tomj2417

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Markets Allocation
50 % stocks 23 % forex 3 % indices 24 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
FX_IDC:GBPUSD 6% | 8 DXY 5% | 7 FX:GBPUSD 4% | 6 GBPJPY 2% | 3
tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO GBPUSD, 60,
GBPUSD: Never a dull moment with Sterling
117 0 3
GBPUSD, 60
Never a dull moment with Sterling

Pound pushing up against a trend line on my Schiff pitchfork yet again. Can it get through it this time or is it time for another retreat?

tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO HSBA, W, Long ,
HSBA: HSBC - break out of long term trend lines
14 0 1
HSBA, W Long
HSBC - break out of long term trend lines

HSBC broke through 2 long term trend lines today which might suggest some bullishness going forward. Also worth noting is history has shown that as goes HSBC the FTSE 100 usually follows. I have left any EW wave count off the chart as I am still undecided if this is all part of a long term correction dating from the top in 2001 or part of an impulsive climb that ...

tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO DXY, 60, Short ,
DXY: More downside for the US Dollar
99 2 4
DXY, 60 Short
More downside for the US Dollar

In this count it looks like a corrective rally may have ended and we may see more dollar weakness in the coming days.

tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO TPOG, W, Long ,
TPOG: Third Point Offshore (TPOG) - very bullish count
2 0 2
TPOG, W Long
Third Point Offshore (TPOG) - very bullish count

A tad optimistic? Might well be, but with my waves 1 and 3 being equal it could suggest an even longer wave 5, assuming my count has any merit at all.

tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO PRU, 3D, Long ,
PRU: PRU - bullish this UK bluechip
6 0 1
PRU, 3D Long
PRU - bullish this UK bluechip

I can't help but feel bullish for UK stocks in general when I do a count like this one. Might be a bit optimistic on my projection for a 5th wave target but time will tell. I have added a parallel channel to try and project a target for the 5th wave but they sometimes work with log scale, sometimes with arithmetic and sometimes not at all.....

tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO UKX, D, Long ,
UKX: FTSE100 -  two Elliott Wave counts.
23 0 1
UKX, D Long
FTSE100 - two Elliott Wave counts.

This index has really powered up since December but the question I ask myself is if my wave 4 finished already at just above the 23.6 fib as shown by the blue count or was it a bit short there and this surge up is all part of an ongoing wave 4 unveiling as an expanding flat. Tough one really. Whichever way I look at it though it looks like there is still upside in ...

tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO BRWM, D, Long ,
BRWM: BRWM - Bullish count for this UK mining trust
10 0 0
BRWM, D Long
BRWM - Bullish count for this UK mining trust

As ever, there are lots of possible counts here but I liked this one because the fib numbers all headed to one level here. Am not expecting it to head there in a straight line although that's what it's been doing up to now. The impulsive nature of the move up from early December might also suggest that we have embarked on a wave 3 here. Also, a more conventional ...

tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO DXY, W, Long ,
DXY: An alternative count for DXY - bullish
70 1 1
DXY, W Long
An alternative count for DXY - bullish

This is an alternative count to one that has already called a top in the DXY but could be just as plausible depending on where you sit on this currency. I'm really in two minds (as usual) but what happens next should help make up my mind.

tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO ANTO, D, Long ,
ANTO: Antofagasta Plc - Bullish this UK mining stock
14 2 2
ANTO, D Long
Antofagasta Plc - Bullish this UK mining stock

In this EW count it may be that the 4th wave correction might have not completed yet but, whatever the case, I reckon there may be a 5th wave move up for this stock sooner or later.

tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO SMT, 540, Long ,
SMT: Change to bullish on this FTSE100 Trust
11 0 1
SMT, 540 Long
Change to bullish on this FTSE100 Trust

I've been calling a top on this FTSE100 investment trust for a while now without any success. This analysis is a total change of course as I am now suggesting that we might only now be entering a 5th wave and there may still be still substantial upside to be had here. The recent correction does look a bit small but with the way markets have been maybe that is the ...

tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO CCH, D, Long ,
CCH: CCH - Bullish on this UK stock
14 0 0
CCH, D Long
CCH - Bullish on this UK stock

The blue count is my preferred count which would suggest a 5th wave is due any time now, but I haven't discounted the orange count which could suggest a much deeper correction before it continues upwards. I will be looking for signs that the correction is over before getting involved in this stock.

tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO JBL, D, Long ,
JBL: Jabil Inc - Bullish
24 0 0
JBL, D Long
Jabil Inc - Bullish

Never can be too sure where the correction may end but the 38.3 might be as good a place as any......if correct, there may be some upside in this stock.

tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO VT, W, Long ,
VT: Total World Stocks - Bullish
19 0 1
VT, W Long
Total World Stocks - Bullish

As with any longer term predictions the chances of it following the plan are pretty remote but this take sees world equities continuing there excellent run for some time yet. It looks to me that my 5th wave is extending but with most of the world's equity markets undergoing a correction of sorts at the moment this could be an end of a wave iii.

tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO SEDY, D, Long ,
SEDY: Emerging Markets - Bullish after correction
11 0 0
SEDY, D Long
Emerging Markets - Bullish after correction

I think that this correction has further to go but this count would suggest that there is still plenty of upside in Emerging markets going forward.

tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO AAPL, D, Long ,
AAPL: Apple -  a little more to go?
149 0 2
AAPL, D Long
Apple - a little more to go?

Further to my July count for this stock I have revised the count slightly but it is still going to plan. According to this count I could expect some further upside but it may be getting more risky with every passing day. Difficult to say in this market though and betting against it hasn't gone well for the bears....

tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO SHAK, D, Long ,
SHAK: Shak - breakout
25 0 2
SHAK, D Long
Shak - breakout

The EW count is pretty dubious but this stock is still showing life as it posts a breakout here. Reckon it might still have some room to run up before any serious correction.

tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO VOXX, D, Long ,
VOXX: VOXX -  5th wave soon?
13 0 2
VOXX, D Long
VOXX - 5th wave soon?

I did some analysis on this stock back in January that worked out pretty well and am watching to see it if it now is ready to embark on a 5th wave or not. I'm not convinced that the correction is over and there are definitely some bearish alternative counts but who knows.....it might still fly up one more time.

tomj2417 tomj2417 PRO GBPUSD, W,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD - major resistance
30 0 2
GBPUSD, W
GBPUSD - major resistance

The Pound is hitting a major trend line from 2014 right about now as well as the median line on my modified pitchfork . Should be worth watching what it does next......

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