AlexanderGotay

PRO
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Markets Allocation
70 % stocks 17 % commodities 6 % forex 6 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
TLT 4% | 3 ZB1! 4% | 3 EWZ 3% | 2 IWM 3% | 2
DIA: Neutral trade on DIA (double double)
71 0 9
DIA, D
Neutral trade on DIA (double double)

DIA IVR 33.8 Sold the 211/215/201/188 Iron condor for $4.70 Target 50% of credit received Ratio 3x the calls spreads for every 1x Puts spreads The trade: Sold (3x) 211 Calls Buy (3x) 215 Calls Sold (1x) 201 Put Buy (1x) 188 Put for $4.70 Max profit $470 Max loss $830

MSFT: Neutral trade on MSFT (IronFly)
64 0 9
MSFT, D
Neutral trade on MSFT (IronFly)

With an IVR of 51.5 on Microsoft I sold an Iron fly with 29 days to expiration for $2.32 This is a neutral trade and we make money as long as price stays between $65.18 and 69.82 in the next 29 days. The trade: Long 72.5 Call Short 67.5 Call Short 67.5 Put Long 62.5 Put Max win $232 per contract

EWZ: Brazil went down big, let's sell premium (Big lizard)
106 0 15
EWZ, D
Brazil went down big, let's sell premium (Big lizard)

After some negative news about bribery in the government the Brazil's ETF (EWZ) got killed at the open with a 18% down move. With the Implied volatility rank of the stock at the high's of the last 52 weeks(100%) it means that buying options is going to be expensive, in other words we are going to be selling overpriced options. Betting that this is an over ...

QQQ: Neutral trade on QQQ (Laddered Strangles)
84 0 9
QQQ, D
Neutral trade on QQQ (Laddered Strangles)

Out of the equities ETF's QQQ have the highest IVR of 19. So I decided to do laddered Strangles with 35 DTE and 70 DTE to reduce risk. 144/131 Strangle (Jul 21) for $1.67 142/134 Strangle (Jun 16) for $1.27

XRT: 81% probability trade on XRT (Put Ratio spread)
57 0 8
XRT, D
81% probability trade on XRT (Put Ratio spread)

High probability trade on XRT with no risk to the upside. Max profit at $41 our break even at $39.85. The trade: Sold Two (-2) 41 Puts for every one (-1) 42 Put for a credit of $0.15 (per contract).

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO IWM, D, Short ,
IWM: Short on IWM with good R:R (Debit spread)
117 0 15
IWM, D Short
Short on IWM with good R:R (Debit spread)

Directional play on IWM. With an implied volatility rank of below 10 I decided to buy some options (Yuck!) I am basically betting that the price will go down below $137 in the next 35 days enough for us to take some profits. The good thing about this trade is that we have basically a 50/50 chance to make money (48% probability), but we have a nice Reward Risk ...

XLE: Neutral trade on XLE (Iron Condor)
36 1 8
XLE, D
Neutral trade on XLE (Iron Condor)

With IVR at 26 sold the Iron condor 70/73/66/62.5 on XLE with 37 Days to expiration The Trade: Short 70 Call Long 73 Call Short 66 Put Long 62.5 Put Credit = $1.11 55% probability of profit

MRK: Strangle on MRK for a neutral trade
53 2 6
MRK, D
Strangle on MRK for a neutral trade

After earnings, Implied volatility rank is still at 50 so looking to add premium to my portfolio theta I Sold the 65/62.5 Strangle on MRK. Trade: Short 65 Call Short 62.5 Put Collected $1.85 54% probability of profit Will look to close at 50% of credit received.

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO VXX, D, Long ,
VXX: Getting long volatility with VXX
88 0 12
VXX, D Long
Getting long volatility with VXX

At some point volatility has to come up.... So I bought the 14/15 Call debit spread and financed it with the 13 Put The trade: VXX superbull Buy the 14 Call Sell the 15 Call Sell the 13 Put 64% probability of profit Break even at 12.95

XOP: Neutral trade on XOP
52 0 10
XOP, D
Neutral trade on XOP

With an IVR of 32, I Sold the 37/34 Strangle for $1.52. Our break evens are at $38.52 and $32.48. 58% probability of profit

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO IYR, D, Short ,
IYR: Good Return on Risk trade on IYR (Debit spread)
85 2 10
IYR, D Short
Good Return on Risk trade on IYR (Debit spread)

With a low Implied volatility rank of 15 in the real estate ETF I decided to make a directional bet with a debit put spread. This is a low probability trade, but will add some negative deltas to my portfolio. It does have a decent R:R of almost 2:1 so at least I will get paid when I am right and my risk is defined. Bought a Vertical debit put spread on IYR for ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO TSLA, 15,
TSLA: Earnings trade on Tesla (Custom)
139 2 11
TSLA, 15
Earnings trade on Tesla (Custom)

Made a custom Earnings trade on TSLA. Originally was going to make a bearish trade, but since today we had a over 2% negative move down, I decided to add the ratio spread to the downside. Sold the 330/340 Call spread for $1.40 and the (1)302.5/(2)295 Put ratio spread for $.20 Total credit $160 Max win is $905 at 295 price Max loss to the upside is $840 Naked to ...

FB: Earnings trade on Facebook (Strangle)
90 0 8
FB, 60
Earnings trade on Facebook (Strangle)

Sold the 155/145 Strangle for $2.50 on the weekly (May 5) cycle. Since Facebook has been on a big rally as of yet, I skewed the strangle a little to the downside (The Calls are closer to the money than the Puts). Lets see if we can continue our flawless earnings trade.

GILD: Earnings trade in GILD (Spiked Lizard)
94 4 11
GILD, D
Earnings trade in GILD (Spiked Lizard)

This is a neutral trade with no risk to the upside. Its like a straddle with protection to the upside, then selling a ratio spread to move our break even down (Doubling our risk to the downside) The trade is called a spiked lizard by Liz and Jenny. The expected move is around $3 and we have an IVR of 60. With an expected 40% vol crush, lets see how this trade ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO E61!, D, Short ,
E61!: Short Call Option on Euro Futures (71% probability trade)
64 0 7
E61!, D Short
Short Call Option on Euro Futures (71% probability trade)

With 66 days to expiration (July 8) I sold the 1.11 Call on the Euro futures for .0092, which gives me a max profit of $1,150. I will look to close it at 50% of that. This gives me a 2.4% buffer to the upside and a 71% probability of profit.

XLP: Iron condor on XLP
60 0 11
XLP, D
Iron condor on XLP

With volatility this low I am looking for trades with IV percentile in the last 6months of above 25. XLP have an IV Rank of 14.5 which is low, but IV percentile of 33.5 in the last 6 months (which would meet with my criteria). I am placing an skewed Iron Condor, betting that it will stay within the expected move with a little skewed to the downside thinking ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO BIDU, 15,
BIDU: Earnings trade on BIDU
94 0 10
BIDU, 15
Earnings trade on BIDU

Sold the 195/175 Strangle for $3.08. We are betting it won't move more than the $9.50 expected move.

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO MSFT, 15,
MSFT: Earnings play on Microsoft
97 0 9
MSFT, 15
Earnings play on Microsoft

Neutral to bearish earnings play on Microsoft Short the 68 straddle and bought the 66 Put (No risk to the downside) Max profit $201.

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