Trade ideas
McDonald's Corp: Bearish Deep Crab with Double PPO ConfirmationWe have a Bearish Deep Crab with a PPO Confirmation Arrow and a Circle with MACD Bearish Divergence and have broken below the faster moving EMAs. I would next expect this to make at least a 61.8% Retrace, which would take it back to about $185.
This makes the third major Dow 30 Stock that has signalled something ultra bearish like this; the other two being UNH and MSFT, which can be seen below:
We are likely looking at a major correction coming to the Dow Jones Industrial Average very soon.
MCD Entry, Volume, Target, StopEntry: with price above 298.80
Volume: with volume greater than 2.12M
Target: 318 area
Stop: Depending on your risk tolerance; 292.42 gets you 3/1 Reward to Risk Ratio.
This swing trade idea is not trade advice and is strictly based on my ideas and technical analysis. No due diligence or fundamental analysis was performed while evaluating this trade idea. Do not take this trade based on my idea, do not follow anyone blindly, do your own analysis and due diligence. I am not a professional trader.
MCD put credit spreadmacro: snp500 QQQ uptrend, but retracing, MCD Earnings beat
News: inflation flattening, russia stopping wheat shipments
TA : ascd triangle
STOP: rolling till worthless options
TP: low value per day or expire
risk: market downturn after very strong first half, fed continue rise interest rate
MCD McDonald's Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold MCD Head and Shoulders here:
Or reentered here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MCD McDonald's Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 300usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-8-18,
for a premium of approximately $3.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
A Low Risk Entry For MCDNYSE:MCD has been trading tight, breaking through its' pivot on 7/20. I was able to get a tidy 3.42% risk entry so I opened a full position.
She tried to follow through to all time highs early this morning but throughout the course of the day the price pulled back into the base. I didn't get a follow through but the market was knocking down most breakouts today, especially ones that were stretching into new 52 week highs.
I don't like that today's close was near the low of the day on increased volume over yesterday, but that's no reason not to be patient. I'm looking forward to seeing what Monday brings.
Cost: $297.15
Stop: $287
Risk: 3.42% on trade/.56% of portfolio
Maccies new highsTheir commitment to growth, customer satisfaction, and strategic partnerships with delivery services position them well to tap into markets and delivery services, which could drive the company's stock to new heights. With a focus on innovation and customer-centricity. After all these years maccies still has the parking lots packed.
McDonald's stock presents a small level double top shape!McDonald's stock presents a small level double top shape!
This figure shows the weekly candle chart of McDonald's stock from the end of 2019 to the present. The graph overlays the low point of 2020 against the golden section. As shown in the figure, the high points of the past two months have been suppressed by the 2.618 position of the golden section in the figure, and the low point in early June has just stepped back on the 2.382 position of the golden section in the figure! So, in the future, we can use these two positions (280-299) as the key ranges for McDonald's stocks, with a fluctuating approach within the range and a unilateral breakthrough approach outside the range!
MCD short opportunityNot financial advice.
When price reaches $290.32, i expect to see a strong rejection. Price could reject to one of three levels
$286
$283.63
or $273.26
Nothing is guaranteed, but I've posted further analysis on the chart for those interested. This is all on a daily timeframe, so act accordingly.
It should be noted that i am not looking to see NYSE:MCD create a lower low and initiate a change of structure, this is simply an accumulation type move following the previous higher low.
mean reversion with enhancementsIm looking for mean reversion opportunities in this stock currently. My SL is bassed on time to profit ratio. i dont use stop losses but will get out if theres a 50% decline. I tested for probalistic monthly sharpe ratio outperformance of the s and p 500.
I tested for monthly normality with the kolmogrov smirnov statistic. and looked for a non-significant p-value in order to signify the distibution fitting
I measured the annual sharpe ratio outperformance. I also measured the uler,calmar,sterling and martin ratio to compare ma drawdown, avg drawdown and loss after previous loss using the ulcer index.
I used the hurst exponent to measure if the return distributions are indeed mean reverting then lastly i created a portfolio based around a basket of qualified stocks and maximized its sharpe ratio.
Understanding VWMA - Accu/Dist - OBVBlue flag showed us the decline of The A/D line, before entering sideways.
Sept 30th, showed the lowest price and the lowest OBV line.
When price crossed up VWMA (black flag), there was a significant rise of OBV line, while The A/D line was still in sideways mode.
Jan 19th, when the price and VWMA are still in the sideways, the A/D line slightly rose up meaning there was an adding volume action. Even though The up-days fewer than the down-days (OBV line declined).
March 16th, price crossed up VWMA, the OBV line moved up, and The A/D line has been rising up since Jan 19th.






















