AlexanderGotay

PRO
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit Joined 2 years ago
Markets Allocation
43 % stocks 33 % commodities 13 % forex 10 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
ZB1! 10% | 3 NG1! 6% | 2 TLT 6% | 2 GC1! 6% | 2
AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO IWM, D, 7 hours ago
IWM: IWM 30 Delta Strangle
21 0 6
IWM, D
IWM 30 Delta Strangle

Last week I closed my IWM trades for a nice profit, and since IWM is part of my always on trades, and we got a nice move this week with a spike in volatility I am reloading on this one. IWM Strangle @30 delta IV Rank of 29.6 May 19 129 Put May 19 138 Call $3.68 credit Break evens 141.68 and 125.32 57% probability of profit we will look to close it earlier at ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO NKE, D, Long , a day ago
NKE: Earnings play on Nike
42 0 7
NKE, D Long
Earnings play on Nike

The expected move is around $2.60 by doing a a synthetic spiked lizard with 2 ratio spreads we don't have risk to the upside and to the downside we have a buffer of over $3. Our break even is just below the $55 mark, and we have a max profit of $220. I will look to close it out tomorrow. Probability of profit is around 79%, but since this is an earnings play, ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO EWZ, D, a day ago
EWZ: EEM/EWZ pairs trade (covered strangles)
11 0 4
EWZ, D
EEM/EWZ pairs trade (covered strangles)

EWZ and the Emerging Markets ETF EEM have a strong correlation (Since EEM have 7.7% of brazil stocks). The correlation for the last year have been .92, and the last 30 days have drop to .40. Today we got a strong move on EWZ of -3.18% at the time of the trade and -.64% on EEM. By trading one to the upside and the other to the downside I will look to reduce ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO GLD, D, 5 days ago
GLD: Neutral trade on GLD with positive Vega
72 0 6
GLD, D
Neutral trade on GLD with positive Vega

After the strong move up the last couple of days, I expect GLD to make a small correction. With an IV Rank at less than 1%, is not a good idea to try any of my favorite trades, so I am doing a double diagonal that would benefit in an increase in volatility (long Vega). I sold the 120/115 Strangle on the april expiration and bought the 121/114 Strangle on ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO VXX, 240, 6 days ago
VXX: Neutral/Bullish trade on VXX
36 0 6
VXX, 240
Neutral/Bullish trade on VXX

We are at the lows and this trade is a neutral to bullish strategy. By selling the 18/19 Credit spread we make money if VXX continues to go down, however by selling the At the money Put we collect enough premium so that we have no risk to the upside in case volatility decides to explode. To be more efficient with my capital I am also buying the 13 Put ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO TLT, D, 9 days ago
TLT: TLT Big Lizard,  Neutral to bullish.
74 0 9
TLT, D
TLT Big Lizard, Neutral to bullish.

Selling the 116 Straddle and buying the 118 Call for a total of $2.33 Credit. We have no risk to the upside and we are betting the Rate change is already priced in and if something strange happens and we get a move higher we don't have any risk to the upside. Our break even is at $113.67 That's 2.5% protection move to the downside. Last two times we had a rate ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO TLT, D, 2 months ago
TLT: Neutral - ATM Ratio on TLT with no risk to the upside
79 0 9
TLT, D
Neutral - ATM Ratio on TLT with no risk to the upside

Similar to the FXE trade we can make another at the money ratio spread on TLT. With a 71.8% chance of profit. We make money as long as we stay above 115.60 in the next 44 days.

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO FXE, D, 2 months ago
FXE: ATM Ratio spread on FXE
45 0 7
FXE, D
ATM Ratio spread on FXE

With the IV rank above 50 on FXE its a good time to sell premium. I could do a Strangle or Straddle, but since we are at an extreme and very far from the 200 EMA I don't want the risk to the upside. So I will be making a at the money Put ratio spread. Selling 2 of the 102 Puts to finance one of the 104 Puts. This way we have a 69.5% chance to make money at ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO NG1!, D, 2 months ago
NG1!: Double Ratio on Natural Gas (NGAS)
212 2 17
NG1!, D
Double Ratio on Natural Gas (NGAS)

The last 50 days, we got a nice move of over 50% in Natural Gas over 50%. I just closed a covered Strangle for a nice profit and its now time to redeploy, since I think the price is going to slow down. Price is over extended above the 20EMA and I expect a correction, so I just made one of my favorite trades. The double Ratio. I bought the 4.25 Call and sold ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO SPX, D, Short , 5 months ago
SPX: Volatility play on SPX with the VIX under 14
144 0 11
SPX, D Short
Volatility play on SPX with the VIX under 14

Every time volatility is low we can make this type of trades expecting a high success rate. The Vix (volatility index) is below 14 so I like to redeploy a SPX PUT calendar buying the DEC 2115 PUT and selling the NOV 2115 PUT. This is a volatility and I like to always have this type of trades on. I got filled at 15.40 and my target is 10% of the cost or $154.

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO ZB1!, 240, Long , 5 months ago
ZB1!: SuperBull play on Bonds
50 0 8
ZB1!, 240 Long
SuperBull play on Bonds

With clear divergence and a clear break of the EMA I expect Bonds to recover back up a little. Adding some positive deltas to my current positions on bonds, I will Buy The 164/166 Call Debit spread and Sell the 162 Put to finance the cost. That would put our break even below the Weakly trend line. Max Profit $2,171.88 Break even at 161'21 76% of profit

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO GC1!, 240, Long , 5 months ago
GC1!: Selling Puts in Gold to take advantage of a possible pullback
78 0 7
GC1!, 240 Long
Selling Puts in Gold to take advantage of a possible pullback

Gold looks like is losing momentum from the big move down. Its flirting to break the 20EMA on 4hr and we are over extended on the daily. Looking to take advantage of a correction I will be adding to my other positions by selling the 1230 PUT for $1,100. As long as the price continue to be above 1230 by November 23rd we keep the full Credit. Break even @ ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO XLU, D, 5 months ago
XLU: Neutral Long Put Ratios on XLU
67 0 14
XLU, D
Neutral Long Put Ratios on XLU

XLU have a 86% IV Percentile, which means that 86% of the days over the past year the Implied Volatity was below this level. Custom Put Ratio's Buy +1 NOV 48 PUT Sell-2 NOV 47 PUT BUY +1 NOV 46 PUT SELL-2 NOV 45 PUT This will give us a max profit of $171 with a 77% chance of making money. And we only lose if the price goes below $44.64. Since we are adding ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO CL1!, D, 5 months ago
CL1!: 80% probability trade on Oil with Future Options
203 0 12
CL1!, D
80% probability trade on Oil with Future Options

Last 2 weeks, oil have been climbing up and now we are at the $50 handle which can be an interesting price. I believe it can still go higher, but its already pretty far from the moving average and will soon start to give us a correction down. Having already multiple positions in oil, I will sell a Call ratio spread (Buying 1 $51 call and Selling 2 $53.5 Calls to ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO IYR, 240, Long , 5 months ago
IYR: Very high probability trade on IYR
61 1 15
IYR, 240 Long
Very high probability trade on IYR

IYR haved moved over 8% in the last 2 months. With an IV percentile of over 60% we can sell premium and get a higher probability trade. I will be using a combination of ratio spreads Selling the (2) 73 and (2) 78 Puts and buying (1) 75 put and (1) 81 put. This will give us the potential to win $330 per trade and giving us a break even of $72.84 with a 85% ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO EWW, 60, 5 months ago
EWW: Straddle for a neutral trade on EWW
20 0 5
EWW, 60
Straddle for a neutral trade on EWW

With the IV percentile over 90% we can sell premium to get a nice credit. I sold a Straddle @ 49 (sold 1 put, and 1 call with a 49 strike price) with 45 days to go to expiration.

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO TBT, D, 5 months ago
TBT: TBT Short Strangle
40 2 9
TBT, D
TBT Short Strangle

We got some movement in Bonds, and a small rise in Volatility. The Implied volatility is above the last year average, knowing that volatility is always overstated I look every opportunity to sell some premium. This is a small trade, but I will be selling the 33/30 Strangle 49 days from expiration for $1.22 per contract with a probability of making money at ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO RUT, D, Short , 5 months ago
RUT: RUT  Put Calendar (Volatility Play)
44 0 5
RUT, D Short
RUT Put Calendar (Volatility Play)

With the moved down in volatility the last couple of days and RVX (Russell Volatility Index) almost at the year lows a Put calendar seems like a pretty safe bet. I will be buying the Nov 1230 Put and selling the Oct 1230 Put. Looking to close it early as soon as we get a volatility spike.

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