Audacity618

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About me Ian Castrovinci, CFA Level III Candidate
Joined Scottsdale, AZ
Markets Allocation
86 % stocks 3 % forex 3 % indices 7 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
PLUG 5% | 16 SPY 4% | 13 SPWR 4% | 11 MTSN 3% | 10
Audacity618 Audacity618 XLP, D, Long ,
XLP: Buy the Staples
17 0 0
XLP, D Long
Buy the Staples

Consumer Staples slump due to amazon effect, higher interest rates, weak earnings performance, trade wars. Multi-year technical support level and divergence in recent drop from all time high. Value managers buy the dip. Play the bounce.

Audacity618 Audacity618 TSLA, D, Short ,
TSLA: Rolling Over
98 0 2
TSLA, D Short
Rolling Over

Fundamental: Cash crunch worries as Model 3 plants undergo upgrades and requires 24/7 time frame to meet production goals. Technical: Retest lows in downward pitchfork channel.

Audacity618 Audacity618 AKAO, W, Long ,
AKAO: Biotech play
22 0 0
AKAO, W Long
Biotech play

Weekly PSAR trigger for bullish MACD & RSI. First Target $14.

Audacity618 Audacity618 DJI, W, Short ,
DJI: Sell The Tax Plan
36 0 0
DJI, W Short
Sell The Tax Plan

I'm predicting some moderate profit taking after a historical run from the Dow. This week appeared to be a weekly shooting star with little movement in this week leading up to the signed bill. Some announcements this week from companies pledging to increase wages... will it be enough to keep investors appetites at these levels? I'm trading the 3x Inverse Dow Jones ...

Audacity618 Audacity618 RACE, 720, Short ,
RACE: Parabolic Ferrari - Earnings Play
41 0 0
RACE, 720 Short
Parabolic Ferrari - Earnings Play

1) Evening Star before earnings. 2) 1-month and 3-month return change is unsustainable and in my opinion setting up for a black swan earnings potential. 3) When viewing from a log view it's now above upper channel. -Execution: Small position of OTM put options w/ less 1 month expiration.

Audacity618 Audacity618 CMG, D, Long ,
CMG: Eat the Bad Burrito: Bounce Play
63 1 5
CMG, D Long
Eat the Bad Burrito: Bounce Play

Historical low RSI in recent period from a toxic news cycle about norovirus outbreak in Virginia. Play the Bounce till RSI Recovers near 60-70. Couple of Resistance lines drawn to track price action. Eat The Burrito.

Audacity618 Audacity618 SUGARUSD, D, Long ,
SUGARUSD: Sugar looking sweet
34 0 7
SUGARUSD, D Long
Sugar looking sweet

Swing to $.165

Audacity618 Audacity618 DXY, D, Short ,
DXY: Fib Fan
110 0 9
DXY, D Short
Fib Fan

- Dovish/Neutral Fed - Weaker fiscal stimulus forecasts

Audacity618 Audacity618 TSLA, D, Education
TSLA: Experiment with different pitchfork points
92 1 4
TSLA, D Education
Experiment with different pitchfork points

Here's a pitchfork on TSLA that has a different point 1 but the same point 2 & 3. Both seem to have resistance and support effect on price action.

Audacity618 Audacity618 DIA, D, Short ,
DIA: Divergence on the Diamonds
53 0 5
DIA, D Short
Divergence on the Diamonds

No Elliot Wave Expert, but these impulses seem pretty obvious to me. I like the pitchfork to confirm the downside breakdown.

Audacity618 Audacity618 USOIL, D,
USOIL: Retrace to ~$45 --> Continuation to test sub ~$40 support
112 0 4
USOIL, D
Retrace to ~$45 --> Continuation to test sub ~$40 support

I like the confluence I'm seeing in these two downward pitchforks interacting with each other. Threw in some Fibonacci extensions using last leg which seem to echo previous support/Resistance price areas. Currently just watching USOIL and would like to enter a DWT position if USOIL can hit $45.

Audacity618 Audacity618 TLT, D, Short ,
TLT: AB=CD
73 0 6
TLT, D Short
AB=CD

Riding high on some weak economic news / low oil. Would like to see this pullback under $127. - Bear spread or TMV

Audacity618 Audacity618 TAN, W, Long ,
TAN: Solar Flare - Update from April 16th
43 0 3
TAN, W Long
Solar Flare - Update from April 16th

Good move over the pitchfork median. Confirmation breakout today.

Audacity618 Audacity618 TLT, D, Short ,
TLT: Resistance/Support Zone -> pullback forecast
47 1 5
TLT, D Short
Resistance/Support Zone -> pullback forecast

I'm definitely more dovish than hawkish after last few months, but this looks like a cool down area for treasuries from previous price action.

Audacity618 Audacity618 CL1!, D, Short ,
CL1!: WTI short term Target $42s
98 0 5
CL1!, D Short
WTI short term Target $42s

Simply: 1) OPEC isn't cutting enough. 2) Despite robust demand, still too much supply. $USO $UWT $DWT

Audacity618 Audacity618 VIX, D,
VIX: No Fear
45 1 5
VIX, D
No Fear

VIX SP500 end of day reading hasn't been this low in over 10 years. And it really doesn't get much lower than this.

Audacity618 Audacity618 VIX, D,
VIX: Volatility Crush:
94 1 6
VIX, D
Volatility Crush:

Last time VIX dropped this much in a single day % was in August 2011. Drops have appeared in beginning of volatility clusters (blue). $VXX $UVXY $SVXY

Audacity618 Audacity618 AAPL, D, Short ,
AAPL: 5 Years Ago - Similarties
65 0 4
AAPL, D Short
5 Years Ago - Similarties

~$40 bullish move from Nov to April. $QQQ $SPY

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