JDC trade ideas
JD: Earnings Stock of the Day JD.com has been in a downtrend since it topped early this year. This weekly chart shows why it is no longer an ideal sell short. The stock has declined steadily, losing more than 50% of its price value and JD is now at a support level that is strong, where buyers are likely to start moving in. At this time, a sideways pattern is likely, or a bounce up today if earnings are showing growth and stronger revenues.
JD forming bullish divergence inside descending triangleDescending triangles tend to be bullish consolidation pattern. Confirmation will be achieved upon breakout of the triangle. Long positions would be promising to open in the range of $21-24 with a short term target of $30-31. Longer term we think this stock can go back to $100.
$JD - JD.com $10M Bearish Bet$JD - JD.com saw a big $10M+ bearish bet today via the Jan'19 $70 Puts (very deep in the money - current stock price ~25.50) with 2,400 contracts purchased for ~$4,400 per contract.
The chart supports the bearish prediction with the price having been respecting the 50d ema for the majority of the summer on the 2H chart.
Medium term target - $23.00-23.50 area by mid-October (long term support levels)
Playing the Stoch'sA lot of fundamentals changed with JD recently but playing the Stochastic RSI before the news would've been very profitable.
Bull Div in the blue gave a nice relief bounce until the Hidden Bear Div stopped the party.
IMO the aggression of the sell off (from a price perspective) once the news about Liu hit, suggests momentum was already subsiding.
I'll be knife catching this one soon when the turbulence dies down a little. All in at $22.
JD.com trading at a blatant valuation discount- LONGOne of the trends taking place in my portfolio is an increased weighting in China's technology sector.
Amid the trade-driven pessimism over China, clamp down on digital assets and increased control over online content China's economy is trading at a blatant valuation discount to the U.S.
Within the last few months the BAT stocks Baidu BIDU, Alibaba BABA and Tencent TCEHY have been among the biggest losers.
The recent arrest of JD CEO Richard Liu has caused JD stocks to tumble further relative to its e-commerce peers and is now almost 50% off its 52-week high. I view this as a risk-reward profile that is heavily tilted in favor of the bull.
All indicators explained on the graph.
JD technical analysis*** THIS IS NOT AN ADVICE, DO YOUR RESEARCH AND TRADE WITH YOUR OWN RESPONSIBILITY***
Fundamentally, Apart from what people think about the CEO's criminal charges, contrarian thinking, that changes nothing in terms of business structure, fundamentally ly JD.com still is the second largest shopping website.
Now, let's look at the chart, the H&S pattern is fulfilled with huge volume climax, the short will close their trade soon and buyers will come in , a level like this is where bulls and bears agree with each other and that will push the price higher, 88% of the time.
Volume profile gives us a good lead on where to take profit.
*** THIS IS NOT AN ADVICE, DO YOUR RESEARCH AND TRADE WITH YOUR OWN RESPONSIBILITY***
JD Long Term Supply and Demand AnalysisPrice has reached 3M demand on JD, triggered long here on the MN.
This is a long term investment for me so I purchased the stock, will also be looking for an options trade if we start to see bullish moves on the WK chart.
Price is way too low to think about shorts, longs only!