lukelehepuu

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About me Work and trade hard, but do it smarter if you really want to make it.
Last visit Joined 2 years ago
Markets Allocation
55 % forex 32 % stocks 1 % cryptocurrency 13 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 10% | 35 US 8% | 28 AUDCAD 5% | 20 AUDCHF 4% | 14
lukelehepuu lukelehepuu EURUSD, D, Long , 19 days ago
EURUSD: EURUSD BULL
223 0 19
EURUSD, D Long
EURUSD BULL

Something interesting is forming on this daily chart. If you take a look at the 50SMA (red) you will see the trajection of this is upwards. This feels slightly unusual as price has been moving downwards. I believe that in order to get the trajection of the 50SMA (red) moving downwards we would need a large down move in EURUSD which I do not think will happen. ...

lukelehepuu lukelehepuu US30, D, 19 days ago
US30: DOW JONES
92 1 19
US30, D
DOW JONES

A few days ago I mentioned a possible short opportunity on the Dow Jones. We have had a small move down of around 100 points or so, however I feel we might see a small bounce. I wanted to let people know that I will be shorting the Dow Jones if we rally again to around the 21000 level. If we get there I will open a short position with the first target of 20725.

lukelehepuu lukelehepuu USOIL, D, 19 days ago
USOIL: OIL STILL RANGE BOUND
106 0 11
USOIL, D
OIL STILL RANGE BOUND

A lot of people are talking about Oil prices falling down to the 45 level whereas other people are talking about all rallying to 60. Do not listen to them and trade your own set ups. My set up is not there yet as price is STILL ranging. I am waiting for a breakout of the flag and then I will be taking a position. Trade this carefully

lukelehepuu lukelehepuu XAUUSD, D, Long , 19 days ago
XAUUSD: GOLD TO RALLY?
179 2 14
XAUUSD, D Long
GOLD TO RALLY?

After breaking the narrowing trading wedge, price broke below the support and declined to around 1215.00. I wanted to see a rally in the price earlier but did not get it. Looking at the chart we can now see price might find support at the 50SMA around the 1215.00 area, I feel there is an opportunity to get long gold here with the first target at 1250.00.

lukelehepuu lukelehepuu VIX, D, Long , 19 days ago
VIX: VIX GETTING READY.. VOLATILITY TO EXPLODE
64 0 8
VIX, D Long
VIX GETTING READY.. VOLATILITY TO EXPLODE

With the markets still making no headway and my belief that we could see a sell off in stocks, the VIX is managing to keep it's head above water right now. With the way the 50 and 200 SMA are acting right now I believe that volatility is about to have a move up in the coming days and weeks. You can also factor in the MACD now trading above the centre line ...

lukelehepuu lukelehepuu BTCUSD, D, Short , 19 days ago
BTCUSD: BITCOIN TARGET 1 HIT
140 3 10
BTCUSD, D Short
BITCOIN TARGET 1 HIT

As per the chart and my previous post on bitcoin target 1 was hit. I also placed a 2nd target because I know how volatile Bitcoin can be. This rally off of the lows looks like another opportunity to short. Be careful with trade sizing as this pair can move around a lot and quickly.

lukelehepuu lukelehepuu EURUSD, 240, Long , 20 days ago
EURUSD: EURUSD BULL
168 0 12
EURUSD, 240 Long
EURUSD BULL

Looking at this pair on the 4H time frame instead of the 1D time frame you will notice that the MACD indicator averages are now above the centre line indicating a possible shift in momentum. Yellow trend line is part of a trending channel so it could act as support. I am looking for any long opportunities here.

lukelehepuu lukelehepuu GBPUSD, 240, Long , 20 days ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD
147 4 11
GBPUSD, 240 Long
GBPUSD

I have gone down to a 4 Hour time frame, previous post was a daily chart. On the 4 Hour chart we are starting to see some support, this lines up with previous support. If you apply a bollinger band on the pair you will also see that price is hitting the lower 2 standard deviation band which is likely to act as support for the shorter term.

lukelehepuu lukelehepuu VIX, D, Long , 21 days ago
VIX: VOLATILITY TO EXPLODE, MARKET TO COLLAPSE?
250 0 15
VIX, D Long
VOLATILITY TO EXPLODE, MARKET TO COLLAPSE?

The volatility index is always a fun one to look at. My main divergence here is that the MACD indicator has just crossed above the centre line however the VIX has just collapsed. This does not sit well with me and I feel there will be a snap back shortly in which VIX (volatility) will spike up and the stock market will sell off. In order to trade this you can ...

lukelehepuu lukelehepuu US30, D, Short , 21 days ago
US30: DOW JONES SHORT TRADE
191 1 13
US30, D Short
DOW JONES SHORT TRADE

With the Dow Jones on a rocket ship to the moon I feel it is becoming time to think about entering a short trade. It is very hard to use technical analysis at this level and price has not been here before. If you look at the MACD you will notice price is about to make the crossover.

lukelehepuu lukelehepuu XAUUSD, D, Long , 21 days ago
XAUUSD: GOLD RALLY
333 0 20
XAUUSD, D Long
GOLD RALLY

We have recently had a narrowing trading range on gold with a skew to the upside. Price broke down the support level on Friday however came roaring back to form a doji. With the support broken I am taking a long position but will be cautious and keep a tight stop loss. Target is 1270.00

lukelehepuu lukelehepuu BTCUSD, D, Short , 21 days ago
BTCUSD: BITCOIN SHORT OPPORTUNITY?
247 3 13
BTCUSD, D Short
BITCOIN SHORT OPPORTUNITY?

I do not trade Bitcoin hugely but it will be interesting to see if the use of the MACD and how I normally use it transitions onto this security. The MACD is about to crossover (shown on the chart) and as I am a contrarian, I would like to short Bitcoin. The fact it has volatility where other securities might not also makes this more of an interesting play. If you ...

lukelehepuu lukelehepuu GBPUSD, D, Long , 21 days ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD
275 0 18
GBPUSD, D Long
GBPUSD

A lot of stigma around the British Pound at the moment with everyone talking endlessly about Brexit and how bad it will impact Great Britain. How good or bad it will be nobody knows, what I do like to do though is buy undervalued or oversold securities, GBPUSD being one of those. We have seen some consolidation in this pair for months now and I feel GBPUSD will ...

lukelehepuu lukelehepuu USDJPY, D, 21 days ago
USDJPY: USDJPY
264 0 14
USDJPY, D
USDJPY

Looking at the USDJPY it feels a lot will be dependent on the FOMC meeting on the 15th of March. With that said we could experience muted action around the 112.85 level. I feel the meeting on the 15 of March will push the price away from this level, the only caveat is that it could rally or fall. Be careful on this one and trade it small, protect your capital.

lukelehepuu lukelehepuu EURUSD, 240, 21 days ago
EURUSD: EURUSD 4 HOUR CHART
225 0 15
EURUSD, 240
EURUSD 4 HOUR CHART

If we zoom into the EURUSD on the 4H chart you can see a clear break of the hard yellow line (previous channel) and a break of the dotted yellow line (previous resistance/support). I am on the look out for continued strength in this pair, buying pullbacks makes sense.

lukelehepuu lukelehepuu EURCAD, D, Long , 22 days ago
EURCAD: EURCAD
97 0 8
EURCAD, D Long
EURCAD

This pair from a charting perspective does not look great so there are not many trades, however my longer term view that we could see some strength in the Euro is still in play. If you wanted you could take a long trade waiting for a retest of the broken support at 1.4450.

lukelehepuu lukelehepuu USOIL, D, Short , 22 days ago
USOIL: US OIL DOWN TO 50?
197 2 11
USOIL, D Short
US OIL DOWN TO 50?

Looking at this chart of oil we have been doing nothing but consolidating. I imagine with more producers being able to make a profit in the 50+ range prices may stay muted for some time. That is why I am looking for a potential move down (I am considering 48-50 the lower end of the range).

lukelehepuu lukelehepuu EURAUD, D, Long , 22 days ago
EURAUD: EURAUD TO SEE STRENGTH
125 0 16
EURAUD, D Long
EURAUD TO SEE STRENGTH

I am looking to see strength in the EURAUD pair soon. It has been pummeled over 17% since Aug 2015 and in 2017 has sold off 6.5%. I am looking for a retest of the support line that has been in place for a while. First target it 1.4500

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