10 YEAR T-NOTE FUTURES - ECBT

shorted: 126-14 Initial Stop: 127-06 Trade Expectancy: win 0.757861635 scratch 0.20754717 loss 0.034591195

Long - TP 126'15'0 - 127'11'5.

10 Year US Notes are falling quite sharply away from red wave (2) correction, which can mean that temporary bulls are over and that downtrend is continuing. We see more weakness in view.

Shorted 125-19 Stop: 126-11 Target: 125-00 Trade Expectancy: win 0.757861635 scratch 0.20754717 loss 0.034591195

10Year US notes can be trading at the start of a new bearish leg, after a completion of a higher degree complex correction within blue wave IV. Current sharp reversal was quite expected, as price formed an ending diagonal pattern within the final wave (C) of IV, which usually suggests a sharp reversal after its completion. That said current weakness can now ...

10 Year US note seems to have completed the ending diagonal that was located in wave C as part of a higher degree correction, which now means that more weakness can follow. This breach lower can now suggest that a five wave drop could be in the making. Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment ...

There is a chance that 10 year US notes will make a new leg up, which will potentially cause a turn lower on stocks and support JPY.

Looking for retest of breakout and take off...

US rates didn't budge following the Fed's "surprise" balance sheet discussion. Instead, 10yr treasuries got monkey-hammed on Friday - entirely shrugging off Syrian escalation fears, closing on the lows and and decidedly breaching month-long trendline support. Look for a bounce at 124'08 and a re-test at 123'28, which corresponds to the first breach of 10yr yield ...

what a beauty on the 420min

Very nice set up coming up in 10 year. TL rejection on daily . 4h rejection with divergence. Lower high on 2h and i'll enter on 2h cloud break. Let's see Thanks

- Ichimoku is bearish, but Kumo is thin ahead and Kijun is flat line -> momentum is not as strong as it used to be. - Heikin-Ashi is bearish, but watch out for positive divergence in haDelta+ and haOscillator. - 122'15 is a key resistance. A clear break below would trigger further selling and momentum pickup. However if after the March hike the FED comment won't ...

Well here we have it ladies and gents. U.S. Treasury Bonds, and other risk-off assets across the board are printing new highs. Since the beginning of 2017 I've held bonds spread between medium and longer term dated maturities on my book. Why? Because they were simply within a buying area and with rates in a constant state of decline after peaking in the 1980s ...

Bonds need to catch down to real rates as inflation ought to continue to build. The irrational move higher off of the hotter than expected CPI release has run its course and should swiftly move back < 124'17 (pre-hawkish Yellen surprise) and 124'06 (hot CPI). I'm staying short through new lows and watching for a new high in yields TNX > 2.55%.

Pay close attention to chart below. Magnitude in which price declines is often overlooked. https://www.tradingview.com/x/ywsjmiMe/ Daily 10 Year Treasury https://www.tradingview.com/x/P7AU2SHn/

the idea: the main asset classes are negatively correlated (stocks, bonds, dollar, gold) so shorting its all should be a dynamically hedged position. Shorting : Dollar DXY x 2 Dow: US30 x 2 Gold: GC Bonds: ZN target: bottom of wedge, then yellow circle

My last idea did not work. Instead of moving up to the cloud, 10y futures (ZN) turned down again, and closed below Kijun yesterday. But today there is something very strange going on! - We have a small doji Heikin-Ashi candle, an inside body candle with haOscillator giving a warning message: might be problem with momentum. - MACD is still neutral, signal line is ...

- Price failed to break back below Kijun Sen (123,9375) which acts now as support. - Heikin-Ashi gives a possible reversal buy signal today. - MACD fails to cross down -> exp. more consolidation - EWO may also tick up to zero - Forward Kumo started to shade price -> Ichimoku may turn to neutral I think we can see an A-B-C wave to complete in coming days, which ...