TESLA Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
TESLA broke below a key horizontal structure, confirming a bearish breakout. SMC perspective suggests smart money could drive price to mitigate inefficiency near $375 support zone. Time Frame 12H.
Sell!
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#TSLA Analysis, Elon breaks the Key level ^.^^Elon pours Big Money $$$ into TSLA stock recently causing Rally!
Price has gone up significantly, I don't think it will drop below $400 any time soon.
Strong Greenbar breaks out from the wedge with large volume increases.
Short sellers are getting squeeze out.
More investors are coming to catch smokey train.
Price Target next $480.
Come and join the Rally.
TSLA BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
TSLA SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 404.30
Target Level: 433.84
Stop Loss: 384.55
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 5h
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TESLA: Bullish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current TESLA chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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TSLA 3-Drive & ABCD Pattern – Path to $500 Before a PullbackThis chart highlights multiple harmonic and Elliott structures aligning for a potential bullish extension in Tesla (TSLA). A well-defined ABCD pattern and 3-Drive pattern suggest momentum building toward the $500 zone, supported by Fibonacci projections and channel resistance.
The current wave structure points to an imminent 5-wave advance, likely completing the “Drive 3” and pattern D confluence area near $500–505. Following that move, a corrective pullback (ABC) is anticipated, possibly retesting prior support near $440–400.
Key elements featured:
ABCD completion zone: around $500
3-Drive pattern: confirming exhaustion at upper trendline
Elliott 5-wave projection: short-term bullish continuation
Possible corrective phase: after the final wave up
📈 Watching for confirmation of Wave iii and potential exhaustion signals near $500 before considering downside setups.
$TSLA: Gravity Reasserts ItselfGreetings, traders.
The NASDAQ:TSLA chart is currently painting a picture of a profound test of market physics. This isn't a "battle"; it's a conflict of impersonal forces.
On one side, we have "Lift"—the powerful, almost unnatural force of a narrative focused on AI, robotics, and a limitless future. This force defies traditional valuation and pushes the price to high altitudes.
On the other, we have "Gravity"—the undeniable, constant pull of fundamental reality, which just made itself known in the Q3 earnings report.
The chart is our laboratory, and we are here to observe these forces at work.
The Technical Landscape
The Macro View: The weekly chart shows the narrative's 'Lift' failing at a critical altitude. The price has been decisively rejected from the " gravitational ceiling " of its multi-year ascending channel (approx. $480-$500). This is a level where the weight of reality has consistently proven too strong. The most recent large, bearish candle is not an attack; it is simply the pull of gravity reasserting its dominance over upward momentum.
The Tactical View: The daily chart shows why this 'Lift' is failing. We saw a classic bearish MACD divergence on the final push to the highs—price floated higher, but the underlying force (momentum) was fading. The MACD has now crossed bearishly, confirming the shift. Price is now coiled in a tight daily wedge, a tactical "decision point" where we will see if 'Lift' can be re-established or if 'Gravity' will take full control.
The Philosophy: A Tale of Two Forces
To understand NASDAQ:TSLA $, you must understand the two opposing forces that define its physics.
The 'Lift' (The Narrative Camp): The bull case is a qualitative vision. It's about Robotaxis, Optimus, and AI. This crowd is rightfully unconcerned with a single quarter's auto margins because, in their view, they are buying a different company—one that exists 10 years in the future. Their conviction is deep and provides a powerful upward force.
The 'Gravity' (The Quantitative Camp): The bear case is a spreadsheet. It's about the "now." The Q3 earnings report is the catalyst for this "counter-force."
EPS Miss ($0.50$ vs $0.53$) Severe margin compression from aggressive price cuts. A fundamentals-based valuation (e.g., Morningstar's $250 FVE) that is miles away from the current price.
This setup is a clear piece of the puzzle.
It shows what happens when the powerful force of 'Lift' (Narrative) reaches its apex and meets the immovable, constant pull of 'Gravity' (Macro Supply + Fundamental Reality). At this specific junction, 'Gravity' is in control.
An Illustrative Setup
We do not predict; we observe and we react.
The confluence of a failing 'Lift' at a 'gravitational ceiling,' combined with the new "weight" of a fundamental catalyst, provides a high-probability, asymmetric setup. This is not about being "right"; it is about defining risk.The chart illustrates a potential short setup based on this confluence:
Entry: ~ $435.00$ (Sell Short)
Stop-Loss: ~ $486.00$
Target: ~$282.00$
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~3
The confirmation for this thesis would be a breakdown from the daily wedge (around $430), signaling that 'Gravity' has taken firm hold.The stop-loss at $486$ is the "escape velocity" point. If the price breaks above it, the 'Lift' force has overcome 'Gravity,' the thesis is invalidated, and we step aside.
One cannot argue with the market's physics.
Respect the level; it is your anchor to reality.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
Going Short TESLA HereTrading Fam,
I'm taking my first ever short here since implementing my new indicator. It has been killing it on the long side. We've exited our last 17 trades, all for wins, with an average profit of 30% per trade and our portfolio is up over 86% on the year. Now, it's time to test the short signals. We received two here on TSLA. I've taken a small entry since this is my first short, representing around 9% of the portfolio total. I'm going to target $350 but will not take more than a 7% loss, thus my stops are set at $476 bring the rrr on this trade entry to 1:3. Let's see how this goes.
✌️Stew
TSLA: one more leg down potential NASDAQ:TSLA
Watching for one more leg down into the 430–400 mid-term support zone to potentially complete the corrective structure, if price remains unable to break out above the October/November highs.
Chart:
Alternatively, if price manages to break-out and stay above above recent resistance, odds favor continuation to 555-630 resistance zone.
Chart:
Previously:
• On macro bottoming potential (Jun 6):
tradingview.com
• On support (Sep 19):
• On mid-term support (Oct 7):
TSLA QuantSignals V3 Weekly 2025-11-07TSLA QuantSignals V3 Weekly 2025-11-07
TSLA Weekly Signal | 2025-11-07
• Direction: NEUTRAL | Confidence: 55%
• Expiry: 2025-11-14 (8 days)
• Strike Focus: $400.00
• Entry Range: $4.07
• Target 1: $6.07
• Stop Loss: $2.43
• Weekly Momentum: BULLISH (+2.18% 1W)
• Flow Intel: Bearish (High P/C Ratio) | PCR 3.24
• Max Pain: $452.50 (-0.1% vs spot)
• 🔴 HIGH RISK WARNING: Use only small position size due to lower confidence and high uncertainty.
⚖️ Compliance: Educational commentary for QS Premium members only. No financial advice.
🎯 TRADE RECOMMENDATION
Direction: BUY PUTS
Confidence: 55%
Conviction Level: LOW
🧠 ANALYSIS SUMMARY
Katy AI Signal: NEUTRAL (50% confidence) with bearish bias - Target $445.95 (-1.5% downside), Stop Loss $459.69 (+1.5% upside)
Technical Analysis: Current price $452.90 trading near weekly range midpoint (62.0%). MACD momentum bullish but mixed timeframe signals. Strong trending regime (100% strength) supports swing trades. Key resistance at $474.07, support at $435.09.
News Sentiment: Mixed - Roadster reveal and Robotaxi expansion (bullish) offset by Musk pay package criticism and political headwinds. News flow suggests cautious sentiment.
Options Flow: Extremely bearish - Put/Call Ratio 3.24 indicates heavy institutional put buying. Max pain at $452.50 (-0.1% from spot), high volume at $468 put. Flow suggests downside protection.
Risk Level: MODERATE - Conflicting signals require careful risk management. Neutral AI confidence limits upside conviction.
💰 TRADE SETUP
Expiry Date: 2025-11-14 (8 days)
Recommended Strike: $400.00
Entry Price: $4.05 - $4.10
Target 1: $6.07 (50% gain from entry)
Target 2: $8.10 (100% gain from entry)
Stop Loss: $2.43 (40% loss from entry)
Position Size: 2% of portfolio
⚡ COMPETITIVE EDGE
Why This Trade: Bearish options flow (PCR 3.24) provides contrarian edge against mixed technicals. Max pain align
Image
QS Analyst
APP
— 10:49 PM
ment near current price creates favorable gamma positioning.
Timing Advantage: Thursday positioning with 8 days to expiry allows for volatility capture during weekly momentum confirmation.
Risk Mitigation: Conservative delta (-0.138) provides defined risk exposure. Stop loss at 40% protects capital in neutral environment.
🚨 IMPORTANT NOTES
Katy AI's neutral confidence (50%) limits directional conviction - treat as speculative trade
Conflicting signals between bullish MACD and bearish flow require careful monitoring
Position size should remain minimal given low conviction level
Be prepared to exit early if technicals flip bullish or options flow reverses
📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊
🎯 Instrument: TSLA
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
🎯 Strike: 400.00
💵 Entry Price: 4.07
🎯 Profit Target: 6.07
🛑 Stop Loss: 2.43
📅 Expiry: 2025-11-14
📏 Size: 2.0
📈 Confidence: 55%
⏰ Entry Timing: N/A
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-11-07 01:49:31 EST
🔴 HIGH RISK WARNING: Use only small position size due to lower confidence and high uncertainty.
Tesla at a Breakout Crossroad
The Tesla (TSLA) daily chart shows a classic Cup & Handle pattern nearing a critical resistance zone. The key level sits around $450, aligning with a long-term descending trendline (in blue).
Technical Overview:
General Trend:
Since early 2025, TSLA has been in a steady uptrend.
The 50-day moving average (SMA 50) near $220 acts as strong dynamic support and is still trending upward.
The structure indicates Tesla is finishing the “handle” phase of the pattern — a decisive moment is approaching.
Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks and holds above $450 with strong volume, it would confirm the Cup & Handle breakout.
Potential upside targets:
Short-term target: $503
Mid to long-term target: $565 (based on cup depth projection)
Stop loss: Below $410
A breakout above $450 could trigger a strong continuation rally as investors re-enter on technical confirmation.
Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break above $450 and a drop below $410 could invalidate the bullish setup, leading to a deeper correction.
Potential downside targets:
Short-term target: $375
Long-term target: $320
Stop loss: A confirmed close back above $445
This would suggest that the handle failed, and selling pressure could accelerate toward lower supports.
Timeframe Summary:
Short-term (1–3 weeks):
Expect consolidation between $410–$450, with bias toward a breakout if the tech sector remains strong.
Long-term (3–6 months):
A confirmed breakout above $450 opens the path toward $565.
If rejected, expect a correction toward $375, possibly forming a new accumulation base.
TSLA next leg up.RSI- is looking good for a move up because of the descending tops, once you break the resistance line you will fly.
Moving averages- My yellow and blue are good for telling longer term upside, and they are at the point of where the blue will be above the yellow.
Repetition- a lot of patterns end in threes, so assuming this looking back in time we have seen two legs up, and we are due for a third. The orange vertical lines pinpoint these areas.
Clear rising trend lines over years.
The price targets are up to you, but mine are 4000-7500.
News Momentum QuantSignals AI Screener 2025-11-06News Momentum QuantSignals AI Screener 2025-11-06
🎯 NEWS-DRIVEN MOMENTUM DETECTED
AI News Analysis Results
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💰 NEWS MOMENTUM SIGNALS
Generated: November 06, 2025 at 10:45 PM
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📊 5 Total Opportunities • ✅ 5 Ready to Trade • ⏸️ 0 Monitor
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┌─ #1 ✅ NYSE:JNJ • Score: 75/100 • ENTER NOW
│
│ 📅 DTE: 42 days
│ 🟢 Risk Level: Low Risk (2/10)
│
│ 📰 Catalyst: High-impact FDA approval for DARZALEX FASPRO, creating immediate revenue potential
│ 📊 Setup: Stock consolidating near $187 with regulatory catalyst providing breakout fuel
│ 🎯 Target: $195-200 within 2-3 weeks following approval momentum
│ 📈 Options: $190 CALL exp 2025-12-19
│
│ 💡 Trade - High conviction setup
│ ⚠️ Risk: Broad market weakness or unexpected regulatory hurdles for new drug adoption
└───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
┌─ #2 ✅ NASDAQ:AVGO • Score: 70/100 • ENTER NOW
│
│ 📅 DTE: 28 days
│ 🟡 Risk Level: Medium Risk (4/10)
│
│ 📰 Catalyst: Strong analyst bullishness on AI-driven growth prospects from Mizuho
│ 📊 Setup: At key $357 support level with institutional accumulation evident
│ 🎯 Target: $375-385 within 10-14 days on AI momentum continuation
│ 📈 Options: $360 CALL exp 2025-12-05
│
│ 💡 Trade - High conviction setup
│ ⚠️ Risk: AI sentiment shift or broader semiconductor sector rotation
└───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
┌─ #3 ✅ NYSE:TSM • Score: 65/100 • ENTER NOW
│
│ 📅 DTE: 35 days
│ 🟡 Risk Level: Medium Risk (4/10)
│
│ 📰 Catalyst: Needham Buy rating with N3 capacity boost accelerating revenue growth
│ 📊 Setup: Testing $290 resistance with positive analyst momentum
Image
building
│ 🎯 Target: $305-310 within 3-4 weeks on capacity expansion news flow
│ 📈 Options: $295 CALL exp 2025-12-12
│
│ 💡 Trade - Monitor entry timing
│ ⚠️ Risk: Geopolitical Taiwan tensions or semiconductor demand slowdown
└───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
┌─ #4 ✅ NYSE:XOM • Score: 60/100 • ENTER NOW
│
│ 📅 DTE: 21 days
│ 🟡 Risk Level: Medium Risk (6/10)
│
│ 📰 Catalyst: Dividend hike and record output milestones despite recent earnings pressure
│ 📊 Setup: Oversold at $114 after earnings sell-off, dividend catalyst provides support
│ 🎯 Target: $120-122 within 2 weeks on dividend attraction and output momentum
│ 📈 Options: $117.50 CALL exp 2025-11-28
│
│ 💡 Trade - Monitor entry timing
│ ⚠️ Risk: Continued oil price weakness overwhelming positive company-specific news
└───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
┌─ #5 ✅ NYSE:BAC • Score: 55/100 • ENTER NOW
│
│ 📅 DTE: 28 days
│ 🔴 Risk Level: High Risk (10/10)
│
│ 📰 Catalyst: Strong analyst pick status with earnings season bank sector rotation potential
│ 📊 Setup: Neutral at $53 but positioned for financial sector leadership shift
│ 🎯 Target: $56-57 within 10 days on sector rotation and analyst conviction
│ 📈 Options: $54 CALL exp 2025-12-05
│
│ 💡 Trade - Monitor entry timing
│ ⚠️ Risk: Interest rate uncertainty or broader financial sector weakness
└───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
📖 QUICK GUIDE:
✅ ENTER NOW → High probability setup, optimal timing, low-medium risk
⏸️ WAIT → Monitor for better entry or catalyst resolution
🟢 Low Risk → Heat 1-3 (stable, far from catalysts)
🟡 Med Risk → Heat 4-6 (moderate volatility)
🔴 High Risk → Heat 7-10 (near catalysts, high volatility)
💎 Position Sizing: 2-5% per trade • Max 2-3 concurrent positions
🎯 Exit Strategy: Take profit at 50%
max gain or stop at 2x loss
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Tesla / Palantir Fractal STILL playing out STRANGELY ACCURATEMillions of people
...buying Trillions of dollars of assets
...at random times
...on random days
but somehow these 2 assets move together on the x-axis & the y-axis??
Cansomeone explain this to me mathematically?
May the Truth be with you.
$TSLA – Breakout Setup Targeting ATHs → $500 ZoneTesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) looks ready for liftoff. After months of absorbing negative headlines and post-earnings volatility, it’s finally setting up for a major breakout that could take it back to all-time highs — and possibly the $500 level.
🔹 The Setup:
NASDAQ:TSLA has shaken off every piece of bad news — earnings, delivery headlines, margin fears — all absorbed without breaking trend.
The stock is now coiling under major resistance, and the tape is showing accumulation.
The narrative has flipped from “EV slowdown” to autonomous driving and robotics, giving the stock new life.
🔹 Why This Setup Has Juice:
It’s the last major leader yet to make a big move — the rotation setup is real.
Market sentiment is improving, and NASDAQ:TSLA is showing relative strength.
Volume expansion here could mark the start of the next major leg higher.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Position: Added $500 calls (2 weeks out) at the open this morning.
2️⃣ Stop: If the stock goes under $450, I’m out — keeping risk tight.
3️⃣ Targets: First stop at ATHs, then a potential run toward $500 if momentum holds.
Why I Love This Chart:
The structure is perfect — long base, trendline reclaim, sector rotation lining up.
NASDAQ:TSLA has flipped from “bad news reaction” to “no sell reaction,” a clear sentiment shift.
Risk/reward is ideal here with a tight stop and clear upside roadmap.
Tesla – Demand Reclaim After Liquidity SweepTesla swept liquidity below 440 and reacted strongly from a clean demand zone.
The bearish leg completed a full imbalance fill, and price is now rejecting that discount area.
As long as price stays above 440, I’m expecting continuation toward 470–474 (previous supply zone).
If 436 breaks, the bullish idea becomes invalid and deeper reaccumulation may follow.
#TSLA #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquiditySweep #FVG #PriceAction #ICT #Stocks
Tesla Inc. (Nasdaq: $TSLA) Eyes Breakout Above $490Tesla Inc. (Nasdaq: NASDAQ:TSLA ) is approaching a critical technical juncture as price action consolidates near the upper end of its ascending trendline. After rebounding strongly from the $180–$200 demand zone earlier this year, Tesla has maintained a steady uptrend, forming higher lows and higher highs — a classic bullish structure.
Currently trading near $440, Tesla has encountered resistance below the $490–$492 zone, which marks the previous swing high. The chart shows a clear ascending support line extending from the April low, reinforcing the overall bullish sentiment. As long as the stock holds above $420, bulls remain in control. A confirmed breakout above $492 could ignite the next leg higher, targeting the $520–$540 region in the medium term.
Volume analysis shows healthy participation during recent rallies, while the RSI hovering around 50 suggests moderate strength without signs of overbought conditions. This balance indicates potential for further upside before exhaustion sets in.
The projected path shown on the chart outlines a short-term pullback toward support, followed by a continuation rally through resistance. Such a move would confirm bullish momentum and possibly trigger a new wave of investor confidence as Tesla heads into the next earnings season.
However, if Tesla fails to maintain the ascending trendline, a dip below $410 could expose the stock to deeper retracement toward $380, testing previous breakout levels.
Overall, Tesla’s structure remains technically constructive. The uptrend is intact, supported by volume and strong higher-lows formation. Traders are closely watching for a decisive breakout above $492, which could mark the beginning of a fresh rally phase as market sentiment leans bullish on tech and EV momentum.






















