Trade ideas
Buying the Dip or Catching a Falling Knife?Berkshire Hathaway has just broken its long-term rising channel after several years of steady growth. The recent pullback looks scary at first glance, but for long-term investors, this kind of correction could be exactly the kind of discount opportunity that rarely comes around.
Right now, NYSE:BRK.A is trading around the channel breakdown area, with potential downside targets between 20% and 30% from top, based on the chart structure. Those targets might sound steep, but they also represent attractive entry levels if you believe in Berkshire’s long-term strength.
So why is it falling now?
The market has been adjusting to tighter liquidity, slower growth expectations, and the possibility that several bubbles, especially in tech, government debt, or crypto, could start to deflate. As investors rotate capital or take profits, even quality names like Berkshire get caught in the correction.
But here’s where the story turns interesting, Berkshire Hathaway is sitting on one of the largest cash reserves in the world . That liquidity gives Warren Buffett and his team an enormous advantage. If any of these bubbles truly pop, Berkshire will be in a perfect position to deploy capital at huge discounts , just like it did during previous crises.
In other words, while others panic, Berkshire buys . And historically, that’s where the biggest gains are made.
Technical view:
📉 Channel break confirmed and pullback too → short-term bearish momentum.
🎯 Target 1: ~20% discount (first buy zone)
🎯 Target 2: ~25% discount
🎯 Target 3: ~30% discount (deep value area)
📊 Volume profile supports demand in these lower regions.
Long-term view:
If the broader market keeps correcting, Berkshire could temporarily drop further, but that only makes it a better deal for long-term investors looking to own a diversified giant with unmatched liquidity and buying power.
Short-term pain, long-term opportunity.
Berkshire’s Lower HighsBerkshire Hathaway has lagged as the broader market hits new highs. Is the financial giant stalling?
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since early May. Those may suggest its long-term uptrend is fading.
Second is the pair of large solid candles on October 10 and October 16. Prices have failed to get above those ranges, which may reflect a lack of buyers. Also notice how the $496 area was support earlier this month but has now morphed into apparent resistance.
Traders may next eye the August 22 weekly close of $489, which the conglomerate has recently stayed above. Would a close below that level trigger a breakdown?
Third, the 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) have converged in the last two weeks. That could also reflect a weakening long-term trend.
Third, MACD is falling and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA. That may reflect growing bearishness in the short term.
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BRK.A (Berkshire Hathaway) Breakout Alert: Bullish Setup Ready 🚀 BRK.A (Berkshire Hathaway) Breakout Alert: Bullish Setup Ready to Soar! 🚀
Traders, get ready for action! 🔥 The NYSE:BRK.A (Berkshire Hathaway Inc) chart is screaming opportunity on the 1-hour timeframe, with price coiling up against a descending trendline, poised for a powerful breakout. This setup is loaded with potential, and we’re watching closely for the U.S. market to open on Monday to confirm the move! 📈
📊 Setup Highlights:
Timeframe: 1-hour – perfect for catching this breakout wave.
Key Trigger: Price is on the verge of smashing through the descending trendline. A confirmed break signals a green light for a long position!
Risk-Reward: A tight stop loss at just 1.3% below entry keeps risk low, while the setup targets over 6% profit – that’s a juicy 4.6 R:R ratio! 💪
Bonus Pattern: We’re also eyeing an AB=CD harmonic pattern completion, which could amplify this move if it plays out.
Hold tight until Monday’s market open to see if the bulls take charge and validate this setup. Berkshire’s ready to run – don’t miss this potential gem! 🐂
⚠️ Disclaimer: Not financial advice – always DYOR and trade smart. Stocks can be volatile, so manage your risk like a pro!
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Strategically Investing in Berkshire HathawayI'm going to write about what makes Berkshire a good company, and why I am buying it. Since it is such a huge company I might not be able to define every single detail but I will do my best to cover the most important aspects of the company for you. I hope you enjoy my idea, I am using my time to write this for your benefit and entertainment. If your deciding whether or not you want to buy Berkshire shares maybe this idea can help you to be more informed without having to do a ton of research.
One of the most appealing things to me right now about the shares, is that they are significantly undervalued. The best way to determine the intrinsic value for this company would be to use the discounted cash flow calculation. Projecting 5 years into the future, based on how much money the company will be expected to generate over this period of time, it is reasonable to assume the intrinsic value of the shares to be approximately $560. I think it could take some time to get there so I'm estimating about one or two years from now Berkshire will be worth $560 or more.
Looking at how the company actually uses its capital is important. When the market is at all time highs, investors typically rebalance their portfolios into undervalued, less risky, more stable companies. Berkshire fits the narrative here, and I'm going to explain why.
-Berkshire reallocates capital to its diverse portfolio of businesses, including railroad, energy, manufacturing, and service and retail companies. This can involve funding growth and "bolt-on" acquisitions for subsidiary companies.
-A significant portion of capital is used to purchase equity securities, such as stocks in companies like Apple, American Express, and Coca-Cola, either for a full stake or a "part interest".
-The company holds a large amount of cash and short-term investments to be prepared for market opportunities, which can include waiting for the right time to make large acquisitions or investments.
-Berkshire's core insurance operations generate "float"—money taken in as premiums before claims are paid—which is then invested in other businesses and securities.
-Berkshire uses debt very sparingly and prioritizes equity and its insurance float as its primary sources of capital.
-While individual businesses manage their daily operations, top management, led by Warren Buffett, makes the major capital allocation decisions to ensure capital is deployed where it can generate the highest returns. However as many of you know, Warren Buffett will step down as CEO and leave Greg Abel in charge, I don't think this will change much in the core operations of the business.
All of these factors contribute to this being a low risk, undervalued investment opportunity despite unfavorable market conditions with the US500 being at all time highs. I have rotated some capital in Berkshire class B shares as a way to reduce my risk but also stay exposed to the market. Berkshire is a great defensive stock that can be added to a diversified portfolio to grow and protect it.
BRK.B - Back to former glory=======
Volume
=======
-neutral
==========
Price Action
==========
- falling wedge
- Weak selling pressure
- broken out of 2.5 years downtrend line
=================
Technical Indicators
=================
- Ichimoku
>>> price above cloud and rebounded from green kumo
>>> Green kumo budding
>>> Tenken + Chiku - above clouds
>>> Kijun - Above clouds
=========
Oscillators
=========
- MACD turning bullish
- DMI neutral
- StochRSI, turning bullish, reversing into band
=========
Conclusion
=========
- short to long term breakout swing
- price may reverse at current level, to enter spot or wait for pullback at entry 2.
Berkshire: Pulling BackBerkshire shares have recently surrendered some of their hard-earned gains. Despite this pullback, we continue to place the stock within magenta wave (X), which still offers some upside potential. A more pronounced downward move is likely only once the stock transitions into magenta wave (Y). At that point, we expect a retracement into our green Target Zone ($444.68–$415.61). Alternatively, it’s possible that the correction of wave alt. has already concluded. In this scenario, price would break above resistance at $571.83 directly, without first retesting the green zone—a development we assign a 35% probability.
Berkshire Hathaway: Clear Wave Structure Offering More GainsWhen I scan through charts, whether it’s stocks, currencies, or commodities, I want to focus on something that has a clear wave structure. Patterns like this allow me to read price action with more confidence, without needing to guess or force an opinion. Berkshire Hathaway is one of those charts right now.
What stands out is the sharp selloff, which looks like a textbook impulse. More importantly, there’s also a clear impulsive move from the lows. That combination suggests we could be looking at wave C low of a completed flat correction. If that’s the case, then more upside should follow.
Even in a less bullish scenario, where the structure plays out only as a temporary A-B-C rally, we would still expect further gains in wave C after the current pause. Either way, the clear structure points higher near term.
For me, this is where the opportunity lies. Markets are full of noise, but when you find a chart with this kind of clarity, it becomes easier to focus and build a plan around it.
Grega
Berkshire Hathaway (Class B) TANYSE:BRK.B — Daily
Set-up: After a 4-month downtrend, price based at $455.19 on increased volume. Since then, an 8-wave EWT fractal has played out and price has coiled into an ending/contracting triangle.
Evidence
Trend exhaustion signals: CCI pushed outside its Bollinger band on 5 Jun and 4 Aug; the latter aligned with the volume peak and low at $455.19.
200-day SMA: Flipped from resistance to support and has been respected since July, especially through mid-September while price consolidated inside the triangle.
Volume profile: A volume shelf sits at the lower edge of the triangle, consistent with acceptance and a pending range break.
MA squeeze: Short MAs are compressing → rising odds of a directional move.
Levels & paths
Upside trigger: Triangle breakout → first resistance/target $507.66 (recent swing high).
Downside risk: If the triangle fails and resolves as a bear pennant, a 1:1 pole projection points to ~$467. Loss of the volume shelf would add confirmation.
What I’m watching
A decisive daily close outside the triangle with volume expansion.
CCI to exit its band in the direction of the break (momentum confirmation).
200-day SMA reaction: hold = constructive, fail = favors ~$467 projection.
Berkshire Hathaway Inc(NYSE) (W)- Renewed institutional interestBias : Currently bullish on the weekly timeframe as long as price sustains above $504.73 with volume support. A breakout above $534.68 would confirm strength toward $564–595 zones.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish Case
If price holds above $504.73, next upside targets are:
$534.68 → strong resistance
$564.63 → breakout confirmation zone
Beyond that → $594.57 and $624.52
Alternatively, consider buying a pullback to $480–$490 with a stop below $474 for a lower-risk entry.
Bearish Case
Rejection at $504.73–$534.68 zone could push price back to $474.79 support.
A close below $474.79 would indicate a deeper correction.
Volume Analysis
Weekly buying volume increased, supporting the upward move.
Sustained higher volume compared to the last few weeks suggests renewed institutional interest.
The blue average volume line shows volume is now above average, validating the breakout attempt.
⚠️ Disclaimer : This chart is for educational purposes only.
Regulatory Note: We are an independent development team. Our services are not registered or licensed by any regulatory body in India, the U.S., the U.K., or any global financial authority. Please consult a licensed advisor before making trading decisions.
Berkshire: All Set for a Bullish MoveBerkshire is all set for a bull move.
Price has taken support at the 200-day EMA and is continuing the uptrend.
This pattern has repeated many times on this specific stock.
With a close stop-loss investors can ride the forthcoming bull wave.
(For educational purposes only)
sellers seem to relinquish control, upcoming cheap =BUYers world1->3 : create a lower low , this makes
total sense in a downtrend, simply a
continuation
3->4 : surpass the sellers from number 2 ,
this creates a logical change in perception,
the people in control of the market are no
longer the sellers from number 2 , but the
buyers who have originated and pushed up
from 3
what do I think will happen?
* I think we will return to #3 , not sure when
or how powerfully, we could gap down there
and just touch it or slowly go down
* we will confirm the low then continue upward
* the second vwap range is around that area, if price goes up, then pushes down, it could be in
perfect position to mark out the next leg up
* a buy limit is the order to place here
Berkshire Hathaway looks appealing in todays market conditionsWith most markets at all time highs it is becoming increasingly difficult to find good opportunities for buying. I have decided to allocate about 9% of my portfolio to Berkshire Hathaway as a sort of hedge against some of my other positions. I like to have a diverse exposure to the markets and with Berkshire Hathaway being a conglomerate it is a perfect stock for someone like me to invest in. The stock seems to be doing the opposite of the us500 so far this year hence why I call it a hedge. According to my simple technical analysis there is a probability for the stock to make a reversal after spending some time going down.
The company has already donated plenty of shares which probably has something to do with it going down, which presents a unique opportunity to invest in it since there is nothing fundamentally wrong with the company. With that being said they have also said they probably wont engage in share buy backs until next year at least so it could be a falling knife type situation. However I am confident in the company and feel like it is a great stock to have in my portfolio for the long term.
The range of the intrinsic value according to the discounted cash flow model is between $400-$1000 with a 5 year exit. Assuming a 7.4% discount rate the intrinsic valuation for the stock is $575 presenting a unique opportunity for a 20% upside. The stock is certainly undervalued but like I said it could be a falling knife in the worst case scenario. Calculating the intrinsic value is highly speculative and complex, but it gives me increased confidence in my decision to push the buy button. I hope you found my analysis useful, drop a comment if you want to talk more about the stock or whatever.
Berkshire is losing the Buffet's premiumTechnical Overview
Looking at the current NYSE:BRK.A chart, several signals suggest a potential shift from the prior bullish trend:
Channel Break : Price has broken down from a long-standing ascending channel, which often marks the end of an uptrend and the start of a consolidation or a bearish phase.
Possible Pullback: After the channel break, the chart highlights a likely pullback toward the broken support, now turned resistance. If BRK.A fails to retake this area, downside follow-through becomes probable.
Targets Identified:
Target 1: Around 655,000 USD, supported by a significant volume cluster.
Target 2: Near 615,000 USD, another high-volume historical support.
Target 3: Around 545,000 USD, marking a deeper retracement in case of extended weakness.
Invalidation: If price strongly reclaims the prior channel and breaks above the highlighted red resistance, the bearish idea should be reconsidered.
Fundamental Arguments
Berkshire’s largest holdings, particularly in tech, are sensitive to market corrections, especially in a rising rate environment, which can weigh on valuation multiples.
Growth in net earnings has moderated, with key segments (insurance, railroad, and energy) facing headwinds or margin pressures.
Diminishing Buyback Impact: With shares previously at all-time highs, Berkshire’s ability to use buybacks as strong downside support is reduced if valuation stays elevated or fundamentals drift.
Trade Setup
Entry Idea: Look for opportunities to go short or trade sideways after a failed retest of the broken channel, as seen on the chart.
Profit Targets: Use the volume-based support zones at 655,000, 615,000, and 545,000 USD.
Stop Loss: A convincing break back into the channel and above local resistance invalidates the setup.
This gives us opportunities to risk around 3 to 4% and earn more than 9%. A great Risk Reward ratio.
Laste note about channels
Trading after a channel break can offer strong open risk/reward setups, especially if fundamental forces align with the technical picture. While Berkshire Hathaway remains a resilient company, markets can enter periods of consolidation or pullback even for top-tier stocks. Always mix technical observation with a view on macro and company fundamentals for improved decision-making.
💬 Does this setup align with your view on BRK?
🚀 Hit the rocket if this helped you spot the opportunity and follow for more clean, educational trade ideas!
Bershire Hathaway Stock Analysis/BRK.AI looked at this particular stock because of insane activity from $623,302 to $741,590 in one day. That rejection told me to pay attention Money was coming to the door. So if the market is approaching this area again, rejection is the likely response. Looking at a short is temporary. This market is bullish in nature.
What's the deal with BRK.B?! Where is the short term bottom?I'm pretty new to this, so I'm looking to see if anyone has any thoughts about BRK.B. The best looking support is the April low, but it seems like it could fall below to the Jan 2025 low with the way it is steadily dropping. That would suck! I'm averaged at $491 and prefer not to see it go that low, but I will be holding very long-term anyway.
Any thoughts on a bottom? They hold 300+ billion in cash, so surely they'll figure out what to do with it soon. *Fingers crossed*






















