TSLACL trade ideas
Tesla Options Flow Signals BIG Upside! $370C Momentum Trade
# 🚀 TSLA Weekly Options Setup | 370C Targeting 100%+ 📈
### 🔑 Key Highlights
* **Momentum:** RSI rising on both Daily (63.5) & Weekly (68.4) ✅
* **Options Flow:** Strong bullish skew (C/P = 1.79) 🟢
* **Volume:** Weak overall (0.9x), but institutional spike into close ⚡
* **Volatility:** VIX low → favorable for directional calls 😎
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### 📊 Trade Setup (Consensus Pick)
* 🎯 **Instrument:** TSLA Weekly Call
* 💵 **Strike:** \$370C
* 📅 **Expiry:** 2025-08-29
* 💰 **Entry:** \$0.98 (ask) — open
* 🛑 **Stop:** \$0.49 (-50%)
* 🎯 **Target:** \$1.96 (+100%)
* ⏳ **Max Hold:** Close by **Thursday EOD** to avoid Friday theta/gamma crush
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### 📌 Why \$370C?
* Best **liquidity** (OI \~18,450, vol 20k) → tightest fills ✅
* Balanced **delta & leverage** for short-term momentum 🎯
* Aligns with most model recommendations 📊
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### ⚠️ Risks to Watch
* 🔻 **Theta decay** accelerates mid-week → avoid holding to Friday
* 🔻 **Gap risk** at open — manage entries with limit orders
* 🔻 **Market reversal** can kill momentum fast
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## ✅ Final Verdict: **Strong Weekly Bullish Bias**
TSLA looks primed for an upside push — \$370C is the sweet spot for this week’s expiry.
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### 🔥 Hashtags
\#TSLA #OptionsTrading #WeeklyOptions #StocksToWatch #MomentumTrading #TradingSignals #CallOptions #BullishSetup #TeslaStock
TSLA Catalysts Ranking: September 2025 update and Path ForwardHere's an updated/revised outlook for TSLA including all the primary
catalyst ranking and analyst ratings and overview of latest developments
this was updated for September 2025 with all the viable market data.
🤖1. Autonomous & Robotaxi Execution (↑ from 8.5 to 9/10)
• Why it matters: Tesla officially launched its Robotaxi service in Austin on June 22, 2025, deploying a small fleet of 10–20 invite-only Model Ys operating within a geofence and featuring human safety monitors..
• The stock rallied impressively—up 9%–11% on launch day..
• Regulatory scrutiny intensified as the NHTSA launched probes into delayed crash reporting and other safety concerns..
• Musk also touted FSD v14 as 2–3× safer than humans, with v15 aiming to be 10× safer—but cautioned debugging would take "several months.".
• Why the bump to 9/10? The real-world rollout is finally underway, drawing heavy investor focus—even amidst safety questions.
________________________________________
🌍2. EV Demand Growth & Geographic Recovery (holds at 9/10)
• Despite a 13% year over year global sales drop in H1 2025, future demand hinges on Amazon of lower priced models and tax credit extensions..
• Strong upward investor sentiment: TSLA is up 54% over the past year, despite being down ~16% YTD..
• Why still 9/10? Long-term EV momentum remains solid; a rebound may follow new launches or incentive shifts.
________________________________________
💸3. U.S. EV Tax Credits & Incentives (↑ from 6 to 7.5/10)
• The $7,500 EV tax credit—set to expire September 30—has been extended: now, buyers can qualify with a signed purchase agreement, even before delivery..
• However, expiration still looms and could dampen demand..
• Why bump to 7.5/10? The extension buys breathing room and could stabilize near-term demand.
________________________________________
📉4. Fed & Interest Rates (↑ from 5 to 6.5/10)
• On August 22, Tesla led a mega cap tech rally (up 6%+) after Fed chair hinted at possible rate cuts—lower borrowing costs may aid EV financing..
• Why improved score? Lower rates remain a key catalyst for big-ticket items like EVs.
________________________________________
🎭5. Affordable Entry-Level Model / Next-Gen Platform (holds at 8.5/10)
• Musk revealed the upcoming affordable model may resemble a Model Y and could launch slower than expected post tax credit expiration..
• The “next gen” platform—including the so called “Model 2/Q” or Cybercab—targets mid 2025 production..
• With delays likely, expectations remain high but execution risk persists.
________________________________________
🔋6. Battery Cost & Margin Improvement (holds at 8/10)
• Q2 margins improved modestly, supported by cost cuts and energy business growth..
• Yet, regulatory credits continue to decline (–51%), pressuring margins..
________________________________________
🤖7. Energy & AI Upside (new 8/10)
• Tesla is doubling down on autonomy and energy. Musk highlighted robotaxi, energy storage, and its humanoid Optimus robot, slated for early 2026..
• Wedbush’s Dan Ives sees Tesla as an “embodied AI compounder,” while William Blair estimates self driving could be worth nearly $1 trillion..
• This iterative AI and energy focus is a compelling re-rating vector.
________________________________________
📊 8. Safety, Regulatory & Governance Risk (↑ to 7/10)
• NHTSA’s probe into crash-report delays, plus ongoing FSD safety concerns, elevate tail risk..
• Musk’s political entanglements have had adverse brand impacts; while stepping back from new political initiatives helped marginally, skepticism persists..
• Added governance scrutiny and Musk’s external ventures continue to weigh on sentiment.
________________________________________
🚩9. Competition & Global Sales Slump (holds at 6.5/10)
• EV rivalry heats up, and Tesla’s European and Chinese market share slumped significantly.
• Still a notable headwind.
________________________________________
✅10. Commodities & Raw Material Costs (holds at 5.5/10)
• Volatile raw material prices continue to affect margins; hedges help but don't eliminate the risk.
________________________________________
🚀11. Macro & Trade Policies (new 6/10)
• Tariff risks and global trade instability persist. Musk has warned of “rough quarters” ahead linked to these macro risks..
• Considered separately, worth tracking but less immediate than others.
________________________________________
Updated Catalyst Scorecard
Rank Catalyst Score
1 Autonomous & Robotaxi Execution 9
2 EV Demand Growth 9
3 Affordable Entry-Level Model 8.5
4 Battery Cost & Margin Improvement 8
5 Energy & AI Upside 8
6 U.S. EV Incentives 7.5
7 Safety, Regulatory & Governance Risk 7
8 Fed & Interest Rates 6.5
9 Competition & Global Sales Slump 6.5
10 Macro & Trade Policy Risks 6
11 Commodities & Raw Material Costs 5.5
________________________________________
📊Analyst Ratings & Price Targets (Updated)
• Median 12-month price target: ~$303–$307, implying slight downside from current ~$346..
• High-end bulls: Dan Ives (Wedbush) at $500; Benchmark raised to $475..
• Cautious voices: UBS remains bearish at $215, saying robotaxi upside may be priced-in..
• Wolfe Research: warns near-term earnings estimates are too optimistic, free cash flow may remain under pressure..
________________________________________
🔍Recent Headlines You Should Know
• Robotaxi launch in Austin, promoting optimism but drawing scrutiny..
• FSD & Optimus focus, backed by bullish commentary like “embodied AI compounder.”.
• EV credit tweak buys time for deliveries and demand..
• Fed hinting at rate cuts, offering cyclical lift..
• Q2 earnings miss on EPS and revenue, but autonomy/energy pushed narrative..
________________________________________
• Bull Case: Robotaxi and AI drive restore investor confidence, pushing targets toward $475–$500.
• Base Case: Steady but cautious—watch for execution on autonomous and cost-efficiency.
• Bear Case: Renewed delivery slumps, regulatory blowback, or failed rollout could weigh toward downside support in the $300–$330 range.
TESLA - Tight range = explosive breakout loading?Breakdown (what the chart shows):
Tesla is forming a symmetrical triangle on the 2H chart. Price is squeezing between higher lows and lower highs.
Currently testing resistance near $338–340. Breakout or rejection incoming.
Confluence:
1. RSI bouncing back from near oversold → bullish momentum returning.
CTA :
Which way do you think it breaks — up or down?
Would you trade the breakout or fade the first move?
TSLA Weekly Options Setup:345C--Don’t Miss Out
# 🚀 TSLA Weekly Options Setup: Bullish Momentum Play w/ \$345C 🎯 (Aug 29 Expiry)
### 🔑 Multi-Model Summary
✅ RSI (Daily 60.1 → Weekly 65) = Bullish momentum
✅ VIX \~14.2 = Favorable volatility regime
⚠️ Weak weekly volume (0.9x) + neutral options flow (C/P \~1.10)
⚖️ Mixed models → Some lean bullish (\$345–355C), others prefer **no trade** due to weak institutional flow
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### 📊 Recommended Trade (If You Take It)
* 🎯 **Instrument**: \ NASDAQ:TSLA
* 📈 **Direction**: Call (Long)
* 🎯 **Strike**: \$345C
* 💵 **Entry**: \~\$6.00 (limit at open)
* 🛑 **Stop**: \$3.60 (40% risk control)
* 🎯 **Target**: \$9.00 (+50%)
* 📅 **Expiry**: 2025-08-29
* 📏 **Size**: 1 contract (scalable)
* ⚡ **Exit**: By **Thursday close** (avoid Friday gamma decay)
* 🔒 **Confidence**: 65% (moderate conviction)
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### ⚠️ Key Risks
* Weak volume = no big-money confirmation
* Event risk (SpaceX headlines)
* 5 DTE = aggressive theta decay
* Gamma swings → fast intraday moves
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### 📌 Conclusion
Momentum favors upside, but lack of strong institutional confirmation = **medium conviction**.
👉 Conservative traders: wait.
👉 Active traders: \$345C is the best balance of **delta, liquidity, and leverage** this week.
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### 🔥 Hashtags
\#TSLA #OptionsTrading #WeeklyOptions #CallOptions #SwingTrade #DayTrading #MomentumTrading #OptionsFlow #BreakoutTrading #StockMarket 🚀📈💎🔥
TSLA – Tesla Inc. | Daily Chart AnalysisNASDAQ:TSLA – Tesla Inc. | Daily Chart Analysis
Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is currently navigating a critical technical region after a sharp +6.22% move, closing at $340.01.
🔍 Key Technical Developments:
• Break of Downtrend: Price broke above the descending trendline (dotted white) that had been rejecting rallies since the $488 peak. This breakout was followed by consolidation just above support.
• Support Zone: The $320–$325 region (highlighted box) has been tested multiple times and is now acting as a solid demand area.
• Moving Averages: TSLA is holding above both the 50 day (green) and 200-day (red) MAs bullish posture.
• Trend Reversal Structure: Higher lows forming since April 2025, supported by increasing volume on up moves a constructive bullish base.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
• Resistance:
◦ $342.34 (current test)
◦ $363.59 (next major level)
◦ $378.28 and $401.17 as higher resistance zones
• Support:
◦ $324.20 / $321.84
◦ $301.76
◦ Below that: $273.07
📈 Current Price: $340.01 (+6.22%)
Tesla is attempting to break out of a long-term downtrend structure. A sustained move above $342–$344 could ignite momentum toward $360+.
📊 Watch for volume confirmation and reaction at major resistance zones.
#Tesla #TSLA #Stocks #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #ElonMusk #Trading #NASDAQ
TESLA Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for TESLA below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 339.97
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 332.22
Recommended Stop Loss - 344.40
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Tesla - Wave 2 Complete and into Wave 3! 🟢 Bias: Bullish
Tesla is showing strong recovery after a corrective move (Wave (2)) and now pushing into Wave (3) territory with momentum. Structure and volume both favor upside continuation.
📊 Technical Breakdown
Elliott Wave Count:
Wave (1) completed at the recent swing high.
Wave (2) retraced into the 0.618 level, respecting demand.
Wave (3) projection is active, targeting 367.72 (next major resistance).
Key Structure:
Price broke the descending trendline and retested it successfully (“Break & Retest” zone).
Demand held strong at the 316 – 320 zone, acting as validation support.
Clear higher highs and higher lows forming, confirming bullish structure.
Indicators & Confluence:
200 EMA reclaimed and holding as support.
Volume increased on bullish candles, showing participation on the breakout.
Ichimoku cloud flipped bullish with price trading above it.
🎯 Trade Idea
Entry Zone: Current levels (330–340) after breakout confirmation.
Target: 367.72 (Wave (3) target level).
Invalidation: Below 314.50 (demand zone + structure invalidation).
🔑 Summary
Tesla is in the early stages of a strong Wave (3) push. Breakout, demand retest, and bullish momentum all align for continuation higher. Expect price to test 367.72 in the next impulsive leg.
Tesla Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 082225Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 335/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:C
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If you want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day
Bullish wedge, again..?If TSLA breaks through this wedge an Elliot Wave and Fib Extension suggest wave 5 would be reached $426.70. I made this chart Thursday and did not publish. Fridays move I don't count because the entire market went up with J Powell said NOTHING. So on a pullback I'd look to enter a position, this move should come in 4-6 weeks or less as wave 5 on TSLA usually lasts a month
TESLA: Short Trading Opportunity
TESLA
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell TESLA
Entry Level - 339.97
Sl - 344.91
Tp - 331.07
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
TSLA on verge of major breakout on weekly?I have been waiting for this one... I averaged down. I bought call options. I bought TSLA 2x leverage in the form on TSLL. About f' ing time.
We had a false break out, a retest and now breaking out again. Momentum swinging to the upside and institutions are already in. Get ready for retail fomo.
A few good reasons why a person would want to buy. (Not financial advice)
Some current bullish catalysts for TSLA (Tesla) as of August 2025 include:
Full Self-Driving (FSD) Upgrades: Elon Musk announced Tesla is training a new FSD model with nearly ten times more parameters. A major software and video compression upgrade is scheduled, with an enhanced FSD vehicle targeted for release by the end of September. Progress toward regulatory approval in Europe and Australia is also in focus.
Robotaxi Expansion: Tesla is expanding its robotaxi launch into new U.S. regions (such as Northern California, Nevada, Arizona, Florida) with hands-free/eyes-off autonomy for FSD owners expected by year-end. The robotaxi rollout is a major narrative driver for growth.
Optimus Project: Tesla's humanoid robot initiative, Optimus, is expected to enter scale production in 2026. Optimus could open new growth sectors for Tesla beyond autos.
Technical Strength: TSLA recently bounced off key moving averages (the 50-day and 100-day SMA), with options activity (especially call volume at $340 strike) suggesting bullish sentiment. A breakout above $350 is viewed as confirming a renewed uptrend.
Macroeconomic Tailwinds: Dovish signals from the Federal Reserve have bolstered risk assets, supporting growth stocks like Tesla and improving sentiment in the sector.
Uptrend Indicators: The 10-day moving average crossed above the 50-day moving average (bullish), and the Aroon Indicator signaled an uptrend, historically associated with continued gains for TSLA.
$TSLA looks "Cheap" but it can always get cheaperTSLA has been consolidating in a flag here. While price could break up out of it, I actually lean towards price breaking to the downside. The reason is because there have been more tests on the downside, and I think if price falls and tests it again, it'll break.
That and, if you turn on Heikin Ashi candles, it looks like bearish momentum is starting on higher timeframes (1D-4D) and Ichimoku giving bearish warning signals in the cloud formation.
I think the most likely outcome is that we break lower and go test the box below for a new low. Everyone would get bearish down there, but that will be a great level to buy for the long term.
a flag breakout can be a bullish trade ideahere as per technical analysis , we can see several factor which can
aide a bullish take on TESLA stock on a very short term time frame .
1) pole and flag
2) prices above 20 Day sma ( h)
3) monthly pivot ( traditional ) crossover upside
Pole and flag : a pole and flag which has a decreasing volume during the flag formation , and not having much of retracement , aides the bullish view here
20 DSMA :till the time prices are above the 20 day sma (high) , we can keep our bullish trade intact ,
Pivot level monthly : recently the stock has crossed over monthly pivot level ( traditional ) , in an assuring manner
prices forming a floor above floor structure , where the prices are showing their initial motive towards upside , and then correcting in a slow manner in a retracement manner . a good time has been spent in the shadow of the impulsive motive ( upside ) , which creates a stronger base for the prices and shows no major selling has been happening here , and the profit booked at the higher levels are being bought out again ( re-entry into the market )
break of structure , the lesser candles demand zone which actually created a break of strcuture was respected recently ,
action plan , as soon as the flag pattern is breached on the upside , with a good volume candle , one can have a bullish entry here .
stoploss level at 330 , target price : 15% after the breakout of the flag.