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Tesla Has A W Pattern On The WeeklyGood day Tesla fans!
Thought I would publish a post on Tesla due to it's hype and trader fans.
Weekly and monthly have a " W " pattern and with that I measure a move to 490.55 area.
Not saying it will reach but it has the potential based on the pattern despite the negative earnings report.
Caution is advised as even if this area gets reached a sell off could occur afterwards.
Best of luck in all your trades $$$
ascending triangle / ascending channelon the higher timeframe tesla has been trading in an ascending triangle, wich has broke out and retested. price target of the ascending triangle would be around $1600
but also trading in an ascending channel wich would face resistance at around $700 by februari 2026.
TSLA (Tesla) – H1 Analysis..TSLA (Tesla) – H1 Analysis (According to my chart)
Market Structure
Overall trend was bullish, price respected the ascending trendline + Ichimoku cloud.
Price is now rejecting from the top and showing bearish correction signs.
Breakdown below short-term support suggests deeper pullback.
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📉 Sell Scenario
Sell Zone: 480 – 490
🎯 Targets
Target 1: 420
Target 2: 370
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❌ Invalidation
A strong H1 close above 500 will invalidate the sell setup.
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📌 Summary
Trend: Bullish (higher TF)
Current Move: Bearish correction
Expectation: Price to drop toward marked demand zones (Target Points)
TSLA: We've been here beforeFor possibly a third time, Tesla will triple its range, just as it has (had?) done twice before.
Dunno when or how long it takes (definitely less than 10 years), but I have faith that we'll see $6800 a share (pre any future splits).
You may come back to this when you need to remember, and comfort yourself during bear cycles.
Tesla Wave Analysis – 15 December 2025
- Tesla broke key resistance level 460.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 500.00
Tesla today opened with the sharp upward gap breaking above the key resistance level 460.00 (which has been reversing the price from October).
The breakout of the resistance level 460.00 accelerated the active impulse wave iii of the intermediate impulse wave C from November.
Given the strong daily uptrend, Tesla can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 500.00 (likely price for the completion of wave iii).
TSLA Breakout Or Fakeout?Yesterday I talked about Tesla breaking out of a long term range and price showed us some follow through up to my resistance level. Today is going to be all about how price reacts up here. Do we see continuation or a look above and fail? Watch 487/490 for your direction. Break/hold above is a long to target 500, 525, 560. A look above and fail is a short to target 480, 465, 461(8MA). If we do see weakness watch for any failures at the lower levels for good long entries.
NASDAQ:TSLA
TSLA at ATH - long term continuation vs pullback scenarioTSLA is trading at its all-time high after a strong 2025 uptrend.
The structure remains bullish, but at ATH it makes sense to map out both continuation and pullback scenarios.
On the higher timeframe, price action resembles a broad triangle pattern formed during 2024–2025.
Bullish continuation:
A clean acceptance above the $490–500 resistance zone would likely open the door for further upside.
Based on measured move projections:
• Short-term expansion (~25%) toward ~$590
• Mid-range (~70%) toward ~$700
• Full triangle height (~115%) toward ~$750
Pullback scenario:
A pause or corrective move from ATH wouldn’t be surprising before continuation.
Potential pullback areas include the recent swing low, or a deeper liquidity sweep into the $380–400 zone followed by a recovery.
As long as price holds above the rising green trendline, the higher timeframe bullish structure remains intact.
TSLA Will Go Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for TSLA.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 483.11.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 463.90 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TSLA(Tesla) Breaking Out...Can The Break Hold This Time?Tesla is trying to break out of my range once again. We have tried a couple of times and failed so we need to watch and see if this break holds. We do have a gap down to about 460 and then we have the 8MA(453) and the 21MA(441) sitting below for support. It's tough to chase this break so the safe entry would be to wait for a retest of the breakout around 470 or that gap at 460. Any weakness in that area that holds would be great long entries to target 487 and a hold above that level is where I would press longs for 500, 523, 560. A look above and fail at 487 would be a short to test 470, 460 and a hold below 450 is where I would press shorts for 441(21MA), 429(50MA), 415. I'm leaning long until bears show me something back inside the range.
NASDAQ:TSLA
Tesla poised for breakout as bullish momentum builds up
Current Price: $458.96
Direction: LONG
Confidence Level: 68% (Based on clear bullish bias from multiple professional traders, strong call option flow, and price action holding above key EMAs despite mixed sentiment on X)
Targets:
- T1 = $465
- T2 = $475
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $452
- S2 = $440
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
I'm seeing the collective consensus from many professional traders leaning bullish on Tesla this week. Several traders highlight strong relative strength compared to the broader market, with repeated mentions of a potential run toward $470 and even $500 if the breakout holds. The wisdom of the crowd here is built on multiple factors: unusual bullish call flow, price holding above the 20‑ and 50‑day EMA, and clear technical formations like cup‑and‑handle and inverse head‑and‑shoulders patterns that traders watch for continuation moves.
**Key Insights:**
Here's what's driving this setup: Tesla just posted a strong Q4 production beat and announced an FSD beta 2.0 rollout for Q1 2026, which traders see as a near‑term catalyst. Across the board, I'm noticing repeated references to 460‑470 as the "battle zone" where Tesla often consolidates before pushing higher. The MACD remains bullish, RSI is elevated but not in reversal territory, and option flow last week was overwhelmingly in favor of calls — 97% call flow versus only 3% puts.
What's interesting is that while some market watchers on X are cautious about valuation (PE > 300), the technical picture from professional traders shows price action defending support zones. The $450‑$452 area has been mentioned as a solid dip‑buy zone by multiple traders, with upside targets in the mid‑$470s this week.
**Recent Performance:**
Tesla is up 2.7% in the last 24 hours, closing strongly above both the 20‑ and 50‑day EMA. Volume came in about 10% above the 30‑day average, suggesting healthy participation. Over the past week, it's tested $465 resistance multiple times without breaking through, consolidating just below it — a common pre‑breakout behavior traders watch closely.
**Expert Analysis:**
Several traders I track have pointed out that Tesla is forming an inverse head‑and‑shoulders pattern around the 460 zone, with higher lows developing over the past few sessions. Others note that the $467‑$470 resistance cluster, once cleared, could quickly open the door to the $475‑$480 range. The unusually large call option purchases targeting $460 and $500 strikes reflect conviction among big players. Momentum indicators (MACD positive, histogram rising) support this bias.
**News Impact:**
The recent production and delivery beat for Q4 2025 has already lifted sentiment, though traders think it's not fully priced in yet. The announcement of the Full‑Self‑Driving beta expansion is being discussed as a major revenue driver, and footage of robo‑taxis running without safety drivers in Austin is helping to build the narrative. Potential regulation issues and valuation stretch are risks, but for this week, the news flow supports sustained bullish interest.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Here's my take: I’d look to enter on a dip toward $452‑$454, aiming for a break above $465 for T1 and riding momentum toward $475 for T2. Keep stops relatively tight below $450 (S1) and more conservative traders can use $440 (S2) as the ultimate fail‑safe level. Given the repeated trader mentions of these levels and strong call activity, this looks like a solid short‑term long trade for the week. Watch for a clean breakout through $467 — it could trigger a fast move to second targets.
TSLA Dec 22 – Compression After ExpansionTSLA Dec 22 – Compression After Expansion, Watching Acceptance Near $490
1-Hour Chart Analysis (Primary Structure & Bias):
On the 1-hour timeframe, TSLA is transitioning into a post-expansion consolidation phase after a strong prior impulse. Price has already completed a large directional move and is now holding above the $480–$482 value area, which previously acted as resistance. This behavior signals acceptance, not rejection.
The broader structure remains neutral-to-bullish as long as price stays above the $475–$480 support zone. However, upside momentum has slowed near the $490–$495 resistance band, suggesting TSLA is pausing to build liquidity rather than immediately extending.
Key 1H levels:
* Structural support: $475 → $480
* Acceptance zone: $482 → $485
* Expansion zone: Above $490
As long as TSLA holds above $480 on the 1H, the structure favors continuation attempts rather than a trend breakdown.
15-Min Chart Analysis (Execution & Timing):
Zooming into the 15-min, TSLA is clearly compressing inside a tight range after multiple structure shifts (CHoCHs) without follow-through. This is classic balance behavior — neither side is in control yet.
Price is rotating between $482–$488, with sellers defending highs and buyers consistently absorbing dips. There is no aggressive sell pressure, but also no clean breakout confirmation yet.
Key 15-min execution levels:
* Support to defend: $480 → $482
* Range high / resistance: $488 → $490
* Breakdown trigger: Acceptance below $478
* Breakout trigger: Acceptance above $490
Until price commits outside this range, this remains a wait-for-confirmation environment, not a chase zone.
GEX Analysis (Dealer Positioning & Confirmation):
The GEX landscape explains the compression perfectly.
* Highest positive NETGEX / Gamma Wall sits near $500, acting as major overhead resistance.
* Strong CALL walls are stacked at $490 and $495, reinforcing dealer pinning below $500.
* PUT support is concentrated near $475, aligning with structural support from price action.
This is a gamma-balanced environment — volatility is being suppressed, price is magnetized between $475–$495, and breakouts require real participation. Once TSLA accepts above $490, dealer hedging could accelerate a move toward the $500 gamma wall.
My Thoughts:
TSLA is not weak — it’s digesting a big move. This is the type of price action that traps impatient traders while institutions wait for liquidity to build. The repeated failures near $490 tell us sellers are active, but the inability to break below $480 tells us buyers are just as committed.
If TSLA holds above $480 into Dec 22, the path of least resistance remains sideways-to-higher. A clean acceptance above $490 would likely trigger a momentum rotation toward $495 → $500, driven by gamma flow.
The only scenario that shifts bias bearish is a decisive loss of $478, which would expose $470 → $465 next.
Options Outlook (Week of Dec 22):
* Bullish continuation: 490C or 495C if price accepts above $490 with volume
* Range play: Avoid chasing calls inside $482–$488
* Bearish hedge: Short-dated 475P only if $478 breaks decisively
Volatility note: IV remains elevated but controlled — favor directional plays on confirmation, not random entries inside the range.
Conclusion:
TSLA is consolidating after expansion, not reversing. The 1-hour structure defines the range, the 15-min chart shows compression, and GEX confirms dealer pinning between $475–$495. Above $480, buyers remain active. Acceptance above $490 opens the door toward $495–$500. Until then, patience pays.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk responsibly.
Tesla Stock explained by Elliott Wave PrinciplesBack in March, Elliott Wave predicted a Bullish move for TESLA to around $500(link below). NASDAQ:TSLA was at around $230 at the time. Furthermore, Elliott Wave predicted that this Bullish move would have 3 Major waves. Fast forward 7 months later and we get a Major 3 wave move shown in Green as A,B and soon C. Elliott Wave is brilliant tool for analysis and helps to understand market dynamics.
With Wave A and B(Green) complete, Wave C expresses itself in 5 Waves namely 1,2,3,4 and 5 shown in Black. Using Elliott Wave Principles CORRECTLY offers precision and insight into the markets. What many term as chaos can actually be patterned. Did you cash in on this move that was predicted in March!?
TSLA Dec 12. Compression at a Key Breakout PointTSLA has been consolidating inside a tight compression structure on the 15-minute timeframe, sitting between a rising support line from the midday recovery and a descending trendline from the earlier rejection. Price is now coiling right at the apex of these two lines, which typically sets up a decisive move once the market opens.
The 447.5–448 zone is the immediate intraday pivot. TSLA paused there at the close, and every small push above it was quickly absorbed. As long as price remains beneath the descending trendline, momentum remains neutral-to-bearish within the consolidation.
Above price, the next major supply sits at 450–452. This level caused a sharp rejection earlier in the session and continues to be the key ceiling that sellers defend. A clean break above 448 followed by a hold above 450 would shift momentum in favor of buyers and allow TSLA to challenge the higher levels inside its previous range.
On the downside, the rising trendline around 445–445.5 is the first support. If TSLA loses this line, the next support zone is 443.5–444. Below that, the breakdown opens space toward the lower demand zone around 437–435 where the buyers last stepped in aggressively.
The options landscape (GEX) matches these same transition levels.
The strongest positive gamma concentration sits between 455–457.5, which aligns with the upper resistance zone. This explains why TSLA repeatedly struggled to extend into 452–455 earlier — price was hitting both chart resistance and hedging resistance at the same time.
Before TSLA can reach those levels again, it must reclaim 448–450. If it does, hedging pressure begins to open up, allowing for a smoother path toward 452 and then 455.
On the downside, negative gamma pockets begin around 437–435. These levels align perfectly with the lower structure targets. If TSLA breaks below 445 and slips into these negative gamma zones, volatility tends to expand instead of being dampened. That is the environment where TSLA can slide quickly into 437–435.
This alignment between price structure and GEX creates a clear plan for Dec 12:
• Holding above 447.5 increases the chance of a breakout attempt toward 450
• Reclaiming 450 is the key signal that buyers have regained control, opening targets at 452–455
• Losing 445 shifts control to sellers and targets 444 → 437–435
• Breaking 435 releases deeper negative gamma and increases the chance of sharper downside movement
TSLA is sitting at the very end of a compression pattern. The next clear move through either 450 or 445 should define the direction for tomorrow’s session.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Warren Buffet View on Market + TSLA PositionSo over here, we have done quite a Tesla analysis.
Our view on the markets, where the fear and greed index is and what it is telling us, what the Federal Reserve is doing, and where the market is going based on that.
Also what history has told us when the Fed cuts rates very fast.
If you like this video, give it a like.
And if we reach more than 10 likes, I will give an update on that section.
And share your views in the comments on which next talk or analysis you would like me to do next time.
Tesla - The triangle is still valid!🎀Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) can still confirm the breakout:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just two months ago, Tesla perfectly broke out of the major ascending triangle pattern. In the meantime we just witnessed a major consolidation at the all time high. Quite likely that Tesla will soon confirm the breakout, launching another parabolic rally from here.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TSLA Elliott Wave Update: B-Wave Truncation at 460 or Extension TSLA Elliott Wave Update: B-Wave Truncation at 460 or Extension to 465?
TSLA's rally from the 383 low has tested the 61.8% Fib at 458, forming a potential B-wave top in the A-B-C correction from the 474 high. EMAs provide dynamic support, but MACD/RSI mild divergence signals momentum fade.
Primary Count: B-wave truncates at 460 (0.786 Fib), capping the rally short; current pullback signals C-wave start, targeting 350 (1.0 extension of A). Volume below 1.5B shares on 455 test reinforces failure—odds of C to 350 rise to 70%. Short-term support at 444-451 (bull buffer).
- Resistance: Primary 455-458 (0.618 Fib + heavy historical supply); Secondary 460-467 (B cap, EMA50 crossover). Volume surge >1.5B needed for break.
- Support: Secondary 434-440 (EMA200 channel low).
- Indicators: MACD (12,26,9) red bars narrowing to 0.32 hints exhaustion; RSI (14) at 68 with bearish divergence warns pullback. Volume MA shows low conviction above 455 (1.3B vs. 1.5B threshold).
Alternative Count: B-wave extends to 465-470 (0.786-1.0 Fib), then C pulls back to 350-380 (1.0 extension) or 320-330 (1.618 A extreme). Probability 25-30%, up on recent strength.
Scenario C: B exceeds 474 on volume >1.5B, invalidating correction for 5-wave impulse: Wave 3 to 520 (1.618x Wave 1, Jan 2026); Wave 5 to 600+ (Q2 2026). Probability 30-35%.
Monitoring: 12/17 FOMC rate cut catalyst.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
TESLA TO BTC & TOTALThis analysis compares NASDAQ:TSLA performance relative to BINANCE:BTCUSDT .
As you can see, Tesla’s stock is showing a bullish stance against Bitcoin and appears to be at the beginning of its Elliott Wave 3.
This chart delivers Four key messages:
1.Bitcoin is expected to decline while Tesla moves higher
2.Bitcoin is expected to drop while Tesla moves into a range
3.Both are expected to decline, but Tesla is likely to fall less than Bitcoin
4.Both rise, but Tesla gains more.
I’d be happy if you shared your thoughts.
NASDAQ:TSLA
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
BINANCE:BTCUSD
THIS TESLA / BTC FRACTAL - IS A MAPThis is an expanded view of today's chart (posted earlier). I wanted to offer a broader context. On this "channel", I'm trying to focus on Tesla & related charts. Since I'm not posting anymore Tesla (single asset) charts, until a new all time high has been reached, I thought I would continue to pose questions in the meantime. Like "what is a fractal, mathematically?"...to encourage you to pull the curtain to the side and see the wizzard behind the curtain.
This isn't OZ, this is a digital casino, that has a casino agenda. If you don't know WHAT that is, and HOW that works, then should you really be investing your money. Until newbies figure that out & learn what is truly governing price action...I will try and provide some maps and share some of my *basic trading ideas with you. Most of all encourage you to educate yourselves and LEARN TA!
For those of you that have & will private message me with requests for shortcut secrets to success, I will ONLY say this.
1-Pick 1 asset
2-Start learning TA now, and apply it ONLY to your 1 asset
3-Study it's price action for 10,000 hrs (about 5 yrs full time)
4-Realize that the same patterns are repeating across all assets.
For those of you that are too busy or unmotivated to study:
If you dont want to work for your money, then how can you expect your money to work for you?
May the Trades be with you.






















