signal warrants standing aside and allowing the chart to reset.
Fundamental Linkages
Coinbase’s revenue remains acutely sensitive to crypto price trends and realized volatility. When BTC/ETH trend and trading activity broadens across spot and derivatives, COIN’s top line typically expands with the cycle. The U.S. regulatory backdrop has moderated relative to the prior year—removing one overhang—yet policy risk persists and can shift rapidly. In effect, the technical setup has a plausible fundamental tailwind when the broader crypto complex trends and trades.
Key Risks
Crypto beta: A broad risk-off in digital assets will likely transmit to COIN regardless of technical posture.
Policy/regulation: Adverse enforcement actions or new rules could impair volumes, product breadth, or take rates.
Competition: A prospective Kraken IPO would arm a major U.S. competitor; Robinhood’s continued crypto build-out pressures economics during quieter tapes.
Operational/security: Exchange businesses carry ongoing operational and cybersecurity risks; incidents can compress multiples abruptly.
Conclusion
The market disclosed intent with the June breakout; current price action is testing sponsorship. Provided COIN continues to accept above $280–$330 and the ongoing coil resolves upward, the $580 → $650 roadmap remains credible. The operative plan is to trade the daily in the direction of the weekly, treat the former resistance shelf as the line in the sand, and require the chart to confirm strength before pressing exposure.
Not financial advice. Just charting things out. Let’s see what happens. Please adapt levels, sizing, and risk controls to your own process and constraints.
Coinbase – COMEBACK TIME?After the Fed’s 25 bps rate cut, Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN gained strong upward momentum. Lower borrowing costs boosted risk appetite and supported the crypto sector — pushing NASDAQ:COIN higher.
Price has moved above $340 and is heading toward key resistance at $373.
A breakout above $373 opens the path to $422.
Support remains at $313–315, with a deeper level near $295.
MACD shows a bullish crossover, confirming the upside momentum.
Bollinger Bands: price is pushing toward the upper band, signaling renewed strength.
Risks
Profit-taking may appear near $373.
COIN’s move is highly correlated with BTC and overall crypto sentiment.
CoinbaseToday price continued higher and ideally finished its sub-minuette wave iii. There is still a chance that it gets another high closer to the 1.618 before kicking off wave iv though. This is signified by the turquoise label on the chart.
The wave ii was very short and shallow so one should expect the wave iv to be deep and long if the theory of alternation is to remain intact. Generally speaking, if the move lower breaches the 0.5 retracement fib, you're likely dealing with something other than a wave iv. However, due to how shallow the wave ii was, I will give this next consolidation a little more leeway. Keep in mind too, the wave 4 of a lesser degree bottomed at $368.80. Again, I won't be surprised if price breaches this low. My thought is that price will come down right to the area of the 0.5 retracement fib @ $362.19 with the possibility of a minor breach. After, I anticipate price to move up to the $411 area as we have strong confluence there.
My plan is to buy back in when/if price makes it to the smaller target box. I will then be looking to sell at the above-mentioned target area.
Can COIN's $330 Breakout Reach $380? ~ Tactical Entry Plan📈 COINBASE GLOBAL, INC. (COIN) - Money Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 🕵️♂️
🚨 Ready to execute the ultimate heist on COIN? This Money Heist Plan uses the Thief Strategy, a layered limit order approach to catch the breakout at $330.00 ⚡. Below, I've outlined the setup, technicals, fundamentals, and macro insights to help you navigate this trade like a pro. Set your alarms, plan your escape, and let’s dive into the details! 🔒
🛠️ Trade Setup: The Thief Strategy
The Thief Strategy is a tactical approach using multiple limit order layers to enter the trade post-breakout, maximizing flexibility and precision. Here’s how to execute it:
Asset: COINBASE GLOBAL, INC. (COIN) 💰
Entry Trigger: Breakout above $330.00 ⚡
Set a price alert on TradingView to catch the breakout in real-time! 🔔
Layered Entries (Thief Style): Place multiple buy limit orders to scale in:
$310.00
$315.00
$320.00
$325.00
$330.00
Pro Tip: Adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and strategy. Confirm entries only after the breakout at $330.00! ✅
Stop Loss (SL): Place at $295.00 post-breakout 🛑
Note: Adjust SL based on your risk management. The Thief Strategy is flexible—manage risk at your discretion, dear Traders (Thief OGs)! 😎
Take Profit (TP): Target $380.00 🎯
Resistance and overbought levels signal a potential police barricade 🚔. Escape with profits before the trap! Adjust TP based on your strategy.
Disclaimer: TP is not fixed—take profits at your own risk and preference.
📊 Why This Plan? Technical & Fundamental Breakdown
🔍 Technical Analysis: The Thief’s Blueprint
Breakout Catalyst: COIN is testing the $330.00 resistance. A confirmed breakout signals strong bullish momentum 📈.
Thief Strategy Advantage: Layered entries reduce risk of false breakouts and allow scaling into the move.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $295.00 (SL zone)
Resistance/Target: $380.00 (overbought zone)
Setup Confirmation: Use volume spikes and RSI for breakout confirmation. Set TradingView alerts to stay sharp! 🔔
📉 Fundamental & Macro Insights
Market Cap: $81.47B
PE Ratio (TTM): 30.52 (above industry avg., signaling high valuation)
EPS (TTM): $10.39
Revenue Growth (YoY): +12.36% (2025 est.) 💪
Profit Margin: 42.67% 🔥
Cash Reserves: $7.54B (strong balance sheet)
Risks:
Q2 profit drop to $33.2M vs. $294.4M YoY 📉
High P/E (30.71) and Price/Sales (12.61) raise valuation concerns
Macro Drivers:
Genius Act: Boosted crypto optimism 🚀
Crypto Market Trends: Bitcoin’s record highs in July 2025 fuel COIN’s upside potential
😰 Fear & Greed Index
Current Sentiment: Neutral to Greedy (Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 0-100)
Trend: Mixed emotions due to crypto volatility and regulatory developments
Takeaway: Greed supports breakout potential, but stay cautious of volatility spikes.
🧠 Investor Sentiment
Retail Traders: Cautiously optimistic 😊, holding for long-term crypto growth but cautious of short-term volatility.
Institutional Traders: Mixed 🤔—some see overvaluation, others bet on crypto adoption and regulatory clarity.
🐂 Bullish vs. Bearish Outlook
Bullish Score: 60% 🐂
Why? Strong revenue growth (+13.72% YoY est. for 2026), crypto adoption, and institutional interest.
Bearish Risks: 40% 🐻
Why? Profit volatility, high valuation, and crypto market dependence.
Key Watch: Q3 earnings (Sep 2025) and crypto market trends.
💡 Why Trade COIN Now?
Short-Term: Neutral to slightly bearish due to profit concerns, but the $330.00 breakout could spark a quick swing/day trade.
Long-Term: Bullish on COIN’s role in crypto infrastructure and regulatory tailwinds.
Thief Strategy Edge: Layered entries and disciplined risk management make this setup ideal for volatile markets.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (USD)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD : Bitcoin’s momentum drives COIN’s price action.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD : Ethereum’s performance impacts COIN’s trading volume.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD : Watch for altcoin rallies tied to regulatory news.
AMEX:SPY : Broader market trends influence COIN’s beta (3.69).
📅 Market Data Snapshot (10 Sep 2025)
Previous Close: $318.78
Day’s Range: $315.88 - $328.67
52-Week Range: $142.58 - $444.65
Avg. Volume: 13.43M shares
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#TradingView #COIN #SwingTrading #DayTrading #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy #MoneyHeist
COIN Wave III underway into all time high!Elliot Wave (III) is still underway after wave (II) completed at the weekly 200EMA. Coinbase had a huge bullish engulfing candle this week, closing price above the High Volume Node and R1 weekly pivot - a strong bullish signal!
Price first tested the High Volume Node support and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, $270. Characteristic of wave 3 shallow pullbacks.
Weekly RSI has reset to the channel EQ and crossing bullishly giving price room to extend upwards!
Safe trading
COIN - Explosive Earnings Growth + Strong Technical Breakout 📈 Ticker: COIN (Coinbase Global Inc.)
📍 Recommendation: LONG
⏰ Timeframe: Position Trade (4-12 weeks)
🎯 Trade Idea Summary
Entry: $373.86 (on pullback or breakout confirmation)
Stop Loss: $311.96 (-16.5%)
Take Profit: $502.79 (+34.5%)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.1
📊 Fundamental Justification - EXPLOSIVE 📈
Revenue Growth: STRONG (+111% YoY) 🚀
Net Income Growth: STRONG (from $95M to $2.58B) 💰
Debt Health: EXCELLENT (Score 10/10) ✅
Sector Tailwinds: Crypto recovery + institutional adoption
Market Position: Leading US crypto exchange
📈 Technical Analysis
Trend: Daily ↗️ Alcista, 4H ↗️ Alcista, 1H ↗️ Alcista (ALL BULLISH)
RSI: 68.0 - Strong momentum, room for upside
MACD: Bullish crossover + positive momentum
Price Action: Trading above all key SMAs (20, 50, 200)
Key Support: $350 (psychological), $330 (SMA50)
Key Resistance: $380 (recent high), then $420
🔍 Catalyst & Market Context
Crypto Cycle: Bitcoin ETF inflows + halving narrative
Institutional Adoption: Growing crypto allocation
Volume Surge: Trading volumes increasing significantly
Sector Rotation: Tech/Crypto leadership
🎮 Trade Management
Ideal Entry Zone: $370 - $377
Stop Below: $311.96 (below key support and SMA50)
Target 1: $450 (+20%) - Partial profit
Target 2: $502.79 (+34.5%) - Full position
Timeframe: 1-3 months for full target
⚠️ Risk Factors
High Beta: Crypto volatility exposure
Regulatory Risks: SEC/Government policies
Market Correlation: Tied to Bitcoin performance
Wider Stop: Required due to sector volatility
✅ Why This Trade Works
Earnings Explosion - 27x net income growth 📊
Technical Breakout - All timeframes bullish ���️
Sector Tailwinds - Crypto cycle acceleration ₿
Risk Management - Logical stop with 1:2+ R/R 🛡️
📅 Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Support: $350 - $360
Breakout Level: $380 - $385
Acceleration Zone: Above $400
Invalidation: Below $310
#COIN #Coinbase #Crypto #PositionTrade #EarningsGrowth #Breakout
#Bitcoin #CryptoStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement
Disclaimer: This post is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or investment recommendation. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Cryptocurrency-related stocks carry high volatility and regulatory risks. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
COIN : Dealers pricing Coinbase at $370 + Technical Set-up1. Collective dealer forecast analysis points to $370 price target. Dealers have been a bit volatile with pricing over the last few weeks.
2. Anchored VWAP support is holding.
3. Look for a cross of the Monthly + Quarterly EMA at $320 for an entry.
What if?... WHAT IF? Full disclosure, I don't expect this to play out as a multi-month inverse H&S breakout, BUT it does kinda look like that pattern imho (minus any notable spike in volume. Still time, I guess. We'll just have to wait and see.)
Posting this as a dumb, hopium shitpost. Though, if price it does breakout and hit that astronomical target, I'm taking full credit for it. I clearly knew all along, and everyone who doubted me were fools.
DYOR, NFA.
CoinbasePrice continued its advance today. This is a spot we should expect to see some type of reaction. Should being the keyword as it is not a requirement. The reaction I am referring to is either wave b of (c), wave 2 of (c), or wave c of (b). All three point lower. If you look at MACD, it appears to be resetting as of now too.
If you saw my trade alert today, then you know I sold my COIN. This is not due to a lack of confidence by any means. However, I thought it pertinent to lock in the profits on my scalp and wait for another consolidation lower for re-entry. If you recall my prior trade, I bought @ an average of $310 and sold right around $340-$350. Add that to the trade I closed today, and I have made around $2500 profit in only 2-3 weeks from Coinbase. This is all from the same minor B wave. Patience along with not being greedy is key. Sure, $2500 isn't a ton of money by any means. When repeated over and over again though and it adds up over time.
In short, I await a consolidation lower for re-entry. If price moves above $351.90, you know that (b) is extremely likely to be over. Fingers crossed for my sake we can start the consolidation I am expecting in the next day or two and give me another chance to hop in one more time before heading to the box.
COIN wave 5 Underway!NASDAQ:COIN wave 4 appears complete at the expected Fibonacci retracement 38.2 and High Volume Node support.
A local channel has formed which could be a bear pennant so bulls should watch out. A breakout of this would hit resistance at $360 High Volume Node and the first take profit area from my recent trade. Clearing this Nose will confirm wave 5 is underway to new all time highs $500+
RSI is flipping bullish from oversold and the dail 200EMA continues to rise.
Safe trading
COIN – Breakout Setup With Dual ScenarioTechnical Context:
COIN has been consolidating for several weeks and just broke above the range. The 20-MA has turned upward, confirming a renewed bullish bias. Today’s resting bar after the breakout creates an ideal continuation setup for a long entry.
Primary Trade Plan (Long):
Entry: Buy above the resting bar’s high (confirmation).
Stop Loss: Below the breakout candle’s low.
Target: New high (NH) above the recent swing.
Management: Move SL to breakeven after first push, trail bar-by-bar or by short-term swing lows.
Alternative Scenario (Short):
If price fails violently and breaks back below the breakout level, I would flip short with a target near the base of the consolidation (support zone).
Bias: Bullish while price holds above the breakout zone. Aggressive short only if a strong reversal invalidates the breakout.
COIN breaks above $337, gap fill toward $380Gap fills typically refer to price movements that "fill" previous gaps on the chart—often caused by earnings surprises or macro events. Based on historical price action
Note - If COIN breaks above $337 and sustains momentum, gap fill toward $375–380 is plausible in the near term.
Valuating Coinbase based on the intrinsic valueAfter revising my discount cash flow model for Coinbase I have concluded the intrinsic value for the stock approximately $310 based on my model. I am a few days late with my analysis but it seems like the market has also come up with a similar number based on the technical analysis of the daily chart. I have began accumulating the stock once again. With a target of $575.