XBRUSD 🛢 On the weekly chart, Brent is testing the global trend line at extremely strong support. The lips have crossed the jaw on the Alligator, and the MACD histogram indicates growing bullish sentiment, but two scenarios are possible.
🔼 A breakout above 70.50 will open the way to 77.50 and even 81.00; 🔽 A rebound will drop XBRUSD back to 60.00.
XBRUSD 🛢 Brent has finally broken through the upper boundary of the falling wedge and is now actively testing MA200. MACD confirms the reversal, and FVG is a magnet for the price.
🔼 Consolidation above 65.30 will open the way for growth; 🎯 Target: 68.70
BRENT 📌 Market Context BRENT Crude (UKOIL) is showing strong bullish intent as institutional capital rotates back into the energy complex. Price has confirmed strength with a Triangular Moving Average breakout, followed by a healthy retest, signaling trend continuation rather than exhaustion.
📈 Trade Plan – BULLISH BIAS CONFIRMED ✅ Trend Structure: Bullish ✅ Momentum: Sustained above dynamic support ✅ Confirmation: Triangle MA breakout + retest holding
This setup favors continuation buying using a layered entry approach rather than chasing a single price.
🎯 Entry Strategy – Thief Layering Method Any price level entry using multiple buy-limit layers
🧠 Concept: Scale in like institutions — reduce emotional risk, improve average price. Buy Limit Layers: 65.000 64.500 64.000 63.500
📌 You may expand or compress layers based on your risk profile and volatility conditions.
🧱 Target Zone – Profit Extraction Area 🎯 Primary Target: 67.500 Why this level? Simple Moving Average acting as dynamic resistance Overbought conditions approaching High probability liquidity trap zone
🚨 Police Force Rule: When price reaches resistance + overbought → secure profits, don’t get greedy.
🛑 Stop Loss – Capital Protection 🔒 SL Level: 63.000 📉 Placed below key moving average support to avoid noise and stop hunts.
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Factors to Watch (Real-Time Focus) Keep an eye on live macro drivers impacting crude oil:
🛢 OPEC+ production guidance & compliance tone
🇺🇸 US Crude Oil Inventories (EIA data)
🌐 Global risk sentiment (equities vs commodities flow)
💵 US Dollar strength (inverse correlation with oil)
⚔️ Geopolitical headlines impacting supply routes
🏦 Central bank policy tone influencing inflation expectations
📌 Energy markets react fast — align technicals with real-time news flow.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Check) Monitoring correlated assets improves trade confidence: WTI Crude (USOIL) – Direct price correlation XLE (Energy Sector ETF) – Institutional energy exposure USD Index (DXY) – Strong USD can cap oil upside CAD Pairs (USD/CAD) – Oil strength often supports CAD
XBRUSD Crude Oil (CL) is trading at $59.12 on the daily chart, staging a short-term bounce but locked in a tug-of-war at major resistance near $60.50–$61.50. Momentum has shifted bullishly for now, but bears still control the long-term trend—so every trader’s eyes are on whether this rally fizzles or finally breaks through.
BRENT Iran’s government has announced monthly financial support of one million tomans (around $7) for most citizens, to be paid over the next four months, as public protests continue over rising living costs and economic pressure!
The program is expected to reach nearly 80 million people across Iran. Protests have been reported in several provinces, while official data shows inflation crossed 40 percent in December alongside sharp currency weakness