Audacity618

PRO
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About me Ian Castrovinci, CFA Level III Candidate
Joined Scottsdale, AZ
Markets Allocation
86 % stocks 3 % forex 3 % indices 7 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
PLUG 6% | 16 SPY 4% | 13 SPWR 4% | 11 MTSN 3% | 10
Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO CMG, D, Long ,
CMG: Eat the Bad Burrito: Bounce Play
12 0 4
CMG, D Long
Eat the Bad Burrito: Bounce Play

Historical low RSI in recent period from a toxic news cycle about norovirus outbreak in Virginia. Play the Bounce till RSI Recovers near 60-70. Couple of Resistance lines drawn to track price action. Eat The Burrito.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO SUGARUSD, D, Long ,
SUGARUSD: Sugar looking sweet
21 0 7
SUGARUSD, D Long
Sugar looking sweet

Swing to $.165

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO DXY, D, Short ,
DXY: Fib Fan
80 0 8
DXY, D Short
Fib Fan

- Dovish/Neutral Fed - Weaker fiscal stimulus forecasts

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO TSLA, D,
TSLA: Experiment with different pitchfork points
65 1 4
TSLA, D
Experiment with different pitchfork points

Here's a pitchfork on TSLA that has a different point 1 but the same point 2 & 3. Both seem to have resistance and support effect on price action.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO DIA, D, Short ,
DIA: Divergence on the Diamonds
40 0 5
DIA, D Short
Divergence on the Diamonds

No Elliot Wave Expert, but these impulses seem pretty obvious to me. I like the pitchfork to confirm the downside breakdown.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO USOIL, D,
USOIL: Retrace to ~$45 --> Continuation to test sub ~$40 support
109 0 5
USOIL, D
Retrace to ~$45 --> Continuation to test sub ~$40 support

I like the confluence I'm seeing in these two downward pitchforks interacting with each other. Threw in some Fibonacci extensions using last leg which seem to echo previous support/Resistance price areas. Currently just watching USOIL and would like to enter a DWT position if USOIL can hit $45.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO TLT, D, Short ,
TLT: AB=CD
65 0 7
TLT, D Short
AB=CD

Riding high on some weak economic news / low oil. Would like to see this pullback under $127. - Bear spread or TMV

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO TAN, W, Long ,
TAN: Solar Flare - Update from April 16th
32 0 3
TAN, W Long
Solar Flare - Update from April 16th

Good move over the pitchfork median. Confirmation breakout today.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO TLT, D, Short ,
TLT: Resistance/Support Zone -> pullback forecast
44 1 5
TLT, D Short
Resistance/Support Zone -> pullback forecast

I'm definitely more dovish than hawkish after last few months, but this looks like a cool down area for treasuries from previous price action.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO CL1!, D, Short ,
CL1!: WTI short term Target $42s
95 0 6
CL1!, D Short
WTI short term Target $42s

Simply: 1) OPEC isn't cutting enough. 2) Despite robust demand, still too much supply. $USO $UWT $DWT

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO VIX, D,
VIX: No Fear
41 1 4
VIX, D
No Fear

VIX SP500 end of day reading hasn't been this low in over 10 years. And it really doesn't get much lower than this.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO VIX, D,
VIX: Volatility Crush:
86 1 6
VIX, D
Volatility Crush:

Last time VIX dropped this much in a single day % was in August 2011. Drops have appeared in beginning of volatility clusters (blue). $VXX $UVXY $SVXY

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO AAPL, D, Short ,
AAPL: 5 Years Ago - Similarties
64 0 5
AAPL, D Short
5 Years Ago - Similarties

~$40 bullish move from Nov to April. $QQQ $SPY

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO TAN, W, Long ,
TAN: 50% Return: Solar Covering (got balls?)
55 1 6
TAN, W Long
50% Return: Solar Covering (got balls?)

Short cover volume is providing temporary floor with weekly divergence in drops. -68% down from 2014 highs (Fibonacci).

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO SQ, D, Long ,
SQ: Square up to $20 (short term)
34 0 5
SQ, D Long
Square up to $20 (short term)

strong accumulation -- buyout rumors. Follow the trend.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO SNAP, D, Long ,
SNAP: SNAP ready to test highs?
48 1 6
SNAP, D Long
SNAP ready to test highs?

IPO's I find tricky with little trading history and lack of strong sentiment. I have found PSar to be decent sometimes in the first month of trading. Low beta movement as you would expect with an IPO.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO BABA, D, Long ,
BABA: Ascending Triangle - Squeeze
56 0 7
BABA, D Long
Ascending Triangle - Squeeze

BABA is in a bullish push here with little beta movement. Possible move to $120 (ATH) and $125 (1.618 extension). Volatility squeeze coming out of a month-long ascending triangle.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO TLT, D, Long ,
TLT: Retracement in Bonds
78 0 4
TLT, D Long
Retracement in Bonds

Treasuries could make some gains as tax relief or doubts in timing of fiscal stimulus could send capital to "safety". Fed seems to be cautious on raising rates too fast.

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FB
FACEBOOK INC
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CYBR
CYBERARK SOFTWARE LTD
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SPDR GOLD SHARES
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GOGO
GOGO INC
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APOLLO ED GROUP INC
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SOLARCITY CORP
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PENNEY J C INC
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KEURIG GREEN MTN INC
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RADNET INC
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POWERSHARES QQQ TRUST
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AEROVIRONMENT INC
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SPDR S&P 500 ETF
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AMZN
AMAZON COM INC
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REXAHN PHARMACEUTICALS INC
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FSLR
FIRST SOLAR INC
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PLUG
PLUG POWER INC
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FCEL
FUELCELL ENERGY INC
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VIX
CBOE Volatility Index
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USO
UNITED STATES OIL FUND
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ALIBABA GROUP HLDG LTD
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ADVANCED ENERGY INDS
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ZILLOW GROUP INC
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NETFLIX INC
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HERBALIFE LTD
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BAKER HUGHES INC
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TESLA INC
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SUNPOWER CORP
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S&P 500 Index
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SYNTA PHARMACEUTICALS CORP
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MERRIMACK PHARMACEUTICALS INC
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CAPSTONE TURBINE CORP
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HYDROGENICS CORP NEW
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BALLARD PWR SYS INC NEW
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SUNEDISON INC
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