simonsays452

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About me Medium-term macro wannabe
Joined USA simonsays452
Strong dollar blob
Markets Allocation
28 % forex 17 % stocks 7 % cryptocurrency 47 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USOIL 25% | 48 EURUSD 13% | 26 USDCAD 7% | 14 XAUUSD 4% | 9
simonsays452 simonsays452 PRO ETPUSD, 60, Long ,
ETPUSD: ETP to 6.60 in short-term
181 3 3
ETPUSD, 60 Long
ETP to 6.60 in short-term

Looks like this mini retrace to 6.03 is the 4th leg of 5, which appears to terminate at 6.60ish. This coincides with a few other levels between 6.60 and 6.66.

simonsays452 simonsays452 PRO ETPUSD, 24, Long ,
ETPUSD: ETPUSD still looking for bullish breakout
406 7 9
ETPUSD, 24 Long
ETPUSD still looking for bullish breakout

Here's an updated view on ETPUSD. Hoped we could push through to test 5.50 yesterday, but weakness set in across the crypto complex apparently due to the BTCUSD pullback. That said, ETPUSD and IOTUSD are the only greens on my crypto watchlist...that's bullish. I would expect for ETPUSD to give us a bearish fakeout on a breach of its current symmetrical triangle ...

simonsays452 simonsays452 PRO ETPUSD, 60, Long ,
ETPUSD: ETPUSD on verge of massive breakout
177 2 4
ETPUSD, 60 Long
ETPUSD on verge of massive breakout

Watch for a push through 5.50, which should usher in a new bullish leg higher towards 6.06. Take some profits at 5.47, though and look to buy back at 5.35 before the ride higher.

simonsays452 simonsays452 PRO LTCUSD, 24, Short ,
LTCUSD: LTC Out of Steam
144 0 2
LTCUSD, 24 Short
LTC Out of Steam

Yesterday, LTCUSD traded in lockstep w/ BTCUSD throughout the US session and beginning of the Asian session. However, at about 11pm EST, when BTCUSD broke out above 5620, LTCUSD stalled and didn't budge. It made a double top at trendline resistance which coincided with the 100% fib ext at 62.01. This morning, it tried again to rally, but put in another (lower) ...

simonsays452 simonsays452 PRO HMNY, 60, Long ,
HMNY: HMNY breaking out of ascending triangle. Targeting 15.24
76 0 3
HMNY, 60 Long
HMNY breaking out of ascending triangle. Targeting 15.24

HMNY breaking out of ascending triangle. Targeting 15.24

simonsays452 simonsays452 PRO TRUSTBTC*100000, 60, Long ,
TRUSTBTC*100000: Watching for TRUST impulse sell @ 5.40
70 0 1
TRUSTBTC*100000, 60 Long
Watching for TRUST impulse sell @ 5.40

Watching for TRUST impulse sell @ 5.40

MU: Sitting on $MU hands for a little
126 1 3
MU, 60
Sitting on $MU hands for a little

$MU's move has been fantastic hit the top end of my target range this afternoon. Would love to see a pullback into 37.50ish. Donno if we'll get it as the 37.90 bounce looks like it could have been consolidation/new structure support forming. For now, I'm on the sidelines watching and very much looking to get back long.

simonsays452 simonsays452 PRO OMGUSD, 24, Long ,
OMGUSD: OMGUSD BULL
250 1 6
OMGUSD, 24 Long
OMGUSD BULL

PUBLISHING TO MOVE THE CHART TO ANOTHER LAYOUT

simonsays452 simonsays452 PRO MU, 240, Long ,
MU: MU still has another leg higher targeting ~38
145 4 6
MU, 240 Long
MU still has another leg higher targeting ~38

Yes, the chip rally has been nothing short of breathtaking, but that doesn't mean it's too late to get long. MU technicals actually look to support another leg higher, even before Sept OPEX. Look for another couple days of consolidation with the next leg higher terminating ~38.

simonsays452 simonsays452 PRO OMGUSD, 15, Long ,
OMGUSD: OMG
179 2 1
OMGUSD, 15 Long
OMG

OMG

simonsays452 simonsays452 PRO F, 240, Short ,
F: Continue shorting F
42 0 3
F, 240 Short
Continue shorting F

Amidst the backdrop of yesterday's broader market move to new all-time highs, $F showed continued weakness. This accelerated on news of potential emissions cheating at $GM. Recent selling pattern screams of institutional selling. Watch out below.

F: F weakness due for pause?
40 0 6
F, 240
F weakness due for pause?

F saw sustained weakness this week against flat/bullish dip-buying in SPX. Sentiment divergence is NOT bullish. F closed at prior structure lows and at the end of the prior moves range. I rolled down to 10.5 PUTS on fears of a pause here and will look to add more on a bounce off of current structure lows. If 10.90 breaks though, watch out for a swift move lower ...

simonsays452 simonsays452 PRO USDCAD, 60, Long ,
USDCAD: Canadian banks are just the beginning...CAD headed lower
68 1 7
USDCAD, 60 Long
Canadian banks are just the beginning...CAD headed lower

Moody's downgraded Canadian banks last night...and this is just the beginning... Overheated housing market Lower oil Will better articulate the short CAD trade this evening.

simonsays452 simonsays452 PRO FIT, 240, Long ,
FIT: LONG Technicals supportive of 6.40 test up through gap-fill at 7
57 2 5
FIT, 240 Long
LONG Technicals supportive of 6.40 test up through gap-fill at 7

LONG Technicals bullish supportive of a 6.40 test up through gap-fill at 7.00

simonsays452 simonsays452 PRO F, 240, Short ,
F: Short F
31 0 4
F, 240 Short
Short F

Peak auto and technicals, to boot!

simonsays452 simonsays452 PRO ZN1!, 240, Short ,
ZN1!: Short 10yr treasuries on collapse through support
25 0 5
ZN1!, 240 Short
Short 10yr treasuries on collapse through support

US rates didn't budge following the Fed's "surprise" balance sheet discussion. Instead, 10yr treasuries got monkey-hammed on Friday - entirely shrugging off Syrian escalation fears, closing on the lows and and decidedly breaching month-long trendline support. Look for a bounce at 124'08 and a re-test at 123'28, which corresponds to the first breach of 10yr yield ...

simonsays452 simonsays452 PRO ZN1!, 240, Short ,
ZN1!: Short 10yr H&S
7 0 2
ZN1!, 240 Short
Short 10yr H&S

what a beauty on the 420min

simonsays452 simonsays452 PRO TSLA, D, Long ,
TSLA: TSLA to 280
42 0 4
TSLA, D Long
TSLA to 280

This was a no-brainer. Kicking myself for not finishing the analysis until last night. Will see how the 10cent news plays out. Still bullish. Maybe 300 need to re-evaluate.

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