EBAY LONGEbay looking bullish with a small channel, could see a breakout here. Only buy if levels are broken
EBAYCL trade ideas
EBAY(Priceaction)buyThe band trend is bullish
In time H1 is correcting to a rectangular shape that approaches the ceiling of the rectangle and increases the probability of failure of the upward rectangle and rises at least to the previous ceiling
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EBAY: FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS+PRICE ACTION & NEXT TARGET|LONG🔔Since the end of March 2020, eBay's stock price has risen 146%. Due to the unfortunate COVID-19 situation, many people have been forced to turn to reliable online sources to buy goods, and the e-commerce marketplace eBay has received a huge boost from this wave of traffic. Revenue growth accelerated from a 2% year-over-year decline in the first quarter of 2020 to 42% in the first quarter of 2021.
So far, investors have boosted the company's stock price by 47% in 2021, compared to the 13.6% return of the broader market as measured by the Nasdaq Composite Index. Should you still think about investing in eBay at current levels?
Valuation is always important when assessing the potential growth of a stock. eBay is trading at 19 times the consensus earnings forecast for 2021, which is below the average S&P 500 earnings forecast of 22. The stock could be slightly undervalued, relying on how much eBay will evolve over the long term.
Nevertheless, eBay has faced tougher year-over-year growth comparisons this year. In Q2, revenue grew 11% in currency-neutral terms, down 42% in the first quarter and 30% in the year-ago quarter. In the third quarter, management anticipates revenue to increase 6% to 8% on a currency-neutral basis compared to last year's quarter.
The stock price is up 7.1% since the Aug. 11 earnings report, but given the slowdown, it's hard to say whether the stock will continue to rise in the near term. However, eBay could accelerate earnings growth again in 2022, based on management's strategy to improve the trading platform business.
CEO Jamie Iannone took over in April 2020 and brings with him extensive experience as a chief operating officer of Walmart's e-commerce division. eBay faces growing pressure from new competitors such as Etsy, which posted triple-digit revenue growth in 2020 and added 35.5 million new active buyers. That's more than three times eBay's growth of 11 million active buyers in 2020.
In recent quarters, eBay has reported strong results in new categories, including authentic sneakers, trading cards, and high-end watches. Trading cards, for example, brought in $2 billion in gross merchandise volume (GMV) in the first half of the year, and Iannone sees "untapped potential" for further growth in this category.
Still, $2 billion GMV isn't much compared to eBay's total GMV of $22 billion in the last quarter, but there's more to the strategy than the category's recent expansion. The point is to provide more in-demand things that attract young people, particularly Generation Z and Millennials who like to shop frequently.
Before Iannone joined the company, eBay was concentrated on increasing the overall number of active shoppers without paying attention to the quality of its customers in terms of how engaged they were or how much they spent. As a result, growth in the number of active shoppers slowed to just 1% right before the pandemic in Q1 2020. In essence, Iannone wants to reduce reliance on what he calls "one-time shoppers" and focus on attracting "lifelong enthusiasts" to the marketplace to drive higher growth, which is already yielding good results.
For example, eBay has found that a Generation Z shopper will buy $500 sneakers, but then spend another $2,000 on other categories of merchandise. Iannone explained this during eBay's second-quarter earnings call:
"We're seeing in watches, where a high-end watch buyer spends $8,000 in non-watch categories, and that's over 50 items, and that's one of eBay's advantages - the cross-category nature of shopping, which is very difficult for other competitors to replicate."
Although eBay's number of active buyers fell by 7 million sequentially to 159 million this quarter, that's still a broad customer reach that reflects the wide variety of products eBay offers as the company seeks to attract higher-value buyers.
"Compared to last year, the number of these buyers is increasing, and their spending on eBay is increasing even faster," Iannone said. "This better mix of buyers adds value for sellers and will lead to a better state of our ecosystem in the long run."
If eBay can attract more high-volume buyers to the marketplace, it will attract more sellers. That, in turn, will lead to more product selection, which will also help attract more buyers and create a growth flywheel.
Iannone has breathed new life into eBay, which, in our opinion, makes this stock worth watching even after rising over the past year. There are faster-growing online retail stocks, but eBay is not going away. The company generates a healthy level of free cash flow, which it returns to shareholders through stock repurchases and dividend payments. Over the past year, eBay's free cash flow was $2.9 billion, a high margin of 29 percent compared to total revenue of $10 billion.
It's not too late to invest in eBay. If management continues to be successful in attracting young buyers, the stock could generate above-market returns.
$EBAY a BuyTechnical:
- Fib retracement (not shown) shows a good entry point.
- Support held last quarter (dashed line), though it broke before recent earnings only to come back again.
- Fib extensions (shown on graph) are good exit points though this this a long term hold because of growth potential and dividends.
Fundamentals
- EPS growing exponentially since 2005.
- PE Ratio under 4 for a tech company is very low.
Sunday Prep 8/14 - $EBAYCrazy strong day on Friday with superb volume behind the move. Would love to see a weak open and a retrace to some key levels for early scoops come Monday. Can clearly see the 72.47 monthly pivot right there and if you look at the intra day price action from Friday you can see that level held multiple times. If that level can’t hold, the 61.8% fib level is going to put us down there in that 70 pocket which I also like. One thing I like to point out is where this move stemmed from; the weekly 20sma.
$EBAY. Quick Option PlayBeautiful MACD crossover after it rebound off that 200 Exponential Moving Average. Next candle we will have a Parabolic Sar pop up for a move to $69 plus. Grabbing up some 8-20 calls on EBAY strike price 67.50. This will be a quick in-n-out
WATCHING $EBAY for Entry Target @ 64.51WATCHING $EBAY for Entry Target @ 64.51
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I will repost when it get’s closer (or if I take a position)if it goes that way and if it makes higher highs I’ll repost with new entry.
$EBAY possible short if continuesbreakdown of levels pt would be to the next but scaling out regardless
EBAY stock prices in the range of $ 80 and $ 104Leaving the wedge pattern formed in the chart, the price of this share will see its first target at $ 80 and its next target at $ 104.
Bullish EBAY to 70.00EBAY has room to grow, and with the addition of NFTs potentially on their marketplace, a new source of growth is there to be captured. EBAY has also been lagging the Nasdaq 100 index for the past 3 years.
3 year returns:
Nasdaq 100 +93.41%
EBAY +62.14%
Weekly reaccumulation for $EBAY PT: $176.61Wyckoff reaccumulation pattern.
-long term PT: $176.61
-PT calculation using point and figure horizontal count method
EBAY: Tricky Situation On EBAYAs we can see the price is creating a type of "Rising Wedge" pattern. Strong resistance is coming from the upper trend line near the $67.42 area, which could push the lower price close to $58. A break out of the price above the pattern would confirm a stronger bullish momentum with targets as below:
Targets:
$73.73
$79.97
$84.71
Thank you and Good Luck!
IRON TARIHi guys,
this all starts with a 4 weeks 10% strikes, with 60% probability to end ITM. But the premium is too low, so I narrow the short legs and I invert the condor, so my short legs are @55 and @66( 8% strikes), instead @54 and @67.50.
By this I raise my probability from 40% at at least 50%, keeping a very good RR ratio, in fact with this trade max credit is 75$, and max loss is 25$.
Subscribe for free to get access to my indicator.
Enjoy your wallet!
Tari.
EBAY is a sell short EBAY is a sell short right now. Although the stock is doing the Andrews' Pitchfork going up, there is a divergence on the MACD and the price. Stochastics are also showing that the uptrend could finish, also a triple top is forming. The target price i believe is $60 on June 20-23. A buy stop limit should be place at $68.
EBAY - 14.18% Potential ProfitGood risk / reward ratio on this trade.
Ascending Triangle breakout.
Betting on momentum to keep going past the news release of eBay releasing Bag Autenthicating service that could help the marketplace to tap into the second-hand luxury industry.
- Target Entry: $65.51
- Target Stop Loss: $63.81
- Target Exit: $75.08
- Risk / Reward Ratio: 5.63
About me
- Note that I tend to adjust stop losses in order to secure profits early and preserve capital. This means that the target price is going to be achieved as long as there are no strong pullbacks that trigger my new adjusted stop loss
- When I see that the market is opening too high/low, I wait for 30 min from the opening bell before placing my order. This is to avoid that initial spikes / drops get me into a position and get me out right after.
