TSLAD trade ideas
TESLA Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the TESLA next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 350.79
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 354.45
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 343.14
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TSLA Support & Resistance Lines for September Month 2025TSLAโs September map uses the same monthly bands. Expect faster moves and occasional overshoots; size accordingly.
30-minute for 2โ3-day swings
Longs
Rejection at lower band: Buy back toward half-step; add on clean midline reclaim.
Acceptance + retest: Hold above a line and retest from the top โ ride to next line.
Shorts (when price trades above lines)
Volatility fade: TSLA often overshoots the upper band. If a 30-min prints a wicky close back inside, short the fade.
- Targets: Nearest half-step, then midline.
- Stop: Above the overshoot high (give TSLA a bit of air).
UTAD-style failure: If TSLA holds above a band briefly but fails the retest (canโt sustain closes above, sellers reclaim), short on the first failed retest.
- Targets: Half-step โ next line down.
- Invalidation: Clean 30-min close back above the failed line.
Management
Scale at each line; go flat if a 30-min close invalidates your level. Trail quickly after TP1โTSLA snaps.
1โ3 hour for weekly swings
Bias
Acceptance above midline โ continuation to the next band.
Rejection at upper band โ path back to midline more likely.
Shorts
1โ3h exhaustion above band: Bodies compress, momentum fades, then a close back inside โ short toward the half-step/midline.
Break-and-fail sequence: Close above a band โ lose it โ retest from below fails โ short continuation lower.
Risk: Stop just above the lost line; tighten on first target tag.
Follow-through buying on TSLA?Following a one-sided 6.0% gain in Teslaโs share price on Thursday, this helped lift the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to fresh records. As shown in the chart below, the TSLA Stock rallied through a 6M resistance level of US$360.03 to a high of US$368.99, levels which have not been seen since earlier this year.
Further buying could now be seen for the Stock towards the resistance between US$389.72 and US$383.09. However, before reaching said area, a pullback may occur, retesting US$360.03 as support, with a dip into 1M support from US$343.88 possible.
Written by the FP Markets Research Team
TSLA - LongTSLA looks to be heading to the 25% of the Inside Bar on the monthly. Need to have strict risk management on this incase it falls through. Weekly looks good, with targets of 25% and 50% of the Inside Bar quadrant. TSLA also moves an average 40 points per week, so the upside looks more accurate then downside.
TSLA 1D Time frame Tesla (TSLA) Daily Snapshot
Current Price: $346.97
Change: +0.61% from the previous close
Intraday Range: Not specified
Trend: Bullish continuation
๐ Key Levels
Resistance:
R1: $347.17 โ $350.85 (short-term resistance zone)
R2: $360.56 โ $362.90 (medium-term resistance zone)
Support:
S1: $324.94 โ $330.14 (short-term support zone)
S2: $313.64 (trendline support)
S3: $302.62 (horizontal support)
๐ Technical Indicators
RSI (14): 57.10 โ Neutral
MACD: 5.23 โ Sell signal
Moving Averages:
5-day EMA: $339.84 โ Buy
50-day SMA: $324.49 โ Buy
200-day SMA: $330.33 โ Buy
๐ Market Sentiment
Catalysts: Positive market sentiment, with TSLA outperforming key competitors in recent sessions.
Sector Performance: Tech sector showing strength, with TSLA leading gains among peers.
๐
Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $347.17 could lead to a push toward $360.56โ$362.90.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $324.94โ$330.14 may test support around $313.64.
Overall Bias: Moderately bullish, with positive momentum but facing near-term resistance.
TSLA SELL AT $426! Retracement to $372 imminent TSLA was a perfect ascending bullish triangle, yes, I drew the Elliott Wave wrong but got the calls right at $300 ($339 first target) and bounce off support at $324.80 ish (separate post). Remember the $7500 EV credit expires soon so there will likely be a pull forward of purchases this quarter which could temporarily juice the stock. We could see all time highs but first we must retrace once target of $426 is reached.
TESLA : Short Signal Explained
TESLA
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short TESLA
Entry Point - 396.08
Stop Loss - 406.37
Take Profit - 374.02
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Tesla - consolidation patternUsually, whenever the price gives a breakout, we will think the price will reverse or have a pullback. Sometimes the same trend will continue after a small consolidation. I am seeing similar type of consolidation here.
Buy above 390 with the stop loss of 387 for the targets 383, 396, and 399. We can expect resistance or some profit booking around 400.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
TSLA Market Preview for Monday, September 8, 2025,
Price Action & Market Structure
* TSLA is trading around 354โ356, up +3.6% overnight, showing relative strength compared to SPY.
* Price broke out of a descending wedge, now consolidating near upper channel resistance.
* Momentum is cooling after the strong overnight run, but structure remains bullish unless price loses 352 support.
Key Levels
* Resistance Zones (Upside Targets):
* 357.5โ360 โ Near-term rejection zone.
* 362.5 โ 365.0 โ GEX cluster + Call Wall resistance.
* 370.0 โ Major Gamma Wall / Highest positive NET GEX.
* Support Zones (Downside Risk):
* 352.8โ354.0 โ Local breakout retest support.
* 343.8โ345.0 โ Strong structural support + previous demand zone.
* 335.0 โ HVL anchor + Put hedge support.
Options Sentiment (GEX & IV)
* GEX: Balanced but slightly tilted bullish โ Calls 49.4% vs Puts 3.5%.
* IVR: Low at 8.5, options are cheap โ potential for strong directional move.
* Gamma Walls:
* 370 โ Strong Call Wall (cap).
* 335 โ Strong Put Support (floor).
This positioning suggests TSLA is โboxedโ between 335 support vs 370 resistance, with intraday swings possible.
Indicators
* MACD (15m): Just made a bearish crossover after extended green histogram โ short-term pullback risk.
* Stoch RSI: Rolling down from overbought โ signals cooling momentum.
Scenarios for Today
Bullish Case (favored if 352 holds):
* Hold 352โ354 support โ reclaim 357.5.
* Targets: 362.5 โ 365 test, with potential extension to 370 Gamma Wall.
Bearish Case (watch if 352 breaks):
* Lose 352 โ retrace quickly to 345 zone.
* If heavy market weakness (SPY fails), could extend to 335 HVL.
Trading Thoughts
* Scalp Longs: Look for bounces near 352โ354 support, aiming for 360+.
* Fade Shorts: If price rejects 357.5โ360 zone without volume confirmation.
* Stops:
* Longs โ below 352.
* Shorts โ above 360.5.
Summary
TSLA remains stronge as long as 352 holds, bulls have room to test 360โ365 and possibly squeeze toward 370. If 352 fails, expect a deeper retrace to 345โ335. Options flow leans bullish, but intraday volatility is likely.
โ ๏ธ This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Manage risk and confirm with live price action before trading.
$TSLA Financials: Q2 vs Q1๐๏ธ Research Notes
A climb to even sub-ATH levels signals profound market irrationality, implying Tesla not only recovered its losses but has also reversed a widespread, likely permanent, client boycott across its key markets (US, EU, Canada). The closer examination of Q2 fundamentals ahead of the Q3 2025 release would be a great help.
โ๏ธ Q2 vs Q1
Revenue Decline : Revenue fell -12% YoY, automotive sales down -16% โ confirms weakness in U.S., EU, and China.
Gross Margins : Erosion continued as price cuts + BYD competition intensified.
Operating Income : Dropped -42% YoY, reflecting higher expenses + lower leverage.
Net Income : Down -16% YoY โ analystsโ earnings downgrades justified.
Cash Flow & Liquidity : Free cash flow fell, inventory buildup worsened liquidity strain.
Balance Sheet : Inventory levels rising as deliveries lag production.
Short-term : Bounce faces major resistance near supply zones โ failure to break higher could trap late buyers.
Mid-term: With Q2 confirming Q1 risks, the bull case weakens unless Q3 shows clear recovery in demand and margins.
Long-term: Competitive pressures (BYD, Chinese EVs, European slump) + high CapEx needs keep pressure on liquidity and valuation.
๐ What to Watch in Q3
Delivery Numbers : Any rebound in U.S., China, or Europe sales will be critical to reversing revenue decline.
Margin Stabilization : If Tesla can offset price cuts with cost savings or improvement in production efficiency
Cybertruck Performance : Demand recovery and reduced recall issues are needed to restore confidence in new models.
Inventory Levels : Watch if inventory growth slows - otherwise more discounting and margin erosion likely.
Cash Flow Trends : Improvement in operating cash flow would ease liquidity fears.
CapEx & R&D : How much Tesla spends on batteries, autonomy, and AI vs. how much cash it burns will be closely watched.
Institutional Sentiment : If big funds divest, rallies may keep fading at resistance.
Teslaโs bounce still looks more like a retail-driven relief rally than the start of a sustainable reversal. Q2 earnings show deterioration across key financial metrics. In Q3, watch whether Tesla can stabilize sales, margins, and cash flow failure to do so keeps the path of least resistance to the downside.
Tesla stock is printing new highs helped by the strong imbalanceTesla stock is printing new highs helped by the strong weekly imbalance as expected and mentioned in a previous Tesla stock analysis. The weekly demand level at $298 is playing out well. There is still a lot of room for NASDAQ:TSLA stock to keep on rallying. You can use the smaller timeframes to add more long positions or new imbalance to trade with even higher probability.
$TSLA: Branching Effect๐๏ธ Research Notes
Reaching branching effect through cross-cycle interconnection. Alongside I'll test some elements mentioned below.
Local Progressions
Rhyme and levels derived from apparent cycle compression.
Added channels with darkening gradient that cover bullrun from mid 2019, driven by angle of tops.
In the local scope, as price deepens into denser zone the probability of disproportional reaction gets higher. t would probably complete its intermediate and even longer-term cycles before escaping the boundary.
TSLA 45Minutes Time frameTSLA 45-Minute Snapshot
Current Price: $346.97 USD
Change: +0.18% from the previous close
Intraday Range: Not available
๐ Technical Indicators
RSI (14): 53.64 โ Neutral
MACD: 1.78 โ Buy signal
Moving Averages:
5-period SMA: $347.01 โ Sell signal
10-period SMA: $346.78 โ Buy signal
20-period SMA: $347.82 โ Sell signal
50-period SMA: $340.53 โ Buy signal
๐ Market Sentiment
Pivot Points:
R1: $347.52
R2: $348.18
R3: $348.95
S1: $345.32
S2: $344.65
S3: $343.99
๐
Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $347.52 could lead to a push toward $348.18 and higher.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $345.32 may test support around $344.65.
Overall Bias: Neutral to slightly bullish, with mixed signals from moving averages.
The Anatomy of a TSLA Retracement TradeBased on a detailed analysis of Tesla's recent price action, a compelling bearish thesis suggests that the stock is poised for a significant retracement. The current market structure indicates that the recent rally may be unsustainable, necessitating a retest of a critical support level to re-establish a more stable foundation.
The Bearish Hypothesis: Retracement to Trendline Support
The core thesis is that the price is set to retrace and test the integrity of the ascending diagonal support trendline. This is not an indication of a full trend reversal, but rather a high-probability correction. T
This corrective phase will likely see the price descend to the lower boundary of the channel. A retest of this key support trendline is a common and healthy technical pattern.
Trade: A short position could be considered upon a clear rejection at the recent highs or upon a decisive breakdown of a minor support level, with the primary profit target being the ascending diagonal support trendline.
TESLA's Make it or Break it WeekHello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we are taking another look at Tesla. Everyone knows what a beast this has been in the past, I am going to prep you on what to do when awakens.
As of today, we sit under the last strong seller before the 400's, breaking this and holding (a close above on a Friday) would make a strong case to test highs (minimum).
Overall, I still think there is a strong case for the downside, but this seller determines everything. This is due to the time we have been in the top of the range. So here are your two scenarios
Green Scenario
If Tesla can push through the strong seller zone (roughly 350โ365) and actually close above it, then bulls would gain full control. That opens the door for a continuation move toward 400+.
If this happens, I will publish some trade ideas with a new chart.
Red Scenario
If This Seller continues to flush out these buyers, this could spark a large reaction to the downside. In that situation we would be looking for a move back into the big buyer zone around 290. A failure there could drag us all the way to the conservative trend line near 270.
Personally I lean short biased in the next 2-4 weeks, Very bullish over the next few years.
Hope you enjoyed, please DM or comment with questions or another stock you would like analyzed.
Happy Trading
@thecafetrader
My levels to chase $TSLA bull momentumInvestors are optimistic about potential Fed rate cuts and Teslaโs push into robotics and autonomous driving.
Tesla received a permit to begin testing autonomous vehicles on public roads in Nevada. This follows its limited robotaxi rollout in Austin and signals broader ambitions for nationwide autonomous ride-hailing services.
Elon Musk claims that โ80% of Teslaโs value will be Optimus,โ referring to its humanoid robot initiative. With EV growth slowing, Musk is pivoting Teslaโs narrative toward AI and robotics.
There are equal numbers of Tesla haters and lovers!
Tesla Wave Analysis โ 12 September 2025- Tesla broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 414.50
Tesla recently broke the resistance area located at the intersection of the resistance level 360.00 (which has been reversing the price from February), resistance trendline of the daily up channel from July and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from December.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from June.
Tesla can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 414.50 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).