Audacity618

PRO
Message Follow Following Unfollow
About me Ian Castrovinci, CFA Level III Candidate
Joined Scottsdale, AZ
Markets Allocation
86 % stocks 3 % forex 3 % indices 7 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
PLUG 6% | 16 SPY 4% | 13 SPWR 4% | 11 MTSN 3% | 10
Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO RACE, 720, Short ,
RACE: Parabolic Ferrari - Earnings Play
34 0 0
RACE, 720 Short
Parabolic Ferrari - Earnings Play

1) Evening Star before earnings. 2) 1-month and 3-month return change is unsustainable and in my opinion setting up for a black swan earnings potential. 3) When viewing from a log view it's now above upper channel. -Execution: Small position of OTM put options w/ less 1 month expiration.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO CMG, D, Long ,
CMG: Eat the Bad Burrito: Bounce Play
60 1 5
CMG, D Long
Eat the Bad Burrito: Bounce Play

Historical low RSI in recent period from a toxic news cycle about norovirus outbreak in Virginia. Play the Bounce till RSI Recovers near 60-70. Couple of Resistance lines drawn to track price action. Eat The Burrito.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO SUGARUSD, D, Long ,
SUGARUSD: Sugar looking sweet
29 0 7
SUGARUSD, D Long
Sugar looking sweet

Swing to $.165

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO DXY, D, Short ,
DXY: Fib Fan
97 0 9
DXY, D Short
Fib Fan

- Dovish/Neutral Fed - Weaker fiscal stimulus forecasts

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO TSLA, D, Education
TSLA: Experiment with different pitchfork points
70 1 4
TSLA, D Education
Experiment with different pitchfork points

Here's a pitchfork on TSLA that has a different point 1 but the same point 2 & 3. Both seem to have resistance and support effect on price action.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO DIA, D, Short ,
DIA: Divergence on the Diamonds
45 0 5
DIA, D Short
Divergence on the Diamonds

No Elliot Wave Expert, but these impulses seem pretty obvious to me. I like the pitchfork to confirm the downside breakdown.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO USOIL, D,
USOIL: Retrace to ~$45 --> Continuation to test sub ~$40 support
110 0 5
USOIL, D
Retrace to ~$45 --> Continuation to test sub ~$40 support

I like the confluence I'm seeing in these two downward pitchforks interacting with each other. Threw in some Fibonacci extensions using last leg which seem to echo previous support/Resistance price areas. Currently just watching USOIL and would like to enter a DWT position if USOIL can hit $45.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO TLT, D, Short ,
TLT: AB=CD
69 0 7
TLT, D Short
AB=CD

Riding high on some weak economic news / low oil. Would like to see this pullback under $127. - Bear spread or TMV

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO TAN, W, Long ,
TAN: Solar Flare - Update from April 16th
34 0 3
TAN, W Long
Solar Flare - Update from April 16th

Good move over the pitchfork median. Confirmation breakout today.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO TLT, D, Short ,
TLT: Resistance/Support Zone -> pullback forecast
46 1 6
TLT, D Short
Resistance/Support Zone -> pullback forecast

I'm definitely more dovish than hawkish after last few months, but this looks like a cool down area for treasuries from previous price action.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO CL1!, D, Short ,
CL1!: WTI short term Target $42s
95 0 6
CL1!, D Short
WTI short term Target $42s

Simply: 1) OPEC isn't cutting enough. 2) Despite robust demand, still too much supply. $USO $UWT $DWT

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO VIX, D,
VIX: No Fear
43 1 5
VIX, D
No Fear

VIX SP500 end of day reading hasn't been this low in over 10 years. And it really doesn't get much lower than this.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO VIX, D,
VIX: Volatility Crush:
86 1 7
VIX, D
Volatility Crush:

Last time VIX dropped this much in a single day % was in August 2011. Drops have appeared in beginning of volatility clusters (blue). $VXX $UVXY $SVXY

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO AAPL, D, Short ,
AAPL: 5 Years Ago - Similarties
64 0 5
AAPL, D Short
5 Years Ago - Similarties

~$40 bullish move from Nov to April. $QQQ $SPY

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO TAN, W, Long ,
TAN: 50% Return: Solar Covering (got balls?)
56 1 6
TAN, W Long
50% Return: Solar Covering (got balls?)

Short cover volume is providing temporary floor with weekly divergence in drops. -68% down from 2014 highs (Fibonacci).

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO SQ, D, Long ,
SQ: Square up to $20 (short term)
34 0 5
SQ, D Long
Square up to $20 (short term)

strong accumulation -- buyout rumors. Follow the trend.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO SNAP, D, Long ,
SNAP: SNAP ready to test highs?
48 1 6
SNAP, D Long
SNAP ready to test highs?

IPO's I find tricky with little trading history and lack of strong sentiment. I have found PSar to be decent sometimes in the first month of trading. Low beta movement as you would expect with an IPO.

Audacity618 Audacity618 PRO BABA, D, Long ,
BABA: Ascending Triangle - Squeeze
56 0 7
BABA, D Long
Ascending Triangle - Squeeze

BABA is in a bullish push here with little beta movement. Possible move to $120 (ATH) and $125 (1.618 extension). Volatility squeeze coming out of a month-long ascending triangle.

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FACEBOOK INC
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CYBERARK SOFTWARE LTD - ORDINARY SHARES
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SPDR GOLD TRUST
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GOGO INC
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APOLLO ED GROUP INC
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KEURIG GREEN MTN INC
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RADNET INC
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POWERSHARES QQQ TRUST, SERIES 1
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AMAZON.COM INC
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FIRST SOLAR INC
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PLUG POWER INC
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FUELCELL ENERGY INC
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CBOE Volatility Index
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UNITED STATES OIL FUND
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ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD AMERICAN DEPOSITARY SHARES EACH REPRESENTING ONE ORDINARY SHARE
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ADVANCED ENERGY INDUSTRIES INC
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TESLA INC
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SUNPOWER CORP
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S&P 500 Index
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MERRIMACK PHARMACEUTICALS INC
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