NVDA gravity is strong....$140NVDA is heading towards the death cross (SMA200) and doesn't seem like much will change that at this point. The economy is doing horribly, despite a few small wins. Even the lower interest rate (25/50 basis points) is too little too late, when most of the S&P is already trading below 200SMA. There is a massive overheating of AI Tech stocks that are highly concentrated, and a massive correction is coming. Follow CAPE and PE ratios historically, this time won't be different! Best of luck....
NVDACL trade ideas
$NVDA: Wave PropertiesResearch Series
Documenting regularities:
Half-way through bullish phase draws distinctive pattern (stops there, corrects a while, and tackles the direction in refreshed state)
After heavy drops it scales out in distinctive way
When stretched - also fits its internal cadence
Alternative scenario with similar scaling laws
Lowered fractal patterns to emphasize on cycles only (temporal aspect)
AI GAIN Act: A Shot in the Foot for the Chip Industry?By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
The debate over Western leadership in artificial intelligence once again centers on Washington. The new AI GAIN Act, integrated as part of the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), establishes that any chip with performance above 4,800 TOPS will require an export license. The measure also stipulates that semiconductor manufacturers must prioritize deliveries to U.S. companies before exporting advanced chips abroad. Framed as a strategy to reinforce national security and curb China, the legislation has sparked alarm across the industry. In short: if U.S. companies are waiting for chips, China and other countries move to the back of the line.
Nvidia raises the alarm
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA.O), the undisputed leader in GPUs for AI, has warned that the law would stifle global competitiveness and slow innovation in artificial intelligence. According to the company, there is currently no domestic supply shortage that justifies restricting access for foreign clients. The criticism recalls the controversial AI Diffusion Rule, pushed by the Biden administration in early 2025 and eventually revoked before coming into force. At the time, restrictions also aimed to control the export of chips and AI models but were discarded for being excessively rigid.
Impact on the semiconductor sector
The reach of the AI GAIN Act goes beyond Nvidia:
• AMD, with its growing exposure to AI accelerators, faces similar risks in its international operations.
• Intel, with a stronger domestic presence, may be less affected, as its profile aligns with the strategic goal of boosting local production.
• Broadcom and Qualcomm, highly dependent on global client networks, would face tighter constraints on commercial flexibility.
The most likely outcome is a double-edged sword: ensuring the U.S. always has priority in the supply chain, but at the cost of undermining the global business model that sustains sector margins. In short: the risk is that the cure ends up being worse than the disease, slowing global competition.
Technical analysis of Nvidia
Nvidia’s stock remains close to record highs after holding above USD 164 yesterday and closing at USD 168.31. Price action shows the loss of the 50-day moving average and movement toward the 100-day. A clear trend reversal has not yet materialized, even though the RSI is in oversold territory at 39.44, while the MACD is shifting into negative territory, crossing into the lower part of the histogram.
Another relevant factor is a price bell that has moved strongly between USD 152.89 and USD 126.84, with its Point of Control (POC) around USD 138.17, slightly below the accumulation zone that fueled the rally to all-time highs. The ActivTrades US Market Pulse currently signals Extreme Risk-On conditions in U.S. markets, highlighting a phase of exuberance on Wall Street where macro or geopolitical risks seem ignored. This new law could act as a catalyst for sector pullbacks.
If the current support at USD 164.58 and the next level at USD 152.89 fail, a return to the POC would be likely. On the other hand, if prices hold and consolidate, a new rally toward highs is possible. Such regulatory moves can trigger trend shifts, but if the market absorbs them, upside momentum could resume. From a wave structure perspective, bullish waves remain intact, suggesting this may be only a temporary pause.
• Resistances: All-time high at USD 184.48
• Supports: 164.58, 152.89, and POC at 138.17
• Indicators: RSI at 39.44, signaling oversold and potential consolidation
• MACD: Negative territory
• Moving averages (50/100/200): No trend change yet, though the 50-day is approaching the 100-day
• ActivTrades US Market Pulse: Extreme Risk-On
Conclusion: Trump vs. AI
The Trump administration’s protectionist measures aim to secure national access to silicon and reduce dependence on foreign suppliers, in order to safeguard U.S. leadership in AI. However, Nvidia’s warnings—echoed by the broader sector—underscore fears that overregulation could erode the international competitiveness of American tech giants, especially against China and other emerging innovation hubs. In this race for AI dominance, building walls may end up slowing down your own runners.
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All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
NVDA Support and Resistance Lines Valid from July 1 to 31st 2025Overview:
These purple lines act as Support and resistance lines when the price moves into these lines from the bottom or the top direction. Based on the direction of the price movement, one can take long or short entries.
Trading Timeframes
I usually use 30min candlesticks to swing trade options by holding 2-3 days max. Anyone can also use 3hr or 4hrs to do 2 weeks max swing trades for massive up or down movements.
I post these 1st week of every month and they are valid till the end of the month.
Nvidia - the bigger pictureNVIDIA is in a short-term correction within a healthy long-term uptrend
In the short term, NVDA is undergoing a healthy correction, pulling back toward the $150 area—a level close to July’s low. Such a retracement is well within normal bounds and may offer an attractive entry point for those bullish on the stock’s longer-term trajectory.
Looking at the medium and long term, the technical and fundamental picture remains firmly bullish. The stock is still riding a strong uptrend supported by its leadership in AI, solid earnings, and innovation-driven growth.
Critically, if NVDA closes a weekly candle decisively below $150 (i.e., below the July low), it would no longer fall into the "healthy correction" category and could signal a deeper technical shift—one that warrants increased vigilance.
Why this makes sense:
Healthy pullback zone: The $150–July low area represents a typical retracement level, likely serving as support before a continued climb higher.
Long-term strength remains intact: Broad trend dynamics and fundamentals are still supportive of further upside
Weekly close below $150 is key: Only a breakdown on the weekly timeframe would prompt a reassessment of the trend’s integrity.
What I’m Watching Next:
Break Above $173
A daily candle closing above $173 resistance would serve as a trend continuation signal, suggesting renewed bullish momentum and likely reopening the move higher toward previous highs.
Breakdown Below $165
Conversely, a close under $165 would most likely extend the correction toward $150, marking a deeper retracement into the support area.
NVIDIA Has it bottomed??NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) broke last week below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 4 months (since May 06). That was perceived as the bullish trend's strongest Support and rightfully so technically.
The next level to watch as a Support is the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which was the level that held and led the stock to its previous peak during the last strong bullish trend of October 31 2023 to June 20 2024.
As you can see, there was a situation similar to today's where the price again broke below the 1D MA50 during the uptrend but kept the 1D MA100 intact and rebounded. Still, it managed to touch the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, there might be potential for one more weekly Leg down to $155.00 (Fib 0.236) before recovering but this would also most likely mean breaking below the 1D MA100. This is doubtful but not impossible but still there are higher probabilities of a rebound sooner.
A strong indicator that is in Support of this is the 1D RSI, which just touched its 2-year Support Zone, a level that has always been a 'Buy' whether short or long-term. As far as a Target is concerned, the 2024 Channel Up peaked on the -0.382 Fibonacci extension, which is at $245.00.
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NVDA: The AI Market’s Early Warning System🚨 NVDA: The AI Market’s Early Warning System
Summary :
NVIDIA just shook the market a little. When NVDA moves, the whole AI sector reacts. Here’s why the levels on the chart matter, and how I’m playing it.
Idea :
NVIDIA is not just another stock, it’s the heartbeat of the AI trade. When it shows weakness, the entire sector gets nervous. The marked zone on the chart can work as a first entry , while the blue support below is a stronger area if price dips further.
But here’s the risk : losing those levels would put NVDA in trouble, and that’s when AI stocks across the board could follow.
Why does NVDA matter so much?
• It’s the leader of the AI narrative.
• Its valuation is sky-high, which means expectations are huge.
• Competition is catching up (AMD, Intel, even custom chips from big tech).
So, do we stay long?
Yes, trend is still bullish, just like with Bitcoin. But that doesn’t mean we go all in. Better to stay long with caution, clear stop levels, and exit plans ready.
Conclusion :
NVDA is basically the canary in the coal mine for AI. If it keeps flying, the sector stays strong. If it falls, the warning is clear. Trade it with respect!!
AI proves i was right about NVDAI used Gemini AI to alayze my previous videos and the results was as following: Fundamentally; the price wasat its fair value, and technically; the price was at a reversing point.
This is my thoughts and ideas about the stock, do your math before trading.
Good luck luck to you all
Markets Titan
NVDA is Near it's TopHello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we’re looking at NVDA.
This is the first time I’ve shared a Fibonacci study with you.
The way I’ve mapped it is simple — start from the beginning of the bull run, and anchor it to the 61.8% retracement of the pullback. From this we can calculate where tops are typically found. (I stumbled upon this method trading with another trader who only used Fib's. I pointed this out to him, and we both got quiet...)
As of now, NVDA Is nearing the top of a channel, and close to the top of our FIB Extension. This is where rallies tend to stall, and the reaction here will determine if this becomes a temporary pause or a full reversal (unlikely).
Red Scenario
If we get rejection in this zone, NVDA could pull back into the demand area around 164–170. That’s the level where I’d expect buyers to step back in.
Longer term, I see NVDA as still bullish, but needing to cool down in the short term. Adding at 164 can be an aggressive way to continue to stack your long term.
Thanks for reading, as always Happy Trading!
@thecafetrader
ID: 2025 - 0178.26.2025
Trade #17 of 2025 executed.
Trade entry with 10 DTE.
This is a 100% purely directional short earnings play. I believe NVDA is going to be a huge miss tomorrow after the market closes, and I want to have a few days to let the market digest the news. These options expire Friday 9.6.2025, and if NVDA closes anywhere below 169 at expiration, this will be a 7R trade win.
Happy Trading!
-kevin
Clear downtrend $NVDA! It's only the largest company in the world and holds about 8% of the entire US stock market! Nothing to worry about that it's break key technical indicators and showing a clear downtrend. Again, it's probably nothing that it's overvalued and has a very concentration of 2-3 customers that make-up most of their revenue. The UltraShort signal supports this. Remember that September it typically a bad month for the market and really bad things happen! When in doubt, sell and stay cash friendly! You don't want to be holding a bag and praying that things go up. Hope is NOT a strategy!
Labor Market vs. Inflation Risks: What Traders Should WatchCME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! CBOT:ZN1! CBOT:ZB1! ECONOMICS:USNFP
The stock market is currently holding near all-time highs. Today, the BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics) report, which includes the NFP (non-farm payrolls), will be released at 7:30 am CT.
Market participants are closely watching the non-farm payrolls, with the forecast at 75K, as well as any prior revisions to earlier NFP numbers. The unemployment rate is expected at 4.3%, a slight increase of 0.1%.
Looking ahead, upcoming key events include inflation data and the September FOMC rate decision:
• Aug PPI (Sep 10): A gauge of upstream price pressures. Hot numbers would signal renewed inflation risks.
• Aug CPI & Core CPI (Sep 11): Critical headline data. A softer print would support the dovish case.
• Fed Decision (Sep 17): This meeting comes after the Aug NFP data release (Sep 5).
While there is broad optimism and euphoria in the market, we remain cautious based on our analysis of major futures indexes. Traders should be mindful of signals that could point to a pullback.
Our reasoning:
Markets are currently pricing in two 25 bps cuts for the September and October FOMC meetings, which would bring the target rate down to 3.75%–4.00%.
Additionally, markets are now pricing in four 25 bps cuts in 2026. Prior to the Jackson Hole meeting and recent Fed-related developments, expectations were for three cuts in 2025 and two cuts in 2026.
Does this imply that the effective tariff rate is benign? Is inflation expected to fall, or does this suggest that the Fed is willing to tolerate average inflation in the 2.5%–3.0% range?
The upcoming Fed meeting is likely to emphasize risks to the labor market, while downplaying inflation risks, highlighting the tradeoff within the Fed’s dual mandate.
Other considerations:
Seasonal and cyclical flows also suggest that equity indexes tend to underperform in September and October on average.
Risk-Monitoring Framework: Signs of a Pullback
Given the deteriorating macro backdrop, further steepening of the yield curve, persistently high long-end yields, and the heavy concentration of stock market capitalization in the Mag 9 stocks, it is critical to monitor:
1. Rates & Yield Curve
• 2s10s & 5s30s steepening: Excess steepening with long-end yields above 4.5% would tighten financial conditions.
• SOFR futures spreads: Divergence vs. FOMC guidance can signal rate-path misalignment.
2. Labor Market Signals
• NFP revisions: Downward revisions of >50K would reinforce labor weakness.
• Unemployment rate: Sustained above 4.3% could mark a turning point for the Fed’s labor mandate.
3. Inflation Data
• PPI upside surprises: A risk that supply-side shocks re-ignite inflationary pressures.
• CPI/Core CPI stickiness: Core >3.1% YoY would challenge the market’s dovish pricing.
4. Equity Market Internals
• Mag 9 leadership: Watch for relative weakness in NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, META, TSLA, GOOG, AVGO, and BRK.A.
• Breadth indicators: Advance/decline line and % of S&P 500 above 200-day MA. Narrowing breadth = fragility.
• Volatility (VIX): A spike above 20 would indicate stress returning to equity risk sentiment.
5. Cross-Asset Indicators
• Credit spreads (IG & HY): Widening signals stress in funding markets.
• USD & Commodities: Rising USD and higher energy prices would tighten global liquidity.
Conclusion
While optimism remains strong, we caution that macro deterioration, yield curve dynamics, and concentrated equity leadership create fragility. Pullback risks rise if:
• NFP disappoints sharply,
• inflation re-accelerates, or
• outperformance in the Mag 9 begins to roll over.
Traders should monitor these risk indicators closely, as they often precede market drawdowns in September–October.
Certainly Uncertain - How Much Confirmation Do You Need?So ... you have what looks like a set up.
"Just one more bar"
"Just wait for the close"
"Wait for this indicator to align"
"Watch for the next to align"
"Ensure this filter shows ‘green lights go’"
But by the time everything lines up
The move has gone.
The horse has bolted
You fumble to enter - all fingers and thumbs
You ‘feel’ like you’re chasing
Perhaps the moment has passed.
Flummoxed - you wonder - what the heck happened here?
Feel familiar?
The search for absolute certainty shows up in subtle ways:
Emotions:
Anxiety builds. A conflict between wanting to act and restraining the impulse. Applying self control with will … but the body and mind unsettled.
Thoughts:
Endless “what if” scenarios.
What if I miss it.
What if it goes without me
What if I just try and get ahead of this at a better price
Physical Cues:
Tension rises in the body showing up as a hand hovering over the mouse, heart rate climbing - eyes fixated on the screens, backside glued to the seat (for fear of missing it).
If you’ve ever experienced this, you may recognise it as feeling cautious or disciplined.
In the pursuit of being disciplined and true to your rules you feel out of alignment and hesitant.
Markets are uncertain by nature.
If we choose to engage with uncertainty, then surely the job is to create a sense of certainty within ourselves.
The question is how do you do this currently?
A coping mechanism that might help:
Breathe.
Centering your breath is one of the most under rated and effective ways to calm ones nervous system.
Reframe your entry as a probability, not a verdict.
Before you click, remind yourself: This trade doesn’t have to be certain, it just has to meet my criteria. Then execute and let the outcome be data - not proof of your worth. Adopt the mantra… ‘ This is one trade in a 1000’
Cultivate the state of certainty in uncertain environments one trade at a time.
Checking for support near 171.26
Hello, traders!
Follow me to get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day!
-------------------------------------
(NVDA 1M chart)
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a step-like uptrend is likely, while if it falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-like downtrend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy.
-
Looking at the current 1M chart, the HA-High to DOM(60) range is 121.80-138.23.
Therefore, if the price holds above 121.80-138.23, the step-like uptrend is likely to continue.
The left Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the first wave, and the key is whether the price can rise above 3.618 (181.85) and hold.
The right Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the second wave, and the key is whether the price can rise above 1 (198.88).
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can break above the 181.85-198.88 range.
If the price fails to rise,
1st: 152.89
2nd: 121.80-138.23
We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
-
(1D chart)
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1D chart is 180.76-182.70.
Therefore, for a stepwise uptrend to begin, the price must rise above 180.76-182.70 and maintain its position.
The 171.26 level is the HA-High indicator level on the 1W chart.
Therefore, the key question is whether support is found near 171.26.
If it falls below 171.26, it is likely to decline until it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this point, the key is whether it can find support near 152.89, the Fibonacci 3 level (157.76) to the left.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, there is a possibility of a downtrend, so you should consider a response plan.
------------------------------------------------
If this is your first time hearing this explanation, you may not understand what I'm talking about.
The important thing is that the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators indicate lows, while the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators indicate highs.
Therefore, buys should be made near the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators, and sells should be made near the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators.
To interpret charts from a long-term perspective, you need to check the positions of the DOM(-60), HA-Low, HA-High, and DOM(60) indicators on the 1M chart.
The 1W chart is interpreted from a medium- to long-term perspective, while the 1D chart is interpreted from a short-term perspective.
In the stock market, price fluctuations are often driven by issues other than the chart itself, so it's important to always be aware of volatility.
Even so, since volatility ultimately occurs after the chart is created, it's best to analyze the chart first and then examine other issues.
Otherwise, you'll likely end up creating a trading strategy that heavily reflects your own subjective opinions.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
Nvidia at a Crossroads – Support or Steeper Decline?Nvidia shares have fallen by about 6% since the company reported results on 27 August. The stock has now reached an important inflection point, trading in a range between $165 and $170, which is a major area of technical support. If this support is broken, it could see the shares slip towards $150 — a further decline of around 12% from their price of roughly $171 on 2 September.
The zone between $165 and $170 has acted as a support region on a few occasions since the gap higher on 15 July. That gap, however, was filled on 22 July, and it is possible that support at $165 has now been exhausted. This would mean that a retest of $165 could lead to the shares falling to their next support level, which is at the previous highs of $150.
We have also seen a change in trend for Nvidia, with the stock now trading below a trend line that has been in place since early May. It is also trading below its 20-day moving average, which has started to turn lower. The relative strength index (RSI) confirms this change in trend, as it has also been trending lower. The RSI formed a bearish divergence in late July after climbing above 70, a point at which the RSI began making lower highs while the share price continued to make higher highs.
If the stock is able to maintain support between $165 and $170, climb back above the 20-day moving average, and, more importantly, break the downtrend in the RSI, then it is possible that Nvidia could withstand this move lower and contain its losses, with an attempt to make another push towards all-time highs.
Outside of that, the road ahead for Nvidia looks challenging.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management.
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
NVDA $182 Weekly CALL Setup – Cheap Premium, Big Upside?
# 🚀 NVDA Weekly Options Trade Idea (2025-09-03)
### 📊 Multi-Model Recap
* **Daily RSI**: 📉 34.3 (weak)
* **Weekly RSI**: 🔻 73.2 (falling)
* **Volume**: +1.3x → institutional distribution signs
* **Options Flow**: 🔥 C/P = 1.96 (bullish skew)
* **Gamma/Theta**: ⚡ High risk (2 DTE)
👉 Models Split:
* 🐻 Bearish: Claude, Gemini → favor \$165 PUT
* 🐂 Bullish: Llama, Grok → favor \$175 CALL
* 😶 Neutral/No Trade: Claude (low confidence)
---
### 🧭 Consensus Read
* Price & volume = bearish ⚠️
* Options flow & VIX = bullish 📈
* Net: **Mixed bias → tactical bullish bounce possible**
---
### ✅ Trade Setup (Viral Play)
```json
{
"instrument": "NVDA",
"direction": "CALL",
"strike": 175,
"expiry": "2025-09-05",
"entry_price": 0.68,
"profit_target": 1.36,
"stop_loss": 0.34,
"size": 1,
"confidence": 0.65,
"entry_timing": "market open"
}
```
---
### 🎯 Trade Details
* 📌 **Strike**: \$182 CALL
* 💵 **Entry**: 0.68 (ask, open)
* 🎯 **Target**: 1.36 (+100%)
* 🛑 **Stop**: 0.34 (-50%)
* 📅 **Expiry**: Sep 5 (2 DTE)
* 📈 **Confidence**: 65%
* ⏰ **Hold Policy**: Close by Thu EOD (don’t ride Friday gamma bomb)
---
⚠️ **Risks**:
* 2 DTE = 🔥 high gamma / fast theta decay
* Divergent signals → whipsaws possible
* Tight stop discipline required 🚨
NVDA is going down for a while ...NVDA is continuing downward. I have the target as being around middle of October or later.
I used the Heikin Ashi candles:
1: They show more of a directional movement.
2: They tend to filter out the market noise, so you can see the direction better.
3: it reduces false signals, allowing you to stay in the trade longer.
4: And it also gives a smoother appearance making it easier to see the trends and reversals.
My stops are:
1) the high of the previous Heikin Ashi candlestick,
2) 2 green Heikin Ashi candlesticks,
3) a specific dollar amount for a total loss for my trade or
4) a specific dollar amount per contract.
If it hits one of those stops, I am out of my trade.
Typically, I would wait until there are 2 red daily Heikin Ashi candlesticks before entering which it has shown as of today.
I use the MacD, the Stock RSI and the DMI to assist me with the direction of the market. I am not perfect at them.
I personally find:
* the 5 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next half and hour.
* the 10 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next hour.
* the 30 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the daily.
* and, the hour indicators typically represents what will happen in the next week.
If you look at the weekly indicators, they are bearish already which shows a longer term directional movement.
Trade at your own risk, make sure you have stops in place and only use 10% of your trading account, so that if you are wrong, you will not blow up your account.
Happy trading!
The Trader's Mind: Stoic Balance and The 5 TruthsHello, fellow seekers.
Today, let's set aside the charts for a moment and talk about the single most important tool in our arsenal: our mind. A winning strategy is useless if the mind operating it is in a state of chaos. The key to consistency is not a secret indicator, but a balanced internal state.
Two of the most powerful frameworks for achieving this balance are the modern wisdom of trader Mark Douglas and the ancient philosophy of Stoicism. They are two different paths leading to the same truth.
Mark Douglas's 5 Fundamental Truths of Trading
Anything can happen.
You don't need to know what is going to happen next to make money.
There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge.
An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happening over another.
Every moment in the market is unique.
The Echo of Stoicism
These truths echo the teachings of Stoic philosophers like Marcus Aurelius. They teach us to accept what is outside our control (market movements) and focus only on what is within our control (our process, our risk, our mindset). This is the path to emotional flow, not suppression. It is watching the river of fear and greed flow by without being swept away by the current.
From Theory to Practice
This isn't just theory; it's the practical foundation for how we navigate the markets. In my next posts on NASDAQ:NVDA and NASDAQ:OPEN , you'll see exactly how these principles are applied in real-time to manage both a losing trade and a winning one.
Just shine.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
$NVDA The Vanguard Coils-Gathers Fuel for its Next AscentTraders, when the General pauses, we look to the Vanguard for clues. NASDAQ:NVDA has been a quintessential market leader, a rocket ship charting a course through clear skies. Its current price action is a critical piece of the puzzle for where the entire market may be headed next.
The Technical Landscape
The strength in this chart is undeniable. It is the definition of a stock in a powerful uptrend.
Relative Strength: NASDAQ:NVDA has consistently outperformed the broader market, making it a key barometer of risk appetite.
Current Pattern: The rocket ship is refueling. Price is consolidating in an exceptionally tight and orderly pattern right below the $182 resistance level. Critically, volume has been declining during this coil—a classic sign that sellers are scarce and the next move is likely to be upward.
Key Support: The launchpad for this consolidation is the support level around $170 . This area must hold for the immediate bullish structure to remain intact.
The Philosophy
Strength begets strength. In the market, this is a fundamental truth. To bet against an asset displaying such clear and persistent power is a low-probability endeavor. The current coil is not a topping pattern; it's a continuation pattern in waiting. It's the moment of calm before the engines reignite.
While the broader market takes a breath, leaders like NASDAQ:NVDA often complete their rest cycle first. How this pattern resolves will provide a powerful clue about the market's true intentions. We do not predict; we observe and align ourselves with demonstrated power.
An Illustrative Setup
The trade thesis is born from this powerful consolidation:
The Bullish Trigger: A confirmed breakout above $182 on increased volume is the signal that the refueling is complete and the next leg of the ascent has begun.
The Warning Signal: A failure to hold the $170 support would indicate a temporary mechanical issue, suggesting a deeper pullback is required before the journey can continue.
Watch the leader. It will often show the way.
Remember to just shine!
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.