the idea: the main asset classes are negatively correlated (stocks, bonds, dollar, gold) so shorting its all should be a dynamically hedged position. Shorting :
Dollar DXY x 2
Dow: US30 x 2
target: bottom of wedge, then yellow circle
ZN1!: Series on Bonds- Sept 20th 2019(4-5 minute read)
This is a two part analysis on the US 10 year Treasury note, the second part analyses the yield. In my opinion, technical analysis is somewhat (okay-ish) effective in analysing bond price action, especially to bonds with longer maturities. This is because they are priced in terms of private expectations....
ZN1! 10 Year T-Note Futures . Extreme Prediction Modeling Architecture on a One Week Time-frame.
The following chart is an very experimental Extreme Long Range Prediction Model, using quantum graphing decoding protocols that were developed to tease out very complex long-range modeling architectures... This has mostly common sense schematics outlined..
Since topping out at 135.15 on July 2012, 10 Year Notes (ZN_F) was in a multi-year decline. It finally found a bottom at 117.13 on October 2018. The 6 year decline was in a large 3 swing, thus the decline was corrective. It has since started to rally again from 117.13 low. The rally has the characteristic of an impulse Elliott Wave structure. In the short term...
Short Term Elliott Wave structure in 10 Year Notes (ZN_F) suggests the pullback to 129.28 ended wave IV. The note has resumed higher in wave V. The internal subdivision of wave V is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 129.28, wave 1 ended at 131.19 and wave 2 ended at 130.26. Internal of wave 2.
The Note has resumed higher and broke...
Bonds could stay overbought for a while due to flight to quality and low rates around the world and reach even 1% in the event of an escalation of the trade war between the USA and China. Nevertheless risk reward in holding US Treasuries is poor,
Weekly update with the outlook on my 5 favorite trading instruments where I place around 90% of the deals.
These include: SPX , Gold , Crude Oil , EURUSD pair and the Emerging markets via USDRUB .
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