AlexanderGotay

PRO
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Markets Allocation
72 % stocks 16 % commodities 6 % forex 6 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
TLT 4% | 3 XOP 4% | 3 ZB1! 4% | 3 EWZ 2% | 2
OIH: No risk to the upside trade on OIH (Big Lizard)
91 0 11
OIH, D
No risk to the upside trade on OIH (Big Lizard)

After a couple of down days in oil OIH have been affected. Now with an Implied Volatility rank of 27 it gives us a chance to sell some premium. A big lizard (Straddle with no upside risk) is a nice probability trade to do in case it decides to bounce back up. Trade price $1.24 per contract The trade: Sellthe Jul21 24.5 Call Sell the Jul21 24.5 Put Buy the ...

KRE: No risk to the upside 80% on KRE (Jade Lizard)
83 0 11
KRE, D
No risk to the upside 80% on KRE (Jade Lizard)

In the last 90 days we had a 14% down move and got rejected at the 200 EMA. We might still have more room to go to the downside, but I am betting that we are still correcting and some buyers may start to come in. With an implied volatility rank of 34 and 50 days to expiration, I sold a Jade lizard to eliminate the risk to the upside and still have room to the ...

XOP: Over 70% trade on XOP (Big Lizard)
68 0 10
XOP, D
Over 70% trade on XOP (Big Lizard)

Closed a trade last week and had no position in XOP. Today we had a -2% move down and around 9% in the last month IV rank is not great, but right now not many ETF's have over 20 Implided volatility rank. So I decided to sell a straddle with no upside risk (Big Lizard). The trade: Sold the 33 Call Sold the 33 Put Bought the 35 Call Total credit $2.16

DIA: Neutral trade on DIA (double double)
106 0 10
DIA, D
Neutral trade on DIA (double double)

DIA IVR 33.8 Sold the 211/215/201/188 Iron condor for $4.70 Target 50% of credit received Ratio 3x the calls spreads for every 1x Puts spreads The trade: Sold (3x) 211 Calls Buy (3x) 215 Calls Sold (1x) 201 Put Buy (1x) 188 Put for $4.70 Max profit $470 Max loss $830

MSFT: Neutral trade on MSFT (IronFly)
138 4 13
MSFT, D
Neutral trade on MSFT (IronFly)

With an IVR of 51.5 on Microsoft I sold an Iron fly with 29 days to expiration for $2.32 This is a neutral trade and we make money as long as price stays between $65.18 and 69.82 in the next 29 days. The trade: Long 72.5 Call Short 67.5 Call Short 67.5 Put Long 62.5 Put Max win $232 per contract

EWZ: Brazil went down big, let's sell premium (Big lizard)
120 0 15
EWZ, D
Brazil went down big, let's sell premium (Big lizard)

After some negative news about bribery in the government the Brazil's ETF (EWZ) got killed at the open with a 18% down move. With the Implied volatility rank of the stock at the high's of the last 52 weeks(100%) it means that buying options is going to be expensive, in other words we are going to be selling overpriced options. Betting that this is an over ...

QQQ: Neutral trade on QQQ (Laddered Strangles)
109 0 12
QQQ, D
Neutral trade on QQQ (Laddered Strangles)

Out of the equities ETF's QQQ have the highest IVR of 19. So I decided to do laddered Strangles with 35 DTE and 70 DTE to reduce risk. 144/131 Strangle (Jul 21) for $1.67 142/134 Strangle (Jun 16) for $1.27

XRT: 81% probability trade on XRT (Put Ratio spread)
81 0 10
XRT, D
81% probability trade on XRT (Put Ratio spread)

High probability trade on XRT with no risk to the upside. Max profit at $41 our break even at $39.85. The trade: Sold Two (-2) 41 Puts for every one (-1) 42 Put for a credit of $0.15 (per contract).

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO IWM, D, Short ,
IWM: Short on IWM with good R:R (Debit spread)
137 0 16
IWM, D Short
Short on IWM with good R:R (Debit spread)

Directional play on IWM. With an implied volatility rank of below 10 I decided to buy some options (Yuck!) I am basically betting that the price will go down below $137 in the next 35 days enough for us to take some profits. The good thing about this trade is that we have basically a 50/50 chance to make money (48% probability), but we have a nice Reward Risk ...

XLE: Neutral trade on XLE (Iron Condor)
57 1 13
XLE, D
Neutral trade on XLE (Iron Condor)

With IVR at 26 sold the Iron condor 70/73/66/62.5 on XLE with 37 Days to expiration The Trade: Short 70 Call Long 73 Call Short 66 Put Long 62.5 Put Credit = $1.11 55% probability of profit

MRK: Strangle on MRK for a neutral trade
71 2 10
MRK, D
Strangle on MRK for a neutral trade

After earnings, Implied volatility rank is still at 50 so looking to add premium to my portfolio theta I Sold the 65/62.5 Strangle on MRK. Trade: Short 65 Call Short 62.5 Put Collected $1.85 54% probability of profit Will look to close at 50% of credit received.

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO VXX, D, Long ,
VXX: Getting long volatility with VXX
92 0 12
VXX, D Long
Getting long volatility with VXX

At some point volatility has to come up.... So I bought the 14/15 Call debit spread and financed it with the 13 Put The trade: VXX superbull Buy the 14 Call Sell the 15 Call Sell the 13 Put 64% probability of profit Break even at 12.95

XOP: Neutral trade on XOP
70 0 15
XOP, D
Neutral trade on XOP

With an IVR of 32, I Sold the 37/34 Strangle for $1.52. Our break evens are at $38.52 and $32.48. 58% probability of profit

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO IYR, D, Short ,
IYR: Good Return on Risk trade on IYR (Debit spread)
97 2 11
IYR, D Short
Good Return on Risk trade on IYR (Debit spread)

With a low Implied volatility rank of 15 in the real estate ETF I decided to make a directional bet with a debit put spread. This is a low probability trade, but will add some negative deltas to my portfolio. It does have a decent R:R of almost 2:1 so at least I will get paid when I am right and my risk is defined. Bought a Vertical debit put spread on IYR for ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO TSLA, 15,
TSLA: Earnings trade on Tesla (Custom)
149 3 12
TSLA, 15
Earnings trade on Tesla (Custom)

Made a custom Earnings trade on TSLA. Originally was going to make a bearish trade, but since today we had a over 2% negative move down, I decided to add the ratio spread to the downside. Sold the 330/340 Call spread for $1.40 and the (1)302.5/(2)295 Put ratio spread for $.20 Total credit $160 Max win is $905 at 295 price Max loss to the upside is $840 Naked to ...

FB: Earnings trade on Facebook (Strangle)
98 0 9
FB, 60
Earnings trade on Facebook (Strangle)

Sold the 155/145 Strangle for $2.50 on the weekly (May 5) cycle. Since Facebook has been on a big rally as of yet, I skewed the strangle a little to the downside (The Calls are closer to the money than the Puts). Lets see if we can continue our flawless earnings trade.

GILD: Earnings trade in GILD (Spiked Lizard)
99 4 11
GILD, D
Earnings trade in GILD (Spiked Lizard)

This is a neutral trade with no risk to the upside. Its like a straddle with protection to the upside, then selling a ratio spread to move our break even down (Doubling our risk to the downside) The trade is called a spiked lizard by Liz and Jenny. The expected move is around $3 and we have an IVR of 60. With an expected 40% vol crush, lets see how this trade ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO E61!, D, Short ,
E61!: Short Call Option on Euro Futures (71% probability trade)
65 0 7
E61!, D Short
Short Call Option on Euro Futures (71% probability trade)

With 66 days to expiration (July 8) I sold the 1.11 Call on the Euro futures for .0092, which gives me a max profit of $1,150. I will look to close it at 50% of that. This gives me a 2.4% buffer to the upside and a 71% probability of profit.

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