Instead of selling a short strangle, it's better to buy some OTM contracts at next to nothing to make the trade efficient in terms of buying power. The breakeven points on the trade aren't GREAT, but, the trade is pretty low risk. If it works, great and if not, hey, we'll get 'em next time.
Above the blue shaded region want to be long for a short timeframe move.
RR is there. However, risk adjusted returns may be better in sectors with better relative strength.
Trade may not be suitable for all risk profiles
AMEX:OIH tried to breakout of its range but could not do it. As the adage says, "There is nothing more bearish than a failed breakout." And, though the concept of a failed breakout can be debated, this tried to move upward but could not and has two strong bearish days behind it pushing it below previous support. This is looking like a very clear downward move.
After suffering a long draw down, spot oil has recovered well but this services ETF is lagging.
Going back to the beginning of the year, OIH has been in a range between $16 and $18. Fueled by spot oil pushing $60 along with a positive sentiment in the overall markets (S&P 500 broke out yesterday over 2815) there's no reason this shouldn't run to $20 soon.
... for a 2.62/contract credit.
Max Profit on Setup: $138/contract
Max Loss on Setup: $262/contract
Debit Paid to Spread Width Ratio: 65.5%
Break Even: 18.62 vs. 18.60 spot
Notes: Taking a bullish assumption directional shot in OIH with plenty of time to work out/reduce cost basis ... . Will look at taking profit at 50% max.