TSLA:Truncated 5th at 474 A-Bottom 382 Confirmed-3Scenarios MapTSLA: Truncated 5th at 474 ☠️ A-Bottom 382 Confirmed – 3 Scenarios Mapped: B to 440/460 or Bust? C-Targets 287-367 + Fed Cut Catalyst Dec 9-10:
Tesla's 5-wave impulsive rally from $273 to $474.07 is officially terminated in a classic Truncated 5th Wave pattern – one of the most reliable bearish setups in Elliott Wave theory.
Key Confirmation Signals:
Wave ⑤ high: 474.07 = exact same price as sub-wave (i) of ③ (textbook same-price failure)
Screaming RSI bearish divergence at the top
Volume collapse + SMA20/50 death cross (Sep) → truncation locked in
Current structure: ABC zigzag correction (likely Wave IV of larger cycle or Wave A of bear impulse).
Wave A: 474.07 → 382.78 (0.786 retracement of entire impulse, Nov 14 low)
Wave B: Now underway as platform consolidation post-hammer reversal (Nov 23 low 383.76, RSI oversold confirmed)
-Primary target: 430-440 (0.618 Fib of A) by early Dec
-If breakout 445: Extend to 460 (0.786 Fib, 35% odds – accelerated rally fueled by Fed doves)
MACD/RSI Fuel for B-Wave:
MACD bullish divergence emerging (-3.85 turning up) → Gold cross by Nov end
RSI oversold hammer → Short-term bounce to 410+ expected
3 Scenarios for Wave C (Post-B Top):
| Scenario | Probability | B-Wave High | C-Wave Target | Key Condition |
|-------------------|-------------|-----------------|-----------------|----------------------------------------|
| **Weak B: Deep C** | 50% | 430-440 (Platform Type) | 287-293 (C=1.618×A) | B stalls at 440; Dec FOMC mild cut → Extension from 319 (1.272×A) low |
| **Strong B: Shallow C** | 35% | 445-460 (Accelerated Rally) | 361-367 (C=1.0×A) | Break 445 on Fed fuel; Shallow due to strong rebound |
| **Bullish Invalid: Extended ⑤** | 15% | >485 (Break Secondary Resistance) | 550-600+ (0.618 of Impulse) | Weekly close >485 negates ABC → Wave ⑤ resumes |
Catalysts to Watch:
Dec 9-10 FOMC: Expected 25bp cut (89% odds post-Williams) – Long shadow potential for B acceleration (see chart)
Bear confirm: <380 break → C accelerates to 250 (2.0×A, high-volume 2024 low)
Timeframe: B ends early Dec; C launches mid-Dec, bottoms Jan 2026 (4-6 weeks)
Trade with stops: Long B to 440 (trail below 380); Flip short at B top divergence.
This is not financial advice – DYOR.
Tesla, Inc. Shs Cert Deposito Arg Repr 1/15 Sh
No trades
Trade ideas
TSLA – Downside Extension Followed by Potential Rebound PhaseTesla has continued to slide after its recent peak, with price action forming a deeper corrective leg. The latest reaction suggests a rebound scenario may develop if momentum begins to shift, paving the way for a possible recovery sequence in the coming sessions.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
TESLA Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for TESLA is below:
The market is trading on 391.16 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 403.74
Recommended Stop Loss - 384.61
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TSLA: Fundamentals Are Collapsing While Valuation Stays in OrbitTesla is trading near multi-month highs… but the fundamentals tell a very different story.
EPS has dropped by 50%, revenue growth has almost stalled, and yet the stock still carries a Forward P/E of 164.
This combination — slowing growth and extreme valuation — looks like the definition of an institutional bubble setup.
🧮 Fundamental Context
Over the past few years, Tesla’s growth has slowed dramatically:
Revenue rose from 31B → 53B → 81B → 96B → 97B — barely any increase.
EPS climbed from 0.2 → 1.6 → 3.6 → 4.3 — and then fell by half.
Quarter-over-quarter metrics remain negative, with no visible recovery trend.
Meanwhile, the Forward P/E of 164 implies double-digit expansion ahead — which clearly isn’t happening.
The fundamentals simply do not justify this kind of valuation.
Right now, Tesla’s numbers resemble the early phase of a valuation compression cycle — where prices eventually catch up with reality.
📉 Technical Structure
Technically, Tesla has been moving in a broad sideways range, forming what looks like a long-term Wave 4 structure.
We’re currently inside the “B” leg, which could already be complete or near completion.
Once that wave ends, the next expected move is a Wave C decline.
Key levels to watch:
📍 Upper resistance zone: $400 – $550
📍 Primary cluster: around $250
📍 Support zone: $150 – $200
The chart shows clear volume concentration around $250 — once that level breaks, the next liquidity pocket sits between $150 and $200.
That’s where a potential bottoming cluster could form before the final upward leg.
⚠️ Market Outlook
While other FANG names maintain solid balance sheets and stable earnings, Tesla’s fundamentals are deteriorating sharply.
Yes, the stock may still see short-term pumps driven by sentiment or Musk’s fan base — but markets always return to fundamentals.
And those fundamentals are pointing downward.
📊 Summary
EPS and revenue both trending lower 📉
Forward P/E at 164 — completely disconnected from growth metrics
Technical range suggests potential decline toward $200–$150
Current price action likely part of a larger corrective structure
Long-term investors should exercise extreme caution ⚠️
Tesla isn’t a short-term “growth story” anymore — it’s a valuation risk story.
Until earnings stabilize and margins recover, this stock looks massively overpriced.
Tesla / Palantir Fractal - 50 Days of identical price action?On oct 7th I suggested that Tesla and Palantir had been in a 'fractal" pattern. Since identifying this pattern, it's been 50 days of identical price action (on the 15 minute timeframe). But this fractal goes back much further in time.
Fractals are a mathmatical anomaly, if you understand linear equations (and believe the market is "random"). All assets are doing the same patterns over and over, on all time frames. You just need to see it for what it is.
May the truth be with you.
TSLA SELL++++ $360-370 to be testedAs I posted last week, and, clearly too early TSLA needs to test the $370 range where it broke out from. I do pat myself on the back for the epic bounce off support at $324.80 that needed to hold to see $426's and TSLA always goes further then we think both ways. We're way overdone and todays reversal shows it. $370's imminent in coming weeks
Tesla Retests Key support Amid a New Lawsuit After Deadly CrashTesla (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) faces renewed scrutiny after a lawsuit was filed over a fatal January 2023 crash in Washington state. According to the complaint, the vehicle “rapidly accelerated” before striking a utility pole and bursting into flames, killing one passenger and severely injuring another. First responders reportedly struggled to access the victims due to the vehicle’s structure and fire behavior, raising questions about safety systems and emergency accessibility.
The lawsuit lands during a period of heightened attention on Tesla’s real-world AI features, including Autopilot and Full Self-Driving (FSD). While the filing does not explicitly blame autonomous systems, it adds pressure to Tesla’s regulatory and legal environment, which remains a critical investor risk factor heading into 2026.
Tesla’s Fundamentals Remain Strong
Despite the legal challenges, Tesla retains a massive market cap near $1.33 trillion and continues scaling its energy and robotics divisions. The company remains profitable, with a strong balance sheet and long-term margin expansion driven by software, AI, and autonomous capabilities. The Optimus humanoid robot program and 4680 battery ramp both strengthen Tesla’s position in the next industrial cycle.
Tesla’s broad lineup—from the Model 3 to the Semi and Cybertruck—supports global delivery growth, while its charging infrastructure partnerships increase ecosystem reach. Fundamentally, Tesla remains one of the strongest players in the EV and AI–mobility sectors.
Technical Outlook: Trendline Retest in Play
From a price-action perspective, Tesla trades around $391, pulling back toward a critical ascending trendline visible on the weekly chart. This trendline has guided Tesla’s recovery since April and remains the key level to watch.
Support:
• $390 trendline
• Major demand at $350
• Long-term support at $250
Resistance:
• $425
• $492 (2025 high)
A strong bounce at the trendline could send TSLA back toward $425 and eventually $492. However, a clean breakdown risks a deeper correction toward the $320 zone.
TSLA Momentum Play: QuantSignals V3 Sees Strong UpsideTSLA | QuantSignals Katy 1M Prediction (2025-11-21)
Current Price: $385.51
Predicted Close: $396.06 (+2.74%)
30-min Target: $393.15 (+1.98%)
Trend: Bullish
Confidence: 75%
Volatility: 27.4%
Trade Signal
Direction: CALL
Entry: $385.51
Target: $393.95
Stop Loss: $379.73
Expected Move: +2.74%
Summary: 1 trade signal generated from 1 successful analysis.
Tesla - Withstanding all weakness!🏹Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) can still break out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Since Tesla was listed on the Nasdaq back in 2013, we witnessed a lot of triangle breakouts. And starting all the way back in 2020, Tesla once again created a bullish triangle. Last month we saw the breakout and this month we have to see the confirmation
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Nasdaq 100, Tesla and Apple OutlookWall Street is on the verge of closing lower for a third week for the first time in eight months. I explain why I think there could be further losses ahead, why Tesla (TSLA) is a preferred short setup and why to keep an eye on Apple (AAPL).
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index
Tesla's curious caseTesla has always been a volatile stock but since 2021, it has forever been under corrective wave strcuture. Its not the typical corrective structure where the prices only go down, but it's a combination of large scale Zigzag and inverse Zigzag.
The current corrective wave will end between 320-328 and then again an upmove journey will begin heading towards 733 mark ( exact number to be confirmed once uptrend starts.
Be on the watch out for entering at 325.
QuantSignals V3 TSLA Alert: Strong Bearish MomentumTSLA 1M | QuantSignals Katy | 2025-11-20
Direction: PUT (Bearish)
Confidence: 75%
Current Price: $427.76
Final Target: $411.82 (-3.73%)
30min Target: $419.17 (-2.01%)
Entry: $427.76
Take Profit: $415.01
Stop Loss: $434.18
Volatility: 24.9%
Analysis:
Katy AI predicts steady bearish movement over the month.
Momentum favors downside, with 1M horizon showing consistent decline.
Strong confidence (75%) and moderate volatility suggest high-probability put setup.
Trade Setup & Edge:
Entry aligns with current price at resistance level.
Tight stop limits risk while capturing projected downside.
Short-term 30-min target gives early exit option if quick profit is desired.
⚠️ Risk Warning: Moderate volatility; adjust position size accordingly.
Tesla (TSLA) – Key Levels Tightening Up Ahead on Nov. 20TSLA is coiling inside a clean rising wedge on the 1H and 15M charts. Price is grinding toward the apex with buyers slowly stepping in, but sellers are still defending the 410–415 zone. This tension usually leads to a breakout move, up or down, depending on how the opening momentum comes in.
Tomorrow, traders will be watching TSLA because it’s sitting right at the intersection of trendline pressure + GEX walls — perfect setup for volatility.
1. 1H Timeframe – Bigger Picture
* TSLA is trapped between 395 support and 410–415 resistance.
* The rising wedge support is doing its job. Every dip into 395–398 gets bought.
* If TSLA clears 415, it can quickly push toward 422–425, then 430.
* If it rejects again, the wedge breaks down toward 400, then 390.
What matters:
This structure is tight. A move outside the wedge tomorrow will set direction for the next 2–3 sessions.
2. 15M Timeframe – Intraday Setup
* Strong BOS + CHoCH stack that reversed the downtrend earlier today.
* Price is now retesting the mid-range around 410.
* Bears are active at 410.30–411.50 (multiple rejections).
* Bulls defending the 401–402 block and 398–400 FVG zone.
If buyers hold 401–402:
TSLA can attempt 415 → 422.
If sellers break 398:
Expect a fast unwind toward 390–392.
The 15M gives the intraday trigger for the bigger 1H structure.
3. GEX / Options Sentiment – Confirms the Levels
This is the clean part:
* Highest positive GEX resistance at 422–425.
Options dealers hedge aggressively there → hard ceiling unless volume comes in.
* 410 is the HVL zone — right where price is stuck.
This level often acts like a magnet and chop zone.
* Below price, 400 / 395 / 390 are stacked with negative GEX →
this acts like put support. Traders love to take premium here.
What this means:
GEX supports the same ranges the chart shows:
* Above 415 → clear air pockets toward 422–425.
* Below 400 → air pocket toward 390.
Trading Outlook for Nov 20
Bullish Scenario
* Needs to reclaim 415 with strength.
* First target: 422
* Next target: 425–430
* Momentum confirmation: volume spike + 15M BOS continuation.
Bearish Scenario
* Lose 398–400, preferably on a breakdown during first 15–30 minutes.
* Target: 390–392
* Next: 382 (deep range sweep)
Neutral / Range
* If price sits between 402–410, expect chop.
* This is where most retail gets trapped.
Probability Summary (Not Signals)
* Breakout above 415: moderate probability if NASDAQ is strong.
* Reject & fade into 400: high probability if SPY pulls back.
* Chop 402–410: base case until macro gives direction.
Final Note
Everything lines up cleanly across 1H, 15M, and GEX — the exact setup traders search for before a trend day. TSLA will be heavily watched tomorrow because whichever side wins this 410 battle will control the next big move.
Tesla Is Moving Toward a Key Support ZoneHello everyone, Tesla is entering a sensitive phase as the strong rally from 310 USD to 406 USD over the past two months begins to lose momentum. The recent decline is not just a normal pullback; the repeated appearance of red FVGs shows that buying pressure is fading while sellers are gradually taking control again. At the moment, the 401 USD level is acting as the nearest support. If this area fails to hold, Tesla could slide further toward 395 USD — a zone with green FVGs and heavy volume where strong buying previously pushed the price upward.
On the fundamental side, the news flow isn’t helping. Tesla’s Q3/2025 report showed adjusted profits dropping nearly 29% even though revenue still grew around 12%, indicating that operational efficiency is weaker than expected. Rising costs, lower income from regulatory credits, and massive investments in AI and robotics continue to squeeze margins. At the same time, competition from Chinese and European EV manufacturers is intensifying, putting additional pressure on Tesla’s future market share. With the broader tech market shifting toward a risk-off mood, growth stocks are taking heavier hits — and Tesla is clearly feeling that weight.
Given both technical structure and market sentiment, the most reasonable scenario right now is a continued move down into the 395 USD support zone to test liquidity and gauge the market’s reaction. This level remains a strong technical area and could trigger a meaningful bounce if buyers step in. However, if 395 USD breaks under negative news or persistent outflows from growth assets, the decline could extend toward 385–380 USD. On the flip side, if a major positive catalyst appears — such as notable progress in robotaxi development, better margins, or a breakthrough in battery technology — the 405–410 USD region would be the first recovery target.
For now, Tesla is standing at a “pivot zone” — a place where the market will soon reveal whether this is just a pause before another upward leg, or the beginning of a deeper corrective cycle.
QuantSignals V3 | TSLA High-Probability Weekly PUT TradeTSLA QuantSignals V3 – Weekly PUT Trade (2025-11-19)
Trade Signal:
Direction: BUY PUTS (Short)
Strike Price: $402.50
Entry Range: $8.35–$8.45 (mid $8.40)
Target 1: $12.60 (50% gain)
Target 2: $16.80 (100% gain)
Stop Loss: $5.88 (30% risk)
Expiry: 2025-11-21 (2 days)
Position Size: 3% of portfolio
Confidence: 65% (Medium)
Market Analysis:
Trend: NEUTRAL overall, short-term bearish bias (-0.67% predicted decline)
Price Action: Current $401.88, trading below VWAP $406.38
Technicals: EMA bearish, weekly momentum neutral (-0.61%), key support $380.97, resistance $432.75
Options Flow: Put/Call Ratio 1.39, institutional put-heavy positioning
Volatility: Rising VIX (19.83 vs 18.44 avg) indicates increasing market nervousness
News Sentiment: Mixed; positive news not lifting price, sector skepticism present
Competitive Edge:
Katy AI downside prediction combined with strong bearish options flow and technical weakness
$402.50 strike balances risk/reward near-the-money
Mid-week entry captures potential late-week volatility
Tight stop loss mitigates gamma risk
Risk Notes:
2-day expiry creates high gamma and time decay risk
Rising VIX may increase premiums but also volatility
Moderate conviction requires careful position sizing
Monitor actively through expiration
What are these "algorithms" I'm always talking about?I talk a lot about “ algorithms ” - but for newer followers, it can feel abstract or confusing.
This video breaks down the core logic behind how I analyze any chart and tell a story to set up for the best possible trade.
Here I discuss:
- What is liquidity
- How the market builds liquidity
- Why certain movements/patterns repeat with accuracy
- How tapering, liquidity, and the basics of supply and demand form algorithmic behavior
If you want to understand the power behind the charts I show every day, this is for you.
(It's difficult to do this in a 10 minute video - which is why I have students who I work with one-on-one to dive deeper into learning this process. I don't sell myself or a course - I simply want you all to learn something that is truly helpful and beautiful. I post everything I know on here as often as I can!)
Happy Trading :)
TSLA: Serious Divergence at $380As a long term investor I am not concerned with corrections, and when we look back at price movement retrospectively, they always seem to be the correct movements.
I trust the process, but it's always fun to try and snipe a buy. To me it feels like upper 300s are on trend for a reversal. Tesla is known to move slow and sideways before moving higher. So I don't presume to know when we begin to hit the $500s. However, I do believe it is inevitable - whether we get there before the end of the year or next year.
No trade advise. Just investing in quality companies for the long term.
TSLA Testing a Key Support — Will Buyers Step Up? (Nov 19)TSLA has been drifting lower ever since rejecting the 423–440 supply zone, and now price is sitting right on top of an important support shelf around 397–401. This level has been tested multiple times and has acted as the midpoint of the entire October–November structure.
Tomorrow (Nov 19) will tell us if this support holds — or if TSLA breaks into the deeper liquidity zone toward 380 and below.
📌 TSLA — Daily Structure (1D)
The daily chart shows TSLA losing its rising trendline from August and pulling back toward the first major demand zone.
Key levels:
* 423–440 → Major supply, previous rejection
* 401–398 → Immediate support
* 380–381 → Next liquidity sweep
* 213 → Deep macro demand below
Right now TSLA is sitting right between two worlds — still above the major breakdown level, but below all the recent bullish structure.
📌 TSLA — Intraday Trend (1H)
The 1H chart shows a clean sequence of CHoCH → BOS → lower highs, confirming the short-term downtrend.
Short-term zones for tomorrow:
Resistance:
* 404–408 → First lid
* 415–423 → Major resistance + heavy supply zone
* 440 → Macro rejection zone
Support:
* 397–398 → Current support
* 380–381 → Next high-volume liquidity zone
* Lose 380 → quick move into 370s
The intraday structure stays bearish unless TSLA reclaims 408–415.
📌 TSLA — GEX Levels for Nov 19
This adds the real roadmap for tomorrow.
CALL Walls / Resistance
* 415 → Heavy call wall
* 423–430 → Largest positive GEX cluster
(This is why TSLA struggled to push higher all week)
PUT Support
* 398–400 → Highest negative GEX / HVL support
* 390 → Second put wall
* 380 → Strong third wall
TSLA is sitting directly on the 398–400 GEX shelf.
Lose this → 390, then 380.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Bounce From Support)
TSLA must hold 397–400 early in the session.
If buyers step in:
1. Reclaim 404–408
2. Push into 415 (first big wall)
3. Clear 415 → move toward 423
4. Break 423 → opens path toward 430
TSLA is bullish only if it breaks 408 first.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Break of Support)
If TSLA opens weak or rejects 404–408 early:
1. Drop back into 398–400
2. Lose 398 → straight to 390
3. Lose 390 → strong magnet toward 380–381
Your 1H chart structure supports this: BOS levels all pointing downward.
🔎 My Outlook for Nov 19
TSLA is sitting on a key support shelf (398–401), but momentum is still bearish. Unless TSLA reclaims the 404–408 range early, sellers continue to have control.
Bias:
* Neutral → Bearish below 404
* Bullish only above 408 → 415
As long as TSLA is under 415, upside is limited because of the heavy GEX resistance stack.
📌 Summary
* Daily trendline broken
* Support: 398–401, then 390 → 380
* Resistance: 404–408, then 415–423
* GEX strongest support: 398–400
* Bullish only above 408 → 415
* Bearish continuation under 398
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always trade your plan and manage risk.
Tesla at Key Support Level & Wins Ride-Hailing Permit in ArizonaTesla has secured a Transportation Network Company (TNC) permit in Arizona, marking another strategic step toward launching its robotaxi service. While the permit does not authorize Tesla to operate a fully driverless ride-hailing network, it grants the company legal approval to function as a ride-hailing operator under state regulations. This follows Tesla’s earlier approval in September to test autonomous vehicles with a safety driver on Arizona roads.
According to the Arizona Department of Transportation, Tesla applied for the permit on November 13 and met all regulatory requirements, receiving approval on November 17. The TNC license positions Tesla to begin laying operational groundwork for its robotaxi ambitions, fleet structure, service protocols, pricing models, and state compliance, while it continues advancing autonomous capabilities through its Full Self-Driving (FSD) platform.
Arizona has long been considered one of the most autonomous-friendly states, hosting early deployments from Waymo, Cruise, and other AV developers. Tesla’s entry expands the competitive landscape and brings its robotaxi vision closer to reality, though safety-driver supervision remains mandatory for now. The new permit reinforces Tesla’s strategic push into transportation services, signaling that regulatory pathways for FSD-enabled ride-hailing are steadily opening.
Technical Outlook
Tesla’s chart shows price pulling back into a key ascending trendline that has supported the uptrend since April. The current zone around $401 is a strong demand area, aligning with trendline support
A bounce from this level sets Tesla up for a potential continuation toward the major resistance at $488. A clean break above that level would confirm a medium-term bullish extension. RSI remains neutral, suggesting room for upside if buyers defend current support.
If the trendline fails, Tesla could retest deeper support near the $330–$345 range. For now, momentum favors a rebound as long as the trendline holds.
Tesla: DownwardShortly after our last update, Tesla experienced noticeable downward momentum, initially entering our previously magenta alternative target zone, which has already been stopped out. We currently consider the green wave complete, and the alternative target zone has been deactivated and grayed out. However, there's still a chance the stock could rise sharply, confirming an ongoing upward trend. If this alternative scenario, which has a 35% probability, plays out, we would mark blue wave alt.(II) as complete and expect gains above the resistance at $509.50 and $532.92 within a magenta upward impulse. Primarily, we anticipate further sell-offs and expect the regular wave-(II) correction low to occur first in our green target zone between $157.88 and $46.70. This green zone could potentially be suitable for long entries, protected by a stop 1% below the zone's lower edge.






















