Audacity618

PRO
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About me Ian Castrovinci, CFA Level III Candidate
Joined Scottsdale, AZ
Markets Allocation
86 % stocks 3 % forex 3 % indices 7 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
PLUG 6% | 16 SPY 4% | 13 SPWR 4% | 11 MTSN 3% | 10
Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO AKAO, W, Long ,
AKAO: Biotech play
9 0 0
AKAO, W Long
Biotech play

Weekly PSAR trigger for bullish MACD & RSI. First Target $14.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO DJI, W, Short ,
DJI: Sell The Tax Plan
33 0 0
DJI, W Short
Sell The Tax Plan

I'm predicting some moderate profit taking after a historical run from the Dow. This week appeared to be a weekly shooting star with little movement in this week leading up to the signed bill. Some announcements this week from companies pledging to increase wages... will it be enough to keep investors appetites at these levels? I'm trading the 3x Inverse Dow Jones ...

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO RACE, 720, Short ,
RACE: Parabolic Ferrari - Earnings Play
38 0 0
RACE, 720 Short
Parabolic Ferrari - Earnings Play

1) Evening Star before earnings. 2) 1-month and 3-month return change is unsustainable and in my opinion setting up for a black swan earnings potential. 3) When viewing from a log view it's now above upper channel. -Execution: Small position of OTM put options w/ less 1 month expiration.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO CMG, D, Long ,
CMG: Eat the Bad Burrito: Bounce Play
62 1 5
CMG, D Long
Eat the Bad Burrito: Bounce Play

Historical low RSI in recent period from a toxic news cycle about norovirus outbreak in Virginia. Play the Bounce till RSI Recovers near 60-70. Couple of Resistance lines drawn to track price action. Eat The Burrito.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO SUGARUSD, D, Long ,
SUGARUSD: Sugar looking sweet
33 0 7
SUGARUSD, D Long
Sugar looking sweet

Swing to $.165

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO DXY, D, Short ,
DXY: Fib Fan
108 0 9
DXY, D Short
Fib Fan

- Dovish/Neutral Fed - Weaker fiscal stimulus forecasts

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO TSLA, D, Education
TSLA: Experiment with different pitchfork points
83 1 4
TSLA, D Education
Experiment with different pitchfork points

Here's a pitchfork on TSLA that has a different point 1 but the same point 2 & 3. Both seem to have resistance and support effect on price action.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO DIA, D, Short ,
DIA: Divergence on the Diamonds
51 0 5
DIA, D Short
Divergence on the Diamonds

No Elliot Wave Expert, but these impulses seem pretty obvious to me. I like the pitchfork to confirm the downside breakdown.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO USOIL, D,
USOIL: Retrace to ~$45 --> Continuation to test sub ~$40 support
110 0 4
USOIL, D
Retrace to ~$45 --> Continuation to test sub ~$40 support

I like the confluence I'm seeing in these two downward pitchforks interacting with each other. Threw in some Fibonacci extensions using last leg which seem to echo previous support/Resistance price areas. Currently just watching USOIL and would like to enter a DWT position if USOIL can hit $45.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO TLT, D, Short ,
TLT: AB=CD
72 0 6
TLT, D Short
AB=CD

Riding high on some weak economic news / low oil. Would like to see this pullback under $127. - Bear spread or TMV

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO TAN, W, Long ,
TAN: Solar Flare - Update from April 16th
40 0 3
TAN, W Long
Solar Flare - Update from April 16th

Good move over the pitchfork median. Confirmation breakout today.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO TLT, D, Short ,
TLT: Resistance/Support Zone -> pullback forecast
47 1 5
TLT, D Short
Resistance/Support Zone -> pullback forecast

I'm definitely more dovish than hawkish after last few months, but this looks like a cool down area for treasuries from previous price action.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO CL1!, D, Short ,
CL1!: WTI short term Target $42s
97 0 5
CL1!, D Short
WTI short term Target $42s

Simply: 1) OPEC isn't cutting enough. 2) Despite robust demand, still too much supply. $USO $UWT $DWT

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO VIX, D,
VIX: No Fear
45 1 5
VIX, D
No Fear

VIX SP500 end of day reading hasn't been this low in over 10 years. And it really doesn't get much lower than this.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO VIX, D,
VIX: Volatility Crush:
89 1 6
VIX, D
Volatility Crush:

Last time VIX dropped this much in a single day % was in August 2011. Drops have appeared in beginning of volatility clusters (blue). $VXX $UVXY $SVXY

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO AAPL, D, Short ,
AAPL: 5 Years Ago - Similarties
64 0 4
AAPL, D Short
5 Years Ago - Similarties

~$40 bullish move from Nov to April. $QQQ $SPY

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO TAN, W, Long ,
TAN: 50% Return: Solar Covering (got balls?)
57 1 5
TAN, W Long
50% Return: Solar Covering (got balls?)

Short cover volume is providing temporary floor with weekly divergence in drops. -68% down from 2014 highs (Fibonacci).

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO SQ, D, Long ,
SQ: Square up to $20 (short term)
37 0 4
SQ, D Long
Square up to $20 (short term)

strong accumulation -- buyout rumors. Follow the trend.

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FACEBOOK INC
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CYBERARK SOFTWARE LTD - ORDINARY SHARES
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SPDR GOLD TRUST
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GOGO INC
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APOLLO ED GROUP INC
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SOLARCITY CORP
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J.C. PENNEY COMPANY INC HOLDING COMPANY
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KEURIG GREEN MTN INC
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RADNET INC
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POWERSHARES QQQ TRUST, SERIES 1
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AEROVIRONMENT INC
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SPDR S&P 500
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AMAZON.COM INC
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None
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REXAHN PHARMACEUTICALS INC
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FIRST SOLAR INC
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PLUG POWER INC
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FUELCELL ENERGY INC
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CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX
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UNITED STATES OIL FUND
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ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD AMERICAN DEPOSITARY SHARES EACH REPRESENTING ONE ORDINARY SHARE
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ADVANCED ENERGY INDUSTRIES INC
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ZILLOW GROUP INC
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NETFLIX INC
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HERBALIFE LTD
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BHI
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TESLA INC
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SUNPOWER CORP
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S&P 500
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SYNTA PHARMACEUTICALS CORP
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MERRIMACK PHARMACEUTICALS INC
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CAPSTONE TURBINE CORP
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HYDROGENICS CORP
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BALLARD POWER SYSTEMS INC
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SUNEDISON INC
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