GOGLD trade ideas
Alphabet Is Up Some 15% This Month. What Does Its Chart Show?Readers have likely noticed the early September breakout clocked by Google parent Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL , which hit an all-time intraday high this week. Can the stock's nearly 15% run so far this month continue? Let's see what technical and fundamental analysis says.
Alphabet's Fundamental Analysis
GOOGL has risen 13.9% over September's first eight sessions to hit a $242.25 intraday record high on Thursday.
Most of Alphabet's September gains came on Sept. 3, when the stock popped 9.1% after a federal judge overseeing the U.S. government's antitrust case against Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOG ruled that the firm doesn't have to sell off the Google search engine.
The court also said Google and Apple can retain a contract under which AAPL pre-loads Google's search engine onto iPhones in exchange for big payments from Alphabet.
GOOGL has risen another roughly 5% since then even though the company is still some six weeks out from its next earnings release.
Of the 45 sell-side analysts that I know of that cover the stock, 36 have revised their earnings estimates higher since the quarter began, while three have lowered their numbers. (The other six have so far left their earnings estimates unchanged.)
Alphabet's Technical Analysis
Now let's get down to business and take a look at GOOGL's technical breakout, as shown here in the stock's year-to-date chart through midday Tuesday:
Readers will see that from late January into August, GOOGL developed a bullish "cup-with-handle" pattern that looks like it came out of a textbook.
Marked with a purple curving line in the chart above, this pattern has a $206 pivot.
For those new to technical analysis, a cup pattern's pivot is the apex of the cup's left side. Once a handle is added, that pivot moves across to the right-side peak.
While I think that GOOGL could in theory move higher from here, I do have some concerns that are starting to nag at me.
For starters, the stock created a still-unfilled gap on the morning of Sept. 3, as denoted by the orange circle at the chart's right above. Such unfilled gaps don't have to be filled, but they often are.
That said, Alphabet's bullish technical set-up remains in place in the chart above. However, it does look like the stock's recent price surge was starting to top off in the high $230s and low $240s as I wrote this Thursday afternoon.
Meanwhile, GOOGL's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is beyond merely extended. While that's a good problem for Alphabet bulls to have, it's the result of the stock's recent parabolic move and reflects a technically overbought condition.
Similarly, readers will see that Alphabet's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is postured in a seemingly bullish way.
The histogram of the stock's 9-day EMA (the blue bars) is now significantly positive and has been for a number of days.
Alphabet's 12-day EMA (black line) is also well into positive territory and has crossed well above the 26-day EMA (gold line). That's also typically a bullish technical signal.
All in, GOOGL was trading at a roughly 20% premium to its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line above) and a whopping 31% premium to its 200-day SMA (the red line) as of Thursday afternoon. That's all somewhat concerning technically.
An Options Option
How might someone try to protect themselves if they're long the stock?
Consider purchasing a "protected collar."
First, buy puts that expire later than Alphabet's next expected earnings date -- say, a contract with an Oct. 24 expiration date.
The person would pay for those puts (or at least subsidize their purchase) by selling an equal-sized covered call against their long position.
Such a set-up would create a possible escape for an investor for a reduced cost through the sale of some potential excess gains.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long GOOGL at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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GOOGLE Massive weekly break-out! Is $275 next?Last time we took a look at Google (GOOG) was 3 months ago (May 29, see chart below), giving a strong buy signal within its then Channel Up, that hit our $197.00 Target in less than 2 months:
This week the stock has broken above its April - August 2025 Channel Up, soaring on the very positive news, breaching the $230.00 barrier. In fact, the whole 2024 - 2025 price action resembles the pattern of 2018 - 2019 up until the current break-out.
In April 29 2019 the price opened downwards massively, the opposite of what occurred now. After it found Support and rebounded a month later, Google eventually started a new long-term rally that almost reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
We will apply a similar structure as we move forward, expecting the current fundamental euphoria to recede on the short-term, with our optimal technical buy being near the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). After that, our long-term Target will be $275.00 (just below the 1.618 Fibonacci extension).
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Google has reached it's stretch level👉 The rubber band is stretched 📉💥🐍
👉 Euphoria is at it's top 🚀💸🌕
👉 Greed eats brain 💰🤑👐
So, why not taking a casual short?
Let's say, with some ITM Put Options, just to define the risk?
Because if I short the UL, there's still a chance that greed and euphoria goes nuts and gaps way above the U-MLH.
So, let's give it time to mature, like a good old Whiskey §8-)
Cheers 🥃
GOOGL Near Key Wedge Break — Levels to Watch for September 15
* Macro backdrop: U.S. futures are flat after a strong tech week. Traders are waiting on mid-week economic data, keeping intraday moves contained early Monday.
* Sector tone: Mega-cap tech remains resilient; Alphabet continues to draw steady option interest.
Technical Analysis – GOOGL
Trend & Structure (1-Hour Chart)
* Price is consolidating in a rising wedge between $236 and $242.
* Price action shows higher lows but frequent upper-wick rejections, hinting at indecision.
Key Levels
* Resistance: $242.2 (highest positive NETGEX / Gamma Wall), $245–247.5 (next Call/GEX zones).
* Support: $236.2 (trendline + strong put support), $233.5, $227.5 (2nd Put Wall).
Momentum & Indicators
* MACD is neutral, flattening after a brief bullish push.
* Stoch RSI is low, suggesting room to rebound if buyers return.
* Volume remains moderate, confirming a coil.
Options/GEX Insight
* Options market shows Call walls around $242–245, matching chart resistance.
* IVR 16.8 and IVx avg 30.8 indicate stable volatility and potential for a sharp move if wedge breaks.
Trade Scenarios for Sept 15
* Bullish Plan:
* Entry: Break and hold above $242.2.
* Targets: $245 → $247.5.
* Stop: Below $236.2.
* Bearish/defensive (if wedge breaks down):
* Entry: Break below $236.2.
* Targets: $233.5 → $227.5.
* Stop: Above $242.2.
Summary
Alphabet starts Monday inside a rising wedge. A decisive move above $242.2 can invite a quick run to $245–247.5, while a loss of $236.2 opens a slide toward the low $230s.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
Googl bearish case- I’m feeling lucky Bearish Drivers
1. Overheating valuation – Alphabet hit $3T market cap, up ~70% since April. AI hype + regulatory relief leave it vulnerable if execution slips.
2. Heavy AI/Cloud capex – Spending up to $75B this year with cloud growth lagging, raising margin pressure concerns.
3. Reliability & security risks – June 2025 multi-product outage and rising cloud security threats highlight operational fragility.
4. Regulatory overhang – FTC probing AI chatbots; risk of forced Chrome divestiture (~35% of search rev). Antitrust scrutiny remains despite recent legal win.
5. Fragile sentiment – Rally driven by AI optimism and easing legal fears; any earnings miss or weak Gemini update could trigger sharp reversal.
Short GOOGL at $252–260, target $228–235 (with potential extension to $200–210). Bear case rests on over-optimistic sentiment, intense AI/cloud capex, reliability and security risks, and lingering regulatory/legal threats.
300 next year?The Google stock had a nice ride! is now very close to the golden fib level from last dip, I spect some correction and continuation to close to 300$, I'm very bullishing long term: AI, quantum computing, cloud.
I am bullish on GOOGLE stockI am bullish on GOOGLE stock
Following last week's pullback, I see a positive ride back to the all-time high (ATH) around $209 or beyond.
Trade with care.
I look forward to connecting with you.
Please share your thoughts in the comment section, share, like and follow
Google Stock Surpasses $250Alphabet’s stock has started the week with a strong bullish bias, posting a gain of more than 4% in the short term. Buying pressure has remained solid as the company surpassed $3 trillion in market capitalization for the first time and delivered strong performance in its cloud services in recent months. Both factors have reinforced investor confidence, suggesting that demand could continue to play a relevant role in the coming sessions.
Aggressive Trend
Although Alphabet had already been sustaining an uptrend for much of the year, since late June the movement has become more aggressive, allowing the price to break above the $250 mark. For now, there are no signs of a trend reversal or bearish corrections that would challenge the main structure, which remains clearly bullish. However, the recent acceleration in price action could open the door to technical pullbacks, typical in scenarios of excessive buying pressure.
Technical Indicators
RSI: The RSI currently sits well above the overbought zone (70), highlighting a market imbalance. The excess of buying momentum could lead to short-term corrections, necessary to restore balance.
TRIX: The TRIX line continues to climb above the neutral 0 level, confirming that the broader picture remains bullish. This reduces the likelihood that eventual pullbacks will result in a trend reversal, reinforcing the dominance of buying pressure.
Key Levels to Watch:
$260 – Psychological Resistance: A round number level and the next objective in the absence of historical references. A sustained breakout above this point could encourage the trend to maintain its aggressive short-term pace.
$226 – Nearby Support: The area of recent lows, serving as the first line of defense against potential short-term corrections.
$204 – Main Support: Level aligned with the Ichimoku cloud. A drop back to this area would put the current bullish structure at risk and could trigger stronger selling pressure on Alphabet’s stock.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Google Likely On SupportGOOGL is likely finding support on $174. It's following the panic trend right now as almost everything Computer/Tech has been sold deep into support bids. GOOGL finding support here along with AMZN at $214 leads to my theory IXIC is ready to break resistance.
If it fails to hold $174, then the major support at $148 should lift it back up towards it's final target (or next major support) of $252.
Good luck!
GOOGL 3Hour Time frameGOOGL 3-Hour Snapshot
Current Price: $239.63
Change: +2.38% from the previous close
Market Cap: $2.13 trillion
P/E Ratio: 18.44
EPS (TTM): $9.56
Beta: 0.96
🔎 Key Levels
Resistance:
R1: $240.26 (recent high)
R2: $242.00 (next resistance zone)
Support:
S1: $236.40 (immediate support)
S2: $234.15 (next support level)
📈 Technical Indicators
RSI (14): 82.95 — Overbought, potential pullback
MACD: 9.99 — Positive momentum, but watch for divergence
Moving Averages:
5-period SMA: $228.51 — Buy signal
10-period SMA: $218.92 — Buy signal
20-period SMA: $210.54 — Buy signal
50-period SMA: $196.04 — Buy signal
📌 Market Sentiment
Recent Catalyst: U.S. judge's decision not to break up Alphabet, leading to a surge of over 6% in its shares, potentially adding more than $160 billion to its market value.
Reuters
Sector Performance: Positive momentum following recent gains and analyst upgrades.
Options Activity: Significant trading in call options at $240 strike price, indicating bullish sentiment.
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $240.26 could lead to a push toward $242.00 and higher.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $236.40 may test support around $234.15.
Overall Bias: Moderately bullish, with positive momentum but facing near-term resistance.
GOOGL 1H + GEX Game Plan for Tue, Sep 16GOOGL Riding a Steep Channel — Next Stop 255 or Cool-Off? 🚀
Market Structure (1-Hour View)
* Strong uptrend: Clean staircase move from 240 breakout to current 252–253 zone.
* Channel support: Rising base near 245–246; trendline resistance rising through 255+.
* Momentum: MACD remains bullish with expanding histogram, but Stoch RSI is near overbought (≈100)—a sign to watch for a short-term pause.
Key Levels to Watch
* Resistance: 253.0–253.5 (current lid), 255.0, then 257.5 (next major GEX wall).
* Support: 248.0–247.5, 245.0 (Gamma magnet), deeper supports at 240.8–242.1 and 237.9.
GEX Read (Sep 16)
* Highest positive NETGEX / Gamma magnet: 245.0
* 2nd Call Wall: 253.0 (~92% call concentration).
* 3rd Call Wall: 257.5 (~34% call concentration).
* Put walls / downside magnets: 235 and 232.5.
* Options sentiment: Calls ~40%, IVR ~29, IVx ~36 → Premiums moderate; options pricing fair for debit spreads.
Implication:
* Dealers may aim to pin price between 245 and 253 if flow is neutral.
* A decisive break >253 can quickly invite hedging toward 255–257.5.
* Lose 245 and price can air-pocket toward 240–235.
Trade Scenarios
1) Bullish Continuation
* Trigger: Hourly close >253.5 with volume pickup.
* Entry: 253.5–254.0 on hold/retest.
* Targets: 255.0 → 257.5.
* Stop: Below 251.5.
* Options: 255/257.5 call debit spread expiring this week.
2) Range Fade
* Trigger: Failure to hold above 253.0 with rejection wick.
* Entry: 252.8–253.2 on failed retest.
* Targets: 249.5 → 245.0 (gamma magnet).
* Stop: Above 254.5.
* Options: 253P or 252.5/245 put spread for quick move.
3) Deeper Pullback
* Trigger: Break and 1H close <245.
* Entry: 244.5–245.0 on failed retest.
* Targets: 242.1 → 237.9 (put wall).
* Stop: Back above 246.5.
* Options: 245/240 put spread for swing toward 235 if momentum accelerates.
Scalping & Swing Notes
* Early in session, expect chop around 252–253; fade or scalp only if trend confirms.
* If we gap up above 253, watch for a quick pullback to 252 for VWAP/EMA retest entry.
* Holding 245–247 keeps swing structure intact for the week.
Risk & Management
* Keep position size small near top of channel; protect profits if chasing higher.
* For options, scale out at first target and trail stops; avoid letting winners round-trip if IV collapses.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade with a plan and manage your risk.
GooglJust an adjustment and repost of my last googl idea... the short is here near 230..
Target price 197-200 by End of October or sooner..
Daily, weekly RSI overbought
Daily, Weekly' monthly Bbands over extended
Weekly moneyflow overbought
XLC Sector at resistance here at 113.00
Looking for a correction here with the rest of the market.. googl started late and is finishing late ..
Risk to reward here is
Stop loss and Add short up until 235.00
Target 1 - 210
Target 2 - 200
Good luck
GOOG Bulls Loading Calls ($243.5) – Ride or Fade?
## 🔥🚀 GOOG Weekly Options Alert 🚀🔥
📊 **Cheap Weekly Call Setup – Big Risk / Big Reward!** 💎💰
### ✅ Key Takeaways
* 📈 **Flow & Volume:** Institutional call flow 🔥 (C/P ratio **295:1**) with 1.3x volume → Bullish bias.
* ⚡ **Volatility:** VIX \~17 → Favorable for short-term calls.
* 🛑 **Caution:** Daily RSI 70.6, Weekly RSI 77 → Momentum divergence 📉.
* ⏰ **Risk:** Only 2 days to expiry → Theta & Gamma risk sky high ⚡.
### 🎯 Trade Setup (High-Risk, Small Size)
* 🏦 **Instrument:** GOOG
* 🚀 **Strike:** \$243.00
* 💵 **Entry Price:** \$0.11
* 🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$0.06 (50%)
* 🎯 **Target:** \$0.22 (100% gain)
* 📅 **Exit Plan:** By **Thursday EOD** (don’t hold into Friday gamma risk)
* 📊 **Confidence:** 65%
### ⚠️ Key Risks
* 🕒 Time decay (theta) → Premium melts fast.
* 📉 Momentum exhaustion → RSI overbought, possible pullback.
* 📊 Liquidity → Tight spreads, use limit orders.
---
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\#GOOG #OptionsTrading #WeeklyOptions #CallOptions #SwingTrade #Breakout #StockMarket #GOOGAnalysis #TechStocks #RiskReward #TradingSetup #GammaRisk #ThetaDecay #MomentumTrading
GOOGL – VolanX WatchlistPrice is pressing into a key resistance zone near the 50% retracement level, aligning with prior supply. If we see a decisive breakout and hold above this “strong map” zone, the setup starts to resemble a long-term double bottom structure—often a precursor to multi-quarter upside trends.
Volume is healthy, structure remains bullish, and the higher timeframe fib targets point toward 217, 237, and potentially 265 if momentum persists. Risk remains in the short-term if sellers defend the premium zone, but as of now, trend bias is still to the upside.
Key levels to watch:
Support: 187.7 / 175 (equilibrium)
Resistance: 206.3 (break & hold could trigger trend acceleration)
Fib extensions: 217, 237, 265
📊 VolanX Trend Rating: Bullish until proven otherwise
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Markets carry risk—manage accordingly.
GOOGL Breaks Out to ATH on Chrome Win — $250 Target in SightAlphabet Inc. NASDAQ:GOOGL has broken into new all-time highs after bullish news that it won’t be forced to sell Chrome. This development removes regulatory overhang and boosts investor confidence.
The stock has surged 55% since our previous analysis. With strong fundamentals, ongoing AI integration, and now a clean regulatory slate, GOOGL shows continued strength.
📊 Technical Setup:
Price has reclaimed the previous ATH and turned it into support. This creates a strong base for a continuation move higher.
💼 Macro & Fundamental Tailwinds:
AI expansion, strong cloud performance, and consistent ad revenue growth make Alphabet a long-term leader in the tech space.
🔹 Bullish Above: $196.00–$211.00
🔹 Upside Target: $240.00–$250.00
⏳ Invalid Below: $196 breakdown with volume
#GOOGL #Alphabet #TechStocks #StockMarket #NASDAQ #Equities #AIGrowth #ChromeNews #EarningsGrowth #BigTech #MarketNews #Investing #Finance #Bullish #StockWatch #TradeSetup #FAANG #TradingIdeas
Alphabet Stock Price Soars By Around 8% After Court RulingAlphabet (GOOGL) Stock Price Soars By Around 8% After Court Ruling
At the end of August, we reported that Alphabet (GOOGL) stock price had reached a historic high, closing above $210. But today, the price is likely to climb to a new, significantly higher level. Yesterday, in after-hours trading, it surged by roughly 8%.
Why did Alphabet (GOOGL) shares rise?
The jump is explained by a court ruling in a case concerning alleged monopoly practices related to the Chrome browser. According to Investopedia, a federal judge ruled that the tech giant does not need to sell Chrome. This dispelled fears that Alphabet might have been forced to part with a core part of its business.
Interestingly, one of the factors behind the judge’s decision was the spread of AI solutions (such as ChatGPT and Perplexity), which offer competition to Chrome’s search and browsing functions.
Technical analysis of GOOGL shares
In our earlier review, we identified:
→ an upward channel (shown in blue), formed by long-term price movements;
→ an intermediate channel (in place since late spring).
If today’s trading in GOOGL opens around where the price settled in yesterday’s after-hours session (close to $226), this would mean:
→ the growth target at the upper boundary of the blue channel has been reached;
→ in the context of the summer’s price swings, Alphabet (GOOGL) shares will be in an extremely overbought zone.
Once the initial excitement following the news subsides, this could pave the way for a correction, which seems reasonable after a rise of more than 55% in the past five months.
In this case, the $215 level may serve as an indicative target for the correction to end:
→ it marks the lower boundary of a bullish gap that is highly likely to form today;
→ the market could then return within the aforementioned channels, giving the bulls renewed confidence to buy, as Alphabet (GOOGL) would no longer appear overbought, while the strong fundamental backdrop (as can reasonably be expected) would remain intact.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GOOGL Technical Analysis-Sep. 3Alphabet ripped higher off the 207.5 support zone, launching straight into 227–229 resistance with a massive breakout candle. This kind of vertical move shows aggressive buying and likely short covering.
* Resistance: Price is stalling at 227–229, which lines up with prior supply. After such a sharp move, this zone is where profit-taking typically kicks in.
* Support: Immediate support sits back at 220–222.5, then stronger support at 217.5, and the base of the breakout at 207.5.
* Indicators: MACD flipped sharply bullish, histogram expanding. Stoch RSI is deep in overbought (near 90), suggesting the move may need to consolidate or pull back before continuation.
The structure shows bulls are in control, but the chart is overextended in the short term — a consolidation or retest is likely before another leg higher.
🔍 Options / GEX Confirmation
* Resistance:
* Heavy call positioning at 225–227.5, aligning with the current stall zone.
* Overhead walls thin out above 230, meaning if bulls clear this resistance, room opens toward 235+.
* Support:
* 220–222.5 has strong call wall and dealer support.
* 217.5 is the next layer of structural and options-backed support.
* 207.5 remains the deepest level tied to highest positive gamma support.
Options flow confirms the same setup: bulls control momentum, but 227–229 is a heavy ceiling until volume pushes through.
🎯 Trade Scenarios
* Bullish: Hold above 222.5–220 and break through 229 with volume → upside targets 235 → 240.
* Bearish: Rejection at 227–229 with a breakdown under 222.5 → downside targets 217.5 → 207.5.
GOOGL’s breakout is impressive, showing strong institutional buying. But the stock is now pressing into major resistance at 227–229, where consolidation or a pullback is likely. If bulls can defend 220+ on any dip, the chart sets up for another leg higher toward 235–240. If not, the rally risks fading back to 217.5 or even 207.5 before stabilizing.
$GOOGL .... LETS GET LOUD!!!Within the last month, we have watched NASDAQ:GOOGL get absolutely crushed, most of which has to do with a generally weak earnings report in early February. However, skepticism of this price action and investor sentiment is the only thing that should be on anyone's mind right now. One thing we know for a fact is that Google isn't going anywhere especially considering all the data they collect on their users. So why not apply this reasoning into buying the dip? To answer that, we should Look First/Then Leap ...
Here is the 4 Hour chart refencing back into September of 2024.
Let's start with the circle. The reason I have the area marked is because of the key factors in play that indicate we may possibly be bottoming out on this timeframe. Firstly, there are two lines to keep an eye on, a diagonal trendline and a horizontal price-level line. NASDAQ:GOOGL 's price action seems to obey these two levels (for whatever reason), which are coincidentally in the same area at the same time. Secondly, NASDAQ:GOOGL has just shown a rebound from the 400 EMA which also falls within this area giving a sort of "stars aligning" situation here. But the price action doesn't have to be the only thing we examine to analyze $GOOGL.
This is the MACD indicator on the 4 Hour timeframe referencing back to September of 2024.
This MACD chart shows the comparison between the last regional low for the MACD compared to the recent regional lows. Between these lows there is an interval of 76 to 78 calendar days (just over 2 and a half months) if I am not mistaken, which should strike some traders as very odd considering their similarity in distance. Amazingly, that's not even the weirdest part...
This is the combination of both charts.
How about that? Not only are the lengths between regional MACD lows similar, but NASDAQ:GOOGL 's returns between these periods are only roughly 2/3% in difference to each other. This just shows that there is more that what meets the eye when it comes to charting. Always look where others don't because that's where some keys are found.
In conclusion, I will be taking a long position on NASDAQ:GOOGL for the reasons stated above. When stars align like this, we are given no option but to act upon our rationality instead of our emotions...
$GOOGL Tradespoon – Long Entry $240.37Tradespoon model generated long signal for NASDAQ:GOOGL . Predicted range: $240.37–$248.79. Trend: +1.82%. NASDAQ:GOOGL
GOOGL Market Preview for Monday, September 8
Price Action & Market Structure
* GOOGL is trading around 235–236, up +1.1% overnight, holding strength despite some broader market weakness.
* Price is following an ascending trendline from last week’s lows, with a clean breakout above 234.5 resistance.
* Current price action is consolidating just above the breakout, signaling potential continuation if bulls hold control.
Key Levels
* Resistance Zones (Upside):
* 237.5–238.5 → Immediate test zone, near Friday’s rejection.
* 242.5 → Strong Call Wall + Gamma resistance.
* 247–250 → Higher GEX clusters, potential squeeze zone.
* Support Zones (Downside):
* 234.5 → Breakout retest level.
* 232.5–233.0 → Minor support zone.
* 227.5 → HVL anchor, strong downside support.
* 222.5 → Deeper Put Wall support.
Options Sentiment (GEX & IV)
* GEX: Mixed bias but heavier Call concentration, showing bullish sentiment above 237.5.
* IVR: 14.1, slightly elevated vs recent average → options market pricing in moderate move potential.
* Gamma Walls:
* 242.5 = Major resistance.
* 227.5 = Strong support.
Indicators
* MACD (15m): Still bullish, histogram fading but momentum not fully broken.
* Stoch RSI: Cooling from overbought, suggesting possible pullback before continuation.
Scenarios for Today
Bullish Case (favored if 234.5 holds):
* Hold above 234.5 breakout support, push through 237.5–238.5.
* Targets: 242.5 Gamma Wall → if strong momentum, extension toward 247–250.
Bearish Case (if 234.5 fails):
* Breakdown below 234.5 could bring a flush to 232.5 → 227.5 HVL.
* Weakness under 227.5 opens deeper pullback toward 222.5 Put Wall.
Trading Thoughts
* Scalp Longs: Favor entries above 234.5, targeting 238.5 → 242.5.
* Shorts: Fade rejections at 238.5 or 242.5 with stops just above.
* Stops:
* Longs → below 234.0.
* Shorts → above 243.0.
Summary
GOOGL is in a bullish continuation setup as long as 234.5 holds. A breakout through 237.5–238.5 could ignite momentum toward 242.5–250 Gamma resistance. Failure to hold 234.5 flips bias to bearish with risk toward 232.5–227.5. Options sentiment leans bullish but watch for rejection at Gamma walls.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage risk.
Google clear for take off? Elliot Wave adjusted!NASDAQ:GOOG Google shot up on the open into price discovery invalidating the pullback scenario and suggesting we are in a strong wave 3. Don't step in front of this moving train! gaps don't have to be filled if they are runaway gaps!
Daily RSI is significantly overbought and price is far above the mean so a short term reversal is still expected though not guaranteed! We expect a test of the all time High Volume Node as support at least, $207
Safe trading
“$GOOG at the Mountain Peak: Pullback or Breakthrough?”1️⃣ Date & Time
Date: 3rd September 2025
Time: 12:00 AM IST
2️⃣ Fundamental News
The U.S. antitrust ruling spared Google from a Chrome/Android breakup but required it to share search data with rivals.
Markets read this as a relief → Alphabet stock surged.
AI competition (OpenAI, Microsoft) is being framed as a natural counterweight to Google’s dominance.
👉 Movement = both news-driven and technically aligned with macro expansion.
3️⃣ Public Sentiment & Human Behaviour
Retail Psychology: Retail chased aggressively after the court ruling, treating GOOG as a “must-own AI stock.”
Institutional Behaviour: Smart money distributed near $230+, trimming into euphoric buying.
Social Signal: Headlines frame “Big Win for Google,” but structure shows macro strength with micro exhaustion.
4️⃣ Current Structure
Macro :
Resistance: $232–240 zone.
Support: $225–218.
Stage: Macro candles in Maturity → Mountain expansion.
Micro :
Resistance: $231–232.
Support: $225, deeper $222.
Behaviour: Controlled pullbacks after thrust, candles stalling → failed rescues likely near resistance.
5️⃣ Projection
Primary Path (65%): Pullback to $225–222, then continuation higher.
Alternate Path (25%): Consolidates between $228–232 before pushing again.
Low Path (10%): Breakdown below $218 → would signal deeper correction.
6️⃣ Pullback Levels
Shallow: $228.
Medium: $225–222.
Deep: $218 (critical Titan Wall).
7️⃣ Final View
Bias: Bullish continuation after controlled pullback.
Near-term → cooling likely to $225, but path remains open toward $235–240 once rebalanced.
8️⃣ Essence (Philosophy Line)
“Macro is in Mountain Expansion, but Micro is in Exhaustion. Pullbacks are rebalances, not reversals.”
9️⃣ Disclaimer
⚠️ This analysis is shared for educational and research purposes only. It is not financial advice, trading advice, or investment recommendation. Market decisions are entirely your own responsibility.
